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Daily hold time at the service call center has mean 79.50
seconds and standard deviation 16.86 seconds.
Performance over ten day in Ray Jacksons absence:
Average hold time is 86.6 seconds.
Performance over ten day in Ray Jacksons presence:
Average hold time is 74.4 seconds.
Statistical problem?
Statistical problem?
Framing a Hypothesis
Null Hypothesis
Stating what would be considered normal if no change
happened.
H0 : = 79.5
Framing a Hypothesis
Null Hypothesis
Stating what would be considered normal if no change
happened.
H0 : = 79.5
Alternative Hypothesis
Stating what would happen when a change happens.
HA : 6= 79.5
Truth
Conclusion
Not Reject
Reject
Not Reject OK
Type I Error ()
Reject
Type II error () OK
Significance Level
Significance Level
z=
x 0
/ n
z=
(74.479.5)
(16.86/ 10)
= 0.95
Critical value
Conclusions
Conclusions
Conclusions
Conclusions
Exercise 1
p-value
p-value=2*P(Z | 0.95|)=0.34.
You will fail to reject the Null Hypothesis at both 1% and 5%
significance level because p-value is much bigger than 0.01
and 0.05.
Exercise 1...
n 0
X
/ n
N(0, 1) as long as n is
0 N(0, 1) as long as n is
Under null hypothesis, X/n
n
large.
Now if significance level is then any x (sample mean)
that is more than z/2 or less than z/2 provides
evidence against = 0 .
0 N(0, 1) as long as n is
Under null hypothesis, X/n
n
large.
Now if significance level is then any x (sample mean)
that is more than z/2 or less than z/2 provides
evidence against = 0 .
0 N(0, 1) as long as n is
Under null hypothesis, X/n
n
large.
Now if significance level is then any x (sample mean)
that is more than z/2 or less than z/2 provides
evidence against = 0 .
What if is unknown?
0 N(0, 1) as long as n is
Under null hypothesis, X/n
n
large.
Now if significance level is then any x (sample mean)
that is more than z/2 or less than z/2 provides
evidence against = 0 .
What if is unknown?
Ans. Old friend t-distribution will help.
t-test
n 0
X
s/ n
t-test
n 0
X
s/ n
(74.479.5)
(16.86/ 10)
= 0.95
p-value>0.2
Exercise 1...