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Casualties,
Fragmentation,
VEGA is a single-body launcher [1], composed of three solidpropellant stages (P80, Zefiro 23, Zefiro 9) and a liquid
propellant upper module (AVUM, Attitude Vernier Upper
Module). VEGA is compatible with payload masses ranging
from 300 kg to 2500 kg, depending on the type and altitude of
the orbit required by the customer (an orbit altitude range
between 300 and 1500 km). In this respect, it can provide
launch services for a wide variety of missions, from equatorial
to Sun-synchronous. Due to the vast range of missions, VEGA
LV will fly over practically the whole Earth therefore a
casualty assessment is necessary.
Its maiden flight took place successfully from French Guyana
on February 13th, 2012. Mission objective was the flight
qualification of the entire launch system, carrying the satellite
Lares into a circular orbit at 1450 km of altitude and other
eight secondary payloads (7 Cubesats and ALMASat) into an
elliptical orbit of apogee 1450 km and perigee 300 km of
altitude.
Safety,
I. INTRODUCTION
Fig. 1. VEGA LV during final chronology before lift-off from French Guyana
Space center (ESA)
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3
spacecraft assembly. The preparatory work for the spacecraft
model construction is thus greatly reduced. Anyway, full S/C
description can be implemented, mainly useful for sensitivity
approach versus number of modelled fragments or to consider
a model as much as possible complete. In all object oriented
methods the spacecraft to be analysed is represented only by a
parts list containing information on basic geometry, size, mass
and material. Object oriented codes are therefore not able to
analyse the re-entry of a complete spacecraft with its full
dynamics, the fast heating of external parts, and the protection
of internal spacecraft parts by the outer shells. Because of this
simplified approach object oriented codes are very fast,
without loss of consistency of results.
N
A =
c
0.6 + Ai
(1)
i =1
Deterministic simulation can be performed, but also MonteCarlo approach can be selected, in order to cover uncertainties
that mainly affect fragments ballistic properties, aerodynamic
characteristics and lateral velocity in case of fragments
generated by explosion.
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C. DRAMA setup
Characteristics of each fragment shall be defined in a
dedicated input sheet, reporting name of the object, shape,
geometry, mass and material. The latter is needed in order to
perform aerothermal calculations leading to the material
melting and the consequent object demise. Material database is
available inside the tool, considering the most of materials
used in space applications. User-defined material can be also
entered. Number of the same object is also requested if the
same equipment is present on-board more than once.
Parent / Child relation shall be also defined, in order to
allow the tool to expose the children objects to external fluxes
once the parent is demised.
Initial parent object representative of the entire spacecraft
kinematic initial condition definition is needed: it is required
to calculate the body energy at its atmospheric entry, from
which will depend the entire trajectory and loads. This
information can be provided in terms of Cartesian coordinates
or keplerian elements as well, through a graphical user
interface.
Finally, simulation starting date is needed for propagation
issues.
D. Import DRAMA output in ELECTRA tool
Fragmentation numerical simulations provide the user with
the mass evolution of every objects versus time. This
represents the effect of aerothermal loads which firstly lead the
object to its melting temperature, then heat flux causes the
object melting process, represented as a mass consumption.
If the instantaneous aerothermal flux decreases in relation to
object trajectory evolution and the object wall temperature
decreases under the melting value defined for that material, the
melting process ends and the object mass remains constant.
At the end of the process, each object presents a certain
residual mass: some of them could be demised if the residual
mass is zero, the other have withstood the atmospheric reentry. Only these latter have to be considered for following
step: casualty risk assessment by means of ELECTRA tool.
In particular, initial geometry of surviving objects shall be
set into ELECTRA fragmentation model input sheet, reporting
all the geometric, aerodynamic and material characteristics of
the object, as they were defined in DRAMA input file.
E. Final Casualty Risk assessment
Once the fragmentation model composed only of surviving
fragments found by DRAMA has been defined into
ELECTRA, the following other input data are requested. In
particular, the inclination that the spacecraft has at its
atmospheric entry is an important parameter to be set, since the
casualty risk estimation strictly depends from that. Being, in
fact, the re-entry not controlled, the Earth surface affected by
fragments impact could be the whole surface inside the latitude
band indicated, being not possible to predict the impact zone
with higher accuracy.
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De-orb
DRAMA
a
[km]
7254.61
6491.52
e
[-]
0.078677
3.36E-04
i
[]
69.48
69.39
RAAN
[]
305.92
29.43
[]
44.73
57.11
[]
188.55
237.18
Shape
[-]
[-]
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
APMS-TP Sandwich
MEA plate
Primary Structure
Lower Shear Panels
Upper Shear Panels
MEA
TVC-EMA
ACT-BATT
IPDU
Gas Tank
RACS Prop Tank
Fairing Interf Ring
Prop Tanks
UCAT
P-POD
LARES SSEP
LARES SSUP flange
LARES SSUP flange
LARES SSUP ann
LARES SSUP Legs
LARES D&S
LARES TLM
LARES A&P
LARES BAP
AAM-P
Pl
Pl
Cyl
Pl
Pl
Cyl
Cyl
Box
Box
Cyl
Sph
Sph
Sph
Box
Box
Cyl
Cyl
Cyl
Cyl
Box
Box
Box
Box
Box
Plate
Diameter
Width
[m]
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
Length
Height
Mass
Material
[m]
XX
[m]
[kg]
[-]
Honeycom
b
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Stainless
Steel
Steel
Aluminium
Titanium
Titanium
Aluminium
Titanium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Honeycom
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
-
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
OBC
OBB
INS
MFU
Pyro-Battery (x2)
UCTM
MLI
Bolts (x180)
RACS Cluster (x2)
TLM Transmitter
Piping
Harness
Membrane
P/L Adapter ring U
P/L Adapter CRSS
P/L Adapter Cone
P/L Adapter ring L
P/L Adapter Springs
P/L Adapter Sensors
Box
Box
Box
Box
Box
Box
Pl
Cyl
Box
Box
Cyl
Cyl
Pl
Cyl
Pl
Cyl
Cyl
Cyl
Cyl
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
-
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
XX
b
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Aluminium
Nomex
Inconel
Aluminium
Aluminium
Titanium
Copper
Teflon
Aluminium
Aluminium
Graphite
Aluminium
Steel
Steel
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
3
1
4
1
5
1
6
1
7
1
8
1
9
2
0
2
1
2
2
2
3
2
4
2
5
2
6
2
7
2
8
Name
[-]
APMS-TP Sandwich
MEA plate
Primary Structure
Lower Shear Panels
Upper Shear Panels
MEA
TVC-EMA
ACT-BATT
IPDU
Gas Tank
LAND IMPACT
LAND IMPACT
DEMISED
Prop Tanks
LAND IMPACT
DEMISED
UCAT
DEMISED
P-POD
DEMISED
LARES SSEP
DEMISED
LARES SSUP flange
DEMISED
LARES SSUP flange
DEMISED
LARES SSUP ann
DEMISED
LARES SSUP Legs
DEMISED
LARES D&S
DEMISED
LARES TLM
DEMISED
LARES A&P
DEMISED
LARES BAP
DEMISED
AAM-P
DEMISED
OBC
DEMISED
OBB
DEMISED
INS
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2
9
3
0
3
1
3
2
3
3
3
4
3
5
3
6
3
7
3
8
3
9
4
0
4
1
4
2
4
3
4
4
6
DEMISED
MFU
DEMISED
Pyro-Battery (x2)
DEMISED
UCTM
DEMISED
MLI
DEMISED
Casualty Area
[m2]
xx
DEMISED
Bolts (x180)
RACS Cluster (x2)
DEMISED
TLM Transmitter
DEMISED
Piping
Grounded Mass
[kg]
xx
Grounded Mass
[%]
95.8
DEMISED
Harness
DEMISED
Membrane
DEMISED
P/L Adapter ring U
DEMISED
P/L Adapter CRSS
DEMISED
P/L Adapter Cone
DEMISED
P/L Adapter ring L
DEMISED
P/L Adapter Springs
DEMISED
V. CONCLUSIONS
Fig. 6 and Tab. 4 provide evidence that only tanks are able to
withstand atmospheric re-entry. This results can be considered
coherent with expectation, as usually experienced from generic
spacecraft re-entry. This kind of components is, in fact, the one
most likely able to survive, for two main reasons. First cause is
the very limited area-to-mass ratio. They are generally
compact bodies (spheres or cylinders), with very high mass,
needed to ensure structural integrity under high pressure
internal conditions. Second cause is the typical material used
for tanks design, as titanium alloys: high performance are
required from mechanical and thermal points of view, leading
to high stresses and high melting temperature material survival
capability. From parent body break-up, aerothermal fluxes are
not sufficient to demise them.
REFERENCES
[1]
[2]
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[3]
[4]
[5]
[6]
[7]
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