POLITICS

REPUBLIC OF IRAQ
ANALYTIC FINDINGS:It is highly probable that Iraq will not be established as a fully functioning, independent, cohesive, self determinate, and
sovereign state by 2013. Iraq is a menagerie of vying sociopolitical and religious factions in the process of solidifying into legitimate and
functioning political bodies. Heavy investment towards the success of Iraq as a Producing Nation by international developers and contractors has
ensured a measure of growth since 2003. The presence of coalition forces ensures a fragile semblance of stability and it is possible that a small
United States Forces (USF) presence will remain incountry to augment the Office of Security Cooperation (OSC) and to support the ongoing Department
of State (DOS) diplomatic mission.

Iraq is currently a federal constitutional

republic. Its constitution was ratified on
25October2005. It has been outlined in the
Iraqi constitution that Iraq be divided into
18 federal governances which will be
responsible for regional affairs while the
Baghdad central government will operate
international affairs.Iraq was unified by the
British as a nation state following World War
I and the collapse of the Ottoman Empire.It
has been a sovereign state since 1932, and a
republic following a 1958 coup dtat which
displaced King Faisal II. Under the Sunni
Baathist regime of Saddam Hussein Iraq
enjoyed relative political stability. Eight
years after the 2003 coalition invasion Iraq
is now controlled politically by a Shiite
Islamic majority government. Parliamentary
elections were held on 07March10. The three
main political parties are al-Iraqiyya, the
State of Law Coalition, and the National Iraqi
Alliance. Iraq's constitution provides for a
tripartite presidency consisting of a
President of The Republic and two deputy
presidents whose decisions must be unanimous.
Kurdish politician Jalal Talabani was elected
republic president on 06April05 by the Iraqi
National Assembly. Vice presidents are Sunni
Tarik Al-Hashimi and Shia Adil Abdul
al-Mahdi. The prime minister is Nouri Kamil
Mohammed Hasan Al-Maliki.

Produced By: Kirk John Stefanski

Client: MCIIS - RIAP178 - Mulligan
Created: February2011

Coat Of Arms Iraq

GEOGRAPHY

ECONOMICS

There is uncertainty over

Iraq's capability to meet
demands for oil production.
Analysts have given
widely varying projections
of output based on the
current status of
infrastructure, security,

Turkey exerting increased

economic influence in north,
especially through limitation
on available water.

OPEC have stated that they are counting on Iraq to

make up for deficiencies in oil production and export.
The ability of Iraq to deliver in a timely manner is highly
questionable. Former Oil Ministry Planning Director
Link
Fateh Al-Khayat has said, "By 2025, Iraq will contribute
5.6m b/d of an Opec call of 10.5m b/d. The rest has to
come from elsewhere. Given the current political troubles,
that is unlikely, and means Opec will not be able to manipulate
the supply any more."

Minister of Oil Hussain Ibrahim

Saleh al-Shahristani

Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries

Although significant attention has been given to a

threat from Iran, Iraq views Iranian influence as
tenable and manageable, as they are less involved
with organizing and supporting terrorist action than
interfacing with select political contacts within
Iraq. It is GOI opinion that nationalistic Iraqi
opposition to Shiite Iranian influence is seen as
likely provided there are no external foreign
triggers for sectarian conflagration. Irans
influence is further stymied by its current
atmosphere of internal tension.

600 construction workers recently

enacted a strike in the city of Makkah.
Though it was resolved there have
since been increasing instances of
strikes among oil,electricity, textile,
leather, and other industries over
wages, benefits, and safety
conditions.

500 Mostly Sunni Political Incumbants

and Candidates Banned From 2010
Election Due To Alleged Links To
Ba'ath Party.

COALITION FORCES & INTERNATIONAL ELEMENTS

New Iraq Constitution
Ratified 15Octobe2005

US Representatives(D) Waxman and Dingell

have reported that Halliburton has charged
excessive prices to import gasoline into
Iraq. Oil industry experts commented that
the prices were "outrageously high," "a
huge ripoff," and "highway robbery."

General.

Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki

December 2011 deadline for

complete Withdrawal of
US Forces

Organization for
Economic Cooperation
and Development (OECD)

$750 Billion (With a "B")

American Dollars and Counting.

BILLION DOLLARS
FOR
RECONSTRUCTION

Monsanto now owns

Xe Services.

USGAO has found poor

practices and standards
employed in DOD
management of contractor
funds and services.

SOCIAL
Kellogg Brown and Root

Division of agricultural
land areas.

United Nations
Development Program

The largest non-union construction company in the US

with over 14,000 contractors in country. KBR and its affiliates
have faced lawsuits over professional negligence, employee safety,
sexual assault, human trafficking, and business favoritism.

Coalition of
The Willing
The former Blackwater

iraq_oil_2003

President Jalal Talabani

MAY
ADVERSELY
AFFECT

Major Iraqi party voting results per governance in 2010 elections.

International (UN)
Sanctions Against Iraq

US State Dept. Information

Technology Intern Exchange
program.

9 Billion
Dollars
to reconstruct
Iraqi Military

US.Rep(D) H. Waxman has found that USAID has secretly

limited competition for development contracts in Iraq to
select hand picked companies. USAID has ignored or
blocked requests to clarify their budgets and several US
audits have been performed of the agency detailing
inefectuality in contractor management, reconstruction
efforts, and vetting of individuals found to be terrorists.

Growing population of
LINUX users.

94 Beds Total.
20 Outpatient Exam
Rooms for
Basrah Childrens' Hospital:
Primary Care,
Surgery, Specialty.
Comprehensive
Oncology Treatment
Center.

University of Technology

Mechanical, Electrical and Electronics

Engineering,Building and Construction
Engineering,Control and Systems Engineering
Industrial, Materials & Metallurgic Engineering,
Chemical Engineering,Architecture Engineering,
Applied Science (Applied Physics, Applied
Mathematics,Laser, material science, biotechnology
and applied chemistry)Computer Science & Engineering
Laser and Optics Engineering, Petroleum Technology
Engineering, Electromechanical Engineering,

55% of Iraqis
report access
to medical care
within 4 days40% report same
day access.

Soldiers Report Respiratory Illnesses

From Exposure To Noxious Burn Pits.

Multi-National Security Transition

Command (MNSTC-1)

IRAQI MINISTRY OF DEFENSE

17,000 Police and 77,000 Contractors Protect 13,000

critical infrastructure locations including Gov. buildings,
Mosques, hospitals, schools, highways and bridges.

Grand Ayatollah
Sayyid Ali al-Husayni
al-Sistani

Although security has

generally increased, Iraq
currently exhibits a lack
of basic services including
electricity, heat, water.
After the responsible drawdown
of USF from Iraq it will be
incumbent upon US Department
of State(DOS) to continue
stability and support
operations in concert with US
and international GOs and
NGOs.

60%
Shi'a Islam

Iraqi Police
Services
1,200 Police Stations
43,000 Federal Police (FP)
29,000 Oil Police (OP)
18,000 Electric Police (EP)
40,000 Border Police (DBE)
4,300 General Directorate of
Dignitary Protection (GDDP)

Facilities Protection Services

In
Contact

Approximately 1.5 million

(mostly children)dead
from sanctions alone.

Reconstruction Efforts

TECHNOLOGY

3000 Detainees
Currently Held
by USF. 8,100
Released Since 2009.
Detainees Continue To
Be Transferred To ISF.

110,000
Dead Civilians
(& Counting)

The current "stability"

of Iraq is held together
as a tenuous balancing
act between 3 major
sectarian identifiers,
150 separate tribes,
the political interests
of its neighbors, the
Link
Iraqi Security Forces (ISF)
and the continued support
provided by United States
and foreign personal.

Problem of widespread
unexploded ordnance

Shi'ite Militants

Religious Violence

195,507 Regular Army

Ground Forces

Note: Iraqi variant not

equipped with reactive
armor or advanced
countermeasures.

77 T72M1 MBT Donated by Hungary.

Soviet Made T55 MBT

600 Polish Dzik-3 IMV

(pronounced "jeek")
Produced for Iraq

Mahdi Army

IED 1

Badr
Organisation

140 x M1A1SA (Situational Awareness)

Variant MBT Produced and sold by GE

Targeted Killings

AKU94-Bullpup Configuration

Insurgency of Iraq

3,458 Air Force Personnel

3,740 Naval Forces
including Marines

Sunni Militants

Former Ba'athist
Affiliates

45,540 Training
and Support Forces
5 C130E-3 from US, 2 from Jordan.

4,651 Special
Operations Forces

Explosively Formed Penetrators (EFP)

Sunni Awakenning

The ubiquitous HumveeNow for Iraq!

Kurdish 'Peshmerga' Forces

"Those Who Face Death"

MILITARY

Al Qaeda in Mesopotamia

An alliance of sheiks
and local tribal leaders
which has been instrumental
in reducing violence since
2007.

Islamic State of Iraq

5 Predator Class Ships

donated by Jordan

More rational elements

have rejected violent
extremism in favor of
political participation.

16 UH1 Huey Helicopters

donated by Jordan

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Iraq Nationalists

Major elements of the Insurgency in

Iraq(III) have largely been
operationally neutralized throughout
the country due to concussive and
decisive military operations
spearheaded by US combatant forces.
With the withdrawal of US forces from
a great portion Iraq, Al-Qaeda in
Iraq(AQI) may have lost some
legitimation operating in country,
and although periodic high profile
attacks are still being carried out
on an intermittent basis, the group
may now be considering greater
emphasis on execution and support of
external operations.

Muqtada Al Sadr
4 have died nationwide as new
protests continue to erupt
against corruption, import tariffs,
and a lack of basic services such
as food, water, and electricity.