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A PROJECT ON DERIVATIVES
Acknowledgement
Executive Summery
The emergence of the market for derivative products, most notably forwards,
futures and options, can be traced back to the willingness of risk-averse
economic agents to guard themselves against uncertainties arising out of
fluctuations in asset prices. By their very nature, the financial markets are
marked by a very high degree of volatility. Through the use of derivative
products, it is possible to partially or fully transfer price risks by locking-in
asset prices. As instruments of risk management, these generally do not
influence the fluctuations in the underlying asset prices. However, by
locking-in asset prices, derivative products minimize the impact of
fluctuations in asset prices on the profitability and cash flow situation of
risk-averse investors.
class of equity derivatives, futures and options on stock indices have gained
more popularity than on individual stocks, especially among institutional
investors, who are major users of index-linked derivatives.
Even small investors find these useful due to high correlation of the popular
indices with various portfolios and ease of use. The lower costs associated
with index derivatives vis-vis derivative products based on individual
securities is another reason for their growing use.
INDEX
Introduction to Derivatives
The origin of derivatives can be traced back to the need of farmers to protect
themselves against fluctuations in the price of their crop. From the time it
was sown to the time it was ready for harvest, farmers would face price
uncertainty. Through the use of simple derivative products, it was possible
for the farmer to partially or fully transfer price risks by locking-in asset
prices. These were simple contracts developed to meet the needs of farmers
and were basically a means of reducing risk.
A farmer who sowed his crop in June faced uncertainty over the
price he would receive for his harvest in September. In years of scarcity, he
would probably obtain attractive prices. However, during times of
oversupply, he would have to dispose off his harvest at a very low price.
Clearly this meant that the farmer and his family were exposed to a high risk
of price uncertainty.
Derivatives Defined
Derivatives are securities under the SCRA and hence the trading of
derivatives is governed by the regulatory framework under the SCRA. The
Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956 defines “derivative” to include-
• A contract which derives its value from the prices, or index of prices,
of underlying securities.
Derivative contacts are of different types. The most common ones are
forwards, futures, options and swaps. Participants who trade in the
derivatives market can be classified under the following three broad
categories- hedgers, speculators, and arbitragers.
• Hedgers
• Speculators
• Arbitragers
Derivative Markets
popular financial derivatives are those which have equity, interest rates and
exchange rates as the underlying. The most commonly used derivatives
contracts are forwards, futures and options.
Here we define some of the more popularly used derivative contracts. Some
of these, namely futures and options will be discussed in more details at a
later stage.
• Forwards
• Futures
differ from forward contracts in the sense that they are standardized and
exchange traded.
• Options
There are two types of options- calls and puts. Calls give the buyer the
right but not the obligation to buy a given quantity of the underlying asset, at
a given price on or before a given future date. Puts give the buyer the right,
but not the obligation to sell a given quantity of the underlying asset at a
given price on or before a given date.
• Warrants
• Baskets
• Swaps
• Currency swaps
These entail swapping both principal and interest between the parties,
with the cash flows in one direction being in a different currency than those
in the opposite direction.
• Swaptions
Swaptions are options to buy or sell a swap that will become operative
at the expiry of the options. Thus a swaption is an option on a forward swap.
Rapid economic growth in recent years with more than 6 percent GDP
growth rate has made India one of the fastest growing economies of the
world. With higher income giving significant purchasing power to over a
billion strong population, demand for all kinds of goods and services is set to
grow rapidly.
essential for everyone who has some interest in the Indian economy in
general and in commodity trading in particular.
Markets
Markets have existed for centuries in India and abroad for selling and buying
of good and services. The concept of market started with agricultural
products and hence it is as old as the agro products or the business of
farming itself. Traditionally, the farmers used to bring their produce to a
central place (called Mandi/Bazar) in a town/village where grain
merchant/traders would also come and buy the produce and transport,
distribute it to other markets.
the food grain merchants were happy with this situation since they could not
predict what the prices would be on a given day or in a given season. As a
result, any times the farmers were required to return from the market with
their produce since it did not fetch reasonable price and since there were no
storage facilities available near the market place. It was in this context that
farmers and food grain merchants in Chicago started negotiating for future
supplies of grains in exchange of cash at a mutually agreeable price. This
type of agreement was acceptable to both parties since the farmer would
know how much he would be paid for his produce, and the dealer would
know his cost of procurement in advance. This effectively started the system
of organized commodity market and forward contracts, which subsequently
evolved the futures market.
Commodity
Commodity Market
Market is a place where buyers and sellers meet to transact a business i.e. for
exchange of goods or services for a consideration, which is usually money.
In today’s world, markets need not exist in physical form as long as the
exchange of goods or services takes place for a consideration.
Over the Counter/Spot Market: Direct purchases and sales are achieved in
spot markets normally for immediate consumption. Buyers and sellers meet
“face to face” and deals are struck. This is akin to “over the counter (OTC)”
market where there is no need for an organization like commodity exchange.
These are traditional markets. Classic example of a spot market is mandi
where food grains are sold in bulk. Traders would purchase the produce “on
the spot” and settle the deal in cash.
Forward and Future Markets: in this case, the agreements are normally
made to pay now and receive the goods at a later date in future. Forwards
and futures contracts reduce the risk by allowing trader to decide a price
today for the goods to be delivered in future. Forward markets are cash
market where delivery takes place sometime in future, unlike spot markets
that call for immediate delivery. These advance sales help both buyer and
seller with long term planning. Forward contracts laid the groundwork for
futures contracts. The main difference between these two contracts is the
way in which they are negotiated.
For forward contract, terms like quantity, quality, delivery date and price
and discussed in person between the buyer and the seller. Each contract is
thus unique and not standardized since it takes into account the needs of
particular seller and a particular buyer only.
In the case of futures contracts, all terms like quantity, quality and delivery
date, are standardized except price, which is discovered through the
interaction of supply and demand in a centralized market place or exchange.
Forward contracting helped in arranging long-term transaction between
buyers and sellers but could not deal with the financial risk that occurred
with unforeseen price changes.
• Benefits to investor
• Business involves just you and market. One does not have to
manufacture or acquire a product; allocate financial resources to
advertise market and sell the product, etc.
• The fact that the stock indices and commodity indices are not
correlated implies that the commodity markets can be used as an
effective diversification tool, where investors can park their money.
• A look at the performance of the commodities markets during the last
year shows that the positive movement was witnessed during most
parts of the years.
• Benefits to producers
Farmers for instance, can get assured prices, decide on the crop that they
want to take and since there is transparency in prices, he can decide when
and where to sell.
• Benefits to consumer/user
• Benefits to economy
Today Commodity markets are situated throughout the world. In many cases
the market deals in specialized commodities. There are Commodity markets
for crude oil, metals, food grain, live stock etc. notable among them are,
Chicago Board of Trade in U.S.A., London Commodity Exchange in U.K.,
Sydney Futures Exchange in Australia, Tokyo Commodity Exchange in
Japan and Singapore International Monetary Futures Exchange in Singapore.
Global commodity exchanges have existed for a long time. However major
commodity exchanges/markets are situated in UK and USA. The Chicago
Board of Trade (CBOT) and the Chicago Mercantile exchange (CME) are
two of the oldest and largest derivatives exchange in the world. London
Commodity Exchange (now merged with London Futures and Options
Exchange) is another leading commodity exchange in the world. On these
exchanges as well as similar other derivatives exchanges, a very wide range
of commodities and financial assets are traded, particularly in the form of
future contracts. The commodities traded include pork bellies, live cattle,
sugar, wool, lumber, copper, aluminium, gold and tin.
In the 1840s, Chicago had become a commercial center since it had good
railroad and telegraph lines connecting it with the EAST. Around this sae
time, good agriculture technologies were developed in the area, which led to
higher wheat production. Midwest farmers therefore used to come to
Chicago to sell their wheat to Chicago hoping to sell it at a good price. The
city had very limited storage facilities and hence, the farmers were often left
at the mercy of the dealers. The situation changed for the better when in
1848 a central place was opened where farmers and dealers could meet to
deal in “spot” grain – that is, to exchange cash for immediate delivery of
wheat.
Farmers and food merchant/dealers slowly started entering into contract for
future exchanges of grain for cash so that farmers could avoid taking the
trouble of transporting/storing wheat, if the price was not acceptable. This
system was suitable to farmers as well as the dealers. The farmers knew how
much he would be paid for his wheat, and the dealer knew his cost of
procurement well in advance.
Such contracts became common and were even used in collateral for bank
loans subsequently. The contracts slowly got standardized on quantity and
quality of wheat being traded. They also began to change hands before the
delivery date. If the dealer decided he didn’t want the wheat, he would sell
the contract someone who needed it. On the other side if the farmer who
didn’t want to deliver his wheat could also pass on his obligation to another
farmer. The price of the contract will go up and down depending on what is
happening in the wheat market. If the bad weather had come, supply of
wheat would be less and the people who had contracted to sell wheat would
hold on to more valuable contracts expecting to fetch better price; if the
harvest were bigger than expected, the seller’s contract would become less
valuable since the supply of wheat would be aplenty.
Futures industry has changed a great deal over the last 20 years, including
usage of terms futures itself. The industry was never referred to as futures
but rather “commodity”. Until 1970s the agricultural market dominated the
industry, and the trading was known as “commodity trading”. Today these
markets are known as the futures market or are referred to as the new
commodity futures market.
Africa
Asia
Commodity Futures
The first recorded instance of futures trading occurred in rice in Japan and
China some 6000 years ago. In the United States, futures trading started in
the grain markets in the middle of the 19 th century. The Chicago Board of
Trade, a futures market in various commodities, was established in 1848.
Major development in forward trading in commodities. Work place in
middle of 18th century in Chicago in United States.
Financial future
The biggest increase in future trading activity occurred in the 1970s when
futures on financial instruments started trading in Chicago. Currency futures
began trading in the International Money Market (IMM) of the Chicago
Mercantile Exchange in 1972. Since then many other futures markets have
opened up such as London International Financial Futures Exchange
(LIFFE).
Currencies such as the Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen were the earliest
currencies to be traded in currency futures market. In the 1980s futures
began trading on stock market indices such as the S&P 500.
Commodity markets like security market and other financial markets are
regulated by governmental authorities. In India, the market regulator for
commodity futures trading is the Forward Market Commission functioning
under the Ministry of Consumer Affairs. While in U.S.A., commodity
exchanges dealing in derivatives products are regulated by Commodity
Futures Trading Commission. We give below some important differences
relating to trading, settlement, regulation etc. between the Indian commodity
market and the U.S commodity market.
Forward and futures reduce the risk by allowing the trader to decide a price
today for goods to be delivered in future.
There are two kinds of trade in commodities. The first is the spot trade, in
which one pays cash and carries away the goods. The second is futures trade.
The underpinning for futures is the warehouse receipt. A person deposits a
certain amount of, say; good X in a warehouse and gets a warehouse receipt
which allow him to ask for physical delivery of the good from the
warehouse.
However, in the gold market, India accounts fro about 20% of the world
demand and remains a key area for physical buying support on price
corrections.
India is the worlds largest producer of milk, the worlds second largest
producer of rice and wheat after China and the worlds third largest producer
of cotton after China and US; though foreign trade in these commodities is
rather limited. However, in vegetable oil, India is the world’s largest
importer, as is the case with pulses also.
Despite a modest share in the industrial products market, the prospects for
growth for the industrial commodities in India are considerable. Despite a
slowdown in industrial production at times, overall the domestic economy in
India continues to grow robustly, while imports and growth in demand for
corporate borrowing also indicate a positive outlook.
• India has 30 major markets and nearly 7,500 mandies with substantial
arrivals of a variety of commodities.
As a result of the above developments, both the spot and futures market in
India are witnessing rapid growth.
• Seasonality
Some commodities go up during certain seasons e.g. Gold prices
usually shoot up during Diwali or Marriage seasons.
• Interest rates
Any producer of the commodity whether he is a farmer or a miner
is doing his activity on borrowed capital by incurring a cost. This interest
burden will reflect in the price of the commodity. Thus a higher interest
cost becomes a contributor to a higher commodity price.
• Currencies
In the case of commodities that are imported, if the domestic currency
has depreciated against the US $, the importer will have to pay higher in
terms of rupees per $ value of imports. This will increase the cost of
goods.
Commodity Futures
The commodity future will always have a fixed period, like one month, three
month etc. as the life of the contract may be different in different commodity
exchanges. At the end of contract period, the future contract would expire
and the concerned parties will have to give and receive delivery of the
commodity mentioned in the contract. Both the tie and the place of delivery
are prescribed by the exchange and this will form part of the futures
contract.
There is usually a time difference between the expiry of futures contract and
the delivery period. As a result of this intervening period, the cash price for a
commodity would be different from its futures price mentioned in the
contract.
• Buyer’s Obligation:
• Seller’s obligation:
• Position limit:
• Initial margin:
• Marking to market:
• Margin call:
You are now aware that the daily valuation of the trader’s future
position results into a loss or gain depending upon price movements. When
such valuation results into a loss the exchange will make a margin call on
the trader. The effect of such margin call is that the trader should bring in
that much of fresh funds to be deposited in that margin account. Thus
margin calls are made by the exchanges only when the futures p[position of
a trader results into a loss as compared to its value on the previous day.
• Maintenance margin:
• Clearing margin:
The relationship between cash price and future price can be explained in
terms of cost of carry. Cost of carry is an important element in determining
pricing relationship between spot and futures prices as well as between
prices of futures contract of different expiry months. According to the cost
of carry model, futures prices depend on the spot price of the commodity
and the cost of storing the commodity from the date of spot price to the date
of delivery of the futures contract. Cost of storage and insurance and cost of
financing constitute cost of carry. Estimated cost of futures price is also
called ‘full carry futures price’.
F=S+C
Where
F = Future price
S = Spot price
C = Cost of carry
For example: if the cost 100gm of gold in the spot market is Rs. 60,000 &
the cost of carry is 12% p.a., the fair value of a 4 month futures contract will
be
F=S+C
F = 60,000 + 2400
F = Rs 62400
The fair value of a futures contract is the theoretical value of where a futures
contract should be positioned, given the current spot price, cost of financing
and the tie for expiration.
F = S (1 + r)
Where
F = Future price
S = Spot price
R = % cost of financing (annually compounded)
n = time till expiration of the contract
F = S (1 + r/m)
For example
The cost of 100 gm of gold in the spot market is Rs. 60000 and the cost of
financing is 12% p.a. compounded monthly, the fair value of a 4 month
futures contract will be
F = S(1 + r/m)
F = 60,000 (1 + 0.12/12)
F = 60,000 x 1.0406
F = 62,436
F = Se
Where
F = Future price
S = Spot price
R = % COST OF FINANCING
N = time till expiration of contracts in years and
E = 2.71828
For example: if the cost of 100 gm of gold in the spot market is Rs 60,000 &
the cost of financing is 12% p.a. the fair value of 4 month futures contract
will be
F = se
F = 60000 x e
F = 60000 x 1.0407
F = Rs. 62,442
Regulatory Framework
Contracts (regulation) Act, 1952 came into force. The findings of the
Committee are therefore no more relevant.
Latest Developments
Commodity markets have existed in India for long time. While the
implementations of the Kabra Committee recommendations were rather
slow, today, the commodity derivative market in India seems poised for a
transformation. National level Commodity Derivatives Exchanges seem to
be the phenomenon. The Forward Markets Commission accorded in
principle approval for the following national level commodity exchanges.
Profile
Agro Products
Metals
Electrolytic Copper Cathode
Aluminium Ingot
Nickel Cathode
Zinc Ingot
Mild Steel Ingots
Sponge Iron
Precious Metals
Gold
Silver
NCDEX Energy
Brent Crude Oil
Furnace Oil
Promoters
Governance
The governance of NCDEX vests with the Board of Directors. The Board
comprises 13 Directors who are persons of eminence, each an authority in
his/her own right in the areas very relevant to the Exchange. They are all
well known, highly experienced and independent. Promoters do not
participate in the day to day activities of the exchange. The directors are
Apart from the executive committee the board has constitute committee like
Membership Committee, Audit Committee, Risk Committee, Nomination
Committee, Compensation Committee and Business Strategy Committee
which help the board in policy formulation.
Exchange Membership
operations. The members of NCDEX fall into two categories, trading cum
Clearing Members (TCM) & Professional Clearing Members (PCM).
NCDEX invites applications for TCM from persons who fulfill the specified
eligibility criteria for trading in commodities. The TCM membership entitles
the members to trade and clear, both for themselves and/ or on behalf of
their clients. Applicants accepted for admission as TCM are required to pay
the required fees/ deposits and also maintain net worth as given in the table
below:
NCDEX offers trading facilities through its trading and clearing members
located across over 250 centres in the country. Presently there are around
425 members (additional 100 members are in pipeline) spread across the
country with trading taking place on over 4800 terminals. Most of their
members and their terminals are located even in smaller towns such as
Abohar, Fazilka in Punjab, Bhadurgarh, Sirsa, Fatehabad in Haryana,
Moradabad, Shyamli, Banda in Uttar Pradesh, Tonk, Newai, Churu,
Pilibenga in Rajasthan, Morena,Mandsaur, Pali in Madhya Pradesh, Gaya in
Bihar, Davengere in Karnataka, Guntur, Tenali in Andhra Pradesh, Thrissur
in Kerala, Rudrapur, Haldwani in Uttaranchal, Dahod in Gujarat, Akola,
Sangli in Maharashtra and many more similar places. This dispersal of
points of trading terminals helps people from all over the country access the
Exchange for hedging their price risks.
Price Dissemination
The spot prices that are collected by the Exchange are being
disseminated through its website, trader work station, news agencies such as
Doordarshan, Reuters, Telerate, Telequotes, Bloomberg, newspapers etc.
NCDEX has also tied up with ITC Ltd. (a leading corporate) which has in
place its rural electronic kiosks for purveying information through a system
called 'e-chaupals', which translated in English refers to ‘a meeting place for
people in villages'.
spot and futures prices traded on the Exchange. NCDEX is now in the
process of disseminating both spot and futures prices on these terminals so
that farmers can come and view them and take appropriate decisions based
on their own perceptions.
NCDEX has also tied up with the Government of India's national level call
centre initiative titled 'Kisan Call Centres' that provides on-line guidance and
handholding to farmers in the country. Under this initiative, calls made by
dialing '1551' from any place within the country lands on to a local call
centre in the state capital from where the call originated. The call is replied
to by a call operator in the local state language. The call operator, assisted by
agricultural scientists, replies to all queries relating to agriculture and
problems faced by the caller-farmers.
Farmer Pilots
NCDEX has also spearheaded pilot projects in the states of Gujarat
and Andhra Pradesh whereby farmers will be enabled to sell forward their
produce of cotton immediately after sowing/prior to harvesting through an
aggregator who/which will be selected for this purpose. The idea is that the
farmers should be able to hedge their price risk on the NCDEX's trading
platform at any point of time prior to harvesting whenever they wish so that
they are assured of a fixed price when the crop is harvested. Many such
similar pilots are also being planned for other crops in different states.
Today, a farmer who harvests his crop has to sell it in the spot market at the
prevailing price as he needs money and cannot sell forward even though he
knows that the prices would improve in future which is the typical post-
harvest tendency. Banks are not willing to lend against commodities held in
warehouses (except warehouses in the state sector) as they are not certain of
the quantity, quality, grades and longevity of the crop stored even if it is kept
in a warehouse due to the credibility factor. Now, this problem would be
overcome on account of NCDEX's initiative in setting up this collateral
management company, whose main objective would be to facilitate banks
moving away from a balance sheet lending perspective to a commodity
based lending perspective.
Risk management
Differentiation factor
decisions at the right time while trading on the Exchange. The Exchange
regularly brings out product brochures, which explain the products and
contracts specifications of the commodities traded on the Exchange. These
brochures are also in the process of being translated and printed in Hindi,
Guajarati, Marathi, etc. Research reports on the economy, bullion and other
commodities are also brought out in an effort to disseminate information.
These brochures are also available on the Exchange's website.
Website
The Exchange's website www.ncdex.com contains a reservoir of
information on the processes and operations of the Exchange as well as the
Rules, Regulations and Bye-laws under which the Exchange is governed.
The website disseminates near real-time spot and future prices through a
ticker. It is updated regularly so that a visitor to the site is kept abreast of the
latest developments in the field of commodities. NCDEX firmly believes
that it would achieve its chief objective when the Indian farmer would be in
a position to choose his cropping pattern based on the futures prices
disseminated by the Exchange, rather than the practice of sowing a particular
crop based on current prices. The challenge is to first reach him and
convince him of the utility of adopting the futures prices to determine the
sowing pattern of crops. The Exchange does realize that with every passing
day it is moving a step closer to achieving this objective. Easing of certain
operational and legal hurdles would further hasten this process.
Future plans
Gold – rare, beautiful and unique. Treasured as a store of value for 1000’s of
years, it is an important and secure asset. Paper currencies may come and go
but gold endures. It has maintained its long term value, is not directly
affected by the economic policies of the individual countries and does not
depend on a ‘promise to pay’
The reason for holding diverse investments is to protect the portfolio against
fluctuations in the value of any single asset class.
Portfolios that contain gold are generally more robust and better able to cope
with market uncertainties than those that don't.
The chart below shows the (lack of) correlation between returns on gold and
those of a number of the world's leading stock market indices:
Analysis of the long run shows that returns on gold have moved
independently of returns on other assets for a long time and are likely to
remain uncorrelated because the factors that drive the gold price are quite
different from those that drive most other assets.
Gold is also significantly less volatile than many equity indices and most
commodities. In this respect it tends to behave more like a currency. Simply
by reducing portfolio volatility, enhanced returns can be expected as
demonstrated in the table below:
portfolio 1 portfolio 2
(low volatility) (high volatility)
annual annual
return return
% value % value
initial value 10,000 10,000
9 10,900 -5 9,500
year end 1
year end 2 1 12,099 25 11,875
year end 3 9 13,188 5 11,281
year end 4 11 14,629 25 14,102
year end 5 9 15,956 -5 13,396
year end 6 11 17,711 25 16,746
arithmetic av. return 10% 10%
std. deviation 1.10% 16.43%
compund return 9.996% 8.972%
Including assets with low volatility in a portfolio will also help to reduce
overall risk. Volatility, or risk, is measured here as the extent to which asset
prices fluctuate during a given period.
The chart below compares the volatility of gold with that of oil and stocks
between 2002 and February 2006. The price volatility of gold is generally
similar to that of a blue-chip stock market index like the S&P 500. Increases
in volatility are generally associated with gold price rallies.
Gold can be used to manage a range of other risks that concern investors,
including exposure to dollar fluctuations and unanticipated inflation. This
versatility, and its longstanding history as a safe haven asset, attracts
investors around the world.
Data on the supply and demand for gold are compiled by GFMS
Ltd. The company provides a number of tables exclusively for the
World Gold Council. The following table shows a summary of
gold demand
Crude Oil
OPEC is the largest producer of crude in the world. They control the
supply of crude by altering the output which is at present 24 million barrels
per day. Except Saudi Arabia all other members of OPEC are working at full
capacity. So there is not much scope for increase in supply. There is also a
question of how long the supply will last before the wells go dry.
On the demand side U.S is the biggest consumer of oil. The emerging
economies such as China and India have also emerged as leading consumers
of crude.
• Inventories
crude. Whenever the crude prices move to an economic level, the country
dips into its reserves to meet the domestic demand and replenishes the same
when the prices move down. India does not have such huge storage
arrangements and hence depends completely on its imports. Crude being the
highest value elements in our imports is a big factor affecting our Balance of
Payments (BOP).
• Refining
Case Study
During this period, Hamanaka rose to fame through his clever market
dealings. He had earned a nick name “Mr. 5%”, reflective of the share of the
world copper market that he supposedly controlled on behalf of his
company, Sumitomo Corporation. He also had another nick name “Mr.
Hammer” to portray his ability to hammer the copper market. Obviously, the
corporation was very proud of his employee and his stature in the copper
market. Like our Harshad Mehta, in his hey days, Mr. Hamanaka also
featured in the cover page of various magazines and annual reports of the
company only to fall into disgrace soon.
His trading success in copper market earned him a visit to London Metals
Exchange (LME) in late 1970’s to learn the metals trading through
exchanges. After learning the trading aspects of these metals he returned to
Japan, again to continue with his copper trading. By 1984, the copper
division of the company was headed by Mr. Shimizu Sarbro. R Hamanaka
joined the copper trading team headed by Shimizu. The team, by then, was
making unauthorized speculative futures contracts in copper. Unfortunately,
many of the deals were not successful and incurred losses. Naturally the
dealers were finding ways to hide their trading losses. To conceal the losses
and to protect their jobs, the duo entered into off-the-book deals.
In 1987, Mr. Shimizu Saburo quit and Hamanaka took full control over
copper trading section. By then the losses had climbed to about US$58mn.
The losses continued to grow further because he used to trade beyond limits
and also carrying huge positions on (LME), despite of the warnings from the
exchange due to his over trading. Simultaneously he started opening up fresh
windows for raising funds and for trading. Thu8s he started dealings with
Merrill Lynch, who advanced him US$150mn. This fund was not enough to
carry on his trade and hide his losses from huge positions. He had to find out
fresh avenues and methods to raise additional funds.
Unauthorized Funding
Mean while during early 1990s, copper prices started sliding down in the
global market. As he was maintaining large long position in copper, his
losses continued to mount with the plunge in copper prices. He needed
additional funds to carry on his trade and to hide existing losses. He
therefore approached a Dutch bank viz. ING Bank and raised upto
US$100mn on the strength of forged signatures of his senior managers.
Simultaneously he started writing unauthorized put options to Morgan
Guaranty Trust, possibly in the hope of earning premium. But the sale of put
options in falling market conditions, without proper assessment of risk and
premium, had resulted into additional loss of $ 393mn. Also in 1994
Hamanaka entered into further unauthorized sale of puts and calls via
Morgan to raise US$150n and this deal lost him US$253mn.
To cover these losses, he managed to obtain funds from his Hong Kong
branch. Further he had put through unauthorized deals and earned premium.
For hiding his trading losses, Hamanaka established several highly unusual
accounts, called B account, at a number of broking houses.
The Loss
Conclusion
Bibliography
Books referred to
• ‘Options, Futures and Other Derivatives’ – John Hull
• ‘Introduction to Futures and Options Markets’ – John Kolb
• ‘Hot Commodities’ – Jim Rogers
• ‘Commodity Futures and Options’ – George Kleinman
Newspapers
• Economic Times
• Business Standard
Websites
• www.ncdex.com
• www.gold.org
• www.nseindia.com
• www.bloomberg.com
• www.financialsense.com
• www.reuters.com