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Objectives
After completing this case students will understand:
1. Asset allocation design
2. Design of overlay portfolios, also known as alpha transport or portable alpha
strategies, to separate search from alpha from risk exposure.
3. The role of hedge funds in investors portfolios
4. Portfolio undiversification
5. The benefits of specialization versus the benefits of portfolio diversification.
6. The use of geometric mean returns and arithmetic means returns as forecasts of
expected returns al long horizons.
Case Synopsis
This case examines the asset allocation decisions that the William and Flora Hewlett
Foundation (HP) is considering in early 2005. After careful analysis of the financial
challenges and investment opportunities the foundation is currently facing, the chief
investment officer and his team are about to make three asset allocations proposals to the
foundation committee which, if approved will substantially change the foundations
investment portfolio.
First Proposal
Adopt a new allocation policy to reduce considerably the foundations portfolio of
domestic equities and instead increase the allocation to absolute return (or hedge
fund) strategies and US TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities). This
recommendation is based on a detailed asset allocation study that includes a revaluation of HFs long-term projections of capital market conditions.
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Second Proposal.
Implement
a return overlay program for the absolute return portfolio. This recommendation
is based on a study of the historical performance and risk exposure of the
Third Proposal.
To
commit up to 5% of assets to a global distressed real state investment fund with
which the foundation has invested in the past. This represents an unusually large
commitment to single investment manager for a non-profit institutional investor.
Team Meetings
Meeting of March 18 2014: Issues to be discussed by the teams
1. What are HFs objectives as a foundation (Exhibits 1a and Exhibit 2)? What is the
role of HFs Laurie Hoagland and his investment team?
2. How HFs philanthropic objectives translate into specific objectives for the
endowment (Exhibit 3a)?
3. What investment policy could HF adopt to achieve simultaneously its two
objectives of maintaining its asset based in real terms and avoid fluctuations in
spending (Exhibits 3a and 4?
4. Is the volatility of the proposed portfolio too high or too low? What alternatives
can you offer?
5. Should HF adopt highly levered mean-variance portfolios instead of the proposed
portfolio?
6. Review of HFs capital market assumptions. Does HF think that returns are
predictable?
7. Given HFs views on capital markets, is 5% real spending rate compatible with
the proposed investment policy?
8. If you were a member of HFs investment committee would you approve the
proposal to double the allocation to absolute return strategies (hedge funds) from
10% of assets (or about $600 million) to 20% of assets (or about $1.2 billion
(Exhibits 6, 8a, 8b, 9a and 9c)?
9. What additional questions would you ask Laurie Hoagland before approving (or
rejecting) the absolute return strategy?
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2.
What is the impact on the expected return on the absolute portfolio of the
proposed overlay portfolio, which involves exposure not only to domestic equities
but also to bonds and inflation indexed-bonds? What are the risks?
3. How can HF implement the return overlay program (bondize and equitize its
absolute return portfolio)? Should HF bondize and equitize the absolute return
portfolio?
4. What are the advantages and disadvantages of investing in Sirius V, the global
distressed investment fund (Exhibits 10, 11, 12a and 12b)?
Should HF pledge
up to 5% of the endowment to Sirius V?