Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Marzo 26 de 2012
Introduction
A simulation of a fast-food restaurant could take many
forms. At the simplest level the model might include
only the queues and service desks.
could be expanded to include the tables and seating
area, the kitchen, the supply of raw materials, the drive
thru, the car park and so on.
There is also a need to consider the level of detail at
which each component is to be modelled.
The purpose of this and the next chapter is to describe
the requirements for conceptual modelling and to
describe how a simulation modeller might go about
designing the conceptual model.
The
The
The
The
The
data requirements.
speed with which the model can be developed.
validity of the model.
speed of experimentation.
confidence that is placed in the model results.
Could be argued that the power and memory of modern hardware and
the potential for distributed software has increased the need for
conceptual modelling.
Salt (1993) and Chwif et al. (2000) bemoan the increasing complexity of
simulation models and the problems associated with them.
People build more complex models because the hardware and software
enables them to.
Law and McComas, 2001 - How to build valid and credible simulation models.
Proceedings of the 2001 Winter Simulation Conference (Peters, B.A., Smith, J.S.,
Medeiros, D.J. And Rohrer, M.W., eds). Piscataway, NJ: IEEE. pp. 2229.
The main reason for this lack of attention is no doubt that conceptual
modelling is more of an art than a science and therefore it is
difficult to define methods and procedures.
What is a Conceptual
Model?
Zeigler (1976) sheds some light on the
definition of a conceptual model by
distinguishing between four terms:
The real system is that which the simulation
model is to represent.
The experimental frame is the limited set
of circumstances under which the real
system has been observed
The base model is capable of accounting for
the complete behaviour of the real system
The lumped model the components of the
system are lumped together and the
interconnections are simplified.
Conceptual Model
Definition
The conceptual model is a nonsoftware specific description of
the simulation model that is to be
developed, describing the
objectives, inputs, outputs,
content, assumptions and
simplifications of the model.
Assumptions
are
ways
of
incorporating
uncertainties
and
beliefs about the real world into the
model.
Simplifications are ways of reducing
the complexity of the model.
Requirements of the
Conceptual Model
Willemain (1994) lists five qualities of an
effective model: validity, usability, value to
client, feasibility and aptness for clients
problem.
Brooks and Tobias (1996) identify 11
performance criteria for a good model.
Validity
A perception, on behalf of the modeller,
that the conceptual model will lead to a
computer model that is sufficiently
accurate for the purpose at hand.
Underlying this notion is the question of
whether the model is right.
The subject of validity is discussed in
more detail in Chapter 12.
Credibility
A perception, on behalf of the clients,
that the conceptual model will lead to
a computer model that is sufficiently
accurate for the purpose at hand.
Is taken from the perspective of the
clients rather than the modeller.
Utility
A perception, on behalf of the modeller and the
clients, that the conceptual model will lead to a
computer model that is useful as an aid to
decision-making within the specified context.
moves away from simply asking if the model is
sufficiently accurate, to whether it is useful.
Feasibility
A perception, on behalf of the modeller and the clients,
that the conceptual model can be developed into a
computer model.
Various factors may make a model infeasible.
It might not be possible to build the proposed model
within the required time-scale.
Data requirements of the model may be too onerous, or
there is insufficient knowledge of the real system to
develop the proposed model.
Communicating the
Conceptual Model
Background to the problem situation (Section 6.2.1).
Objectives of the simulation study (Section 6.2.2).
Expected benefits (Section 1.3.2).
The conceptual model: inputs, outputs, content (scope
and level of detail), assumptions and simplifications
(Chapter 6).
Experimentation: scenarios to be considered (Chapter
10).
Data requirements: data required, when
responsibility for collection (Section 7.2).
Time-scale and milestones (Section 4.3).
Estimated cost (Section 4.6).
required,
Component list
Process flow diagram
Logic flow diagram
Activity cycle diagram
Component list