Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
UNI - Lima
Febrero 2012
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Fuente: PREDES
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CONTENIDO DE LA PRESENTACIN
1. Objetivos
2. Informasion Bsica del rea de estudio
3. Metodologias para alcanzar los objetivos
4. Anlisis y Resultados
5. Recomendaciones para futuros trabajos
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Definicin de riesgo:
Riesgo = funcin (Peligro x Expocisin x Vulnerabilidad)
El Riesgo es la probabilidad de una
prdida, y esto depende de tres
elementos: peligro, vulnerabilidad y
exposicin. Si cualquiera de estos tres
elementos en el riesgo aumenta o
disminuye, entonces el riesgo aumenta
o disminuye respectivamente.[2]
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Desastre
Una seria interrupcin en el funcionamiento de una comunidad o sociedad
que ocasiona una gran cantidad de muertes al igual que prdidas e impactos
materiales, econmicos y ambientales que exceden la capacidad de la
comunidad o la sociedad afectada para hacer frente a la situacin mediante
el uso de sus propios recursos.
Comentario: Con frecuencia, se describe a un desastre como el resultado de
la combinacin de la exposicin a una amenaza, las condiciones de
vulnerabilidad presentes, y capacidades o medidas insuficientes para
reducir o hacer frente a las posibles consecuencias negativas. El impacto de
los puede incluir muertes, lesiones, enfermedades y otros efectos negativos
en el bienestar fsico, mental y social humano, conjuntamente con daos a la
propiedad, la destruccin de bienes, la prdida de servicios, trastornos
sociales y econmicos y la degradacin ambiental.
Fuente: United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR,) 2009
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1. Objetivos
Objetivo Principal:
El objetivo principal de este estudio es realizar un anlisis de llanura de
inundacin y evaluacin de riesgos de un tramo de ro usando el modelo
dimensional hidrulico HEC-RAS, ArcGIS y HEC-GeoRAS que es una interface
entre el HEC-RAS y ArcGIS.
Objetivos Especficos:
Evaluar la frecuencia de las inundaciones para la evaluacin cuantitativa de los
problemas de inundacin en la zona.
Anlisis de la llanura de inundacin mediante el uso de una modelo
unidimensional de flujo constante.
Preparar mapas riesgo, vulnerabilidad por efecto de inundaciones .
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COLOMBIA
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VILCANOTA RIVER
CALCA
VILCANOTA RIVER
PISAC
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CALCA
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PISAC
CALCA
LIMA
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2. Informacin Bsica
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LIMA
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Land Use
El uso de la tierra se ha modificado con el
objetivo de mejorar la representatividad de
la zona de estudio.
El proceso seguido se incluyen ms
atributos para el archivo shape, como el
rea urbana y el cauce del ro Vilcanota.
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TIN
La Red Irregular
de Triangulacin (TIN) fue
modificada con el objetivo de mejorar la resolucin
de la llanura de inundacin del rea de estudio con
la incorporacin del canal con una determinada
profundidad.
La modificacin fue realizada en el Modelo de
elevacin digital (DEM), primero se elimin el canal
plano, y despus se aadi un canal con una
profundidad definida.
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3. Metodologa
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P max (mm)
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1
10
100
LogPerson III
LogNormal
Normal
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POS.PLOTEO
Anlisis de amenazas
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Enfoque
anlisis y evluacin de
riesgo de inundaciones a
traves de un modelo
unidimensional usando los
softwares HEC-RAS, GIS and
HEC-GeoRAS
HEC-GeoRAS
ArcGIS
Pre-Procesamiento
HEC-RAS
Aplicacin
HEC-RAS
HEC-GeoRAS
PostProcesamiento
And Velocity
Evaluacin de riesgo
Fuente: Manual HEC-GeoRAS: USACE, 2008.
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ArcGIS
Pre-Procesamiento
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Post-Procesamiento
Velocity Grid
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Flood Velocity
Static or Dynamic
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Flood Velocity
Static or Dynamic
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Flood Velocity
Static or Dynamic
Static or Dynamic
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Tr
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Type
Km 2
ha
Barren land
205
20513
87
Crop Land
25
2533
11
River
413
Urban area
151
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5. Recomendaciones
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