Statistics 350

Midterm2, Wednesday 10/31

Time: 1 hour
Name (please print):_____________________________ DIV:_______________
Show all your work and calculations except for the multiple choice and short answering. Partial
credit will be given for work that is partially correct. Points will be deducted for false statements shown
in the solution to a problem, even if the final answer is correct.
Keep 3 decimal place during computation and 2 for the final result. Final results should be circled.
Unless specify, the default significant level () is always 0.05.
This exam is closed-book. You may not consult any notes or books during this exam. One formula page,
and tables for several distributions are allowed. Non-graphical calculator is permitted.
Please sign below to indicate your agreement with the following honour code.
Honour code: I promise not to cheat on this exam. I will neither give nor receive any unauthorized
assistance. I promise not to share information about this exam with anyone who may be taking it at a
different time. I have not been told anything about the exam by someone who has already taken it.
Signature:

.
Question
1

Possible
10

14

12

14

Total

50

Date:

Actual

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1. (10pts, 2pts each) Multiple choice and short calculation problem

1) In a two-sample C.I. calculation, if the only change is to use the n1+n2-2 instead of the true degree of
freedom, the resulting confidence interval will be

A) Larger

B) Smaller

C) Unchanged

)
2). Which of the following understanding of a 95% confidence interval, [2.5,

is NOT correct?

A) It is a one-sided confidence interval

B) An

0.05

is used.

p
C) This cannot be a 95% confidence interval based on a sample proportion

to estimate the

p
population proportion,

D) This means that at a probability of 95%, the corresponding population parameter is within

)
[2.5,
E) None of the above
3). When sample size n is small, we should use the t-method. But if we mistakenly use the z-method,
judge the following statements.

z t
a) The reject region is smaller since
A) True

B) False

b) The p-value is smaller since Z distribution has a smaller tail area

A) True

B) False

c) The chance of making Type I and Type II error are both bigger, because the wrong method is
used.
A) True

B) False

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2. (14pt) Fill in the blanks. No partial credit, only the answer on blanks will be graded.
1).(6pt) The manufacturer admits that St.Johns Wort Capsules have 2% probability of being defective.
Randomly select a sample of 50, Find the probability of sample proportion of defective capsules is within
0.01 of the probability that the manufacture admits (2%) ___________________________?

A pilot study is conducted to evaluate the manufacturers claim, where a sample of 500 capsules is
randomly select, and 15 are found to be defective.
Find the 95% confidence interval for the true proportion, p, _____________________________.

Suppose we want to extend the pilot study to estimate p to within 0.01 with 99% confidence, how many
capsules should be checked?________________________________?

2) (2pt) Determine the t critical value that will capture the desired t curve area in each of the following
cases:
a). Central area = 0.95, df = 10 __________________
b). Lower-tail area =0.025, df=5__________________

3).(6pt) Find or estimate the p-value for the following tests:

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a) Ha:
b) Ha:
c) Ha:

0 ts 2.12 n 11
,

__________________________________

1 2 0 t s 2.5 df 32.2
,

15 ts 2 df 20
,

____________________________
___________________________________

3.(12 pt) The n=26 observations on escape time of workers in a study give a sample mean and sample
standard deviation of 370.69 and 24.36, respectively.
a) (4pt) Calculate and interpret a 95% upper confidence bound for population mean escape time.

b) (4pt) Calculate and interpret a 95% upper prediction bound for the escape time of a single
additional worker using a prediction level of 95%.

c) (4pt) List all assumptions for the methods you have used in a) and b).

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4. (14 pt) How does an athletes energy intake compare to his energy expenditure? One aspect of this
issue was considered in an experiment, which contained the accompanying data (MJ/day):
Player
Expenditure:
Intake:
Difference

1
14.4
14.6
-0.2

2
12.1
9.2
2.9

3
14.3
11.8
2.5

4
14.2
11.6
2.6

5
15.2
12.7
2.5

6
15.5
15
0.5

7 mean
sd
17.8
14.786
1.718
16.3
13.029
2.428
1.5
1.757
1.197

a) (10pt) Test to see whether there is a significant difference between intake and expenditure. Does
the conclusion depend on whether a significant level of 0.05 or 0.01 is used?

b) (4pt) List all assumptions for the method you used in a).

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