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Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Industry Overview
Company Considerations
Trade Idea
Appendix
Executive Summary
This project considers why Accenture (NYSE:ACN) is a valuable global brand from an investors point of view
ACN is a global provider of consulting, technology and outsourcing services with operations in the Americas (47%),
EMEA (40%) and APAC (13%)
ACN has experienced positive revenue growth in past years and is forecasted to continue this trend annually, due to
the following business initiatives:
Outsourcing business witnessing higher growth in contrast to declines in its consulting arm
SMAC stack (social media, big data analytics, cloud)
ACN has shown it is still very profitable even under adverse economic conditions/within a very competitive
environment:
Strong US dollar, reducing ACN revenue (high translation risk for their international business).
Trouble in Europe, reducing demand for their consulting businesses
Based on our forecasts for (FY2015-19), applying discounted cash flow and comparable trading multiples
analyses of ACNs closest competitors (IBM, Cognizant, HP, Infosys) we conclude the following:
ACNs $60 billion market valuation price tag is supported by its breadth of experience across industry
segments and diversified geographic footprint
Based on assumed 9.7% WACC and 3% terminal growth, our intrinsic value for ACN shares is $76.1 as
compared to the $89.9 stock market price as at 12 January 2015
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Macroeconomic story
4
2
0
1Q07 4Q07 3Q08 2Q09 1Q10 4Q10
1Q13
-4
EU GDP growth (%)
12
10
-2
0
-2
-4
-4
-6
-8
2Q12
-2
-6
3Q11
-6
US GDP growth (%)
-8
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1Q07 4Q07 3Q08 2Q09 1Q10 4Q10 3Q11 2Q12 1Q13
Change in EU consumer
confidence
Change in EU
consumer
confidence
-10
-20
-30
-40
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Jan-12
Jan-13
Competitive Landscape
Whilst consulting companies such as Bain and Mckinsey are competitors, Accentures
closet peers utilise similar technologies in their service to assist clients/businesses.
Financial services
IBM
Cognizant
TCS
Infosys
Products
IBM
Infosys
HCL Tech
Resources
Capgemini
Atos
IBM
TCS
Wipro
Infosys
COMPANY
CONSIDERATIONS
macroeconomic conditions
business confidence
economic and geopolitical uncertainty
lower levels of spending
Digital
Accenture
Growth Platforms
Technology
Operations
Financial services
Banking (51%)
Capital markets (17%)
Insurance (32%)
Products
Airfreight/travel
services
Automotive
Consumer goods/
services
Industrial equipment
Infrastructure and
transportation services
Life sciences
Retail
Resources
Chemicals energy
(33%)
Natural resources
utilities (32%)
Strategy
Digital
Engage customers
Marketing
Accenture
Growth Platforms
Analytics
Mobility
Technology
Operations
SAP
Oracle
Microsoft
Infrastructure outsourcing
Consulting
Cloud
SMAC
stack-:Social
media, Mobility,
Big data analysts,
Cloud
How
Accenture
uses tech to
help clients?
Help companies
achieve
strategic
objectives
Implement tech:
Microsoft,
Oracle, SAP
ACN customer
insight solution:
help business focus
their marketing
strategy
Manage
companys tech
platforms
10,000
8,000
32,000
31,000
30,002
6,000
Financial services
30,000
29,000
Products
2,000
28,000
Resources
27,000
28,563
4,000
2013
2014
2015
32000
4.9
31000
Revenue (m$)
6
4.6
30000
29000
2.1
2014
2015
4.45
4.35
14.5
14
4.4
1
2013
28000
27000
EBIT (bn$)
Margin (%)
14
13.5
13
13
4.3
4.25
13
2013
2014
2015
12.5
Financial Forecasts
13
13
13
13
13
13
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
0
2013
EBIT (bn$)
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
4.6
4.7
4.7
4.7
4.8
6
5
4
3
2.1
2
1
0
2013
2014
2015
Revenue (m$)
2016
2017
2018
2019
Margin (%)
4.5
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
2013
2014
2015
2016
14.2
14
13.8
13.6
13.4
13.2
13
12.8
12.6
12.4
2017
2018
2019
14.2
14
13.8
13.6
13.4
13.2
13
12.8
12.6
12.4
10,000
9,000
8,000
28,563
30,002
31,396
32,863
34,407
36,035
37,749
35,000
30,000
7,000
25,000
6,000
5,000
20,000
4,000
15,000
3,000
10,000
2,000
5,000
1,000
0
40,000
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
The company overall has good liquidity metrics over the forecast period
Receivables Days
50
45
18
40
16
35
14
30
12
25
10
20
15
10
0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Payables Days
20
2018
2019
0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
IBM
HP
Cognizant
Infosys
135
125
115
105
95
85
20-Dec-13
20-Jan-14
20-Feb-14 20-Mar-14
20-Apr-14 20-May-14
20-Jun-14
20-Jul-14
20-Aug-14
20-Sep-14
20-Oct-14
20-Nov-14
Acquisition History
Accenture have acquired five IT consulting services companies over the past 12 months
Target
Description
ClientHouse GmbH
Evopro
PureApps Ltd
Enkitec LP
TRADE IDEA
WACC=9.7%
Terminal growth rate= 3.0%
Tax rate= 26%
Resources:
expecting an increase in CAGR, IT outsourcing is increasing, pressure for financial institutions to automate services
decrease in CAGR. IT spending in this industry, only expected to increase from $332bn to $369bn (2013 to 2017).
Financial services:
expect an increase in CAGR growth through to 2019. ACN have using the SMAC stack ($200bn market). RBC expects it to
grow with a CAGR of 15% through to 2017.
major CAGR increase promoted by RBC for 2015 by 10.5%. Healthcare institutions are moving into IT outsourcing, CAGR will
lower eventually after initial peak.
Products:
uncertainty in the global economy caused revenue pressures/rising costs (triggered more outsourcing) resulting in a slight
increase in CAGR.
EBIT
margin (%)
Tax @ 26.1%
Capital Expenditure
Capex/Sales (%)
Discount Factor
Terminal Value
Present Value
Enterprise Value
Net Debt as at (August 2014)
Market Capitalisation ($bn)
No. Shares (m)
Share Price ($)
31-Aug-14
32
31-Aug-15
33
4.6%
31-Aug-16
35
4.7%
31-Aug-17
37
4.7%
31-Aug-18
38
4.7%
4
13.5%
4
13.2%
5
13.2%
5
13.2%
5
13.2%
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.4
0.4
(1.1)
0.3
-1.0%
(1.1)
0.3
-1.0%
(1.2)
0.3
-1.0%
(1.3)
0.4
-1.0%
(1.3)
0.4
-1.0%
0.0
0.0%
(2.9)
8.7%
(0.1)
0.2%
(0.1)
0.2%
(0.1)
0.2%
0.91
0.83
0.76
0.69
48
-4.897174
53
0.692
76.1
0.6
2.8
2.6
31-Aug-19
40
4.8%
5
13.2%
0.4
(1.4)
0.4
-1.0%
(0.1)
0.2%
0.63
2.5
2.4
Terminal Period
4
0.63
59
37
Accenture
IBM
Cognizant
Infosys
HP
57,379
151,280
31,189
35,056
72,569
26.7
39,718.0
0.0
0.0
19,525.0
4,921.3
10,716.0
2,213.0
0.0
15,133.0
-4,894.6
29,002.0
-2,213.0
0.0
4,392.0
52,485
180,282
28,976
35,056
76,961
Sales ($m)
31,875
99,751
8,843
8,249
111,454
EBIT ($m)
4,301
19,524
1,678
1,979
7,185
620.7
3,327.0
179.9
226.0
4,334.0
EBITDA
4,921.3
22,851.0
1,857.8
2,205.0
11,519.0
EPS
4.3
15.9
2.3
1.7
2.6
89.7
157.6
53.5
32.6
39.8
Average
Median
EV/Sales
1.65x
1.81x
3.28x
4.25x
0.69x
2.33x
1.81x
EV/EBITDA
10.66x
7.89x
15.60x
15.90x
6.68x
11.35x
10.66x
P/E
21.12x
9.89x
23.34x
19.15x
15.20x
17.74x
19.15x
Valuation Summary
EV/EBITDA - Transaction
115
EV/Sales - Transaction
115
60
DCF
EV/EBITDA - Trading
20
105
EV/Sales - Trading
20
33
124
95
EV/EBIT - Trading
50
124
65
100
150
200
250
300
APPENDIX
Income Statement
Accenture
Hist.
Hist.
Hist
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
31-Aug-12
31-Aug-13
31-Aug-14
31-Aug-15
31-Aug-16
31-Aug-17
31-Aug-18
31-Aug-19
Net Sales
29.8
30.4
31.9
33.3
34.9
36.5
38.3
40.1
COGS
20.8
21.0
22.2
23.3
24.4
25.5
26.7
28.0
SG&A
5.116
5.045
5.384
5.7
5.9
6.2
6.5
6.8
EBIT
3.872
4.339
4.301
4.4
4.6
4.8
5.1
5.3
0.6
0.593
0.621
0.6
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5.0
5.0
5.2
5.4
5.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Income Statement
EBITDA
4.5
4.9
4.9
Non-recurring items
Interest Income
0.043
0.033
0.030
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
Interest Expense
0.015
0.014
0.018
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.9
4.4
4.3
4.5
4.7
4.9
5.2
5.5
Taxes
1.079
0.785
1.122
1.2
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.4
2.820
3.573
3.192
3.3
3.5
3.7
3.8
4.1
Net income
2.820
3.573
3.192
3.3
3.5
3.7
3.8
4.1
Balance Sheet
Accenture
Balance Sheet
Assets
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents
Accounts receivable
Prepaid expenses / Unbilled
Other current assets
Deferred income taxes
Total current assets
Non-current assets
Net PP&E
Goodwill
Deferred Income taxes and contracts
Other assets
Total assets
Liabilities
Current liabilities
Short term debt
Accounts payable and accruals
Accrued expenses
Deferred Revenues
Other liabilities
Total current liabilities
Non-current liabilities
Total long-term debt
Deferred Revenues
Retirement Obligation
Income taxes payables
Other long-term liabilities
Total liabilities
Equity
Common stock
Retained earnings
Treasury stock
Total equity
Total Liab.& Equity
Balance?
Hist.
31-Aug-12
Hist.
31-Aug-13
Hist.
31-Aug-14
Proj.
31-Aug-15
Proj.
31-Aug-16
Proj.
31-Aug-17
Proj.
31-Aug-18
Proj.
31-Aug-19
5.634
3.333
1.513
0.568
0.795
4.924
3.860
1.804
0.585
0.732
5.8
3.3
1.9
0.7
0.7
9.2
3.5
1.9
0.7
0.7
12.8
3.7
2.0
0.7
0.7
16.5
3.8
2.1
0.8
0.8
20.4
4.0
2.2
0.8
0.8
0.000
11.844
11.904
12.363
16.084
19.949
24.007
28.286
0.780
1.819
0.793
2.396
0.5
2.4
0.4
2.4
0.5
2.4
0.5
2.4
0.5
2.4
1.573
0.851
1.782
1.055
1.8
1.0
18.035
1.8
1.0
21.758
1.8
1.1
25.679
1.8
1.1
29.808
1.8
1.2
34.164
0.000
16.867
17.930
0.000
0.962
3.460
2.231
1.508
0.000
1.064
3.381
2.348
1.365
0.0
0.7
0.1
2.7
1.3
4.8
0.0
0.7
0.1
2.8
1.4
5.0
0.0
0.8
0.1
2.9
1.5
5.3
0.0
0.8
0.1
3.1
1.5
5.5
0.0
0.8
0.1
3.2
1.6
5.8
0.026
0.517
0.873
1.224
0.638
0.026
0.545
1.108
1.303
0.505
0.0
0.5
1.1
1.3
0.7
8.4
0.0
0.5
1.1
1.3
0.7
8.7
0.0
0.5
1.1
1.3
0.7
9.0
0.0
0.5
1.1
1.3
0.8
9.2
0.0
0.5
1.1
1.3
0.8
9.5
0.000
8.161
8.158
0.000
11.439
11.645
0.0
3.3
9.5
(7.3)
4.3
11.4
(9.4)
6.3
17.9
4.3
14.7
(9.4)
9.6
18.0
4.3
18.2
(9.4)
13.0
21.7
4.3
21.9
(9.4)
16.7
25.7
4.3
25.7
(9.4)
20.5
29.8
4.3
29.8
(9.4)
24.6
34.1
OK
(0.0)
(0.0)
(0.0)
(0.0)
(0.0)
(0.0)
(0.0)
0.0
0.0
5.4
16.9
Cashflow Statement
Accenture
Cash Flow Statement
Proj.
31-Aug-15
Proj.
31-Aug-16
Proj.
31-Aug-17
Proj.
31-Aug-18
Proj.
31-Aug-19
Net Income
Depreciation
Amortisation
Change in OWC
Change in other assets
Change in other liabilities
Cash from Operating Activities
3.3
0.6
0.0
(2.9)
0.1
0.2
1.2
3.5
0.4
0.0
(0.1)
(0.0)
0.0
3.8
3.7
0.4
0.0
(0.1)
(0.0)
0.0
3.9
3.8
0.4
0.0
(0.1)
(0.1)
0.0
4.1
4.1
0.4
0.0
(0.1)
(0.1)
0.0
4.3
Capex
Cash from Investing Activities
0.3
-0.3
0.3
-0.3
0.4
-0.4
0.4
-0.4
0.4
-0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
3.4
3.5
3.7
3.9
4.9
5.8
5.8
9.2
9.2
12.8
12.8
16.5
16.5
20.4
Beginning Cash
Ending Cash
Hist.
31-Aug-12
Hist.
31-Aug-13
Hist.
31-Aug-14
4.9
Revenue forecasts
Operating groups
communications media and
technology
2015 E
(m$)
2016 E
(m$)
2017 E
(m$)
2018 E
(m$)
2019 E
(m$)
2.70%
4.2%
3.5%
5,686
5,924
6,131
6,346
6,568
6,798
7,036
financial services
5.80%
5.6%
5.0%
6,166
6,511
6,837
7,178
7,537
7,914
8,310
10.50%
6.0%
8.0%
4,739
5,022
5,424
5,858
6,326
6,832
7,379
Products
4.40%
8.6%
4.4%
6,807
7,395
7,720
8,060
8,415
8,785
9,172
Resources
3.10%
-0.2%
2.6%
5,143
5,135
5,269
5,405
5,546
5,690
5,838
Other
-31.8%
0.0%
22
15
15
15
15
15
15
5.0%
n/a
Geographic regions
5.0%
2013 A (m$)
2014 A (m$)
% SPLIT
% SPLIT
Americas
13519
14201
47.3%
47.3%
EMEA
11047
11915
38.7%
39.7%
Asia Pacific
3997
3886
14.0%
13.0%
28563
30002
2013 A (m$)
2014 A (m$)
% SPLIT
% SPLIT
Consulting
15383
15738
53.9%
52.5%
Outsourcing
13179
14265
46.1%
47.5%
28563
30002
Work Type
4.6%
4.7%
4.7%
4.7%
4.8%
Financial Assumptions
Accenture
Financial Assumptions
Income statement
Sales growth %
COGS as % of sales
Annual depr. as % of previous PPE
SG&A as % of sales
Amortization of other intangibles amount
Non-recurring items amount
Effective tax rate
Shareholder info
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding (m)
Dividend per share growth rate
Balance sheet: current assets
Accounts receivable as % of sales
Inventories % of COGS
Other current assets % of sales
Deferred income taxes % of sales
Other Liabilities % of sales
Balance sheet: non-current assets
Capital expenditures % of sales
Other assets % of sales
Balance sheet: liabilities
Accounts payable and accruals % of COGS
Accrued expenses as % sales
Deferred Revenues as % of sales
Deferred Revenues
Retirement Obligation
Income taxes payables
Other long-term liabilities % of sales
Balance sheet: equity
Common stock amount
Share repurchases $ amount (show as positive)
Debt (/$ amount)
Loans due for repayment
Other long-term debt repayment
Interest Rate (%)
Short term debt
Loans due for repayment
Other long-term debt repayment
Cash
Hist.
31-Aug-12
Hist.
31-Aug-13
Hist.
31-Aug-14
Proj.
31-Aug-15
Proj.
31-Aug-16
Proj.
31-Aug-17
Proj.
31-Aug-18
Proj.
31-Aug-19
69.8%
2.1%
69.1%
4.6%
69.8%
79.8%
17.0%
0.0
0.0
26.0%
4.7%
69.8%
79.8%
17.0%
0.0
0.0
26.0%
4.7%
69.8%
79.8%
17.0%
0.0
0.0
26.0%
4.7%
69.8%
79.8%
17.0%
0.0
0.0
26.0%
4.8%
69.8%
79.8%
17.0%
0.0
0.0
26.0%
17.2%
0.0
0.0
16.6%
0.0
0.0
18.1%
4.9%
69.6%
79.6%
16.9%
0.0
0.0
26.1%
0.727
0.713
0.692
0.692
0.0%
0.692
0.0%
0.692
0.0%
0.692
0.0%
0.692
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
11.0%
7.2%
1.9%
2.6%
5.0%
12.1%
8.1%
1.8%
2.3%
4.3%
10.0%
8.0%
2.0%
2.0%
4.0%
10.0%
8.0%
2.0%
2.0%
4.0%
10.0%
8.0%
2.0%
2.0%
4.0%
10.0%
8.0%
2.0%
2.0%
4.0%
10.0%
8.0%
2.0%
2.0%
4.0%
1.2%
0.0%
1.2%
2.8%
1.0%
3.3%
1.0%
3.0%
1.0%
3.0%
1.0%
3.0%
1.0%
3.0%
1.0%
3.0%
3.2%
10.4%
7.3%
3.3%
9.7%
7.4%
0.0%
2.1%
1.6%
3.0%
9.0%
8.0%
0.545
1.108
1.303
2.0%
3.0%
9.0%
8.0%
0.545
1.108
1.303
2.0%
3.0%
9.0%
8.0%
0.545
1.108
1.303
2.0%
3.0%
9.0%
8.0%
0.545
1.108
1.303
2.0%
3.0%
9.0%
8.0%
0.545
1.108
1.303
2.0%
0.0
3.3
7.3
4.3
2.1
4.3
0.0
4.3
0.0
4.3
0.0
4.3
0.0
4.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
1.00%
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