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(a) an update and review of the probability distributions for collision / grounding damage characteristics;
(b) development of an improved method (s factor) for the assessment of ship's survivability due to flooding after collision /
grounding for passenger ships, which takes into account Water on deck (WOD) issues;
(c) proposal for an integrated collision / grounding damage stability standard.
The development of the news factor was supported by both numerical simulation studies and an extensive set of model tests.
The objective of latter work was to derive experimental evidence on the process of ship stability deterioration after hull breach
typical for collision and grounding accidents. For the experiments four sample ships were selected to represent typical
passenger vessels (2 ROPAX and two cruise ships).
A key objective of the GOALDS project was to establish new risk-based damage stability requirements of ROPAX and cruise
vessels that are consistent with the IMO safety requirement as formulated in the IMO Formal safety assessment (FSA)
guidelines. For this, the following work has been conducted:
(a) Development of standard risk models for collision and grounding events of passenger vessels (separately for ROPAX and
cruise / passenger ships).
(b) Benchmarking against existing results: a thorough comparison of the GOALDS risk models and accident statistics with
previous relevant work e.g. the SAFEDOR FSA studies on cruise and ROPAX ships has been performed as well as a review of
statistical material of historical data available from collision and grounding accidents.
(c) Derivation of a new damage stability requirement for collision and grounding based on Cost-benefit analysis (CBA): the
participating shipyards provided the sample ships that were used for the cost benefit assessments. Using the developed risk
models, the benefit from each explored design change / Risk control option (RCO) in terms of reduction in Potential loss of lives
(PLL) was assessed, and subsequently, the effectiveness of the corresponding RCO was evaluating using the IMO 'Cost of
averting a fatality' (CAF) criterion. The RCOs that have been found to be within the IMO CAF criterion formed the basis for
proposing the level of the required index R.
(d) As an additional result, a proposal for updating the CAF criterion was formulated, considering changes in living standard,
inflation etc. from year 1996 until today.
(e) An essential conclusion of this work is that the level of the required index R for passenger ships can be significantly raised
based on the results from the CBA.
An additional objective of the GOALDS project was to rationally support the required subdivision index for passenger ships on
the basis of systematic optimisation studies of passenger ships of different type and size, while applying risk and cost
effectiveness analysis. The exploration of the impact of the new formulation was formalised and automated by the introduction
of parametric models along with formal, multi-objective optimisation procedures; it was possible to elaborate numerous design
alternatives and this enabled the identification of 'optimum' designs, combining enhanced survivability in damaged condition
with acceptable (or even improved) economic characteristics in comparison to the original designs.
In the final stage of the project critical assessments of the new formulation for the survivability and of the new risk-based
requirement for damaged passenger ships were conducted, and, after seeking consensus among regarding the new
formulations amongst the partnership and flag state administrations participating the advisory committee a proposal for
possible amendments of currently in force regulations was submitted for consideration to IMO.
Potential impact:
Expected results
At the end of the project (October 2012) GOALDS presents the following main results:
- developed improved damage statistics for collision and grounding damages of passenger ships;
- re-engineered the probability of survival of hull damages of passenger ships;
- formulated a new integrated collision and grounding damages stability standard;
- conducted systematic experimental and numerical simulation studies of damaged sample ships in seaways;
- developed improved risk models (as part of FSAs) for collision and grounding damages of passenger ships (RoPax and cruise
ships);
- conducted a series of cost effectiveness analyses of various RCOs implemented in the conceptual design of a series ofsample
passenger ships (RoPax and cruise ships);
- developed a new risk-based damage stability requirement pertaining to the safety of passenger ships while demonstrating
that the resulted enhanced stability requirements can be met cost effectively;
- developed a series of innovative ship design concepts, meeting the resulted new risk-based requirements, through multiobjective formal optimisation while optimising simultaneously for enhanced safety and cost effectiveness;
- cultivated the close collaboration with strong non-EU partners (United States, Japan) and submitted a series of results to the
IMO for consideration in rule making regarding the safety of
passenger
ships;
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- organised a series of public dissemination workshops and generated scientific publications in international conferences and
peer-reviewed journals.
Impact
The EU community added value is through the further enhancement of the competitiveness of the European passenger
shipping and shipbuilding industry, of naval architects, researchers and marine technology providers with respect to the
introduction of innovations and optimisation of passenger ship design.
In addition, the submission of results of EU funded projects to IMO (continuing the successful tradition introduced by theFourth
Framework Programme (FP4) project HARDER and later continued by the FP6 project SAFEDOR, FP7 FLOODSTAND and
GOALDS) enhances the visibility and importance of the European Union in international, rule-making bodies, like IMO is.
The societal and environmental impact will be through the enhancement of safety of passenger ships with respect to collision
and grounding damages which has been linked in a rational way to the human and environment impact at acceptable societal
levels.
Project website: http://www.goalds.org/
Contact
ALATOPOULOU, Despina (Administrative Officer)
Tel.: +30-210-7721740
Fax: +30-210-7724181
E-mail
NATIONAL TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF ATHENS, Secretariat of NTUA Research Committee
ATHENS
Greece
Subjects
Security
Last updated on 2014-05-28
Retrieved on 2015-02-17
Permalink: http://cordis.europa.eu/result/rcn/56138_en.html
European Union, 2015
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