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Photograph: Tetsuzo Matsumoto (on the right, Sr Executive Vice-President of SoftBank Mobile), and Gerhard Fasol (on the left) at a
Press Conference about the introduction of the i-Phone to Japan, on August 13, 2008 in Tokyo. Tetsuzo Matsumoto and Gerhard Fasol
explained the impact of the i-Phone on Japan to the international Press in Tokyo
Gerhard Fasol is President and Chief Executive Officer of Eurotechnology Japan KK, a boutique consultancy firm for leaders that he
founded in 1996 in Tokyo. Eurotechnology Japan KK advises several of the worlds largest blue-chip corporations, financial institutions,
the Government of Finland and the European Union on strategy and mergers and acquisitions. Fasol has been working with Japans
high-tech sector since 1984. He was manager of one of Hitachis research-and-development labs, and was Associate Professor of the
NTT Telecommunications Chair at Tokyo University.
www.eurotechnology.com
build a telecom operator in Japan were rejected by the Postal and Telecommunications Ministry (now
merged with other Ministries to form the General Affairs Ministry = Soumusho), which would not
award Sons company a telecommunications operators license.
For a long time I knew about rumors, that Masayoshi Son once threatened inside the Ministry to set
himself on fire here and now (inside the Ministry for Post and Telecommunications of Japan), unless he
is given the operating license he had applied for on behalf of his company.
Some years later, the Chief-Editor of BusinessWeek phoned me around noon, and asked me: if you
meet Masayoshi Son now, what would you ask him? Of course he was on his way to interview
Masayoshi Son about an hour later. So I though for a moment and proposed three questions, the first
question was if it was true that Masayoshi Son threatened to set himself on fire.
The Chief-Editor of BusinessWeek soon after phoned me with Masayoshi Sons answer: Yes, I
threatened to set myself on fire but I did not bring any petrol along to carry out my threat.
The lead article about this interview with Masayoshi Son which was based on my suggested
question is entitled Setting Fire To The Cell-Phone Market, and can be found online here:
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_44/b3906073.htm
www.eurotechnology.com
Time-Machine principle: SoftBank invested in US internet companies (especially YAHOO) in the 1990s, subsequently in Japanese
internet companies in the 2000s, and currently in Chinese internet companies, thus aiming to profit from the time lag in internet
development between US, Japan and China.
More recently, based on the successful acquisition and turn-round of Vodafone-Japan, SoftBank acquired the US operator SPRINT, and
aims to become the No. 1 telecom operator globally.
SoftBank invested about YEN 301.9 Billion (US$ 3 Billion) following this time machine theme. These investments are currently valued
around YEN 2834.1 Billion (US$ 28 Billion), ie SoftBank achieved an average 9-times return.
With the acquisition of Vodafones Japan operations (Vodafone KK) SoftBank has emerged as the third major telecommunications
group in Japan with aggressive expansion plans. More recently, SoftBank has invested in Willcoms next-generation network part, bringing
Willcom also into the SoftBank Group, acquired eAccess/eMobile, and SPRINT.
SoftBanks particular strengths are:
Chairman and Founder Masayoshi Sons entrepreneurial and management skills and quick action
The strengths of YAHOO!-Japan as a content and transaction internet portal
Strong cooperations with Japans electrical retailers
Strong position and subscriber base in fixed line Broadband services
A Full IP network
A range of media and content properties
A strong position in Chinas internet and mobile sector: e.g. via Alibaba
Gained exclusive distribution rights for iPhone and iPad and took the lead in the exploding Smartphone sector
Gained control of the Willcom group, which came under bankruptcy protection, of eAccess/eMobile, and in the process of
acquiring SPRINT.
Financially, SoftBank has recently overtaken KDDI in operating profits, and is aiming for YEN 1 Trillion (US$ 11 Billion) in operating
profits by FY2016.
www.eurotechnology.com
www.eurotechnology.com
SOFTBANK-
OVERVIEW
www.eurotechnology.com
Softbank
Founded
September 3, 1981
Founder
Masayoshi Son
Headquarters
Tokyo, Shiodome
Stock Exchange
Consolidated sales
YEN 3378.3 Billion (US$ 33 Billion) (FY2013, ended March 31, 2014)
Number of employees
www.eurotechnology.com
10
SOFTBANK-
30 YEAR VISION AND DNA
FOR GROWTH DURING THE
NEXT 300 YEARS
www.eurotechnology.com
12
SOFTBANK-
THE TIME-MACHINE
COMPANY
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16
SOFTBANK
GROUP STRUCTURE AND
CHARACTERISTICS
www.eurotechnology.com
22
SOFTBANK-
ACQUISITIONS
www.eurotechnology.com
26
EACCESS/EMOBILE
ACQUISITION
www.eurotechnology.com
32
WILLCOM
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34
Willcom
Oct. 1, 1990: founded as DDI-Pocket (80.93% KDDI, 13.25% Kyocera)
2004 spun out of KDDI, and renamed Willcom
Founded
Founder
Headquarters
Tokyo
Stock Exchange
Consolidated sales
Number of employees
www.eurotechnology.com
35
WIRELESS CITY
PLANNING
www.eurotechnology.com
40
FINANCIALS
www.eurotechnology.com
44
SOFTBANK FINANCE
On March 17, 2006, SoftBank announced the acquisition of Vodafone KK (Vodafones Japan
business). Most of the acquisition was financed by a US$ 15 Billion loan to the SoftBank group by a
consortium of national and international banks (the precise value of the loan is difficult to determine,
since the loan conditions are fairly complex).
SoftBanks financial situation is largely determined by SoftBanks ability to fulfill all conditions linked
to the loan, and to repay the loan out of business cash flow according to schedules or faster.
SoftBanks turnround of the mobile business acquired from Vodafone is successful, and based on the
successful turnround, SoftBank is currently in the process of acquiring SPRINT.
SoftBank reports that several business sections have been securitized, ie the corresponding cash
flows have been converted into financial securities. Examples are the base of handsets purchased by
customers in installment plans, where SoftBank pays the purchase price to handset suppliers and then
is repaid over 12 or 24 months in regular monthly installments by customers together with their
monthly bills.
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45
NET INCOME
Annual net income of Japan's mobile operators "in YEN Billion#
600
400
200
!200
US$ 8 Bill
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annual net
income!year "YEN Billion#
800
1996
US$ 6 Bill
DoCoMo
!
US$ 4 Bill
KDDI
"
"
Vodafone Japan
!
"
"
"
"
#
"
"
#
#
$
"
#
"
"
"
"
US$ 2 Bill
"
SoftBank
$
"
#
"
iPhone 5
Softbank"KDDI
Sept 21, 2012
"
#
!
1998
i!Mode
Feb 22, 1999
2000
2002
2004
2006
iPhone
iPhone 4S
SoftBank
KDDI
July 11, 2008 Oct 14, 2011
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
NTT-docomos net income has been stationary since 2007, while KDDIs net income has been
increasing moderately
Softbanks net income increased rapidly after Softbanks adoption of the iPhone in 2008, and
overtook KDDIs net income in FY2011
If trends continue, Softbank is bound to overtake NTT-docomo in terms of net income, especially
of Softbanks takeover of SPRINT is successful.
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48
QUARTERLY
FINANCIAL RESULTS
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51
NET INCOME
!
100
www.eurotechnology.com
200
!100
2000
300
!
!
$
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
$
US$ 1 Billion
"
&
'
%
US$ 2 Billion
DoCoMo
!
"
"
KDDI
"
"
"
"
"
"
"
%
&
'
#
&
#
#
#
"
!
&
&
'
&
2004
&
%
"
"
#
"
SoftBank
iPhone 5
Softbank"KDDI
Sept 21, 2012
&
"
2006
"
#
!
"
Vodafone!Japan
2002
#
#
&
&
"
%
"
&
#
"
"
%
'
%
'
&
"
"
"
%
'
"
&
!
"
"
"
"
"
"
2008
iPhone
iPhone 4S
SoftBank
KDDI
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
SoftBanks net income (after tax) is positive since the July-September 2005 quarter. SoftBanks net income was held back by servicing
the substantial debt from the Vodafone-Japan acquisition. With the introduction of iPhone on July 11, 2008, and with the pay-down of
the debt from the Vodafone-Japan acquisition, Softbanks net income is increasing steadily, and expected to overtake NTT-docomos.
Back in 2005-2007 NTT-docomos net income was continuously falling, and NTT-docomo o risked to fall into losses. NTT-docomo
succeeded to stabilize the net-income situation via cost-cuts (including equipment costs), as well as increasing profitability via
additional services.
www.eurotechnology.com
54
SOFTBANK MOBILE
www.eurotechnology.com
59
SOFTBANK MOBILE
Four commitments (to turn round the former Vodafone KK, since October 2006: SoftBank-Mobile):
1.3G Network enhancement
Decided on investments to install more 3G base stations than DoCoMo has
2.3G Handset enrichment
Roll out 13 new terminals (announced Sept 29, 2006)
3.Content enhancement
Disney/Pixar agreement, Yahoo!-keitai
4.Enhancement of sales structure and branding
invested and improved shops
www.eurotechnology.com
61
www.eurotechnology.com
62
120 000
boosters, repeaters
100 000
80 000
SoftBank!3G
60 000
40 000
20 000
KDDI#AU
0
Jul 2006
Jan 2007
DoCoMo
Jul 2007
Jan 2008
Jul 2008
Jan 2009
Jul 2009
Jan 2010
Jul 2010
End 2006, SoftBank started to roll-out about 120,000 boosters and repeaters to improve coverage.
With the ramp-up of true base stations, SoftBank is rolling back the number of repeaters and boosters
(c) 2014 Eurotechnology Japan KK
www.eurotechnology.com
69
MVNO BUSINESS
www.eurotechnology.com
71
www.eurotechnology.com
73
MARKET SHARES
Willc.WSP
eMobile
WSP
Willc.
eMobile
DoCoMo !42.0!"
UQ
DoCoMo !40.8!"
UQ
Three groups are active in Japans mobile communications sector - showing that growth of
marketshare for Softbank in Japan is painstaking low slow, which motivated Softbanks acquisition of
Sprint in USA, and its aim to acquire T-Mobile-USA:
DoCoMo (market share: 40.8% of subscriptions, reduced from 40.8% in February 2013)
KDDI (including UQ: market share: 28.9%, grown from 28.7% in February 2013)
Softbank (including eMobile, Willcom, Wireless City Planning: 30.3% grown from 29.3 in Feb 2013).
(c) 2014 Eurotechnology Japan KK
www.eurotechnology.com
77
0.003
monthly
change of market share
0.002
!0.001
SoftBank
UQ
Willcom
KDDI
eMobile
!0.002
DoCoMo
0.001
iPhone 4S
SoftBank"KDDI
Oct 14, 2011
!0.003
!0.004
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
Jan 2013
Jan 2014
Jan 2015
Since 2010, Softbank has been continuously gaining market share of subscriber numbers, while
DoCoMo and KDDI (except for WiMax operators UQ) have been losing market share.
positive numbers in this figure mean growth of market share, negative figures (as for DoCoMo)
mean loss of market share
(c) 2014 Eurotechnology Japan KK
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83
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84
1 000 000
500 000
0
2007
www.eurotechnology.com
1 500 000
subscriptions
SoftBank
AU
TuKa eMobile
DoCoMo
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Softbank has the largest share of the very small and shrinking prepay market in Japan. This is a legacy
of Vodafone KK, which had placed great priority on growing the prepaid market in Japan (which very
limited success as shown above).
(c) 2014 Eurotechnology Japan KK
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87
www.eurotechnology.com
88
www.eurotechnology.com
92
SOFTBANK AND
YAHOO!-JAPAN
www.eurotechnology.com
95
SOFTBANK, YAHOO BB
IN THE DSL MARKET
www.eurotechnology.com
100
DSL MARKET
100
90
80
70
60
eAccess !23.6!"
50
40
30
SoftBank !38.8!"
20
10
0
Mar 2006
Mar 2007
Mar 2008
Mar 2009
Mar 2010
Mar 2011
Mar 2012
Source: http://www.eurotechnology.com/store/jcomm/
(c) 2014 Eurotechnology Japan KK
www.eurotechnology.com
103
JAPANS TELEGRAM
MARKET
www.eurotechnology.com
104
Japans telegram market has been decreasing but still has a size of approximately YEN 52 Billion (=
approx. US$ 500 Million)
Telegrams in Japan are sent mainly by businesses for congratulations, condolences, to debtors or for
other urgent communications where correspondents cannot be reached by phone, and for personal
congratulations at weddings etc.
Until April 2003, Japans telegram market was a 100% monopoly of NTT (= Nippon Telegraph
Telephone), and still today NTT has about 90% of the telegraph market
Currently there are about 12 companies offering competing telegraph services, among them KDDI,
and Softbank (from 2009/2010).
Telegrams are often sent through the special 115 number, which is currently operated by NTT. The
Ministry is considering to open 115 service to competitors of NTT, such as Softbank.
www.eurotechnology.com
105
SOFTBANK ENERGY
for an detailed report and analysis of Japans renewable energy sector see:
http://www.eurotechnology.com/store/j_renewable/
(c) 2014 Eurotechnology Japan KK
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106
SUMMARY
www.eurotechnology.com
113
SUMMARY- SOFTBANK
SoftBank is primarily an internet and telecommunications investment company led by the charismatic Masayoshi Son, following a
Time-Machine principle: SoftBank invested in US internet companies (especially YAHOO) in the 1990s, subsequently in Japanese
internet companies in the 2000s, and currently in Chinese internet companies, thus aiming to profit from the time lag in internet
development between US, Japan and China.
More recently, based on the successful acquisition and turn-round of Vodafone-Japan, SoftBank acquired the US operator SPRINT, and
aims to become the No. 1 telecom operator globally, and is now aiming to acquire T-Mobile-USA.
SoftBank invested about YEN 301.9 Billion (US$ 3 Billion) following this time machine theme. These investments are currently valued
around YEN 2834.1 Billion (US$ 28 Billion), ie SoftBank achieved an average 9-times return.
With the acquisition of Vodafones Japan operations (Vodafone KK) SoftBank has emerged as the third major telecommunications
group in Japan with aggressive expansion plans. More recently, SoftBank has invested in Willcoms next-generation network part, bringing
Willcom also into the SoftBank Group, acquired eAccess/eMobile, and SPRINT.
SoftBanks particular strengths are:
Chairman and Founder Masayoshi Sons entrepreneurial and management skills and quick action
The strengths of YAHOO!-Japan as a content and transaction internet portal
Strong cooperations with Japans electrical retailers
Strong position and subscriber base in fixed line Broadband services
A Full IP network
A range of media and content properties
A strong position in Chinas internet and mobile sector: e.g. via Alibaba
Gained exclusive distribution rights for iPhone and iPad and took the lead in the exploding Smartphone sector
Gained control of the Willcom group, which came under bankruptcy protection, of eAccess/eMobile, and in the process of
acquiring SPRINT.
Financially, SoftBank has recently overtaken KDDI in operating profits, and is aiming for YEN 1 Trillion (US$ 11 Billion) in operating
profits by FY2016.
www.eurotechnology.com
114
EUROTECHNOLOGY JAPAN KK
www.eurotechnology.com
115
EUROTECHNOLOGY JAPAN KK
FOUNDED: FEBRUARY 1997 IN TOKYO
Services and products - focus areas are high-technology, telecommunications, software, middle-ware,
environmental technology and medical equipment:
!
- Market entry to Japan for European and US high-tech companies, turn-round, reshaping, planning
and building of distribution networks
- European business development and strategy for Japanese companies
- M&A (European and US companies acquiring Japanese companies, Japanese companies acquiring or
investing in Europe)
- Turn-round preparations and management of foreign business in Japan
- Market research and strategy
- Due diligence of high-tech companies, environmental due-diligence
- Advisory services for investment fund managers and investors in technology fields
!
- we publish a series of market reports for about 10 years, which are purchased world-wide,
distributed direct and via distribution partners: http://www.eurotechnology.com/store/
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116
EUROTECHNOLOGY JAPAN KK
- Leading high-technology business development boutique in Tokyo, working globally
- Founded in 1996/1997 - 14 years experience, relationships, cooperations and success record.
- CEO works with Japans high-tech / telecom sector since 1984 - 27 years experience, resources,
cooperations.
- Wide network of cooperations in Governments, Embassies, trading companies, distributors, finance,
VCs, traditional corporations, venture start-ups, industry associations
- Experience: market-entry, restructuring, M&A, acquisitions, due-diligence
!
Customers include:
- More than 100 investment fund managers
- Industrial customers:
- NTT-Communications, SIEMENS, Deutsche Telekom, Cubic, Unaxis (now: Oerlikon), CITI Group,
CLSA Asian Markets, Genscape, Google, IKEA, Isabellenhuette, Landis+Gyr, National
Instruments, Swisscom, TechnoCom,
- Government
- New York Police Department, European Union, TEKES (Technology Research funding
organization of the Government of Finland)
!
Deep Japanese technology market knowledge - we publish a series of market reports for about 10
years, which are purchased world-wide. You can purchase our reports on Bloomberg: https://
www.bmart.com/search?&nuts%5B%5D=WIRE%3AEUT, and via eSellerate: http://store.eSellerate.net/
s.aspx?s=STR0576176470 and from http://www.eurotechnology.com/store/
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GERHARD FASOL
PROFILE: HTTP://WWW.FASOL.COM/PROFILE/
- Worked successfully with Japans high-tech sector since 1984 - 27 years. Came first to Japan in
1984 to help build NTTs first international R&D cooperation on semiconductor lasers
- Entrepreneur in Tokyo since 1996, Eurotechnology Japan KK worked with many large corporate
groups (e.g. SIEMENS, NTT, Deutsche Telekom, Asahi Glass...), more than 100 investment fund
managers
- Assoc. Professor of Electrical Engineering at Tokyo University. Record of Fasol-Laboratory at Tokyo
University: http://www.fasol.com/tokyo_university/
- Elite Sakigake (Pioneer) R&D project on Spin-Electronics of Japanese Government Science and
Technology Agency. This work was evaluated by US National Science Foundation and US
Department of Trade: http://www.wtec.org/loyola/erato/ch7_5.htm
- Co-initiator of spin-electronics device research in Japan, one of the first to start work on spinelectronics in Japan in 1991
- Tenured Faculty member at Cavendish Laboratory/University of Cambridge.
- Assoc. Professor of Electrical Engineering at Tokyo University
- PhD in Solid-State Physics (Cambridge University, Trinity College, UK)
- Diplom-Physiker, Ruhr-University Bochum (Diplom-Thesis on Superconductivity)
- Publication list (Books, patents and publications, several publications are specifially concerning
electron-spin and spin-electronics): http://www.fasol.com/profile/publications.shtml
- Languages: English, German (native), French, Japanese, and some Swedish
(c) 2014 Eurotechnology Japan KK
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119
see: http://accjjournal.com/the-galapagos-effect/
(c) 2014 Eurotechnology Japan KK
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120
see: http://accjjournal.com/the-galapagos-effect/
(c) 2014 Eurotechnology Japan KK
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121
More information:
reports:http://www.eurotechnology.com/store/
twitter: http://twitter.com/gfasol/
website: http://www.eurotechnology.com/
personal site: http://fasol.com
(c) 2014 Eurotechnology Japan KK
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