SEMINAR

Probability and Statistics

April 7th, 2014

1. Contents and Objectives

The Contents of this seminar appropriate with the title of this seminar Probability
and Statistic. So, in this seminar will be discussed about some issues that have
relation with the probability and statistic.
The Objectives of this seminar are the following :
a. To know the definition of probability and statistics.
b. To know the usefulness and application of the probability and statistic in solving
problem around us on our daily life.
c. To know the definition and application some of method in probability and
statistics in solving problem.
2. Seminar Methodology
The Seminar will be conducted for once a week. This seminar will be performed by
presentation or discussion on the particular topic in accordance the schedule that
has arrange before. The seminar will be presented by laboratorium member for 1
hours and 30 minutes on the Friday and will be started at 2.30 PM until 4.00 PM. In
this seminar, laboratorium member will present his own sub topic alternately at
different time/week. Beside that, every member has the opportunity to provide a
question about the topic that being presented or discussed and then the question
will be answered by the member who presented the topic at that time or will be
discussed among the member.
3. Literature/Reference
The literature that will be used or discussed in this seminar is the book with the
title Probability and Statistics (4th edition) International Edition by Morris H.
DeGroot and Mark J. Schervish. This book is published by Pearson Education,Inc. in
the United States of America in 2012.
4. Schedule
N
Dat
o.
e

st

2nd

2014
-0418

2014

Topic

Introduction
To Probability
(52)
Conditional
Probability
(35)
Random

C
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Sub Topic
The History and interpretations of Probability
Experiments and Events
Set Theory and Defenition of probability
Finite Sample Spaces, Counting Methods
Multinomial Coefficients
Probability of a Union of Events and Statistical Swindles
Defenition of Conditional Probability and Independent
Events
Bayes` Theorem
The Gambler`s Ruin Problem
Random Variables and Discrete Distributions

-0425
3

rd

2014
-0516

Variables
and
Distribution
(109)

th

2014
-0523

Expectation
(65)

th

2014
-0606

Special
Distributions
(70)

2014
-0613

Large
Random
Samples
(28)

6th

2014
-0613

Estimation
(81)

7th

2014
-0620

Sampling
Distributions
of Estimators
(64)

8th

2014
-0627

9th

2014
-0704

10t
h

11t
h

12t
h

2014
-0711

2014
-0718
2014
-0725

Testing
Hypotheses
(91)

Categorical
Data and
Nonparametr
ic Methods
(62)

Linear
Statistical
Models
(94)

11
12
13
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

Continous Distributions and Cumulative Distribution

Function
Bivariate Distributions and Marginal Distributions
Conditional Distributions and Multivariate Distributions
Functions of a Random Variable and Two or More Random
Variable
Markov Chains
Expectation of a Random Variable
Properties of Expectations
Variance and Moment
The Mean and the Median
Covariance and Correlation
Conditional Expectation and Utility
The Bernoulli and Binomial Distributions
The Hypergeometric and Poisson Distributions
The Negative Binomial and Normal Distributions
The Gamma and Beta Distributions
The Multinomial Distributions and Bivariate Normal
Distributions

1
2

Introduction and Law of Large Numbers

The Central Limit Theorem and Correction For Continuity

3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
1
2
3

Statistical Inference, Prior and Posterior Distributions

Conjugate Prior Distributions
Bayes Estimator and Maximum Likelihood Estimators
Properties of Maximum Likelihood Estimators
Sufficient Statistics
Jointly Sufficient Statistics
Improving an Estimator
The Sampling Distribution of a Statistic
The Chi-Square Distributions
Joint Distribution of the Sample Mean and Sample
Variance
The t Distributions
Confidence Intervals
Bayesian Analysis of Sample from a Normal Distribution
Unbiased Estimators and Fisher Information
Problems of Testing Hypotheses
Testing Simple Hypotheses
Uniformly Most Powerful Tests
Two-Sided Alternatives
The t Test
Comparing the Means of Two Normal Distributions
The F Distributions and Bayes Test Procedures
Foundational Issues
Tests of Goodness-of Fit
Goodness-of Fit for Composite Hypotheses
Contingency Tables
Tests of Homogeneity
Simpson`s Paradox
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Robust Estimation
Sign and Rank Test
The Method of Least Squares and Regression
Statistical Inference in Simple Linear Regression
Bayesian Inference in Simple Linear Regression
The General Linear Model and Multiple Regression
Analysis of Variance
The Two-Way Layout
The Two-Way Layout with Replications

4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13