1AC Natural Gas 1.

1AC
Contention 1 is the Economy:
Shale is Unsustainable:
a) Economics, and depleting reservoirs
Gopinath 13 [New Delhi economist writing for Yale Global Online (Deepak, Shale Energy No Quick
Solution, Yale Global Online, http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/content/shale-energy-no-quick-solution]
The speed and scope of the shale-led energy renaissance in the US has
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345 billon barrels, equivalent to 10 percent of estimated global oil resources.

b) Temporary recoveries only mask structural instabilities

Ahmed 14 [Dr. Nafeez Ahmed is the Executive Director of the Institute for Policy Research & Development
and Chief Research Officer at Unitas Communications where he leads on geopolitical risk. (Former BP geologist:
peak oil is here and it will 'break economies', The Guardian, January 2014]

*Weijermarssenior practitioner at Alboran Energy Strategy Consultants,

specializing in independent strategy
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even bigger financial mess, on a faster trajectory toward costly environmental destruction.

We access two internal links to the economy:

1) Manufacturing
Robust domestic production is key to manufacturing growth
thats the basis for economic recovery
Duesterberg, 12 [Tom is Executive Director of the Manufacturing and Society in the 21st Century
program at the Aspen Institute. He recently retired as President and CEO of The Manufacturers Alliance/MAPI, an
economic research and executive education organization based in Arlington, Virginia with more than 500
manufacturing firms as members. Previous positions include: Director of the Washington Office of The Hudson
Institute, Assistant Secretary for International Economic Policy at the U.S. Department of Commerce, chief of staff to
two members of Congress, and associate instructor at Stanford University. His commentary and analysis on
manufacturing, economic performance, globalization, and related policy issues can be found in major news outlets.
He holds a B.A. degree from Princeton and M. A. and Ph.D. degrees from Indiana University, Impact of the Energy
Boom on US Manufacturing, http://www.aspeninstitute.org/about/blog/impact-energy-boom-us-manufacturing]

The manufacturing sector has been leading the US economic recovery since the end of
the

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renewable energymanufacturing uses 90 percent more renewables than the transportation sector.

Manufacturing loss cascades throughout the economy

Pisano and Shih, 12 [September, Producing Prosperity: Why America Needs a
Manufacturing Renaissance [Kindle Edition], Harry E. Figgie Professor of Business
Administration at the Harvard Business School. He has been on the Harvard faculty
for 23 years, Professor of Management Practice. He joined the Technology and
Operations Management Unit in January 2007, p. amazon kindle]
The rough and tumble of international competition means we should expect
industries to come and
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the dominant source of the lithium ion battery cells used in electric vehicles.

Domestic manufacturing is key to overall resilience

Ettlinger, 11 [Michael, Vice President for Economic Policy at the Center for American Progress Prior to
joining the Center, he spent six years at the Economic Policy Institute directing the Economic Analysis and Research
Network. Previously, he was tax policy director for Citizens for Tax Justice and the Institute on Taxation and Economic
Policy for 11 years. He has also served on the staff of the New York State Assembly. The Importance and Promise of
American Manufacturing Why It Matters if We Make It in America and Where We Stand Today,
http://www.americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/issues/2011/04/pdf/manufacturing.pdf]

Manufacturing is critically important to the American economy. For generations, the

strength of
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to everything from exchange rate fluctuations to trade embargoes to natural

disasters.

2) Prices
Demand is set to increaseshale cant meet itthat drives up
prices
Funk 14 writer; cites James Halloran, energy analyst @ Ohio Oil and Gas Association(Nation's
shale gas boom will lead to boom in demand and higher prices,
http://www.cleveland.com/business/index.ssf/2014/03/nations_shale_gas_boom_will_le.html)
COLUMBUS, Ohio -

The widely-held belief that shale gas has given the

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the treadmill it was before the shale boom, trying to meet demand.

Natural gas production directly correlates with growth and

innovation prices are key
Carey 12 [Julie M, Julie M. Carey is an energy economist with Navigant Economics who provides consulting
and testifying services Navigants unconventional oil and gas offerings include advisory services for strategic
business decision analysis, construction risk management, economic and antitrust analyses, investment banking
and restructuring advisory services, and expert services for disputes and investigations, How Unconventional Oil
And Gas Is Supercharging The U.S. Economy, http://www.forbes.com/sites/energysource/2012/12/13/howunconventional-oil-and-gas-is-transforming-the-u-s-economy/]
Its an exciting time to be in the energy industry in America.

The impact

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infrastructure build out and related opportunities (including both direct and indirect
jobs).

**Maintaining low prices through adequate supply is key to

lock in a massive economic benefitthat galvanizes key
industries
Pirog and Ratner, 12 [November, Congressional Research Service, Natural
Gas in the U.S. Economy: Opportunities for Growth Robert Pirog Specialist in Energy
Economics Michael Ratner Specialist in Energy Policy,
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42814.pdf]
Expanded supply, coupled with low natural gas prices, has the potential to
contribute
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, would need to be changed to a more market-oriented method.

Economic collapse causes competition for resources and

instability that escalates and goes nuclear
Harris and Burrows, 9 [counselor in the National Intelligence Council, the principal drafter of
Global Trends 2025, **member of the NICs Long Range Analysis Unit Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of
the Financial Crisis, Washington Quarterly, http://www.twq.com/09april/docs/09apr_burrows.pdf]
Increased Potential for Global Conflict
Increased Potential for Global Conflict
Of course,
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within and between states in

a more dog-eat-dog world.

Our impact has a strong statistical basis

Royal 10 [Jedediah Royal, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense,
2010, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, in Economics of War and
Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-214]
Less intuitive is how periods of

economic decline may increase the likelihood of external conflict

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not featured prominently in the economic-security debate and deserves more attention.

1AC
Contention 2 is Warming
Emissions are decreasing now because of natural gas surges
reductions are underreported because natural gas is not
perceived as green enough
Ross 13 (Lee, prof of humanities and sciences at Stanford, Stanford Federal Credit Union Professor of
Humanities and Sciences at Stanford University, Progress in US on emissions may be tied to increased natural gas
production, http://www.foxnews.com/science/2013/03/21/progress-in-us-on-emissions-may-be-tied-to-increasednatural-gas-production/)

Somewhat hidden among the

alarming

data about global warming

and environmental horribles

is a

significant

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years in order to give us a fighting shot at arresting climate change."

Even aggressive subsidies cant accelerate renewables

adoption---fossil fuel reliance in the medium term is
inevitable---only the plan reduces reliance on coal
Jeffrey Ball 12, Scholar in Residence at Stanford University's Steyer-Taylor Center
for Energy Policy and Finance, May/June 2012, Tough Love for Renewable Energy,
Foreign Affairs, Vol. 91, No. 3, p. 122-133
Taking wind and solar power mainstream will also require better ways to get it to
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,

renewable power is likely to supplement, not supplant, conventional energy.

Two internal links:

1. Dirty Bridge natural gas is the best backup supply for
unstable renewables
Fesharaki 12 Principal Consultant and Chief Operating Officer at FACTS Global
Energy Inc. [Shasha, holds an MBA with an emphasis on International Business,
Natural gas is ideal bridge fuel to green future, Honolulu Star, September 26,
2012, ProQuest, Accessed 8/7/14]//schnall
Since the time of former Gov. George Ariyoshi,

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Hawaii has looked toward renewable

Renewables advocates should recognize this fundamental harmony

between these energy sources.
infrastructure.

Its modeled internationally the plan gets China and India on

board its about perception of sustainability shale cant
solve
Riley, professor of energy law, 12 (Alan, prof at City University in London, Shale Gas to
the Climate Rescue, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/14/opinion/shale-gas-to-the-climate-rescue.html?_r=0)

The battle against runaway climate change is being lost . The green movement and
the
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decarbonize the energy system beyond shale gas and into a fully renewable
economy.

2. Steel -- Long-term low natural gas prices key to the US steel

industry
James 12 (Steve, Correspondent for Reuters in New York, Analysis: Steelmakers
eye gas to cut costs, drive exports Reuters.com, 3/16/12,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/16/us-steel-gasidUSBRE82F12Y20120316//AJB)
America's steel industry, for decades a symbol of industrial decline, is betting on
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symbol of American industrial power, a competitive edge in the 21st Century .

Strong steel industry allows for development of renewables in

the future
RP Newswires 9 (Reliable Plant Newswires citing Thomas J. Gibson- CEO and
president of the American Iron and Steel Institute, U.S. Steelmakers Leading Green,
Industrial Renaissance, 9/23/09, http://www.reliableplant.com/Read/20164/ussteelmakers-leading-green,-industrial-renaissance//AJB)
One of America's best kept secrets is the extent to which its

domestic steel industry

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of Utah, replaced carbon as a blast-furnace fuel with hydrogen.

Warming is real, anthropogenic, and threatens extinction --prefer new evidence that represents consensus
Richard Schiffman 13, environmental writer @ The Atlantic citing the Fifth
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, What Leading Scientists Want You to
Know About Today's Frightening Climate Report, The Atlantic,
http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2013/09/leading-scientists-weigh-inon-the-mother-of-all-climate-reports/280045/
The polar icecaps are melting faster than we thought they would; seas are rising
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.N. report:

"We have five minutes before midnight."

Adaptation wont solve a 4 degree temperature increase will

break down civilization and cause a laundry list of impacts
Roberts 13 (David, citing the World Bank Reviews compilation of climate studies, If you arent alarmed
about climate, you arent paying attention http://grist.org/climate-energy/climate-alarmism-the-idea-is-surreal/)
We know weve raised global average temperatures around 0.8 degrees C so far
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, but

a world that is inexorably more inhospitable with every passing decade.

1AC Plan
Plan: The United States federal government should remove
restrictions on and accelerate leasing of offshore natural gas
production of the Outer Continental Shelf within the Gulf of
Mexico, Atlantic Ocean, and Pacific Ocean.

1AC Solvency
OCS restrictions must be lifted and federal action is key
Lieberman 8 [senior policy analyst for Energy and Environment for the Heritage Foundation (Ben, Listing
the Offshore Drilling Ban: A Positive Step in the Fight against High Energy Prices, The Heritage Foundation,
7/14/2008, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2008/07/lifting-the-offshore-drilling-ban-a-positive-step-in-thefight-against-high-energy-prices]

Washington must do something about the increasing price of gasoline, now topping
$4
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them back. Thus far, none of these efforts has been successful.

85% of gas is off limits now

Luthi, 12 [Luthi is the president of the National Ocean Industry Association, representing more than 275
companies engaged in all aspects of the exploration and production of both traditional and renewable energy
resources on the nations outer continental shelf, Let's find agreement on new offshore access,
http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/energy-a-environment/267089-lets-find-agreement-on-new-offshore-access]
Now that the election is (finally) behind us, President Obama has an
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is waiting for us there, because were not allowed to go look.

The plan sustains low prices and ensures adequate supply

Hastings, 12 [House Representative Doc, Republican Washington, President Obama's offshore drilling
plan must be replaced, http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/energy-a-environment/239529-president-obamasoffshore-drilling-plan-must-be-replaced]

Though President Obama uses lofty rhetoric to claim support for American oil and natural gas
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or support using American energy

to create American jobs and strengthen Americas economy.

Nearly 100 new projects are capable of development

Hillegeist et al 11

[President and COO at Quest Offshore Resources, Inc, Sean Shafer, Project Director,
Andrew Jackson, Project Manager, Leslie Cook , Senior Research Consultant) December 2011 The State of the
Offshore U.S. Oil and Gas Industry http://energytomorrow.org/images/uploads/Quest_2011_December_29_Final.pdf]

If drilling permits going forward were to be issued at pre moratorium rates,

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to the nation in terms of energy security, employment and government revenue.

Otherwise, restrictions crush predictability and timing of

projects
Hagerty 10 [Specialist in Energy and Natural Resources Policy at the Congressional Research Service) June
15, 2010 Outer Continental Shelf Moratoria on Oil and Gas Development
http://crs.ncseonline.org/nle/crsreports/10Jul/R41132.pdf]

One legacy of congressional moratoria is their impact on the timing of possible

OCS development
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restrictions were defensible in the absence of more permanent alternatives for similar leasing prohibitions

Gas-only leases solve

Burton 6

[Director of the Minerals Management Service of the DoI (Johnnie Burton, 14 June 2006, "LEGISLATIVE
HEARING before the COMMITTEE ON RESOURCES U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED NINTH
CONGRESS SECOND SESSION,"]

H.R. 4761 would amend the OCS Lands Act to allow for gas
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be extremely difficult to administer, and potentially extremely costly for the government.

Obamas recent announcement doesnt solve still lacks

development and which the plan authorizes non-uniques DA
links
HC 7-18 (Houston Chronicle, Seismic rift: Obama splits with environmentalists on Atlantic oil exploration,
7/18/14, http://www.houstonchronicle.com/business/energy/article/Seismic-rift-Obama-splits-with-environmentalists5631901.php)
The

Obama administration on Friday green-lighted a plan to allow the oil industry

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conservationists have threatened legal action , potentially slowing the
timeline.

year. But