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Costs of Quality
A failure to satisfy a customer is considered a
defect
Why spend on to improve quality and
performance of processes? process gaps
can be determined. Gaps potential
dissatisfied customers and so additional costs
to the firms, 20-30 % of gross sales of a firm
Prevention costs
Appraisal costs
Internal failure costs
External failure costs
Ethics and quality
42
Prevention costs
Associated time, effort, and money with
preventing defects before they happen
Cost of redesigning the process to remove
causes of poor performance
redesigning the service/product to make
it simpler to produce
Appraisal costs
Incurred when the firm assesses the level
of performance of its processes
As the prevention costs increase and so
performance improves, appraisal costs
decrease because fewer resources are
needed for quality inspections and for the
subsequent search for causes of any
problems
44
45
Customer
satisfaction
49
Conformance to specifications
Value:
4 10
Conformance to specifications
Fitness
Support:
Psychological
aesthetics
-
Conformance to specifications-contd.
Consumers change their perceptions of quality which
makes things complicated
Business success: the accuracy of its perceptions of
customer expectations and its ability to bridge the gap
between those expectations and firms capabilities
Good quality pays off in higher profits! Why?
- high-quality services/products can be priced higher and
in turn yield a greater return
- Poor quality erodes the firms ability to compete in the
marketplace and increases the costs of producing
- Improving the conformance to specifications increases
the market share and reduces the cost of
services/products increase in profits
4 12
TQM-contd.
Employee involvement
Cultural
4 13
Employee involvement-contd.
- Quality at the source: the idea that quality is an
end itself.
Errors of defects should be caught and corrected at
the source and not passed along to internal/external
customers
Avoid trying to inspect quality into the product by
using inspectors to weed out defective products
after all operations have been performed
E.g. in some manufacturing firms even workers have
authority to stop a production line if they spot a
quality problem
4 14
Employee involvement-contd.
Teams:
4 15
Employee involvement-Teams
1. Problem-solving teams=quality circles: small groups of
supervisors and employees who meet to identify, analyze, and
solve process and quality problems (1970s Japan)
- Employees take more pride and interest in their work if they
are allowed to help shape it
- Although can successfully reduce costs and improve the
quality, it does not work if management fails to implement their
suggestions
2. Special-purpose teams: an outgrowth of problem-solving
teams, address the issues of paramount concern to
management, labor, or both. E.g. SPT for designing and
introducing new work policies, new technologies (80s US)
3. Self-managed teams: takes worker participation to its
highest: a small group of employees work together to produce
a major portion or all of a service/product. Members learn al the
tasks involved in the operation, rotate from job to job, and take
managerial duties e.g. work/vacation scheduling, hiring etc. 4 16
TQM-contd.
Continuous improvement aka Kaizen
Kaizen:
Train the work teams to use plan-do-study-act cycleDeming wheel to reduce or eliminate the activities
that do not add value to service/product (wasteful
activities) E.g. inspecting parts for quality defects
4 17
Act
Do
Study
Figure 5.2 Plan-Do-Study-Act Cycle
4 18
Plan:
The team selects a process that needs improvement
Document the selected process by analyzing the data
Set qualitative goals for improvement
Discuss various ways to achieve the goals
Asses the benefits and costs of alternatives develop a plan with
quantifiable measures for improvement
Do:
- The team implements the plan and monitor progress
- Collect data continuously to measure the improvements in the
process
- Document the changes in the process and make further revisions
Study:
- If major shortcomings exist, reevaluate the plan or even stop the
project
Act:
- If the results are successful, the team documents the revised
process it becomes the standard procedure can be used later
- The team then instructs other employees in the use of revised
4 19
process
Six Sigma
Relies heavily in TQM principles, relates to the goal of
achieving low rates of defective output by developing
processes whose mean output for a performance
measure is six standard deviations (sigma) from the
design specifications of the service/product
- Comprehensive, flexible system to achieve, sustain, and
maximize business success by minimizing defects and
variability in the process
- Different focus than TQM: driven by a close
understanding of customer needs, the disciplined use of
facts, data, statistical analyses
4 20
Six Sigma
Process average OK;
too much variation
X
X
X
X X
X
Reduce
spread
Process
on target with
low variability
Center
process
X
XX
XX
X XX
Figure 5.3 Six-Sigma Approach Focuses on Reducing Spread and Centering the Process
4 21
Measure
Analyze
Improve
Control
Figure 5.4 Six Sigma Improvement Model
4 22
DMAIC Model
Can be applied to projects involving incremental improvements
to processes or to projects requiring major changes (redesign
of an existing process or development of a new process)
- Define: determine the characteristics of the processs output
that are critical to customer satisfaction, identify any gaps
between these characteristics and capabilities, use a
flowchart/process chart to get a picture of the current process
- Measure: quantify the work that affects the gaps. Select what to
measure, identify data sources, prepare a data collection plan
- Analyze: use the data on measures to perform process analysis
via Pareto charts, fishbone diagram, SPC tools to determine
where improvements are necessary
- Improve: modify or redesign existing methods to meet new
performance objectives, implement the changes
- Control: monitor the process to make sure that high
performance levels are maintained
4 23
Acceptance Sampling
Before an internal process is evaluated for performance, inputs
of it must be good quality.
Acceptance Sampling-contd.
Basic procedure:
1. A random sample is taken from a large
quantity of items and inspected relative to the
specifications or quality measures of interest
2. If the sample passes the inspection (meaning
a few defects), the entire quantity of items is
accepted
3. If the sample fails the test then
Acceptance Sampling
Firm A uses TQM or Six
Sigma to achieve internal
process performance
Buyer
Manufactures
furnaces
Motor inspection
Yes
Accept
motors?
Firm A
Manufacturers
furnace fan motors
TARGET: Buyers specs
No
Blade inspection
Yes
Accept
blades?
Supplier
Manufactures
fan blades
TARGET: Firm As specs
No
Process changes?
Decrease in the average # of complaints
per day at a hotel
Variation of outputs
No two products are alike although the
processes might be working as intended
there are many sources of variation
Nonetheless, variation should be
minimized because customer feels and
sees it
Ex: a physicians clinic submits claims on
behalf of its patients to an insurance comp.
Some cases clinic receives payments in 4
weeks in some 20. The time to process a
request for payment varies due to the load
of companys processes, medical history
of the patient, and skills of the employees
4 29
Performance measurements
To ways to evaluate performance:
4 30
Performance measurements-contd.
2. attributes: characteristics that can be
quickly counted for acceptable
performance. Allows inspectors to make a
yes/no decision about whether a
service/product meets the specifications.
Often used if specifications are complex
and measuring is difficult and costly.
Performance measurements-contd.
2. Attributes
- advantages: less effort and fewer resources are
needed compared to measuring variables
- disadvantages: even though attributes counts
can reveal that process performance has
changed, they cannot indicate by how much
Ex: a count can determine the proportion of
airline flights arriving within 15 minutes of their
scheduled times declined, but this count does
not show how much beyond the 15-minute
allowance flights are arriving. Actual deviation
from the scheduled arrival => a variable, needs
to be measured
4 32
Sampling
The most thorough approach: inspect each and every
product at each stage of the process for quality
complete inspection
Used when costs of passing defects to a customer
outweigh the inspection costs
Automated inspection equipment can record,
summarize, and display the data
Pays for itself in a reasonably short time
Sampling plan: specifies a sample size-quantity of
randomly selected observations of process outputs,
the time between successive samples, decision rules
that determine when action should be taken
Used when inspection costs are high due to the special
knowledge, skills, procedures, and expensive
equipment that are required to perform the inspections
4 33
Sampling Distributions
1. The sample mean is the sum of the observations
divided by the total number of observations
n
x
i 1
where
xi = observation of a quality characteristic (such as time)
n = total number of observations
x = mean
4 35
Sampling Distributions
2. The range is the difference between the largest
observation in a sample and the smallest. The
standard deviation is the square root of the
variance of a distribution. An estimate of the
process standard deviation based on a sample is
given by
x x
n 1
or
2
x
i
n 1
where
= standard deviation of a sample
4 36
Distribution of
sample means
Process
distribution
25
Time
Assignable
4 39
Assignable Causes
Average
(a) Location
Time
Figure 5.7 Effects of Assignable Causes on the Process Distribution for the Lab Analysis
Process
4 40
Assignable Causes
Average
(b) Spread
Time
Figure 5.7 Effects of Assignable Causes on the Process Distribution for the Lab Analysis
Process
4 41
Assignable Causes
Average
(c) Shape
Time
Figure 5.7 Effects of Assignable Causes on the Process Distribution for the Lab Analysis
Process
4 42
Control Charts
To determine whether observed variations are
abnormal, measure and plot the performance measures
taken from a sample on a time-ordered diagram- control
chart
Has a nominal value = central line = processs historic
average or a target that managers would like the
process to achieve
Has two control limits (upper and lower) based on the
sampling distribution of the quality measure used to
judge whether action is required
A sample that falls between UCL and LCL = process is
exhibiting common causes of variation
A sample that falls outside of the limits = process is
exhibiting assignable causes of variation, not
necessarily poor quality though!
4 43
Control Charts
Steps for a control chart
1.
2.
3.
4.
4 44
Control Charts
UCL
Nominal
LCL
Assignable
causes likely
Samples
Figure 5.8 How Control Limits Relate to the Sampling Distribution:
Observations from Three Samples
4 45
Control Charts
Variations
UCL
Nominal
LCL
Sample number
(a) Normal No action
Figure 5.9 Control Chart Examples
4 46
Control Charts
Variations
UCL
Nominal
LCL
Sample number
(b) Run Take action
Figure 5.9 Control Chart Examples
4 47
Control Charts
Variations
UCL
Nominal
LCL
Sample number
(c) Sudden change Monitor
Figure 5.9 Control Chart Examples
4 48
Control Charts
Variations
UCL
Nominal
LCL
Sample number
(d) Exceeds control limits Take action
Figure 5.9 Control Chart Examples
4 49
Control Charts
Not perfect tools to detect shifts cause they are
based on sampling distributions
Two types of error are possible with control
charts
A type I error occurs when a process is thought
to be out of control when in fact it is not
A type II error occurs when a process is thought
to be in control when it is actually out of
statistical control
These errors can be controlled by the choice of
control limits: use wider limits if the cost of
searching for assignable causes is large relative
to the cost of not detecting a shift in the process
distribution
4 50
SPC Methods
SPC are useful for both measuring the current process
performance and detecting whether the process has
changed in a way to affect the future performance
4 51
|
|
1.880
3.267
1.023
2.575
0.729
2.282
0.577
2.115
0.483
2.004
0.419
0.076
1.924
0.373
0.136
1.864
0.337
0.184
1.816
10
0.308
0.223
1.777
SPC Methods
x-Chart: used to 1. see whether the process is generating output
on average, consistent with a target value set by the management
2. Whether its current performance wrt the average of the performance is
consistent with its past performance
4 53
4 55
4 56
0.5014
0.5022
0.5009
0.5027
0.0018
0.5018
0.5021
0.5041
0.5024
0.5020
0.0021
0.5027
0.5018
0.5026
0.5035
0.5023
0.0017
0.5026
0.5008
0.5034
0.5024
0.5015
0.0026
0.5020
0.5041
0.5056
0.5034
0.5047
0.0022
0.5045
Average
0.0021
0.5027
4 58
Figure 5.10 Range Chart from the OM Explorer x and R-Chart Solver for the
Metal Screw, Showing That the Process Variability Is in Control
4 59
4 60
Figure 5.11 The x-Chart from the OM Explorer x and R-Chart Solver for the
Metal Screw, Showing That Sample 5 is out of Control
4 62
An Alternate Form
If the standard deviation of the process distribution is known,
another form of the x-chart may be used:
UCLx = x + zx and LCLx = x zx
where
x
n
x
z
= / n
= standard deviation of the process distribution
= sample size
= central line of the chart
= normal deviate number
4 64
n
z
= 5 minutes
= 1.5 minutes
= 6 customers
= 1.96
4 65
4 66
Application 5.1
Webster Chemical Company produces mastics and caulking for
the construction industry. The product is blended in large
mixers and then pumped into tubes and capped.
Webster is concerned whether the filling process for tubes of
caulking is in statistical control. The process should be
centered on 8 ounces per tube. Several samples of eight tubes
are taken and each tube is weighed in ounces.
Tube Number
Sample
Avg
Range
7.98
8.34
8.02
7.94
8.44
7.68
7.81
8.11
8.040
0.76
8.23
8.12
7.98
8.41
8.31
8.18
7.99
8.06
8.160
0.43
7.89
7.77
7.91
8.04
8.00
7.89
7.93
8.09
7.940
0.32
8.24
8.18
7.83
8.05
7.90
8.16
7.97
8.07
8.050
0.41
7.87
8.13
7.92
7.99
8.10
7.81
8.14
7.88
7.980
0.33
8.13
8.14
8.11
8.13
8.14
8.12
8.13
8.14
8.130
0.03
Avgs
8.050
0.38
4 67
Application 5.1
Assuming that taking only 6 samples is sufficient, is the process
in statistical control?
4 68
Application 5.1
Consider dropping sample 6 because of an inoperative scale,
causing inaccurate measures.
Tube Number
Sample
Avg
Range
7.98
8.34
8.02
7.94
8.44
7.68
7.81
8.11
8.040
0.76
8.23
8.12
7.98
8.41
8.31
8.18
7.99
8.06
8.160
0.43
7.89
7.77
7.91
8.04
8.00
7.89
7.93
8.09
7.940
0.32
8.24
8.18
7.83
8.05
7.90
8.16
7.97
8.07
8.050
0.41
7.87
8.13
7.92
7.99
8.10
7.81
8.14
7.88
7.980
0.33
Avgs
8.034
0.45
4 69
Application 5.1
Now R = 0.45, x = 8.034, and n = 8
4 70
p1 p / n
4 71
Using p-Charts
Periodically a random sample of size n is taken
The number of defectives is counted
The proportion defective p is calculated (defectives/n)
If the proportion defective falls outside the UCL, it is
assumed the process has changed and assignable
causes are identified and eliminated
4 72
Using a p-Chart
EXAMPLE 5.3
Hometown Bank is concerned about the number of wrong
customer account numbers recorded
4 73
Using a p-Chart
Sample
Number
Wrong Account
Numbers
Sample
Number
Wrong Account
Numbers
15
24
12
19
10
10
17
19
11
15
12
3
Total
147
4 74
Using a p-Chart
Step 1: Using this sample data to calculate p
Total defectives
147
=
= 0.0049
p=
Total number of observations
12(2,500)
p = p(1 p)/n = 0.0049(1 0.0049)/2,500 = 0.0014
4 75
Using a p-Chart
Step 2: Calculate the sample proportion defective. For sample 1,
the proportion of defectives is 15/2,500 = 0.0060.
Step 3: Plot each sample proportion defective on the chart, as
shown in Figure 5.12.
Fraction Defective
.0091
UCL
X
.0049
X
Mean
X
X
X
.0007
X
|
6
7
Sample
10
11
12
LCL
Figure 5.12 The p-Chart from POM for Windows for Wrong Account Numbers,
Showing That Sample 7 is Out of Control
4 76
Application 5.2
A sticky scale brings Websters attention to whether caulking
tubes are being properly capped. If a significant proportion of the
tubes arent being sealed, Webster is placing their customers in a
messy situation. Tubes are packaged in large boxes of 144.
Several boxes are inspected and the following numbers of
leaking tubes are found:
Sample
Tubes
Sample
Tubes
Sample
Tubes
15
16
10
17
11
18
12
19
13
20
14
Total =
72
4 77
Application 5.2
Calculate the p-chart three-sigma control limits to assess
whether the capping process is in statistical control.
p
0.025
Total number of tubes
20144
p
p1 p
0.025 1 0.025
0.01301
144
and
LCLc = c zc
4 79
Using a c-Chart
EXAMPLE 5.4
The Woodland Paper Company produces paper for the
newspaper industry. As a final step in the process, the paper
passes through a machine that measures various product
quality characteristics. When the paper production process is
in control, it averages 20 defects per roll.
4 80
Using a c-Chart
SOLUTION
a. The average number of defects per roll is 20. Therefore
UCLc = c + zc = 20 + 2(20) = 28.94
LCLc = c zc = 20 2(20) = 11.06
4 81
Using a c-Chart
Figure 5.13 The c-Chart from POM for Windows for Defects per Roll of Paper
b. Because the first five rolls had defects that fell within the
control limits, the process is still in control. Five defects
(sample 6), however, is less than the LCL, and therefore, the
process is technically out of control. The control chart
indicates that something good has happened.
4 82
Application 5.3
At Webster Chemical, lumps in the caulking compound could
cause difficulties in dispensing a smooth bead from the tube.
Even when the process is in control, there will still be an
average of 4 lumps per tube of caulk. Testing for the presence of
lumps destroys the product, so Webster takes random samples.
The following are results of the study:
Tube #
Lumps
Tube #
Lumps
Tube #
Lumps
10
11
12
4 83
Application 5.3
6 5 0 4 6 4 1 6 5 0 9 2
4
c
12
4 2
UCL c c zc 4 22 8
LCLc c zc 4 22 0
4 84
Process Capability
SPC techniques help achieve and maintain a process
distribution that does not change in terms of its mean
and variance
Control limits of the control charts signal when the
mean or variability of the process changes
Process Capability
Nominal
value
Process distribution
Lower
specification
20
Upper
specification
25
30
Minutes
Process Capability
Nominal
value
Process distribution
Lower
specification
20
Upper
specification
25
30
Minutes
Four sigma
Two sigma
Lower
specification
Upper
specification
Mean
Figure 5.15 Effects of Reducing Variability on Process Capability
4 88
Process Capability
The process capability index measures
how well a process is centered relative to
specifications and whether the variability is
acceptable
Cpk = Minimum of
where
Process Capability
If Cpk is less than the critical value, either the
process average is too close to one of the
tolerance limits and generating defective
output, or the process variability is too large.
To find out whether the variability is the
culprit, we need another test.
4 90
Process Capability
If a process fails the Cpk , test if the process
variability is the cause.
The process capability ratio tests whether
process variability is the cause of
problems
Cp =
4 91
Process Capability
If a process is capable, it has a process dist whose
extreme values fall within the upper and lower
specifications for a product. Ex: 99.74 percent of
values fall within 3 std dev
OR
The range of values of the quality measure
generated by a process is approximately 6 std dev
of the process dist.
OR
If a process is capable at the 3-sigma level, the
difference between the upper and lower
specification, tolerance width, must be greater
than 6 std devs.
4 92
4 93
4 94
4 96
26.2 20.0
= 1.53
3(1.35)
30.0 26.2
Upper specification calculation =
= 0.94
3(1.35)
Cpk = Minimum of [1.53, 0.94] = 0.94
4 99
Application 5.4
Webster Chemicals nominal weight for filling tubes of caulk
is 8.00 ounces 0.60 ounces. The target process capability
ratio is 1.33, signifying that management wants 4-sigma
performance. The current distribution of the filling process is
centered on 8.054 ounces with a standard deviation of
0.192 ounces. Compute the process capability index and
process capability ratio to assess whether the filling process
is capable and set properly.
4 100
Application 5.4
a. Process capability index:
Cpk = Minimum of
= Minimum of
Recall that a capability index value of 1.0 implies that the firm
is producing three-sigma quality (0.26% defects) and that the
process is consistently producing outputs within
specifications even though some defects are generated. The
value of 0.948 is far below the target of 1.33. Therefore, we
can conclude that the process is not capable. Furthermore,
we do not know if the problem is centering or variability.
4 101
Application 5.4
b. Process capability ratio:
Cp =
Recall that if the Cpk is greater than the critical value (1.33 for
four-sigma quality) we can conclude that the process is
capable. Since the Cpk is less than the critical value, either the
process average is close to one of the tolerance limits and is
generating defective output, or the process variability is too
large. The value of Cp is less than the target for four-sigma
quality. Therefore we conclude that the process variability must
be addressed first, and then the process should be retested.
4 102
Quality Engineering
Quality engineering is an approach
originated by Genichi Taguchi that involves
combining engineering and statistical
methods to reduce costs and improve
quality by optimizing product design and
manufacturing processes.
The quality loss function is based on the
concept that a service or product that
barely conforms to the specifications is
more like a defective service or product
than a perfect one.
4 103
Loss (dollars)
Quality Engineering
Lower
specification
Nominal
value
Upper
specification
4 104
International Standards
ISO 9000:2000 addresses quality management
by specifying what the firm does to fulfill the
customers quality requirements and applicable
regulatory requirements while enhancing
customer satisfaction and achieving continual
improvement of its performance
Companies must be certified by an external
examiner and listed in a directory
Says nothing about the actual quality of a
product
Assures customers that the organization is
performing as they say they are, and can
document to support what they do about quality
4 105
International Standards
ISO 14000:2004 documents a firms
environmental program by specifying what
the firm does to minimize harmful effects
on the environment caused by its activities
4 106
International Standards
External benefits are primarily increased sales
opportunities
ISO certification is preferred or required by
many corporate buyers
Internal benefits include improved profitability,
improved marketing, reduced costs, and
improved documentation and improvement of
processes
Around 10 % cost reduction while striving to
meet the documentation requirements
Guidelines and requirements provide
companies with a jump-start in pursuing TQM
4 107
4 109
Solved Problem 1
The Watson Electric Company produces incandescent
lightbulbs. The following data on the number of lumens for 40watt lightbulbs were collected when the process was in control.
Observation
Sample
604
612
588
600
597
601
607
603
581
570
585
592
620
605
595
588
590
614
608
604
4 110
Solved Problem 1
SOLUTION
a. To calculate x, compute the mean for each sample. To
calculate R, subtract the lowest value in the sample from the
highest value in the sample. For example, for sample 1,
601
24
602
10
582
22
602
32
604
24
2,991
112
x = 598.2
R = 22.4
Total
Average
4 111
Solved Problem 1
The R-chart control limits are
UCLR = D4R = 2.282(22.4) = 51.12
LCLR = D3R = 0(22.4) = 0
Solved Problem 2
The data processing department of the Arizona Bank has five
data entry clerks. Each working day their supervisor verifies
the accuracy of a random sample of 250 records. A record
containing one or more errors is considered defective and
must be redone. The results of the last 30 samples are shown
in the table. All were checked to make sure that none was out
of control.
4 113
Solved Problem 2
Sample
Number of Defective
Records
Sample
Number of Defective
Records
16
17
12
19
18
10
19
11
20
11
21
17
12
22
12
23
24
10
13
25
13
11
18
26
10
12
27
14
13
16
28
14
29
11
15
11
30
9
Total 300
4 114
Solved Problem 2
a. Based on these historical data, set up a p-chart using z = 3.
b. Samples for the next four days showed the following:
Sample
Tues
17
Wed
15
Thurs
22
Fri
21
4 115
Solved Problem 2
SOLUTION
a. From the table, the supervisor knows that the total number
of defective records is 300 out of a total sample of 7,500
[or 30(250)]. Therefore, the central line of the chart is
p=
300
= 0.04
7,500
p1 p
0.04(0.96)
0.04 3
0.077
n
250
Solved Problem 2
b. Samples for the next four days showed the following:
Sample
Proportion
Tues
17
0.068
Wed
15
0.060
Thurs
22
0.088
Fri
21
0.084
4 117
Solved Problem 3
The Minnow County Highway Safety Department monitors
accidents at the intersection of Routes 123 and 14. Accidents at
the intersection have averaged three per month.
a. Which type of control chart should be used? Construct a
control chart with three sigma control limits.
4 118
Solved Problem 3
SOLUTION
a. The safety department cannot determine the number of
accidents that did not occur, so it has no way to compute a
proportion defective at the intersection. Therefore, the
administrators must use a c-chart for which
UCLc = c + z c = 3 + 3 3 = 8.20
LCLc = c z c = 3 3 3 = 2.196
There cannot be a negative number of accidents, so the LCL
in this case is adjusted to zero.
b. The number of accidents last month falls within the UCL
and LCL of the chart. We conclude that no assignable
causes are present and that the increase in accidents was
due to chance.
4 119
Solved Problem 4
Pioneer Chicken advertises lite chicken with 30 percent fewer
calories. (The pieces are 33 percent smaller.) The process
average distribution for lite chicken breasts is 420 calories,
with a standard deviation of the population of 25 calories.
Pioneer randomly takes samples of six chicken breasts to
measure calorie content.
a. Design an x-chart using the process standard deviation.
b. The product design calls for the average chicken breast to
contain 400 100 calories. Calculate the process capability
index (target = 1.33) and the process capability ratio.
Interpret the results.
4 120
Solved Problem 4
SOLUTION
a. For the process standard deviation of 25 calories, the
standard deviation of the sample mean is
x
25
10.2 calories
n
6
4 121
Solved Problem 4
b. The process capability index is
Cpk = Minimum of
= Minimum of