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Decision points:
1. Soil condition.
2. Survey.
-No of sites recommended for drilling by survey.
Decision variables:
1. Additional Per foot charge taken for successful cases (x per
foot) .
2. Government subsidy for special and normal cases in failed
wells (the number of special cases).
3. Cost of digging in various cases.
Objective :
To reduce burden on farmer with unsuccessful wells by charging
appropriate amount from successful ones.
Constraints:
Additional charge per foot on successful wells should be greater
than zero( i.e. x>0).
The two options available are with survey digging and without
survey digging, we need to find the cost implication in both the
cases. Considering we have a total of 800 sites to be dug.
A.WITH SURVEY:
Considering recommended wells are 560 out of the 800 for
drilling (average depth of 200 feet).
Success rate is 80%, for 560 it will be 448.
A.1 SUCCESS CASE:
Cost for 448 wells: 448 *50*200 + 448*490(survey cost) +
additional.
Additional for 448 is x*448*200.
490 is per well cost of survey.
A.2 UNSUCCESSFUL CASE:
Cost for unsuccessful 112 wells:
Cost for 112 wells: 112*50*200 + 112*490(survey cost).
B.WITHOUT SURVEY:
For 200 feet:
For 800 wells 60% chance of success gives 480 well striking
water.
B.1 SUCCESS CASE:
Cost for 480 wells: 480 *50*200 + additional.
Additional for 480 is x*480*200.
B.2 UNSUCCESSFUL CASE at 200 feet(320 left wells):
Amount will be 320*200*50.
We can dig to 250 feet depending on soil condition