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ABSTRACT
Objectives: We describe temporal trends in stroke incidence stratified by age from our populationbased stroke epidemiology study. We hypothesized that stroke incidence in younger adults (age
2054) increased over time, most notably between 1999 and 2005.
Results: The mean age at stroke significantly decreased from 71.2 years in 1993/1994 to 69.2
years in 2005 (p 0.0001). The proportion of all strokes under age 55 increased from 12.9% in
1993/1994 to 18.6% in 2005. Regression modeling showed a significant change over time
(p 0.002), characterized as a shift to younger strokes in 2005 compared with earlier study
periods. Stroke incidence rates in those 2054 years of age were significantly increased in both
black and white patients in 2005 compared to earlier periods.
Conclusions: We found trends toward increasing stroke incidence at younger ages. This is of great
public health significance because strokes in younger patients carry the potential for greater
lifetime burden of disability and because some potential contributors identified for this trend are
modifiable. Neurology 2012;79:17811787
GLOSSARY
CHD coronary heart disease; GCNKSS Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Stroke Study; ICD International Classification of Diseases; ICH intracerebral hemorrhage; NHANES National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey;
SAH subarachnoid hemorrhage.
Supplemental Data
From the University of Cincinnati College of Medicine (B.M.K., K.A., C.J.M., D.W., O.A., M.L.F., P.K., S.F., F.D.L.R.L.R., J.P.B.); and Cincinnati
Childrens Hospital Medical Center (J.C.K.), Cincinnati, OH.
Study funding: Supported by NIH grant R01 NS30678.
Go to Neurology.org for full disclosures. Disclosures deemed relevant by the authors, if any, are provided at the end of this article.
Copyright 2012 by AAN Enterprises, Inc.
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Table 1
1993/1994
1999
1,942
2,034
1,916
Sex (female)
1,107 (56.3)
1,173 (58.2)
1,055 (55.2)
Race (black)
354 (17.3)
354 (15.4)
399 (19.0)
71.2 0.19
72.1 1.40
69.2 0.51
88 (4.1)
111 (4.6)
140 (6.4)
0.0002
227 (12.9)
303 (13.3)
393 (18.6)
0.002
0.21
0.02
0.0001
Age-specific incidence rates for first-ever stroke, excluding TIAs, per 100,000 (for 1993/1994, 1999, 2005; sex-adjusted to
2000 US population)
Black (95% CI)
Age category, y
2044
4554
2054 (combined)
5564
p Value
No.
2005
1993/1994
46 (3162)
236 (165308)
83 (64101)
414 (307521)
2005
1993/1994
58 (4075)
305 (242369)
b
128 (106149)
524 (414635)
1999
12 (915)
18 (1422)
76 (6191)
82 (6897)
26 (2231)
35 (3040)
237 (206269)
217 (188247)
2005
26a (2031)
96 (81111)
48b (4253)
209 (183235)
6574
961 (7781,145)
777 (609945)
837 (6601,014)
536 (485587)
541 (489594)
463 (412513)
7584
1,344 (1,0421,645)
920 (6781,162)
959 (7251,193)
1,063 (9711,156)
1,071 (9811,161)
780a (706855)
85
1,910 (1,2762,543)
1,831 (1,2622,400)
1,685 (1,4851,885)
1,763 (1,5691,957)
1,029c (6411,417)
1,297a (1,1421,452)
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Table 3
Stroke etiologya
Age 2044 y
Age 2054 y
1993/1994
(n 88)
1999
(n 111)
2005
(n 140)
1993/1994
(n 139)
1999
(n 192)
2005
(n 253)
1993/1994
(n 227)
1999
(n 303)
2005
(n 393)
Infarct
50 (56.8)
61 (55.0)
92 (65.7)
110 (84.6)
136 (73.8)
188 (70.1)b
160 (75.8)
197 (67.4)
280 (68.6)
Intracerebral hemorrhage
20 (22.7)
17 (15.3)
24 (17.1)
18 (9.5)
38 (13.7)
53 (16.3)
69 (16.9)
Subarachnoid hemorrhage
18 (20.4)
32 (28.8)
23 (16.4)
11 (5.8)
20 (9.4)
17 (6.3)
29 (10.5)
52 (16.0)
All hemorrhagic
38 (43.1)
49 (44.1)
47 (33.5)
29 (15.3)
56 (26.2)
62 (23.1)
67 (24.2)
105 (32.3)
0 (0.0)
1 (0.9)
1 (0.7)
0 (0.0)
0 (0.0)
3 (6.8)
0 (0.0)
Unknown etiology
a
Age 4554 y
36 (16.8)
45 (16.8)
40 (9.8)
109 (26.7)
1 (0.3)
4 (4.7)
No. (weighted %, taking sampling methodology into account for out-of-hospital ascertainment).
p 0.04.
Table 4
DISCUSSION
Risk factor prevalence in Cincinnati population-based surveys, comparable Cincinnati stroke populations, and NHANES for age 20
to 54 y
GCNKSS stroke
population, n (%)
GCNKSS survey
population, n (%)
NHANES, n (%)
1993/1994 1999
2005
1995
2000
2005
III
1999/2000
2005/2006
227
303
393
454
638
616
11,222
2,804
3,140
166 (57.8)
213 (52.2)
99 (21.8)
1955 (16.1)
458 (15.4)
562 (19.0)
Diabetes
66 (20.3)
80 (19.6)
26 (5.7)
44 (6.9)
349 (2.3)
109 (2.9)
146 (4.3)a
1,008 (11.1)
421 (16.8)
551 (21.0)b
115 (0.9)
25 (1.0)
29 (1.2)
3,514 (32.8)
725 (29.1)
798 (27.4)a
No.
42 (15.2)
37 (6.0)
b
High
cholesterol
22 (13.9)
54 (16.6)
75 (18.4)
86 (18.9)
Coronary
heart
disease
7 (2.5)
41 (12.6)
49 (12.0)b
8 (1.8)
20 (3.1)
Current
smoking
96 (40.7)
152 (46.8)
187 (45.8)
Stroke
10 (1.6)
6 (1.3)
15 (2.4)
17 (2.8)c
67 (0.6)
23 (0.8)
32 (1.0)
Obese (body NA
mass index
>30), n/N
25/52 (48.1)
NA
NA
NA
1,335 (19.4)
834 (28.8)
1,042 (33.6)d
Body mass
NA
index (kg/m2),
mean SE, N
NA
NA
132/301 (43.8)
Abbreviations: GCNKSS Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky Stroke Study; NA not applicable; NHANES National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.
a
p 0.01 change over time.
b
p 0.05 change over time.
c
p 0.12 (2-sided), p 0.06 (if 1-sided for trend).
d
p 0.0001.
e
p 0.0001 for NHANES III vs 2005/2006.
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Table 5
Overall
1993/1994
1999
2005
No.
1,907
1,995
1,883
CT done
1,775 (88.4)
1,932 (89.3)
1,797 (86.9)
MRI done
351 (18.7)
563 (27.6)
1,115 (56.7)
2044
33 (37.5)
45 (40.5)
98 (70.0)
4554
42 (31.0)
78 (46.7)
170 (63.4)
5564
77 (27.8)
101 (38.7)
220 (69.4)
6574
103 (18.0)
159 (27.3)
265 (63.0)
7584
84 (16.8)
140 (24.3)
255 (51.7)
85
12 (3.8)
40 (13.5)
107 (33.2)
MRI by age, y
a
p Value for trends all 0.0001 except for CT where p for
trend 0.71. Using logistic change over time by age interaction 0.13. Difference overall between ages, p 0.0001,
and change over time, p 0.0001.
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provided data collection and critical review for this manuscript. F. De Los
Rios La Rosa provided data collection and critical review for this manuscript. J. Broderick provided conception and design and critical review for
this manuscript. D. Kleindorfer obtained funding for this study. For this
manuscript, she provided conception and design, data collection, data
interpretation, drafting, and critical review.
DISCLOSURE
The authors report no disclosures relevant to the manuscript. Go to
Neurology.org for full disclosures.
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