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Question Paper
Integrated Case Studies III (MSF3S3) : October 2008
Case Study (100 Marks)
Case Study*
1.
<Answer>
Perform Michael porter five factor analysis for Indian Telecom Industry.
(
2.
<Answer>
Elucidate the reasons for such a high level of penetration of mobile services in India.
(
b.
10
marks)
Analyse the reasons for the low mobile penetration in rural India.
(
10
marks)
<Answer>
Based on the data given in Annexure I and II, analyze and comment on the financial performance of
Spice Communications.
(
4.
marks)
When we look at statistics, the level of penetration of mobile services in urban India is significantly
high at around 45% when compared with around 5% in rural India. However, as whole the telecom
industry has experienced enormous average annual growth rate of 45%. In this context,
a.
3.
10
12
marks)
<Answer>
Mr. Shah, an analyst, says that ROC is a momentum indicator that measures velocity and also leads the
price action. He has provided with the following model to calculate ROC Index:
ROC Index = (Today's close / Close n periods ago) 100
Using information in Annexure IV, calculate 12 month ROC Index for the stock of Spice
Communications and interpret the same with the diagram.
(
12
marks)
5.
<Answer>
Mr. Kiran Bhatia, an investor in options market, believes that in next three months, the stock price of
Spice Communications will not move significantly in either direction. He wants to create an option
strategy to get the benefits from his view and at the same time he wants to minimize his potential loss
in case of market moving against his expectations. Mr. Bhatia, has collected following information of
call options on the stock price of Spice Communications, which is currently trading at Rs.74.
Strike price
(Rs.)
70
76
82
Call price
(Rs.)
23
12
4
Maturity
3 months
3 months
3 months
You are required to suggest a suitable option strategy to Mr. Bhatia, considering the price range of
Rs.70 - Rs.83, prepare the payoff table for the strategy and also find the maximum profit/loss and
breakeven point(s) for such a strategy.
( 12 marks)
6.
<Answer>
7.
marks)
<Answer>
We are in the paradigm shift from the voice centric world of the previous generations of wireless
networks to the multi-media centric world of 3G. In this context, explain the advantages of 3G mobile
services to the users.
(
8.
12
12
marks)
We have been observing a trend of consolidation in Indian Telecom Industry as evidenced by different
mergers that have taken place recently. In light of this, analyse the rationale behind telecom companies
going for consolidations.
(
10
marks)
During 2003-2005, TRAI played an important role pertaining to the tariff orders. During this phase, severe competition resulted in
the reduction of tariff. Further, reduction in regulatory charges for operators resulted in the tariff reductions to subscribers. Added to
this, during 2003 and 2005, TRAI facilitated significant reduction in tariffs and the market witnessed a reduction in handset prices.
The following figure shows how the falling tariffs have been instrumental in spurring the growth in subscribers:
Figure: Mobile Growth and Effective Charge per Minute Steps taken for Increasing Growth
Source: TRAI.
Entry of Large Mobile Companies in India
A mobile service operator with physical expansion of its network gains substantial economies of scale and enhanced profitability.
Mobile service providers who have already established networks in India having pan-India exposure are Bharti, Airtel, Reliance
Communications and BSNL. Other mobile companies like Hutchison Essar, Airtel and Spice have applied for licenses to develop a
pan-India track thereby increasing competition and improving profitability.
Forecast of Healthy Economic Growth
To promote economic stability and growth, the Government of India initiated a series of comprehensive macroeconomic and
structural reforms in 1991. The Government of India initiated significant policy reforms for the economic growth of the country;
these reforms focused on deregulation of certain industry sectors, speeding up of foreign investments and execution of a
privatization program for disinvestment in public sectors. As a result, there was a significant increase in mobile access. Steady
growth in the services sector and a high growth in the industrial sector supported Indias per capita GDP growth.
Constructive Regulatory Regime
[1]
To improve mobile Tele density, TRAI took certain positive steps. The regulatory regime has not only encouraged healthy
competition but also allowed significant Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) participation up to 74% ownership in telecom companies.
Better clarity to the existing rules and procedures has been brought about in recent years. All these factors allowed operators to
focus on improving network quality and telecommunications services. In India, greater predictability of operational environment
ensured that the players could operate easily and efficiently in this sector and thereby increase financing and other funding on more
attractive terms. At the same time, there lies certain issues such as 3G spectrum allocations and number portability, which require
further clarity from the regulators.
TRENDS IN INDIAN TELECOMMUNICATIONS SECTOR
Global System for Mobile (GSM) communication and Code Division Multiple Access (CDMA) are the historically evolved two
different technology platforms in the Indian wireless market. Initial players, including Spice, adopted GSM technology and players
who received the limited mobile licenses in 2001 adopted CDMA technology. Indian regulatory environment became technology
neutral permitting players using both technologies to offer similar wireless services with the introduction of Unified Licensing
Policy. The main CDMA players have positioned CDMA 1.0x technology in most of their coverage areas in order to deliver highhttp://206.223.65.215/suggested/MSF3S3-1008.htm (3 of 17) [01-Nov-2008 2:18:07 PM]
speed data services and efficient utilization of spectrum compared to the traditional GSM technology. In addition to this,
subscribers hand sets with the CDMA technology are pre-programmed so that they are not reprogrammed if the subscriber switches
to another service provider resulting in barriers to switch and also in lower churn rates for CDMA providers. CDMA-based service
providers recorded a considerable growth with a market share of 22.6% as on March 2006 compared to 20.8% market share as on
March 2005. Prepaid subscribers dominate the growth of subscriber additions in India. In addition, affordability aspect of mobile
services has increased with the introduction of innovative tariff packages; for instance, Lifetime validity recharge, and micro
recharges that are as low as Rs.10. With the increase in the number of subscribers, mobile operators in the Indian
telecommunications industry attained economies of scale as companies negotiated better prices from network equipment vendors.
This resulted in the decrease of incremental capital expenditure per subscriber. Blended Average Revenue per User (ARPU) has
decreased with the domination of prepaid subscribers and fall in tariffs. Further, the impact of decreasing ARPU levels has been
mitigated with the rise in Memorandum of Understandings (MOUs). Expansion of telecommunications industry in India resulted
from the higher number of subscribers and the rise in MOUs. Increasing Demand for Value-added Services such as information
services, music messaging and voice recognition products contribute to the industry revenues. The development and supply of new
data-enabled handsets at lower prices is expected to enhance this trend. With increasing competition, tariffs of various kinds
declined drastically such as, the tariff between Delhi and Mumbai reduced from Rs.30.00 per minute in the year 2000 to Rs.1.00 per
minute in October 2006. Expenditure is expected to increase on account of the industry expansion to semi-urban and rural areas,
which may result in increased infrastructure costs and also Backhaul connectivity. Thus, operators are required to invest in capital
expenditure for network rollout.
SPICE COMMUNICATIONS
On 28th March 1995, spice communications was incorporated under the name, Modicom Network Private Limited. Later it
registered as Spice Communications Limited in 1999. In the year 1996, Modi Wellvest Private Limited (MWPL), a group company
incorporated in India, promoted the company and held 51% of its equity. Distacom Communications (India) Limited (DCIL) held
39% equity. Motorola India Networks Limited (MINL), a company incorporated under the laws of Republic of Mauritius, held 10%
of equity. In September 1999, DCIL purchased the entire 10% equity held by MINL and became the holder of 49% equity. In
March 2006, TMI Mauritius, a fully owned subsidiary of TMs international investment holding company, purchased the entire 49%
share capital of DCIL. The following table captures the key milestones of the company:
Table 1: Milestones Achieved by the Company
Year
1995
1995
1996
1996
1997
1999
1999
1999
1999
2000
2002
2003
2003
2004
2006
2006
2006
2006
Milestones
Incorporated as Private Limited Company under the name Modicom Network Private Limited for providing
telecommunication services.
Company fields bids for providing telecommunication services in six circles, out of which it got H-1 position in three
circles, i.e., it was the highest bidder for getting the license in Karnataka and Punjab and Rajasthan telecom circles.
The Company opted for two telecom circles of Karnataka and Punjab.
Company signed License Agreements with DoT for operation of Cellular Mobile Telephone Services in Punjab and
Karnataka.
MWPL, DCIL and MINL were issued 51%, 39% and 10% equity of the company.
Commencement of commercial operations in May 1997 in Karnataka Circle and June 1997 in Punjab Circle.
DCIL acquired the 10% equity in the Company held by MINL and became a 49% equity shareholder of the Company.
Achieved 0.1 million subscriber base.
Change of status by conversion into Deemed Public Limited Company and change of name to Modicom Network
Limited.
Change of name of the Company to Spice Communications Limited.
The Company became entitled to Revenue sharing regime of licensing instead of Fixed license fee regime.
Obtained ISP license.
Change of name of the Company to Spice Communications Private Limited.
Achieved 1 million subscriber base.
Migrated to United Access Services.
Achieved 2 million subscriber base.
TM International purchased the entire share capital of DCIL.
The Company applied for obtaining ILD and NLD Licenses.
The Company applied for Cellular Licence in 20 Circles.
2006
Name of Company changed to Spice Communications Limited.
Source: Adopted from the Companys Financial Report.
In the year 1995-96 Company bid for 6 circles wherein it got H-1 position i.e., highest bidder for getting license only in three
circles: Karnataka, Punjab and Rajasthan. It opted for Karnataka and Punjab; and accordingly, in the year 1996, it entered into
license agreement with DoT for cellular mobile service operation. Subsequently, in 1997 it commenced its operations of cellular
services in these circles. By the end of 2006, it became the second largest cellular service provider in Punjab and the sixth largest
cellular service provider in Karnataka based on the total number of subscribers.
Table 2 sets forth certain information relating to the companys subscribers for the period indicated:
Table 2: Subscriber Base
Particulars
For Quarter
Ended Sept.
2006
359,123
223,548
582,671
46,087
347,11
803,398
768,301
395,579
1,163,880
807,124
396,120
1,203,244
633
536
424
368
228
642
239
602
315
576
362
637
2003
1,925.33
(714.18)
(801.71)
2006
1,065.03
(1,929.36)
237.96
1,132,77
1,542.21
2,072.96
2,099.06
1,542,21
2,072.96
2,099.06
1,472.69
ANNEXURE I
30
June 2002
Income
Service Income
Sales of traded products
Other Income
Total (A)
Expenditure
Operating costs
Personal costs
Revenue sharing license fees
Administrative costs
Sales and marketing costs
Loan prepayment and restructuring Cost
Finance cost
Depreciation and amortization
Total (B)
Net profit (loss) before tax (A.B) Provision
for tax
Fringe benefit tax
Net profit/(loss) after tax
Profit/(Loss) brought forward from
previous year
Profit/(Loss) carried forward to Balance
Sheet
June 2003
June 2004
June 2005
ended
30
June 2006
5,016.99
4,942.59
5,363.41
6,018.96
46.71
6,614.86
0.07
5,016.99
309.37
5,326.36
4,942.59
849.95
5,792.54
5,363.41
180.70
5,544.11
6,065.67
364.92
6,430.59
6,614.93
189.60
6,804.53
1,237.63
296.49
488.04
590.98
803.43
3.28
1,057.86
1,004.45
5,482.16
(155.80)
1,454.76
315.55
452.70
461.72
597.72
3.28
763.11
1,171.59
5,220.43
572.11
1,800.51
346.82
424.95
513.81
773.20
3.28
677.26
1,235.09
5,774.92
(230.81)
2,149.08
381.51
340.49
601.27
928.55
3.28
715.71
1,239.25
6,359.14
71.45
2,377.51
406.68
358.49
809.85
1,156.29
48.11
862.18
1,458.21
7,477.32
(672.79)
(155.80)
(6,012.38)
572.11
(6,168.18)
(230.81)
(5,596.07)
1.76
69.69
(5,826.88)
12.97
(685.76)
(5,757.19)
(6,168.18)
(5,596.07)
(5,826.88)
(5,757.19)
(6,442.95)
B.
C.
Fixed Assets
i.
Gross block
Less: Accumulated
Depreciation
Net Block
ii.
Capital work in
Progress/advances
Investments
Current Assets, Loans and Advances
i.
Inventories
As at 30
June
2002
As at 30
June
2003
As at 30
June
2004
As at 30
June
2005
As at 30
June
2006
13,928.98
4,340.58
14,590.79
5,500.87
15,632.70
6,708.44
16,663.68
7,934.85
18,458.36
9,370.35
9,588.40
9,089.92
8,924.26
8,728.83
9,088.01
212.53
9,800.93
118.79
9,208.71
239.32
9,163.58
271.91
9,000.74
318.93
9,406.94
9.64
3.91
0.52
ii.
iii.
iv.
D.
Sundry debtors
Cash and bank balances
Loans and advances
555.79
1,132.77
303.62
2,001.82
11,802.75
493.88
1,542.21
698.82
2,738.82
11,947.53
517.32
2,072.96
642.81
3,233.09
12,396.67
578.65
2,099.06
749.86
3,428.09
12,428.83
487.77
1,472.69
520.38
2,480.84
11,887.78
7,300.73
3,602.24
1,565.95
12,468.92
(666.17)
7,180.24
3,368.41
1,489.67
12,038.32
(90.79)
7,451.41
3,364.28
1,899.29
12,714.98
(318.31)
7,397.34
3,364.28
1,912.56
12,674.18
(245.35)
11,073.12
1,973.32
13,046.44
(1,158.66)
5,519.40
5,519.40
5,519.40
5,519.40
5,519.40
(6,168.18)
(17.39)
(5,596.07)
(14.12)
(5,826.88)
(10.83)
(5,757.19)
(7.56)
(6,442.95)
(235.11)
(666.17)
(90.79)
(318.31)
(245.35)
(1,158.66)
(A + B + C)
Liabilities and provisions
i.
Secured loans
ii.
Unsecured Loans
iii.
Current Liabilities and Provisions
Net worth (A + B + C D)
E. Represented by
i.
Equity Share Capital
ii.
Reserves and surplus
Profit and Loss Account
iii.
Misc. Expenditure
to the extent not Written off or adjusted
Net Worth
(i + ii + iii)
Source: Adopted from Companys Financial Report.
ANNEXURE III
Statement of Cash flows
(Rs. in million)
Particulars
Year
ended 30
Year
ended 30
Year
ended 30
Year
ended 30
Year
ended 30
June 2002
June 2003
jUNE 2004
June 2005
June 2006
(155.80)
572.11
(230.81)
71.45
(672.79)
1,004.45
1.00
(66.12)
1,057.86
14.26
118.36
1,171.59
16.68
0.88
(57.28)
763.12
55.91
75.21
(54.48)
1,235.09
12.44
0.51
(54.89)
668.01
102.73
(0.61)
1,239.25
11.06
0.75
(58.43)
661.81
0.19
119.21
(28.95)
1,458.21
0.54
(44.58)
821.39
3.41
155.16
5.73
(66.04)
113.18
(190.66)
(51.11)
(186.86)
6.23
(737.59)
2,087.19
2,353.08
1,681.36
1,829.48
929.67
(405.47)
(939.73)
(66.38)
(414.77)
(126.17)
159.13
(173.26)
(80.76)
(61.69)
191.10
(Increase)/decrease in inventories
(Increase)/decrease in miscellaneous
expenditure
Increase/(decrease) in current Liabilities and
provisions
Net changes in Working Capital
Income tax refund/ (paid)
Fringe benefit tax paid
Cash generated from operations
Cash Flow from Investing Activities
Increase/(decrease) in capital creditors
Proceeds from sale of fixed assets
Additions to fixed assets (including CWIP)
Interest received
Net Cash from (used in) Investing Activities
Cash Flow from Financing Activities
Proceeds from borrowings short-term
Proceeds from borrowings long-term
Repayment of Debentures
Repayment of borrowings long-term
Repayment of borrowings short-term
Interest paid
Net cash from (used in) Financing Activities
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash
equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning
of the year
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the
year
Cash and cash equivalents at the year end
comprise:
Cash in hand
Cheques in hand
Balance with scheduled banks:
On current accounts
In other accounts
5.73
3.28
5.73
3.28
3.91
3.29
(0.52)
3.28
0.52
(233.29)
189.29
35.67
338.38
(99.64)
257.36
(1,146.90)
800.92
1,741.21
(436.47)
8.72
1,925.33
378.54
(30.10)
2,029.80
(350.90)
(6.88)
1,471.70
154.00
(9.27)
(9.37)
1,065.03
198.28
4.65
(761.35)
60.39
(498.03)
(257.21)
0.76
(519.03)
61.30
(714.18)
80.77
0.63
(1,187.47)
52.78
(1,053.29)
81.84
0.43
(1,325.25)
48.44
(1,194.54)
(118.49)
5.55
(1,867.09)
50.67
(1,929.36)
2,882.44
(693.39)
(168.90)
(2,212.21)
(793.06)
(985.12)
258.06
252.88
(69.97)
(467.08)
(517.54)
(801.71)
409.44
(57.39)
(388.37)
(445.76)
530.75
1,444.50
52.47
(1,444.50)
(303.53)
(251.06)
26.10
10,911.93
(2,347.73)
(4,859.51)
(3,364.28)
(102.45)
237.96
(626.37)
874.71
1,132.77
1,542.21
2,072.96
2,099.06
1,132.77
1,542.21
2,072.96
2,099.06
1,472.69
4.74
66.75
3.22
22.21
4.16
34.40
4.60
4.74
3.25
10.27
141.72
919.56
1,132.77
125.53
1,391.25
1,542.21
620.51
1,413.89
2,072.96
875.02
1,214.70
2,099.06
474.68
984.49
1,472.69
ANNEXURE IV
August 2007
Trading Day
Closing Price(Rs.)
1
55.65
2
58.45
3
58.70
4
57.95
5
57.45
6
58.00
7
56.45
August 2008
Trading Day
Closing Price (Rs.)
1
73.80
2
73.50
3
73.65
4
73.65
5
73.95
6
74.20
7
74.50
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
54.65
54.65
52.85
49.95
49.75
49.85
49.60
50.05
50.65
50.20
53.05
51.30
52.45
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
74.60
75.15
74.50
74.25
74.05
74.00
73.95
74.10
74.10
74.45
74.65
74.90
74.75
Suggested Answers
Integrated Case Studies III (MSF3S3) : October 2008
Section D : Case Study
1.Michael porter analysis: Indian Telecom Industry
Barriers to entry - Moderate
High capital costs and long gestation period, license needed by service providers to operate in a particular area,
reducing Average Revenue Per User (ARPU), all these factors act as a significant entry barrier. Network
coverage and spectrum allocation also deter new entrants.
Bargaining power of suppliers - Moderate
As there are 8-9 service providers and tariffs are controlled by the regulatory authorities, bargaining power with
the service providers is very less.
Bargaining power of buyers High
Drop in the handset prices, lowering tariffs and increasing affordability, all these factors are contributing to the
subscriber base. With the implementation of mobile number portability, the service providers have to constantly
endeavour to further improve their quality of service in order to retain existing customers and attain new
subscribers.
Inter firm rivalry - High
Owing to number of players operating in the industry and very little brand differentiation to speak of, the
competition is intense with players resorting to expanding reach and achieving pan India presence.
Threat of substitutes - Low
Telecommunications has virtually no substitutes. Postal services can be used as a means of communication but
today is the world of dot com and wireless, so telecom industry has almost no substitute.
2.a.
introduction of innovative tariff packages; for instance, Lifetime validity recharge, and micro
recharges that are as low as Rs.10.
Decline in handset prices: During 2003 and 2005, TRAI facilitated significant reduction in
The wireless telecom connections are becoming more and more lucrative for subscribers due to
the easy procurement of the service, competitive tariff plans, portability and many other value added
services such as internet, PMRTS, VSATs, radio paging, GMPCs, basic services and mobile services.
India has one of the lowest mobile phone tariffs in the world resulting in low Average Revenue
b.
needed.
Unavailability of signals is also a problem in rural areas. To overcome this problem towers are
needed.
Affordability of the service is the more important aspect. Plans should be kept using the data
target.
< TOP >
3.
Particulars
Profitability ratios
Operating Margin (%)
Net Profit Margin (%)
Cash Earnings Ratio
Leverage ratios
Long Term Debt/Net worth
Long Term Debt/Assets
Liquidity ratios
Current Ratio
Quick Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio
June 02
June 03
June 04
June 05
June 06
75.33
-2.925
0.16
70.57
9.877
0.30
66.43
-4.163
0.18
64.57
1.083
0.20
64.06
-10.08
0.11
-16.37
0.92
-116.19
0.88
-33.98
0.87
-43.86
0.87
-9.56
0.93
1.28
1.27
0.85
1.84
1.84
1.75
1.70
1.70
0.66
1.79
1.79
1.10
1.26
1.26
0.22
The operating profit margin has constantly decreased from 2002 to 2006. Net profit margin has been fluctuating
over the years and it can also be observed that net profit margin is negative for the years 2002, 2004 and 2006;
this can be due to terrific growth in indirect expenses, such as administration, sales and marketing, and
depreciation. This decrease in profit margin is probably due to improper-cost management. The same can be
observed in case of cash earning ratio.
The Long-term debt to net worth ratio has been negative through out the period under consideration. It is because
of negative net worth as the company has been incurring significant losses. Long-term debt to assets ratio shows
that capital expenditure spent on fixed assets including network equipment and office equipment have been
financed with debt, due to negative net worth. Hence, the company is highly levered firm indicating huge amount
of financial risk.
The current ratio of the company has been more or less stable over all these years under consideration and not
satisfactory. Also the quick ratio of the company is almost on the same levels as the current ratio. By careful
observation of current and quick ratios, it can be interpreted that inventories maintained by the firm are
negligible. It is due to the nature of the company or its operations in tele communication business. Interest
coverage ratio also has been fluctuating in all the years. The reason for this can be the foreign exchange exposure
the company has, due to the denomination of capital loans in US dollars.
< TOP >
4.
Trading Day
August 2007
Trading Day
August 2008
ROC Index
(%)
55.65
73.80
132.61
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
58.45
58.70
57.95
57.45
58.00
56.45
54.65
54.65
52.85
49.95
49.75
49.85
49.60
50.05
50.65
50.20
53.05
51.30
52.45
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
73.50
73.65
73.65
73.95
74.20
74.50
74.60
75.15
74.50
74.25
74.05
74.00
73.95
74.10
74.10
74.45
74.65
74.90
74.75
125.75
125.47
127.09
128.72
127.93
131.98
136.51
137.51
140.96
148.65
148.84
148.45
149.09
148.05
146.30
148.31
140.72
146.00
142.52
Interpretation:
A rising ROC Index indicates a growth in momentum (a bullish factor) and a falling index a loss in momentum (a
bearish factor). The line drawn at level 100 functions as a reference line to study the movement of the index.
When the ROC Index is above the reference line, the market price is at a higher level than the prevailing 12
months earlier. If the ROC Index is above the reference line and is also rising, then the rate at which the price
increases grows. Any fall in the ROC represents a drop in momentum. If the index is falling but is still above
reference line, it indicates a slow down in the rate of increase in price.
When the index falls below the reference line, a future loss of momentum is indicated. The point at which the
momentum index crosses the reference line, marks the onset of a trend reversal (Note that the ROC Index reaches
its peak much before it crosses the reference line).
When the index is below the reference line, but is rising, this is indicative of an increase in upward momentum.
The ROC Index turning upward, even while it lies below the reference line, marks a reversal of bearish trend.
Here in the case of spice communications, we can observe that the ROC index of the company has been
experiencing an up trend in the beginning, then it was more or less constant with minor fluctuations.
5.Current stock price = Rs. 74
The appropriate strategy is long butterfly spread. Mr. Mehta could create a long butterfly spread by buying one
call option each at strike prices Rs.70 and Rs.85 and selling two call options at the intermediate strike price
Rs.76
Initial investment = 23 + 4 - (2 12) = 3
Pay-off table
Stock price
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
Long call
(Rs.70)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Long call
(Rs.82)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Short calls
(Rs.76)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Initial
outflow
-3
-3
-3
-3
-3
-3
-3
Net pay-off
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
-12
-14
-3
-3
-3
-3
-3
-3
-3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-3
Indian telecom sector, has GSM operations in only two circles (Punjab and Karnataka).
Operating margins would be significantly lower than larger peers based on: i) lower proportion of
on-net calls, ii) insufficient leverage of long distance infrastructure iii) bargaining power for interconnects, and iv) roaming with other operators.
OPPORTUNITY
Value added services: The company develops Mobile VAS and other operating solutions, as well
as content for Mobile Service Providers. Spice Mobile VAS has partnered with the Airtel, Idea and
Reliance. The company specializes in mobile VAS and tech platform solutions (TELCO-centric), social
networking, gaming solutions and mobile marketing.
Leading a partnership with other operators to form a fourth front.
Spice telecom has applied for licenses for 20 additional circles, in addition to applying for licenses for
NLD and ILD, which will enable it to capture captive traffic from its 2 licensed areas. This would be
sufficient to make these services viable. Apart from starting VPN services, NLD/ILD Service will permit
National Presence and enhance Spice Telecoms offering.
Focus on traders and small business segments in Punjab with a teledensity of 23% has the highest mobile
penetration amongst all circles, now will be on coverage in interior and rural areas. Karnataka on the
other hand is double the size of Punjab in terms of population and geography and therefore represents
enormous untapped potential. Both these states are rated as the GO LD PLATED states by the
Industry. There will be continuous development of more Innovative Products and Services with
differentiated features for target markets ensuring customer loyalty and delight.
THREAT
Bigger competitors: Bharti group which has very aggressive network coverage and spectrum
allocation.
One of the reasons behind the success of regional brands is their ability to focus on their region,
with flexibility to respond faster to market forces. But with unstable regulatory policies and a vacuum
created as not being a national player, the local image is seen as limiting, especially when it s
compared with National tariffs, STD, GPRS and roaming.
7.3G represents a paradigm shift from the voice centric world of the previous generations of wireless networks to
the multi-media centric world of 3G. Reflecting the high 3G bandwidth and the fact that it is packet based, 3G
devices will offer capabilities that are a combination of a phone, PC, and a TV. Examples of services that will be
3G networks can offer are:
Always-on connection with users paying only when sending or receiving packets.
Web surfing.
Instant messaging and email with multimedia attachments.
Location based services.
Personalized services, where content can be pushed to users.
Broadband multimedia data services like video conferencing and streaming video.
Receiving faxes.
Global roaming capability.
Getting maps and directions with a multi-modal user interface.
Customized entertainment.
Simultaneous access to multiple services, each service offering some combination of voice, video, data,
etc.
Long-distance phone calls, domestic and international, could get a lot cheaper. Apart from general
telephone users, other major beneficiaries will be BPO companies, who will be able to slash costs of
making phone calls, by almost 70 per cent as per some estimates. That will be good for the
competitiveness of India's BPO industry.
Broadband wireless access (BWA) technologies enable high-speed data communication over wireless
links. It offers significant advantages over wireline broadband systems based on cable network or DSL,
having better coverage, speedy deployment, high scalability, lower maintenance and upgrade costs, and
phased investment to match market growth
Potential Killer Applications:
The high bandwidth of 3G networks will lead to the creation of new services, some of which we have no idea
about at this time. The big question is what services will be big revenue makers for the wireless service
providers. In 2G networks, the big winners have been short text messaging in GSM networks (Europe and
countries other than USA) and image downloads and forwarding on iMode networks in Japan. Two candidate
services for big winners in 3G networks are
video conferencing and
video messaging.
It will allow users to view movies on their mobile phones, conduct video telephony, send and receive e-mail,
play the stock market while on the move, and so on.
8.Rationale behind consolidation phase in Indian Telecom Industry:
The companies that are not big enough to compete on the scale with the big guys and not able
to establish a tight relationship with the communities they serve, are going away,
The stated trends behind the consolidation push, the need for global economies of scale and
fixed/mobile convergence.
There is a need for telecom service providers to be large enough to provide adequate logistical
support, carry more inventory with short lead times to accommodate success-based builds, [equip,
furnish and install] support and have the ability to offer some outsourcing capabilities around networks
and an end-to-end portfolio, with aggressive pricing to match.
Equipment vendors have to provide an end-to-end solution for delivering voice, data and video
the basis of number of subscribers will force companies to merge, so as to claim large number of
subscribers to gain more spectrum as a precursor to the launch of larger and expanded services.
However, it must also be noted that this may very well never happen on account of low telecom
penetration.
* The above case is prepared only for the purpose of examination and not to illustrate either effective or ineffective
performance of the fund. The case contains real information adapted and combined with other information to generate
discussion or analysis on the desired topics.
[1]
Tele density implies the number of landline telephones in use for every 100 individuals living within an area. A tele density greater than
100 means there are more telephones than people.