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v0.95
http://www.mymentalmodels.info/checklistpdf
- Power Laws: 80/20
- Expected Value
- Regression to Mean: Height, Performance (punishment/praise no impact)
- Long Tail: Amazon, Specialization
- Law of Small Numbers: Worst and Best Schools are the Smallest
- Meehl Pattern: Experts and Low/High Validity Environments
- Sunk Cost
- Time Value of Money
- Advantages of Scale vs Specialization
- Creative Destruction: Wave-riding, Stick-to-Ribs
- Comparative Advantage: Tiger Woods & Lawn
- Opportunity Cost: Options Not Chosen
- Agency Costs
- Tragedy of the Commons/Prisoner's Dilemma/Red Queen Effect
- Moral Hazard
- Gresham's Law: Bad Drives Out Good (Money/Behavior)
- Mathew Effect: Small Initial Advantage Snowballs
- Diminishing Returns: Fatigued Worker
- Critical Mass: Non-linearity, Tipping Points, M-Stan vs E-Stan
- Redundancy: Fail-Safes, Backups
- Constraints: Bottlenecks/Weak Links
- Evolution: Selfish Gene, Caveman Syndrome
- Tight Coupling: Dependent Components
- Break Points
- Feedback Loops: Positive & Negative
- Autocatalysis: Disney Movie Catalog -> VHS
- Equilibrium: Static vs Dynamic
- Complex Adaptive Systems: Participants Change the System
- Collective Intelligence: Crowdsourcing, Diversity
- Emergence: Whole is Greater than Sum of Parts
- Meta-cognition: System 1/2, Growth Mindset, Optimism, Mindfulness
- Checklists: do-confirm, read-do
- Invert: How Not To
- Disconfirming Evidence: Disprove
- Outside View: What Usually Happens
- Broad Framing: Risk Policies, Decisions in Aggregate
- 2nd/3rd Order Consequences: Peltzman/Seat Belts
- Perfect vs Good: Sometimes Better to Just Do than Wait and Perfect
- Lollapaloozas
- Pre-mortem: Assume Failure, Explain Why