IIU MTH 2212 Sem.

I, 2014-2015
Assignment 1
1.Messages that arrive at a service centre for an information systems
manufacturer have been classifed on the basis of the number of keywords and
the type of message, either email or voice. Also 70 of the messages arrive via
email and the rest are voice.
!umber of keyword 0 1 " # $
%mail 0.1 0.1 0." 0.$ 0."
&oice 0.# 0.$ 0." 0.1 0
'etermine the probability mass function of the number of keywords in a
message.
".'etermine the probability mass function for the random variable with the
following cumulative distribution function(
#.)rom *00 customers, a ma+or appliance manufacturer will randomly select a
sample without replacement. ,he company estimates that "* of the customers
will provide useful data. -f this estimate is correct, what is the probability mass
function of the number of customers that will provide useful data. Assume that
the company samples * customers.
$.,he probability that your call to a service line is answered in less than #0
seconds is 0.7*. Assume that your calls are independent.
/a0-f you call 10 times, what is the probability that e1actly 2 of your calls are
answered within #0 seconds.
/b0-f you call "0 times, what is the probability that at least 13 calls are answered
in less than #0 seconds.
/c0-f you call "0 times, what is the mean number of calls that are answered in
less than #0 seconds.
*. ,ra4c 5ow is traditionally modelled as a 6oisson distribution. A tra4c
engineer monitors the tra4c 5owing through an intersection with an average
of 3 cars per minute. ,o set the timing of a tra4c signal the following
probabilities are used.
/a0 7hat is the probability of no cars through the intersection within #0
seconds.
(b) 7hat is the probability of three or more cars through the intersection
within #0 seconds.
/c0 8alculate the minimum number of cars through the intersection so that
the probability of this number or fewer cars in #0 seconds is at least 20.
/d0 -f the variance of the number of cars through the intersection per minute
is "0, is the 6oisson distribution appropriate. %1plain.
3. 'etermine the probability density function for
7. ,he gap width is an important property of a magnetic recording head. -n coded
units, if the width is a continuous random variable over the range from 0 9 1
9" with f(x)= 0.5x, determine the cumulative distribution function of the gap
width.
:. ,he probability density function for the diameter of a drilled hole in mm is 10e
;
10/1;*0
for 1 < * mm. Although the target diameter is * mm, vibrations, tool
wear, and other nuisance produce diameters larger than * mm.
/a0 'etermine the mean and variance of the diameter of the holes.
/b0 'etermine the probability that a diameter e1ceeds *.1 mm.
2. 7ithout an automated irrigation system, the height of plants two weeks after
germination is normally distributed with a mean of ".*cm and a standard
deviation of 0.* cm.
/a0 7hat is the probability that a plant=s height is greater than "."*cm.
/b0 7hat is the probability that a plant=s height is between ".0 and #.0 cm.
/c0 7hat height is e1ceeded by 20 of the plants.
10. ,he diameter of the dot produced by a printer is normally distributed with
a mean diameter of 0.00" inch.
/a0 >uppose that the specifcations re?uire the dot diameter to be between
0.001$ and 0.00"3. -f the probability that a dot meets specifcations is to be
0.227#, what standard deviation is needed.
/b0 Assume that the standard deviation is of the si@e of a dot is 0.000$ inch. -f
the probability that a dot meets specifcation is to be 0.227#, what
specifcations are needed. Assume that the specifcations are to be chosen
symmetrically around the mean of 0.00".
11. ,he life of a semiconductor laser at a constant power is e1ponentially
distributed with a mean of 7000 hours and a standard deviation of of 300
hours.
/a0 7hat is the probability that a laser fails before *:00 hours.
/b0 7hat is the life in hours that 20 of the laser e1ceed.
1". An electronic o4ce product contains *000 electronic components. Assume
that the probability that each component operates without failure during the
useful life of the product is 0.222, and assume that the components fail
independently. Appro1imate the probability that 10 or more of the original
*000 components fail during the useful life of the product.
1#. ,he time between arrivals of ta1is at a busy intersection is e1ponentially
distributed with a mean of 10 minutes.
/a0 7hat is the probability that you have ait longer than one hour for a ta1i.
/b0 >uppose you have already been waiting for one hour for a ta1i, what is the
probability that one arrives within the ne1t 10 minutes.
/c0 'etermine x such that the probability that you wait more than x minutes
is 0.10.
/d0 'etermine x such that the probability that you wait less than x minutes is
0.20.
1$. According to results from the analysis of chocolate bars, the mean number
of insect fragments was 1$.$ in ""* grams. Assume that the number of
fragments follow a 6oisson distribution.
/a0 7hat is the mean number of grams of chocolate until a fragment is
detected.
/b0 7hat is the probability that there are no fragments in ":.#* grams /one
ounce0 chocolate bar.
/c0 >uppose you consume seven one;ounce /":.#* grams0 bars this week.
7hat is the probability of no insect fragments.
1*. ,he lifetime of a mechanical assembly in a vibration test is e1ponentially
distributed with a mean of $00 hours.
/a0 7hat is the probability that an assembly on test fails in less than 100
hours.
/b0 7hat is the probability that an assembly operates for more than *00
hours before failure.
/c0 -f an assembly has been on test for $00 hours without a failure, what is
the probability of a failure in the ne1t 100 hours.
/d0 -f 10 assemblies are tested, what is the probability that at least one fails
in less than 100 hours. Assume that the assemblies fail independently.
/e0 -f 10 assemblies are tested, what is the probability that all have failed by
:00 hours. Assume the assemblies fail independently.