Sei sulla pagina 1di 18

Toy World Page 230

Solution to Toy World, Inc.


Case 32A Toy World, Inc. Cash Budgeting
Copyright 1996 by the Dryden Press. All rights reserved.
CASE INFO!ATION
PURPO!
"his #ase analy$es a straight%or&ard #ash b'dgeting proble(. )t is designed to ill'strate
the (e#hani#s o% a #ash b'dget and the &ay #ash b'dgets are 'sed. Dis#'ssion *'estions
%o#'s on the rationale behind the 'se o% #ash b'dgets as &ell as on their inherent
proble(s. "he #ase also raises the iss'es o% the target #ash balan#e+ the opti(al si$e o%
the #redit line+ the invest(ent o% e,#ess #ash+ and prod'#tion s#hed'ling %or a seasonal
b'siness.
")-! R!.U)R!D
/itho't 'sing the (odel+ 301 ho'rs o% st'dent preparation sho'ld be ade*'ate %or (ost
st'dents+ &ith possibly another ho'r or so to &rite 'p the #ase i% it ('st be handed in.
Use o% the spreadsheet (odel #an greatly red'#e preparation ti(e+ espe#ially i% the
#o(pleted (odel or the easy (a#ro version is given to st'dents.
CO-P2!3)"4
A relatively si(ple+ b't &ith a %air a(o'nt o% n'(ber #r'n#hing %or st'dents not 'sing the
spreadsheet (odel. 5o&ever+ a n'(ber o% related iss'es #an be dis#'ssed+ so st'dents
#an p't in a signi%i#ant a(o'nt o% ti(e on the #ase. till+ they #an get the gist o% it
&itho't too ('#h tro'ble.
/A4 /! 5A6! U!D "5! CA!
/e have 'sed this #ase in t&o very di%%erent &ays. 7irst+ &ith both introd'#tory and not
very0&ell0prepared se#ond #o'rse st'dents+ &e as8 the( to read the #ase and to be#o(e
generally %a(iliar &ith it+ and then &e go thro'gh the #ase in #lass in lie' o% a le#t're to
ens're that st'dents see the iss'es involved. /hen &e 'se the #ase in this (anner+ &e
al&ays assign the dire#ted version. "he *'estions in the dire#ted version lead st'dents
thro'gh the topi#s &e &ant to address+ and they provide str'#t're to the #lass. "he #ase
itsel% sets the #onte,t in &hi#h all #al#'lations and de#isions are (ade+ and this o%ten
&or8s better than a p're le#t're be#a'se the #ase (a8es the (aterial see( 9(ore
relevant.9 /e parti#'larly li8e this 'sage &ith evening st'dents and:or e,e#'tives and
(anagers. /ith (ore advan#ed st'dents+ &e assign the #ase to 201 person tea(s. One
tea( is as8ed to present their %indings and #on#l'sions to the #lass+ and the other tea(s
are as8ed to prepare &ritten reports ;< page (a,i('( %or te,t+ pl's e,hibits=. /e as8 the
st'dents to play the role o% internal or e,ternal #ons'ltants+ reporting to (anage(ent.
/hen the #ase is assigned in this (anner+ &e highly re#o((end the non0dire#ted
version. /ith the dire#ted version+ the presentation and reports are too (e#hani#al00
st'dents >'st ans&er the spe#i%i# *'estions. /ith the non0dire#ted version+ st'dents have
(ore s#ope to #onsider di%%erent things+ and to 'se di%%erent n'(bers in arriving at their
9ans&ers.9 "his (a8es things (ore interesting+ and dis#'ssions a(ong the st'dents are
(ore li8ely to arise.
Toy World Page 231
)n either type 'sage+ &e tell st'dents to read the relevant #hapter in their te,tboo8 in
#on>'n#tion &ith &or8 on the #ase. ;O'r st'dents are as8ed to have a standard %inan#e
te,tboo8 %or re%eren#e in the #o'rse. o(e te,ts &or8 better than others %or re%eren#e
p'rposes+ b't all te,ts #over the (aterial in this and other #ases.= /e also tell st'dents
that in this #ase+ as in the real &orld+ they (ay not be provided all the data and other
in%or(ation they &o'ld li8e. "hen &e tell the( that i% an iss'e is addressed in the te,t
#hapter that see(s relevant to the #ase+ b't no data is provided in the #ase+ that &e &ill
give the( 9bro&nie points9 %or dis#'ssing ho& they+ as #ons'ltants+ &o'ld go abo't
getting the (issing data and then 'sing it+ and &e en#o'rage the( to (a8e 'p realisti#
data and then analy$e it &ithin the #onte,t o% the #ase. "his so(eti(es %or#es st'dents to
thin8 abo't di%%i#'lt b't relevant iss'es+ and it really opens things 'p in ter(s o% giving
the( s#ope %or digging into the s'b>e#t. /e have had st'dents loo8 'p %'t'res (ar8et
data+ yield #'rve data+ and so %orth. O% #o'rse+ &e have had other st'dents &ho >'st do
the (ini('( a(o'nt o% &or8 #alled %or dire#tly in the #ase. ?'t the non0dire#ted #ase
does give st'dents s#ope to go on &ith e,tra &or8 i% they &ant to.
@O@0D)R!C"!D CA! ")P
"his #ase #o(es in both dire#ted and non0dire#ted versions. )% yo' are 'sing the non0
dire#ted version00the version &itho't end0o%0#ase *'estion00yo'r st'dents &ill re#eive
general g'idan#e in the #ase+ b't they &ill not have a spe#i%i# list o% *'estions to ans&er.
"h's+ the %irst step that st'dents ('st ta8e in solving the non0dire#ted version o% this #ase
is to develop a sol'tion strategy. "hen+ they ('st e,e#'te their strategy to arrive at a #ase
sol'tion.
/hen &e 'se the non0dire#ted version o% this #ase+ &e tend to give st'dents a great deal
o% latit'de. O% #o'rse+ &e e,pe#t all st'dents to do a #redible >ob o% #reating the base
#ase. ?eyond that+ ho&ever+ &e tend to (ost re&ard those st'dents that dig deepest into
the #ase and thereby dis#over that there is a lot (ore s'b>e#tivity to #apital b'dgeting
#ash %lo& analysis than %irst appears. As in the real &orld+ &e re&ard innovation and
#reativity (ore that (ere (i(i#ry+ ass'(ing o% #o'rse that so'nd %inan#ial prin#iples are
not violated.
in#e the dire#ted and non0dire#ted versions o% this #ase are very si(ilar+ the sol'tion to
the dire#ted version that &e present here provides an e,#ellent prototype sol'tion to the
non0dire#ted version. )n %a#t+ &e %ollo& the dire#ted #ase sol'tion &hile st'dents are
(a8ing #lass presentations o% their sol'tions to the non0dire#ted #ase. /e then raise
those iss'es that st'dents (iss in their analysis either d'ring or a%ter the presentation. )n
that &ay+ &e ens're that the (ain points o% the #ase are #overed.
)@"RUC"OR PR!PARA")O@
Regardless o% &hi#h version yo' 'se+ &e re#o((end that yo' read thro'gh the #ase and
then read thro'gh the *'estions and ans&ers provided in this sol'tion. "he *'estions are
%ro( the dire#ted #ase+ and they to'#h on (ost o% the points that o##'rred to 's and that
st'dents are li8ely to bring 'p &hen they go thro'gh the #ase. Obvio'sly+ other points
#o'ld be (ade+ b't the *'estions and ans&ers &ill give yo' a good idea o% ho& &e deal
&ith the #ase.
Toy World Page 232
!O"E# INFO!ATION
D!CR)P")O@
"he spreadsheet (odel %or this #ase+ %ilena(e CA!32A)+ #reates both a (onthly and a
daily b'dget on the basis o% a set o% inp't variables. @ote that all per#entages ('st be
entered in their de#i(al %or(. "he -OD!20A!@!RA"!D DA"A se#tion is #al#'lated
in a relatively straight%or&ard (anner00 no #o(ple, e*'ations or (anip'lations are 'sed.
"he only potential #on%'sion &o'ld probably o##'r in the e,pe#ted sales vers's the
reali$ed sales se#tion. 5ere &e have based #olle#tions on reali$ed sales+ b't e,penses are
#al#'lated 'sing e,pe#ted sales. "his has the e%%e#t o% (a8ing all e,penses %i,ed &ith
respe#t to %ore#asted sales regardless o% reali$ed sales+ &hi#h is the ass'(ption 'sed in
.'estion 9. "he )@PU" DA"A and B!4 OU"PU" se#tions are sho&n belo&C
)@PU" DA"AC B!4 OU"PU"C
Pro>e#ted alesC Cost DataC @et Cash 7lo&
199< 6ariable #ostsC Dan ;E2F9+100=
@ov EF00+000 -aterials 30G 7eb EH9+0<0
De# 92<+000 ;G paid be%ore sale= -ar ;E131+960=
1996 2 (onths prior 60G Apr ;E93+F2<=
Dan E<00+000 1 (onth prior 10G -ay ;E190+100=
7eb 300+000 2abor 10G D'n ;E132+000=
-ar 2F0+000 ;G paid be%ore sale=
Apr 22<+000 2 (onths prior <0G C'( ;2oan=
-ay 200+000 1 (onth prior <0G or 'rpl's
D'ne 2<0+000 Dan E2F9+100
D'l 3<0+000 7i,ed CostsC 7eb E36F+1<0
A'g 100+000 -onthly -ar E236+190
Aen:ad(in e,pense E9<+000 Apr E112+36<
ales as G 2ease pay(ent 60+000 -ay ;E1F+03<=
o% %ore#ast 100G Depre#iation 1H+<00 D'n ;E1F0+03<=
-is# e,pense 10+000
Cash ?alan#e DataC
.'arterly
"gt balan#e E1<0+000 "a,es E90+000
?eg #ash 1<0+000
e(i0ann'ally
Colle#tions DataC )nterest EF0+000
Dis# period 1< D'ne only
Dis# G 2.0G @e& e*'ip(ent E100+000
G ta8ing dis# 3<G
@et period 30
G #'sto(ers 60G
2ate period 60
G paying late <G
Ta$le %& !onthly Cash Budget Wor'sheet
). CO22!C")O@ A@D PA4-!@"
@ove(ber De#e(ber Dan'ary 7ebr'ary -ar#h April -ay D'ne
Aross sales ;e,pe#ted= EF00+000 E92<+000 E<00+000 E300+000 E2F0+000 E22<+000 E200+000 E2<0+000
Aross sales ;reali$ed= EF00+000 E92<+000 E<00+000 E300+000 E2F0+000 E22<+000 E200+000 E2<0+000
Colle#tionsC
-onth o% sale E2H1+100 E31H+2H< E1H1+<00 E102+900 E96+010 EHH+1H< E6F+600 EF<+H<0
1 (onth a%ter sale 1F0+000 <<<+000 300+000 1F0+000 16F+000 13<+000 120+000
2 (onths a%ter sale 10+000 16+2<0 2<+000 1<+000 11+000 11+2<0
"otal #olle#tions EH66+<00 E119+1<0 E301+010 E260+1H< E21H+600 E21H+000
P'r#hasesC E1<0+000 E90+000 EF1+000 E6H+<00 E60+000 EH<+000 E10<+000 E120+000
Pay(entsC
2 (os prior to sale 90+000 <1+000 <0+100 10+<00 36+000 1<+000 63+000 H2+000
1 (o prior to sale 60+000 36+000 33+600 2H+000 21+000 30+000 12+000
"otal p'r#hases EF6+100 EH1+100 E63+000 E69+000 E93+000 E111+000
Toy World Page 231
Ta$le % (continued)
)). CA5 AA)@ OR 2O 7OR -O@"5
Dan'ary 7ebr'ary -ar#h April -ay D'ne
Colle#tions EH66+<00 E119+1<0 E301+010 E260+1H< E21H+600 E21H+000
Pay(entsC
P'r#hases EF6+100 EH1+100 E63+000 E69+000 E93+000 E111+000
2abor
2 (os prior to sale <6+000 1<+000 10+000 <0+000 H0+000 F0+000
1 (o prior to sale 60+000 <6+000 1<+000 10+000 <0+000 H0+000
Aeneral: ad(inistrative e,p 9<+000 9<+000 9<+000 9<+000 9<+000 9<+000
2ease 60+000 60+000 60+000 60+000 60+000 60+000
-is#ellaneo's e,penses 10+000 10+000 10+000 10+000 10+000 10+000
"a,es 90+000 90+000
)nterest ;on bonds= F0+000
@e& e*'ip(ent 100+000
"otal pay(ents E1HH+100 E3H0+100 E133+000 E3<1+000 E10F+000 E619+000
@et #ash gain ;loss= E2F9+100 EH9+0<0 ;E131+960= ;E93+F2<= ;E190+100= ;E132+000=
))). CA5 URP2U OR 2OA@ R!.U)R!-!@"
Dan'ary 7ebr'ary -ar#h April -ay D'ne
Cash at start i% no borro&ing is done E1<0+000 EH39+100 EF1F+1<0 E6F6+190 E<92+36< E101+96<
C'('lative #ash EH39+100 EF1F+1<0 E6F6+190 E<92+36< E101+96< ;E30+03<=
"arget #ash balan#e 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000
'rpl's #ash or total loans
o'tstanding to (aintain E2F9+100 E36F+1<0 E236+190 E112+36< ;E1F+03<= ;E1F0+03<=
Toy World Page 23<
Ta$le 2& "aily Cash Budget Wor'sheet
). CO22!C")O@ A@D PA4-!@" target #ash balan#e
DayC 1 2 < 6 1< 16 31

Aross sales E16+129 E16+129 E16+129 E16+129 E16+129 E16+129 E16+129
Colle#tionsC
Dis#o'nt payers E10+23< E10+23< E10+23< E10+23< E10+23< E<+<32 E<+<32
@et payers 1H+903 1H+903 1H+903 1H+903 1H+903 1H+903 9+6HH
2ate payers 1+333 1+333 1+333 1+333 1+333 1+333 1+192
"otal #olle#tions E29+1H1 E29+1H1 E29+1H1 E29+1H1 E29+1H1 E21+H69 E16+H02
P'r#hasesC EF1+000
Pay(ents
2 (os prior to sale <0+100
1 (o prior to sale 36+000
"otal p'r#hases E0 E0 EF6+100 E0 E0 E0 E0

Toy World Page 236
Ta$le 2 (continued)
)). CA5 AA)@ OR 2O 7OR DA4
DayC 1 2 < 6 1< 16 31

Colle#tions E29+1H1 E29+1H1 E29+1H1 E29+1H1 E29+1H1 E21+H69 E16+H02
Pay(entsC
P'r#hases EF6+100
2abor
2 (os be%ore sale E2F+000 E2F+000
1 (o be%ore sale 30+000 30+000
Aeneral: ad(in e,pense 1H+<00 1H+<00
2ease 60+000
-is# e,penses 1+290 1+290 1+290 1+290 1+290 1+290 1+290
"a,es
)nterest ;on bonds= F0+000
"otal pay(ents E166+H90 E1+290 EFH+690 E1+290 E1F6+H90 E1+290 E1+290

@et #ash gain ;loss= ;E13H+319= E2F+1F1 ;E<F+219= E2F+1F1 ;E1<H+319= 23+1HF E1<+111
))). CA5 URP2U OR 2OA@ R!.U)R!-!@"C
DayC 1 2 < 6 1< 16 31

Cash at start i% no
borro&ing is done E1<0+000 E312+6F1 E39H+221 E339+00< E<92+633 E13<+311 EHFH+6<0
C'('lative #ash E312+6F1 E310+F62 E339+00< E36H+1F< E13<+311 E1<F+H92 EF03+061
"arget #ash balan#e 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000
'rpl's #ash or total loans
o'tstanding to (aintain
target #ash balan#e ;E13H+319 = ;E109+13F= ;E110+99<= ;EF2+F1<= ;E11+6F6= EF+H92 E3<3+061
Toy World Page 23H
Ta$le 3& !onthly Cash Budget Wor'sheet Including Interest Inco*e+ E,-ense
). CO22!C")O@ A@D PA4-!@"
@ove(ber De#e(ber Dan'ary 7ebr'ary -ar#h April -ay D'ne
Aross sales ;e,pe#ted= EF00+000 E92<+000 E<00+000 E300+000 E2F0+000 E22<+000 E200+000 E2<0+000
Aross sales ;reali$ed= EF00+000 E92<+000 E<00+000 E300+000 E2F0+000 E22<+000 E200+000 E2<0+000
Colle#tionsC
-onth o% sale E2H1+100 E31H+2H< E1H1+<00 E102+900 E96+010 EHH+1H< E6F+600 EF<+H<0
1 (onth a%ter sale 1F0+000 <<<+000 300+000 1F0+000 16F+000 13<+000 120+000
2 (onths a%ter sale 10+000 16+2<0 2<+000 1<+000 11+000 11+2<0

"otal #olle#tions EH66+<00 E119+1<0 E301+010 E260+1H< E21H+600 E21H+000
P'r#hasesC E1<0+000 E90+000 EF1+000 E6H+<00 E60+000 EH<+000 E10<+000 E120+000
Pay(ents
2 (os prior to sale 90+000 <1+000 <0+100 10+<00 36+000 1<+000 63+000 H2+000
1 (o prior to sale 60+000 36+000 33+600 2H+000 21+000 30+000 12+000
"otal p'r#hases EF6+100 EH1+100 E63+000 E69+000 E93+000 E111+000
Toy World Page 23F
Ta$le 3 (continued)
)). CA5 AA)@ OR 2O 7OR -O@"5
Dan'ary 7ebr'ary -ar#h April -ay D'ne
Colle#tions EH66+<00 E119+1<0 E301+010 E260+1H< E21H+600 E21H+000
Pay(entsC
P'r#hases EF6+100 EH1+100 E63+000 E69+000 E93+000 E111+000
2abor
2 (os prior to sale <6+000 1<+000 10+000 <0+000 H0+000 F0+000
1 (o prior to sale 60+000 <6+000 1<+000 10+000 <0+000 H0+000
Aeneral: ad(in e,pense 9<+000 9<+000 9<+000 9<+000 9<+000 9<+000
2ease 60+000 60+000 60+000 60+000 60+000 60+000
-is#ellaneo's e,penses 10+000 10+000 10+000 10+000 10+000 10+000
"a,es 90+000 90+000
)nterest ;on bonds= F0+000
@e& e*'ip(ent 100+000
"otal pay(ents E1HH+100 E3H0+100 E133+000 E3<1+000 E10F+000 E619+000
hort0 ter( interest paid or re#eived 1+210 1+<1< 1+000 611 ;2<6= ;2+H93=
@et #ash gain ;loss= E290+310 EF0+<9< ;E130+960= ;E93+211= ;E190+6<6= ;E131+H93=
))). CA5 URP2U OR 2OA@ R!.U)R!-!@"
Dan'ary 7ebr'ary -ar#h April -ay D'ne
Cash at start i% no borro&ing is done E1<0+000 EH10+310 EF20+90< E6F9+91< E<96+H31 E106+0H<
C'('lative #ash EH10+310 EF20+90< E6F9+91< E<96+H31 E106+0H< ;E 2F+H1F=
"arget #ash balan#e 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000 1<0+000
'rpl's #ash or total loans
o'tstanding to (aintain
target #ash balan#e E290+310 E3H0+90< E239+91< E116+H31 ;E13+92<= ;E1HF+H1F=
Toy World Page 239
-OD!2 U!
"his #ase ill'strates the typi#al steps involved in a #ash b'dget analysis. "his ne#essarily
involves a n'(ber o% n'(eri#al #al#'lations+ so(e o% &hi#h are repetitive 9b'sy &or89.
7or that reason+ &e s'ggest that so(e %or( o% the partial (odel be provided to st'dents i%
#o(p'ter %a#ilities are available. ?eyond the *'estions provided in the #ase+ st'dents
#o'ld be re*'ired to develop e,tensive 9&hat0i%9 analyses. "he #al#'lations are trivially
easy &hen the (odel is 'sed+ b't terribly ti(e #ons'(ing i% done by hand. "his
per(its the st'dents ;1= to see the e,tre(e 'se%'lness o% (odels and ;2= to get so(e
'se%'l insights into #ash b'dgeting per se.
./ESTIONS AN" ANSWES
%. Constr'#t a (onthly #ash b'dget %or "oy /orld %or the period Dan'ary thro'gh
D'ne 1996. 7or p'rposes o% this *'estion+ disregard both interest pay(ents on
short0ter( ban8 loans and interest re#eived %ro( investing s'rpl's %'nds. Also+
ass'(e that all #ash %lo&s o##'r on the 1<th o% ea#h (onth. 7inally+ note that
#olle#tions %ro( sales in @ove(ber and De#e(ber o% 199< &ill not be #o(pleted
'ntil Dan'ary and 7ebr'ary o% 1996+ respe#tively. ;5intC Use "able 1 as a g'ide.=
)% yo' have a##ess to the spreadsheet (odel+ #o(plete it to generate the re*'ired
n'(bers. /hat is the (a,i('( %'nds short%all d'ring the 60(onth planning
periodI
Ans0er&
@et #ash gains are pro>e#ted %or the Dan'ary and 7ebr'ary+ re%le#ting the e%%e#t o%
the high &inter holiday sales. "he (a,i('( %'nds re*'ire(ent is E1F0+03< in
D'ne.
2. Ass'(e that the ban8 &ill give "oy /orld a E<00+000 line o% #redit. /ill this be
s'%%i#ient to #over all e,pe#ted #ash short%allsI 'ppose the ban8 re%'sed to grant
the loan+ and th's the #o(pany had to obtain short0ter( %inan#ing %ro( other
so'r#es. /hat other so'r#es (ight be availableI
Ans0er&
A##ording to the pro>e#tions th's %ar+ "oy /orldJs E<00+000 line o% #redit sho'ld
be s'%%i#ient to #over its anti#ipated #ash needs. ;ee the 'rpl's #ash or loans
o'tstanding line o% "able 1.= 5o&ever+ the line o% #redit has only a 1 per#ent
(argin o% sa%ety above D'neJs pea8 need. "here is no reason to thin8 that the ban8
&ill not a##o((odate "oy /orld+ b't i% alternative %inan#ing is re*'ired+ "oy
/orld &o'ld have a n'(ber o% alternatives. 7irst+ it (ight negotiate to red'#e its
#ash balan#e+ &hi#h &o'ld lo&er the loan re*'ire(ent. Also+ it (ight start paying
its s'ppliers (ore slo&ly+ th's 9stret#hing9 its trade #reditK this &o'ld be
parti#'larly %easible i% the #o(pany is #'rrently ta8ing dis#o'nts. 7a#toring or
pledging a##o'nts re#eivable+ or pledging inventories+ &o'ld also be &orth
#onsidering. Co((er#ial paper (ight also be 'sed+ b't that (ay not be %easible
given the si$e o% the #o(pany and the %a#t that the ability to obtain ban8 #redit is
a prere*'isite to a##essing the #o((er#ial paper (ar8et. )% &orse #a(e to &orse+
Toy World Page 210
the #o(pany (ight sell #o((on sto#8 to strengthen its %inan#ial position and
i(prove its #han#es o% obtaining #redit. till+ given the %a#ts as set %orth in the
#ase+ the ban8 &o'ld probably grant the re*'ested #redit.
3. "he (onthly #ash b'dget yo' have prepared ass'(es that all #ash %lo&s o##'r on
the 1<th o% ea#h (onth. 'ppose "oy /orldLs o't%lo&s tend to #l'ster at the
beginning o% the (onth+ &hile #olle#tions tend to be heaviest to&ard the end o%
ea#h (onth. 5o& &o'ld this a%%e#t the validity o% the (onthly b'dgetI /hat
#o'ld be done to #orre#t any ina##'ra#ies that (ight res'lt %ro( the (is(at#h o%
in%lo&s and o't%lo&sI
Ans0er&
)n a sit'ation &here #ash in%lo&s and o't%lo&s do not o##'r at the sa(e rate
thro'gho't the (onth+ a (onthly #ash b'dget does not a##'rately predi#t
%inan#ing re*'ire(ents. "a8e this si(ple e,a(ple as an ill'strationC A ne&ly
%or(ed %ir( ('st pay E10+000 o% total e,penses on -ar#h 1+ and it &ill #olle#t
E20+000 in total re#eipts on -ar#h 30. A (onthly #ash b'dget &o'ld sho& that
no ban8 loan &o'ld be re*'ired+ be#a'se an e,#ess o% E10+000 in #ash &ill o##'r
d'ring -ar#h. 5o&ever+ it is obvio's that there &ill be no -ar#h #olle#tions to
pay the bills d'e on the %irst o% the (onth. )% "oy /orldJs #olle#tions &ere
#l'stered at the end o% the (onth+ &hile its o't%lo&s &ere heaviest at the
beginning+ its (onthly #ash b'dget &o'ld 'nderstate its need %or %'nds. "h's+ it
is possible that (onthly b'dgets #an be de#eiving. 7or this reason+ (onthly #ash
b'dgets are generally 'sed %or planning p'rposes+ b't a daily #ash b'dget is 'sed
%or a#t'al #ash #ontrol )% "oy /orldJs #ash %lo&s %it the s#enario depi#ted above+
then a daily #ash b'dget &o'ld be absol'tely essential to ens're that the ne#essary
#ash is on hand and that loan #o((it(ents are ade*'ate to (eet a#t'al needs. /e
develop a daily #ash b'dget in the ne,t *'estion.
1. @o& ass'(e that yo' and Ara#e de#ide to develop a daily #ash b'dget %or the
(onth o% Dan'ary+ 'sing "able 2 as a g'ide. )% yo' #al#'lated the (onthly #ash
b'dget as #alled %or in .'estion 1 #orre#tly+ yo' sho'ld have %o'nd a #ash s'rpl's
o% E2F9+100 in Dan'ary. Does the daily #ash b'dget agree &ith this #on#l'sionI
Ans0er&
"he daily #ash b'dget is s'((ari$ed in "able 2. 5ere are so(e inp'ts 'sed in
developing the daily b'dgetC
Dan'aryJs daily sales M E<00+000:31 days M E16+129.
Dis#o'nt ales Re#eipts d'ring Dan'ary 101<
%ro( De#e(ber sales M ;E92<+000:31=;0.3<=;0.9F= M E10+23< per day.
Dis#o'nt ales Re#eipts
%or Dan'ary 16031 M ;E<00+000:31=;0.3<=;0.9F= M E<+<32 per day.
Toy World Page 211
9@et 309 ales Re#eipts
%ro( De#e(ber ales M ;E92<+000:31=;0.60=
M E1H+903 per day %or Dan'ary 1030.
9@et 309 ales Re#eipts
%ro( Dan'ary ales M ;E<00+000:31=;0.60= M E9+6HH on Dan'ary 31.
2ate ales Re#eipts
%ro( @ove(ber ales M ;EF00+000:30=;0.0<=
M E1+333 per day %or Dan'ary 1029.
2ate ales Re#eipts
%ro( De#e(ber ales M ;E92<+000:31=;0.0<= M E1+192 on Dan'ary 30031.
Daily "otal Re#eiptsC Dan'ary 101< M E10+23< N E1H+903 N E1+333 M E29+1H1.
Dan'ary 16029 M E<+<32 N E1H+903 N E1+333 M E21+H69.
Dan'ary 30 M E<+<32 N E1H+903 N E1+192 M E21+92H.
Dan'ary 31 M E<+<32 N E9+6HH N E1+192 M E16+H02.
?ased on the #ash b'dget sho&n in "able 2+ &e see that a loan o% E13H+319 &ill be
re*'ired on Dan'ary 1 vers's the s'rpl's o% E2F9+100 sho&n on the (onthly #ash
b'dget. "his res'lt o##'rs be#a'se #ash o't%lo&s o##'r pri(arily on the 1st and
the 1<th+ &hereas in%lo&s o##'r 'ni%or(ly d'ring the (onth. ?y the end o% the
(onth+ the s'rpl's balan#e &ill be 'p to E3<2+902.
;Note& "he di%%eren#e bet&een the E3<2+902 end0o%0(onth s'rpl's in the daily
b'dget and the E2F9+100 in the (onthly b'dget res'lts %ro( the ass'(ption+ in
the daily b'dget+ that #olle#tions o% dis#o'nt sales are %ro( De#e(ber sales+ not
Dan'ary sales+ d'ring the %irst 1< days+ and also be#a'se #olle#tions o% net sales
and late sales on Dan'ary 31 are %ro( Dan'ary sales and De#e(ber sales+
respe#tively.=
2. "hin8 abo't the (e#hani#s o% the ban8 loan. D'ring a typi#al (onth+ the %'nds
needed or #ash s'rpl's &o'ld be #hanging daily. As ban8s typi#ally operate+
#o'ld the #o(pany in#rease or de#rease its loan on a daily basisI /o'ld the
#o(pany &ant to do so i% it #o'ldI
Ans0er&
@or(ally+ #o(panies 'se 9revolving #redit lines9 &hi#h per(it the( to borro& or
repay loans on a daily basis+ so the loan balan#e #o'ld and &o'ld in#rease or
de#rease daily. 7'rther+ interest is #harged on a daily basis+ on the balan#e at the
#lose o% the b'siness day. "here%ore+ it pays a #o(pany to 'se e,#ess #ash %lo&s
to pay do&n loans+ ass'(ing the #ost o% the loan e,#eeds the rate earned on
(ar8etable se#'rities. )% a #o(pany #o'ld not #hange its loan balan#e daily+ then
it &ill have to obtain a loan at the beginning o% ea#h (onth s'%%i#iently large to
#over its e,pe#ted pea8 #ash re*'ire(ents.
Toy World Page 212
3. 4o' are a&are that Dan is #on#erned abo't the e%%i#ient 'tili$ation o% his %ir(Ls
#ash reso'r#es. pe#i%i#ally+ he has *'estioned &hether or not seasonal variations
sho'ld be in#orporated into the target balan#e. "hat &o'ld (ean that d'ring
(onths &hen #ash needs are greatest+ the target balan#e &o'ld be so(e&hat
higher+ &hile the target &o'ld be set at a lo&er level d'ring sla#8 (onths. /o'ld
yo' re#o((end that "oy /orld %ollo& this strategyI )% the %ir( had
#o(pensating balan#e re*'ire(ents+ &o'ld this a%%e#t yo'r ans&erI 5o& &o'ld
a variable target balan#e be in#orporated into the (onthly #ash b'dgetI 5o&
&o'ld it be in#orporated into the daily #ash b'dgetI
Ans0er&
D'ring the (onths o% heavy sales and prod'#tion+ &hen #ash needs are greatest+
"oy /orld &o'ld need a larger target #ash balan#e+ hen#e (ore %inan#ing %ro(
the ban8 or other so'r#es. 5o&ever+ d'ring slo&er (onths+ "oy /orldJs lo&er
target balan#e &o'ld %ree 'p #ash %or invest(ent in short0ter( earning assets.
Under the #'rrent loan ter(s+ #o(pensating balan#e re*'ire(ents &o'ld #onstrain
"oy /orldJs a#tions+ be#a'se the #o(pany &o'ld not be able to red'#e its #ash
a##o'nt belo& the pres#ribed (ini('(. "his is a point that #o'ld and sho'ld be
negotiated &ith the ban8. )n todayJs ban8ing #li(ate+ the ban8 &o'ld probably
rela, this #onstraint.
A variable #ash balan#e d'ring the (onth &o'ld appear to be a &ise poli#y. On
pea8 o't%lo& days+ s'#h as >'st be%ore paydays+ interest pay(ent dates+ and ta,
dates+ #ash #o'ld be trans%erred %ro( an interest0bearing a##o'nt into the
#o(panyJs #he#8ing a##o'nt to (eet daily #ash needs. Alternatively+ the
#o(pany #o'ld ta8e do&n (ore o% its #redit line on days &hen it &as &riting lots
o% #he#8s ;or e,pe#ting #he#8s to #lear=. A#t'ally+ the #o(pany probably o'ght to
see >'st ho& #lose to $ero it #o'ld 8eep its #ash balan#e+ and then have a line o%
#redit &hi#h per(itted *'i#8 #ash in%'sions as needed. till+ the (a,i('( line o%
#redit ('st be %ore#asted.
4. "he only re#eipts sho&n in "oy /orldLs #ash b'dget are #olle#tions. /hat are
so(e other types o% in%lo&s that (ight o##'rI Also+ the b'dget ignored short0
ter( interest e,penses and in#o(e. )% the #o(pany paid interest at a rate o% H
per#ent ann'ally on the short0ter( ban8 loan and re#eived < per#ent ann'al
interest on s'rpl's #ash+ ho& #o'ld these ite(s be in#orporated into the #ash
b'dgetI
Ans0er&
)n (ost %ir(s+ the (a>ority o% the #ash in%lo&s are #olle#tions on sales. 5o&ever+
other in%lo&s do o##'r. )n "oy /orldJs #ase+ in those (onths &here the #ash
balan#e is greater than E1<0+000+ s'rpl's #ash sho'ld be invested+ and interest
in#o(e th's be earned. Other #ash in%lo&s #o'ld arise %ro( the sale o% sto#8s and
bonds+ the sale o% %i,ed assets+ the e,er#ising o% &arrants+ the settle(ent o%
la&s'its+ and so on. All o% these ite(s+ as &ell as any e,penses that &ere
overloo8ed earlier+ #an be easily in#orporated into the b'dget. )% yo' 8no& the
Toy World Page 213
ti(ing and a(o'nt o% the #ash %lo&s+ then e,tra lines #an be inserted into the
already #onstr'#ted b'dget to ta8e the( into a##o'nt. 7or e,a(ple+ interest
re#eived on short0ter( invest(ents in any (onth &o'ld be the (onthly interest
rate ti(es the average s'rpl's #ash d'ring the (onth+ and interest paid on short0
ter( borro&ing #o'ld be %ig'red si(ilarly. /ith the spreadsheet (odel+ &e #o'ld
add a label 9hort0ter( interest paid or re#eived9 in Cell A91. /e #o'ld then 'se
O)7 state(ents to enter val'es on that line depending on &hether the #o(pany
sho&s a #ash de%i#it or s'rpl's d'ring the period. "hese are the re*'ired
state(entsC
Cell !nter
A91 hort0ter( interest paid or re#eived
!91 O)7;!10HP0+0.0H:12Q!10H+0.0<:12Q!10H=
!91 :C RS 791.B91 RS
5ere+ !10H #ontains the s'rpl's #ash or loans o'tstandingK 0.0H M HG is the
ass'(ed ann'al rate paid on o'tstanding loansK 0.0< M <G is the ass'(ed ann'al
rate earned on s'rpl's #ash. O% #o'rse+ the interest earned or paid is only an
appro,i(ation+ be#a'se this approa#h ass'(es that the end0o%0(onth e,#ess or
borro&ing &as o'tstanding d'ring the entire (onth. "he addition o% the short0
ter( interest ter( a%%e#ts the periodJs s'rpl's or de%i#it+ so CIRC &ill appear on
the s#reen+ indi#ating the %eedba#8 e%%e#ts. ?y pressing the 79 ;re#al#'lation= 8ey
a %e& ti(es+ the (odel &ill #o(plete eno'gh iterations to prod'#e the #orre#t
%ig'res %or loans o'tstanding and s'rpl's #ash ;see "able 3=.
5. ?e#a'se #ash is a nonearning asset+ "oy /orldLs #ash (anage(ent poli#y is to
invest any s'rpl's %'nds in (ar8etable se#'rities. Can yo' s'ggest an invest(ent
poli#y that &o'ld provide li*'idity and sa%ety+ yet o%%er the %ir( a reasonable
ret'rn on its (ar8etable se#'rities invest(entI pe#i%i#ally+ des#ribe the types o%
se#'rities+ the desired (at'rities+ the e,pe#ted ret'rns+ and the ris8s that &o'ld be
involved. /o'ld yo'r s'ggestions be the sa(e %or a #o(pany &hose #ash
balan#es &ere pro>e#ted to be in the (illions o% dollars as opposed to "oy /orldLs
tho'sandsI /o'ld it (atter i% the %ore#asts sho&ed #ash s'rpl'ses %or all %'t're
(onths+ going o't inde%initely+ vers's a sit'ation in &hi#h s'rpl'ses and de%i#its
alternated %ro( (onth to (onth d'e to seasonal %a#torsI
Ans0er&
"oy /orld sho'ld invest in short0ter(+ lo&0ris8+ highly li*'id instr'(ents s'#h as
U.. "reas'ry bills and ban8 #erti%i#ates o% deposit ;CDs=. PTA+ Orange Co'nty+
and so(e other organi$ations have invested in derivatives+ see8ing a so(e&hat
higher yield than traditional se#'rities earned. "his proved to be disastro's+ and
a%ter those e,perien#es+ (ost #orporations and govern(ent 'nits have banned the
'se o% derivatives %or invest(ent ;as opposed to hedging= p'rposes.
?e#a'se the a(o'nt o% %'nds involved here is not large in relative ter(s+ a (oney
(ar8et ('t'al %'nd (ight be the best #hoi#e. Other&ise+ short0ter( se#'rities
Toy World Page 211
#o'ld be p'r#hased &ith (at'rities that (at#h anti#ipated #ash needs. 2arger
%ir(s that #an e#ono(i#ally >'sti%y their o&n #ash (anage(ent personnel
typi#ally 'se the sa(e sele#tion #riteria ;li*'idity and sa%ety+ and the highest
ret'rn that is #onsistent &ith those #riteria=+ and they invest in the sa(e types o%
se#'rities+ b't dire#tly rather than thro'gh a ('t'al %'nd inter(ediary.
Another se#'rity that has be#o(e pop'lar in re#ent years is %loating rate pre%erred
sto#8+ &hi#h #an be p'r#hased individ'ally or thro'gh ('t'al %'nds established
%or this p'rpose. ?e#a'se the sto#8 o%%ers a %loating dividend rate+ its pri#e
re(ains at or near par+ so there is little interest rate ris8. 7'rther+ sin#e only a
%ra#tion o% the dividends are ta,able to #orporate investors+ the a%ter0ta, yield on
s'#h sto#8s is generally higher than on the traditional (oney (ar8et instr'(ents.
)% a %ir(Js #ash %lo&s are in the tho'sands rather than in the (illions+ the
invest(ent o% e,#ess #ash &o'ld still be bene%i#ial+ b't not as #riti#al. )ndeed+ %or
very s(all %ir(s it is even possible that the ret'rns &o'ld be ins'%%i#ient to
re#over the #osts o% transa#tions. 5ere a (oney (ar8et a##o'nt &o'ld be the
pre%erred alternative.
)% the s'rpl'ses are %ore#asted to #ontin'e inde%initely+ li*'idity be#o(es less o%
an iss'e+ and the %ir( sho'ld #onsider per(anent 'ses o% the #ash %lo&s+ in#l'ding
share rep'r#hases+ higher dividends+ repay(ent o% long0ter( debt+ (erger a#tivity+
and the li8e. 2onger ter( invest(ents typi#ally yield (ore than shorter ter(
invest(ents+ and this %a#t sho'ld be #onsidered.
6. "he #ash b'dget is a %ore#ast+ hen#e (any o% the #ash %lo&s sho&n are e,pe#ted
val'es rather than a(o'nts 8no&n &ith #ertainty. )% a#t'al sales+ hen#e
#olle#tions+ are di%%erent %ro( the %ore#asted levels+ then the %ore#asted s'rpl'ses
and de%i#its &ill be in#orre#t. 4o' 8no& that Dan and Ara#e &ill be interested in
8no&ing ho& vario's #hanges in the 8ey ass'(ptions &o'ld a%%e#t the %'nds
s'rpl's or de%i#it. 7or e,a(ple+ i% sales %ell belo& the %ore#asted level+ &hat
e%%e#t &o'ld that haveI )t &o'ld be parti#'larly bad to have a E<00+000 line o%
#redit and then %ind that d'e to in#orre#t ass'(ptions the a#t'al #ash re*'ire(ent
&as EH00+000U /ith this in (ind+ ans&er the %ollo&ing *'estions. )% yo' are
'sing the spreadsheet (odel+ *'anti%y yo'r ans&ers. Other&ise+ >'st dis#'ss the
li8ely e%%e#ts o% the indi#ated #hanges. )n either sit'ation+ indi#ate &hat sort o%
#ontingen#y plans the #o(pany sho'ld (a8e to prepare %or the types o%
event'alities noted. )n this dis#'ssion+ re#ogni$e that getting a line o% #redit is not
&itho't #ost.
a.) /hat &o'ld be the i(pa#t on the (onthly net #ash %lo&s %ro( Dan'ary to D'ne
1996 i% a#t'al sales &ere 20 per#ent belo& the %ore#asted a(o'ntsI ;)n yo'r
ans&er+ ass'(e that a#t'al sales %or @ove(ber and De#e(ber 199< are 20 per#ent
belo& the %ore#asted level. Also+ ass'(e that p'r#hases and labor+ as &ell as all
other e,penses+ are set by #ontra#t at the start o% the 60(onth %ore#ast period on
the basis o% the original e,pe#ted sales+ so the o't%lo&s #annot be ad>'sted
Toy World Page 21<
do&n&ard d'ring the planning period even tho'gh sales de#line belo& the
%ore#asted levels.=
$.) /hat i% a#t'al sales &ere only <0 per#ent o% the %ore#asted levelI "o ans&er this
*'estion+ again ass'(e that all e,penses are based on the e,pe#ted level o% sales+
not the reali$ed level.
c.) 'ppose #'sto(ers #hanged their pay(ent patterns and began paying as %ollo&sC
2< per0#ent in the (onth o% sale+ << per#ent in the %ollo&ing (onth+ and 20
per#ent in the se#ond (onth vers's the old 3<0600< pattern. @o& ho& large a
#redit line &o'ld the #o(pany re*'ireI
Ans0er&
ensitivity analysis is e,tre(ely i(portant &hen 'sing a #ash b'dget %or planning
p'rposes. 7'rther+ s'#h analysis is terribly di%%i#'lt i% done by hand+ yet very easy
i% a spreadsheet (odel is e(ployed.
a.) "he %ollo&ing pro>e#tions indi#ate that i% the sales %ore#asts t'rn o't to be
overly opti(isti#+ additional %inan#ing &ill be re*'ired. "his res'lt o##'rs
be#a'se &e ass'(ed that prod'#tion and overhead #osts are %i,ed00they &ere set
on the basis o% e,pe#ted sales rather than on the basis o% reali$ed sales. )% the
#o(pany &ere able to ad>'st its prod'#tion s#hed'les to instantly re%le#t belo&0
%ore#ast sales levels+ the %'nd re*'ire(ents &o'ld be lo&er. )ndeed+ i% the %ir(
%ore#asted a de#lining level o% sales+ then it #o'ld probably dra& do&n inventories
and th's generate #ash in e,#ess o% the originally %ore#asted level. "he (ain
p'rpose o% this *'estion is to sho& the i(portan#e o% the sales %ore#ast+ and also
the i(portan#e o% ad>'sting prod'#tion to a#t'al sales. /e obtained the %ollo&ing
res'lts 'sing the spreadsheet (odel.
ales de#rease 20G Original ales
@et Cash 7lo& @et Cash 7lo&
Dan'ary E13<+F00 E2F9+100
7ebr'ary ;10+HF0= H9+0<0
-ar#h ;192+16F= ;131+960=
April ;11<+F60= ;93+F2<=
-ay ;233+920= ;190+100=
D'ne ;1H<+100= ;132+000=
C'('lative ;2oan= C'('lative ;2oan=
or 'rpl's or 'rpl's

Dan'ary E13<+F00 E2F9+100
7ebr'ary 12<+020 36F+1<0
-ar#h ;6H+11F= 236+190
April ;213+00F= 112+36<
-ay ;116+92F= ;1F+03<=
D'ne ;922+32F= ;1F0+03<=
Toy World Page 216
As sho&n above+ i% sales are 20 per#ent belo& the original %ore#ast+ the
#'('lative loan re*'ire(ents in the (onth o% D'ne is &ell above the E<00+000
line o% #redit available to "oy /orld. @ote also that the #ash b'dget represents a
%ore#ast+ so all the val'es in the b'dget are e,pe#ted val'es. )% the 'nderlying
probability distrib'tion &as available+ then a -onte Carlo si('lation #o'ld be
'sed to set the target #ash balan#e %or ea#h (onth %ro( Dan'ary to D'ne. /e
#o'ld then ens're+ &ithin so(e stated #on%iden#e level+ that the #ash holdings
&o'ld be s'%%i#ient.
$.) "he %ollo&ing table sho&s the sit'ation i% a#t'al sales are <0 per#ent
belo& the %ore#asted levelC
@et Cash C'('lative
7lo& 'rpl's ;2oan=
Dan'ary ;E91+1<0= ;E91+1<0=
7ebr'ary ;11<+<2<= ;239+6H<=
-ar#h ;2F2+1F0= ;<22+1<<=
April ;223+913= ;H16+06F=
-ay ;299+200= ;1+01<+26F=
D'ne ;<10+<00= ;1+<F<+H6F=
)n this #ase+ the E<00+000 line o% #redit &o'ld not be s'%%i#ient in the (onths o%
-ar#h+ April+ -ay+ and D'ne. )n %a#t+ %ro( April to D'ne+ the de%i#it &o'ld %ar
e,#eed the line o% #redit.
c.) "he %ollo&ing tab'lation sho&s ho& the #hange in the pay(ent pattern
&o'ld a%%e#t the re*'ired loanC
@et Cash C'('lative
7lo& 'rpl's ;2oan=
Dan'ary E313+F<0 E313+F<0
7ebr'ary 163+100 1HH+2<0
-ar#h ;99+100= 3HH+F<0
April ;F1+FH<= 292+9H<
-ay ;1H9+2<0= 113+H2<
D'ne ;132+H<0= ;319+02<=
in#e "oy /orldJs sales are seasonal+ &ith high sales in the early and later (onths
o% the si,0(onth b'dgeting hori$on+ the slo&er #ash #olle#tion pattern has the
e%%e#t o% evening o't the #ash s'rpl's:de%i#it. "he ;delayed= #ash re#eipts %ro(
the high sales (onths o##'r in (onths &ith lo&er sales.
%7. ?ased on all o% yo'r analysis+ ho& large a #redit line &o'ld yo' re#o((end that
Dan see8 %ro( the ban8I
Ans0er&
"he ans&er here depends on (anage(entJs toleran#e %or ris8 and its vie& o% the
a##'ra#y o% its %ore#asts. Clearly+ a line o% at least E<00+000 is re*'ired+ and
Toy World Page 21H
pr'den#e &o'ld s'ggest (ore. "he 1.< per#ent #o((it(ent %ee &o'ld (ean a
#ost o% E1+<00 per year per E100+000 o% 'n'sed line. "his E1+<00 #an be tho'ght
o% as an ins'ran#e pre(i'( against the #han#e that the %ore#ast &ill not be
reali$ed. )% the %ore#ast is tho'ght to be *'ite a##'rate+ then it &o'ld probably not
be &orth it to get a line over abo't E600+000. 5o&ever+ the toy b'siness is
'npredi#table+ hen#e a sa%ety (argin &o'ld probably be a good idea. "hat &o'ld
s'ggest a larger line+ say EH<0+000.
O% #o'rse+ i% the #o(pany #an negotiate and get the E1<0+000 #o(pensating
balan#e red'#ed+ this &o'ld red'#e the #ash re*'ired and th's the #redit line
re*'ire(ents. Also+ i% the #o((it(ent %ee &ere raised or lo&ered+ that too &o'ld
a%%e#t the de#ision.
)n s'((ary+ based on the in%or(ation at hand+ &e &o'ld re#o((end that the
#o(pany see8 a #redit line in the range o% E600+000 to EF00+000+ and also that it
see8 (ore %le,ibility in its #o(pensating balan#e re*'ire(ent.
%%. Dan C'lbreth has been thin8ing abo't possibly #hanging prod'#tion pro#ed'res
so as to level o't prod'#tion d'ring the year. "his &o'ld stabili$e the labor %or#e
and probably lo&er per 'nit #osts. Can yo' thin8 o% any possible negative e%%e#ts
o% s'#h a #hange+ and &o'ld a prod'#tion pro#ess #hange a%%e#t #ash
re*'ire(entsI
Ans0er&
"he #o(pany &o'ld have to start prod'#tion early in the year to b'ild 'p prod'#t
%or the pea8 sales. "his early prod'#tion &o'ld have to be %inan#ed+ #osts &o'ld
be in#'rred early+ sales and #olle#tions &o'ld %ollo& ('#h later. )% the %'nds
&ere to be borro&ed+ the #redit line &o'ld be ('#h larger than &hat &e have
dis#'ssed th's %ar. Another dra&ba#8 to leveling o't prod'#tion is that toy sales
are so(e&hat 'npredi#table+ so it is better to &ait %or orders be%ore prod'#ing. )t
&o'ld be a big (ista8e to prod'#e a lot o% a parti#'lar type o% toy ba#8 in the
spring and then have 8ids t'rn a&ay %ro( that toy &ith yo'r &areho'se %'ll o%
the(. Cole#o &ent ban8r'pt be#a'se it prod'#ed too (any Cabbage Pat#h dolls
>'st as they &ere going o't o% %ashion.

Potrebbero piacerti anche