Trimestre

Nivel General

Ocupados

1-70
2-70
3-70
4-70
1-71
2-71
3-71
4-71
1-72
2-72
3-72
4-72
1-73
2-73
3-73
4-73
1-74
2-74
3-74
4-74
1-75
2-75
3-75
4-75
1-76
2-76
3-76
4-76
1-77
2-77
3-77
4-77
1-78
2-78
3-78
4-78
1-79
2-79
3-79
4-79
1-80
2-80
3-80
4-80
1-81
2-81
3-81

158.3
151.7
149.6
150.8
160.8
155.9
154.5
158.0
166.4
161.1
156.8
158.5
168.2
165.0
162.4
167.3
177.1
175.3
171.4
177.1
186.7
184.0
178.3
179.1
189.9
177.1
169.5
167.6
176.0
165.8
159.5
159.1
157.5
149.3
145.3
144.6
151.1
147.2
142.6
142.9
142.9
137.6
129.8
128.1
125.0
118.6
114.3

Pgina 1

Ocupados

4-81
1-82
2-82
3-82
4-82
1-83
2-83
3-83
4-83
1-84
2-84
3-84
4-84
1-85
2-85
3-85
4-85
1-86
2-86
3-86
4-86
1-87
2-87
3-87
4-87
1-88
2-88
3-88
4-88
1-89
2-89
3-89
4-89
1-90
2-90
3-90
4-90
1-91
2-91
3-91
4-91
1-92
2-92
3-92
4-92
1-93
2-93
3-93
4-93
1-94
2-94

113.0
116.3
109.9
108.4
111.3
117.1
115.6
112.5
115.4
120.1
118.3
116.6
118.7
124.3
115.4
107.9
108.7
113.8
108.7
106.6
108.7
112.9
108.3
105.7
105.9
114.7
111.7
107.7
106.3
108.6
104.9
95.0
96.9
101.6
99.5
99.7
99.2
96.7
96.2
95.3
94.3
94.2
96.3
96.7
96.3
95.0
93.8
93.0
92.5
92.6
91.8

Pgina 2

Ocupados

3-94
4-94
1-95
2-95
3-95
4-95
1-96
2-96
3-96

90.8
89.9
90.3
86.7
84.0
82.9
83.2
83.1
82.3

Pgina 3

Analisis de Volmenes Fisicos de Produccin Industrial

160.00

140.00

120.00

100.00

80.00

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00

Nivel General

4-82

2-82

4-81

2-81

4-80

2-80

4-79

2-79

4-78

2-78

4-77

2-77

4-76

2-76

4-75

2-75

4-74

2-74

4-73

2-73

4-72

2-72

4-71

2-71

4-70

2-70

Trimestre

Perodo 70/79

150

140

130

120

110

100

90

80

70

60

50

Jan-89

Sep-88

May-88

Jan-88

Sep-87

May-87

Jan-87

Sep-86

May-86

Jan-86

Sep-85

May-85

Jan-85

Sep-84

May-84

Jan-84

Sep-83

May-83

Jan-83

Sep-82

May-82

Jan-82

Sep-81

May-81

Jan-81

Sep-80

May-80

Jan-80

Perodo 80/89

150.00

140.00

130.00

120.00

110.00

100.00

90.00

80.00

70.00

60.00

50.00

Apr-96

Jan-96

Oct-95

Jul-95

Apr-95

Jan-95

Oct-94

Jul-94

Apr-94

Jan-94

Oct-93

Jul-93

Apr-93

Jan-93

Oct-92

Jul-92

Apr-92

Jan-92

Oct-91

Jul-91

Apr-91

Jan-91

Oct-90

Jul-90

Apr-90

Jan-90

Perodo 90/96

160.00

140.00

120.00

100.00

80.00

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00

separacion trimestral
70

150.00

71
72
73
74

140.00

75
76

77

130.00

78

79
80

120.00

81
82
83
84

110.00

85
86
87

100.00

88
89
90
91

90.00

92
93
94

80.00
1

95
96

160

140

120

100

80

Series1

60

40

20

0
1

13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93 97 101

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin
0.081860488
mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin
0.00670114 R^2
R^2 ajustado
-0.0026696
Error tpico
12.50887312
Observaciones
108
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 111.8950737 111.8950737 0.715112866 0.399656537
Residuos
106 16586.02211 156.4719067
Total
107 16697.91718

Intercepcin
Variable X 1

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0%
116.6732593 2.424148862 48.12957697 7.47208E-74 111.8671456 121.4793729 111.8671456
0.032649692 0.038609288 0.845643463 0.399656537 -0.04389702 0.109196405 -0.04389702

Superior 95,0%
121.4793729
0.109196405

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin
0.009781363
mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin
9.56751E-05 R^2
R^2 ajustado -0.00970731
Error tpico
9.935555486
Observaciones
104
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 0.96344021 0.96344021 0.00975979 0.92149759
Residuos
102 10068.95681 98.71526281
Total
103 10069.92025

Intercepcin
Variable X 1

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0%
101.4861831 2.076348469 48.87724031 1.34636E-72 97.3677578 105.6046083 97.3677578
-0.00320607 0.03245285 -0.09879165 0.92149759 -0.06757611 0.061163971 -0.06757611

Superior 95,0%
105.6046083
0.061163971

Trimestre

Nivel General

1-70
2-70
3-70
4-70
1-71
2-71
3-71
4-71
1-72
2-72
3-72
4-72
1-73
2-73
3-73
4-73
1-74
2-74
3-74
4-74
1-75
2-75
3-75
4-75
1-76
2-76
3-76
4-76
1-77
2-77
3-77
4-77
1-78
2-78
3-78
4-78
1-79
2-79
3-79
4-79
1-80
2-80
3-80
4-80
1-81
2-81

97.00
106.76
109.38
106.65
98.89
112.74
117.26
119.98
108.65
121.24
121.66
122.08
110.85
123.13
122.82
133.42
114.95
132.48
130.80
136.99
114.32
131.74
124.29
126.60
110.96
126.39
121.14
123.97
110.33
131.01
138.56
129.75
90.49
114.42
124.18
124.81
109.49
141.19
139.09
135.31
116.21
130.90
137.52
128.80
108.96
111.59

T1

T2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

T3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1

T4
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

101.9480519
105.6047198
107.1976967
112.5
109.8726115
107.5418994
103.7600716
101.7497813
102.0289855
101.5584416
100.949094
109.2863285
103.6931818
107.5873828
106.4957265
102.675059
99.45205479
99.44532488
95.02407705
92.4137931
97.06152433
95.93625498
97.46621622
97.92703151
99.43235572
103.654485
114.3847487
104.6570703
82.01712655
87.33974359
89.62121212
96.197411
120.9976798
123.3944954
112.0033812
108.4104289
106.1361457
92.71375465
98.86792453
95.19006982
93.76693767
85.24458701

3-81
4-81
1-82
2-82
3-82
4-82
1-83
2-83
3-83
4-83
1-84
2-84
3-84
4-84
1-85
2-85
3-85
4-85
1-86
2-86
3-86
4-86
1-87
2-87
3-87
4-87
1-88
2-88
3-88
4-88
1-89
2-89
3-89
4-89
1-90
2-90
3-90
4-90
1-91
2-91
3-91
4-91
1-92
2-92
3-92
4-92
1-93
2-93
3-93
4-93

105.50
105.60
96.47
103.92
113.27
114.00
100.35
121.24
123.66
120.09
102.98
125.86
125.97
120.72
101.82
109.49
94.79
118.62
107.49
120.40
130.59
128.28
111.27
129.22
130.90
121.56
110.96
123.76
115.05
108.96
106.44
106.34
101.09
104.76
85.76
95.85
110.10
108.29
90.01
107.81
119.78
120.95
107.81
124.56
130.99
127.77
111.02
128.31
135.49
133.41

0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1

76.71755725
81.98859006
88.53564547
93.13264346
107.3631841
107.9522863
104.0261153
116.6666667
109.1751622
105.3406998
102.6150628
103.8095238
101.8675722
100.5244755
98.87869521
86.98915763
75.25
98.26086957
105.5670103
109.9712368
137.7630122
108.1415929
103.515625
107.3234525
100.2411576
94.76268412
99.71698113
95.77579204
87.89093825
89.6373057
95.93188269
85.92027142
87.8649635
96.14643545
80.57199211
90.13699515
108.9114517
103.3645296
104.953943
112.4747001
108.7979194
111.6919336
119.7695863
115.5379521
109.3587642
105.6354176
102.9818719
103.0093076
103.4304196
104.4211262

1-94
2-94
3-94
4-94
1-95
2-95
3-95
4-95
1-96
2-96
3-96
4-96

118.88
132.23
140.73
138.56
120.79
120.97
127.82
124.05
116.56
129.79
138.92
134.50

1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1

107.0775975
103.0541491
103.871182
103.8539184
101.6108771
91.48900233
90.82070109
89.52863711
96.49238513
107.2931879
108.6888602
108.4266447

107.9291658
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46

101.4701527

47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96

97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108

1
2
3
4

70
97.00
106.76
109.38
106.65

71
98.89
112.74
117.26
119.98

72
108.65
121.24
121.66
122.08

73
110.85
123.13
122.82
133.42

74
114.95
132.48
130.80
136.99

75
114.32
131.74
124.29
126.60

76
110.96
126.39
121.14
123.97

77
110.33
131.01
138.56
129.75

78
90.49
114.42
124.18
124.81

79
109.49
141.19
139.09
135.31

80
116.21
130.90
137.52
128.80

81
108.96
111.59
105.50
105.60

82
96.47
103.92
113.27
114.00

83
100.35
121.24
123.66
120.09

84
102.98
125.86
125.97
120.72

85
101.82
109.49
94.79
118.62

86
107.49
120.40
130.59
128.28

87
111.27
129.22
130.90
121.56

88
110.96
123.76
115.05
108.96

89
106.44
106.34
101.09
104.76

90
85.76
95.85
110.10
108.29

91
90.01
107.81
119.78
120.95

92
107.81
124.56
130.99
127.77

93
111.02
128.31
135.49
133.41

94
118.88
132.23
140.73
138.56

95
120.79
120.97
127.82
124.05

96
116.56
129.79
138.92
134.50

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin0.553030654
mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin
0.305842905
R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.276203758
Error tpico
10.55706913
Observaciones
108
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
4 5106.939496 1276.734874 11.45549845 9.8977E-08
Residuos
104 11590.97769 111.4517085
Total
108 16697.91718

1.3%
1.2%
1.2%
1.2%

Coeficientes
0
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415

Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
Variable X 3
Variable X 4

Error tpico
#N/A
2.031708901
2.031708901
2.031708901
2.031708901

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin

Pronstico para Y Residuos

1 106.6554511 -9.65995535
2 120.8647898 -14.1067604
3 123.3831875 -14.0008211
4 122.9072415 -16.2541856
5 106.6554511 -7.7704327
6 120.8647898 -8.12327206
7 123.3831875 -6.12781013
8 122.9072415 -2.92255365
9 106.6554511 1.992100957
10 120.8647898 0.379579839
11 123.3831875 -1.71892396
12 122.9072415 -0.82308405
13 106.6554511 4.196544041
14 120.8647898 2.269102483
15 123.3831875 -0.56421568
16 122.9072415 10.51405182
17 106.6554511 8.290509769
18 120.8647898 11.61174222
19 123.3831875 7.413768817
20 122.9072415 14.08315014
21 106.6554511 7.660668888
22 120.8647898 10.87692786
23 123.3831875 0.905413044

Estadstico t
#N/A
52.4954392
59.48922592
60.72877246
60.49451351

Probabilidad
#N/A
1.13966E-76
3.87796E-82
4.81925E-83
7.125E-83

Inferior 95%
#N/A
102.6265013
116.83584
119.3542377
118.8782917

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil
0.462962963
1.388888889
2.314814815
3.240740741
4.166666667
5.092592593
6.018518519
6.944444444
7.87037037
8.796296296
9.722222222
10.64814815
11.57407407
12.5
13.42592593
14.35185185
15.27777778
16.2037037
17.12962963
18.05555556
18.98148148
19.90740741
20.83333333

Y
85.76333333
90.012
90.48713994
94.79105263
95.85
96.47062831
96.99549572
98.88501836
100.3546471
101.0894614
101.8242758
102.9789841
103.9237454
104.7635333
105.4983476
105.6033211
106.3381355
106.4431089
106.6530559
106.7580294
107.4928437
107.807
107.807

24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73

122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511

3.690775602
4.301517521
5.523280369
-2.24379136
1.066438596
3.67167664
10.1421135
15.18180635
6.839980008
-16.1683111
-6.44369637
0.800439564
1.906226438
2.831888798
20.32454108
15.70667375
12.40357446
9.550191532
10.03714002
14.13207155
5.895218686
2.307021397
-9.27798034
-17.8848399
-17.3039204
-10.1848227
-16.9410444
-10.1168024
-8.90604202
-6.30080398
0.379579839
0.275572163
-2.81758017
-3.67646697
4.998412968
2.584988727
-2.18773929
-4.83117526
-11.3774499
-28.5921349
-4.28720889
0.837392674
-0.460208
7.203821857
5.370351285
4.616437962
8.357564335
7.518742297
-1.34795145
4.301517521

21.75925926
22.68518519
23.61111111
24.53703704
25.46296296
26.38888889
27.31481481
28.24074074
29.16666667
30.09259259
31.01851852
31.94444444
32.87037037
33.7962963
34.72222222
35.64814815
36.57407407
37.5
38.42592593
39.35185185
40.27777778
41.2037037
42.12962963
43.05555556
43.98148148
44.90740741
45.83333333
46.75925926
47.68518519
48.61111111
49.53703704
50.46296296
51.38888889
52.31481481
53.24074074
54.16666667
55.09259259
56.01851852
56.94444444
57.87037037
58.7962963
59.72222222
60.64814815
61.57407407
62.5
63.42592593
64.35185185
65.27777778
66.2037037
67.12962963

108.2883333
108.647552
108.9624725
108.9624725
109.3823664
109.4873399
109.4873399
110.098
110.3271277
110.8519951
110.9569686
110.9569686
111.0216667
111.271889
111.5868095
112.7415177
113.2663851
114.0011995
114.31612
114.4210934
114.9459608
115.0509343
116.2056426
116.5573333
117.2553774
118.6200326
118.8793333
119.7843333
119.9846879
120.0896614
120.4045818
120.7195022
120.7943333
120.9493333
120.9713333
121.1393962
121.2443696
121.2443696
121.5592901
121.6642636
122.0841575
122.8189718
123.1338923
123.6587597
123.7637332
123.9736801
124.047
124.1836271
124.2886006
124.558

74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108

120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415

2.898943364
-8.33225321
-13.9447691
-0.21234213
-14.5266544
-22.2937261
-18.1437083
-20.8921177
-25.0147898
-13.2851875
-14.6189082
-16.6434511
-13.0577898
-3.59885419
-1.9579082
1.151548937
3.693210194
7.611479139
4.858091799
4.366215604
7.441543527
12.10514581
10.50675847
12.22388227
11.36021019
17.35014581
15.64842513
14.13888227
0.106543527
4.431812473
1.139758466
9.90188227
8.929210194
15.53747914
11.59275847

68.05555556
68.98148148
69.90740741
70.83333333
71.75925926
72.68518519
73.61111111
74.53703704
75.46296296
76.38888889
77.31481481
78.24074074
79.16666667
80.09259259
81.01851852
81.94444444
82.87037037
83.7962963
84.72222222
85.64814815
86.57407407
87.5
88.42592593
89.35185185
90.27777778
91.2037037
92.12962963
93.05555556
93.98148148
94.90740741
95.83333333
96.75925926
97.68518519
98.61111111
99.53703704

124.813468
125.8632028
125.9681763
126.3880702
126.5980171
127.7653333
127.815
128.2775928
128.3063333
128.8024602
129.2223541
129.7472215
129.794
130.5870094
130.7969563
130.9019298
130.9019298
130.9946667
131.0069033
131.7417177
132.225
132.476532
133.414
133.4212933
134.5
135.310816
135.4883333
136.9903917
137.5152591
138.5556667
138.5649939
138.9206667
139.0898613
140.7333333
141.1893309

Superior 95% Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

#N/A
#N/A
#N/A
110.6844008 102.6265013 110.6844008
124.8937396
116.83584 124.8937396
127.4121373 119.3542377 127.4121373
126.9361913 118.8782917 126.9361913

atos de probabilidad

Variable X 2 Grfico de los residuales

Variable X 3 Grfico de los residua

0.4

0.6

0.8

Variable X 4 Grfico de

40
0.2
0.6
0.8
X1
20Variable0.4
Variable
X
0
40
-20 0
0.2
X2
20Variable0.4
-40
0
150.00
-20 0
0.2Variable X 3
100.00
-40
50.00
0.00
Residuos

40
0.2
20
0
-20 0
-40

Residuos

lor crtico de F

40
20
0
-20 0
-40

Residuos

Residuos

Variable X 1 Grfico de los residuales

1 Cu

e los residuales

3 Grfico de los residuales

1

1.2

Variable X 4 Grfico de los residuales

0.8

1.2

Variable X 1 Curva de regresin ajustada

0.6

0.8

1.2

Variable X 2 Curva de regresin ajustada

150.00
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
100.00
Variable0.4
X3
Y Pronstico para Y
Variable
X
3
Curva
de regresin ajustada
50.00
150.00
0.00
100.00
Variable X 4
0
0.5
1
1.5
50.00
Variable X 4 Curva de regresin ajustada
150.00
0.00
Y Pronstico para Y
Variable100.00
X1
Pronstico para Y
0
0.5
1
1.5
50.00
Grfico de Yprobabilidad
normal
150.00
0.00Variable X 2
100.00
0
0.5
1
1.5
50.00
150
0.00
Y Pronstico para Y
Variable
X3
100
0
0.5
1
1.5
50
0 Variable X 4
0
20
40
60
80
100
Muestra percentil

100

120