Jan-96

Jan-95

Jan-94

Jan-93

Jan-92

Jan-91

Jan-90

Jan-89

Jan-88

Jan-87

Jan-86

Jan-85

Jan-84

Jan-83

Jan-82

Jan-81

Jan-80

Jan-79

Jan-78

Jan-77

Jan-76

Jan-75

Jan-74

Jan-73

Jan-72

Jan-71

Jan-70

200.0

180.0

160.0

140.0

120.0

100.0
Series1

80.0

60.0

40.0

20.0

0.0

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin
0.090036928
mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin
0.008106648 R^2
R^2 ajustado -0.03049219
Error tpico
31.19486809
Observaciones
107
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
4 819.181038 204.7952595 0.210452259 0.932103738
Residuos
103 100231.3389 973.1197949
Total
107 101050.5199

Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
Variable X 3
Variable X 4

Coeficientes
0
131.166617
126.9813487
123.5642469
125.8797414

Error tpico
#N/A
6.003455162
6.003455162
6.003455162
6.117816965

Estadstico t
#N/A
21.84852113
21.15137787
20.58218868
20.57592473

Probabilidad
#N/A
1.84835E-40
2.85412E-39
2.78263E-38
2.85386E-38

Inferior 95%
#N/A
119.2601905
115.0749221
111.6578204
113.7465054

Superior 95% Inferior 95,0%

#N/A
#N/A
143.0730435 119.2601905
138.8877752 115.0749221
135.4706734 111.6578204
138.0129773 113.7465054

Superior 95,0%
#N/A
143.0730435
138.8877752
135.4706734
138.0129773

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin
0.923723043
mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin
0.85326426 R^2
R^2 ajustado 0.851866777
Error tpico
11.883451
Observaciones
107
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 86222.79709 86222.79709 610.572089 1.46963E-45
Residuos
105 14827.72282 141.2164078
Total
106 101050.5199

Intercepcin
Variable X 1

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0%
176.5368719 2.31383287 76.29629359 8.63164E-94 171.9489655 181.1247784 171.9489655
-0.91906235 0.03719431 -24.709757 1.46963E-45 -0.99281185 -0.84531286 -0.99281185

Superior 95,0%
181.1247784
-0.84531286

Trimestre

Nivel General

ocupados

1-70
2-70
3-70
4-70
1-71
2-71
3-71
4-71
1-72
2-72
3-72
4-72
1-73
2-73
3-73
4-73
1-74
2-74
3-74
4-74
1-75
2-75
3-75
4-75
1-76
2-76
3-76
4-76
1-77
2-77
3-77
4-77
1-78
2-78
3-78
4-78
1-79
2-79
3-79
4-79
1-80
2-80
3-80
4-80
1-81
2-81
3-81

158.3
151.7
149.6
150.8
160.8
155.9
154.5
158.0
166.4
161.1
156.8
158.5
168.2
165.0
162.4
167.3
177.1
175.3
171.4
177.1
186.7
184.0
178.3
179.1
189.9
177.1
169.5
167.6
176.0
165.8
159.5
159.1
157.5
149.3
145.3
144.6
151.1
147.2
142.6
142.9
142.9
137.6
129.8
128.1
125.0
118.6
114.3

1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1

Pgina 6

0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47

ocupados

4-81
1-82
2-82
3-82
4-82
1-83
2-83
3-83
4-83
1-84
2-84
3-84
4-84
1-85
2-85
3-85
4-85
1-86
2-86
3-86
4-86
1-87
2-87
3-87
4-87
1-88
2-88
3-88
4-88
1-89
2-89
3-89
4-89
1-90
2-90
3-90
4-90
1-91
2-91
3-91
4-91
1-92
2-92
3-92
4-92
1-93
2-93
3-93
4-93
1-94
2-94

113.0
116.3
109.9
108.4
111.3
117.1
115.6
112.5
115.4
120.1
118.3
116.6
118.7
124.3
115.4
107.9
108.7
113.8
108.7
106.6
108.7
112.9
108.3
105.7
105.9
114.7
111.7
107.7
106.3
108.6
104.9
95.0
96.9
101.6
99.5
99.7
99.2
96.7
96.2
95.3
94.3
94.2
96.3
96.7
96.3
95.0
93.8
93.0
92.5
92.6
91.8

0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1

0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

Pgina 7

1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98

ocupados

3-94
4-94
1-95
2-95
3-95
4-95
1-96
2-96
3-96

90.8
89.9
90.3
86.7
84.0
82.9
83.2
83.1
82.3

0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1

Pgina 8

0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107

Analisis de Volmenes Fisicos de Produccin Industrial

150.00

130.00

110.00

Nivel General

90.00

70.00

50.00

Separacion Trimestral - Indice Pccion Industrial

70

150.00

71
72
73
74

140.00

75
76

77

130.00

78

79
80

120.00

81
82
83
84

110.00

85
86
87

100.00

88
89
90
91

90.00

92
93
94

80.00
1

95
96

Nivel Gral
Desestacionalizada
2-95

3-94

4-93

1-93

2-92

3-91

4-90

1-90

2-89

3-88

4-87

1-87

2-86

3-85

4-84

1-84

2-83

3-82

4-81

1-81

2-80

3-79

4-78

1-78

2-77

3-76

4-75

1-75

2-74

3-73

4-72

1-72

2-71

3-70

Trimestre

Grafico Interanual Pccin Industrial (fsico)

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

Trimestre

Nivel General

1-70
2-70
3-70
4-70
1-71
2-71
3-71
4-71
1-72
2-72
3-72
4-72
1-73
2-73
3-73
4-73
1-74
2-74
3-74
4-74
1-75
2-75
3-75
4-75
1-76
2-76
3-76
4-76
1-77
2-77
3-77
4-77
1-78
2-78
3-78
4-78
1-79
2-79
3-79
4-79
1-80
2-80
3-80
4-80
1-81
2-81

97.00
106.76
109.38
106.65
98.89
112.74
117.26
119.98
108.65
121.24
121.66
122.08
110.85
123.13
122.82
133.42
114.95
132.48
130.80
136.99
114.32
131.74
124.29
126.60
110.96
126.39
121.14
123.97
110.33
131.01
138.56
129.75
90.49
114.42
124.18
124.81
109.49
141.19
139.09
135.31
116.21
130.90
137.52
128.80
108.96
111.59

101.95
105.60
107.20
112.50
109.87
107.54
103.76
101.75
102.03
101.56
100.95
109.29
103.69
107.59
106.50
102.68
99.45
99.45
95.02
92.41
97.06
95.94
97.47
97.93
99.43
103.65
114.38
104.66
82.02
87.34
89.62
96.20
121.00
123.39
112.00
108.41
106.14
92.71
98.87
95.19
93.77
85.24

3-81
4-81
1-82
2-82
3-82
4-82
1-83
2-83
3-83
4-83
1-84
2-84
3-84
4-84
1-85
2-85
3-85
4-85
1-86
2-86
3-86
4-86
1-87
2-87
3-87
4-87
1-88
2-88
3-88
4-88
1-89
2-89
3-89
4-89
1-90
2-90
3-90
4-90
1-91
2-91
3-91
4-91
1-92
2-92
3-92
4-92
1-93
2-93
3-93
4-93

105.50
105.60
96.47
103.92
113.27
114.00
100.35
121.24
123.66
120.09
102.98
125.86
125.97
120.72
101.82
109.49
94.79
118.62
107.49
120.40
130.59
128.28
111.27
129.22
130.90
121.56
110.96
123.76
115.05
108.96
106.44
106.34
101.09
104.76
85.76
95.85
110.10
108.29
90.01
107.81
119.78
120.95
107.81
124.56
130.99
127.77
111.02
128.31
135.49
133.41

76.72
81.99
88.54
93.13
107.36
107.95
104.03
116.67
109.18
105.34
102.62
103.81
101.87
100.52
98.88
86.99
75.25
98.26
105.57
109.97
137.76
108.14
103.52
107.32
100.24
94.76
99.72
95.78
87.89
89.64
95.93
85.92
87.86
96.15
80.57
90.14
108.91
103.36
104.95
112.47
108.80
111.69
119.77
115.54
109.36
105.64
102.98
103.01
103.43
104.42

1-94
2-94
3-94
4-94
1-95
2-95
3-95
4-95
1-96
2-96
3-96
4-96

118.88
132.23
140.73
138.56
120.79
120.97
127.82
124.05
116.56
129.79
138.92
134.50
141.19

107.08
103.05
103.87
103.85
101.61
91.49
90.82
89.53
96.49
107.29
108.69
108.43
137.76

Trimestre

Nivel General

1-70
2-70
3-70
4-70
1-71
2-71
3-71
4-71
1-72
2-72
3-72
4-72
1-73
2-73
3-73
4-73
1-74
2-74
3-74
4-74
1-75
2-75
3-75
4-75
1-76
2-76
3-76
4-76
1-77
2-77
3-77
4-77
1-78
2-78
3-78
4-78
1-79
2-79
3-79
4-79
1-80
2-80
3-80
4-80
1-81
2-81

97.00
106.76
109.38
106.65
98.89
112.74
117.26
119.98
108.65
121.24
121.66
122.08
110.85
123.13
122.82
133.42
114.95
132.48
130.80
136.99
114.32
131.74
124.29
126.60
110.96
126.39
121.14
123.97
110.33
131.01
138.56
129.75
90.49
114.42
124.18
124.81
109.49
141.19
139.09
135.31
116.21
130.90
137.52
128.80
108.96
111.59

T1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

T2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1

T3
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

T4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

A 85
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

P 70-81
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

3-81
4-81
1-82
2-82
3-82
4-82
1-83
2-83
3-83
4-83
1-84
2-84
3-84
4-84
1-85
2-85
3-85
4-85
1-86
2-86
3-86
4-86
1-87
2-87
3-87
4-87
1-88
2-88
3-88
4-88
1-89
2-89
3-89
4-89
1-90
2-90
3-90
4-90
1-91
2-91
3-91
4-91
1-92
2-92
3-92
4-92
1-93
2-93
3-93
4-93

105.50
105.60
96.47
103.92
113.27
114.00
100.35
121.24
123.66
120.09
102.98
125.86
125.97
120.72
101.82
109.49
94.79
118.62
107.49
120.40
130.59
128.28
111.27
129.22
130.90
121.56
110.96
123.76
115.05
108.96
106.44
106.34
101.09
104.76
85.76
95.85
110.10
108.29
90.01
107.81
119.78
120.95
107.81
124.56
130.99
127.77
111.02
128.31
135.49
133.41

0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1-94
2-94
3-94
4-94
1-95
2-95
3-95
4-95
1-96
2-96
3-96
4-96

118.88
132.23
140.73
138.56
120.79
120.97
127.82
124.05
116.56
129.79
138.92
134.50

1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0

0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0

0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

P 82-89
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
2
3
4

70
97.00
106.76
109.38
106.65

71
98.89
112.74
117.26
119.98

72
108.65
121.24
121.66
122.08

73
110.85
123.13
122.82
133.42

74
114.95
132.48
130.80
136.99

75
114.32
131.74
124.29
126.60

76
110.96
126.39
121.14
123.97

77
110.33
131.01
138.56
129.75

78
90.49
114.42
124.18
124.81

79
109.49
141.19
139.09
135.31

80
116.21
130.90
137.52
128.80

81
108.96
111.59
105.50
105.60

82
96.47
103.92
113.27
114.00

83
100.35
121.24
123.66
120.09

84
102.98
125.86
125.97
120.72

85
101.82
109.49
94.79
118.62

86
107.49
120.40
130.59
128.28

87
111.27
129.22
130.90
121.56

88
110.96
123.76
115.05
108.96

89
106.44
106.34
101.09
104.76

90
85.76
95.85
110.10
108.29

91
90.01
107.81
119.78
120.95

92
107.81
124.56
130.99
127.77

93
111.02
128.31
135.49
133.41

94
118.88
132.23
140.73
138.56

95
120.79
120.97
127.82
124.05

96
116.56
129.79
138.92
134.50

promedio
106.66
120.86
123.38
122.91

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin
0.629278478
mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin
0.395991403
R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.350208714
Error tpico
9.992911119
Observaciones
108
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Regresin
7 6612.231649 944.6045213
9.459451846
Residuos
101 10085.68553 99.85827262
Total
108 16697.91718

t1
t2
t3
t4
a 85
p70-81
p82-89

Coef.Variac.
1.5%
1.3%
1.3%
1.3%

0.023
0.020
0.020
0.020

Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
Variable X 3
Variable X 4
Variable X 5
Variable X 6
Variable X 7

Coeficientes
0
108.7395507
122.9488894
126.4203139
124.9913412
-25.7317226
-0.75753171
-5.8975387

Error tpico
#N/A
2.519782942
2.519782942
2.534184758
2.519782942
10.30157487
2.37628861
2.605872809

Estadstico t
#N/A
43.15433242
48.79344462
49.88598938
49.60401116
-2.49784358
-0.31878776
-2.26317212

Probabilidad
#N/A
6.7981E-67
4.89838E-72
5.71544E-73
9.90912E-73
0.014109829
0.750545785
0.025764795

Valor crtico de F
5.78778E-09

Inferior 95%
#N/A
103.7409799
117.9503186
121.3931738
119.9927703
-46.16727318
-5.471448445
-11.06688866

Superior 95% Inferior 99,0%Superior 99,0%

#N/A
#N/A
#N/A
113.7381215 102.1241534 115.354948
127.9474603 116.3334922 129.5642867
131.4474541 119.7671064 133.0735215
129.989912 118.3759439 131.6067385
-5.296172 -52.7773102 1.313865027
3.956385016
-6.9962013 5.481137873
-0.72818874 -12.7389549 0.943877522

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple 0.553030654
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
0.305842905
R^2 ajustado
0.276203758
Error tpico
10.55706913
Observaciones
108
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
4 5106.939496 1276.734874
11.45549845
104 11590.97769 111.4517085
108 16697.91718

Regresin
Residuos
Total

Coef.Variac.
1.3%
1.2%
1.2%
1.2%

0.019
0.017
0.016
0.017

Intercepcin
Variable X 1
Variable X 2
Variable X 3
Variable X 4

Coeficientes
0
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415

Error tpico
#N/A
2.031708901
2.031708901
2.031708901
2.031708901

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin

Estadstico t
#N/A
52.4954392
59.48922592
60.72877246
60.49451351

Probabilidad
#N/A
1.13966E-76
3.87796E-82
4.81925E-83
7.125E-83

Resultados de datos de probabilid

Pronstico para Y Residuos
1 106.6554511 -9.65995535
2 120.8647898 -14.1067604
3 123.3831875 -14.0008211
4 122.9072415 -16.2541856
5 106.6554511
-7.7704327
6 120.8647898 -8.12327206
7 123.3831875 -6.12781013
8 122.9072415 -2.92255365
9 106.6554511 1.992100957
10 120.8647898 0.379579839
11 123.3831875 -1.71892396
12 122.9072415 -0.82308405
13 106.6554511 4.196544041
14 120.8647898 2.269102483
15 123.3831875 -0.56421568
16 122.9072415 10.51405182
17 106.6554511 8.290509769
18 120.8647898 11.61174222
19 123.3831875 7.413768817
20 122.9072415 14.08315014
21 106.6554511 7.660668888
22 120.8647898 10.87692786
23 123.3831875 0.905413044

Percentil
0.462962963
1.388888889
2.314814815
3.240740741
4.166666667
5.092592593
6.018518519
6.944444444
7.87037037
8.796296296
9.722222222
10.64814815
11.57407407
12.5
13.42592593
14.35185185
15.27777778
16.2037037
17.12962963
18.05555556
18.98148148
19.90740741
20.83333333

24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73

122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511

3.690775602
4.301517521
5.523280369
-2.24379136
1.066438596
3.67167664
10.1421135
15.18180635
6.839980008
-16.1683111
-6.44369637
0.800439564
1.906226438
2.831888798
20.32454108
15.70667375
12.40357446
9.550191532
10.03714002
14.13207155
5.895218686
2.307021397
-9.27798034
-17.8848399
-17.3039204
-10.1848227
-16.9410444
-10.1168024
-8.90604202
-6.30080398
0.379579839
0.275572163
-2.81758017
-3.67646697
4.998412968
2.584988727
-2.18773929
-4.83117526
-11.3774499
-28.5921349
-4.28720889
0.837392674
-0.460208
7.203821857
5.370351285
4.616437962
8.357564335
7.518742297
-1.34795145
4.301517521

21.75925926
22.68518519
23.61111111
24.53703704
25.46296296
26.38888889
27.31481481
28.24074074
29.16666667
30.09259259
31.01851852
31.94444444
32.87037037
33.7962963
34.72222222
35.64814815
36.57407407
37.5
38.42592593
39.35185185
40.27777778
41.2037037
42.12962963
43.05555556
43.98148148
44.90740741
45.83333333
46.75925926
47.68518519
48.61111111
49.53703704
50.46296296
51.38888889
52.31481481
53.24074074
54.16666667
55.09259259
56.01851852
56.94444444
57.87037037
58.7962963
59.72222222
60.64814815
61.57407407
62.5
63.42592593
64.35185185
65.27777778
66.2037037
67.12962963

74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108

120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415
106.6554511
120.8647898
123.3831875
122.9072415

2.898943364
-8.33225321
-13.9447691
-0.21234213
-14.5266544
-22.2937261
-18.1437083
-20.8921177
-25.0147898
-13.2851875
-14.6189082
-16.6434511
-13.0577898
-3.59885419
-1.9579082
1.151548937
3.693210194
7.611479139
4.858091799
4.366215604
7.441543527
12.10514581
10.50675847
12.22388227
11.36021019
17.35014581
15.64842513
14.13888227
0.106543527
4.431812473
1.139758466
9.90188227
8.929210194
15.53747914
11.59275847

68.05555556
68.98148148
69.90740741
70.83333333
71.75925926
72.68518519
73.61111111
74.53703704
75.46296296
76.38888889
77.31481481
78.24074074
79.16666667
80.09259259
81.01851852
81.94444444
82.87037037
83.7962963
84.72222222
85.64814815
86.57407407
87.5
88.42592593
89.35185185
90.27777778
91.2037037
92.12962963
93.05555556
93.98148148
94.90740741
95.83333333
96.75925926
97.68518519
98.61111111
99.53703704

Inferior 95%
#N/A
102.6265013
116.83584
119.3542377
118.8782917

Superior 95% Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

#N/A
#N/A
#N/A
110.6844008 102.6265013 110.6844008
124.8937396
116.83584 124.8937396
127.4121373 119.3542377 127.4121373
126.9361913 118.8782917 126.9361913

ultados de datos de probabilidad

Y
85.76333333
90.012
90.48713994
94.79105263
95.85
96.47062831
96.99549572
98.88501836
100.3546471
101.0894614
101.8242758
102.9789841
103.9237454
104.7635333
105.4983476
105.6033211
106.3381355
106.4431089
106.6530559
106.7580294
107.4928437
107.807
107.807

Variable X 2 Grfico de los residu

Variable X 3 Grfico d
0.4

0.6

0.8

Variable X 4

40
0.2
X1
20Variable0.4
0
40
-20 0
0.2
20Variable X 2
-40
0
-20 0
-40
Residuos

40
0.2
20
0
-20 0
-40

Residuos

Valor crtico de F
9.8977E-08

40
20
0
-20 0
-40

Residuos

Residuos

Variable X 1 Grfico de los residuales

108.2883333
108.647552
108.9624725
108.9624725
109.3823664
109.4873399
109.4873399
110.098
110.3271277
110.8519951
110.9569686
110.9569686
111.0216667
111.271889
111.5868095
112.7415177
113.2663851
114.0011995
114.31612
114.4210934
114.9459608
115.0509343
116.2056426
116.5573333
117.2553774
118.6200326
118.8793333
119.7843333
119.9846879
120.0896614
120.4045818
120.7195022
120.7943333
120.9493333
120.9713333
121.1393962
121.2443696
121.2443696
121.5592901
121.6642636
122.0841575
122.8189718
123.1338923
123.6587597
123.7637332
123.9736801
124.047
124.1836271
124.2886006
124.558

124.813468
125.8632028
125.9681763
126.3880702
126.5980171
127.7653333
127.815
128.2775928
128.3063333
128.8024602
129.2223541
129.7472215
129.794
130.5870094
130.7969563
130.9019298
130.9019298
130.9946667
131.0069033
131.7417177
132.225
132.476532
133.414
133.4212933
134.5
135.310816
135.4883333
136.9903917
137.5152591
138.5556667
138.5649939
138.9206667
139.0898613
140.7333333
141.1893309

e los residuales

2 Grfico de los residuales

Variable X 3 Grfico de los residuales

0.8

1.2

Variable X 4 Grfico de los residuales

0.6

0.8

1.2

Variable X 1 Curva de regresin ajustada

Variable0.4
X2

0.6

0.8

1.2

150.00
0.2Variable0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
100.00
X3
Y Pronstico para Y
Variable
X
3
Curva
de regresin ajustada
50.00
150.00
0.00
100.00
Variable X 4
0
0.5
1
1.5
50.00
Variable X 4 Curva de regresin ajustada
150.00
0.00
Y Pronstico para Y
Variable100.00
X1
Pronstico para Y
0
0.5
1
1.5
50.00
Grfico de Yprobabilidad
normal
150.00
0.00Variable X 2
100.00
0
0.5
1
1.5
50.00
150
0.00
Y Pronstico para Y
Variable
X3
100
0
0.5
1
1.5
50
0 Variable X 4
0
20
40
60
80
Y

Variable X 2 Curva de regresin ajustada

Muestra percentil

ilidad normal
Pronstico para Y

ra percentil

80

100

120

Perodo 70/79

150

140

130

120

110

100

90

80

70

60

50

Nivel General

Perodo 80/89

150.00

140.00

130.00

120.00

110.00

100.00

90.00

80.00

70.00

60.00

50.00

Series1

Perodo 70

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

Nivel General

1 trimestres

140.00

120.00

100.00

80.00
1

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00
70

71

72

73

74

75

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

2 trimestre

160.00

140.00

120.00

100.00

80.00

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00
70

71

72

73

74

75

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

3 trimestre

160.00

140.00

120.00

100.00

80.00

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00
70

71

72

73

74

75

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

4 trimestre

160.00

140.00

120.00

100.00

80.00

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00
70

71

72

73

74

75

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96