The Mar k et f or

Ai r -t o-Ai r Mi ssi l es


Pr oduc t Code #F659




A Spec i al Foc used Mar k et Segment Anal ysi s by:






Anal ysi s 4
The Mar ket f or Ai r -t o-Ai r Mi ssi l es
t hr ough 2017
Tabl e of Cont ent s
Table of Contents .....................................................................................................................................................1
Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................................2
Introduction................................................................................................................................................................3
Trends..........................................................................................................................................................................6
Competitive Environment .......................................................................................................................................8
Market Statistics .....................................................................................................................................................16
Table 1 - The Market for Air-to-Air Missiles
Unit Production by Headquarters/Company/Program 2008 - 2017...............................................22
Table 2 - The Market for Air-to-Air Missiles
Value Statistics by Headquarters/Company/Program 2008 - 2017................................................26
Figure 1 - The Market for Air-to-Air Missiles
Unit Production 2008-2017 (Bar Graph) ................................................................................30
Figure 2 - The Market for Air-to-Air Missiles
Value of Production 2008-2017 (Bar Graph)..........................................................................30
Table 3 - The Market for Air-to-Air Missiles
Unit Production % Market Share by Headquarters/Company 2008 - 2017...................................31
Table 4 - The Market for Air-to-Air Missiles
Value Statistics % Market Share by Headquarters/Company 2008 - 2017....................................33
Figure 3 - The Market for Air-to-Air Missiles
Unit Production % Market Share by Headquarters 2008 - 2017 (Pie Chart) ..........................35
Figure 4 - The Market for Air-to-Air Missiles
Value Statistics % Market Share by Headquarters 2008 - 2017 (Pie Chart)...........................35
Conclusion ...............................................................................................................................................................36
* * *
Product Code F659 The Market for Air-to-Air Missiles



2 0 08
PROGRAMS
The following reports are included in this section: (Note: a single report may cover several programs.)
AAM-3
AAM-4
AIM-9 Sidewinder
AIM-9X Sidewinder
AIM-120 AMRAAM
Aspide
ASRAAM
Astra
Chinese Air-to-Air Missiles
IRIS-T
MAA-1 Piranha
Meteor
MICA
Russian Air-to-Air Missile
Shafrir II/Python III
Sky Sword I/II
V3A/B Kukri, V3C Darter
Product Code F659 The Market for Air-to-Air Missiles

2008


I nt r oduc t i on
The Beginnings. Aircraft technology was little over
a decade old when Gavrilo Princip, a member of the
terrorist group Black Hand, shot Grand Archduke Franz
Ferdinand in Saraevo. This J une 28, 1914, assassination
provided an easy excuse for Austria to attack Serbia, a
conflict that widened to become the First World War.
Although the Italians had used aircraft in combat in
Libya, dropping bombs on Turkish troops in 1911, no
single-seat fighter aircraft existed when the fighting
started. In 1914, the eras generals saw these aircraft fit
for reconnaissance and surveillance missions, only
(many did not think them fit for this purpose).
When the war started, France had 132 frontline aircraft,
Germany 246, Russia 24, Austria 36, and the British
Royal Flying Corps 84 and the Royal Navy 71 aircraft.
The low numbers were in part due to the many problems
that existed with early aircraft: low reliability, limited
range, fragility, limited payload, poor maneuverability,
flammability, and accidental explosions. Still, as the
war progressed and intensified, the importance of
aircraft steadily grew.
By October 1914, many pilots were experimenting with
placing machine guns on their two-seat reconnais-
sance aircraft. The introduction of interrupter gear,
allowing a machine gun to fire through a spinning
propeller without hitting it, helped convince leaders of
the value of fighter aircraft.
All sides were expanding their air corps as fast as
possible by the end of 1915. In J uly 1916, the Battle of
the Somme saw the RFC employing 27 squadrons with
421 aircraft. The RFC established air superiority over
the frontline and some 30 miles behind enemy lines. By
December of that year, the British government approved
the further expansion of the RFC to 106 frontline and 95
reserve and training squadrons.
Total aircraft production during the First World War
exceeded 200,000 units.

FIRST WORLD WAR AIRCRAFT STATISTICS
(1)


Nation Total Production Combat Aircraft 1914 Combat Aircraft 1918 Lost
(2)

Austria 5,431 35 (others claim 86) 200-250 Not Available
France 67,987 132-160 3,222 52,640
Germany 48,537 246 2,709 27,637
Italy 20,000 150 1,200 Not Available
Russia 4,700 300-360
(3)
1,000
(4)
Not Available
United Kingdom 58,144 110-155 4,000 35,973
United States 15,000 55 740 Not Available

(1) Figures provided in part by www.theaerodrome.com.
(2) Losses due to combat and crashes. Total includes aircraft damaged.
(3) May include some non-combat aircraft.
(4) Figure for 1917.

Throughout the First World War and the Second, the
main air-to-air weapon of a fighter was the machine
gun. The most produced fighter of the war, the
Messerschmitt Bf109, usually carried 13mm machine
guns and 20mm cannons (the number depended on the
variant). The British Spitfire sported three .303-caliber
machine guns and two 20mm cannons, while the U.S.
was outfitted with P-51 with six .50-caliber machine
guns. Air-to-air missiles did not appear until late in the
war.
Research into the development of various components,
eventually incorporated into air-to-air missiles, had been
ongoing since the 1930s. Germany was first to develop
the technology into the prototype stages.
By the midpoint of the war, Germany was facing
ever-increasing numbers of high-quality Allied aircraft,
and needed a means to restore the Luftwaffes
superiority in the air. Long-range (for that time) guided
air-to-air projectiles seemed to be the answer; in 1943,
Germany successfully completed its first airborne
launchings against an aerial target.
Ruhrstahl Allgemeine Gesellschaft (A.G.) developed
the X-4 missile. Sources disagree but the first launching
of this missile occurred in August 1945 from an Fw190
fighter.
The X-4 was wire-guided and powered by the BMW
109-448 rocket motor. The missiles guidance wires
unwound from two bobbins attached to the wing tips.
Continued
Missile Forecast

2007
November 2007
AI M-9X Si dew i nder

Or i ent at i on
Description. A next-generation short-range air-to-air
missile.
Sponsor. The United States Department of Defense.
The Sidewinder program is run by the Short-Range
Missile J oint Program Office, with the U.S. Navy and
executive management in the hands of the Naval Air
Systems Command, in cooperation with the Naval
Weapons Center, China Lake, California. The program
is assisted by the U.S. Air Force.
Status. Deliveries of low-rate initial production units
to the U.S. Air Force commenced in 2002. Technical
problems with the missiles control actuation system
caused some schedule delays. Components delivered to
Raytheon did not meet performance requirements,
resulting in control surfaces that froze under certain
loads or friction. Also, the fin locking mechanism,
which holds the control surfaces in place until a few
moments after the missiles launch, had to be
redesigned.
Total Produced. Approximately 2,135 AIM-9X
missiles (including RDT&E units) had been completed
by the end of 2006. Low-rate initial production was
approved on September 22, 2000. The AIM-9X
achieved an Initial Operational Capability during 2003
with full-scale production starting in 2004. Reportedly,
Raytheons line can manufacture around 800 missiles
per year.
Application. Short-range, near all-aspect air-to-air
missile with dogfight capability.
Price Range. The AIM-9X could cost between
$160,000 and $200,000, although other estimates place
the probable unit price at about $300,000 a copy.
Cont r ac t or s
Pr i me
Raytheon Missile Systems http://www.raytheon.com, 1151 E Hermans Rd, Tucson, AZ 85706 United States,
Tel: +1 (520) 794-3000, Fax: +1 (520) 794-1315, Prime

Subc ont r ac t or
Alliant Techsystems - Mission
Systems Group, Allegany
Ballistics Laboratory
http://www.atk.com, 210 State Rte 956, Rocket Center, WV 26726-0210 United States,
Tel: +1 (304) 726-5000, Fax: +1 (304) 726-5183, Email: tactical.systems@atk.com
(Mk 36 Solid Fuel Rocket Motor)

Out l ook
In production
U.S. and foreign militaries are purchasing the AIM-9X
Sidewinder
Additional export orders are anticipated
Sales of U.S.-built combat aircraft are helping to generate
demand for the AIM-9X missile
U.S. could procure a ground-based surface-to-air version
of the AIM-9X and perhaps one for use from submerged
submarines
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
U
n
its
Unit Production Forecast
2007-2016
Units 631 663 747 803 802 804 802 801 800 752
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Page 2 Missile Forecast
AI M-9X Si dew i nder


November 2007
L-3 Communications - BT Fuze
Products
http://www-btfuze.tw.l-3com.com, 101 N Queen St, PO Box 4648, Lancaster, PA 17603
United States, Tel: +1 (717) 735-0300, Fax: +1 (717) 397-3608,
Email: btfp.marketing@L-3com.com (Fuze)

Comprehensive information on Contractors can be found in Forecast Internationals International Contractorsseries. For a detailed description,
go to www.forecastinternational.com (see Products & Samples/Governments & Industries) or call +1 (203) 426-0800.
Contractors are invited to submit updated information to Editor, International Contractors, Forecast International, 22 Commerce Road, Newtown,
CT 06470, USA; rich.pettibone@forecast1.com

Tec hni c al Dat a
Design Features. The AIM-9X design is an
enhanced version of the U.S. Air Force Box Office 2
airframe. The U.S. Air Forces Wright Laboratory
initially developed the Box Office in cooperation with
Loral, but later with Raytheon. Originally, the Box
Office was conceived to increase the Sidewinders
range. As close-range maneuverability became more
important due to the advent of the AIM-9X requirement,
thrust vectoring was added as part of Box Office 2.
The Box Office design involves removing the canards
from an AIM-9M and providing smaller tail fins (with a
span of only 11 inches instead of the 25.2 inches found
on the standard M model Sidewinder). The modified
missile has a higher velocity, thereby offsetting the fact
that it has smaller control surfaces. The tail control
surfaces, shaped similar to those on the MIM-104
Patriot, are independently activated.
The airframe is modified so that the body provides the
lift that was lost with the removal of the canards. The
cross-section is reduced to cut drag and improve
kinematics, increasing the maximum speed and g rating.
The engagement zone is also expanded, and a digital
autopilot added. The new autopilot provides improved
stability while increasing maneuverability.
Metric U.S.
Dimensions
Missile length 3 m 119 in
Missile diameter 12.7 cm 5 in
Missile weight 85 kg 188 lb
Tailspan 27.94 cm 11 in

Performance
Speed Mach 2.5+ Mach 2.5+
Range 17.7 km 11 mi

Propulsion. Alliant Techsystems Incorporated pro-
vides this missiles rocket motor and thrust-vector
control system. The AIM-9X uses the standard Side-
winder Mk 36 solid-propellant rocket motor. The
Mk 36 Mod 7 weighs 45 kilograms (99 lb) and is
approximately 27.95 centimeters (71 in) long. The
Mk 36 Mod 9 reduced-smoke rocket motor for the
AIM-9M weighs 45.4 kilograms (100 lb), and
HTPB/AB propellant is used. The Mk 36 Mod 11 is
installed on the AIM-9M and the Mk 36 Mod 12 outfits
the AGM-122 SIDEARM.
Control & Guidance. The modified 128x128
imaging infrared focal plane array seeker, originally
designed by BAE Systems for its ASRAAM (see
separate report in this tab), is used on the AIM-9X.
Thrust-vectoring has been integrated into the missile to
increase maneuverability.
Launcher Mode. This missile is fired from under-
wing or wingtip-mounted pylons and rail launchers.
The AIM-9X arms the F-14, F-15, F-16, and F/A-18C/D
fighters and the F-22 Raptor.
Warhead. The AIM-9X uses the standard Sidewinder
warhead. The Sidewinder is outfitted with an annular
blast-fragmentation-type warhead with improved active
laser IR proximity. Raytheon is developing a
replacement for the DSU-37 proximity fuze and a
datalink for the AIM-9X missile.
Var i ant s/Upgr ades
The Sidewinder family of air-to-air missiles includes a
number of different versions. The AIM-9X is a
Sidewinder mostly in name, although it does retain the
older versions warhead and rocket motor. Raytheon is
Missile Forecast Page 3
AI M-9X Si dew i nder

2007
November 2007
examining preplanned product improvements (P3I) for
the AIM-9X. Areas for early P3I phases include the
components retained from the AIM-9M including the
rocket motor, fuze, and warhead. A ground-launched
version of the AIM-9X could also be developed.
Raytheon is proposing an upgrade that would enable a
pilot to launch the missile based on cues from a
wingman or other friendly aircraft. The missile would
fly to a predetermined point based on the cues received
from another aircraft. The missile would acquire the
hostile aircraft and lock on to it as its flies to that
predetermined point. This feature would allow fighters
to engage hostile aircraft when they are attacking from
behind.
Another proposal calls for the development of an
encapsulated version that can be fired from submerged
submarines. This missile would be used to engage
anti-submarine warfare (ASW) helicopters and other
maritime aircraft.


AIM-9X
Source: Raytheon
Pr ogr am Revi ew
Background. The United States began to consider
development of an AIM-9 Sidewinder follow-on as far
back as the late 1970s. The United States became
involved in the cooperative AIM-132 ASRAAM
program, which involved various NATO Alliance
members. Eventually, the U.S. pulled out of the
AIM-132 ASRAAM program, deciding instead to
develop a new system on its own. This decision
resulted in the existing AIM-9X project, described as a
long-term evolutionary improvement to the Sidewinder,
which turned into a true next-generation air-to-air
missile development effort.
Western Alliance Looks for New Advanced
Short-Range AAM
Desired improvements over the existing Sidewinder
were concentrated in three areas: developing a more
flexible seeker, increasing data processing capability,
and making the airframe more agile for the in-close,
tight fight. Designers hoped to contain costs by
retaining the original Sidewinder rocket motor and
warhead, as well as the target detector device that
detonates the warhead. It had been suggested that a
6-inch rocket motor be used to provide a larger no-
escape zone. However, the U.S. decided to stick with
the smaller standard 5-inch rocket motor since it is
faster and creates less drag.
The seeker development effort aims to increase the dis-
tance at which the missile can acquire a target against a
blue-sky background to about eight to 10 miles, four
miles against ground clutter. Seeker technologies under
consideration included a pseudo imager or a full-
imaging staring focal plane array. Both would
incorporate large gimbal angles of about 90 degrees,
which would produce a 180-degree field of regard.
Advanced processing available in the new seeker also
would improve infrared counter-countermeasures
capability.
A pseudo imager uses several simple detectors, while
the original Sidewinder had only one. Additional
detectors are able to procure enough data for an
improved processor to create an image-like represent-
Page 4 Missile Forecast
AI M-9X Si dew i nder


November 2007
ation of the target, instead of a single hot spot. The
pseudo imager thus allows for greater discrimination
and rejection of clutter. It operates in the infrared long-
wave range, which helps the missile detect an aircraft
from any angle, instead of relying on seeing engine
heat.
The pseudo imager uses 12 to 200 detectors, compared
to more than 16,000 used in a staring focal plane array.
This reduction translates to lower cost, a less complica-
ted device, and smaller processing demands. However,
the medium-wave frequency staring focal plan array has
better range and more sensitivity with a blue sky. The
two systems are about equal in discriminating against
ground clutter, according to industry officials.
The new seeker may also have the capability of tracking
infrared and radar signatures. Although a focal plane
staring array would provide greater infrared sensitivity
and discrimination of flares or other decoys, the seeker
could also be outfitted with a passive mode for tracking
radar emissions of an enemy aircraft or be used with the
active radar on the launch aircraft to illuminate and
track the target. Processor technology improvements
developed under the AIM-9R program also could be
incorporated into this missile.
Competition. The AIM-9X competition attracted a
wide variety of U.S. and overseas defense firms. An
April 1994 Request for Proposals (demonstration/val-
idation phase) issued by the United States resulted in
proposals from the U.S. Navy (Naval Air Warfare
Center, China Lake, California), U.S. Air Force,
Hughes, Raytheon, BAe (based on its ASRAAM), Loral
Aeronutronics (teamed with BGT, which offered an
imaging infrared seeker based on TELL), and Rafael of
Israel (with the Python IV). Two 18-month
demonstration/validation contracts were issued to
Raytheon and Hughes in December 1994.
Hughes Wins Contract for new ASRAAM
The final candidates were Hughes with an evolved
AIM-9M, Raytheon with its own evolved AIM-9M
proposal, Raytheon and Rafael using technology from
the Python IV, and British Aerospace and Hughes with
an improved version of the ASRAAM. In December
1996, Hughes was selected as the winner of this
competition.
The AIM-9X development schedule allowed for 81
months from the time of contract award to the delivery
of the first low-rate initial production (LRIP) Lot 1
missile. Problems with the missiles control actuation
systems and fin locking mechanism caused some delays
in the programs schedule. A third LRIP lot was added
to allow additional time to complete development and
operational testing. The service declared the missile
operational in 2003, with the start of full-rate production
moved to 2004.
Initial procurement estimates place AIM-9X levels at
6,000 units (4,000 for the U.S. Air Force and 2,000 for
the Navy); although some estimate procurement could
top 10,000 units.
Missile Models. There is only a single version of the
AIM-9X in development, but additional models could
be produced once the system enters service.
AIM-9X. Raytheons (originally Hughes) AIM-9X pro-
posal incorporates technology developed under the
British-led ASRAAM program. The companys missile
will use a mercury/cadmium/telluride focal plane array
seeker small enough to fit in a 5-inch-diameter airframe.
Under a classified technology demonstration program,
called Top Hat, Raytheons sensor showed increased
sensitivity compared to the current generation of infra-
red guidance systems. At present, infrared seekers use
several detectors mounted on a scanning mechanism.
Raytheon uses a 128x128 focal plane array operating in
the 3- to 5-micron infrared band linked to a tracker
system provided by Raytheon, Lewisville, Texas. Ray-
theon was the principal subcontractor during the demon-
stration program. Raytheon developed the optics and
the gimbal mechanism for the guidance unit and inte-
grated the guidance system. The companys Santa
Barbara Research Center provided the focal plane array.
The system is expected to provide the following
improvements in performance: all-aspect attack, in-
creased range due to greater seeker sensitivity, better
performance in high background clutter environments,
and improved performance against infrared counter-
measures due to the systems imaging capability.
Technical problems with the missiles control actuation
system have caused some schedule delays. Components
delivered to Raytheon were not meeting performance
requirements, resulting in control surfaces that could not
move as required and would freeze under certain loads
or frictions. Also, the fin-locking mechanism, which
holds the control surfaces in place until a few moments
after the missiles launch, had to be redesigned.
By August 1999, five tests of the AIM-9X had been
completed. About 16 separation firings and 43 guided
shots were planned for the AIM-9X. The guided missile
tests were completed by the end of 2001. Initial opera-
tional tests and evaluations started in late 2001 and
continued through most of 2002. More than 22 test
firings were to be conducted as part of this phase. LRIP
was approved in September 2000, with a full-rate
production decision slated for 2004.
Missile Forecast Page 5
AI M-9X Si dew i nder

2007
November 2007
Submarine-Launched AIM-9X. Raytheon is experi-
menting with a submarine-launched version of the
AIM-9X, a successful land-based launch having been
completed on November 19, 2005. The test was
conducted for the Naval Sea Systems Command at the
U.S. Armys McGregor Test Range in New Mexico.
This system could provide U.S. Navy submarines the
capability to defend themselves against anti-submarine
warfare (ASW) aircraft when operating in shallow
waters. The missile is intended for launch when the
submarine is at periscope depth.
For this test, the missile was launched from a stationary
U.S. Army XM-85 Chaparral launcher. The AIM-9X
missile successfully acquired and destroyed a slow
moving helicopter drone target with a direct hit.
Full-scale development has not commenced.
Si gni f i c ant New s
Raytheon to Offer Jammer Version of Sidewinder Raytheon is offering a jammer based on its AIM-9X
Sidewinder, called Quiet Eyes. This short-range air-to-air missile has already been sold to the U.S. military and
foreign air forces. Raytheon wants to take advantage of the growing demand in the United States for aircraft infrared
countermeasures, a market that has traditionally been dominated by BAE Systems and Northrop Grumman. ITT is
also interested in this market, along with Lockheed Martin. (Flight International, 7/07)
Raytheon Vying for Indian Defense Contracts Raytheon, like other U.S. companies, is trying to win a
larger share of Indias annual defense contract awards. The company had a large display at the Aero India Show and
has been trying to establish long-term partnerships with local firms.
Among the products that Raytheon displayed at Aero India were the AMRAAM and AIM-9M Sidewinder air-to-air,
Maverick anti-armor, HARM anti-radiation, and the Patriot and SLAMRAAM air defense missiles. Also featured at
the show was the Paveway strike weapon. The potential sale of U.S. combat fighters to India could aid in the sale of
some of these missile systems. (India Defence, 2/07)
Market Intelligence Service Subscribers: For additional news, go to the online E-Market Alert page located in the Intelligence Center at
www.forecastinternational.com and click on the links to the products you subscribe to.

Fundi ng
Deliveries of the AIM-9X to the U.S. military started in mid-2002. The Pentagon slipped the AIM-9X Initial
Operational Capability to 2003. The U.S. Department of Defense plans to procure around 10,000 missiles split
between the U.S. Air Force and Navy during an 18-year production run. The AIM-9X program could cost $3 billion
to $4 billion with development accounting for some $650 million of this total.
U.S. FUNDING
FY08 FY08
FY05 FY05 FY06 FY06 FY07 FY07 (Req) (Req)
QTY AMT QTY AMT QTY AMT QTY AMT
Procurement
US Navy 135 33.1 135 33.1 159 37.1 174 40.4
*USAF 248 52.4 196 44.4 183 43.7 172 52.7
RDT&E
Proj-1 - 5.4 - 5.4 - 15.4 - 8.9
Proj-2 - 3.9 - 3.9 - 9.2 - 8.0
Total 383 94.8 331 86.8 342 105.4 346 110.0

All $ are in millions.
Proj - 1 PE#0207161F Tactical AIM Missiles Proj 4132 AIM-9 Product Improvement. Funding for AIM-9X.
Proj - 2 PE#0207161N Tactical Air Intercept Proj E0457 AIM-9X. USN line providing funding for AIM-9X.
Page 6 Missile Forecast
AI M-9X Si dew i nder


November 2007
Cont r ac t s/Or der s & Opt i ons
On April 23, 2007, Raytheon Missile Systems, Tucson, Arizona, received a $59,452,101 modification to a
previously awarded firm-fixed-price contract (N00019-07-C-0008) exercising an option for the Lot 7 production of
AIM-9X tactical missiles for the U.S. Air Force (17) and U.S. Navy (1), and for the governments of Finland (100),
Singapore (40), and Switzerland (1 Lot (quantity classified)). In addition, this option provides for the procurement of
Captive Air Training Missiles (CATMs) for Finland (40) and Singapore (20), as well as containers for the U.S. Air
Force (15) and the governments of Finland (39), Switzerland (18), and Singapore (15). Work will be performed in
Tucson, Arizona (93 percent); and Andover, Massachusetts (7 percent); and is expected to be completed in April
2009. This option combines purchases for the U.S. Air Force ($3,087,475; 5.2 percent), U.S. Navy ($172,475;
0.3 percent), and the governments of Finland ($25,658,565; 43.2 percent), Singapore ($16,299,060; 27.4 percent),
and Switzerland ($14,234,526; 23.9 percent) under the Foreign Military Sales (FMS) program. The Naval Air
Systems Command, Patuxent River, Maryland is the contracting agency.
On J anuary 31, 2007, Raytheon Missile Systems, Tucson, Arizona, was awarded an $8,918,573 modification to a
previously awarded firm-fixed-price contract (N00019-07-C-0008) to provide technical support for the development
of a Block II configuration AIM-9X missile. This contract combines purchases for the U.S. Navy ($2,575,000; 29
percent) and the U.S. Air Force ($6,343,573; 71 percent). Work will be performed in Tucson, Arizona, and was
completed in September 2007. The Naval Air Systems Command, Patuxent River, Maryland was the contracting
agency.
On December 18, 2006, Raytheon Missile Systems, Tucson, Arizona, received a $9,806,987 modification to a
previously awarded firm-fixed-price contract (N00019-07-C-0008) for FY07 technical support of Lot 7 AIM-9X
missiles for the U.S. Navy and U.S. Air Force. Work will be performed in Tucson, Arizona, and was completed in
November 2007. This contract combines purchases for the U.S. Navy ($5,525,175; 56 percent) and the U.S. Air
Force ($4,281,812; 44 percent). The Naval Air Systems Command, Patuxent River, Maryland, is the contracting
agency.
On December 8, 2006, Raytheon Missile Systems, Tucson, Arizona, was awarded a $67,659,959 firm-fixed-price
contract for 222 Lot 7 Production AIM-9X Tactical Missiles for the U.S. Navy (126) and U.S. Air Force (96). In
addition, this contract provides for the procurement of 153 Captive Air Training Missiles (CATMs) for the U.S.
Navy (48), U.S. Air Force (87), and Switzerland (18), and 105 containers for the U.S. Navy (49), U.S. Air Force
(51), and Switzerland (5). Work will be performed in Tucson, Arizona (93 percent) and Andover, Massachusetts
(7 percent) and is expected to be completed in April 2009. This contract combines purchases for the U.S. Air Force
($32,573,982; 48 percent), U.S. Navy ($31,712,226; 47 percent), and Switzerland ($3,373,751; 5 percent) under the
FMS program. The Naval Air Systems Command, Patuxent River, Maryland, is the contracting agency. Contract
Number N00019-07-C-0008
On April 28, 2006, Raytheon, Tucson, Arizona, received a $6,027,183 ceiling-priced modification to a previously
awarded firm-fixed-price contract (N00019-04-C-0006) exercising an option for the lot 6 production of two
AIM-9X tactical missiles for the government of Denmark, 23 captive air training missiles for the Air Force, and
three special air training missiles for the Air Force. In addition, this option provides 13 containers for the Air Force
and one for the government of Denmark, spares for the Air Force (1) and the government of Denmark (2), and one
warhead for the government of Denmark. Work will be performed in Tucson, Arizona (92 percent); Rocket Center,
West Virginia (5 percent); and Andover, Massachusetts (3 percent); and is expected to be completed in April 2008.
This contract combines purchases for the Air Force ($4,950,195; 82.1 percent) and the government of Denmark
($1,076,988; 17.9 percent) under the FMS Act. The Naval Air Systems Command, Patuxent River, Maryland, is the
contracting agency.
On February 22, 2006, Raytheon Missile Systems, Tucson, Arizona, was awarded a $35,677,998 ceiling-priced
modification to a previously awarded firm-fixed-price contract (N00019-04-C-0006) exercising an option to procure
127 AIM-9X Tactical Missiles, 22 Captive Air Training Missiles, and 41 containers for the government of Turkey
under the FMS program. Work will be performed in Tucson, Arizona (84 percent); Rocket Center, West Virginia
(13 percent); and Andover, Massachusetts (3 percent); and is expected to be completed in March 2008. The Naval
Air Systems Command, Patuxent River, Maryland, is the contracting agency.
Missile Forecast Page 7
AI M-9X Si dew i nder

2007
November 2007
On February 2, 2006, Raytheon Missile Systems, Tucson, Arizona, received a $14,874,018 ceiling-priced modifi-
cation to a previously awarded firm-fixed-price contract (N00019-04-C-0006) for technical services in support of
the software integration of the AIM-9X Missile capability on the F-16 Aircraft, including technical data and support
equipment for Turkey under the FMS program. Work will be performed in Tucson, Arizona (70 percent) and in
Eskisehir, Turkey (30 percent); and was completed in December 2007. The Naval Air Systems Command, Patuxent
River, Maryland, is the contracting agency.
On December 8, 2005, Raytheon Systems, Tucson, Arizona, was awarded a $59,384,853 modification to a
previously awarded firm-fixed-price contract (N00019-04-C-0006) exercising an option for the FY06 procurement
of 196 AIM-9X Tactical Missiles for the U.S. Air Force (103) and the U.S. Navy (93); 125 Captive Air Training
Missiles for the U.S. Air Force (70), U.S. Navy (42), and the government of Switzerland (13), and 100 containers
for the U.S. Air Force (55), the U.S. Navy (38), and the government of Switzerland (7). This contract combines
purchases from the U.S. Air Force ($31,685,238; 53.4 percent), U.S. Navy ($24,946,605; 42 percent), and the
government of Switzerland ($2,753,010; 4.6 percent) under the FMS program. Work will be performed in Tucson,
Arizona (84 percent), Rocket Center, West Virginia (13 percent), and Andover, Massachusetts (3 percent), and is
expected to be completed in March 2008. The Naval Air Systems Command, Patuxent River, Maryland, is the
contracting agency.
In March 2005, Raytheon was awarded an $8.99 million modification contract exercising an option for AIM-9X
missiles for the U.S. Air Force (11) and Denmark (40). The contract also includes captive air training missiles for
the U.S. Air Force (1), sectionalization spares for Denmark (1) and South Korea (1), and containers for the U.S. Air
Force (4) and Denmark (10). Work on this contract was completed in April 2007. Contract Number N00019-04-C-
0006
In December 2004, Raytheon received a $6.9 million modification contract to develop a replacement for the
DSU-37 Proximity Fuze and a datalink for the AIM-9X for the U.S. Air Force and Navy. Work on this contract was
completed in September 2005. Contract Number N00019-04-C-0003
In November 2004, Raytheon was awarded a $158.2 million modification contract exercising an option to procure
AIM-9X missiles for the U.S. Air Force (178), U.S. Navy (93), Poland (178), Denmark (60), South Korea (41), and
Switzerland (1 Lot quantity classified); captive air training missiles for the U.S. Air Force (70), U.S. Navy (42),
Denmark (32), Poland (20), and Switzerland (3); and containers for the U.S. Air Force (69), U.S. Navy (39),
Denmark (28), Switzerland (24), and South Korea (10). Work on this contract was completed in April 2006.
Contract Number N00019-04-C-0006
In November 2004, Raytheon received a $6.1 million modification contract to provide engineering and logistics
sustaining support for the AIM-9X Lot 5 (FY05) U.S. Navy and Air Force Follow-on Test and Evaluation Program.
Work on this contract was completed in November 2005. Contract Number N00019-04-C-0006
In April 2004, Raytheon Missile Systems received an $82.4 million contract for Lot 4 production of 314 AIM-9X
missiles: 64 for the U.S. Navy, 186 for the U.S. Air Force, and 64 for South Korea. Work on this contract was
completed in April 2006. Contract Number N00019-04-C-0006
In November 2002, Raytheon Systems Company, Tucson, Arizona, was awarded a $96.2 million modification
contract exercising an option to procure 599 AIM-9X Sidewinder low-rate initial production missiles (436 all-up
rounds and 139 captive air training missiles). Work on this contract was completed by April 2005. Contract
Number N00019-97-C-0027
In November 2000, Raytheon Systems Company, Tucson, Arizona, received a $43.4 million modification contract
exercising an option for the AIM-9X low-rate initial production of 103 all-up rounds, 39 captive air training
missiles, and other associated components. Work was completed by April 2003. Contract Number
N00019-97-C-0027
Ti met abl e
Month Year Major Development
1970s U.S. considers Sidewinder follow-on
1990-91 Cooperation AIM-132 ASRAAM program collapses
Dec 1994-1995 AIM-9X demonstration/validation phase
Page 8 Missile Forecast
AI M-9X Si dew i nder


November 2007
Month Year Major Development
Dec 1996 Hughes awarded engineering and manufacturing development contract
Oct 1997 Hughes acquired by Raytheon
1999 Technical problems cause delays
J un 1999 First successful guided test
J ul 1999 Missile experiences test failure
Sep 1999 Second successful guided test
Sep 2000 LRIP approved
May 2002 Deliveries of LRIP units begun
2003 AIM-9X achieves Initial Operational Capability
2004 Full-rate production of AIM-9X commences

Wor l dw i de Di st r i but i on/I nvent or i es
The first international customers for the AIM-9X Sidewinder were South Korea and Switzerland. At least 10 other
countries have expressed interest in the AIM-9X missile. In 2007, the Royal Australian Air Force (RAAF)
announced it will arm its F/A-18E/F Super Hornets with the AIM-9X Sidewinder.
Another country said to be interested in the AIM-9X is Belgium. The Belgian Air Force would like to replace its
AIM-9Ms with a new air-to-air missile. Options include the AIM-9X, IRIS-T, and ASRAAM. This missile will
arm the BAFs fleet of F-16AM fighters.
Earlier in 2006, Bulgaria said it wanted to procure Western-built fighters and air-to-air missiles. Bulgaria is seeking
20 new fighters to replace some of its aging Soviet-provided aircraft. Sofia is considering the Boeing F/A-18E/F
Hornet, the BAE Systems/Saab JAS39 Gripen, and the Lockheed Martin F-16C/D. The likely air-to-air missile
armaments for these fighters are the AIM-9 Sidewinder and AIM-120 AMRAAM.
Denmark has selected the AIM-9X to arm its F-16AM fighters. The candidates to meet this requirement were the
AIM-9X and BGTs IRIS-T. Denmarks selection could influence other operators of F-16AMs to purchase the same
missile. Finland is procuring the AIM-9X as part of an upgrade package for its F/A-18 Hornets. In November
2005, the U.S. offered Finland 150 AIM-9X missiles and other associated equipment as part of a $100 million
contract.
In 2005, Greece said it could procure U.S.-built F-16 Block 52 fighters. Initially, 30 aircraft could be ordered with
an option for an additional 10. These aircraft would meet the Hellenic Air Forces immediate needs and not
preclude the purchase of an all-new fighter aircraft in 2009. These F-16s could be armed with the AIM-9X
Sidewinder.
In another first, the United States offered to sell India F-16 or F/A-18 Hornet fighter aircraft in 2006. Along with
these aircraft, the U.S. would provide AIM-9 Sidewinder and AIM-120 AMRAAM air-to-air missiles. In 2007, the
U.S. offered South Korea 102 AIM-9X missiles to arm its F-15K fighters. If all options are exercised, the total
value of the agreement could be as high as $55 million.
Meanwhile, the Netherlands is examining potential replacements for its inventory of AIM-9 Sidewinders. The
Dutch are already flight testing the IRIS-Ts seeker as a possible replacement for its Sidewinders. However, the
AIM-9X and ASRAAM are also candidates for meeting this requirement. Also, Norway wants to purchase new
short-range AAMs for its F-16AMs.
After years of delays, the U.S. has offered to sell F-16 fighters to Pakistan. Whether these aircraft would come
equipped with AIM-9X or AIM-9M missiles is uncertain. In 2006, the United States and Pakistan were negotiating
a new arms deal that could involve the sale of 36 new and perhaps 26 used F-16 fighters. The value of this contract
could be in the area of $5 billion.
In 2002, Poland was offered 178 AIM-9X missiles as part of a deal involving the procurement of F-16C/D fighters.
The total value of this arms package was placed at $1.1 billion.
The possible sale of F/A-18E/F Super Hornets to Malaysia presents another market opportunity for the AIM-9X.
Malaysia already operates earlier model Hornets. Besides Malaysia, Singapore has said it would like to purchase
Missile Forecast Page 9
AI M-9X Si dew i nder

2007
November 2007
the AIM-9X to arm its U.S.-built fighter aircraft. Thailand wants new combat aircraft with options, including U.S.-
and Russian-built fighters.
In 2005, Romania, like many other Eastern European nations, announced interest in replacing its obsolete Russian-
built combat aircraft. The Romanian Air Force expressed interest in procuring Western-designed fighters, an option
being the J AS 39 Gripen. Romania said it wants 48 new combat aircraft to replace its aging fleet of 80 MiG
fighters.
In 2006, Slovenia announced plans to acquire new military helicopters and cargo aircraft. These aircraft are to be in
service by 2015. Slovenia may place an order for fighter aircraft in the future, but no specific timetable has been
announced.
In September 2005, Singapore selected the Boeing F-15 over the Dassault Rafale. The initial order was expected to
be for 10-12 combat aircraft, although this figure could increase to 20 fighters in the future. This aircraft
procurement deal could be worth more than $1 billion. Along with the fighters, the United States is offering a $741
million weapons package to Singapore. This arms package includes 200 AIM-120C AMRAAM and 200 AIM-9X
Sidewinder missiles.
In J uly 2006, Taiwan considered the purchase of combat fighters and attack helicopters from the United States.
These potential purchases are part of Taiwans effort to enhance its defenses to counter the rising threat from China.
Taiwan may purchase 66 F-16 C/D Block 52 fighters for TWD130 billion ($4 billion). These aircraft would replace
older F-5 fighters currently in service and strengthen Taiwans air defense capabilities. The armaments package that
could accompany this fighter purchase could be significant. Additional air-to-air missiles, AIM-9 Sidewinder, and
AIM-120 AMRAAMs, would be required.
Turkey announced plans to acquire the AIM-9X, with the U.S. offering 225 missiles in October 2004, valued at
approximately $96 million. A contract for some AIM-9X missiles was awarded in 2006.
User Countries. The United States was the initial operator of the AIM-9X Sidewinder, followed by South
Korea, Switzerland, Poland, Denmark, Finland, Singapore, Turkey, and Australia.
For ec ast Rat i onal e
The Sidewinder is on its way to becoming the most
widely sold air-to-air missile in the world. This family,
which secured its first aerial combat victory on J uly 10,
1965, will be on duty with numerous air forces for
another 20 years.
Since entering service, the AIM-9 Sidewinder has come
to dominate the short-range air-to-air missile market
segment. More than 40 years later, no missile has arisen
to challenge Raytheons dominance, and the Sidewind-
ers newest version, the AIM-9X, is poised to continue
the success of its predecessors. The total production of
the new AIM-9X model could easily be double that of
its nearest competitor.
The greatest advantage of the AIM-9X and its predeces-
sors is being the standard armament on U.S.-built
combat aircraft. U.S. companies will sell one-and-a-
half times as many aircraft as Dassault and Eurofighter
GmbH, and three times more than Sukhoi and MiG. In
addition, a sizable number of those U.S. combat aircraft
already in service around the world will receive updates
allowing carriage of the AIM-9X missile.
The F-35 J oint Strike Fighter (J SF) could play a key
role in determining if Raytheon achieves its eventual
AIM-9X sales goal. Pentagon and defense industry
officials are predicting that international sales of the J SF
will reach 2,000 to 3,000 units over the life of this
program. If true, then this, combined with export sales
of other U.S.-built fighters, could help Raytheon capture
a significant portion of the short-range air-to-air missile
market.
In addition to U.S. fighters, a large number of
foreign-built aircraft could be armed with the AIM-9X.
Perhaps 50 percent of all J AS39 Gripens sold could be
armed with U.S. air-to-air missiles. The export
potential of the AIM-9X would be further increased if
the missile could be offered in combination with the
Eurofighter Typhoon. This combination would improve
Raytheons chances of winning more missile orders in
Europe, where 1,500 to 2,000 short-range air-to-air
missiles could be purchased over the next 10 years.
By far, the United States will be the single largest pur-
chaser of AIM-9X missiles, acquiring possibly 10,000
or more. Yet Raytheon believes export sales could
Page 10 Missile Forecast
AI M-9X Si dew i nder


November 2007
surpass 5,000 missiles. One source speculated that the
number of AIM-9Xs purchased by overseas operators
could exceed that bought by the United States.
Growing International Interest
So far, South Korea, Switzerland, Poland, Denmark,
Finland, Singapore, Turkey, and Australia have selected
this missile to arm their fighter aircraft. Other interested
nations include Belgium, Canada, Greece, India,
Malaysia, the Netherlands, and Taiwan. If the U.S.
government shows a willingness to allow wide exports,
international orders could add another 10 to 40 percent
to the AIM-9Xs production total. By some estimates,
worldwide AIM-9X demand could top 50,000 units,
although Raytheon believes about 5,000 missiles could
be exported over the life of this program.
The short-range air-to-air missile market is often
overshadowed by its medium-range counterparts. High
profile fighter aircraft competitions have obscured the
fact that short-range missiles will generate close to half
the air-to-air missile markets total value. The AIM-9X
will routinely face off against MBDAs ASRAAM and
BGTs IRIS-T over the next decade, but it should be
able to win a respectable number of foreign production
contracts.
Ten-Year Out l ook

ESTI MATED CALENDAR YEAR UNI T PRODUCTI ON
Designation or Program High Confidence Good Confidence Speculati ve
Thru 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Total
Raytheon Air-to-Air Missiles
AIM-9 X Sidewinder
2,135 631 663 747 803 802 804 802 801 800 752 7,605

Total 2,135 631 663 747 803 802 804 802 801 800 752 7,605


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