APEC's Dilemmas: Institution-Building Around the Pacific Rim
Author(s): Nicole Gallant and Richard Stubbs
Source: Pacific Affairs, Vol. 70, No. 2 (Summer, 1997), pp. 203-218 Published by: Pacific Affairs, University of British Columbia Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2760772 . Accessed: 16/11/2013 06:18 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. . Pacific Affairs, University of British Columbia is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Pacific Affairs. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions APEC's Dilemmas: Institution-Building Around the Pacific Rim Nicole Gallant and Richard Stubbs' THE ASIA PACIFIC ECONOMIC COOPERATION (APEC) forum has made con- siderable progress since it was formed at a ministerial meeting in Canberra, Australia, in 1989. Indeed, it has chalked up more successes in its first few years than even its founders and most ardent proponents had antic- ipated. For example, APEC combines in one organization a diverse group of economies including the biggest, and some of the most dynamic, in the world; it brings together, at its annual summit meetings, an impressive array of the world's leaders; and it has established the ambitious, if distant, goal of open economies for all its developed members by 2010 and its developing members by 2020. As a result the APEC process has garnered a good deal of public attention and engendered a momentum for establishing greater eco- nomic cooperation around the Pacific Rim. Yet the more successful APEC has become and the more progress it makes in moving the region down the road towards greater economic liber- alization and cooperation, the more dilemmas it seems to face. These dilemmas are essentially caused by different and often competing concep- tions of regionalism and regionalization around the Pacific Rim and are rooted in the different cultures, historical experiences and forms of capital- ism of the various APEC member economies. At one time it appeared as if these competing views of economic regionalization were represented by APEC on the one hand and by Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad's proposal for an East Asian Economic Caucus (EAEC) on the other.2 However, it is now increasingly apparent that the competing concep- tions of the region and how regional relations should evolve are to be found I Nicole Gallant would like to thank the Canada-ASEAN Centre and the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada for an Academic Travel Grant Award which allowed her to undertake research in Southeast Asia. Richard Stubbs would like to thank the Social Science Research Council of Canada for a research grant which allowed him to undertake research in East and Southeast Asia. The authors would also like to thank the many officials of various governments and intergovernmental agencies who granted them interviews, and Paul Irwin, Peggy Meyer and Larry Woods for com- ments on an earlier version of this paper. It is important to note that the views expressed in this paper are solely those of the authors and not of any institutions with which they are associated. 2 See Linda Low, "The East Asian Economic Grouping," The Pacific Review, vol. 4, no. 4 (1991); and Richard Higgott and Richard Stubbs, "Competing Conceptions of Economic Regionalism: APEC Versus EAEC in the Asia Pacific," Review of International Political Economy, vol. 2 (Summer 1995), pp. 522-26. 203 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Pacific Affairs within APEC, and that EAEC's future is dependent on APEC's success or failure. This analysis will begin by outlining the origins of the different concep- tions of the Pacific Rim and how its economic relations should develop. It will then go on to explore the dilemmas posed by these competing conceptions for APEC's future. Most particularly, key issues will be discussed such as which new members should be admitted to APEC and under what conditions they should be allowed in, how to achieve the goal of open economies by 2010 and 2020 that have been set for APEC's members, the extent of the institutional- ization of APEC and its bureaucracy, and the topics that should be put on APEC's agenda for discussion. As William Bodde,Jr., the first executive direc- tor of APEC has noted, the varying reactions of the APEC members to issues raised at ministerial meetings "reveal underlying differences that will have to be worked out if APEC is to become a true Asia-Pacific economic community."' And, while working out these issues is clearly not impossible, it will need patience, imagination and an understanding of opposing views if they are not to derail APEC in the future. NEO-LIBERALISM VERSUS 'THE AsLN VIEW" The competing conceptions of regionalism which are to be found within APEC arise in good part out of two distinct trends that currently preoccupy different sets of member governments. Neo-liberalism, which has been widely propagated by Western-trained neo-classical economists, has heavily influ- enced the rhetoric and thinking, if not always the practice, of the governments of the United States, Australia, New Zealand and Canada. On the other hand, what may be called the "Asian view"4 is more amorphous, but nonetheless of increasing significance, and has had an impact on many of the Asian member governments of APEC. Neo-liberalism emphasizes the maximization of individual economic wel- fare and the need for markets to operate without undue interference from governments. Governments, or more broadly states, are expected to restrict themselves domestically to providing the "public goods" of law and order, 3William Bodde, Jr., View from the 19th Floor: Reflections of the First APEC Executive Director (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 1994), p. 38. See also Heather Dawker, "Blueprint for the Future," FarEastern Economic Review, November 21, 1996, pp. 43-48. 4This term is adapted from Seiji Finch Naya and Pearl Imada Iboshi, "A Post-Uruguay Round Agenda for APEC: Promoting Convergence of the North American and the Asian View," in Yue Chia Siow, ed., APEC: Challenges and Opportunities (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 1994). 204 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Institution-Building Around the Pacific Rim economic infrastructure, sound money, fair market, and national defence.5 In the international arena, governments should actively foster free trade by elim- inating any barriers to the international movement of goods and capital while encouraging other states to do the same. This is done by, for example, nego- tiating binding and enforceable international rules and regulations that systematically reduce tariffs and non-tariff barriers to international trade. Generally, the argument is that a market-based private sector, not govern- ments or international authorities, should decide how resources are allocated in the promotion of economic growth. All four Western governments have tended to advocate a neo-liberal approach in the formulation of APEC's goals. Indeed, one of the key rea- sons why APEC was formed in 1989 was that each of the twelve original members had fears about what was seen as a rise in protectionist tendencies. The Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement had been signed, a North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and a more integrated Europe were on the horizon and there were fears that the negotiations over the Uruguay Round of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) would collapse. The Western countries wanted to use APEC to lobby for greater liberalization of the GATT provision, while the Asian members hoped APEC would press to keep the vital North American and European markets open to their exports. As a consequence the initial ministerial meetings of APEC emphasized the inclusive, trans-Pacific nature of the organization and the importance of the seemingly tautological notion of "open regionalism."6 The idea of an "Asian view" is based on the argument that while there are many differences among the Asian members of APEC, there are also a number of important similarities which have produced an increasingly vig- orous "Asian consciousness and identity."7 As a result, a distinctive Asian perspective on regional and international issues has emerged. The similarities to be found among the Asian states have roots in the fact thatJapan, South Korea, Taiwan and the original members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) - Indonesia, the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand - have the recent common historical experiences of directly confronting Asian communism while at the same time successfully 5 See Stephen Gill, "Knowledge, Politics, and Neo-Liberal Political Economy," in Richard Stubbs and Geoffrey R. D. Underhill, Political Economy and the Changing Global Order (Toronto: McClelland and Stewart, 1994), pp. 78-80; and Iyanatul Islam, "Between the State and the Market: The Case for Eclectic Neoclassical Political Economy," in Andrew MacIntyre, ed., Business and Government in IndustrialisingAsia (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1994), p. 95. 6 Higgott and Stubbs, "Competing Conceptions of Economic Regionalism," pp. 518-22. 7 Yoichi Funabashi, "The Asianization of Asia," Foreign Affairs, vol. 72 (November/December 1993), p. 75. Some in Japan have referred to this phenomenon as "neo-Asianism." See Nikkei Weekly, January 17, 1994. 205 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Pacific Affairs engineering rapid economic growth.8 In addition some have argued that there are aspects of the diverse cultures of the region that are held in common.9 The Asian view, then, emphasizes that the group or the community is the most important unit in a society with the individual's interests being sub- ordinated to the interests of the wider society. Moreover, although authoritarian governments are generally accepted and loyalty to leaders encouraged, there is also an obligation on the part of governments to build a consensus in support of their policies."0 The economic dimension of the Asian view highlights the strong links between government and business and the role of government in shaping economic development. It also emphasizes the distinctive East and Southeast Asian approach to doing business, which revolves around informal flexible "network-based" economies rooted in social relations as opposed to the "firm-based" economies rooted in laws and bind- ing contracts which are characteristic of the West."1 Although neo-liberalism tended to be the dominant approach at the first few meetings of APEC, particularly as members continued to prod the GAIT negotiations towards a successful conclusion in December 1993, by the time the APEC summit was held in Osaka in November 1995 the Asian view was an increasingly influential factor. Certainly, the Japanese minister of international trade and industry, Hashimoto Ryutaro, andJapanese officials emphasized that decisions at the Osaka meeting had been reached using the "Asian way," which stressed consensus, and that the flexibility to be found in the APEC approach to achieving its goals was in line with the thinking of the Asian majority within APEC.12 Moreover, the Asian view continued to be sig- nificant at the 1996 Summit at Subic Bay, the Philippines. As a consequence of the emergence of the two approaches to dealing with the series of issues facing APEC members, neo-liberalism and the Asian view, the forum itself must confront a number of dilemmas. 8See Richard Stubbs, "The Political Economy of the Asia-Pacific Region," in Richard Stubbs and Geoffrey R. D. Underhill, eds., Political Economy and the Changing Global Order (Toronto: McClelland and Stewart, 1994), pp. 366-77. 9 See Kishore Mahbubani, "The Pacific Way," Foreign Affairs, vol. 74, no. 1 (1995), pp. 100-11; Mahathir Mohamad, "A Prime Minister Speaks," ASEAN-ISIS Monitor, vol. 6 (April 1993), and Mahathir Mohamad and Shintaro Ishihara, The Voice of Asia: Two Leaders Discuss the Coming Century (Tokyo: Kodansha, 1995), pp. 71-115. 10 Noordin Sopiee, "Asian Approach Best Way to Build Enduring APEC," The Straits Times, September 1, 1994. 11 See Stephen Bell, "The Collective Capitalism of Northeast Asia and the Limits of Orthodox Economics," Australian Journal of Political Science, vol. 30 (July 1995), pp. 264-87; and Richard Stubbs, "Asia-Pacific Regionalization and the Global Economy: A Third Form of Capitalism?" Asian Survey, vol. 35 (September 1995), pp. 787-96. See also James Fallows, Looking at the Sun: The Rise of the New East Asian Economic and Political System (New York: Pantheon Books, 1994), pp. 207-40. 12 See "Changing of the Guard: After Osaka, APEC Begins to March to an Asian Beat," Asiaweek, December 8, 1995, pp. 21-24; and David Hulme, "Asia Takes Charge of the APEC Train," Asian Business (January 1996), pp. 32-35. 206 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Institution-Building Around the Pacific Rim MEMBERSHIP The membership issue is fundamental to the future of APEC. With few rules and regulations at present governing APEC it is the membership which, collectively, will decide on the way APEC will evlove. Any change in the mem- bership is, therefore, crucial. Certainly, the question of which countries were to be invited to the inaugural meeting in Canberra proved to be contentious. The initial Australian proposal did not include the United States or Canada. However, the Japanese insisted that the North American countries were included so as not to jeopardize trans-Pacific trading relations. The twelve countries that met in Canberra in 1989 were, then, Australia, Canada,Japan, New Zealand, South Korea, the United States and the members of ASEAN - Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. In 1991 at the meeting in Seoul, China, Hong Kong and Taiwan were admitted as full members, with the politically contentious issue of sovereignty being cir- cumvented by referring to APEC members as economies, not states. Mexico and Papua New Guinea were admitted at the Seattle meeting in 1993 and Chile atJakarta in 1994. At the meeting in Seattle members recognized that APEC needed to develop a "more systematic means of addressing the issue of new members""3 and imposed a moratorium on future membership while senior officials were asked to conduct a study of membership policy and pro- vide recommendations to the ministers on the criteria for the admittance of future members. But it will not be easy to agree on the recommendations that should be made to the ministers. Indeed, at the 1995 Osaka summit officials declared their intentions to continue working on the issue, even though their recom- mendation was supposed to have been ready for the Osaka meeting. At the meetings in the Philippines in 1996, the process was again delayed. However, officials did agree to announce the criteria for membership at the Vancouver Summit in 1997, the decision as to which economies should be admitted at the Malaysia Summit in 1998, and the actual admission of new members at the New Zealand Summit in 1999. The membership issue forces APEC to con- front a clear dilemma. On the one hand from its inception APEC has emphasized its inclusive, trans-Pacific, nondiscriminatory character. Indeed, its adherence to increased economic liberalization and the opening of borders to greater trade and investment are key principles of APEC. This would strongly suggest that the more economies that can be made members and can thus be committed to the liberalizing goals of APEC the better. On the other hand APEC operates by consensus. If APEC is to expand to include 13 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation, Ministerial Meeting, Joint Statement, Seattle, 17-19 November 1993, Section 36. 207 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Pacific Affairs an even more diverse set of members than it has at present, then reaching consensus on the forum's goals and the best path to these goals will become increasingly difficult. In practical terms it seems highly likely that APEC, at the Malaysian Summit in 1998, will grant membership to Vietnam, which joined ASEAN in 1995, and Peru. Beyond that, however, it will not be easy to pick and choose among the long list of economies knocking on APEC's door. These include such diverse economies as Russia, which has a strong claim because of its 18,000-km Pacific coastline, India, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Ecuador, Mongolia, Panama and Colombia. Some clear criteria have to be laid down for mem- bership so that there is a way of selecting from among the approximately fifty countries located in a broadly defined Asia Pacific region."4 But reach- ing consensus will be difficult. Malaysia, for example, is most likely to be content with the very loose criteria agreed to at the 1991 meeting in Seoul15 as it would allow for a greater number of members which together could counter the influence of the economically powerful United States. Moreover, it would likely limit APEC's capacity for future action bringing it in line with how Malaysia would like to see the forum evolve. Other members want much stricter criteria so as to let prospective members know of the requirements and responsibilities of membership and to allow APEC to deepen existing relations before bringing on board more participants."6 Establishing criteria for its membership policy, which have been agreed to by all current members, will be a test of APEC's capacity to move forward. REACHING APEC's GoALs APEC's major achievement has been the commitment of its members to initiate moves towards free and open trade and investment and to complete the process by 2010 for developed economy members and 2020 for develop- ing economy members. The setting of target dates for the completion of the liberalization process was an attempt to demonstrate to the wider global community that APEC was more than an informal exercise in promoting friendly relations in the region. With both the European Union (EU) and NAFTA having established clear milestones on the march towards the liber- alization of their respective regional economies, APEC felt pressure to follow suit. Moreover, it was argued that "once governments credibly commit to achieve free trade among their economies, the private/business sectors 4 Irene Ngoo, "Need to Work Out Criteria for Full Membership," The Straits Times, November 13, 1994; and The Star (Malaysia), November 26, 1996. 15 Seoul APEC Declaration, Seoul, November 14, 1991, Section 7. 16 See, for example, Bodde,Jr., Viewfrom the 19th Floor, p. 54. 208 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Institution-Building Around the Pacific Rim immediately begin to plan and invest for the world that will eventuate at the culmination of the process."'17 The dilemma for APEC lies in how best to reach the ambitious economic goals it has set for itself. On the one hand the Americans and the Australians want to establish comprehensive, binding targets for the near and medium term. They have argued for a fixed timetable in order to ensure that all mem- bers, without exception, maintain a firm commitment to liberalization by the 2010 and 2020 deadlines. As the U.S. secretary of state, Warren Christopher, stated at the Osaka summit, "when one member protects even one sector, many members suffer lost economic opportunities."1 The U.S. and other developed economies are particularly worried about the free-rider problem. They are concerned that having fulfilled their commitment to fully liberalize their economies by the 2010 deadline the developing economies might renege on their commitments to the later, 2020, deadline. The prob lem with this approach, however, is that decisions in APEC are made by consensus, and compliance with any commitment is, as the Malaysians are quick to point out, voluntary. Hence, establishing concrete binding objectives for all member economies is virtually impossible. On the other hand a number of Asian members of APEC led by Japan have argued for a "concerted unilateral" approach to reaching APEC's liber- alization goals. This would get everyone to the final destination but would allow for flexibility so that each member economy could move at its own pace. Liberalization, it is argued, "should come about fundamentally through the unilateral best endeavour and action of every member economy, acting with- out intimidation. "19 Certainly, many of the developing countries wish to ensure that they are not forced to liberalize before they are fully ready to do so. For example, "China has a huge array of daunting barriers; the World Bank reckons the average to be around 30%. Worse, the customs regime varies from one Chinese port to the next. "20 It would seem, then, that the Chinese government will need a good deal of flexibility in terms of delivering on its liberalization commitments. In addition other Asian member economies have experienced rapid rates of growth by employing policies which subsidize export industries and protect "infant" and import-substitu- tion industries. They are not likely to want to radically change these successful policies in the short or medium term. Hence, the concern with the concerted 1 "Achieving the APEC Vision: Free and Open Trade in the Asia-Pacific," Second Report of the Eminent Persons Group to APEC Ministers, August 1994, p. 38. 18 "Three 'C's Key to Successful APEC Action Agenda," U.S. Statement by U.S. Secretary of State Warren Christopher at the 7th APEC Ministerial Meeting, November 16, 1995, Osaka,Japan. 19 Noordin Sopiee, "Asian Approach Best Way to Build Enduring APEC," The Straits Times, September 1, 1994. 20 "The Opening of Asia," The Economist, November 12, 1994. 209 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Pacific Affairs unilateral approach is that an impatient United States may feel that the Asian countries are not opening their economies to trade and investment fast enough and that, therefore, U.S. interests are not being fully served. As a con- sequence the U.S. could withdraw from APEC. This would severely weaken the forum and jeopardize its future. The major area of contention between the comprehensive binding approach favoured by the Anglo-Saxon members of APEC and the unilateral flexible approach favoured by most Asian members is the issue of domestic sectoral protectionism. The U.S. ambassador to APEC, Sandra Kristoff, has pointed out that "for many of us, to provide for sectoral exclusion because of domestic sensitivities would be to turn Bogor [the agreement signed at the 1994 APEC summit in Bogor, Indonesia that targets 2010 and 2020 as the dates for full liberalization] on its head and to call into serious question the continued interest of many of us to participate."21 Yet it has to be noted that all APEC member governments will face diffi- cult choices as the deadline for full liberalization draws closer. At the Osaka summit in 1995 it wasJapan, China, Taiwan and South Korea which sought special treatment for their agricultural industries, much to the displeasure of agricultural exporting economies such as the U.S., Canada, Australia and New Zealand. However, even the developed countries have sectors which domestic interests will fight to the end to safeguard against unrestrained imports. Examples might include Canada's healthcare and cultural industries and Australia's auto industry. Moreover, the actions of the U.S. in negotiating NAFTA and its subsequent actions in attempting to block increased imports of such diverse products as steel rails, pork, softwood lumber and men's suits suggest that while the administration may be willing to commit the country to the full liberalization by 2010, Congress and significant parts of the business community might not be so enthusiastic when it comes to specific products.22 This raises the allied problem of how APEC's "open regionalism" will be reconciled with the "closed regionalism" of NAFTA, the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement and the Australia-New Zealand Closer Economic Relationship. Open regionalism is usually thought of as a process of regional cooperation whose outcome is not only the reduction of intraregional economic barriers but also the reduction of external barriers to trade and investment with 21 "Deep Fracture May Destroy APEC, Says U.S. Official," The Sunday Times, November 5, 1995. 22 Thomas M. Boddez and Michael J. Trebilcock, Unfinished Business: Reforming Trade Remedy Laws in North America, Policy Study No. 17 (Toronto: C.D. Howe Institute, 1993), pp. 109-56; Micheal B. Percy and Christian Yoder, The Softwood LumberDispute and Canada-U.S. Trade in Natural Resources (Ottawa: Institute for Research on Public Policy, 1987), ch. 5; Grace Skogstad, "The Application of Canadian and U.S. Trade Remedy Laws: Irreconcilable Expectations?" Canadian PublicAdministration, vol. 31 (Winter 1988); and Drew Fagan, "U.S. Revives Wool Suit Dispute," The Globe and Mail, June 24, 1996. 210 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Institution-Building Around the Pacific Rim economies which are not part of the regional organization. The assumption would seem to be that APEC's open regionalism will either supersede the closed regionalism of the established trading agreements or at least put con- siderable pressure on them to reduce their trade barriers with the outside world. This assumption may prove to be questionable for two reasons. First, a great deal of political capital has already been invested in creating these closed agreements, especially NAFTA, and the political support that has been generated for them may well trump any attempts to mobilize the political sup- port necessary to pass the enabling legislation so as to comply with the APEC goal of full liberalization by the target dates. Second, it may be politically very difficult in some countries to sell the idea of opening up their domestic market to economies - in say, for example, the EU - which have not signed any reciprocating agreement. This prospect evokes the spectre of the free- rider problem that so exercises the U.S. At present the concerted unilateral approach developed by theJapanese in the period leading up to the Osaka summit has gained the support of most of the Asian members of APEC. Certainly, Asian officials are much more comfortable with the rather vague and loose language that came out of the Osaka and Subic Bay meetings than with a uniform fixed timetable or across- the-board binding targets for all members that Western governments were proposing. At the same time agreement was reached at Osaka for each APEC member to commit voluntarily to take initial market-opening steps, termed "down-payments." It was agreed that each member's plans for liberalization including "specific concrete details" and "time frames" would be presented at the Subic Bay summit in 1996. However, at the 1996 summit the individual action plans (LAPs) of each member economy were met by a variety of reac- tions, none of them enthusiastic. The failure of many LAPs to be little more than vague declarations of intent led APEC officials to rationalize that they are flexible guidelines, or frameworks, for liberalization which can be revis- ited and revised on a continuing basis by each member economy.23 Obviously, then, there is a need for imaginative ways of balancing the different perspec- tives to be found within APEC in dealing with the tensions that surround the issue of how to realize APEC's overall goals of economic liberalization and how to assess each member's progress towards the 2010 and 2020 deadlines. 23 'The Osaka Action Agenda: Implementation of the Bogor Declaration," November 19, 1995, Osaka, Japan, Section B; and "Manila Action Plan for APEC (MAPA)," Volume 1 (Singapore: APEC Secretariat, November 1996). 211 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Pacific Affairs INSTITUTIONALIZATION The first APEC meeting in 1989 concluded that it was "premature at this stage to decide upon any particular structure for a Ministerial-level forum or its necessary support mechanism and that cooperation should be based on non-formal consulatative exchanges of views among Asia-Pacific economies."24 Despite the rapid expansion of APEC in terms of members and meetings, this view has continued to predominate, and APEC's institutional- ization has, therefore, been gradual and incremental. At the Bangkok ministerial meeting in 1992 it was agreed to establish a secretariat which was eventually based in Singapore. However, it remains small and its responsibili- ties limited. The largest structural change has been in terms of the number of committees and working groups that have been set up at the ministerial and various bureaucratic levels. But the coordination of these committees and groups is limited and tied to the capacity of the government that is hosting the summit meeting in any given year. In essence, then, compared to other regional organizations APEC remains relatively unstructured.25 While this lack of structure clearly has advantages, it also creates a number of dilemmas for APEC. There are those who would like to see a greater institutionalization of APEC. For example, the now defunct Eminent Persons Group (EPG) argued for the need "to upgrade APEC's operational efficiency and to reduce possi- ble institutional impediments to the APEC process."26 Among the member economies of APEC it is Australia, the United States, South Korea, New Zealand and Canada which favour strengthening the institutional structure of APEC. Like the EPG they were quick to point out how the status bestowed on APEC by major world governments and other regional and international organizations improved markedly once the Bangkok Declaration was adopted and the secretariat established.27 There is, clearly, a sense that greater 24 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation, Ministerial Meeting,Joint Statement, Canberra, November 6-7, 1989. 25 See the discussion of this point in Charles E. Morrison, "The Future of APEC: Institutional and Structural Issues," Analysis, vol. 6, no. 1 (1994), p. 81; and Martin Rudner, "APEC: The Challenges of Asia-Pacific Cooperation," Modern Asian Studies, no. 2 (1995), p. 410. 26 "A Vision for APEC: Towards an Asia-Pacific Economic Community," Report of the Eminent Persons Group to APEC Ministers (Singapore: APEC Secretariat, October, 1993), p. 55. See also the argument in Donald C. Hellmann, "APEC and the Political Economy of the Asia-Pacific: New Myths, Old Realities," Analysis, vol. 6, no. 1 (1994), p. 36. 27 Hellmann, "APEC and the Political Economy of the Asia-Pacific," p. 36. 212 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Institution-Building Around the Pacific Rim institutionalization is necessary in order to press forward towards the goals of greater trade and investment facilitation and increased trade liberalization. But greater institutionalization would undoubtedly alienate a number of Asian members of APEC. As Miles Kahler has noted, many APEC members, particularly the Asian members, "find the incremental approach to institu- tional evolution more congenial than what they perceive as a 'Western' emphasis on constitution-making."28 Asian developing countries are con- cerned that a further strengthening of APEC as an institution would result in an increasingly legalized contract-based organization capable of enforcing compliance.29 Indeed, many Asian members of APEC view the forum as more of a process than an institution and would like to see it stay that way.30 For the time being, then, APEC's institutional arrangement is likely to remain tied to the annual summit meetings. This means that the designated APEC host for a particular year's summit takes on the bulk of the responsi- bilities for the agenda and coordinating the various satellite workshops and meetings of ministers and officials. This host system has slowly evolved. For example, it was agreed at the inaugural meeting in Canberra that an ASEAN member would host the annual ministerial meeting every second year - in other words in even-numbered years. This was done to assuage the fears of the ASEAN members that their association would be overtaken by APEC. In 1991 the Seoul APEC Declaration of 1991 guaranteed that all members who wanted to hold a summit meeting would have the opportunity to do so.3" And in 1993 the United States turned the annual ministerial meeting into a summit of government leaders. While most members of APEC, especially the Asian members, are gener- ally satisfied with this arrangement it does have its limitations. First, those governments hosting the APEC annual meetings in the first few years were APEC boosters and wanted to see APEC realize its open regionalism goals.32 As a result APEC moved forward at a surprisingly rapid rate. In 1998 Malaysia, the most notable APEC skeptic, will act as host, and a few years later China, another reluctant APEC member, will drive the process for a year. It is possible 28 Miles Kahler, "Institution Building in the Pacific," in Andrew Mack and John Ravenhill, eds., Pacific Cooperation: BuildingEconomic and Security Regimes in the Asia-Pacific Region (St. Leonards, New South Wales: Allen and Unwin, 1994), p. 34. Similar comments are made by David Rapkin, "Leadership and Cooperative Institutions in the Asia-Pacific," in Mack and Ravenhill, eds., Pacific Cooperation, p. 118. 29 See the discussion of this problem in Sopiee, "Asian Approach"; and David Rapkin, "Leadership and Cooperative Institutions in the Asia-Pacific," in Mack and Ravenhill, eds., Pacific Cooperation, pp. 118-21. 30 SeeJoceline Tan, "Putting APEC Back on Track," The New Straits Times, January 5, 1994. 31 Seoul APEC Declaration, Seoul, November 14, 1991, Section 11. 32 The first five governments to host APEC's annual meeting were Australia, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand - under the interim government of Anand Panyarachun, which was dominated by Western-trained technocrats - and the United States. All were strong supporters of liberalization. The next three hosts, Indonesia, Japan and the Philippines, were APEC moderates. 213 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Pacific Affairs that the Malaysian prime minister, Dr. Mahathir, will have stepped down by then or that he will, as he did over the Commonwealth, have a change of heart. However, it is also possible that Malaysia, while wanting to put on a successful summit that makes a unique contribution to the process, will not press forward towards all of APEC's goals with the same enthusiasm as other hosts. Other APEC members will have to guard against the process stalling while it is in the hands of governments such as Malaysia and China. Second, there is the problem of whether, as the APEC agenda gets more crowded and more complex, some of the ASEAN members will have the bureaucratic capacity to move the APEC process forward during the years in which they host the APEC summit. This is not to suggest that the ASEAN states have weak bureaucracies. Clearly, this is not the case. Rather it needs to be noted that with rapidly expanding domestic economies, a large number of ASEAN meetings to host or attend each year, and other regional and international obligations, some ASEAN bureaucracies are already stretched to the limit. Hosting a summit and coordinating a year of APEC meetings may prove to be almost impossible when added to the other responsibilities that are already in place. Multilateralism exacts a high price in terms of bureau- cratic resources. Third, there is the issue of how to treat recent and new members in terms of their place in the cycle of hosts. Should, for example, Papua New Guinea or Chile host an APEC summit in the near future? If new members are brought into APEC does that mean that APEC boosters such as Australia and the United States will have to wait until after the new members have taken their turn as hosts before they can once again drive the APEC process? If new members do host an APEC summit before Australia gets another chance it may mean that the 2010 deadline will go by before APEC returns to Canberra. These issues and the others noted above can be resolved. Ultimately, a balance will likely be found which, as one insider has noted, will mean that "the pace of institutionalisation will not be as fast as the Americans or the Australians would like, and will be faster than some of the Asian's would prefer."33 However, it will take patience, persistence and imagi- nation to devise a strategy that can ensure that APEC does not founder on the issue of institutionalization. 33 Bodde,Jr., Viewwfrom the 19th Floor, p. 65. 214 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Institution-Building Around the Pacific Rim THE AGENDA From the beginning strict parameters have been set around APEC's agenda. Certainly, the activists who have been pushing APEC as a vehicle for greater economic liberalization around the Pacific Rim have argued convincingly that APEC should concentrate solely on economic issues. However, as APEC has raised its profile and demonstrated that it may be able to influence the process of regional and even international economic liber- alization so the questions of which economic issues should be given priority and how broadly "economic" should be defined, have begun to be discussed. As a result APEC faces a number of difficult decisions. Two ways of approaching the issue of liberalization have come to domi- nate APEC discussions. The first approach is represented by the target dates of fully open economies by 2010 for the developed economies of APEC and 2020 for the developing economies. The principle of adopting target dates was given priority at the Seattle summit of 1993 and the Bogor summit in 1994 and has been actively promoted by the U.S., Australia and Canada among others. The second approach is centered on attempts, through the many and various working groups, to introduce mechanisms, such as the harmo- nization of customs procedures or a dispute mediation service, that will facilitate greater trade and investment among APEC's member economies. The dilemma for APEC is how to manage the two approaches. Full eco- nomic liberalization by specific target dates is a high-reward but high-risk approach. Achieving fully open economies around the region by 2010 and 2020 would be a major accomplishment for APEC. However, should the polit- ical will to implement the necessary enabling legislation dissolve as the deadlines get closer then the resulting recriminations may affect the whole liberalization process and undermine any gains made on the trade and invest- ment facilitation front. Concentrating on facilitating trade and investment will bring less dramatic results but is more likely to succeed. But the progress that various working groups have made in simply making trade and invest- ment easier is a far cry from, and attracts less media attention than, the lofty open regionalism goals that have preoccupied the APEC boosters, and may mean that key member economies, such as the United States, will become dis- illusioned and abandon APEC, making even the more limited trade facilitation goals difficult to achieve. Moving foward with both approaches at the same time is an obvious compromise. Yet, it is not clear that either APEC as whole or individual host governments will in the future have the bureacratic capacity and political energy to pursue both approaches simultaneously. An additional complication is that Malaysia, which will host the summit in 1998, appears interested in shifting the economic emphasis in APEC away from trade and investment liberalization and towards economic and technical cooperation. This so-called 'Third Pillar of APEC" was introduced in Osaka, 215 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Pacific Affairs and for many of APEC's members, particularly the developing ones, it has more appeal than the free trade issues championed by the developed APEC member economies. Certainly development assistance was pushed at the Subic Bay summit and will continue to have a significant place on an agenda which is becoming more crowded with each summit. While there is agreement that APEC should concentrate on economic issues, there is also a sense in some quarters that the discussions to date have been too narrow and should be broadened to encompass all aspects of eco- nomic liberalization. Hence, for example, it has been argued that, "at the very time governments are making it easier through trade agreements for business to trade and invest and build alliances and associations so that they can profit, many of the same governments reduce, hold back or totally violate the free- dom of working people to build alliances and associations so they can survive."34 Also part of the argument is that non-governmental organizations (NGOs) should also be more directly involved in the APEC process - notjust in the unofficial parallel meetings that were held in Osaka and Subic Bay - and that no trade agreement ought to be signed without a clause protecting those basic human rights pertinent to economic life.35 This argument is also tied in to the "social dumping" argument of the U.S. and other Western gov- ernments which are concerned that as liberalization takes place businesses in Asia's developing countries will be at a distinct advantage because they will not have to meet minimum labour and environmental standards nor respect Western concepts of human rights. But should the Western economies attempt to raise these issues in APEC they will be firmly rebuffed by most of the Asian member economies. Asian opposition is based on the perception that the issue of human rights is rooted in Western conceptions of human dignity, individual freedom and justice and is essentially a smokescreen for Westernization and globalization on Western terms.36 It is widely believed in Asia that Western notions of human rights and individual liberties are incompatible with Asian notions of the importance of community and the values associated with Confucianism and Islam. Nor is it thought among the Asian members that APEC is the place to debate these dif- 34 Ed Broadbent, "Globalization the Democratic Challenge" (Paper presented at the Conference on Globalization, Trade and Human Rights, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, February 22, 1996). 35 Ibid. See also "APEC: The Challenge of Human Rights," Libertas, vol. 5 (February 1996); and Far Eastern Economic Review, November 14, 1996. 36 See Brian S. Turner, "Human Rights: From Local Cultures to Global Systems," in Damien Kingsbury and Greg Barton, eds., Differences and Tolerance: Human Rights Issues in SoutheastAsia (Victoria: Deakin University Press, 1994), p. 9. See also Diane K Mauzy and R S. Milne, "Human Rights in ASEAN States: A Canadian Policy Perspective," in Amitav Acharya and Richard Stubbs, eds., New Challenges for ASEAN. EmergingPolicy Issues (Vancouver: University of British Columbia Press, 1995), pp. 115-29; and James C. Hsuing, "Human Rights in an East Asian Perspective," in James C. Hsuing, ed., Human Rights in East Asia: A Cultural Perspective (New York: Paragon House, 1985), pp. 5-6. 216 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Institution-Building Around the Pacific Rim ferences. Interestingly, environmental issues have been discussed by APEC. In March 1994 ministers responsible for the environment met in Vancouver to review the potential role of APEC in "promoting environmental cooperation in the Asia-Pacific."37 However, while it is obviously beneficial for all APEC members to participate in cleaning up the environment no binding decisions have been reached. Certainly, no environmental standards have been set or enforceable actions agreed to. Indeed, if the Western members were to attempt to impose such an approach they would be strenuously opposed by the Asian members. Finally, there is mounting pressure on APEC members to put security issues on the agenda. The argument here is that economic and security issues are interdependent38 and, indeed, that many Asian states define national security to include economic security.39 Others have suggested that by main- taining American interest in the economic life of East Asia, APEC can ensure that the U.S. will also maintain its security involvement.40 Moreover, as the G-7 summit meetings have shown, when leaders get together they are prone to talk about security even when they are supposed to be discussing economic issues. However, while there is a general acknowledgement that security issues are important and pressing, there is considerable resistance to departing from what is seen as APEC's original mandate to stick strictly to economic matters.41 The Asian members, in particular, are not interested in seeing APEC move into the security realm especially now that the ASEAN Regional Forum has been created specifically to deal with these kinds of issues. It is also felt that APEC could be seriously imperilled if China-Taiwan or U.S.-Japan security relations became part of the forum's discussions. As APEC evolves, and especially if new members are admitted, the ques- tion of what should go on the agenda, and in what order, will get more complicated. APEC's success brings with it a higher profile and the more APEC accomplishes the more its goals and achievements will be questioned and challenged by those who are put at a disadvantage by its actions. The increasing pressure on APEC to expand its agenda means that careful 37 APEC Meeting of Ministers Responsible for the Environment, Summary Report, Vancouver, March 23-25, 1994. 38 See Hee Kwon Park, "Multilateral Security Cooperation," The Pacific Review, vol. 6, no. 3 (1993), p. 251. 39 See David Dewitt, "Common, Comprehensive, and Cooperative Security in the Asia Pacific," The Pacific Review, vol. 7, no. 1 (1994). 40 This point is made by Fred Bergsten, the chair of the EPG, who also notes, somewhat ambigu- ously, that "APEC does not - and should not - discuss security issues but its security implications are profound." See Fred Bergsten, 'The Case for APEC: An Asian Push for World-Wide Free Trade," The Economist, January 6, 1996. 41 Douglas H. Paal, "APEC and Regional Security," Analysis, vol. 4, no. 4 (1993), p. 91; and Far Eastern Economic Review, December 5, 1996. 217 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Pacific Affairs planning and a great deal of consultation will be needed to ensure that a consensus is reached on what should be discussed and the priority to be given to each issue. CONCLUSION APEC's potential for generating better regional economic relations has become more apparent with each annual meeting. Yet as APEC moves beyond the original "talk shop" mandate the fundamental differences among its member economies become sharper and create unanticipated dilemmas. Differences of opinion over membership, attaining the liberalization goals, institutionalization, and agenda items reflect differences of opinion about the direction and pace of APEC's development as a forum for regional economic cooperation. On the one hand there are those, primarily the Western mem- bers, who would like to see a more activist APEC, working to deregulate domestic regional economies as well as the international economy and sys- tematically reducing barriers to international trade and investment. On the other hand many Asian states tend to the view that APEC's role should be to "hold discussions and policy dialogue on matters of common concern to its members, foster a common understanding regarding measures to strengthen regional cooperation, and contribute to policy making at the national as well as regional level."42 In other words APEC should become a less bureaucra- tized and distinctly "Asia-Pacific version of the OECD."43 Ensuring a balance between these two approaches will take diplomatic skill and energy. As oneJapanese analyst puts it, in seeking to push APEC into action "its more ambitious members must not aim too high, lest they alien- ate their more cautious counterparts. At the same time, a cooperative framework like APEC is devoid of meaning if it fails to undertake meaning- ful projects."44 Certainly, keeping boosters like the U.S. and Australia and skeptics like Malaysia and China all committed to APEC will not be easy. The dilemmas produced by the many different perceptions of how Asia-Pacific regional economic cooperation should evolve will keep APEC's diplomats working hard well into the future. But APEC has forged ahead based on the principles of consultation and consensus and as long as expectations remain realistic there is reason to believe that APEC will emerge on a path which is rather more proactive than the OECD model favoured by some Asians and rather less of a liberal trading arrangement favoured by Western economists. McMaster University, Canada, January 1997 42 Nobutoshi Akao, "A Strategy for APEC: Ajapanese View,"Japan Review of International Affairs, vol. 9, no. 3 (1995), p. 171. 43 Ibid., p. 170. 4 Akio Watanabe, "What is Asia-Pacific Regionalism?"Japan Review of International Affairs, vol. 9, no. 3 (1995), p. 194. 218 This content downloaded from 175.144.129.109 on Sat, 16 Nov 2013 06:18:40 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
(S U N Y Series in Modern Jewish Literature and Culture) Sara R. Horowitz-Voicing The Void - Muteness and Memory in Holocaust Fiction-State University of New York Press (1997)