Changing Policy

Environment and
International Business
Prepared by Vassily K. Dermanov
Some theory of international trade
2
International Trade
Buying and selling goods and services from
other countries
The purchase of goods and services from abroad
that leads to an outflow of currency from the UK
Imports (M)
The sale of goods and services to buyers from
other countries leading to an inflow of currency
to the UK Exports (X)
3
Labour productivity
and comparative
advantage: the
Ricardian model
4
Why countries are engaged in
international trade?
First, countries trade because they
are different from each other.
Second, countries trade to achieve
economies of scale in production.
5
The concept
of comparative
advantage
6
The concept of comparative
advantage
Is it possible to grow roses in Saint
Petersburg?

It is a lot easier to grow roses in the South
America.

A given amount of resources used in generator
production yields fewer generators in South
America than in Russia.
7
Opportunity cost and trade-off: the
opportunity cost of roses in terms of
electric generators is the number of
generators that could have been produced
with the resources used to produce a
given number of roses.

The trade-off in South America might be
something like 10 million roses for 100
generators, and 10 million roses for
500 generators in Russia.
8
Roses,
millions
Electric
Generators,
units
Russia 10 -
South America 10 -
Maximum 20 -
National Production
9
Roses,
millions
Electric
Generators,
units
Russia - 500
South America - 100
Maximum - 600
National Production
10
Roses,
millions
Electric
Generators,
units
Russia (50:50)

5 250
South America
(50:50)
5 50
Total (50:50) 10 300
National Production
11
Let Russia stop growing roses and
devote the resources to produce
generators.
Let South America grow those roses
instead.
Look what has happened: Russia
concentrating on generators and South
America concentrating on roses,
increases the size of the world's
economic pie.
12
Roses,
millions
Electric
Generators,
units
Russia
-
500
South America 10
-
World total 10 500
Hypothetical Changes in Production
13
International trade increases world output
because it allows each country to specialise
in producing the good in which it has a
comparative advantage.

A country has a comparative advantage
in producing a good if the opportunity cost
of producing that good in terms of other
goods is lower in that country than it is in
other countries.
14
Specialisation and Trade
Different factor endowments mean some countries can
produce goods and services more efficiently than others
specialisation is therefore possible:
Absolute Advantage:
Where one country can produce goods with fewer resources
than another
Comparative Advantage:
Where one country can produce goods at a lower opportunity
cost it sacrifices less resources in production
15
South America has a comparative
advantage in roses and Russia has a
comparative advantage in generators.
The standard of living can be increased in
both places if South America produces roses
for Russia, while the Russia produces
generators for the South America.

So, trade between two countries can benefit
both countries if each country exports the
goods in which it has a comparative
advantage.
16
The Terms of Trade
The Terms of Trade looks at the relationship between
the price received for exports and the amount of
imports we are able to buy with that money.

Average Price of Exports
Terms of Trade = ---------------------------------
Average Price of Imports

17
This approach, in which
international trade is solely
based on international
differences in the
productivity of labour, is
known as the Ricardian
model.
18
A One-Factor
Economy
19
A One-Factor Economy
An economy (Home) has only one factor of
production - labour.
Only two goods - wine and cheese - are
produced.
The technology of Home's economy can be
summarised by labour productivity in each
industry, expressed in terms of the unit
labour requirement.
20
A One-Factor Economy
It might require:
- 1 hour of labour to produce a kg of cheese,
- 2 hours to produce a litre of wine.
For future reference, we define:
a
lw
as the unit labour requirements in wine
production,
a
lc
as the unit labour requirements in cheese
production, respectively.
The economy's total resources are defined as L,
the total labour supply.
21
Home wine
production,
Q
w
, in litres


Home cheese
production,
Qw, in kg
PPF
L/a
lw

L/a
lc

Absolute value
of slope equals
opportunity cost
of cheese in
terms of wine
22


L*/a*
lw

L*/a*
lc

Because Foreign's relative
unit labour requirement in
cheese is higher than Home's
(it needs to give up many
more units of wine to
produce one more unit of
cheese), its production
possibility frontier is steeper.
Foreign wine
production,
Q
w
, in litres
Foreign cheese
production,
Qw, in kg
PPF
23
RELATIVE PRICES
AND SUPPLY
24
RELATIVE PRICES AND SUPPLY
Let P

and P
W
be the prices of cheese and
wine, respectively.

Costs:

It takes a
LC
person-hours to produce a kg of
cheese.
It takes a
LW
person-hours to produce a litre
of wine.
25
The economy will specialise in the cheese
production if P
C
/P
W
> a
LC
/ a
LW
;
it will specialise in the production of wine if
P
C
/P
W
< a
LC
/ a
LW
.
Only when P
C
/P
W
is equal a
LC
/ a
LW
, will
both goods be produced.
RELATIVE PRICES AND SUPPLY
26
The economy will specialise in
the production of cheese if the
relative price of cheese exceeds
its opportunity cost.
It will specialise in the production
of wine if the relative price of
cheese is less than its opportunity
cost.
27
In the absence of international trade,
Home would have to produce both
goods for itself. But it will produce
both goods only if the relative price of
cheese is just equal to its opportunity
cost.
In the absence of international trade,
the relative prices of goods are equal to
their relative unit labor requirements.
28
Trade in a
One-Factor World
29
Suppose that there are two countries: Home and Foreign.
We denote Home's labor force by L and Home's unit labor
requirements in wine and cheese production by a
LW
and a
LC
,
respectively.
We denote Foreign's labor force L*; Foreign's unit labor
requirements in wine and cheese will be denoted by a*
LW

and a*
LC
, respectively.
Let as assume that:
a
LC
/a
LW
< a*
LC
/ a*
LW

or, equivalently, that
a
LC
/ a*
LC
< a
LW


/ a*
LW .

30
Wine
production,
Q
w
, in litres
Cheese
production,
Qc, in kg
L/alw
PF
L/alc
Home
Wine
production,
Q
W
*, in litres
Cheese
production,
Qc, in kg
PF*
L*/a*lc
L*/a*lw
Foreign
31
Home's relative
productivity in
cheese is higher
than it is in wine.

Home has a
comparative
advantage in
cheese.
Foreign's relative
productivity in
wine is higher
than it is in
cheese.

Foreign has a
comparative
advantage in
wine.
32
When one country can produce a unit of
a good with less labor than another
country, we say that the first country
has an absolute advantage.
One of the most important sources of
error in discussing international
trade is to confuse comparative
advantage with absolute advantage.
33
In the absence of foreign trade the
relative prices in each country would
be determined by the relative unit labor
requirements.

In case of international trade prices
will no longer be determined purely by
domestic considerations.
34
The World
Relative Supply
and Demand
35
World Relative Supply and Demand
Pc/w
a
LC
/ a
LW
a*
LC
/ a*
LW
RS
RD
L /
LC
L* / *
LW
Relative quantity
of cheese
Qc +Qc*

Qw + Qw*

Relative prices
of cheese
36
World Relative Supply and Demand
Pc/w
a
LC
/ a
LW
a*
LC
/ a*
LW
RS
RD
L /
LC
L* / *
LW
Relative quantity
of cheese
Qc +Qc*

Qw + Qw*

Relative prices
of cheese
There will be no world cheese
production and no world supply of
cheese if the world price drops below
LC /LW.
Home and Foreign will produce wine
only whenever Pc/Pw <LC /LW .
37
World Relative Supply and Demand
Pc/w
a
LC
/ a
LW
a*
LC
/ a*
LW
RS
RD
L /
LC
L* / *
LW
Relative quantity
of cheese
Qc +Qc*

Qw + Qw*

Relative prices
of cheese
When the relative price of cheese,
Pc/Pw, is exactly LC /LW, workers
in Home can earn exactly the same
amount making either cheese or
wine. So Home will be willing to
supply any relative amount of the
two goods, producing a flat section
to the supply curve.
Foreign will produce wine whenever
Pc/Pw <*LC /*LW .
38
World Relative Supply and Demand
Pc/w
a
LC
/ a
LW
a*
LC
/ a*
LW
RS
RD
L /
LC
L* / *
LW
Relative quantity
of cheese
Qc +Qc*

Qw + Qw*

Relative prices
of cheese
If Pc/Pw is above LC /LW
Home will specialize in the
production of cheese. As long as
Pc/Pw < *LC /*LW , however.
Foreign will continue to
specialize in producing wine.
39
World Relative Supply and Demand
Pc/w
a
LC
/ a
LW
a*
LC
/ a*
LW
RS
RD
L /
LC
L* / *
LW
Relative quantity
of cheese
Qc +Qc*

Qw + Qw*

Relative prices
of cheese
At Pc Pw = *LC /*LW,
Foreign workers are
indifferent between
producing cheese and wine.
Thus here we again have a
flat section of the supply
curve.
40
World Relative Supply and Demand
Pc/w
a
LC
/ a
LW
a*
LC
/ a*
LW
RS
RD
L /
LC
L* / *
LW
Relative quantity
of cheese
Qc +Qc*

Qw + Qw*

Relative prices
of cheese
Finally, for Pc/Pw > *LC
/*LW, both Home and
Foreign will specialize in
cheese production. There
will be no wine production,
so that the relative supply
of cheese will become
infinite.
41
Russia and Germany: mutual trade
Oil
Map courtesy of http://www.theodora.com
case
42
Russia and Germany: Relative Supply
and Demand in oil and cars
Pc/oil
a
ru
LC
/ a
ru
Loil
a
ger
LC
/ a
ger
Loil
RS
RD
L
ru
/
ru
LC
L
ger
/
ger
Loil
Relative quantity
of cars
Q
ru
c + Qc
ger

Q
ru
oil +Qoil
ger

Relative prices
of cars
43
The Gains
From Trade
44
THE GAINS FROM TRADE
Trade as an indirect method of production

Home could produce wine directly, but
trade with Foreign allows it to "produce"
wine by producing cheese and then
trading the cheese for wine.
This indirect method of "producing" wine
is a more efficient method than direct
production.
45
Trade affects each country's possibilities
for consumption.

In the absence of trade, consumption
possibilities are the same as production
possibilities.
Once trade is allowed, however, each
economy can consume a different mix of
cheese and wine from the mix it produces.
Trade makes residents of each country
better off.
Resources and
Trade: The
Heckscher-Ohlin
Model
47
Introduction
Comparative advantage could arise because of
international:
differences in labor productivity;
differences in countries' resources.
Canada exports forest products to the United
States because Canada has more forested land
per capita than the United States.
48
Labor is important, but what about of
other factors of production (such as land,
capital, and mineral resources)?
We will examine a model in which
resource differences are the only source
of trade.
This model shows that comparative
advantage is influenced by the interaction
between nations' resources and the
technology of production.
What does it
mean
efficiency?
49
Developed by two Swedish economists, Eli
Heckscher and Bertil Ohlin (Nobel Prize in
economics in 1977), the theory is often referred to
as the Heckscher-Ohlin theory (H-O theory).

H-O theory emphasises the interplay between the
proportions in which different factors of
production are available in different countries and
the proportions in which they are used in
producing different goods. Due to it is also
referred to as the factor-proportions theory.
50
A Model of a Two-factor
Economy
The model is in many ways very similar to the
specific factors model.
It is assumed that each economy is able to
produce two goods and that production of each
good requires the use of two factors of
production.
The same two factors are used in both sectors.
(It is a more difficult model, but with some new insights.
51
Assumptions of the Model
The economy we are analyzing can produce two goods:
cloth and food.
Production of these goods requires two inputs that are
in limited supply: labor and land. Let us define the
following expressions:
a
TC
= acres of land used to produce one m
2
of cloth
a
LC
= hours of labor used to produce one m
2
of cloth
a
TF
= acres of land used to produce one calorie of food
a
LF
= hours of labor used to produce one calorie of food
L = economy's supply of labor
= economy's supply of land
52
Notice that we speak in these definitions
of the quantity of land or labor used to
produce a given amount of food or cloth,
rather than the amount required to produce
that amount.

The reason is that in a two-factor economy
there may be some room for choice in the
use of inputs.
53
Input Possibilities in Food
Production
Unit land input a
TF
,
in acres per calorie
Unit labor input, a
LF
,
in hours per calorie
Input combinations that
produce one calorie of food
I I
54
What input choice will producers actually
make? It depends on the relative cost of land
and labor.

If land rents are high and wages low, farmers
will choose to produce using relatively little
land and a lot of labor.

If rents are low and wages high, they will
save on labor and use a lot of land.
55
Factor Prices and Input Choice
Wage-rental
ratio, w/r
Land-labor
ratio, T/L
FF
In each sector, the ratio of land to labor used in
production depends on the cost of labor relative to
the cost of land, w/r. The curve FF shows the land-
labor ratio choices in food production, the curve CC
the corresponding choices in cloth production.
At any given wage-rental ratio, food
production uses a higher land-labor
ratio; so, food production is land-
intensive and that cloth production is
labor-intensive.
w/r

w - is the wage rate
per hour of labor;
r - the cost of one
acre of land,
56
Factor Prices and Goods Prices
Suppose that the economy produces both cloth and
food.
Then competition among producers in each sector
will ensure that the price of each good equals its
cost of production.
The cost of producing a good depends on factor
prices: If the rental rate on land is higher, then
other things equal the price of any good whose
production involves land input will also have to be
higher.
57
Factor Prices and Goods Prices
Relative price of
cloth, P
C
/P
F
Wage-rental
ratio, w/r
SS
Because cloth production
is labor-intensive there is
a one-to-one relationship
between the factor price
ratio w/r and the relative
price of cloth P
C
/P
F .
The higher the relative
cost of labor, the higher
must be the relative price
of the labor-intensive
good.
58
Let us put previous figures together. In combined
figure the SS curve will be turned on its side,
while the right panel reproduces figure with Factor
prices and Input Choice.
Relative price
of cloth, P
C
/P
F
Wage-rental
ratio, w/r
SS
Wage-rental
ratio, w/r
Land-labor
ratio, T/L
FF
w/r

59
From Goods Prices to Input Choices
Relative
price of
cloth, P
C
/P
F
Land-labor
ratio, T/L
FF

w/r
1
w/r
2
SS
P
C
/P
2
F
P
C
/P
1
F
T
C
/L
1
C
T
C
/L
2
C
T
F
/L
1
F
T
F
/L
2
F
Increasing Increasing
By putting these diagrams together, we see a surprising linkage of the
prices of goods to the ratio of land to labor used in the production of
each good. Wage-rental
ratio, w/r
60
From Goods Prices to Input Choices
Relative
price of
cloth, P
C
/P
F
Wage-rental
ratio, w/r
Land-labor
ratio, T/L
FF

w/r
1
w/r
2
SS
P
C
/P
2
F
P
C
/P
1
F
T
C
/L
1
C
T
C
/L
2
C
T
F
/L
1
F
T
F
/L
2
F
Increasing Increasing
61
Resources and Output
Let us describe the relationship between
goods prices, factor supplies, and output.
Suppose that we take the relative price of
cloth as given.
Relative price of cloth determines the
wage-rental ratio w/r, and thus the ratio of
land to labor used in the production of both
cloth and food.
62
The Allocation of Resources
Increasing
Increasing
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

f
o
o
d

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

Labor used in cloth production
Labor used in food production
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

c
l
o
t
h

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

63
The Allocation of Resources
Increasing
Increasing
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

f
o
o
d

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

Labor used in cloth production
Labor used in food production
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

c
l
o
t
h

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

The
height of
the box
represent
s total
supply of
land.
64
The Allocation of Resources
Increasing
Increasing
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

f
o
o
d

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

Labor used in cloth production
Labor used in food production
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

c
l
o
t
h

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

The width of the box represents the
economy's total supply of labor.
65
The Allocation of Resources
Increasing
Increasing
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

f
o
o
d

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

Labor used in cloth production
Labor used in food production
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

c
l
o
t
h

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

O
F
L
F
L
C
T
F
T
C
O
C
C

F

1

66
The Allocation of Resources
Increasing
Increasing
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

f
o
o
d

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

Labor used in cloth production
Labor used in food production
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

c
l
o
t
h

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

O
F
L
F
L
C
T
F
T
C
O
C
C

F

1

Thus at point 1 O
C
L
C

is the labor used in
cloth production and
O
C
T
C
is the land used
in cloth production.

We measure the use of labor
and land in the cloth sector
as the horizontal and vertical
distances of such a point
from O
C
.
Thus at point 1 O
C
L
C

is the labor used in
cloth production and
O
C
T
C
is the land used
in cloth production.
67
The Allocation of Resources
Increasing
Increasing
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

f
o
o
d

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

Labor used in cloth production
Labor used in food production
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

c
l
o
t
h

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

O
F
L
F
L
C
T
F
T
C
O
C
C

F

1

We measure inputs into
the food sector starting
from the opposite comer:
O
F
L
F
is the labor, O
F
T
F

the land used in food
production.
O
F
68
The question is what
happens when the
economy's supply of land
is increased, holding both
goods prices and the labor
supply fixed.
69
Increasing
Increasing
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

f
o
o
d

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

Labor used in cloth production
Labor used in food production
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

c
l
o
t
h

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

O
1
F
L
1
C
T
1
C
O
C
C

F
1
1

An Increase in the Supply of Land
O
2
F
F
2
2

T
2
C
L
2
C
70
Increasing
Increasing
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

f
o
o
d

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

Labor used in cloth production
Labor used in food production
L
a
n
d

u
s
e
d

i
n

c
l
o
t
h

p
r
o
d
u
c
t
i
o
n

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

I
n
c
r
e
a
s
i
n
g

O
1
F
L
1
C
T
1
C
O
C
C

F
1
1

An Increase in the Supply of Land
O
2
F
F
2
2

T
2
C
L
2
C
Thus an increase in the
economy's supply of land
will, holding prices constant,
lead to a fall in the output of
the labor-intensive good.

71
Output of
food, Q
F
Output of cloth, Q
C
Q
2
F
Q
2
C
2
TT
1
Q
1
F
1
Q
1
C
An increase in the supply of
land shifts the economy's
production possibility frontier
outward from TT
1
to TT
2
, but
does so disproportionately in
the direction of food
production. The result is that
at an unchanged relative price
of cloth (indicated by the
slope -P

/P
F
), cloth
production actually declines
from Q
1
C
to Q
2
C
.
Resources and Production Possibilities
TT
2
Slope = - P
M
/ P
F

Slope = - P
C
/ P
F

72
Output of
energy, Q
E
Output of machinery,
Q
M
Q
2
E
Q
2
M
2
TT
1
Q
1
E
1
Q
1
M
An increase in the supply
of energy shifts the
economy's production
possibility frontier outward
from TT
1
to TT
2
. The result
is that at an unchanged
relative price of machinery
(indicated by the slope -P
M
/P
E
), machinery
production actually
declines from Q
1
M
to Q
2
M
.
Russia: resources and Production
Possibilities
TT
2
Slope = - P
M
/ P
E

Slope = - P
M
/ P
E

case
73
The biased effect of increases in resources on
production possibilities is the key to
understanding how differences in resources give
rise to international trade.
An increase in the supply of land expands
production possibilities disproportionately in the
direction of food production, while an increase in
the supply of labor expands them
disproportionately in the direction of cloth
production.
74
Abundance and Intensity
The resource of which a country has a
relatively large supply is the abundant
factor in that country, and the resource
of which it has a relatively small supply
(land in Home, labor in Foreign) is the
scarce factor.
75
Abundance and Intensity
Example:
If America has 80 million workers and 200 million acres
(a labor-to-land ratio of 1: 2.5), while Britain has 20
million workers and 20 million acres (a labor-to-land ratio
of 1:1) we consider Britain to be labor-abundant even
though it has less total labor than America.

Since Home has a higher ratio of labor to
land than Foreign, Home is labor-
abundant and Foreign is land-abundant.
76
Abundance and Intensity
So, "abundance" is always defined in relative
terms, by comparing the ratio of labor to land in
the two countries.
Thus, no country is abundant in everything.
Since cloth is the labor-intensive good, Home's
production possibility frontier relative to
Foreign's is shifted out more in the direction of
cloth than in the direction of food.
77
Thus an economy with a high ratio of land
to labor will be relatively better at
producing food than an economy with a low
ratio of land to labor.
Generally, an economy will tend to be
relatively effective at producing goods
that are intensive in the factors with
which the country is relatively well-
endowed.
78
Effects Of International Trade Between
Two-Factor Economies
What happens when two such economies, Home
and Foreign, trade.
Home and Foreign are similar along many
dimensions:
the same tastes,
identical relative demands for food and cloth,
the same technology: a given amount of land and labor
yields the same output of either cloth or food in the two
countries.
79
Effects Of International Trade Between
Two-Factor Economies
The only difference between the
countries is in their resources: Home
has a higher ratio of labor to land than
Foreign does.
80
That means that Home will have a
larger relative supply of cloth.
Home's relative supply curve, then,
lies to the right of Foreign's.
The relative supply schedules of
Home (RS) and Foreign (RS*) are
illustrated in the next figure.
81
RS

RS
*
RS
WORLD
RD
WORLD
(P
C
/P
F
)
*
(P
C
/P
F
)

(P
C
/P
F
)
W
Relative quantity
of cloth,

Relative price
of cloth, P
C
/P
F
Trade Leads to a Convergence of Relative
Prices
Qc +Qc*

Q
F
+Q
F
*
1
2
3
In the absence of trade, Home's
equilibrium would be at point 1,
where domestic relative supply
RS intersects the relative demand
curve RD.
In the absence of trade, Foreign's
equilibrium would be at point 3.,
where Foreign relative supply
RS* intersects the relative demand
curve RD.
Trade leads to a world
relative price that lies
between the pretrade prices,
e.g., at point 2.
The
standard
trade model
83
In spite of the differences in their details,
our models share a number of
features.
1. The productive capacity of an economy can be
summarized by its production possibility frontier.
2. Production possibilities determine a country's
relative supply schedule.
3. World equilibrium is determined by world
relative demand and a world relative supply.
84
The models may be viewed as special
cases of a more general model of a
trading world economy.

So, lets develop a standard model of
a trading world economy to
understand how a variety of changes in
basic parameters affect the world
economy.
85
A STANDARD MODEL OF A
TRADING ECONOMY
The standard trade model is built on four key
relationships:
the relationship between the production
possibility frontier and the relative supply curve;
the relationship between relative prices and
relative demand;
the determination of world equilibrium by world
relative supply and world relative demand,
and the effect of the terms of trade on a nation's
welfare.
86
PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES
AND RELATIVE SUPPLY
Lets assume that each country
produces
two goods, food (F) and cloth (C),
country's production possibility
frontier is a smooth curve.
87
Relative Prices Determine the
Economy's Output

Food
production, Q
F

Cloth production, Q

The point on PPF at which an
economy actually produces
depends on the price of cloth
relative to food, P
C
/P
F
.
88
Relative Prices Determine the
Economy's Output

Food
production, Q
F

Cloth production, Q

It is a basic proposition of
microeconomics that a market
economy maximizes the value of
output at given market prices,
P
C
Q
C
+ P
F
Q
F
.
89
We can indicate the market
value of output by drawing
a number of isovalue lines
that is, lines along
which the value of output
is constant.
90
Relative Prices Determine the
Economy's Output
Food production, Q
F


Cloth production, Q

Q
Isovalue lines
TT
An economy
whose
production
possibility
frontier is TT
will produce at
Q, which is on
the highest
possible
isovalue line.


91
Relative Prices Determine the
Economy's Output
Food production, Q
F


Cloth production, Q

Q
Isovalue lines
TT


Each of these lines is defined
by an equation of the form
P
C
Q
C
+ P
F
Q
F
= V.
92
Relative Prices Determine the
Economy's Output
Food production, Q
F


Cloth production, Q

Q
Isovalue lines
TT


The higher V is, the farther out an isovalue
line lies; thus isovalue lines farther from the
origin correspond to higher values of
output.
93
Relative Prices Determine the
Economy's Output
Food production, Q
F


Cloth production, Q

Q
Isovalue lines
TT


The economy will produce the highest value of
output it can, which can be achieved by producing
at point Q.
94
How an Increase in the Relative Price of
Cloth Affects Relative Supply
Food production, Q
F


Cloth production, Q

TT
Q
1
Q
2
V V
1 (
P
C
/P
F
)
1
V V
2 (
P
C
/P
F
)
2
The isovalue lines become
steeper when the relative
price of cloth rises from
(P
C
/P
F
)
1
to (P
C
/P
F
)
2

(shown by the rotation
from VV
1
to VV
2
). As a
result, the economy
produces more cloth and
less food and the
equilibrium output shifts
from Q
1
to Q
2
.


95
RELATIVE PRICES AND DEMAND
The value of an economy's consumption
equals the value of its production:
P
C
Q
C
+ P
F
Q
F
= P
C
D
C
+ P
F
D
F
= V
Production and consumption must lie
on the same isovalue line.
96
Food
production, Q
F

Cloth
production, Q

TT
D

Production, Consumption, and Trade in
the Standard Model
Isovalue line
Indifference curves
Cloth
exports
Food
imports
The economy
produces at
point Q,.
The economy
consumes at
point D.
Q

97
Food
production, Q
F

Cloth
production, Q

TT
D

Q

Production, Consumption, and Trade in
the Standard Model
Isovalue line
Indifference curves
Cloth
exports
Food
imports
The economy
produces more cloth
than it consumes and
therefore exports
cloth; correspondingly,
it consumes more food
than it produces and
therefore imports food.

The economy
produces more cloth
than it consumes and
therefore exports
cloth; correspondingly,
it consumes more food
than it produces and
therefore imports food.

98
Food
production, Q
F

Cloth
production, Q

TT
D
1
Q
1
When that relative price
rises all isovalue lines
become steeper.
The maximum-value line
rotates from VV
1
to VV
2
.
Effects of a Rise in the Relative Price of Cloth
Q
2
D
2
V V
1 (
P
C
/P
F
)
1
V V
2 (
P
C
/P
F
)
2
99
Food
production, Q
F

Cloth
production, Q

TT
D
1


Effects of a Rise in the Relative Price of Cloth
V V
1 (
P
C
/P
F
)
1
V V
2 (
P
C
/P
F
)
2
The economy produces
more C and less F,
shifting production
shifts from Q
1
to Q
2
The economy's
consumption choice
shifts from D
1
to D
2
Q
1
The economy's
consumption choice
shifts from D
1
to D
2
D
2
Q
2
The economy produces
more C and less F,
shifting production from
Q
1
to Q
2
100
Food
production, Q
F

Cloth
production, Q

TT
D
1


The move from D
1
to D
2
reflects two effects of
the rise in P
C
/P
F

V V
1 (
P
C
/P
F
)
1
V V
2 (
P
C
/P
F
)
2
1) the economy has
moved to a higher
indifference curve: It is
better off. The reason is
that this economy is an
exporter of cloth.

Q
1
1) the economy has
moved to a higher
indifference curve: It is
better off. The reason is
that this economy is an
exporter of cloth.
D
2
Q
2
101
Food
production, Q
F

Cloth
production, Q

TT
D
1


The move from D
1
to D
2
reflects two effects of
the rise in P
C
/P
F

V V
1 (
P
C
/P
F
)
1
V V
2 (
P
C
/P
F
)
2
2) the change in relative
prices leads to a shift
towards consumption of
more food
Q
1
2) the change in relative
prices leads to a shift
towards consumption of
more food.
D
2
Q
2
102
Consumer goods
production, Q
C

Oil
production, Q

TT
D
1
Q
1
Effects of a Rise in the Relative Price of Oil
Q
2
D
2
V V
1 (
P
O
/P
C
)
1
V V
2 (
P
O
/P
C
)
2
case
103
THE WELFARE EFFECT OF CHANGES
IN THE TERMS OF TRADE
When P
C
/P
F
increases, a country that initially
exports cloth is made better off, as illustrated
by the movement from D
1
to D
2
.
Conversely, if P
C
/P
F
were to decline, the
country would be made worse off; for
example, consumption might move back
from D
2
to D
1
.
104
THE WELFARE EFFECT OF CHANGES
IN THE TERMS OF TRADE
The general statement, then, is that
a rise in the terms of trade
increases a country's welfare,
while a decline in the terms of
trade reduces its welfare.
105
RS

RD

(P
C
/P
F
)
1
Relative quantity
of cloth,

Relative price
of cloth, P
C
/P
F
Qc +Qc*

Q
F
+Q
F
*
1
World Relative Supply and Demand


1) An increase in P
C
/P
F

leads both countries to
produce more cloth
and less food.
2) An increase in P
C
/P
F

leads both countries to
shift their consumption
mix away from cloth
toward food.
106
Now we can use RS, RD
and the ToT to
understand a number of
important issues in
international economics.
107
ECONOMIC GROWTH: A SHIFT
OF THE RS CURVE
The effects of economic growth in a trading
world economy are a source of concern
around two questions:
is economic growth in other countries good or
bad for our nation?
is growth in a country more or less valuable
when that nation is part of a closely integrated
world economy?
108
The effects of growth
+ -

at home on
other
economies
in other
countries on
home
economy
109
The effects of growth at home
On one hand, growth
in an economy's
production capacity
should be more
valuable when that
country can sell some
of its increased
production to the
world market.
On the other hand,
the benefits of
growth may be
passed on to
foreigners in the
form of lower prices
for the country's
exports rather than
retained at home.
110
The effects of growth in
other countries
On one side,
economic growth in
the rest of the
world may be good
for our economy
because it means
larger markets for
our exports.
On the other
side, growth in
other countries
may mean
increased
competition for
our exporters.
111
The standard model of
trade provides a
framework that can
clarify the effects of
economic growth in a
trading world.
112
GROWTH AND THE PRODUCTION
POSSIBILITY FRONTIER
This growth can result either from increases
in a country's resources or from
improvements in the efficiency with which
these resources are used.
The international trade effects of growth
result from the fact that such growth
typically has a bias.
113
Food
production, Q
F
Cloth
production, Q
C
TT
1
TT
2
Biased Growth
Food
production, Q
F
Cloth
production, Q
C
TT
1
TT
2
b) growth biased toward food a) growth biased toward cloth
Growth is biased when it shifts
production possibilities out more
toward one good than toward
another. In both cases the
production possibility frontier
shifts out from
TT
1
to TT
2
.
114
Food
production, Q
F
Cloth
production, Q
C
TT
1
TT
2
Biased Growth
Food
production, Q
F
Cloth
production, Q
C
TT
1
TT
2
b) growth biased toward food a) growth biased toward cloth
In case (a) this
shift is biased
toward cloth.
In case (b) this
shift is biased
toward food.
115
Food
production, Q
F
Cloth
production, Q
C
TT
1
TT
2
Biased Growth
Food
production, Q
F
Cloth
production, Q
C
TT
1
TT
2
b) growth biased toward food a) growth biased toward cloth
In case (a) at an unchanged
relative price of cloth the
output of food actually falls.
In case (b) at an unchanged
relative price of cloth the
output of cloth actually falls.
116
Growth may be biased for two
main reasons:
1. The Ricardian model shows that
technological progress in one
sector of the economy will expand
the economy's production
possibilities more in the direction
of that sector's output than in the
direction of the other sector's output.
117
Growth may be biased for two
main reasons:
2. The H-O Model showed that an
increase in a country's supply of a
factor of production say, an
increase in the capital stock resulting
from saving and investment will
produce biased expansion of
production possibilities.
118
RS
2

RD

(P
C
/P
F
)
2
(P
C
/P
F
)
1
Relative price
of cloth, P
C
/P
F
1
2
RS
1

Growth and Relative Supply
Relative quantity
of cloth,

Qc +Qc*

Q
F
+Q
F
*
a) Cloth-biased growth
Suppose that Home
experiences growth
strongly biased
toward cloth, so that
its output of cloth
rises at any given
relative price of cloth,
while its output of
food declines.
119
RS
2

RD

(P
C
/P
F
)
2
(P
C
/P
F
)
1
Relative price
of cloth, P
C
/P
F
1
2
RS
1

Growth and Relative Supply
a) Cloth-biased growth
Then for the world
as a whole the output
of cloth relative to
food will rise at any
given price and the
world relative supply
curve will shift to the
right from RS
1
to
RS
2
.
Relative quantity
of cloth,

Qc +Qc*

Q
F
+Q
F
*
120
RS
2

RD

(P
C
/P
F
)
2
(P
C
/P
F
)
1
Relative quantity
of cloth,

Relative price
of cloth, P
C
/P
F
1
2
RS
1

Growth and Relative Supply
Qc +Qc*

Q
F
+Q
F
*
a) Cloth-biased growth
This shift results in a
decrease in the
relative price of cloth
from (P

/P
F
)
1
to
(P

/P
F
)
2
, a worsening
of Home's terms of
trade and an
improvement in
Foreign's terms of
trade.
121
RS
2

RD

(P
C
/P
F
)
2
(P
C
/P
F
)
1
Relative quantity
of cloth,

Relative price
of cloth, P
C
/P
F
1
2
RS
1

Growth and Relative Supply
Qc +Qc*

Q
F
+Q
F
*
RS
1
RD

(P
C
/P
F
)
1
(P
C
/P
F
)
2

Relative quantity
of cloth,

Relative price
of cloth, P
C
/P
F
1
2
RS
2
Qc +Qc*

Q
F
+Q
F
*
b) Food-biased growth a) Cloth-biased growth
122
RS
2

RD

(P
C
/P
F
)
2
(P
C
/P
F
)
1
Relative quantity
of cloth,

Relative price
of cloth, P
C
/P
F
1
2
RS
1

Growth and Relative Supply
Qc +Qc*

Q
F
+Q
F
*
RS
1
RD

(P
C
/P
F
)
1
(P
C
/P
F
)
2

Relative quantity
of cloth,

Relative price
of cloth, P
C
/P
F
1
2
RS
2
Qc +Qc*

Q
F
+Q
F
*
b) Food-biased growth a) Cloth-biased growth
Notice that the
important consideration
here is not which economy
Grows but the bias
of the growth.
123
Growth and Relative Supply
RS
1
RD

(P
C
/P
F
)
1
(P
C
/P
F
)
2

Relative quantity
of cloth,

Relative price
of cloth, P
C
/P
F
1
2
RS
2
Qc +Qc*

Q
F
+Q
F
*
b) Food-biased growth
Either Home or Foreign
growth biased toward food
leads to a leftward shift of
the RS curve (RS
1
to RS
2
)
and thus to a rise in the
relative price of cloth from
(P

/P
F
)
1
to (P

/P
F
)
2
. This
increase is an
improvement in Home's
terms of trade, a
worsening of Foreign's.
124
Growth that disproportionately
expands a country's production
possibilities in the direction of the
good it exports (cloth in Home,
food in Foreign) is export-biased
growth.
Similarly, growth biased toward
the good a country imports is
import-biased growth.
125
Our analysis leads to the following
general principle:
Export-biased growth tends to worsen
a growing country's terms of trade, to
the benefit of the rest of the world;
Import-biased growth tends to
improve a growing country's terms of
trade at the rest of the world's
expense.
126
INTERNATIONAL EFFECTS OF
GROWTH
We are now able to resolve our
questions about the international
effects of growth.
Is growth in the rest of the world
good or bad for our country?
Does the fact that our country is part
of a trading world economy increase
or decrease the benefits of growth?
127
export-biased growth in the rest
of the world is good for us,
improving our terms of trade,

while import-biased growth
abroad worsens our terms of
trade.
128
Export-biased growth in our own
country worsens our terms of
trade, reducing the direct
benefits of growth,
while import-biased growth leads
to an improvement of our terms
of trade, a secondary benefit.
129
Economies of
scale and
international
trade
130
There are two reasons why countries
specialize and trade:
1. countries differ either in their
resources or in technology and
specialize in the things they do
relatively well;
2. economies of scale (or increasing
returns) make it advantageous for
each country to specialize in the
production of only a limited range of
goods and services.
132
International trade plays a crucial
role: It makes it possible for each
country to produce a restricted range of
goods and to take advantage of
economies of scale without sacrificing
variety in consumption.
133
Mutually beneficial trade can arise as a
result of economies of scale.
Each country specializes in producing a
limited range of products, which
enables it to produce these goods more
efficiently than if it tried to produce
everything for itself.
Specialized economies then trade with
each other to be able to consume the
full range of goods.
134
External economies of scale occur
when the cost per unit depends on
the size of the industry but not
necessarily on the size of any one
firm.
Internal economies of scale occur
when the cost per unit depends on
the size of an individual firm but
not necessarily on that of the
industry.
135
External and internal economies of scale have
different implications for the structure of
industries.
An industry where economies of scale are purely
external will typically be perfectly competitive.
Internal economies of scale lead to an
imperfectly competitive market structure.
Both external and internal economies of scale
are important causes of international trade.
136
THE EFFECTS OF INCREASED
MARKET SIZE
In our contemporary world
both the variety of goods that a
country can produce
and the scale of its production
are constrained by the size of the market.

By trading with each other, and
therefore forming an integrated world
market, nations are able to loosen these
constraints.
137
Effects of a Larger Market
CC
1
CC
2
Number of
firms, n
Cost, C and
Price, P
PP

1
2
n
1
n
2
P
1
P
2
An increase in the size
of the market allows
each firm, other things
equal, to produce
more and thus have
lower average cost.
The more firms there are in
monopolistically industry the
lower the output of each
firm, and thus the higher its
average cost per unit of
output.
138
Equilibrium in the Automobile
Market
38
36
34
32
30
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
CC

Number of
firms, n
Price per auto
in thousands USD
PP

(a) The Home market
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Figure shows the PP and CC curves
for the Home auto industry. In the
absence of trade when the market is
for 900 000 auto Home would have 6
automobile firms, selling at a price of
$10,000 each.
139
Equilibrium in the Automobile
Market
38
36
34
32
30
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
CC

Number of
firms, n
Price per auto
in thousands USD
PP

(b) The Foreign market
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Figure shows the PP and CC curves
for the Foreign auto industry. In the
absence of trade when the market is
for 1.6 million auto Foreign would
have 8 automobile firms, selling at a
price of $ 8750 each.
140
Equilibrium in the Automobile
Market
38
36
34
32
30
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
CC

Number of
firms, n
Price per auto
in thousands USD
PP

(c) Integrated
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Figure shows the PP and CC curves
for combined market. Integrating the
two markets creates a market for 2.5
million autos. This market supports 10
firms, and the price of an auto is only
$8000.
141
ECONOMIES OF SCALE AND
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
How economies of scale interact with
comparative advantage to determine the
pattern of international trade.
Let us imagine a world economy consisting,
as usual, of our two countries Home and
Foreign.
Each of these countries has two factors of
production, capital and labor.
142
Trade in a world without
increasing return
Home (capital-
abundant)
Foreign
labor-abundant)
Manufactures Food
The length of the arrows indicates the value of
trade in each direction; so Home would export
manufactures equal in value to the food it imports.
143
Trade with increasing return and
monopolistic competition
Home (capital-
abundant)
Foreign
labor-abundant)
Manufactures Food
Because of economies of scale, neither country is able to
produce the full range of manufactured products by itself;
thus they will be producing different things.
Interindustry
trade
Intraindustry
trade
Home will be a net
exporter of
manufactures and an
importer of food.
144
Trade with increasing return and
monopolistic competition
Home (capital-
abundant)
Foreign
labor-abundant)
Manufactures Food
Because of economies of scale, neither country is able to
produce the full range of manufactured products by itself;
thus they will be producing different things.
Interindustry
trade
Intraindustry
trade
Home, although running a trade surplus in
manufactures, will import as well as export
within the manufacturing industry.
145
Trade with increasing return and
monopolistic competition
Home (capital-
abundant)
Foreign
labor-abundant)
Manufactures Food
Because of economies of scale, neither country is able to
produce the full range of manufactured products by itself;
thus they will be producing different things.
Interindustry
trade
Intraindustry
trade
Foreign firms in the
manufacturing sector will
produce products different
from those that Home
firms produce.
146
World trade in a monopolistic
competition model consists of two
parts.
There will be two-way trade within
the manufacturing sector. This
exchange of manufactures for
manufactures is called intraindustry
trade.
The remainder of trade is an exchange
of manufactures for food called
interindustry trade.
147
Interindustry (manufactures for food)
trade reflects comparative advantage.
The pattern of interindustry trade is that
Home, the capital-abundant country, is
a net exporter of capital-intensive
manufactures and a net importer of
labor-intensive food. So comparative
advantage continues to be a major part
of the trade story.
Four points about this pattern of trade:
148
Intraindustry trade does not reflect
comparative advantage. Even if the
countries had the same overall capital-
labor ratio, their firms would continue
to produce differentiated products.
Thus economies of scale can be an
independent source of international
trade.
Four points about this pattern of trade:
149
The pattern of intraindustry trade itself
is unpredictable. All we know is that
the countries will produce different
products. Since history and accident
determine the details of the trade
pattern, an unpredictable component of
the trade pattern is an inevitable feature
of a world where economies of scale
are important.
Four points about this pattern of trade:
150
The relative importance of
intraindustry and interindustry trade
depends on how similar countries are.
If , for instance, Home and Foreign are
similar in their capital-labor ratios, then
there will be little interindustry trade,
and intraindustry trade, based
ultimately on economies of scale, will
be dominant.
Four points about this pattern of trade:
151
THE SIGNIFICANCE OF
INTRAINDUSTRY TRADE
About 1/4 of world trade consists of intraindustry
trade.
The industrial countries have become
increasingly similar in their levels of technology
and in the availability of capital and skilled labor.
There is often no clear comparative advantage
within an industry, and much of international
trade therefore takes the form of two-way
exchanges within an industry.
152
Indexes of Intraindustry Trade for U.S.
Industries
Inorganic chemicals 0.99
Power-generating machinery 0.97
Electrical machinery 0.96
Organic chemicals 0.91
Medical and pharmaceutical 0.86
Office machinery 0.81
Telecommunications equipment 0.69
Road vehicles 0.65
Iron and steel 0.43
Clothing and apparel 0.27
Footwear 0.20
intraindustry
trade/total trade
153
The Theory of External
Economies
Economies of scale that occur at the level of the
industry instead of the firm are called external
economies.
There are three main reasons why a cluster of
firms may be more efficient than an individual
firm in isolation:
Specialized suppliers
Labor market pooling
Knowledge spillovers
What does it
mean cluster?
154
Clusters: Definitions from the Cluster
Literature
Porter (1998) A cluster is a geographically proximate
group of interconnected companies and associated
institutions in a particular field, linked by commonalities
and complementarities.
Crouch and Farrell, (2001) The more general concept
of cluster suggests something looser: a tendency for
firms in similar types of business to locate close together,
though without having a particularly important presence
in an area.
Rosenfeld (1997) A cluster is very simply used to
represent concentrations of firms that are able to produce
synergy because of their geographical proximity and
interdependence, even though their scale of employment
may not be pronounced or prominent.
155
Clusters: Definitions from the Cluster
Literature
Roelandt and den Hertag (1999) Clusters can be
characterised as networks of producers of strongly
interdependent firms (including specialised suppliers)
linked each other in a value-adding production chain.
Swann and Prevezer (1998) A cluster means a large
group of firms in related industries at a particular
location.
Simmie and Sennett (1999) We define an innovative
cluster as a large number of interconnected industrial
and/or service companies having a high degree of
collaboration, typically through a supply chain, and
operating under the same market conditions.
156
In many industries, the production of goods and
services and the development of new products
requires the use of specialized equipment or
support services.
An individual company does not provide a large
enough market for these services to keep the suppliers
in business.
A localized industrial cluster can solve this problem by
bringing together many firms that provide a large enough
market to support specialized suppliers.
This phenomenon has been extensively documented in the
semiconductor industry located in Silicon Valley.
Specialized Suppliers
157
A cluster of firms can create a pooled
market for workers with highly
specialized skills.
It is an advantage for:
Producers
They are less likely to suffer from labor
shortages.
Workers
They are less likely to become unemployed.
Labor Market Pooling
158
Knowledge is one of the important input
factors in highly innovative industries.
The specialized knowledge that is crucial
to success in innovative industries comes
from:
Research and development efforts
Reverse engineering
Informal exchange of information and ideas
Knowledge Spillovers
159
External Economies and the Pattern of Trade
A country that has large production in some
industry will tend to have low costs of
producing that good.
Countries that start out as large producers in
certain industries tend to remain large producers
even if some other country could potentially
produce the goods more cheaply.
External Economies and
International Trade
160
External Economies and Specialization
AC
SWISS

Q
1

P
1

Price, cost
(per watch)
Quantity of watches
produced and demanded
AC
THAI

2
1
C
0

D
Thailand could potentially supply the
world market more cheaply than
Switzerland. If the Swiss industry gets
established first, however, it may be able
to sell watches at the price P
1
, which is
below the cost C
0
that an individual Thai
firm would face if it began production on
its own.
161
Trade based on external economies has
more ambiguous effects on national
welfare than either trade based on
comparative advantage or trade based on
economies of scale at the level of the
firm.
Trade and Welfare with
External Economies
162
Russia in a changing
world
What is a Russias role in current
international division of labour?
What may be a Russias role in a future
international division of labour?