Sei sulla pagina 1di 38

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.415100605
R Square
0.172308512
Adjusted R Square
0.118909061
Standard Error
112.7710151
Observations
34
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
ISD (mld$) X1
-58.39321855

2
31
33

SS
MS
F
Significance F
82071.98101
41036 3.2267843 0.053328771
394236.3573 12717.3
476308.3383

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value
Lower 95%
195.3785345 46.48856993 4.20272 0.0002073 100.5644714
1.825206338 0.909800423 2.00616 0.0536316 -0.03034385
-58.39321855 -58.39321855 -58.393 -58.39322 -58.3932185

Upper 95%
290.1926
3.680757
-58.39322

Capat inferior Capat Superior


100.1699432
290.5871257
-0.038064927
3.688477604
61.19609304 -177.9825301

Lower 95,0%Upper 95,0%


100.56447 290.192598
-0.030344 3.68075653
-58.39322 -58.393219

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.415100605
R Square
0.172308512
Adjusted R Square
0.118909061
Standard Error
112.7710151
Observations
34
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
82071.98101
394236.3573
476308.3383

MS
41035.9905
12717.30185

F
Significance F
3.226784344 0.053328771

Coefficients Standard Error


195.3785345
46.48856993
1.825206338
0.909800423
-296.260458
116.6294055

t Stat
4.202721976
2.006161234
-2.540186646

P-value
Lower 95%
0.000207311 100.5644714
0.053631616 -0.03034385
0.016307298 -534.1276981

2
31
33

Intercept
X Variable 1
X Variable 2

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

Predicted Y
38.47000392
65.18820136
85.9994417
65.370722
6.155134457
163.1914294
154.6504049
89.49135612
48.10615227
110.6493857
140.3849439
-22.4853
134.5692471
111.2151996
5.255013035
47.71708863
41.82838359
115.9482544
113.058658
45.33855007
161.1174056
143.4877947
72.40353672
117.3536632
93.94485959

Residuals
Standard Residuals
-26.38000392
-0.241353438
-39.38820136
-0.360366808
-80.5694417
-0.737138318
-56.100722
-0.513271421
6.644865543
0.060794576
-131.2914294
-1.201199133
-149.2204049
-1.36523322
-72.19135612
-0.66048633
-5.096152272
-0.046625235
-99.88938566
-0.913898523
-51.08494388
-0.467381539
30.46529995
0.278730242
-126.0292471
-1.153054872
-99.21519963
-0.907730324
23.94498696
0.219075211
1.482911374
0.013567313
-22.82838359
-0.208859289
-74.34825436
-0.680220019
-21.75865803
-0.199072257
30.06144993
0.275035375
0.782594353
0.007160038
161.3122053
1.475862377
-47.31353672
-0.432876537
116.8463368
1.069039457
-30.54485959
-0.279458141

26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34

59.34271188
67.87796611
106.4465819
134.4424238
160.9905823
99.54247273
7.792990963
142.5703623
81.68437802

-10.84271188
49.32203389
54.65341811
-7.542423765
74.80941768
68.95752727
89.30700904
471.9296377
-28.88437802

-0.099201114
0.451252489
0.500029886
-0.06900643
0.684439251
0.630899689
0.817079243
4.317734021
-0.26426622

Residuals

X Variable 1 Residual Plot


200
150
100
50
0
0

10

20

30

X Variable 1

X Variable 2 Residual Plot


600
Residuals

Upper 95%Lower 95,0%Upper 95,0%


290.1926 100.5645 290.1926
3.680757 -0.03034 3.680757
-58.3932 -534.128 -58.3932

400
200
0

-200

0.5

1
X Variable 2

1.5

Y=

75.4
8.54
10.76
43.01
52.8
17.3
12.8
161.1
29.2
19
117.2
168.5
49.2
235.8
126.9
31.9
12.09
97.1
25.09
89.3
5.43
63.4
25.8
48.5
9.27
7.98
91.3
5.43
41.6
12
234.2
304.8
614.5
161.9

X=

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

2.2
0.77
0.65
0.47
210.4
0.42
0.21
4.84
1.34
1.9
4.81
7.55
1.88
7.13
5.57
0.22
0.06
7.6
2.42
0.71
0.41
2.86
0.09
3.38
0.19
0.75
1.97
0.13
1.93
0.96
2.7
2.41
8.4
2.33

0.52
0.21
0.29
0.5
1.68
0.36
0.64
0.33
0.65
0.53
0.46
0.37
0.51
0.16
0.24
0.11
0.53
0.68
0.43
0.19
0.14
0.36
0.44
0.48
0.44
0.74
0.29
0.37
0.28
0.29
0.28
0.19
0.23
0.13

X'=

X'X=

X'Xinv=

X'Y=

B=

1
2.2
0.52

1
0.77
0.21

1
0.65
0.29

1
0.47
0.5

1
210.4
1.68

1
0.42
0.36

1
0.21
0.64

1
4.84
0.33

1
1.34
0.65

34
289.66
14.05
289.66 44651.01 382.0786
14.05 382.0786
8.3729

0.169941 0.002195 -0.38532


0.002195 6.51E-05 -0.00665
-0.38532 -0.00665 1.069599

3009.1
24895.86
961.8815

195.3785
1.825206
-296.26

Yp
X1p
X2p
X 1p - X mediu
63.14585
8.71
0.5
13.17632353
Previziunea aleasa pentru X1 si X2

1
1.9
0.53

1
4.81
0.46

(x1p-x1med)^2 (x2p-x2med)^2
-63.87037682 0.007528114

1
7.55
0.37

1
1.88
0.51

1
7.13
0.16

1
5.57
0.24

1
0.22
0.11

1
0.06
0.53

1
7.6
0.68

1
2.42
0.43

1
0.71
0.19

1
0.41
0.14

1
2.86
0.36

1
0.09
0.44

1
3.38
0.48

1
0.19
0.44

1
0.75
0.74

1
1.97
0.29

1
0.13
0.37

1
1.93
0.28

1
0.96
0.29

1
2.7
0.28

1
2.41
0.19

1
8.4
0.23

1
2.33
0.13

Tara
Angola
Armenia
Georgia
Azerbaijan
Luxemburg
Bolivia
Senegal
Romania
Costa Rica
Estonia
Ucraina
Nigeria
Belarus
Columbia
Peru
Etiopia
Islanda
Vietnam
Iordania
Bangladesh
Kosovo
Croatia
Letonia
Bulgaria
Macedonia
Malta
Maroc
Moldova
Serbia
Albania
Portugalia
Grecia
Turcia
Pakistan
Total

PIB (mld $) Y
75.4
8.54
10.76
43.01
52.8
17.3
12.8
161.1
29.2
19
117.2
168.5
49.2
235.8
126.9
31.9
12.09
97.1
25.09
89.3
5.43
63.4
25.8
48.5
9.27
7.98
91.3
5.43
41.6
12
234.2
304.8
614.5
161.9

ISD (mld $) X1 Exportul de bunuri si servicii(%) X2


2.2
0.52
0.77
0.21
0.65
0.29
0.47
0.5
210.4
0.42
0.21
4.84
1.34
1.9
4.81
7.55
1.88
7.13
5.57
0.22
0.06
7.6
2.42
0.71
0.41
2.86
0.09
3.38
0.19
0.75
1.97
0.13
1.93
0.96
2.7
2.41
8.4
2.33

1.68
0.36
0.64
0.33
0.65
0.53
0.46
0.37
0.51
0.16
0.24
0.11
0.53
0.68
0.43
0.19
0.14
0.36
0.44
0.48
0.44
0.74
0.29
0.37
0.28
0.29
0.28
0.19
0.23
0.13

yi^
45.33875
134.5693
110.6495
48.10635
81.68504
89.49149
6.155393
106.4467
5.255276
41.82859
67.87814
99.54261
47.71729
160.9906
134.4425
163.1914
38.47021
7.793266
72.4037
140.385
154.6504
93.94499
65.18837
59.3429
65.37089
-22.485
113.0588
85.99958
115.9483
111.2153
117.3538
143.4878
142.5704
161.1174

X =
Y=
X 1=
X 2=

Multiple R
R square
R

ei
ei^2
30.0612468 903.67856
-126.029309 15883.387
-99.8894839
9977.909
-5.09634682 25.972751

(x1-x1med)^2
Y - Y mediu (Y - Y mediu)^2
-13.1029412
171.6870676 39.93496505
-79.9629412
6394.071962
60.0533827
-77.7429412
6043.964903 61.92764152
-45.4929412
2069.607697 64.79302976

-28.8850424
-72.1914865
6.64460674
54.653303
23.944724
-22.8285914
49.3218591
68.9573947
1.48271272
74.8093812
-7.54249742
-131.291445
-26.3802124
89.3067344
-47.3136985
-51.0849963
-149.220434
-30.5449892
-39.3883685
-10.8428963
-56.1008891
30.4649955
-21.7587558
-80.5695768
-74.3483476
-99.2152978
116.846244
161.312154
471.92957
0.78257002
-0.00015206

-35.7029412
-71.2029412
-75.7029412
72.5970588
-59.3029412
-69.5029412
28.6970588
79.9970588
-39.3029412
147.297059
38.3970588
-56.6029412
-76.4129412
8.59705882
-63.4129412
0.79705882
-83.0729412
-25.1029412
-62.7029412
-40.0029412
-79.2329412
-80.5229412
2.79705882
-83.0729412
-46.9029412
-76.5029412
145.697059
216.297059
525.997059
73.3970588

834.34567
5211.6107
44.150799
2986.9835
573.34981
521.14459
2432.6458
4755.1223
2.198437
5596.4435
56.889267
17237.444
695.9156
7975.6928
2238.5861
2609.6768
22266.738
932.99636
1551.4436
117.5684
3147.3098
928.11595
473.44345
6491.4567
5527.6768
9843.6753
13653.045
26021.611
222717.52
0.6124158
394236.36

-4.46632353
88.5029412
8.51941176
0.41323529

0.82769149 Legatura directa puternica


0.17230851
0.4151006

1274.700009
5069.858833
5730.935303
5270.332949
3516.838833
4830.658833
823.5211849
6399.52942
1544.721185
21696.42354
1474.334126
3203.89295
5838.93758
73.90942035
4021.201109
0.635302763
6901.113556
630.1576559
3931.658833
1600.235303
6277.858968
6483.944056
7.823538043
6901.113556
2199.885891
5852.700009
21227.63295
46784.41765
276672.9059
5387.128243
476308.3383

40755.77191
65.60047093
69.04632388
13.53807093
51.54395329
43.81661211
13.75973564
0.93975917
44.08178858
1.930465052
8.699029758
68.88023564
71.5616474
0.845317993
37.20282388
60.98691211
65.76255917
32.02894152
71.0549827
26.41355329
69.37910035
60.36375917
42.89479446
70.38222976
43.4203474
57.14470623
33.86555329
37.32491211
0.01425917
38.30881799
42183.27259

(x2x2med)^2
0.011399
0.041305
0.015187
0.007528
1.604693
0.002834
0.051422
0.006928
0.056058
0.013634
0.002187
0.001869
0.009363
0.064128
0.03001
0.091952
0.013634
0.071163
0.000281
0.049834
0.074658
0.002834
0.000716
0.004458
0.000716
0.106775
0.015187
0.001869
0.017752
0.015187
0.017752
0.049834
0.033575
0.080222
2.566944

ANOVA
df
SSR=
SSE=
SST=

476308.3383
394236.3573
870544.6956

2
31
33

Yp

X1p
63.1458525
previziune punctuala

X2p
8.71

0.5

t0,05; 32=
se=
sp=
previziune prin intervale de incredere
-29.51179756 <yp<
a=
195.3785345
b=
1.825206338
c=
-296.260458
din output de la coefficients
y=a+bx1+cx2

MS
F
Significance F
238154.1692
0.482078592 0.053328771
12717.30185 Model valid statistic
26380.14229

X 1p - X mediu1 (x1p-x1med)^2
0.190588235
-63.87037682
X2p-Xmediu2
0.086764706
2.037 radicalul din formula sp
13.40040826
3.394471939
45.4873098
155.8035026

(x2p-x2med)^2
0.007528114

Tara

PIB (mld $) Y

Islanda
Letonia
Moldova
Macedonia
Senegal
Etiopia
Kosovo
Bolivia
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Bangladesh
Malta
Armenia
Albania
Costa Rica
Belarus
Estonia
Serbia
Maroc
Angola
Pakistan
Grecia
Iordania
Portugalia
Croatia
Bulgaria
Ucraina
Romania
Peru
Columbia
Nigeria
Vietnam
Turcia
Luxemburg
Total

ISD (mld $) X1

12.09
25.8
5.43
9.27
12.8
31.9
5.43
17.3
43.01
10.76
89.3
7.98
8.54
12
29.2
49.2
19
41.6
91.3
75.4
161.9
304.8
25.09
234.2
63.4
48.5
117.2
161.1
126.9
235.8
168.5
97.1
614.5
52.8

Exportul de bunuri si servicii(%) X2

0.06
0.09
0.13
0.19
0.21
0.22
0.41
0.42
0.47
0.65
0.71
0.75
0.77
0.96
1.34
1.88
1.9
1.93
1.97
2.2
2.33
2.41
2.42
2.7
2.86
3.38
4.81
4.84
5.57
7.13
7.55
7.6
8.4
210.4

0.53
0.44
0.37
0.44
0.64
0.11
0.14
0.36
0.5
0.29
0.19
0.74
0.21
0.29
0.65
0.51
0.53
0.28
0.29
0.52
0.13
0.19
0.43
0.28
0.36
0.48
0.46
0.33
0.24
0.16
0.37
0.68
0.23
1.68
88.50294118

Y mediu =

Evolutia PIB in functie de X2 y=f(x2)

Evolutia PIB in functie de ISD y=f(x1)


15

1.5
y = 1.2594x - 13.519
R = 0.123

10

1.3

Axis Title

5
0
0
-5

10

20

30

40

Axis Title

1.1
0.9
0.7
0.5
0.3

-5

0.3

0.1

-10

-0.1 0

Axis Title

yi
250
200

Axis Title

-15

150
100

50
0
0
-50

10

15
Axis Title

Xi *Xi2

Durbin -Watson

Xi1*Yi

0.0318
0.0396
0.0481
0.0836
0.1344
0.0242
0.0574
0.1512
0.235
0.1885
0.1349
0.555
0.1617
0.2784
0.871
0.9588
1.007
0.5404
0.5713
1.144
0.3029
0.4579
1.0406
0.756
1.0296
1.6224
2.2126
1.5972
1.3368
1.1408
2.7935
5.168
1.932
353.472

0.7254
2.322
0.7059
1.7613
2.688
7.018
2.2263
7.266
20.2147
6.994
63.403
5.985
6.5758
11.52
39.128
92.496
36.1
80.288
179.861
165.88
377.227
734.568
60.7178
632.34
181.324
163.93
563.732
779.724
706.833
1681.254
1272.175
737.96
5161.8
11109.12

tia PIB in functie de X2 y=f(x2)

y = 0.0047x + 0.3303
R = 0.0287

yi^
45.3387532
134.5693086
110.6494839
48.10634682
81.6850424
89.49148652
6.15539326
106.446697
5.25527604
41.8285914
67.87814086
99.5426053
47.71728728
160.9906188
134.4424974
163.1914453
38.47021236
7.7932656
72.40369852
140.3849963
154.6504345
93.94498916
65.18836854
59.34289628
65.37088914
-22.4849955
113.0587558
85.99957678
115.9483476
111.2152978
117.3537562
143.4878465
142.5704304
161.11743

Ei
-33.248753
-108.76931
-105.21948
-38.836347
-68.885042
-57.591487
-0.7253933
-89.146697
37.754724
-31.068591
21.421859
-91.562605
-39.177287
-148.99062
-105.2425
-113.99145
-19.470212
33.806734
18.896301
-64.984996
7.2495655
210.85501
-40.098369
174.8571
-1.9708891
70.984996
4.1412442
75.100423
10.951652
124.5847
51.146244
-46.387846
471.92957
-108.31743
-0.0001521

R = 0.0287

10

15

20
Axis Title

25

30

yi
y = 7.109x - 35.904
R = 0.3472

15

20
Axis Title

25

30

35

35

40

ei-ei-1
(ei-ei-1)^2
ei ^2
1105.479589
-75.520555
5703.354291
11830.7625
3.5498247
12.60125554
11071.13979
66.383137
4406.720889
1508.261834
-30.048696
902.9241061
4745.149066
11.293556
127.5444044
3316.77932
56.866093
3233.752563
0.526195382
-88.421304
7818.326962
7947.133593
126.90142
16103.97065
1425.419181
-68.823315
4736.648737
965.2573716
52.490451
2755.247398
458.896049
-112.98446
12765.4892
8383.710689
52.385318
2744.221544
1534.859839
-109.81333
12058.96778
22198.20448
43.748121
1913.898123
11075.98326
-8.7489479
76.54408936
12994.04961
94.521233
8934.26348
379.0891693
53.276947
2838.433056
1142.895291
-14.910433
222.3210099
357.0702096
-83.881298
7036.072111
4223.049739
72.234562
5217.831918
52.55620052
203.60545
41455.17736
44459.8356
-250.95338
62977.59862
1607.87916
214.95547
46205.85505
30575.00672
-176.82799
31268.13906
3.884404002
72.955885
5322.561104
5038.869586
-66.843751
4468.087091
17.14990336
70.959179
5035.20509
5640.073568
-64.148771
4115.064795
119.9386907
113.63305
12912.47001
15521.34803
-73.438458
5393.207178
2615.938255
-97.53409
9512.898763
2151.832299
518.31742
268652.9438
222717.5187
-580.247
336686.5805
11732.66564
933614.922
448918.2135

DW
d1=

Evolutia variabilei Ei
200
150
100
Axis Title

ei - 1
-33.248753
-108.76931
-105.21948
-38.836347
-68.885042
-57.591487
-0.7253933
-89.146697
37.754724
-31.068591
21.421859
-91.562605
-39.177287
-148.99062
-105.2425
-113.99145
-19.470212
33.806734
18.896301
-64.984996
7.2495655
210.85501
-40.098369
174.8571
-1.9708891
70.984996
4.1412442
75.100423
10.951652
124.5847
51.146244
-46.387846
471.92957

50
0
-50

-100

10

15

-100
-150
-200

ISD (mld $) X1 Xi-x

2.079699362
1.38

2.2 -6.31941
0.77 -7.74941
0.65 -7.86941
0.47 -8.04941
210.4 201.8806
0.42 -8.09941
0.21 -8.30941
4.84 -3.67941
1.34 -7.17941
1.9 -6.61941
4.81 -3.70941
7.55 -0.96941
1.88 -6.63941
7.13 -1.38941
5.57 -2.94941
0.22 -8.29941
0.06 -8.45941
7.6 -0.91941
2.42 -6.09941
0.71 -7.80941
0.41 -8.10941
2.86 -5.65941
0.09 -8.42941
3.38 -5.13941
0.19 -8.32941
1.51
0.75 -7.76941
1.97 -6.54941
0.13 -8.38941
1.93 -6.58941
0.96 -7.55941
2.7 -5.81941
2.41 -6.10941
8.4 -0.11941
2.33 -6.18941
8.519411765

d2=

Evolutia variabilei Ei

y = 5.6528x - 98.924
R = 0.2329

15

20

25

30

35

40

4
2
0
0
-2
-4
-6
-8

0.5
0.45
0.4
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
0

Axis Title

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

- x
Exportul de bunuri si Xi
servicii(%)
X2
0.52
0.21
0.29
0.5
1.68
0.36
0.64
0.33
0.65
0.53
0.46
0.37
0.51
0.16
0.24
0.11
0.53
0.68
0.43
0.19
0.14
0.36
0.44
0.48
0.44
0.74
0.29
0.37
0.28
0.29
0.28
0.19
0.23
0.13
0.413235294

0.214882
0.086779
0.119838
0.206618
0.694235
0.148765
0.264471
0.136368
0.268603
0.219015
0.190088
0.152897
0.21075
0.066118
0.099176
0.045456
0.219015
0.281
0.177691
0.078515
0.057853
0.148765
0.181824
0.198353
0.181824
0.305794
0.119838
0.152897
0.115706
0.119838
0.115706
0.078515
0.095044
0.053721

Tara
Islanda
Letonia
Moldova
Macedonia
Senegal
Etiopia
Kosovo
Bolivia
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Bangladesh
Malta
Armenia
Albania
Costa Rica
Belarus
Estonia
Serbia
Maroc
Angola
Pakistan
Grecia
Iordania
Portugalia
Croatia
Bulgaria
Ucraina
Romania
Peru
Columbia
Nigeria
Vietnam
Turcia
Luxemburg
Total

PIB (mld $) Y ISD (mld $) X1


Exportul de bunuri si servicii(%) X2
12.09
0.06
0.53
25.8
0.09
0.44
5.43
0.13
0.37
9.27
0.19
0.44
12.8
0.21
0.64
31.9
0.22
0.11
5.43
0.41
0.14
17.3
0.42
0.36
43.01
0.47
0.5
10.76
0.65
0.29
89.3
0.71
0.19
7.98
0.75
0.74
8.54
0.77
0.21
12
0.96
0.29
29.2
1.34
0.65
49.2
1.88
0.51
19
1.9
0.53
41.6
1.93
0.28
91.3
1.97
0.29
75.4
2.2
0.52
161.9
2.33
0.13
304.8
2.41
0.19
25.09
2.42
0.43
234.2
2.7
0.28
63.4
2.86
0.36
48.5
3.38
0.48
117.2
4.81
0.46
161.1
4.84
0.33
126.9
5.57
0.24
235.8
7.13
0.16
168.5
7.55
0.37
97.1
7.6
0.68
614.5
8.4
0.23
52.8
210.4
1.68
Y mediu =
88.50294118

Valoarea Pearson intre PIB si ISD


-0.00521985

Tara
Islanda
Letonia
Moldova
Macedonia
Senegal
Etiopia
Kosovo
Bolivia
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Bangladesh
Malta
Armenia
Albania
Costa Rica
Belarus
Estonia
Serbia
Maroc
Angola
Pakistan
Grecia
Iordania
Portugalia
Croatia
Bulgaria
Ucraina
Romania
Peru
Columbia
Nigeria
Vietnam
Turcia
Luxemburg
Total

PIB (mld $) Y ISD (mld $) X1


Exportul de bunuri si servicii(%) X2
12.09
0.06
0.53
25.8
0.09
0.44
5.43
0.13
0.37
9.27
0.19
0.44
12.8
0.21
0.64
31.9
0.22
0.11
5.43
0.41
0.14
17.3
0.42
0.36
43.01
0.47
0.5
10.76
0.65
0.29
89.3
0.71
0.19
7.98
0.75
0.74
8.54
0.77
0.21
12
0.96
0.29
29.2
1.34
0.65
49.2
1.88
0.51
19
1.9
0.53
41.6
1.93
0.28
91.3
1.97
0.29
75.4
2.2
0.52
161.9
2.33
0.13
304.8
2.41
0.19
25.09
2.42
0.43
234.2
2.7
0.28
63.4
2.86
0.36
48.5
3.38
0.48
117.2
4.81
0.46
161.1
4.84
0.33
126.9
5.57
0.24
235.8
7.13
0.16
168.5
7.55
0.37
97.1
7.6
0.68
614.5
8.4
0.23
52.8
210.4
1.68
Y mediu =
88.50294118

Tara
Islanda
Letonia
Moldova
Macedonia
Senegal
Etiopia
Kosovo
Bolivia
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Bangladesh
Malta
Armenia
Albania
Costa Rica
Belarus
Estonia
Serbia
Maroc
Angola
Pakistan
Grecia
Iordania
Portugalia
Croatia
Bulgaria
Ucraina
Romania
Peru
Columbia
Nigeria
Vietnam
Turcia
Luxemburg
Total

PIB(mld $)Y

ISD (mld $) X1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1

0.06
0.09
0.13
0.19
0.21
0.22
0.41
0.42
0.47
0.65
0.71
0.75
0.77
0.96
1.34
1.88
1.9
1.93
1.97
2.2
2.33
2.41
2.42
2.7
2.86
3.38
4.81
4.84
5.57
7.13
7.55
7.6
8.4
210.4
Y mediu =

Exportul de bunuri si servicii(%) X2


0.53
0.44
1 = Daca PIB este mai mic decat 100 mld $
0.37
0= Daca PIB este mai mare decat 100 mld $
0.44
0.64
0.11
SUMMARY OUTPUT
0.14
0.36
Regression Statistics
0.5
Multiple R
0.29
R Square
0.19
Adjusted R Square
0.74
Standard Error
0.21
Observations
0.29
0.65
ANOVA
0.51
0.53
Regression
0.28
Residual
0.29
Total
0.52
0.13
Coefficients
0.19
Intercept
0.43
0.06
0.28
0.53
0.36
0.48
prediction
0.46
0.33
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
0.24
0.16
Observation
0.37
1
0.68
2
0.23
3
1.68
4
0.735294118
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

stics
0.451958
0.204266
0.151217
0.416671
33

df

SS
MS
F
Significance F
2 1.337015 0.668508 3.85052612 0.03247258
30 5.208439 0.173615
32 6.545455

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value
Lower 95% Upper 95%
0.2934 0.172395 1.702023 0.09909363 -0.0586571 0.64549693
-0.0067 0.00341 -1.97586 0.05743072 -0.0137007 0.00022644
1.2033 0.437918 2.747709 0.01005564 0.30892318 2.09761816
1.4900
PROBABILITY OUTPUT
Predicted 1
0.822253
0.737754
0.821579
1.062098
0.424298
0.459116
0.723768
0.891889
0.637989
0.517258
1.178787
0.540919
0.635901
1.066518
0.894422

Residuals
Standard Residuals
0.177747 0.44058
0.262246 0.650024
0.178421 0.442249
-0.0621 -0.15392
0.575702 1.426985
0.540884 1.340682
0.276232 0.684693
0.108111 0.267974
0.362011 0.89731
0.482742 1.196565
-0.17879 -0.44316
0.459081 1.137916
0.364099 0.902487
-0.06652 -0.16488
0.105578 0.261694

Percentile
1.51515152
4.54545455
7.57575758
10.6060606
13.6363636
16.6666667
19.6969697
22.7272727
25.7575758
28.7878788
31.8181818
34.8484848
37.8787879
40.9090909
43.9393939

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


-0.05865714 0.64549693
-0.01370072 0.00022644
0.308923184 2.09761816

0.918353
0.617333
0.629096
0.904299
0.434148
0.505805
0.794522
0.612145
0.707329
0.848218
0.814519
0.657891
0.544679
0.437907
0.687765
1.060442
0.51358
0.89742

0.081647
0.382667
0.370904
0.095701
-0.43415
-0.5058
0.205478
-0.61215
0.292671
0.151782
-0.81452
-0.65789
-0.54468
-0.43791
-0.68776
-0.06044
-0.51358
0.10258

0.202378
0.948511
0.919353
0.237213
-1.07611
-1.25373
0.509314
-1.51732
0.725439
0.376219
-2.01893
-1.63071
-1.35009
-1.08543
-1.70475
-0.14982
-1.273
0.254263

46.969697
50
53.030303
56.0606061
59.0909091
62.1212121
65.1515152
68.1818182
71.2121212
74.2424242
77.2727273
80.3030303
83.3333333
86.3636364
89.3939394
92.4242424
95.4545455
98.4848485

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

0.53 Line Fit Plo


1.5

0.5

1
1

0.5

0
200

250

-1

0.19

150

0.36

100

0.64

50

0.44

0.06

0.06 Line Fit Plot


1.5
1
0.5

Series1

pper 95.0%

Predicted 1

7.6

5.57

3.38

2.42

2.2

1.9

0.96

0.71

0.42

0.09

0
0.21

-0.5

Residuals

0.06 Residual Plot

0.06

Normal Probabilit

0.53 Residual Plot


0.5

Residuals

0
-0.5
-1

0.5

1
0.53

1.5

1.5
1
0.5
0

0.53 Line Fit Plot

0.68

0.24

0.48

0.43

0.52

0.53

0.29

0.19

Series1
Predicted 1

0.53

Normal Probability Plot

Series1

Sample Percentile