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Scores.
Unfortunately, consumers may be at a disadvantage when comparing
insurance rates at a single point in time since the lowest might be
just about to change, discoverable upon renewal ofer, and higher
rates may present more stability. That, however, is the basis of
a competitive market which for all its failings, currently provides
consumers with a very easily accessed and competitive market
for auto insurance, and one in which we enjoy competing. For the
last third of the year, the continued willingness of agents to quote
us and the strong fow of prospects was capitalized on in both our
Agency and Direct distributions, and premium growth at about the
same rates as earlier in the year was logged in the second half, but
for reasons that felt even better increasing new customer counts.
0 |
This would not be the game plan that we would draw up as a
preference, and we certainly favor the closing chapters. Our overall
rate change for the year was minimal and, with the beneft of
hindsight, we might have been able to be a little softer in 2012 and
slightly stronger in 2013 hindsight on future infationary trends
is a wonderful thing, just not very realistic for our purposes. Of
course, we did make numerous adjustments during the year as best
determined by the state product managers, and that process
remains the heart and soul of our ability over any extended period
as we seek proftable growth in every state in which we do business.
We added a net 276,000 auto customers for the year and most of
the increase was in the last four months overcoming the earlier
defcit. This does not come close to our potential to add customers
nor the demand we are experiencing for our product. So, while
2013 was better in many ways, some yet to come in this note,
only half the year might best ft the defnition, but for the 2014
outlook, the right half.
Our special lines products, including motorcycle, recreational
vehicle, personal watercraft, and boat, have a great deal of
seasonality in most states, and this year the weather conditions
across the country were less than favorable for much of the potential
use season. While that dampened losses, it also dampened policy
growth in these products and, although the results were attractive,
we had only marginal growth in policyholders something we look
forward to reversing in 2014.
Our Commercial Lines business had a solid year with more
variability in results than we would like, but management was
consistently on top of the issues and market conditions. While
parts of the commercial market we serve, notably the business
auto and contractor segment, have been reasonably predictable
through out the economic recovery, others have been highly
variable with a feast or famine type usage (e.g., double shifts on
major infrastructure jobs), presenting accident frequency
patterns very hard to predict. Acknowledging the challenges, we
like this business and seek to engage even greater numbers of
customers by meeting their other business insurance needs in a
manner similar to our approach with homeowners and renters
insurance in Personal Lines.
We hope we made things better for shareholders by declaring
both a variable dividend and a $1.00 per share special dividend
in December 2013, both paid in February 2014. The annual variable
dividend was completely consistent with our published methodol-
ogy and resulted in an approximately $0.49 per share amount
based on our post tax underwriting proft and our Gainshare factor
of 1.21. Further, the Board of Directors confrmed the variable
dividend calculation process for calendar year 2014 to be consistent
with 2013. Our comfort in paying these dividends stems from our
rigorous eforts to determine the capital we need for regulatory
purposes to support our writings, including expected growth, and
a layer of contingency capital adequate to cover the many possible
contingencies we can envision for our business. Capital in excess
of these combined layers is by design available for share repurchases,
acquisitions, and shareholder dividends. Our philosophy continues
to favor the return of capital above our estimated needs over any
reasonable planning horizon.
Our complementary income stream, investing the often called
insurance foat, has performed very well, relative to our desired
constraints and guidelines, during a prolonged period of low
interest rates and did so again in 2013, posting a total return on our
fxed-income portfolio of 1.7%. In fact, with interest rates so low,
any desire for long-term increases has to be moderated by the
potentially sudden and dramatic price depreciation that may be
incurred in current holdings. We had a preview to this potential
in the second quarter, but our short-duration position and heavier
exposure to the front end of the yield curve provided some
insulation to the interest rate increase and steepening yield curve.
While our current recurring interest income by historical standards
is frustratingly low at a pretax book yield of 2.6%, we remain
confdent in our preference for shorter duration positioning during
times of extremely low interest rates, but will certainly beneft
from a return to more substantial yields and are well prepared to
act. We were more than happy to be among the boats on a rising
2013 tide for equities, and our approximately 14% allocation
of the portfolio to equities largely indexed recorded a total
return of 32.8%.
As selective signs perhaps suggest a slow strengthening of the
economy, we would welcome an improved investment environment
with interest rates more comfortably matching our longer-term
investment income preference, but, by design, we are not dependent
on it. We enter 2014 with a very strong and well-structured capital
position, and an investment portfolio positioned to support our
current and future objectives, and prospects for our underwriting
business that always seem brighter based on the past years
accomplishments.
2 | 3
MORE AND BETTER
Snapshot
Program (PHA),
supported by the oferings of 11 unafliated underwriters, now
serves over a million customers, most of whom have a bundled auto
and home combination clearly our retention focused objective.
From modest beginnings, the PHA program has become a very
signifcant part of our strategy to attract and retain customers in
some cases those who may not have previously considered us or
may have felt the need to leave us when their needs expanded. Our
interpretation of an independent survey of customer satisfaction
with household insurance bundling, published in 2013, ranking
Progressive higher than many traditional underwriters of both auto
and home products, was confrming for us of our original premise
and research results, that consumers are very comfortable bundling
products from diferent underwriters, conditioned on a brand they
can relate to, trust, and one that provides the ease of use we all
want when assembling the pieces of our aggregate needs. Our
transformation of Progressive from a transaction brand to a
destination brand is well underway. The combination of excellent
consumer-facing technology, a product array designed for all
customer life stages, and a decision brand, makes for an efective
portal to attract long-term customers and develop a relationship
that meaningfully addresses their specifc needs over their lifetime.
The potential here is far greater than the to-date realization, but
is exciting both in numeric reach and strategic breadth. More and
more of our customers, especially our direct customers, are now
multi-product customers with combinations of auto, special lines,
home, or renters.
Our relationship with American Strategic Insurance (ASI), our
key provider for the PHA experience through agents, fourished
in 2013, with PHA available to Agency customers in 23 states and
Washington D.C., with several more states planned for 2014.
Working closely with ASI, our goal, as it is in general, is to design
in the product features that make its use more consumer intuitive
versus the all too often rough edges associated with diferent
products attempting to work together. Our Agents customers are
a tremendous source of the multi-product business we seek, and we
fully appreciate the need to bring them a strong product portfolio
to earn a greater share of this business. Our strong brand is now
seen by most agents as a huge positive and a business-generating
asset they value and can efectively leverage.
In 2013, our claims organization was able to make what was
already a strong track record of extraordinary results in claims
resolution even better quality, efciency, and customer experi-
ence all improved from previously very high benchmarks. In addition
to normal claim volume, fres, tornadoes, fooding, hail, and late
season snow storms all left their mark on the year, each demanding
greater and immediate commitment of our people. Thankfully,
the Atlantic hurricane season was not of much note. We opened
6 | 7
nine new Service Centers during the year, expanding our footprint
to sixty three countrywide. The quality of the claims experience
provided at these facilities has from the very frst implementation
been a model that we believed consumers would come to expect
if they only knew how easy it was to use and could take advantage
of it. Our work in 2013 was directed squarely at communicating the
benefts and increasing our responsiveness and availability so more
customers could use the option. As a selected method of repair,
the Service Centers now represent more than a third of our physical
damage features in the areas served and one of the best benefts of
being a Progressive customer. We believe, for those non-customers
using the center, being involved in an accident with a Progressive
customer is better than alternatives, as demonstrated by their
subsequent switching behavior.
Loss and loss adjustment expense is such a dominant percentage
of our economics that we never think of claims handling as anything
other than directly integral to the business success. Even seemingly
marginal gains in claim quality, efciency, and customer experience
translate disproportionately to continued attractive pricing and
gains in customer retention. Im happy to report 2013 was another
very good year for our claims organization.
OUR PEOPLE AND CULTURE
Sadly, late in the year our Chairman and friend Peter B. Lewis
died. Peters life work was largely centered on Progressive, the only
company he ever worked for. Since drawing his frst paycheck in
1945 for stufng envelopes for the companys frst-ever direct
mail campaign until his death, he never wavered in his commitment
to the essential elements that have come to make Progressive,
progressive and our culture so special. Any attempt to recap the
depth of what he meant to Progressive would fall short, but there
can be no doubt Progressive lost its best cheerleader of all time.
I have traditionally closed my letter with an appropriate tribute to
our people and the work environment that make all that we do
possible. This year, in honor of Peter, I would like to yield that same
task to Peters own words selectively chosen from his last
shareholders letter in 2000 and reprinted on the following page.
To all the people of Progressive, our agents, customers, share-
holders, and perhaps most of all Peter B. Lewis Thanks for making
Progressive, progressive.
Glenn M. Renwick
President and Chief Executive Ofcer
I feel a sweet sadness writing this my last letter to shareholders
as CEO. I will miss being a key person in the day-to-day work of
Progressives becoming a greater company.
The bedrock of Progressives success is its Core Values, its Vision
of reducing human trauma and economic costs of auto accidents
and the challenging Financial Objectives against which we
evaluate performance. The Vision, Values and Objectives provide
the clarity that lets excellent people perform well. The Vision
afrms our beneft to society and drives our single-minded focus
on U.S. auto insurance buyers. The Values guide behavior. The
demanding Objectives attract the special people who enjoy
working hard, performing well, being rewarded competitively and
growing constantly.
Thanks to every person who ever contributed energy and
intelligence to Progressive. Neither the company nor I would be
where we are without you.
8 | 9
Consistent achievement of superior results
requires that our people understand
Progressives objectives and their specifc
roles, and that their personal objectives
dovetail with Progressives. Our objectives
are ambitious, yet realistic. Progressive
monitors its fnancial policies continuously
and strives to meet these targets annually.
Experience always clarifes objectives and
illuminates better policies. We constantly
evolve as we monitor the execution of
our policies and progress toward achieving
our objectives.
OBJECTIVES
POLICIES &
OPERATIONS
SUMMARY
FINANCIAL POLICIES
Progressive balances operating risk with risk of investing and
fnancing activities in order to have sufcient capital to support all
the insurance we can proftably underwrite and service. Risks arise
in all operational and functional areas, and therefore must be
assessed holistically, accounting for the ofsetting and compound-
ing efects of the separate sources of risk within Progressive.
We use risk management tools to quantify the amount of capital
needed, in addition to surplus, to absorb consequences of events
such as unfavorable loss reserve development, litigation, weather-
related catastrophes, and investment-market corrections. Our
fnancial policies defne our allocation of risk and we measure our
performance against them. If, in our view, future opportunities
meet our fnancial objectives and policies, we will invest capital in
expanding business operations. Underleveraged capital will be
returned to investors. We expect to earn a return on equity greater
than its cost. Presented is an overview of Progressives Operating,
Investing, and Financing policies.
Operating
Maintain pricing and reserving discipline
Manage proftability targets and operational performance
at our lowest level of product defnition
Sustain premiums-to-surplus ratios at efcient levels,
and at or below applicable state regulations, for each
insurance subsidiary
Ensure loss reserves are adequate and develop with
minimal variance
Investing
Maintain a liquid, diversifed, high-quality
investment portfolio
Manage on a total return basis
Manage interest rate, credit, prepayment, extension,
and concentration risk
Allocate portfolio between two groups:
Group I: Target 0% to 25% (common equities;
nonredeemable preferred stocks; redeemable preferred
stocks, except for 50% of investment-grade redeemable
preferred stocks with cumulative dividends; and all
other non-investment-grade fxed-maturity securities)
Group II: Target 75% to 100% (short-term securities
and all other fxed-maturity securities)
Financing
Maintain sufcient capital to support insurance operations
Maintain debt below 30% of total capital at book value
Neutralize dilution from equity-based compensation in
the year of issuance through share repurchases
Use underleveraged capital to repurchase shares
and pay dividends (special or variable based on annual
underwriting results)
OBJECTIVES
Proftability Progressives most important goal is for our insurance
subsidiaries to produce an aggregate calendar year underwriting
proft of at least 4%. Our business is a composite of many product
oferings defned in part by product type, distribution channel,
geography, customer tenure, and under writing grouping. Each of
these products has targeted operating parameters based on
level of maturity, underlying cost structures, customer mix, and
policy life expectancy. Our aggregate goal is the balanced blend
of these individual performance targets in any calendar year.
Growth Our goal is to grow as fast as possible, constrained only
by our proftability objective and our ability to provide high-quality
customer service. Progressive is a growth-oriented company
and management incentives are tied to proftable growth.
Aggregate expense ratios and growth rates disguise the true
nature and performance of each business. As such, we report
Personal Lines and Commercial Lines results separately. We
further break down our Personal Lines results by channel (Agency
and Direct) to give shareholders a clearer picture of the business
dynamics of each distribution method.
20 | 2
OBJECTIVES AND POLICIES SCORECARD
Financial Results Target 2013 2012 2011 5 Years
1
10 Years
1
Underwriting margin Progressive
2
4% 6.5% 4.4% 7.0% 6.7% 8.5%
Industry
3
na |||||||| (1.6)% (1.6)% (.9)% 1.7%
Net premiums written growth Progressive (a) 6% 8% 5% 5% 4%
Industry
3
na |||||||| 3% 2% 1% 2%
Policies in force growth Personal auto (a) 3% 4% 5% 5% 5%
Special lines (a) 1% 4% 5% 4% 7%
Commercial Lines (a) (1)% 2% 0% (1)% 3%
Companywide premiums-to-surplus ratio (b) 2.9 2.9 2.9 na na
Investment allocation Group I (c) 22% 21% 21% na na
Group II (c) 78% 79% 79% na na
Debt-to-total capital ratio <30% 23.1% 25.6% 29.6% na na
Return on average shareholders equity
Net income (d) 17.7% 14.5% 16.5% 17.3% 18.8%
Comprehensive income (d) 19.0% 17.4% 15.0% 21.2% 20.1%
(a) Grow as fast as possible, constrained only by our proftability objective and our ability to provide high-quality customer service.
(b) Determined separately for each insurance subsidiary.
(c) Allocate portfolio between two groups:
Group I: Target 0% to 25% (common equities; nonredeemable preferred stocks; redeemable preferred stocks, except for 50% of investment-grade redeemable
preferred stocks with cumulative dividends; and all other non-investment-grade fxed-maturity securities)
Group II: Target 75% to 100% (short-term securities and all other fxed-maturity securities)
(d) Progressive does not have a predetermined target for return on average shareholders equity.
na = not applicable
1
Represents results over the respective time period; growth represents average annual compounded rate of increase (decrease).
2
Expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. Underwriting proft is calculated by subtracting losses and loss adjustment expenses, policy acquisition costs,
and other underwriting expenses from the total of net premiums earned and fees and other revenues.
3
Represents private passenger auto insurance market data as reported by A.M. Best Company, Inc. The industry underwriting margin excludes the efect of
policyholder dividends. Final comparable industry data for 2013 will not be available until our third quarter report. The 5- and 10-year growth rates are presented
on a one-year lag basis for the industry.
ACHIEVEMENTS
We are convinced that the best way to maximize shareholder value
is to achieve these fnancial objectives and policies consistently. A
shareholder who purchased 100 shares of Progressive for $1,800 in
our frst public stock ofering on April 15, 1971, would have owned
153,651 shares, including dividend reinvestment, on December 31,
2013, with a market value of $4,190,063, for a 19.9% compounded
annual return, compared to the 10.3% return achieved by investors
in the S&P 500 during the same period.
In the ten years since December 31, 2003, Progressive shareholders
have realized compounded annual returns, including dividend
reinvestment, of 5.4%, compared to 7.4% for the S&P 500. In the fve
years since December 31, 2008, Progressive shareholders returns
were 16.6%, compared to 17.9% for the S&P 500. In 2013, the returns
were 30.9% on Progressive shares and 32.4% for the S&P 500.
We have consistently paid dividends since we went public in 1971.
Assuming dividends were not reinvested, a shareholder who bought
100 shares at the initial public ofering would now hold 92,264
shares and would have received cumulative dividends of $535,239,
including $26,249 in 2013. In addition to paying dividends, over
the years when we have had adequate capital and believed it to be
appropriate, we have repurchased our shares. As our Financial
Policies state, we will repurchase shares to neutralize the dilution
from equity-based compensation programs and return any
underleveraged capital to investors. During 2013, we repurchased
11,023,202 common shares. The total cost to repurchase these
shares was $273 million, with an average cost of $24.80 per share.
Since 1971, we have spent $8.2 billion repurchasing our shares,
at an average cost of $6.96 per share.
22 | 23
OPERATIONS SUMMARY
Personal Lines Financial results for our Personal Lines business
were very consistent with our expectations going into 2013.
Adjustments we made to our pricing during 2012 to address
accelerating loss trends led to a 2.2 point improvement in our
combined ratio versus 2012, driven predominantly by an increase
in average premium per policy of 4%. Loss cost trends increased,
but less so than we forecasted and priced into our products.
Personal Lines, which includes auto and special lines products,
had a combined ratio for the year of 93.4. Unit growth of 3%, or
approximately 321,000 more policies in force, together with the
average premium increase, allowed us to increase total earned
premiums 7% or nearly $1 billion.
Customer retention in 2013 was an added challenge given
our rate adjustments initiated mid-to-late 2012 that applied to
customers generally on a subsequent six-month basis. Were
pleased to report most underlying retention metrics, including our
Net Promoter
is a registered trademark
of Satmetrix Systems, Inc.
Online Annual Report and Proxy Statement Our 2013 Annual Report
to Shareholders can be found at: progressive.com/annualreport.
We have also posted copies of our 2014 Proxy Statement and
2013 Annual Report to Shareholders, in a PDF format, at:
progressiveproxy.com.
Transfer Agent and Registrar
Registered Shareholders: If you have questions or changes to
your account and your Progressive shares are registered in your
name, write to: American Stock Transfer& Trust Company,
Attn: Operations Center, 6201 15th Avenue, Brooklyn, NY 11219;
phone: 1-866-709-7695; email: info@amstock.com; or visit their
website at: amstock.com.
Benefcial Shareholders: If your Progressive shares are held in
a brokerage or other fnancial institution account, contact your
broker or fnancial institution directly regarding questions or
changes to your account.
Counsel Baker & Hostetler LLP, Cleveland, Ohio
Contact Non-Management Directors Interested parties have
the ability to contact the non-management directors as a group
by sending a written communication clearly addressed to the
non-management directors to either of the following:
Stephen R. Hardis, Lead Independent Director, The Progressive
Corporation, email: stephen_hardis@progressive.com.
Charles E. Jarrett, Secretary, The Progressive Corporation,
6300 Wilson Mills Road, Mayfeld Village, Ohio 44143 or email:
chuck_jarrett@progressive.com.
The recipient will forward communications so received to the
non-management directors.
Accounting Complaint Procedure Any employee or other interested
party with a complaint or concern regarding accounting, internal
accounting controls, or auditing matters relating to Progressive
may report such complaint or concern directly to the Chairman of
the Audit Committee, as follows: Patrick H. Nettles, Ph.D., Chairman
of the Audit Committee, patrick_nettles@progressive.com.
Any such complaint or concern also may be reported anonymously
over the following toll-free Alert Line: 1-800-683-3604 or online
at: www.progressivealertline.com. Progressive will not retaliate
against any individual by reason of his or her having made such a
complaint or reported such a concern in good faith. View the
complete procedures at: progressive.com/governance.
Whistleblower Protections Progressive will not retaliate against
any ofcer or employee of Progressive because of any lawful
act done by the ofcer or employee to provide information or
otherwise assist in investigations regarding conduct that the
ofcer or employee reasonably believes to be a violation of federal
securities laws or of any rule or regulation of the Securities and
Exchange Commission or federal securities laws relating to
fraud against shareholders. View the complete Whistleblower
Protections at: progressive.com/governance.
corporate Information
DIRECTORS
Stuart B. Burgdoerfer
1, 6
Executive Vice President and
Chief Financial Ofcer,
L Brands, Inc.
(retailing)
Charles A. Davis
4, 5, 6
Chief Executive Ofcer,
Stone Point Capital LLC
(private equity investing)
Roger N. Farah
3, 6
Executive Vice Chairman,
Ralph Lauren Corporation
(lifestyle products)
Lawton W. Fitt
2, 4, 5, 6
Retired Partner,
Goldman Sachs Group
(fnancial services)
Stephen R. Hardis
2, 4, 5, 6
Lead Independent Director,
The Progressive Corporation
Jefrey D. Kelly
3, 6
Executive Vice President and
Chief Financial Ofcer,
RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.
(reinsurance services)
Heidi G. Miller, Ph.D.
1, 6
Retired President of International,
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(fnancial services)
Patrick H. Nettles, Ph.D.
1, 6
Executive Chairman,
Ciena Corporation
(telecommunications)
Glenn M. Renwick
2
Chairman of the Board, President,
and Chief Executive Ofcer,
The Progressive Corporation
Bradley T. Sheares, Ph.D.
3, 6
Former Chief Executive Ofcer,
Reliant Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(pharmaceuticals)
1
Audit Committee Member
2
Executive Committee Member
3
Compensation Committee Member
4
Investment and Capital Committee Member
5
Nominating and Governance Committee Member
6
Independent Director
CORPORATE OFFICERS
Glenn M. Renwick
Chairman of the Board, President,
and Chief Executive Ofcer
Brian C. Domeck
Vice President and
Chief Financial Ofcer
Charles E. Jarrett
Vice President, Secretary,
and Chief Legal Ofcer
Thomas A. King
Vice President and Treasurer
Jefrey W. Basch
Vice President and
Chief Accounting Ofcer
Mariann Wojtkun Marshall
Assistant Secretary
Personal autos, motorcycles, Commercial autos/trucks
and recreational vehicles
To Receive a Quote 1-800-PROGRESSIVE (1-800-776-4737) 1-888-806-9598
progressive.com progressivecommercial.com
To Report a Claim 1-800-274-4499 1-800-274-4499
progressive.com
1
For Customer Service: 1-800-925-2886
If you bought your policy through an (1-800-300-3693 in California) 1-800-444-4487
independent agent or broker progressiveagent.com progressivecommercial.com
If you bought your policy directly through 1-800-PROGRESSIVE (1-800-776-4737) 1-800-895-2886
Progressive online or by phone progressive.com progressivecommercial.com
If you have a complaint or concern
regarding any claim handling or other 1-800-274-4641 1-800-274-4641
claims-related issue
2
email: claims@email.progressive.com email: claims@email.progressive.com
In addition, iPhone
and Android users can download the Progressive App to obtain insurance that is quick and easy to buy and use.
24-HOUR INSURANCE QUOTES, CLAIMS REPORTING, AND CUSTOMER SERVICE
directors and officers
1
Claims reporting via the website is currently only available for personal auto policies.
2
Any policyholder, claimant, or other interested party who has any complaint or concern regarding any claim handling or other claims-related issue may report such
complaint or concern using the contact information above. The complaint or concern will be promptly forwarded to the appropriate management personnel in our
claims organization for review and response.
36 | 37
38 |
ARTWORK
2 Twelve disks over sixteen hollowed halves
and four quarters
Mayfeld Village, Ohio
4 Seventeen orange eccentric circles
Limoges, France
6 Twenty-fve blue squares in a checked pattern
Limoges, France
9 Five open ellipses, blue; Double trapezoid for
four triangles; Four triangles for two windows
Paris, France
11 Three pentagons in three eccentric disks
Lugano, Switzerland
12 Diagonal red ellipse for two columns
Ermatingen, Switzerland
15 Of-axis trapezoid around a rectangle
Nancy, France
16 Orange ellipse hollowed out by seven disks
Nancy, France
19 Blue, black, red, and yellow square with white disk
Paris, France
21 Disk in the ellipse
Nantes, France
23 Two circles via a rectangle
Basel, Switzerland
25 30-32, Rue de Lappe
Nantes, France
26 Horizontal, vertical
Srignan, France
29 Seven eccentric rings
Chteau dOlonne, France
35 Ellipse in the trapezoid, red
Strasbourg, France
38 Twelve disks over sixteen hollowed halves
and four quarters
Mayfeld Village, Ohio
Artwork : Felice Varini 203
Design: Nesnadny + Schwartz, Cleveland + New York + Toronto
Progressive Installation Photography: DPI Digital Content
Printing: AGS Custom Graphics
204 The Progressive Corporation
BEHIND THE SCENES
To see Engagement: The Making of the 2013 Progressive Annual Report
Artwork, please visit: progressive.com/annualreport203video
This publication was printed at an FSC
-certifed
printer (Certifcation No. SW-COC-00530). This
paper has been certifed to meet the environmental
and social standards of the Forest Stewardship
Council
TM
(FSC
6300 Wilson Mills Road, Mayfeld Village, Ohio 4443 440.46.5000 progressive.com