Cobb County School District: Ten Year Student Population Projections Fall 2014-2023

Prepared by
June 11, 2014

Cobb County
School District
Marietta, Georgia

Ten Year
Student Population Projections
By Residence

Fall 2014-2023
(Based on Fall 2013 Data)
Cobb County School District SY 2013/2014 Report

TABLE OF CONTENTS 6/11/2014
TABLE OF CONTENTS

Introduction and District Background
Executive Summary

Section One: Methodology
Sources of Data 1
Ten-Year Projection Methodology 4
Projection Variables 5
Applying the Variables to the Generate Projections 13
Section Two: Planned Residential Development
Planned Residential Development 15
Map: Active and Future Residential Developments in the District 16
Planned Residential Development Summary and Project Listing 17
Section Three: Attendance Matrices
Attendance Matrices 20
Elementary School Attendance Matrix 22
Middle School Attendance Matrix 26
High School Attendance Matrix 28
Section Four: District-Wide Student Projections
District-Wide Student Population Projections 29
District-Wide Ten-Year Projection Summary 30
School Year 2013/2014- School Year 2023/24
Historical & Projected K-12 Enrollment Chart 31
District-Wide Student Projection Trends 32
Section Five: Attendance Area Projections by Residence
Elementary School Attendance Area Projections
Chart: K-5 Net Growth/Declines 2013 and 2023 34
Map: K-5 Resident Forecast (Fall 2018) 35
Map: K-5 Resident Changes (2013-2018) 36
Map: K-5 Capacity Comparison (2018) 37
Map: K-5 Resident Changes (2013-2023) 38
Elementary School Projections by Residence 39
Elementary School Attendance Area
Student Population Projection Trends 55
Middle School Attendance Area Projections
Chart: 6-8 Net Growth/Declines 2013 and 2023 56
Map: 6-8 Resident Forecast (Fall 2018) 57
Map: 6-8 Resident Changes (2013-2018) 58
Map: 6-8 Capacity Comparison (2018) 59
Middle School Projections by Residence 61
Middle School Attendance Area
High School Attendance Area Projections
Chart: 9-12 Net Growth/Declines 2013 and 2023 70
Map: 9-12 Resident Forecast (Fall 2018) 71
Map: 9-12 Capacity Comparison (2018) 73
High School Projections by Residence 75
High School Attendance Area
Appendix A: Study Areas
Study Area Projections
Map: Elementary Areas with Study Areas 82
Map: Quadrant with Study Areas 146
Study Area Projections by Residence 150

INTRODUCTION 6/11/2014
INTRODUCTION AND DISTRICT BACKGROUND

The Cobb County School District (CCSD) has contracted with Davis Demographics &
Planning, Inc. (DDP) to develop and analyze demographic data relevant to the Districts facility
planning efforts. The scope of contracted work includes: updating the District mapping (splitting
study areas), using the Districts past three years of geocoded student data files (each representative
of late Octobers head count), developing and researching pertinent demographic data, identifying
current and future residential development plans and preparing a ten year student population
projection. This study was prepared to assist the Districts efforts in evaluating future site
requirements and attendance area changes.

The purpose of this report is to identify and inform the District of the trends occurring in the
community; how these trends may affect future student population; and to assist in illustrating
facility adjustments that may be necessary to accommodate the potential student population shifts.
The District can then use this information to better plan for the need, location and timing of facility
or boundary adjustments.

In January 2014, CCSD contracted with DDP, a non-biased third-party consultant, to
prepare a ten-year demographic study. In the past the District has hired other consultants and also
prepared their own short-term internal projections for purposes of staffing and budget estimates. In
this study, DDP will produce a detailed neighborhood and attendance area projections. This study
is intended to help the District notice specific demographic trends that could assist them in making
informed decisions.

The Sources of Data section details where the two sources of data, geographic and non-
geographic, are collected and how each data item is used in the ten year student population
projection model.

The Ten Year Projection Methodology section discusses, in detail, how the factors used in
the study were calculated and why they were used. These factors include: the calculation of
incoming kindergarten classes, additional students from new housing (referred to as student yield),
the effects of student mobility, and a detailed review of planned residential development within the
District.

The Student Resident Projection Summary sections are a review of SY 2013/2014's student
resident projection results. Included in these sections are a district wide student population
projection summary and a projected resident student population summary for each existing
attendance area and study area.

While reading this report, it is important to remember that this is a snapshot of current and
potential student population based upon data gathered in Fall 2013. Population demographics
change, development plans change, funding opportunities can change, District priorities can
change, and therefore, new projections and adjustments to the overall Facilities Master Plan will
continue to be necessary in the future.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

6/11/2014
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Davis Demographics & Planning, Inc. is assisting the Cobb County School District to plan for
future student population changes. By factoring current and historical student data with the latest
demographic data and planned residential development, DDP calculated a ten year student
population projection. This projection is based upon residence of the students and is designed to
alert the District as to when and where student population shifts will occur.

This is a Summary of the Key Items in the District-wide Analysis Section of the Report:

Overall, the K-12 enrollment for Cobb County School District is expected to increase over
the next ten years.

CCSD has experienced annual growth since fall 2011. Prior to 2011, CCSD saw static
population counts. The report projections are based on Fall 2013 student data.

Currently there are over 60 residential developments in planning with in the district. 23
developments are scheduled to come online during these projections. This could increase
student counts but it will depend on the market pricing of units and the attraction for
families.

The CCSD high school student population could see growth over the next ten years
increasing from 32,059 current students to over 40,000 students by fall 2023.

The Districts high school grades (9-12) have been growing in recent years. This has to do
with the maturation of larger younger grades and a high 9
th
and 12
th
grade mobility due to
the introduction of private school students from K-8 campuses and current district retention
policies.

The Districts 6-8 population is projected to increase through Fall 2020 then could see
possible decline by the end of these projections. Smaller grade counts graduating from the
lower levels later in the projections will cause this drop.

The elementary attendance areas may see an increase next year but then drop back to
current figures through 2017. Projections indicate a decline starting Fall 2018 where the
District could see pre-2010 counts through the end of the 10 year study. A trend driven by
low birth factors.

The District has provided DDP with the best available information at the time of this report. The circumstances regarding
future facilities are subject to change, especially when dealing with shifts in the housing market and economy. The
suggestions presented in this report are based upon the trends that the District is currently experiencing. Projections should
be updated annually to make sure to capture any changes that might occur more quickly than expected.


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SECTION ONE METHODOLOGY

SOURCES OF DATA

Geographic Map Data
Five (5) geographic data layers were modified or created for use in the ten year student
population projections:

1. Street Centerline Database
2. Study Areas
3. Schools
4. Students Historical and Current
5. Planned Residential Development

1) Street Centerline Data
DDP acquired a digital street centerline map from CCSD. The street database has
associated attributes that contains, but are not limited to, the following fields: full street name,
address range and street classification
The main function of the streets is in the geocoding process of the student data. Each
student is geocoded to the streets by their given residence address. The geocoding process places
a point on the map for every student in the exact location that student resides. This enables DDP to
analyze the student data in a geographic manner.
Another vital utilization of the digital street database is in the construction of study areas.
Freeways, major streets and neighborhood streets are generally used as boundaries for the study
areas.

2) Study Areas
Study areas are small geographic areas, similar to neighborhoods, and the building blocks of
a school district. Study areas are geographically defined following logical boundaries of the
neighborhood such as freeways, streets, railroad tracks, or rivers. Each study area is then coded with
the elementary, middle and high school that the area is assigned to attend. By gathering
information about the district at the study area level, DDP and the District can closely monitor
growth and demographic trends in particular regions and identify potential need for boundary
adjustments or new facilities. Currently, there are 1245 Study Areas that make up the CCSD
boundary.

3) Schools
The District provided a school facility GIS layer to DDP that included the following
information: school name, address, unique code, grade ranges and capacity.

4) Student Data
a. Historical Student Data - Historical enrollment is used to compare past student
population growth and trends as well as the effects of mobility (move in, move out from existing
housing) throughout the District. The District provided the last three (3) year's (Fall 2011/12, Fall
2012/2013 and Fall 2013/2014) of student data as a basis for the Mobility Factors.

b. Current Student Data - A student data file representing October 9, 2013 (received by
computer data file from the School District) summarized by grade level and by study area is used as
a base for student population projections. Existing students were categorized by study area through
the geocoding (mapping) process that locates each student within a particular area based upon

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their given address. The projections run each of the next ten years from school year 2014/2015
through school year 2023/2024.

c. Student Accounting - The Student Accounting Summary (Table 1) indicates the total
student enrollment as of October 9 2013 and the number of students used in the ten year student
population projections. The projection model is based upon student residence and typically
excludes students residing outside of the Districts boundaries.

Table 1
Student Accounting Summary
School Year 2013/2014 Actual Enrollment (Representing October 9 2013)

Total Students Provided by District File (October 9, 2013) 107,724
Out of District - 910
Unmatched - 48
Pre-kindergarten - 10

RESIDENT K-12 STUDENTS USED IN THE PROJECTIONS 106,756

5) Planned Residential Development
This data was obtained by DDP Staff, discussions with city agencies, county agencies and
major developers within the district boundaries. Data includes development name, location,
housing type, total number of units and projected move in dates (phasing). Phasing for planned
housing is factored into the ten-year projections (see SECTION TWO for a detailed listing of the
planned residential development). In the student population projection DDP includes all Approved
and Tentative tract maps in addition to any planned or proposed development that possibly will
occur within the projection timeframe. The planned residential development information and
phasing estimates is a snapshot of the District at the time of this study. Residential development
patterns will change and CCSD should continue to closely monitor future planned housing.


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Data Used for Variables
Three sets of data were compiled and reviewed for use in the ten year student population
projections by residence:

1. Births by Zip Code
2. Mobility Factors
3. Student Yield Factors

1) Births by County Data
Birth data by county was obtained from the Georgia Department of Public Health, Office of
Health Indicators for Planning (OHIP) for the years 1994-2013 and correlated to the Cobb County
School District. Past changes in historical birthrates are used to estimate future incoming
kindergarten student population from existing housing.

2) Mobility Factors
Mobility refers to the increase/decrease in the migration of students within the District
boundary (move-in/move-out of students from existing housing). Mobility, which is essentially a
modified cohort, is applied as a percentage of increase/decrease among each grade for every year
of the projections.

3) Student Yield Factors (SYFs)
Student Yield Factors (sometimes referred to as Student Generation Rates) were
calculated from a housing count of existing dwelling units throughout the District. This survey
includes three main housing types: single-family detached (SFD), apartments (APT) and multi-family
attached (MFA) [town- homes, condominiums, duplexes, triplexes, quads].

The student yield factors, combined with planned residential development units are used to
determine the number of students generated from new residential housing development projects.
Student Yield Factor calculations will be discussed again in the Ten Year Projection Methodology
section.


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TEN YEAR PROJECTION METHODOLOGY

The projection methodology used in this study combines historical student population
counts, past and present demographic characteristics, and planned residential development to
forecast future student population at the study area level. District-wide projections are summarized
from the individual study area projections. These projections are based on where the students
reside and where they should be attending school. We use the actual location of where the
students reside, as opposed to their school of enrollment, in order to provide the most accurate
estimate of where future school facilities should be located. The best way to plan for future
student population shifts is to know where the next group of students will be residing. The
following details the methodology used in preparing the student population projections by
residence.

Ten Year Projections

Projections are calculated out ten years from the date of projection for several reasons. The
planning horizon for any type of facility is typically no less than five years, often longer. Ten years
are usually sufficient to adequately plan for any new facility. It is a short to mid-term solution for
planning needs. Projections beyond ten years are based on speculation due to the lack of reliable
information on birthrates, new home construction and economic conditions.

Why Projections are Calculated by Residence

Typically, school district projections are based on enrollment by school. However, this
method is inadequate when used to locate future school facility needs, because the location of the
students is not taken into consideration. A schools enrollment can fluctuate due to variables in the
curriculum, program changes, school administration and open enrollment policies. These variables
can skew the apparent need for new or additional facilities in an area.

The method used by DDP is unique because it modifies a standard cohort projection with
demographic factors and actual student location. DDP bases its projections on the belief that
school facility planning is more accurate when facilities are located where the greatest number
of students reside.

The best way to plan for facility requirements is to know where the next group of students
will be residing. The following details the methodology used in preparing the student population
projections.


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PROJECTION VARIABLES

Each year of the projections, 12
th
grade students graduate and continuing students progress
through to the next grade level. This normal progression of students is modified by the following
factors:

1) Incoming Kindergarten

Live birth data is reported to the Georgia Department of Public Health, Office of Health
Indicators for Planning (OHIP). DDP uses the birth data correlating to the District boundary and
applies the data accordingly. Georgia OHIP provides data by county.

The assumption underlying the use of birth statistics from year to year is that increases or
decreases in the number of births will translate to increases or decreases in future kindergarten
enrollment. Furthermore, the Fall 2013 Kindergarten class in CCSD was born five years previous in
2008. Any subsequent changes in births in 2009 compared to 2008 and 2010 to 2008, etc. would
either increase or decrease future kindergarten class sizes.

Incoming kindergarten classes, for existing homes, are estimated by comparing changes in
past births in the area. Table 3 illustrates the total births in Cobb County School District from 2008
to 2012 (see the map on page 8 for the Districts zip codes). DDP assumes the current
kindergarten class (for October 9, 2013) was born five years ago (in 2008). Future incoming
kindergarten classes are estimated by comparing the number births in 2008 to the number of births
in 2009 2012. DDP compared the total births in 2008 to the total births in 2009, to determine a
factor for next year's kindergarten class (Fall 2013). The 2008 births were compared to 2010
(2015s K class), 2008 to 2011 (2016s K class), and 2008 to 2012 (2017s K class). Chart 1 on
page 7 shows the correlation of the number of children being born in the District to the actual
absorption of those potential students in the Districts Kindergarten counts five years later. Overall,
the chart conveys that CCSD houses approximately 70-78% of the number Kindergarten aged
students within the county

The following steps should help explain how DDP arrived at the birthrates used in the study (to
estimate the number of incoming Kindergarteners for Fall 2014 through Fall 2023):

1. Historical live birth data by zip code was acquired from the Georgia Department of Public
Health, Office of Health Indicators for Planning (OHIP). Since the Fall 2013 student data is
the base for the projections in this report, then the Fall 2013 Kindergarten (K) class was to
be used as the base for the birth rates. It is assumed that the majority of the 2013 K class
was born in 2008, therefore the 2008 birth data becomes the base year for the birth rates
(see the gray shaded cells in Table 3).

2. DDP collected birth data and listed the live birth counts for each area from 2002-2011
(2012 and 2013 data is not yet available). The 1998-2007 data is not used in the actual
birth rate calculations, but more for historical reference.

3. To calculate the birth rates that would be used to determine the incoming class for Fall
2014, DDP compared the Fall 2009 live birth counts (representing the future Fall 2014 K
class) for the particular zip code(s) and compared it to the Fall 2008 counts.

4. Since the future students representing Fall 2018-Fall 2023 (2013-2017 births) are not yet
born at the time of this report, or the data is incomplete, then DDP had to take certain steps
to determine the birth factors used for Fall 2018-Fall 2023. For the last six years of the
projections DDP calculated an average of the previous four years of birth rates. This was

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done to avoid over or under projecting the number of new kindergarteners in the final years
of the projection and is a very common practice.

5. Overall, births in the CCSD area are dropping (See Table 3 below) and this causes us to
anticipate Kindergarten class sizes continuing to stay below 1.00 as the class counts enter
the District over the next ten years.

Table 2
Birth Factors

Table 3

Birth Year
Births
( 5 years
pri or)
K Year K Class % of Births
2002 10,453 2007 8,157 78.0%
2003 10,539 2008 7,960 75.5%
2004 10,609 2009 8,260 77.9%
2005 10,880 2010 8,164 75.0%
2006 11,309 2011 8,077 71.4%
2007 11,274 2012 8,384 74.4%
2008 10,525 2013 8,182 77.7%
Live Birth Counts by Zip Code
Historical Correlation of Births vs. Kindergarten
Y
E
A
R

7 Section One Page
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Chart 1
Births vs. Kindergarten Class


8 Section One Page
6/11/2014
2) Student Mobility Factors

Student mobility factors further refine the ten year student population projections. Mobility
refers to the increase/decrease in the migration of students within the District boundary (move-
in/move-out of students from existing housing). Mobility Factors take into account the apartment
movement within the District, housing resales, foreclosures and high school drop-out rates.
Mobility, similar to a cohort, is applied as a percentage of increase/decrease to each grade for every
year of the projections.

A net increase or decrease of zero students over time is represented by a factor of 1.000
(100% pass through rate). A net student loss is represented by a factor less than 1.000 (such as
0.88 or a 12% net loss) and a net gain by a factor greater than 1.000 (such as 1.2 or a 20% net
increase).

Example: 92 3
rd
Grade Students in Fall 13/14
x 1.20 (Addison ES Area 4th grade mobility)
= 92 4th Grade Students in Fall 14/15

The sampling used was taken over a two-year period using address matched (located by
place of residence) student data from 2011 through 2013 for individual grade comparisons. For
example, a comparison was made for the Fall 2011 K student population to the Fall 2012 1
st
grade
students; the same for 2011 1
st
graders to 2012 2
nd
graders, etc.. This comparison was also
conducted through 12
th
grade and for the following school years: comparing Fall 2011 students to
Fall 2012 students, and comparing Fall 2012 student data to Fall 2013 students.

Having historical student data categorized by Study area is extremely helpful in calculating
accurate Student Mobility Factors. The Mobility Factors used for the Cobb County School District
were broken down by current Elementary School Attendance Boundaries. Therefore, sixty-four sets
of Mobility Factors were used and are listed in the Table 4 on the following page.

The advantage to running the Mobility Factors at the attendance area level rather than
looking exclusively at a District-wide average is that you can focus on specific trends that are
occurring in specific neighborhoods, which can lead to more accurate projections. Remember, the
Mobility Factors are summaries of school attendance areas and those neighborhoods within the
areas.


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Attendance Area
Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12
Addison Elementary 0.88 1.10 1.00 0.92 1.07 0.94 0.95 0.97 1.20 0.92 0.83 1.23
Argyle Elementary 1.03 1.00 0.76 1.05 0.92 1.04 1.19 1.00 1.67 0.58 0.74 1.27
Austell Elementary 1.07 1.10 1.16 1.00 0.99 1.20 0.89 1.15 1.42 0.68 0.83 1.22
Baker Elementary 0.89 0.99 0.99 0.89 0.98 0.89 0.92 1.02 1.19 0.95 0.80 1.21
Bells Ferry Elementary 0.97 0.99 1.07 0.97 1.04 1.13 1.09 1.07 1.16 0.96 0.81 1.38
Belmont Hills Elementary 0.84 0.73 0.75 0.84 0.66 0.95 0.75 0.90 1.29 0.54 0.66 1.00
Birney Elementary 0.90 1.07 1.09 0.88 1.12 0.89 1.02 1.02 1.42 0.69 0.78 1.09
Blackwell Elementary 1.08 0.91 1.03 0.87 0.93 1.02 0.95 1.08 1.27 0.71 0.85 1.22
Brumby Elementary 1.17 0.94 1.16 1.15 0.91 1.26 1.09 1.07 1.64 0.73 0.79 1.37
Bryant Elementary
1.13 1.15 0.99 1.11 1.18 1.04 1.11 1.01 1.53 0.74 0.63 1.49
Bullard Elementary 1.02 0.89 1.10 0.98 1.04 1.12 0.96 0.97 1.21 1.02 0.75 1.29
Chalker Elementary 0.90 0.87 1.13 0.84 0.97 0.94 0.97 0.95 1.18 0.80 0.95 1.04
Cheatham Hill Elementary 1.02 1.01 0.92 0.99 0.95 1.07 0.96 1.10 1.17 0.87 0.93 1.09
Clarkdale Elementary 1.15 0.90 1.20 1.05 1.08 1.08 1.09 1.06 1.36 0.91 0.74 1.18
Clay Elementary 0.96 0.96 1.06 0.95 1.06 0.90 1.01 1.18 1.48 0.61 0.80 1.35
Compton Elementary 1.03 1.04 1.13 1.01 1.12 1.10 0.93 1.06 1.57 0.81 0.73 1.12
Davis Elementary 1.11 1.03 1.05 0.99 1.07 1.09 1.06 1.12 1.04 0.97 1.13 1.03
Dowell Elementary 0.87 1.32 0.96 0.90 1.01 1.03 1.10 1.05 1.28 0.81 0.92 1.20
Due West Elementary 1.05 1.03 1.03 1.06 1.18 0.92 1.11 0.99 0.99 1.01 0.86 1.09
East Side Elementary 1.04 1.01 1.20 1.13 1.07 1.11 1.00 0.95 1.20 0.97 0.99 1.08
Eastvalley Elementary 1.06 0.92 1.01 0.91 1.04 0.81 0.87 1.07 1.29 0.87 0.75 1.13
Fair Oaks Elementary 0.85 0.97 1.09 0.92 1.02 1.04 1.06 0.96 1.66 0.61 0.62 1.39
Ford Elementary 0.99 0.91 1.04 1.06 0.89 1.00 0.98 0.87 1.09 0.95 0.94 0.92
Frey Elementary 0.97 0.95 1.02 1.02 1.01 0.90 1.03 0.94 1.29 1.01 0.88 1.04
Garrison Mill Elementary 1.00 1.06 1.06 0.93 1.18 1.05 0.97 1.03 1.19 0.97 0.85 1.04
Green Acres Elementary
0.99 1.00 1.08 0.87 1.20 0.93 1.03 1.06 1.56 0.59 0.80 1.21
Harmony Leland Elementary 1.08 1.04 1.12 0.90 1.12 1.00 1.02 1.05 1.39 0.70 0.65 1.44
Hayes Elementary 1.00 0.94 0.99 0.96 1.01 1.02 1.03 0.95 1.51 0.76 0.81 1.30
Hendricks Elementary 1.15 0.86 1.09 0.98 1.13 0.94 1.00 1.05 1.36 0.84 0.74 1.38
Hollydale Elementary 1.09 1.05 1.13 0.94 1.14 0.87 1.06 1.09 1.26 0.74 0.79 1.35
Keheley Elementary 1.00 0.93 1.11 0.87 1.13 1.05 1.09 0.86 1.43 0.77 0.87 0.99
Kemp Elementary 0.97 0.96 0.98 1.14 0.94 0.97 1.02 1.01 1.15 1.08 0.78 1.17
Kennesaw Primary 0.96 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.99 0.95 1.02 0.97 1.18 0.94 0.85 1.15
Kincaid Elementary 0.99 1.05 0.88 1.08 1.00 0.99 1.15 0.98 1.24 0.80 1.04 1.04
King Springs Elementary 0.99 1.25 1.04 1.03 0.96 0.90 0.90 1.01 1.17 0.80 0.74 1.10
LaBelle Elementary 1.10 1.32 1.08 1.08 1.37 0.92 1.34 1.10 1.48 0.80 0.70 1.45
Lewis Elementary 0.86 1.10 1.02 1.01 0.98 1.00 1.06 0.98 1.19 0.94 0.83 1.23
Mableton Elementary 1.00 1.08 1.01 1.14 1.13 0.89 1.06 1.04 1.41 0.74 0.73 1.17
McCall Primary 0.86 0.92 0.94 0.98 1.05 0.96 1.02 0.94 1.15 0.95 0.70 1.26
Milford Elementary 0.92 0.89 0.99 0.91 0.76 0.81 0.91 0.85 1.07 0.61 0.86 1.21
Mount Bethel Elementary 1.06 1.07 0.95 1.20 0.96 1.07 1.02 1.06 1.09 0.91 1.03 0.94
Mountain View Elementary 0.95 1.11 0.97 1.04 1.06 0.99 1.02 1.07 1.09 0.91 0.97 1.06
Murdock Elementary 1.03 1.17 0.98 1.02 0.99 1.12 1.00 0.95 1.28 0.94 0.88 1.00
Nicholson Elementary 0.95 0.93 1.17 0.91 1.08 0.89 1.16 1.11 1.18 0.84 0.89 1.06
Nickajack Elementary 1.01 0.96 1.09 1.00 0.99 0.79 1.20 0.88 1.29 0.81 0.79 1.30
Norton Park Elementary 1.09 1.02 1.03 1.00 0.96 0.96 1.23 0.96 1.56 0.73 0.75 1.22
Picketts Mill Elementary 1.09 0.96 1.08 0.98 1.08 0.89 1.14 1.08 1.12 0.95 0.87 1.23
Pitner Elementary 1.16 0.84 0.95 0.97 1.10 0.99 1.05 0.99 1.14 0.81 0.84 1.17
Powder Springs Elementary 1.14 1.02 1.15 1.10 0.89 1.17 0.97 1.07 1.55 0.77 0.80 1.14
Powers Ferry Elementary 1.01 1.04 0.91 0.85 0.97 1.00 0.95 0.85 1.60 0.70 0.58 1.22
Riverside Primary 1.09 1.11 1.14 0.99 1.04 1.05 1.07 0.94 1.61 0.71 0.57 1.48
Rocky Mount Elementary 0.86 1.21 0.95 0.99 1.11 0.96 1.09 1.05 1.12 0.90 0.96 1.10
Russell Elementary 1.04 0.96 1.02 0.88 1.13 0.87 1.02 0.98 1.35 0.79 0.76 1.22
Sanders Elementary 0.93 1.13 1.06 0.89 0.93 1.02 0.98 0.91 1.41 0.69 0.79 1.08
Sedalia Park Elementary 1.07 0.97 1.08 0.83 1.04 0.89 0.97 0.91 1.64 0.73 0.71 1.38
Shallowford Falls Elementary 1.09 0.90 1.02 1.10 0.94 1.01 1.12 1.00 1.12 0.94 0.91 1.10
Smyrna Elementary 1.05 1.02 1.11 0.96 0.95 1.06 0.87 1.18 1.34 0.76 0.76 1.14
Sope Creek Elementary 0.99 0.99 1.09 0.96 1.14 0.97 1.03 0.99 1.23 0.95 0.87 1.16
Still Elementary 1.05 1.06 0.93 1.18 0.86 1.22 1.07 1.01 1.16 0.86 0.97 1.18
Teasley Elementary 1.10 0.90 1.00 0.87 0.94 0.75 0.96 1.05 1.36 0.71 0.95 1.27
Timber Ridge Elementary 1.13 1.07 1.10 0.97 1.09 1.08 0.90 1.18 1.15 0.91 1.00 0.95
Tritt Elementary 1.12 1.02 1.10 1.02 1.04 1.00 0.91 1.19 1.03 1.01 0.91 1.08
Varner Elementary 1.04 0.94 1.05 1.03 1.03 1.02 1.03 0.92 1.41 0.90 0.79 1.31
Vaughan Elementary 1.06 0.85 1.14 1.00 1.00 1.05 0.94 1.06 1.20 0.89 0.93 1.01
District Average 1.02 1.01 1.04 0.98 1.03 0.99 1.02 1.01 1.30 0.83 0.82 1.18
Table 4
Mobility Factors


10 Section One Page
6/11/2014
For an example on how to interpret the Mobility Factors listed in Table 4, let us look at what
is going on in the current Addison Elementary School attendance area. The column with the
heading Grade 1 represents the rate to apply to the Kindergarteners in Addisons area as they
transition to 1
st
grade. For the Kindergartener in the Addison ES attendance area, there is a loss of
12 % (0.88) as those students move through to the 1
st
grade. The above Mobility Factors also show
that the Addison area show an increase with students for Grade 2 10% (1.1). The Addison area
drops back to 1.0 as the students move from 2
nd
to 3
rd
grade with flat mobility adjustment. The
Addison area loses students into 4
th
grade -8% from 3
rd
to 4
th
grades. Starting in High school, 9
th

grade bounces back with 20% gain. This is something seen in most of the district. Addison ES
attendance area loses 8% and 17% during grades 10 and 11. Addison ES attendance area Grade
12 will has a 23% increase. The increases at 9
th
and 12
th
grades are occurring in most of the
District. As mentioned earlier, the 9
th
Grade jump in mobility is due to the introduction of new 9
th

grade students after attending private or charter schools in CCSD. The 12
th
grade increase is
reflective of CCSD retention policies.


11 Section One Page
6/11/2014
3) Student Yield Factors

The Student Yield Factors, when applied to planned residential development units,
determine how many additional students will be generated from new construction within the
District (see SECTION TWO for details on planned residential development).

Two sets of data are required to calculate Student Yield Factors: a current student file
(provided by the District) and current housing unit data (taken from information provided by the
Cobb County GIS Department). The two database sets (students and housing units) are then
linked. This allows DDP to associate each student with a specific housing unit. For the District,
three general categories of housing units were analyzed; Single-Family Detached (SFD), Multi-Family
Attached (MFA), and Apartments (APT).

Before the SYFs can be calculated from the current housing stock, the year of construction
for each housing type must be determined. In general, new housing attracts young families with
elementary school aged children. Over the next 12 to 15 years, the children grow older and pass
through the grades. This cycle is then repeated throughout the life of the home. Identifying the
year of construction and number of current resident students in recently built housing units assists in
estimating the number of new students generated from future residential development.

In addition, other elements apart from the year of construction can be assessed. These
elements include, but are not limited to, housing type, number of bedrooms, geographic location
(study area), value of home, etc. Once a determining element is decided upon, simple calculations
are performed to produce a Student Yield Factor. The total number of units for that housing type
then divides the number of current students residing in each housing type.

Student Yield Factors were determined during this project, one for each type of housing unit
(SFD, MFA, and APT), see Table 5 below. All residential units built within the District were
extracted parcel data. Upon examining the results, DDP determined that the Student Yield Factors
for SFD and MFA units built from 2007-2012 (more or less the last five years) would most
accurately estimate the number of students new housing would yield. These units are similar in size
and location to the planned residential development.

Table 5
STUDENT YIELD FACTORS USED IN THE FALL 2013 PROJECTIONS

Si ngl e-Fami l y Detached (SFD) Uni ts
Mul ti -Fami l y Attached (MFA) Uni ts
Grade Ranges K-6 7-8 9-12
9-12
0.097 0.194
Grade Ranges
Student Yi el d Factors
K-6
0.356
7-8
Grade Ranges K-6 7-8 9-12
Student Yi el d Factors 0.314 0.089 0.18
Student Yi el d Factors 0.153 0.044 0.088
Apartments (APT) Uni ts

12 Section One Page
6/11/2014
Planned Residential Development

Closely related to the Student Yield Factors are planned residential development units.
Planned residential development data is collected to determine the number of new residential units
that will be built over the time frame of the student population projections. The units built within
the next ten years will have the appropriate SYF applied to it to determine the number of new
students the planned residential development will yield.

The majority of this development data was acquired from DDP Staff and additional
information was obtained through discussions with Cobb County Community Development
Agency, city planning departments for Acworth, Austell, Kennesaw, Powder Springs and Smyrna,
active sales offices and major developers within the District boundaries. Data includes
development name, location, housing type, total number of units and projected move in dates
(phasing). Phasing for planned housing is factored into the ten projections. (See SECTION 2 for a
detailed listing of the planned residential development).

In the student population projection by residence DDP includes all Approved and Tentative
tract maps in addition to any planned or proposed development that possibly will occur within the
projection timeframe. The planned residential development information and phasing estimates is a
snapshot of the District at the time of this study. All of the information may change and should be
updated annually.


13 Section Two Page
6/11/2014

APPLYING THE VARIABLES TO GENERATE THE PROJECTIONS

The following paragraphs summarize how DDP uses the factors to determine the student
population projections (see Chart 2 on page 14 for a flowchart of this process). Remember that
these projections are based on residence. CCSD has been divided into 1245 study areas. Every
study area is coded with the school code of the elementary, middle and high schools attendance
area it falls within. The residential projections are calculated at the study area level. This means that
DDP conducts 1245 individual projections that are based upon the number of students residing in
each study area.

The first step in calculating the projections is to tally the number of students that live in each
study area by each grade (Kindergarten through 12
th
grade). The current student base (school year
2013/2014) is then passed onto the next year's grade (2013/2014s K become 2014/15's 1
st

graders, 2013/2014's 1
st
graders become 2014/15's 2
nd
graders, and so on). After the natural
progression of students through the grades is applied, then Birth Factors are multiplied to the
current kindergarten class to generate a base for the following year's kindergarten class.

Next, a Mobility Factor is applied to all grades. Again, these factors take into account the
natural in/out migration of students throughout the District. The mobility factor is applied to each
student in every grade (K-12). A unique mobility factor is applied to each elementary school
attendance area determined by the mobility factor study.

The last essential layer applied to the projections deals with additional students from
planned residential development. This is a simple calculation, again conducted at the study area
level, where the estimated number of new housing units for a particular year is multiplied by the
appropriate Student Yield Factor. For example, if 100 Single-Family Detached (SFD) units are to be
built in a specific study area in a given year, then you would multiply this number (100) by the SFD
K-6 student yield factor (.356) and the resulting number (35.6) is divided evenly among grades K-6.

To finish generating the projections by residence, the same process is conducted for each of
the 1245 study areas. Once the projections have been run at the study area level, then it is simple
addition to determine projections for each of the District's attendance areas or for a district-wide
summary. For example, the residential projections for the Acworth / McCall Elementary School
attendance area is simply the summary of all of the study areas that make up this specific
attendance area (see SECTION FIVE for the projections of each elementary, middle and high school
attendance area). The District Summary for the projections (page 30 in SECTION FOUR) is a total
summary of all 1245 study areas.

Current and historical students, geographic data and non-geographic data are used to calculate the
factors used in the student population projections by residence. These factors are applied using DDPs
SchoolSite software and projections are calculated for each study area for each grade.


14 Section Two Page
6/11/2014

Chart 2
Projections by Residence Flowchart

15 Section Two Page
6/11/2014

SECTION TWO PLANNED RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT

The student population projection by residence DDP includes all Approved and Tentative
tract maps in addition to any planned or proposed development that will possibly occur within the
ten year projection timeframe. The planned residential development information and phasing
estimates are a snapshot of the District at the time of this study. All of the information may change
and should be updated annually.

Most of the residential development data used in this report was obtained from DDP Staff
and supplemented the information provided by DDP Staff with conversations with staff from
officials with Acworth, Austell, Kennesaw, Powder Springs, Smyrna and Cobb County as well as
directly contacting developers and sales offices with current and future housing projects within the
District boundaries. A database and map of the planned residential development was created,
including, when available, project name, location, housing type, total number of units and estimated
move in dates (phasing schedule). Projected phasing is based upon occupancy of the unit and is
used to help time the arrival of students from these new developments. Please see the next page
for a map of the known residential projects in the Cobb County School District area. Following the
map is the District-Wide Residential Development Summary breakdown which estimates the
occupancy dates for new housing units over the next ten years (from Fall 2013 through Fall 2023)
by Study Area. The three main housing types for the future housing units are: Single Family
Detached (SFD) units, Multi-Family Attached (MFA), and Apartment (APT) units. On this summary
table DDP has also included an inventory of all known residential projects that are expected to be
active over the next ten years, and it is sorted by Study Area number. The Student Yield Factors
that DDP had researched and applied towards these future units are shown on Table 5 (page 11).

A map of the active and planned residential units over the next ten years can be found on
page 16 (a total of 63 projects). Based upon information provided to DDP, DDP estimates that
over the next ten years there could be 1172 SFD, 420 MFA, and 449 APT units constructed within
CCSD area (for a total of 2041 units), see the table on page 17. In the student projections by
residence DDP includes all known maps in addition to any planned or proposed development that
possibly will occur within the ten-year projection timeframe.
Pages 18 and 19 are all Residential Tract information that was collected during this project.
These pages include all data collected at the time of this report with or without phasing. The
planned residential development information and phasing estimates are a snapshot of the District at
the time of this study. All of the information may change and should be updated annually.

Please note that all phasing schedules are based on occupancy, all Approved and Tentative maps plus proposed
and potential development are included on these lists, the Summary only includes units that may be occupied in
the ten year timeframe of the projections and are based upon data gathered in March and early April 2014 and
may not reflect recent changes.


16 Section Two Page
6/11/2014


17 Section Two Page
6/11/2014

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18 Section Two Page
6/11/2014

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19 Section Two Page
6/11/2014

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20 Section Three Page
6/11/2014

SECTION THREE ATTENDANCE MATRICES

Three Attendance Matrices have been included to provide a better understanding of where
students reside and where they attend school. Remember, DDP projections are based upon
where the students reside, not the students school of enrollment. This method allows DDP to
provide the most accurate forecast of where shifts in student population may occur and changes
to future facilities (if necessary) should be located. Therefore, since the projections are based
upon where the students reside, the figures we use as a base for each schools resident projection
may be slightly higher or lower than the actual reported enrollment for each school. The best way
to plan for future facilities is to know where the next group of students will be coming from, not
necessarily which school they are currently attending

Attendance matrices act as a check and balance for student accounting. Illustrating where
the students reside (in what School of Residence) based upon their geocoded address and which
school they attend (School of Attendance) based upon District provided student data. It is essential
to show how the students used in the projections match up to the Districts records of enrollment
for each school. Furthermore, intra-district transferring patterns can be determined by comparing
School of Residence data to the School of Attendance data. The student counts used in all of the
matrices represent CCSDs enrollment as of October 2013.

READING THE MATRIX

Starting with the Fall 2013 K-5 Elementary School Attendance Matrix on page 22-25, lets
begin with Acworth / McCall ES* as an example. Following down the first column with the
Acworth ES heading, there are 758 K-5 grade students attending Acworth Intermediate and reside
in the Acworth / McCall attendance area as of October 2013. Continuing downward, no students
attend Acworth Intermediate and reside in the Addison ES attendance area. As you continue down
you find 3 students that attend Acworth Intermediate and reside in Baker ES attendance area.

The last rows represent the Open Enrollment percentages for each of the Districts
elementary schools. For example, reading down the Acworth Intermediate column, you will see
that 27 K-5 students attend Acworth Intermediate from outside of its attendance area; that
represents 3.45% of its total enrollment.

The next step is to read across the matrix, beginning with the Acworth Intermediate /
McCall Primary attendance area row. We now know that the 758 represents the total number of
K-5 grade students residing and attending Acworth Intermediate. The next column, McCall Primary,
refers to the number of K-5 grade students (375) residing in the Acworth Intermediate / McCall
Primary attendance area, attend McCall Primary. Assumptions can be made that these students fall
into the grade ranges set for the Acworth Intermediate / McCall Primary attendance area.
Continue to the next column, 1 student lives in the Acworth Intermediate / McCall Primary
attendance area but attends Addison ES.

The K-5 Students columns at both ends of the matrix list the total number of K-5 students
living in that particular attendance area. There are 1221 K-5 students residing in the Acworth
Intermediate / McCall Primary attendance area as of October 2013. 758 K-5 resident students
are assigned to Acworth Intermediate, within the student data, are what DDP used as the basis for
the resident attendance area projections.

The bottom rows of each matrix also include the CCSD site capacities** and the capacity
percentage compared to K-5 Students enrolled at the school. For an example, Addison Elementary
has a Fall 2013 enrollment of 594 students with 93.25% school capacity based on CCSD School

21 Section Three Page
6/11/2014

Capacity at 637. These figures can be used by District personnel when planning boundary
alignments or new facilities.

The Middle School (6-8) pages 26-27 and the High School (9-12) page 28 Attendance
Matrices, located on the following pages are read in the same manner as the Elementary Matrix.

*Acworth and McCall campuses service the same attendance area but for set grade ranges. This is the case for Big Shanty & Kennesaw and
Riverside Primary & Intermediate within K-5 Attendance Areas and Lindley 6
th
& Lindley 7
th
-8
th
Grade Campuses for 6-8 Attendance Areas.

** Site capacities provided by CCSD Planning Department
Cobb County School District
K-5 Matrix -- Fall 2013
SCHOOL RANGE K-5 RESIDENT STUDENTS
ACWORTH
INTERMEDIATE
MCCALL PRIMARY ADDISON ELEMENTARY ARGYLE ELEMENTARY AUSTELL ELEMENTARY BAKER ELEMENTARY
BELLS FERRY
ELEMENTARY
BELMONT HILLS
ELEMENTARY
BIG SHANTY
ELEMENTARY
KENNESAW PRIMARY BIRNEY ELEMENTARY
BLACKWELL
ELEMENTARY
BRUMBY ELEMENTARY BRYANT ELEMENTARY BULLARD ELEMENTARY CHALKER ELEMENTARY
CHEATHAM HILL
ELEMENTARY
CLARKDALE
ELEMENTARY
ACWORTH INTERMEDIATE & MCCALL PRIMARY K-5 1221 758 375 1 0 0 24 0 0 3 7 0 0 0 0 5 1 1 0
ADDISON ELEMENTARY K-5 576 0 0 555 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
ARGYLE ELEMENTARY K-5 430 0 0 0 400 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
AUSTELL ELEMENTARY K-5 494 0 0 0 0 434 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 5
BAKER ELEMENTARY K-5 712 3 0 0 0 0 681 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 0
BELLS FERRY ELEMENTARY K-5 609 0 0 2 0 0 0 575 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0
BELMONT HILLS ELEMENTARY K-5 338 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 265 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
BIG SHANTY ELEMENTARY & KENNESAW PRIMARY K-5 1468 6 0 0 0 0 7 1 0 749 646 2 1 0 0 3 3 4 0
BIRNEY ELEMENTARY K-5 788 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 697 0 0 0 0 0 4 0
BLACKWELL ELEMENTARY K-5 697 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 649 0 0 2 8 0 0
BRUMBY ELEMENTARY K-5 1190 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1042 0 0 0 0 0
BRYANT ELEMENTARY K-5 1000 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 922 0 0 0 2
BULLARD ELEMENTARY K-5 791 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 763 0 0 0
CHALKER ELEMENTARY K-5 609 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 587 0 0
CHEATHAM HILL ELEMENTARY K-5 1060 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1033 0
CLARKDALE ELEMENTARY K-5 673 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 576
CLAY ELEMENTARY K-5 328 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
COMPTON ELEMENTARY K-5 595 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0
DAVIS ELEMENTARY K-5 521 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DOWELL ELEMENTARY K-5 999 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6
DUE WEST ELEMENTARY K-5 505 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
EAST SIDE ELEMENTARY K-5 1239 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
EASTVALLEY ELEMENTARY K-5 588 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FAIR OAKS ELEMENTARY K-5 855 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FORD ELEMENTARY K-5 628 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
FREY ELEMENTARY K-5 721 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 8 0 1 0
GARRISON MILL ELEMENTARY K-5 650 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
GREEN ACRES ELEMENTARY K-5 752 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
HARMONY LELAND ELEMENTARY K-5 698 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 0
HAYES ELEMENTARY K-5 1011 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 1 1 0 0 31 2 5 0
HENDRICKS ELEMENTARY K-5 558 0 0 0 0 29 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 13
HOLLYDALE ELEMENTARY K-5 685 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0
KEHELEY ELEMENTARY K-5 471 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0
KEMP ELEMENTARY K-5 751 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
KINCAID ELEMENTARY K-5 686 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 1 0 0
KING SPRINGS ELEMENTARY K-5 737 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LABELLE ELEMENTARY K-5 533 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LEWIS ELEMENTARY K-5 727 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 13 0 1 0
MABLETON ELEMENTARY K-5 973 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
MILFORD ELEMENTARY K-5 365 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 17 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
MOUNT BETHEL ELEMENTARY K-5 978 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
MOUNTAIN VIEW ELEMENTARY K-5 807 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
MURDOCK ELEMENTARY K-5 815 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NICHOLSON ELEMENTARY K-5 464 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 0 4 0 0
NICKAJACK ELEMENTARY K-5 1067 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
NORTON PARK ELEMENTARY K-5 815 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
PICKETTS MILL ELEMENTARY K-5 725 0 1 0 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
PITNER ELEMENTARY K-5 885 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 16 0 0
POWDER SPRINGS ELEMENTARY K-5 934 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 5
POWERS FERRY ELEMENTARY K-5 457 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
RIVERSIDE INTERMEDIATE & RIVERSIDE PRIMARY K-5 1850 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 0
ROCKY MOUNT ELEMENTARY K-5 568 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
RUSSELL ELEMENTARY K-5 710 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SANDERS ELEMENTARY K-5 766 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 3 1
SEDALIA PARK ELEMENTARY K-5 797 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SHALLOWFORD FALLS ELEMENTARY K-5 622 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SMYRNA ELEMENTARY K-5 877 0 1 0 37 0 1 0 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SOPE CREEK ELEMENTARY K-5 1138 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
STILL ELEMENTARY K-5 634 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
TEASLEY ELEMENTARY K-5 724 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TIMBER RIDGE ELEMENTARY K-5 732 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TRITT ELEMENTARY K-5 742 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
VARNER ELEMENTARY K-5 680 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
VAUGHAN ELEMENTARY K-5 532 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
TOTAL K-5 48551 783 379 574 452 496 720 587 299 766 663 759 675 1046 971 842 633 1074 610
ACWORTH
INTERMEDIATE
BELLS FERRY
ELEMENTARY
BELMONT HILLS
ELEMENTARY
BIG SHANTY
ELEMENTARY
BLACKWELL
ELEMENTARY
CHEATHAM HILL
ELEMENTARY
CLARKDALE
ELEMENTARY
Unmatched Students: 0 0 0 1 6 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0
Out of District: 2 7 1 0 5 8 9 0 2 4 8 6 11 3 26 10 17 5
27 11 20 52 67 47 21 34 19 21 70 32 15 52 105 56 58 39
785 386 575 453 507 729 598 299 768 667 767 681 1059 974 868 643 1091 615
3.45% 2.90% 3.48% 11.50% 13.51% 6.53% 3.58% 11.37% 2.48% 3.17% 9.22% 4.74% 1.43% 5.36% 12.47% 8.85% 5.40% 6.39%
ACWORTH
INTERMEDIATE
BELLS FERRY
ELEMENTARY
BELMONT HILLS
ELEMENTARY
BIG SHANTY
ELEMENTARY
BLACKWELL
ELEMENTARY
CHEATHAM HILL
ELEMENTARY
CLARKDALE
ELEMENTARY
School Capacity Numbers provided by CCSD CAPACITY 873 445 626 413 527 756 646 414 946 875 818 771 751 951 1109 877 1073 776
CAP %[K-5] 89.92% 86.74% 91.85% 109.69% 96.20% 96.43% 92.57% 72.22% 81.18% 76.23% 93.77% 88.33% 141.01% 102.42% 78.27% 73.32% 101.68% 79.25%
Section Three Page 22
Shared Attendance Area Shared Attendance Area
Shared Attendance Area Shared Attendance Area
S
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School of Attendance
# Enrolled, But Not Living in
Attendance Area:
SCHOOL
K-5 Enrollment Totals:
Open Enrollment %:
Prepared by
ACWORTH INTERMEDIATE & MCCALL PRIMARY K-5 1221
ADDISON ELEMENTARY K-5 576
ARGYLE ELEMENTARY K-5 430
AUSTELL ELEMENTARY K-5 494
BAKER ELEMENTARY K-5 712
BELLS FERRY ELEMENTARY K-5 609
BELMONT HILLS ELEMENTARY K-5 338
BIG SHANTY ELEMENTARY & KENNESAW PRIMARY K-5 1468
BIRNEY ELEMENTARY K-5 788
BLACKWELL ELEMENTARY K-5 697
BRUMBY ELEMENTARY K-5 1190
BRYANT ELEMENTARY K-5 1000
BULLARD ELEMENTARY K-5 791
CHALKER ELEMENTARY K-5 609
CHEATHAM HILL ELEMENTARY K-5 1060
CLARKDALE ELEMENTARY K-5 673
CLAY ELEMENTARY K-5 328
COMPTON ELEMENTARY K-5 595
DAVIS ELEMENTARY K-5 521
DOWELL ELEMENTARY K-5 999
DUE WEST ELEMENTARY K-5 505
EAST SIDE ELEMENTARY K-5 1239
EASTVALLEY ELEMENTARY K-5 588
FAIR OAKS ELEMENTARY K-5 855
FORD ELEMENTARY K-5 628
FREY ELEMENTARY K-5 721
GARRISON MILL ELEMENTARY K-5 650
GREEN ACRES ELEMENTARY K-5 752
HARMONY LELAND ELEMENTARY K-5 698
HAYES ELEMENTARY K-5 1011
HENDRICKS ELEMENTARY K-5 558
HOLLYDALE ELEMENTARY K-5 685
KEHELEY ELEMENTARY K-5 471
KEMP ELEMENTARY K-5 751
KINCAID ELEMENTARY K-5 686
KING SPRINGS ELEMENTARY K-5 737
LABELLE ELEMENTARY K-5 533
LEWIS ELEMENTARY K-5 727
MABLETON ELEMENTARY K-5 973
MILFORD ELEMENTARY K-5 365
MOUNT BETHEL ELEMENTARY K-5 978
MOUNTAIN VIEW ELEMENTARY K-5 807
MURDOCK ELEMENTARY K-5 815
NICHOLSON ELEMENTARY K-5 464
NICKAJACK ELEMENTARY K-5 1067
NORTON PARK ELEMENTARY K-5 815
PICKETTS MILL ELEMENTARY K-5 725
PITNER ELEMENTARY K-5 885
POWDER SPRINGS ELEMENTARY K-5 934
POWERS FERRY ELEMENTARY K-5 457
RIVERSIDE INTERMEDIATE & RIVERSIDE PRIMARY K-5 1850
ROCKY MOUNT ELEMENTARY K-5 568
RUSSELL ELEMENTARY K-5 710
SANDERS ELEMENTARY K-5 766
SEDALIA PARK ELEMENTARY K-5 797
SHALLOWFORD FALLS ELEMENTARY K-5 622
SMYRNA ELEMENTARY K-5 877
SOPE CREEK ELEMENTARY K-5 1138
STILL ELEMENTARY K-5 634
TEASLEY ELEMENTARY K-5 724
TIMBER RIDGE ELEMENTARY K-5 732
TRITT ELEMENTARY K-5 742
VARNER ELEMENTARY K-5 680
VAUGHAN ELEMENTARY K-5 532
TOTAL K-5 48551
Unmatched Students:
Out of District:
School Capacity Numbers provided by CCSD CAPACITY
CAP %[K-5]
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Attendance Area:
SCHOOL
Open Enrollment %:
CLAY ELEMENTARY COMPTON ELEMENTARY DAVIS ELEMENTARY DOWELL ELEMENTARY DUE WEST ELEMENTARY EAST SIDE ELEMENTARY
EASTVALLEY
ELEMENTARY
FAIR OAKS ELEMENTARY FORD ELEMENTARY FREY ELEMENTARY
GARRISON MILL
ELEMENTARY
GREEN ACRES
ELEMENTARY
HARMONY LELAND
ELEMENTARY
HAYES ELEMENTARY
HENDRICKS
ELEMENTARY
HOLLYDALE
ELEMENTARY
KEHELEY ELEMENTARY KEMP ELEMENTARY
0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 3 9 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 0 0 3
0 0 0 0 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 0 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 2 0
0 0 1 1 1 1 0 8 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 3
0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
0 0 3 1 0 3 80 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0
0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0
1 0 0 5 3 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 20 0 2
294 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0
0 492 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 39
0 0 509 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 896 4 0 0 2 0 5 0 0 2 1 0 2 0 27
0 0 0 0 491 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 1210 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 5 558 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 832 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 598 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2
0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 21 656 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1
0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 638 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 733 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 639 0 0 0 0 5
0 0 2 1 13 1 0 2 3 8 1 0 0 897 0 1 2 9
0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 483 1 0 10
1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 649 0 3
0 0 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 443 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 734
0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
0 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1
5 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 1 0 0 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
0 0 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 19 7 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
0 10 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 10 0 1 45
0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 1 0 0 2
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 6 2 0 8
0 0 0 1 0 4 8 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 4 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 37
1 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
335 512 550 915 546 1258 670 864 653 712 651 770 681 931 515 686 467 958
EASTVALLEY
ELEMENTARY
GARRISON MILL
ELEMENTARY
GREEN ACRES
ELEMENTARY
HARMONY LELAND
ELEMENTARY
HAYES ELEMENTARY
HENDRICKS
ELEMENTARY
HOLLYDALE
ELEMENTARY
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
0 3 6 4 23 7 3 2 20 13 6 1 17 4 9 0 5 35
41 23 47 23 78 55 115 34 75 69 19 38 59 38 41 37 29 259
335 515 556 920 569 1265 673 866 673 726 657 771 699 936 524 686 472 993
12.24% 4.49% 8.55% 2.51% 14.29% 4.37% 17.16% 3.94% 11.49% 9.69% 2.92% 4.94% 8.66% 4.08% 7.96% 5.39% 6.21% 27.04%
EASTVALLEY
ELEMENTARY
GARRISON MILL
ELEMENTARY
GREEN ACRES
ELEMENTARY
HARMONY LELAND
ELEMENTARY
HAYES ELEMENTARY
HENDRICKS
ELEMENTARY
HOLLYDALE
ELEMENTARY
353 513 636 985 494 1141 532 816 805 817 755 668 478 999 782 615 555 1004
94.90% 100.39% 87.42% 93.40% 115.18% 110.87% 126.50% 106.13% 83.60% 88.86% 87.02% 115.42% 146.23% 93.69% 67.01% 111.54% 85.05% 98.90%
Prepared by
TOTAL K-5 48551
Unmatched Students:
Out of District:
CAP %[K-5]
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Attendance Area:
SCHOOL
Open Enrollment %:
KINCAID ELEMENTARY
KING SPRINGS
ELEMENTARY
LABELLE ELEMENTARY LEWIS ELEMENTARY
MABLETON
ELEMENTARY
MILFORD ELEMENTARY
MOUNT BETHEL
ELEMENTARY
MOUNTAIN VIEW
ELEMENTARY
MURDOCK ELEMENTARY
NICHOLSON
ELEMENTARY
NICKAJACK ELEMENTARY
NORTON PARK
ELEMENTARY
PICKETTS MILL
ELEMENTARY
PITNER ELEMENTARY
POWDER SPRINGS
ELEMENTARY
POWERS FERRY
ELEMENTARY
RIVERSIDE
INTERMEDIATE
RIVERSIDE PRIMARY
4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 7 4 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
5 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 7 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 6 4 0 0 0 0
0 3 5 0 0 43 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 1 0
0 1 0 0 10 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 17 4
1 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
1 1 0 0 5 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 9 2
0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 9 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 1 0 1 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 11 0 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 6 0
0 0 0 9 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
0 5 3 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
664 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 710 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 482 0 0 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 686 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 0 0 0 0
0 6 0 0 916 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0
0 0 5 0 0 328 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 969 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 782 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 800 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 437 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
0 41 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 997 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 4 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 6 753 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 628 1 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 848 0 0 0 0
0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0 784 0 1 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 430 0 0
0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1089 686
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 12 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 2
0 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
12 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 8 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 7 32 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0
0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
716 821 544 735 959 432 996 808 840 473 1054 806 668 871 800 442 1127 695
KINCAID ELEMENTARY
KING SPRINGS
ELEMENTARY
MABLETON
ELEMENTARY
MILFORD ELEMENTARY
MOUNT BETHEL
ELEMENTARY
MOUNTAIN VIEW
ELEMENTARY
MURDOCK ELEMENTARY
NICHOLSON
ELEMENTARY
NORTON PARK
ELEMENTARY
PICKETTS MILL
ELEMENTARY
PITNER ELEMENTARY
POWDER SPRINGS
ELEMENTARY
POWERS FERRY
ELEMENTARY
RIVERSIDE
INTERMEDIATE
RIVERSIDE PRIMARY
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2
3 5 2 7 8 0 10 8 8 6 10 4 46 13 5 1 4 2
55 116 64 56 51 104 37 25 48 42 67 57 86 36 21 13 42 11
719 826 546 742 968 432 1006 816 849 479 1064 810 714 884 805 443 1134 699
7.68% 14.13% 11.76% 7.62% 5.32% 24.07% 3.71% 3.09% 5.71% 8.88% 6.36% 7.07% 12.87% 4.13% 2.63% 2.94% 3.73% 1.58%
KINCAID ELEMENTARY
KING SPRINGS
ELEMENTARY
MABLETON
ELEMENTARY
MILFORD ELEMENTARY
MOUNT BETHEL
ELEMENTARY
MOUNTAIN VIEW
ELEMENTARY
MURDOCK ELEMENTARY
NICHOLSON
ELEMENTARY
NORTON PARK
ELEMENTARY
PICKETTS MILL
ELEMENTARY
PITNER ELEMENTARY
POWDER SPRINGS
ELEMENTARY
POWERS FERRY
ELEMENTARY
RIVERSIDE
INTERMEDIATE
RIVERSIDE PRIMARY
693 558 447 1040 904 472 1086 783 995 560 1025 766 990 1098 865 423 973 527
103.75% 148.03% 122.15% 71.35% 107.08% 91.53% 92.63% 104.21% 85.33% 85.54% 103.80% 105.74% 72.12% 80.51% 93.06% 104.73% 116.55% 132.64%
Shared Attendance Area
Prepared by
TOTAL K-5 48551
Unmatched Students:
Out of District:
CAP %[K-5]
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Attendance Area:
SCHOOL
Open Enrollment %:
ROCKY MOUNT
ELEMENTARY
RUSSELL ELEMENTARY SANDERS ELEMENTARY
SEDALIA PARK
ELEMENTARY
SHALLOWFORD FALLS
ELEMENTARY
SMYRNA ELEMENTARY
SOPE CREEK
ELEMENTARY
STILL ELEMENTARY TEASLEY ELEMENTARY
TIMBER RIDGE
ELEMENTARY
TRITT ELEMENTARY VARNER ELEMENTARY VAUGHAN ELEMENTARY DEVEREUX CENTER HAWTHORNE
2 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
0 1 0 0 0 10 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 1
0 5 8 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
1 1 0 24 0 0 9 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 2 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 3 0 3 1
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
0 1 48 1 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 13 3 0 0 18 4 0 0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 1 2 0 1 0 0 24 0 1 0 4 5 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 3 0 9 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 10 0 1 3 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 2 4 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
0 3 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
0 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 4 0 2 3 0 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 1
0 4 9 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 1 9 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
0 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 3 0 1 0 0 0 2
0 5 0 0 0 6 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 51 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 0 0 0 0 16 1 0 0 24 8 0 1
0 0 0 9 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
0 2 6 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 2
543 0 0 0 4 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 650 7 0 0 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
0 6 708 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 1
3 3 0 749 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 612 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
0 2 2 0 0 755 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 0 0 1119 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 611 0 2 0 1 1 0 0
0 1 1 0 0 4 0 2 702 0 0 2 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 563 153 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 4 729 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 613 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 511 0 0
566 699 811 805 642 803 1157 750 733 590 901 679 605 4 16
ROCKY MOUNT
ELEMENTARY
SEDALIA PARK
ELEMENTARY
SHALLOWFORD FALLS
ELEMENTARY
SMYRNA ELEMENTARY
SOPE CREEK
ELEMENTARY
TIMBER RIDGE
ELEMENTARY
TRITT ELEMENTARY VARNER ELEMENTARY VAUGHAN ELEMENTARY DEVEREUX CENTER HAWTHORNE
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Unmatched Students:
7 5 5 5 6 3 2 31 7 10 5 14 17 Out of District:
30 54 108 61 36 51 40 170 38 37 177 80 111
573 704 817 810 648 806 1159 781 740 600 906 693 622
5.30% 7.73% 13.32% 7.58% 5.61% 6.35% 3.46% 22.67% 5.18% 6.27% 19.64% 11.78% 18.35%
ROCKY MOUNT
ELEMENTARY
SEDALIA PARK
ELEMENTARY
SHALLOWFORD FALLS
ELEMENTARY
SMYRNA ELEMENTARY
SOPE CREEK
ELEMENTARY
TIMBER RIDGE
ELEMENTARY
TRITT ELEMENTARY VARNER ELEMENTARY VAUGHAN ELEMENTARY
611 809 794 904 786 919 1113 803 456 566 874 879 1037 CAPACITY
93.78% 87.02% 102.90% 89.60% 82.44% 87.70% 104.13% 97.26% 162.28% 106.01% 103.66% 78.84% 59.98% CAP %[K-5]
# Enrolled, But Not Living in Attendance Area:
Open Enrollment %:
SCHOOL
Prepared by
6-8 Matrix -- Fall 2013
SCHOOL RANGE
6-8 RESIDENT
STUDENTS
AWTREY
MIDDLE
BARBER
MIDDLE
CAMPBELL
MIDDLE
COOPER
MIDDLE
DANIELL
MIDDLE
DICKERSON
MIDDLE
DODGEN
MIDDLE
DURHAM
MIDDLE
EAST COBB
MIDDLE
FLOYD MIDDLE
GARRETT
MIDDLE
GRIFFIN
MIDDLE
HIGHTOWER
TRAIL MIDDLE
LINDLEY 6TH
GRADE
ACADEMY
LINDLEY
MIDDLE
SCHOOL
AWTREY MIDDLE 6-8 859 796 4 0 0 1 0 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BARBER MIDDLE 6-8 1007 16 955 0 0 2 0 0 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAMPBELL MIDDLE 6-8 1312 0 0 1258 0 2 3 0 0 3 0 2 30 0 0 0
COOPER MIDDLE 6-8 987 0 0 1 918 0 0 0 6 0 3 10 3 0 1 0
DANIELL MIDDLE 6-8 1025 0 1 0 0 937 0 6 1 9 0 0 0 13 0 1
DICKERSON MIDDLE 6-8 1235 0 0 0 0 0 1220 9 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0
DODGEN MIDDLE 6-8 1192 0 0 0 0 0 0 1110 0 1 0 0 0 76 0 0
DURHAMMIDDLE 6-8 963 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 951 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
EAST COBB MIDDLE 6-8 1303 1 2 2 0 1 4 8 0 1265 0 1 1 7 0 1
FLOYD MIDDLE 6-8 954 0 0 8 1 1 0 0 0 2 903 4 15 0 1 2
GARRETT MIDDLE 6-8 844 0 0 3 12 0 0 0 1 0 22 779 2 0 1 6
GRIFFIN MIDDLE 6-8 1186 0 0 16 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 1148 0 0 1
HIGHTOWER TRAIL MIDDLE 6-8 914 0 1 0 0 2 1 7 0 2 0 0 0 893 0 0
LINDLEY MIDDLE and LINDLEY 6th 6-8 1727 0 0 5 5 1 0 0 0 1 13 7 10 1 579 1076
LOST MOUNTAIN MIDDLE 6-8 911 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LOVINGGOOD MIDDLE 6-8 1257 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
MABRY MIDDLE 6-8 854 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
MCCLESKEY MIDDLE 6-8 702 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0
MCCLURE MIDDLE 6-8 1058 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PALMER MIDDLE 6-8 1008 10 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0
PINE MOUNTAIN MIDDLE 6-8 691 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SIMPSON MIDDLE 6-8 865 0 0 1 0 3 0 6 0 2 0 0 0 8 0 0
SMITHA MIDDLE 6-8 1007 0 0 9 1 1 0 0 1 4 6 1 11 5 0 1
TAPP MIDDLE 6-8 844 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 3 3 0 0 0
TOTAL 6-8 24705 828 968 1305 940 956 1229 1148 1014 1294 952 807 1224 1013 582 1088
SCHOOL RANGE
6-8 RESIDENT
STUDENTS
AWTREY
MIDDLE
BARBER
MIDDLE
CAMPBELL
MIDDLE
COOPER
MIDDLE
DANIELL
MIDDLE
DICKERSON
MIDDLE
DODGEN
MIDDLE
DURHAM
MIDDLE
EAST COBB
MIDDLE
FLOYD MIDDLE
GARRETT
MIDDLE
GRIFFIN
MIDDLE
HIGHTOWER
TRAIL MIDDLE
LINDLEY 6TH
GRADE
ACADEMY
LINDLEY
MIDDLE
SCHOOL
0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0
2 5 3 5 3 4 10 19 9 7 3 5 3 3 1
830 974 1309 945 959 1233 1158 1033 1304 959 810 1230 1018 585 1089
34 18 50 27 22 13 48 82 38 56 31 81 123 6 13
830 974 1309 945 959 1233 1158 1033 1304 959 810 1230 1018 585 1089
AWTREY
MIDDLE
BARBER
MIDDLE
CAMPBELL
MIDDLE
COOPER
MIDDLE
DANIELL
MIDDLE
DICKERSON
MIDDLE
DODGEN
MIDDLE
DURHAM
MIDDLE
EAST COBB
MIDDLE
FLOYD MIDDLE
GARRETT
MIDDLE
GRIFFIN
MIDDLE
HIGHTOWER
TRAIL MIDDLE
LINDLEY 6TH
GRADE
ACADEMY
LINDLEY
MIDDLE
SCHOOL
911 1046 1203 1046 1046 1068 1046 1046 1091 1046 820 1046 911 584 1170
91.11% 93.12% 108.81% 90.34% 91.68% 115.45% 110.71% 98.76% 119.52% 91.68% 98.78% 117.59% 111.75% 100.17% 93.08%
4.11% 1.86% 3.83% 2.87% 2.30% 1.06% 4.18% 8.09% 2.94% 5.88% 3.84% 6.62% 12.14% 1.03% 1.19%
School Capacity Numbers provided by CCSD
Open Enrollment %
# Enrolled But Not Living in
Attendance Area
CCSD Cap 1754
CAPACITY
CAPACITY % (6-8)
Unmatched Students:
Out of District:
6-8 Totals:
6-8 Enrollment Totals:
S
c
h
o
o
l

o
f

R
e
s
i
d
e
n
c
e
Prepared by
SCHOOL RANGE
6-8 RESIDENT
STUDENTS
AWTREY
MIDDLE
AWTREY MIDDLE 6-8 859 796
BARBER MIDDLE 6-8 1007 16
CAMPBELL MIDDLE 6-8 1312 0
COOPER MIDDLE 6-8 987 0
DANIELL MIDDLE 6-8 1025 0
DICKERSON MIDDLE 6-8 1235 0
DODGEN MIDDLE 6-8 1192 0
DURHAMMIDDLE 6-8 963 0
EAST COBB MIDDLE 6-8 1303 1
FLOYD MIDDLE 6-8 954 0
GARRETT MIDDLE 6-8 844 0
GRIFFIN MIDDLE 6-8 1186 0
HIGHTOWER TRAIL MIDDLE 6-8 914 0
LINDLEY MIDDLE and LINDLEY 6th 6-8 1727 0
LOST MOUNTAIN MIDDLE 6-8 911 0
LOVINGGOOD MIDDLE 6-8 1257 2
MABRY MIDDLE 6-8 854 0
MCCLESKEY MIDDLE 6-8 702 0
MCCLURE MIDDLE 6-8 1058 2
PALMER MIDDLE 6-8 1008 10
PINE MOUNTAIN MIDDLE 6-8 691 1
SIMPSON MIDDLE 6-8 865 0
SMITHA MIDDLE 6-8 1007 0
TAPP MIDDLE 6-8 844 0
TOTAL 6-8 24705 828
SCHOOL RANGE
6-8 RESIDENT
STUDENTS
AWTREY
MIDDLE
0
2
830
34
830
AWTREY
MIDDLE
911
91.11%
4.11%
School Capacity Numbers provided by CCSD
Open Enrollment %
# Enrolled But Not Living in
Attendance Area
CAPACITY
CAPACITY % (6-8)
Unmatched Students:
Out of District:
6-8 Totals:
S
c
h
o
o
l

o
f

R
e
s
i
d
e
n
c
e
LOST
MOUNTAIN
MIDDLE
LOVINGGOOD
MIDDLE
MABRY MIDDLE
MCCLESKEY
MIDDLE
MCCLURE
MIDDLE
PALMER
MIDDLE
PINE
MOUNTAIN
MIDDLE
SIMPSON
MIDDLE
SMITHA
MIDDLE
TAPP MIDDLE
DEVEREUX
CENTER
HAWTHORNE
2 4 2 2 13 2 4 1 0 0 0 1
3 2 0 0 4 10 4 2 0 0 0 2
0 1 2 0 1 0 2 0 4 0 0 4
8 18 0 0 1 0 3 0 3 10 0 2
2 0 10 12 5 8 0 19 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
6 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 1 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2
0 4 1 0 1 0 4 1 2 0 0 4
0 8 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 2 0 3
0 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 7 0 0 0 0
0 6 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 13 3
884 17 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 3
6 1237 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 0 0
0 0 848 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
0 2 7 680 1 1 1 4 0 0 0 0
6 1 1 0 1036 0 2 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 10 2 964 9 2 1 0 0 2
5 5 0 1 13 1 647 0 0 0 14 0
0 0 6 0 0 2 0 836 0 0 0 1
3 12 0 1 1 0 1 1 946 1 0 1
9 33 0 0 3 1 5 0 6 767 0 4
935 1359 884 709 1087 993 688 882 975 783 27 35
LOST
MOUNTAIN
MIDDLE
LOVINGGOOD
MIDDLE
MABRY MIDDLE
MCCLESKEY
MIDDLE
MCCLURE
MIDDLE
PALMER
MIDDLE
PINE
MOUNTAIN
MIDDLE
SIMPSON
MIDDLE
SMITHA
MIDDLE
TAPP MIDDLE
DEVEREUX
CENTER
HAWTHORNE
0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 34 9 3 8 1 4 5 2 5
944 1394 893 713 1095 994 692 887 977 788
60 156 45 32 59 30 45 51 31 21
944 1394 893 713 1095 994 692 887 977 788
LOST
MOUNTAIN
MIDDLE
LOVINGGOOD
MIDDLE
MABRY MIDDLE
MCCLESKEY
MIDDLE
MCCLURE
MIDDLE
PALMER
MIDDLE
PINE
MOUNTAIN
MIDDLE
SIMPSON
MIDDLE
SMITHA
MIDDLE
TAPP MIDDLE
1046 1046 1023 842 1046 1046 798 865 1023 1023
90.25% 133.27% 87.29% 84.68% 104.68% 95.03% 86.72% 102.54% 95.50% 77.03%
6.42% 11.48% 5.09% 4.51% 5.43% 3.02% 6.54% 5.78% 3.18% 2.68%
Prepared by
SCHOOL RANGE
9-12 RESIDENT
STUDENTS
ALLATOONA HIGH CAMPBELL HIGH HARRISON HIGH HILLGROVE HIGH KELL HIGH
KENNESAW
MOUNTAIN HIGH
LASSITER HIGH MCEACHERN HIGH NORTH COBB HIGH OSBORNE HIGH PEBBLEBROOK HIGH POPE HIGH SOUTH COBB HIGH SPRAYBERRY HIGH WALTON HIGH WHEELER HIGH DEVEREUX CENTER HAWTHORNE OAKWOOD
PERFORMANCE
LEARNING CENTER
ALLATOONA HIGH 9-12 1854 1616 5 32 6 0 123 1 0 47 0 10 0 2 1 0 7 0 0 4 0
CAMPBELL HIGH 9-12 2256 3 2076 1 4 1 14 17 1 12 16 37 6 16 3 1 24 0 8 11 5
HARRISON HIGH 9-12 2028 26 8 1845 9 1 74 0 4 35 0 15 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 3
HILLGROVE HIGH 9-12 2134 1 8 9 1997 0 45 1 8 19 2 17 1 7 1 0 8 0 1 5 4
KELL HIGH 9-12 1586 0 4 0 1 1431 37 30 0 13 0 11 8 1 13 2 28 0 0 7 0
KENNESAW MOUNTAIN HIGH 9-12 1652 11 0 14 6 1 1547 2 0 20 1 2 1 0 0 1 2 35 2 3 4
LASSITER HIGH 9-12 1917 0 10 1 0 3 4 1818 0 7 0 7 8 0 7 3 38 0 3 5 3
MCEACHERN HIGH 9-12 2347 5 16 14 52 0 15 2 2117 17 3 27 0 44 1 1 3 0 6 18 6
NORTH COBB HIGH 9-12 2774 41 7 7 2 33 127 9 1 2496 1 19 2 5 6 2 13 0 2 1 0
OSBORNE HIGH 9-12 2374 42 88 2 27 4 46 36 39 19 1873 29 12 78 23 0 18 0 8 21 9
PEBBLEBROOK HIGH 9-12 2106 2 37 3 3 3 14 9 13 17 14 1854 0 90 4 0 12 15 2 12 2
POPE HIGH 9-12 1777 0 19 0 0 1 4 5 1 5 0 16 1614 1 1 19 83 0 0 7 1
SOUTH COBB HIGH 9-12 1985 3 32 8 24 0 29 4 33 25 12 57 2 1730 6 1 5 0 4 8 2
SPRAYBERRY HIGH 9-12 1982 1 18 0 0 42 24 60 1 17 3 16 29 1 1685 13 64 0 0 6 2
WALTON HIGH 9-12 2866 0 12 0 0 0 0 6 0 3 0 13 106 0 5 2628 63 0 1 14 15
WHEELER HIGH 9-12 1862 0 18 0 1 3 4 10 2 15 3 15 12 4 5 19 1732 0 5 10 4
TOTAL 9-12 33500 1751 2358 1936 2132 1523 2107 2010 2220 2767 1928 2145 1801 1982 1761 2690 2101 50 42 136 60
SCHOOL RANGE
9-12 RESIDENT
STUDENTS
KENNESAW
MOUNTAIN HIGH
PERFORMANCE
LEARNING CENTER
0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 2 0 0 4 0 1 2 0 0 0 1
20 14 12 25 9 16 18 13 15 5 9 7 15 5 5 14 0 0 1 4
50 42 137 65
155 296 103 160 101 576 210 116 286 60 300 194 267 81 67 383
1771 2372 1948 2159 1532 2123 2029 2235 2783 1935 2154 1808 2001 1766 2696 2117
8.85% 12.55% 5.32% 7.50% 6.63% 27.34% 10.45% 5.23% 10.34% 3.11% 13.99% 10.77% 13.47% 4.60% 2.49% 18.23%
KENNESAW
MOUNTAIN HIGH
PERFORMANCE
LEARNING CENTER
School Capacity Numbers provided by CCSD 1912 2637 2587 1912 1912 1987 2137 2362 2787 2062 1862 1862 2612 2112 2362 2137
92.63% 89.95% 75.30% 112.92% 80.13% 106.84% 94.95% 94.62% 99.86% 93.84% 115.68% 97.10% 76.61% 83.62% 114.14% 99.06%
CAPACITY
CAP %[9-12]
Unmatched Students:
Out of District:
S
c
h
o
o
l

o
f

R
e
s
i
d
e
n
c
e
Attendance Area:
Open Enrollment %:
SCHOOL
Prepared by

29 Section Four - Page

6/11/2014
SECTION FOUR DISTRICT WIDE STUDENT POPULATION PROJECTIONS

The student population is projected out ten years for each of the study areas, attendance
areas and for the entire Cobb County School District. The District Wide Summary enables the
District to see a broad overview of future population shifts and what impact these shifts may have
on existing and future facilities. Each attendance area is summarized to give a more local view of
population changes and identify variances in the district. The study area listings enable the District
to monitor student population growth or decline in neighborhood areas within the District.

Together, these projection summaries, present the means for identifying the timing of future
population shifts and overall facility adjustments needed to accommodate these shifts. At any time,
study areas and their projected resident students can be shifted between schools to assist in
balancing enrollment, school consolidation among various other analyses.


6/11/2014



6/11/2014
Chart 3 Historical and Projected K-12 Enrollment


6/11/2014
District-Wide Student Projection Trends

The basic units in the projections are the individual study areas. There are currently a total of 1245 study areas in
the Cobb County School District. The current attendance areas are made up of specific study areas (see
APPENDIX A for a listing by study area). The entire District Summary is simply the compilation of all of study
areas (please see page 82 for a map of the Districts study areas and study area numbers). For each study area,
the student counts are projected out over ten years (Current: Fall 2013; Projected: Fall 2014 through Fall 2023).
The District-wide Districts historical enrollment (since 2010) and its next projected ten years is on page 30.

Overall, the K-12 enrollment for Cobb County School District is expected to increase over
the next ten years. The K-12 district population is projected to increase over 6,000 students over
the projection time frame, a net increase of 5.53%. The greatest increase is at the high school
grade level. Over the next ten years, the overall high school (grades 9-12) student population is
expected to increase by 6,907 students, with seven of the Districts sixteen high school attendance
areas showing some type of growth during the ten years.

Currently there are over 60 known active and future new housing projects scattered around
the District. At the time of this report, there are plans for 23 separate sites to build 2041 new
housing units over the next ten years. Development concentrated near urban and suburban areas
of the district but the possibility of growth in outlying areas will increase when housing demands
begin to increase. As these and other residential development projects are approved and begin
construction, the District must closely monitor and update the information, so as to accurately
project future students that these and other projects may generate. The District should consider
conducting a build out study to help predict the maturation level

Currently, Cobb County School District has a total of sixty-seven elementary (K-5, 2-5 and K-
1) schools with individual attendance areas, twenty-five middle (6-8 and 6
th
Grade Campus) schools
and sixteen comprehensive high (9-12) schools with boundaries. In October 2013, the District
reported a total of 49,116 K-5 students, 24,875 6-8 students and 33,723 9-12 students for a total of
107,714 K-12 students enrolled in CCSD. According to the projections, the District is expected to
see an increase of almost K-5 students for Fall 2014 then start to see K-5 numbers around 49,300
Fall 2015-2017, beginning in 2018 K-5 count could begin to see a decline. This decline is projected
to continue through the end of the projections. Trends driven by low birth factors and the progress
of small student counts replacing larger ones year to year. CCSD could see annual declines at the
K-5 level of .2% to 1.5% starting of Fall 2018.

The 6-8 student population for CCSD can expect increase student counts over the next six
to seven years, and then will see declines from that point on due to smaller incoming grade classes
later in the projections. As of October 2013, the District reported 24,705 6-8 resident based
students. By 2020, the 6-8 count could reach 27,496 resident students (a predicted peak
enrollment for middle schools) then decline the last three years. This forecast will have 6-8 Student
Counts above current numbers even though there is a decline beginning to appear in Fall 2021.
Fall 2023 could see the 6-8 counts around 25,700 students. Overall, that equates to a net increase
of 812 6-8 students over the next ten years.

Cobb County high school student population is projected to increase annual for the next
nine years. 9-12 counts over the next ten years could see a net increase of over 6,300 9-12
students by Fall 2023. As of October 2013 CCSD had 33,723 9-12 resident students attending one
of the comprehensive high schools. Over the next few years, the Districts high school grade counts
will show some growth year to year as smaller classes are replaced by larger incoming classes. The
high school student population is expected to range from 34,500 to over 40,600 9-12 students
through the projections.



6/11/2014

Areas of Projected Growth
Demographic Study Watch List

Attendance Area
Capacity
Actual
2013
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Fall
2013
to
2018
Net
Fall
2018
over
Cap
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Fall
2013
to
2023
Net
Riverside Schools 1500 1850 2099.5 2267.5 2446.9 2556.3 2580.3 730.3 1080.3 2538.7 2520.6 2531.9 2542.0 2537.4 687.4
Brumby Elementary 751 1190 1336.6 1454.2 1559.1 1629.8 1655.2 465.2 904.2 1626.3 1616.2 1624.2 1629.3 1627.3 437.3
Harmony Leland Elementary 478 698 780.9 825.3 884.0 924.5 947.6 249.6 469.6 933.6 927.2 931.0 935.0 933.2 235.2
Powder Springs Elementary 865 934 994.3 1052.4 1139.9 1212.0 1295.0 361.0 430.0 1271.5 1259.9 1258.8 1255.2 1250.1 316.1
King Springs Elementary 558 737 809.0 879.9 911.4 935.1 909.7 172.7 351.7 895.2 888.4 891.8 894.8 893.6 156.6
Smyrna Elementary 919 877 955.8 1033.4 1132.2 1203.9 1234.4 357.4 315.4 1213.8 1203.3 1203.2 1202.8 1198.9 321.9
LaBelle Elementary 447 533 613.6 678.0 711.3 739.4 712.5 179.5 265.5 698.8 690.6 694.2 698.1 695.7 162.7
Hollydale Elementary 615 685 733.8 758.3 783.7 813.3 819.2 134.2 204.2 806.3 800.4 803.8 807.3 805.7 120.7
Austell Elementary 527 494 562.7 618.5 656.3 686.5 718.6 224.6 191.6 707.1 702.4 705.5 708.2 707.1 213.1
Griffin Middle 867 1186 1238.8 1299.4 1408.2 1557.0 1786.6 600.6 919.6 1902.8 1947.9 1849.1 1783.4 1763.3 577.3
Lindley Schools 1754 1727 1796.3 1927.5 2037.0 2256.7 2543.0 816.0 789.0 2925.4 3180.4 3197.5 3086.3 3056.4 1329.4
East Cobb Middle 1091 1303 1316.7 1383.3 1468.4 1622.6 1753.6 450.6 662.6 1979.6 2084.2 2114.4 2041.6 2021.4 718.4
Campbell Middle 1203 1312 1409.8 1459.9 1514.9 1592.0 1694.5 382.5 491.5 1836.7 1883.7 1855.6 1793.9 1773.9 461.9
Dodgen Middle 1046 1192 1255.2 1303.7 1384.2 1414.4 1484.7 292.7 438.7 1534.8 1545.4 1489.2 1439.0 1426.2 234.2
Garrett Middle 820 844 886.2 964.6 1026.6 1091.3 1158.8 314.8 338.8 1304.8 1371.4 1393.6 1346.3 1333.4 489.4
Pebblebrook High 1862 2106 2266.1 2474.3 2679.0 2812.7 3026.5 920.5 1164.5 3258.9 3484.0 3979.0 4482.9 4733.5 2627.5
Osborne High 2062 2374 2538.1 2712.2 2969.2 3056.3 3190.4 816.4 1128.4 3419.6 3512.9 3935.0 4151.7 4184.7 1810.7
Walton High 2362 2866 2882.7 2982.0 3054.4 3133.5 3231.6 365.6 869.6 3280.0 3411.1 3578.7 3610.0 3629.3 763.3
Campbell High 2637 2256 2355.1 2467.6 2626.0 2792.4 2854.6 598.6 217.6 2976.4 3169.6 3350.9 3575.2 3693.0 1437.0
Wheeler High 2187 1862 1954.4 2009.6 2036.1 2079.0 2200.9 338.9 13.9 2297.1 2557.0 2814.8 3129.3 3353.6 1491.6
South Cobb High 2612 1985 2071.6 2115.4 2153.3 2196.1 2320.1 335.1 -291.9 2422.0 2586.5 2806.2 2981.1 3139.8 1154.8

34 Section Five - Page

6/11/2014
SECTION FIVE ATTENDANCE AREA PROJECTIONS BY RESIDENCE

Grades K-5 Projections by Residence



6/11/2014
K-5 Forecast MAP (2018)

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y
B
r
u
m
b
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
r
y
a
n
t
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
u
l
l
a
r
d
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
h
a
l
k
e
r
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
h
e
a
t
h
a
m
H
i
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
l
a
r
k
d
a
l
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
l
a
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
o
m
p
t
o
n
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
D
a
v
i
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
D
o
w
e
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
D
u
e

W
e
s
t
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
E
a
s
t

S
i
d
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
E
a
s
t
v
a
l
l
e
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
F
a
i
r

O
a
k
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
F
o
r
d
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
F
r
e
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
G
a
r
r
i
s
o
n
M
i
l
l

E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
G
r
e
e
n
A
c
r
e
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
H
a
r
m
o
n
y
L
e
l
a
n
d
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
H
a
y
e
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
H
e
n
d
r
i
c
k
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
H
o
l
l
y
d
a
l
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
K
e
h
e
l
e
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
K
e
m
p
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
K
e
n
n
e
s
a
w
P
r
i
m
a
r
y
K
i
n
c
a
i
d
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
K
i
n
g

S
p
r
i
n
g
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
L
a
B
e
l
l
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
L
e
w
i
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
M
a
b
l
e
t
o
n
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
M
c
C
a
l
l
P
r
i
m
a
r
y
M
i
l
f
o
r
d
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
M
o
u
n
t

B
e
t
h
e
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
M
o
u
n
t
a
i
n

V
i
e
w
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
M
u
r
d
o
c
k
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
N
i
c
h
o
l
s
o
n
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
N
i
c
k
a
j
a
c
k
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
N
o
r
t
o
n

P
a
r
k
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
P
i
c
k
e
t
t
s
M
i
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
P
i
t
n
e
r
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
P
o
w
d
e
r
S
p
r
i
n
g
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
P
o
w
e
r
s
F
e
r
r
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
R
i
v
e
r
s
i
d
e
P
r
i
m
a
r
y
R
o
c
k
y
M
o
u
n
t
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
R
u
s
s
e
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
a
n
d
e
r
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
e
d
a
l
i
a
P
a
r
k
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
h
a
l
l
o
w
f
o
r
d
F
a
l
l
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
m
y
r
n
a
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
o
p
e

C
r
e
e
k
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
t
i
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
T
e
a
s
l
e
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
T
i
m
b
e
r
R
i
d
g
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
T
r
i
t
t
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
V
a
r
n
e
r
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
V
a
u
g
h
a
n
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
0
2
.
5
5
1
.
2
5
M
i
l
e
s
F
a
l
l

2
0
1
8

K
-
5
F
o
r
e
c
a
s
t
2
1
6
.
2

-

4
9
8
.
2
4
9
8
.
3

-

7
1
8
.
6
7
1
8
.
7

-

9
5
1
.
3
9
5
1
.
4

-

1
6
5
5
.
2
1
6
5
5
.
3

-

2
5
8
0
.
3
P
r
e
p
a
r
e
d

b
y
D
a
te
:
6
/
2
/
2
0
1
4
K-5 Attendance Areas

Fall 2018 Forecast


6/11/2014
K-5 Forecast MAP (Net Change 2013-2018)
A
d
d
i
s
o
n
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
A
r
g
y
l
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
A
u
s
t
e
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y B
a
k
e
r
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
e
l
l
s

F
e
r
r
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
e
l
m
o
n
t
H
i
l
l
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
i
r
n
e
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
l
a
c
k
w
e
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
r
u
m
b
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
r
y
a
n
t
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
u
l
l
a
r
d
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
h
a
l
k
e
r
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
h
e
a
t
h
a
m
H
i
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
l
a
r
k
d
a
l
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
l
a
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
o
m
p
t
o
n
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
D
a
v
i
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
D
o
w
e
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
D
u
e

W
e
s
t
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
E
a
s
t

S
i
d
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
E
a
s
t
v
a
l
l
e
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
F
a
i
r

O
a
k
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
F
o
r
d
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
F
r
e
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
G
a
r
r
i
s
o
n
M
i
l
l

E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
G
r
e
e
n
A
c
r
e
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
H
a
r
m
o
n
y
L
e
l
a
n
d
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
H
a
y
e
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
H
e
n
d
r
i
c
k
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
H
o
l
l
y
d
a
l
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
K
e
h
e
l
e
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
K
e
m
p
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
K
e
n
n
e
s
a
w
P
r
i
m
a
r
y
K
i
n
c
a
i
d
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
K
i
n
g

S
p
r
i
n
g
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
L
a
B
e
l
l
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
L
e
w
i
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
M
a
b
l
e
t
o
n
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
M
c
C
a
l
l
P
r
i
m
a
r
y
M
i
l
f
o
r
d
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
M
o
u
n
t

B
e
t
h
e
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
M
o
u
n
t
a
i
n

V
i
e
w
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
M
u
r
d
o
c
k
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
N
i
c
h
o
l
s
o
n
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
N
i
c
k
a
j
a
c
k
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
N
o
r
t
o
n

P
a
r
k
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
P
i
c
k
e
t
t
s
M
i
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
P
i
t
n
e
r
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
P
o
w
d
e
r
S
p
r
i
n
g
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
P
o
w
e
r
s
F
e
r
r
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
R
i
v
e
r
s
i
d
e
P
r
i
m
a
r
y
R
o
c
k
y
M
o
u
n
t
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
R
u
s
s
e
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
a
n
d
e
r
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
e
d
a
l
i
a
P
a
r
k
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
h
a
l
l
o
w
f
o
r
d
F
a
l
l
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
m
y
r
n
a
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
o
p
e

C
r
e
e
k
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
S
t
i
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
T
e
a
s
l
e
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
T
i
m
b
e
r
R
i
d
g
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
T
r
i
t
t
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
V
a
r
n
e
r
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
V
a
u
g
h
a
n
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
0
2
.
5
5
1
.
2
5
M
i
l
e
s
F
a
l
l

2
0
1
8
P
o
p
u
l
a
t
i
o
n
C
h
a
n
g
e
-
3
0
7

-

-
1
7
7
-
1
7
6

-

-
3
9
-
3
8

-

6
8
6
9

-

2
5
0
2
5
1

-

7
3
0
P
r
e
p
a
r
e
d

b
y
D
a
te
:
6
/
2
/
2
0
1
4

Fall 2013 - 2018 Forecasted Change


6/11/2014
K-5 CAPACITY MAP (2018)

A
d
d
i
s
o
n
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
A
r
g
y
l
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
A
u
s
t
e
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y B
a
k
e
r
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
e
l
l
s

F
e
r
r
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
e
l
m
o
n
t
H
i
l
l
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
i
r
n
e
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
l
a
c
k
w
e
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
r
u
m
b
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
r
y
a
n
t
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
B
u
l
l
a
r
d
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
h
a
l
k
e
r
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
h
e
a
t
h
a
m
H
i
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
l
a
r
k
d
a
l
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
l
a
y
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
C
o
m
p
t
o
n
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
D
a
v
i
s
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
D
o
w
e
l
l
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
D
u
e

W
e
s
t
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
a
r
y
E
a
s
t

S
i
d
e
E
l
e
m
e
n
t
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6
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2
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1
4

Fall 2018 Forecast Compared
to Current School Capacities


6/11/2014
K-5 Forecast MAP (Net Change 2013-2023)

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b
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:
6
/
2
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2
0
1
4

Fall 2013 -2023 Forecasted Change


6/11/2014
K-5 Attendance Area Summaries


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014



6/11/2014
Elementary Attendance Area (K-5) Student Population Projection Trends

According to the projections, the CCSD elementary grades are expected to see an overall
decline the next ten years of approximately 1,400 K-5 students. Over the next several years, the K-5
counts could maintain counts above 49,000 students through Fall 2017. This can be attributed to
the historically larger student counts from Fall 2013 graduating through and replacing smaller
student counts. CCSD should see a tapering off of the gains by 2018 then begin to see the
numbers return to fall 2012 levels. During this point the main influence on growth and decline are
the Districts birth rates. Falling below 1.00 (gain/loss) this factor causes projected incoming
Kindergarten counts to lower and eventually lead to the drop in overall K-5 counts as those
numbers feed through the years. On page 36, details the areas of the District where net growth or
decline is occurring.
There are ten elementary school attendance areas that are expected to see some noticeable
level of growth over the next ten years. The elementary attendance areas with the highest potential
student population increases over the next ten years are: Austell, Brumby, Harmony Leland,
Hollydale, King Springs, LaBelle, Powder Springs, Riverside Schools, Smyrna and Teasley. Teasley
and Smyrna area growth is also influenced by development which is anticipated over the extent of
these projections. Planned development will be around these attendance areas (refer to page 17:
Planned Development Summary). These growth areas are predominately in the south and
southeast areas of the district.
There are eleven K-5 attendance areas that are expected to see some noticeable level of
decline. The elementary areas are Baker, Belmont Hills, Bullard, Chalker, Ford, Frey, Kemp,
Kennesaw/Big Shanty, Lewis, McCall/Acworth, and Vaughn. Net loss areas of the District are in
the northwest with Belmont Hills the only outlier. These areas are not only affected by the lower
birth factors but there are larger class sizes graduating through and being replaced by smaller ones.
For example Bullard ES Attendance Area had 102 Kindergarten and 112 First graders respectively
the Fourth and Fifth grades classes were 165 and 152 which means that over the next three years
the larger grade counts will graduate and be replaced by the lower counts. This example can be
switched around for K-5 areas of growth. Keep in mind that this study is based on a single snapshot
of data and future studies will need to be conducted to tract these trends more closely.

Please see the Fall 2013 K-5 (Elementary School) Attendance Matrix on page 22 for a detailed accounting
of where the Districts K-5 students attend versus where they reside, since this document is used extensively
for much of the following attendance area analysis.



6/11/2014
Grades 6-8 Projections by Residence



6/11/2014
Grades 6-8 Forecast MAP (2018)

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1
4
6-8 Attendance Areas

Fall 2018 Forecast


6/11/2014
Grade 6-8 Forecast MAP (Net Change 2013-2018)

A
w
t
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y
M
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B
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7
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d

b
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D
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te
:
6
/
2
/
2
0
1
4



6/11/2014
Grade 6-8 CAPACITY MAP (2018)

A
w
t
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y
M
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B
a
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b
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:
6
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2
/
2
0
1
4



6/11/2014
Grade 6-8 Forecast MAP (Net Change 2013-2023)

A
w
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M
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a
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b
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D
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te
:
6
/
2
/
2
0
1
4



6/11/2014

Grade 6-8 Attendance Area Summaries



6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014



6/11/2014
Middle School (6-8) Attendance Area Student Population Projection Trends

The Cobb County School District currently has twenty-four middle schools and one 6
th

grade campus that house the Districts 6-8 student population. During the Fall 2013 school year
there were a total of 24,705 6-8 students residing within the CCSD boundary (up from the 24,355
in 2012 and the 23,771 in 2011). According to the projections, it appears that the Districts 6-8
resident student population may continue to increase to 27,495 in 2020, but then see a decline in
6-8 student population Fall 2021. Fall 2014 to Fall 2020 the district can expect the 6-8 population
to increase annually 0.39% to 3.13% (largest net increase forecast for Fall 2019). Fall 2021 shows a
decline of -2.92% followed by Fall 2022 of -3.42%. The lower rates in the later part of the
projections are directly caused by smaller classes replacing larger ones. This is definitely a trend
that can change and should be monitored. Though there is predicted to be a decline by the end of
this study, the 6-8 students counts should be higher than Fall 2013 base numbers. Fall 2013-2023
forecast has an 812 6-8 student count increase.
There are six middle school (6-8) areas that reflect high rates of growth between 2013-2018.
They are Campbell MS with 382.5 (29.15%), Dodgen MS with 292.7 (24.56%), East Cobb MS with
450.6 (34.58%), Garrett MS with 314.8 (37.3%), Griffin MS with 600.6 (50.64%) and Lindley
Schools (two campuses) with 816 (47.25%). Most of these areas can attribute the gain to larger
grades replacing smaller existing ones but in some cases mobility is another effect. Refer to the
variables earlier in this report.
Durham MS, Lost Mountain MS and Palmer MS indicate a rate of decline in 6-8 student
population of over 20% over the next five years of the projections. Durham is projected to
decrease by almost 350 students (-27.68%), Lost Mountain with 190 (-20.95%) and Palmer MS with
256 (-25.39%). Durham and Palmer are predicted to see declines in 6-8 student numbers by Fall
2014. Lost Mountain should see a drop next year but stay around 870 resident students until Fall
2016 then this area will decline annually through the end of these projections.
Middle School areas will be influenced by the lower grades student counts similar to what is
occurring in the K-5 Attendance Areas. Lost Mountain, as of Fall 2013, averages 300 students at
sixth through eighth grades. Eventually these students graduate on to high school and are replaced
by students matriculating from the attendance area. The student counts for grades Kindergarten
through third average 210 students. These smaller grade counts replace the larger ones which
cause a decline in resident students.

Please see the Fall 2013 6-8 (Middle School) Attendance Matrix on page 26 for a detailed accounting of
where the Districts 6-8 students attend versus where they reside.




6/11/2014

Grades 9-12 Projections by Residence



6/11/2014
Grades 9-12 Forecast MAP (2018)

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:
6
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2
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2
0
1
4

Fall 2018 Forecast


6/11/2014
Grades 9-12 Forecast MAP (Net Change 2013-2018)
A
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b
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D
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:
6
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2
/
2
0
1
4



6/11/2014

Grade 9-12 CAPACITY MAP (2018)

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b
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: 6
/4
/2
0
1
4



6/11/2014
Grades 9-12 Forecast MAP (Net Change 2013-2023)

A
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Fall 2013 -2023 Forecasted Change


6/11/2014
Grade 9-12 Attendance Area Summaries



6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014


6/11/2014



6/11/2014



6/11/2014
High School Attendance Area Student Population Projection Trends

The Cobb County School District has sixteen comprehensive high schools with attendance
areas. During the Fall 2013 school year there were a total of 33,500 resident 9-12 students
attending one of the CCSD sites (up from the 32,916 in 2012 and 31,888 in 2011. According to
the projections, it appears that the Districts 9-12 resident student population will continue to grow
and may reached 40,360 9-12 students by Fall 2023. The high school counts are projected to have
a net increase of over 6,800 students by Fall 2023.
Six high school areas in the district look to drive the growth over the next five years. They
are Campbell HS with an increase 598 students (26.5% increase), Osborne HS with an increase 816
students (34.4% increase), Pebblebrook HS with an increase 920 students (43.7% increase), South
Cobb HS with an increase 335 students (16.9% increase), Walton HS with an increase 366 students
(12.8% increase) and Wheeler HS with 339 (18.2%).
Areas of growth are driven by large feeder school classes coming through, including the 9
th

and 12
th
grade spikes in mobility. CCSD has been experiencing an increase in enrollment at 9
th

grade as a result of students leaving K-8 private schools and charters to enter CCSD high schools.
There is also an increase in 12
th
grade that may be due to student retention policies. These
observations are reflective in the mobility chart found on page 9. The District average for 9
th
Grade
Mobility is 1.30 but in some of the feeder areas those numbers are well above the District average.
Four high school areas show projected decline over the next five years. Allatoona HS with a
decrease 177 students (9.53% decrease), Harrison HS with a decrease 344 students (16.9%
decrease), Kell HS with a decrease 142 students (8.9% decrease), and Kennesaw Mountain HS with
a decrease 156 students (9.4% decrease).
North Cobb HS should be considered an area to watch. The first five years of these
projections indicate it will experience an increase through Fall 2018 with a net increase of 85 9-12
resident students projected for that area. Starting Fall 2018, NCHS could begin to experience a
decrease in student population reaching 2,100 resident students by Fall 2023. A net loss of over
23.15%.

Please see the Fall 2013 9-12 (High School) Attendance Matrix on page 28 for a detailed accounting of
where the Districts 9-12 students attend versus where they reside.


Cobb County School District: Ten Year Student Population Projections Fall 2014-2023

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June 11, 2014

K-5 Attendance Areas

K-5 Attendance Areas

K-5 Attendance Areas

K-5 Attendance Areas

6-8 Attendance Areas

6-8 Attendance Areas

6-8 Attendance Areas

6-8 Attendance Areas

9-12 Attendance Areas

9-12 Attendance Areas

9-12 Attendance Areas

9-12 Attendance Areas

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