This Weeks Market Outlook (FREE ACCESS!) .............................................................................................................. 3 Guide to PinoyInvestor Stock Picks ................................................................................................. 5 PSE index (PSEi) Stock Picks (1 FREE STOCK PICK!) .......................................................... 6 Growth / Value Stock Picks (1 FREE STOCK PICK!) .............................................................. 7 Speculative Stock Picks (1 FREE STOCK PICK!) .................................................................... 8 Target Prices of 30 other PSE Stocks (1 FREE STOCK!) ...................................................... 12 Stock in Focus: Ayala Corporation (AC) ................................................................................................ 15 Stock in Focus: Energy Development Corp. (EDC) ................................................................................ 19 Stock in Focus: GT Capital Holdings (GTCAP) ..................................................................................... 22 Stock in Focus: Metrobank (MBT) (FREE ACCESS!) ......................................................................... 25 Stock in Focus: Meralco (MER) .............................................................................................................. 28 Stock in Focus: Security Bank (SECB) ................................................................................................... 31 Corporate News and Disclosures (FREE Select companies!) ......................................................... 34 Technicals Talk: Puregold Price Club, Inc. (PGOLD) (FREE ACCESS!) ........................................... 40 Technicals Talk: First Philippine Holdings Corp (FPH) ....................................................................... 42 Technicals Talk: Energy Development Corp (EDC) ............................................................................... 44 Our Partner Brokers ............................................................................................................................................................. 46
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 3 * This section summarizes our partner brokers expected movement of the Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) in the coming week. Take note that the opinion primarily relies on Technical Analysis and may be useful only to short- term traders. Long-term investors may consider this weeks outlook but should remember that the information is short-term in nature and may not necessarily impact their long-term investing strategy.
THIS WEEKS MARKET OUTLOOK As of 18 November 2013
BROKER OPINION ISSUED ON SUPPORT RESISTANCE ANALYSIS AND RECOMMENDATION Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) First Metro Securities 15 Nov 2013 6,200 / 6,191 None given The market managed to hold above its support at 6,191 to 6,200 as it approached oversold conditions last week. However, traders should still be cautious as it is still vulnerable to continuing downward pressures.
ACTION: Those who are long may continue to lighten up on strength and look to buy back if the market forms a support base via a higher low. Counter-trend traders who bought the bounce may look to trade the range from 6,191 to 6,618. Keep stops on a break below 6,191.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 4 Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) AB Capital Securities 15 Nov 2013 6,300 6,500
While the main index recovered from its slump last Monday, movement has been cautious as earnings performance slowed down in the third quarter. Last week's trade established the sideways trading range between 6,200 and 6,650. With technical indicators at their oversold levels, the PSEi could make a comeback to 6,400 but external factors will still weigh, particularly the upcoming FOMC minutes.
ACTION: We place the immediate support at 6,300 and resistance at 6,500.
Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) F. Yap Securities / 2TradeAsia 15 Nov 2013 6,300 6,375 / 6,400
Investors will take their cue from trends overseas, especially given hints from the nominated Fed chief on the continuity of the US stimulus plan. How this will be undertaken, however, might still keep some fund managers afloat, as momentum could slow in case details remain lacking.
ACTION: Trade the range. Immediate support is 6,300, resistance at 6,370-6,400.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 5 GUIDE TO PINOYINVESTOR STOCK PICKS
STOCK PICKS MEANING TARGET INVESTORS TIME HORIZON APPLICABLE INVESTMENT STRATEGIES PSE index (PSEi) Stock Picks Top 10 stocks belonging to the PSE index with the highest number of Buy recommendations from our partner brokers, offering at least 12% potential profit Long-term investors looking to invest in companies with a good track record that can provide capital appreciation in the next 5-10 years Mid- to Long- term (at least 5-10 years) Buy and Hold or Cost Averaging Growth / Value Stock Picks Top 10 growth or value stocks outside the PSE index with the highest number of Buy recommendations from our partner brokers, offering at least 12% potential profit Long-term investors looking to invest in companies with high potential for growth or that are relatively undervalued Mid- to Long- term (at least 5-10 years) Buy and Hold or Cost Averaging Speculative Stock Picks Top 10 stocks considered high-risk or speculative, offering the highest possible profit among all stocks Speculative traders looking to make quick trades that can result in either huge gains or losses Short-term (may be 1 year or less) Market Timing
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 6 PSE INDEX (PSEI) STOCK PICKS As of 18 November 2013
* CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS ISSUE: INCREASE IN TARGET PRICE || DECREASE IN TARGET PRICE || CHANGE IN NUMBER OF RECOMMENDATIONS || NEWLY ADDED
Number of Brokers recommendations THIS WEEK All Prices in Philippine Peso (PHP) Number of Brokers recommendations Last Week
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 9 CHANGES IN COMPOSITION OF STOCK PICKS As of 18 November 2013
PSE index (PSEi) STOCK PICKS
DMCI Holdings (DMC) staged a price rally last week, closing at PHP53.00 on Friday a 5.8% increase in just one week. This caused the stock to inch closer to our partner Brokers Average Target Price, which narrowed further its Profit Potential and explains why DMC is dropping out of our Top 10 PSEi Stock Picks.
XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX (XXXX), meanwhile, is eased out of the stock picks after receiving a price and recommendation downgrade from our partner brokers. XXXX still offers a huge target return, though, with a Profit Potential of 27.62%.
Two new stocks are added to our PSEi Stock Picks this week: XXXX XXXX XXXX (XXXX) with a 12.27% Profit Potential and XXXX XXXX XXXX (XXXX) which offers a 22.22% potential return.
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 10 CHANGES IN COMPOSITION OF STOCK PICKS As of 18 November 2013
GROWTH / VALUE STOCK PICKS
A new stock XXXX XXXX XXXX XXX (XXXX) makes its debut in the Top 10 Growth/Value Stock Picks after several price declines in recent weeks render it relatively undervalued with a huge potential for profits. XXXX currently has a 2 (Buy) / 0 (Hold) / 0 (Sell) recommendation record from our partner brokers, offering a 48.92% target return.
XXXX replaces ABS-CBN Corp. (ABS) in the stock picks after the latter gained 4.4% in just one week! ABS is XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXX.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 11 CHANGES IN COMPOSITION OF STOCK PICKS As of 18 November 2013
SPECULATIVE STOCK PICKS
XXXX XXXX XXXX (XXXX) returns to the Top 10 Speculative Stock Picks after weeks of price declines made it relatively undervalued and more attractive compared to other speculative stocks. XXXX offers a huge profit potential of 48.99% versus its closing price on Friday.
It replaced XXXX XXXX XXXX (XXXX) which may not be part of the stock picks anymore but still provides a huge speculative target return of 46.96%.
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 12 * Looking for more stocks to invest in? Here are our partner brokers recommendations on 30 other Actively Traded PSE stocks. Take note that Target Prices are based on fundamental analysis, which means these stocks are typically intended for mid- to long-term investing. Stocks are arranged from highest to lowest Profit Potential %.
TARGET PRICES OF 30 OTHER PSE STOCKS As of 18 November 2013
* CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS ISSUE: INCREASE IN TARGET PRICE || DECREASE IN TARGET PRICE || CHANGE IN NUMBER OF RECOMMENDATIONS ||
Brokers recommendation THIS WEEK All Prices in Philippine Peso (PHP) Brokers recommendation Last Week
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 15 * The Stock in Focus section summarizes our partner brokers analyses of a particular stock. This explains the current stock performance, rationale for its target price, and future prospects.
STOCK IN FOCUS: AYALA CORPORATION (AC) As of 18 November 2013
Sector: Conglomerates Number of Brokers making the recommendation
STOCK CODE COMPANY BUY HOLD SELL Brokers Average Target Price Closing Price on Nov. 15, 2013 Potential Profit % Brokers Highest Target Price Brokers Lowest Target Price
AC Ayala Corp XX XX XX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX
AYALA CORP. (AC)s FINANCIAL AND VALUATION DATA (from Wealth Securities)
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 16 STOCK IN FOCUS: AYALA CORPORATION (AC) As of 18 November 2013
Summary of Broker Recommendations BROKER RECOM- MENDATION TARGET PRICE TARGET PRICE ISSUED ON SUMMARY OF BROKERS OPINION Wealth Securities XXXX XXXX 15 Nov 2013 AC reported core net income of PHP XXXX XXX which is XXX by XX% year-on-year (YoY) driven by XXXX XXXX XXXX XX in banking and property units, which saw profits go XXX by XlX% and XlX%, respectively.
XXXlX interest expenses XXX XXXX the healthy topline XXXX and EBIT margin XXXX XXXX in 3Q. Financing charges were XXXX by PHP2 billion to PHP7.2 billion, as borrowings XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. As a result, ACs core profit in 3Q was XXXX XXXX XXXX by XX% YoY.
AC will raise PHP10 billion in preferred shares this month with a rate of 5.25%. Proceeds will be used to XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. This brings cash at the parent level to ~US$1 billion.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 17
Key upside to ACs earnings and valuation would be the XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. AC is pursuing nearly XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX to meet increasing demand for base loads. XXXX XXX is undergoing commissioning and is targeted to operate early next year. Meanwhile, in infrastructure, its Daang Hari project continued to XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. Completion date has been XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX.
RECOMMENDATION: XXXX XXXX in Target Price and recommendation. Ayala Corporation (AC) is a XXllX, with a Target Price of PHP XXXX per share.
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 18
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 19 * The Stock in Focus section summarizes our partner brokers analyses of a particular stock. This explains the current stock performance, rationale for its target price, and future prospects.
STOCK IN FOCUS: ENERGY DEVELOPMENT CORP. (EDC) As of 18 November 2013
Sector: Power & Water Number of Brokers making the recommendation
STOCK CODE COMPANY BUY HOLD SELL Brokers Average Target Price Closing Price on Nov. 15, 2013 Potential Profit % Brokers Highest Target Price Brokers Lowest Target Price
EDC Energy Development Corp XX XX XX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX
ENERGY DEVT CORP. (EDC)s FINANCIAL AND VALUATION DATA (from AB Capital Securities)
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 20 STOCK IN FOCUS: ENERGY DEVELOPMENT CORP. (EDC) As of 18 November 2013
Summary of Broker Recommendations BROKER RECOM- MENDATION TARGET PRICE TARGET PRICE ISSUED ON SUMMARY OF BROKERS OPINION AB Capital Securities XXXX XXXX 12 Nov 2013 Super typhoon Yolanda battered the Visayas region two weeks ago, which XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. The XXXX Geothermal Field has four power plants: Malitbog (232.5 MW), Mahanagdong (180 MW), Tongonan (112.5 MW), and Upper Mahiao (125 MW). According to EDC, XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. The Leyte Geothermal Field accounts for 56% of total capacity and 40% of total revenues.
We estimate that there is approximately PHP XXXX XXXX in XXXX XXXX per day since the XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. We base this on a 75% load factor and an average price of PHP XXX per kilowatt hour (P/KWh). This is extremely important as if we assume that the XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX, 2013F profits
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 21 would be at PHP XXXX XXX which translates to a P/E of XlXx.
Our valuation is now at PHP XXlX from PHP XXlX. Cash flow-based valuations are XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. We likely see further XXXX XXXX for 2013 EPS given the XXXX XXXX. However, we think the target price XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX.
RECOMMENDATION: Our rating for EDC is XXlX as we continue to XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX and its XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. Target Price is now at PHP XXXX per share.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 22 * The Stock in Focus section summarizes our partner brokers analyses of a particular stock. This explains the current stock performance, rationale for its target price, and future prospects.
STOCK IN FOCUS: GT CAPITAL HOLDINGS (GTCAP) As of 18 November 2013
Sector: Conglomerates Number of Brokers making the recommendation
STOCK CODE COMPANY BUY HOLD SELL Brokers Average Target Price Closing Price on Nov. 15, 2013 Potential Profit % Brokers Highest Target Price Brokers Lowest Target Price
GTCAP GT Capital Holdings XX XX XX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX
GT CAPITAL HOLDINGS (GTCAP)s FINANCIAL AND VALUATION DATA (from Wealth Securities)
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 23 STOCK IN FOCUS: GT CAPITAL HOLDINGS (GTCAP) As of 18 November 2013
Summary of Broker Recommendations BROKER RECOM- MENDATION TARGET PRICE TARGET PRICE ISSUED ON SUMMARY OF BROKERS OPINION Wealth Securities XXXX XXXX 15 Nov 2013 GTCAP disclosed 9M (January to September) 2013 net income of PHP XXX XXX, which is XXX by XlX% YoY. This was on a XXX% XXX in revenues mainly brought about by the consolidation of Toyota and Global Business Power (GBP). Net margins XXXX due to the asset infusion. Excluding the non-recurring income of PHP XXXX XX, core profit amounted to a total of PHP XXXX XX, XXX by XXl% YoY. The profit represents XXl% of our PHP XXXXXXX full-year income estimate.
Excluding XXXX, all units delivered as expected. Of the component companies, only XXXX showed XXXX profits owing to XXXX XXXX XXXX. Toyota Motors Phils (+XX%), Federal Land (+XX%), Metrobank (+XlX%), and the insurance units (+XlX%) performed XXXX XXXX our estimates.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 24 With respect to the impact of the recent typhoon, management noted that XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. Both plants instituted XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX.
RECOMMENDATION: We are more cautious about the potential impact on GTCAPs XXXX XX businesses. Barring any significant adverse XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXX (which it recently folded into the company), we reiterate a XXXX reco on GTCAP.
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 25 * The Stock in Focus section summarizes our partner brokers analyses of a particular stock. This explains the current stock performance, rationale for its target price, and future prospects.
STOCK IN FOCUS: METROBANK (MBT) As of 18 November 2013
Sector: Banks & Financials Number of Brokers making the recommendation
STOCK CODE COMPANY BUY HOLD SELL Brokers Average Target Price Closing Price on Nov. 15, 2013 Potential Profit % Brokers Highest Target Price Brokers Lowest Target Price
METROBANK (MBT)s FINANCIAL AND VALUATION DATA (from AB Capital Securities)
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 26 STOCK IN FOCUS: METROBANK (MBT) As of 18 November 2013
Summary of Broker Recommendations BROKER RECOM- MENDATION TARGET PRICE TARGET PRICE ISSUED ON SUMMARY OF BROKERS OPINION AB Capital Securities BUY 105.60 11 Nov 2013 MBT was able to post 20% growth in Net Interest Income to PHP27.6 billion as loans grew 19% for the period. Top line figures are in line with our estimates. MBT's total deposits grew by 36% but this helped the bank record lower interest expense as these were mostly low-cost Current Account, Savings Account (CASA) deposits. On the credit side, the consumer segment is still the leading sector in the bank's portfolio.
Same as with other banks, MBT recorded high Non- Interest Income of PHP32.7 billion, or 72% up year-on- year, as trading and foreign exchange gains grew sharply. One-time asset sales also contributed to MBT's earnings for the period. The bank sold its 15% stake in Toyota Motor Philippines Corporation and 20% stake in Global Business Power Corporation.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 27
The bank is adequately prepared for the implementation of Basel III next year. Several asset sales done this year were in preparation for the more stringent requirements to be implemented on banks. Consolidated assets totaled PHP1.3 trillion and recorded a capital base of PHP137.9 billion. Meanwhile, non-performing loans (NPL) ratio was brought down further to 1.4% from 2.2% last year with NPL coverage of 140%.
RECOMMENDATION: MBT remains a steadily growing bank with valuations that are below local and regional peers. The bank's current P/E stands at 8.31x, far below its other Asian counterparts and local peers.
We revise our target to reflect its high nine-month earnings and increase in outstanding shares. Our Target Price is now at PHP105.60 per share with a BUY recommendation.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 28 * The Stock in Focus section summarizes our partner brokers analyses of a particular stock. This explains the current stock performance, rationale for its target price, and future prospects.
STOCK IN FOCUS: MERALCO (MER) As of 18 November 2013
Sector: Power & Water Number of Brokers making the recommendation
STOCK CODE COMPANY BUY HOLD SELL Brokers Average Target Price Closing Price on Nov. 15, 2013 Potential Profit % Brokers Highest Target Price Brokers Lowest Target Price
MER Meralco XX XX XX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX
MERALCO (MER)s FINANCIAL AND VALUATION DATA (from AB Capital Securities)
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 29 STOCK IN FOCUS: MERALCO (MER) As of 18 November 2013
Summary of Broker Recommendations BROKER RECOM- MENDATION TARGET PRICE TARGET PRICE ISSUED ON SUMMARY OF BROKERS OPINION AB Capital Securities XXXX XXXX 13 Nov 2013 MER reported nine-month net profits of PHP XXXX XXXX, XX XX% year-on-year (YoY) and makes up XXX% of our 2013 forecast. Last year nine-month (9M) profits made up XXl% of full year profits. Revenues, XXXX XXXXXX of our estimates at PHP XXXX XXX, XXX Xl% YoY. Since Gigawatt-hours (GWh) sales XX Xl%, this is attributable to a XXXX XXXX XXXX XX.
As disclosed to the stock exchange, MER purchased XX% of Global Business Power (GBP) worth PHP XXXX X. GBP has approximately XlX MW in capacity. Additional income from GBP should XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. Based on our estimates, it amounts to PHP XXXX XXX in 2013E and PHP XXXX XXX in 2014F. The cost of the stake is XXXX our fair value estimate for GBP (currently at PHP XXXX XXX) which means that change in valuation is XXXX XXXX XXXX.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 30
RECOMMENDATION: Our new Target Price for MER is at PHP XXXX after adjusting cash flow projections to end-2014. XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX was an important part of our assumption.
We maintain a XXlX rating on MER as we expect XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. This is all due to XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX.
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 31 * The Stock in Focus section summarizes our partner brokers analyses of a particular stock. This explains the current stock performance, rationale for its target price, and future prospects.
STOCK IN FOCUS: SECURITY BANK (SECB) As of 18 November 2013
Sector: Banks & Financials Number of Brokers making the recommendation
STOCK CODE COMPANY BUY HOLD SELL Brokers Average Target Price Closing Price on Nov. 15, 2013 Potential Profit % Brokers Highest Target Price Brokers Lowest Target Price
SECB Security Bank XX XX XX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX
SECURITY BANK (SECB)s FINANCIAL AND VALUATION DATA (from AB Capital Securities)
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 32 STOCK IN FOCUS: SECURITY BANK (SECB) As of 18 November 2013
Summary of Broker Recommendations BROKER RECOM- MENDATION TARGET PRICE TARGET PRICE ISSUED ON SUMMARY OF BROKERS OPINION AB Capital Securities XXXX XXXX 12 Nov 2013 SECBs Interest Income XXXX XXXX by XX% from PHP XXXX XXX to PHP XXXX XXX as of September 2013. Main driver for core revenues was XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX which XXXX XX by XXX%. Interest income from loans and receivables XXXX XXXX by XlX% while Financial investments XXXX by XXl%. Overall, Net Interest Income for the nine-month period was XXXX XX at PHP XXXX XXX, a XXXX XlX% growth as Interest Expense XXXX XXXX the top line.
SECB's industry-leading investment returns can be attributed to its XXXX XXXX XXXX but the XXXX XXXX XXXX this year as the bank posted XXXX XXXX XXX non-interest income, particularly its trading gains. XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXXXX in Q3
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 33 weighed on SECB's 9M XXXX XXX of PHP XXXlXXXX as compared to PHP XXXX XXX XXXl year-on-year. On the other hand, SECB finally booked trading gains on investment at amortized cost worth PHP XXXX XlX in Q3. Despite stable Interest Income, a much-needed boost from XXXX XXXX XXXX has XXXX XXX SECB's performance this year. We expect SECB's earnings to be XXXX by XXl% in 2013 with Return on Equity at XXl%, XXXX from the bank's XXl% benchmark.
RECOMMENDATION: We adjust our forecasts on Security Bank Corporation (SECB) as core revenues XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX.
Despite a Target Price revision from PHP XXXX, we place a aXXXX recommendation on SECB as we expect XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. SECB is on route to XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX but moving forward, the bank is poised for XXXX XXXX XXXX.
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 34 * Important news and updates last week about top Philippines companies are highlighted in this section. These developments can affect their respective stock prices so better read them to be in the know!
CORPORATE NEWS AND DISCLOSURES As of 18 November 2013
COMPANY / STOCK ANNOUNCED ON NEWS / DISCLOSURES Ayala Corporation (AC) 15 Nov 2013 Ayala Corporation's net income for 9M13 rose 20% YoY to PHP10.4 billion. Excluding the impact of Globe's accelerated depreciation (network modernization), core income rose to PHP12.3 billion. Strong performance of banking, property and water businesses resulted in equity earnings of PHP13.9 billion, up 26% YoY. Brokers (Wealth Securities) Analysis: Ayala Corporation's net income for 9M13 rose 20% YoY to PHP10.4 billion. Excluding the impact of Globe's accelerated depreciation (network modernization), core income rose to PHP12.3 billion. Strong performance of banking, property and water businesses resulted in equity earnings of PHP13.9 billion, up 26% YoY. Atlas Consolidated Mining & Development Corporation 14 Nov 2013 AT announced 9M13 core net income of PHP2.1 billion, up 21% YoY despite a 3% YoY decline in revenues to PHP11 billion due to lower realized copper metal prices. Reported net income is 20% lower YoY at PHP1.6 billion given the unrealized forex losses of PHP699 vs. the PHP434m in unrealized forex gains registered in
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 35 (AT) the same period last year. Its wholly-owned Carmen Copper Corp registered total output of 68.9 million pounds (+3% YoY) of copper metal concentrate and 15,188 ounces of gold (+50%). Brokers (Wealth Securities) Analysis: Taking out the XXXX XXXX XXXX, we thought the earnings XXXX XXXX XXXX. We also take note of ATs cash costs which XXXX XX XX% YoY to PHPXXXX XXXX. Output is also being XXXX XXX with average daily milling capacity XXXX almost XXXX tonnes per day in 3Q13 vs the XXXX tonnes per day for the year. As such, copper and gold shipment volumes XXXl by XX% and XXl% YoY during the quarter. BDO Unibank, Inc. (BDO) 14 Nov 2013 BDO disclosed today that it has signed a definitive agreement for the acquisition of Citibank Savings, Citi's thrift bank subsidiary in the Philippines. Based on the published balance sheet of Citibank Savings, the thrift bank had PHP XXXX XX in assets, PHPXXXXXXX in net loans, PHP XXXX XX in deposits and PHPXXXX XX in equity as of 30 Jun 2013. Citibank Savings has a total of 10 branches, 8 in Metro Manila and 2 in other cities. Brokers (Wealth Securities) Analysis: Citibank Savings is a XXXX XXXXX acquisition for BDO, which has PHP XXXX XXX in assets, PHP XXXX XXX in loans, PHP XXXX XXX in deposits and more than XXlX branches. However, the thrift bank caters to high net-worth individuals. Assuming that it can retain the upmarket clientele of Citi Savings, the acquisition will give BDO the XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. These may include XXXX, XXXX XXXX, and insurance products. To remove the blurred image and to access the full PinoyInvestor Stocks Report, click here to sign up for Premium Access.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 36 East West Banking Corporation (EW) 14 Nov 2013 EW yesterday disclosed 9M13 net income of PHP XXXX XXX, XXX XlX% YoY. This was driven by the XXl% growth in net interest income (PHP XXXX XX) and the XlX% XXX in non-interest income (PHP XXXX XX). Consumer and corporate loans XXXXXX by XX% and XXl% YoY, respectively. Total bank assets XXX by XXl% while deposits XXlX by XX%. XXXX of low-cost deposits (XXl%) outpaced the XX% XXXX of high-cost deposits. Thus, net interest margin XXXX XX to XXl%, roughly Xlx the industry average. Meanwhile, operating expenses increased XX% as the bank incurred additional costs related to its XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX program. The bank now has a total of XXX branches. It aims to increase its branch count to XXll by 1Q14 from only XXX in end-2011. Brokers (Wealth Securities) Analysis: EW's 9M13 earnings accounted for XXl% of our full-year forecasts. We continue to see EW as XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX that is financed by rising contribution of low-cost deposits. This should justify the relatively XXX costs related to its aggressive branch expansion program. Emperador, Inc. (EMP) 15 Nov 2013 EMPs core profit XXlX by XXl% on the back of XXXX XXXX of 22%. Outperformance was brought about by the sustained XXXX XXXX despite price increases effected earlier this year. EBITDA also slightly XXXX XX to XXX% in 9M13 from 29.5% a year ago. To remove the blurred image and to access the full PinoyInvestor Stocks Report, click here to sign up for Premium Access.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 37 Brokers (Wealth Securities) Analysis: We believe the strong brand equity that Emperador has been able to build has enabled it to XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX and more that has taken its toll on its XXXX XXXX while expanding its XXXX. Moreover, the company has a strong XXXX XXXX which it can leverage against its XXXX XXX and use for XXXX XXXX XXXX. It currently has a cash hoard of PHPXXXX XXX and XXXX XXXX debt. First Gen Corporation (FGEN) 15 Nov 2013 In a disclosure, First Gen Corp reported net income of US$XXXXXXXX in 9M13, XXXl by XXl% YoY on a XXl% XXXXX in revenues. The latter arose from XXXX XXXX from ancillary services of First Gen Hydro and the XXl% XXXX X in revenues from First Gas plants due to XXXX XXXX of the plants and XXXX average gas prices. XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. The XXXXXXXX also came amid the higher stake in First Gas after FGEN acquired the 40% stake of the BG Group. Taking out the extraordinary items, recurring income XXlX by XXl% YoY to US$ XXXX XXX. Brokers (Wealth Securities) Analysis: The results came at XXX% of our full-year earnings. In this light, XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. To remove the blurred image and to access the full PinoyInvestor Stocks Report, click here to sign up for Premium Access.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 38 GT Capital Holdings, Inc. (GTCAP) 15 Nov 2013 GT Capital Holdings Inc reported that its net income for 9M13 XXXX by XlX% to PHP XXXX XXX as revenues XXXX by XXX% to PHP XXXX XXX. The XXXX XXX revenues came as a result of the consolidation of a greater stake in Toyota Motor Philippines. All subsidiaries XXXX XXXX in net income except XXXX XXXX XXXX whose bottomline was XXXX XXXX XXXX. Brokers (Wealth Securities) Analysis: GTCAP's profit XXXXXXXX was anchored on key acquisitions that were folded into its financials early this year: TMP and GBP. The company's core profit represents XXl% of our PHP XXXX XXX full-year income estimate, XXXXXXXX with consensus numbers. There were service disruptions in GBP's power plants situated in Visayas, but XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX. We reiterate our XXXX call on GTCAP. Megaworld Corporation (MEG) 14 Nov 2013 MEG announced a XXX% YoY XXXlX in 9M13 net income to PHPXXXX XXX. This came on a XXX% XXXX in revenues to PHPXXXX XXX. Total group presales XXXX by XlX% YoY to PHPXXX XXXX of which PHP40.3 billion pertain to MEGs own projects. No further details were given.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 39 Brokers (Wealth Securities) Analysis: The numbers indicate a XXXXXXXX in 3Q13 during which we compute the earnings growth at XXX% vs. 17% in 1H13. MEG has yet to submit its detailed financial statements but we believe that the XXXX XXXX XXX may be partly due to XXXX XXXX XXX in connection with the U$250m in new XXXX XXXX XXXX. At any rate, MEGs 9M13 net earnings are still XXXX XXXX (XXl%) of the full-year market consensus forecast. We will put out a more detailed note pending the release of the financial statements and after the briefing. Puregold Price Club, Inc. (PGOLD) 15 Nov 2013 Puregold reported earnings of PHP XXXX XXX in 9M13 and PHPXXX XXXX for 3Q13, XXX by XXX%YoY. 3Q13 net earnings grew at a XXXX pace of XXl% YoY on revenue growth of XXl% to PHP XXXX XX. Operating margin XXX a bit to XXl% in 3Q13 vs. 7.07% in 1H13 as opex XXXX by XX% thus XXXX revenue growth. Brokers (Wealth Securities) Analysis: Growth momentum has XXXX XXXX since 1Q13 as the acquisition and consolidation of SNR in 2Q12 XXXX XXXX XXXX XXXX XXX. We believe that XXXX XXXX major acquisitions, growth of PGOLD earnings will XXXX XXXX XX. Security Bank Corporation (SECB) 15 Nov 2013 SECB disclosed that it received BSP's approval for the declaration of a PHP0.50 per share regular semestral cash dividend and another PHP0.50 per share special cash dividend. The record date for SECB's PHP1.00 per share cash dividend is on XXXX XXXX while the ex-date is on XXXX XXXX. The payment date for the dividend is on 27 Dec 2013. To remove the blurred image and to access the full PinoyInvestor Stocks Report, click here to sign up for Premium Access.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 40 * The Technicals Talk section summarizes our partner brokers technical analysis of select PSE stocks. Technical Analysis relies on trends and price movements and is typically used for short-term trading. To learn more about Technical Analysis, access the free educational resources at the PinoyInvestor Academy.
TECHNICALS TALK: PUREGOLD PRICE CLUB, INC. (PGOLD) As of 18 November 2013
INDEX / STOCK BROKER OPINION ISSUED ON SUPPORT RESISTANCE ANALYSIS AND RECOMMENDATION Puregold Price Club, Inc. (PGOLD) First Metro Securities 15 Nov 2013 43.70 46.20 PGOLD has been in consolidation in the past month as it rose sharply in September to mid-October. A bullish falling wedge could be in the works.
ACTION: Wait for the stock to reverse its current downtrend line before buying. Resistance is at PHP46.20 while support is at PHP43.70. To remove the blurred image and to access the full PinoyInvestor Stocks Report, click here to sign up for Premium Access.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 41
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 42 * The Technicals Talk section summarizes our partner brokers technical analysis of select PSE stocks. Technical Analysis relies on trends and price movements and is typically used for short-term trading. To learn more about Technical Analysis, access the free educational resources at the PinoyInvestor Academy.
TECHNICALS TALK: FIRST PHILIPPINE HOLDINGS CORP (FPH) As of 18 November 2013
INDEX / STOCK BROKER OPINION ISSUED ON SUPPORT RESISTANCE ANALYSIS AND RECOMMENDATION First Philippine Holdings Corp. (FPH) First Metro Securities 14 Nov 2013 XXXX XXXX FPH XXXX XXXX, following its XXXXX in the past months.
ACTION: XXXX XXXX XXXX. Look for the stock to XXXX XXXX first before XXXX. The next support is at PHP XXXX while resistance is at PHP XXXX. To remove the blurred image and to access the full PinoyInvestor Stocks Report, click here to sign up for Premium Access.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 43
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 44 * The Technicals Talk section summarizes our partner brokers technical analysis of select PSE stocks. Technical Analysis relies on trends and price movements and is typically used for short-term trading. To learn more about Technical Analysis, access the free educational resources at the PinoyInvestor Academy.
TECHNICALS TALK: ENERGY DEVELOPMENT CORP (EDC) As of 18 November 2013
INDEX / STOCK BROKER OPINION ISSUED ON SUPPORT RESISTANCE ANALYSIS AND RECOMMENDATION Energy Development Corporation (EDC) First Metro Securities 13 Nov 2013 XXXX XXXX EDC retests support at PHP XXX, as sharp XXXX in the past days XXXX XXXX.
ACTION: XXXX XXXX. Buy at XXXX XXX and sell on XXXX. Support levels are at PHPXXX and PHP XXX. Resistance levels are at PHP XXX and PHP XXX. To remove the blurred image and to access the full PinoyInvestor Stocks Report, click here to sign up for Premium Access.
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 45
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 46 ABOUT PINOYINVESTOR.COM
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17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 47 ABOUT F. YAP SECURITIES, INC. / 2TRADEASIA.COM
F. Yap Securities, Inc. / 2TradeAsia.com is one of PinoyInvestors partners in delivering superior and reliable stock research reports and recommendations that Filipino investors can depend on for smart stock investing decisions.
Company Profile Yapster e-Trade, Inc., through its website, www.2TradeAsia.com, is the online arm of F. Yap Securities, Inc. The company was granted pioneer status by the Board of Investments on February 2001 as the first in the Philippines to provide a complete solution that integrates trading, financial planning and portfolio management capabilities online. 2TradeAsia provides the following online services: Internet-based stock market trading; Real-time ticker and quotes; Philippine and international news; Daily, weekly and quarterly market commentary and outlook; Corporate features; and Portfolio and account management.
Definition of F. Yap Securities, Inc. / 2TradeAsia.coms Stock Ratings Buy Stocks with sustainable and strong fundamentals. Target price is seen to be reached within the next 12 months. Hold Stocks that are trading near or at fair value. Sell Stocks with unfavorable valuations and fundamentals due to risks or uncertainties within the next 6-12 months.
Contact Information F. YAP SECURITIES, INC. 17/F Lepanto Bldg., 8747 Paseo de Roxas Makati City 1226 Tel.: (632) 856-7680 / (632) 840-8330 Fax: (632) 813-0865 Email: info@2tradeasia.com Website: www.2tradeasia.com
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 48 ABOUT FIRST METRO SECURITIES BROKERAGE CORPORATION
First Metro Securities Brokerage Corporation is one of PinoyInvestors partners in delivering superior and reliable stock research reports and recommendations that Filipino investors can depend on for smart stock investing decisions.
Company Profile First Metro Securities Brokerage Corporation (FirstMetroSec) is a stockbrokerage house licensed to trade in the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE). Our company is wholly-owned by First Metro Investment Corporation (FMIC), the investment banking arm of the Metropolitan Bank and Trust Company (Metrobank). At FirstMetroSec, we strive to provide our clients with easy and convenient access to the listed securities in the PSE, coupled with timely and accurate market research, as well as investor education programs. By fulfilling this mission, we hope to provide equal investment opportunities for all Filipinos.
Definition of First Metro Securities Brokerage Corporations Stock Ratings Buy Stocks total return is estimated to be greater than the total return of the Phil. Stock Exchange index (PSEi) over the next 12 months. Hold Stocks total return is estimated to be in line with the total return of the PSEi over the next 12 months. Sell Stocks total return is estimated to be lower than the total return of the PSEi in the next 12 months.
Contact Information FIRST METRO SECURITIES BROKERAGE CORPORATION 18/F PSBank Center, 777 Paseo de Roxas cor. Sedeno St. Makati City 1226 Tel.: (632) 859-0600 Fax: (632) 859-0699 Email: customerservice@firstmetrosec.com.ph Website: www.firstmetrosec.com.ph/
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 49 ABOUT WEALTH SECURITIES, INC.
Wealth Securities is one of PinoyInvestors partners in delivering superior and reliable stock research reports and recommendations that Filipino investors can depend on for smart stock investing decisions.
Company Profile Wealth Securities Inc. is a leading stock brokerage in the Philippines and member of the Philippine Stock Exchange. It has ranked among the top 20 brokerages in the Philippines since its incorporation in November 1986. In 2000, Wealth received the Euro Money Award for Excellence as the "Best Domestic Securities House in the Philippines". Wealth caters to both retail and institutional clients in the Philippines and overseas. With over 25 years of experience in equity securities, its research team is often quoted in local newspapers and journals for their stock picks and coverage of mid-to-large cap stocks. Over the years, Wealth has developed a reputation for having a keen eye in spotting small companies with sound fundamentals and strong growth potential.
Definition Wealth SecuritiesStock Ratings Buy Over the next 6 to 12 months, share price is expected to increase by 12% or more Hold Over the next 6 to 12 months, share price is expected to move within a range +/- 12% Sell Over the next 6 to 12 months, share price is expected to decline by 12% or more
Contact Information WEALTH SECURITIES INC. 2103-A East Tower, Philippine Stock Exchange Center Exchange Road, Ortigas Center Pasig City 1605 Email: office@wealthsec.com Website: https://www.wealthsec.net
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 50 ABOUT AB CAPITAL SECURITIES, INC.
AB Capital Securities, Inc. is one of PinoyInvestors partners in delivering superior and reliable stock research reports and recommendations that Filipino investors can depend on for smart stock investing decisions.
Company Profile AB Capital Securities, Incorporated (ABCSI), formerly Anscor Hagedorn Securities, Inc. or AHSI, has long been one of the Philippines' leading stock brokerage firms. Today it takes pride in being one of the pioneers in online stock trading. With over thirty years of industry presence, AB Capital Securities, Inc. has become a major player in the Philippine financial markets. The firm consistently ranks among the country's top brokerages in terms of turnover.
Definition of AB Capital Securities, Inc.s Stock Ratings Buy Stocks return is expected to outperform its industry counterparts Hold Stock price has reached its Fair Value level Sell Stocks return is expected to underperform compared to its industry counterparts
Contact Information AB CAPITAL SECURITIES, INC. Units 1401-1403, 14th Floor Tower One & Exchange Plaza Ayala Triangle, Ayala Avenue Makati City, Metro Manila 1226 Tel.: (632) 898-7555 Fax: (632) 898-7596 Email: customerservice@abcapital.com.ph Website: www.abcapitalsecurities.com.ph
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 51 ABOUT ANGPING & ASSOCIATES SECURITIES, INC.
Angping & Associates Securities, Inc. is one of PinoyInvestors partners in delivering superior and reliable stock research reports and recommendations that Filipino investors can depend on for smart stock investing decisions.
Company Profile Angping & Associates Securities, Inc. (AASI) is a full-service stock brokerage firm in the Philippines offering a wide array of client services and support products. The company is one of the leading stock brokerages in the country as it has consistently ranked among the top brokers in terms of turnover since its inception. Guided by its mission to increase the number of Filipinos investing in the Philippine stock market, AASI offered online brokerage services to widen its reach and increase the accessibility of its services to Filipinos around the world. The company offers services like online trading, trading via traditional brokers, and provision of various research reports.
Definition of Angping & Associates Securities, Inc.s Stock Ratings Buy Stocks with discounts to their intrinsic valuation. Hold Stocks with at least an acceptable financial performance. They are also stocks with share prices that have exceeded their chosen valuations already. Sell Stocks with dim future prospects and poor financial performance.
Contact Information ANGPING & ASSOCIATES SECURITIES, INC. 20/F The Peak, 107 L.P. Leviste St. Salcedo Village, Makati City 1225 Tel.: (632) 848-2915 Fax: (632) 848-2572 Email: angping.online@angping.com.ph, it@angping.com.ph Website: www.angpingonline.com
17 Nov 2013 | www.pinoyinvestor.com | Back to Top | page 52 DISCLAIMER
The contents of this document are not to be construed as an offer, invitation, solicitation, advertisement, inducement or representation of any kind. The information contained herein is not to be relied upon as authoritative or taken in substitution for the exercise of judgment by any recipient. The information in this report is not intended as financial advice. The information and opinions found herein constitute a judgement of our partner brokers as of the date indicated and are subject to change without notice. The information may, therefore, not be accurate or current.
Readers of this report should be aware that investments in securities, such as stocks or other financial instruments, involve risks. Loss of capital is a possibility. Past results are not and cannot be a guarantee of future performance.
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