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E c o n o m i c &

S o c i a l

Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

United Nations
New York, 2011

A f f a i r s

World Population Prospects


The 2010 Revision

ST/ESA/SER.A/313

Department of Economic and Social Affairs


Population Division

World Population Prospects


The 2010 Revision
Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

United Nations
New York, 2011

DESA
The Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations
Secretariat is a vital interface between global policies in the economic, social and
environmental spheres and national action. The Department works in three
main interlinked areas: (i) it compiles, generates and analyses a wide range of
economic, social and environmental data and information on which States
Members of the United Nations draw to review common problems and take
stock of policy options; (ii) it facilitates the negotiations of Member States in
many intergovernmental bodies on joint courses of action to address ongoing
or emerging global challenges; and (iii) it advises interested Governments on the
ways and means of translating policy frameworks developed in United Nations
conferences and summits into programmes at the country level and, through
technical assistance, helps build national capacities.

Note
The designations employed in this report and the material presented in it do
not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the
Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country,
territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its
frontiers or boundaries.
Symbols of United Nations documents are composed of capital letters
combined with figures.
This publication has been issued without formal editing.

Suggested citation:
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population
Division (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I:
Comprehensive Tables. ST/ESA/SER.A/313.

PREFACE
This report presents the highlights of the results of the 2010 Revision of the official United Nations
population estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of
Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. The 2010 Revision constitutes the
twenty second round of the global population estimates and projections produced by the Population
Division since 1951.
The 2010 Revision breaks new ground in the production of population projections. It is the first
standard Revision to include projections up to 2100 for all countries and areas of the world. Previous
Revisions presented country projections only for the period ending in 2050. In order to extend the
projection period to 2100, a new method for the projection of fertility had to be developed. The
method used in the 2010 Revision is based on the advances made in projecting fertility since the
2000 Revision, advances that have been combined with a probabilistic approach to yield the future
paths of fertility used in producing the medium variant of the 2010 Revision. The standard output of
the 2010 Revision does not, however, include fully probabilistic projections. The standard output of
the 2010 Revision includes only the usual projection variants and scenarios included in other
Revisions of World Population Prospects.
The full results of the 2010 Revision are presented in two volumes. The first volume provides
comprehensive tables displaying key demographic indicators for each development group, major
area, region and country for selected periods or dates within 1950-2100. The second volume contains
demographic profiles presenting time series and plots covering the period from 1950 to 2100 for
selected indicators for each country with at least 100,000 inhabitants in 2010 as well as for
development groups, major areas and regions. This volume provides, for each country and area, a
brief description of the data sources and demographic methods used to make the base-year estimates
for each country or area. Key findings of the 2010 Revision are also included in each volume
together with the projections assumptions, and a wall chart provides summary indicators for the most
recent period.
The detailed results of the 2010 Revision are made available through a variety of media. The
Population Divisions website provides access to the comprehensive data organized in Excel files as
well as to an interactive database allowing the user to obtain specific information on a few countries
at a time. The website can be accessed at www.unpopulation.org. Users requiring the complete
results of the 2010 Revision can purchase them on CD-ROM/DVD. A description of the data
contained in the different CD-ROMs available and an order form are posted on the Population
Divisions web site.
Responsibility for the 2010 Revision rests with the Population Division. In preparing the 2010
Revision, the Population Division relied on the collaboration of the regional commissions, especially
the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, and that of UNAIDS, the
specialized agencies and other relevant bodies of the United Nations system. The Statistics Division
of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, through its
United Nations Demographic Yearbook and its accompanying databases, provided access to official
national population statistics used in the preparation of the 2010 Revision. The Population Division is
grateful for the contributions made by all these entities.
For further information about the 2010 Revision, please contact Ms. Hania Zlotnik, Director,
Population Division, United Nations, New York, NY 10017, USA (Fax: 1 212 963 2147).

iii

CONTENTS
Page

Preface ............................................................................................................................................................ iii


Explanatory Notes ............................................................................................................................................. viii
Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................................................

xv

Chapters
I.

WORLD POPULATION TRENDS ..............................................................................................................


A. Population size and growth ..........................................................................................................
B. Population age composition .........................................................................................................

1
1
3

II.

FERTILITY ............................................................................................................................................ 11

III.

MORTALITY AND THE DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT OF HIV/AIDS............................................................... 17


A. Trends and prospects in world mortality ........................................................................................ 17
B. The demographic impact of AIDS .................................................................................................. 18

IV.

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION................................................................................................................ 25

V.

ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING THE 2010 REVISION ................................................................................


A. Fertility assumptions: convergence toward total fertility below replacement level .....................
B. Mortality assumptions: increasing life expectancy except when affected by HIV/AIDS ............
C. International migration assumptions ............................................................................................
D. Eight projection variants ..............................................................................................................
E. Methodological changes introduced in the 2010 Revision...........................................................

27
27
35
37
37
38

VI.

ORDERING THE DATA ON CD-ROM ..................................................................................................... 41

VII.

LIST OF PREVIOUS REVISION................................................................................................................. 77

VIII.

SUMMARY TABLES .............................................................................................................................. 79

TABLES
No.

I.1.
I.2.
I.3.
I.4.
I.5.
I.6.
II.1.
II.2.

Page

Population of the world, major development groups and major areas, 1950, 1975, 2011, 2050
and 2100, according to different variants ............................................................................................ 2
Percentage distribution of the world population by development group and major area,
estimates and projections according to different variants, 1950-2100 ................................................ 2
Average annual rates of change of the population of the world and major areas, 1950-1980,
5
1980-2011, 2011-2050 and 2050-2100 for different variants ..................................................................
Median age in years for the world and major areas, 1950, 1980, 2011, 2050 and 2100,
according to different variants............................................................................................................. 5
Average annual rates of change of the total population and the population in broad age groups
by major area, 2011-2050 and 2050-2100........................................................................................... 7
Distribution of the population of the world and major areas by broad age groups, 2010,
2050 and 2100 (percentage) ................................................................................................................ 8
Estimated and projected total fertility for the world, major development groups and major areas,
1970-1975, 1990-1995, 2005-2010, 2045-2050 and 2095-2100 according to different variants ........ 11
Distribution of the world population as well as countries and areas according to the level of
total fertility in selected periods (medium variant) ............................................................................. 12

iv

No.

III.1.
III.2.
III.3.
IV.1.
V.1.

Page

Life expectancy at birth for the world, major development groups and major areas, 2005-2010
and 2045-2050.....................................................................................................................................
Life expectancy by sex for the world and major development groups, 2005-2010 and
2045-2050 ...........................................................................................................................................
Difference in projected population in the medium variant versus a no-AIDS scenario for groups
of affected countries, 2010, 2015 and 2050 and 2100 .........................................................................
Average annual net number of migrants per decade by development group and major area,
1950-2050 (medium variant) ...............................................................................................................
Projection variants in terms of assumptions for fertility, mortality and international migration.........

17
20
21
26
38

FIGURE
No.

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.

Page

Population of the world, 1950-2100, according to different projections and variants ........................
Average annual rate of population change for the world and the major development
groups, 1950-2100...............................................................................................................................
Total fertility trajectories for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2010 estimation
and 2010-2100 projection (medium variant) ......................................................................................
Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2050 ......................
Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major areas, 1950-2050 ..............................................
Under-five mortality for the world and selected regions, 1950-2050..................................................
Percentage distribution of deaths by age, Southern Africa, 1985-1990 and 2005-2010 .....................
Population in 2015, with AIDS and without AIDS, by sex and age group, Southern Africa ..............
Schematic phases of the fertility transition .........................................................................................
Total fertility decrements and projection intervals of double-logistic curves for Algeria ..................
Probabilistic trajectories of projected total fertility (2010-2100) for Algeria ....................................
Total fertility decrements and projection intervals of double-logistic curves for Kenya ....................
Probabilistic trajectories of projected total fertility (2010-2100) for Kenya (adjusted) ......................
Probabilistic trajectories of projected total fertility (2010-2100) for Kazakhstan (adjusted) ..............

xix
4
15
21
22
22
23
23
29
30
31
32
33
34

ANNEX TABLES
SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS
Population size and growth
A.1.
A.2.
A.3.
A.4.
A.5.
A.6.
A.7.
A.8.
A.9.
A.10.

Total population at mid-year by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100......
Total population at mid-year by major area and region: high variant, 2010-2100 ..................................
Total population at mid-year by major area and region: low variant, 2010-2100 ...................................
Total population at mid-year by major area and region: constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100...............
Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: estimates and medium
variant, 1950-2100 ..................................................................................................................................
Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: high variant, 2010-2100 .............
Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: low variant, 2010-2100 ..............
Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: constant-fertility
variant, 2010-2100 ..................................................................................................................................
Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: estimates and medium
variant, 1950-2100 ..................................................................................................................................
Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: high variant, 2010-2100 ....................
v

146
148
149
150
152
154
155
156
158
168

No.

A.11.
A.12.
A.13.
A.14.
A.15.
A.16.
A.17.
A.18.

Page

Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: low variant, 2010-2100 .....................
Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: constant-fertility variant,
2010-2100 ...............................................................................................................................................
Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: estimates
and medium variant, 1950-2100..............................................................................................................
Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: high variant,
2010-2100 ...............................................................................................................................................
Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: low variant,
2010-2100 ...............................................................................................................................................
Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country:
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100 .......................................................................................................
Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country: estimates, 1995-2010 .....
Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country: medium
variant, 2010-2030 ..................................................................................................................................

174
180
186
196
202
208
214
224

Fertility
A.19.
A.20.
A.21.
A.22.
A.23.
A.24.

Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ............
Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2100 ..................
Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2100 ...................
Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ................
Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2100 ......................
Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2100 .......................

234
244
254
264
274
284

Mortality
A.25.
A.26.
A.27.
A.28.
A.29.
A.30.

Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ...........
Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and high variant, 1950-2100 .................
Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and low variant, 1950-2100 ..................
Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2100.......
Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2100 ............
Under-five mortality by major area, region and country: estimates and projections 1995-2100 ............

294
304
314
324
356
366

Population age composition and dependency ratios


A.31.
A.32.
A.33

Population by broad age group, major area, region and country: estimates and medium
variant, 1950-2100 ..................................................................................................................................
Population in school ages by major area, region and country: estimates and medium
variant, 1950-2100 ..................................................................................................................................
Dependency ratios by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 .......

vi

372
412
460

EXPLANATORY NOTES
The following symbols have been used in the tables throughout this report:
Two dots (..) indicate that data are not available or are not reported separately.
A hyphen (-) indicates that the item is not applicable.
A minus sign (-) before a figure indicates a decrease.
A full stop (.) is used to indicate decimals.
Years given refer to 1 July.
Use of a hyphen (-) between years, for example, 1995-2000, signifies the full period involved,
from 1 July of the first year to 1 July of the second year.
Numbers and percentages in tables do not necessarily add to totals because of rounding.

References to countries, territories and areas:


The designations employed and the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion
whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country,
territory or area or its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
The designation more developed and less developed regions are intended for statistical purposes and
do not express a judgment about the stage reached by a particular country or area in the development
process. The term country as used in this publication also refers, as appropriate, to territories or areas.
More developed regions comprise all regions of Europe plus Northern America, Australia/New Zealand
and Japan. Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), and Latin
America and the Caribbean as well as Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Countries or areas in the more
developed regions are designated as developed countries. Countries or areas in the less developed
regions are designated as developing countries.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions
(59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55) include 48 countries in 2011: 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania
and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. Those 48 countries are: Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh,
Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic
Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau,
Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali,
Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, So Tom and Prncipe, Senegal,
Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of
Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These countries are also included in the less developed regions.
The group denominated other less developed countries comprises all countries in the less developed
regions minus the least developed countries.
The term sub-Saharan Africa is used to designate the countries in Africa that exclude those in Northern
Africa but include Sudan.
Countries and areas are grouped geographically into six major areas designated as: Africa; Asia; Europe;
Latin America and the Caribbean; Northern America, and Oceania. These major areas are further divided
into 21 geographical regions.
The names and composition of geographical areas follow those presented in Standard country or area
codes for statistical use (ST/ESA/STAT/SER.M/49/Rev.3), available at
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/methods/m49/m49.htm.

vii

The following abbreviations have been used:

AIDS

Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome

ART

Antiretroviral therapy

DESA

Department of Economic and Social Affairs

HIV

Human immunodeficiency virus

MDGs

Millennium Development Goals

SAR

Special Administrative Region

UNAIDS Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS

viii

CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES BY MAJOR AREA


AND REGION OF THE WORLD
Africa
Eastern Africa

Middle Africa

Northern Africa

Western Africa

Burundi
Comoros
Djibouti
Eritrea
Ethiopia
Kenya
Madagascar
Malawi
Mauritius 2
Mayotte
Mozambique
Runion
Rwanda
Seychelles*
Somalia
Uganda
United Republic of
Tanzania 4
Zambia
Zimbabwe

Angola
Cameroon
Central African Republic
Chad
Congo
Democratic Republic of the
Congo
Equatorial Guinea
Gabon
So Tom and Prncipe

Algeria
Egypt
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya
Morocco
Sudan 1
Tunisia
Western Sahara

Benin
Burkina Faso
Cape Verde
Cte dIvoire
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Liberia
Mali
Mauritania
Niger
Nigeria
Saint Helena 3 *
Senegal
Sierra Leone

Southern Africa
Botswana
Lesotho
Namibia
South Africa
Swaziland

Togo

Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3
Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
4
Including Zanzibar.
2

ix

CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued)

Asia
Eastern Asia

South-Central Asia

South-Eastern Asia

Western Asia

Brunei Darussalam
Cambodia
Indonesia
Lao Peoples Democratic
Republic
Malaysia 13
Myanmar
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
Timor-Leste
Viet Nam

Armenia
Azerbaijan 9
Bahrain
Cyprus 11
Georgia 12
Iraq
Israel
Jordan
Kuwait
Lebanon
Occupied Palestinian
Territory 14
Oman
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Syrian Arab Republic
Turkey
United Arab Emirates
Yemen

Central Asia
China 7
China, Hong Kong SAR 8
China, Macao SAR 10
Democratic Peoples
Republic of Korea
Japan
Mongolia
Republic of Korea

Kazakhstan
Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan
Turkmenistan
Uzbekistan
Southern Asia
Afghanistan
Bangladesh
Bhutan
India
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Maldives 15
Nepal
Pakistan
Sri Lanka

Includes other non-specified areas


The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
7
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of
China.
8
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
10
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
11
Including Northern-Cyprus.
12
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia
13
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
14
Including East Jerusalem.
15
Including Transnistria.
6

CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued)

Europe
Southern Europe

Eastern Europe

Northern Europe

Belarus
Bulgaria
Czech Republic
Hungary
Poland
Republic of Moldova
Romania
Russian Federation
Slovakia
Ukraine

Channel Islands 16
Denmark
Estonia
Faeroe Islands*
Finland 17
Iceland
Ireland
Isle of Man*
Latvia
Lithuania
Norway 19
Sweden
United Kingdom of Great
Britain and Northern
Ireland 21

Albania
Andorra*
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Croatia
Gibraltar*
Greece
Holy See 18 *
Italy
Malta
Montenegro
Portugal
San Marino*
Serbia 20
Slovenia
Spain 22
The former Yugoslav
Republic of Macedonia 23

16

Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.


Including land Islands.
18
Refers to the Vatican City State.
19
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
20
Including Kosovo.
21
Also referred to as United Kingdom.
22
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla
23
Also referred to as TFYR Macedonia.
17

xi

Western Europe
Austria
Belgium
France
Germany
Liechtenstein*
Luxembourg
Monaco*
Netherlands
Switzerland

CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued)

Latin America and the Caribbean


Caribbean

Central America

South America

Anguilla*
Antigua and Barbuda*
Aruba
Bahamas
Barbados
British Virgin Islands*
Cayman Islands*
Cuba
Dominica*
Dominican Republic
Grenada
Guadeloupe 24
Haiti
Jamaica
Martinique
Montserrat*
Netherlands Antilles 25
Puerto Rico
Saint Kitts and Nevis*
Saint Lucia
Saint Vincent and the
Grenadines
Trinidad and Tobago
Turks and Caicos Islands*
United States Virgin
Islands

Belize
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Guatemala
Honduras
Mexico
Nicaragua
Panama

Argentina
Bolivia
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Ecuador
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)*
French Guiana
Guyana
Paraguay
Peru
Suriname
Uruguay
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)

24
25

Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).


Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius

xii

CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued)

Northern America
Bermuda*
Canada
Greenland*
Saint Pierre and Miquelon*
United States of America

Oceania
Australia/New Zealand

Melanesia

Micronesia

Polynesia 26

Australia 27
New Zealand

Fiji
New Caledonia
Papua New Guinea
Solomon Islands
Vanuatu

Guam
Kiribati*
Marshall Islands*
Micronesia
(Federated States of)
Nauru*
Northern Mariana Islands*
Palau*

American Samoa*
Cook Islands*
French Polynesia
Niue*
Samoa
Tokelau*
Tonga
Tuvalu*
Wallis and Futuna Islands*

Sub-Saharan Africa
Angola
Benin
Botswana
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cameroon
Cape Verde
Central African Republic
Chad
Comoros
Congo

Cte d'Ivoire
Democratic Republic
of the Congo
Djibouti
Equatorial Guinea
Eritrea
Ethiopia
Gabon
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau

Kenya
Lesotho
Liberia
Madagascar
Malawi
Mali
Mauritania
Mauritius
Mayotte
Mozambique
Namibia

Niger
Nigeria
Runion
Rwanda
Saint Helena
So Tom and Prncipe
Senegal
Seychelles
Sierra Leone
Somalia
South Africa

NOTE: Countries with a population of less than 100,000 in 2010 are indicated by an asterisk (*).
26
27

Including Pitcairn.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.

xiii

Sudan
Swaziland
Togo
Uganda
United Republic
of Tanzania
Zambia
Zimbabwe

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The 2010 Revision is the twenty second round of official United Nations population estimates and
projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the
United Nations Secretariat. These are used throughout the United Nations system as the basis for
activities requiring population information. The 2010 Revision builds on the 2008 Revision and
incorporates the results of the 2000 and 2010 round of national population censuses as well as of recent
specialized surveys carried around the world. These sources provide both demographic and other
information to assess the progress made in achieving the internationally agreed development goals,
including the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). The comprehensive review of past worldwide
demographic trends and future prospects presented in the 2010 Revision provides the population basis for
the assessment of those goals.
According to the 2010 Revision of the official United Nations population estimates and projections,
the world population is projected to reach 7 billion in late 2011, surpass 9 billion people by 2050 and
exceed 10 billion in 2100 (figure 1).
Most of the additional 3 billion people from now to 2100 will enlarge the population of developing
countries, which is projected to rise from 5.7 billion in 2011 to 8.0 billion in 2050 and to 8.8 billion in
2100, and will be distributed over the whole period among the population aged 15-59 (1.2 billion) and 60
or over (1.9 billion) because the number of children under age 15 in developing countries will decrease.
In contrast, the population of the more developed regions is expected to change minimally, passing
from 1.24 billion in 2011 to 1.34 billion in 2100, and would have declined to 1.11 billion were it not for
the projected net migration from developing to developed countries, which is projected to average 2.2
million persons annually from 2011 to 2050 and 0.8 million from 2050 to 2100.
The results of the 2010 Revision incorporate the findings of the most recent national population
censuses and of numerous specialized population surveys carried out around the world. The 2010
Revision provides the demographic data and indicators to assess trends at the global, regional and national
levels and to calculate many other key indicators commonly used by the United Nations system.
Population in developing countries still young
Currently the population of the less developed regions is still young, with children under age 15
accounting with 29 per cent of the population and young persons aged 15 to 24 accounting for a further
18 per cent. In fact, the numbers of children and young people in the less developed regions are at an all
time high (1.6 billion children and 1.0 billion young people), posing a major challenge for their countries,
which are faced with the necessity of providing education or employment to large cohorts of children and
youth even as the current economic and financial crisis unfolds. The situation in the least developed
countries is even more pressing because children under 15 constitute 40 per cent of their population and
young people account for a further 20 per cent.
In the more developed regions, children and youth account for just 17 per cent and 13 per cent of
the population, respectively, and whereas the number of children is expected to change little in the future,
remaining close to 218 million in 2050 and 226 in 2100; the number of young people is projected to
decrease from 156 million currently to 144 million in 2050 and then slight increase to 151 million in
2100.
In both the more and the less developed regions, the number of people in the main working ages, 25
to 59, is at an all time high: 606 million and 2.5 billion, respectively. Yet, whereas in the more developed
regions that number is expected to peak over the next decade and decline thereafter reaching 531 millions
xiv

in 2050 and 525 million in 2100, in the less developed regions it will continue rising, reaching 3.6 billion
in 2050 and 3.7 billion in 2100 and increasing by nearly half a billion over the next decade. These
population trends justify the urgency of supporting employment creation in developing countries as part
of any strategy to address the global economic crisis that the world is experiencing.
Globally, population aged 60 or over is the fastest growing
Furthermore, the implications of population ageing cannot be dismissed. In the more developed
regions, the population aged 60 or over is increasing at the fastest pace ever (growing at 2.4 per cent
annually before 2050 and 0.7 per cent annually from 2050 to 2100) and is expected to increase by more
than 50 per cent over the next four decades, rising from 274 million in 2011 to 418 million in 2050 and to
433 million in 2100. Compared with the more developed world, the population of the less developed
regions is ageing rapidly. Over the next three decades, the population aged 60 or over in the developing
world is projected to increase at rates far surpassing 3 per cent per year and its numbers are expected to
rise from 510 million in 2011 to 1.6 billion in 2050 and to 2.4 billion in 2100.
Projected trends are contingent on fertility declines in developing countries
Population ageing results mainly from declining fertility. According to the 2010 Revision, fertility in
the less developed regions as a whole is expected to drop from 2.67 children per woman in 2005-2010 to
2.19 in 2045-2050 and to 2.02 in 2095-2100. The reduction projected for the group of 48 least developed
countries is even steeper: from 4.41 children per woman to 2.76 children per woman in 2045-2050 and to
2.13 in 2095-2100. To achieve such reductions, it is essential that access to family planning expands,
particularly in the least developed countries. Around 2009, the use of modern contraceptive methods in
the least developed countries was a low 25 per cent among women of reproductive age who were married
or in union and a further 24 per cent of those women had an unmet need for family planning. The urgency
of realizing the projected reductions of fertility is brought into focus by considering that, if fertility were
to remain constant at the levels estimated for 2005-2010, the population of the less developed regions
would increase to 9.7 billion in 2050 and to 25.8 billion in 2100 instead of the 8.0 billion and 8.8 billion
projected by assuming that fertility declines. That is, without further reductions of fertility, the world
population by 2100 could increase by nearly six times as much as currently expected.
Projected growth linked to sustained progress in HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment
The projected population trends also depend on achieving a major increase in the proportion of
AIDS patients who get anti-retroviral therapy to treat the disease and on the success of efforts to control
the further spread of HIV.
In the 2010 Revision, the impact of the epidemic was modeled in 48 countries where adult HIV
prevalence reached 1 per cent or higher at some point during 1980-2010 or where the number of people
living with HIV/AIDS was at least half a million in 2009. Among those 48 countries, 37 are in Africa and
15 had an adult HIV prevalence of at least 5 per cent in 2010.
The 2008 Revision modeled the impact of HIV/AIDS in 58 affected countries, eleven of which have
been dropped from the list of affected countries in the 2010 Revision because their HIV prevalence was
revised downward (Barbados, Brazil, Cambodia Dominican Republic, Estonia, Honduras, Mauritius,
Papua New Guinea, Sudan, Trinidad and Tobago, Ukraine) and one has been added (Gambia). In
projecting the effect of the disease, it has been assumed that 41 of the affected countries will manage to
provide by 2015 anti-retroviral treatment to 70 per cent or more of the adult persons suffering from AIDS
and that another five will reach treatment levels ranging from 50 per cent to 70 per cent by 2015. In the
rest of the affected countries, treatment levels are expected to be lower, reaching between 40 per cent and
50 per cent by 2015.
xv

However, the realization of these new projections depends on sustained funding for HIV/AIDS
prevention and treatment programmes in the affected countries, funding that is highly dependent on the
commitment of donor countries and needs to be maintained despite the global economic downturn.
The full results of the 2010 Revision will be issued in a series of three volumes. A wallchart 28 was
already published. Data on particular countries can also be accessed online at the website of the
Population Division (www.unpopulation.org).

2010 Revision of World Population Prospects


Key Findings
1.

In July 2011, the world population will reach 6.97 billion, 467 million more than in 2005 or a gain
of 77 million persons annually. Assuming that fertility levels continue to decline, the world
population is expected to reach 9.3 billion in 2050 and 10.1 billion in 2100 and to be increasing by
about 35 million persons annually by 2100, according to the medium variant.

2.

Future population growth is highly dependent on the path that future fertility takes. In the medium
variant, fertility declines from 2.52 children per woman in 2005-2010 to 2.17 children per woman
in 2045-2050. If fertility were to remain about half a child above the levels projected in the medium
variant, world population would reach 10.6 billion by 2050 and 15.8 billion by 2100. A fertility
path half a child below the medium would lead to a population of 8.1 billion by mid-century and
6.2 billion by the end of the century. Consequently, population growth until 2050 is inevitable even
if the decline of fertility accelerates.

3.

In the more developed regions, fertility has increased slightly in recent years so that its estimated
level in 2005-2010, 1.66 children per woman, according to the 2010 Revision is higher than the one
reported in the 2008 Revision (1.64 children per woman). As a result of the slightly higher projected
fertility and a sustained net in-migration averaging 2.2 million annually from 2011 to 2050 and 0.8
million from 2050 to 2100, the population of the more developed regions is expected to increase
slightly from 1.24 billion in 2011 to 1.31 billion in 2050 and to 1.34 billion.

4.

The population of the 48 least developed countries is still the fastest growing in the world, at 2.5 per
cent per year. Although its rate of increase is expected to moderate significantly over the next
decades, the population of the least developed countries is projected to double, passing from 0.85
billion in 2011 to 1.7 billion in 2050 and to 2.7 billion in 2100. Growth in the rest of the developing
world is also projected to be robust, though less rapid, with its population rising from 4.9 billion in
2011 to 6.3 billion 2050 and then slightly declining to 6.1 billion in 2100 according to the medium
variant.

5.

Slow population growth brought about by reductions in fertility leads to population ageing, that is, it
produces populations where the proportion of older persons increases while that of younger persons
decreases. In the more developed regions, 22 per cent of population is already aged 60 years or over
and that proportion is projected to reach 32 per cent in 2050 and 33 in 2100. In developed countries
as a whole, the number of older persons has already surpassed the number of children (persons
under age 15), and by 2050 and 2100 the number of older persons in developed countries will be
nearly twice the number of children.

28

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011). World Population 2010.
Wallchart (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.09.XIII.2).
xvi

Figure 1. Population of the world, 1950-2100, according to different projections and variants
30

Population (Billions)

25

20

15

10

0
1950 1960

1970 1980

1990 2000 2010

2020 2030

2040 2050 2060

2070 2080

2090 2100

Year

Medium

Low

High

Constant fertility

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat
(2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

6.

Population ageing is less advanced in developing countries. Nevertheless, the populations of a


majority of them are poised to enter a period of rapid population ageing. In developing countries as
a whole, just 9 per cent of the population is today aged 60 years or over but that proportion will
more than double by 2050, reaching 20 per cent that year, and more than triple in 2100, reaching 30
per cent that year.

7.

Globally, the number of persons aged 60 or over is expected to more than triple by 2100, increasing
from 784 million in 2011 to 2 billion in 2050 and 2.8 billion in 2100. Furthermore, already 65 per
cent of the worlds older persons live in the less developed regions and by 2050, 79 per cent will do
so. By 2100, this figure will reach 85 per cent.

8.

In ageing populations, the numbers of persons with older ages grow faster the higher the age range
considered. Thus, whereas the number of persons aged 60 or over is expected to almost triple, that
of persons aged 80 or over (the oldest-old) is projected to increase almost eight-fold, to reach 402
million in 2050 and 792 million in 2100. Today, just about half of the oldest-old live in developing
countries but that share is expected to reach 69 per cent in 2050.

9.

Although the population of all countries is expected to age over the foreseeable future, the
population will remain relatively young in countries where fertility is still high, many of which are
experiencing very rapid population growth. High population growth rates prevail in many
developing countries, most of which are least developed. Between 2011 and 2100, the populations
of 32 countries, the majority of which are least developed, will triple or more. Among them, the
populations of Burkina Faso, Malawi, Mali, Niger, Somalia, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania
and Zambia are projected to increase by 500 per cent or more by 2100.

xvii

10. In sharp contrast, the populations of 49 countries or areas are expected to decrease between 2011
and 2050, 44 of which are expected to continue to decrease between 2050 and 2100. These
countries include Belarus, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cuba, Georgia, Japan, Latvia,
Lithuania, Portugal, Republic of Moldova, Romania, the Russian Federation, Serbia, Ukraine and
United States Virgin Islands, all of which are expected to see their populations decline by at least 10
per cent by 2050. Including those 44 countries, the populations in a total of 123 countries or areas
are expected to decrease between 2050 and 2100, 22 of which are expected to see their populations
decline by at least 20 per cent in that period.
11. Population growth remains concentrated in the populous countries. During 2011-2100, six countries
are expected to account for half of the worlds projected population increase: India, Nigeria, the
United States of America, the Democratic Republic of Congo, the United Republic of Tanzania and
Uganda, listed according to the size of their contribution to global population growth.
12. Fertility has continued to fall in the vast majority of countries in the less developed regions. The
number of developing countries with high fertility (5 children or more per woman) declined from
59 in 1990-1995 to 27 in 2005-2010, and their share of the world population dropped from 13 per
cent to 8 per cent. Over the same period, the number of developing countries with fertility levels
that do not ensure the replacement of the population increased from 13 to 32.
13. Most developed countries have had below-replacement fertility (below 2.1 children per woman) for
two or three decades. Among the 45 developed countries with at least 100,000 inhabitants in 2011,
42 had below-replacement fertility in 1990-1995 and all of them in 2005-2010. However, between
the 2000-2005 and 2005-2010, 35 developed countries experienced slight increases in fertility. For
the more developed regions as a whole, total fertility increased from 1.57 to 1.66 children per
woman between those two periods. Yet, in 2005-2010, 25 developed countries, including Japan and
most of the countries in Southern and Eastern Europe, still had fertility levels below 1.5 children per
woman.
14. In 2005-2010, the 76 countries with below-replacement fertility accounted for 47 per cent of the
world population. The most populous developing countries with below replacement fertility are
China, Brazil, Viet Nam, the Islamic Republic of Iran, Thailand and the Republic of Korea, in order
of population size.
15. Globally, total fertility is expected to fall from 2.52 children per woman in 2005-2010 to 2.17 in
2045-2050 and to 2.03 in 2095-2100 according to the medium variant. However, in the more
developed regions, total fertility is projected to increase from 1.66 children per woman currently to
1.97 in 2045-2050 and 2.07 in 2095-2100. A major reduction of fertility is projected for the group
of least developed countries (from 4.41 to 2.76 children per woman in 2045-2050 and to 2.13 in
2095-2100) and the fertility of the rest of the developing world is expected to drop from 2.41
children per woman currently to 2.00 in 2045-2050 and 1.97 in 2095-2100, thus nearly converging
to the fertility levels by then typical of the developed world.
16. The median age, that is, the age that divides the population in two halves of equal size, is an
indicator of population ageing. Globally, the median age is projected to increase from 29 to 38 years
between 2011 and 2050 and from 38 to 42 years between 2050 and 2100. Europe has today the
oldest population, with a median age of nearly 40 years, which is expected to reach 46 years in 2050
and then slightly decline to 45 years.

xviii

17. The median age is higher in countries that have been experiencing low fertility for a long time. In
2010, 18 developed countries or areas had a median age of 40 years or higher, up from 11 in 2005.
Among developing countries or areas, only Hong Kong SAR China reached median ages above.
The pervasiveness of population ageing will increase by 2050 when all 45 developed countries are
projected to have median ages higher than 40 years and 55 developing countries will also have
similarly high median ages. Between 2050 and 2100 another 57 developing countries will have such
high median ages. Whereas today about 6 per cent of the world population lives in countries where
median ages are 40 years or higher, the equivalent proportions in 2050 and 2100 are projected to be
41 per cent and 68 per cent, respectively.
18. Countries where fertility remains high and has declined only moderately will experience the slowest
population ageing. By 2050, slightly more than one in five countries is projected to have a median
age under 30 years (49 countries). The youngest populations will be found among the least
developed countries, eighteen of which are projected to have median ages below 25 years in 2050.
However, the pace of population aging in these countries after 2050 will speed-up. By 2100 only
three countries (Malawi, Somalia and Zambia) are expected to have median age under 30 years with
Zambia the youngest having a median age of 26.4 years.
19. Increasing longevity also contributes to population ageing. Globally, life expectancy at birth is
projected to rise from 68 years in 2005-2010 to 76 years in 2045-2050 and to 81 years in 20952100. In the more developed regions, the projected increase is from 77 years in 2005-2010 to 83
years in 2045-2050 and to 88 years in 2095-2100, while in the less developed regions the increase is
expected to be from 66 years currently to 74 years by mid-century and 80 years by the end of the
century.
20. Life expectancy remains low in the least developed countries, at just 57 years in 2005-2010, and
although it is projected to reach 69 years in 2045-2050 and 77 years in 2095-2100, realizing such
increase is contingent on reducing the spread of HIV and combating successfully other infectious
diseases. Similar challenges must be confronted if the projected increase of life expectancy in the
rest of the developing countries, from under 68 years today to 76 years by mid-century and to 81
year by the end of the century, is to be achieved.
21. A major concern is that most developing countries are unlikely to meet the goal of reducing underfive mortality by two-thirds between 1990 and 2015, as called for in the Millennium Development
Goals. According to the 2010 Revision, 138 of the 153 developing countries with more than
100,000 inhabitants in 2011 will not reach that goal. Furthermore, 62 developing countries, located
mainly in sub-Saharan Africa or belonging to the group of least developed countries, are projected
to have in 2015 an under-five mortality higher than 45 deaths per 1000, the less demanding target
set by the Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development.
22. Among the more developed regions, Eastern Europe has the lowest life expectancy and it has
experienced reductions in life expectancy at birth since the late 1980s. In 2005-2010 life expectancy
in the region increased somewhat but at 69.7 years was lower than it had been in 1970-1975 (71.5
years). Despite having recorded some recovery since the late 1990s, Republic of Moldova, the
Russian Federation and Ukraine have currently the lowest life expectancies among developed
countries (below 70 years).

xix

23. Although the HIV/AIDS epidemic continues to be a major issue of concern in the global health
agenda, adult HIV prevalence reached a peak over the past decade or so in at least 85% of the 48
countries considered to be most affected by the epidemic and a growing number of them are
reaching and maintaining lower prevalence levels. Nevertheless, in countries where prevalence has
been high, the impact of the epidemic in terms of morbidity, mortality and slower population
growth continues to be evident. Thus, in Southern Africa, the region with the highest prevalence of
the disease, life expectancy has fallen from 61 years in 1990-1995 to 51 years in 2005-2010 and is
only recently beginning to increase. Nevertheless, life expectancy in the region is not expected to
recover the level it had in the early 1990s before 2035. As a consequence, the growth rate of the
population in the region has plummeted, passing from 2.4 per cent annually in 1990-1995 to 1.0 per
cent annually in 2005-2010 and is expected to continue declining for the foreseeable future.
24. Given the low fertility prevailing in developed countries, deaths are expected to exceed births over
the foreseeable future. Consequently, the population of the more developed regions would be
decreasing if the excess of deaths over births were not counterbalanced by a net migration gain.
During 2010-2050, the net number of international migrants to more developed regions is projected
to be 87 million, whereas the excess of deaths over births is 11 million, implying an overall growth
of 76 million. During 2050-2100, the net number of international migrants to more developed
regions is projected to be 49 million, whereas the excess of deaths over births is 24 million,
indicating an overall growth of 25 million.
25. In 2005-2010, net migration in three countries or areas more than doubled the contribution of
natural increase (births minus deaths) to population growth: Italy, Portugal and Japan. In addition,
in a further 29 countries or areas, net migration counterbalanced totally the excess of deaths over
births.
26. In terms of annual averages, the major net receivers of international migrants during 2010-2050 are
projected to be the United States (924.000 annually), Canada (183,000), Spain (163,000), Italy
(144,000) and the United Kingdom (143,000) . The major countries of net emigration are projected to
be China (-357,000 annually), India (-241,000), Mexico (-210,000), Pakistan (-194,000), Indonesia (153,000) the Philippines (-152,000) and Bangladesh (-119,000). During 2050-2100, the major net
receivers of international migrants are projected to be the United States (378,000 annually), Italy
(79,000) and Canada (76,000); whereas the major net senders are projected to China (208,000
annually), India (101,000), Pakistan (83,000), the Philippines (64,000) and Bangladesh (63,000).
Although the current economic crisis may reduce migration flows in comparison to those registered
over the recent past, the major economic and demographic asymmetries that will persist are likely to
remain powerful generators of international migration over the medium-term future.

xx

I. WORLD POPULATION TRENDS


A. POPULATION SIZE AND GROWTH
On 1 July 2011, the world population reached more than 6.9 billion with 5.7 billion (or 82 per cent
of the worlds total) living in the less developed regions (table I.1). Out of these, 851 million reside in the
48 least developed countries and account for 12.2 per cent of the world population. More developed
countries, whose total population amounts to 1.2 billion inhabitants, account for 17.8 per cent of the
world population (table I.2).
According to the medium variant, the world population is projected to reach 9.3 billion persons by
2050, that is, 2.3 billion more than in 2011, an increase close to the combined populations of China and
India today. Most of this growth will be absorbed by developing countries. Between 2011 and 2050, the
population of the more developed regions will remain largely unchanged at 1.3 billion inhabitants, but the
population of the less developed regions is projected to rise from 5.7 billion in 2011 to 8 billion in 2050.
At the same time, the population of the least developed countries is projected more than to double, from
851 million inhabitants in 2011 to more than 1.7 billion in 2050. Consequently, by 2050, 85.9 per cent of
the world population is expected to live in the less developed regions, including 18.6 per cent in the least
developed countries, whereas only 14.1 per cent will live in the more developed regions.
According to the medium variant, the world population is projected to reach 10.1 billion persons by
2100, that is, 3.1 billion more than in 2011, but only 819 million more than in 2050. During the second
part of the 21st century, the growth of the world population will have occurred mainly in the less
developed regions. The population of the more developed regions will remain stable at 1.3 billion, but the
population of the less developed regions is projected to rise from 8 billion in 2050 to 8.8 billion in 2100.
The population growth in the less developed regions will indeed happen among the least developed
countries whose population is projected to increase by almost 964 million between 2050 and 2100. By
2100, almost 87 per cent of the world population is expected to live in the less developed regions,
including 27 per cent in the least developed countries. By 2100, the least developed countries as a group
would account for 31 per cent of the population living in the less developed regions, up from 15 per cent
in 2011 and 22 per cent in 2050.
The world population in 2050 would be substantially higher if the decline in fertility projected in the
medium variant fails to be realized. If fertility were to remain constant at current levels in all countries,
world population would increase significantly by 2050, reaching 10.9 billion. In the high variant, where
fertility is assumed to remain mostly half a child higher than in the medium variant, the world population
in 2050 would reach 10.6 billion persons. In the low variant, where fertility is projected to be half a child
lower than in the medium variant, world population would still grow, but only to reach 8.1 billion by
2050. According to the low variant, the population of the least developed countries would nearly double,
to reach 1.5 billion by 2050, but the population of the more developed regions would decline to 1.16
billion.
Most of the world population lives in a few countries. In 2011, 37 per cent of the world population
lived in China and India. A further eight countries accounted for a further 22 per cent of the earths
inhabitants, namely, the United States of America, Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Nigeria, Bangladesh, the
Russian Federation and Japan, in order of population size (tables S.1 and S.3). However, most of the
countries of the world have small populations. Thus, 73 per cent of the 229 countries or areas covered by
the 2010 Revision had populations with fewer than 20 million inhabitants in 2011 and, as a group, they
account for 10 per cent of the worlds population.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE I.1. POPULATION OF THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 1950, 1975, 2011, 2050 AND 2100, ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT VARIANTS

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Major area
World.................................................

Population (millions)
1950
1980
2011
2 532
4 453
6 974

Population in 2050 (millions)


Low Medium
High Constant
8 112
9 306
10 614
10 943

Population in 2100 (millions)


Low Medium
High Constant
6 177
10 125
15 805
26 844

More developed regions ....................


Less developed regions......................
Least developed countries..............
Other less developed countries ......

811
1 721
196
1 525

1 081
3 372
394
2 978

1 240
5 734
851
4 883

1 158
6 955
1 517
5 437

1 312
7 994
1 726
6 268

1 478
9 136
1 952
7 184

1 252
9 691
2 434
7 257

830
5 347
1 772
3 576

1 335
8 790
2 691
6 100

2 037
13 768
3 954
9 813

1 090
25 754
12 430
13 325

Africa.................................................
Asia ...................................................
Europe ...............................................
Latin America and the Caribbean ......
Northern America..............................
Oceania..............................................

230
1 403
547
167
172
13

483
2 638
693
362
254
23

1 046
4 207
739
597
348
37

1 932
4 458
632
646
396
49

2 192
5 142
719
751
447
55

2 470
5 898
814
869
501
62

2 997
5 908
672
863
444
60

2 378
2 624
405
385
342
42

3 574
4 596
675
688
526
66

5 198
7 522
1 056
1 154
777
98

14 959
9 530
482
1 252
512
110

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United
Nations.

TABLE I.2. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE WORLD POPULATION BY DEVELOPMENT GROUP AND MAJOR AREA,
ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT VARIANTS, 1950-2100
Major area
More developed regions .........................
Less developed regions...........................
Least developed countries...................
Other less developed countries ...........
Africa......................................................
Asia.........................................................
Europe ....................................................
Latin America and the Caribbean ...........
Northern America ...................................
Oceania...................................................

1950

1980

2011

32.0
68.0
7.7
60.2

24.3
75.7
8.8
66.9

17.8
82.2
12.2
70.0

Low
14.3
85.7
18.7
67.0

9.1
55.4
21.6
6.6
6.8
0.5

10.8
59.2
15.6
8.1
5.7
0.5

15.0
60.3
10.6
8.6
5.0
0.5

23.8
54.9
7.8
8.0
4.9
0.6

2050
Medium High
14.1
13.9
85.9
86.1
18.6
18.4
67.4
67.7
23.6
55.3
7.7
8.1
4.8
0.6

23.3
55.6
7.7
8.2
4.7
0.6

Constant
11.4
88.6
22.2
66.3

Low
13.4
86.6
28.7
57.9

27.4
54.0
6.1
7.9
4.1
0.5

38.5
42.5
6.6
6.2
5.5
0.7

2100
Medium High
13.2
12.9
86.8
87.1
26.6
25.0
60.2
62.1
35.3
45.4
6.7
6.8
5.2
0.7

32.9
47.6
6.7
7.3
4.9
0.6

Constant
4.1
95.9
46.3
49.6
55.7
35.5
1.8
4.7
1.9
0.4

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision.
New York: United Nations.

By 2021, the population of India is projected to surpass that of China and the two will account then
for about 36.1 per cent of the world population. By 2050, five least developed countriesBangladesh, the
Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, the United Republic of Tanzania and Ugandawill be
among the twenty most populous countries in the world. By 2100, among the twenty most populous
countries in the world, nine will be least developed countriesthe United Republic of Tanzania, the
Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, Bangladesh, Ethiopia, Zambia, Niger, Malawi and Sudan
(tables S.2 and S.3).
Increments in the world population are also largely concentrated in a few countries, generally the
most populous. Thus, during 2011-2050, eight countriesIndia, Nigeria, Pakistan, the United Republic
of Tanzania, the United States, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia and Philippines, in order of
population incrementare expected to account for half of the projected population increase at the world
level (table S.5).
Over most of human history, the world population grew very slowly if at all. Growth rates began
increasing slowly during the 17th or 18th centuries as mortality started to decline. With accelerating gains
in longevity, the growth rate of the world population increased, especially during the 20th century, when it
reached a peak at 2 per cent per year in 1965-1970 (figure 2). Since then, the speed of population growth
has been decelerating, largely as a result of falling fertility in the developing world. By 2005-2010, the
population growth rate at the world level had reached 1.16 per cent per year and is projected to decline to
0.44 per cent per year by 2045-2050 and 0.06 by 2095-2100 (table S.7).
However, because fertility decline has not occurred simultaneously in all countries, the pace of
population growth still differs considerably among development groups. Thus, whereas today the
population of the more developed regions is rising at an annual rate of 0.41 per cent, that of the less
developed regions is increasing almost four times as fast, at 1.33 per cent annually, and the least
developed countries as a group are experiencing even more rapid population growth, at 2.21 per cent per
year. Such differences are expected to persist until 2050 (table I.3). By that time, according to the medium
variant, the population of the more developed regions will be nearly stagnating, whereas the population of
the less developed regions will still be rising at an annual rate of 0.50 per cent per year. More importantly,
the population of the least developed countries will likely be increasing at a robust annual rate of 1.42 per
cent in 2045-2050, a rate that, if maintained, would lead to a doubling of the population every 49 years
(figure 2). During the second half of the 21st century, the population of the less developed regions will
reach a very low annual rate of population growth, similar to that of the more developed regions. Yet, the
population growth rate of the least developed countries, albeit declining, will still amount to 0.53 per cent
per year in 2095-2100, a rate that would produce a doubling of the population every 131 years.
B. POPULATION AGE COMPOSITION
The primary demographic consequence of fertility decline, especially if combined with increases in
life expectancy, is population ageing, a process whereby the proportion of older persons in the population
increases and that of younger persons declines. In 1950, just 8 per cent of the world population was aged
60 years or over. By 2011 that proportion had risen to 11.2 per cent and it is expected to reach 22 per cent
in 2050 (table I.6). Globally, the number of older persons (aged 60 years or over) will increase by a factor
of 2.6, passing from 784 million in 2011 to more than 2 billion in 2050. In contrast, the number of
children (persons under age 15) is projected to decline over the next 40 years, passing from 1.85 billion in
2011 to 1.91 billion in 2050 and their share of the total population will drop from 26.6 per cent in 2011 to
20 per cent in 2050. During the second half of the 21st century, the number of older persons (aged 60
years or over) will increase by a further 600 million, to reach 2.8 billion in 2100, and the number of
children will decrease by 200 million, to reach 1.8 billion in 2100.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Figure 1. Average annual rate of population change for the world and the
major development groups, 1950-2100 (medium variant)

Average annual rate of change (percentage)

3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100

World
Less developed regions

Period

More developed regions


Least developed countries

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat
(2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

Increases in the median age, the age at which half the population is older and half is younger than
that age, are indicative of population ageing (table I.4). In 2011, 22 countries, all of them developed
countries except for Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China, had a median age higher than
40 years. Japan led the group with a median age of 45.0 years, followed closely by Germany, with median
age of 44.7 years, and Italy, with median age of 43.5 years (tables S.10 and S.11). In contrast, the median
ages of Niger and Uganda in 2011 were below 16 years, making their populations the youngest on the
planet.
By 2050, 100 countries are expected to have a median age above 40 years, 56 of which are located
in the developing world. That is, population ageing, which is already pervasive in developed countries, is
expected to be common in the developing world of the future and is projected to occur more rapidly in
developing countries than it did in their developed counterparts. In 2100, it is anticipated that 158
countries will have a median age above 40 years, more than two thirds of which will be located in the
developing world.
Despite the general trend toward population ageing, countries that still have relatively high fertility
will have a younger population than the rest in 2050 (table I.6). Most least developed countries are in this
group. In 2050, nine least developed countries are projected to have the youngest populations on Earth,
with median ages below 24 years. They are: Zambia, Malawi, Niger, Somalia, the United Republic of
Tanzania, Uganda, Mali, Burkina Faso, Nigeria and Chad, in increasing order according to the value of
their respective median ages (table S.10). Because the least developed countries are expected to continue
having some of the highest fertility levels on Earth after 2050, their populations will remain among the
youngest in 2100. By that date, the median ages of the populations of Zambia, Somalia, Malawi, Niger,
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE I.3. AVERAGE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE OF THE POPULATION OF THE WORLD AND MAJOR AREAS, 1950-1980, 1980-2011, 2011-2050 AND 2050-2100 FOR DIFFERENT
VARIANTS (PERCENTAGE)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

2011-2050
1950-2011

Major area

1950-1980

1980-2011

Low

Medium

High

2050-2100
Constant

Low

Medium

High

Constant

World....................................................

1.66

1.88

1.45

0.38

0.72

1.05

1.12

-0.54

0.17

0.80

1.79

More developed regions........................


Less developed regions.........................
Least developed countries.................
Other less developed countries .........

0.70
1.97
2.41
1.91

0.96
2.24
2.32
2.23

0.44
1.71
2.49
1.59

-0.17
0.49
1.45
0.27

0.14
0.83
1.77
0.62

0.44
1.16
2.07
0.96

0.02
1.31
2.62
0.99

-0.67
-0.53
0.31
-0.84

0.03
0.19
0.89
-0.05

0.64
0.82
1.41
0.62

-0.28
1.95
3.26
1.22

Africa....................................................
Asia.......................................................
Europe ..................................................
Latin America and the Caribbean .........
Northern America .................................
Oceania .................................................

2.48
1.80
0.49
2.08
1.16
1.76

2.47
2.10
0.79
2.57
1.31
1.98

2.49
1.51
0.21
1.61
1.01
1.55

1.54
0.15
-0.39
0.20
0.33
0.68

1.85
0.50
-0.07
0.58
0.63
0.99

2.15
0.84
0.24
0.94
0.91
1.28

2.63
0.85
-0.24
0.92
0.61
1.19

0.42
-1.06
-0.89
-1.03
-0.29
-0.28

0.98
-0.22
-0.13
-0.18
0.33
0.35

1.49
0.49
0.52
0.57
0.88
0.91

3.22
0.96
-0.66
0.75
0.28
1.22

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York:
United Nations.

TABLE I.4. MEDIAN AGE IN YEARS FOR THE WORLD AND MAJOR AREAS, 1950, 1980, 2011, 2050 AND 2100 ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT VARIANTS
Median age (years)
Major area

Median age in 2050

Median age in 2100

1950

1980

2011

Low

Medium

High

Constant

Low

Medium

High

Constant

World................................................... 23.9

23.1

29.4

42.2

37.9

33.6

32.5

49.7

41.9

35.5

25.1

More developed regions ......................


Less developed regions........................
Least developed countries................
Other less developed countries ........

29.0
21.5
19.3
21.8

32.0
20.2
17.5
20.5

39.9
27.2
19.9
28.5

49.4
41.0
30.6
43.8

44.3
36.8
27.8
39.3

39.2
32.7
25.2
34.7

46.2
30.7
20.4
34.2

53.3
49.1
42.6
52.4

44.4
41.5
36.6
43.7

37.5
35.2
31.6
36.6

48.6
24.1
18.2
29.5

Africa...................................................
Asia......................................................
Europe .................................................
Latin America and the Caribbean ........
Northern America ................................
Oceania................................................

19.2
22.1
29.7
20.1
29.8
28.0

17.5
21.2
32.7
20.1
30.0
26.6

19.8
29.5
40.3
27.9
37.3
32.9

29.1
45.7
51.1
46.1
45.0
42.4

26.4
41.0
45.7
41.0
40.4
37.9

24.1
36.1
40.3
35.7
35.9
33.8

19.9
35.9
48.6
35.8
40.6
35.1

41.7
54.8
53.8
57.6
51.8
51.6

35.9
45.3
44.7
46.6
43.5
43.3

31.0
37.7
37.5
37.8
36.9
36.8

18.4
31.7
52.1
35.4
44.1
32.1

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects:
The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Refers only to countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2011.

the United Republic of Tanzania, Burkina Faso, Guinea-Bissau, Nigeria and Mali will be the lowest on
Earth, all being below 35 years.
The more developed regions have been leading the process of population ageing and their
experience provides a point of comparison for the expected ageing of the population of the less developed
regions. In 1950, the number of children (persons under age 15) in the more developed world was more
than twice the number of older persons (those aged 60 years or over), with children accounting for 27.3
per cent of the total population and the elderly for only 11.7 per cent. By 2011, the proportion of older
persons in the more developed regions had surpassed that of children (22.1 per cent versus 16.5 per cent)
and in 2050, the proportion of older persons is expected to be about double that of children (31.9 per cent
versus 16.3 per cent). In 2050, the number of older persons in more developed regions is projected to be
more than four times their number in 1950 (418 million versus 95 million) while the number of children
is projected to decline slightly from 222 million in 1950 to 218 million in 2050. Because the fertility of
the more developed regions is projected to increase, albeit slowly, over most of the projection period,
population ageing will slow down. As a result, between 2050 and 2100 the number of older persons in the
more developed regions is expected to increase by only 15 million, to reach 433 million and the number
of children under age 15 is also expected to increase, gaining 8 million, to reach 226 million (table I.6).
Until 2011, population ageing had been considerably slower in the less developed regions where
fertility has been still relatively high. The proportion of children declined from 37.6 per cent in 1950 to
28.8 per cent in 2011, while the proportion of older persons increased from 6.3 per cent to 8.9 per cent.
However, a period of more rapid population ageing lies ahead for the less developed regions. By 2050,
their proportion of older persons is projected to reach 20.2 per cent, whereas their proportion of children
is projected to decline to 21.1 per cent. After 2050, population ageing in the less developed regions will
continue but at a slower pace. By 2100, the proportion of older persons is projected to increase to 27.3 per
cent and the proportion of children is projected to decline to 18.1 per cent (table I.5).
Trends in the number of persons of working age (those aged 15 to 59 years) are particularly
important for all countries. The proportion of the population in those ages is an important factor related to
the potential for economic growth. In the more developed regions, the proportion of the population of
working age decreased from 60.9 per cent in 1950 to 59.4 per cent in 1970 and then increased steadily to
reach 63.0 per cent in 2005. Since then, that proportion has been declining. Its value is projected to drop
from 61.4 per cent in 2011 to 51.5 in 2050 and then to fluctuate between a high of 51.9 in 2065 and a low
of 50.6 in 2100 (table I.6). That is, the major change in the proportion of the population of working ages
in the more developed regions will occur over the next 40 years if, as projected in the medium variant, the
fertility of the more developed regions rises slowly toward replacement level for the rest of the century.
In the less developed regions, the proportion of the population of working age is expected to decline
slightly, passing from 62.4 per cent in 2011 to 58.7 per cent in 2050 and 54.6 per cent in 2100. However,
among the least developed countries, that proportion will rise from 54.9 per cent in 2011 to 60.3 per cent
in 2050 and decline thereafter to 58.1 per cent in 2100, an increase that represents both an opportunity and
a challenge: an opportunity to spur economic growth provided that the challenge of creating gainful
employment for the growing numbers of persons of working age is met.
Among the older population, the number and proportion of the oldest-old, that is, persons aged 80
years or over, is rising. In 2011, there were 109 million oldest-old persons in the world, corresponding to
1.6 per cent of the world population (table I.6). By 2050, this segment of the population is projected to
reach 402 million or 4.3 per cent of the world population and by 2100 it would ascend to 792 million or
7.8 per cent of the population. The group of oldest-old is the fastest growing segment of the world
population. Particularly rapid increases in this group are expected in the less developed regions, where the

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE I.5. AVERAGE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION AND THE POPULATION IN BROAD AGE GROUPS,
BY MAJOR AREA, 2011-2050 AND 2050-2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
2011-2050
Major area
World
More developed regions
Less developed regions
Least developed countries
Other less developed countries

2050-2100

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

Total
population

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

Total
population

0.08

0.55

2.44

3.35

0.74

-0.10

0.04

0.66

1.35

0.17

0.16
0.07
1.02
-0.25

-0.31
0.70
2.05
0.41

1.08
2.95
3.57
2.89

2.07
4.20
4.20
4.20

0.14
0.85
1.81
0.64

0.07
-0.12
0.23
-0.29

0.00
0.05
0.81
-0.24

0.07
0.79
2.26
0.50

0.51
1.63
3.55
1.39

0.03
0.19
0.89
-0.05

Africa
1.20
2.13
3.37
4.08
1.90
0.26
0.95
2.40
3.60
0.98
Asia
-0.46
0.26
2.74
3.97
0.51
-0.42
-0.44
0.32
1.23
-0.22
Europe
-0.01
-0.61
1.00
1.92
-0.07
-0.02
-0.12
-0.19
0.33
-0.13
Latin America and the Caribbean
-0.61
0.40
2.89
3.94
0.59
-0.38
-0.46
0.46
1.36
-0.18
Northern America
0.49
0.34
1.56
2.54
0.64
0.20
0.20
0.63
0.97
0.33
Oceania
0.61
0.81
2.09
3.02
1.02
0.00
0.22
0.86
1.34
0.35
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision.
New York: United Nations.

8
TABLE I.6. DISTRIBUTION OF THE POPULATION OF THE WORLD AND MAJOR AREAS BY BROAD AGE GROUPS, 2011, 2050 AND 2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Population in 2011 (millions)
Major area
World
More developed regions
Less developed regions
Least developed countries
Other less developed countries
Africa

Population in 2050 (millions)

Population in 2100 (millions)

0-14

15-24

25-59

60+

80+

Total

0-14

15-24

25-59

60+

80+

Total

0-14

15-24

25-59

60+

80+

Total

1 852

1 213

3 125

784

109

6 974

1 908

1 252

4 115

2 031

402

9 306

1 814

1 225

4 255

2 831

792

10 125

205

156

606

274

54

1 240

218

144

531

418

122

1 312

226

151

525

433

158

1 335

1 647

1 058

2 519

510

54

5 734

1 690

1 108

3 584

1 613

280

7 994

1 588

1 074

3 730

2 398

635

8 790

339

172

295

45

851

504

300

740

182

19

1 726

565

373

1 191

562

110

2 691

1 308

885

2 224

465

51

4 883

1 185

808

2 843

1 431

262

6 268

1 023

700

2 539

1 836

525

6 100

420

209

359

58

1 046

671

391

914

215

22

2 192

763

505

1 590

716

136

3 574

1 077

753

1 949

430

49

4 207

899

631

2 359

1 253

232

5 142

728

502

1 892

1 473

430

4 596

Europe

114

91

370

164

32

739

114

75

289

242

67

719

113

76

266

219

79

675

Latin America and the Caribbean

164

107

265

61

597

129

92

342

188

41

751

107

73

271

236

82

688

68

48

165

66

13

348

83

55

188

121

36

447

92

61

209

166

58

526

17

37

11

24

13

55

11

27

20

66

Asia

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Northern America
Oceania

Percentage distribution by age group


World

27

17

45

11

100

20

13

44

22

100

19

13

46

30

109

More developed regions

17

13

49

22

100

17

11

41

32

100

17

12

40

33

12

102

Less developed regions

29

18

44

100

21

14

45

20

100

20

13

47

30

110

Least developed countries

40

20

35

100

29

17

43

11

100

33

22

69

33

156

Other less developed countries

27

18

46

10

100

19

13

45

23

100

16

11

41

29

97

Africa

40

20

34

100

31

18

42

10

100

35

23

73

33

163

Asia

26

18

46

10

100

17

12

46

24

100

14

10

37

29

89

Europe

15

12

50

22

100

16

10

40

34

100

16

11

37

31

11

94

Latin America and the Caribbean

27

18

44

10

100

17

12

45

25

100

14

10

36

31

11

92

Northern America

20

14

48

19

100

19

12

42

27

100

21

14

47

37

13

118

Oceania

24

15

45

15

100

20

13

43

24

100

20

14

49

36

12

119

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

oldest-old are projected to increase from 56 million in 2011 to 280 million in 2050 and to 635 million
in 2100, implying an average annual rate of increase of 4.2 per cent during 2011-2050 and of 1.6 per
cent per year during 2050-2100 (table I.5). Over half of the oldest-old already live in the less
developed regions but they are expected to become increasingly concentrated in developing countries.
Thus, in 2050, 70 per cent of all persons aged 80 or over are expected to live in developing countries
and by 2100 80 per cent are expected to do so.
In 2011, 71 countries had populations where persons aged 80 years or older accounted for more
than 1.58 per cent of the population (the proportion of oldest-old in the world). The oldest-old
accounted for over 6.6 per cent of the population of Japan and for more than 5.0 per cent of the
populations of Italy, France, Sweden, Germany, Belgium, Spain and Greece, ordered according to the
proportion of oldest-old (table S.9). By 2050, 97 countries are expected to have populations where
persons aged 80 or over account for more than 4.32 per cent of the population (the proportion of the
oldest-old at the global level in 2050). In Japan, Germany and 19 other countries the oldest-old are
projected to account for over 10 per cent of the population. In 2100, the proportion of the oldest-old is
projected to exceed 7.83 per cent (their share of the world population) in 130 countries and in 108 of
them, the proportion of persons aged 80 years or over is projected to exceed 10 per cent.
Just as the overall population, the oldest-old tend to be concentrated in the most populous
countries. In 2011, 19.4 million lived in China, 12 million in the United States and 8.7 million in
India. In 2050, those countries will still have the largest numbers of persons aged 80 years or over:
98.3 million in China, 44.2 million in India and 31.7 million in the United States. By 2100, India is
projected to have 130 million persons of aged 80 or over, China 107 million and the United States 52
million.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

II. FERTILITY
According to the 2010 Revision, total fertilitythat is, the average number of children a woman
would bear if fertility rates remained unchanged during her lifetimeis 2.52 children per woman in 20052010 at the world level (table II.1). This average masks the heterogeneity of fertility levels among
countries and regions (figure 2). In 2005-2010, 75 countries or areas (44 of them located in the more
developed regions) have fertility levels below 2.1 children per woman, that is, below replacement level1,
whereas 121 countries or areas (all of which are located in the less developed regions) have total fertility
levels at or above 2.1 children per woman. Among these 121 countries, 26 have total fertility levels at or
above 5 children per woman, 25 of which are least developed countries (table II.2).
TABLE II.1. ESTIMATED AND PROJECTED TOTAL FERTILITY FOR THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR
1970-1975, 1990-1995, 2005-2010, 2045-2050 AND 2095-2100 ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT VARIANTS*

AREAS,

Total fertility (average number of children per woman)


2045-2050
1970- 1990- 20051975 1995 2010

Low

2095-2100
Low

Medium

High

Constant

World................................................ 4.45

3.04

2.52

1.71

Medium High Constant


2.17

2.64

3.22

1.55

2.03

2.51

4.44

More developed regions....................


Less developed regions.....................
Least developed countries ............
Other less developed countries .....

2.16

1.66

1.66

1.47

1.97

2.46

1.74

1.57

2.07

2.57

1.84

5.37

3.39

2.67

1.73

2.19

2.66

3.38

1.55

2.02

2.51

4.53

6.71

5.74

4.41

2.29

2.76

3.23

5.03

1.66

2.13

2.61

5.61

5.19

3.09

2.41

1.53

2.00

2.49

2.83

1.48

1.97

2.46

3.55

Africa................................................
Asia...................................................
Europe...............................................
Latin America and the Caribbean .....
Northern America .............................
Oceania .............................................

6.67

5.62

4.64

2.42

2.89

3.37

5.07

1.65

2.13

2.62

5.48

5.00

2.97

2.28

1.39

1.88

2.37

2.64

1.43

1.93

2.43

3.31

2.17

1.57

1.53

1.41

1.91

2.41

1.55

1.56

2.06

2.56

1.61

5.02

3.02

2.30

1.29

1.79

2.28

2.44

1.43

1.93

2.43

2.71

2.05

1.96

2.03

1.57

2.07

2.57

2.04

1.59

2.09

2.59

2.05

3.30 2.49 2.49


1.72
2.21 2.71
2.80
1.52
2.02 2.52
3.39
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population
Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
*

NOTE: Refers only to countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010.

The 75 countries where total fertility is below replacement level in 2005-2010 account for 47.5 per
cent of the world population or approximately 3.2 billion people. Countries with fertility at or above
replacement level account for 3.5 billion people or 52.5 per cent of the world population.
Within the next decades, the number of countries with below-replacement fertility is expected to
almost double to reach 132 in 2045-2050. This means that by mid-century 7 billion people or 76.7 per
cent of the world population will be living in these countries. Under this medium fertility variant, it is
assumed that 182 countries will reach below-replacement fertility by 2095-2100, and nearly 83 per cent of
the world population will be living in a country where the average number of children per woman will be
below 2.1.
These results differ substantially from previous revisions of the World Population Prospects
because the new 2010 assumptions and the new projection model used take into greater account the
unique fertility decline experience of each country and better use the experience of all other countries to
inform future potential fertility trajectories. This means that, based on the very fast decline experienced in
many countries, the future fertility decline in these countries is projected to happen faster and continue
1

Replacement-level fertility is the level that needs to be sustained over the long run to ensure that a population replaces
itself. For most countries having low or moderate mortality levels, replacement level is close to 2.1 children per woman.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

11

further below replacement level than assumed in previous revisions because of the uncertainty about the
level fertility will continue to decline before it starts to recover toward replacement level. While the
fertility transition from high to low fertility is assumed to apply universally, its timing and especially the
pace at which it occurs varies between countries, and for a small number of countries currently with high
fertility (i.e., 5 children or more on average per woman) the projected declines are likely to occur at much
slower pace than the average experience of all other countries as it was assumed in previous revisions.
Ultimately by mid-century, only about a dozen of countries out of 68 currently are expected to still have
above or equal to 3 children per woman on average. By 2045-2050, only 10 per cent of the world
population is expected to live in such country compared to 18 per cent currently (table S.12).
Since, 1974, when the first World Population Conference was held in Bucharest, Romania, fertility
has declined by more than 20 per cent in 135 developing countries and by over 50 per cent in 66 of them.
The fastest fertility reductions, among countries with fertility levels greater or equal to 4 children per
woman in 1975-1980, occurred in countries in Asia, including Maldives, the Islamic Republic of Iran,
Oman, Viet Nam, United Arab Emirates, Bangladesh, Mongolia, Bhutan, Qatar. Fertility also declined
rapidly in Algeria, Tunisia, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya in Northern Africa, Cape Verde in Sub-Saharan
Africa, in Saint Lucia in Latin America, and Albania in Europe (table S.13). The average number of
children in countries which have experienced over 50 per cent decline since 1970-1975 is currently below
2.31 children per woman on average instead of 5.76 children per woman thirty-five years ago.
Although most developing countries are already far advanced in the transition from high to low
fertility, ten countries still have fertility levels of 6 children per woman or higher in 2005-2010 and in
Niger total fertility is greater than 7 children per woman (table II.2 and table S.12), and the fertility in
these country has decreased at most by about one child within the last 30 years (table S.13). Based on the
experience of other countries with similar levels of fertility in the past, the fertility of those ten countries
is projected to decline after 2010, at a pace of about one child per decade after 2020, and none is expected
to reach 2.1 children per woman by 2045-2050 in the medium variant. As a result, their average fertility is
expected to be around 3.5 children per woman and their population is expected nearly to triple, passing
from 197 million in 2008 to 542 million in 2048, and could reach over 1.09 billion in 2098.
These ten countries are least developed countriesAfghanistan, Chad, the Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Malawi, Mali, Niger, Somalia, Timor-Leste, Uganda, Zambia and several are highly
affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Moreover, a number of them have been experiencing civil strife and
political instability in recent years, factors that militate against the provision of basic services for the
population. The continuation of rapid population growth poses serious challenges to their future
development.
Despite the important contribution to population growth of high-fertility countries (those with a total
fertility above 6 children per woman), these ten countries account today for less than 3 per cent of the
world population and are expected to constitute respectively 6 and 11 per cent of the world population by
2048 and 2098, according to the medium variant. Countries with total fertility ranging from 4 to 6
children per woman account today for 10 per cent of the world population, but will account for less than 2
per cent by 2048 (table II.2) because their fertility is expected to continue to decline from about 5 children
per woman on average currently to 2.7 children per woman on average by 2045-2050, and to reach 2.1
children per woman by 2075-2080.
In 2008, the majority of people in the developing world live in the 58 countries with total fertility ranging
from 2.1 to 4 children per woman, which account for 45 per cent of the world population. Most of those
countries are projected to have a total fertility below replacement level by 2040-2045 or even earlier,
according to the medium variant. Overall, 136 countries or areas are projected to have below-replacement

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World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE II.2. DISTRIBUTION OF THE WORLD POPULATION AS WELL AS COUNTRIES AND AREAS ACCORDING TO
*
THE LEVEL OF TOTAL FERTILITY IN SELECTED PERIODS (MEDIUM VARIANT)
World population (1 January)

Range of total fertility

Greater or equal to 7 ...........................


Between 6 and less than 7...................
Between 5 and less than 6...................
Between 4 and less than 5...................
Between 3 and less than 4...................
Between 2.1 and less than 3................
Between 1.85 and less than 2.1...........
Between 1.60 and less than 1.85 .........
Between 1.40 and less than 1.60 .........
Between 1.20 and less than 1.40 .........
Less than 1.2 .......................................
Total population (millions) .................

1953

1973

1993

2008

2028

2048

2098

116

193

118

14

1 088

517

295

183

548
35
273
581
10

977
1 059
107
456
492
84

309
295
1 467
553
1 600
334
353
195

321
321
373
2 305
801
1 616
258
474
34

92
537
617
2 291
1 052
1 813
1 651
111

167
711
1 268
3 513
3 330
220

1 729
7 863
518

2 652

3 886

5 519

6 699

8 164

9 208

10 110

1953

1973

1993

2008

2028

2048

2098

4.4

5.0

2.1

0.2

0.0

0.0

0.0

41.0

13.3

5.4

2.7

0.0

0.0

0.0

20.7

25.1

5.6

4.8

1.1

0.0

0.0

1.3
10.3
21.9
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0

27.3
2.7
11.7
12.7
2.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0

5.3
26.6
10.0
29.0
6.1
6.4
3.5
0.0
100.0

4.8
5.6
34.4
12.0
24.1
3.8
7.1
0.5
100.0

6.6
7.6
28.1
12.9
22.2
20.2
1.4
0.0
100.0

1.8
7.7
13.8
38.2
36.2
2.4
0.0
0.0
100.0

0.0
0.0
17.1
77.8
5.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0

Percentage of the world population (1 January)

Greater or equal to 7 ...........................


Between 6 and less than 7...................
Between 5 and less than 6...................
Between 4 and less than 5...................
Between 3 and less than 4...................
Between 2.1 and less than 3................
Between 1.85 and less than 2.1 ...........
Between 1.60 and less than 1.85 .........
Between 1.40 and less than 1.60 .........
Between 1.20 and less than 1.40 .........
Less than 1.2 .......................................
Total of the world population .............

Number of countries
1950-1955

Greater or equal to 7 ...........................


Between 6 and less than 7...................
Between 5 and less than 6...................
Between 4 and less than 5...................
Between 3 and less than 4...................
Between 2.1 and less than 3................
Between 1.85 and less than 2.1 ...........
Between 1.60 and less than 1.85 .........
Between 1.40 and less than 1.60 .........
Between 1.20 and less than 1.40 .........
Less than 1.2 .......................................
Total number of countries...................

1970-1975

1990-1995

2005-2010

2025-2030

2045-2050

2095-2100

30

32

72

48

21

33
15
16
25
5

30
21
14
32
15
4

29
26
29
31
16
19
12
6

16
21
21
53
23
18
16
15
3

4
12
29
34
40
55
19
3

4
9
47
51
79
6

15
171
10

196

196

196

196

196

196

196

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World
Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
*
NOTE: Refers only to countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010.

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13

fertility in 2045-2050, with 85 having a total fertility equal to or lower than 1.85 children per woman. As
a result, according to the medium variant, 77 per cent of the world population is expected to live in
countries with below-replacement fertility in 2045-2050. This percentage is expected to increase up to 83
per cent by the end of the century, but by then 171 countries are assumed to have reached a subreplacement fertility level between 1.85 and 2.1 children per woman on average.
Fertility levels in developed countries, many of which experienced a baby-boom during the 1950s
and 1960s, have generally declined since the early 1970s to below-replacement level. In fact, in 19701975, 18 countries out of the 45 developed countries in the world already had below-replacement fertility.
By 2005-2010, almost all developed countries had reached fertility levels below 2.1 children per woman
(only New Zealand, Iceland and Ireland have fertility levels equal or just above 2.1). Among them, 14 had
reached historically unprecedented low fertility levels (below 1.4 children per woman), with Bosnia and
Herzegovina, Slovakia, Poland, Japan, Malta and Romania exhibiting the lowest levels in the developed
world. But the lowest fertility levels (below 1.3 children per woman) are currently observed in China,
Hong Kong SAR and Macao SAR as well as Singapore and the Republic of Korea (table S.12).
At the world level, the medium variant projects total fertility to be 2.17 children per woman in
2045-2050 (table II.1), with a convergence between countries which leads to 1.97 children per woman in
the more developed regions and 2.19 children per woman in the less developed regions. That is, although
the difference in total fertility between the more and the less developed regions narrows considerably by
mid-century, the less developed regions are still expected to have a higher total fertility than the more
developed regions, and some regions like Africa to have on average a fertility about one child higher than
in Asia or Latin America. That difference persists in all projection variants. Total fertility in the low
variant is expected to be 1.47 children per woman in the more developed regions and 1.73 children per
woman in the less developed regions. In the high variant, total fertility is projected to be 2.46 children per
woman in the more developed regions and 2.66 children per woman in the less developed regions.

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World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Figure 3. Total fertility trajectories for the world and the major development groups,
1950-2010 estimation and 2010-2100 projection (medium variant)
7.0

6.0

Total fertility (children per w oman)

5.0

4.0

3.0

2.0

1.0

0.0
1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

Period
World

More developed regions

Less developed regions

Least developed countries

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011).
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

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15

III. MORTALITY AND THE DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT OF HIV/AIDS


A. TRENDS AND PROSPECTS IN WORLD MORTALITY
The twentieth century witnessed the most rapid decline in mortality in human history. In 1950-1955,
life expectancy at the world level was 48 years and it had reached 68 years by 2005-2010. Over the next
45 years, life expectancy at birth at the global level is expected to reach 76 years in 2045-2050 and 81
years in 2095-2100 (table III.1). The more developed regions already had a high expectation of life in
1950-1955 (66 years) and have since experienced further gains in longevity. By 2005-2010 their life
expectancy stood at 76.9 years, 11 years higher than in the less developed regions where the expectation
of life at birth was 65.9 years. Although the gap between the two groups is expected to narrow between
2005 and mid-century, in 2045-2050 the more developed regions are still expected to have considerably
higher life expectancy at birth than the less developed regions (82.7 years versus 74.4 years). Throughout
2010-2100, systematic progress against mortality is further expected to increase life expectancy at birth
up to 88.2 years in the more developed regions and 80.1 years in the less developed regions thereby
further reducing the gap in mortality between the two groups.

TABLE III.1. LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH FOR THE WORLD, MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS
AND MAJOR AREAS, 2005-2010 AND 2045-2050
Major area

2005-2010

2045-2050

2095-2100

World..............................................................................
More developed regions..................................................
Less developed regions...................................................
Least developed countries ...........................................

67.9
76.9
65.9
56.9

75.6
82.7
74.4
69.1

81.1
88.2
80.1
77.5

Other less developed countries ....................................

67.9

75.8

81.1

Africa..............................................................................
Asia.................................................................................
Europe ............................................................................
Latin America and the Caribbean ...................................
Northern America ...........................................................
Oceania ...........................................................................

55.2
69.0
75.4
73.4
78.2
76.6

68.2
76.7
81.7
79.9
83.2
82.5

77.1
81.8
87.4
84.6
88.4
86.7

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations
Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

The 48 least developed countries, which include 26 of the countries that are highly affected by
HIV/AIDS, have been experiencing higher mortality than other development groups. Their life
expectancy at birth was 56.9 years in 2005-2010 and is expected to remain relatively low, reaching 69.1
years in 2045-2050. During 2050-2100, provided a continued decline in mortality rates from HIV/AIDS
as well as from other major causes of death, it is conceivable that life expectancy at birth will further
climb to reach 77.5 years in 2095-2100. This gain is the most important factor in reducing gap in life
expectancy between the more developed and the less developed groups of countries.
The general upward trend in life expectancy for the more developed and the less developed regions
(figure 4) conceals different trends among the worlds major areas (figure 5). In Asia, Latin America and
the Caribbean, Northern America and Oceania, life expectancy has been increasing at a steady pace. In
contrast, Europe as a whole experienced a slowdown in the increase of life expectancy starting in the late
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

17

1960s and stagnating levels since the late 1980s. This trend is the result of severe reductions in life
expectancy in countries of Eastern Europe, particularly in the Russian Federation and the Ukraine. The
remaining regions of Europe have had increasing life expectancies which are currently equal to or higher
than that of Northern America.
Africa has the lowest life expectancy levels of any major area. Furthermore, life expectancy in
Africa has virtually stagnated since the late 1980s. While this trend is due in large part to the HIV/AIDS
epidemic, other factors have also played a role, including armed conflict, economic stagnation, and
resurgent infectious diseases such as tuberculosis and malaria. The recent negative developments in many
countries of Africa represent major set backs in reducing mortality. Only in 2005-2010 is life expectancy
expected to begin rising again and, provided efforts to reduce the expansion of the HIV/AIDS epidemic
and to treat those affected by it succeed, it is expected to continue rising to reach 68 years in 2045-2050
and 77.1 in 2095-2100.
However, even if these gains materialize, by mid-century the population of Africa is still expected to
be subject to the highest mortality levels in the world, with its overall life expectancy being 8 years lower
than the next lowest one, that of Asia.
In nearly all countries of the world, female life expectancy at birth is higher than that of males. At
the world level, females have a life expectancy of 70 years in 2005-2010, compared to 66 years for males
(table III.2). The female advantage is considerably larger in the more developed regions (7 years) than in
the less developed regions (3.5 years). The gap between male and female life expectancy is particularly
narrow in the least developed countries (2 years). At the world level, a difference of 4.8 years between
female and male life expectancy is expected to persist until 2045-2050, but whereas the female to male
gap is life expectancy is expected to narrow in the more developed regions, it is expected to widen in the
less developed regions. By 2095-2100, the gap between male and female life expectancy is expected to
narrow on the world level and in all regions expect the least developed countries where it is expected to
stabilize since 2045-2050 at about 4 years.
Under-five mortality, expressed as the probability of dying between birth and the exact age of five,
is an important indicator of development and the well-being of children. In 1950-1955, 20 per cent (203
deaths per 1,000 births) of all children born worldwide did not reach their fifth birthday. By 2005-2010,
this rate had fallen to 66 deaths per 1,000 births (table S.18). Although child mortality has fallen in all
major areas, sub-Saharan Africa has lagged behind in achieving lower levels of child mortality (figure 6).
In the 1950s, sub-Saharan Africa and South-Central Asia had similarly high levels of child mortality and
both experienced significant reductions until the 1980s but thereafter, the pace of decline in child
mortality in sub-Saharan Africa slowed down. As a result, by 2005-2010, under-five mortality had
reached 76 deaths per 1,000 births in South-Central Asia, but it was still a high 136 deaths per 1,000
births in sub-Saharan Africa.
B. THE DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT OF AIDS

More than thirty years into the HIV/AIDS epidemic, its effects on the populations of the highlyaffected countries is evident. In the 2010 Revision, the impact of HIV/AIDS is explicitly modelled for 48
countries, down from 58 in the 2008 Revision. In most of these countries, HIV prevalence reached 1 per
cent or higher in the period from 1980 to 2010 among the population aged 15-49 years. Four populous
countries with lower prevalence levels were also included because they have a large number of persons
living with HIV. They are China, India, Russian Federation, and the United States of America.

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World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Among the 48 highly affected countries, 37 are in Africa, three in Asia, six in Latin America and the
Caribbean, one in Europe and one in Northern America. Together they account for 28.9 million of the
33.3 million HIV-infected adults and children estimated to be alive in 2009 or 87 per cent of the world
total.
The dynamics of the HIV/AIDS epidemic as reflected in the 2010 Revision are consistent with the
estimates of HIV prevalence in 2009 as reported by UNAIDS 1 for each country. Beginning in 2009, the
2010 Revision assumes that changes in behaviour, along with treatment, will reduce the chances of
infection. Rates of recruitment into high-risk groups are assumed to decline as well. In light of major
expansions in antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage, average survival of those infected is expected to
increase at a rate determined by projected levels of ART coverage and efficacy. However, because the
epidemic is still expanding, some countries are expected to experience increasing levels of HIV
prevalence over the medium-term future. Nevertheless, in nearly all highly affected countries, HIV
prevalence is projected to be lower in 2025 than in 2009 (table S.19).
In the 2010 Revision, the estimated and projected long-term impact of HIV/AIDS is somewhat less
severe than that projected in the 2008 Revision. Part of this reduction is due to the incorporation of
revised and lower estimates of HIV prevalence for several countries where nationally representative data
on the epidemic have become available. Another part stems from the assumption that antiretroviral
therapy will reach an ever increasing proportion of the persons who need it and that, as a result, those
persons will not only survive longer but will be less infectious. However, realization of these projections
is contingent on sustained commitment by Governments to assure treatment for those infected and to
promote preventive measures and behavioural changes among the uninfected.
The 2010 Revision confirms yet again the devastating toll AIDS has in terms of increased morbidity,
mortality and population loss. Life expectancy in the most affected countries already shows dramatic
declines. In Botswana, where HIV prevalence is estimated at 24.8 per cent in 2009 among the population
aged 15-49 years, life expectancy has fallen from 64 years in 1985-1990 to 49 years in 2000-2005. By
2005-2010, life expectancy is expected to increase again to 53 years as a result of declining HIV
prevalence and increased access to anti-retroviral therapy. In Southern Africa as a whole, where most of
the worst affected countries are, life expectancy has fallen from 61 to 51 years over the last 20 years.
While the impact in Southern Africa is particularly stark, the majority of highly affected countries in
Africa have experienced declines in life expectancy in recent years because of the epidemic.
In countries where HIV prevalence rates are lower, AIDS has mainly slowed down the increase in
life expectancy. To assess the impact of the disease on life expectancy in these countries, the medium
variant projections are compared with a hypothetical scenario in which AIDS does not exist. One can thus
conclude that in 2005-2010, for instance, life expectancy is expected to be lower than it would have been
in the absence of AIDS by 0.69 years in Eritrea, by 1.03 years in the Russian Federation, and 1.14 years
in Sierra Leone. A larger impact is yet to come in many countries, such as Gambia, where the impact of
AIDS on life expectancy relative to the No-AIDS scenario is projected to increase from 0.79 years in
2005-2010 to 1.21 years in 2010-2015. Similarly, in Equatorial Guinea, that difference is projected to rise
from 1.74 year in 2005-2010 to 2.33 years by 2010-2015.
The toll that HIV/AIDS is taking is already retarding progress in reducing child mortality. Thirtyfive per cent of children infected through mother-to-child transmission are estimated to die before their
first birthday, and 61 per cent die by age five if no treatment provided. The impact of HIV on child
mortality is particularly dramatic in countries that had achieved relatively low levels of child mortality
1

UNAIDS. (2010). Global report: UNAIDS report on the global AIDS epidemic 2010. UNAIDS/10.11E | JC1958E.
Geneva. 2010. 362 p. - http://www.unaids.org/globalreport/Global_report.htm.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

19

before the epidemic began. In Zimbabwe, for instance, where under-five mortality was one of the lowest
in sub-Saharan Africa, it has risen from 84 child deaths per 1,000 births in 1985-1990 to 111 per 1,000 in
2000-2005 and is projected to decline to 71 per 1,000 in 2010-2015. In Swaziland, under-five mortality
has risen from 108 to 128 deaths per 1,000 births between 1985-1990 and 2000-2005, and is expected to
decline to 92 deaths per 1,000 in 2010-2015. The impact of HIV/AIDS on child mortality is projected to
decrease in the future with improved prevention of mother-to-child transmission and expanding coverage
for HIV/AIDS treatment.
AIDS reshapes the percentage distribution of deaths by age. In 1985-1990, deaths in Southern Africa
were concentrated among young children and older adults (figure 7), and adults aged 20 to 49 years
accounted for only 21 per cent of all deaths. By 2005-2010, a shift had taken place in the distribution of
deaths by age, with 50 per cent of all deaths occurring between the ages of 20 and 49. Such large
increases in mortality deplete the cohorts that are in the prime of their working and parental careers,
creating the potential for severe shocks to economic and societal structures.
AIDS-related mortality and its impact on the potential number of births are reshaping the age
structure of populations in the affected countries. Figure 8 shows the effect on the population of Southern
Africa in 2015 by comparing the age distribution resulting from the No-AIDS scenario with that projected
under the medium variant. The population aged 15 or over is 12 per cent smaller according the medium
variant than according to the No-AIDS scenario. The reduced size of cohorts under age 15 is partly due to
the deaths of large numbers of women during the reproductive ages and to the lower survival prospects of
infected children. Total population in Southern Africa in 2015 is projected to be 59.6 millions or 11 per
cent lower than according to the No-AIDS scenario.
Despite the effect of the epidemic on reducing population growth rates, the populations of affected
countries are generally expected to be larger by mid-century than today, mainly because most of them
maintain high to moderate fertility levels. In fact, owing to the downward revision of the prevalence of
HIV/AIDS combined with the expected expansion of access to anti-retroviral therapy and efforts to
control the further spread of HIV, all the countries with the highest prevalence in 2009 are expected to
experience positive population growth rates between 2005 and 2050.

TABLE III.2. LIFE EXPECTANCY BY SEX FOR THE WORLD AND MAJOR DEVELOPMENT GROUPS,
2005-2010, 2045-2050 AND 2095-2100
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2005-2010

2045-2050
Fema
Male
le

2095-2100

Major area

Male

Female

Male

Female

World ...................................................

65.7

70.1

73.2

78.0

79.0

83.3

More developed regions ........................


Less developed regions .........................
Least developed countries .................

73.4
64.2
55.9

80.4
67.8
57.9

79.9
72.2
67.1

85.6
76.7
71.2

85.6
78.0
75.4

90.9
82.3
79.6

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations
Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

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World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE III.3. DIFFERENCE IN PROJECTED POPULATION IN THE MEDIUM VARIANT VERSUS A NO-AIDS
SCENARIO FOR GROUPS OF AFFECTED COUNTRIES, 2010, 2015, 2050 AND 2100
Population difference
(thousands)
Group of countries

Percentage difference

2010

2015

2050

2100

2010

2015

2050

2100

All 48 affected countries................................. -41 911


37 countries in Africa ................................. -32 645
3 countries in Asia ...................................... -7 036
6 countries in Latin America
and the Caribbean........................................
-306

-55 253
-43 277
-9 295

-162 276
-139 958
-16 678

-288 679
-270 247
-14 394

-1.1
-4.2
-0.3

-1.3
-4.9
-0.3

-3.0
-7.6
-0.5

-4.6
-8.6
-0.6

-365

-642

-634

-2.0

-2.3

-3.3

-3.2

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World
Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations

Figure 4. Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major development groups, 1950-2100
100

Life expectancy at birth (years)

90

80

70

60

50

40

30
1950 1960

1970 1980

1990 2000

2010 2020

2030 2040

2050 2060

2070 2080

2090 2100

Period
World

More developed regions

Less developed regions

Least developed countries

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World
Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

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World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

21

Figure 5. Life expectancy at birth for the world and the major areas, 1950-2100
90

Life expectancy at birth (years)

80

70

60

50

40

30
1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

Period
World

Africa

Asia

Europe

Latin America and the Caribbean

Northern America

Oceania

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat
(2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

Figure 6. Under-five mortality for the world and selected regions, 1950-2100

Deaths under age five per 1,000 live births

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0
1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

Period
World

Sub-Saharan Africa

South-central Asia

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat
(2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

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World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Figure 7. Percentage distribution of deaths by age, Southern Africa, 1985-1990 and 2005-2010s
40
35

Percentage of total deaths

30
25
20
15
10
5
0-4

5-19

20-29

30-39

40-49

50-59

60+

Age groups

1985-1990

2005-2010

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011).
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

Figure 8. Population in 2015, with AIDS and without AIDS, by sex and age group, Southern Africa
85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
3,500

2,500

1,500

500

500

1,500

2,500

3,500

Population (thousands)
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011).
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

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23

IV. INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION


Estimates of net migration between the major development groups show that since 1960 the more
developed regions have been net gainers of emigrants from the less developed regions (table IV.1).
Furthermore, net migration to the more developed regions has been increasing steadily from 1960 to
2010. During 2000-2010, the more developed regions were gaining annually 3.4 million migrants. About
39% of that net flow was directed to Northern America (1.33 million annually). During 2000-2010, the
level of net migration to the more developed regions as a whole changes moderately, reaching a peak of
3.4 million migrants annually. Over the rest of the projection period, net migration to the more developed
regions is projected to decline smoothly to about 1.9 million per year during 2040-2050, of which 1.1
million are directed to Northern America.
With respect to the other major areas, Asia was by far the major source of migrants during 20002010 (1.6 million annually), followed by Latin America and the Caribbean (1.1 million annually) and then
Africa (0.6 million annually). Over the projection period, about half of all the net number of emigrants
from the less developed regions are expected to be from Asia, between 20 per cent to 30 per cent from
Latin America and the Caribbean, and the remaining from Africa.
At the country level, during 2000-2010, 32 of the 45 developed countries have been net receivers of
international migrants. This group includes traditional countries of immigration such as Australia,
Canada, New Zealand and the United States, most of the populous countries in Northern, Southern and
Western Europe as well as the Russian Federation and Japan. The movement of people from less
developed regions to more developed regions has dominated the world migration patterns for almost half
a century, but flows among developing countries have also been important. Several developing countries
or areas have been attracting migrants in large numbers, including, Israel, Kuwait, Malaysia, Qatar, Saudi
Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Thailand and the United Arab Emirates. Jordan and the Syrian Arab
Republic have been the primary receivers of refugees from Iraq. Many African countries have been the
destination of refugee flows from neighbouring countries.
During 2000-2010, the countries having the highest levels of net emigration included Bangladesh,
China, India, Indonesia, Mexico and the Philippines. Pakistan also registered high levels of net
emigration, partly as a result of the repatriation of Afghani refugees.
International migration is the component of population change most difficult to measure and
estimate reliably. Thus, the quality and quantity of the data used in the estimation and projection of net
migration varies considerably by country. Furthermore, the movement of people across international
boundaries, which is very often a response to changing socio-economic, political and environmental
forces, is subject to a great deal of volatility. Refugee movements, for instance, may involve large
numbers of people moving across boundaries in a short time. For these reasons, projections of future
international migration levels are the least robust part of current population projections and reflect mainly
a continuation of recent levels and trends in net migration.

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25

26
TABLE IV.1. AVERAGE ANNUAL NET NUMBER OF MIGRANTS PER DECADE BY DEVELOPMENT GROUP AND MAJOR AREA, 1950-2050
(MEDIUM VARIANT)

Major area

More developed regions.....................


Less developed regions .....................
Least developed countries ...............
Other less developed countries .......
Africa ................................................
Asia ...................................................
Europe ...............................................
Latin America and the Caribbean .....
Northern America .............................
Oceania .............................................

19501960

19601970

19701980

Net number of migrants (thousands)


19801990200020101990
2000
2010
2020

20202030

20302040

20402050

-14

714

1220

1308

2572

3401

2454

2249

2071

1928

14

-714

-1220

-1308

-2572

-3401

-2454

-2249

-2071

-1928

-97

-153

-917

-930

-50

-891

-407

-491

-464

-444

111

-561

-302

-378

-2522

-2510

-2046

-1757

-1607

-1484

-132

-223

-335

-349

-410

-625

-496

-451

-439

-439

162

-2

-405

-285

-1321

-1603

-1202

-1189

-1099

-1001

-486

95

393

404

990

1836

1082

986

837

726

-53

-378

-418

-702

-778

-1122

-692

-546

-471

-427

418

398

710

831

1435

1333

1165

1091

1089

1084

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90
110
56
102
84
180
143
109
84
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The
2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

58

V. ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING THE 2010 REVISION


The preparation of each new revision of the official population estimates and projections of the
United Nations involves two distinct processes: (a) the incorporation of all new and relevant information
regarding the past demographic dynamics of the population of each country or area of the world; and (b)
the formulation of detailed assumptions about the future paths of fertility, mortality and international
migration. The data sources used and the methods applied in revising past estimates of demographic
indicators (i.e., those referring to 1950-2010) are presented online 1 and in an Excel file
(WPP2010_F02_METAINFO.XLS).
The future population of each country is projected starting with an estimated population for 1 July
2010. Because population data are not necessarily available for that date, the 2010 estimate is derived
from the most recent population data available for each country, obtained usually from a population
census or a population register, projected to 2010 using all available data on fertility, mortality and
international migration trends between the reference date of the population data available and 1 July 2010.
In cases where data on the components of population change relative to the past 5 or 10 years are not
available, estimated demographic trends are projections based on the most recent available data.
Population data from all sources are evaluated for completeness, accuracy and consistency, and adjusted
as necessary.
To project the population until 2100, the United Nations Population Division uses assumptions
regarding future trends in fertility, mortality and international migration. Because future trends cannot be
known with certainty, a number of projection variants are produced. The following paragraphs summarize
the main assumptions underlying the derivation of demographic indicators for the period starting in 2010
and ending in 2100.

A. FERTILITY ASSUMPTIONS: CONVERGENCE TOWARD


TOTAL FERTILITY AROUND REPLACEMENT LEVEL
The fertility assumptions are described in terms of the following groups of countries:
High-fertility countries: Countries that until 2010 had no fertility reduction or only an incipient
decline;
Medium-fertility countries: Countries where fertility has been declining but whose estimated
level was still above 2.1 children per woman in 2005-2010;
Low-fertility countries: Countries with total fertility at or below 2.1 children per woman in
2005-2010.
1. Medium-fertility assumption
In the 2010 Revision of the World Population Prospects a new, probabilistic method for projecting
total fertility has been used. This new method was developed in collaboration with the Probabilistic
Projections Group of the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences (CSSS) of the University of

Data sources and related meta-information for the 2010 Revision of the World Population Prospects are available for each
country from the following web page: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Documentation/data-sources.htm

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27

Washington 2 . The method is based on empirical fertility trends estimated for all countries of the world for
the period 1950 to 2010 3 .
There has been a general consensus that the evolution of fertility includes three broad phases (see
Figure 9): (i) a high-fertility pre-transition phase, (ii) the fertility transition itself and (iii) a low-fertility
post-transition phase during which fertility will probably fluctuate around and remain close to
replacement level (or converge towards it). These historic trends of fertility decline are re-estimated every
second year by the United Nations Population Division, using the most recent empirical evidence from
censuses, surveys, registers and other sources and after extensive re-evaluation of past historical trends in
the light of all the information available and internal consistency checks with intercensal cohorts.
In past revisions of the World Population Prospects it was assumed that countries in the transition
from high to low fertility will ultimately approach a fertility floor of 1.85 children per woman, regardless
of their current position in the fertility transition. The transition from the current level of fertility to the
fertility floor was expressed by three models of fertility change over time. These fertility projection
models have been formalized since the 2004 Revision using a double-logistic function, defined by six
deterministic parameters 4 . For countries that were below replacement level, a much simpler model of
fertility change was used. In general, it was assumed that fertility would recover from very low levels of
fertility, following a uniform pace that would also converge to the fertility floor of 1.85 children per
woman, just as in the high and medium fertility countries.
The new probabilistic method that was used in the 2010 Revision for projecting total fertility consists
of two separate processes:
The first process models the sequence of change from high to low fertility (phase II of the fertility
transition). For countries that are going through this fertility transition, the pace of the fertility decline is
decomposed into a systematic decline and random distortion terms. The pace of the systematic decline in
total fertility is modelled as a function of its level, based on the current UN methodology using a doublelogistic decline function. The parameters of the double-logistic function are estimated using a Bayesian
Hierarchical Model (BHM), which results in country-specific distributions for the parameters of the
decline. These distributions are informed by historical trends within the country, as well as the variability
in historical fertility trends of all countries that have already experienced a fertility decline. This approach
not only allows to better take into account the historical experience of each country, but also to reflect the
uncertainty about future fertility decline based the past experience of all other countries at similar level of
fertility. Under these conditions, the pace of decline and the limit up to which fertility will decline vary
for each projected trajectory. The model is hierarchical because in addition to the information available at
the country level, a second-level (i.e., the world's experience through the information of all the countries)
is used to inform the statistical distributions of the parameters of the double-logistic. Especially for
countries at the beginning of their fertility transition, limited information exists as to their speed of
decline and future trajectories, so the future potential trajectories (and speed of decline) are mostly
informed by the world's experience and the variability in trends experienced in other countries at similar
2

Alkema L., A.E. Raftery, P. Gerland, S.J. Clark, F. Pelletier, T. Buettner, G.K. Heilig (2011). Probabilistic Projections of the
Total Fertility Rate for All Countries. Demography, vol. 48, number 3, pp. 815-839, doi: 10.1007/s13524-011-0040-5 and
Working Paper of the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington, 2010, vol. 97. URL
http://www.csss.washington.edu/Papers/wp97.pdf
3
The initial version of this new approach was developed and tested using data from the 2008 revision, and the results were
presented to a panel of experts during an Expert Group Meeting on Recent and Future Trends in Fertility: United Nations,
Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2009). Expert Group Meeting on Recent and Future Trends in
Fertility. New York, 2-4 December 2009. http://www.un.org/esa/population/meetings/EGM-Fertility2009/egm-fertility2009.html
4
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2006). World Population Prospects. The
2004 Revision, Vol. III, Chapter VI. Methodology of the United Nations population estimates and projections, pp. 100-104.
http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/WPP2004/WPP2004 Volume3.htm

28

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World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

fertility levels in the past. The Bayesian statistical approach itself is particularly adapted to estimate the
parameters of the double-logistic model even when the number of empirical observations for each country
is very limited (i.e., about 100 countries started their fertility transition since the 1960s and have nine or
fewer observations).
The second component of the projection model deals with countries once they have completed the
demographic transition, and reached Phase III and potentially sub-replacement fertility. A time series
model is used for projecting fertility, assuming that in the long term the total fertility will approach and
fluctuate around the replacement-level of 2.1 children per woman. The time series model uses the
empirical information from countries that have had documented fertility increases from a sub-replacement
level after a completed fertility transition. The assumption that fertility will converge toward and fluctuate
around replacement-level the long run is driven by the extension of the projection horizon from 2050 to
2100 between the 2008 and 2010 Revisions, and the underlying assumption of a population stabilization
within 3-4 generations. The long term assumption of a fertility recovery is supported by the experience of
many below-replacement fertility countries in Europe and East Asia 5 .
The two processes are schematically explained in Figure 9. During the observation period, the start of
Phase II is determined by examining the maximum total fertility (or more precisely, the most recent local
maximum within half a child of the global maximum to exclude random fluctuations in Phase I): the start
of Phase II is deemed to be before 1950 for countries where this maximum is less than 5.5, and at the
period of the local maximum for all other countries. The end of Phase II during the observation period is
defined as the midpoint of the first two increases below 2 (if observed, else a country is still in Phase II).

Figure 9. Schematic phases of the fertility transition


Phase I: Fertility is high and the
fertility transition has not yet
started. Not modeled.

9
8
7

Phase II. Fertility transition,


modelled by double-logistic
function using a Bayesian
Hierarchical Model (BHM).

Total Fertility

6
5
4

Phase III. Sub-replacement


recovery, modelled with a first
order auto-regressive time series
model (AR(1)).

3
2
1
0
Start Phase II

Phase I

Time

Phase II

Start Phase III

Phase III

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011).
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations

Goldstein, J.R., T. Sobotka, and A. Jasilioniene. (2009). The End of "Lowest-Low" Fertility? Population and Development
Review, vol. 35, number 4, pp. 663-699. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00304.x
Caltabiano, M., M. Castiglioni, and A. Rossina. (2009). Lowest-low fertility: Signs of a recovery in Italy? Demographic
Research, vol. 21, pp. 681718. doi: 10.4054/DemRes.2009.21.23
Myrskyla, M., H.- P. Kohler, and F. C. Billari. (2009). Advances in development reverse fertility declines. Nature, vol. 460, pp.
741743. doi: 10.1038/nature08230
Sobotka, T. (2011). Fertility in Central and Eastern Europe after 1989: Collapse and Gradual Recovery. Historical Social
Research-Historische Sozialforschung, vol. 36, number 2, pp. 246-296.

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29

To construct projections for all countries still in Phase II, the BHM model is used to generate 100,000
double-logistic curves for all countries that have experienced a fertility decline (see example in figure 10),
representing the uncertainty in the double-logistic decline function of those countries (graphs of this
double-logistic curve are available online 6 ). The sample of double-logistic curves is then used to calculate
100,000 total fertility projections for all countries which have not reached Phase III in 2005-2010. For
each trajectory, at any given time, the double-logistic function gives the expected decrement in total
fertility based on its current level. A distortion term is added to the expected decrement to calculate the
projected change in total fertility. (This distortion term represents the deviations of fertility decrements
from the double-logistic curve, as observed in past declines.)
Once a trajectory has decreased to a level that is around or below replacement-level fertility, and after
the pace of the fertility decline has decreased to zero, future changes of fertility are calculated using a
time series model of fertility recovery that is informed by the countries that have experienced fertility
increases.
Figure 10. Total fertility decrements and projection intervals of double-logistic
curves for Algeria (systematic decline part)

NOTE: The observed five-year decrements by level of total fertility are shown by black dots. For clarity, only 80
trajectories from 100,000 are displayed. The median projection is the solid bold red line, and the 80% and 95%
projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively.

An additional innovation in the 2010 revision of the World Population Prospects is the removal of the
1.85 floor used in previous revisions as stabilization level after the fertility transition; the total fertility is
now allowed to decrease below replacement level (i.e., 2.1 children per woman) in the projections
because of the uncertainty up to which level fertility will decline (end of Phase II) before it starts to
6

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011): World Population Prospects: The
2010 Revision. New York. Online plots of total fertility decline curves (based on Double-Logistic function) from the Bayesian
Hierarchical Model (BHM): median, 80% and 95% projection intervals: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/fertility_figures/interactivefigures_DL-functions.htm

30

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recover toward replacement level (start of Phase III). The pace of the fertility change, the level and timing
when Phase II stops and Phase III starts vary for each of the 100,000 projected trajectories for a country
that has not reached Phase III in 2005-2010: Its future trajectories are a combination of total fertility in
Phase II and Phase III until Phase III has started in all trajectories. For countries that are already in Phase
III, the time series model for that phase is used directly.
For each country, the end result is 100,000 projected country trajectories. The median of these
100,000 trajectories is used as the medium fertility variant projection in the World Population Prospects.
To evaluate future trends in fertility, 80% and 95% projection intervals are also calculated (see figure 11
for Algeria, additional graphs are available online for all countries 7 ). For countries which have not
reached Phase III in 2005-2010, the projected median trajectory reflects the uncertainty as to when the
fertility transition will end and at which level.
Figure 11. Probabilistic trajectories of projected total fertility (2010-2100) for Algeria

NOTE: For clarity, only 80 trajectories from 100,000 are displayed. The median projection is the solid bold red line, and
the 80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively. The high-low fertility
variants in the 2010 Revision correspond to +/- 0.5 child around the median trajectory displayed as blue dashed lines.

For a small set of countries which are still at the very early stage of their fertility transition (e.g.,
Burkina Faso, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Mali, Mayotte, Niger, Nigeria, Rwanda, United
Republic of Tanzania, Yemen) or have experienced recent fertility stalling (e.g., Israel, Kenya, Malawi,
Somalia, Zambia), some post-adjustment was performed to preserve a smoother continuity with the recent
trend in the past decade. In these countries, fertility decline has been much slower than typically
experienced in the past decades by other countries at similar levels of fertility. As seen in Figure 12 for
Kenya, fertility decline has been stalling at around 5 children per woman for the past decade: the observed
7

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011): World Population Prospects: The
2010 Revision. New York. Online plots of projections of total fertility: median, 80% and 95% projection intervals, high and low
WPP fertility variants: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/fertility_figures/interactive-figures_TF-trajectories.htm

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31

decline between 2000-2010 was much smaller than in previous periods ( 0.2 child per woman by 5-year
period), especially compared to other countries at similar level of fertility in the past. In such cases, the
double-logistic model does not fit well the recent observations, and the projections are adjusted using the
difference between the observed and expected decrement in the last period. Specifically, in the first and
second projection periods, a decreasing proportion of this difference is added to the expected decrement,
such that the adjusted expected decrement in those periods takes into account the difference between the
double-logistic and observed decrement in the last observation period. Figure 13 shows the unadjusted
and adjusted projection of total fertility for Kenya.

Figure 12. Total fertility decrements and projection intervals of double-logistic curves for Kenya

NOTE: The black dots represent the observed decrements, which are much smaller than the double-logisticdecrements in the last two observation periods because of a stall in the fertility decline. For clarity, only 80
trajectories from 100,000 are displayed.

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World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Figure 13. Probabilistic trajectories of projected total fertility (2010-2100) for Kenya (adjusted)

NOTE: For clarity, only 80 trajectories from 100,000 are displayed.

In addition, for seven countries with fertility already around replacement levels (i.e., 2.1 children per
woman) which have experienced recent up-surge of fertility since mid-2000 (e.g., Australia, Azerbaijan,
Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Iceland, Mongolia, New Zealand), only the phase III model was applied to
insure consistency with the historical and regional context, and demographic trends of these countries.
Figure 14 shows for Kazakhstan the adjusted median projection compared to the unadjusted one which is
a combination of trajectories based on Phases II and III (and assume greater uncertainty as to the
completion of the fertility transition).

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


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33

Figure 14. Probabilistic trajectories of projected total fertility (2010-2100) for Kazakhstan (adjusted)

NOTE: For clarity, only 80 trajectories from 100,000 are displayed.

The results of this new modelling approach are country-specific projections of total fertility that are
fully reproducible and take into account past empirical trends. Extensive documentation for all countries
and areas has been posted online 8 , and further details about the methodology are available from Alkema
et al. 9 . In addition, an open-source and portable software implementation of the new UN approach to
project total fertility, based on the R statistical language, developed by Sevcikova et al. 10 is available as a
fully documented R package (bayesTFR 11 ) through the public R CRAN archive together with a userfriendly Graphical User Interface (bayesDem 12 ). Version 1.3-0 of the package was used to compute the
final set of projections used for the 2010 Revision of the World Population Prospects 13 .
8

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011): World Population Prospects: The
2010 Revision. New York. Online plots of projections of total fertility: median, 80% and 95% projection intervals, high and low
WPP fertility variants: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/fertility_figures/interactive-figures_TF-trajectories.htm
9
Alkema L., A.E. Raftery, P. Gerland, S.J. Clark, F. Pelletier, T. Buettner, G.K. Heilig (2011). Probabilistic Projections of the
Total Fertility Rate for All Countries. Demography, vol. 48, number 3, pp. 815-839, doi: 10.1007/s13524-011-0040-5 and
Working Paper of the Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington, 2010, vol. 97. URL
http://www.csss.washington.edu/Papers/wp97.pdf
10
Sevcikova H., L. Alkema, A.E. Raftery (2011): bayesTFR: An R Package for Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility
Rate. Journal of Statistical Software, vol. 43, number 1, pp. 1-29. URL: http://www.jstatsoft.org/v43/i01/
11
Sevcikova H., L. Alkema, A.E. Raftery (2011). bayesTFR: Bayesian Fertility Projection. R Package and documentation:
http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/bayesTFR/index.html
12
Sevcikova H. (2011). bayesDem: Graphical User Interface for bayesTFR and bayesLife. R Package and documentation:
http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/bayesDem/index.html
13
The estimates of the double logistic parameters are based on three parallel chains of 62,000 iterations discarding the first 2,000
of each chain to yield a total of 180,000 samples of all model parameters. For each country, 100,000 trajectories were projected,
and used to derive the median and other projection intervals. The AR(1) parameters used for the Phase III were estimated using
maximum-likelihood estimation based on 55 empirical observations of countries having already experienced Phase III. Total
computation time was about 7 days on a 32-bit Windows server. The seed of the random number generator for the Markov Chain
Monte Carlo estimation used was: 20110206.

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2. High-fertility assumption
Under the high variant, fertility is projected to remain 0.5 children above the fertility in the medium
variant over most of the projection period. By 2020-2025, fertility in the high variant is therefore half a
child higher than that of the medium variant. That is, countries reaching a total fertility of 2.1 children per
woman in the medium variant have a total fertility of 2.6 children per woman in the high variant.
3. Low-fertility assumption
Under the low variant, fertility is projected to remain 0.5 children below the fertility in the medium
variant over most of the projection period. By 2020-2025, fertility in the low variant is therefore half a
child lower than that of the medium variant. That is, countries reaching a total fertility of 2.1 children per
woman in the medium variant have a total fertility of 1.6 children per woman in the low variant.
4. Constant-fertility assumption
For each country, fertility remains constant at the level estimated for 2005-2010.
5. Instant-replacement assumption
For each country, fertility is set to the level necessary to ensure a net reproduction rate of 1 starting in
2010-2015. Fertility varies over the rest of the projection period in such a way that the net reproduction
rate always remains equal to unity thus ensuring, over the long-run, the replacement of the population.
B. MORTALITY ASSUMPTIONS: INCREASING LIFE EXPECTANCY
EXCEPT WHEN AFFECTED BY HIV/AIDS
1. Normal-mortality assumption
Mortality is projected on the basis of models of change of life expectancy produced by the United
Nations Population Division. These models produce smaller gains the higher the life expectancy already
reached. The selection of a model for each country is based on recent trends in life expectancy by sex. For
countries highly affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic, the model incorporating a slow pace of mortality
decline has generally been used to project a certain slowdown in the reduction of general mortality risks
not related to HIV/AIDS.
2. The impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality
In the 2010 Revision, countries where HIV prevalence among persons aged 1549 was ever equal to
or greater than two percent during 19802009, and/or the maximum effect of HIV/AIDS on life
expectancy at birth was estimated to be greater or equal to two years are considered as affected by the
HIV/AIDS epidemic and their mortality is projected by modelling explicitly the course of the epidemic
and projecting the yearly incidence of HIV infection. Also considered among the affected countries are
those where HIV prevalence is lower than one per cent but whose population is so large that the number
of people living with HIV in 2009 is more than 700,000 (i.e., China, India, Russian Federation, United
States). In total, 48 countries are considered to be most affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the 2010
Revision.

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35

The model developed by the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and
Projections 14,15,16 is used to fit past estimates of HIV prevalence provided by UNAIDS for each of the
affected countries so as to derive the parameters determining the past dynamics of the epidemic in each of
them. For most countries, the model is fitted assuming that the relevant parameters have remained
constant in the past. Beginning in 2009, the parameter PHI, which reflects the rate of recruitment of new
individuals into the high-risk or susceptible group, is projected to decline by half every twenty years. The
parameter R, which represents the force of infection, is projected to decline by half every thirty years. The
reduction in R reflects the assumption that changes in behaviour among those subject to the risk of
infection, along with increases in access to treatment for those infected, will reduce the chances of HIV
transmission.
In the 2010 Revision, interventions to prevent the mother-to-child transmission of HIV are modelled
on the basis of estimated country-specific coverage levels that, in 2009, averaged 51 per cent among the
48 affected countries, but varied from 6 to 100 per cent among them (with 10 countries having less than
20 per cent coverage of pregnant women in 2009, and 14 countries with more than 75 per cent coverage).
These coverage levels are projected to reach 74 per cent on average by 2015, varying between 40 per cent
and 95 per cent among the affected countries. 17 After 2015, the coverage of interventions to prevent
mother-to-child transmission of HIV is assumed to remain constant until 2100 at the level reached in each
of the affected countries in 2015. Among women receiving treatment, the probability of transmission
from mother to child is assumed to vary between 2 per cent and 20 per cent depending on the particular
combination of breastfeeding practices (mixed breastfeeding, replacement feeding, exclusive
breastfeeding), its duration in the population and the type of treatment available (single-dose nevirapine,
dual ARV prophylaxis, triple ARV prophylaxis or treatment). These assumptions produce a reduction in
the incidence of HIV infection among children born to HIV-positive women, but the size of the
reductions varies from country to country depending on the level of coverage that treatment reaches in
each country.
16

The survivorship of infected children takes account of varying access to pediatric treatment.17 In the
2010 Revision, HIV-infected children are divided into two groups: (i) those infected in-utero, among
whom the disease progresses rapidly and whose median survival is set at 1.1 years, and (ii) those infected
through breastfeeding after birth, among whom the disease progresses slowly and whose average survival
16
is set at 9.4 years without treatment . Explicit inclusion of pediatric treatment is done via countryspecific coverage levels which average 33 per cent in 2009 but vary between 0 and 99 per cent among the
48 affected countries (with 8 countries having less than 10 per cent coverage in 2009 and only 7 countries
17
having a coverage level above 75 per cent ). By 2015, the projected coverage is expected to reach 58 per
cent on average in the 48 affected countries, varying from 40 per cent to 99 per cent. Coverage levels are
assumed to remain constant from 2015 to 2100 at the level reached in each country by 2015. The annual
survival of children receiving treatment is 85 per cent during the first year and 93 per cent for subsequent
years. 18
14

Ghys P.D., G.P. Garnett (2010). The 2009 HIV and AIDS estimates and projections: methods, tools and analyses. Sexually
Transmitted Infections. vol. 86, supplement 2, pp. ii1-ii2; doi: 10.1136/sti.2010.047852 - http://sti.bmj.com/content/86/Suppl_2.
15
Brown T., L. Bao, A. E. Raftery, J. A. Salomon, R. F. Baggaley, J. Stover, P. Gerland (2010). Modelling HIV epidemics in the
antiretroviral era: the UNAIDS Estimation and Projection package 2009. Sexually Transmitted Infections. vol. 86, supplement 2,
pp. ii3-ii10; doi: 10.1136/sti.2010.044784 - http://sti.bmj.com/content/86/Suppl_2.
16
Stover J., P. Johnson, T. Hallett, M. Marston, R. Becquet, I. M. Timaeus (2010). The Spectrum projection package:
improvements in estimating incidence by age and sex, mother-to-child transmission, HIV progression in children and double
orphans. Sexually Transmitted Infections. vol. 86, supplement 2, pp. ii16-ii21; doi: 10.1136/sti.2010.044222 http://sti.bmj.com/content/86/Suppl_2
17
UNAIDS (2010). Children and AIDS - Fifth Stocktaking Report, 2010. Nov. 2010.
http://www.unicef.org/publications/index_57005.html.
18

Mahy M., C. Lewden, M. W. G Brinkhof , F. Dabis, J.-M. Tassie, Y. Souteyrand (2010). Derivation of parameters used
in Spectrum for eligibility for antiretroviral therapy and survival on antiretroviral therapy. Sexually Transmitted Infections.
36

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

The 2010 Revision incorporates a revised survival for persons receiving treatment with highly active
antiretroviral therapy (ART).16,18 The proportion of the HIV-positive population receiving treatment in
each country is consistent with estimates prepared by the World Health Organization 19 and UNAIDS
which averaged 64 per cent in 2009 among the 48 affected countries, but varied between 24 per cent and
100 per cent. Coverage is projected to reach between 40 per cent and 99 per cent by 2015, averaging 84
per cent for the affected countries. Between 2015 and 2050, coverage levels are assumed to remain
constant at the level reached in each country by 2015. It is assumed that adults receiving treatment have,
on average, an 86 per cent chance of surviving on the first year of treatment, and a 90 per cent chance of
surviving each year thereafter in the absence of other causes of death. Under this assumption, mean
survival time after the initiation of therapy is 9.1 years and the median survival time is 5.6 years, in the
absence of other causes of death. Therapy is assumed to start at the time full-blown AIDS develops.
Without treatment, infected adults have a mean survival time of 2.6 years (and a median survival time of
2.1 years) after the onset of full-blown AIDS. 16,18
3. Constant-mortality assumption
Under this assumption, mortality over the projection period is maintained constant for each country at
the level estimated for 2005-2010.
C. INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION ASSUMPTIONS
1. Normal migration assumption
Under the normal migration assumption, the future path of international migration is set on the basis
of past international migration estimates and consideration of the policy stance of each country with
regard to future international migration flows. Projected levels of net migration are generally kept
constant over the next decades. After 2050, it is assumed that net migration will gradually decline and
reach zero by 2100.
2. Zero-migration assumption
Under this assumption, for each country, international migration is set to zero starting in 2010-2015.
D. EIGHT PROJECTION VARIANTS
The 2010 Revision includes eight different projection variants (table V.1). Five of those variants
differ among themselves only with respect to the level of fertility in each, that is, they share the
assumptions made with respect to mortality and international migration. The five fertility variants are:
low, medium, high, constant-fertility and instant-replacement fertility. A comparison of their results
allows an assessment of the effects that different fertility paths have on other demographic parameters.
In addition to the five fertility variants, a constant-mortality variant, a zero-migration variant and a no
change variant (i.e., both fertility and mortality are kept constant) have been prepared. The constant-mortality
variant and the zero-migration variant both have the same fertility assumption (i.e., medium fertility).
October 2010, Volume 86, Supplement 2, pp. ii28-ii34; doi:10.1136/sti.2010.044255 http://sti.bmj.com/content/86/Suppl_2.
19
WHO/UNAIDS/UNICEF. Towards universal access: scaling up priority HIV/AIDS interventions in the health sector,
progress report 2010. Geneva, WHO, 2010. http://www.who.int/hiv/en/.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

37

Furthermore, the constant-mortality variant has the same international migration assumption as the medium
variant. Consequently, the results of the constant-mortality variant can be compared with those of the medium
variant to assess the effect that changing mortality has on various population quantities. Similarly, the zeromigration variant differs from the medium variant only with respect to the underlying assumption regarding
international migration. Therefore, the zero-migration variant allows an assessment of the effect that non-zero
net migration has on various population quantities. Lastly, the no change variant has the same international
migration as the medium variant but differs from the latter by having constant fertility and mortality. When
compared to the medium variant, therefore, its results shed light on the effects that changing fertility and
mortality have on the results obtained.
TABLE V.1. PROJECTION VARIANTS IN TERMS OF ASSUMPTIONS FOR

FERTILITY, MORTALITY

AND INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

Assumptions
Projection variant

Low fertility
Medium fertility
High fertility
Constant-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Constant-mortality
No change
Zero-migration

Fertility

Low
Medium
High
Constant as of 2005-2010
Instant-replacement as of 2010-2015
Medium
Constant as of 2005-2010
Medium

Mortality

Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Constant as of 2005-2010
Constant as of 2005-2010
Normal

International
migration

Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Zero as of 2010-2015

E. METHODOLOGICAL CHANGES INTRODUCED IN THE 2010 REVISION


The following changes and adjustments were made in the 2010 Revision in relation to procedures
followed in the 2008 Revision.

The 2010 Revision uses a new stochastic model for fertility projection as described above in
section A.1 of Chapter V, and the medium fertility variant corresponds to the median of 100,000
projected country trajectories.

The 2010 Revision uses a long term stabilization level of 2.1 children per woman (which for
many countries might only be reached by the end of the century or even later) rather than 1.85
children per woman as in previous revisions when the projection horizon was only up to 2050.

With the extension of the projection horizon for all countries up to 2100 as part of the 2010
revision of the UN World Population Prospects, it was necessary to allow life expectancy at birth
to go beyond the limits of the standard model life table families (Coale and Demeny, 1966 and
Coale and Guo, 1989 ; as well as United Nations, 1982) which are commonly used to derive a
variety of mortality indicators and as underlying mortality patterns for estimation and projection.
As part of the 2010 Revision a new and extended version of Coale-Demeny and United Nations
model life tables has been developed which extends the standard model life table families from
75 to 100 years of life expectancy at birth. This new version also insures greater consistency with
the mortality experience of countries with the highest levels of life expectancy as recorded in the
20
Human Mortality Database .

20

For further details about the new extended models, see http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Model-Life-Tables/download-page.html and
for the methodology, see annex in Li, N. and P. Gerland (2011). "Modifying the Lee-Carter Method to Project Mortality Changes

38

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

In the 2010 Revision, the impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality is modelled explicitly for all
countries where HIV prevalence among persons aged 15 to 49 was ever equal to or greater
than two per cent between 1980 and 2009 in the general population, and/or the maximum
effect of HIV/AIDS on life expectancy at birth is two or more years. Also considered among
the affected countries are those where HIV prevalence is lower than one per cent but whose
population is so large that the number of people living with HIV in 2009 is more than
700,000 (i.e., China, India, Russian Federation, United States).

Both the survival time of HIV-positive children receiving treatment and the survival time of
HIV-positive adults receiving treatment (after developing full-blown AIDS) decreased with
respect to that used in the 2008 Revision (mean survival was revised down for children from
15.6 years to 11.6 and for adults from 17.4 years to 9.1). The revisions are consistent with
recommendations of UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections
(web site: http://www.epidem.org).

up to 2100" Paper presented at the 2011 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (PAA) in Session 125: Formal
Demography I: Mathematical Models and Methods on Friday 1 April http://paa2011.princeton.edu/sessionViewer.aspx?SessionId=1002
Coale, A. J. and P. Demeny (1966). Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations. Princeton University Press.
Coale, A. J. and G. Guo (1989). Revised regional model life tables at very low levels of mortality. Population Index, vol. 55,
number 4, pp. 613-643. URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3644567
United Nations (1982). Model life tables for developing countries. Population Studies, vol. 77. New York: United Nations. URL:
http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/Model_Life_Tables/Model_Life_Tables.htm

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

39

VI. ORDERING THE WORLD POPULATION PROSPECTS


DATA ON CD-ROM OR DVD
The 2010 Revision of the World Population Prospects, prepared by the United Nations Population
Division, provides a comprehensive and consistent set of population data for the worlds countries and
their aggregates.
The results of this Revision are available on three CD-ROM or DVD editions that differ with regard to
the data included and their prices (table 1). All three disks contain estimates and projections of national
populations by five-year age group and sex for 1950-2100 and demographic indicators for the same period. Data for 1950-2010 are estimates and those thereafter are projections.
The Comprehensive CD-ROM contains for all fertility projection variants (low, medium, high and
constant-fertility) all essential data such as total births, total deaths, total net-migration, the respective
crude rates, life expectancy at birth by sex, infant and child mortality, summary measures of adult mortality and deaths by broad age groups, total fertility, net-reproduction rate and population growth rates for
1950-2100 by five-year periods. It includes population by five-year age group and sex for five-year periods and interpolated annual total population. In addition, this CD edition provides births and deaths by
five-year age group, the corresponding age-specific fertility and mortality rates and abridged life tables
(survivors and life expectancies at specific ages). It also comprises standard sets of demographic indicators
and population by age group and sex for four other variants (instant-replacement-fertility, zero-migration,
constant-mortality and no mortality and fertility change) and for two AIDS mortality scenarios. All data on
this CD are presented in Excel worksheets and correspond to the datasets 1 to 3 and 5 to 12 listed in table
1.
The Extended DVD-ROM contains all the data from the Comprehensive CD, plus population figures
by single calendar year and single age group for 1950-2100. This DVD also provides interpolated demographic indicators for single calendar years (total births and deaths, their respective crude rates, life expectancy at birth by sex, infant and child mortality, survivors to age 1, total fertility, etc.), urban population,
population density and interpolated total population by broad age group and sex, and their respective percentage distributions and sex ratios. The data are presented in Excel and database formats (ASCII comma
delimited format for all datasets) and correspond to all datasets listed in table 1.
The first two disks show data for 230 countries and areas, 35 country aggregates, including the world
as a whole, the more and the less developed regions, and the major areas. For the AIDS scenarios (datasets
11-12), special aggregations by region and HIV prevalence level in 2009 are provided for 48 countries
affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic.
A new DVD-ROM for Special Aggregates contains a subset of indicators from the Extended dataset
(only medium fertility variant), but instead of the breakdown by countries, data are aggregated for 276
functional groupings such as: 30 geographical regions (e.g., Central Asia, etc.), 54 economic and trading
groups (e.g., World Bank regions and income groups, NAFTA, OPEC, OECD, G7, G20, BRIC, BRICS,
ECOWAS, MERCOSUR, etc. ), 32 political groups (e.g., NATO, G77, EU (15, 27, etc.), ASEAN, Arab
League, African Union, GCC, SADC, SAARC, Sahel, Maghreb, Mashreq, etc.), 90 United Nations regional groups (e.g., UN Regional Commissions, MDGs, UNICEF, WHO, FAO, UNFPA, Non-Self Governing Territories), and 70 ecological groups (e.g., land-locked developing countries, small island developing states, countries with access to the sea, major international river basins, rainforest basins, extreme
weather conditions, etc.).
The Microsoft Excel files correspond to version 97/2003 and later of this software. For a detailed listing of the contents of each disk, see table 2. Data files in database formats are shown in table 3.
For information on how to order any of these disks please see the order form at the end.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

41

Table 1. Summary contents of each CD-ROM or DVD


230 countries/areas and standard
geographic regions only)

Description:
Datasets included on CD-ROM or DVD
0. Location list and meta-infomation about
latest data sources used

Comprehensive
CD
Excel format

1. Period indicators, five-year periods

Excel format

2. Stock indicators, five-year periods (and


annual population)

Excel format

3. Population by five-year age group and sex,


five-year periods

Excel format

4. Population by five-year age group and sex,


annual
5. Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year
periods

Excel format

6. Fertility indicators by age, five-year periods

Excel format

7. Instant-replacement-fertility variant

Excel format

8. Zero-migration variant

Excel format

9. Constant-mortality variant

Excel format

10. No change variant (constant-mortality and


constant-fertility)

Excel format

11. No-AIDS mortality scenario

Excel format

12. AIDS mortality scenario (medium)

Excel format

13. Interpolated demographic and population


indicators, annual
14. Population (by sex and both sexes
combined) interpolated by single years of
age and single calendar years
Price ($US)

42

$100

Extended DVD
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
Excel and
database
formats
$400

276 functional,
economical, political,
and ecological
groupings
Special
AggregatesDVD
Excel and database
formats
Excel and database
formats
Excel and database
formats
Excel and database
formats

Excel and database


formats
Excel and database
formats

$1200

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File

Indicators

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

CDROM /
DVD

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

Age groups

F0.1

Location list with codes (numerical and


ISO3), description, major area, region
and development group; countries with
explicit HIV/AIDS mortality modelling
in WPP 2010 revision, HIV prevalence
rate (%) in population aged 15-49 years
in 2009 (UNAIDS, 2011) and by
prevalence group, peak of HIV
epidemic (year and value for maximum
prevalence between 1980-2009),
comparison for 2007 HIV prevalence
rate between UNAIDS 2008 and 2010
revisions.

C/E
SA

230
270

---

---

---

F0.2

Latest data sources (summary, type of


data and reference date) used to derive
estimates for total population, fertility,
mortality and migrations by countries
or areas (includes information about
method used to derive mortality
estimates, age mortality pattern and
child mortality).

C/E
SA

230
270

---

---

---

Dataset 1.

Period indicators, five-year periods


1950-1955,.20952100

---

1950-1955,.20952100

---

1950-1955,.20952100

---

1950-1955,.20952100

---

F1.

Total fertility

C/E
SA

197
270

F2.

Net reproduction rate

C/E
SA

197
270

F3.

Crude birth rate

C/E
SA

197
270

F4.

Births (both sexes)

C/E
SA

197
270

F5.

Life expectancy at birth (e0) by sex

F6.1

Infant mortality rate, q(1)

F6.2

Under-five mortality, q(5)

C/E
SA
C/E
SA
C/E
SA

197
270
197
270
197
270

Low, medium, high,


constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility

1950-1955,.20952100
1950-1955,.20952100
1980-2000,.20952100

-------

43

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


44

Dataset
and File

Indicators

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

CDROM /
DVD

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only

Periods covered

Age groups

1950-1955,.20952100

---

1950-1955,.20952100

---

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

F7.

Crude death rate

C/E
SA

197
270

F8.

Total number of deaths by sex

C/E
SA

197
270

F9.

Total deaths by broad age group and by


sex

C/E
SA

197
270

F10.

Percentage total deaths by broad age


group and by sex

C/E
SA

197
270

Low, medium, high,


constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only

1950-1955,.20952100

F11.

Probability of dying between birth and


the age of 40 years (40q0) by sex
Probability of dying between birth and
the age of 60 years (60q0) by sex
Probability of dying between the ages
of 15 and 50 years (35q15) by sex
Probability of dying between the ages
of 15 and 60 years (45q15) by sex

C/E
SA
C/E
SA
C/E
SA
C/E
SA
C/E
SA
C/E
SA
C/E
SA

197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270

Medium-fertility

1995-2000,.20952100
1995-2000,.20952100
1995-2000,.20952100
1995-2000,.20952100
1995-2000,.20952100
1995-2000,.20952100
1995-2000,.20952100

F12.
F13.
F14.
F15.
F16.
F17.

Life expectancy at age 15 (e15) by sex


Life expectancy at age 15 (e60) by sex
Life expectancy at age 80 (e80) by sex

F18.

Net migration rate

C/E
SA

197
270

F19.

Net number of migrants (both sexes)

C/E
SA

197
270

F20.

Average annual rate of population


change

C/E
SA

230

F21.

Rate of natural increase

C/E
SA

197
270

Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Medium-fertility
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility

1950-1955,.20952100

0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,


15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,
15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
---------------

1950-1955,.20952100

---

1950-1955,.20952100

---

1950-1955,.20952100

---

1950-1955,.20952100

---

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File

Indicators

F22.

Sex ratio at birth

F23.

Female mean age of childbearing

Dataset 2.

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

C/E
SA
C/E
SA

197
270
197
270

CDROM /
DVD

Medium-fertility only
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility

Periods covered

1950-1955,.20952100
1995-2000,.20952100

Age groups

-----

Stock indicators

F1.

Total population (both sexes), annual

C/E
SA

230
270

F2.

Male population, annual

C/E
SA

197
270

F3.

Female population, annual

C/E
SA

197
270

F4.

Sex ratio of the total population

C/E
SA

197
270

F5.1A

Total dependency ratio (<15 &


65+)/(15-64)

C/E
SA

197
270

F5.1B

Total dependency ratio (<20 &


65+)/(20-64)

C/E
SA

197
270

F5.1C

Total dependency ratio (<20 &


70+)/(20-69)

C/E
SA

197
270

F5.1D

Total dependency ratio (<25 &


65+)/(25-64)

C/E
SA

197
270

F5.1E

Total dependency ratio (<25 &


70+)/(25-69)

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

Child dependency ratio <15/(15-64)


F5.2A
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-64)
F5.2B

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Low, medium, high,


constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only

1950, 1951,.2099,
2100

---

1950, 1951,.2099,
2100

---

1950, 1951,.2099,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

45

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


46

Dataset
and File

Indicators
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-69)

F5.2C
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-64)
F5.2D
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-69)
F5.2E
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(15-64)
F5.3A
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(20-64)
F5.3B
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(20-69)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

F5.3C
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(25-64)
F5.3D
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(25-69)
F5.3D
Potential support ratio (15-64)/ 65+
F5.4A
Potential support ratio (20-64)/ 65+
F5.4B
Potential support ratio (20-69)/70+
F5.4C
Potential support ratio (25-64)/65+
F5.4D
Potential support ratio (25-69)/70+
F5.4E
F6.

Median age of the population

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E
SA

197
270

C/E

197

CDROM /
DVD

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility

Periods covered

Age groups

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

1950, 1955,.2095,

---

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File

Indicators

CDROM /
DVD

F7.

Total population by broad age group


and by sex

Edition1
SA
C/E
SA

F8.

Percentage total population by broad


age group and by sex

C/E
SA

F9.1

Sex ratio by broad age group (males


per 100 females by age group)

F9.2

Feminity ratio by broad age group


(females per 100 males by age group)

F10.

Population density

Dataset 3.
F1.

Number
of
countries
or areas
270
197
270

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

F3.

Age groups

Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only

2100
1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

197
270

Low, medium, high,


constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

C/E
SA

197
270

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

C/E
SA

197
270

Low, medium, high,


constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only

C/E
SA

230
270

Low, medium, high,


constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

---

C/E
SA

197
270

Low, medium, high,


constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only

1950, 1955,.1985,
1990

0-4, 5-9,75-79, 80+

1995, 2000,.2095,
2100

0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,


80-84, 95-99, 100+

1950, 1955,.1985,
1990

0-4, 5-9,75-79, 80+

1950, 1955,.2095,
2100

Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-17, 019, 0-24, 5-14, 6-11, 1214, 15+, 15-17, 15-24, 1549, 15-59, 15-64, 18+, 1823, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+,
70+, 75+, 80+, 85+, 90+,
etc.
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-17, 019, 0-24, 5-14, 6-11, 1214, 15+, 15-17, 15-24, 1549, 15-59, 15-64, 18+, 1823, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+,
70+, 75+, 80+, 85+, 90+,
etc.
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-17, 019, 0-24, 5-14, 6-11, 1214, 15+, 15-17, 15-24, 1549, 15-59, 15-64, 18+, 1823, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+,
70+, 75+, 80+, 85+, 90+,
etc.

Population by age and sex, five-year periods


Population by five-year age group
(both sexes)

F2.

Periods covered

Male population by five-year age group

Female population by five-year age


group

C/E
SA

C/E
SA

197
270

197
270

Low, medium, high,


constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only

Low, medium, high,


constant-fertility

1995, 2000,.2095,
2100
1950, 1955,.1985,
1990

0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,


80-84, 95-99, 100+
0-4, 5-9,75-79, 80+

47

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


48

Dataset
and File

Indicators

CDROM /
DVD

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

Age groups

1995, 2000,.2095,
2100

0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,


80-84, 95-99, 100+

1950, 1951,.1994

0-4, 5-9,75-79, 80+

1995, 1996,.2100

0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,


80-84, 95-99, 100+

1950, 1951,.1994

0-4, 5-9,75-79, 80+

1995, 1996,.2100

0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,


80-84, 95-99, 100+

1950, 1951,.1994

0-4, 5-9,75-79, 80+

1995, 1996,.2100

0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,


80-84, 95-99, 100+

1995-2000,.20952100

0-4, 5-9,.75-79, 80+

1995-2000,.20952100

0-4, 5-9,.75-79, 80+

1995-2000,.20952100

0-4, 5-9,.75-79, 80+

Medium-fertility only

Dataset 4.
F1A.

Population by age and sex, annual (interpolated from five-year periods)


Population by five-year age group
(both sexes)

197

197

197

Medium-fertility

F1B.
F2A.
F2B.
F3A.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

F3B.
Dataset 5.

Population by five-year age group


(male)

Population by five-year age group


(female)

Medium-fertility

Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods

F1.

Deaths by five-year age group (both


sexes)

C/E
SA

197
270

F2.

Deaths by five-year age group (male)

C/E
SA

197
270

F3.

Deaths by five-year age group (female)

C/E
SA

197
270

F4.

Life table l(x) values by sex

F5.

Life expectancy at age (x) by sex

C/E
SA
C/E
SA

197
270
197
270

Dataset 6.

Medium-fertility

Low, medium, high,


constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility

1995-2000,.20952100
1995-2000,.20952100

0, 1, 5, 10,.80, 85
0, 1, 5, 10,.95, 100

Fertility indicators by age, five-year periods

F1.

Births by five-year age group of mother

C/E
SA

197
270

F2.

Age-specific fertility rates

C/E
SA

197
270

Low, medium, high,


constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only
Low, medium, high,
constant-fertility
Medium-fertility only

1995-2000,.20952100

15-19, 20-24,45-49

1995-2000,.20952100

15-19, 20-24,45-49

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File

Indicators

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

CDROM /
DVD

Dataset 7.

Instant-replacement-fertility variant

F1.

Population by five-year age group and


sex

C/E

197

F2.

Total population (both sexes)

C/E

230

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

F3.1A
F3.1B
F3.1C
F3.1D
F3.1E
F3.2A
F3.2B
F3.2C
F3.2D
F3.2E
F3.3A
F3.3B
F3.3C
F3.3D
F3.3E
F3.4A

Total dependency ratio (<15 &


65+)/(15-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
65+)/(20-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
70+)/(20-69)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
65+)/(25-64)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
70+)/(25-69)
Child dependency ratio <15/(15-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-69)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-64)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(15-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(20-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(20-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(25-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(25-69)
Potential support ratio (15-64)/ 65+

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

Age groups

Instant-replacement-fertility

2010, 2015, 2095,


2100

0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,


80-84, 95-99, 100+

Instant-replacement-fertility

2010, 2011,.2099,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100

Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility

-----------------------------------

49

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


50

Dataset
and File
F3.4B

Indicators
Potential support ratio (20-64)/ 65+

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

CDROM /
DVD

Potential support ratio (20-69)/70+


F3.4C
F3.4D
F3.4D

Potential support ratio (25-64)/65+


Potential support ratio (25-69)/70+

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility

Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility

Periods covered
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

F4.

Median age of the population

C/E

197

F5.

Total population by broad age group


and by sex

C/E

197

Instant-replacement-fertility

F6.

Percentage total population by broad


age group and by sex

C/E

197

Instant-replacement-fertility

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

F7.1

Sex ratio by broad age group (males


per 100 females by age group)

C/E

197

Instant-replacement-fertility

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

F7.2

Feminity ratio by broad age group


(females per 100 males by age group)

C/E

197

Instant-replacement-fertility

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

F8.

Crude birth rate

C/E

197

Instant-replacement-fertility

F9.

Births (both sexes)

C/E

197

F10.

Total fertility

C/E

197

F11.

Crude death rate

C/E

197

F12.

Total number of deaths by sex

C/E

197

2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100

Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility

Age groups

----------Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
-----------

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File

Indicators

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

CDROM /
DVD

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

Age groups
0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,
15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,
15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
---

F13.

Total deaths by broad age group and by


sex

C/E

197

Instant-replacement-fertility

2010-2015,.2095,
2100

F14.

Percentage total deaths by broad age


group and by sex

C/E

197

Instant-replacement-fertility

2010-2015,.2095,
2100

C/E

197

Instant-replacement-fertility

2010-2015,.20952100

Zero-migration

2010, 2015, 2095,


2100
2010, 2011,.2099,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100

F17.
Dataset 8.

Average annual rate of population


change
Zero-migration variant

F1.

Population by five-year age group and


sex

C/E

197

F2.

Total population (both sexes)

C/E

230

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

F3.1A
F3.1B
F3.1C
F3.1D
F3.1D
F3.2A
F3.2B
F3.2C
F3.2D
F3.2E
F3.3A

Total dependency ratio (<15 &


65+)/(15-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
65+)/(20-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
70+)/(20-69)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
65+)/(25-64)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
70+)/(25-69)
Child dependency ratio <15/(15-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-69)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-64)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(15-64)

Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration

0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,


80-84, 95-99, 100+
-------------------------

51

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


52

Dataset
and File
F3.3B
F3.3C
F3.3D
F3.3E
F3.4A
F3.4B
F3.4C
F3.4D
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

F3.4E

Indicators
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(20-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(20-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(25-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(25-69)
Potential support ratio (15-64)/ 65+
Potential support ratio (20-64)/ 65+
Potential support ratio (20-69)/70+
Potential support ratio (25-64)/65+
Potential support ratio (25-69)/70+

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

CDROM /
DVD

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration
Zero-migration

Periods covered

Age groups

2010, 2015, 2095,


2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

---

F4.

Median age of the population

C/E

197

F5.

Total population by broad age group


and by sex

C/E

197

Zero-migration

F6.

Percentage total population by broad


age group and by sex

C/E

197

Zero-migration

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

F7.1

Sex ratio by broad age group (males


per 100 females by age group)

C/E

197

Zero-migration

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

F7.2

Feminity ratio by broad age group


(females per 100 males by age group)

C/E

197

Zero-migration

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

F8.

Crude birth rate

C/E

197

Zero-migration

2010-2015,.20952100

------------------Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
---

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File

Indicators

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

CDROM /
DVD

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)
Zero-migration

Periods covered

Age groups

2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.2095,
2100

---

F9.

Births (both sexes)

C/E

197

F11.

Crude death rate

C/E

197

F12.

Total number of deaths by sex

C/E

197

F13.

Total deaths by broad age group and by


sex

C/E

197

Zero-migration

F14.

Percentage total deaths by broad age


group and by sex

C/E

197

Zero-migration

2010-2015,.2095,
2100

C/E

197

Zero-migration

2010-2015,.20952100

F1.

Population by five-year age group and


sex

C/E

197

Constant-mortality

F2.

Total population (both sexes)

C/E

230

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

2010, 2015, 2095,


2100
2010, 2011,.2099,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100

F17.
Dataset 9.

F3.1A
F3.1B
F3.1C
F3.1D
F3.1E
F3.2A
F3.2B
F3.2C

Average annual rate of population


change

Zero-migration
Zero-migration

----0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,


15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,
15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
---

Constant-mortality variant

Total dependency ratio (<15 &


65+)/(15-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
65+)/(20-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
70+)/(20-69)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
65+)/(25-64)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
70+)/(25-69)
Child dependency ratio <15/(15-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-69)

Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality

0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,


80-84, 95-99, 100+
-------------------

53

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


54

Dataset
and File
F3.2D
F3.2E
F3.3A
F3.3B
F3.3C
F3.3D
F3.3E
F3.4A
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

F3.4B
F3.4C
F3.4D
F3.4E

Indicators
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-64)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(15-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(20-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(20-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(25-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(25-69)
Potential support ratio (15-64)/ 65+
Potential support ratio (20-64)/ 65+
Potential support ratio (20-69)/70+
Potential support ratio (25-64)/65+
Potential support ratio (25-69)/70+

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

CDROM /
DVD

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality

F4.

Median age of the population

C/E

197

F5.

Total population by broad age group


and by sex

C/E

197

Constant-mortality

F6.

Percentage total population by broad


age group and by sex

C/E

197

Constant-mortality

Periods covered

Age groups

2010, 2015, 2095,


2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

---

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

------------------------Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File

Indicators

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

CDROM /
DVD

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

Age groups
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
---

F7.1

Sex ratio by broad age group (males


per 100 females by age group)

C/E

197

Constant-mortality

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

F7.2

Feminity ratio by broad age group


(females per 100 males by age group)

C/E

197

Constant-mortality

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

F8.

Crude birth rate

C/E

197

Constant-mortality

F9.

Births (both sexes)

C/E

197

F11.

Crude death rate

C/E

197

F12.

Total number of deaths by sex

C/E

197

F13.

Total deaths by broad age group and by


sex

C/E

197

Constant-mortality

2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.2095,
2100

F14.

Percentage total deaths by broad age


group and by sex

C/E

197

Constant-mortality

2010-2015,.2095,
2100

F15.

Deaths by five-year age group and sex

C/E

197

Constant-mortality

F16.

Life expectancy at birth by sex

C/E

197

F17.

Average annual rate of population


change

C/E

197

2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100

Dataset 10.

Population by five-year age group and


sex

C/E

197

F2.

Total population (both sexes)

C/E

230

C/E

197

C/E

197

F3.1B

Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality

Constant-mortality
Constant-mortality

------0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,


15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,
15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
0-4, 5-9, ...75-79, 80+
-----

No change variant (constant-mortality and constant-fertility)

F1.

F3.1A

Constant-mortality

Total dependency ratio (<15 &


65+)/(15-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
65+)/(20-64)

Constant mortality and


fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility

2010, 2015, 2095,


2100
2010, 2011,.2099,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100

0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,


80-84, 95-99, 100+
-------

55

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


56

Dataset
and File
F3.1C
F3.1D
F3.1E
F3.2A
F3.2B
F3.2C
F3.2D
F3.2E
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

F3.3A
F3.3B
F3.3C
F3.3D
F3.3E
F3.4A
F3.4B
F3.4C
F3.4D
F3.4E
F4.

Indicators
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
70+)/(20-69)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
65+)/(25-64)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
70+)/(25-69)
Child dependency ratio <15/(15-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-69)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-64)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(15-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(20-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(20-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(25-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(25-69)
Potential support ratio (15-64)/ 65+
Potential support ratio (20-64)/ 65+
Potential support ratio (20-69)/70+
Potential support ratio (25-64)/65+
Potential support ratio (25-69)/70+

Median age of the population

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

C/E

197

CDROM /
DVD

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility

Periods covered

Age groups

2010, 2015, 2095,


2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100
2010, 2015, 2095,
2100

---------------------------------------

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File

Indicators

CDROM /
DVD

Edition1
F5.

Total population by broad age group


and by sex
C/E

F6.

Number
of
countries
or areas

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

Age groups

Constant mortality and


fertility

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

Constant mortality and


fertility

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
---

197

Percentage total population by broad


age group and by sex
C/E

197

Sex ratio by broad age group (males


per 100 females by age group)

C/E

197

Constant mortality and


fertility

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

Feminity ratio by broad age group


(females per 100 males by age group)

C/E

197

Constant mortality and


fertility

2010, 2015,.2095,
2100

F8.

Crude birth rate

C/E

197

F9.

Births (both sexes)

C/E

197

F10.

Population density

C/E

197

F11.

Crude death rate

C/E

197

F12.

Total number of deaths by sex

C/E

197

F13.

Total deaths by broad age group and by


sex

C/E

197

Constant mortality and


fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility

2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.2095,
2100

F14.

Percentage total deaths by broad age


group and by sex

C/E

197

Constant mortality and


fertility

2010-2015,.2095,
2100

F15.

Deaths by five-year age group and sex

C/E

197

Constant mortality and


fertility

2010-2015,.20952100

F7.1
F7.2

--------0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,


15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,
15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
0-4, 5-9, ...75-79, 80+

57

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


58

Dataset
and File

Indicators

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

CDROM /
DVD

F16.

Life expectancy at birth by sex

C/E

197

F17.

Average annual rate of population


change

C/E

197

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)
Constant mortality and
fertility
Constant mortality and
fertility

Periods covered

Age groups

2010-2015,.20952100
2010-2015,.20952100

-----

AIDS Mortality Scenarios for 48 countries affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic and 12 special aggregations (by region and HIV prevalence level in 2009)
Dataset 11.

No-AIDS mortality scenario

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

11.1

Period indicators

F2.

Net reproduction rate

C/E

48

F3.

Crude birth rate

C/E

48

F4.

Births (both sexes)

C/E

48

F5.

Life expectancy at birth by sex

C/E

48

F6.1

Infant mortality rate, q(1)

C/E

48

F6.2

Under-five mortality, q(5)

C/E

48

F7.

Crude death rate

C/E

48

F8.1

Total number of deaths (both sexes)

C/E

48

F8.2

Total number of male deaths

C/E

48

F8.3

Total number of female deaths

C/E

48

F9.

Total deaths by broad age group and by


sex

C/E

48

No-AIDS mortality

F10.

Percentage total deaths by broad age


group and by sex

C/E

48

No-AIDS mortality

1980-1985,.20952100

F11.

Probability of dying between birth and


the age of 40 years (40q0) by sex

C/E

48

No-AIDS mortality

1980-1985,.20952100

No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality

1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
19801985,.2095-2100
19801985,.2095-2100
19801985,.2095-2100
19801985,.2095-2100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100

--------------------0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,


15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,
15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
---

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

Life expectancy at age 15 (e15) by sex

C/E

48

Life expectancy at age 15 (e60) by sex

C/E

48

Life expectancy at age 80 (e80) by sex

C/E

48

F20.

Average annual rate of population


change

C/E

48

F21.

Rate of natural increase

C/E

48

11.2

Stock indicators

F1.

Total population (both sexes), annual

C/E

48

F2.

Male population, annual

C/E

48

F3.

Female population, annual

C/E

48

F4.

Sex ratio of the total population

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

Dataset
and File

Indicators

F12.

Probability of dying between birth and


the age of 60 years (60q0) by sex

F13.

Probability of dying between the ages


of 15 and 50 years (35q15) by sex
Probability of dying between the ages
of 15 and 60 years (45q15) by sex

F14.
F15.
F16.
F17.

F5.1A
F5.1B
F5.1C
F5.1D
F5.1E
F5.2A
F5.2B

Total dependency ratio (<15 &


65+)/(15-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
65+)/(20-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
70+)/(20-69)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
65+)/(25-64)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
70+)/(25-69)
Child dependency ratio <15/(15-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-64)

CDROM /
DVD

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

Age groups

No-AIDS mortality

1980-1985,.20952100

---

No-AIDS mortality

1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100

No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality

No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality

59

1980, 1981,.2099,
2100
1980, 1981,.2099,
2100
1980, 1981,.2099,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100

---------------

-----------------------

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


60

Dataset
and File
F5.2C
F5.2D
F5.2E
F5.3A
F5.3B
F5.3C
F5.3D
F5.3E

Indicators
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-69)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-64)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(15-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(20-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(20-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(25-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(25-69)

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

CDROM /
DVD

Potential support ratio (15-64)/ 65+


F5.4A
F5.4B
F5.4C
F5.4D
F5.4E

Potential support ratio (20-64)/ 65+


Potential support ratio (20-69)/70+
Potential support ratio (25-64)/65+
Potential support ratio (25-69)/70+

F6.

Median age of the population

F7.

Total population by broad age group


and by sex

No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality

No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality

C/E

F8.

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100

48

Percentage total population by broad


age group and by sex

No-AIDS mortality
C/E

Periods covered

48

1980, 1985,.2095,
2100

Age groups

----------------------------Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File

Indicators

CDROM /
DVD

Edition1
F9.1
F9.2

11.3
F1.
F2.

Number
of
countries
or areas

Sex ratio by broad age group (males


per 100 females by age group)

C/E

48

Feminity ratio by broad age group


(females per 100 males by age group)

C/E

48

Population by age and sex, five-year periods


Population by five-year age group
C/E
(both sexes)
Male population by five-year age group

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

11.4

Female population by five-year age


group
Population by age and sex, annual

F1.

Population by five-year age group

C/E

48

F2.

Population by five-year age group


(male)

C/E

48

F3.

F3.
11.5
F1.

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

No-AIDS mortality

1980, 1985,.2095,
2100

No-AIDS mortality

1980, 1985,.2095,
2100

No-AIDS mortality

1980, 1985,. 2095,


2100
1980, 1985,. 2095,
2100
1980, 1985,. 2095,
2100

No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality

No-AIDS mortality

1980, 1981,.2100

No-AIDS mortality

Population by five-year age group


C/E
(female)
Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods
Deaths by five-year age group (both
C/E
sexes)

48

48

F2.

Deaths by five-year age group (male)

C/E

48

F3.

Deaths by five-year age group (female)

C/E

48

F4.

Life table l(x) values by sex

C/E

48

F5.

Life expectancy at age (x) by sex

C/E

48

11.6

Fertility indicators by age, five-year periods

F1.

Births by five-year age group of mother

C/E

48

F2.

Age-specific fertility rates

C/E

48

1980, 1981,.2100
No-AIDS mortality

No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality

No-AIDS mortality
No-AIDS mortality

1980, 1981,.2100

1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100

Age groups
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,
80-84, 95-99, 100+
0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,
80-84, 95-99, 100+
0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,
80-84, 95-99, 100+
0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,
80-84, 95-99, 100+
0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,
80-84, 95-99, 100+
0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,
80-84, 95-99, 100+

0-4, 5-9,.75-79, 80+


0-4, 5-9,.75-79, 80+
0-4, 5-9,.75-79, 80+
0, 1, 5, 10,.80, 85
0, 1, 5, 10,.95, 100

15-19, 20-24,45-49
15-19, 20-24,45-49

61

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


62

Dataset
and File

Dataset 12.

Indicators

CDROM /

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

DVD

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Period indicators

F2.

Net reproduction rate

C/E

48

F3.

Crude birth rate

C/E

48

F4.

Births (both sexes)

C/E

48

F5.

Life expectancy at birth by sex

C/E

48

F6.1

Infant mortality rate, q(1)

C/E

48

F6.2

Under-five mortality, q(5)


C/E

48

C/E

48

Crude death rate

F8.1

Total number of deaths (both sexes)

C/E

48

F8.2

Total number of male deaths

C/E

48

F8.3

Total number of female deaths

C/E

48

F9.

Total deaths by broad age group and by


sex

AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality

AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality

C/E

F12.

AIDS mortality

AIDS mortality

F7.

F12.

Periods covered

Age groups

AIDS mortality scenario (same as


medium)

12.1

F10.

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
19801985,.2095-2100
19801985,.2095-2100
19801985,.2095-2100
19801985,.2095-2100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100

48

Percentage total deaths by broad age


group and by sex
C/E

48

Probability of dying between birth and


the age of 40 years (40q0) by sex

C/E

48

Probability of dying between birth and


the age of 60 years (60q0) by sex

C/E

48

AIDS mortality

1980-1985,.20952100

AIDS mortality

1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100

AIDS mortality

-------------

--------0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,


15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 0-24, 5-14,
15+, 15-24, 15-49, 15-59,
15-64, 20+, 20-64, 20-69,
25+, 25-69, 40+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 80+, 90+
-----

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

CDROM /

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

C/E

48

C/E

48

Life expectancy at age 15 (e15) by sex

C/E

48

Life expectancy at age 15 (e60) by sex

C/E

48

Life expectancy at age 80 (e80) by sex

C/E

48

F20.

Average annual rate of population


change

C/E

48

F21.

Rate of natural increase

C/E

48

12.2

Stock indicators

F1.

Total population (both sexes), annual

C/E

48

F2.

Male population, annual

C/E

48

F3.

Female population, annual

C/E

48

F4.

Sex ratio of the total population

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

Dataset
and File
F13.
F14.
F15.
F16.
F17.

F5.1A
F5.1B
F5.1C
F5.1D
F5.1E
F5.2A
F5.2B
F5.2C

Indicators
Probability of dying between the ages
of 15 and 50 years (35q15) by sex
Probability of dying between the ages
of 15 and 60 years (45q15) by sex

Total dependency ratio (<15 &


65+)/(15-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
65+)/(20-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
70+)/(20-69)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
65+)/(25-64)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
70+)/(25-69)
Child dependency ratio <15/(15-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-69)

DVD

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality

AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality

Periods covered
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980, 1981,.2099,
2100
1980, 1981,.2099,
2100
1980, 1981,.2099,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100

Age groups

---------------

-------------------------

63

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


64

Dataset
and File
F5.2D
F5.2E
F5.3A
F5.3B
F5.3C
F5.3D
F5.3E
F5.4A
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

F5.4B
F5.4C

Indicators
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-64)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(15-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(20-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(20-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(25-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(25-69)
Potential support ratio (15-64)/ 65+
Potential support ratio (20-64)/ 65+
Potential support ratio (20-69)/70+

CDROM /

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

DVD

Potential support ratio (25-64)/65+


F5.4D
F5.4E

Potential support ratio (25-69)/70+

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality

AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality

F6.

Median age of the population

C/E

48

F7.

Total population by broad age group


and by sex

C/E

48

AIDS mortality

F8.

Percentage total population by broad


age group and by sex

C/E

48

AIDS mortality

Periods covered
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100
1980, 1985,.2095,
2100

1980, 1985,.2095,
2100

Age groups

--------------------------Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+
Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File
F9.1
F9.2

12.3
F1.
F2.

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

Sex ratio by broad age group (males


per 100 females by age group)

C/E

48

Feminity ratio by broad age group


(females per 100 males by age group)

C/E

48

Indicators

Male population by five-year age group

12.4
F1.

Population by five-year age group

F2.
F3.
12.5
F1.

DVD

Population by age and sex, five-year periods


Population by five-year age group
C/E
(both sexes)

Female population by five-year age


group
Population by age and sex, annual

F3.

CDROM /

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

C/E

48

Population by five-year age group


C/E
(male)
Population by five-year age group
C/E
(female)
Mortality indicators by age and sex, five-year periods
Deaths by five-year age group (both
C/E
sexes)

48
48

48

F2.

Deaths by five-year age group (male)

C/E

48

F3.

Deaths by five-year age group (female)

C/E

48

F4.

Life table l(x) values by sex

C/E

48

F5.

Life expectancy at age (x) by sex

C/E

48

12.6

Fertility indicators by age, five-year periods

F1.

Births by five-year age group of mother

C/E

48

F2.

Age-specific fertility rates

C/E

48

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

Age groups

AIDS mortality

1980, 1985,.2095,
2100

AIDS mortality

1980, 1985,.2095,
2100

Total, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19, 024, 5-14, 15+, 15-17, 1524, 15-49, 15-59, 15-64,
20+, 20-64, 20-69, 25+,
25-69, 50+, 60+, 65+, 70+,
75+, 80+, 85+, 90+

AIDS mortality

1980, 1985,. 2095,


2100
1980, 1985,. 2095,
2100
1980, 1985,. 2095,
2100

AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality

AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality

AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality

AIDS mortality
AIDS mortality

1980, 1981,.2100
1980, 1981,.2100
1980, 1981,.2100

1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100
1980-1985,.20952100

0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,


80-84, 95-99, 100+
0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,
80-84, 95-99, 100+
0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,
80-84, 95-99, 100+
0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,
80-84, 95-99, 100+
0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,
80-84, 95-99, 100+
0-4, 5-9, 75-79, 80+,
80-84, 95-99, 100+

0-4, 5-9,.75-79, 80+


0-4, 5-9,.75-79, 80+
0-4, 5-9,.75-79, 80+
0, 1, 5, 10,.80, 85
0, 1, 5, 10,.95, 100

15-19, 20-24,45-49
15-19, 20-24,45-49

65

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


66

Dataset
and File

Indicators

CDROM /
DVD

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

Age groups

Interpolated annual demographic indicators and interpolated annual populations by single age
F1.

Interpolated demographic indicators


Mortality indicators
Total number of deaths by sex

E
SA

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Crude death rate

Life expectancy at birth by sex

Infant deaths (under age 1)

Infant mortality rate, q(1)

Survivors to age 1

Under-five mortality, q(5)

197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270

Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility

1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1980, 1981,.2099,
2100

---------------

Fertility indicators
Births (both sexes)

Crude birth rate

Total fertility

Natural change indicators


Total population natural change (i.e.,
Births-Deaths)
Rate of natural increase

E
E

197
270
197
270
197
270

Medium-fertility

197
270
197
270

Medium-fertility

197
270
197
270

Medium-fertility

197
270
197

Medium-fertility

Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility

Medium-fertility

1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100

-------

-----

International migration indicators


Net number of migrants (both sexes)

Net migration rate

Population change indicators (including migration)


Total population change per year (i.e.,
E
Births-Deaths+Migrations)
Annual rate of population change
E

Medium-fertility

Medium-fertility

1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,

-----

-----

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File

Indicators

CDROM /
DVD

Edition1

F2.
F2A.

F2B.

Number
of
countries
or areas
270
197
270

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Medium-fertility

Periods covered
2100
1950, 1951,.2099,
2100

Total population annual doubling time

Interpolated population indicators


Interpolated population by broad age
group and by sex

197
270

Medium-fertility

1950, 1951, 2099,


2100

Interpolated total population by sex

Medium-fertility

Interpolated total urban population

197
270
197

Percentage of total population by broad


age group and by sex

1950, 1951, 2099,


2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100

197
270

Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility

Age groups

---

Total alive between birth


and age 1, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19,
0-24, 5-14, pre-primary
school ages (3-4, 3-5, 3-6,
4-5, 4-6), primary school
ages (5-10, 5-11, 6-9, 6-10,
6-11, 6-12, 7-10, 7-12),
secondary school ages (1116, 11-17, 11-18, 12-14,
12-16, 12-17, 12-18, 1317, 13-18, 13-19), school
ages (15-17, 18-23), 15-24,
15-49, 15-59, 15-64, 2064, 20-69, 25-49, 25-64,
25-69, 15+, 16+, 17+, 18+,
20+, 21+, 25+, 50+, 60+,
65+, 70+, 75+, 80+, 85+,
90+, etc.
----Total alive between birth
and age 1, 0-4, 0-14, 0-19,
0-24, 5-14, pre-primary
school ages (3-4, 3-5, 3-6,
4-5, 4-6), primary school
ages (5-10, 5-11, 6-9, 6-10,
6-11, 6-12, 7-10, 7-12),
secondary school ages (1116, 11-17, 11-18, 12-14,
12-16, 12-17, 12-18, 1317, 13-18, 13-19), school
ages (15-17, 18-23), 15-24,
15-49, 15-59, 15-64, 2064, 20-69, 25-49, 25-64,
25-69, 15+, 16+, 17+, 18+,
20+, 21+, 25+, 50+, 60+,

67

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


68

Dataset
and File

Indicators

CDROM /
DVD

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

Age groups
65+, 70+, 75+, 80+, 85+,
90+, etc.

F2C.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Interpolated percentage urban


population

195

Interpolated total population density

197
270

Medium-fertility

197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270
197
270

Medium-fertility

Interpolated population ratios


Total dependency ratio (<15 &
65+)/(15-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
65+)/(20-64)
Total dependency ratio (<20 &
70+)/(20-69)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
65+)/(25-64)
Total dependency ratio (<25 &
70+)/(25-69)
Child dependency ratio <15/(15-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-64)
Child dependency ratio <20/(20-69)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-64)
Child dependency ratio <25/(25-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(15-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(20-64)
Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(20-69)
Old-age dependency ratio 65+/(25-64)

E
E
E
E
E
E
E
E
E
E
E
E
E
E

Old-age dependency ratio 70+/(25-69)


E

197
270

Medium-fertility

Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility
Medium-fertility

1950, 1951, 2099,


2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100
1950, 1951, 2099,
2100

-----

-------------------------------

TABLE 2. CONTENTS OF DATASETS IN DIGITAL FORM


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Dataset
and File

Indicators

CDROM /
DVD

Edition1

Number
of
countries
or areas

Projection variants or
scenarios
(starting in 2010)

Periods covered

Age groups

1950, 1951,.1994

0, 1, 2, 79, 80+

1995, 1996,.2100

0, 1, 2, 79, 80+, 81
99, 100+

1950, 1951,.1994

0, 1, 2, 79, 80+

1995, 1996,.2100

0, 1, 2, 79, 80+, 81
99, 100+

1950, 1951,.1994

0, 1, 2, 79, 80+

1995, 1996,.2100

0, 1, 2, 79, 80+, 81
99, 100+

Interpolated annual populations by single age


F3.

F4.

F5.

Population by single age (both sexes)

Population by single age (male)

Population by single age (female)

197
270

197
270

197
270

Medium-fertility

Medium-fertility

Medium-fertility

Note: (1) CD-ROM or DVD editions are: C = Comprehensive (CD-ROM), E = Extended (DVD), SA = Special Aggregates (DVD)
Datasets 11 to 12 present, in addition to the default AIDS mortality scenario (medium), three other AIDS scenarios for 48 countries affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic: the
No-AIDS scenario applies the mortality likely to be exhibited by the non-infected population to the whole population, thus excluding the direct impacts of the epidemic. The estimates associated with the No-AIDS scenario (that is, the figures for 1980-2010) differ from the estimates of the other variants because AIDS started affecting the populations in the
majority of the highly-affected countries around 1980. By comparing these results with those of the estimates and medium variant that include explicitly the effects of the
HIV/AIDS epidemic, the user can infer the impact of the epidemic.

69

70

TABLE 3. DATA FILES IN DATABASE FORMAT INCLUDED IN THE EXTENDED DVD EDITION
(similar structure for Special Agreggates DVD but different set of records and only for medium fertility variant)
Topic / Data file

Description

Data
file
format1
CSV
&
DAT

Number
of
indicators2
29

Number
of records
279

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

WPP2010_F01_Locations.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

Location list with codes (numerical


and ISO3), description, major area,
region and development group;
countries with explicit HIV/AIDS
mortality modelling in WPP 2010
revision, HIV prevalence rate (%)
in population aged 15-49 years in
2009 (UNAIDS, 2010) and by
prevalence group, peak of HIV
epidemic (year and value for
maximum prevalence between
1980-2009), comparison for 2007
HIV prevalence rate between
UNAIDS 2008 and 2010 revisions.

WPP2010_F02_MetaInfo.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

Latest data sources (summary, type


of data and reference date) used to
derive estimates for total population,
fertility, mortality and migrations by
countries or areas (includes
information about method used to
derive mortality estimates, age
mortality pattern and child mortality).

CSV
&
DAT

43

279

All period indicators (total fertility,


net reproduction rate, crude birth
rate, births, mean age of
childbearing, life expectancy at
birth (by sex), infant mortality rate,
under-five mortality, crude death
rate, total number of deaths (by
sex) and by broad age group,
percentage total deaths by broad
age group and by sex, probability
of dying between birth and the age
of 40 or 60 years (by sex), adult
probability of dying between age
15 and 50 or 60 (by sex), life
expectancy at age 15, 60 and 80
(by sex), net migration rate, net
number of migrants, average
annual rate of population change,

CSV
&
DAT

172

66,847

DB01. Period indicators


WPP2010_DB01_Period_Indicators.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE 3. DATA FILES IN DATABASE FORMAT INCLUDED IN THE EXTENDED DVD EDITION
(similar structure for Special Agreggates DVD but different set of records and only for medium fertility variant)
Topic / Data file

Description

Data
file
format1

Number
of
indicators2

CSV
&
DAT

332,880

CSV
&
DAT

171

60,636

CSV
&
DAT

196

60,389

CSV
&
DAT

114

60,389

Number
of records

rate of natural increase, sex ratio at


birth) by major area, region and
country, for estimates and all 9
projection variants or scenarios,
1950-2100. Data only for 19802100 for AIDS scenarios.
DB02. Stock indicators
WPP2010_DB02_Populations_Annual.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

WPP2010_DB02_Populations_Broad_Age_Groups.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

WPP2010_DB02_Stock_Indicators.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

WPP2010_DB02_Stock_Indicators_SexRatios.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

71

Total population (by sex and both


sexes combined), average annual
rate of population change, and
population density by major area,
region and country, for estimates
and all 9 projection variants or
scenarios, annually for 1950-2100.
Data only for 1980-2100 for AIDS
scenarios.
Total population by broad age
groups (by sex and both sexes
combined) by major area, region
and country, for estimates and all 9
projection variants or scenarios,
1950-2100. Data only for 19802100 for AIDS scenarios.
Stock indicators: total population
by sex, dependency ratios (total,
child, old-age) for different age
groups, median age, population
density, percentage by broad age
group and by sex, by major area,
region and country, for estimates
and all 9 projection variants or
scenarios, 1950-2100. Data only
for 1980-2100 for AIDS scenarios.
Stock indicators: sex ratio (M/F)
and feminity ratio (F/M) by broad
age groups, by major area, region
and country, for estimates and all 9
projection variants or scenarios,
1950-2100. Data only for 19802100 for AIDS scenarios.

72

TABLE 3. DATA FILES IN DATABASE FORMAT INCLUDED IN THE EXTENDED DVD EDITION
(similar structure for Special Agreggates DVD but different set of records and only for medium fertility variant)
Topic / Data file

DB03. Population by age and sex, five-year periods

WPP2010_DB03_Population_Quinquennial.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary
WPP2010_DB03_Population_By_Sex_Quinquennial.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary
WPP2010_DB03_Population_By_Age_Quinquennial.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

DB04. Population by age and sex, annual

WPP2010_DB04_Population_Annual.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary
WPP2010_DB04_Population_By_Sex_Annual.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary
WPP2010_DB04_Population_By_Age_Annual.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary
DB05. Mortality indicators by age and sex

WPP2010_DB05_Deaths.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary
WPP2010_DB05_Deaths_By_Sex.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary
WPP2010_DB05_Deaths_By_Age.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

Description

Data
file
format1

Number
of
indicators2

Number
of records

Population by age group and sex, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all
9 projection variants or scenarios, 1950-2100. Data only for 1980-2100 for AIDS
scenarios.
1
3,763,035
Database format with sex and age
CSV
in rows.
&
DAT
3
1,254,345
Database format with sex in
CSV
column and age in row.
&
DAT
22
182,745
Database format with sex in row
CSV
and age from 0 to 100+ in column.
&
DAT
Population by age group and sex, by major area, region and country, annually for 19502100 (estimates and Medium variant, and 2 AIDS mortality scenarios). Data only for
1980-2100 for AIDS scenarios.
1
3,136,458
Database format with sex and age
CSV
in rows.
&
DAT
3
1,045,486
Database format with sex in
CSV
column and age in row.
&
DAT
22
151,014
Database format with sex in row
CSV
and age from 0 to 100+ in column.
&
DAT
Total deaths by age group and sex, by major area, region and country, for estimates and all
9 projection variants or scenarios,1995-2100. Data only for 1980-2100 for AIDS
scenarios.
1
2,431,935
Database format with sex and age
CSV
in rows.
&
DAT
3
810,645
Database format with sex in
CSV
column and age in row.
&
DAT
22
143,055
Database format with sex in row
CSV
and age from 0 to 100+ in column.
&
DAT

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE 3. DATA FILES IN DATABASE FORMAT INCLUDED IN THE EXTENDED DVD EDITION
(similar structure for Special Agreggates DVD but different set of records and only for medium fertility variant)
Topic / Data file

WPP2010_DB05_Life_Table.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

WPP2010_DB05_Life_Table_lx_By_Age.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

WPP2010_DB05_Life_Table_ex_By_Age.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

DB06. Fertility indicators by age

WPP2010_DB06_Fertility_Indicators.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary
WPP2010_DB06_Fertility_Indicators_By_Age.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

Data
Number
Number
file
of
of records
1
2
format
indicators
Life Table (by sex and both sexes combined) by major area, region and country, 19952100 (estimates, medium variant with AIDS mortality and No-AIDS mortality scenarios).
Data only for 1980-2100 for AIDS scenarios.
2
474,012
Life table survivors, l(x), and life
CSV
expectancy at exact age, e(x), by
&
sex and both sexes combined.
DAT
Database format with sex and age
in rows.
18
21,546
Life table survivors, l(x), at exact
CSV
age (x) by sex and both sexes
&
combined. Database format with
DAT
sex in row and age from 0 to 85 in
column.
21
21,546
Life expectancy at exact age, e(x),
CSV
by sex and both sexes combined.
&
Database format with sex in row
DAT
and age from 0 to 100 in column.
Births by age group of mother and age-specific fertility rates, by major area, region and
country, for estimates and all 9 projection variants or scenarios, 1995-2100. Data only for
1980-2100 for AIDS scenarios.
2
294,987
Database format with indicators in
CSV
column and age groups in row.
&
DAT
14
42,141
Database format with indicators by
CSV
age group in column.
&
DAT
Description

INT. Interpolated annual indicators and populations by single age


WPP2010_INT_F1_Annual_Demographic_Indicators.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

WPP2010_INT_F2A_Annual_Population_Indicators.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

Interpolated demographic
indicators by major area, region
and country, annually for 19502100 (estimates and all 9 projection
variants or scenarios).
Interpolated total population by
broad age group and by sex, and
urban population, by major area,
region and country, annually for
1950-2100 (medium fertility and
AIDS mortality variants)

CSV
&
DAT

21

34,800

CSV
&
DAT

175

35,032

73

74

TABLE 3. DATA FILES IN DATABASE FORMAT INCLUDED IN THE EXTENDED DVD EDITION
(similar structure for Special Agreggates DVD but different set of records and only for medium fertility variant)
Topic / Data file
WPP2010_INT_F2B_Annual Population Indicators_Percentage.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

WPP2010_INT_F2C_Annual_Population_Indicators_DependencyRatios.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

Description

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Percentage of total population by


broad age group by sex,
dependency ratios (total, child, oldage) for different age groups and
by sex, percentage urban and
population density, by major area,
region and country, annually for
1950-2100 (medium fertility and
AIDS mortality variants)
Dependency ratios (total, child,
old-age) for different age groups
and by sex, and by major area,
region and country, annually
interpolated for 1950-2100
(medium fertility and AIDS
mortality variants)

Data
file
format1
CSV
&
DAT

Number
of
indicators2
176

CSV
&
DAT

60

Number
of records
50,036

35,032

Population (by sex and both sexes combined) interpolated by single years of age and
single calendar years, by major area, region and country, annually for 1950-2100
(estimates and medium variant).
WPP2010_INT_F3_Population_Annual_Single_Medium.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

Database format with sex and age


in rows.

WPP2010_INT_F3_Population_By_Sex_Annual_Single_Medium.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

Database format with sex in


column and age in row.

WPP2010_INT_F3_Population_By_Age_Annual_Single_Medium.csv
and .dat file with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary

Database format with sex in row


and age from 0 to 100+ in column.

CSV
&
DAT
CSV
&
DAT
CSV
&
DAT

10,148,814

3,382,938

102

106,002

(1) File format is: CSV for ASCII comma delimited data files (.csv) with field names in header. An ASCII version in fixed-format (.DAT) is also
included with Stata/SPSS/SAS dictionary.
(2) Number of indicators does not include descriptive fields like codes and names for location, projection variant/scenario, calendar year or period, age
groups and/or sex

UNITED NATIONS

NATIONS UNIES

POPULATION DIVISION
Department of Economic and Social Affairs
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision CD-ROM or DVD Edition
Date: ____________________________
Order Form
CD-ROM or DVD requested
Disk Description

Price in
US$

Quantity

Total
Price in
US$

[ ]

Comprehensive dataset (Excel format) CD-ROM

$ 100

[ ]

Extended dataset (Excel and ASCII formats) DVD

$ 400

[ ]

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$1200

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Notes
1.

Data contained in the above datasets are copyrighted by the United Nations. No portion of the data files
contained on CD-ROM or DVD can be reproduced, distributed or used to prepare derivative works or for any
other purpose without the express permission of the United Nations, to be obtained from the Secretary of the
United Nations Publications Board. For further information, please contact the Director, Population
Division/DESA, United Nations, New York, NY 10017, U.S.A., telephone no. 1-212-963-3179; fax no. 1-212963-2147.

2.

The order form should be accompanied by a cheque or an international money order in US dollars drawn on a
United States Bank for the correct amount, payable to the UNITED NATIONS POPULATION DIVISION
and mailed to: The Director, Population Division/DESA, United Nations, DC2-1960, New York, NY 10017,
U.S.A. Credit cards are not accepted.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

75

VII. LIST OF PREVIOUS REVISIONS OF THE WORLD POPULATION PROSPECTS

The past and future growth of world populationa long-range view, Population Bulletin of the United
Nations, No. 1December 1951 (United Nations publication, Sales No. 52.XIII.2), pp. 1-12.
The past and future population of the world and its continents and Framework for the future
population estimates, 1950-1980, by world regions, Proceedings of the World Population
Conference, 1954, vol. III (United Nations publication, Sales No. 55.XIII.8), pp. 265-282 and 283328.
The Future Growth of World Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. 66.XIII.2).
World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1973 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.76.XIII.4 and
corrigenda).
World Population Trends and Prospects by Country, 1950-2000: Summary Report of the 1978
Assessment (ST/ESA/SER.R/33).
Selected Demographic Indicators by Country, 1950-2000: Demographic Estimates and Projections as
Assessed in 1978 (ST/ESA/SER.R/38).
World Population Prospects as Assessed in 1980 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.81.XIII.8).
Demographic Indicators of Countries: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1980 (United Nations
publication, Sales No. E.82.XIII.5 and corrigendum).
World Population Prospects: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1982 (United Nations publication,
Sales No. E.83.XIII.5).
World Population Prospects: Estimates and Projections as Assessed in 1984 (United Nations publication,
Sales No. E.86.XIII.3).
World Population Prospects 1988 (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.88.XIII.7).
The Sex and Age Distributions of Population: The 1990 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No.
E.90.XIII.33).
World Population Prospects: The 1990 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.91.XIII.4).
The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1992 Revision (United Nations publication,
Sales No. E.93.XIII.3).
World Population Prospects: The 1992 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.93.XIII.7).
The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1994 Revision (United Nations publication,
Sales No. E.95.XIII.2).
World Population Prospects: The 1994 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.95.XIII.16).
The Sex and Age Distribution of the World Populations: The 1996 Revision (United Nations publication,
Sales No. E.98.XIII.2).
World Population Prospects: The 1996 Revision (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.98.XIII.5).
World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations
publication, Sales No. E.99.XIII.9).
World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. II, Sex and Age Distribution of the World
Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.99.XIII.8).
World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision, vol. III, Analytical Report (United Nations publication,
Sales No. E.99.XIII.10).
World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations
publication, Sales No. E.01.XIII.8 and corrigendum).
World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. II, Sex and Age Distribution of the World
Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.01.XIII.9 and corrigendum).
World Population Prospects: The 2000 Revision, vol. III, Analytical Report (United Nations publication,
Sales No. E.01.XIII.20).
World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations
publication, Sales No. E.03.XIII.6).

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

77

World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. II, Sex and Age Distribution of the World
Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.03.XIII.7).
World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, vol. III, Analytical Report (United Nations publication,
Sales No. E.03.XIII.10).
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations
publication, Sales No. E.05.XIII.5).
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. II, Sex and Age Distribution of the World
Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.05.XIII.6).
World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, vol. III, Analytical Report (United Nations publication,
Sales No. E.05.XIII.7).
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations
publication, Sales No. E.07.XIII.2).
World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, vol. II, Sex and Age Distribution of the World
Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.07.XIII.3).
World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, vol. I, Comprehensive Tables (United Nations
publication, Sales No. 10.XIII.2).
World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, vol. II, Sex and Age Distribution of the World
Population (United Nations publication, Sales No. 10.XIII.3).

78

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.1. TOTAL POPULATION BY SEX IN 2011 AND SEX RATIO BY COUNTRY IN 2011 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Population (thousands)
Country or area

Total

Male

Female

World ...................................................................

6 974 036

3 517 256

3 456 781

Afghanistan...........................................................
Albania .................................................................
Algeria ..................................................................
American Samoa...................................................
Andorra.................................................................
Angola ..................................................................
Anguilla ................................................................
Antigua and Barbuda ............................................
Argentina ..............................................................
Armenia ................................................................
Aruba ....................................................................
Australia ...............................................................
Austria ..................................................................

32 358
3 216
35 980
70
86
19 618
16
90
40 765
3 100
108
22 606
8 413

16 740
1 610
18 159
35
45
9 718
8
43
19 941
1 443
51
11 267
4 108

15 618
1 606
17 822
34
41
9 900
8
47
20 823
1 657
57
11 339
4 305

Azerbaijan.............................................................
Bahamas ...............................................................
Bahrain .................................................................
Bangladesh............................................................
Barbados ...............................................................
Belarus..................................................................
Belgium ................................................................
Belize....................................................................
Benin.....................................................................
Bermuda ...............................................................
Bhutan...................................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ............................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .......................................
Botswana ..............................................................
Brazil ....................................................................
British Virgin Islands............................................
Brunei Darussalam................................................
Bulgaria ................................................................
Burkina Faso.........................................................
Burundi .................................................................
Cambodia..............................................................
Cameroon .............................................................
Canada ..................................................................
Cape Verde ...........................................................
Cayman Islands.....................................................
Central African Republic ......................................
Chad......................................................................
Channel Islands.....................................................
Chile .....................................................................

9 306
347
1 324
150 494
274
9 559
10 754
318
9 100
65
738
10 088
3 752
2 031
196 655
23
406
7 446
16 968
8 575
14 305
20 030
34 350
501
57
4 487
11 525
154
17 270

4 607
170
828
76 155
136
4 444
5 273
157
4 490
32
391
5 033
1 803
1 025
96 745
12
205
3 597
8 425
4 211
7 003
10 000
17 042
248
28
2 210
5 732
75
8 538

4 699
177
495
74 338
138
5 116
5 482
161
4 610
33
347
5 055
1 949
1 006
99 910
12
201
3 849
8 543
4 364
7 303
10 030
17 308
252
29
2 276
5 794
79
8 731

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Sex ratio
(males per
100 females)

102
107
100
102
104
109
98
99
92
96
87
90
99
95
98
96
167
102
98
87
96
97
97
95
113
100
93
102
97
103
102
93
99
96
96
100
98
98
98
97
99
96
98

79

TABLE S.1. (continued)


Population (thousands)
Country or area

Total

China.....................................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR .......................................
China, Macao SAR ...............................................
Colombia ..............................................................
Comoros ...............................................................
Congo ...................................................................
Cook Islands .........................................................
Costa Rica.............................................................
Cte d'Ivoire .........................................................
Croatia ..................................................................
Cuba......................................................................
Cyprus...................................................................
Czech Republic.....................................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea ................................
Dem. Republic of the Congo ................................
Denmark ...............................................................
Djibouti.................................................................
Dominica ..............................................................
Dominican Republic .............................................
Ecuador.................................................................
Egypt.....................................................................
El Salvador ...........................................................
Equatorial Guinea .................................................
Eritrea ...................................................................
Estonia ..................................................................
Ethiopia.................................................................
Faeroe Islands .......................................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)..................................
Fiji ........................................................................
Finland..................................................................
France ...................................................................
French Guiana.......................................................
French Polynesia...................................................
Gabon ...................................................................
Gambia .................................................................
Georgia .................................................................
Germany ...............................................................
Ghana....................................................................
Gibraltar................................................................
Greece...................................................................
Greenland .............................................................
Grenada.................................................................
Guadeloupe...........................................................
Guam ....................................................................
Guatemala.............................................................

80

1 347 565
7 122
556
46 927
754
4 140
20
4 727
20 153
4 396
11 254
1 117
10 534
24 451
67 758
5 573
906
68
10 056
14 666
82 537
6 227
720
5 415
1 341
84 734
49
3
868
5 385
63 126
237
274
1 534
1 776
4 329
82 163
24 966
29
11 390
57
105
463
182
14 757

Male

699 631
3 372
267
23 080
380
2 072
10
2 399
10 259
2 116
5 660
570
5 171
11 999
33 701
2 764
453
34
5 043
7 344
41 442
2 955
369
2 669
618
42 172
25
1
443
2 644
30 725
119
140
770
877
2 039
40 293
12 701
15
5 637
30
52
218
93
7 193

Female

647 934
3 750
289
23 847
374
2 068
10
2 327
9 894
2 279
5 594
546
5 363
12 453
34 057
2 809
453
34
5 013
7 322
41 095
3 272
351
2 746
722
42 562
23
2
425
2 741
32 401
118
134
765
899
2 290
41 870
12 264
15
5 753
27
52
245
90
7 564

Sex ratio
(males per
100 females)

108
90
92
97
101
100
104
103
104
93
101
104
96
96
99
98
100
100
101
100
101
90
105
97
86
99
108
97
104
96
95
100
105
101
98
89
96
104
101
98
112
100
89
103
95

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.1. (continued)


Population (thousands)
Country or area

Guinea...................................................................
Guinea-Bissau.......................................................
Guyana..................................................................
Haiti ......................................................................
Holy See ...............................................................
Honduras...............................................................
Hungary ................................................................
Iceland ..................................................................
India......................................................................
Indonesia...............................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of).....................................
Iraq........................................................................
Ireland...................................................................
Isle of Man............................................................
Israel .....................................................................
Italy ......................................................................
Jamaica .................................................................
Japan .....................................................................
Jordan ...................................................................
Kazakhstan............................................................
Kenya....................................................................
Kiribati..................................................................
Kuwait ..................................................................
Kyrgyzstan............................................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic .................................
Latvia....................................................................
Lebanon ................................................................
Lesotho .................................................................
Liberia...................................................................
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya........................................
Liechtenstein.........................................................
Lithuania...............................................................
Luxembourg..........................................................
Madagascar...........................................................
Malawi..................................................................
Malaysia ...............................................................
Maldives ...............................................................
Mali ......................................................................
Malta.....................................................................
Marshall Islands....................................................
Martinique ............................................................
Mauritania.............................................................
Mauritius...............................................................
Mayotte.................................................................
Mexico..................................................................

Total

10 222
1 547
756
10 124
0
7 755
9 966
324
1 241 492
242 326
74 799
32 665
4 526
83
7 562
60 789
2 751
126 497
6 330
16 207
41 610
101
2 818
5 393
6 288
2 243
4 259
2 194
4 129
6 423
36
3 307
516
21 315
15 381
28 859
320
15 840
418
55
407
3 542
1 307
211
114 793

Male

5 166
767
380
5 022
0
3 877
4 732
163
641 015
120 819
37 933
16 393
2 265
41
3 733
29 764
1 354
61 609
3 255
7 785
20 783
50
1 680
2 660
3 139
1 032
2 079
1 080
2 075
3 235
18
1 536
257
10 626
7 700
14 634
161
7 918
207
28
190
1 780
645
105
56 612

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Female

5 056
780
376
5 102
0
3 878
5 234
161
600 477
121 507
36 866
16 272
2 261
42
3 829
31 024
1 397
64 888
3 075
8 422
20 827
51
1 138
2 733
3 149
1 211
2 180
1 113
2 053
3 188
18
1 771
259
10 689
7 681
14 225
159
7 921
211
27
217
1 762
662
106
58 181

Sex ratio
(males per
100 females)

102
98
101
98
88
100
90
102
107
99
103
101
100
99
97
96
97
95
106
92
100
97
148
97
100
85
95
97
101
101
98
87
99
99
100
103
102
100
98
102
88
101
98
99
97

81

TABLE S.1. (continued)


Population (thousands)
Country or area

Total

Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...................................


Monaco .................................................................
Mongolia...............................................................
Montenegro...........................................................
Montserrat.............................................................
Morocco................................................................
Mozambique .........................................................
Myanmar...............................................................
Namibia ................................................................
Nauru ....................................................................
Nepal.....................................................................
Netherlands...........................................................
Netherlands Antilles .............................................
New Caledonia .....................................................
New Zealand.........................................................
Nicaragua..............................................................
Niger .....................................................................
Nigeria ..................................................................
Niue ......................................................................
Northern Mariana Islands .....................................
Norway .................................................................
Occupied Palestinian Territory .............................
Oman ....................................................................
Pakistan.................................................................
Palau .....................................................................
Panama .................................................................
Papua New Guinea ...............................................
Paraguay ...............................................................
Peru ......................................................................
Philippines ............................................................
Poland ...................................................................
Portugal.................................................................
Puerto Rico ...........................................................
Qatar .....................................................................
Republic of Korea.................................................
Republic of Moldova ............................................
Runion.................................................................
Romania................................................................
Russian Federation................................................
Rwanda .................................................................
Saint Helena..........................................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................................
Saint Lucia............................................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ....................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.............................

82

112
35
2 800
632
6
32 273
23 930
48 337
2 324
10
30 486
16 665
203
255
4 415
5 870
16 069
162 471
1
61
4 925
4 152
2 846
176 745
21
3 571
7 014
6 568
29 400
94 852
38 299
10 690
3 746
1 870
48 391
3 545
856
21 436
142 836
10 943
4
53
176
6
109

Male

57
17
1 382
310
3
15 812
11 657
23 819
1 155
5
15 121
8 274
94
127
2 169
2 903
8 085
82 271
1
30
2 466
2 108
1 679
89 808
11
1 799
3 578
3 312
14 733
47 567
18 471
5 180
1 802
1 419
24 121
1 682
419
10 399
66 063
5 374
2
26
86
3
55

Female

55
18
1 418
322
3
16 461
12 273
24 517
1 169
5
15 365
8 391
109
127
2 246
2 967
7 984
80 199
1
31
2 459
2 045
1 167
86 937
9
1 772
3 436
3 256
14 667
47 285
19 828
5 510
1 944
451
24 270
1 863
437
11 037
76 773
5 569
2
27
90
3
54

Sex ratio
(males per
100 females)

104
95
97
96
98
96
95
97
99
98
98
99
86
100
97
98
101
103
103
95
100
103
144
103
118
102
104
102
100
101
93
94
93
315
99
90
96
94
86
96
98
98
95
98
102

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.1. (continued)


Population (thousands)
Country or area

Samoa ...................................................................
San Marino ...........................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .........................................
Saudi Arabia .........................................................
Senegal .................................................................
Serbia....................................................................
Seychelles .............................................................
Sierra Leone..........................................................
Singapore ..............................................................
Slovakia ................................................................
Slovenia ................................................................
Solomon Islands....................................................
Somalia .................................................................
South Africa..........................................................
Spain .....................................................................
Sri Lanka ..............................................................
Sudan ....................................................................
Suriname...............................................................
Swaziland .............................................................
Sweden .................................................................
Switzerland ...........................................................
Syrian Arab Republic............................................
Tajikistan ..............................................................
TFYR Macedonia .................................................
Thailand................................................................
Timor-Leste ..........................................................
Togo......................................................................
Tokelau .................................................................
Tonga....................................................................
Trinidad and Tobago.............................................
Tunisia ..................................................................
Turkey...................................................................
Turkmenistan ........................................................
Turks and Caicos Islands ......................................
Tuvalu...................................................................
Uganda..................................................................
Ukraine .................................................................
United Arab Emirates ...........................................
United Kingdom ...................................................
United Republic of Tanzania ................................
United States of America ......................................
United States Virgin Islands .................................
Uruguay ................................................................
Uzbekistan ............................................................
Vanuatu.................................................................

Total

184
32
169
28 083
12 768
9 854
87
5 997
5 188
5 472
2 035
552
9 557
50 460
46 455
21 045
44 632
529
1 203
9 441
7 702
20 766
6 977
2 064
69 519
1 154
6 155
1
105
1 346
10 594
73 640
5 105
39
10
34 509
45 190
7 891
62 417
46 218
313 085
109
3 380
27 760
246

Male

95
16
83
15 507
6 332
4 878
44
2 931
2 615
2 661
996
286
4 740
25 002
22 947
10 383
22 487
265
592
4 705
3 788
10 505
3 429
1 034
34 157
588
3 048
1
52
652
5 295
36 724
2 513
20
5
17 253
20 787
5 482
30 734
23 094
154 562
52
1 632
13 799
125

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

Female

89
16
85
12 576
6 435
4 976
42
3 066
2 573
2 811
1 039
267
4 817
25 458
23 507
10 662
22 145
264
611
4 736
3 914
10 261
3 547
1 030
35 361
566
3 107
1
52
694
5 299
36 916
2 592
20
5
17 257
24 403
2 409
31 683
23 125
158 524
57
1 748
13 962
121

Sex ratio
(males per
100 females)

107
97
98
123
98
98
105
96
102
95
96
107
98
98
98
97
102
101
97
99
97
102
97
100
97
104
98
91
100
94
100
99
97
101
90
100
85
228
97
100
98
90
93
99
104

83

TABLE S.1. (continued)


Population (thousands)
Country or area

Total

Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .....................


Viet Nam ..............................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands.....................................
Western Sahara .....................................................
Yemen...................................................................
Zambia..................................................................
Zimbabwe .............................................................

29 437
88 792
13
548
24 800
13 475
12 754

Male

14 766
43 906
7
290
12 481
6 755
6 291

Female

14 671
44 886
7
259
12 319
6 720
6 463

Sex ratio
(males per
100 females)

101
98
100
112
101
101
97

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011).
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

84

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.2. TOTAL POPULATION BY COUNTRY, 1950, 2011, 2025, 2050 AND 2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Population (thousands)
Country or area

1950

2011

2025

2050

2100

World...........................................................................

2 532 229

6 974 036

8 002 978

9 306 128

10 124 926

Afghanistan ..................................................................
Albania .........................................................................
Algeria..........................................................................
American Samoa ..........................................................
Andorra ........................................................................
Angola ..........................................................................
Anguilla........................................................................
Antigua and Barbuda....................................................
Argentina......................................................................
Armenia........................................................................
Aruba............................................................................
Australia .......................................................................
Austria ..........................................................................
Azerbaijan ....................................................................
Bahamas .......................................................................
Bahrain .........................................................................
Bangladesh ...................................................................
Barbados.......................................................................
Belarus..........................................................................
Belgium ........................................................................
Belize............................................................................
Benin ............................................................................
Bermuda .......................................................................
Bhutan ..........................................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of).....................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina...............................................
Botswana ......................................................................
Brazil ............................................................................
British Virgin Islands ...................................................
Brunei Darussalam .......................................................
Bulgaria ........................................................................

8 151
1 215
8 753
19
6
4 148
5
46
17 150
1 354
38
8 177
6 936
2 896
79
116
37 895
211
7 745
8 628
69
2 255
37
168
2 714
2 661
413
53 975
7
48
7 251

32 358
3 216
35 980
70
86
19 618
16
90
40 765
3 100
108
22 606
8 413
9 306
347
1 324
150 494
274
9 559
10 754
318
9 100
65
738
10 088
3 752
2 031
196 655
23
406
7 446

47 602
3 305
42 043
88
105
27 767
18
101
45 391
3 133
111
26 575
8 562
10 563
400
1 588
175 195
281
9 097
11 126
409
13 025
66
867
12 478
3 566
2 283
216 238
26
495
6 733

76 250
2 990
46 522
120
137
42 334
18
112
50 560
2 931
104
31 385
8 427
11 578
445
1 801
194 353
264
8 001
11 587
529
21 734
65
962
16 769
2 952
2 503
222 843
28
602
5 459

110 879
1 863
39 983
158
162
56 052
16
108
49 201
2 335
88
35 908
7 805
11 976
449
1 580
157 134
223
6 760
12 588
555
36 752
65
782
20 021
1 877
2 476
177 349
27
667
4 131

Burkina Faso ................................................................


Burundi.........................................................................
Cambodia .....................................................................
Cameroon .....................................................................
Canada..........................................................................
Cape Verde...................................................................
Cayman Islands ............................................................

4 284
2 456
4 346
4 466
13 737
178
6

16 968
8 575
14 305
20 030
34 350
501
57

25 475
10 791
16 687
26 440
38 585
568
62

46 721
13 703
18 965
38 472
43 642
632
62

96 367
14 587
16 661
53 693
48 290
520
59

Central African Republic..............................................


Chad .............................................................................
Channel Islands ............................................................
Chile .............................................................................

1 327
2 429
102
6 082

4 487
11 525
154
17 270

5 850
16 387
157
19 102

8 392
27 252
152
20 059

10 954
43 648
156
17 185

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

85

TABLE S.2. (continued)


Population (thousands)
Country or area

1950

2050

2100

China ............................................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ...............................................
China, Macao SAR.......................................................
Colombia ......................................................................
Comoros .......................................................................
Congo ...........................................................................
Cook Islands.................................................................
Costa Rica ....................................................................
Cte d'Ivoire .................................................................
Croatia ..........................................................................
Cuba .............................................................................
Cyprus ..........................................................................
Czech Republic.............................................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea........................................
Dem. Republic of the Congo ........................................
Denmark .......................................................................
Djibouti ........................................................................
Dominica ......................................................................
Dominican Republic.....................................................
Ecuador ........................................................................
Egypt ............................................................................
El Salvador ...................................................................
Equatorial Guinea.........................................................
Eritrea...........................................................................
Estonia..........................................................................
Ethiopia ........................................................................
Faeroe Islands...............................................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas) .........................................
Fiji ..............................................................................
Finland..........................................................................
France...........................................................................
French Guiana ..............................................................
French Polynesia ..........................................................
Gabon ...........................................................................
Gambia .........................................................................
Georgia.........................................................................
Germany .......................................................................
Ghana ...........................................................................
Gibraltar .......................................................................
Greece ..........................................................................
Greenland .....................................................................

550 771
1 974
196
12 000
156
808
15
966
2 630
3 850
5 920
494
8 876
9 737
12 184
4 268
62
51
2 380
3 387
21 514
2 200
226
1 141
1 101
18 434
32
2
289
4 009
41 832
25
61
469
271
3 527
68 376
4 981
20
7 566
23

1 347 565
7 122
556
46 927
754
4 140
20
4 727
20 153
4 396
11 254
1 117
10 534
24 451
67 758
5 573
906
68
10 056
14 666
82 537
6 227
720
5 415
1 341
84 734
49
3
868
5 385
63 126
237
274
1 534
1 776
4 329
82 163
24 966
29
11 390
57

1 395 256
8 160
702
54 693
1 041
5 568
22
5 508
27 122
4 253
11 100
1 263
10 800
25 825
95 366
5 819
1 166
69
11 626
17 175
100 909
6 849
1 003
7 613
1 316
109 969
52
3
941
5 585
67 210
330
309
1 982
2 524
3 922
80 332
33 399
29
11 603
56

1 295 604
9 305
824
61 764
1 700
8 801
24
6 001
40 674
3 859
9 898
1 347
10 638
26 382
148 523
5 920
1 620
65
12 942
19 549
123 452
7 607
1 493
11 568
1 233
145 187
55
3
1 017
5 611
72 442
506
330
2 784
4 036
3 186
74 781
49 107
28
11 647
50

941 042
10 355
810
58 137
3 047
14 224
21
5 019
56 412
3 317
7 022
1 192
10 324
24 552
212 113
6 032
1 923
53
12 231
18 319
123 227
6 783
2 054
15 496
1 145
150 140
55
3
1 005
5 842
80 288
721
281
3 776
6 084
2 367
70 392
67 230
25
11 109
41

Grenada ........................................................................
Guadeloupe...................................................................
Guam ............................................................................
Guatemala.....................................................................

77
210
60
3 146

105
463
182
14 757

109
486
212
20 527

95
476
245
31 595

75
424
252
46 036

86

2011

2025

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.2. (continued)


Population (thousands)
Country or area

1950

2050

2100

Guinea ..........................................................................
Guinea-Bissau ..............................................................
Guyana .........................................................................
Haiti..............................................................................
Holy See .......................................................................
Honduras ......................................................................
Hungary........................................................................
Iceland ..........................................................................
India..............................................................................
Indonesia ......................................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of).............................................
Iraq ..............................................................................
Ireland ..........................................................................
Isle of Man ...................................................................
Israel.............................................................................
Italy ..............................................................................
Jamaica.........................................................................
Japan.............................................................................
Jordan ...........................................................................
Kazakhstan ...................................................................
Kenya ...........................................................................
Kiribati .........................................................................
Kuwait ..........................................................................
Kyrgyzstan ...................................................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic.........................................
Latvia............................................................................
Lebanon........................................................................
Lesotho.........................................................................
Liberia ..........................................................................
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya ...............................................
Liechtenstein ................................................................
Lithuania ......................................................................
Luxembourg .................................................................
Madagascar...................................................................
Malawi..........................................................................
Malaysia .......................................................................
Maldives.......................................................................
Mali ..............................................................................
Malta ............................................................................
Marshall Islands ...........................................................
Martinique ....................................................................

3 094
518
407
3 221
1
1 487
9 338
143
371 857
74 837
17 414
5 719
2 913
55
1 258
46 367
1 403
82 199
449
6 703
6 077
26
152
1 740
1 683
1 949
1 443
734
911
1 029
14
2 567
296
4 084
2 881
6 110
74
4 638
312
13
222

10 222
1 547
756
10 124
0
7 755
9 966
324
1 241 492
242 326
74 799
32 665
4 526
83
7 562
60 789
2 751
126 497
6 330
16 207
41 610
101
2 818
5 393
6 288
2 243
4 259
2 194
4 129
6 423
36
3 307
516
21 315
15 381
28 859
320
15 840
418
55
407

14 312
2 057
785
11 947
0
9 939
9 741
375
1 458 958
271 851
83 142
48 885
5 173
87
9 247
61 114
2 848
122 771
7 906
18 335
59 054
124
3 700
6 355
7 429
2 121
4 624
2 487
5 824
7 465
40
3 131
608
31 218
24 213
35 186
372
23 519
430
65
415

23 006
3 185
766
14 178
0
12 939
9 243
431
1 692 008
293 456
85 344
83 357
6 038
85
12 029
59 158
2 569
108 549
9 882
21 210
96 887
156
5 164
7 768
8 384
1 902
4 678
2 788
9 660
8 773
45
2 813
708
53 561
49 719
43 455
405
42 130
415
75
382

36 664
5 518
693
14 566
0
13 789
8 672
480
1 550 899
254 178
62 059
145 276
7 046
81
15 312
55 619
2 166
91 330
9 495
24 876
160 009
164
6 371
9 258
6 956
1 650
3 612
2 874
16 535
8 073
50
2 453
740
94 222
129 502
46 946
300
80 506
394
88
301

Mauritania ....................................................................
Mauritius ......................................................................
Mayotte ........................................................................
Mexico..........................................................................

657
493
15
27 866

3 542
1 307
211
114 793

4 742
1 382
305
131 035

7 085
1 367
493
143 925

10 434
1 157
688
127 081

2011

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

2025

87

TABLE S.2. (continued)


Population (thousands)
Country or area

1950

2011

2050

2100

Micronesia (Fed. States of)...........................................


Monaco.........................................................................
Mongolia ......................................................................
Montenegro ..................................................................
Montserrat ....................................................................
Morocco .......................................................................
Mozambique.................................................................
Myanmar ......................................................................
Namibia ........................................................................
Nauru............................................................................
Nepal ............................................................................
Netherlands...................................................................
Netherlands Antilles .....................................................
New Caledonia .............................................................
New Zealand ................................................................
Nicaragua .....................................................................
Niger.............................................................................
Nigeria..........................................................................
Niue ..............................................................................
Northern Mariana Islands .............................................
Norway .........................................................................
Occupied Palestinian Territory .....................................
Oman ............................................................................
Pakistan ........................................................................
Palau.............................................................................
Panama .........................................................................
Papua New Guinea .......................................................
Paraguay .......................................................................
Peru ..............................................................................
Philippines....................................................................
Poland...........................................................................
Portugal ........................................................................
Puerto Rico...................................................................
Qatar.............................................................................
Republic of Korea ........................................................
Republic of Moldova....................................................
Runion ........................................................................
Romania .......................................................................
Russian Federation .......................................................
Rwanda.........................................................................
Saint Helena .................................................................

32
20
780
399
14
8 953
6 442
17 158
485
3
8 231
10 027
112
65
1 908
1 295
2 462
37 860
5
7
3 265
932
456
37 542
7
860
1 708
1 473
7 632
18 397
24 824
8 417
2 218
25
19 211
2 341
248
16 311
102 702
2 072
5

112
35
2 800
632
6
32 273
23 930
48 337
2 324
10
30 486
16 665
203
255
4 415
5 870
16 069
162 471
1
61
4 925
4 152
2 846
176 745
21
3 571
7 014
6 568
29 400
94 852
38 299
10 690
3 746
1 870
48 391
3 545
856
21 436
142 836
10 943
4

124
35
3 370
635
7
36 406
32 439
53 194
2 862
11
37 653
17 196
214
302
5 032
6 947
26 171
229 796
1
74
5 408
6 027
3 470
220 609
24
4 279
9 314
8 153
34 057
118 088
38 229
10 476
3 753
2 289
50 229
3 262
973
20 661
139 034
15 784
4

139
36
4 093
604
7
39 200
50 192
55 296
3 599
11
46 495
17 151
198
344
5 678
7 846
55 435
389 615
1
73
6 063
9 727
3 740
274 875
28
5 128
13 549
10 323
38 832
154 939
34 906
9 379
3 657
2 612
47 050
2 661
1 083
18 535
126 188
26 003
4

161
40
4 831
499
7
33 068
77 347
46 941
3 728
10
44 987
17 381
147
334
6 323
7 261
139 209
729 885
1
50
6 964
14 868
2 839
261 271
28
5 170
18 113
11 364
35 911
177 803
29 454
6 754
3 024
2 162
37 221
1 958
1 086
14 839
111 057
42 316
3

Saint Kitts and Nevis ....................................................


Saint Lucia....................................................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines ....................................

46
83
5
67

53
176
6
109

61
196
6
110

68
205
6
113

64
169
6
96

88

2025

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.2. (continued)


Population (thousands)
Country or area

1950

2011

2025

Samoa...........................................................................
San Marino ...................................................................
Sao Tome and Principe.................................................
Saudi Arabia.................................................................
Senegal .........................................................................
Serbia............................................................................
Seychelles.....................................................................
Sierra Leone .................................................................
Singapore......................................................................
Slovakia........................................................................
Slovenia........................................................................
Solomon Islands ...........................................................
Somalia.........................................................................
South Africa .................................................................
Spain.............................................................................
Sri Lanka ......................................................................
Sudan............................................................................
Suriname ......................................................................
Swaziland .....................................................................
Sweden .........................................................................
Switzerland...................................................................
Syrian Arab Republic ...................................................
Tajikistan......................................................................
TFYR Macedonia .........................................................
Thailand........................................................................
Timor-Leste..................................................................
Togo .............................................................................
Tokelau.........................................................................
Tonga............................................................................
Trinidad and Tobago ....................................................
Tunisia..........................................................................
Turkey ..........................................................................
Turkmenistan................................................................
Turks and Caicos Islands..............................................
Tuvalu ..........................................................................
Uganda .........................................................................
Ukraine.........................................................................
United Arab Emirates ...................................................
United Kingdom ...........................................................
United Republic of Tanzania........................................
United States of America..............................................

82
13
60
3 121
2 416
6 732
36
1 895
1 022
3 437
1 473
90
2 264
13 683
28 070
8 241
9 190
215
273
7 014
4 668
3 413

184
32
169
28 083
12 768
9 854
87
5 997
5 188
5 472
2 035
552
9 557
50 460
46 455
21 045
44 632
529
1 203
9 441
7 702
20 766

196
34
217
36 226
17 931
9 605
91
7 849
5 801
5 564
2 067
761
14 152
53 751
49 501
22 784
60 811
587
1 404
10 180
8 040
26 009

219
34
299
44 938
28 607
8 797
91
11 088
6 106
5 241
1 994
1 163
28 217
56 757
51 354
23 193
90 962
614
1 679
10 916
7 870
33 051

313
32
356
42 427
44 075
6 956
73
14 154
5 659
4 516
1 846
1 630
72 976
54 477
45 011
19 888
127 621
551
1 813
11 859
7 252
32 623

1 532
1 230
20 607
433
1 395
2
47
636
3 530
21 238
1 211
5
5

6 977
2 064
69 519
1 154
6 155
1
105
1 346
10 594
73 640
5 105
39
10

8 510
2 063
72 884
1 744
8 016
1
115
1 369
11 921
83 984
5 946
44
11

10 745
1 881
71 037
3 006
11 130
1
138
1 288
12 649
91 617
6 639
46
13

11 687
1 391
58 166
4 742
13 558
2
193
1 031
10 891
79 200
5 708
38
20

5 158
37 298
70
50 616
7 650
157 813

34 509
45 190
7 891
62 417
46 218
313 085

52 330
41 819
9 867
67 606
70 879
349 758

94 259
36 074
12 152
72 817
138 312
403 101

171 190
30 254
10 357
75 676
316 338
478 026

United States Virgin Islands .........................................


Uruguay........................................................................
Uzbekistan....................................................................
Vanuatu ........................................................................

27
2 239
6 314
48

109
3 380
27 760
246

104
3 553
32 237
337

92
3 663
35 438
513

80
3 396
29 254
751

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

2050

2100

89

TABLE S.2. (continued)


Population (thousands)
Country or area

1950

2011

2025

2050

2100

Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .............................


Viet Nam ......................................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands.............................................
Western Sahara.............................................................
Yemen ..........................................................................
Zambia..........................................................................
Zimbabwe.....................................................................

5 094
28 264
7
14
4 316
2 340
2 747

29 437
88 792
13
548
24 800
13 475
12 754

35 285
99 335
13
765
36 698
20 972
16 662

41 821
103 962
13
901
61 577
45 037
20 614

40 507
82 604
11
848
99 032
140 348
21 838

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011).
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations

90

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.3. COUNTRIES ACCOUNTING FOR ABOUT 75 PER CENT OF THE WORLD POPULATION ORDERED BY POPULATION SIZE,
ESTIMATES AND MEDIUM VARIANT, 1950, 2011, 2050 AND 2100

Rank

Country

Population in
1950
(millions)

Cumulated
percentage

Rank

Country

Population in
2011
(millions)

Cumulated
percentage

1.

China

551

21.8

1.

China

1 348

19.3

2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.

India
United States of America
Russian Federation
Japan
Indonesia
Germany
Brazil
United Kingdom
Italy
France
Bangladesh
Nigeria
Pakistan
Ukraine
Viet Nam
Spain
Mexico
Poland
Egypt

372
158
103
82
75
68
54
51
46
42
38
38
38
37
28
28
28
25
22

36.4
42.7
46.7
50.0
52.9
55.6
57.8
59.8
61.6
63.2
64.7
66.2
67.7
69.2
70.3
71.4
72.5
73.5
74.3

2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.

India
United States of America
Indonesia
Brazil
Pakistan
Nigeria
Bangladesh
Russian Federation
Japan
Mexico
Philippines
Viet Nam
Ethiopia
Egypt
Germany
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Turkey
Thailand
Dem. Republic of the Congo
France
United Kingdom
Italy
South Africa
Republic of Korea

1 241
313
242
197
177
162
150
143
126
115
95
89
85
83
82
75
74
70
68
63
62
61
50
48

37.1
41.6
45.1
47.9
50.4
52.8
54.9
57.0
58.8
60.4
61.8
63.1
64.3
65.5
66.6
67.7
68.8
69.8
70.7
71.6
72.5
73.4
74.1
74.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

91

TABLE S.3. (continued)

Rank

Country

1. India
2. China
3. United States of America
4. Nigeria
5. Indonesia
6. Pakistan
7. Brazil
8. Bangladesh
9. Philippines
Dem. Republic of the
10. Congo
11. Ethiopia
12. Mexico
United Republic of
13. Tanzania
14. Russian Federation
15. Egypt
16. Japan
17. Viet Nam
18. Kenya
19. Uganda
20. Turkey
21. Sudan
22. Iran (Islamic Republic of)
23. Iraq
24. Afghanistan
25. Germany
26. United Kingdom
27. France
28. Thailand
29. Colombia

Population in
2050
(millions)

Cumulated
percentage

Rank

1 692

18.2

1.

India

1 551

15.3

1 296
403
390
293
275
223
194
155

32.1
36.4
40.6
43.8
46.7
49.1
51.2
52.9

2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.

China
Nigeria
United States of America
United Republic of Tanzania
Pakistan
Indonesia
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Philippines

941
730
478
316
261
254
212
178

24.6
31.8
36.5
39.7
42.2
44.8
46.9
48.6

149
145
144

54.5
56.0
57.6

10.
11.
12.

Brazil
Uganda
Kenya

177
171
160

50.4
52.1
53.6

138

59.1

13.

Bangladesh

157

55.2

126
123
109
104
97
94
92
91
85
83
76
75
73
72
71
62

60.4
61.7
62.9
64.0
65.1
66.1
67.1
68.0
69.0
69.9
70.7
71.5
72.3
73.0
73.8
74.5

14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.

Ethiopia
Iraq
Zambia
Niger
Malawi
Sudan
Mexico
Egypt
Russian Federation
Afghanistan
Yemen
Burkina Faso
Madagascar
Japan
Viet Nam
Mali

150
145
140
139
130
128
127
123
111
111
99
96
94
91
83
81

56.7
58.1
59.5
60.9
62.1
63.4
64.7
65.9
67.0
68.1
69.0
70.0
70.9
71.8
72.6
73.4

30.
31.

France
Turkey

80
79

74.2
75.0

Country

Population in
2100
(millions)

Cumulated
percentage

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011).
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations

92

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.4. THE TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE HIGHEST AND THE TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE LOWEST ANNUAL AVERAGE RATES OF CHANGE,
2005-2010, 2045-2050 AND 2095-2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
2005-2010

Rank

Country or area

2045-2050
Annual average
rate of change
(percentage)

Rank

Country or area

2095-2100
Annual average
rate of change
(percentage)

Rank

Country or area

Annual average
rate of change
(percentage)

A. Highest rate of change


1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Qatar
United Arab Emirates
Bahrain
Liberia
Kuwait
Western Sahara
Niger
Singapore
Uganda
Eritrea

15.24
12.26
11.09
4.54
3.79
3.72
3.54
3.52
3.24
3.16

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Zambia
Niger
Malawi
Somalia
United Republic of Tanzania
Burkina Faso
Mali
Uganda
Nigeria
Madagascar

2.95
2.71
2.66
2.60
2.42
2.16
2.04
2.01
1.90
1.87

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Zambia
Malawi
Somalia
Niger
United Republic of Tanzania
Burkina Faso
Nigeria
Mali
Guinea-Bissau
Comoros

1.74
1.37
1.31
1.19
1.08
0.91
0.77
0.74
0.72
0.66

Bosnia and Herzegovina


Republic of Moldova
Grenada
Bulgaria
Georgia
Jamaica
Cuba
Albania
Portugal
Martinique

-0.96
-0.92
-0.91
-0.85
-0.80
-0.77
-0.70
-0.67
-0.61
-0.59

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Oman
Albania
Maldives
Bangladesh
Bhutan
Qatar
Cape Verde
Lao People's Dem. Republic
Brazil
Iran (Islamic Republic of)

-0.72
-0.65
-0.64
-0.56
-0.54
-0.53
-0.52
-0.50
-0.49
-0.49

WORLD

0.44

WORLD

0.06

B. Lowest rate of change


1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Republic of Moldova
Bulgaria
Ukraine
Georgia
Lithuania
Belarus
Latvia
Romania
Hungary
Croatia

-1.06
-0.64
-0.64
-0.57
-0.55
-0.47
-0.47
-0.26
-0.21
-0.18

WORLD

1.16

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

93

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United
Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

94

TABLE S.5. COUNTRIES ACCOUNTING FOR 75 PER CENT OF THE ANNUAL POPULATION INCREASE IN THE WORLD DURING 1950-1955, 2005-2010 AND 2045-2050
(MEDIUM VARIANT)

Rank Country or area

Annual
population
increase
1950-1955
(millions)

Cumulated
percentage

Rank Country or area

Annual
population
increase
2005-2010
(millions)

Cumulated
percentage

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.

China
India
United States of America
Brazil
Russian Federation
Indonesia
Japan
Bangladesh
Mexico

11.518
6.904
2.668
1.781
1.740
1.413
1.238
1.110
0.923

23.9
38.3
43.8
47.5
51.1
54.1
56.6
58.9
60.9

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.

India
China
Nigeria
Pakistan
United States of America
Indonesia
Brazil
Ethiopia
Dem. Republic of the Congo

16.914
6.748
3.720
2.990
2.713
2.514
1.792
1.737
1.709

21.7
30.4
35.2
39.0
42.5
45.7
48.0
50.3
52.5

10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.

Nigeria
Pakistan
Philippines
Turkey
Viet Nam
Thailand
Egypt
Ukraine
Poland
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Canada
Republic of Korea

0.728
0.713
0.712
0.669
0.613
0.596
0.583
0.560
0.491
0.404
0.400
0.391

62.4
63.9
65.3
66.7
68.0
69.2
70.5
71.6
72.6
73.5
74.3
75.1

10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.

Bangladesh
Philippines
Mexico
Egypt
United Republic of Tanzania
Sudan
Uganda
Kenya
Viet Nam
Turkey
Iraq
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Afghanistan
United Arab Emirates
Saudi Arabia
Yemen
Colombia
Madagascar

1.621
1.543
1.388
1.384
1.202
1.028
0.999
0.980
0.937
0.922
0.862
0.848
0.759
0.688
0.681
0.681
0.651
0.566

54.5
56.5
58.3
60.1
61.6
62.9
64.2
65.5
66.7
67.9
69.0
70.1
71.0
71.9
72.8
73.7
74.5
75.2

48.130

100.0

77.848

100.0

WORLD

WORLD

Rank Country or area

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.

Nigeria
India
United Republic of Tanzania
Dem. Republic of the Congo
United States of America
Uganda
Kenya
Pakistan
Iraq

10. Niger
11. Philippines
12. Malawi

WORLD

Annual
population
increase
2045-2050
(millions)

Cumulated
percentage

7.049
5.498
3.156
2.085
1.929
1.802
1.596
1.527
1.451

17.6
31.4
39.2
44.4
49.3
53.8
57.8
61.6
65.2

1.402
1.269
1.240

68.7
71.9
75.0

40.021

100.0

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: In the period of 1995-2100, populations in 91 countries or areas are projected to increase, while populations in 139 countries or areas are projected to decline. The world's population is projected
to increase by 0.554 million in 2095-2100, which is equal to the population increase in Nigeria in 2095-2100.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.6. TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE HIGHEST AND TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE LOWEST RATES OF NATURAL INCREASE,
2005-2010, 2045-2050 AND 2095-2100, MEDIUM VARIANT (PERCENTAGE)
2005-2010
Rank

Country or area

2045-2050
Rate of natural
increase
(percentage)

Rank

Country or area

2095-2100
Rate of natural
increase
(percentage)

Rank

Country or area

Rate of natural
increase
(percentage)

A. Highest rate of natural increase


1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Niger
Uganda
Mali
Yemen
Mayotte
Burkina Faso
Timor-Leste
Malawi
Iraq
Occupied Palestinian Territory

3.57
3.32
3.21
3.17
3.14
3.12
3.07
3.03
3.02
3.02

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Zambia
Niger
Malawi
Somalia
United Republic of Tanzania
Burkina Faso
Mali
Uganda
Nigeria
Madagascar

2.95
2.71
2.67
2.61
2.44
2.22
2.13
2.04
1.91
1.87

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Zambia
Malawi
Somalia
Niger
United Republic of Tanzania
Burkina Faso
Nigeria
Mali
Guinea-Bissau
Comoros

1.74
1.37
1.31
1.19
1.08
0.91
0.77
0.74
0.72
0.66

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Oman
Albania
Maldives
Bangladesh
Bhutan
Qatar
Cape Verde
Lao People's Dem. Republic
Brazil
Iran (Islamic Republic of)

-0.72
-0.65
-0.64
-0.56
-0.54
-0.53
-0.52
-0.50
-0.49
-0.49

WORLD

0.34

B. Lowest rate of natural increase


1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Ukraine
Bulgaria
Latvia
Belarus
Hungary
Lithuania
Russian Federation
Croatia
Germany
Romania

-0.62
-0.51
-0.38
-0.37
-0.36
-0.34
-0.28
-0.22
-0.19
-0.17

WORLD

1.18

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Bosnia and Herzegovina


Portugal
Georgia
Cuba
Bulgaria
Republic of Moldova
Japan
TFYR Macedonia
China
Belarus

-0.93
-0.71
-0.71
-0.69
-0.67
-0.63
-0.56
-0.54
-0.52
-0.52

WORLD

0.34

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York:
United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

95

TABLE S.7. AVERAGE ANNUAL RATE OF POPULATION CHANGE BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS,
MEDIUM VARIANT (percentage)
Average annual rate of change (percentage)
Country or area

World

2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

1.22

1.16

1.10

1.00

0.89

0.52

0.06

Afghanistan.......................................................
Albania .............................................................
Algeria ..............................................................
American Samoa...............................................
Andorra.............................................................
Angola ..............................................................
Anguilla ............................................................
Antigua and Barbuda ........................................
Argentina ..........................................................
Armenia ............................................................
Aruba ................................................................
Australia ...........................................................
Austria ..............................................................
Azerbaijan.........................................................
Bahamas ...........................................................
Bahrain .............................................................
Bangladesh........................................................
Barbados ...........................................................
Belarus..............................................................
Belgium ............................................................
Belize................................................................
Benin.................................................................
Bermuda ...........................................................
Bhutan...............................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) .........................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................................
Botswana ..........................................................
Brazil ................................................................
British Virgin Islands........................................
Brunei Darussalam............................................
Bulgaria ............................................................

3.78
0.45
1.49
1.77
3.73
3.38
4.08
1.55
0.93
-0.07
2.25
1.25
0.56
1.14
1.41
2.55
1.63
0.22
-0.47
0.46
2.29
3.16
0.41
2.87
1.93
0.47
1.30
1.28
1.40
2.09
-0.68

2.58
0.39
1.51
1.66
1.72
2.92
2.47
1.11
0.88
0.17
1.25
1.75
0.39
1.35
1.42
11.09
1.12
0.21
-0.47
0.56
2.07
2.96
0.25
1.93
1.64
-0.11
1.35
0.94
1.11
1.88
-0.64

3.13
0.33
1.35
1.62
1.54
2.70
1.56
0.98
0.85
0.26
0.34
1.32
0.16
1.19
1.14
2.13
1.25
0.22
-0.32
0.29
1.96
2.70
0.19
1.55
1.57
-0.24
1.05
0.84
0.94
1.65
-0.66

2.75
0.22
1.14
1.66
1.42
2.52
1.03
0.89
0.78
0.09
0.24
1.18
0.12
0.96
1.05
1.43
1.10
0.19
-0.34
0.25
1.84
2.58
0.16
1.10
1.53
-0.37
0.84
0.69
0.82
1.43
-0.71

2.44
0.07
0.91
1.74
1.31
2.28
0.54
0.78
0.69
-0.09
0.15
1.03
0.11
0.64
0.90
1.04
0.93
0.12
-0.40
0.23
1.64
2.45
0.11
0.91
1.47
-0.45
0.68
0.54
0.71
1.23
-0.78

1.71
-0.56
0.29
1.11
0.95
1.49
-0.07
0.25
0.35
-0.31
-0.45
0.57
-0.13
0.33
0.29
0.36
0.25
-0.37
-0.52
0.14
0.85
1.91
-0.19
0.27
1.07
-0.88
0.30
-0.01
0.05
0.64
-0.82

0.20
-0.65
-0.37
0.20
-0.00
0.06
-0.29
-0.15
-0.17
-0.26
-0.20
0.16
-0.08
0.09
0.04
-0.33
-0.56
-0.11
-0.09
0.15
-0.24
0.53
0.10
-0.54
-0.02
-0.49
-0.12
-0.49
-0.12
0.16
-0.13

Burkina Faso.....................................................
Burundi .............................................................
Cambodia..........................................................
Cameroon .........................................................
Canada ..............................................................
Cape Verde .......................................................
Cayman Islands.................................................

2.88
2.58
1.41
2.26
1.03
1.57
5.25

2.97
2.90
1.14
2.20
1.05
0.95
1.46

2.98
1.93
1.20
2.14
0.92
0.95
0.82

2.94
1.71
1.14
2.01
0.85
0.92
0.63

2.80
1.41
0.97
1.84
0.75
0.84
0.49

2.31
0.87
0.38
1.39
0.42
0.29
-0.17

0.91
-0.17
-0.43
0.26
0.06
-0.52
0.17

Central African Republic ..................................


Chad..................................................................
Channel Islands.................................................
Chile .................................................................

1.64
3.48
0.47
1.11

1.82
2.75
0.61
0.97

1.96
2.59
0.19
0.86

1.92
2.48
0.15
0.74

1.81
2.49
0.10
0.60

1.33
1.87
-0.21
0.07

0.11
0.41
0.29
-0.32

96

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.7 (continued)

Average annual rate of change (percentage)


Country or area

2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

China.................................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ...................................
China, Macao SAR ...........................................
Colombia ..........................................................
Comoros ...........................................................
Congo ...............................................................
Cook Islands .....................................................
Costa Rica.........................................................
Cte d'Ivoire .....................................................
Croatia ..............................................................
Cuba..................................................................
Cyprus...............................................................
Czech Republic.................................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea ............................
Dem. Republic of the Congo ............................
Denmark ...........................................................
Djibouti.............................................................
Dominica ..........................................................
Dominican Republic .........................................
Ecuador.............................................................
Egypt.................................................................
El Salvador .......................................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................................
Eritrea ...............................................................
Estonia ..............................................................
Ethiopia.............................................................
Faeroe Islands ...................................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)..............................
Fiji ....................................................................
Finland..............................................................
France ...............................................................
French Guiana...................................................
French Polynesia...............................................
Gabon ...............................................................
Gambia .............................................................
Georgia .............................................................
Germany ...........................................................
Ghana................................................................

0.60
0.08
2.17
1.58
2.68
2.39
1.69
1.90
1.66
-0.28
0.27
1.81
-0.04
0.73
2.92
0.30
1.99
-0.22
1.51
1.68
1.85
0.37
3.10
4.03
-0.37
2.49
1.07
0.53
0.27
0.27
0.65
4.05
1.40
2.08
2.96
-1.17
0.05
2.43

0.51
0.70
2.43
1.46
2.67
2.70
0.89
1.56
1.82
-0.17
0.01
1.33
0.53
0.50
2.77
0.48
1.90
-0.34
1.38
1.49
1.78
0.47
2.84
3.16
-0.07
2.21
0.19
0.39
0.90
0.45
0.58
2.70
1.21
1.88
2.79
-0.57
-0.06
2.39

0.42
1.04
2.01
1.28
2.50
2.18
0.54
1.36
2.18
-0.19
-0.05
1.08
0.27
0.41
2.62
0.35
1.86
0.01
1.22
1.31
1.67
0.61
2.72
2.91
-0.07
2.07
0.46
0.28
0.81
0.32
0.51
2.52
1.04
1.91
2.68
-0.59
-0.20
2.26

0.26
0.98
1.70
1.11
2.29
2.08
0.48
1.11
2.14
-0.23
-0.10
0.89
0.20
0.40
2.47
0.31
1.78
0.03
1.05
1.14
1.45
0.69
2.40
2.39
-0.11
1.88
0.44
0.16
0.59
0.28
0.45
2.38
0.90
1.86
2.53
-0.70
-0.12
2.09

0.11
0.90
1.41
0.94
2.19
2.14
0.34
0.87
2.03
-0.27
-0.13
0.72
0.11
0.37
2.29
0.29
1.79
0.23
0.89
0.98
1.25
0.71
2.06
2.12
-0.20
1.69
0.47
0.06
0.39
0.21
0.40
2.22
0.73
1.73
2.37
-0.79
-0.16
1.93

-0.43
0.40
0.41
0.34
1.83
1.72
0.29
0.19
1.48
-0.42
-0.58
0.10
-0.06
-0.01
1.61
-0.02
1.18
-0.35
0.28
0.37
0.67
0.29
1.45
1.53
-0.21
0.92
0.07
-0.09
0.28
-0.03
0.26
1.54
0.12
1.26
1.71
-0.83
-0.32
1.41

-0.41
0.25
0.11
-0.27
0.66
0.49
-0.35
-0.43
0.21
-0.12
-0.43
-0.12
0.01
-0.14
0.22
0.08
-0.01
-0.28
-0.31
-0.33
-0.26
-0.44
0.20
0.12
-0.01
-0.32
-0.06
0.13
-0.19
0.10
0.17
0.34
-0.39
0.27
0.32
-0.34
0.04
0.19

Gibraltar............................................................
Greece...............................................................
Greenland .........................................................
Grenada.............................................................
Guadeloupe.......................................................
Guam ................................................................
Guatemala.........................................................

1.22
0.35
0.35
0.24
0.85
1.66
2.47

0.12
0.31
0.04
0.34
0.66
1.30
2.47

0.08
0.23
-0.01
0.39
0.45
1.20
2.52

0.04
0.13
-0.12
0.30
0.35
1.11
2.37

-0.03
0.06
-0.31
0.07
0.27
1.00
2.21

-0.29
0.01
-0.52
-0.69
-0.22
0.44
1.57

-0.02
-0.06
-0.19
-0.30
-0.14
-0.13
0.28

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

97

TABLE S.7. (continued)

Average annual rate of change (percentage)


Country or area

2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

Guinea...............................................................
Guinea-Bissau...................................................
Guyana..............................................................
Haiti ..................................................................
Holy See ...........................................................
Honduras...........................................................
Hungary ............................................................
Iceland ..............................................................
India..................................................................
Indonesia...........................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of).................................
Iraq ..................................................................
Ireland...............................................................
Isle of Man........................................................
Israel .................................................................
Italy ..................................................................
Jamaica .............................................................
Japan .................................................................
Jordan ...............................................................
Kazakhstan........................................................
Kenya................................................................
Kiribati..............................................................
Kuwait ..............................................................
Kyrgyzstan........................................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic .............................
Latvia................................................................
Lebanon ............................................................
Lesotho .............................................................
Liberia...............................................................
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya....................................
Liechtenstein.....................................................
Lithuania...........................................................
Luxembourg......................................................
Madagascar.......................................................
Malawi..............................................................
Malaysia ...........................................................
Maldives ...........................................................
Mali ..................................................................

1.60
1.95
0.36
1.56
-9.39
2.02
-0.24
1.08
1.57
1.26
1.30
2.74
1.78
0.81
1.87
0.58
0.76
0.11
2.03
0.29
2.61
1.81
3.08
0.35
1.58
-0.68
1.59
1.01
2.23
1.96
1.09
-0.49
0.97
3.04
2.65
2.17
1.55
3.08

1.98
2.05
0.22
1.34
-1.43
1.99
-0.21
1.52
1.43
1.08
1.18
2.93
1.45
0.71
2.32
0.63
0.44
0.02
2.94
1.10
2.58
1.58
3.79
1.13
1.50
-0.47
0.85
1.00
4.54
1.93
0.76
-0.55
2.09
2.94
3.00
1.69
1.35
3.08

2.51
2.08
0.22
1.28
0.09
1.98
-0.16
1.16
1.32
0.98
1.04
3.10
1.14
0.45
1.66
0.23
0.35
-0.07
1.88
1.05
2.68
1.53
2.41
1.07
1.33
-0.38
0.73
1.03
2.64
0.77
0.77
-0.44
1.35
2.82
3.24
1.57
1.29
2.96

2.41
2.05
0.27
1.20
-0.22
1.79
-0.16
1.06
1.17
0.83
0.79
2.87
0.97
0.30
1.45
0.02
0.27
-0.20
1.61
0.92
2.52
1.50
1.90
1.33
1.22
-0.38
0.59
0.93
2.50
1.39
0.75
-0.38
1.20
2.75
3.31
1.43
1.11
2.84

2.29
1.98
0.31
1.09
-0.13
1.59
-0.17
0.93
1.01
0.69
0.51
2.71
0.81
0.19
1.30
-0.06
0.14
-0.33
1.42
0.73
2.33
1.40
1.72
1.11
1.06
-0.44
0.47
0.76
2.40
1.05
0.71
-0.37
1.07
2.63
3.16
1.29
0.86
2.71

1.77
1.67
-0.28
0.55
0.27
0.89
-0.20
0.45
0.46
0.17
0.02
1.97
0.60
-0.17
0.98
-0.15
-0.59
-0.53
0.71
0.61
1.87
0.73
1.17
0.73
0.30
-0.39
-0.09
0.39
1.88
0.57
0.34
-0.43
0.43
2.00
2.82
0.68
0.24
2.19

0.43
0.72
-0.28
-0.21
0.29
-0.23
-0.03
0.18
-0.42
-0.35
-0.49
0.60
0.24
0.04
0.20
0.12
-0.27
-0.09
-0.36
0.23
0.49
-0.22
0.15
0.28
-0.50
-0.08
-0.44
0.05
0.58
-0.40
0.09
-0.07
0.04
0.60
1.37
-0.08
-0.64
0.74

Malta.................................................................
Marshall Islands................................................
Martinique ........................................................
Mauritania.........................................................
Mauritius...........................................................
Mayotte.............................................................
Mexico..............................................................

0.59
-0.04
0.61
2.85
0.99
3.21
1.26

0.35
0.75
0.42
2.54
0.66
3.11
1.26

0.31
1.61
0.26
2.24
0.53
3.02
1.14

0.22
1.20
0.14
2.10
0.41
2.62
0.95

0.13
0.86
0.04
1.96
0.30
2.39
0.80

-0.23
0.45
-0.47
1.48
-0.16
1.71
0.23

0.17
0.06
-0.29
0.35
-0.22
0.12
-0.36

98

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.7 (continued)

Average annual rate of change (percentage)


Country or area

2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............................


Monaco .............................................................
Mongolia...........................................................
Montenegro.......................................................
Montserrat.........................................................
Morocco............................................................
Mozambique .....................................................
Myanmar...........................................................
Namibia ............................................................
Nauru ................................................................
Nepal.................................................................
Netherlands.......................................................
Netherlands Antilles .........................................
New Caledonia .................................................
New Zealand.....................................................
Nicaragua..........................................................
Niger .................................................................
Nigeria ..............................................................
Niue ..................................................................
Northern Mariana Islands .................................
Norway .............................................................
Occupied Palestinian Territory .........................
Oman ................................................................
Pakistan.............................................................
Palau .................................................................
Panama .............................................................
Papua New Guinea ...........................................
Paraguay ...........................................................
Peru...................................................................
Philippines ........................................................
Poland ...............................................................
Portugal.............................................................
Puerto Rico .......................................................
Qatar .................................................................
Republic of Korea.............................................
Republic of Moldova ........................................
Runion.............................................................
Romania............................................................

0.43
0.08
1.10
-0.19
2.54
1.08
2.64
0.60
1.85
0.14
2.23
0.55
0.68
1.73
1.38
1.34
3.47
2.45
-2.39
-0.31
0.58
2.12
1.41
1.86
0.75
1.82
2.50
1.97
1.27
2.02
-0.07
0.40
-0.17
6.58
0.45
-1.73
1.46
-0.38

0.30
0.08
1.57
0.15
1.16
1.00
2.38
0.70
1.87
0.28
1.87
0.37
1.52
1.64
1.10
1.30
3.54
2.50
-2.77
-2.02
1.09
2.55
2.71
1.80
0.56
1.65
2.36
1.80
1.07
1.73
0.06
0.25
-0.18
15.24
0.48
-1.06
1.25
-0.26

0.55
0.04
1.53
0.08
0.88
0.99
2.24
0.79
1.68
0.59
1.68
0.28
0.72
1.48
1.04
1.42
3.52
2.53
-2.80
1.75
0.69
2.81
1.89
1.77
0.79
1.46
2.17
1.71
1.13
1.68
0.04
0.05
-0.04
2.90
0.38
-0.68
1.09
-0.23

0.77
-0.00
1.37
0.06
0.64
0.88
2.18
0.70
1.47
0.42
1.53
0.22
0.37
1.21
0.95
1.22
3.53
2.51
-2.08
1.21
0.68
2.69
1.46
1.59
1.05
1.30
2.03
1.56
1.06
1.58
0.01
-0.15
0.03
1.57
0.28
-0.56
0.93
-0.26

0.88
0.01
1.12
-0.02
0.52
0.74
2.12
0.57
1.37
0.29
1.37
0.18
0.15
1.00
0.84
1.01
3.41
2.39
-1.59
0.85
0.67
2.51
1.07
1.43
1.03
1.16
1.91
1.40
0.98
1.47
-0.08
-0.28
0.03
0.80
0.17
-0.58
0.79
-0.30

0.29
0.05
0.76
-0.27
0.11
0.15
1.60
0.02
0.77
-0.20
0.68
-0.10
-0.40
0.37
0.38
0.32
2.86
2.02
0.11
-0.34
0.38
1.74
0.07
0.72
0.45
0.58
1.35
0.80
0.37
0.95
-0.43
-0.51
-0.16
0.44
-0.42
-0.84
0.31
-0.46

-0.03
0.31
0.27
-0.29
-0.11
-0.40
0.42
-0.32
-0.24
-0.16
-0.34
0.09
-0.24
-0.16
0.17
-0.38
1.19
0.77
-0.27
-0.47
0.19
0.36
-0.72
-0.41
-0.01
-0.19
0.15
-0.11
-0.35
-0.06
-0.12
-0.39
-0.38
-0.53
-0.18
-0.31
-0.09
-0.16

Russian Federation............................................
Rwanda .............................................................
Saint Helena......................................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ........................................
Saint Lucia........................................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........................

-0.40
2.55
-1.91
1.30
1.01
-0.43
0.16

-0.12
2.87
-2.21
1.27
1.06
-0.30
0.11

-0.10
2.92
-0.88
1.18
0.96
-0.00
0.00

-0.17
2.66
0.51
1.03
0.81
-0.02
0.05

-0.28
2.34
0.37
0.86
0.63
-0.02
0.09

-0.38
1.94
-0.14
0.30
0.04
-0.01
0.06

-0.05
0.44
-0.23
-0.21
-0.44
0.09
-0.41

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

99

TABLE S.7. (continued)

Average annual rate of change (percentage)


Country or area

2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

Samoa ...............................................................
San Marino .......................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................................
Saudi Arabia .....................................................
Senegal .............................................................
Serbia................................................................
Seychelles .........................................................
Sierra Leone......................................................
Singapore ..........................................................
Slovakia ............................................................
Slovenia ............................................................
Solomon Islands................................................
Somalia .............................................................
South Africa......................................................
Spain .................................................................
Sri Lanka ..........................................................
Sudan ................................................................
Suriname...........................................................
Swaziland .........................................................
Sweden .............................................................
Switzerland .......................................................
Syrian Arab Republic........................................
Tajikistan ..........................................................
TFYR Macedonia .............................................
Thailand............................................................
Timor-Leste ......................................................
Togo..................................................................
Tokelau .............................................................
Tonga................................................................
Trinidad and Tobago.........................................
Tunisia ..............................................................
Turkey...............................................................
Turkmenistan ....................................................
Turks and Caicos Islands ..................................
Tuvalu...............................................................
Uganda..............................................................
Ukraine .............................................................
United Arab Emirates .......................................

0.41
2.33
1.58
3.64
2.69
-0.56
1.19
4.36
1.70
0.04
0.17
2.79
2.44
1.31
1.49
1.14
2.33
1.34
0.76
0.38
0.68
2.90
0.89
0.29
1.09
3.93
2.41
-4.98
0.60
0.36
0.94
1.37
1.07
9.62
0.58
3.21
-0.82
5.88

0.31
0.80
1.61
2.65
2.68
0.00
0.71
2.60
3.52
0.17
0.27
2.72
2.20
0.96
1.20
1.00
2.51
0.99
1.42
0.76
0.66
1.98
1.28
0.22
0.71
2.14
2.17
-1.28
0.61
0.39
1.12
1.31
1.20
4.56
0.27
3.24
-0.64
12.26

0.48
0.62
1.97
2.13
2.60
-0.10
0.33
2.09
1.10
0.16
0.23
2.50
2.56
0.51
0.62
0.80
2.39
0.87
1.36
0.56
0.39
1.67
1.46
0.12
0.50
2.92
2.04
0.30
0.43
0.32
1.01
1.14
1.24
1.23
0.23
3.14
-0.55
2.17

0.40
0.36
1.81
1.87
2.44
-0.18
0.42
1.94
0.81
0.14
0.13
2.30
2.86
0.44
0.47
0.58
2.25
0.74
1.10
0.56
0.32
1.64
1.46
0.00
0.34
2.98
1.91
0.67
0.84
0.15
0.87
0.95
1.13
0.84
0.46
2.99
-0.54
1.82

0.45
0.26
1.66
1.54
2.28
-0.23
0.32
1.79
0.72
0.07
0.01
2.14
2.91
0.44
0.34
0.39
2.04
0.63
0.92
0.51
0.25
1.54
1.33
-0.10
0.22
2.88
1.75
0.97
0.81
-0.05
0.69
0.78
0.93
0.62
0.72
2.83
-0.58
1.46

0.35
0.02
1.13
0.71
1.72
-0.40
-0.14
1.23
-0.02
-0.31
-0.17
1.54
2.69
0.15
0.13
-0.03
1.47
0.01
0.69
0.24
-0.19
0.74
0.84
-0.46
-0.22
1.96
1.17
0.19
0.62
-0.26
0.14
0.21
0.31
0.01
0.81
2.18
-0.55
0.65

0.43
-0.03
-0.05
-0.39
0.37
-0.32
-0.41
0.09
-0.02
-0.10
-0.06
0.21
1.31
-0.21
-0.11
-0.27
0.22
-0.30
-0.10
0.14
-0.01
-0.36
-0.12
-0.39
-0.30
0.32
0.01
0.50
0.38
-0.30
-0.29
-0.37
-0.48
-0.37
0.51
0.61
-0.09
-0.48

United Kingdom ...............................................


United Republic of Tanzania ............................
United States of America ..................................
United States Virgin Islands .............................
Uruguay ............................................................
Uzbekistan ........................................................
Vanuatu.............................................................

0.45
2.63
0.99
0.16
0.02
0.92
2.64

0.60
2.88
0.89
-0.06
0.28
1.12
2.53

0.60
3.08
0.85
-0.25
0.35
1.14
2.41

0.58
3.10
0.80
-0.31
0.39
1.15
2.27

0.54
2.98
0.74
-0.36
0.33
0.93
2.12

0.21
2.57
0.51
-0.50
0.05
0.24
1.54

0.08
1.08
0.21
-0.32
-0.19
-0.47
0.33

100

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.7 (continued)

Average annual rate of change (percentage)


Country or area

Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .................


Viet Nam ..........................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands.................................
Western Sahara .................................................
Yemen...............................................................
Zambia..............................................................
Zimbabwe .........................................................

2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025

1.82
1.09
-0.35
6.68
3.06
2.33
0.10

1.67
1.10
-0.98
3.72
3.05
2.65
0.00

1.49
1.02
-0.65
3.24
3.02
3.05
2.15

1.31
0.83
-0.16
2.81
2.83
3.23
2.09

1.13
0.61
0.10
1.28
2.60
3.15
1.39

2045-2050

0.53
0.07
-0.22
0.50
1.92
3.06
0.74

2095-2100

-0.29
-0.39
-0.39
-0.31
0.45
1.74
-0.08

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011).
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

101

TABLE S.8. COUNTRIES OR AREAS WHOSE POPULATION IS PROJECTED TO DECREASE BETWEEN 2011 AND 2050
(MEDIUM VARIANT)
Population (thousands)
Rank

Country or area

2011

2050

Difference
Absolute

Percentage

More developed regions


1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.

Bulgaria..............................................
Republic of Moldova..........................
Bosnia and Herzegovina.....................
Ukraine...............................................
Belarus ...............................................
Latvia .................................................
Lithuania ............................................
Japan ..................................................
Romania .............................................
Portugal ..............................................
Croatia................................................
Russian Federation .............................
Serbia .................................................
Germany.............................................
Poland ................................................
TFYR Macedonia...............................
Estonia................................................
Hungary..............................................
Albania ...............................................
Montenegro ........................................
Slovakia..............................................
Italy ....................................................
Slovenia..............................................
Channel Islands ..................................
Malta ..................................................

7 446
5 459
3 545
2 661
3 752
2 952
45 190
36 074
9 559
8 001
2 243
1 902
3 307
2 813
126 497
108 549
21 436
18 535
10 690
9 379
4 396
3 859
142 836
126 188
9 854
8 797
82 163
74 781
38 299
34 906
2 064
1 881
1 341
1 233
9 966
9 243
3 216
2 990
632
604
5 472
5 241
60 789
59 158
2 035
1 994
154
152
418
415
Less developed regions
Georgia...............................................
4 329
3 186
United States Virgin Islands...............
109
92
Cuba ...................................................
11 254
9 898
Grenada ..............................................
105
95
Jamaica...............................................
2 751
2 569
Martinique..........................................
407
382
Armenia..............................................
3 100
2 931
Trinidad and Tobago ..........................
1 346
1 288
Aruba..................................................
108
104
China ..................................................
1 347 565 1 295 604
Barbados.............................................
274
264
Republic of Korea ..............................
48 391
47 050
Netherlands Antilles...........................
203
198
Puerto Rico.........................................
3 746
3 657

- 1 987
- 884
- 800
- 9 116
- 1 558
- 341
- 495
- 17 949
- 2 902
- 1 311
- 537
- 16 647
- 1 057
- 7 381
- 3 393
- 183
- 108
- 723
- 226
- 29
- 230
- 1 631
- 41
- 2
- 3

-26.7
-24.9
-21.3
-20.2
-16.3
-15.2
-15.0
-14.2
-13.5
-12.3
-12.2
-11.7
-10.7
-9.0
-8.9
-8.9
-8.0
-7.3
-7.0
-4.5
-4.2
-2.7
-2.0
-1.3
-0.7

- 1 143
- 17
- 1 355
- 10
- 182
- 25
- 169
- 58
- 4
- 51 962
- 9
- 1 342
- 5
- 88

-26.4
-15.3
-12.0
-9.5
-6.6
-6.2
-5.5
-4.3
-4.1
-3.9
-3.4
-2.8
-2.4
-2.4

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011).
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2011 are considered.

102

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.9. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE POPULATION IN SELECTED AGE GROUPS BY COUNTRY, 2011, 2050 AND 2100
(MEDIUM VARIANT)
2050

2100

Country or area

0-14

2011
15-59

60+

80+

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

World .................................................
Afghanistan .........................................

26.6
46.2

62.2
50.1

11.2
3.8

1.6
0.2

20.5
30.6

57.7
62.7

21.8
6.7

4.3
0.4

17.9
18.1

Albania................................................

22.1

64.4

13.5

1.7

13.0

53.3

33.8

7.3

14.8

Algeria ................................................

26.8

66.2

7.0

0.7

16.2

57.6

26.2

3.7

15.7

Angola.................................................

46.2

49.8

3.9

0.3

28.9

63.2

7.9

0.7

17.7

Argentina ............................................

24.7

60.5

14.8

2.6

17.8

57.2

25.0

5.2

15.9

Armenia ..............................................

20.1

65.1

14.8

2.8

16.1

53.7

30.2

6.6

16.3

Aruba ..................................................

18.8

66.4

14.8

1.5

15.0

55.0

30.0

8.6

16.5

Australia..............................................

19.0

61.7

19.3

3.8

17.9

53.2

28.9

8.5

16.8

Austria.................................................

14.5

62.1

23.4

4.9

13.7

49.8

36.5 12.2

15.9

Azerbaijan ...........................................

21.1

70.0

8.9

1.2

19.5

55.6

24.9

4.2

18.2

Bahamas..............................................

22.2

67.1

10.7

1.2

16.0

56.0

28.1

6.2

15.9

Bahrain................................................

20.3

76.1

3.6

0.3

15.6

52.3

32.2

4.2

14.7

Bangladesh..........................................

30.6

62.7

6.7

0.7

15.8

61.8

22.4

3.0

14.8

Barbados .............................................

17.1

66.1

16.8

3.0

14.7

51.6

33.7

8.8

16.7

Belarus ................................................

15.1

66.2

18.7

3.3

16.1

51.7

32.2

6.4

17.3

Belgium...............................................

16.9

59.4

23.7

5.2

17.3

51.8

30.9

9.6

17.2

Belize ..................................................

34.4

59.9

5.7

0.9

20.0

61.5

18.5

3.2

15.2

Benin...................................................

43.6

51.8

4.6

0.4

32.2

59.7

8.1

0.8

20.5

Bhutan.................................................

28.8

64.1

7.1

0.7

15.6

60.4

24.1

2.9

14.9

Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........

35.6

57.2

7.2

0.7

23.7

61.5

14.8

2.1

16.5

Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................

14.8

65.5

19.7

2.8

11.5

48.1

40.4

9.7

15.5

Botswana.............................................

32.3

61.3

6.4

0.5

22.2

64.8

13.0

1.3

17.0

Brazil...................................................

24.9

64.5

10.6

1.5

14.7

56.2

29.0

6.8

15.3

Brunei Darussalam..............................

25.9

68.1

6.1

0.7

16.3

60.6

23.1

4.8

16.2

Bulgaria...............................................

13.9

61.4

24.7

4.0

15.3

48.4

36.3

7.7

17.1

Burkina Faso .......................................

45.3

51.0

3.7

0.2

35.9

57.4

6.7

0.5

23.4

Burundi ...............................................

37.7

57.7

4.6

0.4

24.3

63.3

12.5

0.9

16.6

Cambodia ............................................

31.2

62.4

6.4

0.4

17.5

63.5

19.0

2.0

15.5

Cameroon............................................

40.5

54.1

5.4

0.5

29.2

61.3

9.5

0.8

19.2

Canada ................................................

16.4

63.3

20.4

4.0

16.2

52.8

31.0

9.7

16.3

Cape Verde..........................................

31.0

61.9

7.1

1.3

15.8

60.9

23.3

3.6

14.7

Central African Republic ....................

40.1

53.9

6.0

0.5

28.1

62.1

9.8

0.7

18.5

Chad ....................................................

45.4

50.1

4.5

0.3

32.7

60.4

6.9

0.5

19.8

Channel Islands...................................

14.7

61.7

23.6

4.1

14.6

49.8

35.6 11.9

16.8

Chile....................................................

21.7

64.8

13.5

2.2

15.2

54.5

30.3

8.4

15.5

China...................................................

19.1

68.1

12.8

1.4

13.5

52.6

33.9

7.6

15.9

China, Hong Kong SAR......................

11.3

69.9

18.8

3.7

12.9

49.8

37.4 12.9

15.9

China, Macao SAR .............................

12.9

75.1

12.0

1.9

12.9

49.0

38.1

9.7

15.7

Colombia.............................................

28.4

62.7

8.9

1.1

17.7

58.5

23.7

5.1

15.7

Comoros..............................................

42.7

53.1

4.2

0.3

32.1

59.2

8.7

0.7

21.5

Congo..................................................

40.6

53.9

5.5

0.5

31.1

59.7

9.2

0.9

20.5

Costa Rica ...........................................

24.4

65.8

9.8

1.5

14.5

55.7

29.8

7.1

14.7

54.1
59.8
47.7
50.5
58.2
50.6
51.0
50.8
49.8
48.7
53.6
50.6
50.3
49.6
50.6
53.3
50.8
51.4
59.3
49.2
54.2
49.1
55.5
48.9
53.4
52.2
60.0
56.2
51.6
58.9
49.7
48.8
58.4
60.1
50.6
49.0
49.9
49.0
48.8
50.1
59.4
59.0
47.2

28.0
22.1
37.4
33.9
24.1
33.5
32.7
32.7
33.4
35.4
28.2
33.5
35.1
35.6
32.7
29.4
32.0
33.4
20.2
36.0
29.4
35.4
27.5
35.8
30.4
30.7
16.6
27.2
32.9
21.9
34.0
36.5
23.1
20.1
32.6
35.5
34.1
35.1
35.4
34.2
19.1
20.5
38.1

7.8
3.5
14.0
11.2
4.2
11.4
11.5
10.0
13.0
13.5
8.2
11.3
11.1
10.7
10.8
9.1
11.4
9.6
3.5
11.6
7.6
12.0
6.2
13.3
10.7
9.9
2.5
5.8
8.9
3.9
12.7
11.8
4.1
3.0
11.6
13.1
11.4
13.9
13.5
11.5
3.0
3.8
15.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision

103

TABLE S.9 (continued)


2050

2100

Country or area

0-14

2011
15-59

60+

80+

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

Cte d'Ivoire........................................

40.6

53.4

5.9

0.4

28.5

61.6

9.9

0.9

18.4

Croatia.................................................

14.9

61.4

23.7

4.0

14.8

50.7

34.5

8.8

16.5

Cuba ....................................................

16.9

65.7

17.4

3.0

12.3

48.5

39.2 13.2

15.4

Cyprus.................................................

17.5

65.9

16.6

2.6

14.3

53.2

32.5

7.1

15.8

Czech Republic ...................................

14.1

63.5

22.4

3.7

15.5

50.3

34.2

7.8

16.7

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea ..............

22.5

63.8

13.7

1.1

17.5

59.3

23.2

4.1

17.1

Dem. Republic of the Congo...............

46.0

49.7

4.2

0.3

30.9

61.9

7.3

0.5

18.9

Denmark..............................................

17.9

58.5

23.6

4.2

17.1

53.3

29.7

9.2

17.1

Djibouti ...............................................

35.4

59.1

5.5

0.3

24.8

62.7

12.5

1.0

17.4

Dominican Republic ...........................

30.7

60.3

9.0

1.5

18.8

59.0

22.2

4.9

15.1

Ecuador ...............................................

29.9

60.9

9.2

1.3

17.8

58.5

23.7

5.0

14.9

Egypt...................................................

31.3

60.5

8.2

0.7

19.7

60.1

20.2

2.8

15.2

El Salvador..........................................

31.3

59.0

9.6

1.7

17.5

61.3

21.2

4.4

15.1

Equatorial Guinea ...............................

39.2

56.4

4.4

0.4

29.3

61.6

9.1

1.2

18.5

Eritrea..................................................

41.6

54.3

4.1

0.3

27.6

62.1

10.4

0.7

17.8

Estonia ................................................

15.6

61.4

23.0

4.4

17.1

50.6

32.4

7.6

17.1

Ethiopia...............................................

40.8

53.9

5.3

0.4

22.1

65.7

12.2

1.2

15.8

Fiji.......................................................

28.9

62.9

8.2

0.5

20.2

59.6

20.2

3.5

16.2

Finland ................................................

16.5

58.2

25.3

4.8

16.9

51.7

31.5 10.2

16.9

France..................................................

18.4

58.3

23.3

5.5

17.6

51.9

30.5 10.0

16.9

French Guiana.....................................

33.0

59.8

7.2

0.7

24.7

59.5

15.8

3.1

18.1

French Polynesia .................................

24.8

65.5

9.7

1.0

15.7

57.7

26.5

5.6

15.0

Gabon..................................................

35.0

58.4

6.5

0.8

26.1

60.8

13.0

1.6

18.8

Gambia................................................

43.7

52.8

3.5

0.1

30.0

61.9

8.1

0.5

19.1

Georgia................................................

16.5

64.1

19.4

3.3

14.0

50.6

35.4

8.1

15.9

Germany..............................................

13.4

60.3

26.3

5.2

14.5

48.0

37.5 13.5

16.6

Ghana ..................................................

38.4

55.6

6.0

0.5

27.2

60.8

11.9

1.4

18.0

Greece .................................................

14.7

60.8

24.5

5.1

15.1

49.0

36.0 10.2

16.2

Grenada...............................................

27.3

63.1

9.6

1.9

16.6

54.3

29.1

4.8

15.0

Guadeloupe .........................................

22.2

60.3

17.5

3.5

16.3

51.2

32.5 11.5

16.2

Guam...................................................

26.9

61.8

11.2

1.2

18.9

59.0

22.2

5.0

15.9

Guatemala ...........................................

41.1

52.5

6.4

0.8

27.7

60.6

11.7

1.7

17.8

Guinea.................................................

42.8

52.1

5.1

0.4

31.3

60.3

8.4

0.7

19.9

Guinea-Bissau .....................................

41.2

53.5

5.4

0.4

32.3

59.4

8.3

0.6

22.9

Guyana ................................................

32.4

60.9

6.7

0.7

16.4

61.2

22.4

4.6

16.1

Haiti ....................................................

35.6

57.8

6.6

0.5

22.1

62.7

15.3

1.5

16.4

Honduras.............................................

36.2

57.5

6.3

0.9

21.1

61.9

17.0

2.7

15.0

Hungary ..............................................

14.7

62.4

22.9

4.1

15.6

52.2

32.2

7.0

17.0

Iceland.................................................

20.8

62.1

17.2

3.4

18.3

52.9

28.8

8.3

17.0

India ....................................................

30.2

62.0

7.8

0.7

19.0

61.9

19.1

2.6

15.2

Indonesia.............................................

26.7

65.0

8.3

0.8

16.5

58.0

25.5

4.5

15.8

Iran (Islamic Republic of) ...................

22.8

69.6

7.6

1.0

13.8

53.2

33.1

4.5

15.5

Iraq......................................................

42.9

52.4

4.7

0.4

30.6

59.3

10.0

1.0

20.1

Ireland .................................................

21.4

61.8

16.8

2.9

18.8

52.5

28.7

7.4

17.1

Israel ...................................................

27.3

57.5

15.1

2.9

21.9

55.5

22.5

5.8

16.1

58.3
50.7
48.2
49.7
51.0
53.7
59.5
50.3
57.6
50.1
49.2
51.4
49.0
58.9
57.8
52.7
53.8
52.6
50.1
49.9
54.4
49.4
56.8
58.9
50.7
49.6
57.0
50.0
50.2
49.5
51.2
55.4
59.3
59.6
50.8
54.7
51.2
51.8
50.0
52.9
50.3
49.7
57.6
51.0
51.0

23.3
32.9
36.4
34.5
32.3
29.3
21.6
32.6
25.1
34.8
35.9
33.4
35.8
22.6
24.4
30.2
30.4
31.1
33.0
33.1
27.5
35.6
24.5
22.0
33.4
33.7
25.0
33.8
34.7
34.3
33.0
26.8
20.8
17.5
33.2
28.8
33.8
31.2
33.0
31.9
33.9
34.7
22.3
32.0
32.9

4.5
11.2
14.0
12.5
11.5
7.3
3.4
11.5
4.5
12.1
12.5
9.7
13.3
4.0
5.0
10.3
7.0
9.3
12.4
12.6
7.7
12.2
5.5
3.7
10.9
12.6
5.5
12.4
11.5
13.8
10.1
7.2
3.6
2.7
9.4
6.5
10.7
10.1
12.7
8.4
11.0
12.6
4.6
12.0
12.2

104

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.9 (continued)


2050

Country or area

0-14

2011
15-59

60+

80+

0-14

15-59

Italy .....................................................

14.1

59.2

26.8

6.0

14.3

Jamaica................................................

28.6

60.6

10.7

2.0

Japan ...................................................

13.3

55.6

31.1

Jordan..................................................

36.8

57.3

5.8

Kazakhstan..........................................

25.0

65.0

Kenya ..................................................

42.4

53.4

Kuwait.................................................

26.7

Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic ...............

2100
80+

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

47.3

38.4 12.9

16.0

17.2

56.8

25.9

6.8

15.9

6.6

13.4

45.2

41.5 14.6

15.6

0.5

19.4

62.4

18.2

2.2

14.8

10.1

1.2

22.9

57.4

19.6

2.9

19.2

4.2

0.4

32.3

59.0

8.7

0.7

20.5

69.2

4.1

0.3

18.8

59.0

22.3

2.2

17.8

30.0

63.6

6.4

1.0

23.5

59.2

17.3

2.5

19.5

33.7

60.3

6.0

0.6

17.1

64.0

18.9

2.1

15.2

Latvia ..................................................

14.0

63.0

23.0

4.3

15.9

49.9

34.2

7.7

16.9

Lebanon ..............................................

24.3

65.2

10.5

1.2

14.8

57.3

28.0

4.6

15.5

Lesotho................................................

37.0

56.7

6.3

0.7

25.9

65.0

9.1

0.7

18.5

Liberia.................................................

43.5

52.1

4.4

0.3

32.4

59.8

7.8

0.6

21.0

Libyan Arab Jamahiriya......................

30.7

62.7

6.7

0.6

17.5

59.5

23.0

3.3

15.2

Lithuania .............................................

14.8

64.0

21.1

3.9

15.7

52.2

32.2

7.6

17.2

Luxembourg........................................

17.6

63.4

19.0

3.8

16.6

53.8

29.6

8.3

16.6

Madagascar .........................................

42.8

52.5

4.8

0.5

31.6

59.3

9.1

1.1

20.5

Malawi ................................................

45.9

49.2

4.9

0.4

40.2

54.6

5.1

0.4

26.8

Malaysia..............................................

29.9

62.1

8.0

0.6

19.8

59.8

20.4

3.4

16.1

Maldives..............................................

25.8

67.3

6.9

0.7

12.8

56.0

31.2

5.0

14.0

Mali.....................................................

47.2

49.3

3.5

0.2

35.8

58.3

6.0

0.3

22.2

Malta ...................................................

14.7

63.3

22.0

3.2

13.0

50.4

36.7

9.3

15.9

Martinique...........................................

19.1

60.6

20.3

4.1

14.0

49.5

36.5 13.1

15.9

Mauritania ...........................................

39.7

55.8

4.5

0.2

29.0

60.9

10.1

0.7

19.5

Mauritius.............................................

21.3

67.3

11.4

1.4

15.3

55.4

29.3

7.0

16.7

Mayotte ...............................................

46.8

50.1

3.1

0.5

27.4

60.8

11.8

2.0

16.1

Mexico ................................................

28.7

62.1

9.2

1.4

16.4

57.8

25.8

5.7

15.1

Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................

36.1

57.7

6.2

0.7

22.6

62.9

14.5

1.7

16.3

Mongolia.............................................

27.8

66.2

6.0

0.7

22.4

57.2

20.5

2.9

19.0

Montenegro .........................................

19.1

62.8

18.1

2.5

15.1

54.1

30.8

6.4

16.0

Morocco ..............................................

27.7

63.9

8.4

0.8

16.7

59.0

24.2

3.7

15.5

Mozambique .......................................

43.9

51.0

5.1

0.4

31.9

60.9

7.2

0.8

19.9

Myanmar.............................................

25.2

66.6

8.2

0.8

16.2

59.3

24.5

3.2

16.4

Namibia...............................................

36.0

58.3

5.8

0.5

22.8

63.8

13.4

1.6

16.8

Nepal...................................................

35.5

58.2

6.4

0.5

19.1

64.0

16.9

1.9

15.3

Netherlands .........................................

17.5

60.2

22.3

4.0

16.4

51.7

31.9 10.7

16.9

Netherlands Antilles............................

20.3

63.9

15.8

2.4

14.2

46.4

39.4

9.8

16.4

New Caledonia....................................

24.9

63.0

12.1

1.7

17.1

57.0

25.9

6.2

15.9

New Zealand .......................................

20.4

60.9

18.6

3.5

18.3

53.1

28.6

8.8

17.1

Nicaragua ............................................

33.9

59.7

6.4

1.0

18.4

60.4

21.2

3.9

14.7

Niger ...................................................

49.0

47.2

3.9

0.1

40.1

55.0

4.9

0.3

25.5

Nigeria ................................................

42.8

51.9

5.3

0.4

34.5

58.1

7.4

0.6

22.6

Norway................................................

18.6

59.9

21.5

4.6

17.8

53.2

29.0

9.0

17.1

Occupied Palestinian Territory............

41.9

53.6

4.4

0.3

28.4

61.1

10.5

1.2

18.0

Oman...................................................

27.1

68.6

4.3

0.5

13.6

57.6

28.9

3.6

14.5

49.0
50.8
47.5
50.5
56.2
59.5
53.0
55.7
50.3
52.6
50.0
58.9
60.0
50.0
52.7
49.6
58.2
59.7
52.1
46.0
60.6
49.9
48.5
58.8
51.0
54.2
48.6
53.8
55.0
50.7
50.3
59.6
51.9
54.7
51.5
49.9
51.5
49.8
50.3
49.4
60.4
59.9
50.3
56.4
48.0

35.0
33.3
37.0
34.7
24.6
20.1
29.2
24.8
34.6
30.4
34.5
22.6
18.9
34.8
30.1
33.8
21.3
13.6
31.8
40.0
17.2
34.2
35.6
21.8
32.3
29.8
36.3
29.9
26.1
33.3
34.2
20.5
31.7
28.5
33.3
33.2
32.1
34.3
32.6
35.9
14.1
17.4
32.6
25.6
37.4

13.9
10.8
15.9
10.1
6.2
3.8
7.8
6.4
9.9
10.2
10.9
4.2
2.8
12.3
9.5
12.6
4.4
2.0
8.8
16.9
2.4
12.6
14.1
3.8
10.9
9.1
13.4
6.7
7.2
10.9
10.7
3.6
8.8
6.9
9.1
11.9
12.3
12.6
12.2
12.8
1.9
2.8
11.9
6.0
12.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

60+

105

TABLE S.9 (continued)


2050

2100

Country or area

0-14

2011
15-59

60+

80+

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

Pakistan...............................................

35.0

58.6

6.4

0.6

20.6

63.6

15.8

1.7

15.4

Panama................................................

28.6

61.5

9.9

1.3

18.4

58.3

23.2

5.0

15.5

Papua New Guinea..............................

38.8

56.5

4.7

0.3

26.6

62.4

11.1

1.1

18.1

Paraguay..............................................

33.1

59.1

7.8

1.0

21.7

60.8

17.5

2.9

15.9

Peru .....................................................

29.6

61.5

9.0

1.2

17.7

59.6

22.7

4.4

15.2

Philippines ..........................................

35.0

59.1

5.9

0.5

23.2

61.6

15.3

2.2

16.3

Poland .................................................

14.8

65.4

19.8

3.6

14.7

50.0

35.3

7.7

16.7

Portugal...............................................

15.0

61.0

24.0

4.8

12.5

47.0

40.4 11.5

15.4

Puerto Rico..........................................

20.8

61.0

18.2

3.4

14.5

54.0

31.5

8.7

15.0

Qatar ...................................................

14.0

84.0

2.0

0.1

10.6

61.5

27.9

3.5

11.4

Republic of Korea ...............................

16.1

67.7

16.2

2.1

13.2

47.9

38.9 12.3

15.9

Republic of Moldova ..........................

16.6

67.0

16.3

2.3

14.3

51.9

33.8

6.2

16.3

Runion...............................................

25.4

62.6

11.9

2.0

17.9

56.6

25.5

7.4

16.6

Romania ..............................................

15.2

64.2

20.6

3.3

14.6

49.3

36.0

7.5

16.7

Russian Federation..............................

15.3

66.5

18.2

3.0

16.9

51.9

31.2

6.0

17.6

Rwanda ...............................................

42.9

52.8

4.4

0.4

32.8

58.6

8.6

0.7

19.8

Saint Lucia ..........................................

25.5

65.0

9.5

1.7

15.2

57.2

27.7

5.6

15.1

St. Vincent and the Grenadines ...........

26.1

64.1

9.7

1.4

16.2

59.7

24.0

4.2

15.9

Samoa..................................................

37.4

55.2

7.4

1.0

27.0

60.5

12.6

3.1

18.7

Sao Tome and Principe .......................

39.9

54.9

5.2

0.6

24.6

62.8

12.6

1.1

16.7

Saudi Arabia........................................

30.1

65.2

4.7

0.6

17.1

61.1

21.8

2.2

14.4

Senegal................................................

43.5

52.6

3.9

0.1

30.6

61.2

8.2

0.4

19.4

Serbia ..................................................

17.5

62.5

20.1

3.3

14.6

53.2

32.2

6.5

16.0

Sierra Leone ........................................

42.9

53.5

3.6

0.1

28.3

64.2

7.5

0.3

18.5

Singapore ............................................

16.8

68.5

14.7

1.9

13.0

49.2

37.8 12.9

16.0

Slovakia ..............................................

15.0

67.2

17.8

2.8

14.6

50.5

34.9

7.1

16.9

Slovenia ..............................................

14.0

63.1

22.9

4.3

14.7

48.6

36.7 10.4

16.1

Solomon Islands..................................

39.5

55.4

5.1

0.4

26.9

61.1

12.0

1.2

17.4

Somalia ...............................................

45.0

50.7

4.4

0.3

40.0

54.2

5.8

0.5

26.9

South Africa ........................................

29.9

62.5

7.6

0.6

21.1

64.1

14.8

2.1

17.0

Spain ...................................................

15.1

62.4

22.5

5.1

14.6

47.0

38.3 11.6

15.6

Sri Lanka.............................................

24.9

62.5

12.6

1.5

17.5

55.0

27.4

6.1

16.0

Sudan ..................................................

39.8

54.5

5.7

0.4

27.6

61.3

11.0

1.1

18.0

Suriname .............................................

28.1

62.4

9.4

1.1

17.2

59.0

23.8

4.6

16.0

Swaziland............................................

37.9

56.8

5.3

0.4

25.4

66.3

8.3

0.7

17.3

Sweden................................................

16.6

58.3

25.2

5.3

17.3

52.1

30.6

9.5

16.7

Switzerland .........................................

15.1

61.8

23.1

4.9

14.3

48.6

37.1 12.8

16.1

Syrian Arab Republic..........................

36.2

57.7

6.1

0.7

18.7

63.2

18.1

2.9

14.6

Tajikistan ............................................

36.5

58.6

4.9

0.7

23.6

62.4

14.0

2.1

16.1

TFYR Macedonia................................

17.3

65.6

17.1

2.2

13.3

52.7

34.0

6.7

15.7

Thailand ..............................................

20.2

66.6

13.3

1.8

14.4

53.8

31.8

7.6

16.1

Timor-Leste.........................................

45.8

49.4

4.8

0.3

30.9

62.1

7.0

0.6

18.1

Togo ....................................................

39.3

55.4

5.3

0.4

25.7

62.6

11.7

1.1

17.2

Tonga ..................................................

37.4

54.6

8.0

1.3

27.3

60.0

12.7

2.4

18.9

Trinidad and Tobago...........................

20.5

68.5

10.9

1.3

15.5

52.9

31.6

6.0

16.6

54.0
50.0
57.8
52.7
50.0
53.8
51.3
48.2
48.0
49.3
48.2
51.7
50.6
51.5
53.7
60.0
48.8
51.3
55.8
55.5
49.6
59.1
50.7
59.2
47.6
51.4
49.8
56.3
60.2
55.3
48.2
50.1
57.0
51.4
57.2
49.9
48.4
49.3
54.7
50.2
50.6
57.7
56.6
56.7
51.8

30.6
34.5
24.2
31.3
34.7
29.9
32.0
36.4
37.0
39.3
35.9
32.0
32.8
31.8
28.7
20.2
36.1
32.8
25.5
27.8
36.0
21.5
33.3
22.3
36.4
31.7
34.1
26.3
12.9
27.7
36.1
33.9
25.0
32.6
25.5
33.4
35.5
36.1
29.2
34.0
33.3
24.3
26.2
24.4
31.7

7.1
11.5
4.9
9.2
11.5
8.0
11.0
14.0
14.5
12.8
13.8
10.7
11.9
10.3
8.8
3.7
13.3
9.4
5.9
6.2
11.1
3.6
10.7
3.2
14.1
10.4
12.8
6.0
1.7
6.6
15.3
11.5
5.3
10.0
5.0
12.9
13.9
11.0
7.6
11.0
10.9
4.7
5.5
5.3
10.3

106

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.9 (continued)


2050

2100

Country or area

0-14

2011
15-59

60+

80+

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

0-14

15-59

60+

80+

Tunisia ................................................

23.3

66.6

10.1

1.2

15.8

55.3

28.9

4.6

16.0

Turkey.................................................

26.0

64.7

9.3

0.9

16.1

58.0

26.0

4.3

15.4

Turkmenistan ......................................

28.8

65.0

6.2

0.8

18.2

61.7

20.1

2.7

15.7

Uganda ................................................

48.4

47.8

3.9

0.3

35.6

58.6

5.7

0.5

21.0

Ukraine................................................

14.4

64.7

20.9

3.5

16.3

51.7

32.1

6.1

17.4

United Arab Emirates..........................

16.9

81.9

1.2

0.1

11.3

52.4

36.3

4.2

14.0

United Kingdom..................................

17.4

59.8

22.8

4.7

17.2

53.2

29.6

9.0

16.9

United Republic of Tanzania...............

44.8

50.3

4.9

0.4

38.0

55.6

6.4

0.6

24.6

United States of America ....................

20.1

61.2

18.8

3.8

18.8

54.6

26.6

7.9

17.5

United States Virgin Islands................

19.9

58.2

21.9

2.8

14.8

55.3

29.9 11.1

15.2

Uruguay ..............................................

22.3

59.3

18.4

3.7

16.7

55.9

27.4

6.7

15.9

Uzbekistan ..........................................

28.9

64.8

6.3

0.9

17.3

61.2

21.5

3.3

15.3

Vanuatu...............................................

37.9

56.6

5.5

0.5

26.9

60.3

12.7

1.6

18.2

Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)....

29.1

62.0

8.9

1.0

18.4

59.3

22.3

4.4

15.2

Viet Nam.............................................

23.2

68.2

8.6

1.3

14.7

54.4

30.8

6.2

15.5

Western Sahara ...................................

28.2

67.6

4.2

0.3

17.6

59.4

23.0

2.6

15.6

Yemen.................................................

44.0

51.9

4.1

0.3

30.1

61.0

8.9

0.7

19.1

Zambia ................................................

46.5

48.8

4.7

0.4

43.7

52.1

4.2

0.3

30.2

Zimbabwe ...........................................

38.2

55.8

6.0

0.7

23.6

64.0

12.4

0.9

16.4

50.8
50.1
52.8
60.4
53.5
48.3
50.0
59.7
51.3
48.3
50.2
51.5
56.1
50.2
49.0
52.0
57.4
59.3
54.4

33.1
34.5
31.4
18.5
29.1
37.8
33.1
15.7
31.2
36.6
33.9
33.1
25.7
34.6
35.5
32.4
23.6
10.5
29.2

11.0
10.8
8.7
3.0
8.9
12.9
12.3
2.7
10.9
13.5
11.7
10.1
6.1
11.4
13.3
9.0
5.0
1.4
7.5

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population
Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

107

108

TABLE S.10. TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE OLDEST AND TEN COUNTRIES WITH THE YOUNGEST POPULATIONS, 1950, 2011, 2050 AND 2100
(MEDIUM VARIANT)
1950
Rank Country or area

2011
Median
age

2050
Median
age
Rank Country or area

Country or area

2100
Median
age
Rank Country or area

Median
age

A. Oldest population

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Channel Islands
Austria
Belgium
Germany
Luxembourg
United Kingdom
France
Sweden
Switzerland
Norway

35.7
35.7
35.5
35.4
35.0
34.9
34.5
34.3
33.2
32.7

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Japan
Germany
Italy
Channel Islands
China, Hong Kong SAR
Austria
Finland
Slovenia
Bulgaria
Switzerland

45.0
44.7
43.5
43.0
42.2
42.2
42.1
42.0
41.8
41.8

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Bosnia and Herzegovina


Japan
Portugal
Cuba
Republic of Korea
China, Macao SAR
Singapore
Netherlands Antilles
China, Hong Kong SAR
Malta

53.2
52.3
52.1
52.0
51.8
51.6
51.4
51.3
50.7
50.6

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Qatar
Maldives
United Arab Emirates
Costa Rica
Oman
Saudi Arabia
Albania
Cape Verde
Puerto Rico
Syrian Arab Republic

52.5
51.1
50.2
49.3
49.2
48.7
48.6
48.6
48.4
48.2

Zambia
Malawi
Niger
Somalia
United Republic of Tanzania
Uganda
Mali
Burkina Faso
Nigeria
Chad

17.9
19.6
19.6
19.7
20.9
22.0
22.1
22.2
23.1
23.9

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Zambia
Somalia
Malawi
Niger
United Republic of Tanzania
Burkina Faso
Guinea-Bissau
Nigeria
Mali
Comoros

26.4
29.2
29.4
30.5
31.6
32.9
33.6
33.7
34.0
35.2

WORLD

37.9

WORLD

41.9

B. Youngest population
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Niger
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Tonga
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea
Grenada
Paraguay
Djibouti
Samoa
Fiji
Vanuatu

15.2
15.4
15.5
15.9
16.3
16.5
16.5
16.6
16.6
16.8

WORLD

23.9

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Niger
Uganda
Mali
Zambia
Afghanistan
Angola
Timor-Leste
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Malawi
Burkina Faso

15.5
15.8
16.4
16.6
16.7
16.7
16.8
16.8
16.9
17.2

WORLD

29.4

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision.
New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

TABLE S.11. MEDIAN AGE OF THE POPULATION BY COUNTRY, 1950, 1980, 2011, 2050 AND 2100
(MEDIUM VARIANT)
Median age
Country or area

1950

1980

2011

2050

2100

World ................................................

23.9

23.1

29.4

37.9

41.9

Afghanistan........................................
Albania...............................................
Algeria ...............................................
Angola................................................
Argentina ...........................................
Armenia .............................................
Aruba .................................................
Australia.............................................
Austria................................................
Azerbaijan..........................................
Bahamas.............................................
Bahrain...............................................
Bangladesh.........................................
Barbados ............................................
Belarus ...............................................
Belgium..............................................
Belize .................................................
Benin..................................................
Bhutan................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ..........
Bosnia and Herzegovina ....................
Botswana............................................
Brazil..................................................
Brunei Darussalam.............................
Bulgaria..............................................
Burkina Faso ......................................
Burundi ..............................................
Cambodia ...........................................
Cameroon...........................................
Canada ...............................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Central African Republic ...................
Chad...................................................
Channel Islands..................................
Chile...................................................
China..................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR.....................

18.6
20.6
19.9
19.4
25.7
22.4
18.5
30.4
35.7
22.8
20.7
18.9
19.3
24.6
27.2
35.5
20.8
24.2
18.0
19.2
20.0
19.2
19.2
22.4
27.3
19.5
19.5
18.7
20.3
27.7
23.0
22.5
21.5
35.7
22.2
23.8
23.7

17.2
21.3
16.9
16.7
27.3
23.5
26.0
29.4
34.7
21.1
20.2
22.3
17.2
24.5
31.3
34.1
16.4
17.4
19.2
18.7
25.9
16.6
20.4
20.7
34.2
16.7
17.3
19.5
17.8
29.2
16.4
18.9
18.1
35.3
22.6
22.4
25.1

16.7
30.5
26.6
16.7
30.6
32.3
38.6
37.1
42.2
29.8
31.3
30.7
24.6
37.8
38.4
41.4
22.1
18.0
25.0
21.9
39.8
23.1
29.5
29.2
41.8
17.2
20.4
23.3
19.4
40.0
23.3
19.6
17.2
43.0
32.5
34.9
42.2

25.3
49.4
42.0
26.5
40.2
43.7
45.8
41.7
49.3
38.8
43.3
43.1
41.3
47.9
44.5
43.2
35.9
24.5
41.6
32.1
53.2
32.2
44.9
40.2
47.4
22.2
31.1
38.5
26.7
44.0
41.9
27.6
23.9
48.2
45.1
48.7
50.7

39.2
48.6
46.5
40.3
45.8
45.2
45.0
45.0
46.8
41.5
46.0
48.2
47.9
44.8
42.9
44.0
46.5
36.3
48.1
43.3
47.1
42.3
47.5
43.1
43.6
32.9
42.6
46.2
38.0
45.8
48.6
39.1
36.9
44.5
47.2
46.2
46.5

China, Macao SAR ............................


Colombia............................................
Comoros.............................................
Congo.................................................
Costa Rica ..........................................

26.5
18.7
21.2
20.0
21.6

25.5
18.9
16.7
17.6
20.0

38.0
27.1
18.9
19.6
28.9

51.6
39.8
24.7
25.5
45.5

47.1
46.4
35.2
36.4
49.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision

109

TABLE S.11. (continued)


Median age

110

Country or area

1950

1980

2011

2050

2100

Cte d'Ivoire.......................................
Croatia................................................
Cuba...................................................
Cyprus................................................
Czech Republic ..................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea .............
Dem. Republic of the Congo..............
Denmark ............................................
Djibouti ..............................................
Dominican Republic ..........................
Ecuador ..............................................
Egypt..................................................
El Salvador.........................................

18.3
27.9
22.3
23.7
32.7
15.9
18.1
31.7
16.5
17.0
20.6
20.4
18.5

17.2
33.6
23.9
28.3
32.9
22.9
17.3
34.3
17.2
18.3
18.4
18.5
17.3

19.3
41.7
39.0
34.5
39.6
33.1
16.8
40.7
21.7
25.4
25.9
24.7
23.5

27.3
47.6
52.0
47.2
45.8
40.4
25.2
43.3
30.7
38.2
39.4
36.9
39.3

39.2
45.1
47.7
46.3
44.9
43.1
38.2
44.2
41.1
47.2
48.0
46.5
47.7

Equatorial Guinea ..............................


Eritrea ................................................
Estonia ...............................................
Ethiopia..............................................
Fiji......................................................
Finland ...............................................
France ................................................
French Guiana....................................
French Polynesia................................
Gabon.................................................
Gambia...............................................
Georgia ..............................................
Germany ............................................
Ghana.................................................
Greece ................................................
Grenada..............................................
Guadeloupe ........................................
Guam..................................................
Guatemala ..........................................
Guinea................................................
Guinea-Bissau....................................
Guyana...............................................
Haiti ...................................................
Honduras............................................
Hungary .............................................
Iceland................................................
India ...................................................
Indonesia............................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) ..................
Iraq.....................................................
Ireland ................................................
Israel ..................................................

23.8
17.3
29.9
17.9
16.6
27.7
34.5
26.6
17.8
28.4
19.5
27.3
35.4
17.4
26.0
16.3
20.9
22.8
17.5
21.9
20.9
20.4
20.2
18.8
30.1
26.5
21.3
20.0
22.0
22.0
30.0
25.5

17.3
16.8
33.9
17.7
19.5
32.8
32.4
23.1
19.4
22.1
17.8
29.1
36.4
17.0
34.2
18.8
22.4
22.3
17.3
18.4
19.3
18.0
19.1
16.4
34.3
26.9
20.1
19.1
18.2
16.6
26.6
25.0

20.4
19.1
39.8
19.0
26.7
42.1
40.1
24.5
29.4
21.9
17.9
37.6
44.7
20.6
41.7
25.4
37.0
29.4
19.0
18.4
19.2
24.1
21.8
21.3
40.1
35.0
25.4
28.1
27.7
18.4
35.0
30.2

26.5
28.3
43.4
32.5
36.4
43.9
42.7
31.7
42.6
29.9
25.9
48.3
49.2
28.7
47.4
42.5
46.3
38.4
28.2
25.1
24.7
42.1
33.5
34.6
45.3
41.4
37.2
41.6
47.2
25.9
40.9
35.8

38.9
40.2
43.5
44.7
44.5
44.7
44.7
41.1
47.8
39.3
38.3
46.0
45.3
40.2
45.8
47.5
45.9
45.6
40.9
37.0
33.6
45.3
43.4
46.7
43.9
44.6
45.8
46.1
47.1
37.3
44.1
45.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.11. (continued)


Median age
Country or area

1950

1980

2011

2050

2100

Italy ....................................................
Jamaica ..............................................
Japan ..................................................
Jordan.................................................
Kazakhstan.........................................
Kenya.................................................
Kuwait................................................
Kyrgyzstan .........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic ..............
Latvia .................................................
Lebanon .............................................
Lesotho ..............................................
Liberia................................................

28.6
22.2
22.3
17.2
23.2
20.0
21.5
25.3
19.8
30.5
23.2
19.8
19.3

34.2
19.2
32.6
15.5
23.5
15.0
20.8
20.8
17.9
34.9
19.8
17.6
17.2

43.5
27.3
45.0
21.2
29.2
18.6
28.6
24.1
21.9
40.3
29.5
20.5
18.2

49.6
41.7
52.3
36.4
34.7
24.6
38.8
33.3
38.9
45.2
44.7
28.4
24.4

46.4
45.8
47.8
47.4
39.1
36.1
42.6
39.0
47.1
43.8
46.8
38.8
35.5

Libyan Arab Jamahiriya.....................


Lithuania ............................................
Luxembourg.......................................
Madagascar ........................................
Malawi ...............................................
Malaysia.............................................
Maldives ............................................
Mali....................................................
Malta ..................................................
Martinique..........................................
Mauritania..........................................
Mauritius............................................
Mayotte ..............................................
Mexico ...............................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................
Mongolia............................................
Montenegro........................................
Morocco .............................................
Mozambique ......................................
Myanmar............................................
Namibia..............................................
Nepal..................................................
Netherlands ........................................
Netherlands Antilles...........................
New Caledonia...................................
New Zealand ......................................
Nicaragua ...........................................
Niger ..................................................
Nigeria ...............................................
Norway ..............................................
Occupied Palestinian Territory...........
Oman..................................................

19.0
27.8
35.0
20.9
17.1
19.8
18.6
20.8
23.7
21.9
17.9
17.3
30.3
18.7
19.8
25.0
21.3
17.7
19.1
22.9
20.9
19.3
28.0
23.3
22.5
29.4
18.2
15.2
19.1
32.7
17.3
18.8

16.5
32.0
35.0
17.0
16.4
19.6
17.4
17.6
29.1
23.5
17.0
20.9
15.3
17.5
16.3
17.8
26.8
18.5
18.0
19.6
16.7
18.8
31.2
24.2
21.7
27.9
16.4
16.1
18.0
33.3
15.1
17.4

26.0
39.5
39.0
18.3
16.9
26.3
25.2
16.4
39.7
39.8
19.9
32.8
17.3
27.0
21.0
25.8
36.2
26.7
17.9
28.6
21.4
21.8
41.1
38.3
30.6
36.7
22.4
15.5
18.5
39.0
18.4
26.5

39.9
45.0
43.8
25.1
19.6
36.9
48.3
22.1
50.6
49.9
27.1
45.5
28.4
41.8
32.3
35.2
45.3
40.8
24.3
41.8
32.0
36.6
44.8
51.3
41.3
41.3
38.5
19.6
23.1
42.0
27.6
43.7

47.4
43.4
45.3
36.6
29.4
44.8
51.1
34.0
46.0
46.8
37.8
44.5
43.6
47.9
43.6
39.9
45.7
46.6
36.8
44.8
42.5
46.3
44.7
45.2
46.2
44.3
48.1
30.5
33.7
44.2
40.4
49.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

111

TABLE S.11. (continued)


Median age

112

Country or area

1950

1980

2011

2050

2100

Pakistan..............................................
Panama...............................................
Papua New Guinea.............................
Paraguay ............................................
Peru ....................................................
Philippines .........................................
Poland ................................................
Portugal..............................................
Puerto Rico ........................................
Qatar ..................................................
Republic of Korea ..............................
Republic of Moldova .........................
Runion..............................................

19.8
20.2
20.3
16.5
19.1
18.2
25.8
26.1
18.4
18.9
19.0
26.6
20.3

18.3
19.3
17.3
18.4
18.8
18.0
29.5
30.6
24.6
23.5
22.2
27.7
19.8

22.0
27.6
20.6
23.3
25.9
22.4
38.3
41.4
34.7
32.1
38.4
35.4
30.2

34.7
38.9
29.1
34.2
39.5
32.5
47.4
52.1
46.1
43.2
51.8
47.9
40.3

45.1
46.7
39.9
44.7
47.0
43.8
44.7
47.7
48.4
52.5
46.9
45.0
44.8

Romania .............................................
Russian Federation.............................
Rwanda ..............................................
Saint Lucia .........................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines ..........
Samoa ................................................
Sao Tome and Principe ......................
Saudi Arabia ......................................
Senegal...............................................
Serbia .................................................
Sierra Leone.......................................
Singapore ...........................................
Slovakia .............................................
Slovenia .............................................
Solomon Islands.................................
Somalia ..............................................
South Africa.......................................
Spain ..................................................
Sri Lanka............................................
Sudan .................................................
Suriname ............................................
Swaziland...........................................
Sweden...............................................
Switzerland ........................................
Syrian Arab Republic.........................
Tajikistan ...........................................
TFYR Macedonia...............................
Thailand .............................................
Timor-Leste .......................................
Togo...................................................
Tonga .................................................
Trinidad and Tobago..........................

26.1
25.0
17.2
20.7
15.4
16.6
24.5
19.0
19.2
25.8
20.4
20.0
27.0
27.7
18.3
19.5
20.9
27.5
21.6
18.1
20.1
18.4
34.3
33.2
20.3
22.3
22.3
18.6
19.6
19.4
15.5
20.7

30.7
31.3
15.9
17.3
17.4
18.2
16.6
17.8
16.4
31.5
19.5
24.5
28.7
31.7
16.3
16.8
19.1
30.7
21.9
17.6
18.8
15.6
36.2
34.6
15.6
18.0
26.4
19.7
19.2
16.7
18.3
21.6

38.8
38.1
18.6
27.8
28.2
21.0
19.5
26.2
18.0
37.8
18.4
38.1
37.3
42.0
20.1
17.5
25.1
40.5
31.0
19.9
27.9
19.7
40.8
41.8
21.5
20.6
36.3
34.6
16.8
19.9
21.3
31.2

48.0
43.1
24.5
43.6
41.3
28.2
30.7
38.9
25.7
46.5
27.0
51.4
47.6
48.2
29.0
19.7
33.5
48.9
41.5
28.2
40.6
29.0
43.0
49.3
37.1
31.8
49.0
46.8
25.0
29.7
28.6
44.4

44.5
42.3
36.7
47.9
45.6
39.5
42.5
48.7
37.7
45.7
39.1
47.0
44.4
46.1
41.2
29.2
42.2
47.5
46.0
40.2
45.3
41.1
45.1
46.6
48.2
43.7
46.3
45.5
40.1
41.5
38.9
44.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.11. (continued)


Median age
Country or area

1950

1980

2011

2050

2100

Tunisia ...............................................
Turkey................................................
Turkmenistan .....................................
Uganda...............................................
Ukraine ..............................................
United Arab Emirates.........................
United Kingdom.................................
United Republic of Tanzania .............
United States of America ...................
United States Virgin Islands...............
Uruguay .............................................
Uzbekistan .........................................
Vanuatu..............................................

20.9
19.7
23.5
18.2
27.6
18.9
34.9
16.9
30.0
22.0
27.8
24.1
16.8

18.5
19.5
18.7
16.1
33.8
26.0
34.4
16.7
30.0
22.0
30.2
18.8
17.5

29.4
28.7
24.9
15.8
39.4
30.8
39.9
17.5
37.0
39.1
33.9
24.6
20.8

43.3
42.3
38.1
22.0
44.2
49.5
42.9
20.9
40.0
44.9
42.5
39.2
29.2

45.8
46.9
45.2
35.2
42.7
50.2
44.7
31.6
43.2
47.9
46.0
46.3
40.2

Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)...


Viet Nam............................................
Western Sahara ..................................
Yemen................................................
Zambia ...............................................
Zimbabwe ..........................................

18.3
24.5
18.7
18.9
17.5
19.0

19.1
19.1
21.3
15.3
16.3
15.5

26.4
28.7
26.9
17.6
16.6
19.7

38.5
45.8
39.1
26.2
17.9
30.9

47.0
47.4
45.9
38.8
26.4
43.4

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United
Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

113

114

TABLE S.12. TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE HIGHEST AND TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE LOWEST TOTAL FERTILITY, 1975-1980, 2005-2010, 2045-2050 AND 2095-2100
(MEDIUM VARIANT)
1975-1980

Rank Country or area

2005-2010
Total fertility
(average
number of
children
per woman)

Rank Country or area

2045-2050
Total fertility
(average
number of
children per
woman)

Rank Country or area

2095-2100
Total fertility
(average
number of
children per
woman)

Rank Country or area

Total fertility
(average
number of
children per
woman)

A. Highest fertility

1.
2.
3.
4.

Yemen
Rwanda
Oman
Mayotte

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

5.
6.
7.
8.

Cte dIvoire
Afghanistan
Kenya
Niger
Occupied Palestinian
9. Territory
10. Malawi

8.58
8.25
8.10

1.
2.
3.
4.

7.81
7.70
7.64
7.63

5.
6.
7.
8.

7.50
7.50

Niger
Afghanistan
Timor-Leste
Mali

Somalia
Uganda
Zambia
Chad
Dem. Republic of the
9. Congo
10. Malawi

7.19
6.62
6.53
6.46

1.
2.
3.
4.

6.40
6.38
6.20
6.20

5.
6.
7.
8.

6.07
6.00

Zambia
Somalia
Niger
Malawi
United Republic of
Tanzania
Burkina Faso
Mali
Nigeria

9. Uganda
10. Guinea-Bissau

4.53
4.39
4.22
4.04

1.
2.
3.
4.

3.61
3.59
3.48
3.41

5.
6.
7.
8.

3.19
3.17

Zambia
Malawi
Somalia
Niger
United Republic of
Tanzania
Burkina Faso
Guinea-Bissau
Nigeria

9. Kyrgyzstan
10. Mali

2.82
2.55
2.52
2.43
2.31
2.26
2.22
2.20
2.14
2.13

B. Lowest fertility
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

China, Macao SAR


Luxembourg
Germany
Channel Islands
Switzerland

1.41
1.49
1.52
1.52
1.54

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Netherlands
Austria
Sweden
Finland
Denmark

1.60
1.65
1.66
1.66
1.68

6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

WORLD

3.84

China, Hong Kong SAR


China, Macao SAR
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Singapore
Slovakia

0.99
1.02
1.18
1.25
1.27

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Republic of Korea
Poland
Japan
Malta
Romania

1.29
1.32
1.32
1.33
1.33

6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

WORLD

2.52

Oman
Maldives
Bhutan
Bangladesh
United Arab Emirates
Lao People's Dem.
Republic
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya
Saint Lucia
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Cambodia

1.49
1.50
1.56
1.58
1.59

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

1.60
1.61
1.61
1.61
1.62

6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

WORLD

2.17

Mayotte
Togo
Burundi
Angola
Ethiopia

1.77
1.83
1.83
1.83
1.84

Honduras
Swaziland
Micronesia (Fed. States of)
Djibouti
Pakistan

1.84
1.84
1.84
1.85
1.85

WORLD

2.03

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York:
United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

TABLE S.13. THE FIFTEENTH COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE LARGEST AND THE FIFTEENTH COUNTRIES OR AREAS
WITH THE SMALLEST TOTAL FERTILITY CHANGE BETWEEN 1975-1980 AND 2005-2010 AMONG COUNTRIES
WITH TOTAL FERTILITY IN 1975-1980 GREATER OR EQUAL TO 4 CHILDREN PER WOMAN
Total fertility
(average number of children
per woman)
Rank

Country or area

1975-1980

Change from 1975-1980


to 2005-2010

2005-2010

Difference

Percentage

A. Largest fertility change


1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.

Maldives
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Oman
Viet Nam
United Arab Emirates
Algeria

6.85
6.27
8.10
5.89
5.66
7.18

1.90
1.77
2.52
1.89
1.86
2.38

-4.95
-4.51
-5.58
-4.00
-3.80
-4.79

-72.3
-71.9
-68.9
-68.0
-67.2
-66.8

Bangladesh
Tunisia
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya
Mongolia
Albania
Bhutan
Qatar
Cape Verde
Saint Lucia

6.65
5.69
7.38
6.65
4.20
6.67
6.11
6.62
5.20

2.38
2.04
2.72
2.50
1.60
2.61
2.40
2.60
2.05

-4.26
-3.65
-4.66
-4.15
-2.60
-4.06
-3.70
-4.01
-3.15

-64.2
-64.1
-63.1
-62.4
-61.9
-60.9
-60.6
-60.6
-60.6

5.36
7.19
6.07
5.22
6.46
6.20
6.40
6.38
5.27
6.62
5.94
6.20
5.61
5.58
3.99

-0.32
-0.44
-0.39
-0.42
-0.55
-0.54
-0.60
-0.72
-0.84
-1.08
-1.07
-1.18
-1.15
-1.15
-0.90

-5.6
-5.7
-6.0
-7.4
-7.8
-8.0
-8.6
-10.1
-13.8
-14.0
-15.3
-15.9
-17.0
-17.1
-18.4

B. Smallest fertility change


1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.

Equatorial Guinea
Niger
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Sierra Leone
Mali
Chad
Somalia
Uganda
Guinea-Bissau
Afghanistan
Burkina Faso
Zambia
Nigeria
United Republic of Tanzania
Samoa

5.68
7.63
6.46
5.63
7.01
6.74
7.00
7.10
6.11
7.70
7.02
7.38
6.76
6.73
4.89

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011).
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision

115

TABLE S.14. TOTAL FERTILITY BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area

1975-1980 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

World ................................................

3.84

2.62

2.52

2.45

2.39

2.33

2.17

2.03

Afghanistan........................................
Albania...............................................
Algeria ...............................................

7.70
4.20
7.18

7.35
1.99
2.53

6.62
1.60
2.38

5.97
1.52
2.14

5.35
1.47
1.96

4.77
1.45
1.82

2.88
1.63
1.66

1.88
1.97
1.97

Angola ...............................................
Argentina ...........................................
Armenia .............................................
Aruba .................................................
Australia.............................................
Austria ...............................................
Azerbaijan..........................................
Bahamas.............................................
Bahrain...............................................
Bangladesh.........................................
Barbados ............................................
Belarus ...............................................
Belgium .............................................
Belize .................................................
Benin..................................................
Bhutan................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ..........
Bosnia and Herzegovina ....................
Botswana............................................
Brazil .................................................
Brunei Darussalam.............................
Bulgaria..............................................
Burkina Faso......................................
Burundi ..............................................
Cambodia...........................................
Cameroon...........................................
Canada ...............................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Central African Republic ...................
Chad...................................................
Channel Islands..................................
Chile...................................................

7.20
3.44
2.50
2.45
1.99
1.65
3.62
2.95
5.23
6.65
2.16
2.09
1.71
6.20
7.00
6.67
5.80
2.24
6.37
4.31
4.71
2.17
7.02
6.80
4.70
6.40
1.73
6.62
5.95
6.74
1.52
2.80

6.63
2.35
1.72
1.82
1.75
1.39
2.00
1.87
2.62
2.87
1.50
1.24
1.69
3.35
5.79
3.29
3.96
1.28
3.18
2.25
2.28
1.25
6.14
5.41
3.41
4.92
1.52
3.28
5.30
6.54
1.41
2.00

5.79
2.25
1.74
1.74
1.93
1.38
2.16
1.91
2.63
2.38
1.53
1.39
1.79
2.94
5.48
2.61
3.50
1.18
2.90
1.90
2.11
1.46
5.94
4.66
2.80
4.67
1.65
2.60
4.85
6.20
1.42
1.90

5.14
2.17
1.74
1.67
1.95
1.35
2.15
1.88
2.43
2.16
1.58
1.48
1.83
2.68
5.08
2.26
3.23
1.13
2.62
1.80
1.98
1.55
5.75
4.05
2.42
4.29
1.69
2.28
4.42
5.74
1.51
1.83

4.54
2.10
1.73
1.63
1.97
1.36
2.14
1.84
2.27
1.98
1.62
1.56
1.87
2.48
4.69
2.03
3.00
1.14
2.40
1.72
1.88
1.62
5.53
3.53
2.17
3.93
1.73
2.07
4.02
5.25
1.59
1.78

4.00
2.03
1.74
1.64
1.99
1.43
2.14
1.82
2.13
1.84
1.66
1.63
1.90
2.31
4.33
1.86
2.80
1.25
2.23
1.66
1.79
1.69
5.15
3.10
1.99
3.62
1.76
1.92
3.65
4.77
1.66
1.74

2.45
1.85
1.82
1.80
2.05
1.74
2.12
1.81
1.76
1.58
1.84
1.87
2.01
1.84
3.01
1.56
2.18
1.66
1.77
1.66
1.66
1.90
3.59
2.07
1.62
2.59
1.90
1.63
2.46
2.98
1.89
1.74

1.83
1.94
2.00
2.01
2.09
2.01
2.10
1.97
1.91
1.92
2.02
2.04
2.08
1.86
2.02
1.92
1.86
1.99
1.88
1.96
1.93
2.05
2.26
1.83
1.91
1.91
2.03
1.92
1.88
1.93
2.05
1.96

China..................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR.....................
China, Macao SAR ............................
Colombia............................................
Comoros.............................................
Congo.................................................
Costa Rica..........................................

2.93
2.31
1.41
4.34
7.05
6.29
3.78

1.70
0.81
0.83
2.55
5.30
4.85
2.25

1.64
0.99
1.02
2.45
5.08
4.64
1.92

1.56
1.14
1.16
2.29
4.74
4.44
1.81

1.51
1.27
1.29
2.16
4.43
4.19
1.72

1.53
1.38
1.40
2.04
4.13
3.89
1.65

1.77
1.75
1.76
1.77
3.06
2.82
1.67

2.01
2.02
2.02
1.94
2.11
2.01
1.96

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision

116

TABLE S.14. (continued)


Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area

1975-1980 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

Cte dIvoire ......................................


Croatia ...............................................
Cuba...................................................
Cyprus................................................
Czech Republic ..................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea .............
Dem. Republic of the Congo..............
Denmark ............................................
Djibouti ..............................................
Dominican Republic ..........................
Ecuador..............................................
Egypt..................................................
El Salvador.........................................

7.81
2.02
2.15
2.29
2.32
2.58
6.46
1.68
6.80
4.76
5.40
5.50
5.46

5.05
1.36
1.63
1.59
1.19
2.05
6.70
1.76
4.52
2.83
2.82
3.15
2.60

4.65
1.42
1.50
1.51
1.41
2.05
6.07
1.85
3.95
2.67
2.58
2.85
2.35

4.22
1.50
1.45
1.46
1.50
1.99
5.49
1.88
3.59
2.49
2.39
2.64
2.17

3.86
1.57
1.44
1.44
1.58
1.94
4.93
1.91
3.28
2.33
2.24
2.46
2.03

3.55
1.64
1.47
1.48
1.65
1.90
4.42
1.94
3.02
2.20
2.11
2.32
1.92

2.56
1.86
1.74
1.74
1.89
1.88
2.73
2.02
2.23
1.79
1.76
1.88
1.67

1.86
2.04
2.00
2.00
2.05
1.99
1.88
2.08
1.85
1.90
1.90
1.86
1.91

Equatorial Guinea ..............................


Eritrea ................................................
Estonia ...............................................
Ethiopia..............................................
Fiji......................................................
Finland ...............................................
France ................................................
French Guiana....................................
French Polynesia................................
Gabon.................................................
Gambia...............................................
Georgia ..............................................
Germany ............................................
Ghana.................................................
Greece................................................
Grenada..............................................
Guadeloupe ........................................
Guam .................................................
Guatemala ..........................................
Guinea................................................
Guinea-Bissau....................................
Guyana...............................................
Haiti ...................................................
Honduras............................................
Hungary .............................................
Iceland ...............................................
India ...................................................
Indonesia............................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) ..................
Iraq.....................................................
Ireland................................................
Israel ..................................................

5.68
6.50
2.06
6.76
4.00
1.66
1.86
3.30
4.23
5.10
6.34
2.39
1.52
6.69
2.32
4.30
3.06
3.52
6.20
6.91
6.11
3.94
5.80
6.60
2.12
2.29
4.89
4.73
6.27
6.80
3.25
3.47

5.64
5.19
1.39
5.60
2.98
1.75
1.88
3.68
2.35
3.78
5.46
1.58
1.35
4.55
1.28
2.43
2.06
2.74
4.60
5.80
5.66
2.43
4.00
3.72
1.30
1.99
2.96
2.38
1.96
5.12
1.97
2.91

5.36
4.68
1.64
4.60
2.75
1.84
1.97
3.27
2.16
3.35
5.10
1.58
1.36
4.34
1.46
2.30
2.14
2.54
4.15
5.45
5.27
2.33
3.55
3.31
1.34
2.10
2.73
2.19
1.77
4.86
2.10
2.91

4.98
4.24
1.70
3.85
2.60
1.87
1.99
3.14
2.03
3.20
4.69
1.53
1.46
3.99
1.54
2.17
2.06
2.41
3.84
5.03
4.88
2.19
3.16
3.00
1.43
2.10
2.54
2.06
1.59
4.53
2.10
2.91

4.51
3.84
1.76
3.24
2.47
1.91
2.00
3.02
1.92
3.06
4.30
1.51
1.55
3.68
1.61
2.06
1.99
2.30
3.56
4.63
4.59
2.07
2.85
2.75
1.51
2.10
2.38
1.94
1.45
4.23
2.10
2.84

4.04
3.49
1.80
2.81
2.35
1.93
2.02
2.91
1.83
2.93
3.93
1.53
1.62
3.41
1.67
1.96
1.94
2.21
3.31
4.27
4.30
1.97
2.61
2.55
1.59
2.10
2.26
1.85
1.36
3.96
2.10
2.72

2.56
2.42
1.96
1.87
1.96
2.02
2.06
2.46
1.68
2.44
2.67
1.75
1.87
2.53
1.88
1.73
1.89
1.92
2.48
2.94
3.17
1.79
1.96
1.95
1.84
2.10
1.87
1.71
1.61
2.96
2.10
2.27

1.87
1.86
2.07
1.84
1.91
2.08
2.09
2.02
1.93
1.97
1.91
2.00
2.05
1.91
2.04
1.91
2.02
1.95
1.92
1.99
2.22
1.96
1.85
1.84
2.03
2.10
1.88
1.95
1.98
2.07
2.10
1.93

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

117

TABLE S.14. (continued)

Total fertility (average number of children per woman)


Country or area

1975-1980 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

Italy....................................................
Jamaica ..............................................
Japan ..................................................
Jordan.................................................
Kazakhstan.........................................
Kenya.................................................
Kuwait ...............................................
Kyrgyzstan.........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic ..............
Latvia .................................................
Lebanon .............................................
Lesotho ..............................................
Liberia................................................

1.94
4.00
1.83
7.38
3.06
7.64
5.89
4.05
6.15
2.00
4.31
5.69
6.93

1.25
2.54
1.30
3.60
2.01
5.00
2.24
2.50
3.70
1.25
2.09
3.79
5.69

1.38
2.40
1.32
3.27
2.54
4.80
2.32
2.70
3.02
1.41
1.86
3.37
5.42

1.48
2.26
1.42
2.89
2.48
4.62
2.25
2.62
2.54
1.51
1.76
3.05
5.04

1.56
2.14
1.51
2.60
2.43
4.34
2.20
2.55
2.24
1.59
1.68
2.79
4.67

1.63
2.05
1.58
2.38
2.38
4.01
2.16
2.49
2.04
1.66
1.63
2.58
4.33

1.88
1.82
1.84
1.76
2.24
2.89
2.09
2.29
1.60
1.89
1.64
1.99
3.06

2.05
1.95
2.04
1.86
2.13
1.97
2.09
2.14
1.91
2.05
1.95
1.86
2.05

Libyan Arab Jamahiriya.....................


Lithuania ............................................
Luxembourg.......................................
Madagascar ........................................
Malawi ...............................................
Malaysia.............................................
Maldives ............................................
Mali....................................................
Malta..................................................
Martinique..........................................
Mauritania..........................................
Mauritius............................................
Mayotte ..............................................
Mexico ...............................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ................
Mongolia............................................
Montenegro........................................
Morocco.............................................
Mozambique ......................................
Myanmar............................................
Namibia..............................................
Nepal..................................................
Netherlands ........................................
Netherlands Antilles...........................
New Caledonia...................................
New Zealand......................................
Nicaragua...........................................
Niger ..................................................
Nigeria ...............................................
Norway ..............................................
Occupied Palestinian Territory ..........
Oman .................................................

7.38
2.12
1.49
7.00
7.50
3.93
6.85
7.01
2.12
2.65
6.57
3.11
7.91
5.25
6.40
6.65
2.37
5.90
6.53
4.90
6.60
5.92
1.60
2.45
3.91
2.18
6.35
7.63
6.76
1.81
7.50
8.10

3.00
1.28
1.65
5.28
6.03
2.96
2.49
6.71
1.41
1.98
5.04
1.93
4.45
2.55
4.05
2.10
1.78
2.52
5.52
2.25
3.81
3.74
1.73
2.09
2.26
1.95
3.00
7.40
5.79
1.81
5.05
3.01

2.72
1.41
1.62
4.83
6.00
2.72
1.90
6.46
1.33
1.91
4.71
1.66
4.30
2.41
3.62
2.50
1.69
2.38
5.11
2.08
3.40
2.95
1.74
1.98
2.19
2.14
2.76
7.19
5.61
1.92
4.65
2.52

2.41
1.50
1.68
4.49
5.97
2.57
1.67
6.12
1.28
1.82
4.36
1.59
4.18
2.23
3.31
2.45
1.63
2.18
4.71
1.94
3.06
2.59
1.79
1.90
2.09
2.14
2.50
6.92
5.43
1.95
4.27
2.15

2.17
1.57
1.74
4.19
5.87
2.45
1.49
5.78
1.29
1.75
4.04
1.55
3.84
2.07
3.04
2.40
1.59
2.03
4.33
1.83
2.78
2.33
1.84
1.84
2.00
2.13
2.30
6.69
5.22
1.97
3.93
1.89

1.98
1.64
1.79
3.90
5.52
2.34
1.36
5.31
1.36
1.73
3.74
1.56
3.47
1.94
2.82
2.36
1.60
1.90
3.98
1.74
2.57
2.14
1.87
1.81
1.93
2.13
2.15
6.23
4.86
1.99
3.63
1.71

1.61
1.87
1.95
2.91
4.04
1.97
1.50
3.48
1.71
1.83
2.73
1.78
2.39
1.70
2.15
2.22
1.76
1.65
2.74
1.64
1.95
1.73
1.99
1.86
1.75
2.11
1.74
4.22
3.41
2.05
2.65
1.49

1.94
2.04
2.07
2.04
2.55
1.90
1.95
2.13
2.00
2.02
1.97
2.01
1.77
1.95
1.84
2.13
1.99
1.93
1.94
1.94
1.85
1.89
2.08
2.02
1.91
2.10
1.88
2.43
2.20
2.09
1.91
1.94

118

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.14. (continued)


Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area

1975-1980 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

Pakistan..............................................
Panama...............................................
Papua New Guinea.............................
Paraguay ............................................
Peru....................................................
Philippines .........................................
Poland ................................................
Portugal..............................................
Puerto Rico ........................................
Qatar ..................................................
Republic of Korea..............................
Republic of Moldova .........................
Runion..............................................

6.60
4.05
5.87
5.20
5.38
5.46
2.26
2.55
2.76
6.11
2.92
2.44
3.12

4.00
2.70
4.35
3.48
2.80
3.70
1.27
1.45
1.84
3.01
1.22
1.50
2.45

3.65
2.56
4.10
3.08
2.60
3.27
1.32
1.36
1.83
2.40
1.29
1.50
2.40

3.20
2.41
3.80
2.86
2.41
3.05
1.42
1.31
1.76
2.20
1.39
1.45
2.25

2.86
2.28
3.53
2.67
2.26
2.86
1.50
1.30
1.70
2.04
1.48
1.44
2.13

2.60
2.17
3.29
2.51
2.12
2.70
1.58
1.36
1.66
1.92
1.56
1.47
2.02

1.90
1.87
2.50
2.02
1.76
2.14
1.84
1.69
1.72
1.62
1.83
1.73
1.83

1.85
1.94
1.93
1.86
1.89
1.85
2.03
1.99
1.97
1.90
2.03
2.00
1.98

Romania.............................................
Russian Federation.............................
Rwanda ..............................................
Saint Lucia .........................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines..........
Samoa ................................................
Sao Tome and Principe ......................
Saudi Arabia ......................................
Senegal...............................................
Serbia .................................................
Sierra Leone.......................................
Singapore ...........................................
Slovakia .............................................
Slovenia .............................................
Solomon Islands.................................
Somalia ..............................................
South Africa.......................................
Spain ..................................................
Sri Lanka............................................
Sudan .................................................
Suriname ............................................
Swaziland...........................................
Sweden...............................................
Switzerland ........................................
Syrian Arab Republic.........................
Tajikistan ...........................................
TFYR Macedonia ..............................
Thailand .............................................
Timor-Leste .......................................
Togo...................................................
Tonga .................................................
Trinidad and Tobago..........................

2.52
1.94
8.25
5.20
4.42
4.89
6.50
7.28
7.50
2.37
5.63
1.84
2.46
2.20
7.04
7.00
5.00
2.55
3.61
6.52
4.20
6.73
1.66
1.54
7.32
5.90
2.55
3.92
4.31
7.28
5.50
3.40

1.28
1.30
5.60
2.10
2.24
4.42
4.34
3.54
5.36
1.72
5.56
1.33
1.22
1.23
4.60
6.50
2.80
1.29
2.27
5.13
2.60
4.01
1.67
1.41
3.39
3.81
1.56
1.68
6.96
4.83
4.23
1.61

1.33
1.44
5.43
2.05
2.13
3.99
3.85
3.03
5.03
1.62
5.22
1.25
1.27
1.39
4.40
6.40
2.55
1.41
2.36
4.60
2.42
3.57
1.90
1.46
3.10
3.45
1.46
1.63
6.53
4.30
4.03
1.64

1.43
1.53
5.28
1.91
2.00
3.76
3.49
2.64
4.61
1.56
4.73
1.37
1.37
1.48
4.04
6.28
2.38
1.50
2.24
4.22
2.27
3.17
1.93
1.54
2.77
3.16
1.40
1.53
5.92
3.86
3.78
1.63

1.51
1.61
4.91
1.79
1.88
3.56
3.18
2.37
4.22
1.54
4.25
1.47
1.47
1.56
3.73
6.23
2.24
1.59
2.13
3.88
2.14
2.86
1.95
1.61
2.52
2.92
1.37
1.46
5.31
3.48
3.56
1.62

1.59
1.67
4.44
1.70
1.78
3.37
2.92
2.17
3.88
1.55
3.81
1.55
1.55
1.63
3.45
5.95
2.13
1.66
2.04
3.56
2.03
2.62
1.97
1.67
2.31
2.72
1.40
1.44
4.73
3.17
3.36
1.62

1.84
1.89
2.98
1.61
1.66
2.70
2.17
1.67
2.74
1.76
2.42
1.84
1.82
1.86
2.56
4.39
1.79
1.89
1.84
2.54
1.80
1.94
2.04
1.88
1.74
2.11
1.70
1.70
2.77
2.26
2.65
1.75

2.04
2.05
1.88
1.94
1.95
2.03
1.85
1.89
1.93
2.00
1.86
2.04
2.03
2.04
1.90
2.52
1.89
2.05
1.97
1.90
1.96
1.84
2.09
2.04
1.87
1.85
1.99
1.99
1.89
1.83
1.99
1.99

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

119

TABLE S.14. (continued)

Total fertility (average number of children per woman)


Country or area

1975-1980 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

Tunisia ...............................................
Turkey................................................
Turkmenistan .....................................
Uganda...............................................
Ukraine ..............................................
United Arab Emirates ........................
United Kingdom ................................
United Republic of Tanzania .............
United States of America ...................
United States Virgin Islands ..............
Uruguay .............................................
Uzbekistan .........................................
Vanuatu..............................................

5.69
4.72
5.32
7.10
2.00
5.66
1.73
6.73
1.79
4.34
2.89
5.58
5.75

2.04
2.23
2.76
6.75
1.15
2.38
1.66
5.66
2.04
2.15
2.20
2.55
4.30

2.04
2.15
2.50
6.38
1.39
1.86
1.83
5.58
2.07
2.05
2.12
2.46
4.00

1.91
2.02
2.32
5.90
1.48
1.71
1.87
5.50
2.08
1.94
2.04
2.26
3.75

1.80
1.91
2.17
5.42
1.57
1.60
1.90
5.36
2.08
1.85
1.98
2.11
3.52

1.72
1.82
2.05
4.97
1.64
1.53
1.93
5.02
2.08
1.78
1.93
1.99
3.33

1.72
1.69
1.74
3.19
1.87
1.59
2.02
3.61
2.09
1.70
1.84
1.70
2.62

1.99
1.94
1.90
1.99
2.05
1.96
2.08
2.31
2.10
1.95
1.97
1.91
1.97

Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)...


Viet Nam............................................
Western Sahara ..................................
Yemen................................................
Zambia ...............................................
Zimbabwe ..........................................

4.47
5.89
6.10
8.58
7.38
7.30

2.72
1.93
3.01
6.10
6.10
3.74

2.55
1.89
2.70
5.48
6.20
3.47

2.39
1.75
2.45
4.94
6.30
3.11

2.26
1.65
2.27
4.39
6.30
2.83

2.14
1.58
2.12
3.97
5.98
2.60

1.81
1.71
1.73
2.75
4.53
1.91

1.90
1.99
1.89
2.01
2.82
1.86

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population
Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

120

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision

TABLE S.15. THE TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE HIGHEST AND THE TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE LOWEST LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH,
2005-2010, 2045-2050 AND 2095-2100
2005-2010

Rank

Country or area

2045-2050
Life expectancy

Rank

Country or area

2095-2100
Life expectancy

Rank

Country or area

Life expectancy

A. Highest life expectancy at birth


1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.

Japan
Switzerland
China, Hong Kong SAR
Australia
Italy
Iceland
France
Sweden

9. Israel
10. Singapore

82.7
81.8
81.6
81.4
81.4
81.3
81.0
80.9
80.7
80.6

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.

Japan
China, Hong Kong SAR
Switzerland
Israel
Australia
Iceland
France
Spain

9. Italy
10. Sweden

87.4
87.2
86.4
86.3
86.0
85.8
85.8
85.8

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.

Japan
China, Hong Kong SAR
Switzerland
Israel
Australia
Iceland
Spain
France

92.3
91.8
91.4
91.2
91.0
90.8
90.8
90.8

85.7
85.7

9. Sweden
10. Italy

90.7
90.6

Lesotho
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Sierra Leone
Zambia
Swaziland
Guinea-Bissau
Afghanistan
Botswana
Mozambique
Chad

58.0
61.5
61.7
62.1
62.3
62.5
62.8
63.0
63.2
63.2

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Sierra Leone
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Lesotho
Central African Republic
Afghanistan
Guinea-Bissau
Chad
Cameroon
Somalia
Angola

74.1
74.1
74.2
74.4
74.5
74.7
75.0
75.3
75.3
75.4

WORLD

75.6

WORLD

81.1

B. Lowest life expectancy at birth


1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Central African Republic


Lesotho
Sierra Leone
Zimbabwe
Guinea-Bissau
Zambia
Afghanistan
Swaziland
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Chad

45.9
46.0
46.3
46.6
46.8
46.9
47.3
47.4
47.4
48.5

WORLD

67.9

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

121

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United
Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

TABLE S.16. LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH, BOTH SEXES COMBINED, BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Country or area

2000-2005

2005-2010

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2045-2050

2095-2100

World ...................................................

66.4

67.9

69.3

70.4

71.4

75.6

81.1

Afghanistan...........................................
Albania .................................................
Algeria ..................................................
Angola ..................................................
Argentina ..............................................
Armenia ................................................
Aruba ....................................................
Australia ...............................................
Austria ..................................................
Azerbaijan.............................................

46.0
75.3
71.0
47.2
74.3
72.4
74.0
80.3
78.8
67.8

47.3
76.4
72.3
49.6
75.3
73.7
74.8
81.4
80.2
70.1

49.3
77.1
73.5
51.7
76.1
74.4
75.4
82.1
81.0
70.9

51.2
77.9
74.5
53.7
77.0
75.2
76.1
82.7
81.8
71.9

53.1
78.6
75.4
55.6
77.7
75.9
76.7
83.4
82.5
72.8

62.8
81.6
79.0
64.7
80.9
79.2
79.9
86.0
85.2
77.0

Bahamas ...............................................
Bahrain .................................................
Bangladesh............................................
Barbados ...............................................
Belarus..................................................
Belgium ................................................
Belize....................................................
Benin.....................................................
Bhutan...................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) .............
Bosnia and Herzegovina .......................
Botswana ..............................................
Brazil ....................................................
Brunei Darussalam................................
Bulgaria ................................................
Burkina Faso.........................................
Burundi .................................................
Cambodia..............................................
Cameroon .............................................
Canada ..................................................
Cape Verde ...........................................
Central African Republic ......................
Chad......................................................
Channel Islands.....................................
Chile .....................................................
China.....................................................

72.6
74.0
65.9
75.7
68.5
78.2
73.8
53.3
63.5
63.9
74.4
48.7
70.9
76.7
72.1
51.2
47.0
58.8
49.5
79.7
71.0
43.6
48.1
78.3
77.9
71.6

74.8
74.6
67.8
76.2
69.4
79.8
75.3
54.6
65.8
65.6
75.1
53.3
72.2
77.5
72.7
53.9
48.8
61.5
50.0
80.5
73.5
45.9
48.5
79.5
78.6
72.7

75.9
75.3
69.4
77.1
70.8
80.0
76.3
56.8
67.7
67.1
75.9
52.7
74.0
78.2
73.7
56.0
51.1
63.7
52.5
81.2
74.2
49.5
50.1
80.2
79.3
73.8

77.5
75.8
70.9
77.8
71.8
80.6
77.6
58.8
69.4
68.8
76.5
53.6
75.1
78.8
74.4
58.0
53.1
65.8
54.5
81.8
75.2
52.3
51.7
80.8
80.0
74.7

78.3
76.5
72.2
78.5
72.8
81.2
78.1
60.7
70.9
70.5
77.1
55.3
76.0
79.4
75.1
60.0
54.7
67.8
55.8
82.3
76.0
54.4
53.5
81.5
80.6
75.6

81.1
79.6
77.0
81.3
76.4
84.0
80.1
68.7
76.1
76.1
80.2
63.0
79.4
81.7
78.6
68.2
64.4
74.3
64.3
85.0
79.3
64.2
63.2
84.3
82.9
79.1

China, Hong Kong SAR .......................


China, Macao SAR ...............................
Colombia ..............................................
Comoros ...............................................
Congo ...................................................
Costa Rica.............................................

80.5
79.1
71.7
58.5
54.5
78.2

81.6
80.0
72.9
59.7
56.0
78.9

83.2
81.3
74.0
61.7
58.0
79.5

83.8
81.9
74.9
63.5
59.7
80.1

84.4
82.5
75.6
65.2
60.9
80.6

87.2
85.4
79.2
71.5
68.1
83.3

74.5
86.1
84.2
75.4
85.6
84.1
84.8
91.0
90.2
82.6
86.7
84.8
82.7
86.0
82.3
89.1
84.3
77.1
82.3
82.2
85.0
77.9
84.0
85.3
83.8
76.7
76.3
81.3
75.3
90.1
84.4
74.4
75.0
89.3
86.4
84.2
91.8
90.2
84.3
78.3
76.7
88.1

122

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision

TABLE S.16. (continued)


Life expectancy at birth (years)
Country or area

2000-2005

2005-2010

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2045-2050

Cte dIvoire.........................................
Croatia ..................................................
Cuba......................................................
Cyprus...................................................
Czech Republic.....................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea ................
Dem. Republic of the Congo ................
Denmark ...............................................
Djibouti.................................................
Dominican Republic .............................
Ecuador.................................................
Egypt.....................................................
El Salvador ...........................................

50.5
74.9
76.9
78.3
75.5
68.0
46.6
77.2
54.6
71.5
74.2
70.5
70.4

53.0
76.0
78.5
78.9
77.0
68.4
47.4
78.3
56.6
72.5
75.0
72.3
71.4

56.4
76.9
79.3
79.9
77.9
69.1
48.9
79.0
58.5
73.8
75.9
73.5
72.5

59.1
77.7
80.1
80.5
78.6
70.0
50.4
79.7
60.6
74.7
76.7
74.5
73.5

61.2
78.5
80.7
81.0
79.3
70.9
51.9
80.4
62.4
75.5
77.5
75.5
74.4

68.2
81.5
83.1
83.4
82.4
75.5
61.5
83.3
69.6
78.7
80.6
79.1
77.9

Equatorial Guinea .................................


Eritrea ...................................................
Estonia ..................................................
Ethiopia.................................................
Fiji ........................................................
Finland..................................................
France ...................................................
French Guiana.......................................
French Polynesia...................................
Gabon ...................................................
Gambia .................................................
Georgia .................................................
Germany ...............................................
Ghana....................................................
Greece...................................................
Grenada.................................................
Guadeloupe...........................................
Guam ....................................................
Guatemala.............................................
Guinea...................................................
Guinea-Bissau.......................................
Guyana..................................................
Haiti ......................................................
Honduras...............................................
Hungary ................................................
Iceland ..................................................
India......................................................
Indonesia...............................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of).....................
Iraq........................................................
Ireland...................................................
Israel .....................................................

48.8
57.5
71.3
53.2
68.0
78.3
79.6
75.1
73.2
59.3
55.9
72.5
78.7
59.4
79.0
74.3
77.9
74.6
69.0
49.7
45.6
65.7
58.9
70.8
72.6
80.5
62.5
66.4
70.5
70.1
77.6
79.6

50.1
60.0
73.9
57.2
68.8
79.3
81.0
75.9
74.5
61.3
57.3
73.0
79.8
62.7
79.5
75.3
79.4
75.5
70.3
52.4
46.8
68.7
61.0
72.1
73.6
81.3
64.2
67.9
72.1
67.3
79.7
80.7

51.5
62.2
75.0
60.0
69.4
80.2
81.7
76.7
75.4
63.3
59.0
74.1
80.6
64.7
80.1
76.2
79.9
76.4
71.5
54.7
48.8
70.3
62.5
73.6
74.7
82.0
66.0
70.0
73.3
70.2
80.8
82.0

53.1
64.1
76.0
61.8
70.3
81.0
82.4
77.4
76.3
64.9
60.5
74.8
81.4
66.1
80.6
77.0
80.6
77.2
72.6
56.8
50.8
71.8
63.9
74.5
75.6
82.6
67.4
71.7
74.3
71.0
81.4
83.0

54.5
65.8
76.8
63.7
71.1
81.7
83.1
78.1
77.1
66.3
61.9
75.5
82.1
67.4
81.2
77.7
81.1
77.9
73.6
58.7
52.7
73.2
65.3
75.4
76.5
83.2
68.7
73.2
75.3
72.0
82.0
83.7

63.5
71.8
80.0
70.6
76.0
84.5
85.8
81.2
80.3
71.7
69.3
78.9
84.9
72.7
83.6
80.6
83.9
80.9
77.6
67.2
62.5
77.3
71.6
78.9
79.9
85.8
73.7
77.6
78.9
76.8
84.7
86.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

2095-2100

77.1
86.4
87.0
87.8
87.6
81.3
74.1
88.4
77.6
83.9
85.4
84.2
82.8
75.7
78.4
84.9
78.0
82.1
89.5
90.8
85.8
85.2
79.3
77.3
83.9
90.0
79.3
87.9
85.4
88.5
85.6
83.2
76.4
74.7
83.0
78.6
84.0
85.3
90.8
79.5
83.1
84.2
82.6
89.7
91.2

123

TABLE S.16. (continued)


Life expectancy at birth (years)
Country or area

2000-2005

2005-2010

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2045-2050

Italy.......................................................
Jamaica .................................................
Japan .....................................................
Jordan ...................................................
Kazakhstan............................................
Kenya....................................................
Kuwait ..................................................
Kyrgyzstan............................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic .................
Latvia....................................................
Lebanon ................................................
Lesotho .................................................
Liberia...................................................

80.2
70.9
81.8
72.3
64.6
51.9
73.7
66.6
62.8
71.3
71.0
44.3
49.2

81.4
72.2
82.7
72.9
65.8
55.0
74.2
66.7
66.1
72.3
72.0
46.0
54.4

82.0
73.4
83.7
73.6
67.6
58.0
74.8
68.3
67.9
73.8
72.9
49.1
57.5

82.5
74.1
84.4
74.2
68.9
59.7
75.3
69.5
69.6
74.8
73.9
50.5
59.9

83.1
74.8
84.9
74.8
70.1
61.3
75.8
70.7
71.1
75.8
74.9
51.4
61.9

85.7
78.0
87.4
78.4
74.6
68.1
79.0
75.0
76.3
79.2
78.7
58.0
68.5

Libyan Arab Jamahiriya........................


Lithuania...............................................
Luxembourg..........................................
Madagascar...........................................
Malawi..................................................
Malaysia ...............................................
Maldives ...............................................
Mali ......................................................
Malta.....................................................
Martinique ............................................
Mauritania.............................................
Mauritius...............................................
Mayotte.................................................
Mexico..................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...................
Mongolia...............................................
Montenegro...........................................
Morocco................................................
Mozambique .........................................
Myanmar...............................................
Namibia ................................................
Nepal.....................................................
Netherlands...........................................
Netherlands Antilles .............................
New Caledonia .....................................
New Zealand.........................................
Nicaragua..............................................
Niger .....................................................
Nigeria ..................................................
Norway .................................................
Occupied Palestinian Territory .............
Oman ....................................................

72.8
71.9
78.1
62.0
46.8
72.5
72.6
48.1
77.9
78.9
57.2
72.1
75.8
74.9
67.6
64.5
74.4
69.6
47.6
62.4
56.8
63.5
78.7
75.0
73.8
78.9
70.9
50.0
47.8
79.2
71.3
74.3

74.0
71.3
79.4
65.8
51.6
73.4
75.5
50.0
78.8
80.1
57.5
72.8
77.1
76.2
68.3
67.3
74.0
71.2
48.8
63.5
61.1
67.4
80.2
76.1
75.3
80.1
73.0
53.1
50.3
80.5
72.2
72.6

75.1
72.8
80.2
66.9
55.1
74.6
77.3
52.1
80.0
80.6
59.2
73.6
77.5
77.2
69.3
68.9
74.9
72.5
51.0
66.0
62.7
69.1
80.9
76.8
77.0
80.8
74.4
55.3
52.5
81.3
73.1
73.4

76.0
73.7
80.9
68.7
56.9
75.5
78.6
54.0
80.6
81.2
60.6
74.4
78.3
78.1
70.1
70.2
75.8
73.7
53.3
67.9
62.5
70.7
81.4
77.4
77.8
81.6
75.4
57.2
54.7
82.0
73.9
74.2

76.9
74.5
81.7
70.3
58.6
76.3
79.9
56.0
81.2
81.7
62.0
75.1
79.0
78.8
70.9
71.5
76.6
74.7
55.1
69.6
64.2
72.1
81.9
78.1
78.6
82.2
76.2
59.2
56.5
82.5
74.7
75.0

80.3
78.4
84.6
74.8
66.0
79.7
83.3
65.3
84.0
84.1
69.3
78.7
81.5
81.8
76.0
76.5
79.9
78.6
63.2
75.5
69.6
76.9
84.7
80.7
81.6
85.0
79.6
67.7
65.2
85.2
78.4
78.7

124

2095-2100

90.6
83.9
92.3
83.8
80.0
76.3
84.3
80.2
82.3
84.3
83.9
74.2
77.1
85.0
83.7
89.6
80.2
77.0
84.7
88.5
75.5
89.1
88.2
77.3
83.9
85.1
86.4
82.1
82.4
84.8
83.8
75.6
81.8
75.9
82.7
89.7
84.4
86.2
90.0
84.6
76.5
75.8
90.3
83.7
84.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.16. (continued)


Life expectancy at birth (years)
Country or area

2000-2005

2005-2010

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2045-2050

Pakistan.................................................
Panama .................................................
Papua New Guinea ...............................
Paraguay ...............................................
Peru.......................................................
Philippines ............................................
Poland ...................................................
Portugal.................................................
Puerto Rico ...........................................
Qatar .....................................................
Republic of Korea.................................
Republic of Moldova ............................
Runion.................................................

63.6
74.7
59.6
70.7
71.6
67.1
74.5
77.3
77.8
76.9
77.4
67.6
76.0

64.6
75.5
61.5
71.7
73.2
67.8
75.5
78.6
78.7
77.9
80.0
68.2
77.3

65.8
76.4
63.3
72.8
74.3
69.2
76.4
79.8
79.3
78.5
80.7
69.8
77.8

66.9
77.2
65.0
73.6
75.2
70.4
77.1
80.4
80.0
79.2
81.3
70.9
78.5

67.9
77.9
66.6
74.4
76.1
71.4
77.9
80.9
80.5
79.5
81.8
71.9
79.1

72.0
81.0
72.4
77.6
79.4
76.3
80.9
83.4
83.1
82.4
84.5
76.5
81.4

Romania................................................
Russian Federation................................
Rwanda .................................................
Saint Lucia............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.............
Samoa ...................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .........................
Saudi Arabia .........................................
Senegal .................................................
Serbia....................................................
Sierra Leone..........................................
Singapore ..............................................
Slovakia ................................................
Slovenia ................................................
Solomon Islands....................................
Somalia .................................................
South Africa..........................................
Spain .....................................................
Sri Lanka ..............................................
Sudan ....................................................
Suriname...............................................
Swaziland .............................................
Sweden .................................................
Switzerland ...........................................
Syrian Arab Republic............................
Tajikistan ..............................................
TFYR Macedonia .................................
Thailand................................................
Timor-Leste ..........................................
Togo......................................................
Tonga....................................................
Trinidad and Tobago.............................

71.5
64.9
49.6
72.2
70.6
70.1
62.8
71.9
56.6
73.2
42.0
79.4
73.8
76.7
64.3
49.4
52.3
79.6
73.2
58.6
68.1
45.8
80.0
80.7
74.5
64.4
73.4
72.9
58.2
55.2
71.2
68.3

73.2
67.7
53.9
73.9
71.6
71.5
63.8
73.1
58.2
74.0
46.3
80.6
74.7
78.6
66.4
50.2
51.2
80.5
74.2
60.3
69.6
47.4
80.9
81.8
75.3
66.4
74.2
73.6
60.8
55.7
71.8
69.4

74.3
69.2
55.8
74.9
72.5
72.8
65.0
74.2
59.8
74.7
48.2
81.3
75.8
79.5
68.4
51.7
53.8
81.8
75.2
62.0
70.9
49.2
81.7
82.5
76.1
67.9
75.1
74.4
63.2
57.8
72.5
70.4

75.2
70.4
57.3
75.7
73.4
73.9
66.2
75.1
61.2
75.4
50.0
81.9
76.6
80.2
70.1
53.5
55.9
82.5
76.1
63.7
71.9
48.7
82.4
83.2
76.8
69.3
75.8
75.2
65.4
60.0
73.2
71.6

76.1
71.4
59.2
76.4
74.1
74.9
67.2
75.9
62.6
76.0
51.9
82.5
77.4
80.8
71.5
55.4
57.0
83.2
76.9
65.4
72.9
50.4
83.0
83.8
77.6
70.5
76.4
76.1
67.3
61.8
73.8
72.6

79.5
75.5
67.2
79.8
77.3
78.6
72.6
79.3
69.8
79.4
61.7
85.2
80.5
83.6
76.5
64.8
64.2
85.8
80.1
72.1
76.3
62.3
85.7
86.4
80.7
75.0
79.6
79.5
74.2
69.2
77.1
76.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

2095-2100

77.4
86.2
78.7
83.1
84.0
82.3
85.6
87.7
87.4
86.8
89.6
82.4
85.1
84.5
81.8
76.5
84.7
81.9
83.8
78.9
84.6
77.5
84.4
74.1
90.1
85.3
88.7
82.4
75.3
76.8
90.8
85.0
79.4
82.2
75.7
90.7
91.4
85.4
80.2
84.6
84.5
81.1
77.7
81.6
81.2

125

TABLE S.16. (continued)


Life expectancy at birth (years)
Country or area

2000-2005

2005-2010

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2045-2050

Tunisia ..................................................
Turkey...................................................
Turkmenistan ........................................
Uganda..................................................
Ukraine .................................................
United Arab Emirates ...........................
United Kingdom ...................................
United Republic of Tanzania ................
United States of America ......................
United States Virgin Islands .................
Uruguay ................................................
Uzbekistan ............................................
Vanuatu.................................................

73.0
70.9
64.2
48.0
67.6
74.9
78.4
51.7
77.2
78.1
75.3
67.2
68.4

73.9
73.0
64.6
52.2
67.5
75.9
79.6
55.4
78.0
78.9
76.4
67.4
70.0

74.8
74.3
65.2
54.7
69.0
76.8
80.4
59.3
78.8
79.6
77.3
68.8
71.4

75.6
75.1
66.8
56.1
70.3
77.4
81.0
62.1
79.4
80.2
78.1
70.0
72.7

76.5
76.0
68.2
57.3
71.3
78.0
81.5
63.9
80.1
80.8
78.8
71.0
73.8

79.8
79.4
73.4
65.0
75.7
80.7
84.3
69.8
83.0
83.5
81.8
75.2
77.9

Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .....


Viet Nam ..............................................
Western Sahara .....................................
Yemen...................................................
Zambia..................................................
Zimbabwe .............................................

72.7
73.1
63.9
61.3
42.4
43.2

73.7
74.3
65.9
63.9
46.9
46.6

74.7
75.5
67.8
66.1
49.6
53.5

75.5
76.5
69.5
68.0
51.0
57.4

76.3
77.3
71.0
69.7
53.0
59.1

79.5
80.4
76.2
75.5
62.1
65.1

2095-2100

84.7
84.5
79.3
75.8
81.9
85.7
89.4
77.8
88.2
87.6
86.4
80.4
83.3
84.6
85.2
82.3
81.8
76.2
79.0

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011).
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

126

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.17. INFANT MORTALITY RATE BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS


Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Country or area

World ...................................................
Afghanistan...........................................
Albania .................................................
Algeria ..................................................
Angola ..................................................
Argentina ..............................................
Armenia ................................................
Aruba ....................................................
Australia ...............................................
Austria ..................................................
Azerbaijan.............................................
Bahamas ...............................................
Bahrain .................................................
Bangladesh............................................
Barbados ...............................................
Belarus..................................................
Belgium ................................................
Belize....................................................
Benin.....................................................
Bhutan...................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) .............
Bosnia and Herzegovina .......................
Botswana ..............................................
Brazil ....................................................
Brunei Darussalam................................
Bulgaria ................................................
Burkina Faso.........................................
Burundi .................................................
Cambodia..............................................
Cameroon .............................................
Canada ..................................................
Cape Verde ...........................................
Central African Republic ......................
Chad......................................................
Channel Islands.....................................
Chile .....................................................
China.....................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR .......................
China, Macao SAR ...............................
Colombia ..............................................
Comoros ...............................................
Congo ...................................................
Costa Rica.............................................
Cte dIvoire.........................................
Croatia ..................................................
Cuba......................................................
Cyprus...................................................
Czech Republic.....................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea ................
127

2000-2005

50.7
143.7
20.9
29.6
116.0
15.0
29.9
17.9
5.0
4.5
52.0
18.1
9.1
59.3
14.5
9.4
4.4
20.1
90.6
52.8
55.6
14.0
58.8
27.3
5.1
13.2
85.9
107.1
72.9
96.7
5.2
28.0
113.7
133.4
10.3
8.0
24.6
2.8
5.7
20.5
77.8
75.3
10.5
84.7
6.8
6.1
5.9
3.9
28.5

2005-2010

45.6
136.0
18.3
25.0
104.3
13.4
26.2
16.1
4.7
4.0
41.1
16.0
7.2
49.0
13.7
6.8
3.8
17.2
85.1
44.4
45.6
13.4
40.7
23.5
4.8
10.2
78.9
101.1
62.4
94.1
5.2
20.6
105.4
131.2
8.8
7.2
22.0
2.0
4.4
19.1
72.2
72.4
9.9
77.2
6.0
5.1
4.6
3.2
27.4

2010-2015

41.8
124.5
16.6
21.5
96.2
12.3
24.3
14.7
4.5
3.7
37.6
14.1
6.7
41.8
12.3
6.5
3.7
16.2
76.7
38.0
40.7
12.7
35.1
19.0
4.5
9.1
71.0
94.1
52.8
84.9
4.9
18.5
95.8
123.9
8.2
6.8
19.6
2.0
4.1
16.7
62.8
66.7
9.2
68.8
5.6
5.0
4.4
3.0
25.1

2015-2020

38.8
115.2
15.0
18.6
87.7
11.1
22.4
13.6
4.2
3.5
33.1
12.5
6.2
35.0
11.2
6.2
3.6
15.2
68.4
32.6
33.9
12.2
31.5
16.6
4.3
8.4
64.0
87.2
44.0
77.4
4.7
16.3
88.3
114.8
7.6
6.4
17.7
2.0
4.0
14.9
55.0
61.1
8.5
61.1
5.1
4.8
4.3
2.9
22.3

2020-2025

35.9
106.0
13.8
16.5
79.4
10.1
20.8
12.6
4.1
3.3
29.3
11.2
5.8
29.8
10.2
5.9
3.4
14.3
61.1
28.4
27.8
11.7
28.6
14.8
4.1
8.0
57.3
80.6
36.3
71.4
4.4
14.3
81.7
105.0
7.1
6.1
16.0
2.0
3.9
13.5
48.0
56.1
8.0
54.3
4.7
4.6
4.2
2.8
20.0

2045-2050

23.4
66.6
9.7
10.5
45.1
6.6
14.3
8.5
3.3
2.6
16.5
8.0
4.3
16.1
7.3
4.7
2.8
10.6
34.2
17.0
12.4
9.2
17.1
9.0
3.4
5.7
31.7
43.4
16.1
41.0
3.4
9.2
47.3
59.0
5.2
4.9
10.4
2.0
3.3
8.1
24.0
32.3
5.6
31.2
3.6
4.0
3.8
2.3
11.1

2095-2100

11.5
33.5
5.3
5.7
17.8
3.3
8.0
4.9
2.0
1.6
7.8
4.5
2.8
8.0
4.2
3.2
1.7
5.8
15.5
9.4
3.7
6.0
8.3
3.5
2.5
3.3
13.8
15.9
7.2
17.0
1.9
5.1
18.6
21.6
2.7
3.4
5.0
2.0
2.3
3.3
10.1
15.3
2.3
14.7
2.3
3.1
3.1
1.6
5.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision

TABLE S.17. (continued)


Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Country or area

Dem. Republic of the Congo ................


Denmark ...............................................
Djibouti.................................................
Dominican Republic .............................
Ecuador.................................................
Egypt.....................................................
El Salvador ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea .................................
Eritrea ...................................................
Estonia ..................................................
Ethiopia.................................................
Fiji ........................................................
Finland..................................................
France ...................................................
French Guiana.......................................
French Polynesia...................................
Gabon ...................................................
Gambia .................................................
Georgia .................................................
Germany ...............................................
Ghana....................................................
Greece...................................................
Grenada.................................................
Guadeloupe...........................................
Guam ....................................................
Guatemala.............................................
Guinea...................................................
Guinea-Bissau.......................................
Guyana..................................................
Haiti ......................................................
Honduras...............................................
Hungary ................................................
Iceland ..................................................
India......................................................
Indonesia...............................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of).....................
Iraq........................................................
Ireland...................................................
Israel .....................................................
Italy.......................................................
Jamaica .................................................
Japan .....................................................
Jordan ...................................................
Kazakhstan............................................
Kenya....................................................
Kuwait ..................................................
Kyrgyzstan............................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic .................
Latvia....................................................
Lebanon ................................................
Lesotho .................................................
128

2000-2005

119.9
4.7
91.1
35.1
24.9
33.1
26.4
110.7
61.8
7.4
87.1
19.0
3.3
4.1
15.4
8.6
57.7
80.0
31.5
4.2
61.9
4.8
16.6
8.7
9.9
38.6
104.2
125.6
48.6
69.5
31.6
7.4
2.6
60.7
34.5
32.5
35.9
5.5
5.0
4.2
26.8
3.0
23.6
32.0
69.5
9.7
40.3
58.2
9.6
25.6
86.2

2005-2010

115.8
4.0
82.1
29.6
21.1
25.9
21.5
102.5
53.9
4.7
72.5
17.9
2.8
3.5
14.0
7.7
51.1
73.8
29.3
3.7
49.6
4.6
14.6
7.0
8.9
30.1
93.2
118.7
41.7
63.1
28.1
5.8
2.1
52.9
28.8
27.2
34.6
4.0
3.8
3.5
24.4
2.6
21.0
27.0
64.7
8.1
36.4
44.5
7.5
22.7
76.9

2010-2015

109.5
3.9
75.0
21.6
19.1
22.0
19.0
93.3
47.5
4.4
62.9
17.2
2.8
3.3
12.7
7.2
43.8
66.4
25.6
3.5
43.9
4.5
13.0
6.7
8.1
26.3
84.2
109.8
36.8
58.3
23.5
5.3
2.1
47.9
24.9
23.4
33.3
3.9
3.3
3.4
22.0
2.5
19.1
23.7
58.1
7.6
32.8
36.8
6.7
20.2
62.1

2015-2020

102.4
3.8
66.5
19.5
17.1
19.0
16.9
84.7
42.1
4.1
56.1
16.3
2.8
3.2
11.6
6.7
38.6
60.1
23.1
3.3
39.9
4.3
11.9
6.4
7.4
23.2
75.8
100.8
32.9
51.8
20.6
4.9
2.0
43.8
22.2
20.7
30.5
3.8
3.0
3.3
20.2
2.5
17.8
21.4
52.9
7.1
29.9
30.4
6.2
17.9
54.2

2020-2025

95.7
3.7
58.2
17.9
15.3
16.8
15.1
76.3
37.3
3.9
49.9
15.4
2.7
3.0
10.6
6.2
34.5
54.4
21.0
3.1
35.6
4.2
10.9
6.1
6.9
20.7
68.1
92.3
29.6
45.5
18.3
4.6
2.0
40.1
20.0
18.4
26.9
3.7
2.8
3.3
18.7
2.5
16.6
19.4
48.5
6.6
27.5
25.3
5.7
15.6
49.1

2045-2050

57.4
3.2
29.0
11.2
9.3
10.5
9.3
43.1
21.9
3.1
28.6
10.8
2.5
2.4
7.5
4.9
21.8
28.0
13.2
2.5
22.0
3.6
7.8
4.9
5.0
12.3
38.1
53.9
19.6
22.7
10.8
3.5
1.9
27.1
14.2
11.9
14.3
3.3
2.0
2.9
12.1
2.3
10.7
12.7
28.8
4.8
19.1
13.0
4.2
9.9
27.0

2095-2100

20.5
2.2
11.0
4.5
3.6
5.5
4.3
17.3
11.2
2.2
14.2
6.7
1.8
1.5
4.3
3.3
12.2
13.0
6.6
1.6
12.3
2.5
4.5
3.1
3.1
4.5
16.4
19.6
11.1
8.0
4.2
2.3
1.5
15.7
8.6
6.4
7.0
2.6
1.0
2.3
5.3
1.9
5.9
7.3
14.6
3.0
11.9
6.5
2.7
5.4
10.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.17 (continued)


Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Country or area

Liberia...................................................
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya........................
Lithuania...............................................
Luxembourg..........................................
Madagascar...........................................
Malawi..................................................
Malaysia ...............................................
Maldives ...............................................
Mali ......................................................
Malta.....................................................
Martinique ............................................
Mauritania.............................................
Mauritius...............................................
Mayotte.................................................
Mexico..................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...................
Mongolia...............................................
Montenegro...........................................
Morocco................................................
Mozambique .........................................
Myanmar...............................................
Namibia ................................................
Nepal.....................................................
Netherlands...........................................
Netherlands Antilles .............................
New Caledonia .....................................
New Zealand.........................................
Nicaragua..............................................
Niger .....................................................
Nigeria ..................................................
Norway .................................................
Occupied Palestinian Territory .............
Oman ....................................................
Pakistan.................................................
Panama .................................................
Papua New Guinea ...............................
Paraguay ...............................................
Peru.......................................................
Philippines ............................................
Poland ...................................................
Portugal.................................................
Puerto Rico ...........................................
Qatar .....................................................
Republic of Korea.................................
Republic of Moldova ............................
Runion.................................................
Romania................................................
Russian Federation................................
Rwanda .................................................
Saint Lucia............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.............

2000-2005

115.7
17.7
7.7
5.0
58.3
107.4
9.8
26.5
110.5
7.1
8.5
76.5
13.4
8.0
20.5
37.9
43.5
11.6
41.3
99.1
59.8
48.2
54.9
4.9
15.0
4.9
5.5
26.4
112.7
107.2
3.5
24.6
15.3
76.8
20.6
56.2
35.5
30.3
26.3
7.2
4.7
8.1
11.3
5.3
18.9
8.0
16.9
17.1
107.9
14.6
26.8

2005-2010

88.6
15.0
6.5
2.3
44.8
95.2
7.7
9.8
101.4
5.8
7.6
77.3
12.8
5.9
16.7
34.9
36.0
8.7
34.1
88.0
55.0
37.8
38.7
4.4
13.3
4.8
5.1
21.5
95.9
96.1
3.0
22.2
9.4
70.9
18.2
50.1
32.0
21.2
23.0
6.1
4.5
7.6
8.8
3.8
15.5
5.9
13.9
11.3
100.1
13.1
23.7

2010-2015

76.9
13.2
5.9
2.3
41.0
86.1
6.9
8.1
92.2
5.4
7.2
69.9
12.1
5.9
14.1
31.4
30.7
7.7
28.5
77.9
44.8
29.8
32.0
4.2
12.3
4.7
4.8
18.3
85.8
87.6
2.9
19.5
8.4
65.7
16.2
44.5
27.4
18.3
20.9
5.5
4.2
7.2
8.2
3.6
14.3
5.9
12.2
10.5
92.9
12.3
21.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

2015-2020

68.2
12.0
5.6
2.3
35.1
78.2
6.3
7.0
83.9
5.2
6.8
63.7
11.5
5.8
12.4
28.4
26.5
7.1
24.6
67.9
36.9
25.6
26.5
4.0
11.4
4.6
4.5
16.4
77.0
79.1
2.9
17.5
7.1
61.4
14.6
39.5
24.0
16.2
19.3
5.2
4.0
6.9
7.7
3.6
13.5
5.8
10.9
9.9
85.2
11.6
18.8

2020-2025

60.0
10.9
5.3
2.2
30.3
71.5
5.8
6.1
75.8
5.0
6.4
57.9
11.0
5.7
10.9
25.7
22.9
6.5
21.4
58.8
30.4
22.6
22.3
3.8
10.6
4.6
4.3
14.8
68.6
71.1
2.8
15.9
6.5
57.4
13.2
35.1
21.3
14.5
17.9
4.8
3.9
6.6
7.3
3.5
12.7
5.7
9.8
9.3
77.1
10.9
16.9

2045-2050

30.4
7.6
4.0
2.1
19.3
48.0
4.1
4.4
42.0
4.1
4.9
30.8
8.5
5.4
6.3
13.3
12.6
4.7
12.8
33.4
14.5
15.2
12.0
3.0
7.7
4.4
3.5
9.5
36.8
40.1
2.5
10.1
4.5
41.7
8.0
20.8
12.3
8.9
12.2
3.7
3.4
5.3
5.6
3.1
9.5
5.4
6.7
6.9
43.7
8.3
11.3

2095-2100

11.3
4.5
2.6
1.7
11.5
25.1
2.2
2.5
16.1
2.9
2.8
14.1
5.7
4.9
2.4
6.6
6.3
3.0
6.7
15.2
6.9
9.3
6.2
1.7
4.6
4.2
2.2
4.4
15.5
16.7
1.8
5.5
2.9
24.7
2.7
10.8
3.5
3.7
7.1
2.4
2.6
3.5
3.4
2.4
6.4
4.9
3.9
4.2
17.7
5.2
6.8
129

TABLE S.17. (continued)


Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Country or area

Samoa ...................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .........................
Saudi Arabia .........................................
Senegal .................................................
Serbia....................................................
Sierra Leone..........................................
Singapore ..............................................
Slovakia ................................................
Slovenia ................................................
Solomon Islands....................................
Somalia .................................................
South Africa..........................................
Spain .....................................................
Sri Lanka ..............................................
Sudan ....................................................
Suriname...............................................
Swaziland .............................................
Sweden .................................................
Switzerland ...........................................
Syrian Arab Republic............................
Tajikistan ..............................................
TFYR Macedonia .................................
Thailand................................................
Timor-Leste ..........................................
Togo......................................................
Tonga....................................................
Trinidad and Tobago.............................
Tunisia ..................................................
Turkey...................................................
Turkmenistan ........................................
Uganda..................................................
Ukraine .................................................
United Arab Emirates ...........................
United Kingdom ...................................
United Republic of Tanzania ................
United States of America ......................
United States Virgin Islands .................
Uruguay ................................................
Uzbekistan ............................................
Vanuatu.................................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .....
Viet Nam ..............................................
Western Sahara .....................................
Yemen...................................................
Zambia..................................................
Zimbabwe .............................................

2000-2005

25.7
55.3
19.4
60.2
13.0
133.3
2.6
7.3
4.1
51.4
110.6
59.2
4.2
15.9
70.2
24.0
86.6
3.3
4.1
17.4
63.0
16.8
15.1
78.9
76.7
23.5
28.9
23.5
31.4
51.7
91.0
13.4
8.2
5.3
77.3
6.9
11.5
14.4
49.6
34.6
18.9
23.1
53.0
64.8
102.7
68.4

2005-2010

22.4
51.7
18.5
55.2
11.8
113.7
1.9
6.3
3.5
42.9
106.7
54.8
3.8
12.4
63.8
21.6
75.9
2.6
3.7
15.0
56.0
14.7
12.4
66.8
74.0
22.1
26.6
20.8
24.0
50.5
79.2
12.9
6.9
4.9
64.5
6.8
10.6
13.1
48.7
28.7
17.0
20.4
44.1
53.3
94.9
59.3

2010-2015

19.8
47.5
16.2
49.8
10.6
103.5
1.9
5.7
3.3
34.6
100.0
45.9
3.6
11.2
57.3
19.8
64.6
2.5
3.5
13.8
50.9
13.1
11.4
56.5
67.3
20.6
24.5
18.4
19.9
48.8
72.3
11.8
6.6
4.7
53.7
6.5
10.0
11.8
44.5
24.1
15.3
18.3
36.4
44.4
81.0
47.3

2015-2020

17.8
43.7
14.5
45.2
9.8
94.5
1.9
5.2
3.1
28.6
92.4
40.2
3.5
10.2
50.9
18.1
57.9
2.5
3.3
12.5
46.5
12.0
10.5
47.2
59.5
19.3
22.3
16.5
17.7
44.4
66.5
10.9
6.2
4.5
45.6
6.1
9.4
10.5
40.7
20.6
13.8
16.7
30.0
36.6
71.8
41.0

2020-2025

16.0
40.2
13.0
41.0
9.2
85.7
1.9
4.8
3.0
24.0
84.0
35.7
3.4
9.4
45.1
16.7
51.7
2.5
3.1
11.5
42.6
11.0
9.5
39.1
52.9
18.2
20.3
14.8
15.8
40.4
61.1
10.2
5.8
4.4
39.1
5.9
8.9
9.4
37.5
17.9
12.6
15.3
25.2
30.2
64.4
37.3

2045-2050

2095-2100

10.9
24.2
8.8
21.6
6.3
47.3
1.9
3.6
2.4
12.6
48.1
21.8
3.0
6.7
24.8
11.8
26.5
2.2
2.5
8.1
29.2
7.4
6.7
16.8
30.0
13.0
14.5
9.5
10.0
26.9
35.1
7.2
4.6
3.7
23.5
4.7
6.8
5.9
26.2
10.7
8.4
11.4
13.0
14.4
36.3
24.4

6.3
13.1
5.0
10.6
3.8
16.0
1.8
2.4
1.6
6.4
18.4
10.6
2.3
4.0
12.2
6.0
10.6
1.6
1.4
4.7
17.3
4.2
3.9
7.4
14.5
8.1
8.5
5.1
5.3
15.5
15.7
4.3
2.9
2.7
12.9
3.0
4.2
2.5
15.9
5.7
4.1
6.8
6.4
6.8
15.5
10.7

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population
Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

130

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.18. UNDER-FIVE MORTALITY BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS

Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
Country or area

World ...............................................
Afghanistan.......................................
Albania .............................................
Algeria ..............................................
Angola ..............................................
Argentina ..........................................
Armenia ............................................
Aruba ................................................
Australia ...........................................
Austria ..............................................
Azerbaijan.........................................
Bahamas ...........................................
Bahrain .............................................
Bangladesh........................................
Barbados ...........................................
Belarus..............................................
Belgium ............................................
Belize................................................
Benin.................................................
Bhutan...............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) .........
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Botswana ..........................................
Brazil ................................................
Brunei Darussalam............................
Bulgaria ............................................
Burkina Faso.....................................
Burundi .............................................
Cambodia..........................................
Cameroon .........................................
Canada ..............................................
Cape Verde .......................................
Central African Republic ..................
Chad..................................................
Channel Islands.................................
Chile .................................................
China.................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ...................
China, Macao SAR ...........................
Colombia ..........................................
Comoros ...........................................
Congo ...............................................
Costa Rica.........................................
Cte dIvoire.....................................
131

2000-2005

2005-2010

2010-2015

2015-2020

2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

73.5

65.7

60.0

55.4

51.0

31.5

14.5

214.8
24.2
38.5
192.8
17.4
33.5
20.9
6.0
5.3
61.3
22.5
11.4
79.4
16.8
12.4
5.4
25.6
145.6
78.0
72.2
16.6
88.9
34.2
6.8
15.8
179.0
175.4
100.6
157.0
6.1
34.0
188.3
213.2
11.9
9.7
29.5
3.8
7.4
28.3
109.0
118.8
12.2
136.2

202.4
20.9
32.0
170.4
15.5
29.0
18.7
5.5
4.8
47.6
19.8
9.3
61.4
15.9
9.3
4.8
21.9
135.7
63.4
60.6
16.1
58.1
29.1
6.4
12.3
167.0
164.4
84.7
152.2
6.0
24.5
172.8
208.6
10.2
8.8
26.4
2.8
5.7
26.0
100.3
113.6
11.4
122.3

184.2
18.9
27.2
155.6
14.2
26.8
17.1
5.4
4.6
43.2
17.7
8.6
50.6
14.2
9.0
4.7
20.6
120.8
52.2
54.2
15.6
46.3
23.6
6.1
10.7
147.3
151.8
69.4
135.6
5.7
21.7
155.1
195.5
9.5
8.3
23.6
2.8
5.3
22.8
85.5
103.6
10.6
107.2

169.7
16.9
23.3
140.1
12.8
24.7
15.8
5.3
4.4
37.7
15.3
8.1
41.2
12.9
8.8
4.5
19.4
106.1
43.1
45.2
15.2
40.6
20.7
5.8
10.4
130.1
139.0
55.7
122.0
5.5
19.0
141.1
179.9
8.9
7.8
21.2
2.8
5.2
20.4
73.2
93.5
9.8
93.3

155.6
15.5
20.6
125.2
11.6
22.9
14.6
5.2
4.2
33.2
13.8
7.6
34.2
11.8
8.5
4.4
18.6
93.3
36.4
37.0
14.8
36.5
18.3
5.5
10.1
114.0
127.1
44.5
111.4
5.2
16.6
129.0
162.4
8.3
7.4
19.2
2.8
5.0
18.4
62.2
84.7
9.2
81.5

93.1
10.7
12.8
65.1
7.7
15.6
9.8
4.5
3.5
18.3
10.2
5.8
17.6
8.4
7.1
3.7
15.0
46.4
21.0
16.6
12.5
21.4
11.2
4.6
8.4
52.9
62.2
18.8
58.1
4.1
10.6
68.7
82.6
6.0
5.9
12.5
2.7
4.2
11.1
28.6
43.3
6.5
41.7

43.2
5.7
6.8
22.2
3.8
8.6
5.6
3.0
2.2
8.5
5.4
3.9
8.7
4.9
5.1
2.4
8.4
19.3
11.8
5.0
8.7
9.8
4.4
3.3
6.0
20.2
20.0
8.3
21.5
2.4
5.9
23.4
25.4
3.1
4.2
6.0
2.7
3.0
4.5
11.7
19.3
2.8
18.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision

TABLE S.18. (continued)

Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
Country or area

Croatia ..............................................
Cuba..................................................
Cyprus...............................................
Czech Republic.................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea ............
Dem. Republic of the Congo ............
Denmark ...........................................
Djibouti.............................................
Dominican Republic .........................
Ecuador.............................................
Egypt.................................................
El Salvador .......................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Eritrea ...............................................
Estonia ..............................................
Ethiopia.............................................
Fiji ....................................................
Finland..............................................
France ...............................................
French Guiana...................................
French Polynesia...............................
Gabon ...............................................
Gambia .............................................
Georgia .............................................
Germany ...........................................
Ghana................................................
Greece...............................................
Grenada.............................................
Guadeloupe.......................................
Guam ................................................
Guatemala.........................................
Guinea...............................................
Guinea-Bissau...................................
Guyana..............................................
Haiti ..................................................
Honduras...........................................
Hungary ............................................
Iceland ..............................................
India..................................................
Indonesia...........................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of).................
Iraq....................................................
Ireland...............................................
Israel .................................................
Italy...................................................
Jamaica .............................................
132

2000-2005

2005-2010

2010-2015

2015-2020

2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

8.0
7.7
6.7
4.8
36.3
200.2
5.6
129.0
39.8
29.9
38.5
30.3
182.2
83.7
9.4
139.0
23.8
3.8
5.0
18.0
11.3
87.6
119.9
33.1
5.0
95.3
5.5
19.3
10.0
11.5
48.5
170.6
210.5
63.7
93.1
43.9
8.7
3.1
84.0
44.3
43.1
44.2
6.5
6.2
5.0
32.2

7.2
7.2
5.2
4.0
34.7
191.8
4.8
115.1
33.1
25.7
29.8
25.9
167.3
71.6
7.6
112.9
22.5
3.5
4.3
16.3
10.1
76.6
104.7
30.8
4.5
73.8
5.4
16.9
7.8
10.5
39.3
150.3
197.7
53.4
83.3
39.5
7.3
2.7
72.4
36.4
36.6
42.4
4.7
4.8
4.1
28.9

6.7
6.5
5.0
3.8
31.8
180.2
4.7
104.3
27.7
23.1
25.2
22.9
150.6
62.0
7.2
96.3
21.6
3.4
4.2
14.7
9.5
63.7
93.1
26.9
4.3
63.4
5.4
15.1
7.6
9.5
34.3
134.0
180.9
46.4
76.4
33.1
6.8
2.6
65.4
31.4
30.9
40.7
4.5
4.2
4.0
25.8

6.2
6.0
4.9
3.8
28.1
166.9
4.6
91.0
23.9
20.7
21.7
20.3
135.0
54.0
6.8
84.3
20.4
3.4
4.0
13.4
9.0
54.3
83.4
24.3
4.1
56.3
5.3
13.7
7.2
8.7
30.3
119.1
164.2
41.0
68.2
29.1
6.4
2.6
59.7
28.0
26.9
36.9
4.4
3.8
3.9
23.7

5.9
5.8
4.8
3.7
25.1
154.4
4.6
78.1
21.7
18.6
19.1
18.2
120.2
47.1
6.4
73.4
19.4
3.3
3.8
12.2
8.4
47.3
74.5
22.1
4.0
48.9
5.2
12.7
6.9
8.2
27.0
105.5
148.5
36.5
59.9
25.8
6.1
2.5
54.5
25.3
23.7
32.1
4.3
3.5
3.9
21.9

4.7
5.0
4.3
3.4
13.6
86.5
4.3
35.5
12.7
11.3
11.9
11.3
61.7
26.2
5.1
37.2
13.6
3.1
3.2
8.6
6.8
28.0
34.0
13.9
3.4
27.9
4.9
9.0
5.5
6.2
16.0
53.0
80.7
23.7
29.9
15.2
4.9
2.4
36.6
17.9
14.7
16.3
3.8
2.6
3.4
14.3

3.2
3.9
3.5
2.5
7.1
25.6
3.6
12.6
5.1
4.3
6.3
5.3
21.7
12.9
3.6
17.7
8.3
2.6
2.0
5.0
4.7
15.4
15.5
7.0
2.2
15.5
4.0
5.2
3.5
4.0
6.0
20.4
24.5
13.4
10.5
6.0
3.4
2.0
21.1
10.9
7.5
7.8
3.0
1.3
2.7
6.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.18. (continued)

Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
Country or area

Japan .................................................
Jordan ...............................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kenya................................................
Kuwait ..............................................
Kyrgyzstan........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic .............
Latvia................................................
Lebanon ............................................
Lesotho .............................................
Liberia...............................................
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya....................
Lithuania...........................................
Luxembourg......................................
Madagascar.......................................
Malawi..............................................
Malaysia ...........................................
Maldives ...........................................
Mali ..................................................
Malta.................................................
Martinique ........................................
Mauritania.........................................
Mauritius...........................................
Mayotte.............................................
Mexico..............................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............
Mongolia...........................................
Montenegro.......................................
Morocco............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Myanmar...........................................
Namibia ............................................
Nepal.................................................
Netherlands.......................................
Netherlands Antilles .........................
New Caledonia .................................
New Zealand.....................................
Nicaragua..........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria ..............................................
Norway .............................................
Occupied Palestinian Territory .........
Oman ................................................
Pakistan.............................................
Panama .............................................
Papua New Guinea ...........................

2000-2005

2005-2010

2010-2015

2015-2020

2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

4.1
28.1
38.5
110.2
11.9
48.5
78.2
11.8
30.7
128.3
169.4
19.9
9.8
5.5
87.7
159.3
12.9
33.5
207.3
9.3
10.0
121.1
16.1
8.4
24.7
47.6
55.1
12.7
47.0
161.4
80.7
66.8
73.2
5.9
17.5
6.9
6.9
32.1
198.7
176.7
4.4
28.9
18.7
102.4
26.9
75.2

3.5
24.8
32.8
101.2
10.5
45.7
56.8
9.2
26.9
114.7
125.9
16.9
9.6
3.1
64.1
135.8
10.1
14.5
192.8
7.9
8.9
118.8
15.4
6.2
20.2
43.2
44.4
10.1
38.2
141.0
73.3
52.7
48.7
5.4
15.5
6.7
6.2
25.7
163.8
156.0
3.6
25.8
11.5
93.8
23.8
65.9

3.4
22.5
29.0
88.9
9.9
41.8
45.7
8.4
23.8
89.0
107.5
14.9
8.9
3.0
57.5
118.5
9.0
11.9
172.6
7.4
8.4
105.9
14.6
6.2
17.2
38.4
37.1
9.1
31.4
123.3
57.3
39.3
39.2
5.2
14.3
6.5
6.2
21.9
144.0
140.6
3.5
22.5
10.5
85.9
21.2
57.5

3.4
20.8
26.3
79.3
9.3
38.6
36.9
7.9
21.0
74.2
93.5
13.6
8.5
3.0
47.4
104.9
8.3
10.2
154.9
7.1
7.9
95.1
13.8
6.1
15.1
34.4
31.7
8.4
26.8
106.0
45.8
33.4
31.9
5.0
13.3
6.5
6.2
19.6
127.0
125.4
3.5
20.0
9.0
79.5
19.0
50.2

3.3
19.4
23.9
71.4
8.6
35.2
30.2
7.4
18.2
65.6
80.8
12.3
8.0
2.9
39.4
93.9
7.6
8.9
137.7
6.8
7.5
85.3
13.2
6.0
13.3
30.7
27.3
7.8
23.1
90.0
37.0
29.4
26.4
4.7
12.4
6.4
6.0
17.7
111.1
111.2
3.4
18.2
8.2
73.6
17.3
44.0

3.1
12.4
15.5
38.2
6.4
24.2
15.1
5.7
11.4
35.0
37.4
8.8
6.0
2.7
23.9
58.9
5.4
6.3
68.3
5.6
5.7
39.6
10.3
5.6
7.7
15.4
14.8
5.9
13.6
45.9
16.8
19.9
13.8
3.8
9.0
6.1
5.2
11.4
52.2
56.8
3.1
11.5
6.0
51.6
10.5
24.7

2.6
6.7
9.0
18.7
4.2
15.3
7.5
3.9
6.3
12.6
13.2
5.2
4.1
2.3
14.4
29.2
2.9
3.4
22.0
3.8
3.3
17.2
6.9
5.1
2.9
7.6
7.4
4.0
7.1
19.4
7.9
12.5
7.2
2.3
5.4
5.7
3.4
5.3
19.7
21.0
2.7
6.3
4.0
29.9
3.6
12.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

133

TABLE S.18. (continued)

Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
Country or area

Paraguay ...........................................
Peru...................................................
Philippines ........................................
Poland ...............................................
Portugal.............................................
Puerto Rico .......................................
Qatar .................................................
Republic of Korea.............................
Republic of Moldova ........................
Runion.............................................
Romania............................................
Russian Federation............................
Rwanda .............................................
Saint Lucia........................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Samoa ...............................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................
Saudi Arabia .....................................
Senegal .............................................
Serbia................................................
Sierra Leone......................................
Singapore ..........................................
Slovakia ............................................
Slovenia ............................................
Solomon Islands................................
Somalia .............................................
South Africa......................................
Spain .................................................
Sri Lanka ..........................................
Sudan ................................................
Suriname...........................................
Swaziland .........................................
Sweden .............................................
Switzerland .......................................
Syrian Arab Republic........................
Tajikistan ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia .............................
Thailand............................................
Timor-Leste ......................................
Togo..................................................
Tonga................................................
Trinidad and Tobago.........................
Tunisia ..............................................
Turkey...............................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uganda..............................................
134

2000-2005

2005-2010

2010-2015

2015-2020

2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

42.5
39.9
34.9
8.4
6.2
9.7
13.6
6.8
23.2
8.4
20.5
20.5
151.7
19.1
32.2
31.1
82.6
22.5
114.6
15.2
214.7
3.3
8.9
4.8
67.5
181.5
84.2
5.2
18.9
109.9
32.2
127.6
3.8
5.8
20.1
82.3
19.2
17.5
111.0
120.9
28.2
36.5
29.0
36.5
65.9
147.8

38.3
32.8
30.2
7.2
5.8
9.1
11.1
4.8
19.2
6.2
16.7
17.2
128.3
17.0
28.1
26.9
76.3
21.4
95.6
13.9
174.0
2.4
7.7
4.4
54.4
174.1
79.1
4.6
14.4
98.4
29.8
113.5
3.2
5.3
17.1
72.5
16.9
14.0
91.9
116.1
26.4
33.5
25.7
27.5
64.3
126.3

32.9
28.0
27.5
6.7
5.4
8.7
10.4
4.7
18.6
6.2
14.7
16.3
114.1
15.9
24.7
23.6
68.9
18.7
85.4
12.6
157.5
2.3
7.0
4.2
42.6
161.8
63.5
4.4
13.1
87.1
27.1
92.0
3.1
5.0
15.7
65.4
14.8
13.0
75.6
104.4
24.5
30.9
22.5
22.7
62.2
113.7

28.9
24.8
25.4
6.4
5.3
8.3
9.9
4.6
17.7
6.1
13.1
15.6
102.7
15.0
22.1
21.0
62.1
16.6
76.7
11.7
142.7
2.3
6.6
4.1
34.6
147.9
54.3
4.2
12.1
75.8
24.9
80.5
3.1
4.8
14.2
59.1
13.5
12.1
61.1
90.5
22.9
28.1
20.2
20.1
56.6
103.4

25.6
22.3
23.5
6.1
5.1
7.9
9.4
4.4
17.0
6.0
11.9
14.5
91.0
14.2
19.8
18.8
56.0
14.9
68.7
10.9
128.6
2.3
6.1
4.0
28.5
132.8
47.6
4.1
11.2
65.6
23.0
70.4
3.1
4.5
13.1
53.7
12.4
11.1
49.0
78.8
21.4
25.6
18.1
18.0
51.4
93.8

14.8
13.6
16.0
4.8
4.4
6.4
7.2
4.0
13.5
5.6
8.2
10.7
46.4
10.8
13.1
12.6
30.4
10.1
31.2
7.7
67.0
2.3
4.9
3.5
14.6
69.8
28.0
3.7
8.0
32.0
16.2
33.7
2.8
3.5
9.2
35.1
8.6
8.0
19.6
39.6
15.1
18.3
11.6
11.3
33.2
48.4

4.2
5.8
9.3
3.4
3.3
4.3
4.3
3.1
9.5
5.1
4.9
6.5
19.3
6.8
7.8
7.3
16.3
5.8
14.9
4.8
19.9
2.2
3.5
2.4
7.4
22.8
12.6
2.8
4.9
15.3
8.3
12.9
2.4
2.0
5.3
20.6
4.9
4.9
8.6
18.1
9.4
10.8
6.3
6.0
19.1
19.9

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.18. (continued)

Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
Country or area

Ukraine .............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
United Kingdom ...............................
United Republic of Tanzania ............
United States of America ..................
United States Virgin Islands .............
Uruguay ............................................
Uzbekistan ........................................
Vanuatu.............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .
Viet Nam ..........................................
Western Sahara .................................
Yemen...............................................
Zambia..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

2000-2005

2005-2010

2010-2015

2015-2020

2020-2025

2045-2050

2095-2100

16.8
10.4
6.3
123.5
8.1
13.4
17.6
59.7
42.6
24.2
28.9
70.0
88.6
168.8
110.7

15.6
8.2
5.8
101.0
7.9
12.3
16.2
58.6
34.6
21.8
25.3
56.2
70.5
155.6
94.5

15.0
7.9
5.6
81.3
7.6
11.6
14.7
53.5
28.7
19.6
22.6
45.0
56.7
130.3
71.2

14.3
7.5
5.4
66.7
7.5
10.9
13.1
49.0
24.2
17.7
20.6
36.4
45.4
113.1
59.2

13.4
7.1
5.2
55.1
7.3
10.3
11.8
45.1
20.9
16.1
19.0
30.1
36.6
99.9
52.7

9.8
5.7
4.4
30.3
6.3
7.9
7.3
31.3
12.3
10.7
14.2
15.1
16.7
50.7
33.5

6.1
3.9
3.2
16.4
4.3
4.8
3.1
18.9
6.6
5.2
8.5
7.5
7.9
19.5
13.9

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population
Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 100,000 persons or more in 2010 are considered.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

135

TABLE S.19. HIV PREVALENCE IN THE COUNTRIES MOST AFFECTED BY THE HIV/AIDS EPIDEMIC, 2011 AND 2025
Prevalence (percentage)
Country

2011

2025

Change
between 2011
and 2025

Assumed coverage of
child treatment in 2025
(percentage)

Assumed coverage of
adult treatment in 2025
(percentage)

Africa
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
32.
33.
34.
35.
36.
37.

Angola................................................
Benin ..................................................
Botswana............................................
Burkina Faso ......................................
Burundi ..............................................
Cameroon ...........................................
Central African Republic....................
Chad ...................................................
Congo.................................................
Cte dIvoire ......................................
Dem. Republic of the Congo ..............
Djibouti ..............................................
Equatorial Guinea...............................
Eritrea.................................................
Ethiopia ..............................................
Gabon.................................................
Gambia ...............................................
Ghana .................................................
Guinea ................................................
Guinea-Bissau ....................................
Kenya .................................................
Lesotho...............................................
Liberia ................................................
Malawi ...............................................
Mali ....................................................
Mozambique.......................................
Namibia..............................................
Nigeria................................................
Rwanda ..............................................
Sierra Leone .......................................
South Africa .......................................
Swaziland ...........................................
Togo ...................................................
Uganda ...............................................
United Republic of Tanzania..............
Zambia ...............................................
Zimbabwe...........................................

2.0
1.1
24.5
1.2
3.1
5.2
4.2
3.3
3.2
3.3
1.3
2.5
5.6
0.7
1.1
5.1
2.3
1.8
1.3
2.4
5.9
23.6
1.3
10.7
1.0
11.3
12.4
3.6
2.9
1.6
17.6
26.0
3.0
6.3
5.4
13.2
13.8

1.8
0.9
20.5
1.4
2.7
4.8
1.9
2.6
2.8
2.4
1.2
2.0
6.0
0.4
0.7
4.2
2.4
1.4
1.2
2.1
4.3
22.1
0.9
8.5
0.7
9.4
8.2
3.2
2.6
1.2
15.3
20.2
2.4
6.0
4.5
10.8
12.4

-0.1
-0.3
-4.0
0.2
-0.4
-0.5
-2.3
-0.6
-0.3
-0.9
-0.1
-0.5
0.4
-0.3
-0.4
-0.9
0.1
-0.4
-0.1
-0.4
-1.6
-1.6
-0.3
-2.2
-0.3
-1.9
-4.2
-0.4
-0.3
-0.4
-2.3
-5.8
-0.7
-0.3
-0.9
-2.4
-1.4

40
83
95
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
64
95
40
62
55
50
95
40
95
40
59
95
40
47
75
72
60

90
90
90
90
73
90
75
90
90
90
62
55
77
90
90
90
69
90
90
90
90
90
51
90
90
83
90
80
90
66
90
90
90
90
90
90
90

Asia
1. China ..................................................
2. India ...................................................
3. Thailand .............................................

0.1
0.4
1.2

0.1
0.1
0.8

0.0
-0.2
-0.5

62
40
95

40
40
90

136

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision

TABLE S.19. (continued)

Prevalence (percentage)
Country

2011

2025

Change
between 2011
and 2025

Assumed coverage of
child treatment in 2025
(percentage)

Assumed coverage of
adult treatment in 2025
(percentage)

Europe
1. Russian Federation .............................

1.1

1.0

-0.1

55

90

Latin America and the Caribbean


1. Bahamas .............................................
2. Belize .................................................
3. Guyana ...............................................
4. Haiti....................................................
5. Jamaica...............................................
6. Suriname ............................................

3.0
2.3
0.9
1.8
1.7
1.0

2.6
2.1
0.6
1.1
1.6
0.9

-0.4
-0.2
-0.2
-0.7
-0.1
-0.1

40
79
95
42
95
95

90
90
90
90
90
90

0.6

0.6

0.0

99

99

Northern America
1. United States of America ...................

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population
Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Prevalence relates to the population aged 15-49.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

137

TABLE S.20. POPULATION OF COUNTRIES CLASSIFIED ACCORDING TO THE VALUE OF THE NET REPRODUCTION
RATE IN 2005-2010, 1950, 2011, 2050 AND 2100 (thousands)

Country
High-fertility countries
Afghanistan
Angola
Benin
Bolivia (Plurinational State of)
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cameroon
Central African Republic
Chad
Comoros
Congo
Cte d'Ivoire
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Djibouti
Equatorial Guinea
Eritrea
Ethiopia
French Guiana
Gambia
Ghana
Guatemala
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Honduras
Iraq
Jordan
Kenya
Liberia
Madagascar
Malawi
Mali
Mauritania
Mayotte
Micronesia (Fed. States of)
Mozambique
Niger
Nigeria
Occupied Palestinian Territory
Pakistan
Papua New Guinea
Philippines
Rwanda
Samoa
Sao Tome and Principe
Senegal
138

Net reproduction
rate in
2005-2010

2.23
2.10
2.12
1.54
2.25
1.64
1.72
1.66
2.19
2.10
1.85
1.81
2.12
1.57
1.93
2.03
1.85
1.57
2.11
1.82
1.91
2.03
1.79
1.52
2.20
1.54
1.91
2.10
2.14
2.29
2.33
1.91
2.10
1.62
1.86
2.70
2.00
2.18
1.57
1.76
1.52
2.08
1.85
1.67
2.11

2050

2100

Ratio of population
in 2100 to
population in 2011

76,250
42,334
21,734
16,769
46,721
13,703
38,472
8,392
27,252
1,700
8,801
40,674
148,523
1,620
1,493
11,568
145,187
506
4,036
49,107
31,595
23,006
3,185
12,939
83,357
9,882
96,887
9,660
53,561
49,719
42,130
7,085
493
139
50,192
55,435
389,615
9,727
274,875
13,549
154,939
26,003
219
299
28,607

110,879
56,052
36,752
20,021
96,367
14,587
53,693
10,954
43,648
3,047
14,224
56,412
212,113
1,923
2,054
15,496
150,140
721
6,084
67,230
46,036
36,664
5,518
13,789
145,276
9,495
160,009
16,535
94,222
129,502
80,506
10,434
688
161
77,347
139,209
729,885
14,868
261,271
18,113
177,803
42,316
313
356
44,075

3.43
2.86
4.04
1.98
5.68
1.70
2.68
2.44
3.79
4.04
3.44
2.80
3.13
2.12
2.85
2.86
1.77
3.04
3.43
2.69
3.12
3.59
3.57
1.78
4.45
1.50
3.85
4.00
4.42
8.42
5.08
2.95
3.27
1.45
3.23
8.66
4.49
3.58
1.48
2.58
1.87
3.87
1.70
2.11
3.45

Population (thousands)
1950

8,151
4,148
2,255
2,714
4,284
2,456
4,466
1,327
2,429
156
808
2,630
12,184
62
226
1,141
18,434
25
271
4,981
3,146
3,094
518
1,487
5,719
449
6,077
911
4,084
2,881
4,638
657
15
32
6,442
2,462
37,860
932
37,542
1,708
18,397
2,072
82
60
2,416

2011

32,358
19,618
9,100
10,088
16,968
8,575
20,030
4,487
11,525
754
4,140
20,153
67,758
906
720
5,415
84,734
237
1,776
24,966
14,757
10,222
1,547
7,755
32,665
6,330
41,610
4,129
21,315
15,381
15,840
3,542
211
112
23,930
16,069
162,471
4,152
176,745
7,014
94,852
10,943
184
169
12,768

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision

TABLE S.20. (continued)

Country
Sierra Leone
Solomon Islands
Somalia
Sudan
Tajikistan
Timor-Leste
Togo
Tonga
Uganda
United Republic of Tanzania
Vanuatu
Yemen
Zambia
Intermediate-fertility countries
Algeria
Argentina
Bahrain
Bangladesh
Belize
Bhutan
Botswana
Brunei Darussalam
Cambodia
Cape Verde
Colombia
Dominican Republic
Ecuador
Egypt
El Salvador
Fiji
French Polynesia
Gabon
Grenada
Guadeloupe
Guam
Guyana
Haiti
Iceland
India
Indonesia
Ireland
Israel
Jamaica
Kazakhstan
Kuwait
Kyrgyzstan
Lao People's Dem. Republic
Lesotho

Net reproduction
rate in
2005-2010

1.90
1.93
2.29
1.90
1.53
2.71
1.71
1.89
2.44
2.23
1.84
2.38
2.17

1.11
1.08
1.26
1.07
1.39
1.16
1.15
1.01
1.19
1.25
1.15
1.24
1.21
1.34
1.10
1.29
1.04
1.43
1.09
1.03
1.21
1.07
1.49
1.02
1.17
1.01
1.00
1.40
1.12
1.17
1.13
1.24
1.34
1.22

2011

2050

2100

Ratio of population
in 2100 to
population in 2011

5,997
552
9,557
44,632
6,977
1,154
6,155
105
34,509
46,218
246
24,800
13,475

11,088
1,163
28,217
90,962
10,745
3,006
11,130
138
94,259
138,312
513
61,577
45,037

14,154
1,630
72,976
127,621
11,687
4,742
13,558
193
171,190
316,338
751
99,032
140,348

2.36
2.95
7.64
2.86
1.68
4.11
2.20
1.85
4.96
6.84
3.06
3.99
10.42

8,753
35,980
17,150
40,765
116
1,324
37,895 150,494
69
318
168
738
413
2,031
48
406
4,346
14,305
178
501
12,000
46,927
2,380
10,056
3,387
14,666
21,514
82,537
2,200
6,227
289
868
61
274
469
1,534
77
105
210
463
60
182
407
756
3,221
10,124
143
324
371,857 1,241,492
74,837 242,326
2,913
4,526
1,258
7,562
1,403
2,751
6,703
16,207
152
2,818
1,740
5,393
1,683
6,288
734
2,194

46,522
50,560
1,801
194,353
529
962
2,503
602
18,965
632
61,764
12,942
19,549
123,452
7,607
1,017
330
2,784
95
476
245
766
14,178
431
1,692,008
293,456
6,038
12,029
2,569
21,210
5,164
7,768
8,384
2,788

39,983
49,201
1,580
157,134
555
782
2,476
667
16,661
520
58,137
12,231
18,319
123,227
6,783
1,005
281
3,776
75
424
252
693
14,566
480
1,550,899
254,178
7,046
15,312
2,166
24,876
6,371
9,258
6,956
2,874

1.11
1.21
1.19
1.04
1.74
1.06
1.22
1.64
1.16
1.04
1.24
1.22
1.25
1.49
1.09
1.16
1.03
2.46
0.72
0.92
1.38
0.92
1.44
1.48
1.25
1.05
1.56
2.02
0.79
1.53
2.26
1.72
1.11
1.31

Population (thousands)
1950

1,895
90
2,264
9,190
1,532
433
1,395
47
5,158
7,650
48
4,316
2,340

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

139

TABLE S.20. (continued)

Country
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya
Malaysia
Mexico
Mongolia
Morocco
Namibia
Nepal
New Caledonia
New Zealand
Nicaragua
Oman
Panama
Paraguay
Peru
Qatar
Runion
Saudi Arabia
South Africa
Sri Lanka
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Suriname
Swaziland
Syrian Arab Republic
Turkey
Turkmenistan
United States of America
Uruguay
Uzbekistan
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)
Western Sahara
Zimbabwe
Low-fertility countries
Albania
Armenia
Aruba
Australia
Austria
Azerbaijan
Bahamas
Barbados
Belarus
Belgium
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Brazil
Bulgaria
Canada
Channel Islands
Chile
140

Net reproduction
rate in
2005-2010

1950

2050

2100

Ratio of population
in 2100 to
population in 2011

1.29
1.30
1.15
1.17
1.10
1.47
1.33
1.05
1.03
1.29
1.20
1.21
1.42
1.21
1.16
1.17
1.44
1.02
1.13
1.01
1.11
1.31
1.47
1.01
1.13
1.00
1.01
1.11
1.21
1.21
1.29

1,029
6,110
27,866
780
8,953
485
8,231
65
1,908
1,295
456
860
1,473
7,632
25
248
3,121
13,683
8,241
67
215
273
3,413
21,238
1,211
157,813
2,239
6,314
5,094
14
2,747

6,423
28,859
114,793
2,800
32,273
2,324
30,486
255
4,415
5,870
2,846
3,571
6,568
29,400
1,870
856
28,083
50,460
21,045
109
529
1,203
20,766
73,640
5,105
313,085
3,380
27,760
29,437
548
12,754

8,773
43,455
143,925
4,093
39,200
3,599
46,495
344
5,678
7,846
3,740
5,128
10,323
38,832
2,612
1,083
44,938
56,757
23,193
113
614
1,679
33,051
91,617
6,639
403,101
3,663
35,438
41,821
901
20,614

8,073
46,946
127,081
4,831
33,068
3,728
44,987
334
6,323
7,261
2,839
5,170
11,364
35,911
2,162
1,086
42,427
54,477
19,888
96
551
1,813
32,623
79,200
5,708
478,026
3,396
29,254
40,507
848
21,838

1.26
1.63
1.11
1.73
1.02
1.60
1.48
1.31
1.43
1.24
1.00
1.45
1.73
1.22
1.16
1.27
1.51
1.08
0.95
0.87
1.04
1.51
1.57
1.08
1.12
1.53
1.00
1.05
1.38
1.55
1.71

0.75
0.78
0.83
0.93
0.67
0.94
0.90
0.74
0.66
0.87
0.56
0.89
0.69
0.80
0.68
0.92

1,215
1,354
38
8,177
6,936
2,896
79
211
7,745
8,628
2,661
53,975
7,251
13,737
102
6,082

3,216
3,100
108
22,606
8,413
9,306
347
274
9,559
10,754
3,752
196,655
7,446
34,350
154
17,270

2,990
2,931
104
31,385
8,427
11,578
445
264
8,001
11,587
2,952
222,843
5,459
43,642
152
20,059

1,863
2,335
88
35,908
7,805
11,976
449
223
6,760
12,588
1,877
177,349
4,131
48,290
156
17,185

0.58
0.75
0.82
1.59
0.93
1.29
1.29
0.82
0.71
1.17
0.50
0.90
0.55
1.41
1.02
1.00

Population (thousands)
2011

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

TABLE S.20. (continued)

Country
China ................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ...................
China, Macao SAR ...........................
Costa Rica.........................................
Croatia ..............................................
Cuba..................................................
Cyprus ..............................................
Czech Republic.................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea ............
Denmark ...........................................
Estonia ..............................................
Finland..............................................
France ...............................................
Georgia .............................................
Germany ...........................................
Greece...............................................
Hungary ............................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of).................
Italy...................................................
Japan.................................................
Latvia................................................
Lebanon ............................................
Lithuania...........................................
Luxembourg .....................................
Maldives ...........................................
Malta.................................................
Martinique ........................................
Mauritius...........................................
Montenegro.......................................
Myanmar...........................................
Netherlands.......................................
Netherlands Antilles .........................
Norway .............................................
Poland ...............................................
Portugal.............................................
Puerto Rico .......................................
Republic of Korea.............................
Republic of Moldova ........................
Romania............................................
Russian Federation............................
Saint Lucia........................................
Serbia................................................
Singapore..........................................
Slovakia ............................................
Slovenia ............................................
Spain.................................................
Sweden .............................................
Switzerland .......................................
TFYR Macedonia .............................

Net reproduction
rate in
2005-2010

0.71
0.47
0.49
0.92
0.68
0.72
0.72
0.68
0.94
0.89
0.78
0.89
0.95
0.72
0.65
0.70
0.64
0.82
0.66
0.64
0.68
0.88
0.68
0.78
0.90
0.64
0.92
0.80
0.80
0.91
0.84
0.95
0.93
0.63
0.65
0.88
0.61
0.71
0.63
0.68
0.98
0.76
0.60
0.61
0.67
0.68
0.91
0.70
0.69

2050

2100

Ratio of population
in 2100 to
population in 2011

1,295,604
9,305
824
6,001
3,859
9,898
1,347
10,638
26,382
5,920
1,233
5,611
72,442
3,186
74,781
11,647
9,243
85,344
59,158
108,549
1,902
4,678
2,813
708
405
415
382
1,367
604
55,296
17,151
198
6,063
34,906
9,379
3,657
47,050
2,661
18,535
126,188
205
8,797
6,106
5,241
1,994
51,354
10,916
7,870
1,881

941,042
10,355
810
5,019
3,317
7,022
1,192
10,324
24,552
6,032
1,145
5,842
80,288
2,367
70,392
11,109
8,672
62,059
55,619
91,330
1,650
3,612
2,453
740
300
394
301
1,157
499
46,941
17,381
147
6,964
29,454
6,754
3,024
37,221
1,958
14,839
111,057
169
6,956
5,659
4,516
1,846
45,011
11,859
7,252
1,391

0.70
1.45
1.46
1.06
0.75
0.62
1.07
0.98
1.00
1.08
0.85
1.08
1.27
0.55
0.86
0.98
0.87
0.83
0.91
0.72
0.74
0.85
0.74
1.43
0.94
0.94
0.74
0.89
0.79
0.97
1.04
0.72
1.41
0.77
0.63
0.81
0.77
0.55
0.69
0.78
0.96
0.71
1.09
0.83
0.91
0.97
1.26
0.94
0.67

Population (thousands)
1950

2011

550,771 1,347,565
1,974
7,122
196
556
966
4,727
3,850
4,396
5,920
11,254
494
1,117
8,876
10,534
9,737
24,451
4,268
5,573
1,101
1,341
4,009
5,385
41,832
63,126
3,527
4,329
68,376
82,163
7,566
11,390
9,338
9,966
17,414
74,799
46,367
60,789
82,199 126,497
1,949
2,243
1,443
4,259
2,567
3,307
296
516
74
320
312
418
222
407
493
1,307
399
632
17,158
48,337
10,027
16,665
112
203
3,265
4,925
24,824
38,299
8,417
10,690
2,218
3,746
19,211
48,391
2,341
3,545
16,311
21,436
102,702 142,836
83
176
6,732
9,854
1,022
5,188
3,437
5,472
1,473
2,035
28,070
46,455
7,014
9,441
4,668
7,702
1,230
2,064

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

141

TABLE S.20. (continued)

Country
Thailand............................................
Trinidad and Tobago.........................
Tunisia ..............................................
Ukraine .............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
United Kingdom ...............................
United States Virgin Islands .............
Viet Nam ..........................................

Net reproduction
rate in
2005-2010

0.77
0.77
0.96
0.66
0.89
0.88
0.98
0.89

Population (thousands)
1950

20,607
636
3,530
37,298
70
50,616
27
28,264

2011

2050

69,519
1,346
10,594
45,190
7,891
62,417
109
88,792

71,037
1,288
12,649
36,074
12,152
72,817
92
103,962

2100

58,166
1,031
10,891
30,254
10,357
75,676
80
82,604

Ratio of population
in 2100 to
population in 2011

0.84
0.77
1.03
0.67
1.31
1.21
0.73
0.93

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2011). World Population
Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.

142

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume I. Comprehensive Tables

ANNEX TABLES

SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS

Table A.1. Total population at mid-year by major area and region:


estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area and region
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2 532 229

3 038 413

3 696 186

4 453 007

4 863 290

5 306 425

5 726 239

6 122 770

6 506 649

6 895 889

811 187
1 721 042
196 088
1 524 954

913 330
2 125 083
243 650
1 881 432

1 006 421
2 689 765
312 030
2 377 735

1 081 094
3 371 913
393 768
2 978 145

1 112 951
3 750 339
447 167
3 303 173

1 144 404
4 162 021
510 107
3 651 914

1 169 451
4 556 788
585 251
3 971 537

1 188 809
4 933 961
661 996
4 271 965

1 210 897
5 295 752
745 291
4 550 461

1 235 900
5 659 989
832 330
4 827 660

1 160 539

1 453 073

1 856 374

2 365 633

2 668 824

2 990 440

3 315 102

3 635 693

3 958 139

4 287 841

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

186 103

230 797

295 971

389 802

448 863

515 593

589 677

669 123

757 513

856 327

Africa
Eastern Africa .............................
Middle Africa..............................
Northern Africa...........................
Southern Africa...........................
Western Africa ............................

229 895
64 757
26 116
52 982
15 588
70 451

286 729
81 887
32 013
67 493
19 724
85 611

368 148
107 628
40 749
86 943
25 454
107 374

482 803
143 575
53 391
113 072
33 000
139 766

555 276
166 013
61 698
129 955
37 509
160 101

635 287
192 801
71 676
146 188
42 093
182 529

720 931
219 318
84 829
161 395
47 398
207 992

811 101
251 584
96 187
176 166
51 442
235 722

911 120
285 713
110 931
192 017
54 919
267 540

1 022 234
324 044
126 689
209 459
57 780
304 261

Asia (f)
Eastern Asia (f) ...........................
South-Central Asia (g) ................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia......................
Western Asia ...............................

1 403 389
672 432
507 072
17 499
489 573
172 905
50 979

1 707 682
801 489
620 016
24 403
595 613
219 336
66 841

2 134 993
984 073
778 832
33 177
745 655
285 163
86 925

2 637 586
1 178 587
985 965
41 312
944 653
359 012
114 021

2 906 851
1 262 663
1 110 955
45 764
1 065 191
401 854
131 379

3 199 481
1 359 149
1 246 396
50 411
1 195 985
445 361
148 575

3 470 446
1 434 912
1 382 859
53 401
1 329 458
485 756
166 919

3 719 044
1 495 281
1 515 563
55 361
1 460 201
523 831
184 369

3 944 992
1 537 343
1 642 065
57 363
1 584 702
559 881
205 703

4 164 252
1 573 970
1 764 872
60 726
1 704 146
593 415
231 995

Europe
Eastern Europe ............................
Northern Europe..........................
Southern Europe..........................
Western Europe ...........................

547 287
220 123
78 035
108 332
140 798

603 854
252 787
81 930
117 371
151 766

655 879
276 227
87 352
126 764
165 535

692 869
294 929
89 900
137 668
170 372

706 800
303 677
90 724
140 702
171 697

720 497
310 543
92 114
142 408
175 432

727 422
309 882
93 222
143 616
180 702

726 777
304 172
94 347
145 147
183 111

730 736
297 758
96 318
150 228
186 431

738 199
294 771
99 205
155 171
189 052

Latin America and Caribbean


Caribbean ....................................
Central America ..........................
South America ............................

167 368
17 084
37 889
112 395

220 058
20 725
51 678
147 655

286 377
25 325
69 591
191 461

362 326
29 695
91 779
240 852

402 393
31 903
102 085
268 405

443 032
34 205
113 249
295 577

482 647
36 439
124 600
321 608

521 429
38 441
135 555
347 433

557 038
40 177
145 384
371 477

590 082
41 646
155 881
392 555

Northern America

171 615

204 318

231 284

254 454

267 079

281 162

295 749

313 289

329 231

344 529

12 675
10 085
2 199
148
242

15 773
12 658
2 620
184
311

19 506
15 548
3 306
242
409

22 970
17 857
4 338
302
474

24 891
19 081
4 943
358
508

26 967
20 494
5 512
418
543

29 044
21 793
6 207
466
578

31 130
23 022
6 996
496
615

33 532
24 538
7 830
519
645

36 593
26 637
8 748
536
673

Oceania
Australia/New Zealand ...............
Melanesia ....................................
Micronesia...................................
Polynesia (h) ...............................

a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h

146

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Includes other non-specified areas.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.1. Total population at mid-year by major area and region (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

7 284 296 7 656 528 8 321 380 8 874 041 9 306 128 9 615 189 9 827 113 9 968 538 10 062 090 10 124 926
1 256 172
6 028 124
930 629
5 097 495

1 273 439
6 383 089
1 035 443
5 347 646

1 296 089
7 025 290
1 256 762
5 768 528

1 306 885
7 567 156
1 489 296
6 077 860

1 311 731
7 994 397
1 726 468
6 267 928

1 310 345
8 304 845
1 958 005
6 346 840

1 309 184
8 517 929
2 175 214
6 342 715

1 313 988
8 654 550
2 371 781
6 282 769

1 323 738
8 738 353
2 543 902
6 194 451

1 334 786
8 790 140
2 690 518
6 099 623

4 627 034 4 963 563 5 600 083 6 174 657 6 668 507 7 064 671 7 365 095 7 580 988 7 729 384 7 825 179
967 357 1 088 812 1 353 772 1 647 278 1 960 102 2 277 259 2 586 767 2 876 501 3 135 614 3 358 050

Major area and region


World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

1 145 316 1 278 199 1 562 047 1 869 561 2 191 599 2 512 188 2 820 005 3 105 039 3 358 296 3 574 141
369 106
418 637
526 697
647 971
779 613
915 390 1 051 184 1 182 150 1 304 031 1 414 284
143 631
161 689
200 021
239 561
278 350
314 153
344 757
368 940
386 228
396 869
227 031
244 306
275 131
301 339
322 458
336 984
344 764
347 563
347 043
343 712
59 585
61 187
64 126
66 095
67 327
68 031
68 145
67 616
66 605
65 369
345 963
392 379
496 071
614 595
743 850
877 629 1 011 156 1 138 770 1 254 390 1 353 906

Africa
Eastern Africa .............................
Middle Africa..............................
Northern Africa...........................
Southern Africa...........................
Western Africa ............................

4 375 482
1 604 111
1 890 582
64 338
1 826 245
625 987
254 802

4 565 520
1 622 681
2 009 512
68 104
1 941 409
655 940
277 387

4 867 741
1 625 463
2 215 897
74 094
2 141 803
705 987
320 394

5 060 964
1 586 456
2 373 483
78 542
2 294 941
740 898
360 127

5 142 220
1 511 963
2 475 684
81 799
2 393 885
759 207
395 367

5 122 743
1 418 104
2 518 193
83 208
2 434 985
762 306
424 140

5 029 489
1 322 756
2 506 458
83 366
2 423 092
753 929
446 346

4 892 292
1 237 309
2 453 718
82 799
2 370 919
738 249
463 015

4 740 484
1 168 978
2 376 691
81 801
2 294 890
719 622
475 193

4 596 224
1 122 895
2 288 981
80 783
2 208 198
701 323
483 025

Asia (f)
Eastern Asia (f) ...........................
South-Central Asia (g) ................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia......................
Western Asia ...............................

742 067
292 236
101 892
157 446
190 494

744 177
289 165
104 524
158 478
192 010

741 233
279 544
109 254
158 548
193 888

731 826
267 987
112 162
157 554
194 123

719 257
256 946
114 036
155 227
193 048

702 347
245 566
115 225
149 816
191 740

686 745
234 992
116 168
143 862
191 723

677 700
227 653
117 210
139 935
192 902

674 657
223 891
118 276
137 874
194 616

674 796
221 966
119 439
136 856
196 536

Europe
Eastern Europe ............................
Northern Europe..........................
Southern Europe..........................
Western Europe ...........................

622 437
43 041
166 487
412 909

652 182
44 322
176 389
431 471

701 606
46 363
193 747
461 496

734 748
47 386
207 037
480 325

750 956
47 314
215 569
488 073

753 236
46 852
219 603
486 781

745 186
46 058
220 897
478 231

729 113
44 986
219 598
464 529

708 723
43 722
216 193
448 808

687 517
42 464
211 695
433 359

Latin America and Caribbean


Caribbean ....................................
Central America ..........................
South America ............................

359 638

374 394

401 657

425 467

446 862

466 270

484 690

501 289

515 233

526 428

Northern America

39 355
28 394
9 691
570
700

42 056
30 065
10 660
602
728

47 096
32 982
12 670
661
783

51 475
35 252
14 690
703
830

55 233
37 063
16 585
726
859

58 405
38 487
18 271
751
897

60 997
39 623
19 672
766
937

63 106
40 634
20 735
769
968

64 697
41 502
21 444
764
987

65 819
42 232
21 832
755
1 001

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Oceania
Australia/New Zealand ...............
Melanesia ....................................
Micronesia...................................
Polynesia (h) ...............................

147

Table A.2. Total population at mid-year by major area and region:


high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area and region

2015

2020

2030

7 350 953

7 832 370

8 776 486

9 679 064 10 614 318 11 546 322 12 498 658 13 525 786 14 630 726 15 804 873

1 266 530
6 084 422
938 720
5 145 702

1 299 737
6 532 633
1 058 102
5 474 531

1 359 746
7 416 740
1 322 727
6 094 013

1 411 555
8 267 509
1 617 641
6 649 869

1 478 333
9 135 985
1 951 801
7 184 184

1 555 196 1 641 501 1 753 661 1 889 510 2 037 371
9 991 126 10 857 157 11 772 125 12 741 216 13 767 503
2 312 909 2 696 099 3 101 031 3 521 211 3 954 217
7 678 216 8 161 058 8 671 094 9 220 005 9 813 286

4 670 339

5 080 402

5 915 463

6 751 340

7 622 453

8 489 178

9 358 709 10 256 573 11 183 728 12 142 392

975 299

1 111 208

1 420 704

1 782 155

2 204 177

2 670 938

3 176 503

3 715 951

4 275 705

4 849 323

Africa
Eastern Africa .............................
Middle Africa..............................
Northern Africa...........................
Southern Africa...........................
Western Africa ............................

1 155 067
372 196
144 777
229 246
60 185
348 664

1 305 420
427 460
164 934
250 281
62 774
399 972

1 641 422
553 402
209 830
290 987
68 286
518 918

2 025 831
702 239
259 481
329 378
73 449
661 283

2 469 755
878 820
313 955
368 239
79 083
829 657

2 955 291
1 076 406
370 631
404 812
84 835
1 018 607

3 476 382
1 294 279
427 738
438 091
90 710
1 225 563

4 031 276
1 531 000
484 241
471 164
96 827
1 448 043

4 607 712
1 781 769
538 954
504 844
103 071
1 679 074

5 198 432
2 045 083
591 582
538 125
109 746
1 913 896

Asia (f)
Eastern Asia (f) ...........................
South-Central Asia (g) ................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia......................
Western Asia ...............................

4 416 790
1 618 720
1 908 934
65 004
1 843 930
631 974
257 162

4 673 808
1 659 422
2 058 604
69 878
1 988 727
671 966
283 816

5 142 515
1 711 143
2 345 672
78 578
2 267 094
747 812
337 888

5 537 614
1 725 358
2 607 365
86 269
2 521 097
812 945
391 946

5 898 284
1 723 057
2 853 881
94 362
2 759 519
872 811
448 535

6 211 109
1 713 827
3 066 754
101 450
2 965 304
926 137
504 390

6 501 293
1 713 562
3 253 478
108 135
3 145 343
974 927
559 326

6 807 706
1 737 913
3 428 122
115 412
3 312 710
1 025 661
616 009

7 145 770
1 791 927
3 598 416
122 985
3 475 430
1 081 125
674 302

7 521 997
1 874 267
3 772 645
131 151
3 641 494
1 141 696
733 390

Europe
Eastern Europe ............................
Northern Europe..........................
Southern Europe..........................
Western Europe ...........................

748 362
294 978
102 706
158 739
191 939

759 920
295 891
106 651
161 654
195 723

778 206
294 537
114 656
165 941
203 071

791 813
291 971
121 210
169 509
209 124

814 017
294 849
128 440
173 943
216 785

839 816
299 514
136 602
176 841
226 859

871 610
306 805
145 356
180 048
239 402

920 546
321 411
155 858
187 315
255 961

984 394
341 846
168 217
198 215
276 116

1 056 358
365 572
181 696
211 079
298 011

Latin America and Caribbean


Caribbean ....................................
Central America ..........................
South America ............................

628 520
43 435
168 143
416 942

668 251
45 358
180 804
442 089

743 496
49 031
205 468
488 996

809 187
52 076
228 154
528 957

868 827
54 739
249 404
564 684

923 042
57 523
268 745
596 774

975 797
60 500
288 119
627 177

1 030 032
63 766
307 913
658 354

1 088 553
67 324
328 296
692 934

1 153 538
71 268
349 928
732 342

Northern America

362 528

382 024

421 374

458 975

501 324

548 248

598 064

653 580

714 146

776 793

39 687
28 631
9 776
575
706

42 948
30 693
10 894
616
744

49 474
34 607
13 343
698
826

55 644
37 991
15 979
767
907

62 111
41 516
18 781
829
985

68 816
45 173
21 655
904
1 084

75 512
48 825
24 514
976
1 197

82 646
52 976
27 310
1 046
1 314

90 151
57 609
29 994
1 116
1 432

97 754
62 470
32 542
1 188
1 553

World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

Oceania
Australia/New Zealand ...............
Melanesia ....................................
Micronesia...................................
Polynesia (h) ...............................

a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h

148

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Includes other non-specified areas.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.3. Total population at mid-year by major area and region:


low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area and region

2015

2020

2030

2040

7 217 275

7 480 225

7 867 332

8 096 725

1 245 813
5 971 462
922 537
5 048 925

1 247 140
6 233 085
1 012 784
5 220 301

1 232 471
6 634 862
1 190 957
5 443 904

1 204 263
6 892 461
1 364 617
5 527 844

4 583 365

4 846 263

5 285 615

5 618 738

959 414

1 066 416

1 286 987

1 515 806

Africa
Eastern Africa .............................
Middle Africa..............................
Northern Africa...........................
Southern Africa...........................
Western Africa ............................

1 135 565
366 017
142 484
224 817
58 985
343 262

1 250 978
409 815
158 445
238 332
59 600
384 785

1 482 834
500 045
190 241
259 296
59 976
473 276

Asia (f)
Eastern Asia (f) ...........................
South-Central Asia (g) ................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia......................
Western Asia ...............................

4 333 812
1 589 503
1 872 230
63 671
1 808 559
619 643
252 436

4 456 773
1 585 940
1 960 421
66 330
1 894 091
639 464
270 948

Europe
Eastern Europe ............................
Northern Europe..........................
Southern Europe..........................
Western Europe ...........................

735 773
289 493
101 079
156 152
189 049

Latin America and Caribbean


Caribbean ....................................
Central America ..........................
South America ............................
Northern America

World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

Oceania
Australia/New Zealand ...............
Melanesia ....................................
Micronesia...................................
Polynesia (h) ...............................

a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

8 112 191

7 940 112

7 624 235

7 191 850

6 691 274

6 177 378

1 157 559
6 954 632
1 517 378
5 437 253

1 095 230
6 844 882
1 642 492
5 202 391

1 029 404
6 594 831
1 732 671
4 862 160

962 506
6 229 344
1 782 151
4 447 194

895 340
5 795 934
1 793 130
4 002 804

830 115
5 347 263
1 771 626
3 575 637

5 797 705

5 827 871

5 721 175

5 492 839

5 181 194

4 827 318

1 731 743

1 923 233

2 078 979

2 187 567

2 245 386

2 254 281

1 717 227
595 076
220 198
273 981
59 007
568 963

1 931 855
686 922
245 146
280 136
56 680
662 971

2 115 104
770 895
263 664
277 443
53 645
749 457

2 257 071
842 457
274 068
266 774
49 960
823 813

2 348 286
896 750
275 777
249 811
45 562
880 386

2 387 588
932 153
269 516
229 187
40 811
915 920

2 378 387
948 761
256 780
207 002
36 124
929 721

4 593 575
1 539 901
2 086 578
69 615
2 016 963
664 184
302 912

4 602 379
1 452 733
2 149 334
71 031
2 078 303
671 162
329 150

4 457 562
1 321 336
2 134 341
70 293
2 064 048
655 578
346 307

4 189 424
1 165 311
2 049 459
67 342
1 982 117
621 077
353 578

3 835 105
1 005 820
1 904 378
62 905
1 841 472
573 275
351 632

3 427 049
853 787
1 715 334
57 406
1 657 927
516 498
341 431

3 008 905
719 013
1 507 814
51 583
1 456 231
456 810
325 267

2 623 609
613 202
1 304 769
46 107
1 258 662
400 628
305 010

728 433
282 438
102 397
155 301
188 298

704 288
264 565
103 861
151 156
184 707

673 203
244 705
103 310
145 829
179 359

632 130
222 520
100 671
137 952
170 986

582 463
199 097
96 399
126 182
160 785

532 599
176 124
91 536
113 566
151 373

485 889
155 245
86 170
102 310
142 164

443 300
138 040
80 253
92 524
132 483

405 145
123 756
74 430
83 962
122 998

616 354
42 647
164 830
408 877

636 114
43 285
171 974
420 854

659 971
43 708
182 086
434 178

664 070
42 912
186 902
434 257

645 870
40 662
185 234
419 973

610 622
37 835
178 036
394 752

563 055
34 568
167 356
361 131

506 032
30 953
153 491
321 588

444 831
27 188
137 419
280 225

385 381
23 638
120 891
240 852

356 749

366 764

381 944

392 460

395 958

393 352

387 782

377 343

361 550

342 377

39 023
28 158
9 607
565
694

41 164
29 436
10 427
589
712

44 720
31 358
11 999
624
739

47 385
32 554
13 437
640
755

48 817
32 904
14 539
630
744

49 147
32 546
15 251
617
733

48 622
31 768
15 542
591
721

47 252
30 609
15 398
550
695

45 100
29 083
14 860
501
655

42 478
27 380
14 036
451
612

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Includes other non-specified areas.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

149

Table A.4. Total population at mid-year by major area and region:


constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area and region

2015

2020

2030

7 323 598

7 772 757

8 700 336

9 722 061 10 942 544 12 475 188 14 518 851 17 339 315 21 289 304 26 843 946

1 253 674
6 069 924
942 022
5 127 902

1 266 176
6 506 581
1 071 673
5 434 908

1 276 310
7 424 026
1 393 708
6 030 318

1 271 037
8 451 024
1 827 402
6 623 623

4 664 593

5 076 758

5 985 373

7 047 608

8 359 117 10 021 750 12 205 124 15 163 501 19 242 074 24 911 634

977 516

1 122 099

1 489 711

1 999 101

2 720 067

3 741 903

5 194 022

7 270 510 10 246 711 14 519 642

Africa
Eastern Africa .............................
Middle Africa..............................
Northern Africa...........................
Southern Africa...........................
Western Africa ............................

1 157 022
373 190
145 955
229 117
60 006
348 755

1 315 899
432 190
169 247
250 468
62 405
401 590

1 711 238
581 452
229 591
295 039
67 942
537 213

2 247 831
786 449
315 714
343 936
74 019
727 714

2 996 915
1 075 181
441 545
400 736
81 199
998 254

4 046 528
1 481 047
625 836
466 531
89 652
1 383 461

5 526 726
2 051 700
897 128
544 425
99 315
1 934 158

7 634 194 10 645 899 14 958 647


2 860 210 4 008 783 5 643 676
1 298 370 1 892 524 2 772 095
641 090
763 243
917 105
110 223
122 559
136 634
2 724 301 3 858 791 5 489 136

Asia (f)
Eastern Asia (f) ...........................
South-Central Asia (g) ................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia......................
Western Asia ...............................

4 401 495
1 607 784
1 906 998
64 797
1 842 201
629 731
256 983

4 639 486
1 631 459
2 057 173
69 363
1 987 810
666 606
284 248

5 080 986
1 634 893
2 364 534
77 715
2 286 818
737 456
344 103

5 493 204
1 589 996
2 687 424
86 022
2 601 402
802 415
413 369

5 907 516
1 505 891
3 040 676
94 823
2 945 853
862 674
498 275

6 343 488
1 392 470
3 426 678
103 365
3 323 313
920 293
604 048

6 858 178
1 272 578
3 867 178
112 544
3 754 634
979 354
739 068

7 513 470
1 155 394
4 394 497
122 827
4 271 670
1 045 629
917 949

8 378 958
1 047 750
5 048 001
134 500
4 913 501
1 124 729
1 158 478

9 529 633
955 646
5 871 863
148 051
5 723 812
1 220 242
1 481 882

Europe
Eastern Europe ............................
Northern Europe..........................
Southern Europe..........................
Western Europe ...........................

740 052
291 048
101 773
157 084
190 148

738 379
285 703
104 163
157 503
191 010

725 437
270 735
108 099
155 719
190 883

703 238
252 918
110 008
151 856
188 456

671 658
232 070
110 385
145 535
183 667

632 165
209 751
109 612
135 262
177 541

590 747
187 041
108 289
123 494
171 923

551 566
165 586
106 625
112 751
166 605

515 958
147 220
104 552
103 234
160 953

482 234
130 690
102 330
94 210
155 004

Latin America and Caribbean


Caribbean ....................................
Central America ..........................
South America ............................

625 994
43 309
167 792
414 893

662 568
45 103
180 231
437 234

733 756
48 744
205 961
479 051

799 945
52 230
232 588
515 127

862 516
55 790
260 598
546 128

924 515
60 238
290 662
573 615

990 291
65 731
325 522
599 038

1 063 632
72 494
366 650
624 488

1 149 358
80 764
415 822
652 771

1 251 847
90 824
475 517
685 505

Northern America

359 593

374 109

400 866

424 057

444 115

461 923

478 476

492 530

503 594

511 633

39 441
28 376
9 787
574
704

42 316
30 003
10 958
614
742

48 053
32 794
13 734
699
827

53 786
34 907
17 173
782
923

59 824
36 452
21 473
870
1 029

66 569
37 526
26 874
990
1 178

74 434
38 263
33 665
1 133
1 373

83 923
38 766
42 244
1 305
1 608

95 537
39 035
53 089
1 517
1 897

109 953
39 117
66 800
1 781
2 255

World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

Oceania
Australia/New Zealand ...............
Melanesia ....................................
Micronesia...................................
Polynesia (h) ...............................

a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h

150

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

1 251 913 1 221 939 1 188 073 1 154 447 1 122 433 1 089 829
9 690 631 11 253 249 13 330 779 16 184 868 20 166 871 25 754 117
2 433 594 3 287 602 4 501 409 6 247 050 8 770 761 12 429 526
7 257 037 7 965 647 8 829 370 9 937 818 11 396 110 13 324 591

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Includes other non-specified areas.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.5. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
1.82

1.85

1.96

1.76

1.74

1.52

1.34

1.22

1.16

1.10

1.21
2.09
2.08
2.10

1.08
2.17
2.40
2.14

0.78
2.38
2.18
2.41

0.58
2.13
2.54
2.07

0.56
2.08
2.63
2.01

0.43
1.81
2.75
1.68

0.33
1.59
2.46
1.46

0.37
1.42
2.37
1.26

0.41
1.33
2.21
1.18

0.33
1.26
2.23
1.09

2.13

2.45

2.41

2.41

2.28

2.06

1.85

1.70

1.60

1.52

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

2.05

2.43

2.69

2.82

2.77

2.69

2.53

2.48

2.45

2.44

Africa
Eastern Africa .............................
Middle Africa..............................
Northern Africa...........................
Southern Africa...........................
Western Africa ............................

2.11
2.25
1.93
2.34
2.30
1.84

2.44
2.68
2.32
2.46
2.56
2.20

2.65
2.85
2.59
2.56
2.67
2.54

2.80
2.90
2.89
2.78
2.56
2.72

2.69
2.99
3.00
2.35
2.31
2.62

2.53
2.58
3.37
1.98
2.37
2.61

2.36
2.75
2.51
1.75
1.64
2.50

2.33
2.54
2.85
1.72
1.31
2.53

2.30
2.52
2.66
1.74
1.02
2.57

2.27
2.60
2.51
1.61
0.62
2.57

Asia (f)
Eastern Asia (f) ...........................
South-Central Asia (g) ................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia......................
Western Asia ...............................

1.98
1.91
1.90
2.96
1.86
2.22
2.74

1.99
1.55
2.24
3.53
2.18
2.65
2.71

2.28
2.21
2.27
2.38
2.27
2.45
2.67

1.94
1.38
2.39
2.05
2.40
2.25
2.83

1.92
1.47
2.30
1.93
2.32
2.06
2.46

1.63
1.08
2.08
1.15
2.12
1.74
2.33

1.38
0.82
1.83
0.72
1.88
1.51
1.99

1.18
0.56
1.60
0.71
1.64
1.33
2.19

1.08
0.47
1.44
1.14
1.45
1.16
2.41

0.99
0.38
1.38
1.16
1.38
1.07
1.88

Europe
Eastern Europe ............................
Northern Europe..........................
Southern Europe..........................
Western Europe ...........................

1.00
1.48
0.40
0.85
0.67

0.96
1.06
0.72
0.82
1.04

0.61
0.67
0.38
0.87
0.43

0.40
0.59
0.18
0.44
0.16

0.38
0.45
0.30
0.24
0.43

0.19
-0.04
0.24
0.17
0.59

-0.02
-0.37
0.24
0.21
0.27

0.11
-0.43
0.41
0.69
0.36

0.20
-0.20
0.59
0.65
0.28

0.11
-0.17
0.54
0.29
0.15

Latin America and Caribbean


Caribbean ....................................
Central America ..........................
South America ............................

2.71
1.90
2.97
2.75

2.76
2.15
3.09
2.73

2.41
1.72
2.91
2.32

2.10
1.43
2.13
2.17

1.92
1.39
2.08
1.93

1.71
1.27
1.91
1.69

1.55
1.07
1.69
1.54

1.32
0.88
1.40
1.34

1.15
0.72
1.39
1.10

1.07
0.66
1.32
1.01

Northern America

1.71

1.41

0.94

0.97

1.03

1.01

1.15

0.99

0.91

0.86

Oceania
Australia/New Zealand ...............
Melanesia ....................................
Micronesia...................................
Polynesia (h) ...............................

2.22
2.35
1.59
2.00
2.49

2.06
2.00
2.22
2.77
2.94

1.94
1.75
2.82
1.95
1.50

1.61
1.33
2.61
3.45
1.43

1.60
1.43
2.18
3.06
1.33

1.48
1.23
2.37
2.19
1.25

1.39
1.10
2.40
1.26
1.23

1.49
1.27
2.25
0.92
0.96

1.75
1.64
2.22
0.64
0.83

1.46
1.28
2.05
1.21
0.79

a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h

152

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Includes other non-specified areas.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.5. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100

Major area and region

1.00

0.89

0.69

0.52

0.36

0.24

0.16

0.10

0.07

0.06

0.27
1.14
2.13
0.96

0.21
1.02
2.00
0.82

0.10
0.79
1.75
0.58

0.05
0.60
1.53
0.36

0.00
0.42
1.31
0.17

-0.02
0.28
1.10
0.02

0.02
0.18
0.91
-0.08

0.07
0.11
0.74
-0.14

0.08
0.07
0.59
-0.15

0.08
0.05
0.53
-0.16

1.40

1.27

1.03

0.82

0.62

0.45

0.32

0.21

0.14

0.11

2.37

2.23

2.02

1.80

1.56

1.33

1.11

0.91

0.73

0.64

2.19
2.52
2.37
1.47
0.53
2.52

2.06
2.36
2.21
1.27
0.52
2.40

1.85
2.12
1.88
0.97
0.34
2.19

1.65
1.91
1.57
0.74
0.21
1.97

1.42
1.67
1.28
0.50
0.12
1.72

1.21
1.44
1.00
0.27
0.04
1.47

1.01
1.23
0.74
0.11
-0.06
1.25

0.83
1.03
0.51
0.01
-0.14
1.02

0.66
0.85
0.31
-0.08
-0.18
0.81

0.59
0.77
0.23
-0.12
-0.19
0.72

Africa
Eastern Africa .............................
Middle Africa..............................
Northern Africa...........................
Southern Africa...........................
Western Africa ............................

0.85
0.23
1.22
1.14
1.22
0.94
1.70

0.71
0.08
1.06
0.94
1.06
0.80
1.53

0.45
-0.18
0.75
0.62
0.76
0.55
1.23

0.21
-0.43
0.49
0.46
0.49
0.30
0.99

0.01
-0.61
0.23
0.22
0.23
0.09
0.76

-0.16
-0.70
0.00
0.05
0.00
-0.08
0.55

-0.26
-0.68
-0.18
-0.05
-0.18
-0.19
0.40

-0.31
-0.61
-0.30
-0.12
-0.31
-0.25
0.28

-0.31
-0.44
-0.37
-0.13
-0.38
-0.26
0.19

-0.31
-0.36
-0.39
-0.12
-0.40
-0.25
0.14

Asia (f)
Eastern Asia (f) ...........................
South-Central Asia (g) ................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia......................
Western Asia ...............................

0.06
-0.21
0.51
0.13
0.16

-0.01
-0.29
0.47
0.04
0.12

-0.12
-0.42
0.30
-0.05
0.03

-0.16
-0.41
0.18
-0.12
-0.05

-0.23
-0.44
0.12
-0.31
-0.08

-0.24
-0.46
0.08
-0.42
-0.02

-0.16
-0.36
0.09
-0.32
0.05

-0.06
-0.20
0.09
-0.17
0.08

-0.01
-0.10
0.10
-0.10
0.10

0.01
-0.08
0.10
-0.05
0.10

Europe
Eastern Europe ............................
Northern Europe..........................
Southern Europe..........................
Western Europe ...........................

0.93
0.59
1.16
0.88

0.80
0.51
1.01
0.74

0.53
0.28
0.73
0.46

0.28
0.04
0.47
0.22

0.07
-0.08
0.22
0.02

-0.08
-0.16
0.09
-0.14

-0.20
-0.22
-0.03
-0.27

-0.27
-0.28
-0.14
-0.34

-0.31
-0.29
-0.20
-0.36

-0.30
-0.29
-0.22
-0.35

Latin America and Caribbean


Caribbean ....................................
Central America ..........................
South America ............................

0.80

0.74

0.60

0.51

0.44

0.40

0.35

0.29

0.23

0.20

1.33
1.14
1.91
1.12
0.80

1.20
1.00
1.78
1.01
0.76

0.94
0.72
1.55
0.69
0.65

0.75
0.54
1.28
0.38
0.40

0.59
0.41
1.03
0.37
0.40

0.46
0.30
0.79
0.24
0.46

0.36
0.26
0.58
0.08
0.36

0.27
0.22
0.38
-0.05
0.22

0.19
0.19
0.21
-0.11
0.15

0.15
0.16
0.14
-0.12
0.12

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

Northern America
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand ...............
Melanesia ....................................
Micronesia...................................
Polynesia (h) ...............................

153

Table A.6. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region:
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
1.27

1.20

1.00

0.94

0.86

0.80

0.79

0.79

0.78

0.77

0.52
1.42
2.39
1.24

0.49
1.34
2.31
1.15

0.37
1.11
2.05
0.90

0.43
1.02
1.92
0.80

0.51
0.92
1.75
0.69

0.52
0.84
1.57
0.61

0.63
0.81
1.43
0.61

0.74
0.80
1.30
0.61

0.76
0.78
1.19
0.62

0.75
0.77
1.13
0.63

1.68

1.59

1.35

1.24

1.11

0.99

0.93

0.88

0.83

0.81

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

2.61

2.52

2.30

2.17

1.97

1.77

1.61

1.44

1.29

1.23

Africa
Eastern Africa .............................
Middle Africa..............................
Northern Africa...........................
Southern Africa...........................
Western Africa ............................

2.45
2.77
2.61
1.76
0.84
2.75

2.36
2.65
2.49
1.60
0.89
2.66

2.13
2.41
2.18
1.28
0.73
2.46

2.02
2.29
1.96
1.15
0.74
2.32

1.84
2.08
1.72
1.00
0.72
2.11

1.66
1.88
1.48
0.82
0.67
1.90

1.52
1.72
1.29
0.74
0.66
1.71

1.37
1.55
1.11
0.70
0.63
1.53

1.24
1.41
0.96
0.65
0.62
1.35

1.18
1.35
0.90
0.63
0.63
1.27

Asia (f)
Eastern Asia (f) ...........................
South-Central Asia (g) ................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia......................
Western Asia ...............................

1.13
0.50
1.51
1.45
1.51
1.23
1.97

1.03
0.38
1.39
1.29
1.40
1.14
1.84

0.77
0.12
1.10
0.94
1.10
0.88
1.52

0.66
0.00
0.95
0.92
0.95
0.74
1.39

0.54
-0.05
0.76
0.77
0.76
0.62
1.22

0.46
-0.03
0.61
0.64
0.61
0.52
1.06

0.46
0.10
0.54
0.65
0.53
0.50
0.98

0.48
0.26
0.49
0.64
0.49
0.52
0.92

0.51
0.42
0.47
0.64
0.47
0.54
0.86

0.52
0.48
0.47
0.65
0.47
0.55
0.83

Europe
Eastern Europe ............................
Northern Europe..........................
Southern Europe..........................
Western Europe ...........................

0.31
0.06
0.75
0.36
0.39

0.28
0.01
0.76
0.30
0.40

0.16
-0.13
0.58
0.20
0.30

0.25
0.06
0.56
0.25
0.33

0.31
0.16
0.62
0.19
0.44

0.34
0.19
0.61
0.14
0.51

0.50
0.41
0.67
0.34
0.64

0.66
0.60
0.76
0.54
0.75

0.70
0.66
0.77
0.61
0.77

0.71
0.68
0.77
0.65
0.76

Latin America and Caribbean


Caribbean ....................................
Central America ..........................
South America ............................

1.23
0.87
1.45
1.17

1.14
0.84
1.35
1.08

0.88
0.63
1.09
0.82

0.74
0.53
0.93
0.69

0.62
0.50
0.76
0.57

0.56
0.50
0.71
0.51

0.54
0.52
0.67
0.48

0.55
0.54
0.65
0.50

0.57
0.56
0.64
0.54

0.59
0.57
0.64
0.56

Northern America

1.05

1.02

0.87

0.86

0.90

0.87

0.88

0.89

0.85

0.83

Oceania
Australia/New Zealand ...............
Melanesia ....................................
Micronesia...................................
Polynesia (h) ...............................

1.58
1.39
2.17
1.40
1.07

1.49
1.29
2.09
1.34
1.08

1.21
0.97
1.85
1.01
0.97

1.11
0.89
1.66
0.80
0.84

1.05
0.87
1.47
0.89
0.93

0.94
0.78
1.28
0.79
1.00

0.91
0.80
1.12
0.70
0.96

0.88
0.84
0.97
0.66
0.87

0.82
0.82
0.84
0.63
0.83

0.80
0.80
0.79
0.62
0.81

a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h

154

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Includes other non-specified areas.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.7. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region:
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
0.72

0.55

0.35

0.09

-0.16

-0.36

-0.54

-0.70

-0.79

-0.81

0.02
0.86
1.87
0.67

-0.09
0.68
1.68
0.48

-0.20
0.45
1.43
0.23

-0.35
0.16
1.14
-0.09

-0.53
-0.10
0.86
-0.38

-0.61
-0.32
0.60
-0.62

-0.66
-0.52
0.34
-0.84

-0.71
-0.69
0.11
-1.02

-0.75
-0.79
-0.08
-1.12

-0.76
-0.82
-0.16
-1.14

0.93

0.68

0.39

0.11

-0.13

-0.36

-0.55

-0.68

-0.73

2.12

1.93

1.71

1.41

1.12

0.85

0.57

0.32

0.09

-0.01

Africa
Eastern Africa .............................
Middle Africa..............................
Northern Africa...........................
Southern Africa...........................
Western Africa ............................

1.94
2.26
2.12
1.17
0.21
2.28

1.75
2.05
1.91
0.92
0.11
2.12

1.54
1.81
1.56
0.63
-0.10
1.91

1.25
1.51
1.16
0.31
-0.35
1.61

0.97
1.22
0.81
-0.02
-0.52
1.30

0.71
0.96
0.47
-0.32
-0.66
1.02

0.46
0.69
0.14
-0.60
-0.87
0.73

0.22
0.44
-0.16
-0.82
-1.06
0.46

0.01
0.23
-0.43
-0.99
-1.20
0.21

-0.09
0.13
-0.54
-1.05
-1.24
0.09

Asia (f)
Eastern Asia (f) ...........................
South-Central Asia (g) ................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia......................
Western Asia ...............................

0.56
-0.05
0.92
0.82
0.92
0.63
1.42

0.36
-0.24
0.70
0.57
0.70
0.44
1.19

0.10
-0.50
0.39
0.26
0.39
0.19
0.91

-0.24
-0.86
0.02
-0.02
0.02
-0.15
0.59

-0.55
-1.19
-0.33
-0.36
-0.32
-0.47
0.28

-0.82
-1.43
-0.65
-0.62
-0.65
-0.74
0.01

-1.07
-1.60
-0.97
-0.86
-0.98
-0.99
-0.24

-1.27
-1.73
-1.24
-1.05
-1.25
-1.19
-0.44

-1.37
-1.64
-1.42
-1.12
-1.43
-1.31
-0.61

-1.38
-1.54
-1.47
-1.13
-1.49
-1.32
-0.68

Europe
Eastern Europe ............................
Northern Europe..........................
Southern Europe..........................
Western Europe ...........................

-0.20
-0.49
0.26
-0.11
-0.08

-0.31
-0.62
0.17
-0.24
-0.17

-0.42
-0.75
0.00
-0.33
-0.26

-0.58
-0.90
-0.21
-0.49
-0.43

-0.79
-1.08
-0.40
-0.82
-0.60

-0.89
-1.20
-0.50
-1.04
-0.61

-0.92
-1.27
-0.57
-1.05
-0.61

-0.92
-1.20
-0.69
-1.01
-0.69

-0.91
-1.10
-0.75
-1.00
-0.74

-0.89
-1.08
-0.76
-0.95
-0.75

Latin America and Caribbean


Caribbean ....................................
Central America ..........................
South America ............................

0.63
0.30
0.85
0.58

0.43
0.15
0.64
0.38

0.15
-0.10
0.35
0.09

-0.20
-0.45
-0.01
-0.25

-0.50
-0.68
-0.35
-0.55

-0.75
-0.86
-0.56
-0.82

-1.01
-1.05
-0.80
-1.10

-1.24
-1.26
-1.05
-1.33

-1.41
-1.39
-1.25
-1.50

-1.46
-1.41
-1.31
-1.53

Northern America

0.55

0.44

0.31

0.13

-0.04

-0.12

-0.23

-0.40

-0.52

-0.57

Oceania
Australia/New Zealand ...............
Melanesia ....................................
Micronesia...................................
Polynesia (h) ...............................

1.07
0.89
1.64
0.84
0.52

0.89
0.70
1.46
0.66
0.41

0.65
0.44
1.22
0.35
0.30

0.37
0.18
0.87
-0.06
-0.06

0.12
-0.07
0.55
-0.16
-0.16

-0.07
-0.21
0.26
-0.37
-0.14

-0.24
-0.34
-0.02
-0.64
-0.31

-0.43
-0.48
-0.30
-0.90
-0.54

-0.57
-0.58
-0.52
-1.05
-0.67

-0.63
-0.63
-0.62
-1.07
-0.71

a
b

1.12

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

c
d
e
f
g
h

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Includes other non-specified areas.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

155

Table A.8. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region:
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
1.19

1.15

1.10

1.16

1.27

1.46

1.71

1.98

2.25

2.38

0.20
1.39
2.58
1.16

0.11
1.34
2.62
1.08

-0.01
1.28
2.67
0.95

-0.13
1.35
2.83
0.92

-0.23
1.45
2.98
0.92

-0.28
1.64
3.11
1.00

-0.29
1.88
3.25
1.14

-0.28
2.13
3.37
1.32

-0.29
2.39
3.47
1.52

-0.30
2.50
3.51
1.61

1.69

1.66

1.62

1.69

1.78

1.93

2.12

2.33

2.54

2.63

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

2.76

2.81

2.91

3.05

3.17

3.26

3.34

3.42

3.47

3.50

Africa
Eastern Africa .............................
Middle Africa..............................
Northern Africa...........................
Southern Africa...........................
Western Africa ............................

2.57
2.94
2.96
1.78
0.78
2.82

2.61
2.96
3.03
1.68
0.86
2.88

2.69
3.00
3.14
1.54
0.85
3.00

2.84
3.10
3.32
1.53
0.91
3.13

2.97
3.19
3.46
1.52
0.98
3.24

3.09
3.24
3.58
1.53
1.02
3.33

3.20
3.31
3.68
1.61
1.04
3.41

3.30
3.36
3.75
1.72
1.06
3.47

3.38
3.41
3.81
1.82
1.08
3.52

3.42
3.43
3.83
1.86
1.09
3.53

Asia (f)
Eastern Asia (f) ...........................
South-Central Asia (g) ................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia......................
Western Asia ...............................

1.05
0.29
1.52
1.36
1.52
1.14
2.02

0.96
0.11
1.44
1.21
1.45
1.05
1.95

0.80
-0.22
1.29
1.02
1.30
0.88
1.84

0.74
-0.47
1.25
1.00
1.26
0.75
1.85

0.71
-0.74
1.20
0.88
1.21
0.66
1.91

0.75
-0.89
1.20
0.84
1.21
0.62
1.99

0.87
-0.95
1.25
0.87
1.27
0.64
2.13

1.04
-0.99
1.36
0.90
1.37
0.71
2.29

1.24
-0.93
1.48
0.95
1.49
0.79
2.43

1.34
-0.91
1.54
0.97
1.56
0.84
2.49

Europe
Eastern Europe ............................
Northern Europe..........................
Southern Europe..........................
Western Europe ...........................

-0.05
-0.37
0.46
0.05
0.09

-0.14
-0.49
0.40
-0.07
0.02

-0.28
-0.64
0.22
-0.22
-0.10

-0.42
-0.81
0.07
-0.37
-0.23

-0.58
-0.98
-0.05
-0.66
-0.33

-0.67
-1.11
-0.12
-0.89
-0.33

-0.69
-1.22
-0.14
-0.92
-0.31

-0.67
-1.19
-0.19
-0.88
-0.34

-0.67
-1.17
-0.21
-0.91
-0.37

-0.68
-1.21
-0.22
-0.92
-0.39

Latin America and Caribbean


Caribbean ....................................
Central America ..........................
South America ............................

1.14
0.81
1.43
1.05

1.06
0.80
1.37
0.97

0.90
0.71
1.24
0.77

0.78
0.66
1.15
0.62

0.70
0.74
1.08
0.51

0.69
0.85
1.12
0.44

0.70
0.95
1.17
0.41

0.76
1.05
1.24
0.43

0.83
1.15
1.32
0.48

0.88
1.20
1.36
0.50

Northern America

0.79

0.72

0.59

0.48

0.41

0.36

0.31

0.24

0.18

0.14

Oceania
Australia/New Zealand ...............
Melanesia ....................................
Micronesia...................................
Polynesia (h) ...............................

1.41
1.12
2.26
1.37
1.03

1.31
0.96
2.26
1.34
1.08

1.15
0.68
2.24
1.16
1.12

1.07
0.48
2.23
1.06
1.07

1.06
0.32
2.24
1.27
1.29

1.10
0.21
2.25
1.34
1.51

1.18
0.15
2.27
1.39
1.57

1.27
0.08
2.28
1.48
1.63

1.38
0.04
2.29
1.59
1.71

1.43
0.01
2.30
1.63
1.74

a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h

156

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Includes other non-specified areas.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2 532 229 3 038 413 3 696 186 4 453 007 4 863 290 5 306 425 5 726 239 6 122 770 6 506 649 6 895 889
811 187
913 330 1 006 421 1 081 094 1 112 951 1 144 404 1 169 451 1 188 809 1 210 897 1 235 900
1 721 042 2 125 083 2 689 765 3 371 913 3 750 339 4 162 021 4 556 788 4 933 961 5 295 752 5 659 989
196 088
243 650
312 030
393 768
447 167
510 107
585 251
661 996
745 291
832 330
1 524 954 1 881 432 2 377 735 2 978 145 3 303 173 3 651 914 3 971 537 4 271 965 4 550 461 4 827 660
1 160 539 1 453 073 1 856 374 2 365 633 2 668 824 2 990 440 3 315 102 3 635 693 3 958 139 4 287 841

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

186 103

230 797

295 971

389 802

448 863

515 593

589 677

669 123

757 513

Africa

229 895

286 729

368 148

482 803

555 276

635 287

720 931

811 101

911 120 1 022 234

Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (2) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

64 757
2 456
156
62
1 141
18 434
6 077
4 084
2 881
493
15
6 442
248
2 072
36
2 264
5 158
7 650
2 340
2 747

81 887
2 940
193
85
1 424
22 553
8 105
5 104
3 525
659
24
7 647
335
2 771
41
2 819
6 788
10 074
3 045
3 752

107 628
3 513
238
162
1 847
28 959
11 252
6 549
4 531
827
37
9 453
462
3 749
52
3 601
9 446
13 605
4 139
5 206

143 575
4 130
329
340
2 469
35 426
16 268
8 609
6 240
964
55
12 146
510
5 179
63
6 436
12 662
18 686
5 775
7 289

166 013
4 851
386
403
2 806
41 078
19 655
9 785
7 268
1 014
71
13 335
560
6 081
67
6 364
14 801
21 848
6 785
8 855

192 801
5 602
438
562
3 158
48 333
23 447
11 281
9 381
1 060
92
13 547
612
7 110
71
6 599
17 700
25 479
7 860
10 469

219 318
6 087
494
627
3 213
57 042
27 426
13 129
9 883
1 137
122
15 933
676
5 570
75
6 525
20 831
29 944
8 919
11 685

251 584
6 374
562
732
3 668
65 578
31 254
15 364
11 229
1 196
149
18 201
739
8 098
79
7 399
24 213
34 038
10 202
12 509

285 713
7 251
643
808
4 486
74 264
35 615
17 886
12 823
1 257
175
20 770
795
9 202
84
8 360
28 431
38 831
11 462
12 571

324 044
8 383
735
889
5 254
82 950
40 513
20 714
14 901
1 299
204
23 391
846
10 624
87
9 331
33 425
44 841
13 089
12 571

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

26 116
4 148
4 466
1 327
2 429
808
12 184
226
469
60

32 013
4 963
5 409
1 504
2 954
1 014
15 368
252
486
64

40 749
5 926
6 842
1 829
3 656
1 335
20 267
291
530
74

53 391
7 638
9 110
2 274
4 554
1 798
27 019
221
683
95

61 698
9 066
10 519
2 627
5 151
2 081
31 044
313
794
104

71 676
10 335
12 181
2 935
6 011
2 389
36 406
374
929
116

84 829
12 105
13 940
3 328
6 998
2 733
44 067
443
1 087
128

96 187
13 926
15 678
3 702
8 222
3 136
49 626
520
1 235
141

110 931
16 489
17 554
4 018
9 786
3 533
57 421
608
1 371
153

126 689
19 082
19 599
4 401
11 227
4 043
65 966
700
1 505
165

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (3) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

52 982
8 753
21 514
1 029
8 953
9 190
3 530
14

67 493
10 800
27 903
1 349
11 626
11 562
4 221
33

86 943
13 746
35 923
1 994
15 310
14 766
5 127
77

113 072
18 811
44 952
3 063
19 567
20 071
6 457
150

129 955
22 098
50 660
3 850
22 291
23 543
7 330
184

146 188
25 299
56 843
4 334
24 781
26 494
8 215
221

161 395
28 292
62 064
4 775
26 929
30 141
8 936
259

176 166
30 534
67 648
5 231
28 793
34 188
9 456
315

192 017
32 888
74 203
5 770
30 392
38 410
9 912
440

209 459
35 468
81 121
6 355
31 951
43 552
10 481
531

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

15 588
413
734
485
13 683
273

19 724
524
852
603
17 396
349

25 454
693
1 033
780
22 502
446

33 000
996
1 310
1 013
29 077
603

37 509
1 183
1 487
1 150
32 983
706

42 093
1 382
1 639
1 415
36 794
863

47 398
1 586
1 795
1 651
41 402
964

51 442
1 758
1 964
1 896
44 760
1 064

54 919
1 876
2 066
2 080
47 793
1 105

57 780
2 007
2 171
2 283
50 133
1 186

Western Africa
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................

70 451
2 255
4 284
178

85 611
2 420
4 882
211

107 374
2 850
5 807
274

139 766
3 611
7 212
300

160 101
4 140
8 170
328

182 529
4 773
9 324
348

207 992
5 651
10 692
395

235 722
6 518
12 294
437

267 540
7 634
14 198
473

304 261
8 850
16 469
496

158

856 327

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

7 284 296 7 656 528 8 321 380 8 874 041 9 306 128 9 615 189 9 827 113 9 968 538 10 062 090 10 124 926 World
1 256 172
6 028 124
930 629
5 097 495

1 273 439
6 383 089
1 035 443
5 347 646

1 296 089
7 025 290
1 256 762
5 768 528

1 306 885
7 567 156
1 489 296
6 077 860

1 311 731
7 994 397
1 726 468
6 267 928

1 310 345
8 304 845
1 958 005
6 346 840

1 309 184
8 517 929
2 175 214
6 342 715

1 313 988
8 654 550
2 371 781
6 282 769

1 323 738
8 738 353
2 543 902
6 194 451

1 334 786
8 790 140
2 690 518
6 099 623

4 627 034 4 963 563 5 600 083 6 174 657 6 668 507 7 064 671 7 365 095 7 580 988 7 729 384 7 825 179
967 357 1 088 812 1 353 772 1 647 278 1 960 102 2 277 259 2 586 767 2 876 501 3 135 614 3 358 050
1 145 316 1 278 199 1 562 047 1 869 561 2 191 599 2 512 188 2 820 005 3 105 039 3 358 296 3 574 141

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
Africa

369 106
9 231
832
975
6 077
92 000
46 332
23 853
17 523
1 334
237
26 162
893
12 295
88
10 607
39 113
52 311
15 242
14 001

418 637
10 057
933
1 066
6 848
101 046
52 564
27 366
20 677
1 361
271
29 177
936
14 042
90
12 237
45 424
61 081
17 918
15 543

526 697
11 441
1 160
1 263
8 394
118 515
65 928
35 333
28 174
1 394
342
35 907
1 006
17 579
92
16 360
59 846
81 852
24 482
17 627

647 971
12 651
1 426
1 447
10 033
133 466
80 975
44 132
37 798
1 395
420
43 021
1 056
21 616
93
21 669
76 438
107 737
33 355
19 243

779 613
13 703
1 700
1 620
11 568
145 187
96 887
53 561
49 719
1 367
493
50 192
1 083
26 003
91
28 217
94 259
138 312
45 037
20 614

915 390 1 051 184 1 182 150 1 304 031 1 414 284
14 379
14 736
14 870
14 807
14 587
2 002
2 305
2 588
2 837
3 047
1 743
1 832
1 889
1 919
1 923
12 859
13 934
14 739
15 245
15 496
153 420
157 446
157 492
154 636
150 140
112 540
127 319
140 524
151 551
160 009
63 179
72 472
80 989
88 296
94 222
63 324
78 638
95 153
112 269
129 502
1 323
1 275
1 227
1 186
1 157
556
609
650
676
688
57 280
63 743
69 335
73 892
77 347
1 098
1 104
1 103
1 096
1 086
30 115
34 039
37 541
40 302
42 316
88
84
80
76
73
35 954
44 652
54 004
63 596
72 976
112 557
130 268
146 386
160 173
171 190
172 232
208 563
245 780
282 219
316 338
59 208
76 198
95 728
117 253
140 348
21 532
21 967
22 074
22 001
21 838

Eastern Africa
Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (1) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Seychelles .........................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (2) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

143 631
21 842
21 816
4 854
12 778
4 508
75 190
802
1 656
182

161 689
24 780
24 117
5 343
14 469
5 003
85 054
905
1 818
200

200 021
30 801
28 811
6 365
18 437
6 169
105 956
1 102
2 146
235

239 561
36 753
33 694
7 394
22 783
7 462
127 441
1 298
2 468
269

278 350
42 334
38 472
8 392
27 252
8 801
148 523
1 493
2 784
299

314 153
47 243
42 871
9 264
31 613
10 125
167 980
1 664
3 071
324

344 757
51 134
46 687
9 954
35 587
11 389
184 539
1 808
3 316
342

368 940
53 887
49 791
10 464
38 988
12 527
197 495
1 923
3 512
352

386 228
55 475
52 123
10 794
41 695
13 481
206 633
2 005
3 665
357

396 869
56 052
53 693
10 954
43 648
14 224
212 113
2 054
3 776
356

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

227 031
37 954
88 179
6 606
33 570
49 072
11 026
624

244 306
40 180
94 810
7 083
35 078
54 919
11 518
718

275 131
43 475
106 498
7 783
37 502
66 856
12 212
805

301 339
45 490
116 232
8 360
38 806
79 056
12 533
863

322 458
46 522
123 452
8 773
39 200
90 962
12 649
901

336 984
46 166
127 730
8 893
38 750
102 055
12 475
915

344 764
44 743
129 251
8 804
37 516
111 525
12 018
906

347 563
43 065
128 441
8 643
35 948
119 025
11 551
890

347 043
41 492
126 277
8 395
34 437
124 360
11 208
873

343 712
39 983
123 227
8 073
33 068
127 621
10 891
848

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (3) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

59 585
2 115
2 286
2 483
51 431
1 269

61 187
2 206
2 395
2 672
52 573
1 341

64 126
2 344
2 566
3 042
54 711
1 462

66 095
2 436
2 692
3 354
56 040
1 573

67 327
2 503
2 788
3 599
56 757
1 679

68 031
2 536
2 842
3 770
57 120
1 763

68 145
2 541
2 860
3 854
57 076
1 815

67 616
2 528
2 862
3 860
56 533
1 833

66 605
2 505
2 863
3 812
55 595
1 829

65 369
2 476
2 874
3 728
54 477
1 813

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

345 963
10 129
19 118
520

392 379
11 523
22 150
544

496 071
14 630
29 112
588

614 595
18 091
37 361
618

743 850
21 734
46 721
632

877 629 1 011 156 1 138 770 1 254 390 1 353 906
25 397
28 904
32 051
34 693
36 752
56 786
67 253
77 687
87 534
96 367
630
612
582
548
520

Western Africa
Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

159

Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Cte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
St. Helena (4) ......................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia (5)

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2 630
271
4 981
3 094
518
911
4 638
657
2 462
37 860
5
2 416
1 895
1 395

3 638
373
6 742
3 541
593
1 116
5 248
854
3 250
45 926
5
3 048
2 187
1 578

5 416
459
8 682
4 154
603
1 440
6 034
1 134
4 373
57 357
5
4 096
2 593
2 097

8 501
630
10 923
4 407
835
1 923
7 246
1 518
5 871
75 543
5
5 414
3 162
2 667

10 495
768
12 872
4 924
922
2 212
8 010
1 748
6 744
85 829
6
6 232
3 541
3 161

12 518
966
14 793
5 759
1 017
2 127
8 673
1 996
7 788
97 552
6
7 242
3 982
3 666

14 677
1 126
16 997
7 565
1 125
2 095
9 825
2 292
9 179
110 015
5
8 369
3 898
4 085

16 582
1 297
19 165
8 344
1 241
2 847
11 295
2 643
10 922
123 689
5
9 506
4 143
4 794

18 021
1 504
21 640
9 041
1 368
3 183
13 177
3 047
12 994
139 823
5
10 872
5 153
5 408

19 738
1 728
24 392
9 982
1 515
3 994
15 370
3 460
15 512
158 423
4
12 434
5 868
6 028

1 403 389 1 707 682 2 134 993 2 637 586 2 906 851 3 199 481 3 470 446 3 719 044 3 944 992 4 164 252

Eastern Asia (5)


China (6) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) ...............
China, Macao SAR (8) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

672 432
550 771
1 974
196
9 737
82 199
780
19 211

801 489
658 270
3 076
171
10 946
92 501
957
25 074

984 073 1 178 587 1 262 663 1 359 149 1 434 912 1 495 281 1 537 343 1 573 970
814 623
983 171 1 056 579 1 145 195 1 213 987 1 269 117 1 307 593 1 341 335
3 958
5 054
5 415
5 794
6 144
6 783
6 810
7 053
251
246
296
360
398
432
481
544
14 247
17 239
18 721
20 143
21 771
22 894
23 746
24 346
103 710
115 915
119 991
122 251
124 487
125 720
126 393
126 536
1 282
1 693
1 926
2 193
2 306
2 411
2 547
2 756
31 443
37 460
40 510
42 980
44 662
45 988
47 044
48 184

South-Central Asia (9)

507 072

620 016

778 832

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

17 499
6 703
1 740
1 532
1 211
6 314

24 403
9 996
2 173
2 082
1 594
8 559

33 177
13 110
2 964
2 942
2 188
11 973

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

489 573
8 151
37 895
168
371 857
17 414
74
8 231
37 542
8 241

595 613
9 671
50 102
226
447 844
21 999
90
9 740
45 920
10 020

745 655
11 965
66 881
302
553 874
28 662
116
11 918
59 383
12 555

944 653 1 065 191 1 195 985 1 329 458 1 460 201 1 584 702 1 704 146
14 186
12 625
13 032
19 790
22 856
27 615
31 412
80 624
92 284
105 256
117 487
129 592
140 588
148 692
431
490
559
519
571
659
726
700 059
784 491
873 785
964 486 1 053 898 1 140 043 1 224 614
38 577
46 497
54 871
59 757
65 342
69 732
73 974
157
187
219
249
273
295
316
15 045
16 936
19 081
21 595
24 401
27 282
29 959
80 493
95 470
111 845
127 347
144 522
158 645
173 593
15 083
16 210
17 337
18 229
18 745
19 843
20 860

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (10) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

172 905
48
4 346
74 837
1 683
6 110
17 158
18 397
1 022
20 607
433
28 264

219 336
80
5 433
91 947
2 130
8 160
20 957
26 010
1 634
27 312
500
35 173

285 163
125
6 938
118 362
2 691
10 909
26 164
35 451
2 074
36 915
604
44 928

359 012
189
6 506
150 820
3 235
13 833
32 865
47 064
2 415
47 483
581
54 023

401 854
219
7 920
168 119
3 648
15 763
36 128
54 053
2 709
52 329
660
60 307

445 361
252
9 532
184 346
4 192
18 209
39 268
61 629
3 017
57 072
743
67 102

485 756
290
11 169
199 400
4 795
20 721
42 133
69 255
3 482
59 650
853
74 008

523 831
327
12 447
213 395
5 317
23 415
44 958
77 310
3 919
63 155
830
78 758

559 881
363
13 358
227 303
5 753
26 100
46 321
85 546
4 266
66 698
1 010
83 161

593 415
399
14 138
239 871
6 201
28 401
47 963
93 261
5 086
69 122
1 124
87 848

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (11) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (12) .........................................

50 979
1 354
2 896
116
494

66 841
1 867
3 894
162
573

86 925
2 518
5 172
212
614

114 021
3 096
6 161
358
686

131 379
3 339
6 670
417
704

148 575
3 545
7 212
493
767

166 919
3 223
7 765
559
855

184 369
3 076
8 111
638
943

205 703
3 066
8 588
725
1 033

231 995
3 092
9 188
1 262
1 104

160

985 965 1 110 955 1 246 396 1 382 859 1 515 563 1 642 065 1 764 872
41 312
14 919
3 627
3 953
2 861
15 952

45 764
15 780
4 013
4 567
3 229
18 174

50 411
16 530
4 395
5 303
3 668
20 515

53 401
15 926
4 592
5 775
4 188
22 919

55 361
14 957
4 955
6 173
4 501
24 776

57 363
15 172
5 042
6 453
4 748
25 947

60 726
16 026
5 334
6 879
5 042
27 445

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

22 015
1 976
27 315
11 317
1 681
4 558
17 819
3 869
18 500
179 791
4
14 161
6 514
6 674

24 503
2 242
30 325
12 765
1 863
5 166
20 537
4 298
22 071
203 869
4
15 998
7 178
7 343

29 823
2 818
36 537
15 946
2 263
6 533
26 784
5 200
30 841
257 815
4
19 963
8 532
8 684

35 301
3 427
42 941
19 414
2 706
8 065
34 100
6 146
41 968
320 341
4
24 269
9 872
9 970

40 674
4 036
49 107
23 006
3 185
9 660
42 130
7 085
55 435
389 615
4
28 607
11 088
11 130

45 563
4 612
54 648
26 533
3 682
11 271
50 535
7 976
70 894
462 103
4
32 762
12 144
12 089

49 623
5 123
59 371
29 814
4 178
12 840
59 009
8 789
87 786
535 498
4
36 558
12 995
12 800

52 766
5 544
63 077
32 664
4 660
14 280
67 095
9 484
105 372
606 865
4
39 768
13 604
13 266

55 011
5 865
65 686
34 963
5 112
15 524
74 352
10 034
122 781
672 522
4
42 276
13 978
13 508

2100 Major area, region and country


56 412
6 084
67 230
36 664
5 518
16 535
80 506
10 434
139 209
729 885
3
44 075
14 154
13 558

4 375 482 4 565 520 4 867 741 5 060 964 5 142 220 5 122 743 5 029 489 4 892 292 4 740 484 4 596 224

Cte d'Ivoire......................................
Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
St. Helena (4) ....................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (5)

1 604 111 1 622 681 1 625 463 1 586 456 1 511 963 1 418 104 1 322 756 1 237 309 1 168 978 1 122 895
1 369 743 1 387 792 1 393 076 1 360 906 1 295 604 1 211 538 1 125 903 1 048 132
984 547
941 042
7 431
7 803
8 483
8 947
9 305
9 567
9 738
9 892
10 105
10 355
601
654
742
797
824
831
821
808
803
810
24 854
25 355
26 180
26 445
26 382
26 161
25 764
25 334
24 925
24 552
126 072
124 804
120 218
114 340
108 549
103 241
98 126
94 365
92 345
91 330
2 975
3 186
3 524
3 818
4 093
4 274
4 418
4 564
4 700
4 831
49 120
49 810
50 335
49 354
47 050
44 254
41 614
39 483
38 040
37 221

Eastern Asia (5)


China (6) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) .............
China, Macao SAR (8) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

1 890 582 2 009 512 2 215 897 2 373 483 2 475 684 2 518 193 2 506 458 2 453 718 2 376 691 2 288 981

South-Central Asia (9)

64 338
16 886
5 627
7 400
5 364
29 060

68 104
17 680
6 012
7 961
5 675
30 776

74 094
18 873
6 666
9 016
6 165
33 375

78 542
20 048
7 263
9 927
6 475
34 829

81 799
21 210
7 768
10 745
6 639
35 438

83 208
22 027
8 149
11 343
6 634
35 054

83 366
22 823
8 474
11 699
6 487
33 883

82 799
23 624
8 740
11 845
6 255
32 335

81 801
24 292
8 997
11 815
5 986
30 712

80 783
24 876
9 258
11 687
5 708
29 254

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

1 826 245 1 941 409 2 141 803 2 294 941 2 393 885 2 434 985 2 423 092 2 370 919 2 294 890 2 208 198
36 735
42 141
53 266
64 784
76 250
86 990
96 124
103 243
108 167
110 879
158 317
167 256
181 863
190 934
194 353
192 384
185 934
176 612
166 450
157 134
784
829
899
943
962
954
921
874
826
782
1 308 221 1 386 909 1 523 482 1 627 029 1 692 008 1 717 969 1 708 200 1 670 462 1 614 974 1 550 899
77 914
81 045
84 439
85 893
85 344
81 684
76 016
70 002
65 353
62 059
337
356
383
398
405
399
379
350
321
300
32 581
35 164
39 943
43 749
46 495
48 094
48 490
47 853
46 527
44 987
189 648
205 364
234 432
257 778
274 875
283 959
285 191
280 415
271 822
261 271
21 709
22 344
23 094
23 433
23 193
22 552
21 837
21 109
20 451
19 888

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

625 987
433
15 015
251 880
6 628
30 714
49 902
101 421
5 375
70 876
1 301
92 443

655 940
465
15 893
262 569
7 045
32 986
51 688
109 742
5 597
72 091
1 510
96 355

705 987
522
17 363
279 659
7 754
37 266
54 331
126 321
5 978
73 321
1 989
101 483

740 898
568
18 361
290 223
8 187
40 800
55 410
141 675
6 145
72 994
2 487
104 047

759 207
602
18 965
293 456
8 384
43 455
55 296
154 939
6 106
71 037
3 006
103 962

762 306
624
19 118
290 257
8 373
45 437
54 223
165 507
6 006
68 262
3 512
100 987

753 929
639
18 788
282 799
8 141
46 701
52 401
172 893
5 887
65 340
3 947
96 391

738 249
649
18 135
273 363
7 751
47 239
50 350
177 082
5 758
62 547
4 302
91 074

719 622
658
17 392
263 482
7 326
47 247
48 504
178 485
5 681
60 093
4 570
86 184

701 323
667
16 661
254 178
6 956
46 946
46 941
177 803
5 659
58 166
4 742
82 604

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (10) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

254 802
3 133
9 750
1 404
1 165

277 387
3 146
10 231
1 508
1 218

320 394
3 105
10 807
1 654
1 301

360 127
3 036
11 274
1 758
1 344

395 367
2 931
11 578
1 801
1 347

424 140
2 796
11 671
1 766
1 327

446 346
2 659
11 747
1 703
1 288

463 015
2 516
11 772
1 658
1 244

475 193
2 403
11 857
1 627
1 211

483 025
2 335
11 976
1 580
1 192

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (11) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (12) .......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

161

Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

3 527
5 719
1 258
449
152
1 443
932
456
25
3 121
3 413
21 238
70
4 316

4 160
7 380
2 090
895
264
1 908
1 069
557
47
4 041
4 567
28 161
90
5 116

4 707
10 022
2 850
1 667
753
2 464
1 125
732
108
5 772
6 368
35 464
232
6 145

5 073
13 744
3 746
2 299
1 377
2 795
1 510
1 181
222
9 801
8 907
44 105
1 016
7 945

5 287
15 477
4 083
2 803
1 742
2 885
1 760
1 539
368
13 220
10 577
49 400
1 349
9 758

5 460
17 374
4 500
3 416
2 088
2 948
2 081
1 868
474
16 139
12 324
54 130
1 809
11 948

5 069
20 288
5 332
4 382
1 628
3 463
2 596
2 232
501
18 492
14 171
58 865
2 349
15 148

4 746
23 857
6 015
4 827
1 941
3 742
3 199
2 264
591
20 045
15 989
63 628
3 033
17 723

4 477
27 359
6 605
5 342
2 264
4 052
3 556
2 430
821
24 041
18 484
68 143
4 069
20 649

4 352
31 672
7 418
6 187
2 737
4 228
4 039
2 782
1 759
27 448
20 411
72 752
7 512
24 053

547 287

603 854

655 879

692 869

706 800

720 497

727 422

726 777

730 736

738 199

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

220 123
7 745
7 251
8 876
9 338
24 824
2 341
16 311
102 702
3 437
37 298

252 787
8 190
7 867
9 522
9 983
29 033
3 004
18 407
119 906
4 094
42 783

276 227
9 040
8 490
9 789
10 315
32 529
3 595
20 253
130 392
4 509
47 317

294 929
9 659
8 862
10 262
10 699
35 577
4 010
22 201
138 655
4 962
50 044

303 677
9 999
8 960
10 301
10 543
37 202
4 215
22 725
143 642
5 142
50 949

310 543
10 260
8 819
10 303
10 376
38 056
4 364
23 207
148 244
5 270
51 645

309 882
10 274
8 357
10 319
10 331
38 392
4 339
22 681
148 699
5 369
51 122

304 172
10 058
8 006
10 243
10 211
38 302
4 107
22 192
146 758
5 405
48 892

297 758
9 825
7 739
10 221
10 087
38 165
3 767
21 772
143 843
5 415
46 924

294 771
9 595
7 494
10 493
9 984
38 277
3 573
21 486
142 958
5 462
45 448

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (17) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (18) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

78 035
102
4 268
1 101
32
4 009
143
2 913
55
1 949
2 567
3 265
7 014
50 616

81 930
109
4 580
1 216
34
4 430
176
2 829
48
2 132
2 770
3 581
7 480
52 544

87 352
121
4 929
1 365
39
4 606
204
2 963
57
2 366
3 137
3 877
8 043
55 645

89 900
128
5 123
1 473
43
4 779
228
3 418
65
2 513
3 430
4 086
8 310
56 303

90 724
133
5 114
1 526
45
4 902
241
3 534
64
2 582
3 562
4 153
8 350
56 517

92 114
140
5 141
1 568
48
4 986
255
3 531
70
2 664
3 696
4 241
8 559
57 214

93 222
142
5 233
1 441
43
5 108
267
3 611
72
2 492
3 629
4 359
8 827
57 997

94 347
145
5 340
1 371
46
5 173
281
3 804
77
2 385
3 500
4 491
8 860
58 874

96 318
149
5 419
1 346
48
5 244
297
4 158
80
2 306
3 416
4 623
9 029
60 203

99 205
153
5 550
1 341
49
5 365
320
4 470
83
2 252
3 324
4 883
9 380
62 036

Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (19) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (20) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (21) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ........................

108 332
1 215
6
2 661
3 850
20
7 566
1
46 367
312
399
8 417
13
6 732
1 473
28 070
1 230

117 371
1 611
13
3 180
4 045
22
8 333
1
49 519
313
467
8 883
15
7 583
1 580
30 413
1 392

126 764
2 136
24
3 564
4 169
25
8 793
1
53 325
304
519
8 684
19
8 173
1 670
33 792
1 568

137 668
2 671
37
3 914
4 377
27
9 643
1
56 221
327
576
9 786
21
8 946
1 832
37 495
1 795

140 702
2 957
47
4 122
4 471
27
9 934
1
56 772
349
576
9 962
23
9 272
1 883
38 476
1 828

142 408
3 289
53
4 308
4 517
27
10 161
1
56 832
368
609
9 925
24
9 569
1 927
38 889
1 909

143 616
3 141
65
3 332
4 669
27
10 672
1
56 968
387
643
10 125
26
10 204
1 966
39 427
1 963

145 147
3 072
65
3 694
4 506
27
10 987
1
56 986
397
633
10 336
27
10 134
1 985
40 288
2 009

150 228
3 142
78
3 781
4 442
29
11 183
0
58 671
409
627
10 544
30
9 856
2 002
43 395
2 038

155 171
3 204
85
3 760
4 403
29
11 359
0
60 551
417
631
10 676
32
9 856
2 030
46 077
2 061

Georgia (13) ........................................


Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
Europe

162

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

4 225
36 977
8 061
6 797
3 087
4 385
4 648
3 059
2 033
30 538
22 184
77 003
8 374
27 980

4 080
42 684
8 666
7 366
3 394
4 516
5 317
3 290
2 199
33 535
24 079
80 753
9 174
32 232

3 760
55 257
9 816
8 415
4 012
4 701
6 755
3 603
2 371
38 481
27 859
86 665
10 489
41 342

3 456
68 950
10 955
9 289
4 633
4 749
8 230
3 749
2 524
42 183
30 921
90 302
11 518
51 256

3 186
83 357
12 029
9 882
5 164
4 678
9 727
3 740
2 612
44 938
33 051
91 617
12 152
61 577

2 958
97 895
12 961
10 192
5 559
4 508
11 153
3 611
2 597
46 291
34 464
90 800
12 172
71 418

2 754
111 941
13 763
10 249
5 845
4 270
12 412
3 430
2 507
46 214
35 016
88 478
11 738
80 334

2 577
124 854
14 435
10 104
6 072
4 015
13 468
3 249
2 388
45 291
34 701
85 426
11 242
88 002

2 452
136 098
14 957
9 830
6 259
3 788
14 286
3 052
2 275
44 013
33 785
82 227
10 831
94 243

2 367
145 276
15 312
9 495
6 371
3 612
14 868
2 839
2 162
42 427
32 623
79 200
10 357
99 032

742 067

744 177

741 233

731 826

719 257

702 347

686 745

677 700

674 657

674 796

292 236
9 441
7 252
10 634
9 903
38 357
3 453
21 240
142 229
5 506
44 222

289 165
9 282
7 001
10 741
9 825
38 375
3 358
20 970
141 022
5 545
43 047

279 544
8 883
6 455
10 798
9 644
37 835
3 147
20 291
136 429
5 547
40 515

267 987
8 438
5 935
10 676
9 415
36 372
2 905
19 458
131 280
5 406
38 100

256 946
8 001
5 459
10 638
9 243
34 906
2 661
18 535
126 188
5 241
36 074

245 566
7 579
4 986
10 558
9 073
33 554
2 478
17 430
120 761
5 059
34 086

234 992
7 218
4 592
10 360
8 868
31 874
2 303
16 345
116 248
4 827
32 357

227 653
6 970
4 336
10 260
8 735
30 459
2 143
15 568
113 330
4 643
31 210

223 891
6 831
4 198
10 298
8 696
29 810
2 026
15 111
111 785
4 561
30 576

221 966
6 760
4 131
10 324
8 672
29 454
1 958
14 839
111 057
4 516
30 254

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

101 892
155
5 647
1 337
50
5 450
339
4 732
85
2 210
3 252
5 054
9 647
63 935

104 524
156
5 736
1 329
51
5 526
358
4 968
86
2 169
3 190
5 230
9 924
65 802

109 254
157
5 885
1 296
53
5 619
390
5 356
87
2 073
3 068
5 574
10 379
69 314

112 162
155
5 938
1 258
55
5 619
414
5 707
86
1 977
2 931
5 841
10 656
71 525

114 036
152
5 920
1 233
55
5 611
431
6 038
85
1 902
2 813
6 063
10 916
72 817

115 225
149
5 910
1 201
55
5 636
444
6 274
83
1 823
2 705
6 269
11 138
73 538

116 168
148
5 926
1 167
56
5 674
454
6 455
82
1 739
2 592
6 461
11 316
74 097

117 210
149
5 954
1 150
56
5 723
463
6 658
81
1 685
2 508
6 652
11 511
74 620

118 276
152
5 986
1 146
56
5 781
472
6 870
81
1 663
2 471
6 823
11 692
75 082

119 439
156
6 032
1 145
55
5 842
480
7 046
81
1 650
2 453
6 964
11 859
75 676

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Faeroe Islands ...................................
Finland (17) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Isle of Man ........................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (18) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

157 446
3 258
92
3 716
4 361
29
11 492
0
61 241
423
634
10 702
33
9 807
2 053
47 532
2 073

158 478
3 294
98
3 647
4 311
29
11 569
0
61 290
428
636
10 623
33
9 718
2 066
48 661
2 073

158 548
3 290
112
3 473
4 185
29
11 621
0
60 851
431
633
10 309
34
9 479
2 059
49 998
2 043

157 554
3 179
125
3 237
4 024
28
11 661
0
60 182
424
621
9 918
34
9 177
2 029
50 938
1 976

155 227
2 990
137
2 952
3 859
28
11 647
0
59 158
415
604
9 379
34
8 797
1 994
51 354
1 881

149 816
2 762
146
2 665
3 699
27
11 476
0
57 399
407
583
8 676
34
8 369
1 946
49 857
1 770

143 862
2 502
153
2 391
3 550
26
11 277
0
55 768
399
559
7 994
33
7 924
1 898
47 738
1 649

139 935
2 230
158
2 152
3 435
26
11 189
0
55 137
391
535
7 447
33
7 516
1 868
46 280
1 537

137 874
2 007
161
1 982
3 361
25
11 162
0
55 161
389
515
7 045
32
7 195
1 856
45 532
1 451

136 856
1 863
162
1 877
3 317
25
11 109
0
55 619
394
499
6 754
32
6 956
1 846
45 011
1 391

Southern Europe
Albania..............................................
Andorra .............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Gibraltar ............................................
Greece ...............................................
Holy See (19) ....................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
San Marino........................................
Serbia (20) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (21) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country


Georgia (13) ......................................
Iraq ....................................................
Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

163

Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
Latin America and Caribbean

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

140 798
6 936
8 628
41 832
68 376
14
296
20
10 027
4 668

151 766
7 043
9 152
45 689
72 815
17
314
22
11 418
5 296

165 535
7 466
9 625
50 763
78 169
21
339
24
12 959
6 169

170 372
7 549
9 847
53 880
78 289
25
364
26
14 088
6 303

171 697
7 560
9 840
55 281
77 685
27
367
29
14 453
6 455

175 432
7 671
9 949
56 708
79 098
29
381
31
14 892
6 674

180 702
7 936
10 080
57 845
81 929
31
408
33
15 422
7 019

183 111
8 005
10 176
59 048
82 349
33
435
35
15 863
7 168

186 431
8 232
10 414
60 997
82 541
35
457
35
16 305
7 415

189 052
8 394
10 712
62 787
82 302
36
507
35
16 613
7 664

167 368

220 058

286 377

362 326

402 393

443 032

482 647

521 429

557 038

590 082

Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (23) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ..............................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
US Virgin Islands ................................

17 084
5
46
38
79
211
7
6
5 920
51
2 380
77
210
3 221
1 403
222
14
112
2 218
46
83
67
636
5
27

20 725
6
55
54
110
231
8
8
7 134
60
3 309
90
276
3 868
1 629
282
12
135
2 359
51
90
81
841
6
33

25 325
6
66
59
169
239
10
10
8 702
71
4 512
94
320
4 710
1 869
326
12
159
2 716
45
104
90
968
6
64

29 695
7
70
60
211
249
11
17
9 812
75
5 794
89
327
5 688
2 132
326
12
173
3 196
43
118
100
1 078
8
98

31 903
7
66
63
235
254
13
20
10 069
74
6 482
100
355
6 395
2 297
341
11
182
3 379
42
126
104
1 173
10
105

34 205
8
62
62
256
260
16
26
10 570
71
7 195
96
386
7 125
2 365
359
11
191
3 529
41
138
107
1 215
12
103

36 439
10
69
80
280
263
18
33
10 901
71
7 916
100
405
7 878
2 462
370
10
190
3 702
43
147
108
1 261
15
107

38 441
11
78
90
298
268
20
40
11 104
70
8 592
102
427
8 645
2 582
385
5
180
3 814
46
157
108
1 292
19
109

40 177
14
84
101
319
271
22
52
11 254
69
9 264
103
446
9 347
2 682
397
6
186
3 782
49
165
109
1 315
31
109

41 646
15
89
107
343
273
23
56
11 258
68
9 927
104
461
9 993
2 741
406
6
201
3 749
52
174
109
1 341
38
109

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

37 889
69
966
2 200
3 146
1 487
27 866
1 295
860

51 678
93
1 334
2 773
4 159
2 000
38 419
1 773
1 128

69 591
122
1 820
3 736
5 448
2 688
51 868
2 398
1 510

91 779
144
2 343
4 656
7 036
3 628
68 776
3 242
1 953

102 085
166
2 692
4 996
7 955
4 226
76 175
3 697
2 180

113 249
190
3 070
5 333
8 923
4 889
84 307
4 121
2 416

124 600
220
3 469
5 733
10 016
5 575
92 273
4 637
2 677

135 555
251
3 919
5 940
11 237
6 218
99 960
5 074
2 956

145 384
281
4 309
6 051
12 717
6 879
106 484
5 424
3 238

155 881
312
4 659
6 193
14 389
7 601
113 423
5 788
3 517

South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................

112 395
17 150
2 714
53 975
6 082
12 000
3 387
2
25
407
1 473
7 632
215

147 655
20 625
3 355
72 759
7 652
16 005
4 439
2
32
560
1 906
9 929
290

191 461
23 983
4 217
96 078
9 578
21 330
5 972
2
49
721
2 483
13 187
372

240 852
28 131
5 353
121 712
11 179
26 875
7 958
2
68
777
3 195
17 287
366

268 405
30 354
5 957
136 247
12 107
29 994
9 091
2
87
752
3 698
19 460
376

295 577
32 642
6 658
149 650
13 188
33 203
10 261
2
117
725
4 244
21 686
407

321 608
34 855
7 471
161 848
14 409
36 453
11 385
2
139
728
4 795
23 827
436

347 433
36 931
8 307
174 425
15 420
39 764
12 345
3
165
733
5 344
25 862
467

371 477
38 681
9 147
185 987
16 302
43 041
13 426
3
202
746
5 898
27 559
499

392 555
40 412
9 930
194 946
17 114
46 295
14 465
3
231
754
6 455
29 077
525

164

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

190 494
8 463
10 867
64 413
81 471
37
543
35
16 850
7 814

192 010
8 515
11 001
65 874
80 988
39
577
35
17 039
7 942

193 888
8 590
11 242
68 467
79 469
42
638
36
17 311
8 094

194 123
8 558
11 436
70 681
77 305
43
683
36
17 344
8 037

193 048
8 427
11 587
72 442
74 781
45
708
36
17 151
7 870

191 740
8 244
11 721
73 953
72 371
46
721
36
16 984
7 663

191 723
8 091
11 905
75 554
70 886
48
729
37
17 001
7 472

192 902
7 972
12 144
77 287
70 228
49
734
38
17 112
7 339

194 616
7 875
12 385
78 886
70 145
50
737
39
17 230
7 270

196 536
7 805
12 588
80 288
70 392
50
740
40
17 381
7 252

622 437

652 182

701 606

734 748

750 956

753 236

745 186

729 113

708 723

687 517

43 041
17
93
109
363
276
24
59
11 231
68
10 553
107
471
10 654
2 790
411
6
208
3 742
56
183
109
1 363
41
108

44 322
17
97
111
383
279
25
60
11 173
68
11 121
108
479
11 311
2 828
414
6
212
3 747
59
190
110
1 373
43
106

46 363
18
105
112
415
281
27
63
10 983
69
12 060
108
490
12 528
2 842
414
7
213
3 754
63
201
111
1 354
45
102

47 386
19
109
109
434
275
28
64
10 556
67
12 679
103
489
13 504
2 751
403
7
207
3 726
67
206
113
1 329
46
96

47 314
18
112
104
445
264
28
62
9 898
65
12 942
95
476
14 178
2 569
382
7
198
3 657
68
205
113
1 288
46
92

46 852
18
112
99
450
253
28
60
9 111
63
13 075
90
460
14 722
2 454
359
7
184
3 561
69
202
111
1 230
44
90

46 058
17
112
96
451
242
28
58
8 388
60
13 070
86
448
15 004
2 378
341
7
170
3 434
68
195
108
1 167
42
88

44 986
17
111
93
449
233
27
58
7 824
58
12 897
81
440
15 019
2 305
326
7
159
3 291
67
186
104
1 108
41
85

43 722
16
110
90
448
227
27
58
7 360
55
12 597
78
431
14 852
2 230
311
7
151
3 148
65
176
100
1 064
40
83

42 464
16
108
88
449
223
27
59
7 022
53
12 231
75
424
14 566
2 166
301
7
147
3 024
64
169
96
1 031
38
80

Caribbean
Anguilla.............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ........................
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
British Virgin Islands ........................
Cayman Islands.................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominica...........................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (23) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Montserrat .........................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ............................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ..................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

166 487
344
4 988
6 385
16 325
8 392
120 058
6 213
3 783

176 389
377
5 272
6 610
18 382
9 179
125 928
6 603
4 038

193 747
439
5 694
7 093
22 726
10 657
135 398
7 240
4 502

207 037
490
5 929
7 438
27 192
11 934
141 523
7 661
4 870

215 569
529
6 001
7 607
31 595
12 939
143 925
7 846
5 128

219 603
557
5 932
7 667
35 765
13 682
142 775
7 954
5 271

220 897
572
5 760
7 594
39 422
14 109
140 175
7 938
5 327

219 598
575
5 514
7 389
42 377
14 220
136 421
7 783
5 320

216 193
567
5 248
7 093
44 569
14 083
131 835
7 536
5 262

211 695
555
5 019
6 783
46 036
13 789
127 081
7 261
5 170

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

412 909
42 177
10 738
203 294
17 868
49 367
15 446
3
262
763
7 029
30 760
548

431 471
43 856
11 591
210 433
18 540
52 185
16 355
3
295
773
7 601
32 435
569

461 496
46 761
13 391
220 492
19 536
56 856
17 893
3
365
795
8 670
35 492
602

480 325
49 019
15 166
224 431
20 024
60 058
18 973
3
436
791
9 585
37 668
617

488 073
50 560
16 769
222 843
20 059
61 764
19 549
3
506
766
10 323
38 832
614

486 781
51 296
18 106
216 886
19 713
62 367
19 810
3
566
768
10 905
39 293
611

478 231
51 291
19 099
207 906
19 152
62 090
19 756
3
617
759
11 285
39 076
601

464 529
50 778
19 720
197 206
18 475
61 119
19 423
3
661
739
11 457
38 297
586

448 808
50 033
20 001
186 678
17 774
59 701
18 913
3
695
715
11 467
37 162
568

433 359
49 201
20 021
177 349
17 185
58 137
18 319
3
721
693
11 364
35 911
551

South America
Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)..............
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country


Western Europe
Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Liechtenstein .....................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Monaco .............................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................
Latin America and Caribbean

165

Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

2 239
5 094

2 538
7 562

2 809
10 681

2 915
15 036

3 011
17 269

3 109
19 685

3 223
22 035

3 319
24 348

3 323
26 664

3 369
28 980

Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ......................
United States of America ....................

171 615
37
13 737
23
5
157 813

204 318
45
17 909
33
5
186 326

231 284
52
21 717
46
5
209 464

254 454
56
24 516
50
6
229 825

267 079
58
25 843
53
6
241 120

281 162
60
27 701
56
6
253 339

295 749
61
29 302
56
6
266 324

313 289
63
30 667
56
6
282 496

329 231
64
32 283
57
6
296 820

344 529
65
34 017
57
6
310 384

12 675

15 773

19 506

22 970

24 891

26 967

29 044

31 130

33 532

36 593

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

10 085
8 177
1 908

12 658
10 286
2 372

15 548
12 728
2 820

17 857
14 710
3 147

19 081
15 812
3 269

20 494
17 096
3 398

21 793
18 118
3 675

23 022
19 164
3 858

24 538
20 404
4 134

26 637
22 268
4 368

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

2 199
289
65
1 708
90
48

2 620
393
78
1 967
118
64

3 306
521
105
2 435
160
85

4 338
635
142
3 215
229
116

4 943
712
155
3 678
269
130

5 512
728
170
4 158
310
147

6 207
776
191
4 716
356
168

6 996
812
212
5 379
409
185

7 830
823
231
6 095
470
211

8 748
861
251
6 858
538
240

Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................

148
60
26
13
32
3
7
7

184
67
33
15
45
4
10
10

242
85
44
20
61
6
13
11

302
107
55
31
73
7
17
12

358
119
63
38
86
8
30
14

418
134
72
47
96
9
44
15

466
146
77
51
107
10
58
17

496
155
84
52
107
10
68
19

519
169
92
52
109
10
67
20

536
180
100
54
111
10
61
20

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................

242
19
15
61
5
82
2
47
5
7

311
20
18
79
5
110
2
62
6
9

409
27
21
111
5
142
2
84
7
9

474
33
18
151
3
155
2
93
8
11

508
39
18
174
3
157
2
94
9
14

543
47
18
195
2
161
2
95
9
14

578
53
18
216
2
168
2
96
9
14

615
58
18
238
2
177
2
98
9
14

645
63
19
255
2
180
1
101
10
14

673
68
20
271
1
183
1
104
10
14

Oceania

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
2 Including Zanzibar.
3 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
4 Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
5 Includes other non-specified areas.
6 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
7 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
8 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
10 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
11 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
12 Including Northern-Cyprus.

166

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

3 428
31 226

3 495
33 340

3 601
37 040

3 659
39 896

3 663
41 821

3 643
42 814

3 599
42 998

3 536
42 529

3 464
41 632

3 396
40 507

Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

359 638
66
35 624
57
6
323 885

374 394
66
37 163
57
6
337 102

401 657
67
39 850
55
6
361 680

425 467
66
41 882
53
6
383 460

446 862
65
43 642
50
6
403 101

466 270
64
45 101
48
6
421 050

484 690
64
46 271
46
6
438 302

501 289
64
47 206
44
6
453 968

515 233
65
47 906
42
6
467 215

526 428
65
48 290
41
6
478 026

Northern America
Bermuda............................................
Canada...............................................
Greenland..........................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ....................
United States of America ..................

39 355

42 056

47 096

51 475

55 233

58 405

60 997

63 106

64 697

65 819

28 394
23 793
4 601

30 065
25 241
4 824

32 982
27 771
5 211

35 252
29 768
5 483

37 063
31 385
5 678

38 487
32 660
5 827

39 623
33 662
5 961

40 634
34 541
6 093

41 502
35 289
6 212

42 232
35 908
6 323

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

9 691
896
270
7 645
610
270

10 660
923
287
8 464
684
303

12 670
958
314
10 185
841
371

14 690
992
333
11 919
1 005
442

16 585
1 017
344
13 549
1 163
513

18 271
1 032
348
15 008
1 305
578

19 672
1 037
348
16 224
1 426
637

20 735
1 033
344
17 150
1 522
685

21 444
1 022
339
17 770
1 590
723

21 832
1 005
334
18 113
1 630
751

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

570
191
107
59
114
11
66
21

602
202
116
62
119
11
71
22

661
222
132
67
129
11
76
25

703
236
145
73
136
11
76
26

726
245
156
75
139
11
73
28

751
252
164
79
149
11
68
28

766
256
168
83
157
11
62
29

769
257
169
86
160
10
57
29

764
255
167
88
161
10
53
28

755
252
164
88
161
10
50
28

Micronesia
Guam.................................................
Kiribati ..............................................
Marshall Islands ................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............
Nauru.................................................
Northern Mariana Islands .................
Palau..................................................

700
74
21
285
1
188
1
106
10
13

728
81
21
298
1
191
1
111
10
13

783
95
22
318
1
200
1
121
11
13

830
108
23
328
1
213
1
131
12
13

859
120
24
330
1
219
1
138
13
13

897
132
24
326
1
236
1
149
14
12

937
142
23
317
1
260
2
164
16
12

968
149
23
305
1
282
2
176
18
12

987
154
22
293
1
299
2
186
19
11

1 001
158
21
281
1
313
2
193
20
11

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa...............................
Cook Islands......................................
French Polynesia...............................
Niue...................................................
Samoa................................................
Tokelau..............................................
Tonga.................................................
Tuvalu ...............................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands .................

Oceania

Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.


Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

167

Table A.10. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country:
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
Africa

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

6 895 889 7 350 953 7 832 370 8 776 486 9 679 064 10 614 318 11 546 322 12 498 658 13 525 786 14 630 726 15 804 873
1 235 900 1 266 530 1 299 737
5 659 989 6 084 422 6 532 633
832 330
938 720 1 058 102
4 827 660 5 145 702 5 474 531

1 359 746 1 411 555


7 416 740 8 267 509
1 322 727 1 617 641
6 094 013 6 649 869

1 478 333
9 135 985
1 951 801
7 184 184

1 555 196
9 991 126
2 312 909
7 678 216

1 641 501
10 857 157
2 696 099
8 161 058

1 753 661 1 889 510 2 037 371


11 772 125 12 741 216 13 767 503
3 101 031 3 521 211 3 954 217
8 671 094 9 220 005 9 813 286

4 287 841 4 670 339 5 080 402 5 915 463 6 751 340 7 622 453 8 489 178 9 358 709 10 256 573 11 183 728 12 142 392
856 327

975 299

1 111 208 1 420 704 1 782 155 2 204 177 2 670 938 3 176 503 3 715 951 4 275 705 4 849 323

1 022 234 1 155 067 1 305 420 1 641 422 2 025 831 2 469 755 2 955 291 3 476 382 4 031 276 4 607 712 5 198 432

Eastern Africa
Burundi .....................................
Comoros....................................
Djibouti .....................................
Eritrea........................................
Ethiopia .....................................
Kenya ........................................
Madagascar ...............................
Malawi ......................................
Mauritius (1) .............................
Mayotte .....................................
Mozambique .............................
Runion .....................................
Rwanda .....................................
Seychelles .................................
Somalia .....................................
Uganda ......................................
UR Tanzania (2) .......................
Zambia ......................................
Zimbabwe .................................

324 044
8 383
735
889
5 254
82 950
40 513
20 714
14 901
1 299
204
23 391
846
10 624
87
9 331
33 425
44 841
13 089
12 571

372 196
9 311
839
984
6 132
92 787
46 736
24 057
17 659
1 347
240
26 378
901
12 396
89
10 681
39 420
52 735
15 360
14 145

427 460
10 280
952
1 090
7 000
103 324
53 693
27 958
21 072
1 395
276
29 788
957
14 322
92
12 447
46 312
62 293
18 253
15 956

553 402
12 055
1 217
1 331
8 834
125 327
69 295
37 168
29 411
1 477
360
37 772
1 062
18 392
98
17 008
62 644
85 664
25 525
18 762

702 239
13 783
1 541
1 573
10 899
146 063
87 951
47 940
40 534
1 532
458
46 797
1 154
23 268
102
23 063
82 424
116 161
35 698
21 297

878 820 1 076 406 1 294 279 1 531 000 1 781 769 2 045 083
15 607
17 207
18 650
20 065
21 404
22 698
1 911
2 346
2 829
3 339
3 865
4 395
1 837
2 076
2 301
2 526
2 741
2 946
13 090
15 230
17 361
19 437
21 380
23 223
166 036
184 442
200 003
213 459
225 412
236 594
109 699
133 323
158 587
184 904
211 431
237 631
60 605
74 724
89 982
106 100
122 535
139 061
55 207
72 889
94 225
119 106
147 154
178 363
1 575
1 619
1 670
1 735
1 820
1 926
558
658
757
852
941
1 021
56 982
68 095
79 658
91 562
103 497
115 363
1 238
1 323
1 410
1 503
1 603
1 710
29 074
35 084
41 514
48 192
54 630
60 850
105
107
110
114
119
125
30 992
40 860
52 658
66 381
81 696
98 259
105 617
131 450
159 254
188 229
217 417
246 361
154 836
200 707
254 001
314 003
379 357
448 955
49 841
67 809
90 652
118 658
151 717
190 158
24 009
26 455
28 654
30 835
33 051
35 444

Middle Africa
Angola.......................................
Cameroon..................................
Central African Rep. .................
Chad ..........................................
Congo........................................
DR Congo .................................
Equatorial Guinea .....................
Gabon........................................
Sao Tome and Principe .............

126 689
19 082
19 599
4 401
11 227
4 043
65 966
700
1 505
165

144 777
22 018
22 005
4 894
12 874
4 546
75 775
808
1 672
184

164 934
25 285
24 640
5 455
14 741
5 108
86 716
922
1 862
205

209 830
32 367
30 326
6 693
19 276
6 482
111 016
1 153
2 268
248

259 481
39 935
36 699
8 040
24 534
8 103
137 769
1 404
2 702
295

313 955
47 971
43 744
9 529
30 494
9 965
167 040
1 683
3 186
343

370 631
56 099
51 130
11 036
36 904
12 003
197 412
1 965
3 690
391

427 738
63 972
58 720
12 519
43 559
14 204
227 872
2 250
4 206
437

484 241
71 493
66 411
13 983
50 320
16 515
257 771
2 537
4 730
480

538 954
78 513
74 053
15 402
56 987
18 863
286 537
2 816
5 263
521

591 582
85 086
81 591
16 765
63 463
21 206
314 024
3 088
5 801
559

Northern Africa
Algeria.......................................
Egypt .........................................
Libya .........................................
Morocco ....................................
Sudan (3) ..................................
Tunisia.......................................
Western Sahara..........................

209 459
35 468
81 121
6 355
31 951
43 552
10 481
531

229 246
38 355
89 053
6 678
33 911
49 478
11 140
630

250 281
41 244
97 158
7 270
35 986
56 069
11 819
735

290 987
46 119
112 734
8 247
39 819
70 269
12 949
850

329 378
49 853
127 472
9 151
42 566
85 702
13 695
939

368 239
53 340
141 809
10 015
44 953
102 662
14 438
1 023

404 812
55 901
154 621
10 668
47 015
120 459
15 056
1 093

438 091
57 650
166 109
11 166
48 398
138 212
15 411
1 144

471 164
59 773
176 918
11 701
49 819
155 840
15 912
1 201

504 844
62 435
187 620
12 227
51 752
172 836
16 709
1 265

538 125
65 288
198 425
12 705
53 839
189 015
17 530
1 323

Southern Africa
Botswana...................................
Lesotho......................................
Namibia.....................................
South Africa ..............................
Swaziland..................................

57 780
2 007
2 171
2 283
50 133
1 186

60 185
2 137
2 309
2 507
51 949
1 282

62 774
2 265
2 458
2 738
53 937
1 376

68 286
2 499
2 736
3 228
58 264
1 559

73 449
2 709
3 000
3 687
62 303
1 750

79 083
2 939
3 290
4 146
66 736
1 972

84 835
3 158
3 563
4 574
71 349
2 190

90 710
3 371
3 833
4 945
76 164
2 397

96 827
3 604
4 126
5 284
81 216
2 596

103 071
3 855
4 450
5 602
86 376
2 789

109 746
4 124
4 823
5 905
91 905
2 989

Western Africa
Benin .........................................
Burkina Faso .............................
Cape Verde ................................

304 261
8 850
16 469
496

348 664
10 210
19 265
525

399 972
11 753
22 565
559

518 918
15 329
30 387
626

661 283
19 516
40 052
684

168

829 657 1 018 607 1 225 563 1 448 043 1 679 074 1 913 896
24 340
29 646
35 301
41 169
47 051
52 822
51 832
65 435
80 780
97 692
115 607
134 103
736
777
809
836
867
906

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.10. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Cte d'Ivoire..............................
Gambia......................................
Ghana ........................................
Guinea .......................................
Guinea-Bissau ...........................
Liberia .......................................
Mali ...........................................
Mauritania .................................
Niger .........................................
Nigeria.......................................
St. Helena (4) ............................
Senegal......................................
Sierra Leone ..............................
Togo ..........................................
Asia (5)

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

19 738
1 728
24 392
9 982
1 515
3 994
15 370
3 460
15 512
158 423
4
12 434
5 868
6 028

22 202
1 993
27 548
11 407
1 695
4 595
17 952
3 901
18 630
181 157
4
14 282
6 566
6 733

25 032
2 290
30 975
13 018
1 900
5 269
20 913
4 386
22 449
207 688
4
16 340
7 324
7 506

31 394
2 963
38 427
16 707
2 369
6 846
27 951
5 457
32 078
269 266
4
20 990
8 965
9 159

38 372
3 718
46 603
20 953
2 915
8 707
36 576
6 649
44 741
343 878
5
26 326
10 720
10 868

46 056
4 557
55 488
25 782
3 561
10 833
46 794
7 972
60 956
433 229
5
32 298
12 553
12 665

53 999
5 445
64 601
31 012
4 291
13 186
58 357
9 385
80 670
534 273
5
38 673
14 416
14 437

61 825
6 350
73 742
36 486
5 095
15 729
71 117
10 858
103 711
646 078
5
45 300
16 256
16 120

69 544
7 257
82 817
42 079
5 977
18 406
84 773
12 371
129 774
767 533
5
52 014
18 049
17 747

4 164 252 4 416 790 4 673 808 5 142 515 5 537 614 5 898 284

2090

2100

77 042
84 268
8 141
8 989
91 584
99 948
47 608
52 964
6 917
7 900
21 131
23 848
98 838
112 982
13 875
15 343
158 144
188 143
894 601 1 024 518
5
6
58 601
64 973
19 767
21 418
19 295
20 765

6 211 109 6 501 293 6 807 706 7 145 770 7 521 997

Eastern Asia (5)


China (6) ...................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) .....
China, Macao SAR (8) .............
DPR Korea ................................
Japan .........................................
Mongolia ...................................
Rep. of Korea ............................

1 573 970 1 618 720 1 659 422 1 711 143 1 725 358 1 723 057 1 713 827 1 713 562 1 737 913 1 791 927 1 874 267
1 341 335 1 382 444 1 419 761 1 467 433 1 481 942 1 479 310 1 467 737 1 464 195 1 480 767 1 521 329 1 586 939
7 053
7 501
7 982
8 919
9 622
10 353
11 133
11 847
12 652
13 693
14 834
544
607
671
781
859
921
972
1 011
1 057
1 123
1 206
24 346
25 068
25 931
27 677
28 898
30 336
31 927
33 485
35 527
37 818
40 233
126 536
127 010
127 100
125 560
122 775
121 476
121 958
123 002
126 559
133 361
141 749
2 756
3 007
3 270
3 729
4 176
4 697
5 169
5 665
6 260
6 899
7 598
48 184
49 551
50 890
52 900
53 340
53 017
52 826
52 961
54 015
56 362
59 577

South-Central Asia (9)

1 764 872 1 908 934 2 058 604 2 345 672 2 607 365 2 853 881 3 066 754 3 253 478 3 428 122 3 598 416 3 772 645

Central Asia
Kazakhstan................................
Kyrgyzstan ................................
Tajikistan...................................
Turkmenistan ............................
Uzbekistan.................................
Southern Asia
Afghanistan ...............................
Bangladesh................................
Bhutan .......................................
India ..........................................
Iran ............................................
Maldives....................................
Nepal .........................................
Pakistan .....................................
Sri Lanka...................................

60 726
16 026
5 334
6 879
5 042
27 445

65 004
17 053
5 687
7 474
5 421
29 369

69 878
18 110
6 172
8 165
5 826
31 605

78 578
19 917
7 065
9 570
6 549
35 477

86 269
21 893
7 998
10 921
7 124
38 333

94 362
24 313
8 996
12 411
7 671
40 970

101 450
26 616
9 979
13 816
8 114
42 926

108 135
29 232
11 061
15 102
8 457
44 283

115 412
32 302
12 235
16 359
8 800
45 716

122 985
35 491
13 536
17 529
9 148
47 281

131 151
38 907
14 980
18 678
9 505
49 082

1 704 146 1 843 930 1 988 727 2 267 094 2 521 097 2 759 519 2 965 304 3 145 343 3 312 710 3 475 430 3 641 494
31 412
36 992
42 891
55 607
69 532
84 826
100 775
116 465
131 626
145 803
158 738
148 692
159 976
171 698
193 494
211 307
226 325
237 708
246 619
254 868
263 917
275 080
726
792
850
955
1 040
1 114
1 169
1 208
1 244
1 287
1 340
1 224 614 1 320 769 1 420 342 1 612 029 1 788 097 1 952 664 2 096 026 2 223 492 2 341 556 2 455 132 2 569 745
73 974
78 855
83 433
89 908
94 747
98 932
100 473
100 728
101 723
104 553
109 195
316
341
367
410
441
470
488
495
499
506
521
29 959
32 919
36 104
42 554
48 515
54 213
59 312
63 791
67 866
71 748
75 819
173 593
191 378
210 189
247 779
281 781
314 272
341 769
363 895
383 325
400 837
417 464
20 860
21 909
22 852
24 358
25 638
26 703
27 585
28 650
30 004
31 647
33 590

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam....................
Cambodia ..................................
Indonesia ...................................
Lao PDR....................................
Malaysia (10) ............................
Myanmar ...................................
Philippines.................................
Singapore ..................................
Thailand ....................................
Timor-Leste...............................
Viet Nam ...................................

593 415
399
14 138
239 871
6 201
28 401
47 963
93 261
5 086
69 122
1 124
87 848

631 974
438
15 168
254 406
6 694
30 996
50 401
102 375
5 421
71 523
1 310
93 242

671 966
478
16 312
269 148
7 229
33 750
53 003
112 367
5 714
73 748
1 537
98 680

747 812
555
18 463
296 485
8 257
39 347
57 674
133 668
6 276
77 401
2 080
107 606

812 945
626
20 253
319 282
9 048
44 434
60 824
155 360
6 612
79 744
2 673
114 089

872 811
694
21 964
338 518
9 736
49 313
63 608
177 841
6 811
81 431
3 351
119 545

926 137
758
23 402
354 342
10 304
54 152
66 169
199 844
7 048
82 978
4 079
123 063

974 927 1 025 661 1 081 125 1 141 696


821
889
962
1 044
24 510
25 544
26 629
27 811
368 654
384 061
401 717
421 748
10 704
11 053
11 432
11 892
58 651
62 996
67 392
71 777
68 172
70 576
73 820
77 378
220 698
240 543
259 431
277 556
7 284
7 556
7 985
8 506
84 952
87 951
91 952
96 941
4 789
5 489
6 164
6 788
125 693
129 003
133 641
140 254

Western Asia
Armenia.....................................
Azerbaijan (11) .........................
Bahrain......................................
Cyprus (12) ...............................

231 995
3 092
9 188
1 262
1 104

257 162
3 165
9 853
1 416
1 176

283 816
3 226
10 488
1 539
1 247

337 888
3 284
11 386
1 729
1 374

391 946
3 336
12 307
1 892
1 461

448 535
3 398
13 274
2 021
1 530

504 390
3 450
14 121
2 084
1 590

559 326
3 531
15 172
2 138
1 637

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

616 009
3 644
16 355
2 233
1 700

674 302
3 805
17 743
2 354
1 788

733 390
4 031
19 353
2 475
1 897

169

Table A.10. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

4 352
31 672
7 418
6 187
2 737
4 228
4 039
2 782
1 759
27 448
20 411
72 752
7 512
24 053

4 264
37 288
8 129
6 862
3 115
4 429
4 688
3 087
2 043
30 827
22 390
77 771
8 445
28 213

4 175
43 578
8 846
7 546
3 469
4 632
5 434
3 367
2 224
34 353
24 661
82 763
9 356
32 912

3 967
58 005
10 295
8 917
4 213
4 989
7 112
3 803
2 436
40 702
29 535
91 772
10 941
43 428

3 789
74 531
11 831
10 195
5 006
5 224
8 930
4 091
2 645
46 083
33 934
98 920
12 296
55 474

3 696
93 533
13 511
11 350
5 786
5 413
10 981
4 270
2 810
51 271
37 909
105 159
13 398
69 227

3 664
114 493
15 218
12 337
6 505
5 546
13 151
4 360
2 886
55 499
41 596
110 188
13 972
83 730

3 683
136 932
16 953
13 164
7 193
5 642
15 344
4 427
2 909
58 682
44 708
114 394
14 192
98 624

3 770
160 563
18 774
13 910
7 915
5 781
17 565
4 533
2 921
61 640
47 375
119 064
14 484
113 782

3 926
184 713
20 628
14 623
8 686
5 984
19 740
4 651
2 957
64 652
49 814
124 420
14 957
128 862

4 137
208 786
22 475
15 339
9 463
6 257
21 848
4 771
3 011
67 671
52 236
130 400
15 459
143 780

738 199

748 362

759 920

778 206

791 813

814 017

839 816

871 610

920 546

984 394 1 056 358

Eastern Europe
Belarus ......................................
Bulgaria.....................................
Czech Rep. ................................
Hungary.....................................
Poland .......................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ................
Romania ....................................
Russian Federation....................
Slovakia.....................................
Ukraine......................................

294 771
9 595
7 494
10 493
9 984
38 277
3 573
21 486
142 958
5 462
45 448

294 978
9 530
7 311
10 729
9 990
38 723
3 489
21 430
143 588
5 559
44 629

295 891
9 500
7 143
10 979
10 043
39 296
3 445
21 435
144 334
5 679
44 038

294 537
9 366
6 769
11 346
10 157
39 933
3 335
21 336
143 742
5 856
42 697

291 971
9 213
6 442
11 531
10 218
39 522
3 204
21 140
143 228
5 873
41 601

294 849
9 229
6 260
11 984
10 482
39 748
3 122
21 180
145 257
5 958
41 628

299 514
9 316
6 115
12 533
10 881
40 572
3 111
21 178
147 784
6 101
41 923

306 805
9 529
6 094
12 989
11 270
41 024
3 132
21 334
152 461
6 193
42 779

321 411
9 991
6 296
13 704
11 846
42 209
3 205
22 080
160 854
6 400
44 827

341 846
10 613
6 651
14 721
12 656
44 705
3 331
23 291
171 476
6 792
47 610

365 572
11 356
7 111
15 757
13 508
47 444
3 520
24 791
183 928
7 219
50 938

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) .................
Denmark....................................
Estonia.......................................
Faeroe Islands ...........................
Finland (17) ...............................
Iceland.......................................
Ireland .......................................
Isle of Man ................................
Latvia ........................................
Lithuania ...................................
Norway (18) ..............................
Sweden......................................
United Kingdom........................

99 205
153
5 550
1 341
49
5 365
320
4 470
83
2 252
3 324
4 883
9 380
62 036

102 706
156
5 689
1 349
50
5 491
342
4 774
85
2 230
3 281
5 094
9 721
64 444

106 651
159
5 845
1 359
52
5 632
365
5 077
88
2 219
3 265
5 333
10 119
67 138

114 656
164
6 172
1 363
56
5 885
410
5 621
91
2 185
3 241
5 843
10 876
72 749

121 210
167
6 414
1 364
59
6 055
447
6 157
93
2 148
3 194
6 295
11 477
77 341

128 440
170
6 672
1 403
62
6 308
484
6 764
96
2 174
3 224
6 794
12 244
82 045

136 602
176
7 029
1 447
65
6 672
524
7 357
99
2 213
3 301
7 369
13 122
87 230

145 356
184
7 450
1 494
70
7 083
564
7 948
103
2 250
3 371
7 977
14 024
92 838

155 858
197
7 966
1 580
74
7 594
610
8 656
110
2 352
3 518
8 681
15 128
99 393

168 217
214
8 584
1 694
79
8 206
663
9 468
118
2 508
3 752
9 472
16 397
107 063

181 696
233
9 265
1 813
84
8 864
720
10 307
127
2 670
3 999
10 296
17 741
115 575

Southern Europe
Albania......................................
Andorra .....................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...........
Croatia.......................................
Gibraltar ....................................
Greece .......................................
Holy See (19) ............................
Italy ...........................................
Malta .........................................
Montenegro ...............................
Portugal .....................................
San Marino................................
Serbia (20) .................................
Slovenia.....................................
Spain (21) ..................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ..............

155 171
3 204
85
3 760
4 403
29
11 359
0
60 551
417
631
10 676
32
9 856
2 030
46 077
2 061

158 739
3 292
93
3 749
4 397
30
11 586
0
61 706
427
640
10 790
33
9 892
2 070
47 943
2 092

161 654
3 380
101
3 730
4 401
30
11 799
0
62 435
437
651
10 841
34
9 932
2 108
49 654
2 121

165 941
3 496
117
3 660
4 395
31
12 159
0
63 549
453
668
10 814
35
9 990
2 157
52 263
2 153

169 509
3 500
134
3 525
4 364
31
12 539
0
64 525
461
678
10 715
37
10 009
2 184
54 657
2 151

173 943
3 473
151
3 385
4 396
31
13 041
1
65 918
471
691
10 584
38
10 085
2 239
57 285
2 152

176 841
3 432
168
3 265
4 470
32
13 507
1
67 263
487
707
10 381
40
10 192
2 303
58 443
2 149

180 048
3 367
184
3 168
4 583
33
14 019
1
69 032
506
724
10 234
41
10 342
2 375
59 290
2 149

187 315
3 327
199
3 141
4 791
35
14 811
1
72 511
530
748
10 318
43
10 643
2 498
61 537
2 183

198 215
3 354
216
3 202
5 079
37
15 803
1
77 442
564
782
10 638
46
11 100
2 661
65 036
2 254

211 079
3 461
230
3 331
5 422
39
16 840
1
83 205
610
822
11 098
49
11 678
2 837
69 095
2 360

Georgia (13) ..............................


Iraq ............................................
Israel..........................................
Jordan........................................
Kuwait.......................................
Lebanon.....................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) .
Oman.........................................
Qatar..........................................
Saudi Arabia..............................
Syrian Arab Rep........................
Turkey .......................................
United Arab Emirates ...............
Yemen .......................................
Europe

170

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.10. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Western Europe
Austria.......................................
Belgium.....................................
France........................................
Germany....................................
Liechtenstein .............................
Luxembourg ..............................
Monaco .....................................
Netherlands ...............................
Switzerland ...............................
Latin America and Caribbean

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

189 052
8 394
10 712
62 787
82 302
36
507
35
16 613
7 664

191 939
8 530
10 950
64 908
82 077
38
548
36
16 975
7 877

195 723
8 689
11 215
67 158
82 533
40
589
36
17 361
8 103

203 071
9 019
11 776
71 711
83 195
43
670
37
18 129
8 490

209 124
9 240
12 319
76 150
83 239
47
738
39
18 691
8 662

216 785
9 478
12 989
81 273
84 084
50
794
40
19 247
8 829

226 859
9 774
13 812
87 141
86 021
54
849
43
20 092
9 073

239 402
10 139
14 764
93 693
89 203
58
905
46
21 235
9 359

255 961
10 640
15 935
101 554
94 291
63
966
50
22 670
9 791

276 116
11 285
17 305
110 472
101 085
69
1 038
54
24 394
10 415

298 011
12 006
18 737
119 947
108 629
74
1 115
59
26 306
11 138

975 797 1 030 032 1 088 553 1 153 538

590 082

628 520

668 251

743 496

809 187

868 827

923 042

Caribbean
Anguilla.....................................
Antigua and Barbuda ................
Aruba.........................................
Bahamas....................................
Barbados ...................................
British Virgin Islands ................
Cayman Islands.........................
Cuba ..........................................
Dominica...................................
Dominican Rep. ........................
Grenada .....................................
Guadeloupe (23) ........................
Haiti...........................................
Jamaica......................................
Martinique.................................
Montserrat .................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ..........
Puerto Rico................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ....................
St. Lucia ....................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
Trinidad and Tobago .................
Turks and Caicos Islands ..........
US Virgin Islands ......................

41 646
15
89
107
343
273
23
56
11 258
68
9 927
104
461
9 993
2 741
406
6
201
3 749
52
174
109
1 341
38
109

43 435
17
94
110
367
279
25
59
11 323
68
10 658
108
475
10 753
2 817
414
6
210
3 776
56
185
110
1 377
41
109

45 358
18
100
113
392
285
26
62
11 406
70
11 400
111
489
11 582
2 899
422
7
216
3 834
60
196
112
1 408
44
108

49 031
19
111
118
438
295
29
66
11 540
73
12 803
115
515
13 271
3 021
434
7
223
3 966
67
214
118
1 435
47
107

52 076
20
120
118
474
299
30
69
11 484
74
14 050
114
530
14 836
3 057
437
8
224
4 088
73
227
125
1 463
51
105

54 739
21
129
119
506
301
32
70
11 329
75
15 148
113
540
16 316
3 047
434
8
224
4 222
78
239
132
1 498
53
105

57 523
22
137
121
538
305
33
72
11 129
78
16 268
114
554
17 845
3 126
433
8
221
4 362
83
249
138
1 524
54
109

60 500
22
146
125
569
313
35
74
11 087
80
17 424
118
574
19 262
3 276
439
9
219
4 510
88
258
144
1 560
56
113

63 766
23
155
131
603
325
37
79
11 317
83
18 576
122
604
20 570
3 462
452
9
224
4 688
92
267
151
1 616
58
117

67 324
25
166
138
644
342
40
85
11 740
87
19 756
128
640
21 831
3 671
470
10
232
4 904
98
279
158
1 696
62
123

71 268
26
177
147
690
365
42
93
12 369
92
21 004
136
681
23 050
3 916
495
11
246
5 173
104
292
167
1 798
65
129

Central America
Belize ........................................
Costa Rica .................................
El Salvador................................
Guatemala .................................
Honduras ...................................
Mexico ......................................
Nicaragua ..................................
Panama......................................

155 881
312
4 659
6 193
14 389
7 601
113 423
5 788
3 517

168 143
347
5 038
6 455
16 478
8 475
121 250
6 280
3 819

180 804
387
5 405
6 799
18 816
9 410
129 072
6 782
4 133

205 468
467
6 032
7 581
24 014
11 300
143 600
7 716
4 758

228 154
541
6 515
8 291
29 766
13 135
156 042
8 521
5 344

249 404
613
6 915
8 934
36 104
14 907
166 825
9 201
5 906

268 745
680
7 233
9 543
42 833
16 587
175 558
9 892
6 418

288 119
741
7 512
10 099
49 711
18 116
184 474
10 549
6 917

307 913
798
7 790
10 606
56 570
19 492
194 070
11 155
7 432

328 296
851
8 114
11 095
63 307
20 767
204 441
11 753
7 967

349 928
906
8 533
11 631
69 897
22 004
216 033
12 386
8 538

South America
Argentina...................................
Bolivia.......................................
Brazil.........................................
Chile..........................................
Colombia...................................
Ecuador .....................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)......
French Guiana...........................
Guyana ......................................
Paraguay....................................
Peru ...........................................
Suriname ...................................

392 555
40 412
9 930
194 946
17 114
46 295
14 465
3
231
754
6 455
29 077
525

416 942
42 570
10 837
205 319
18 034
49 849
15 598
3
264
770
7 097
31 057
553

442 089
44 889
11 862
215 711
18 975
53 467
16 759
3
302
793
7 787
33 225
582

488 996
49 430
14 156
233 891
20 638
60 232
18 970
3
385
846
9 182
37 587
637

528 957
53 728
16 618
247 840
21 915
66 089
20 922
3
472
876
10 528
41 334
677

564 684
58 092
19 208
259 173
23 016
71 341
22 649
3
570
897
11 874
44 573
709

596 774
62 267
21 795
268 337
23 956
76 195
24 284
4
668
956
13 207
47 551
747

627 177
66 281
24 296
276 960
24 879
80 899
25 833
4
764
1 009
14 476
50 202
784

658 354
70 483
26 689
286 382
25 934
85 696
27 341
4
864
1 061
15 681
52 689
823

692 934
75 060
28 979
298 320
27 182
90 761
28 898
4
966
1 118
16 850
55 192
866

732 342
80 044
31 194
313 551
28 713
96 274
30 556
5
1 068
1 181
18 006
57 821
912

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

171

Table A.10. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

Uruguay.....................................
Venezuela ..................................

3 369
28 980

3 458
31 533

3 572
34 160

3 801
39 238

4 008
43 944

4 214
48 363

4 439
52 367

4 683
56 108

4 956
59 749

5 264
63 474

5 612
67 407

Northern America
Bermuda....................................
Canada.......................................
Greenland..................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ............
United States of America ..........

344 529
65
34 017
57
6
310 384

362 528
66
35 913
58
6
326 485

382 024
67
37 925
58
6
343 966

421 374
70
41 789
58
6
379 451

458 975
71
45 087
58
7
413 753

501 324
73
48 791
58
7
452 395

548 248
77
52 796
60
7
495 309

598 064
81
56 785
62
8
541 127

653 580
87
61 218
65
8
592 202

714 146
94
66 114
69
9
647 861

776 793
102
71 045
74
10
705 563

36 593

39 687

42 948

49 474

55 644

62 111

68 816

75 512

82 646

90 151

97 754

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ............................
New Zealand .............................

26 637
22 268
4 368

28 631
23 992
4 638

30 693
25 770
4 923

34 607
29 139
5 468

37 991
32 077
5 914

41 516
35 139
6 376

45 173
38 298
6 876

48 825
41 424
7 401

52 976
44 955
8 021

57 609
48 885
8 724

62 470
52 997
9 473

Melanesia
Fiji .............................................
New Caledonia..........................
Papua New Guinea....................
Solomon Islands........................
Vanuatu .....................................

8 748
861
251
6 858
538
240

9 776
905
273
7 711
615
273

10 894
945
294
8 648
699
309

13 343
1 014
332
10 722
884
391

15 979
1 090
363
12 956
1 090
480

18 781
1 172
390
15 330
1 310
578

21 655
1 256
416
17 766
1 536
681

24 514
1 340
439
20 188
1 761
787

27 310
1 426
463
22 548
1 981
892

29 994
1 515
488
24 802
2 192
997

32 542
1 603
516
26 934
2 390
1 099

Micronesia
Guam.........................................
Kiribati ......................................
Marshall Islands ........................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .......
Nauru.........................................
Northern Mariana Islands .........
Palau..........................................

536
180
100
54
111
10
61
20

575
193
108
59
115
11
67
21

616
206
119
63
121
11
72
23

698
234
140
71
136
12
80
26

767
258
159
79
148
12
83
29

829
282
177
85
159
12
83
31

904
306
196
93
180
13
82
34

976
331
213
104
199
14
81
36

1 046
356
227
114
215
14
81
38

1 116
382
242
124
231
15
82
40

1 188
409
255
133
247
16
85
43

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.......................
Cook Islands..............................
French Polynesia.......................
Niue...........................................
Samoa........................................
Tokelau......................................
Tonga.........................................
Tuvalu .......................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands .........

673
68
20
271
1
183
1
104
10
14

706
75
21
288
1
189
1
107
10
13

744
82
22
306
1
195
1
113
10
13

826
100
24
337
1
211
1
127
12
14

907
118
25
360
1
232
1
142
13
14

985
137
27
381
1
250
2
157
15
15

1 084
158
29
399
1
284
2
178
18
15

1 197
178
30
416
1
328
2
205
21
16

1 314
199
32
434
2
374
2
232
24
16

1 432
219
33
454
2
419
3
259
27
17

1 553
239
35
477
2
464
3
286
30
18

Oceania

a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

172

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
Includes other non-specified areas.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

173

Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country:
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
Africa

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

6 895 889 7 217 275 7 480 225 7 867 332 8 096 725

8 112 191

7 940 112 7 624 235 7 191 850 6 691 274 6 177 378

1 235 900 1 245 813 1 247 140


5 659 989 5 971 462 6 233 085
832 330
922 537 1 012 784
4 827 660 5 048 925 5 220 301

1 157 559
6 954 632
1 517 378
5 437 253

1 095 230
6 844 882
1 642 492
5 202 391

1 232 471
6 634 862
1 190 957
5 443 904

1 204 263
6 892 461
1 364 617
5 527 844

1 029 404
962 506
895 340
830 115
6 594 831 6 229 344 5 795 934 5 347 263
1 732 671 1 782 151 1 793 130 1 771 626
4 862 160 4 447 194 4 002 804 3 575 637

4 287 841 4 583 365 4 846 263 5 285 615 5 618 738 5 797 705 5 827 871 5 721 175 5 492 839 5 181 194 4 827 318
856 327

959 414 1 066 416 1 286 987 1 515 806 1 731 743 1 923 233 2 078 979 2 187 567 2 245 386 2 254 281

1 022 234 1 135 565 1 250 978 1 482 834 1 717 227 1 931 855

2 115 104 2 257 071 2 348 286 2 387 588 2 378 387

Eastern Africa
Burundi .....................................
Comoros....................................
Djibouti .....................................
Eritrea........................................
Ethiopia .....................................
Kenya ........................................
Madagascar ...............................
Malawi ......................................
Mauritius (1) .............................
Mayotte .....................................
Mozambique .............................
Runion .....................................
Rwanda .....................................
Seychelles .................................
Somalia .....................................
Uganda ......................................
UR Tanzania (2) .......................
Zambia ......................................
Zimbabwe .................................

324 044
8 383
735
889
5 254
82 950
40 513
20 714
14 901
1 299
204
23 391
846
10 624
87
9 331
33 425
44 841
13 089
12 571

366 017
9 151
826
967
6 023
91 212
45 929
23 649
17 386
1 321
235
25 946
885
12 195
87
10 532
38 805
51 887
15 124
13 856

409 815
9 834
914
1 042
6 697
98 768
51 435
26 774
20 282
1 328
265
28 567
914
13 762
88
12 028
44 535
59 869
17 583
15 131

500 045
10 827
1 104
1 195
7 956
111 709
62 571
33 504
26 939
1 313
324
34 046
950
16 767
87
15 712
57 054
78 052
23 441
16 494

595 076
11 546
1 313
1 324
9 185
121 142
74 209
40 441
35 123
1 264
384
39 346
961
19 996
85
20 300
70 592
99 545
31 066
17 255

686 922
11 933
1 502
1 418
10 143
125 834
84 975
47 021
44 531
1 179
432
43 862
941
23 105
79
25 575
83 580
122 813
40 485
17 515

770 895
11 873
1 690
1 448
10 735
126 089
94 011
52 896
54 556
1 071
465
47 613
901
25 598
71
31 416
95 433
146 467
51 289
17 272

842 457
11 443
1 852
1 433
11 002
121 855
100 741
57 589
64 883
955
483
50 183
850
27 523
63
37 485
105 118
169 132
63 355
16 513

896 750
10 744
1 966
1 379
10 925
113 376
104 706
60 704
74 867
838
487
51 373
789
28 695
54
43 344
111 803
189 209
76 122
15 368

932 153
9 869
2 028
1 296
10 532
102 112
105 778
62 064
83 971
728
475
51 236
719
28 984
46
48 628
115 218
205 458
88 955
14 056

948 761
8 887
2 039
1 194
9 901
89 969
104 045
61 775
91 706
635
449
49 914
649
28 458
39
52 978
115 345
216 854
101 230
12 693

Middle Africa
Angola.......................................
Cameroon..................................
Central African Rep. .................
Chad ..........................................
Congo........................................
DR Congo .................................
Equatorial Guinea .....................
Gabon........................................
Sao Tome and Principe .............

126 689
19 082
19 599
4 401
11 227
4 043
65 966
700
1 505
165

142 484
21 667
21 627
4 815
12 682
4 470
74 606
796
1 641
181

158 445
24 276
23 595
5 231
14 197
4 897
83 393
888
1 774
195

190 241
29 240
27 302
6 038
17 600
5 858
100 910
1 050
2 023
221

220 198
33 663
30 783
6 766
21 074
6 841
117 390
1 196
2 242
243

245 146
37 095
33 588
7 340
24 207
7 720
131 208
1 316
2 414
258

263 664
39 377
35 556
7 696
26 829
8 453
141 565
1 395
2 529
265

274 068
40 299
36 553
7 800
28 694
9 002
147 450
1 433
2 575
263

275 777
39 834
36 538
7 668
29 668
9 315
148 518
1 431
2 552
253

269 516
38 134
35 609
7 343
29 763
9 378
145 191
1 390
2 473
236

256 780
35 533
33 939
6 868
29 051
9 204
138 298
1 318
2 354
216

Northern Africa
Algeria.......................................
Egypt .........................................
Libya .........................................
Morocco ....................................
Sudan (3) ..................................
Tunisia.......................................
Western Sahara..........................

209 459
35 468
81 121
6 355
31 951
43 552
10 481
531

224 817
37 554
87 304
6 534
33 229
48 666
10 912
618

238 332
39 117
92 462
6 895
34 170
53 770
11 217
701

259 296
40 832
100 276
7 319
35 185
63 449
11 476
759

273 981
41 218
105 359
7 578
35 091
72 561
11 386
788

280 136
40 233
106 691
7 606
33 813
80 024
10 981
788

277 443
37 683
104 445
7 317
31 463
85 571
10 207
757

266 774
34 037
99 035
6 802
28 351
88 681
9 164
704

249 811
29 977
90 992
6 182
24 859
89 092
8 067
642

229 187
26 031
81 645
5 482
21 400
86 986
7 067
577

207 002
22 407
71 934
4 748
18 336
82 896
6 171
510

Southern Africa
Botswana...................................
Lesotho......................................
Namibia.....................................
South Africa ..............................
Swaziland..................................

57 780
2 007
2 171
2 283
50 133
1 186

58 985
2 094
2 263
2 459
50 912
1 257

59 600
2 148
2 332
2 606
51 209
1 306

59 976
2 190
2 396
2 857
51 168
1 365

59 007
2 172
2 395
3 027
50 012
1 401

56 680
2 104
2 331
3 093
47 740
1 412

53 645
2 000
2 219
3 063
44 970
1 393

49 960
1 865
2 070
2 944
41 742
1 339

45 562
1 707
1 901
2 740
37 964
1 249

40 811
1 541
1 734
2 485
33 912
1 140

36 124
1 376
1 580
2 215
29 929
1 024

Western Africa
Benin .........................................
Burkina Faso .............................
Cape Verde ................................

304 261
8 850
16 469
496

343 262
10 048
18 972
515

384 785
11 292
21 735
530

473 276
13 932
27 840
550

568 963
16 698
34 729
555

662 971
19 284
41 885
540

749 457
21 550
48 870
507

823 813
23 347
55 328
457

880 386
24 496
60 785
394

915 920
24 949
64 862
329

929 721
24 742
67 349
273

174

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Cte d'Ivoire..............................
Gambia......................................
Ghana ........................................
Guinea .......................................
Guinea-Bissau ...........................
Liberia .......................................
Mali ...........................................
Mauritania .................................
Niger .........................................
Nigeria.......................................
St. Helena (4) ............................
Senegal......................................
Sierra Leone ..............................
Togo ..........................................
Asia (5)

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

19 738
1 728
24 392
9 982
1 515
3 994
15 370
3 460
15 512
158 423
4
12 434
5 868
6 028

21 828
1 959
27 082
11 228
1 668
4 522
17 686
3 838
18 370
178 425
4
14 040
6 461
6 616

23 974
2 194
29 675
12 513
1 827
5 063
20 161
4 210
21 692
200 050
4
15 655
7 032
7 179

28 256
2 673
34 651
15 186
2 157
6 221
25 621
4 943
29 606
246 388
4
18 939
8 099
8 211

32 310
3 143
39 368
17 913
2 501
7 437
31 680
5 655
39 254
297 318
4
22 260
9 045
9 094

35 655
3 548
43 149
20 398
2 831
8 558
37 719
6 252
50 183
348 396
4
25 150
9 716
9 703

38 028
3 861
45 747
22 487
3 129
9 539
43 384
6 707
61 868
396 217
3
27 446
10 107
10 005

39 221
4 065
47 095
24 034
3 380
10 332
48 360
7 005
73 573
438 376
3
29 035
10 208
9 994

39 192
4 141
47 063
24 889
3 565
10 863
52 215
7 115
84 419
471 814
3
29 744
10 004
9 684

38 130
4 096
45 767
25 033
3 681
11 105
54 683
7 042
93 651
494 308
2
29 595
9 546
9 139

36 273
3 952
43 464
24 538
3 726
11 071
55 710
6 819
100 691
505 014
2
28 733
8 922
8 441

4 164 252 4 333 812 4 456 773 4 593 575 4 602 379 4 457 562 4 189 424 3 835 105 3 427 049 3 008 905 2 623 609

Eastern Asia (5)


China (6) ...................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) .....
China, Macao SAR (8) .............
DPR Korea ................................
Japan .........................................
Mongolia ...................................
Rep. of Korea ............................

1 573 970 1 589 503 1 585 940 1 539 901 1 452 733 1 321 336
1 341 335 1 357 041 1 355 822 1 318 826 1 244 685 1 130 211
7 053
7 361
7 624
8 047
8 282
8 330
544
595
638
703
736
736
24 346
24 640
24 779
24 683
24 046
22 771
126 536
125 134
122 507
114 881
106 047
96 568
2 756
2 943
3 102
3 318
3 470
3 539
48 184
48 689
48 730
47 772
45 447
41 531

South-Central Asia (9)

1 764 872 1 872 230 1 960 421 2 086 578 2 149 334 2 134 341 2 049 459 1 904 378 1 715 334 1 507 814 1 304 769

Central Asia
Kazakhstan................................
Kyrgyzstan ................................
Tajikistan...................................
Turkmenistan ............................
Uzbekistan.................................
Southern Asia
Afghanistan ...............................
Bangladesh................................
Bhutan .......................................
India ..........................................
Iran ............................................
Maldives....................................
Nepal .........................................
Pakistan .....................................
Sri Lanka...................................

60 726
16 026
5 334
6 879
5 042
27 445

63 671
16 719
5 566
7 326
5 308
28 751

66 330
17 250
5 853
7 756
5 524
29 947

69 615
17 830
6 267
8 462
5 781
31 275

71 031
18 252
6 558
8 961
5 842
31 418

70 293
18 352
6 652
9 212
5 693
30 383

1 165 311 1 005 820


993 144
852 695
8 187
7 947
708
663
21 169
19 394
86 870
77 254
3 489
3 376
36 772
32 140

67 342
17 990
6 564
9 179
5 352
28 256

62 905
17 448
6 353
8 869
4 868
25 367

853 787
718 298
7 650
611
17 440
68 665
3 226
27 951

57 406
16 737
6 033
8 308
4 288
22 041

719 013
598 875
7 338
563
15 514
61 407
3 056
24 297

51 583
15 878
5 681
7 593
3 688
18 743

613 202
505 842
7 059
527
13 808
55 213
2 881
21 355

46 107
14 939
5 337
6 843
3 127
15 861

1 704 146 1 808 559 1 894 091 2 016 963 2 078 303 2 064 048 1 982 117 1 841 472 1 657 927 1 456 231 1 258 662
31 412
36 478
41 392
50 928
60 129
68 141
74 433
78 348
79 600
78 369
75 017
148 692
156 657
162 814
170 286
171 556
165 966
154 554
138 460
119 354
99 827
82 344
726
776
808
844
851
826
773
694
600
507
423
1 224 614 1 295 672 1 353 476 1 435 285 1 473 122 1 457 433 1 396 006 1 294 883 1 164 705 1 021 374
880 334
73 974
76 973
78 657
78 985
77 392
73 214
65 880
56 414
46 417
37 998
31 397
316
333
345
357
358
347
323
286
239
192
154
29 959
32 243
34 224
37 343
39 200
39 578
38 609
36 328
32 935
28 913
24 936
173 593
187 919
200 540
221 103
234 396
238 538
233 311
219 755
199 757
176 629
153 363
20 860
21 509
21 835
21 833
21 300
20 004
18 227
16 304
14 322
12 422
10 695

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam....................
Cambodia ..................................
Indonesia ...................................
Lao PDR....................................
Malaysia (10) ............................
Myanmar ...................................
Philippines.................................
Singapore ..................................
Thailand ....................................
Timor-Leste...............................
Viet Nam ...................................

593 415
399
14 138
239 871
6 201
28 401
47 963
93 261
5 086
69 122
1 124
87 848

619 643
429
14 862
249 355
6 562
30 432
49 402
100 466
5 330
70 228
1 292
91 285

639 464
453
15 474
255 991
6 860
32 221
50 372
107 117
5 480
70 434
1 482
93 580

664 184
489
16 264
262 902
7 251
35 185
50 989
118 992
5 681
69 255
1 898
95 278

671 162
512
16 526
262 331
7 351
37 229
50 081
128 441
5 684
66 508
2 304
94 195

655 578
518
16 234
252 677
7 152
37 985
47 592
133 923
5 450
61 714
2 679
89 652

621 077
509
15 433
235 436
6 714
37 705
43 801
135 510
5 092
55 803
2 995
82 078

573 275
490
14 133
213 334
6 060
36 561
39 273
133 208
4 708
49 627
3 209
72 672

516 498
464
12 472
188 866
5 236
34 540
34 435
127 198
4 311
43 409
3 311
62 254

456 810
435
10 760
164 108
4 393
31 873
29 783
118 316
3 929
37 500
3 306
52 407

400 628
408
9 181
141 214
3 662
29 014
25 785
107 898
3 604
32 395
3 204
44 263

Western Asia
Armenia.....................................
Azerbaijan (11) .........................
Bahrain......................................
Cyprus (12) ...............................

231 995
3 092
9 188
1 262
1 104

252 436
3 100
9 647
1 392
1 154

270 948
3 067
9 973
1 477
1 189

302 912
2 926
10 229
1 579
1 228

329 150
2 749
10 286
1 628
1 229

346 307
2 512
10 047
1 600
1 180

353 578
2 241
9 561
1 490
1 099

351 632
1 960
8 959
1 345
999

341 431
1 667
8 251
1 213
888

325 267
1 411
7 591
1 096
785

305 010
1 212
6 967
967
701

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

175

Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

4 352
31 672
7 418
6 187
2 737
4 228
4 039
2 782
1 759
27 448
20 411
72 752
7 512
24 053

4 186
36 666
7 993
6 732
3 059
4 340
4 607
3 030
2 019
30 250
21 977
76 235
8 303
27 747

3 985
41 791
8 487
7 185
3 320
4 399
5 199
3 213
2 165
32 717
23 497
78 743
8 991
31 551

3 553
52 515
9 337
7 913
3 811
4 409
6 399
3 403
2 297
36 263
26 187
81 564
10 038
39 258

3 139
63 503
10 097
8 408
4 271
4 286
7 546
3 417
2 397
38 390
27 991
81 917
10 766
47 131

2 733
73 817
10 647
8 533
4 589
4 011
8 555
3 258
2 417
39 142
28 594
79 259
11 024
54 390

2 366
82 923
10 947
8 327
4 725
3 621
9 361
2 971
2 332
38 320
28 275
74 086
10 627
60 306

2 017
90 319
11 037
7 850
4 711
3 163
9 898
2 626
2 162
35 994
27 047
67 281
9 739
64 525

1 690
95 379
10 911
7 155
4 601
2 681
10 129
2 277
1 956
32 688
24 887
59 528
8 747
66 781

1 422
97 880
10 582
6 336
4 421
2 231
10 065
1 916
1 758
29 037
22 101
51 648
7 831
67 156

1 213
97 890
10 066
5 502
4 157
1 864
9 759
1 559
1 559
25 260
19 205
44 389
6 867
65 874

738 199

735 773

728 433

704 288

673 203

632 130

582 463

532 599

485 889

443 300

405 145

Eastern Europe
Belarus ......................................
Bulgaria.....................................
Czech Rep. ................................
Hungary.....................................
Poland .......................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ................
Romania ....................................
Russian Federation....................
Slovakia.....................................
Ukraine......................................

294 771
9 595
7 494
10 493
9 984
38 277
3 573
21 486
142 958
5 462
45 448

289 493
9 352
7 193
10 538
9 816
37 991
3 417
21 050
140 870
5 453
43 815

282 438
9 064
6 859
10 503
9 607
37 454
3 270
20 505
137 710
5 412
42 055

264 565
8 401
6 142
10 250
9 131
35 737
2 958
19 246
129 126
5 238
38 336

244 705
7 690
5 445
9 835
8 625
33 272
2 619
17 832
119 724
4 946
34 718

222 520
6 893
4 737
9 386
8 091
30 428
2 253
16 148
108 941
4 578
31 066

199 097
6 094
4 021
8 819
7 484
27 431
1 950
14 224
97 546
4 150
27 379

176 124
5 341
3 374
8 133
6 841
24 206
1 650
12 293
86 712
3 682
23 893

155 245
4 666
2 843
7 484
6 237
21 119
1 361
10 594
76 873
3 244
20 824

138 040
4 115
2 439
6 923
5 693
18 660
1 127
9 223
68 632
2 888
18 342

123 756
3 668
2 130
6 387
5 199
16 709
957
8 116
61 653
2 598
16 339

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) .................
Denmark....................................
Estonia.......................................
Faeroe Islands ...........................
Finland (17) ...............................
Iceland.......................................
Ireland .......................................
Isle of Man ................................
Latvia ........................................
Lithuania ...................................
Norway (18) ..............................
Sweden......................................
United Kingdom........................

99 205
153
5 550
1 341
49
5 365
320
4 470
83
2 252
3 324
4 883
9 380
62 036

101 079
154
5 605
1 325
50
5 409
336
4 689
84
2 190
3 222
5 015
9 574
63 426

102 397
153
5 626
1 300
50
5 420
350
4 860
84
2 118
3 115
5 127
9 728
64 466

103 861
150
5 599
1 229
51
5 354
370
5 091
83
1 962
2 894
5 305
9 883
65 889

103 310
144
5 469
1 154
50
5 191
381
5 265
80
1 809
2 673
5 395
9 848
65 851

100 671
135
5 219
1 076
49
4 963
381
5 356
75
1 653
2 435
5 381
9 679
64 268

96 399
126
4 923
986
46
4 722
373
5 306
69
1 484
2 188
5 293
9 382
61 501

91 536
118
4 636
893
44
4 482
360
5 174
64
1 313
1 945
5 168
9 013
58 327

86 170
112
4 336
808
41
4 218
344
5 021
59
1 160
1 714
5 003
8 585
54 769

80 253
106
4 009
735
38
3 934
324
4 844
54
1 036
1 524
4 779
8 084
50 785

74 430
102
3 696
670
34
3 654
304
4 623
49
934
1 372
4 518
7 567
46 906

Southern Europe
Albania......................................
Andorra .....................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...........
Croatia.......................................
Gibraltar ....................................
Greece .......................................
Holy See (19) ............................
Italy ...........................................
Malta .........................................
Montenegro ...............................
Portugal .....................................
San Marino................................
Serbia (20) .................................
Slovenia.....................................
Spain (21) ..................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ..............

155 171
3 204
85
3 760
4 403
29
11 359
0
60 551
417
631
10 676
32
9 856
2 030
46 077
2 061

156 152
3 225
91
3 682
4 325
29
11 399
0
60 775
419
628
10 613
32
9 722
2 036
47 121
2 054

155 301
3 207
96
3 565
4 222
29
11 339
0
60 146
418
621
10 406
32
9 503
2 024
47 668
2 025

151 156
3 084
106
3 285
3 976
28
11 084
0
58 153
408
597
9 805
32
8 970
1 962
47 734
1 931

145 829
2 868
116
2 959
3 695
26
10 799
0
55 903
389
566
9 135
32
8 371
1 877
47 287
1 805

137 952
2 556
123
2 566
3 373
24
10 356
0
52 860
365
523
8 271
30
7 631
1 767
45 868
1 640

126 182
2 196
126
2 160
3 038
22
9 690
0
48 698
339
475
7 202
28
6 809
1 634
42 315
1 449

113 566
1 811
126
1 771
2 708
20
8 966
0
44 531
313
422
6 145
26
5 960
1 498
38 019
1 250

102 310
1 411
124
1 413
2 394
19
8 289
0
41 113
285
369
5 206
24
5 129
1 368
34 110
1 056

92 524
1 064
119
1 127
2 116
17
7 642
0
38 113
261
319
4 404
22
4 389
1 250
30 794
888

83 962
820
112
923
1 882
15
6 982
0
35 540
245
277
3 739
20
3 773
1 139
27 735
757

Georgia (13) ..............................


Iraq ............................................
Israel..........................................
Jordan........................................
Kuwait.......................................
Lebanon.....................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) .
Oman.........................................
Qatar..........................................
Saudi Arabia..............................
Syrian Arab Rep........................
Turkey .......................................
United Arab Emirates ...............
Yemen .......................................
Europe

176

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Western Europe
Austria.......................................
Belgium.....................................
France........................................
Germany....................................
Liechtenstein .............................
Luxembourg ..............................
Monaco .....................................
Netherlands ...............................
Switzerland ...............................
Latin America and Caribbean

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

189 052
8 394
10 712
62 787
82 302
36
507
35
16 613
7 664

189 049
8 395
10 784
63 917
80 865
37
538
35
16 725
7 752

188 298
8 341
10 788
64 591
79 442
38
564
35
16 718
7 781

184 707
8 162
10 708
65 223
75 744
40
605
34
16 492
7 697

179 359
7 887
10 564
65 297
71 474
40
630
33
16 014
7 421

170 986
7 456
10 273
64 209
66 186
40
627
32
15 187
6 976

160 785
6 909
9 861
62 262
60 427
40
607
30
14 226
6 423

151 373
6 379
9 458
60 117
55 504
39
580
29
13 391
5 877

142 164
5 854
9 046
57 641
51 054
37
547
28
12 591
5 365

132 483
5 316
8 571
54 629
46 815
36
507
27
11 708
4 875

122 998
4 813
8 051
51 317
43 006
33
467
26
10 844
4 440

590 082

616 354

636 114

659 971

664 070

645 870

610 622

563 055

506 032

444 831

385 381

Caribbean
Anguilla.....................................
Antigua and Barbuda ................
Aruba.........................................
Bahamas....................................
Barbados ...................................
British Virgin Islands ................
Cayman Islands.........................
Cuba ..........................................
Dominica...................................
Dominican Rep. ........................
Grenada .....................................
Guadeloupe (23) ........................
Haiti...........................................
Jamaica......................................
Martinique.................................
Montserrat .................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ..........
Puerto Rico................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ....................
St. Lucia ....................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
Trinidad and Tobago .................
Turks and Caicos Islands ..........
US Virgin Islands ......................

41 646
15
89
107
343
273
23
56
11 258
68
9 927
104
461
9 993
2 741
406
6
201
3 749
52
174
109
1 341
38
109

42 647
16
92
108
360
274
24
58
11 138
67
10 448
105
467
10 556
2 763
408
6
206
3 708
55
181
108
1 348
40
107

43 285
17
95
108
373
273
25
59
10 940
66
10 843
105
470
11 041
2 757
406
6
208
3 660
57
185
107
1 337
42
104

43 708
17
99
106
391
266
26
60
10 430
65
11 322
101
465
11 786
2 665
393
6
203
3 542
60
188
104
1 274
43
96

42 912
17
99
99
396
252
26
59
9 682
61
11 385
92
448
12 208
2 460
370
6
192
3 383
60
185
101
1 201
42
88

40 662
16
96
90
389
231
25
55
8 645
55
10 993
79
416
12 200
2 147
335
6
175
3 158
59
175
96
1 102
40
80

37 835
14
91
81
373
207
23
50
7 450
50
10 428
69
379
11 975
1 896
296
6
153
2 894
56
162
89
984
36
73

34 568
13
85
72
352
184
22
46
6 305
44
9 693
60
344
11 446
1 681
261
5
130
2 592
52
145
80
858
32
67

30 953
11
77
64
327
162
20
42
5 301
38
8 782
51
311
10 628
1 466
228
5
110
2 265
47
126
70
734
28
60

27 188
10
69
56
301
142
18
40
4 401
33
7 759
42
277
9 643
1 253
195
4
93
1 940
42
107
60
627
25
53

23 638
9
61
49
279
126
16
37
3 662
28
6 727
36
245
8 619
1 066
167
4
81
1 646
37
90
50
539
21
46

Central America
Belize ........................................
Costa Rica .................................
El Salvador................................
Guatemala .................................
Honduras ...................................
Mexico ......................................
Nicaragua ..................................
Panama......................................

155 881
312
4 659
6 193
14 389
7 601
113 423
5 788
3 517

164 830
340
4 937
6 314
16 172
8 308
118 865
6 146
3 748

171 974
367
5 139
6 421
17 949
8 948
122 784
6 423
3 943

182 086
411
5 357
6 608
21 442
10 017
127 238
6 767
4 246

186 902
441
5 373
6 629
24 711
10 782
127 700
6 847
4 419

185 234
454
5 192
6 428
27 444
11 151
123 494
6 640
4 432

178 036
452
4 849
6 101
29 559
11 183
115 254
6 334
4 304

167 356
436
4 390
5 632
30 839
10 854
105 246
5 892
4 068

153 491
405
3 846
5 030
31 162
10 184
93 806
5 306
3 751

137 419
364
3 281
4 349
30 577
9 270
81 559
4 642
3 378

120 891
321
2 770
3 690
29 252
8 247
69 644
3 985
2 983

South America
Argentina...................................
Bolivia.......................................
Brazil.........................................
Chile..........................................
Colombia...................................
Ecuador .....................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)......
French Guiana...........................
Guyana ......................................
Paraguay....................................
Peru ...........................................
Suriname ...................................

392 555
40 412
9 930
194 946
17 114
46 295
14 465
3
231
754
6 455
29 077
525

408 877
41 784
10 640
201 269
17 702
48 884
15 295
3
260
756
6 961
30 463
543

420 854
42 823
11 320
205 155
18 105
50 904
15 950
3
289
754
7 415
31 644
555

434 178
44 103
12 628
207 206
18 440
53 496
16 823
3
346
743
8 160
33 403
566

434 257
44 500
13 767
202 495
18 220
54 299
17 122
3
400
708
8 677
34 123
558

419 973
43 747
14 534
191 085
17 412
53 157
16 779
3
446
648
8 907
33 575
527

394 752
41 909
14 890
174 754
16 132
50 638
16 047
2
476
609
8 910
32 138
493

361 131
39 165
14 804
155 062
14 594
47 061
14 951
2
493
558
8 668
29 943
452

321 588
35 761
14 276
133 489
12 895
42 656
13 546
2
496
496
8 186
27 138
404

280 225
32 088
13 386
112 344
11 165
37 797
11 968
2
487
429
7 542
23 990
355

240 852
28 471
12 284
93 222
9 612
32 997
10 375
2
469
370
6 820
20 883
309

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

177

Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

Uruguay.....................................
Venezuela ..................................

3 369
28 980

3 398
30 919

3 417
32 520

3 403
34 857

3 326
36 059

3 168
35 986

2 965
34 787

2 728
32 650

2 463
29 779

2 185
26 487

1 922
23 118

Northern America
Bermuda....................................
Canada.......................................
Greenland..................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ............
United States of America ..........

344 529
65
34 017
57
6
310 384

356 749
65
35 335
57
6
321 285

366 764
65
36 400
56
6
330 237

381 944
63
37 911
51
6
343 912

392 460
61
38 727
48
5
353 619

395 958
57
38 846
42
5
357 008

393 352
53
38 295
38
5
354 960

387 782
50
37 334
34
5
350 360

377 343
46
35 873
29
4
341 391

361 550
43
33 930
24
4
327 549

342 377
39
31 669
21
4
310 645

36 593

39 023

41 164

44 720

47 385

48 817

49 147

48 622

47 252

45 100

42 478

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ............................
New Zealand .............................

26 637
22 268
4 368

28 158
23 594
4 564

29 436
24 711
4 725

31 358
26 404
4 954

32 554
27 495
5 059

32 904
27 878
5 025

32 546
27 650
4 896

31 768
27 036
4 733

30 609
26 079
4 530

29 083
24 803
4 280

27 380
23 361
4 019

Melanesia
Fiji .............................................
New Caledonia..........................
Papua New Guinea....................
Solomon Islands........................
Vanuatu .....................................

8 748
861
251
6 858
538
240

9 607
887
268
7 580
605
268

10 427
901
280
8 280
669
296

11 999
903
297
9 649
798
352

13 437
897
304
10 908
922
406

14 539
875
300
11 887
1 025
451

15 251
837
289
12 541
1 098
486

15 542
785
271
12 838
1 140
509

15 398
724
250
12 760
1 148
516

14 860
656
227
12 344
1 123
511

14 036
586
204
11 680
1 071
494

Micronesia
Guam.........................................
Kiribati ......................................
Marshall Islands ........................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .......
Nauru.........................................
Northern Mariana Islands .........
Palau..........................................

536
180
100
54
111
10
61
20

565
189
106
58
113
10
66
21

589
197
113
61
116
11
69
22

624
209
124
64
121
10
72
23

640
214
132
67
123
10
70
24

630
212
136
65
120
9
64
24

617
206
135
65
122
9
56
24

591
196
130
65
121
8
47
23

550
182
122
63
116
7
39
21

501
165
110
60
108
7
32
19

451
147
99
56
99
6
26
18

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.......................
Cook Islands..............................
French Polynesia.......................
Niue...........................................
Samoa........................................
Tokelau......................................
Tonga.........................................
Tuvalu .......................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands .........

673
68
20
271
1
183
1
104
10
14

694
74
21
283
1
186
1
105
10
13

712
79
21
291
1
188
1
109
10
13

739
90
21
299
1
190
1
114
10
12

755
99
21
297
1
194
1
120
10
12

744
105
20
284
1
190
1
120
11
11

733
110
19
264
1
193
1
123
12
10

721
111
18
239
1
201
1
128
12
9

695
110
16
210
1
206
1
130
13
8

655
105
14
181
1
205
1
128
13
7

612
99
12
154
1
201
1
124
13
6

Oceania

a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

178

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
Includes other non-specified areas.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

179

Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country:
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
Africa

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

6 895 889 7 323 598 7 772 757 8 700 336 9 722 061 10 942 544 12 475 188 14 518 851 17 339 315 21 289 304 26 843 946
1 235 900 1 253 674 1 266 176
5 659 989 6 069 924 6 506 581
832 330
942 022 1 071 673
4 827 660 5 127 902 5 434 908

1 276 310
7 424 026
1 393 708
6 030 318

1 271 037
8 451 024
1 827 402
6 623 623

4 287 841 4 664 593 5 076 758 5 985 373 7 047 608
856 327

1 251 913
9 690 631
2 433 594
7 257 037

1 221 939
11 253 249
3 287 602
7 965 647

1 188 073
13 330 779
4 501 409
8 829 370

1 154 447
16 184 868
6 247 050
9 937 818

1 122 433
20 166 871
8 770 761
11 396 110

1 089 829
25 754 117
12 429 526
13 324 591

8 359 117 10 021 750 12 205 124 15 163 501 19 242 074 24 911 634

977 516 1 122 099

1 489 711 1 999 101 2 720 067 3 741 903 5 194 022 7 270 510 10 246 711 14 519 642

1 022 234 1 157 022 1 315 899

1 711 238 2 247 831 2 996 915 4 046 528 5 526 726 7 634 194 10 645 899 14 958 647

Eastern Africa
Burundi .....................................
Comoros....................................
Djibouti .....................................
Eritrea........................................
Ethiopia .....................................
Kenya ........................................
Madagascar ...............................
Malawi ......................................
Mauritius (1) .............................
Mayotte .....................................
Mozambique .............................
Runion .....................................
Rwanda .....................................
Seychelles .................................
Somalia .....................................
Uganda ......................................
UR Tanzania (2) .......................
Zambia ......................................
Zimbabwe .................................

324 044
8 383
735
889
5 254
82 950
40 513
20 714
14 901
1 299
204
23 391
846
10 624
87
9 331
33 425
44 841
13 089
12 571

373 190
9 381
840
985
6 161
94 266
46 537
24 110
17 520
1 337
238
26 494
898
12 327
88
10 628
39 666
52 422
15 106
14 185

432 190
10 545
959
1 096
7 122
108 059
53 451
28 200
20 711
1 371
276
30 247
949
14 267
91
12 283
47 291
61 548
17 612
16 112

581 452
13 159
1 260
1 374
9 414
142 219
70 521
38 570
29 141
1 412
372
40 020
1 048
18 987
95
16 770
67 701
85 497
24 360
19 529

786 449 1 075 181 1 481 047 2 051 700 2 860 210 4 008 783 5 643 676
16 355
20 711
26 377
33 649
43 355
56 207
72 948
1 681
2 249
3 050
4 156
5 667
7 735
10 567
1 698
2 100
2 578
3 163
3 893
4 810
5 944
12 450
16 454
21 654
28 510
37 610
49 628
65 498
185 293
242 923
319 482
419 482
552 073
728 302
961 825
93 522
124 524
166 169
222 223
298 010
400 511
539 026
52 482
71 477
97 368
132 623
180 723
246 396
336 143
41 545
59 888
86 761
126 318
184 676
270 883
398 426
1 412
1 380
1 327
1 259
1 187
1 113
1 043
501
663
872
1 147
1 505
1 972
2 583
53 521
72 506
99 185
136 504
188 705
261 754
364 068
1 141
1 225
1 311
1 401
1 497
1 598
1 706
25 470
34 592
47 071
64 351
88 547
122 108
168 617
99
99
99
98
96
95
94
23 284
32 761
46 732
67 336
97 665
142 317
207 967
98 249
144 527
214 655
320 958
482 049
725 997 1 095 582
120 015
169 663
240 985
343 345
490 280
701 156 1 003 810
34 388
49 312
71 526
104 576
153 816
227 122
336 127
23 344
28 128
33 846
40 602
48 856
59 078
71 703

Middle Africa
Angola.......................................
Cameroon..................................
Central African Rep. .................
Chad ..........................................
Congo........................................
DR Congo .................................
Equatorial Guinea .....................
Gabon........................................
Sao Tome and Principe .............

126 689
19 082
19 599
4 401
11 227
4 043
65 966
700
1 505
165

145 955
22 285
22 083
4 904
12 949
4 534
76 538
811
1 666
185

169 247
26 227
24 959
5 507
15 047
5 096
89 425
933
1 847
207

229 591
36 439
31 913
7 018
20 856
6 593
123 041
1 222
2 247
260

315 714
51 016
41 240
9 025
29 386
8 606
171 789
1 620
2 706
326

441 545
72 484
53 918
11 732
42 152
11 295
244 119
2 182
3 253
410

625 836
104 059
71 056
15 363
61 301
14 907
351 769
2 972
3 896
514

897 128 1 298 370 1 892 524 2 772 095


150 557
219 263
320 693
470 360
94 303
125 958
168 990
227 370
20 231
26 789
35 630
47 497
90 104
133 578
199 131
297 851
19 772
26 316
35 097
46 873
512 780
754 446 1 117 439 1 661 885
4 085
5 665
7 901
11 058
4 651
5 547
6 627
7 926
645
808
1 015
1 274

Northern Africa
Algeria.......................................
Egypt .........................................
Libya .........................................
Morocco ....................................
Sudan (3) ..................................
Tunisia.......................................
Western Sahara..........................

209 459
35 468
81 121
6 355
31 951
43 552
10 481
531

229 117
38 326
88 929
6 693
33 842
49 611
11 088
629

250 468
41 231
96 988
7 326
35 832
56 668
11 688
735

295 039
46 472
113 352
8 489
39 690
73 512
12 666
858

343 936
50 982
130 726
9 730
42 998
95 205
13 326
969

400 736
55 272
149 586
11 071
46 004
123 888
13 833
1 083

466 531
58 782
169 556
12 308
48 694
161 906
14 088
1 196

544 425
61 605
191 183
13 511
51 015
211 720
14 083
1 308

641 090
64 672
215 227
14 881
53 400
277 406
14 070
1 435

763 243
68 236
242 711
16 354
56 141
364 055
14 165
1 581

917 105
71 915
274 094
17 872
59 144
478 100
14 243
1 736

Southern Africa
Botswana...................................
Lesotho......................................
Namibia.....................................
South Africa ..............................
Swaziland..................................

57 780
2 007
2 171
2 283
50 133
1 186

60 006
2 137
2 313
2 516
51 751
1 288

62 405
2 269
2 474
2 768
53 497
1 396

67 942
2 539
2 821
3 349
57 594
1 639

74 019
2 836
3 234
4 019
61 977
1 954

81 199
3 197
3 761
4 816
67 045
2 381

89 652
3 616
4 405
5 757
72 957
2 917

99 315
4 093
5 191
6 851
79 606
3 574

110 223
4 651
6 173
8 143
86 876
4 380

122 559
5 309
7 409
9 689
94 774
5 378

136 634
6 067
8 959
11 538
103 454
6 616

Western Africa
Benin .........................................
Burkina Faso .............................
Cape Verde ................................

304 261
8 850
16 469
496

348 755
10 257
19 227
527

401 590
11 939
22 526
563

537 213
16 266
31 132
640

727 714
22 330
43 462
719

180

998 254 1 383 461 1 934 158 2 724 301 3 858 791 5 489 136
30 943
43 149
60 459
85 026
119 831
169 087
61 293
87 173
124 846
179 680
259 314
374 800
799
878
956
1 037
1 127
1 233

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Cte d'Ivoire..............................
Gambia......................................
Ghana ........................................
Guinea .......................................
Guinea-Bissau ...........................
Liberia .......................................
Mali ...........................................
Mauritania .................................
Niger .........................................
Nigeria.......................................
St. Helena (4) ............................
Senegal......................................
Sierra Leone ..............................
Togo ..........................................
Asia (5)

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

19 738
1 728
24 392
9 982
1 515
3 994
15 370
3 460
15 512
158 423
4
12 434
5 868
6 028

22 323
2 000
27 621
11 466
1 701
4 612
18 000
3 911
18 641
180 711
4
14 356
6 630
6 768

25 471
2 323
31 278
13 245
1 920
5 341
21 138
4 426
22 528
207 100
4
16 619
7 532
7 636

33 321
3 137
39 971
17 816
2 469
7 230
29 601
5 671
33 358
274 737
4
22 319
9 824
9 717

43 708
4 236
51 013
24 220
3 220
9 870
42 256
7 286
50 151
369 789
4
30 111
13 008
12 331

57 731
5 745
65 206
33 319
4 269
13 579
61 255
9 412
76 394
504 278
4
40 830
17 472
15 726

76 518
7 811
83 377
46 233
5 734
18 819
89 988
12 227
117 557
694 556
4
55 562
23 760
20 114

2070

2080

2090

2100

101 640
135 517
181 304
243 125
10 635
14 498
19 778
26 982
106 694
136 803
175 686
225 815
64 554
90 589
127 538
179 886
7 781
10 658
14 696
20 341
26 249
36 785
51 689
72 743
133 615
199 788
299 956
451 374
15 960
20 910
27 457
36 086
182 113
283 326
441 915
690 345
964 426 1 347 724 1 891 142 2 660 505
4
4
4
4
75 828
103 718
142 006
194 499
32 630
45 121
62 658
87 210
25 767
33 119
42 691
55 102

4 164 252 4 401 495 4 639 486 5 080 986 5 493 204 5 907 516 6 343 488 6 858 178 7 513 470 8 378 958 9 529 633

Eastern Asia (5)


China (6) ...................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) .....
China, Macao SAR (8) .............
DPR Korea ................................
Japan .........................................
Mongolia ...................................
Rep. of Korea ............................

1 573 970 1 607 784 1 631 459 1 634 893 1 589 996 1 505 891 1 392 470 1 272 578 1 155 394 1 047 750
1 341 335 1 373 992 1 398 165 1 407 092 1 373 103 1 303 424 1 206 285 1 103 548 1 002 306
908 481
7 053
7 385
7 675
8 106
8 280
8 233
7 948
7 515
6 997
6 432
544
597
644
711
740
733
695
636
568
501
24 346
24 907
25 510
26 625
27 219
27 614
27 927
28 071
28 241
28 425
126 536
125 653
123 686
117 214
108 835
99 689
90 324
80 587
71 584
63 846
2 756
2 983
3 203
3 578
3 950
4 316
4 635
4 965
5 329
5 738
48 184
48 910
49 236
48 824
46 576
42 759
38 084
33 300
28 872
24 944

South-Central Asia (9)

1 764 872 1 906 998 2 057 173 2 364 534 2 687 424 3 040 676 3 426 678 3 867 178 4 394 497 5 048 001 5 871 863

Central Asia
Kazakhstan................................
Kyrgyzstan ................................
Tajikistan...................................
Turkmenistan ............................
Uzbekistan.................................
Southern Asia
Afghanistan ...............................
Bangladesh................................
Bhutan .......................................
India ..........................................
Iran ............................................
Maldives....................................
Nepal .........................................
Pakistan .....................................
Sri Lanka...................................

60 726
16 026
5 334
6 879
5 042
27 445

64 797
16 927
5 647
7 482
5 409
29 331

69 363
17 769
6 070
8 206
5 799
31 518

77 715
19 201
6 839
9 807
6 514
35 354

86 022
20 820
7 633
11 631
7 175
38 762

94 823
22 500
8 445
13 936
7 840
42 103

103 365
24 148
9 241
16 640
8 446
44 890

112 544
26 021
10 122
19 830
9 034
47 537

122 827
28 084
11 092
23 704
9 648
50 298

134 500
30 357
12 209
28 348
10 304
53 283

955 646
828 495
5 871
445
28 573
56 846
6 194
21 550

148 051
32 804
13 499
33 976
11 020
56 752

1 704 146 1 842 201 1 987 810 2 286 818 2 601 402 2 945 853 3 323 313 3 754 634 4 271 670 4 913 501 5 723 812
31 412
37 402
44 360
62 124
87 780
126 342
184 050
270 534
400 950
597 301
892 852
148 692
159 793
171 484
194 490
215 945
235 944
253 715
269 945
285 890
302 969
321 910
726
795
858
984
1 107
1 233
1 355
1 473
1 599
1 743
1 904
1 224 614 1 318 007 1 414 971 1 610 207 1 810 775 2 019 849 2 236 137 2 467 085 2 719 448 3 001 982 3 319 977
73 974
78 556
82 782
88 786
92 627
94 414
93 098
89 314
84 772
81 170
77 996
316
340
366
412
447
474
489
491
481
471
465
29 959
33 078
36 607
44 303
52 774
62 446
73 120
85 100
98 655
114 286
132 509
173 593
192 422
213 758
261 599
314 904
379 242
454 747
543 245
651 358
783 759
944 843
20 860
21 808
22 623
23 914
25 045
25 910
26 602
27 447
28 517
29 822
31 354

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam....................
Cambodia ..................................
Indonesia ...................................
Lao PDR....................................
Malaysia (10) ............................
Myanmar ...................................
Philippines.................................
Singapore ..................................
Thailand ....................................
Timor-Leste...............................
Viet Nam ...................................

593 415
399
14 138
239 871
6 201
28 401
47 963
93 261
5 086
69 122
1 124
87 848

629 731
436
15 240
253 241
6 749
30 876
50 170
102 222
5 353
71 128
1 321
92 994

666 606
472
16 518
266 440
7 384
33 475
52 446
112 171
5 535
72 769
1 579
97 816

737 456
543
19 171
291 082
8 745
38 890
56 505
134 556
5 792
74 799
2 289
105 084

802 415
610
21 899
312 151
10 118
44 218
59 443
160 003
5 796
74 888
3 308
109 979

862 674
671
24 939
328 832
11 639
49 586
61 565
189 587
5 566
73 181
4 834
112 274

920 293
726
28 164
341 326
13 314
55 339
63 041
224 046
5 204
70 341
7 110
111 682

979 354 1 045 629 1 124 729 1 220 242


776
825
874
924
31 519
35 210
39 431
44 185
351 282
360 654
370 411
380 637
15 120
17 164
19 571
22 396
61 366
67 756
74 784
82 541
63 954
64 725
65 674
66 701
263 881
310 459
365 389
430 378
4 780
4 335
3 897
3 488
66 921
63 265
59 508
55 744
10 444
15 358
22 623
33 334
109 312
105 878
102 566
99 913

Western Asia
Armenia.....................................
Azerbaijan (11) .........................
Bahrain......................................
Cyprus (12) ...............................

231 995
3 092
9 188
1 262
1 104

256 983
3 133
9 753
1 413
1 167

284 248
3 143
10 232
1 534
1 223

344 103
3 094
10 819
1 731
1 304

413 369
3 020
11 323
1 914
1 339

498 275
2 887
11 640
2 079
1 328

604 048
2 728
11 789
2 199
1 285

739 068
2 555
11 924
2 325
1 216

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

917 949 1 158 478 1 481 882


2 360
2 193
2 057
12 009
12 190
12 401
2 509
2 739
2 980
1 134
1 055
983

181

Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

4 352
31 672
7 418
6 187
2 737
4 228
4 039
2 782
1 759
27 448
20 411
72 752
7 512
24 053

4 233
37 382
8 061
6 892
3 094
4 403
4 708
3 098
2 042
30 937
22 449
77 398
8 415
28 405

4 095
44 002
8 687
7 647
3 417
4 565
5 510
3 403
2 226
34 784
24 874
81 877
9 283
33 746

3 777
60 384
9 986
9 310
4 082
4 838
7 478
3 932
2 445
42 375
30 478
89 985
10 783
47 302

3 469
81 923
11 436
11 155
4 768
4 986
9 978
4 365
2 664
49 836
36 471
96 701
12 042
65 977

3 171
110 976
13 029
13 231
5 400
5 029
13 329
4 730
2 859
58 242
42 977
101 972
12 934
92 463

2 907
150 166
14 765
15 576
5 925
4 979
17 773
5 041
2 973
67 239
50 361
105 797
13 216
129 330

2 649
203 101
16 709
18 234
6 373
4 854
23 620
5 350
3 033
76 380
58 502
108 635
13 035
180 574

2 400
274 995
18 904
21 346
6 798
4 703
31 433
5 720
3 092
86 675
67 540
111 143
12 763
252 424

2 191
372 669
21 374
25 046
7 215
4 565
41 855
6 121
3 177
98 774
77 922
113 744
12 540
353 109

2 005
505 260
24 154
29 422
7 584
4 450
55 749
6 522
3 274
112 381
90 030
116 448
12 190
493 990

738 199

740 052

738 379

725 437

703 238

671 658

632 165

590 747

551 566

515 958

482 234

Eastern Europe
Belarus ......................................
Bulgaria.....................................
Czech Rep. ................................
Hungary.....................................
Poland .......................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ................
Romania ....................................
Russian Federation....................
Slovakia.....................................
Ukraine......................................

294 771
9 595
7 494
10 493
9 984
38 277
3 573
21 486
142 958
5 462
45 448

291 048
9 406
7 226
10 590
9 864
38 203
3 460
21 158
141 618
5 480
44 042

285 703
9 177
6 930
10 616
9 716
37 887
3 369
20 743
139 279
5 469
42 518

270 735
8 606
6 287
10 450
9 331
36 391
3 151
19 705
132 314
5 321
39 180

252 918
7 965
5 641
10 102
8 861
34 066
2 897
18 398
124 101
5 034
35 852

232 070
7 216
4 975
9 693
8 351
31 279
2 615
16 811
114 125
4 658
32 346

209 751
6 453
4 304
9 144
7 754
28 221
2 389
14 950
103 548
4 206
28 783

187 041
5 711
3 681
8 458
7 082
24 875
2 153
13 009
93 072
3 699
25 303

165 586
5 019
3 160
7 776
6 421
21 567
1 913
11 261
83 152
3 208
22 108

147 220
4 430
2 758
7 151
5 798
18 782
1 711
9 795
74 582
2 786
19 427

130 690
3 910
2 422
6 526
5 190
16 413
1 541
8 508
66 692
2 415
17 073

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) .................
Denmark....................................
Estonia.......................................
Faeroe Islands ...........................
Finland (17) ...............................
Iceland.......................................
Ireland .......................................
Isle of Man ................................
Latvia ........................................
Lithuania ...................................
Norway (18) ..............................
Sweden......................................
United Kingdom........................

99 205
153
5 550
1 341
49
5 365
320
4 470
83
2 252
3 324
4 883
9 380
62 036

101 773
154
5 641
1 333
50
5 444
339
4 731
85
2 202
3 242
5 051
9 640
63 861

104 163
155
5 719
1 319
51
5 508
358
4 966
86
2 143
3 157
5 219
9 899
65 582

108 099
153
5 833
1 268
55
5 565
390
5 353
86
2 004
2 963
5 537
10 302
68 589

110 008
148
5 834
1 213
57
5 519
414
5 705
85
1 868
2 764
5 768
10 513
70 121

110 385
140
5 747
1 155
60
5 440
431
6 032
82
1 721
2 547
5 939
10 666
70 425

109 612
132
5 644
1 085
63
5 371
443
6 263
79
1 559
2 309
6 073
10 748
69 843

108 289
124
5 546
1 013
67
5 301
454
6 444
76
1 392
2 070
6 177
10 762
68 863

106 625
118
5 443
944
71
5 218
463
6 643
73
1 235
1 837
6 264
10 753
67 562

104 552
112
5 324
885
76
5 122
471
6 849
71
1 103
1 634
6 311
10 695
65 900

102 330
106
5 200
830
81
5 016
480
7 021
68
987
1 458
6 312
10 602
64 169

Southern Europe
Albania......................................
Andorra .....................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...........
Croatia.......................................
Gibraltar ....................................
Greece .......................................
Holy See (19) ............................
Italy ...........................................
Malta .........................................
Montenegro ...............................
Portugal .....................................
San Marino................................
Serbia (20) .................................
Slovenia.....................................
Spain (21) ..................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ..............

155 171
3 204
85
3 760
4 403
29
11 359
0
60 551
417
631
10 676
32
9 856
2 030
46 077
2 061

157 084
3 270
91
3 721
4 349
29
11 459
0
61 036
424
635
10 715
32
9 825
2 046
47 373
2 077

157 503
3 322
97
3 654
4 278
29
11 478
0
60 749
429
639
10 651
33
9 758
2 047
48 254
2 083

155 719
3 346
109
3 447
4 092
29
11 378
0
59 384
430
638
10 310
33
9 540
2 006
48 924
2 053

151 856
3 253
118
3 158
3 851
28
11 195
0
57 437
419
627
9 813
33
9 219
1 935
48 797
1 974

145 535
3 080
125
2 804
3 574
26
10 857
0
54 658
402
609
9 128
31
8 792
1 837
47 750
1 861

135 262
2 851
129
2 425
3 277
25
10 298
0
50 751
384
585
8 237
30
8 280
1 713
44 558
1 718

123 494
2 581
128
2 045
2 972
23
9 640
0
46 617
362
556
7 295
27
7 706
1 580
40 406
1 555

112 751
2 289
125
1 689
2 676
22
9 005
0
43 086
337
524
6 444
25
7 128
1 449
36 562
1 392

103 234
2 027
118
1 389
2 406
20
8 383
0
39 911
315
493
5 706
23
6 597
1 325
33 276
1 243

94 210
1 831
109
1 148
2 159
19
7 702
0
36 966
297
464
5 028
21
6 100
1 201
30 053
1 112

Georgia (13) ..............................


Iraq ............................................
Israel..........................................
Jordan........................................
Kuwait.......................................
Lebanon.....................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) .
Oman.........................................
Qatar..........................................
Saudi Arabia..............................
Syrian Arab Rep........................
Turkey .......................................
United Arab Emirates ...............
Yemen .......................................
Europe

182

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Western Europe
Austria.......................................
Belgium.....................................
France........................................
Germany....................................
Liechtenstein .............................
Luxembourg ..............................
Monaco .....................................
Netherlands ...............................
Switzerland ...............................
Latin America and Caribbean

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

189 052
8 394
10 712
62 787
82 302
36
507
35
16 613
7 664

190 148
8 471
10 849
64 376
81 221
37
542
36
16 823
7 794

191 010
8 525
10 951
65 766
80 269
39
573
36
16 968
7 883

190 883
8 536
11 098
68 148
77 386
41
626
36
17 098
7 914

188 456
8 386
11 172
70 060
73 478
42
659
37
16 918
7 706

183 667
8 093
11 134
71 348
68 560
42
667
37
16 445
7 339

177 541
7 675
11 026
72 252
63 064
42
660
38
15 918
6 866

171 923
7 224
10 927
73 110
58 086
41
643
39
15 483
6 369

166 605
6 758
10 819
73 916
53 442
40
619
41
15 076
5 893

160 953
6 255
10 661
74 446
48 879
39
590
43
14 609
5 432

155 004
5 732
10 433
74 649
44 454
36
557
44
14 104
4 995

990 291 1 063 632 1 149 358 1 251 847

590 082

625 994

662 568

733 756

799 945

862 516

924 515

Caribbean
Anguilla.....................................
Antigua and Barbuda ................
Aruba.........................................
Bahamas....................................
Barbados ...................................
British Virgin Islands ................
Cayman Islands.........................
Cuba ..........................................
Dominica...................................
Dominican Rep. ........................
Grenada .....................................
Guadeloupe (23) ........................
Haiti...........................................
Jamaica......................................
Martinique.................................
Montserrat .................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ..........
Puerto Rico................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ....................
St. Lucia ....................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
Trinidad and Tobago .................
Turks and Caicos Islands ..........
US Virgin Islands ......................

41 646
15
89
107
343
273
23
56
11 258
68
9 927
104
461
9 993
2 741
406
6
201
3 749
52
174
109
1 341
38
109

43 309
17
93
110
364
276
24
59
11 249
68
10 625
107
472
10 800
2 805
412
6
209
3 752
56
184
110
1 363
41
108

45 103
18
98
111
384
278
26
61
11 214
68
11 336
110
483
11 747
2 870
417
6
213
3 775
59
193
111
1 374
43
107

48 744
19
107
113
418
276
28
63
11 026
70
12 753
112
500
13 921
2 967
421
7
216
3 824
66
210
116
1 358
47
105

52 230
20
114
110
441
267
29
64
10 554
70
14 168
112
507
16 404
2 994
414
7
213
3 844
71
222
122
1 331
50
102

55 790
20
120
105
456
250
30
62
9 811
68
15 599
109
504
19 377
2 969
397
8
206
3 827
76
231
128
1 284
52
101

60 238
21
125
100
464
231
31
59
8 886
67
17 266
111
501
23 150
3 043
378
8
195
3 779
80
238
132
1 218
53
101

65 731
21
129
96
468
212
32
57
7 974
66
19 177
114
502
27 687
3 189
363
8
184
3 694
83
243
136
1 138
54
103

72 494
21
133
92
469
193
33
55
7 174
65
21 304
117
508
33 152
3 370
351
8
175
3 584
86
245
140
1 058
55
104

80 764
21
137
87
470
175
35
54
6 425
64
23 678
123
515
39 797
3 573
338
9
170
3 463
90
247
143
988
57
105

90 824
22
141
83
471
160
36
52
5 758
63
26 349
129
523
47 803
3 809
328
9
167
3 343
94
250
147
922
59
105

Central America
Belize ........................................
Costa Rica .................................
El Salvador................................
Guatemala .................................
Honduras ...................................
Mexico ......................................
Nicaragua ..................................
Panama......................................

155 881
312
4 659
6 193
14 389
7 601
113 423
5 788
3 517

167 792
347
5 009
6 435
16 504
8 493
120 919
6 280
3 804

180 231
388
5 335
6 754
18 955
9 482
128 421
6 796
4 100

205 961
474
5 874
7 519
24 856
11 644
143 069
7 825
4 700

232 588
564
6 253
8 279
32 348
14 084
156 902
8 865
5 293

260 598
664
6 491
9 004
42 043
16 906
169 676
9 929
5 884

290 662
775
6 597
9 735
54 595
20 214
181 109
11 172
6 465

325 522
898
6 597
10 432
70 732
24 063
193 172
12 561
7 067

366 650
1 035
6 518
11 087
91 540
28 579
206 093
14 080
7 718

415 822
1 190
6 405
11 721
118 455
33 951
219 893
15 781
8 426

475 517
1 370
6 301
12 387
153 336
40 390
234 814
17 714
9 205

South America
Argentina...................................
Bolivia.......................................
Brazil.........................................
Chile..........................................
Colombia...................................
Ecuador .....................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)......
French Guiana...........................
Guyana ......................................
Paraguay....................................
Peru ...........................................
Suriname ...................................

392 555
40 412
9 930
194 946
17 114
46 295
14 465
3
231
754
6 455
29 077
525

414 893
42 305
10 839
204 097
17 914
49 672
15 554
3
263
768
7 088
30 992
551

437 234
44 237
11 897
212 723
18 669
53 078
16 671
3
299
787
7 779
33 103
578

479 051
47 969
14 438
227 059
19 894
59 647
18 893
3
380
832
9 254
37 561
629

515 127
51 493
17 521
236 372
20 660
65 797
21 060
3
471
861
10 852
41 877
670

546 128
54 814
21 255
240 905
21 023
71 595
23 188
3
578
883
12 656
46 065
703

573 615
57 805
25 750
241 305
21 023
77 331
25 448
3
695
936
14 744
50 423
744

599 038
60 475
31 119
238 538
20 799
83 188
27 832
3
828
988
17 116
54 915
786

624 488
63 041
37 582
233 653
20 438
89 312
30 372
3
985
1 037
19 832
59 661
829

652 771
65 710
45 415
228 210
20 010
95 861
33 153
3
1 171
1 085
22 984
64 826
876

685 505
68 529
54 937
222 839
19 620
102 968
36 225
3
1 391
1 139
26 653
70 526
927

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

183

Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

2010

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

Uruguay.....................................
Venezuela ..................................

3 369
28 980

3 437
31 412

3 520
33 890

3 676
38 816

3 804
43 685

3 900
48 561

3 989
53 419

4 069
58 383

4 142
63 600

4 214
69 255

4 291
75 458

Northern America
Bermuda....................................
Canada.......................................
Greenland..................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ............
United States of America ..........

344 529
65
34 017
57
6
310 384

359 593
66
35 575
58
6
323 889

374 109
66
37 009
58
6
336 970

400 866
66
39 336
57
6
361 401

424 057
65
40 895
56
6
383 035

444 115
63
41 918
55
7
402 072

461 923
61
42 363
56
7
419 435

478 476
60
42 331
57
7
436 020

492 530
59
41 801
57
7
450 605

503 594
58
40 764
58
8
462 706

511 633
57
39 247
60
8
472 260

36 593

39 441

42 316

48 053

53 786

59 824

66 569

74 434

83 923

95 537

109 953

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ............................
New Zealand .............................

26 637
22 268
4 368

28 376
23 773
4 603

30 003
25 176
4 826

32 794
27 579
5 215

34 907
29 407
5 500

36 452
30 746
5 705

37 526
31 658
5 868

38 263
32 238
6 026

38 766
32 582
6 184

39 035
32 704
6 331

39 117
32 638
6 479

Melanesia
Fiji .............................................
New Caledonia..........................
Papua New Guinea....................
Solomon Islands........................
Vanuatu .....................................

8 748
861
251
6 858
538
240

9 787
902
271
7 725
617
273

10 958
939
290
8 711
707
310

13 734
1 006
324
11 080
926
398

17 173
1 095
351
14 014
1 206
506

21 473
1 201
375
17 691
1 567
640

26 874
1 321
395
22 321
2 030
807

33 665
1 460
412
28 148
2 629
1 014

42 244
1 620
429
35 513
3 407
1 274

53 089
1 802
446
44 823
4 418
1 600

66 800
2 006
463
56 593
5 728
2 010

Micronesia
Guam.........................................
Kiribati ......................................
Marshall Islands ........................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .......
Nauru.........................................
Northern Mariana Islands .........
Palau..........................................

536
180
100
54
111
10
61
20

574
192
108
59
116
11
66
21

614
204
119
65
123
11
70
23

699
230
141
76
141
11
74
25

782
253
164
92
162
12
73
28

870
276
189
112
185
12
67
29

990
300
219
142
226
12
58
31

1 133
327
251
186
275
12
49
32

1 305
355
288
245
331
13
41
33

1 517
385
330
323
400
13
33
33

1 781
417
379
428
483
14
26
34

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.......................
Cook Islands..............................
French Polynesia.......................
Niue...........................................
Samoa........................................
Tokelau......................................
Tonga.........................................
Tuvalu .......................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands .........

673
68
20
271
1
183
1
104
10
14

704
75
21
287
1
189
1
107
10
13

742
82
22
302
1
196
1
114
10
13

827
101
23
330
1
215
1
130
11
14

923
122
26
352
1
244
1
151
13
14

1 029
147
28
369
1
277
2
175
15
15

1 178
178
30
383
1
337
2
214
18
16

1 373
215
32
394
2
422
2
267
22
17

1 608
260
35
405
2
527
3
334
26
18

1 897
314
37
415
2
659
3
417
32
19

2 255
381
40
426
2
823
4
521
38
20

Oceania

a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

184

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
Includes other non-specified areas.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

185

Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
1.82

1.85

1.96

1.76

1.74

1.52

1.34

1.22

1.16

1.10

1.21
2.09
2.08
2.10

1.08
2.17
2.40
2.14

0.78
2.38
2.18
2.41

0.58
2.13
2.54
2.07

0.56
2.08
2.63
2.01

0.43
1.81
2.75
1.68

0.33
1.59
2.46
1.46

0.37
1.42
2.37
1.26

0.41
1.33
2.21
1.18

0.33
1.26
2.23
1.09

2.13

2.45

2.41

2.41

2.28

2.06

1.85

1.70

1.60

1.52

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

2.05

2.43

2.69

2.82

2.77

2.69

2.53

2.48

2.45

2.44

Africa

2.11

2.44

2.65

2.80

2.69

2.53

2.36

2.33

2.30

2.27

Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (2) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

2.25
1.79
2.28
2.48
2.04
1.93
2.77
2.15
1.89
2.90
4.57
1.58
3.22
2.82
1.37
2.16
2.68
2.67
2.51
3.08

2.68
1.77
1.88
6.37
2.58
2.44
3.19
2.43
2.40
2.66
4.72
2.05
3.05
3.01
2.32
2.35
3.32
2.96
3.00
3.28

2.85
0.93
2.56
6.52
2.71
2.59
3.62
2.72
3.14
1.53
4.17
2.33
0.97
3.16
2.24
2.68
2.86
3.22
3.38
3.40

2.90
3.22
3.19
3.40
2.56
2.96
3.78
2.56
3.05
1.02
5.08
1.87
1.86
3.21
1.27
-0.22
3.12
3.13
3.22
3.89

2.99
2.88
2.54
6.65
2.36
3.25
3.53
2.85
5.10
0.87
5.30
0.32
1.79
3.13
1.19
0.73
3.58
3.08
2.94
3.35

2.58
1.66
2.43
2.16
0.34
3.31
3.13
3.04
1.04
1.41
5.55
3.25
1.98
-4.88
1.02
-0.23
3.26
3.23
2.53
2.20

2.75
0.92
2.58
3.11
2.65
2.79
2.61
3.14
2.55
1.01
3.97
2.66
1.79
7.49
1.02
2.52
3.01
2.56
2.69
1.36

2.54
2.58
2.67
1.99
4.03
2.49
2.61
3.04
2.65
0.99
3.21
2.64
1.46
2.56
1.19
2.44
3.21
2.63
2.33
0.10

2.52
2.90
2.67
1.90
3.16
2.21
2.58
2.94
3.00
0.66
3.11
2.38
1.25
2.87
0.71
2.20
3.24
2.88
2.65
0.00

2.60
1.93
2.50
1.86
2.91
2.07
2.69
2.82
3.24
0.53
3.02
2.24
1.09
2.92
0.33
2.56
3.14
3.08
3.05
2.15

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

1.93
1.82
1.86
1.07
1.89
2.14
2.17
1.05
0.28
-0.41

2.32
1.80
2.23
1.85
2.15
2.66
2.65
1.33
0.65
0.17

2.59
2.27
2.72
1.96
2.36
3.05
2.80
-4.00
2.35
2.18

2.89
3.43
2.88
2.89
2.46
2.92
2.78
6.97
3.02
1.85

3.00
2.62
2.93
2.22
3.09
2.76
3.19
3.58
3.15
2.23

3.37
3.16
2.70
2.51
3.04
2.69
3.82
3.37
3.15
1.94

2.51
2.80
2.35
2.13
3.22
2.75
2.38
3.24
2.55
1.95

2.85
3.38
2.26
1.64
3.48
2.39
2.92
3.10
2.08
1.58

2.66
2.92
2.20
1.82
2.75
2.69
2.77
2.84
1.88
1.61

2.51
2.70
2.14
1.96
2.59
2.18
2.62
2.72
1.91
1.97

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (3) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

2.34
2.09
2.54
1.80
2.48
2.23
1.79
8.63

2.46
1.98
2.60
3.70
2.73
2.38
1.85
8.80

2.56
3.06
2.22
4.25
2.45
2.97
2.00
-0.50

2.78
3.22
2.39
4.57
2.61
3.19
2.54
4.00

2.35
2.71
2.30
2.37
2.12
2.36
2.28
3.69

1.98
2.24
1.76
1.94
1.66
2.58
1.68
3.20

1.75
1.52
1.72
1.83
1.34
2.52
1.13
3.93

1.72
1.49
1.85
1.96
1.08
2.33
0.94
6.68

1.74
1.51
1.78
1.93
1.00
2.51
1.12
3.72

1.61
1.36
1.67
0.77
0.99
2.39
1.01
3.24

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

2.30
2.59
1.42
2.04
2.34
2.36

2.56
2.56
1.84
2.49
2.60
2.29

2.67
3.41
2.14
2.98
2.66
2.97

2.56
3.43
2.54
2.54
2.52
3.13

2.31
3.12
1.95
4.14
2.19
4.03

2.37
2.74
1.81
3.09
2.36
2.21

1.64
2.06
1.80
2.76
1.56
1.98

1.31
1.30
1.01
1.85
1.31
0.76

1.02
1.35
1.00
1.87
0.96
1.42

0.62
1.05
1.03
1.68
0.51
1.36

Western Africa
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................

1.84
0.41
1.14
1.78

2.20
1.46
1.58
2.61

2.54
2.21
2.05
2.54

2.72
2.74
2.49
1.81

2.62
2.85
2.64
1.16

2.61
3.38
2.74
2.52

2.50
2.85
2.79
2.04

2.53
3.16
2.88
1.57

2.57
2.96
2.97
0.96

2.57
2.70
2.98
0.95

186

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
1.00

0.89

0.69

0.52

0.36

0.24

0.16

0.10

0.07

0.27
1.14
2.13
0.96

0.21
1.02
2.00
0.82

0.10
0.79
1.75
0.58

0.05
0.60
1.53
0.36

0.00
0.42
1.31
0.17

-0.02
0.28
1.10
0.02

0.02
0.18
0.91
-0.08

0.07
0.11
0.74
-0.14

0.08
0.07
0.59
-0.15

1.40

1.27

1.03

0.82

0.62

0.45

0.32

0.21

0.14

0.11

2.37

2.23

2.02

1.80

1.56

1.33

1.11

0.91

0.73

0.64

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

2.19

2.06

1.85

1.65

1.42

1.21

1.01

0.83

0.66

0.59

Africa

2.52
1.72
2.29
1.78
2.39
1.88
2.52
2.75
3.31
0.41
2.62
2.18
0.93
2.66
0.42
2.86
2.99
3.10
3.23
2.09

2.36
1.41
2.19
1.80
2.12
1.69
2.33
2.63
3.16
0.30
2.39
2.12
0.79
2.34
0.32
2.91
2.83
2.98
3.15
1.39

2.12
1.04
2.12
1.43
1.85
1.29
2.11
2.30
2.96
0.06
2.17
1.89
0.54
2.09
0.16
2.85
2.53
2.80
3.09
0.93

1.91
0.87
1.83
1.18
1.53
0.92
1.87
2.00
2.82
-0.16
1.71
1.60
0.31
1.94
-0.14
2.69
2.18
2.57
3.06
0.74

1.67
0.56
1.68
0.81
1.13
0.63
1.57
1.72
2.49
-0.30
1.28
1.38
0.15
1.55
-0.38
2.48
1.85
2.27
2.80
0.50

1.44
0.29
1.48
0.55
0.86
0.33
1.30
1.44
2.23
-0.37
0.98
1.13
0.07
1.28
-0.47
2.23
1.54
1.98
2.57
0.25

1.23
0.13
1.22
0.35
0.62
0.06
1.05
1.18
1.97
-0.39
0.71
0.89
0.01
1.05
-0.50
1.97
1.24
1.71
2.35
0.08

1.03
-0.01
0.98
0.20
0.39
-0.15
0.81
0.92
1.71
-0.36
0.47
0.69
-0.06
0.77
-0.47
1.70
0.96
1.45
2.09
-0.02

0.85
-0.13
0.76
0.05
0.20
-0.27
0.59
0.70
1.48
-0.28
0.22
0.50
-0.09
0.54
-0.43
1.44
0.72
1.20
1.86
-0.07

0.77
-0.17
0.66
-0.01
0.12
-0.32
0.49
0.60
1.37
-0.22
0.12
0.42
-0.09
0.44
-0.41
1.31
0.61
1.08
1.74
-0.08

Eastern Africa
Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (1) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Seychelles .........................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (2) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

2.37
2.52
2.01
1.92
2.48
2.08
2.46
2.40
1.86
1.81

2.21
2.28
1.84
1.82
2.49
2.14
2.29
2.06
1.73
1.66

1.88
1.87
1.62
1.56
2.20
1.96
1.93
1.71
1.45
1.43

1.57
1.50
1.39
1.33
1.87
1.72
1.61
1.45
1.26
1.13

1.28
1.18
1.14
1.06
1.56
1.46
1.31
1.15
1.04
0.88

1.00
0.86
0.91
0.78
1.26
1.23
1.01
0.88
0.82
0.60

0.74
0.59
0.69
0.55
0.98
1.01
0.74
0.67
0.62
0.36

0.51
0.34
0.50
0.36
0.73
0.79
0.51
0.46
0.46
0.17

0.31
0.14
0.33
0.18
0.51
0.58
0.31
0.28
0.33
0.01

0.23
0.06
0.26
0.11
0.41
0.49
0.22
0.20
0.27
-0.05

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

1.47
1.14
1.45
1.39
0.88
2.25
0.87
2.81

1.27
0.91
1.25
1.05
0.74
2.04
0.69
1.28

0.97
0.51
0.94
0.75
0.41
1.75
0.31
0.78

0.74
0.29
0.67
0.56
0.16
1.47
0.14
0.50

0.50
0.00
0.40
0.22
-0.06
1.22
-0.07
0.22

0.27
-0.28
0.17
-0.07
-0.28
0.95
-0.33
-0.06

0.11
-0.38
-0.03
-0.17
-0.42
0.71
-0.42
-0.17

0.01
-0.37
-0.15
-0.26
-0.43
0.49
-0.32
-0.18

-0.08
-0.37
-0.23
-0.38
-0.41
0.30
-0.28
-0.26

-0.12
-0.37
-0.26
-0.40
-0.40
0.22
-0.29
-0.31

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (3) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

0.53
0.85
0.93
1.47
0.44
1.10

0.52
0.68
0.76
1.37
0.44
0.92

0.34
0.42
0.52
1.05
0.28
0.75

0.21
0.30
0.39
0.77
0.15
0.69

0.12
0.16
0.23
0.53
0.08
0.54

0.04
0.04
0.09
0.28
0.01
0.34

-0.06
-0.04
0.01
0.06
-0.08
0.14

-0.14
-0.08
0.00
-0.10
-0.15
0.00

-0.18
-0.11
0.03
-0.20
-0.20
-0.08

-0.19
-0.12
0.05
-0.24
-0.21
-0.10

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

2.52
2.58
2.94
0.92

2.40
2.45
2.80
0.84

2.19
2.19
2.55
0.57

1.97
1.91
2.31
0.29

1.72
1.62
2.02
0.03

1.47
1.36
1.75
-0.23

1.25
1.10
1.51
-0.47

1.02
0.85
1.25
-0.59

0.81
0.63
1.02
-0.56

0.72
0.53
0.91
-0.52

Western Africa
Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

0.06 World
0.08
0.05
0.53
-0.16

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

187

Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Cte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
St. Helena (4) ......................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
3.10
2.41
2.88
1.29
1.77
1.80
1.22
2.48
2.82
1.84
-0.18
2.10
1.36
1.10

3.91
1.89
2.94
1.53
0.15
2.46
1.29
2.83
2.94
2.17
-0.42
2.79
1.63
1.49

4.46
3.19
2.67
0.63
2.82
2.82
1.81
2.93
2.96
2.54
1.24
3.11
1.86
2.53

4.21
3.98
3.28
2.22
1.99
2.80
2.00
2.82
2.77
2.55
0.84
2.82
2.26
3.40

3.52
4.58
2.78
3.14
1.96
-0.78
1.59
2.65
2.88
2.56
-0.34
3.00
2.35
2.96

3.18
3.06
2.78
5.46
2.03
-0.31
2.49
2.77
3.29
2.40
-1.02
2.89
-0.42
2.17

2.44
2.83
2.40
1.96
1.95
6.14
2.79
2.85
3.48
2.34
-0.78
2.55
1.22
3.20

1.67
2.96
2.43
1.60
1.95
2.23
3.08
2.85
3.47
2.45
-1.91
2.69
4.36
2.41

1.82
2.79
2.39
1.98
2.05
4.54
3.08
2.54
3.54
2.50
-2.21
2.69
2.60
2.17

2.18
2.68
2.26
2.51
2.08
2.64
2.96
2.24
3.52
2.53
-0.88
2.60
2.09
2.04

1.98

1.99

2.28

1.94

1.92

1.63

1.38

1.18

1.08

0.99

1.91
1.99
4.64
-1.59
-0.22
1.45
1.86
1.94

1.55
1.52
4.24
3.76
2.37
1.02
2.95
2.49

2.21
2.33
1.91
-0.22
2.41
1.32
2.92
1.98

1.38
1.44
1.38
3.70
1.65
0.69
2.58
1.57

1.47
1.61
1.35
3.88
1.47
0.37
2.59
1.18

1.08
1.17
1.18
2.04
1.55
0.36
1.01
0.77

0.82
0.89
1.98
1.61
1.01
0.20
0.89
0.59

0.56
0.60
0.08
2.17
0.73
0.11
1.10
0.45

0.47
0.51
0.70
2.43
0.50
0.02
1.57
0.48

0.38
0.42
1.04
2.01
0.41
-0.07
1.53
0.39

South-Central Asia (9)

1.90

2.24

2.27

2.39

2.30

2.08

1.83

1.60

1.44

1.38

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

2.96
3.52
1.79
3.04
2.25
2.78

3.53
3.50
3.39
3.75
3.41
3.58

2.38
1.51
2.14
3.14
2.82
3.10

2.05
1.12
2.02
2.89
2.42
2.61

1.93
0.93
1.81
2.99
2.55
2.42

1.15
-0.75
0.88
1.71
2.65
2.22

0.72
-1.26
1.52
1.33
1.44
1.56

0.71
0.29
0.35
0.89
1.07
0.92

1.14
1.10
1.13
1.28
1.20
1.12

1.16
1.04
1.07
1.46
1.24
1.14

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

1.86
1.60
2.73
3.18
1.77
2.19
1.55
1.66
1.82
1.72

2.18
2.02
2.86
2.69
2.06
2.61
2.67
1.89
2.48
2.25

2.27
2.42
1.08
3.72
2.32
2.69
3.21
2.30
2.85
1.91

2.40
-2.33
2.70
2.60
2.28
3.73
3.52
2.37
3.41
1.44

2.32
0.63
2.63
2.60
2.16
3.31
3.23
2.38
3.17
1.34

2.12
8.36
2.20
-1.48
1.98
1.71
2.50
2.48
2.60
1.00

1.88
2.88
1.96
1.94
1.77
1.79
1.88
2.44
2.53
0.56

1.64
3.78
1.63
2.87
1.57
1.30
1.55
2.23
1.87
1.14

1.45
2.58
1.12
1.93
1.43
1.18
1.35
1.87
1.80
1.00

1.38
3.13
1.25
1.55
1.32
1.04
1.29
1.68
1.77
0.80

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (10) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

2.22
5.50
2.15
1.80
2.39
2.77
1.89
3.54
4.90
2.70
1.26
2.06

2.65
4.41
2.45
2.49
2.31
3.19
2.15
3.25
2.80
3.04
1.84
2.52

2.45
4.49
0.46
2.50
2.45
2.42
2.42
2.86
1.74
2.77
1.85
2.10

2.25
2.92
3.93
2.17
2.40
2.61
1.89
2.77
2.30
1.94
2.56
2.20

2.06
2.81
3.71
1.84
2.78
2.88
1.67
2.62
2.15
1.74
2.38
2.13

1.74
2.77
3.17
1.57
2.69
2.59
1.41
2.33
2.87
0.88
2.75
1.96

1.51
2.43
2.17
1.36
2.07
2.44
1.30
2.20
2.37
1.14
-0.54
1.24

1.33
2.09
1.41
1.26
1.58
2.17
0.60
2.02
1.70
1.09
3.93
1.09

1.16
1.88
1.14
1.08
1.50
1.69
0.70
1.73
3.52
0.71
2.14
1.10

1.07
1.65
1.20
0.98
1.33
1.57
0.79
1.68
1.10
0.50
2.92
1.02

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (11) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (12) .........................................

2.74
2.88
2.77
2.85
1.41

2.71
3.32
3.22
2.82
0.28

2.67
2.30
1.91
4.49
1.15

2.83
1.51
1.59
3.05
0.53

2.46
1.20
1.56
3.35
1.71

2.33
-1.90
1.48
2.52
2.19

1.99
-0.93
0.87
2.65
1.96

2.19
-0.07
1.14
2.54
1.81

2.41
0.17
1.35
11.09
1.33

1.88
0.26
1.19
2.13
1.08

Asia (5)
Eastern Asia (5)
China (6) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) ...............
China, Macao SAR (8) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

188

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.14
2.53
2.09
2.41
2.05
2.50
2.84
2.10
3.53
2.51
0.51
2.44
1.94
1.91

2.03
2.37
1.93
2.29
1.98
2.40
2.71
1.96
3.41
2.39
0.37
2.28
1.79
1.75

1.76
2.04
1.68
2.03
1.83
2.18
2.48
1.73
3.15
2.22
0.08
2.02
1.53
1.45

1.48
1.71
1.41
1.77
1.67
1.88
2.19
1.49
2.86
2.02
-0.14
1.72
1.23
1.17

1.21
1.40
1.13
1.49
1.50
1.60
1.89
1.24
2.54
1.77
-0.27
1.42
0.97
0.89

0.92
1.12
0.89
1.23
1.31
1.36
1.62
1.02
2.22
1.53
-0.36
1.16
0.74
0.63

0.67
0.85
0.66
0.98
1.13
1.12
1.35
0.81
1.90
1.31
-0.39
0.90
0.51
0.41

0.46
0.61
0.45
0.73
0.97
0.89
1.09
0.61
1.60
1.08
-0.34
0.66
0.31
0.22

0.29
0.41
0.27
0.52
0.81
0.68
0.85
0.43
1.32
0.87
-0.29
0.46
0.16
0.07

0.21
0.32
0.19
0.43
0.72
0.58
0.74
0.35
1.19
0.77
-0.23
0.37
0.09
0.01

0.85

0.71

0.45

0.21

0.01

-0.16

-0.26

-0.31

-0.31

-0.31

0.23
0.26
0.98
1.70
0.40
-0.20
1.37
0.28

0.08
0.11
0.90
1.41
0.37
-0.33
1.12
0.17

-0.18
-0.17
0.60
0.82
0.15
-0.48
0.80
-0.11

-0.43
-0.43
0.40
0.42
-0.01
-0.53
0.76
-0.42

-0.61
-0.64
0.31
0.13
-0.07
-0.50
0.49
-0.60

-0.70
-0.73
0.20
-0.08
-0.14
-0.52
0.33
-0.63

-0.68
-0.72
0.15
-0.17
-0.17
-0.44
0.33
-0.56

-0.61
-0.67
0.20
-0.10
-0.16
-0.25
0.30
-0.42

-0.44
-0.49
0.24
0.06
-0.16
-0.13
0.28
-0.25

-0.36
-0.41
0.25
0.11
-0.14
-0.09
0.27
-0.18

Eastern Asia (5)


China (6) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) .............
China, Macao SAR (8) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

1.22

1.06

0.75

0.49

0.23

0.00

-0.18

-0.30

-0.37

-0.39

South-Central Asia (9)

1.14
0.92
1.33
1.46
1.13
1.15

0.94
0.73
1.11
1.33
0.93
0.93

0.62
0.58
0.89
1.01
0.55
0.50

0.46
0.61
0.73
0.84
0.31
0.24

0.22
0.41
0.51
0.61
0.06
-0.04

0.05
0.35
0.41
0.36
-0.18
-0.30

-0.05
0.36
0.32
0.17
-0.34
-0.45

-0.12
0.29
0.29
0.00
-0.43
-0.51

-0.13
0.24
0.29
-0.09
-0.47
-0.50

-0.12
0.23
0.28
-0.12
-0.48
-0.47

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

1.22
2.75
1.10
1.10
1.17
0.79
1.11
1.53
1.59
0.58

1.06
2.44
0.93
0.91
1.01
0.51
0.86
1.37
1.43
0.39

0.76
2.05
0.57
0.55
0.73
0.21
0.44
0.99
1.03
0.19

0.49
1.71
0.25
0.27
0.46
0.02
0.24
0.68
0.72
-0.03

0.23
1.40
-0.04
-0.01
0.21
-0.35
-0.07
0.41
0.40
-0.26

0.00
1.07
-0.29
-0.29
-0.01
-0.67
-0.43
0.14
0.11
-0.32

-0.18
0.78
-0.48
-0.50
-0.19
-0.83
-0.74
-0.09
-0.13
-0.34

-0.31
0.53
-0.59
-0.56
-0.32
-0.74
-0.89
-0.26
-0.28
-0.33

-0.38
0.30
-0.59
-0.55
-0.39
-0.55
-0.74
-0.33
-0.38
-0.29

-0.40
0.20
-0.56
-0.54
-0.42
-0.49
-0.64
-0.34
-0.41
-0.27

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

0.94
1.43
1.14
0.83
1.22
1.43
0.70
1.58
0.81
0.34
2.98
0.83

0.80
1.23
0.98
0.70
1.06
1.29
0.57
1.47
0.72
0.22
2.88
0.61

0.55
0.91
0.62
0.44
0.64
0.99
0.26
1.22
0.40
0.02
2.35
0.30

0.30
0.64
0.38
0.17
0.30
0.69
0.02
0.95
-0.02
-0.22
1.96
0.07

0.09
0.41
0.14
-0.06
0.05
0.49
-0.15
0.72
-0.16
-0.38
1.66
-0.23

-0.08
0.26
-0.11
-0.23
-0.22
0.32
-0.32
0.49
-0.19
-0.44
1.26
-0.43

-0.19
0.17
-0.33
-0.33
-0.45
0.15
-0.40
0.28
-0.23
-0.44
0.93
-0.55

-0.25
0.13
-0.41
-0.37
-0.56
0.02
-0.39
0.11
-0.17
-0.42
0.67
-0.58

-0.26
0.14
-0.43
-0.37
-0.54
-0.05
-0.34
-0.02
-0.05
-0.35
0.43
-0.46

-0.25
0.16
-0.43
-0.35
-0.50
-0.08
-0.32
-0.06
-0.02
-0.31
0.32
-0.39

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (10) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

1.70
0.09
0.96
1.43
0.89

1.53
-0.09
0.64
1.03
0.72

1.23
-0.21
0.43
0.67
0.41

0.99
-0.31
0.34
0.36
0.10

0.76
-0.46
0.09
-0.11
-0.12

0.55
-0.49
0.07
-0.36
-0.27

0.40
-0.55
0.03
-0.30
-0.35

0.28
-0.50
0.05
-0.19
-0.30

0.19
-0.32
0.11
-0.26
-0.19

0.14
-0.26
0.09
-0.33
-0.12

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (11) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (12) .......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Cte d'Ivoire......................................
Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
St. Helena (4) ....................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (5)

189

Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Georgia (13) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
1.70
2.75
6.25
7.38
5.05
2.47
1.16
1.86
7.16
2.49
2.69
2.93
2.44
1.64

1.47
2.79
3.76
4.64
12.15
2.89
2.16
2.46
8.79
3.39
3.27
2.46
9.76
1.92

0.83
3.24
3.16
3.65
6.72
2.31
3.23
4.10
8.14
4.82
3.40
2.20
16.68
1.70

0.83
2.38
1.73
3.97
4.70
0.64
3.06
5.28
10.14
5.99
3.44
2.27
5.67
4.11

0.64
2.31
1.94
3.95
3.62
0.43
3.36
3.88
5.05
3.99
3.06
1.83
5.86
4.05

-1.49
3.10
3.39
4.98
-4.97
3.22
4.42
3.56
1.14
2.72
2.79
1.68
5.22
4.75

-1.32
3.24
2.41
1.94
3.52
1.55
4.17
0.29
3.29
1.61
2.41
1.56
5.12
3.14

-1.17
2.74
1.87
2.03
3.08
1.59
2.12
1.41
6.58
3.63
2.90
1.37
5.88
3.06

-0.56
2.93
2.32
2.94
3.79
0.85
2.55
2.71
15.24
2.65
1.98
1.31
12.26
3.05

-0.60
3.10
1.66
1.88
2.41
0.73
2.81
1.89
2.90
2.13
1.67
1.14
2.17
3.02

1.00

0.96

0.61

0.40

0.38

0.19

-0.02

0.11

0.20

0.11

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

1.48
0.15
0.67
0.83
1.01
1.89
2.31
1.39
1.63
1.83
1.45

1.06
0.99
0.84
0.34
0.32
1.39
2.10
0.67
1.11
1.19
1.16

0.67
0.71
0.54
0.41
0.39
0.87
1.32
0.96
0.58
0.91
0.71

0.59
0.69
0.22
0.08
-0.29
0.89
1.00
0.47
0.71
0.71
0.36

0.45
0.52
-0.32
0.00
-0.32
0.45
0.70
0.42
0.63
0.49
0.27

-0.04
0.03
-1.08
0.03
-0.09
0.18
-0.12
-0.46
0.06
0.37
-0.20

-0.37
-0.43
-0.86
-0.15
-0.24
-0.05
-1.10
-0.44
-0.26
0.13
-0.89

-0.43
-0.47
-0.68
-0.04
-0.24
-0.07
-1.73
-0.38
-0.40
0.04
-0.82

-0.20
-0.47
-0.64
0.53
-0.21
0.06
-1.06
-0.26
-0.12
0.17
-0.64

-0.17
-0.33
-0.66
0.27
-0.16
0.04
-0.68
-0.23
-0.10
0.16
-0.55

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (17) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (18) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

0.40
0.64
0.78
1.04
0.24
1.10
2.00
-0.08
-1.06
0.67
0.47
0.97
0.70
0.22

0.72
1.00
0.77
1.20
1.16
0.60
1.74
0.32
0.92
1.18
1.37
0.78
0.67
0.68

0.38
0.84
0.53
0.96
0.94
0.45
1.32
1.44
1.44
0.76
1.01
0.66
0.37
0.21

0.18
0.83
-0.04
0.71
1.23
0.51
1.13
0.67
-0.21
0.54
0.75
0.33
0.10
0.08

0.30
0.97
0.11
0.54
0.89
0.34
1.08
-0.02
1.74
0.62
0.74
0.42
0.49
0.25

0.24
0.26
0.36
-1.69
-1.79
0.48
0.97
0.45
0.53
-1.33
-0.37
0.55
0.62
0.27

0.24
0.47
0.40
-1.00
1.01
0.26
1.00
1.04
1.24
-0.88
-0.72
0.60
0.08
0.30

0.41
0.47
0.30
-0.37
1.07
0.27
1.07
1.78
0.81
-0.68
-0.49
0.58
0.38
0.45

0.59
0.61
0.48
-0.07
0.19
0.45
1.52
1.45
0.71
-0.47
-0.55
1.09
0.76
0.60

0.54
0.19
0.35
-0.07
0.46
0.32
1.16
1.14
0.45
-0.38
-0.44
0.69
0.56
0.60

Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (19) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (20) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (21) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ........................

0.85
2.53
7.94
2.02
0.60
0.50
1.03
0.00
0.75
0.15
1.47
0.58
1.49
1.39
0.79
0.71
1.92

0.82
2.99
6.52
1.32
0.37
1.55
0.52
-1.16
0.77
-0.46
1.64
0.04
2.50
0.79
0.63
1.08
1.25

0.87
2.34
4.80
1.00
0.45
0.63
0.57
2.36
0.65
0.15
1.13
1.16
0.62
0.87
0.85
1.12
1.33

0.44
2.04
4.78
1.04
0.43
0.03
0.60
0.57
0.20
1.33
0.00
0.36
1.25
0.72
0.55
0.52
0.37

0.24
2.13
2.14
0.89
0.20
0.17
0.45
0.61
0.02
1.03
1.11
-0.07
1.16
0.63
0.46
0.21
0.87

0.17
-0.92
4.08
-5.14
0.66
0.34
0.98
0.28
0.05
1.01
1.10
0.40
1.24
1.28
0.41
0.28
0.56

0.21
-0.45
-0.02
2.06
-0.71
0.05
0.58
0.15
0.01
0.55
-0.33
0.41
0.98
-0.14
0.19
0.43
0.46

0.69
0.45
3.73
0.47
-0.28
1.23
0.35
-9.39
0.58
0.59
-0.19
0.40
2.33
-0.56
0.17
1.49
0.29

0.65
0.39
1.72
-0.11
-0.18
0.12
0.31
-1.43
0.63
0.35
0.15
0.25
0.80
0.00
0.27
1.20
0.22

0.29
0.33
1.54
-0.24
-0.19
0.08
0.23
0.09
0.23
0.31
0.08
0.05
0.62
-0.10
0.23
0.62
0.12

Europe

190

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
-0.70
2.87
1.45
1.61
1.90
0.59
2.69
1.46
1.57
1.87
1.64
0.95
1.82
2.83

-0.79
2.71
1.30
1.42
1.72
0.47
2.51
1.07
0.80
1.54
1.54
0.79
1.46
2.60

-0.85
2.29
1.13
1.08
1.52
0.18
2.06
0.51
0.67
1.00
1.16
0.48
1.03
2.22

-0.83
1.97
0.98
0.71
1.17
-0.09
1.74
0.07
0.44
0.71
0.74
0.21
0.65
1.92

-0.74
1.68
0.79
0.38
0.81
-0.32
1.45
-0.29
0.04
0.39
0.48
-0.04
0.14
1.57

-0.73
1.41
0.63
0.11
0.55
-0.51
1.14
-0.49
-0.29
0.05
0.23
-0.23
-0.31
1.25

-0.69
1.15
0.51
-0.10
0.40
-0.61
0.88
-0.54
-0.48
-0.17
-0.04
-0.34
-0.45
0.97

-0.55
0.92
0.39
-0.25
0.33
-0.60
0.64
-0.59
-0.49
-0.27
-0.24
-0.38
-0.38
0.74

-0.37
0.70
0.27
-0.34
0.21
-0.51
0.44
-0.72
-0.48
-0.34
-0.34
-0.38
-0.41
0.54

-0.34
0.60
0.20
-0.36
0.14
-0.44
0.36
-0.72
-0.53
-0.39
-0.36
-0.37
-0.49
0.45

0.06

-0.01

-0.12

-0.16

-0.23

-0.24

-0.16

-0.06

-0.01

0.01

-0.21
-0.34
-0.71
0.20
-0.16
0.01
-0.56
-0.26
-0.17
0.14
-0.54

-0.29
-0.40
-0.78
0.11
-0.17
-0.08
-0.58
-0.30
-0.28
0.07
-0.58

-0.42
-0.51
-0.85
-0.11
-0.24
-0.36
-0.79
-0.41
-0.40
-0.22
-0.64

-0.41
-0.52
-0.82
-0.06
-0.20
-0.43
-0.84
-0.46
-0.38
-0.31
-0.55

-0.44
-0.54
-0.90
-0.04
-0.17
-0.38
-0.69
-0.58
-0.44
-0.32
-0.56

-0.46
-0.52
-0.87
-0.18
-0.23
-0.49
-0.74
-0.66
-0.41
-0.45
-0.55

-0.36
-0.39
-0.64
-0.14
-0.18
-0.51
-0.74
-0.54
-0.29
-0.44
-0.41

-0.20
-0.24
-0.38
0.02
-0.06
-0.27
-0.62
-0.34
-0.16
-0.22
-0.24

-0.10
-0.12
-0.19
0.04
-0.02
-0.12
-0.38
-0.20
-0.08
-0.10
-0.12

-0.08
-0.09
-0.13
0.01
-0.03
-0.12
-0.31
-0.16
-0.05
-0.10
-0.09

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

0.51
0.15
0.31
-0.11
0.44
0.28
1.06
0.97
0.30
-0.38
-0.38
0.68
0.56
0.58

0.47
0.10
0.29
-0.20
0.47
0.21
0.94
0.81
0.19
-0.44
-0.37
0.67
0.51
0.54

0.30
-0.07
0.13
-0.33
0.32
0.03
0.65
0.64
-0.06
-0.50
-0.45
0.51
0.28
0.36

0.18
-0.21
-0.02
-0.21
0.08
-0.03
0.45
0.60
-0.17
-0.39
-0.43
0.38
0.25
0.21

0.12
-0.21
-0.03
-0.24
0.05
0.03
0.31
0.43
-0.21
-0.40
-0.38
0.34
0.22
0.11

0.08
-0.09
0.02
-0.31
0.09
0.06
0.23
0.29
-0.18
-0.49
-0.43
0.31
0.16
0.08

0.09
0.05
0.05
-0.19
0.04
0.08
0.20
0.30
-0.09
-0.37
-0.38
0.30
0.17
0.07

0.09
0.16
0.05
-0.05
-0.04
0.10
0.19
0.32
-0.04
-0.16
-0.18
0.27
0.16
0.06

0.10
0.25
0.07
-0.01
-0.07
0.10
0.18
0.27
0.02
-0.08
-0.08
0.22
0.14
0.07

0.10
0.29
0.08
-0.01
-0.06
0.10
0.18
0.24
0.04
-0.08
-0.07
0.19
0.14
0.08

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Faeroe Islands ...................................
Finland (17) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Isle of Man ........................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (18) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

0.13
0.22
1.42
-0.37
-0.23
0.05
0.13
-0.22
0.02
0.22
0.06
-0.15
0.36
-0.18
0.13
0.47
0.00

0.04
0.07
1.31
-0.45
-0.27
-0.03
0.06
-0.13
-0.06
0.13
-0.02
-0.28
0.26
-0.23
0.01
0.34
-0.10

-0.05
-0.26
1.14
-0.64
-0.38
-0.23
0.03
-0.13
-0.10
-0.11
-0.15
-0.36
0.12
-0.30
-0.14
0.19
-0.29

-0.12
-0.56
0.95
-0.88
-0.42
-0.29
0.01
0.27
-0.15
-0.23
-0.27
-0.51
0.02
-0.40
-0.17
0.13
-0.46

-0.31
-0.75
0.73
-1.01
-0.42
-0.29
-0.12
0.39
-0.28
-0.19
-0.34
-0.74
-0.14
-0.48
-0.22
-0.22
-0.58

-0.42
-0.94
0.49
-1.07
-0.42
-0.28
-0.19
-0.22
-0.32
-0.19
-0.41
-0.83
-0.23
-0.54
-0.26
-0.44
-0.69

-0.32
-1.13
0.36
-1.09
-0.36
-0.21
-0.10
0.09
-0.16
-0.22
-0.44
-0.75
-0.18
-0.54
-0.19
-0.35
-0.72

-0.17
-1.12
0.25
-0.90
-0.25
-0.14
-0.03
0.17
-0.01
-0.11
-0.40
-0.59
-0.09
-0.46
-0.08
-0.19
-0.62

-0.10
-0.83
0.09
-0.61
-0.15
-0.05
-0.04
0.25
0.04
0.09
-0.32
-0.46
-0.05
-0.36
-0.05
-0.12
-0.46

-0.05
-0.65
0.00
-0.49
-0.12
-0.02
-0.06
0.29
0.12
0.17
-0.29
-0.39
-0.03
-0.32
-0.06
-0.11
-0.39

Southern Europe
Albania..............................................
Andorra .............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Gibraltar ............................................
Greece ...............................................
Holy See (19) ....................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
San Marino........................................
Serbia (20) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (21) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Georgia (13) ......................................


Iraq ....................................................
Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

191

Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
Latin America and Caribbean

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
0.67
0.02
0.55
0.75
0.56
1.51
0.60
0.39
1.26
1.26

1.04
0.63
0.61
1.30
0.85
2.45
1.08
0.55
1.35
1.92

0.43
0.30
0.34
0.75
0.13
1.73
1.13
1.20
0.97
0.60

0.16
0.03
-0.02
0.51
-0.16
1.47
0.14
1.80
0.51
0.48

0.43
0.29
0.22
0.51
0.36
1.32
0.78
1.59
0.60
0.67

0.59
0.68
0.26
0.40
0.70
1.30
1.33
1.33
0.70
1.01

0.27
0.17
0.19
0.41
0.10
1.20
1.33
1.24
0.56
0.42

0.36
0.56
0.46
0.65
0.05
1.09
0.97
0.08
0.55
0.68

0.28
0.39
0.56
0.58
-0.06
0.76
2.09
0.08
0.37
0.66

0.15
0.16
0.29
0.51
-0.20
0.77
1.35
0.04
0.28
0.39

2.71

2.76

2.41

2.10

1.92

1.71

1.55

1.32

1.15

1.07

Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (23) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ..............................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
US Virgin Islands ................................

1.90
2.13
2.56
2.77
2.27
1.46
0.58
1.00
1.98
1.31
3.21
1.10
2.36
1.75
1.89
2.04
1.10
1.89
0.28
1.04
0.96
1.86
2.47
0.59
1.83

2.15
0.84
1.81
1.13
4.92
0.38
1.89
1.45
2.15
1.61
3.25
1.02
1.75
1.99
1.55
2.00
-0.43
1.67
1.81
-0.79
1.40
1.21
1.22
-0.19
8.38

1.72
0.71
1.14
0.53
2.18
0.58
1.33
5.81
1.59
0.28
2.63
-0.43
0.52
1.75
1.48
0.18
0.25
0.87
1.58
-0.27
0.93
1.10
0.83
3.01
5.84

1.43
-0.11
-1.36
0.95
2.15
0.45
3.81
3.59
0.52
-0.45
2.24
2.31
1.65
2.34
1.49
0.87
-1.03
0.94
1.12
-0.54
1.38
0.77
1.68
4.66
1.23

1.39
4.48
-1.07
-0.28
1.76
0.40
4.26
5.11
0.97
-0.75
2.09
-0.74
1.70
2.16
0.58
1.06
-1.08
0.96
0.87
-0.62
1.81
0.57
0.72
3.90
-0.27

1.27
3.26
1.97
5.13
1.77
0.30
2.23
4.61
0.62
0.12
1.91
0.81
0.92
2.01
0.80
0.57
-0.96
-0.04
0.96
1.14
1.27
0.12
0.74
5.67
0.72

1.07
2.42
2.47
2.34
1.24
0.31
2.12
4.07
0.37
-0.48
1.64
0.27
1.08
1.86
0.95
0.83
-14.56
-1.12
0.60
1.33
1.32
-0.04
0.48
4.15
0.28

0.88
4.08
1.55
2.25
1.41
0.22
1.40
5.25
0.27
-0.22
1.51
0.24
0.85
1.56
0.76
0.61
2.54
0.68
-0.17
1.30
1.01
0.16
0.36
9.62
0.16

0.72
2.47
1.11
1.25
1.42
0.21
1.11
1.46
0.01
-0.34
1.38
0.34
0.66
1.34
0.44
0.42
1.16
1.52
-0.18
1.27
1.06
0.11
0.39
4.56
-0.06

0.66
1.56
0.98
0.34
1.14
0.22
0.94
0.82
-0.05
0.01
1.22
0.39
0.45
1.28
0.35
0.26
0.88
0.72
-0.04
1.18
0.96
0.00
0.32
1.24
-0.26

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

2.97
2.96
3.13
2.00
2.85
2.86
3.06
3.02
2.57

3.09
2.80
3.42
3.14
2.71
3.23
3.12
3.02
2.92

2.91
1.76
2.36
2.49
2.68
2.87
2.99
3.06
2.68

2.13
2.84
2.77
1.41
2.45
3.05
2.04
2.62
2.19

2.08
2.75
2.63
1.30
2.30
2.92
2.03
2.17
2.06

1.91
2.94
2.44
1.45
2.31
2.63
1.81
2.36
2.05

1.69
2.57
2.44
0.71
2.30
2.18
1.60
1.80
1.98

1.40
2.29
1.90
0.37
2.48
2.02
1.26
1.34
1.82

1.39
2.07
1.56
0.47
2.47
1.99
1.26
1.30
1.65

1.32
1.96
1.36
0.61
2.52
1.98
1.14
1.42
1.46

South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................

2.75
1.98
2.06
3.05
2.14
2.83
2.62
-0.53
2.27
3.46
2.56
2.55
3.02

2.73
1.56
2.24
2.97
2.47
2.96
2.96
-0.66
3.90
2.68
2.65
2.88
2.72

2.32
1.68
2.43
2.38
1.68
2.33
2.91
-0.76
3.19
0.76
2.42
2.77
-0.42

2.17
1.52
2.14
2.26
1.60
2.20
2.66
0.00
5.10
-0.66
2.93
2.37
0.56

1.93
1.45
2.23
1.88
1.71
2.03
2.42
1.42
5.82
-0.72
2.75
2.17
1.57

1.69
1.31
2.30
1.57
1.77
1.87
2.08
4.04
3.43
0.08
2.44
1.88
1.38

1.54
1.16
2.12
1.50
1.36
1.74
1.62
3.33
3.44
0.14
2.17
1.64
1.37

1.34
0.93
1.93
1.28
1.11
1.58
1.68
0.53
4.05
0.36
1.97
1.27
1.34

1.10
0.88
1.64
0.94
0.97
1.46
1.49
0.40
2.70
0.22
1.80
1.07
0.99

1.01
0.86
1.57
0.84
0.86
1.28
1.31
0.28
2.52
0.22
1.71
1.13
0.87

192

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
0.16
0.12
0.25
0.45
-0.12
0.75
1.20
0.00
0.22
0.32

0.12
0.11
0.23
0.40
-0.16
0.71
1.07
0.01
0.18
0.25

0.03
0.00
0.18
0.34
-0.26
0.49
0.78
0.07
0.06
-0.02

-0.05
-0.13
0.14
0.26
-0.32
0.34
0.43
0.05
-0.10
-0.19

-0.08
-0.22
0.11
0.21
-0.35
0.32
0.21
0.03
-0.12
-0.26

-0.02
-0.20
0.14
0.21
-0.24
0.29
0.13
0.15
-0.02
-0.27

0.05
-0.15
0.19
0.23
-0.11
0.26
0.08
0.26
0.06
-0.20

0.08
-0.13
0.20
0.21
-0.03
0.20
0.04
0.28
0.07
-0.12

0.10
-0.09
0.17
0.19
0.03
0.14
0.03
0.29
0.08
-0.04

0.10
-0.08
0.15
0.17
0.04
0.09
0.04
0.31
0.09
-0.01

0.93

0.80

0.53

0.59
1.03
0.89
0.24
1.05
0.19
0.82
0.63
-0.10
0.03
1.05
0.30
0.35
1.20
0.27
0.14
0.64
0.37
0.03
1.03
0.81
0.05
0.15
0.84
-0.31

0.51
0.54
0.78
0.15
0.90
0.12
0.71
0.49
-0.13
0.23
0.89
0.08
0.27
1.09
0.14
0.04
0.52
0.15
0.03
0.86
0.63
0.09
-0.06
0.62
-0.36

0.28
0.20
0.51
-0.17
0.54
-0.13
0.40
0.19
-0.33
-0.15
0.58
-0.38
0.04
0.82
-0.24
-0.19
0.32
-0.22
-0.05
0.58
0.30
0.14
-0.18
0.40
-0.54

1.16
1.84
1.11
0.70
2.37
1.79
0.96
1.22
1.30

1.01
1.64
0.88
0.71
2.21
1.59
0.80
1.01
1.16

0.88
0.78
1.53
0.69
0.74
1.11
1.14
0.16
2.38
0.27
1.56
1.06
0.74

0.74
0.69
1.47
0.54
0.60
0.94
0.98
0.07
2.22
0.31
1.40
0.98
0.63

0.28

0.07

-0.08

-0.20

-0.27

-0.31

-0.30

0.04
-0.07
0.25
-0.45
0.29
-0.37
0.05
-0.17
-0.58
-0.35
0.28
-0.69
-0.22
0.55
-0.59
-0.47
0.11
-0.40
-0.16
0.30
0.04
0.06
-0.26
0.01
-0.50

-0.08
-0.27
0.08
-0.45
0.14
-0.46
-0.06
-0.38
-0.80
-0.36
0.12
-0.60
-0.33
0.41
-0.52
-0.62
-0.05
-0.67
-0.24
0.08
-0.12
-0.13
-0.43
-0.35
-0.30

-0.16
-0.36
0.00
-0.35
0.04
-0.44
-0.04
-0.32
-0.86
-0.37
0.02
-0.45
-0.30
0.24
-0.33
-0.56
-0.12
-0.83
-0.34
-0.07
-0.32
-0.24
-0.52
-0.44
-0.23

-0.22
-0.38
-0.06
-0.33
-0.04
-0.40
-0.06
-0.08
-0.73
-0.42
-0.10
-0.54
-0.19
0.05
-0.31
-0.46
-0.09
-0.69
-0.42
-0.16
-0.45
-0.35
-0.53
-0.37
-0.26

-0.28
-0.33
-0.13
-0.33
-0.04
-0.32
-0.12
0.05
-0.63
-0.47
-0.22
-0.50
-0.20
-0.09
-0.34
-0.47
-0.10
-0.55
-0.45
-0.20
-0.51
-0.42
-0.44
-0.28
-0.32

-0.29
-0.30
-0.16
-0.25
0.02
-0.17
-0.13
0.11
-0.51
-0.36
-0.28
-0.33
-0.19
-0.18
-0.31
-0.37
-0.11
-0.33
-0.42
-0.22
-0.47
-0.43
-0.32
-0.35
-0.33

-0.29
-0.29
-0.15
-0.20
0.04
-0.11
-0.12
0.17
-0.43
-0.28
-0.31
-0.30
-0.14
-0.21
-0.27
-0.29
-0.11
-0.24
-0.38
-0.21
-0.44
-0.41
-0.30
-0.37
-0.32

Caribbean
Anguilla.............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ........................
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
British Virgin Islands ........................
Cayman Islands.................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominica...........................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (23) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Montserrat .........................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ............................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ..................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

0.73
1.20
0.48
0.54
1.87
1.22
0.51
0.65
0.86

0.47
0.85
0.19
0.29
1.57
0.89
0.23
0.32
0.58

0.22
0.58
-0.06
0.12
1.31
0.62
-0.06
0.16
0.33

0.09
0.32
-0.26
-0.05
1.04
0.37
-0.16
0.03
0.14

-0.03
0.10
-0.41
-0.23
0.78
0.13
-0.25
-0.16
0.01

-0.14
-0.11
-0.50
-0.39
0.55
-0.06
-0.33
-0.30
-0.09

-0.20
-0.20
-0.47
-0.45
0.36
-0.19
-0.37
-0.37
-0.16

-0.22
-0.24
-0.43
-0.44
0.28
-0.23
-0.37
-0.38
-0.19

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

0.46
0.51
1.30
0.24
0.31
0.62
0.66
-0.14
1.85
0.05
1.07
0.67
0.33

0.22
0.35
1.07
-0.01
0.07
0.34
0.37
-0.09
1.54
-0.28
0.80
0.37
0.01

0.02
0.18
0.83
-0.23
-0.14
0.14
0.17
-0.11
1.22
0.05
0.60
0.16
-0.02

-0.14
0.03
0.59
-0.39
-0.27
-0.01
0.01
-0.07
0.92
-0.08
0.40
-0.02
-0.14

-0.27
-0.08
0.37
-0.51
-0.35
-0.13
-0.14
0.01
0.72
-0.24
0.19
-0.17
-0.23

-0.34
-0.14
0.18
-0.55
-0.39
-0.22
-0.25
0.07
0.55
-0.32
0.04
-0.28
-0.30

-0.36
-0.17
0.04
-0.53
-0.36
-0.26
-0.31
0.12
0.39
-0.33
-0.07
-0.34
-0.31

-0.35
-0.17
-0.02
-0.49
-0.32
-0.27
-0.33
0.13
0.34
-0.28
-0.11
-0.35
-0.30

South America
Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)..............
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Western Europe
Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Liechtenstein .....................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Monaco .............................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................
Latin America and Caribbean

193

Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

1.16
4.00

1.19
3.63

0.14
3.43

0.65
2.77

0.64
2.62

0.72
2.25

0.59
2.00

0.02
1.82

0.28
1.67

0.35
1.49

Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ......................
United States of America ....................

1.71
1.74
2.72
2.75
0.66
1.62

1.41
1.76
1.88
3.67
0.70
1.36

0.94
0.95
1.27
1.31
1.50
0.90

0.97
0.61
1.05
1.15
0.36
0.96

1.03
0.68
1.39
0.88
0.56
0.99

1.01
0.53
1.12
0.02
0.07
1.00

1.15
0.46
0.91
0.21
-0.10
1.18

0.99
0.41
1.03
0.35
-0.43
0.99

0.91
0.25
1.05
0.04
-0.30
0.89

0.86
0.20
0.92
-0.01
0.00
0.85

Oceania

2.22

2.06

1.94

1.61

1.60

1.48

1.39

1.49

1.75

1.46

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

2.35
2.38
2.26

2.00
1.99
2.05

1.75
1.75
1.79

1.33
1.45
0.76

1.43
1.56
0.78

1.23
1.16
1.57

1.10
1.12
0.97

1.27
1.25
1.38

1.64
1.75
1.10

1.28
1.32
1.04

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

1.59
2.95
0.88
1.28
2.58
2.82

2.22
3.30
3.12
1.88
2.98
3.07

2.82
2.05
4.03
2.86
3.69
3.13

2.61
2.27
1.66
2.69
3.19
2.35

2.18
0.46
1.84
2.45
2.82
2.40

2.37
1.26
2.34
2.52
2.82
2.75

2.40
0.91
2.11
2.63
2.74
1.91

2.25
0.27
1.73
2.50
2.79
2.64

2.22
0.91
1.64
2.36
2.72
2.53

2.05
0.81
1.48
2.17
2.50
2.41

Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................

2.00
1.11
2.07
1.33
3.38
4.08
2.74
2.09

2.77
2.37
2.78
3.29
3.19
5.16
2.05
2.24

1.95
2.20
1.99
4.53
0.55
1.70
2.86
1.35

3.45
2.28
2.69
4.52
3.21
1.75
11.53
2.32

3.06
2.28
2.75
4.20
2.34
2.27
7.42
1.93

2.19
1.67
1.45
1.51
2.15
1.70
5.37
2.68

1.26
1.28
1.68
0.44
-0.02
0.14
3.48
2.11

0.92
1.66
1.81
-0.04
0.43
0.14
-0.31
0.75

0.64
1.30
1.58
0.76
0.30
0.28
-2.02
0.56

1.21
1.20
1.53
1.61
0.55
0.59
1.75
0.79

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................

2.49
0.78
1.65
2.68
0.10
2.74
0.50
3.17
1.48
2.15

2.94
3.17
0.76
3.15
1.07
2.88
0.54
3.77
2.21
1.49

1.50
1.83
-1.01
3.15
-5.12
1.10
-0.54
0.92
1.04
0.62

1.43
3.76
0.11
2.83
-4.51
0.24
1.95
0.20
1.43
3.73

1.33
3.63
-0.13
2.31
-3.04
0.55
-1.25
0.26
0.81
0.51

1.25
2.35
0.77
1.99
-1.47
0.84
-1.14
0.16
0.49
0.38

1.23
1.70
-0.53
1.93
-2.64
0.96
0.42
0.42
0.41
0.49

0.96
1.77
1.69
1.40
-2.39
0.41
-4.98
0.60
0.58
-0.35

0.83
1.66
0.89
1.21
-2.77
0.31
-1.28
0.61
0.27
-0.98

0.79
1.62
0.54
1.04
-2.80
0.48
0.30
0.43
0.23
-0.65

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
2 Including Zanzibar.
3 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
4 Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
5 Includes other non-specified areas.
6 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
7 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
8 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
10 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
11 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
12 Including Northern-Cyprus.

194

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

0.39
1.31

0.33
1.13

0.20
0.82

0.05
0.53

-0.04
0.29

-0.11
0.09

-0.17
-0.08

-0.20
-0.19

-0.21
-0.26

-0.19
-0.28

Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

0.80
0.16
0.85
-0.12
-0.02
0.80

0.74
0.11
0.75
-0.31
-0.02
0.74

0.60
-0.06
0.54
-0.31
0.02
0.61

0.51
-0.19
0.42
-0.52
-0.01
0.52

0.44
-0.13
0.35
-0.28
-0.01
0.45

0.40
0.00
0.27
-0.39
0.04
0.41

0.35
0.03
0.21
-0.47
0.01
0.37

0.29
0.05
0.16
-0.44
0.03
0.30

0.23
0.09
0.10
-0.27
0.06
0.25

0.20
0.10
0.06
-0.19
0.09
0.21

Northern America
Bermuda............................................
Canada...............................................
Greenland..........................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ....................
United States of America ..................

1.33

1.20

0.94

0.75

0.59

0.46

0.36

0.27

0.19

0.15

1.14
1.18
0.95

1.00
1.03
0.84

0.72
0.75
0.56

0.54
0.57
0.38

0.41
0.43
0.27

0.30
0.32
0.23

0.26
0.27
0.22

0.22
0.23
0.20

0.19
0.19
0.18

0.16
0.16
0.18

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

1.91
0.59
1.21
2.03
2.30
2.27

1.78
0.39
1.00
1.91
2.14
2.12

1.55
0.36
0.65
1.65
1.86
1.82

1.28
0.28
0.37
1.35
1.54
1.54

1.03
0.17
0.17
1.08
1.23
1.27

0.79
0.07
0.02
0.84
0.95
1.02

0.58
-0.02
-0.09
0.61
0.71
0.79

0.38
-0.09
-0.14
0.40
0.49
0.58

0.21
-0.16
-0.16
0.23
0.29
0.41

0.14
-0.19
-0.16
0.15
0.21
0.33

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

1.12
1.11
1.50
1.20
0.77
0.42
1.21
1.05

1.01
1.00
1.40
0.86
0.88
0.28
0.85
1.03

0.69
0.69
1.04
0.78
0.60
0.03
0.23
0.75

0.38
0.44
0.73
0.45
0.29
-0.20
-0.34
0.45

0.37
0.29
0.58
0.56
0.78
-0.02
-0.72
0.30

0.24
0.19
0.33
0.50
0.58
-0.09
-0.86
0.18

0.08
0.07
0.07
0.47
0.26
-0.12
-0.84
-0.02

-0.05
-0.05
-0.06
0.22
0.09
-0.16
-0.80
-0.09

-0.11
-0.12
-0.16
0.07
0.02
-0.16
-0.63
-0.04

-0.12
-0.13
-0.22
0.06
-0.03
-0.16
-0.48
-0.01

Micronesia
Guam.................................................
Kiribati ..............................................
Marshall Islands ................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............
Nauru.................................................
Northern Mariana Islands .................
Palau..................................................

0.80
1.66
0.48
0.90
-2.08
0.40
0.67
0.84
0.46
-0.16

0.76
1.74
0.35
0.73
-1.59
0.45
0.97
0.81
0.72
0.10

0.65
1.36
0.49
0.37
0.22
0.67
0.50
0.88
0.63
-0.05

0.40
1.11
0.29
0.12
0.11
0.35
0.19
0.62
0.81
-0.22

0.40
0.98
0.09
-0.09
-0.04
0.64
0.53
0.70
1.27
-0.21

0.46
0.76
-0.12
-0.24
0.06
0.97
0.83
0.94
1.20
-0.27

0.36
0.55
-0.23
-0.35
-0.02
0.86
0.75
0.80
0.93
-0.30

0.22
0.38
-0.32
-0.42
-0.17
0.64
0.69
0.54
0.80
-0.35

0.15
0.25
-0.36
-0.41
-0.21
0.49
0.53
0.43
0.60
-0.41

0.12
0.20
-0.35
-0.39
-0.27
0.43
0.50
0.38
0.51
-0.39

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa...............................
Cook Islands......................................
French Polynesia...............................
Niue...................................................
Samoa................................................
Tokelau..............................................
Tonga.................................................
Tuvalu ...............................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands .................

Oceania

Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.


Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

195

Table A.14. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country:
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
1.28

1.27

1.20

1.00

0.94

0.86

0.80

0.79

0.79

0.78

0.77

0.49
1.45
2.41
1.28

0.52
1.42
2.39
1.24

0.49
1.34
2.31
1.15

0.37
1.11
2.05
0.90

0.43
1.02
1.92
0.80

0.51
0.92
1.75
0.69

0.52
0.84
1.57
0.61

0.63
0.81
1.43
0.61

0.74
0.80
1.30
0.61

0.76
0.78
1.19
0.62

0.75
0.77
1.13
0.63

1.71

1.68

1.59

1.35

1.24

1.11

0.99

0.93

0.88

0.83

0.81

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

2.60

2.61

2.52

2.30

2.17

1.97

1.77

1.61

1.44

1.29

1.23

Africa

2.44

2.45

2.36

2.13

2.02

1.84

1.66

1.52

1.37

1.24

1.18

Eastern Africa
Burundi .....................................
Comoros....................................
Djibouti .....................................
Eritrea........................................
Ethiopia .....................................
Kenya ........................................
Madagascar ...............................
Malawi ......................................
Mauritius (1) .............................
Mayotte .....................................
Mozambique .............................
Runion .....................................
Rwanda .....................................
Seychelles .................................
Somalia .....................................
Uganda ......................................
UR Tanzania (2) .......................
Zambia ......................................
Zimbabwe .................................

2.77
2.10
2.66
2.03
3.09
2.24
2.86
2.99
3.40
0.72
3.20
2.40
1.27
3.08
0.51
2.70
3.30
3.24
3.20
2.36

2.77
1.98
2.53
2.05
2.65
2.15
2.77
3.00
3.53
0.70
2.87
2.43
1.20
2.89
0.68
3.06
3.22
3.33
3.45
2.41

2.65
1.72
2.47
2.11
2.42
2.04
2.62
2.94
3.41
0.64
2.69
2.42
1.11
2.60
0.64
3.14
3.10
3.24
3.39
1.77

2.41
1.35
2.40
1.72
2.15
1.61
2.41
2.60
3.20
0.40
2.48
2.20
0.87
2.35
0.51
3.07
2.81
3.07
3.33
1.29

2.29
1.29
2.21
1.58
1.92
1.33
2.27
2.40
3.16
0.29
2.09
2.00
0.73
2.30
0.33
2.98
2.55
2.94
3.39
1.23

2.08
1.04
2.10
1.29
1.58
1.12
2.01
2.16
2.85
0.27
1.72
1.84
0.67
1.95
0.22
2.82
2.26
2.66
3.14
1.03

1.88
0.83
1.92
1.06
1.35
0.86
1.78
1.91
2.61
0.30
1.46
1.62
0.64
1.72
0.23
2.59
1.98
2.41
2.94
0.82

1.72
0.75
1.71
0.96
1.18
0.68
1.59
1.70
2.41
0.36
1.23
1.44
0.64
1.55
0.31
2.37
1.73
2.18
2.76
0.75

1.55
0.67
1.51
0.85
0.99
0.57
1.39
1.49
2.16
0.45
1.04
1.26
0.64
1.31
0.42
2.14
1.49
1.95
2.51
0.70

1.41
0.60
1.33
0.74
0.85
0.49
1.21
1.31
1.97
0.55
0.86
1.12
0.65
1.12
0.50
1.90
1.29
1.73
2.31
0.70

1.35
0.58
1.24
0.70
0.80
0.48
1.13
1.23
1.88
0.59
0.78
1.06
0.65
1.04
0.53
1.79
1.21
1.64
2.21
0.70

Middle Africa
Angola.......................................
Cameroon..................................
Central African Rep. .................
Chad ..........................................
Congo........................................
DR Congo .................................
Equatorial Guinea .....................
Gabon........................................
Sao Tome and Principe .............

2.67
2.86
2.32
2.12
2.74
2.35
2.77
2.87
2.10
2.16

2.61
2.77
2.26
2.17
2.71
2.33
2.70
2.63
2.15
2.10

2.49
2.57
2.14
2.12
2.75
2.43
2.57
2.34
2.06
2.00

2.18
2.18
1.94
1.87
2.47
2.27
2.22
2.01
1.77
1.76

1.96
1.90
1.80
1.74
2.24
2.12
1.99
1.85
1.69
1.57

1.72
1.64
1.61
1.53
1.98
1.91
1.74
1.61
1.51
1.37

1.48
1.37
1.42
1.30
1.71
1.73
1.49
1.39
1.35
1.14

1.29
1.16
1.27
1.14
1.50
1.55
1.28
1.24
1.21
0.98

1.11
0.98
1.12
1.00
1.29
1.37
1.10
1.08
1.09
0.84

0.96
0.83
1.00
0.87
1.11
1.21
0.95
0.95
1.00
0.74

0.90
0.78
0.94
0.82
1.04
1.13
0.88
0.89
0.95
0.70

Northern Africa
Algeria.......................................
Egypt .........................................
Libya .........................................
Morocco ....................................
Sudan (3) ..................................
Tunisia.......................................
Western Sahara..........................

1.81
1.56
1.87
0.99
1.19
2.55
1.22
3.43

1.76
1.45
1.74
1.70
1.19
2.50
1.18
3.09

1.60
1.25
1.58
1.38
1.10
2.34
1.04
1.62

1.28
0.81
1.27
1.06
0.73
2.04
0.60
1.06

1.15
0.71
1.11
0.96
0.56
1.85
0.53
0.88

1.00
0.53
0.91
0.70
0.49
1.66
0.48
0.73

0.82
0.32
0.75
0.47
0.32
1.42
0.25
0.48

0.74
0.33
0.65
0.46
0.27
1.24
0.27
0.46

0.70
0.43
0.60
0.46
0.37
1.07
0.47
0.53

0.65
0.44
0.57
0.39
0.40
0.93
0.49
0.47

0.63
0.45
0.55
0.38
0.39
0.86
0.47
0.43

Southern Africa
Botswana...................................
Lesotho......................................
Namibia.....................................
South Africa ..............................
Swaziland..................................

0.82
1.25
1.23
1.87
0.71
1.56

0.84
1.16
1.25
1.76
0.75
1.42

0.89
1.07
1.15
1.73
0.82
1.31

0.73
0.81
0.92
1.39
0.67
1.14

0.74
0.82
0.94
1.21
0.68
1.21

0.72
0.75
0.83
1.04
0.68
1.09

0.67
0.65
0.73
0.82
0.65
0.93

0.66
0.66
0.74
0.68
0.65
0.82

0.63
0.67
0.75
0.60
0.62
0.73

0.62
0.67
0.79
0.54
0.62
0.70

0.63
0.68
0.82
0.52
0.63
0.69

Western Africa
Benin .........................................
Burkina Faso .............................
Cape Verde ................................

2.72
2.86
3.14
1.16

2.75
2.81
3.16
1.24

2.66
2.73
3.05
1.21

2.46
2.46
2.80
0.93

2.32
2.26
2.63
0.76

2.11
2.03
2.39
0.60

1.90
1.80
2.16
0.43

1.71
1.59
1.96
0.34

1.53
1.38
1.74
0.34

1.35
1.20
1.53
0.42

1.27
1.12
1.44
0.46

196

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.14. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Cte d'Ivoire..............................
Gambia......................................
Ghana ........................................
Guinea .......................................
Guinea-Bissau ...........................
Liberia .......................................
Mali ...........................................
Mauritania .................................
Niger .........................................
Nigeria.......................................
St. Helena (4) ............................
Senegal......................................
Sierra Leone ..............................
Togo ..........................................

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
2.35
2.85
2.43
2.67
2.24
2.80
3.11
2.40
3.66
2.68
-0.70
2.77
2.25
2.21

2.40
2.78
2.35
2.64
2.29
2.74
3.05
2.34
3.73
2.73
0.78
2.69
2.19
2.17

2.34
2.67
2.23
2.56
2.25
2.67
2.96
2.25
3.64
2.65
0.69
2.58
2.08
2.08

2.06
2.33
1.97
2.31
2.10
2.46
2.74
2.02
3.38
2.47
0.39
2.32
1.84
1.76

1.87
2.09
1.80
2.13
2.03
2.24
2.53
1.86
3.16
2.36
0.29
2.10
1.63
1.58

1.66
1.85
1.58
1.91
1.91
2.02
2.27
1.68
2.88
2.15
0.30
1.86
1.43
1.37

1.40
1.59
1.37
1.68
1.75
1.81
2.03
1.50
2.58
1.94
0.26
1.63
1.24
1.15

1.22
1.38
1.20
1.48
1.63
1.62
1.81
1.34
2.31
1.77
0.34
1.43
1.08
0.99

1.06
1.19
1.04
1.28
1.50
1.43
1.59
1.19
2.04
1.58
0.48
1.24
0.94
0.87

0.92
1.03
0.90
1.10
1.36
1.25
1.38
1.04
1.79
1.40
0.55
1.07
0.83
0.76

0.87
0.96
0.85
1.03
1.29
1.17
1.29
0.98
1.68
1.31
0.58
1.00
0.78
0.71

1.18

1.13

1.03

0.77

0.66

0.54

0.46

0.46

0.48

0.51

0.52

Eastern Asia (5)


China (6) ...................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) .....
China, Macao SAR (8) .............
DPR Korea ................................
Japan .........................................
Mongolia ...................................
Rep. of Korea ............................

0.56
0.60
1.23
2.22
0.58
0.08
1.75
0.56

0.50
0.53
1.24
1.99
0.68
0.01
1.68
0.53

0.38
0.41
1.19
1.71
0.71
-0.07
1.45
0.46

0.12
0.13
0.83
1.04
0.46
-0.22
1.10
0.15

0.00
0.01
0.70
0.74
0.45
-0.16
1.21
-0.06

-0.05
-0.08
0.75
0.58
0.53
0.03
1.01
-0.05

-0.03
-0.06
0.64
0.41
0.46
0.06
0.89
0.00

0.10
0.08
0.62
0.42
0.56
0.21
0.99
0.14

0.26
0.23
0.77
0.56
0.63
0.48
0.98
0.38

0.42
0.39
0.81
0.70
0.61
0.60
0.96
0.54

0.48
0.45
0.79
0.73
0.63
0.62
0.97
0.57

South-Central Asia (9)

1.57

1.51

1.39

1.10

0.95

0.76

0.61

0.54

0.49

0.47

0.47

Central Asia
Kazakhstan................................
Kyrgyzstan ................................
Tajikistan...................................
Turkmenistan ............................
Uzbekistan.................................

1.36
1.24
1.28
1.66
1.45
1.36

1.45
1.20
1.63
1.77
1.44
1.47

1.29
1.04
1.44
1.69
1.29
1.29

0.94
0.88
1.23
1.34
0.88
0.82

0.92
1.07
1.22
1.30
0.77
0.70

0.77
0.93
1.05
1.14
0.62
0.53

0.64
0.91
1.03
0.92
0.43
0.32

0.65
1.00
1.01
0.83
0.40
0.31

0.64
0.96
1.00
0.72
0.39
0.33

0.64
0.92
1.02
0.64
0.38
0.36

0.65
0.92
1.01
0.63
0.39
0.39

Southern Asia
Afghanistan ...............................
Bangladesh................................
Bhutan .......................................
India ..........................................
Iran ............................................
Maldives....................................
Nepal .........................................
Pakistan .....................................
Sri Lanka...................................

1.58
3.27
1.46
1.75
1.51
1.28
1.52
1.88
1.95
0.98

1.51
2.96
1.41
1.41
1.45
1.13
1.47
1.85
1.88
0.84

1.40
2.70
1.29
1.27
1.35
0.87
1.26
1.75
1.77
0.70

1.10
2.31
0.93
0.90
1.07
0.53
0.76
1.37
1.34
0.53

0.95
2.05
0.74
0.73
0.92
0.49
0.67
1.16
1.14
0.44

0.76
1.80
0.54
0.53
0.75
0.22
0.46
0.95
0.91
0.33

0.61
1.51
0.39
0.35
0.61
0.03
0.18
0.76
0.66
0.36

0.53
1.28
0.33
0.29
0.53
0.07
0.08
0.64
0.54
0.44

0.49
1.07
0.34
0.33
0.48
0.22
0.09
0.56
0.46
0.52

0.47
0.89
0.40
0.39
0.46
0.41
0.26
0.55
0.41
0.58

0.47
0.81
0.43
0.42
0.45
0.46
0.36
0.55
0.40
0.61

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam....................
Cambodia ..................................
Indonesia ...................................
Lao PDR....................................
Malaysia (10) ............................
Myanmar ...................................
Philippines.................................
Singapore ..................................
Thailand ....................................
Timor-Leste...............................
Viet Nam ...................................

1.26
1.87
1.41
1.18
1.53
1.75
0.99
1.87
1.27
0.68
3.06
1.19

1.23
1.75
1.45
1.13
1.54
1.70
1.01
1.86
1.05
0.61
3.20
1.13

1.14
1.59
1.34
1.04
1.45
1.62
0.93
1.80
1.00
0.54
3.15
0.97

0.88
1.25
0.97
0.79
0.99
1.28
0.58
1.55
0.64
0.33
2.61
0.62

0.74
1.07
0.84
0.62
0.76
1.07
0.45
1.39
0.29
0.22
2.31
0.50

0.62
0.92
0.69
0.48
0.62
0.97
0.42
1.22
0.33
0.19
2.06
0.33

0.52
0.81
0.49
0.40
0.41
0.83
0.31
1.03
0.34
0.21
1.68
0.21

0.50
0.79
0.41
0.40
0.32
0.73
0.32
0.89
0.33
0.32
1.41
0.24

0.52
0.80
0.41
0.44
0.33
0.69
0.43
0.78
0.51
0.42
1.21
0.32

0.54
0.81
0.43
0.48
0.38
0.64
0.47
0.69
0.63
0.51
1.01
0.45

0.55
0.83
0.44
0.50
0.41
0.62
0.47
0.66
0.63
0.55
0.92
0.51

Western Asia
Armenia.....................................
Azerbaijan (11) .........................
Bahrain......................................
Cyprus (12) ...............................

2.06
0.47
1.40
2.30
1.27

1.97
0.38
1.25
1.66
1.18

1.84
0.23
0.93
1.28
1.04

1.52
0.13
0.74
0.93
0.68

1.39
0.20
0.81
0.75
0.49

1.22
0.15
0.61
0.37
0.41

1.06
0.20
0.69
0.23
0.30

0.98
0.30
0.75
0.39
0.34

0.92
0.39
0.79
0.52
0.48

0.86
0.55
0.87
0.51
0.57

0.83
0.61
0.86
0.49
0.61

Asia (5)

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

197

Table A.14. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Georgia (13) ..............................
Iraq ............................................
Israel..........................................
Jordan........................................
Kuwait.......................................
Lebanon.....................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) .
Oman.........................................
Qatar..........................................
Saudi Arabia..............................
Syrian Arab Rep........................
Turkey .......................................
United Arab Emirates ...............
Yemen .......................................

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
-0.41
3.27
1.83
2.07
2.59
0.93
2.98
2.08
3.00
2.32
1.85
1.33
2.34
3.19

-0.42
3.12
1.69
1.90
2.15
0.89
2.95
1.74
1.70
2.17
1.93
1.24
2.05
3.08

-0.48
3.00
1.57
1.76
2.01
0.83
2.82
1.38
0.95
1.88
1.90
1.12
1.70
2.89

-0.51
2.57
1.40
1.41
1.78
0.51
2.34
0.82
0.85
1.30
1.49
0.80
1.24
2.50

-0.30
2.33
1.35
1.14
1.52
0.37
2.12
0.50
0.68
1.11
1.15
0.64
0.95
2.29

-0.11
2.09
1.23
0.89
1.23
0.28
1.88
0.25
0.34
0.87
0.98
0.50
0.53
1.98

0.00
1.84
1.10
0.68
1.03
0.17
1.60
0.14
0.11
0.59
0.77
0.38
0.18
1.69

0.19
1.64
1.04
0.57
0.96
0.22
1.40
0.22
0.03
0.50
0.60
0.39
0.17
1.48

0.36
1.45
0.96
0.51
0.94
0.32
1.21
0.26
0.10
0.48
0.52
0.43
0.30
1.29

0.51
1.27
0.88
0.48
0.88
0.42
1.05
0.24
0.18
0.46
0.47
0.46
0.34
1.13

0.54
1.18
0.84
0.48
0.84
0.47
0.98
0.27
0.18
0.45
0.48
0.48
0.32
1.06

0.27

0.31

0.28

0.16

0.25

0.31

0.34

0.50

0.66

0.70

0.71

Eastern Europe
Belarus ......................................
Bulgaria.....................................
Czech Rep. ................................
Hungary.....................................
Poland .......................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ................
Romania ....................................
Russian Federation....................
Slovakia.....................................
Ukraine......................................

0.01
-0.14
-0.50
0.45
0.01
0.23
-0.48
-0.05
0.09
0.35
-0.36

0.06
-0.06
-0.47
0.46
0.11
0.29
-0.25
0.00
0.10
0.43
-0.27

0.01
-0.10
-0.50
0.40
0.14
0.24
-0.24
0.00
0.02
0.39
-0.27

-0.13
-0.21
-0.55
0.15
0.04
-0.09
-0.44
-0.11
-0.09
0.05
-0.33

0.06
-0.01
-0.32
0.32
0.19
-0.02
-0.26
0.00
0.12
0.08
-0.04

0.16
0.09
-0.25
0.48
0.38
0.22
-0.03
0.01
0.17
0.26
0.07

0.19
0.17
-0.12
0.35
0.34
0.12
0.02
0.02
0.25
0.15
0.14

0.41
0.42
0.25
0.47
0.44
0.20
0.20
0.28
0.49
0.25
0.41

0.60
0.59
0.51
0.71
0.65
0.54
0.34
0.50
0.63
0.56
0.58

0.66
0.66
0.64
0.70
0.67
0.61
0.52
0.61
0.69
0.63
0.66

0.68
0.69
0.69
0.66
0.64
0.58
0.58
0.64
0.72
0.59
0.69

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) .................
Denmark....................................
Estonia.......................................
Faeroe Islands ...........................
Finland (17) ...............................
Iceland.......................................
Ireland .......................................
Isle of Man ................................
Latvia ........................................
Lithuania ...................................
Norway (18) ..............................
Sweden......................................
United Kingdom........................

0.69
0.33
0.49
0.11
0.59
0.47
1.33
1.32
0.60
-0.20
-0.26
0.84
0.72
0.76

0.75
0.37
0.54
0.16
0.66
0.51
1.31
1.23
0.53
-0.10
-0.10
0.92
0.80
0.82

0.76
0.37
0.58
0.10
0.75
0.49
1.23
1.09
0.46
-0.13
-0.04
0.95
0.79
0.83

0.58
0.18
0.42
-0.06
0.61
0.29
0.91
0.90
0.23
-0.23
-0.17
0.77
0.54
0.64

0.56
0.17
0.37
0.23
0.44
0.36
0.81
0.94
0.23
0.06
0.02
0.74
0.61
0.58

0.62
0.30
0.50
0.34
0.55
0.55
0.80
0.87
0.32
0.21
0.24
0.82
0.71
0.61

0.61
0.43
0.57
0.28
0.62
0.58
0.73
0.77
0.41
0.13
0.20
0.79
0.66
0.61

0.67
0.63
0.64
0.50
0.61
0.67
0.77
0.83
0.55
0.36
0.35
0.83
0.73
0.66

0.76
0.80
0.74
0.69
0.64
0.77
0.84
0.90
0.67
0.63
0.62
0.88
0.81
0.73

0.77
0.86
0.76
0.68
0.65
0.77
0.83
0.86
0.73
0.63
0.65
0.85
0.79
0.76

0.77
0.88
0.76
0.68
0.65
0.77
0.83
0.84
0.74
0.63
0.63
0.82
0.79
0.77

Southern Europe
Albania......................................
Andorra .....................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...........
Croatia.......................................
Gibraltar ....................................
Greece .......................................
Holy See (19) ............................
Italy ...........................................
Malta .........................................
Montenegro ...............................
Portugal .....................................
San Marino................................
Serbia (20) .................................
Slovenia.....................................
Spain (21) ..................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ..............

0.46
0.54
1.73
-0.06
-0.03
0.24
0.40
0.30
0.38
0.48
0.26
0.21
0.78
0.07
0.40
0.79
0.30

0.36
0.53
1.67
-0.10
0.02
0.28
0.36
0.04
0.24
0.49
0.34
0.09
0.60
0.08
0.37
0.70
0.28

0.30
0.43
1.58
-0.14
0.02
0.25
0.32
0.09
0.20
0.44
0.30
0.00
0.53
0.08
0.28
0.59
0.21

0.20
0.07
1.37
-0.34
-0.09
0.03
0.29
0.09
0.14
0.18
0.16
-0.08
0.37
0.02
0.11
0.43
0.00

0.25
-0.07
1.25
-0.42
0.03
0.11
0.38
0.62
0.20
0.18
0.17
-0.12
0.38
0.06
0.22
0.48
0.00

0.19
-0.09
1.11
-0.37
0.16
0.26
0.37
0.70
0.21
0.32
0.23
-0.18
0.36
0.11
0.29
0.26
0.00

0.14
-0.19
0.90
-0.33
0.21
0.29
0.34
0.26
0.22
0.37
0.22
-0.18
0.31
0.12
0.28
0.11
-0.02

0.34
-0.16
0.83
-0.16
0.40
0.44
0.51
0.36
0.43
0.43
0.30
0.01
0.44
0.25
0.45
0.31
0.11

0.54
0.03
0.80
0.13
0.56
0.61
0.65
0.48
0.64
0.59
0.42
0.27
0.61
0.40
0.63
0.53
0.28

0.61
0.26
0.69
0.35
0.64
0.67
0.64
0.56
0.69
0.75
0.49
0.40
0.65
0.49
0.64
0.59
0.43

0.65
0.37
0.63
0.43
0.67
0.69
0.63
0.45
0.74
0.80
0.51
0.45
0.66
0.53
0.64
0.62
0.49

Europe

198

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.14. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Western Europe
Austria.......................................
Belgium.....................................
France........................................
Germany....................................
Liechtenstein .............................
Luxembourg ..............................
Monaco .....................................
Netherlands ...............................
Switzerland ...............................
Latin America and Caribbean

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
0.30
0.32
0.44
0.66
-0.06
0.92
1.52
0.17
0.43
0.55

0.39
0.37
0.48
0.68
0.11
0.99
1.45
0.21
0.45
0.56

0.40
0.40
0.50
0.68
0.11
0.99
1.37
0.28
0.46
0.53

0.30
0.26
0.45
0.60
0.00
0.72
1.04
0.37
0.34
0.24

0.33
0.23
0.50
0.63
0.06
0.69
0.77
0.41
0.27
0.17

0.44
0.30
0.60
0.70
0.20
0.78
0.69
0.51
0.39
0.26

0.51
0.34
0.65
0.71
0.32
0.75
0.64
0.67
0.53
0.29

0.64
0.45
0.74
0.79
0.51
0.79
0.64
0.79
0.63
0.40

0.75
0.57
0.82
0.84
0.68
0.82
0.70
0.86
0.72
0.59

0.77
0.62
0.81
0.83
0.72
0.77
0.72
0.88
0.76
0.67

0.76
0.62
0.78
0.82
0.72
0.74
0.72
0.89
0.75
0.67

1.26

1.23

1.14

0.88

0.74

0.62

0.56

0.54

0.55

0.57

0.59

Caribbean
Anguilla.....................................
Antigua and Barbuda ................
Aruba.........................................
Bahamas....................................
Barbados ...................................
British Virgin Islands ................
Cayman Islands.........................
Cuba ..........................................
Dominica...................................
Dominican Rep. ........................
Grenada .....................................
Guadeloupe (23) ........................
Haiti...........................................
Jamaica......................................
Martinique.................................
Montserrat .................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ..........
Puerto Rico................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ....................
St. Lucia ....................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
Trinidad and Tobago .................
Turks and Caicos Islands ..........
US Virgin Islands ......................

0.84
1.75
1.17
0.51
1.34
0.39
1.10
0.98
0.12
0.19
1.42
0.60
0.61
1.47
0.54
0.42
1.05
0.88
0.14
1.38
1.17
0.20
0.53
1.43
-0.10

0.87
1.31
1.18
0.50
1.34
0.44
1.09
0.86
0.15
0.34
1.35
0.63
0.59
1.49
0.57
0.38
0.88
0.61
0.31
1.32
1.13
0.36
0.45
1.10
-0.05

0.84
0.86
1.13
0.47
1.22
0.41
1.03
0.76
0.16
0.59
1.24
0.45
0.57
1.44
0.51
0.34
0.81
0.42
0.36
1.19
0.99
0.45
0.28
0.91
-0.04

0.63
0.55
0.84
0.14
0.83
0.18
0.68
0.49
-0.02
0.18
0.97
0.00
0.33
1.16
0.16
0.11
0.66
0.04
0.30
0.90
0.66
0.52
0.16
0.75
-0.22

0.53
0.38
0.71
0.01
0.67
0.06
0.45
0.25
-0.12
0.16
0.80
-0.09
0.20
0.99
0.01
-0.06
0.56
0.04
0.32
0.74
0.53
0.56
0.26
0.47
-0.07

0.50
0.29
0.65
0.16
0.63
0.11
0.49
0.15
-0.19
0.28
0.72
0.10
0.24
0.92
0.18
-0.05
0.51
-0.11
0.34
0.62
0.45
0.47
0.18
0.24
0.28

0.50
0.31
0.61
0.30
0.57
0.21
0.51
0.31
-0.10
0.30
0.69
0.28
0.31
0.80
0.43
0.10
0.53
-0.16
0.32
0.53
0.36
0.44
0.20
0.27
0.35

0.52
0.39
0.64
0.42
0.56
0.33
0.56
0.58
0.15
0.40
0.65
0.35
0.49
0.68
0.54
0.27
0.63
0.16
0.37
0.54
0.35
0.46
0.33
0.42
0.39

0.54
0.50
0.65
0.52
0.63
0.49
0.62
0.74
0.33
0.44
0.62
0.43
0.57
0.61
0.57
0.36
0.69
0.33
0.43
0.57
0.39
0.47
0.45
0.56
0.46

0.56
0.56
0.64
0.58
0.69
0.62
0.61
0.81
0.49
0.53
0.61
0.56
0.60
0.56
0.63
0.49
0.73
0.53
0.51
0.59
0.47
0.51
0.57
0.56
0.46

0.57
0.57
0.66
0.61
0.70
0.65
0.62
0.84
0.56
0.59
0.61
0.58
0.65
0.53
0.66
0.55
0.75
0.62
0.56
0.60
0.51
0.53
0.60
0.56
0.46

Central America
Belize ........................................
Costa Rica .................................
El Salvador................................
Guatemala .................................
Honduras ...................................
Mexico ......................................
Nicaragua ..................................
Panama......................................

1.51
2.17
1.56
0.83
2.71
2.18
1.34
1.63
1.65

1.45
2.16
1.41
1.04
2.65
2.09
1.25
1.54
1.58

1.35
2.00
1.21
1.10
2.53
1.94
1.14
1.39
1.49

1.09
1.54
0.82
0.94
2.20
1.56
0.88
1.05
1.21

0.93
1.31
0.64
0.79
1.99
1.33
0.71
0.82
1.04

0.76
1.10
0.48
0.68
1.77
1.12
0.52
0.74
0.86

0.71
0.90
0.39
0.59
1.54
0.93
0.49
0.67
0.76

0.67
0.77
0.36
0.51
1.34
0.76
0.50
0.57
0.73

0.65
0.66
0.39
0.45
1.16
0.65
0.52
0.52
0.70

0.64
0.62
0.48
0.46
1.02
0.59
0.54
0.52
0.69

0.64
0.61
0.53
0.48
0.96
0.57
0.56
0.53
0.69

South America
Argentina...................................
Bolivia.......................................
Brazil.........................................
Chile..........................................
Colombia...................................
Ecuador .....................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)......
French Guiana...........................
Guyana ......................................
Paraguay....................................
Peru ...........................................
Suriname ...................................

1.21
1.04
1.75
1.04
1.05
1.48
1.51
0.43
2.69
0.41
1.90
1.32
1.06

1.17
1.06
1.81
0.99
1.02
1.40
1.44
0.39
2.64
0.58
1.86
1.35
1.03

1.08
1.02
1.81
0.89
0.92
1.28
1.32
0.33
2.53
0.70
1.74
1.32
0.97

0.82
0.85
1.64
0.62
0.64
0.98
1.03
0.17
2.12
0.42
1.42
1.01
0.67

0.69
0.80
1.49
0.48
0.51
0.80
0.84
0.34
1.91
0.23
1.25
0.80
0.48

0.57
0.72
1.31
0.36
0.42
0.68
0.72
0.43
1.66
0.65
1.10
0.68
0.54

0.51
0.63
1.13
0.32
0.37
0.61
0.64
0.53
1.39
0.56
0.95
0.56
0.48

0.48
0.61
0.97
0.32
0.40
0.58
0.57
0.68
1.26
0.50
0.82
0.49
0.49

0.50
0.63
0.85
0.39
0.45
0.57
0.55
0.80
1.14
0.52
0.74
0.47
0.50

0.54
0.64
0.76
0.47
0.53
0.59
0.56
0.86
1.02
0.53
0.68
0.46
0.52

0.56
0.65
0.72
0.52
0.57
0.59
0.56
0.87
0.98
0.56
0.65
0.47
0.53

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

199

Table A.14. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100

Uruguay.....................................
Venezuela ..................................

0.52
1.69

0.65
1.60

0.65
1.47

0.54
1.18

0.51
1.00

0.52
0.83

0.53
0.71

0.56
0.64

0.60
0.61

0.63
0.60

0.65
0.60

Northern America
Bermuda....................................
Canada.......................................
Greenland..................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ............
United States of America ..........

1.02
0.34
1.08
0.17
0.18
1.01

1.05
0.39
1.09
0.16
0.25
1.04

1.02
0.40
1.04
0.03
0.31
1.02

0.87
0.22
0.78
0.04
0.34
0.88

0.86
0.21
0.76
0.03
0.41
0.87

0.90
0.43
0.81
0.35
0.54
0.91

0.87
0.56
0.73
0.35
0.60
0.89

0.88
0.65
0.74
0.42
0.63
0.90

0.89
0.76
0.78
0.51
0.73
0.91

0.85
0.79
0.74
0.66
0.74
0.87

0.83
0.78
0.70
0.71
0.75
0.84

Oceania

1.62

1.58

1.49

1.21

1.11

1.05

0.94

0.91

0.88

0.82

0.80

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ............................
New Zealand .............................

1.44
1.49
1.20

1.39
1.43
1.19

1.29
1.32
1.13

0.97
1.00
0.82

0.89
0.91
0.75

0.87
0.89
0.76

0.78
0.79
0.73

0.80
0.80
0.78

0.84
0.84
0.84

0.82
0.82
0.83

0.80
0.80
0.82

Melanesia
Fiji .............................................
New Caledonia..........................
Papua New Guinea....................
Solomon Islands........................
Vanuatu .....................................

2.22
1.00
1.66
2.34
2.67
2.58

2.17
0.87
1.49
2.29
2.55
2.53

2.09
0.72
1.32
2.22
2.43
2.42

1.85
0.71
0.95
1.95
2.15
2.11

1.66
0.74
0.76
1.73
1.91
1.91

1.47
0.71
0.66
1.53
1.65
1.70

1.28
0.65
0.56
1.32
1.42
1.48

1.12
0.63
0.52
1.15
1.22
1.30

0.97
0.61
0.54
0.99
1.05
1.14

0.84
0.57
0.54
0.85
0.90
1.01

0.79
0.55
0.55
0.80
0.83
0.95

Micronesia
Guam.........................................
Kiribati ......................................
Marshall Islands ........................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .......
Nauru.........................................
Northern Mariana Islands .........
Palau..........................................

1.38
1.37
1.72
1.77
0.72
0.77
1.94
0.96

1.40
1.38
1.78
1.43
1.05
0.68
1.49
1.33

1.34
1.33
1.75
1.13
1.22
0.60
1.17
1.37

1.01
1.02
1.33
1.08
0.93
0.34
0.52
1.06

0.80
0.90
1.11
0.88
0.71
0.23
0.06
0.80

0.89
0.83
1.08
1.02
1.26
0.52
-0.16
0.77

0.79
0.78
0.85
1.01
1.07
0.48
-0.16
0.70

0.70
0.76
0.66
1.03
0.81
0.52
-0.02
0.56

0.66
0.71
0.64
0.82
0.73
0.58
0.14
0.57

0.63
0.69
0.57
0.71
0.68
0.59
0.33
0.63

0.62
0.69
0.51
0.73
0.62
0.59
0.44
0.64

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.......................
Cook Islands..............................
French Polynesia.......................
Niue...........................................
Samoa........................................
Tokelau......................................
Tonga.........................................
Tuvalu .......................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands .........

0.96
1.79
0.72
1.24
-2.62
0.64
0.47
0.59
0.38
-0.48

1.07
1.93
0.78
1.19
-1.80
0.64
0.93
1.08
0.73
0.10

1.08
2.07
0.70
1.06
-1.24
0.76
1.30
1.11
1.08
0.43

0.97
1.66
0.80
0.71
0.54
0.99
0.80
1.18
0.98
0.28

0.84
1.51
0.73
0.60
0.58
0.79
0.64
1.03
1.26
0.24

0.93
1.46
0.63
0.48
0.49
1.16
1.15
1.19
1.79
0.37

1.00
1.25
0.46
0.41
0.64
1.46
1.29
1.42
1.66
0.35

0.96
1.13
0.48
0.42
0.64
1.35
1.27
1.30
1.44
0.41

0.87
1.01
0.47
0.44
0.56
1.17
1.31
1.10
1.37
0.45

0.83
0.90
0.46
0.49
0.55
1.05
1.09
1.01
1.17
0.43

0.81
0.86
0.49
0.52
0.54
0.99
1.06
0.96
1.08
0.46

a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

200

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
Includes other non-specified areas.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

201

Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country:
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
0.91

0.72

0.55

0.35

0.09

-0.16

-0.36

-0.54

-0.70

-0.79

-0.81

0.16
1.07
2.06
0.90

0.02
0.86
1.87
0.67

-0.09
0.68
1.68
0.48

-0.20
0.45
1.43
0.23

-0.35
0.16
1.14
-0.09

-0.53
-0.10
0.86
-0.38

-0.61
-0.32
0.60
-0.62

-0.66
-0.52
0.34
-0.84

-0.71
-0.69
0.11
-1.02

-0.75
-0.79
-0.08
-1.12

-0.76
-0.82
-0.16
-1.14

1.33

1.12

0.93

0.68

0.39

0.11

-0.13

-0.36

-0.55

-0.68

-0.73

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

2.27

2.12

1.93

1.71

1.41

1.12

0.85

0.57

0.32

0.09

-0.01

Africa

2.10

1.94

1.75

1.54

1.25

0.97

0.71

0.46

0.22

0.01

-0.09

Eastern Africa
Burundi .....................................
Comoros....................................
Djibouti .....................................
Eritrea........................................
Ethiopia .....................................
Kenya ........................................
Madagascar ...............................
Malawi ......................................
Mauritius (1) .............................
Mayotte .....................................
Mozambique .............................
Runion .....................................
Rwanda .....................................
Seychelles .................................
Somalia .....................................
Uganda ......................................
UR Tanzania (2) .......................
Zambia ......................................
Zimbabwe .................................

2.44
1.75
2.33
1.68
2.73
1.90
2.51
2.65
3.09
0.34
2.84
2.07
0.90
2.76
0.15
2.42
2.98
2.92
2.89
1.95

2.26
1.44
2.04
1.50
2.12
1.59
2.26
2.48
3.08
0.11
2.36
1.92
0.65
2.42
0.15
2.66
2.75
2.86
3.01
1.76

2.05
1.08
1.89
1.46
1.80
1.33
2.02
2.31
2.89
-0.07
2.08
1.80
0.44
2.06
-0.01
2.67
2.54
2.69
2.89
0.98

1.81
0.70
1.82
1.11
1.52
0.92
1.78
1.98
2.70
-0.30
1.82
1.55
0.19
1.81
-0.21
2.62
2.24
2.50
2.83
0.54

1.51
0.43
1.44
0.77
1.12
0.48
1.45
1.59
2.46
-0.62
1.31
1.16
-0.13
1.56
-0.61
2.37
1.79
2.19
2.71
0.22

1.22
0.04
1.24
0.29
0.65
0.11
1.09
1.26
2.11
-0.91
0.82
0.89
-0.38
1.11
-0.98
2.12
1.41
1.84
2.43
-0.06

0.96
-0.30
0.99
-0.03
0.32
-0.25
0.77
0.93
1.81
-1.10
0.46
0.60
-0.55
0.80
-1.23
1.85
1.06
1.52
2.18
-0.37

0.69
-0.57
0.68
-0.32
0.01
-0.63
0.46
0.61
1.51
-1.26
0.15
0.30
-0.70
0.50
-1.42
1.53
0.70
1.20
1.91
-0.66

0.44
-0.80
0.38
-0.56
-0.30
-0.98
0.17
0.29
1.22
-1.40
-0.15
0.04
-0.89
0.18
-1.56
1.23
0.38
0.90
1.62
-0.86

0.23
-1.00
0.12
-0.78
-0.56
-1.22
-0.10
0.02
0.95
-1.40
-0.49
-0.21
-1.01
-0.12
-1.66
0.93
0.08
0.61
1.36
-0.99

0.13
-1.09
0.00
-0.87
-0.67
-1.31
-0.23
-0.11
0.82
-1.33
-0.64
-0.31
-1.03
-0.25
-1.68
0.79
-0.06
0.47
1.23
-1.05

Middle Africa
Angola.......................................
Cameroon..................................
Central African Rep. .................
Chad ..........................................
Congo........................................
DR Congo .................................
Equatorial Guinea .....................
Gabon........................................
Sao Tome and Principe .............

2.35
2.54
1.97
1.80
2.44
2.01
2.46
2.57
1.72
1.77

2.12
2.27
1.74
1.66
2.26
1.83
2.23
2.17
1.56
1.51

1.91
1.96
1.52
1.50
2.21
1.83
2.00
1.77
1.38
1.29

1.56
1.53
1.28
1.22
1.91
1.63
1.62
1.39
1.10
1.06

1.16
1.07
0.96
0.90
1.48
1.29
1.21
1.03
0.81
0.67

0.81
0.69
0.64
0.56
1.11
0.98
0.85
0.67
0.53
0.35

0.47
0.32
0.35
0.22
0.76
0.70
0.50
0.34
0.26
0.02

0.14
-0.03
0.06
-0.10
0.41
0.41
0.15
0.05
-0.03
-0.33

-0.16
-0.36
-0.20
-0.37
0.10
0.13
-0.16
-0.22
-0.26
-0.61

-0.43
-0.65
-0.43
-0.62
-0.18
-0.13
-0.43
-0.48
-0.45
-0.86

-0.54
-0.77
-0.53
-0.72
-0.31
-0.25
-0.55
-0.60
-0.54
-0.96

Northern Africa
Algeria.......................................
Egypt .........................................
Libya .........................................
Morocco ....................................
Sudan (3) ..................................
Tunisia.......................................
Western Sahara..........................

1.42
1.14
1.47
0.56
0.78
2.22
0.81
3.05

1.17
0.82
1.15
1.08
0.56
2.00
0.55
2.52

0.92
0.53
0.89
0.69
0.36
1.72
0.31
0.92

0.63
0.17
0.58
0.40
0.06
1.43
-0.01
0.46

0.31
-0.14
0.22
0.14
-0.28
1.07
-0.28
0.10

-0.02
-0.55
-0.14
-0.28
-0.64
0.75
-0.64
-0.30

-0.32
-0.94
-0.45
-0.66
-0.97
0.44
-1.00
-0.66

-0.60
-1.22
-0.78
-0.90
-1.25
0.12
-1.25
-0.89

-0.82
-1.38
-1.03
-1.13
-1.47
-0.17
-1.32
-1.03

-0.99
-1.49
-1.23
-1.40
-1.55
-0.43
-1.36
-1.19

-1.05
-1.51
-1.30
-1.48
-1.54
-0.54
-1.36
-1.27

Southern Africa
Botswana...................................
Lesotho......................................
Namibia.....................................
South Africa ..............................
Swaziland..................................

0.41
0.85
0.83
1.49
0.31
1.16

0.21
0.51
0.60
1.16
0.12
0.76

0.11
0.27
0.34
0.99
0.04
0.51

-0.10
-0.02
0.07
0.67
-0.16
0.30

-0.35
-0.26
-0.21
0.30
-0.42
0.13

-0.52
-0.47
-0.45
-0.03
-0.57
-0.08

-0.66
-0.65
-0.65
-0.32
-0.70
-0.32

-0.87
-0.84
-0.82
-0.64
-0.90
-0.63

-1.06
-1.00
-0.91
-0.92
-1.09
-0.88

-1.20
-1.11
-0.93
-1.12
-1.23
-1.04

-1.24
-1.16
-0.92
-1.19
-1.27
-1.09

Western Africa
Benin .........................................
Burkina Faso .............................
Cape Verde ................................

2.41
2.54
2.83
0.74

2.28
2.34
2.72
0.58

2.12
2.16
2.53
0.43

1.91
1.90
2.29
0.18

1.61
1.53
1.96
-0.19

1.30
1.19
1.62
-0.55

1.02
0.88
1.32
-0.92

0.73
0.56
1.02
-1.37

0.46
0.25
0.72
-1.74

0.21
-0.02
0.44
-1.89

0.09
-0.15
0.31
-1.89

202

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Cte d'Ivoire..............................
Gambia......................................
Ghana ........................................
Guinea .......................................
Guinea-Bissau ...........................
Liberia .......................................
Mali ...........................................
Mauritania .................................
Niger .........................................
Nigeria.......................................
St. Helena (4) ............................
Senegal......................................
Sierra Leone ..............................
Togo ..........................................

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
2.01
2.51
2.09
2.35
1.92
2.48
2.81
2.08
3.38
2.38
-1.07
2.43
1.93
1.86

1.88
2.27
1.83
2.17
1.82
2.26
2.62
1.85
3.32
2.29
0.23
2.18
1.69
1.63

1.70
2.05
1.61
2.00
1.69
2.10
2.45
1.66
3.17
2.13
0.03
1.97
1.47
1.42

1.43
1.72
1.36
1.73
1.54
1.88
2.21
1.42
2.91
1.94
-0.25
1.70
1.20
1.11

1.07
1.31
1.01
1.39
1.30
1.50
1.84
1.09
2.55
1.66
-0.55
1.32
0.81
0.74

0.73
0.93
0.66
1.05
1.06
1.16
1.48
0.77
2.18
1.36
-0.82
0.95
0.47
0.39

0.39
0.60
0.37
0.75
0.83
0.87
1.17
0.50
1.82
1.08
-1.03
0.64
0.18
0.07

0.07
0.26
0.07
0.43
0.59
0.57
0.85
0.23
1.46
0.80
-1.21
0.32
-0.13
-0.24

-0.21
-0.04
-0.22
0.13
0.37
0.29
0.54
-0.04
1.12
0.53
-1.33
0.02
-0.41
-0.52

-0.45
-0.30
-0.46
-0.14
0.17
0.03
0.25
-0.27
0.80
0.28
-1.39
-0.24
-0.63
-0.75

-0.55
-0.42
-0.57
-0.26
0.07
-0.09
0.12
-0.37
0.65
0.15
-1.37
-0.35
-0.72
-0.84

0.80

0.56

0.36

0.10

-0.24

-0.55

-0.82

-1.07

-1.27

-1.37

-1.38

0.20
0.23
0.86
1.80
0.24
-0.22
1.31
0.21

-0.05
-0.02
0.70
1.40
0.11
-0.42
1.05
0.02

-0.24
-0.22
0.58
1.10
0.00
-0.60
0.77
-0.14

-0.50
-0.49
0.36
0.59
-0.19
-0.77
0.48
-0.41

-0.86
-0.87
0.11
0.10
-0.48
-0.90
0.29
-0.80

-1.19
-1.22
-0.13
-0.31
-0.70
-1.03
-0.08
-1.16

-1.43
-1.48
-0.28
-0.59
-0.83
-1.15
-0.30
-1.33

-1.60
-1.67
-0.37
-0.79
-1.02
-1.20
-0.43
-1.39

-1.73
-1.83
-0.42
-0.85
-1.16
-1.13
-0.53
-1.41

-1.64
-1.74
-0.41
-0.70
-1.17
-1.08
-0.58
-1.34

-1.54
-1.64
-0.37
-0.63
-1.16
-1.05
-0.60
-1.24

South-Central Asia (9)

1.18

0.92

0.70

0.39

0.02

-0.33

-0.65

-0.97

-1.24

-1.42

-1.47

Central Asia
Kazakhstan................................
Kyrgyzstan ................................
Tajikistan...................................
Turkmenistan ............................
Uzbekistan.................................

0.95
0.85
0.85
1.26
1.03
0.93

0.82
0.63
1.01
1.14
0.80
0.82

0.57
0.39
0.75
0.95
0.55
0.54

0.26
0.24
0.52
0.64
0.19
0.14

-0.02
0.13
0.23
0.35
-0.16
-0.23

-0.36
-0.16
-0.08
0.04
-0.53
-0.64

-0.62
-0.29
-0.28
-0.27
-0.87
-0.99

-0.86
-0.38
-0.48
-0.58
-1.20
-1.33

-1.05
-0.50
-0.59
-0.85
-1.46
-1.59

-1.12
-0.59
-0.62
-1.01
-1.62
-1.68

-1.13
-0.63
-0.63
-1.07
-1.68
-1.67

Southern Asia
Afghanistan ...............................
Bangladesh................................
Bhutan .......................................
India ..........................................
Iran ............................................
Maldives....................................
Nepal .........................................
Pakistan .....................................
Sri Lanka...................................

1.19
2.99
1.04
1.35
1.13
0.80
1.05
1.47
1.59
0.61

0.92
2.53
0.77
0.79
0.87
0.43
0.73
1.19
1.30
0.30

0.70
2.16
0.53
0.53
0.66
0.12
0.42
0.96
1.08
0.06

0.39
1.77
0.18
0.17
0.35
-0.15
0.08
0.59
0.68
-0.17

0.02
1.35
-0.23
-0.20
-0.02
-0.44
-0.19
0.19
0.28
-0.52

-0.32
0.97
-0.62
-0.57
-0.35
-0.93
-0.61
-0.16
-0.13
-0.88

-0.65
0.61
-1.00
-0.97
-0.67
-1.43
-1.08
-0.52
-0.51
-1.07

-0.98
0.24
-1.40
-1.38
-0.99
-1.89
-1.66
-0.89
-0.87
-1.25

-1.25
-0.08
-1.73
-1.64
-1.26
-2.03
-2.15
-1.24
-1.17
-1.40

-1.43
-0.37
-1.92
-1.80
-1.46
-1.93
-2.20
-1.46
-1.38
-1.49

-1.49
-0.50
-1.93
-1.84
-1.52
-1.89
-2.15
-1.50
-1.45
-1.50

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam....................
Cambodia ..................................
Indonesia ...................................
Lao PDR....................................
Malaysia (10) ............................
Myanmar ...................................
Philippines.................................
Singapore ..................................
Thailand ....................................
Timor-Leste...............................
Viet Nam ...................................

0.87
1.43
1.00
0.78
1.13
1.38
0.59
1.49
0.94
0.32
2.78
0.77

0.63
1.10
0.81
0.53
0.89
1.14
0.39
1.28
0.56
0.06
2.75
0.50

0.44
0.85
0.58
0.33
0.65
0.95
0.19
1.10
0.41
-0.12
2.59
0.26

0.19
0.54
0.24
0.06
0.25
0.66
-0.10
0.85
0.12
-0.33
2.07
-0.04

-0.15
0.20
-0.09
-0.29
-0.18
0.28
-0.42
0.50
-0.34
-0.66
1.60
-0.39

-0.47
-0.12
-0.43
-0.63
-0.54
-0.02
-0.76
0.19
-0.64
-0.96
1.22
-0.80

-0.74
-0.33
-0.78
-0.92
-0.92
-0.25
-1.03
-0.10
-0.76
-1.13
0.80
-1.13

-0.99
-0.52
-1.17
-1.17
-1.36
-0.50
-1.26
-0.39
-0.86
-1.30
0.40
-1.47

-1.19
-0.63
-1.44
-1.37
-1.71
-0.75
-1.44
-0.66
-0.94
-1.45
0.06
-1.71

-1.31
-0.66
-1.57
-1.50
-1.83
-0.92
-1.46
-0.89
-0.89
-1.48
-0.24
-1.71

-1.32
-0.64
-1.60
-1.51
-1.81
-0.96
-1.42
-0.96
-0.84
-1.44
-0.39
-1.67

Western Asia
Armenia.....................................
Azerbaijan (11) .........................
Bahrain......................................
Cyprus (12) ...............................

1.69
0.05
0.98
1.96
0.89

1.42
-0.22
0.67
1.19
0.60

1.19
-0.43
0.33
0.77
0.37

0.91
-0.57
0.10
0.40
0.10

0.59
-0.83
-0.15
-0.03
-0.30

0.28
-1.10
-0.46
-0.60
-0.65

0.01
-1.28
-0.60
-0.98
-0.90

-0.24
-1.56
-0.80
-1.06
-1.13

-0.44
-1.70
-0.85
-0.99
-1.24

-0.61
-1.56
-0.83
-1.17
-1.17

-0.68
-1.48
-0.88
-1.32
-1.09

Asia (5)
Eastern Asia (5)
China (6) ...................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) .....
China, Macao SAR (8) .............
DPR Korea ................................
Japan .........................................
Mongolia ...................................
Rep. of Korea ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

203

Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Georgia (13) ..............................
Iraq ............................................
Israel..........................................
Jordan........................................
Kuwait.......................................
Lebanon.....................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) .
Oman.........................................
Qatar..........................................
Saudi Arabia..............................
Syrian Arab Rep........................
Turkey .......................................
United Arab Emirates ...............
Yemen .......................................

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
-0.78
2.93
1.49
1.69
2.23
0.53
2.63
1.71
2.76
1.94
1.48
0.94
2.00
2.86

-0.98
2.62
1.20
1.30
1.64
0.27
2.42
1.17
1.40
1.57
1.34
0.65
1.59
2.57

-1.12
2.41
1.00
1.04
1.42
0.08
2.18
0.73
0.64
1.18
1.16
0.42
1.21
2.28

-1.21
2.00
0.83
0.71
1.23
-0.19
1.75
0.17
0.48
0.66
0.79
0.13
0.80
1.92

-1.36
1.60
0.60
0.26
0.83
-0.57
1.35
-0.35
0.19
0.29
0.31
-0.23
0.36
1.54

-1.41
1.24
0.33
-0.16
0.39
-0.94
0.99
-0.83
-0.25
-0.11
-0.04
-0.60
-0.21
1.13

-1.55
0.93
0.13
-0.50
0.04
-1.27
0.64
-1.17
-0.67
-0.53
-0.35
-0.89
-0.78
0.76

-1.74
0.62
-0.07
-0.85
-0.20
-1.59
0.31
-1.38
-0.97
-0.90
-0.73
-1.17
-1.06
0.42

-1.77
0.33
-0.26
-1.15
-0.35
-1.82
0.00
-1.63
-1.06
-1.14
-1.11
-1.38
-1.09
0.12

-1.61
0.06
-0.45
-1.38
-0.56
-1.83
-0.25
-2.01
-1.14
-1.34
-1.37
-1.51
-1.23
-0.14

-1.56
-0.06
-0.55
-1.44
-0.67
-1.76
-0.37
-2.11
-1.25
-1.45
-1.44
-1.52
-1.39
-0.25

-0.07

-0.20

-0.31

-0.42

-0.58

-0.79

-0.89

-0.92

-0.92

-0.91

-0.89

Eastern Europe
Belarus ......................................
Bulgaria.....................................
Czech Rep. ................................
Hungary.....................................
Poland .......................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ................
Romania ....................................
Russian Federation....................
Slovakia.....................................
Ukraine......................................

-0.36
-0.51
-0.82
0.09
-0.34
-0.15
-0.89
-0.41
-0.29
-0.04
-0.73

-0.49
-0.63
-0.95
-0.07
-0.43
-0.28
-0.88
-0.53
-0.45
-0.15
-0.82

-0.62
-0.73
-1.07
-0.20
-0.50
-0.42
-0.94
-0.61
-0.60
-0.27
-0.91

-0.75
-0.85
-1.18
-0.39
-0.56
-0.66
-1.17
-0.72
-0.73
-0.52
-0.98

-0.90
-1.03
-1.32
-0.45
-0.62
-0.86
-1.42
-0.92
-0.88
-0.73
-1.07

-1.08
-1.21
-1.59
-0.57
-0.74
-1.00
-1.40
-1.21
-1.08
-0.93
-1.23

-1.20
-1.30
-1.75
-0.78
-0.88
-1.19
-1.60
-1.43
-1.16
-1.15
-1.34

-1.27
-1.36
-1.74
-0.85
-0.93
-1.37
-1.88
-1.50
-1.21
-1.28
-1.39

-1.20
-1.29
-1.58
-0.78
-0.91
-1.28
-1.94
-1.42
-1.16
-1.20
-1.30

-1.10
-1.17
-1.40
-0.79
-0.91
-1.13
-1.69
-1.30
-1.08
-1.07
-1.18

-1.08
-1.13
-1.31
-0.82
-0.91
-1.08
-1.59
-1.26
-1.06
-1.04
-1.14

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) .................
Denmark....................................
Estonia.......................................
Faeroe Islands ...........................
Finland (17) ...............................
Iceland.......................................
Ireland .......................................
Isle of Man ................................
Latvia ........................................
Lithuania ...................................
Norway (18) ..............................
Sweden......................................
United Kingdom........................

0.37
0.04
0.20
-0.24
0.33
0.17
0.99
0.96
0.31
-0.56
-0.62
0.54
0.41
0.44

0.26
-0.08
0.07
-0.38
0.22
0.04
0.80
0.71
0.07
-0.66
-0.68
0.44
0.32
0.33

0.17
-0.18
-0.02
-0.52
0.17
-0.08
0.63
0.51
-0.10
-0.78
-0.73
0.37
0.21
0.24

0.00
-0.34
-0.18
-0.63
0.01
-0.27
0.36
0.36
-0.37
-0.81
-0.77
0.22
0.00
0.06

-0.21
-0.57
-0.41
-0.66
-0.31
-0.43
0.07
0.23
-0.57
-0.86
-0.89
0.02
-0.13
-0.18

-0.40
-0.72
-0.57
-0.84
-0.48
-0.49
-0.19
-0.03
-0.76
-1.04
-1.04
-0.14
-0.28
-0.41

-0.50
-0.66
-0.60
-0.97
-0.51
-0.51
-0.32
-0.23
-0.82
-1.20
-1.15
-0.22
-0.39
-0.51

-0.57
-0.56
-0.64
-1.00
-0.61
-0.58
-0.43
-0.29
-0.82
-1.25
-1.26
-0.29
-0.46
-0.60

-0.69
-0.54
-0.76
-0.97
-0.82
-0.68
-0.56
-0.34
-0.89
-1.16
-1.21
-0.43
-0.58
-0.73

-0.75
-0.45
-0.82
-0.93
-0.97
-0.73
-0.63
-0.44
-0.91
-1.05
-1.07
-0.54
-0.65
-0.80

-0.76
-0.38
-0.81
-0.93
-0.98
-0.75
-0.64
-0.49
-0.88
-1.03
-1.03
-0.58
-0.67
-0.79

Southern Europe
Albania......................................
Andorra .....................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...........
Croatia.......................................
Gibraltar ....................................
Greece .......................................
Holy See (19) ............................
Italy ...........................................
Malta .........................................
Montenegro ...............................
Portugal .....................................
San Marino................................
Serbia (20) .................................
Slovenia.....................................
Spain (21) ..................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ..............

0.13
0.13
1.36
-0.42
-0.36
-0.07
0.07
0.04
0.07
0.14
-0.11
-0.12
0.45
-0.28
0.06
0.45
-0.07

-0.11
-0.11
1.17
-0.65
-0.48
-0.20
-0.11
-0.40
-0.21
-0.06
-0.22
-0.39
0.12
-0.46
-0.12
0.23
-0.28

-0.24
-0.32
1.03
-0.78
-0.58
-0.32
-0.22
-0.40
-0.32
-0.20
-0.36
-0.57
-0.02
-0.56
-0.27
0.08
-0.44

-0.33
-0.63
0.89
-0.96
-0.69
-0.52
-0.25
-0.37
-0.37
-0.42
-0.50
-0.66
-0.15
-0.64
-0.41
-0.07
-0.61

-0.49
-1.04
0.66
-1.33
-0.87
-0.69
-0.36
0.05
-0.50
-0.62
-0.72
-0.90
-0.35
-0.86
-0.56
-0.23
-0.89

-0.82
-1.44
0.35
-1.66
-1.02
-0.85
-0.62
0.14
-0.77
-0.70
-0.94
-1.31
-0.64
-1.09
-0.75
-0.70
-1.17

-1.04
-1.80
0.07
-1.91
-1.12
-0.91
-0.77
-0.43
-0.91
-0.78
-1.12
-1.56
-0.82
-1.28
-0.86
-1.04
-1.42

-1.05
-2.36
-0.13
-2.21
-1.22
-0.96
-0.78
-0.25
-0.82
-0.92
-1.32
-1.65
-0.88
-1.47
-0.90
-1.10
-1.65

-1.01
-2.81
-0.34
-2.31
-1.24
-1.03
-0.80
-0.05
-0.76
-0.91
-1.44
-1.67
-0.90
-1.56
-0.90
-1.03
-1.75

-1.00
-2.73
-0.59
-2.08
-1.19
-0.99
-0.88
0.15
-0.75
-0.69
-1.44
-1.67
-0.92
-1.54
-0.92
-1.03
-1.64

-0.95
-2.48
-0.74
-1.90
-1.16
-0.95
-0.93
0.10
-0.64
-0.56
-1.40
-1.60
-0.91
-1.49
-0.95
-1.06
-1.53

Europe

204

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Western Europe
Austria.......................................
Belgium.....................................
France........................................
Germany....................................
Liechtenstein .............................
Luxembourg ..............................
Monaco .....................................
Netherlands ...............................
Switzerland ...............................
Latin America and Caribbean

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
0.00
0.00
0.13
0.36
-0.35
0.62
1.18
-0.10
0.13
0.23

-0.08
-0.13
0.01
0.21
-0.36
0.51
0.94
-0.22
-0.01
0.08

-0.17
-0.20
-0.07
0.11
-0.45
0.41
0.76
-0.28
-0.11
-0.06

-0.26
-0.30
-0.11
0.05
-0.55
0.23
0.49
-0.25
-0.24
-0.31

-0.43
-0.50
-0.24
-0.12
-0.71
0.02
0.07
-0.34
-0.48
-0.55

-0.60
-0.74
-0.40
-0.29
-0.91
-0.14
-0.28
-0.47
-0.65
-0.79

-0.61
-0.80
-0.42
-0.34
-0.87
-0.20
-0.42
-0.42
-0.62
-0.89

-0.61
-0.83
-0.43
-0.39
-0.82
-0.28
-0.56
-0.34
-0.59
-0.90

-0.69
-0.95
-0.51
-0.51
-0.87
-0.46
-0.72
-0.38
-0.70
-0.96

-0.74
-0.99
-0.61
-0.60
-0.85
-0.60
-0.81
-0.43
-0.77
-0.95

-0.75
-0.99
-0.64
-0.65
-0.85
-0.66
-0.83
-0.40
-0.76
-0.92

0.87

0.63

0.43

0.15

-0.20

-0.50

-0.75

-1.01

-1.24

-1.41

-1.46

Caribbean
Anguilla.....................................
Antigua and Barbuda ................
Aruba.........................................
Bahamas....................................
Barbados ...................................
British Virgin Islands ................
Cayman Islands.........................
Cuba ..........................................
Dominica...................................
Dominican Rep. ........................
Grenada .....................................
Guadeloupe (23) ........................
Haiti...........................................
Jamaica......................................
Martinique.................................
Montserrat .................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ..........
Puerto Rico................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ....................
St. Lucia ....................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
Trinidad and Tobago .................
Turks and Caicos Islands ..........
US Virgin Islands ......................

0.48
1.37
0.79
0.18
0.95
0.05
0.78
0.66
-0.21
-0.18
1.02
0.17
0.29
1.09
0.16
0.11
0.72
0.55
-0.22
0.98
0.75
-0.20
0.10
1.04
-0.41

0.30
0.75
0.59
-0.02
0.75
-0.07
0.56
0.39
-0.36
-0.29
0.74
-0.05
0.10
0.90
-0.04
-0.11
0.40
0.12
-0.26
0.73
0.48
-0.26
-0.17
0.58
-0.57

0.15
0.20
0.42
-0.19
0.55
-0.20
0.38
0.21
-0.44
-0.16
0.51
-0.33
-0.05
0.72
-0.25
-0.27
0.22
-0.13
-0.31
0.51
0.24
-0.30
-0.41
0.31
-0.70

-0.10
-0.16
0.15
-0.51
0.21
-0.45
0.08
-0.11
-0.66
-0.51
0.16
-0.79
-0.29
0.44
-0.67
-0.52
-0.04
-0.50
-0.41
0.23
-0.09
-0.26
-0.55
0.04
-0.90

-0.45
-0.53
-0.22
-0.91
-0.11
-0.80
-0.33
-0.56
-1.03
-0.86
-0.26
-1.31
-0.64
0.09
-1.22
-0.89
-0.35
-0.83
-0.63
-0.15
-0.45
-0.45
-0.78
-0.45
-0.96

-0.68
-0.86
-0.51
-1.10
-0.37
-1.05
-0.60
-0.91
-1.42
-1.03
-0.49
-1.37
-0.91
-0.14
-1.28
-1.20
-0.62
-1.25
-0.82
-0.48
-0.71
-0.75
-1.06
-0.94
-0.91

-0.86
-1.09
-0.68
-1.07
-0.55
-1.16
-0.65
-0.95
-1.65
-1.12
-0.68
-1.31
-0.98
-0.38
-1.18
-1.27
-0.80
-1.57
-1.04
-0.73
-1.03
-0.98
-1.32
-1.20
-0.89

-1.05
-1.26
-0.86
-1.19
-0.72
-1.26
-0.72
-0.77
-1.71
-1.37
-0.92
-1.65
-0.98
-0.68
-1.32
-1.30
-0.89
-1.67
-1.29
-0.97
-1.35
-1.26
-1.54
-1.26
-1.00

-1.26
-1.35
-1.07
-1.39
-0.82
-1.33
-0.93
-0.69
-1.83
-1.65
-1.18
-1.82
-1.14
-0.92
-1.53
-1.52
-1.02
-1.68
-1.51
-1.15
-1.61
-1.53
-1.58
-1.29
-1.26

-1.39
-1.42
-1.19
-1.38
-0.79
-1.24
-1.06
-0.64
-1.87
-1.60
-1.39
-1.68
-1.24
-1.10
-1.64
-1.57
-1.14
-1.49
-1.64
-1.27
-1.72
-1.69
-1.53
-1.53
-1.40

-1.41
-1.44
-1.20
-1.31
-0.75
-1.15
-1.06
-0.55
-1.81
-1.50
-1.46
-1.64
-1.21
-1.15
-1.60
-1.50
-1.18
-1.40
-1.65
-1.28
-1.73
-1.69
-1.52
-1.62
-1.38

Central America
Belize ........................................
Costa Rica .................................
El Salvador................................
Guatemala .................................
Honduras ...................................
Mexico ......................................
Nicaragua ..................................
Panama......................................

1.12
1.75
1.16
0.39
2.34
1.78
0.94
1.20
1.27

0.85
1.51
0.80
0.34
2.08
1.48
0.65
0.88
1.01

0.64
1.24
0.51
0.28
1.86
1.22
0.42
0.61
0.81

0.35
0.82
0.13
0.12
1.51
0.84
0.13
0.23
0.50

-0.01
0.38
-0.25
-0.23
1.14
0.43
-0.25
-0.20
0.11

-0.35
0.04
-0.61
-0.47
0.82
0.11
-0.64
-0.43
-0.22

-0.56
-0.28
-0.92
-0.72
0.51
-0.21
-0.85
-0.65
-0.50

-0.80
-0.63
-1.24
-1.04
0.18
-0.56
-1.09
-0.97
-0.75

-1.05
-0.99
-1.54
-1.39
-0.12
-0.87
-1.34
-1.28
-0.99

-1.25
-1.23
-1.69
-1.62
-0.39
-1.12
-1.55
-1.50
-1.21

-1.31
-1.31
-1.70
-1.66
-0.50
-1.22
-1.61
-1.56
-1.28

South America
Argentina...................................
Bolivia.......................................
Brazil.........................................
Chile..........................................
Colombia...................................
Ecuador .....................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)......
French Guiana...........................
Guyana ......................................
Paraguay....................................
Peru ...........................................
Suriname ...................................

0.82
0.67
1.38
0.64
0.68
1.09
1.12
0.14
2.34
0.03
1.51
0.93
0.68

0.58
0.49
1.24
0.38
0.45
0.81
0.84
-0.08
2.10
-0.05
1.26
0.76
0.45

0.38
0.34
1.12
0.17
0.25
0.58
0.61
-0.23
1.90
-0.10
1.04
0.61
0.26

0.09
0.15
0.94
-0.14
-0.04
0.24
0.27
-0.46
1.54
-0.37
0.71
0.31
-0.04

-0.25
-0.10
0.62
-0.50
-0.37
-0.13
-0.11
-0.52
1.16
-0.81
0.35
-0.07
-0.47

-0.55
-0.37
0.32
-0.82
-0.70
-0.42
-0.39
-0.66
0.76
-0.58
0.07
-0.37
-0.61

-0.82
-0.61
0.02
-1.12
-0.95
-0.67
-0.64
-0.73
0.41
-0.80
-0.20
-0.64
-0.82

-1.10
-0.86
-0.29
-1.43
-1.18
-0.92
-0.92
-0.75
0.14
-1.10
-0.50
-0.92
-1.05

-1.33
-1.05
-0.58
-1.68
-1.41
-1.16
-1.18
-0.82
-0.12
-1.40
-0.77
-1.18
-1.27

-1.50
-1.18
-0.82
-1.85
-1.50
-1.34
-1.39
-0.83
-0.34
-1.51
-0.97
-1.37
-1.39

-1.53
-1.21
-0.90
-1.88
-1.49
-1.38
-1.47
-0.86
-0.43
-1.44
-1.05
-1.41
-1.40

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

205

Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100

Uruguay.....................................
Venezuela ..................................

0.17
1.30

0.11
1.01

-0.01
0.77

-0.17
0.43

-0.42
0.06

-0.62
-0.26

-0.79
-0.56

-0.98
-0.85

-1.16
-1.12

-1.28
-1.32

-1.29
-1.40

Northern America
Bermuda....................................
Canada.......................................
Greenland..................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ............
United States of America ..........

0.70
0.05
0.76
-0.19
-0.18
0.69

0.55
-0.08
0.59
-0.41
-0.30
0.55

0.44
-0.19
0.45
-0.67
-0.37
0.43

0.31
-0.38
0.26
-0.69
-0.34
0.32

0.13
-0.61
0.07
-1.08
-0.45
0.14

-0.04
-0.71
-0.11
-0.94
-0.58
-0.03

-0.12
-0.64
-0.23
-1.20
-0.60
-0.11

-0.23
-0.68
-0.36
-1.54
-0.70
-0.22

-0.40
-0.80
-0.52
-1.71
-0.79
-0.38

-0.52
-0.81
-0.65
-1.56
-0.80
-0.50

-0.57
-0.79
-0.73
-1.45
-0.75
-0.56

1.29

1.07

0.89

0.65

0.37

0.12

-0.07

-0.24

-0.43

-0.57

-0.63

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ............................
New Zealand .............................

1.11
1.16
0.88

0.89
0.93
0.70

0.70
0.73
0.54

0.44
0.47
0.28

0.18
0.21
0.01

-0.07
-0.04
-0.23

-0.21
-0.19
-0.33

-0.34
-0.32
-0.40

-0.48
-0.47
-0.54

-0.58
-0.57
-0.62

-0.63
-0.62
-0.64

Melanesia
Fiji .............................................
New Caledonia..........................
Papua New Guinea....................
Solomon Islands........................
Vanuatu .....................................

1.88
0.62
1.29
2.00
2.33
2.23

1.64
0.30
0.93
1.77
2.04
2.00

1.46
0.04
0.66
1.59
1.82
1.80

1.22
-0.03
0.31
1.32
1.54
1.51

0.87
-0.20
-0.03
0.95
1.15
1.15

0.55
-0.40
-0.34
0.61
0.78
0.82

0.26
-0.59
-0.57
0.31
0.45
0.52

-0.02
-0.77
-0.77
0.01
0.14
0.22

-0.30
-0.94
-0.94
-0.27
-0.15
-0.05

-0.52
-1.10
-1.04
-0.50
-0.42
-0.28

-0.62
-1.15
-1.06
-0.60
-0.53
-0.38

Micronesia
Guam.........................................
Kiribati ......................................
Marshall Islands ........................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .......
Nauru.........................................
Northern Mariana Islands .........
Palau..........................................

1.03
1.02
1.35
1.45
0.37
0.42
1.55
0.62

0.84
0.83
1.20
0.96
0.48
0.15
0.93
0.77

0.66
0.66
1.03
0.58
0.51
-0.05
0.52
0.66

0.35
0.34
0.70
0.44
0.23
-0.32
-0.09
0.41

-0.06
-0.02
0.33
-0.01
-0.18
-0.66
-0.73
0.08

-0.16
-0.27
0.04
0.08
0.26
-0.57
-1.28
-0.18

-0.37
-0.44
-0.26
-0.06
0.02
-0.73
-1.62
-0.40

-0.64
-0.67
-0.63
-0.17
-0.38
-0.86
-1.80
-0.68

-0.90
-0.94
-0.91
-0.48
-0.67
-1.03
-2.01
-0.87

-1.05
-1.12
-1.10
-0.74
-0.79
-1.14
-2.02
-0.88

-1.07
-1.16
-1.19
-0.76
-0.84
-1.17
-1.81
-0.83

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.......................
Cook Islands..............................
French Polynesia.......................
Niue...........................................
Samoa........................................
Tokelau......................................
Tonga.........................................
Tuvalu .......................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands .........

0.62
1.46
0.35
0.85
-2.98
0.33
0.18
0.26
0.08
-0.82

0.52
1.38
0.17
0.60
-2.35
0.16
0.42
0.60
0.18
-0.44

0.41
1.39
-0.05
0.36
-1.96
0.12
0.59
0.50
0.33
-0.26

0.30
1.04
0.15
0.01
-0.20
0.31
0.18
0.53
0.24
-0.42

-0.06
0.68
-0.17
-0.35
-0.39
-0.12
-0.31
0.18
0.33
-0.69

-0.16
0.46
-0.48
-0.67
-0.61
0.08
-0.13
0.16
0.71
-0.83

-0.14
0.22
-0.75
-0.93
-0.62
0.42
0.26
0.40
0.68
-0.96

-0.31
-0.07
-1.01
-1.20
-0.84
0.29
0.10
0.23
0.37
-1.12

-0.54
-0.35
-1.27
-1.45
-1.09
0.01
-0.05
-0.10
0.14
-1.36

-0.67
-0.53
-1.41
-1.58
-1.32
-0.19
-0.23
-0.26
-0.07
-1.54

-0.71
-0.60
-1.44
-1.61
-1.48
-0.25
-0.26
-0.32
-0.17
-1.53

Oceania

a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

206

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
Includes other non-specified areas.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

207

Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country:
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
1.20

1.19

1.15

1.10

1.16

1.27

1.46

1.71

1.98

2.25

2.38

0.29
1.40
2.48
1.21

0.20
1.39
2.58
1.16

0.11
1.34
2.62
1.08

-0.01
1.28
2.67
0.95

-0.13
1.35
2.83
0.92

-0.23
1.45
2.98
0.92

-0.28
1.64
3.11
1.00

-0.29
1.88
3.25
1.14

-0.28
2.13
3.37
1.32

-0.29
2.39
3.47
1.52

-0.30
2.50
3.51
1.61

1.68

1.69

1.66

1.62

1.69

1.78

1.93

2.12

2.33

2.54

2.63

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

2.65

2.76

2.81

2.91

3.05

3.17

3.26

3.34

3.42

3.47

3.50

Africa

2.48

2.57

2.61

2.69

2.84

2.97

3.09

3.20

3.30

3.38

3.42

Eastern Africa
Burundi .....................................
Comoros....................................
Djibouti .....................................
Eritrea........................................
Ethiopia .....................................
Kenya ........................................
Madagascar ...............................
Malawi ......................................
Mauritius (1) .............................
Mayotte .....................................
Mozambique .............................
Runion .....................................
Rwanda .....................................
Seychelles .................................
Somalia .....................................
Uganda ......................................
UR Tanzania (2) .......................
Zambia ......................................
Zimbabwe .................................

2.82
2.25
2.69
2.05
3.19
2.56
2.77
3.04
3.24
0.58
3.10
2.49
1.18
2.97
0.41
2.60
3.42
3.12
2.87
2.42

2.94
2.34
2.65
2.14
2.90
2.73
2.77
3.13
3.35
0.50
2.93
2.65
1.12
2.92
0.57
2.89
3.52
3.21
3.07
2.55

2.96
2.27
2.68
2.30
2.81
2.78
2.76
3.15
3.39
0.37
2.92
2.77
1.04
2.87
0.51
3.06
3.56
3.26
3.19
2.00

3.00
2.14
2.86
2.13
2.79
2.65
2.81
3.08
3.51
0.06
3.03
2.88
0.88
2.89
0.39
3.25
3.68
3.37
3.40
1.77

3.10
2.32
2.91
2.11
2.80
2.69
2.86
3.09
3.64
-0.18
2.84
3.00
0.74
3.05
0.14
3.38
3.83
3.45
3.57
1.86

3.19
2.42
3.03
2.06
2.75
2.75
2.88
3.09
3.69
-0.36
2.74
3.12
0.68
3.08
-0.05
3.52
3.94
3.50
3.70
1.86

3.24
2.42
3.09
2.04
2.74
2.72
2.90
3.09
3.74
-0.50
2.74
3.18
0.67
3.11
-0.12
3.63
4.01
3.53
3.78
1.82

3.31
2.51
3.10
2.06
2.77
2.74
2.93
3.09
3.79
-0.58
2.72
3.23
0.67
3.18
-0.12
3.70
4.06
3.56
3.85
1.84

3.36
2.59
3.11
2.11
2.77
2.77
2.95
3.10
3.82
-0.63
2.71
3.27
0.65
3.21
-0.10
3.76
4.09
3.57
3.89
1.89

3.41
2.60
3.12
2.12
2.77
2.78
2.97
3.10
3.85
-0.65
2.70
3.29
0.65
3.22
-0.10
3.79
4.11
3.59
3.92
1.93

3.43
2.61
3.12
2.12
2.78
2.78
2.97
3.11
3.86
-0.65
2.69
3.31
0.65
3.23
-0.11
3.80
4.12
3.59
3.92
1.95

Middle Africa
Angola.......................................
Cameroon..................................
Central African Rep. .................
Chad ..........................................
Congo........................................
DR Congo .................................
Equatorial Guinea .....................
Gabon........................................
Sao Tome and Principe .............

2.83
3.10
2.39
2.16
2.85
2.29
2.97
2.92
2.02
2.24

2.96
3.26
2.45
2.32
3.00
2.34
3.11
2.81
2.06
2.29

3.03
3.28
2.44
2.40
3.23
2.55
3.17
2.69
2.00
2.28

3.14
3.33
2.53
2.49
3.38
2.65
3.29
2.78
1.87
2.26

3.32
3.48
2.66
2.60
3.57
2.71
3.48
2.94
1.85
2.27

3.46
3.60
2.74
2.68
3.72
2.76
3.62
3.06
1.81
2.28

3.58
3.67
2.81
2.74
3.83
2.81
3.74
3.16
1.78
2.26

3.68
3.75
2.88
2.79
3.92
2.85
3.84
3.25
1.76
2.26

3.75
3.79
2.93
2.84
3.98
2.88
3.92
3.32
1.77
2.27

3.81
3.83
2.96
2.87
4.02
2.89
3.96
3.36
1.79
2.28

3.83
3.84
2.97
2.88
4.03
2.90
3.98
3.37
1.79
2.28

Northern Africa
Algeria.......................................
Egypt .........................................
Libya .........................................
Morocco ....................................
Sudan (3) ..................................
Tunisia.......................................
Western Sahara..........................

1.79
1.55
1.84
1.03
1.15
2.61
1.13
3.42

1.78
1.46
1.74
1.81
1.14
2.66
1.05
3.09

1.68
1.30
1.61
1.55
1.07
2.61
0.90
1.66

1.54
0.96
1.44
1.36
0.85
2.58
0.55
1.27

1.53
0.84
1.37
1.34
0.70
2.62
0.41
1.13

1.52
0.67
1.27
1.12
0.60
2.67
0.24
1.03

1.53
0.48
1.21
0.94
0.48
2.68
0.02
0.90

1.61
0.47
1.18
0.96
0.45
2.70
-0.03
0.91

1.72
0.53
1.20
0.96
0.49
2.72
0.06
0.97

1.82
0.53
1.22
0.89
0.52
2.72
0.07
0.95

1.86
0.52
1.22
0.88
0.52
2.73
0.04
0.93

Southern Africa
Botswana...................................
Lesotho......................................
Namibia.....................................
South Africa ..............................
Swaziland..................................

0.76
1.25
1.26
1.94
0.64
1.65

0.78
1.20
1.35
1.91
0.66
1.61

0.86
1.15
1.32
1.93
0.75
1.59

0.85
1.09
1.33
1.83
0.73
1.70

0.91
1.18
1.48
1.81
0.77
1.94

0.98
1.23
1.57
1.80
0.83
2.03

1.02
1.23
1.62
1.75
0.87
2.03

1.04
1.26
1.71
1.73
0.88
2.03

1.06
1.32
1.80
1.74
0.87
2.05

1.08
1.34
1.89
1.75
0.87
2.07

1.09
1.33
1.92
1.75
0.88
2.08

Western Africa
Benin .........................................
Burkina Faso .............................
Cape Verde ................................

2.73
2.95
3.10
1.21

2.82
3.04
3.17
1.32

2.88
3.08
3.21
1.32

3.00
3.14
3.31
1.19

3.13
3.24
3.42
1.08

3.24
3.31
3.50
0.96

3.33
3.36
3.58
0.88

3.41
3.40
3.63
0.81

3.47
3.43
3.66
0.82

3.52
3.44
3.68
0.89

3.53
3.45
3.69
0.91

208

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Cte d'Ivoire..............................
Gambia......................................
Ghana ........................................
Guinea .......................................
Guinea-Bissau ...........................
Liberia .......................................
Mali ...........................................
Mauritania .................................
Niger .........................................
Nigeria.......................................
St. Helena (4) ............................
Senegal......................................
Sierra Leone ..............................
Togo ..........................................

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
2.46
2.92
2.49
2.77
2.31
2.88
3.16
2.45
3.67
2.63
-0.83
2.88
2.44
2.32

2.64
2.99
2.49
2.88
2.42
2.94
3.21
2.48
3.79
2.73
0.59
2.93
2.55
2.41

2.69
3.01
2.46
2.94
2.49
3.00
3.32
2.48
3.88
2.79
0.46
2.94
2.62
2.42

2.70
3.00
2.44
3.04
2.61
3.09
3.52
2.49
4.04
2.94
0.15
2.98
2.77
2.38

2.77
3.04
2.45
3.16
2.78
3.17
3.68
2.54
4.18
3.07
-0.07
3.04
2.92
2.42

2.81
3.07
2.46
3.26
2.92
3.25
3.82
2.60
4.29
3.18
-0.20
3.07
3.05
2.46

2.83
3.08
2.46
3.32
3.03
3.31
3.93
2.65
4.36
3.26
-0.34
3.10
3.15
2.47

2.87
3.10
2.48
3.38
3.13
3.37
4.01
2.69
4.41
3.33
-0.40
3.13
3.23
2.50

2.90
3.10
2.50
3.42
3.20
3.40
4.06
2.72
4.44
3.38
-0.40
3.14
3.28
2.53

2.93
3.11
2.51
3.44
3.24
3.41
4.08
2.73
4.46
3.41
-0.40
3.15
3.30
2.55

2.94
3.10
2.51
3.44
3.26
3.42
4.09
2.73
4.46
3.42
-0.38
3.15
3.31
2.55

1.11

1.05

0.96

0.80

0.74

0.71

0.75

0.87

1.04

1.24

1.34

0.43
0.48
0.92
1.89
0.46
-0.14
1.58
0.30

0.29
0.35
0.77
1.49
0.48
-0.32
1.43
0.13

0.11
0.16
0.63
1.16
0.47
-0.48
1.19
0.00

-0.22
-0.18
0.29
0.53
0.27
-0.70
0.99
-0.37

-0.47
-0.45
0.00
0.02
0.14
-0.85
0.94
-0.76

-0.74
-0.73
-0.29
-0.44
0.13
-0.95
0.74
-1.10

-0.89
-0.88
-0.52
-0.80
0.06
-1.11
0.68
-1.31

-0.95
-0.94
-0.68
-1.09
0.05
-1.20
0.70
-1.42

-0.99
-1.00
-0.82
-1.25
0.07
-1.15
0.73
-1.46

-0.93
-0.93
-0.91
-1.21
0.05
-1.15
0.76
-1.47

-0.91
-0.91
-0.92
-1.20
0.05
-1.17
0.76
-1.45

South-Central Asia (9)

1.55

1.52

1.44

1.29

1.25

1.20

1.20

1.25

1.36

1.48

1.54

Central Asia
Kazakhstan................................
Kyrgyzstan ................................
Tajikistan...................................
Turkmenistan ............................
Uzbekistan.................................

1.30
1.09
1.14
1.68
1.41
1.33

1.36
0.97
1.45
1.85
1.39
1.44

1.21
0.80
1.26
1.83
1.24
1.25

1.02
0.79
1.10
1.68
0.99
0.94

1.00
0.81
1.05
1.80
0.92
0.87

0.88
0.71
0.91
1.79
0.78
0.68

0.84
0.74
0.91
1.75
0.68
0.57

0.87
0.76
0.91
1.78
0.66
0.57

0.90
0.78
0.94
1.79
0.65
0.56

0.95
0.78
1.00
1.80
0.67
0.62

0.97
0.77
1.01
1.82
0.68
0.64

Southern Asia
Afghanistan ...............................
Bangladesh................................
Bhutan .......................................
India ..........................................
Iran ............................................
Maldives....................................
Nepal .........................................
Pakistan .....................................
Sri Lanka...................................

1.56
3.49
1.44
1.81
1.47
1.20
1.49
1.98
2.06
0.89

1.52
3.41
1.41
1.53
1.42
1.05
1.46
2.03
2.10
0.73

1.45
3.36
1.32
1.43
1.34
0.80
1.29
1.97
2.08
0.60

1.30
3.42
1.09
1.21
1.19
0.47
0.88
1.76
1.87
0.48

1.26
3.60
0.93
1.11
1.12
0.27
0.64
1.71
1.86
0.38

1.21
3.74
0.76
0.98
1.03
-0.06
0.39
1.60
1.83
0.26

1.21
3.83
0.64
0.85
0.99
-0.36
0.10
1.53
1.78
0.29

1.27
3.92
0.58
0.81
0.97
-0.53
-0.15
1.49
1.80
0.37

1.37
3.98
0.57
0.85
0.98
-0.46
-0.23
1.47
1.85
0.43

1.49
4.01
0.60
0.89
1.00
-0.39
-0.14
1.48
1.87
0.49

1.56
4.03
0.61
0.89
1.01
-0.41
-0.12
1.48
1.87
0.51

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam....................
Cambodia ..................................
Indonesia ...................................
Lao PDR....................................
Malaysia (10) ............................
Myanmar ...................................
Philippines.................................
Singapore ..................................
Thailand ....................................
Timor-Leste...............................
Viet Nam ...................................

1.19
1.76
1.50
1.08
1.70
1.67
0.90
1.84
1.02
0.57
3.23
1.14

1.14
1.62
1.61
1.02
1.80
1.62
0.89
1.86
0.67
0.46
3.56
1.01

1.05
1.47
1.55
0.93
1.76
1.54
0.81
1.84
0.54
0.34
3.72
0.81

0.88
1.21
1.34
0.75
1.49
1.34
0.56
1.75
0.14
0.08
3.68
0.51

0.75
1.00
1.31
0.56
1.41
1.16
0.38
1.70
-0.33
-0.18
3.76
0.28

0.66
0.82
1.24
0.40
1.37
1.11
0.27
1.68
-0.62
-0.36
3.86
0.00

0.62
0.70
1.14
0.30
1.28
1.05
0.16
1.64
-0.81
-0.48
3.85
-0.18

0.64
0.62
1.10
0.26
1.26
0.99
0.12
1.63
-0.95
-0.55
3.85
-0.30

0.71
0.59
1.13
0.27
1.30
0.99
0.14
1.63
-1.05
-0.60
3.87
-0.33

0.79
0.56
1.14
0.27
1.34
0.99
0.16
1.64
-1.11
-0.64
3.88
-0.27

0.84
0.55
1.14
0.27
1.35
0.99
0.15
1.64
-1.11
-0.66
3.88
-0.26

Western Asia
Armenia.....................................
Azerbaijan (11) .........................
Bahrain......................................
Cyprus (12) ...............................

2.05
0.26
1.20
2.26
1.12

2.02
0.06
0.96
1.65
0.93

1.95
-0.13
0.64
1.30
0.72

1.84
-0.21
0.47
1.02
0.35

1.85
-0.39
0.34
0.89
0.00

1.91
-0.56
0.13
0.61
-0.27

1.99
-0.62
0.13
0.52
-0.50

2.13
-0.78
0.07
0.71
-0.67

2.29
-0.77
0.12
0.87
-0.73

2.43
-0.65
0.19
0.86
-0.71

2.49
-0.63
0.16
0.83
-0.70

Asia (5)
Eastern Asia (5)
China (6) ...................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) .....
China, Macao SAR (8) .............
DPR Korea ................................
Japan .........................................
Mongolia ...................................
Rep. of Korea ............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

209

Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Georgia (13) ..............................
Iraq ............................................
Israel..........................................
Jordan........................................
Kuwait.......................................
Lebanon.....................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) .
Oman.........................................
Qatar..........................................
Saudi Arabia..............................
Syrian Arab Rep........................
Turkey .......................................
United Arab Emirates ...............
Yemen .......................................

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
-0.56
3.31
1.66
2.16
2.46
0.81
3.06
2.15
2.99
2.39
1.90
1.24
2.27
3.33

-0.66
3.26
1.50
2.08
1.98
0.72
3.15
1.88
1.73
2.34
2.05
1.13
1.97
3.45

-0.78
3.24
1.41
2.01
1.83
0.64
3.11
1.58
0.98
2.12
2.07
1.01
1.61
3.41

-0.84
3.06
1.36
1.84
1.63
0.37
2.90
1.12
0.87
1.66
1.86
0.77
1.19
3.32

-0.90
3.04
1.32
1.73
1.32
0.13
2.89
0.86
0.77
1.56
1.66
0.58
0.82
3.37

-0.86
3.03
1.26
1.65
1.00
-0.05
2.89
0.67
0.47
1.49
1.60
0.40
0.34
3.37

-0.91
3.02
1.24
1.58
0.76
-0.23
2.85
0.59
0.22
1.30
1.52
0.28
-0.09
3.34

-0.99
3.03
1.24
1.57
0.66
-0.31
2.85
0.65
0.18
1.25
1.44
0.23
-0.22
3.35

-0.94
3.04
1.23
1.59
0.61
-0.31
2.86
0.69
0.25
1.30
1.43
0.23
-0.17
3.36

-0.87
3.04
1.23
1.61
0.52
-0.26
2.87
0.64
0.31
1.30
1.44
0.24
-0.24
3.36

-0.91
3.04
1.22
1.61
0.48
-0.25
2.87
0.63
0.30
1.28
1.45
0.23
-0.33
3.36

0.05

-0.05

-0.14

-0.28

-0.42

-0.58

-0.67

-0.69

-0.67

-0.67

-0.68

Eastern Europe
Belarus ......................................
Bulgaria.....................................
Czech Rep. ................................
Hungary.....................................
Poland .......................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ................
Romania ....................................
Russian Federation....................
Slovakia.....................................
Ukraine......................................

-0.25
-0.40
-0.73
0.18
-0.24
-0.04
-0.64
-0.31
-0.19
0.07
-0.63

-0.37
-0.49
-0.84
0.05
-0.30
-0.17
-0.53
-0.40
-0.33
-0.04
-0.70

-0.49
-0.60
-0.94
-0.09
-0.37
-0.33
-0.60
-0.47
-0.47
-0.19
-0.79

-0.64
-0.74
-1.05
-0.32
-0.50
-0.61
-0.81
-0.64
-0.60
-0.50
-0.86

-0.81
-0.93
-1.20
-0.39
-0.57
-0.81
-0.96
-0.84
-0.78
-0.72
-0.99

-0.98
-1.09
-1.41
-0.53
-0.70
-0.98
-0.88
-1.10
-0.95
-0.95
-1.14

-1.11
-1.20
-1.55
-0.74
-0.88
-1.20
-1.00
-1.36
-1.04
-1.23
-1.26

-1.22
-1.29
-1.56
-0.84
-0.97
-1.41
-1.16
-1.45
-1.13
-1.41
-1.35

-1.19
-1.26
-1.40
-0.83
-1.00
-1.41
-1.15
-1.40
-1.10
-1.42
-1.31

-1.17
-1.23
-1.30
-0.88
-1.08
-1.34
-1.04
-1.39
-1.10
-1.41
-1.28

-1.21
-1.26
-1.29
-0.95
-1.14
-1.36
-1.05
-1.43
-1.14
-1.45
-1.31

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) .................
Denmark....................................
Estonia.......................................
Faeroe Islands ...........................
Finland (17) ...............................
Iceland.......................................
Ireland .......................................
Isle of Man ................................
Latvia ........................................
Lithuania ...................................
Norway (18) ..............................
Sweden......................................
United Kingdom........................

0.51
0.13
0.32
-0.12
0.51
0.29
1.16
1.14
0.43
-0.45
-0.50
0.67
0.55
0.58

0.46
0.05
0.28
-0.22
0.57
0.24
1.05
0.97
0.26
-0.54
-0.53
0.66
0.53
0.53

0.40
-0.04
0.24
-0.35
0.64
0.15
0.93
0.80
0.13
-0.67
-0.60
0.63
0.46
0.48

0.22
-0.27
0.05
-0.44
0.54
-0.05
0.66
0.65
-0.15
-0.70
-0.68
0.45
0.23
0.27

0.07
-0.50
-0.13
-0.47
0.40
-0.14
0.45
0.59
-0.29
-0.77
-0.78
0.31
0.16
0.08

-0.05
-0.63
-0.18
-0.59
0.50
-0.13
0.31
0.42
-0.39
-0.95
-0.95
0.24
0.10
-0.06

-0.12
-0.61
-0.18
-0.68
0.58
-0.13
0.24
0.29
-0.41
-1.10
-1.06
0.18
0.02
-0.13

-0.14
-0.55
-0.18
-0.71
0.61
-0.15
0.21
0.30
-0.36
-1.20
-1.18
0.15
0.00
-0.17

-0.19
-0.54
-0.21
-0.66
0.64
-0.18
0.18
0.32
-0.36
-1.15
-1.19
0.09
-0.04
-0.24

-0.21
-0.51
-0.24
-0.63
0.64
-0.20
0.18
0.26
-0.35
-1.09
-1.13
0.02
-0.08
-0.27

-0.22
-0.49
-0.24
-0.66
0.65
-0.22
0.19
0.23
-0.34
-1.14
-1.15
-0.01
-0.09
-0.27

Southern Europe
Albania......................................
Andorra .....................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...........
Croatia.......................................
Gibraltar ....................................
Greece .......................................
Holy See (19) ............................
Italy ...........................................
Malta .........................................
Montenegro ...............................
Portugal .....................................
San Marino................................
Serbia (20) .................................
Slovenia.....................................
Spain (21) ..................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ..............

0.25
0.40
1.46
-0.21
-0.25
0.04
0.17
0.09
0.16
0.35
0.12
0.07
0.55
-0.06
0.16
0.56
0.16

0.05
0.32
1.29
-0.36
-0.33
-0.04
0.03
-0.22
-0.09
0.25
0.12
-0.12
0.24
-0.14
0.01
0.37
0.06

-0.07
0.16
1.15
-0.52
-0.41
-0.14
-0.06
-0.13
-0.20
0.11
0.03
-0.28
0.11
-0.20
-0.14
0.22
-0.07

-0.22
-0.21
0.92
-0.80
-0.57
-0.36
-0.14
-0.13
-0.31
-0.22
-0.13
-0.45
-0.08
-0.31
-0.33
0.00
-0.34

-0.37
-0.48
0.66
-1.11
-0.72
-0.50
-0.26
0.27
-0.44
-0.39
-0.27
-0.66
-0.29
-0.44
-0.48
-0.15
-0.54

-0.66
-0.72
0.34
-1.39
-0.84
-0.59
-0.48
0.39
-0.69
-0.44
-0.38
-0.96
-0.57
-0.57
-0.66
-0.58
-0.74

-0.89
-0.94
0.01
-1.64
-0.95
-0.63
-0.65
-0.22
-0.85
-0.56
-0.49
-1.19
-0.78
-0.69
-0.79
-0.94
-0.95

-0.92
-1.17
-0.22
-1.88
-1.04
-0.65
-0.68
0.09
-0.81
-0.69
-0.58
-1.25
-0.87
-0.78
-0.86
-1.01
-1.10

-0.88
-1.25
-0.45
-1.96
-1.06
-0.68
-0.69
0.17
-0.76
-0.70
-0.60
-1.21
-0.91
-0.78
-0.88
-0.94
-1.13

-0.91
-1.07
-0.76
-1.91
-1.07
-0.63
-0.80
0.25
-0.80
-0.61
-0.61
-1.25
-0.99
-0.78
-0.95
-0.99
-1.11

-0.92
-0.96
-0.95
-1.90
-1.09
-0.63
-0.89
0.29
-0.74
-0.56
-0.62
-1.28
-1.04
-0.79
-1.02
-1.05
-1.12

Europe

210

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Western Europe
Austria.......................................
Belgium.....................................
France........................................
Germany....................................
Liechtenstein .............................
Luxembourg ..............................
Monaco .....................................
Netherlands ...............................
Switzerland ...............................
Latin America and Caribbean

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100
0.12
0.18
0.25
0.50
-0.27
0.72
1.30
0.08
0.25
0.34

0.09
0.13
0.19
0.43
-0.24
0.66
1.12
0.07
0.17
0.23

0.02
0.06
0.15
0.37
-0.32
0.58
0.96
0.10
0.11
0.11

-0.10
-0.13
0.09
0.30
-0.48
0.31
0.62
0.19
-0.05
-0.20

-0.23
-0.31
-0.01
0.20
-0.65
0.11
0.22
0.17
-0.26
-0.44

-0.33
-0.50
-0.09
0.13
-0.82
-0.02
-0.07
0.18
-0.33
-0.63

-0.33
-0.60
-0.09
0.12
-0.83
-0.12
-0.22
0.30
-0.29
-0.74

-0.31
-0.64
-0.09
0.12
-0.82
-0.22
-0.35
0.39
-0.26
-0.77

-0.34
-0.75
-0.13
0.08
-0.88
-0.38
-0.47
0.40
-0.30
-0.81

-0.37
-0.85
-0.20
0.04
-0.93
-0.55
-0.56
0.39
-0.35
-0.83

-0.39
-0.90
-0.24
0.01
-0.97
-0.64
-0.59
0.39
-0.36
-0.84

1.18

1.14

1.06

0.90

0.78

0.70

0.69

0.70

0.76

0.83

0.88

Caribbean
Anguilla.....................................
Antigua and Barbuda ................
Aruba.........................................
Bahamas....................................
Barbados ...................................
British Virgin Islands ................
Cayman Islands.........................
Cuba ..........................................
Dominica...................................
Dominican Rep. ........................
Grenada .....................................
Guadeloupe (23) ........................
Haiti...........................................
Jamaica......................................
Martinique.................................
Montserrat .................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ..........
Puerto Rico................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ....................
St. Lucia ....................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
Trinidad and Tobago .................
Turks and Caicos Islands ..........
US Virgin Islands ......................

0.78
1.68
1.04
0.39
1.17
0.19
1.01
0.86
-0.02
0.06
1.36
0.49
0.51
1.55
0.46
0.31
0.95
0.77
0.02
1.27
1.08
0.11
0.32
1.36
-0.17

0.81
1.22
1.00
0.31
1.09
0.13
0.96
0.68
-0.06
0.13
1.29
0.48
0.44
1.68
0.46
0.24
0.75
0.45
0.12
1.20
1.01
0.25
0.16
1.04
-0.16

0.80
0.78
0.93
0.19
0.95
0.02
0.88
0.53
-0.11
0.35
1.22
0.34
0.39
1.72
0.39
0.16
0.69
0.25
0.14
1.08
0.89
0.35
-0.03
0.85
-0.19

0.71
0.50
0.70
-0.15
0.60
-0.27
0.59
0.18
-0.37
0.00
1.08
-0.01
0.20
1.64
0.14
-0.10
0.56
-0.11
0.07
0.86
0.63
0.49
-0.19
0.72
-0.32

0.66
0.28
0.51
-0.43
0.37
-0.58
0.34
-0.21
-0.66
-0.17
0.98
-0.18
-0.02
1.66
-0.04
-0.37
0.43
-0.28
-0.02
0.66
0.44
0.49
-0.30
0.43
-0.19

0.74
0.14
0.40
-0.48
0.21
-0.77
0.30
-0.48
-0.94
-0.15
1.00
0.06
-0.07
1.77
0.16
-0.48
0.35
-0.50
-0.09
0.52
0.34
0.38
-0.48
0.17
0.05

0.85
0.10
0.36
-0.42
0.10
-0.86
0.33
-0.48
-1.09
-0.15
1.04
0.28
-0.01
1.79
0.44
-0.43
0.35
-0.63
-0.21
0.43
0.20
0.32
-0.65
0.15
0.12

0.95
0.12
0.34
-0.43
0.03
-0.93
0.36
-0.32
-1.06
-0.20
1.05
0.30
0.11
1.79
0.54
-0.35
0.42
-0.52
-0.29
0.40
0.11
0.27
-0.73
0.27
0.14

1.05
0.17
0.30
-0.51
0.01
-0.96
0.35
-0.26
-1.09
-0.25
1.05
0.40
0.13
1.82
0.58
-0.38
0.45
-0.35
-0.34
0.40
0.09
0.24
-0.70
0.35
0.09

1.15
0.17
0.29
-0.50
0.04
-0.91
0.33
-0.28
-1.10
-0.18
1.07
0.52
0.15
1.83
0.63
-0.31
0.46
-0.18
-0.35
0.40
0.10
0.23
-0.68
0.31
0.06

1.20
0.16
0.29
-0.49
0.04
-0.89
0.34
-0.28
-1.09
-0.14
1.07
0.53
0.18
1.83
0.65
-0.26
0.47
-0.13
-0.35
0.40
0.11
0.22
-0.70
0.28
0.06

Central America
Belize ........................................
Costa Rica .................................
El Salvador................................
Guatemala .................................
Honduras ...................................
Mexico ......................................
Nicaragua ..................................
Panama......................................

1.47
2.17
1.45
0.77
2.74
2.22
1.28
1.63
1.57

1.43
2.20
1.26
0.97
2.77
2.20
1.20
1.58
1.50

1.37
2.08
1.06
1.05
2.74
2.11
1.12
1.47
1.41

1.24
1.79
0.70
0.99
2.64
1.92
0.96
1.28
1.23

1.15
1.66
0.43
0.87
2.63
1.85
0.82
1.16
1.08

1.08
1.57
0.21
0.80
2.62
1.80
0.65
1.17
0.96

1.12
1.48
0.04
0.72
2.59
1.75
0.65
1.18
0.90

1.17
1.43
-0.10
0.63
2.58
1.72
0.65
1.15
0.88

1.24
1.40
-0.17
0.56
2.58
1.72
0.65
1.14
0.88

1.32
1.41
-0.17
0.55
2.58
1.73
0.65
1.15
0.88

1.36
1.41
-0.16
0.56
2.58
1.74
0.66
1.16
0.89

South America
Argentina...................................
Bolivia.......................................
Brazil.........................................
Chile..........................................
Colombia...................................
Ecuador .....................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)......
French Guiana...........................
Guyana ......................................
Paraguay....................................
Peru ...........................................
Suriname ...................................

1.11
0.92
1.75
0.92
0.91
1.41
1.45
0.26
2.62
0.35
1.87
1.28
0.98

1.05
0.89
1.86
0.83
0.83
1.33
1.39
0.12
2.56
0.51
1.86
1.32
0.95

0.97
0.84
1.92
0.72
0.71
1.22
1.30
0.01
2.46
0.59
1.78
1.31
0.90

0.77
0.73
1.94
0.46
0.44
1.02
1.12
-0.21
2.19
0.39
1.61
1.13
0.69

0.62
0.65
1.93
0.24
0.22
0.87
0.99
-0.20
2.06
0.26
1.55
0.98
0.50

0.51
0.56
1.93
0.06
0.04
0.78
0.94
-0.28
1.88
0.60
1.53
0.92
0.57

0.44
0.47
1.90
-0.09
-0.09
0.74
0.90
-0.28
1.76
0.55
1.50
0.86
0.55

0.41
0.42
1.89
-0.19
-0.16
0.71
0.88
-0.25
1.74
0.49
1.47
0.83
0.54

0.43
0.41
1.89
-0.23
-0.21
0.71
0.87
-0.23
1.73
0.46
1.47
0.83
0.55

0.48
0.42
1.90
-0.24
-0.20
0.71
0.88
-0.22
1.72
0.47
1.48
0.84
0.56

0.50
0.42
1.91
-0.23
-0.19
0.72
0.89
-0.23
1.73
0.51
1.48
0.85
0.57

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

211

Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country

2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100

Uruguay.....................................
Venezuela ..................................

0.40
1.61

0.48
1.52

0.46
1.41

0.37
1.22

0.27
1.09

0.23
0.98

0.21
0.90

0.18
0.86

0.17
0.85

0.18
0.86

0.19
0.86

Northern America
Bermuda....................................
Canada.......................................
Greenland..................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ............
United States of America ..........

0.86
0.18
0.90
0.09
0.07
0.85

0.79
0.13
0.79
0.06
0.13
0.79

0.72
0.06
0.67
-0.09
0.17
0.73

0.59
-0.14
0.44
-0.06
0.25
0.61

0.48
-0.29
0.27
-0.15
0.30
0.50

0.41
-0.27
0.14
0.15
0.38
0.43

0.36
-0.18
0.02
0.10
0.45
0.40

0.31
-0.17
-0.09
0.10
0.46
0.35

0.24
-0.20
-0.22
0.17
0.51
0.28

0.18
-0.19
-0.34
0.30
0.52
0.22

0.14
-0.19
-0.42
0.35
0.53
0.19

Oceania

1.50

1.41

1.31

1.15

1.07

1.06

1.10

1.18

1.27

1.38

1.43

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ............................
New Zealand .............................

1.27
1.31
1.05

1.12
1.15
0.95

0.96
0.99
0.84

0.68
0.70
0.58

0.48
0.49
0.40

0.32
0.33
0.29

0.21
0.20
0.26

0.15
0.12
0.26

0.08
0.05
0.24

0.04
0.00
0.23

0.01
-0.04
0.23

Melanesia
Fiji .............................................
New Caledonia..........................
Papua New Guinea....................
Solomon Islands........................
Vanuatu .....................................

2.25
0.93
1.55
2.38
2.74
2.58

2.26
0.81
1.34
2.40
2.73
2.58

2.26
0.67
1.18
2.42
2.70
2.54

2.24
0.81
0.88
2.36
2.65
2.41

2.23
0.91
0.68
2.33
2.63
2.36

2.24
0.94
0.55
2.33
2.60
2.32

2.25
1.00
0.45
2.32
2.58
2.29

2.27
1.03
0.40
2.32
2.59
2.28

2.28
1.06
0.39
2.33
2.60
2.28

2.29
1.07
0.37
2.33
2.60
2.28

2.30
1.07
0.37
2.33
2.60
2.29

Micronesia
Guam.........................................
Kiribati ......................................
Marshall Islands ........................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .......
Nauru.........................................
Northern Mariana Islands .........
Palau..........................................

1.35
1.28
1.70
1.89
0.79
0.66
1.75
0.86

1.37
1.27
1.79
1.70
1.19
0.55
1.14
1.19

1.34
1.21
1.77
1.63
1.44
0.46
0.70
1.21

1.16
1.00
1.54
1.85
1.35
0.26
-0.03
0.93

1.06
0.88
1.45
1.90
1.35
0.10
-0.68
0.64

1.27
0.86
1.48
2.39
1.99
0.36
-1.23
0.52

1.34
0.85
1.40
2.62
1.96
0.33
-1.61
0.40

1.39
0.83
1.34
2.74
1.86
0.34
-1.84
0.21

1.48
0.80
1.38
2.76
1.88
0.35
-2.15
0.14

1.59
0.81
1.39
2.81
1.91
0.35
-2.35
0.16

1.63
0.81
1.38
2.83
1.89
0.36
-2.31
0.17

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.......................
Cook Islands..............................
French Polynesia.......................
Niue...........................................
Samoa........................................
Tokelau......................................
Tonga.........................................
Tuvalu .......................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands .........

0.92
1.77
0.68
1.14
-2.65
0.63
0.45
0.60
0.32
-0.50

1.03
1.92
0.73
1.07
-1.79
0.68
0.83
1.16
0.61
0.09

1.08
2.10
0.66
0.95
-1.21
0.86
1.19
1.25
0.93
0.42

1.12
1.89
0.92
0.68
0.68
1.29
0.93
1.49
1.03
0.37

1.07
1.84
0.87
0.52
0.77
1.24
0.79
1.51
1.37
0.39

1.29
1.93
0.79
0.39
0.81
1.80
1.39
1.86
1.96
0.52

1.51
1.90
0.69
0.30
0.94
2.24
1.76
2.22
2.04
0.54

1.57
1.89
0.69
0.26
0.97
2.23
1.84
2.24
1.89
0.61

1.63
1.91
0.68
0.25
0.93
2.22
1.95
2.20
1.90
0.63

1.71
1.92
0.69
0.26
0.93
2.24
1.92
2.23
1.85
0.61

1.74
1.92
0.70
0.26
0.88
2.23
1.94
2.23
1.82
0.63

a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

212

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
Includes other non-specified areas.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

213

Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country:
estimates, 1995-2010
Estimates
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

5 726 239 5 807 212 5 887 260 5 966 465 6 044 931 6 122 770 6 200 003 6 276 722 6 353 196 6 429 758
1 169 451 1 173 577 1 177 440 1 181 164 1 184 913 1 188 809 1 192 885 1 197 125 1 201 544 1 206 139
4 556 788 4 633 635 4 709 820 4 785 301 4 860 019 4 933 961 5 007 118 5 079 596 5 151 652 5 223 619
585 251
600 474
615 625
630 818
646 233
661 996
678 158
694 669
711 441
728 343
3 971 537 4 033 161 4 094 195 4 154 482 4 213 786 4 271 965 4 328 960 4 384 927 4 440 211 4 495 276
3 315 102 3 379 508 3 443 670 3 507 673 3 571 646 3 635 693 3 699 847 3 764 112 3 828 544 3 893 203

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

589 677

605 082

620 669

636 491

652 623

669 123

686 014

703 297

720 975

739 047

Africa

720 931

738 497

756 210

774 149

792 419

811 101

830 228

849 798

869 810

890 253

Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (2) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

219 318
6 087
494
627
3 213
57 042
27 426
13 129
9 883
1 137
122
15 933
676
5 570
75
6 525
20 831
29 944
8 919
11 685

225 336
6 140
507
644
3 263
58 774
28 192
13 547
10 071
1 150
128
16 413
689
5 804
75
6 629
21 474
30 783
9 162
11 891

231 670
6 181
520
666
3 335
60 482
28 945
13 982
10 319
1 162
133
16 862
702
6 298
76
6 787
22 123
31 592
9 418
12 087

238 235
6 224
534
689
3 428
62 174
29 696
14 431
10 612
1 173
138
17 296
714
6 944
77
6 983
22 789
32 389
9 682
12 262

244 903
6 284
548
712
3 540
63 869
30 462
14 892
10 922
1 184
144
17 736
727
7 583
78
7 193
23 483
33 197
9 945
12 405

251 584
6 374
562
732
3 668
65 578
31 254
15 364
11 229
1 196
149
18 201
739
8 098
79
7 399
24 213
34 038
10 202
12 509

258 259
6 500
578
750
3 812
67 304
32 076
15 846
11 529
1 208
154
18 691
751
8 457
80
7 597
24 984
34 917
10 450
12 575

264 968
6 656
593
765
3 974
69 041
32 928
16 339
11 833
1 221
159
19 200
762
8 696
81
7 791
25 794
35 832
10 693
12 608

271 744
6 839
609
780
4 146
70 784
33 805
16 842
12 145
1 234
164
19 721
773
8 858
82
7 982
26 642
36 788
10 938
12 613

278 644
7 040
626
794
4 318
72 527
34 702
17 358
12 473
1 246
169
20 246
784
9 010
83
8 171
27 522
37 787
11 192
12 598

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

84 829
12 105
13 940
3 328
6 998
2 733
44 067
443
1 087
128

87 177
12 453
14 287
3 406
7 219
2 810
45 295
457
1 118
130

89 371
12 792
14 632
3 484
7 449
2 891
46 369
472
1 148
133

91 513
13 138
14 976
3 560
7 690
2 973
47 374
488
1 178
136

93 750
13 512
15 324
3 632
7 947
3 055
48 430
504
1 207
138

96 187
13 926
15 678
3 702
8 222
3 136
49 626
520
1 235
141

98 860
14 388
16 040
3 767
8 518
3 213
50 989
537
1 263
143

101 730
14 890
16 408
3 829
8 831
3 289
52 491
554
1 291
146

104 748
15 420
16 783
3 890
9 154
3 365
54 098
572
1 317
148

107 835
15 957
17 165
3 952
9 475
3 446
55 755
590
1 344
150

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (3) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

161 395
28 292
62 064
4 775
26 929
30 141
8 936
259

164 343
28 787
63 120
4 863
27 324
30 929
9 053
267

167 275
29 243
64 200
4 951
27 709
31 734
9 163
276

170 207
29 674
65 309
5 041
28 083
32 549
9 265
286

173 164
30 099
66 457
5 134
28 444
33 369
9 362
298

176 166
30 534
67 648
5 231
28 793
34 188
9 456
315

179 216
30 982
68 888
5 331
29 129
35 002
9 546
337

182 317
31 442
70 175
5 434
29 454
35 816
9 634
362

185 478
31 913
71 498
5 541
29 770
36 643
9 722
389

188 710
32 396
72 845
5 653
30 082
37 504
9 814
416

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

47 398
1 586
1 795
1 651
41 402
964

48 314
1 624
1 829
1 701
42 176
985

49 158
1 661
1 865
1 752
42 873
1 007

49 944
1 696
1 901
1 803
43 516
1 029

50 699
1 728
1 934
1 851
44 137
1 048

51 442
1 758
1 964
1 896
44 760
1 064

52 174
1 784
1 989
1 936
45 390
1 075

52 890
1 808
2 010
1 973
46 015
1 083

53 588
1 830
2 029
2 008
46 631
1 089

54 265
1 852
2 047
2 043
47 227
1 095

Western Africa
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................

207 992
5 651
10 692
395

213 326
5 822
10 992
404

218 737
5 988
11 302
413

224 250
6 155
11 621
421

229 903
6 329
11 952
429

235 722
6 518
12 294
437

241 719
6 721
12 648
445

247 893
6 938
13 015
453

254 252
7 165
13 396
460

260 799
7 398
13 790
467

214

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates, 1995-2010
Estimates
Population (thousands)
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015 Major area, region and country

6 506 649 6 583 959 6 661 637 6 739 610 6 817 737 6 895 889 6 974 036 7 052 135 7 130 014 7 207 460 7 284 296 World
1 210 897 1 215 843 1 220 951 1 226 099 1 231 122 1 235 900 1 240 380 1 244 585 1 248 565 1 252 407 1 256 172
5 295 752 5 368 115 5 440 686 5 513 512 5 586 615 5 659 989 5 733 657 5 807 551 5 881 449 5 955 053 6 028 124
745 291 762 246 779 271 796 506 814 146 832 330 851 103 870 416 890 186 910 290 930 629
4 550 461 4 605 869 4 661 415 4 717 006 4 772 469 4 827 660 4 882 553 4 937 135 4 991 262 5 044 763 5 097 495
3 958 139 4 023 351 4 088 855 4 154 722 4 221 036 4 287 841 4 355 151 4 422 895 4 490 921 4 559 024 4 627 034
856 327

877 567

921 544

944 234

967 357

Less dev. regions, excl. China

757 513

776 379

795 661

815 390

835 603

911 120

932 415

954 154

976 356

999 045 1 022 234 1 045 923 1 070 096 1 094 737 1 119 819 1 145 316

285 713
7 251
643
808
4 486
74 264
35 615
17 886
12 823
1 257
175
20 770
795
9 202
84
8 360
28 431
38 831
11 462
12 571

292 951
7 474
661
824
4 646
75 993
36 541
18 427
13 195
1 267
180
21 291
805
9 441
84
8 547
29 370
39 924
11 750
12 530

300 360
7 708
679
839
4 799
77 718
37 485
18 980
13 589
1 276
186
21 811
816
9 711
85
8 733
30 340
41 068
12 055
12 481

307 982
7 943
697
856
4 948
79 446
38 455
19 546
14 005
1 284
192
22 333
826
10 004
86
8 922
31 339
42 268
12 380
12 452

315 865
8 171
716
872
5 098
81 188
39 462
20 124
14 442
1 292
198
22 859
836
10 311
86
9 120
32 368
43 525
12 724
12 474

324 044
8 383
735
889
5 254
82 950
40 513
20 714
14 901
1 299
204
23 391
846
10 624
87
9 331
33 425
44 841
13 089
12 571

332 536
8 575
754
906
5 415
84 734
41 610
21 315
15 381
1 307
211
23 930
856
10 943
87
9 557
34 509
46 218
13 475
12 754

341 328
8 749
773
923
5 581
86 539
42 749
21 929
15 883
1 314
217
24 475
865
11 272
87
9 797
35 621
47 656
13 884
13 014

350 386
8 911
793
940
5 748
88 356
43 924
22 555
16 407
1 321
224
25 028
875
11 608
87
10 053
36 759
49 153
14 315
13 328

359 659
9 069
813
958
5 915
90 179
45 121
23 196
16 954
1 327
231
25 590
884
11 950
88
10 323
37 923
50 705
14 768
13 665

369 106
9 231
832
975
6 077
92 000
46 332
23 853
17 523
1 334
237
26 162
893
12 295
88
10 607
39 113
52 311
15 242
14 001

Eastern Africa
Burundi .....................................
Comoros....................................
Djibouti .....................................
Eritrea........................................
Ethiopia .....................................
Kenya ........................................
Madagascar ...............................
Malawi ......................................
Mauritius (1) .............................
Mayotte .....................................
Mozambique .............................
Runion .....................................
Rwanda .....................................
Seychelles .................................
Somalia .....................................
Uganda ......................................
UR Tanzania (2) .......................
Zambia ......................................
Zimbabwe .................................

110 931
16 489
17 554
4 018
9 786
3 533
57 421
608
1 371
153

114 025
17 010
17 948
4 088
10 084
3 629
59 088
626
1 397
155

117 136
17 525
18 350
4 161
10 372
3 731
60 772
644
1 424
157

120 272
18 038
18 759
4 238
10 654
3 836
62 475
662
1 450
160

123 452
18 555
19 175
4 318
10 937
3 941
64 204
681
1 478
163

126 689
19 082
19 599
4 401
11 227
4 043
65 966
700
1 505
165

129 981
19 618
20 030
4 487
11 525
4 140
67 758
720
1 534
169

133 322
20 163
20 469
4 576
11 831
4 233
69 575
740
1 564
172

136 711
20 714
20 914
4 667
12 142
4 324
71 420
761
1 594
175

140 148
21 275
21 363
4 760
12 458
4 415
73 291
782
1 625
179

143 631
21 842
21 816
4 854
12 778
4 508
75 190
802
1 656
182

Middle Africa
Angola.......................................
Cameroon..................................
Central African Rep. .................
Chad ..........................................
Congo........................................
DR Congo .................................
Equatorial Guinea .....................
Gabon........................................
Sao Tome and Principe .............

192 017
32 888
74 203
5 770
30 392
38 410
9 912
440

195 404
33 392
75 568
5 894
30 702
39 369
10 018
462

198 867
33 907
76 942
6 023
31 011
40 374
10 130
480

202 382
34 428
78 323
6 150
31 321
41 415
10 247
497

205 920
34 950
79 716
6 263
31 635
42 478
10 365
513

209 459
35 468
81 121
6 355
31 951
43 552
10 481
531

212 988
35 980
82 537
6 423
32 273
44 632
10 594
548

216 506
36 486
83 958
6 469
32 599
45 722
10 705
567

220 016
36 984
85 378
6 506
32 926
46 823
10 814
585

223 523
37 474
86 788
6 548
33 250
47 939
10 921
604

227 031
37 954
88 179
6 606
33 570
49 072
11 026
624

Northern Africa
Algeria.......................................
Egypt .........................................
Libya .........................................
Morocco ....................................
Sudan (3) ..................................
Tunisia.......................................
Western Sahara..........................

54 919
1 876
2 066
2 080
47 793
1 105

55 554
1 901
2 086
2 119
48 331
1 118

56 168
1 928
2 106
2 159
48 842
1 133

56 752
1 955
2 127
2 200
49 319
1 150

57 293
1 982
2 149
2 242
49 752
1 168

57 780
2 007
2 171
2 283
50 133
1 186

58 212
2 031
2 194
2 324
50 460
1 203

58 593
2 053
2 217
2 364
50 738
1 220

58 937
2 075
2 240
2 404
50 981
1 237

59 263
2 095
2 263
2 444
51 207
1 254

59 585
2 115
2 286
2 483
51 431
1 269

Southern Africa
Botswana...................................
Lesotho......................................
Namibia.....................................
South Africa ..............................
Swaziland..................................

267 540
7 634
14 198
473

274 480
7 872
14 622
478

281 623
8 113
15 061
483

288 969
8 356
15 515
487

296 515
8 602
15 984
492

304 261
8 850
16 469
496

312 205
9 100
16 968
501

320 347
9 352
17 482
505

328 686
9 607
18 012
510

337 225
9 865
18 557
515

345 963
10 129
19 118
520

Western Africa
Benin .........................................
Burkina Faso .............................
Cape Verde ................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

899 312

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)


Africa

215

Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates, 1995-2010
Estimates
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Cte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
St. Helena (4) ......................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia (5)

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

14 677
1 126
16 997
7 565
1 125
2 095
9 825
2 292
9 179
110 015
5
8 369
3 898
4 085

15 090
1 158
17 429
7 806
1 148
2 204
10 093
2 358
9 500
112 618
5
8 592
3 898
4 209

15 492
1 191
17 855
7 982
1 171
2 361
10 371
2 425
9 836
115 269
5
8 813
3 914
4 349

15 879
1 225
18 281
8 113
1 194
2 541
10 663
2 495
10 186
117 983
5
9 035
3 954
4 500

16 243
1 260
18 716
8 226
1 217
2 711
10 970
2 568
10 548
120 784
5
9 265
4 028
4 651

16 582
1 297
19 165
8 344
1 241
2 847
11 295
2 643
10 922
123 689
5
9 506
4 143
4 794

16 893
1 336
19 632
8 472
1 265
2 939
11 640
2 720
11 308
126 705
5
9 759
4 304
4 926

17 181
1 376
20 114
8 605
1 290
2 996
12 002
2 800
11 706
129 832
5
10 023
4 506
5 051

17 456
1 418
20 611
8 744
1 315
3 037
12 380
2 882
12 118
133 067
5
10 298
4 730
5 170

17 732
1 460
21 120
8 889
1 341
3 093
12 772
2 965
12 547
136 399
5
10 581
4 952
5 288

3 470 446 3 522 013 3 572 732 3 622 533 3 671 319 3 719 044 3 765 678 3 811 320 3 856 214 3 900 690

Eastern Asia (5)


China (6) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) ...............
China, Macao SAR (8) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

1 434 912 1 448 256 1 461 094 1 473 312 1 484 741 1 495 281 1 504 894 1 513 677 1 521 838 1 529 658
1 213 987 1 226 134 1 237 850 1 249 020 1 259 477 1 269 117 1 277 904 1 285 934 1 293 397 1 300 552
6 144
6 268
6 414
6 564
6 693
6 783
6 829
6 837
6 822
6 808
398
405
411
417
424
432
440
449
459
470
21 771
22 039
22 279
22 496
22 699
22 894
23 083
23 265
23 437
23 597
124 487
124 815
125 092
125 326
125 532
125 720
125 894
126 048
126 184
126 299
2 306
2 325
2 346
2 367
2 389
2 411
2 435
2 459
2 485
2 514
44 662
44 950
45 228
45 495
45 749
45 988
46 211
46 421
46 625
46 831

South-Central Asia (9)

1 382 859 1 409 820 1 436 604 1 463 177 1 489 504 1 515 563 1 541 348 1 566 871 1 592 147 1 617 201

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

53 401
15 926
4 592
5 775
4 188
22 919

53 847
15 713
4 659
5 860
4 268
23 347

54 257
15 485
4 739
5 945
4 336
23 752

54 639
15 265
4 824
6 028
4 395
24 127

55 004
15 082
4 899
6 104
4 449
24 469

55 361
14 957
4 955
6 173
4 501
24 776

55 712
14 898
4 988
6 233
4 552
25 043

56 065
14 902
5 003
6 286
4 600
25 275

56 442
14 959
5 008
6 337
4 648
25 489

56 868
15 053
5 018
6 391
4 697
25 708

1 329 458 1 355 973 1 382 347 1 408 538 1 434 500 1 460 201 1 485 636 1 510 805 1 535 705 1 560 333
19 790
20 685
21 299
21 752
22 228
22 856
23 677
24 640
25 679
26 693
117 487
119 929
122 370
124 803
127 215
129 592
131 945
134 266
136 515
138 633
519
521
528
541
555
571
588
606
624
642
964 486
982 553 1 000 558 1 018 471 1 036 259 1 053 898 1 071 374 1 088 694 1 105 886 1 122 991
59 757
60 816
61 956
63 133
64 278
65 342
66 314
67 213
68 062
68 893
249
254
259
264
269
273
278
282
287
291
21 595
22 138
22 692
23 255
23 825
24 401
24 980
25 563
26 144
26 718
127 347
130 737
134 256
137 808
141 261
144 522
147 558
150 407
153 140
155 860
18 229
18 341
18 428
18 510
18 610
18 745
18 922
19 134
19 370
19 611

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (10) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

485 756
290
11 169
199 400
4 795
20 721
42 133
69 255
3 482
59 650
853
74 008

493 540
297
11 459
202 257
4 908
21 247
42 736
70 831
3 577
60 258
852
75 117

501 235
305
11 731
205 063
5 017
21 781
43 352
72 427
3 671
60 934
842
76 111

508 846
312
11 986
207 839
5 121
22 322
43 953
74 041
3 761
61 660
830
77 020

516 377
320
12 224
210 611
5 221
22 868
44 497
75 670
3 845
62 409
823
77 891

523 831
327
12 447
213 395
5 317
23 415
44 958
77 310
3 919
63 155
830
78 758

531 215
334
12 654
216 203
5 409
23 965
45 324
78 964
3 981
63 899
853
79 630

538 529
342
12 845
219 026
5 497
24 515
45 609
80 630
4 032
64 643
888
80 501

545 757
349
13 024
221 839
5 582
25 060
45 844
82 294
4 086
65 370
931
81 377

552 878
356
13 194
224 607
5 667
25 590
46 070
83 937
4 160
66 060
974
82 263

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (11) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (12) .........................................

166 919
3 223
7 765
559
855

170 397
3 172
7 845
575
873

173 800
3 135
7 914
593
891

177 199
3 109
7 976
611
908

180 696
3 091
8 039
627
926

184 369
3 076
8 111
638
943

188 221
3 066
8 191
643
961

192 243
3 061
8 280
642
980

196 472
3 061
8 377
647
998

200 953
3 063
8 480
672
1 016

216

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates, 1995-2010
Estimates
Population (thousands)
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

18 021
1 504
21 640
9 041
1 368
3 183
13 177
3 047
12 994
139 823
5
10 872
5 153
5 408

18 326
1 547
22 171
9 202
1 395
3 314
13 593
3 130
13 460
143 339
4
11 170
5 327
5 530

18 647
1 591
22 712
9 374
1 424
3 477
14 021
3 213
13 946
146 951
4
11 475
5 478
5 653

18 987
1 636
23 264
9 559
1 454
3 658
14 460
3 295
14 450
150 666
4
11 787
5 612
5 777

19 350
1 682
23 824
9 761
1 484
3 836
14 910
3 378
14 972
154 488
4
12 107
5 739
5 902

19 738
1 728
24 392
9 982
1 515
3 994
15 370
3 460
15 512
158 423
4
12 434
5 868
6 028

20 153
1 776
24 966
10 222
1 547
4 129
15 840
3 542
16 069
162 471
4
12 768
5 997
6 155

20 595
1 825
25 546
10 481
1 580
4 245
16 319
3 623
16 644
166 629
4
13 108
6 126
6 283

21 057
1 874
26 131
10 754
1 613
4 349
16 808
3 704
17 240
170 901
4
13 454
6 255
6 413

21 533
1 925
26 721
11 034
1 647
4 451
17 308
3 786
17 858
175 288
4
13 805
6 384
6 543

2015 Major area, region and country


22 015
1 976
27 315
11 317
1 681
4 558
17 819
3 869
18 500
179 791
4
14 161
6 514
6 674

3 944 992 3 989 188 4 033 234 4 077 124 4 120 815 4 164 252 4 207 448 4 250 361 4 292 816 4 334 583 4 375 482

Cte d'Ivoire..............................
Gambia......................................
Ghana ........................................
Guinea .......................................
Guinea-Bissau ...........................
Liberia .......................................
Mali ...........................................
Mauritania .................................
Niger .........................................
Nigeria.......................................
St. Helena (4) ............................
Senegal......................................
Sierra Leone ..............................
Togo ..........................................
Asia (5)

1 537 343 1 544 963 1 552 479 1 559 862 1 567 045 1 573 970 1 580 646 1 587 077 1 593 190 1 598 892 1 604 111
1 307 593 1 314 581 1 321 482 1 328 276 1 334 909 1 341 335 1 347 565 1 353 601 1 359 368 1 364 773 1 369 743
6 810
6 833
6 873
6 926
6 988
7 053
7 122
7 196
7 274
7 353
7 431
481
493
506
518
531
544
556
567
579
590
601
23 746
23 882
24 009
24 126
24 238
24 346
24 451
24 554
24 654
24 754
24 854
126 393 126 465 126 515 126 545 126 552 126 536 126 497 126 435 126 345 126 225 126 072
2 547
2 584
2 625
2 667
2 712
2 756
2 800
2 844
2 888
2 932
2 975
47 044
47 268
47 499
47 734
47 964
48 184
48 391
48 588
48 775
48 952
49 120

Eastern Asia (5)


China (6) ...................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) .....
China, Macao SAR (8) .............
DPR Korea ................................
Japan .........................................
Mongolia ...................................
Rep. of Korea ............................

1 642 065 1 666 715 1 691 176 1 715 583 1 740 110 1 764 872 1 789 919 1 815 184 1 840 518 1 865 706 1 890 582

South-Central Asia (9)

57 363
15 172
5 042
6 453
4 748
25 947

57 936
15 312
5 084
6 525
4 802
26 214

58 582
15 476
5 139
6 604
4 859
26 504

59 281
15 655
5 204
6 691
4 918
26 812

60 003
15 841
5 271
6 783
4 980
27 128

60 726
16 026
5 334
6 879
5 042
27 445

61 442
16 207
5 393
6 977
5 105
27 760

62 155
16 381
5 448
7 079
5 170
28 077

62 871
16 551
5 503
7 184
5 235
28 398

63 596
16 719
5 562
7 291
5 300
28 725

64 338
16 886
5 627
7 400
5 364
29 060

Central Asia..............................
Kazakhstan................................
Kyrgyzstan ................................
Tajikistan...................................
Turkmenistan ............................
Uzbekistan.................................

1 584 702 1 608 778 1 632 594 1 656 302 1 680 107 1 704 146 1 728 477 1 753 029 1 777 648 1 802 110 1 826 245
27 615
28 421
29 146
29 840
30 578
31 412
32 358
33 397
34 500
35 623
36 735
140 588 142 354 143 957 145 478 147 030 148 692 150 494 152 409 154 394 156 380 158 317
659
675
689
701
714
726
738
750
762
774
784
1 140 043 1 157 039 1 173 972 1 190 864 1 207 740 1 224 614 1 241 492 1 258 351 1 275 138 1 291 780 1 308 221
69 732
70 582
71 435
72 289
73 137
73 974
74 799
75 612
76 407
77 176
77 914
295
299
304
308
312
316
320
324
329
333
337
27 282
27 834
28 374
28 905
29 433
29 959
30 486
31 011
31 536
32 059
32 581
158 645 161 513 164 446 167 442 170 494 173 593 176 745 179 951 183 189 186 429 189 648
19 843
20 062
20 272
20 474
20 669
20 860
21 045
21 224
21 394
21 556
21 709

Southern Asia ...........................


Afghanistan ...............................
Bangladesh................................
Bhutan .......................................
India ..........................................
Iran ............................................
Maldives....................................
Nepal .........................................
Pakistan .....................................
Sri Lanka...................................

559 881
363
13 358
227 303
5 753
26 100
46 321
85 546
4 266
66 698
1 010
83 161

566 755
370
13 516
229 919
5 842
26 586
46 605
87 116
4 410
67 276
1 039
84 076

573 510
378
13 670
232 462
5 931
27 051
46 916
88 653
4 585
67 796
1 061
85 007

580 178
385
13 823
234 951
6 022
27 502
47 250
90 173
4 772
68 268
1 080
85 952

586 803
392
13 978
237 414
6 112
27 949
47 601
91 703
4 946
68 706
1 100
86 901

593 415
399
14 138
239 871
6 201
28 401
47 963
93 261
5 086
69 122
1 124
87 848

600 025
406
14 305
242 326
6 288
28 859
48 337
94 852
5 188
69 519
1 154
88 792

606 618
413
14 478
244 769
6 374
29 322
48 724
96 471
5 256
69 892
1 187
89 730

613 167
420
14 656
247 188
6 459
29 787
49 120
98 113
5 301
70 243
1 224
90 657

619 633
427
14 836
249 563
6 543
30 252
49 514
99 765
5 337
70 571
1 262
91 563

625 987
433
15 015
251 880
6 628
30 714
49 902
101 421
5 375
70 876
1 301
92 443

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam....................
Cambodia ..................................
Indonesia ...................................
Lao PDR....................................
Malaysia (10) ............................
Myanmar ...................................
Philippines.................................
Singapore ..................................
Thailand ....................................
Timor-Leste...............................
Viet Nam ...................................

205 703
3 066
8 588
725
1 033

210 755
3 070
8 702
811
1 048

216 069
3 074
8 821
926
1 063

221 501
3 079
8 944
1 052
1 077

226 856
3 085
9 067
1 170
1 090

231 995
3 092
9 188
1 262
1 104

236 858
3 100
9 306
1 324
1 117

241 482
3 109
9 421
1 359
1 129

245 940
3 118
9 533
1 377
1 141

250 352
3 126
9 643
1 389
1 153

254 802
3 133
9 750
1 404
1 165

Western Asia
Armenia.....................................
Azerbaijan (11) .........................
Bahrain......................................
Cyprus (12) ...............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

217

Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates, 1995-2010
Estimates
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

5 069
20 288
5 332
4 382
1 628
3 463
2 596
2 232
501
18 492
14 171
58 865
2 349
15 148

4 992
20 973
5 487
4 510
1 628
3 539
2 720
2 259
512
18 786
14 519
59 822
2 474
15 710

4 925
21 687
5 631
4 607
1 679
3 597
2 848
2 266
529
19 021
14 856
60 783
2 612
16 227

4 864
22 416
5 765
4 682
1 764
3 644
2 976
2 263
549
19 257
15 200
61 743
2 755
16 717

4 805
23 144
5 892
4 752
1 857
3 690
3 095
2 259
570
19 579
15 573
62 693
2 897
17 208

4 746
23 857
6 015
4 827
1 941
3 742
3 199
2 264
591
20 045
15 989
63 628
3 033
17 723

4 685
24 552
6 131
4 910
2 010
3 803
3 285
2 279
608
20 682
16 455
64 545
3 149
18 266

4 626
25 233
6 242
4 998
2 070
3 869
3 356
2 303
624
21 463
16 963
65 446
3 255
18 832

4 570
25 915
6 352
5 097
2 127
3 935
3 419
2 336
654
22 334
17 490
66 339
3 401
19 420

4 520
26 619
6 471
5 210
2 189
3 998
3 483
2 378
715
23 214
18 005
67 236
3 658
20 026

727 422

727 625

727 453

727 096

726 807

726 777

727 064

727 636

728 473

729 522

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

309 882
10 274
8 357
10 319
10 331
38 392
4 339
22 681
148 699
5 369
51 122

309 026
10 244
8 273
10 310
10 314
38 399
4 308
22 567
148 457
5 381
50 773

307 985
10 204
8 198
10 296
10 291
38 389
4 268
22 465
148 139
5 390
50 343

306 798
10 157
8 130
10 279
10 265
38 366
4 221
22 373
147 749
5 397
49 860

305 512
10 108
8 067
10 260
10 237
38 336
4 167
22 283
147 287
5 401
49 366

304 172
10 058
8 006
10 243
10 211
38 302
4 107
22 192
146 758
5 405
48 892

302 792
10 010
7 948
10 226
10 185
38 267
4 040
22 100
146 162
5 407
48 448

301 395
9 963
7 893
10 210
10 159
38 230
3 969
22 011
145 520
5 408
48 032

300 045
9 918
7 840
10 199
10 135
38 198
3 896
21 925
144 880
5 409
47 643

298 815
9 872
7 789
10 202
10 110
38 175
3 828
21 845
144 307
5 411
47 275

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (17) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (18) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

93 222
142
5 233
1 441
43
5 108
267
3 611
72
2 492
3 629
4 359
8 827
57 997

93 424
142
5 255
1 420
43
5 125
270
3 638
73
2 463
3 604
4 385
8 847
58 157

93 624
143
5 278
1 403
44
5 139
273
3 670
74
2 439
3 577
4 412
8 854
58 319

93 836
144
5 300
1 390
44
5 151
276
3 707
75
2 420
3 550
4 439
8 853
58 488

94 073
145
5 320
1 380
45
5 162
278
3 751
76
2 402
3 524
4 466
8 852
58 671

94 347
145
5 340
1 371
46
5 173
281
3 804
77
2 385
3 500
4 491
8 860
58 874

94 659
146
5 356
1 363
46
5 185
284
3 866
78
2 367
3 480
4 514
8 877
59 097

95 009
147
5 371
1 357
47
5 197
287
3 936
78
2 350
3 462
4 536
8 902
59 340

95 401
147
5 384
1 352
47
5 211
290
4 011
79
2 334
3 447
4 559
8 935
59 604

95 837
148
5 400
1 348
48
5 226
293
4 086
79
2 319
3 432
4 587
8 978
59 892

Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (19) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (20) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (21) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ........................

143 616
3 141
65
3 332
4 669
27
10 672
1
56 968
387
643
10 125
26
10 204
1 966
39 427
1 963

143 802
3 113
65
3 306
4 657
27
10 755
1
56 938
389
644
10 169
26
10 248
1 971
39 520
1 973

143 981
3 092
65
3 366
4 625
27
10 825
1
56 888
391
643
10 211
26
10 254
1 976
39 609
1 983

144 215
3 079
64
3 480
4 583
27
10 885
1
56 852
393
639
10 252
26
10 228
1 979
39 734
1 992

144 585
3 073
64
3 601
4 540
27
10 938
1
56 874
395
636
10 294
27
10 184
1 982
39 949
2 001

145 147
3 072
65
3 694
4 506
27
10 987
1
56 986
397
633
10 336
27
10 134
1 985
40 288
2 009

145 919
3 077
66
3 748
4 482
28
11 032
1
57 199
400
630
10 380
28
10 077
1 988
40 767
2 016

146 875
3 090
69
3 776
4 466
28
11 073
1
57 499
402
629
10 423
28
10 013
1 991
41 365
2 022

147 961
3 107
72
3 783
4 457
28
11 111
1
57 864
405
628
10 466
29
9 950
1 994
42 040
2 028

149 100
3 125
75
3 781
4 450
29
11 147
1
58 264
407
627
10 506
30
9 895
1 998
42 732
2 033

Georgia (13) ........................................


Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
Europe

218

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates, 1995-2010
Estimates
Population (thousands)
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

4 477
27 359
6 605
5 342
2 264
4 052
3 556
2 430
821
24 041
18 484
68 143
4 069
20 649

4 443
28 141
6 755
5 495
2 351
4 097
3 638
2 491
978
24 799
18 921
69 064
4 663
21 288

4 416
28 961
6 920
5 667
2 448
4 135
3 728
2 561
1 178
25 504
19 321
69 993
5 406
21 947

4 394
29 821
7 092
5 849
2 548
4 167
3 827
2 637
1 396
26 167
19 694
70 924
6 207
22 627

4 374
30 725
7 261
6 026
2 646
4 197
3 931
2 712
1 598
26 809
20 054
71 846
6 939
23 328

4 352
31 672
7 418
6 187
2 737
4 228
4 039
2 782
1 759
27 448
20 411
72 752
7 512
24 053

4 329
32 665
7 562
6 330
2 818
4 259
4 152
2 846
1 870
28 083
20 766
73 640
7 891
24 800

4 304
33 703
7 695
6 457
2 892
4 292
4 271
2 904
1 939
28 705
21 118
74 509
8 106
25 569

4 278
34 776
7 819
6 573
2 959
4 324
4 394
2 957
1 977
29 319
21 469
75 359
8 208
26 358

4 252
35 871
7 940
6 684
3 023
4 356
4 520
3 008
2 003
29 929
21 823
76 190
8 278
27 163

4 225
36 977
8 061
6 797
3 087
4 385
4 648
3 059
2 033
30 538
22 184
77 003
8 374
27 980

730 736

732 129

733 693

735 317

736 855

738 199

739 299

740 175

740 877

741 488

742 067

297 758
9 825
7 739
10 221
10 087
38 165
3 767
21 772
143 843
5 415
46 924

296 904
9 777
7 690
10 259
10 064
38 170
3 715
21 705
143 510
5 422
46 592

296 238
9 728
7 640
10 314
10 043
38 190
3 672
21 645
143 295
5 431
46 282

295 710
9 681
7 591
10 377
10 022
38 218
3 635
21 590
143 163
5 441
45 992

295 241
9 636
7 543
10 440
10 002
38 249
3 603
21 537
143 064
5 452
45 715

294 771
9 595
7 494
10 493
9 984
38 277
3 573
21 486
142 958
5 462
45 448

294 284
9 559
7 446
10 534
9 966
38 299
3 545
21 436
142 836
5 472
45 190

293 788
9 527
7 398
10 566
9 950
38 317
3 519
21 388
142 703
5 480
44 940

293 281
9 498
7 349
10 590
9 934
38 332
3 496
21 339
142 558
5 489
44 697

292 764
9 470
7 301
10 611
9 918
38 345
3 474
21 290
142 400
5 497
44 458

292 236
9 441
7 252
10 634
9 903
38 357
3 453
21 240
142 229
5 506
44 222

Eastern Europe
Belarus ......................................
Bulgaria.....................................
Czech Rep. ................................
Hungary.....................................
Poland .......................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ................
Romania ....................................
Russian Federation....................
Slovakia.....................................
Ukraine......................................

96 318
149
5 419
1 346
48
5 244
297
4 158
80
2 306
3 416
4 623
9 029
60 203

96 847
150
5 443
1 344
48
5 266
301
4 226
81
2 293
3 398
4 669
9 091
60 538

97 420
151
5 469
1 343
49
5 290
306
4 291
81
2 282
3 379
4 722
9 161
60 896

98 019
152
5 497
1 342
49
5 316
311
4 353
82
2 271
3 360
4 779
9 237
61 270

98 619
153
5 525
1 342
49
5 342
316
4 412
82
2 261
3 341
4 834
9 311
61 652

99 205
153
5 550
1 341
49
5 365
320
4 470
83
2 252
3 324
4 883
9 380
62 036

99 768
154
5 573
1 341
49
5 385
324
4 526
83
2 243
3 307
4 925
9 441
62 417

100 311
154
5 593
1 340
49
5 403
328
4 579
84
2 235
3 292
4 960
9 495
62 798

100 840
154
5 611
1 339
49
5 419
332
4 631
84
2 226
3 278
4 992
9 546
63 177

101 365
155
5 629
1 338
50
5 434
336
4 682
84
2 218
3 265
5 023
9 596
63 556

101 892
155
5 647
1 337
50
5 450
339
4 732
85
2 210
3 252
5 054
9 647
63 935

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) .................
Denmark....................................
Estonia.......................................
Faeroe Islands ...........................
Finland (17) ...............................
Iceland.......................................
Ireland .......................................
Isle of Man ................................
Latvia ........................................
Lithuania ...................................
Norway (18) ..............................
Sweden......................................
United Kingdom........................

150 228
3 142
78
3 781
4 442
29
11 183
0
58 671
409
627
10 544
30
9 856
2 002
43 395
2 038

151 333
3 157
80
3 782
4 434
29
11 219
0
59 082
411
627
10 578
31
9 836
2 007
44 018
2 043

152 414
3 170
81
3 779
4 426
29
11 256
0
59 495
413
628
10 608
31
9 833
2 012
44 604
2 048

153 437
3 181
83
3 774
4 418
29
11 292
0
59 891
414
629
10 635
31
9 841
2 018
45 146
2 053

154 364
3 193
84
3 768
4 411
29
11 327
0
60 249
415
630
10 657
31
9 851
2 024
45 638
2 057

155 171
3 204
85
3 760
4 403
29
11 359
0
60 551
417
631
10 676
32
9 856
2 030
46 077
2 061

155 838
3 216
86
3 752
4 396
29
11 390
0
60 789
418
632
10 690
32
9 854
2 035
46 455
2 064

156 368
3 227
88
3 744
4 387
29
11 419
0
60 964
419
633
10 699
32
9 847
2 040
46 772
2 067

156 787
3 238
89
3 736
4 379
29
11 446
0
61 087
421
633
10 705
32
9 835
2 045
47 043
2 069

157 136
3 249
90
3 727
4 370
29
11 470
0
61 175
422
634
10 705
32
9 821
2 049
47 291
2 071

157 446
3 258
92
3 716
4 361
29
11 492
0
61 241
423
634
10 702
33
9 807
2 053
47 532
2 073

Southern Europe
Albania......................................
Andorra .....................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...........
Croatia.......................................
Gibraltar ....................................
Greece .......................................
Holy See (19) ............................
Italy ...........................................
Malta .........................................
Montenegro ...............................
Portugal .....................................
San Marino................................
Serbia (20) .................................
Slovenia.....................................
Spain (21) ..................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2015 Major area, region and country


Georgia (13) ..............................
Iraq ............................................
Israel..........................................
Jordan........................................
Kuwait.......................................
Lebanon.....................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) .
Oman.........................................
Qatar..........................................
Saudi Arabia..............................
Syrian Arab Rep........................
Turkey .......................................
United Arab Emirates ...............
Yemen .......................................
Europe

219

Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates, 1995-2010
Estimates
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
Latin America and Caribbean

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

180 702
7 936
10 080
57 845
81 929
31
408
33
15 422
7 019

181 373
7 960
10 098
58 058
82 200
31
413
33
15 517
7 061

181 863
7 972
10 113
58 270
82 326
32
419
34
15 606
7 090

182 247
7 976
10 129
58 496
82 350
32
425
34
15 691
7 113

182 636
7 985
10 148
58 752
82 342
32
431
35
15 776
7 137

183 111
8 005
10 176
59 048
82 349
33
435
35
15 863
7 168

183 694
8 038
10 211
59 391
82 384
33
440
35
15 953
7 208

184 356
8 083
10 254
59 775
82 432
34
443
35
16 046
7 255

185 066
8 134
10 303
60 184
82 484
34
446
35
16 138
7 307

185 770
8 186
10 357
60 597
82 524
34
451
35
16 225
7 361

482 647

490 523

498 382

506 184

513 879

521 429

528 823

536 071

543 179

550 163

Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (23) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ..............................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
US Virgin Islands ................................

36 439
10
69
80
280
263
18
33
10 901
71
7 916
100
405
7 878
2 462
370
10
190
3 702
43
147
108
1 261
15
107

36 861
10
70
83
284
264
19
34
10 949
71
8 055
101
409
8 032
2 485
372
9
188
3 732
44
149
108
1 269
16
108

37 272
10
72
85
287
265
19
35
10 992
71
8 191
101
413
8 187
2 509
376
8
186
3 761
44
151
108
1 275
16
108

37 672
10
74
87
291
266
20
37
11 031
70
8 325
101
418
8 342
2 534
379
7
183
3 785
45
153
108
1 281
17
108

38 062
11
76
88
294
267
20
38
11 068
70
8 458
101
423
8 495
2 558
382
6
181
3 803
45
155
108
1 287
18
108

38 441
11
78
90
298
268
20
40
11 104
70
8 592
102
427
8 645
2 582
385
5
180
3 814
46
157
108
1 292
19
109

38 811
11
79
92
302
268
21
43
11 140
69
8 726
102
431
8 792
2 604
388
5
180
3 817
47
159
108
1 297
21
109

39 170
12
81
95
306
269
21
45
11 175
69
8 861
102
435
8 935
2 626
391
5
180
3 813
47
160
108
1 302
23
109

39 518
13
82
97
310
269
21
48
11 208
69
8 995
102
439
9 075
2 646
393
5
182
3 803
48
162
108
1 306
26
109

39 853
13
83
99
315
270
22
50
11 235
69
9 130
102
442
9 213
2 665
395
5
184
3 792
49
164
109
1 311
28
109

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

124 600
220
3 469
5 733
10 016
5 575
92 273
4 637
2 677

126 851
226
3 557
5 791
10 246
5 707
93 858
4 733
2 732

129 090
232
3 648
5 839
10 482
5 836
95 441
4 825
2 787

131 300
238
3 741
5 878
10 723
5 963
97 002
4 912
2 843

133 460
244
3 832
5 911
10 974
6 090
98 514
4 995
2 900

135 555
251
3 919
5 940
11 237
6 218
99 960
5 074
2 956

137 576
257
4 003
5 966
11 513
6 347
101 330
5 149
3 013

139 535
263
4 083
5 988
11 800
6 478
102 634
5 220
3 069

141 462
269
4 160
6 009
12 099
6 609
103 903
5 288
3 126

143 401
275
4 236
6 029
12 405
6 743
105 176
5 356
3 182

South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................

321 608
34 855
7 471
161 848
14 409
36 453
11 385
2
139
728
4 795
23 827
436

326 811
35 287
7 638
164 343
14 631
37 113
11 584
3
143
729
4 905
24 249
442

332 020
35 715
7 804
166 869
14 840
37 775
11 774
3
148
730
5 015
24 667
448

337 212
36 135
7 971
169 410
15 039
38 439
11 960
3
153
730
5 124
25 079
454

342 358
36 541
8 139
171 936
15 232
39 103
12 148
3
159
731
5 234
25 479
460

347 433
36 931
8 307
174 425
15 420
39 764
12 345
3
165
733
5 344
25 862
467

352 436
37 302
8 477
176 877
15 604
40 423
12 552
3
172
735
5 454
26 228
473

357 366
37 657
8 647
179 289
15 784
41 078
12 767
3
179
738
5 565
26 579
480

362 199
38 001
8 816
181 633
15 960
41 732
12 988
3
187
741
5 676
26 916
487

366 909
38 341
8 983
183 873
16 132
42 386
13 209
3
195
744
5 787
27 242
493

220

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates, 1995-2010
Estimates
Population (thousands)
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

186 431
8 232
10 414
60 997
82 541
35
457
35
16 305
7 415

187 045
8 273
10 475
61 378
82 536
35
466
35
16 378
7 468

187 621
8 310
10 539
61 745
82 516
35
476
35
16 443
7 522

188 152
8 342
10 602
62 098
82 475
36
487
35
16 503
7 573

188 630
8 370
10 661
62 445
82 405
36
498
35
16 559
7 621

189 052
8 394
10 712
62 787
82 302
36
507
35
16 613
7 664

189 410
8 413
10 754
63 126
82 163
36
516
35
16 665
7 702

189 709
8 429
10 788
63 458
81 991
37
523
35
16 714
7 734

189 970
8 441
10 816
63 783
81 804
37
530
35
16 762
7 762

190 224
8 452
10 841
64 101
81 626
37
536
35
16 807
7 788

190 494
8 463
10 867
64 413
81 471
37
543
35
16 850
7 814

557 038

563 796

570 442

577 011

583 547

590 082

596 629

603 174

609 686

616 119

622 437

40 177
14
84
101
319
271
22
52
11 254
69
9 264
103
446
9 347
2 682
397
6
186
3 782
49
165
109
1 315
31
109

40 487
14
85
103
324
271
22
54
11 265
69
9 398
103
449
9 479
2 696
399
6
189
3 773
50
167
109
1 320
33
109

40 786
14
86
104
329
272
23
55
11 269
68
9 532
103
452
9 608
2 709
401
6
192
3 765
50
169
109
1 326
34
109

41 077
15
87
106
334
272
23
55
11 267
68
9 665
104
455
9 736
2 720
403
6
195
3 759
51
171
109
1 331
36
109

41 362
15
88
107
338
273
23
56
11 263
68
9 797
104
458
9 864
2 731
404
6
198
3 754
52
172
109
1 336
37
109

41 646
15
89
107
343
273
23
56
11 258
68
9 927
104
461
9 993
2 741
406
6
201
3 749
52
174
109
1 341
38
109

41 930
16
90
108
347
274
23
57
11 254
68
10 056
105
463
10 124
2 751
407
6
203
3 746
53
176
109
1 346
39
109

42 212
16
91
109
351
275
24
57
11 249
68
10 183
105
465
10 256
2 761
408
6
205
3 743
54
178
109
1 351
40
109

42 493
16
91
109
355
275
24
58
11 244
68
10 309
106
467
10 388
2 771
409
6
206
3 742
54
180
109
1 355
40
108

42 769
16
92
109
359
276
24
58
11 238
68
10 432
106
469
10 521
2 781
410
6
207
3 742
55
181
109
1 359
40
108

43 041
17
93
109
363
276
24
59
11 231
68
10 553
107
471
10 654
2 790
411
6
208
3 742
56
183
109
1 363
41
108

Caribbean
Anguilla.....................................
Antigua and Barbuda ................
Aruba.........................................
Bahamas....................................
Barbados ...................................
British Virgin Islands ................
Cayman Islands.........................
Cuba ..........................................
Dominica...................................
Dominican Rep. ........................
Grenada .....................................
Guadeloupe (23) ........................
Haiti...........................................
Jamaica......................................
Martinique.................................
Montserrat .................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ..........
Puerto Rico................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ....................
St. Lucia ....................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
Trinidad and Tobago .................
Turks and Caicos Islands ..........
US Virgin Islands ......................

145 384
281
4 309
6 051
12 717
6 879
106 484
5 424
3 238

147 419
287
4 382
6 074
13 035
7 018
107 835
5 494
3 295

149 499
293
4 453
6 101
13 359
7 159
109 221
5 564
3 351

151 614
299
4 522
6 130
13 691
7 303
110 627
5 636
3 406

153 746
305
4 591
6 160
14 034
7 450
112 033
5 710
3 462

155 881
312
4 659
6 193
14 389
7 601
113 423
5 788
3 517

158 018
318
4 727
6 227
14 757
7 755
114 793
5 870
3 571

160 158
324
4 794
6 264
15 138
7 912
116 147
5 955
3 625

162 291
331
4 860
6 303
15 528
8 072
117 478
6 042
3 678

164 403
337
4 925
6 343
15 924
8 232
118 783
6 128
3 731

166 487
344
4 988
6 385
16 325
8 392
120 058
6 213
3 783

Central America
Belize ........................................
Costa Rica .................................
El Salvador................................
Guatemala .................................
Honduras ...................................
Mexico ......................................
Nicaragua ..................................
Panama......................................

371 477
38 681
9 147
185 987
16 302
43 041
13 426
3
202
746
5 898
27 559
499

375 889
39 024
9 307
187 958
16 469
43 697
13 640
3
208
748
6 009
27 866
505

380 157
39 368
9 463
189 798
16 633
44 352
13 850
3
214
750
6 119
28 166
510

384 321
39 714
9 618
191 543
16 796
45 006
14 057
3
220
752
6 230
28 463
515

388 440
40 062
9 773
193 247
16 956
45 654
14 262
3
225
753
6 342
28 765
520

392 555
40 412
9 930
194 946
17 114
46 295
14 465
3
231
754
6 455
29 077
525

396 681
40 765
10 088
196 655
17 270
46 927
14 666
3
237
756
6 568
29 400
529

400 804
41 119
10 248
198 361
17 423
47 551
14 865
3
243
758
6 683
29 734
534

404 903
41 474
10 410
200 050
17 574
48 165
15 061
3
249
759
6 798
30 075
539

408 947
41 827
10 573
201 701
17 723
48 771
15 255
3
256
761
6 914
30 419
543

412 909
42 177
10 738
203 294
17 868
49 367
15 446
3
262
763
7 029
30 760
548

South America
Argentina...................................
Bolivia.......................................
Brazil.........................................
Chile..........................................
Colombia...................................
Ecuador .....................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)......
French Guiana...........................
Guyana ......................................
Paraguay....................................
Peru ...........................................
Suriname ...................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2015 Major area, region and country


Western Europe
Austria.......................................
Belgium.....................................
France........................................
Germany....................................
Liechtenstein .............................
Luxembourg ..............................
Monaco .....................................
Netherlands ...............................
Switzerland ...............................
Latin America and Caribbean

221

Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates, 1995-2010
Estimates
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

3 223
22 035

3 246
22 499

3 269
22 962

3 290
23 424

3 307
23 886

3 319
24 348

3 325
24 811

3 325
25 273

3 323
25 736

3 321
26 200

Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ......................
United States of America ....................

295 749
61
29 302
56
6
266 324

299 100
62
29 582
56
6
269 394

302 618
62
29 850
56
6
272 643

306 224
62
30 114
56
6
275 986

309 809
63
30 384
56
6
279 300

313 289
63
30 667
56
6
282 496

316 638
63
30 967
56
6
285 545

319 875
63
31 282
57
6
288 467

323 026
64
31 609
57
6
291 291

326 134
64
31 944
57
6
294 063

29 044

29 454

29 865

30 278

30 698

31 130

31 571

32 023

32 494

32 995

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

21 793
18 118
3 675

22 037
18 320
3 717

22 277
18 525
3 752

22 518
18 735
3 783

22 765
18 948
3 817

23 022
19 164
3 858

23 289
19 382
3 907

23 566
19 604
3 962

23 861
19 840
4 021

24 183
20 104
4 079

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

6 207
776
191
4 716
356
168

6 359
785
195
4 841
366
172

6 515
793
199
4 970
377
175

6 673
801
204
5 104
387
178

6 834
807
208
5 241
398
181

6 996
812
212
5 379
409
185

7 159
815
216
5 519
420
190

7 323
816
220
5 660
432
195

7 488
817
223
5 803
444
200

7 657
819
227
5 948
457
206

Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................

466
146
77
51
107
10
58
17

473
147
78
51
108
10
60
18

480
149
80
52
108
10
63
18

485
151
81
52
108
10
65
19

491
153
83
52
107
10
67
19

496
155
84
52
107
10
68
19

501
158
86
52
107
10
69
19

506
160
87
52
108
10
69
20

511
163
89
52
108
10
69
20

516
166
90
52
109
10
68
20

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................

578
53
18
216
2
168
2
96
9
14

586
54
18
220
2
170
2
96
9
14

593
55
18
225
2
172
2
97
9
14

601
56
18
229
2
174
2
97
9
14

608
57
18
234
2
175
2
97
9
14

615
58
18
238
2
177
2
98
9
14

622
59
18
241
2
178
2
98
9
15

628
60
18
245
2
178
1
99
10
14

634
61
19
248
2
179
1
100
10
14

640
62
19
252
2
180
1
100
10
14

Oceania

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
2 Including Zanzibar.
3 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
4 Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
5 Includes other non-specified areas.
6 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
7 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
8 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
10 Including Sabah and Sarawak.

222

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates, 1995-2010
Estimates
Population (thousands)

11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015 Major area, region and country

3 323
26 664

3 327
27 129

3 336
27 593

3 346
28 057

3 357
28 520

3 369
28 980

3 380
29 437

3 391
29 891

3 403
30 341

3 415
30 786

3 428
31 226

Uruguay.....................................
Venezuela ..................................

329 231
64
32 283
57
6
296 820

332 320
64
32 628
57
6
299 564

335 390
65
32 977
57
6
302 285

338 445
65
33 328
57
6
304 989

341 490
65
33 675
57
6
307 687

344 529
65
34 017
57
6
310 384

347 563
65
34 350
57
6
313 085

350 595
65
34 675
57
6
315 791

353 620
65
34 994
57
6
318 498

356 636
65
35 310
57
6
321 197

359 638
66
35 624
57
6
323 885

Northern America
Bermuda....................................
Canada.......................................
Greenland..................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ............
United States of America ..........

33 532

34 110

34 724

35 356

35 984

36 593

37 175

37 734

38 277

38 815

39 355

24 538
20 404
4 134

24 929
20 744
4 185

25 352
21 120
4 232

25 792
21 514
4 278

26 225
21 902
4 323

26 637
22 268
4 368

27 020
22 606
4 415

27 380
22 919
4 461

27 722
23 214
4 508

28 058
23 503
4 555

28 394
23 793
4 601

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ............................
New Zealand .............................

7 830
823
231
6 095
470
211

8 008
828
235
6 245
483
217

8 189
835
239
6 396
496
222

8 374
844
243
6 549
510
228

8 560
852
247
6 703
524
234

8 748
861
251
6 858
538
240

8 935
868
255
7 014
552
246

9 123
876
259
7 170
566
252

9 311
883
263
7 327
581
258

9 501
890
266
7 486
595
264

9 691
896
270
7 645
610
270

Melanesia
Fiji .............................................
New Caledonia..........................
Papua New Guinea....................
Solomon Islands........................
Vanuatu .....................................

519
169
92
52
109
10
67
20

523
171
94
52
110
10
66
20

526
173
95
52
110
10
64
20

528
176
97
53
110
10
63
20

532
178
98
53
111
10
61
20

536
180
100
54
111
10
61
20

542
182
101
55
112
10
61
21

548
184
103
56
112
10
62
21

555
187
104
57
113
10
64
21

562
189
106
58
113
11
65
21

570
191
107
59
114
11
66
21

Micronesia
Guam.........................................
Kiribati ......................................
Marshall Islands ........................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .......
Nauru.........................................
Northern Mariana Islands .........
Palau..........................................

645
63
19
255
2
180
1
101
10
14

651
64
20
258
2
181
1
102
10
14

656
65
20
261
2
181
1
102
10
14

662
66
20
265
2
182
1
103
10
14

667
67
20
268
2
182
1
104
10
14

673
68
20
271
1
183
1
104
10
14

678
70
20
274
1
184
1
105
10
13

683
71
21
277
1
185
1
105
10
13

689
72
21
280
1
186
1
105
10
13

694
73
21
282
1
187
1
106
10
13

700
74
21
285
1
188
1
106
10
13

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.......................
Cook Islands..............................
French Polynesia.......................
Niue...........................................
Samoa........................................
Tokelau......................................
Tonga.........................................
Tuvalu .......................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands .........

Oceania

Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

223

Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country:
medium variant, 2010-2030
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

5 726 239 5 807 212 5 887 260 5 966 465 6 044 931 6 122 770 6 200 003 6 276 722 6 353 196 6 429 758
1 169 451 1 173 577 1 177 440 1 181 164 1 184 913 1 188 809 1 192 885 1 197 125 1 201 544 1 206 139
4 556 788 4 633 635 4 709 820 4 785 301 4 860 019 4 933 961 5 007 118 5 079 596 5 151 652 5 223 619
585 251
600 474
615 625
630 818
646 233
661 996
678 158
694 669
711 441
728 343
3 971 537 4 033 161 4 094 195 4 154 482 4 213 786 4 271 965 4 328 960 4 384 927 4 440 211 4 495 276
3 315 102 3 379 508 3 443 670 3 507 673 3 571 646 3 635 693 3 699 847 3 764 112 3 828 544 3 893 203

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

589 677

605 082

620 669

636 491

652 623

669 123

686 014

703 297

720 975

739 047

Africa

720 931

738 497

756 210

774 149

792 419

811 101

830 228

849 798

869 810

890 253

Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (2) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

219 318
6 087
494
627
3 213
57 042
27 426
13 129
9 883
1 137
122
15 933
676
5 570
75
6 525
20 831
29 944
8 919
11 685

225 336
6 140
507
644
3 263
58 774
28 192
13 547
10 071
1 150
128
16 413
689
5 804
75
6 629
21 474
30 783
9 162
11 891

231 670
6 181
520
666
3 335
60 482
28 945
13 982
10 319
1 162
133
16 862
702
6 298
76
6 787
22 123
31 592
9 418
12 087

238 235
6 224
534
689
3 428
62 174
29 696
14 431
10 612
1 173
138
17 296
714
6 944
77
6 983
22 789
32 389
9 682
12 262

244 903
6 284
548
712
3 540
63 869
30 462
14 892
10 922
1 184
144
17 736
727
7 583
78
7 193
23 483
33 197
9 945
12 405

251 584
6 374
562
732
3 668
65 578
31 254
15 364
11 229
1 196
149
18 201
739
8 098
79
7 399
24 213
34 038
10 202
12 509

258 259
6 500
578
750
3 812
67 304
32 076
15 846
11 529
1 208
154
18 691
751
8 457
80
7 597
24 984
34 917
10 450
12 575

264 968
6 656
593
765
3 974
69 041
32 928
16 339
11 833
1 221
159
19 200
762
8 696
81
7 791
25 794
35 832
10 693
12 608

271 744
6 839
609
780
4 146
70 784
33 805
16 842
12 145
1 234
164
19 721
773
8 858
82
7 982
26 642
36 788
10 938
12 613

278 644
7 040
626
794
4 318
72 527
34 702
17 358
12 473
1 246
169
20 246
784
9 010
83
8 171
27 522
37 787
11 192
12 598

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

84 829
12 105
13 940
3 328
6 998
2 733
44 067
443
1 087
128

87 177
12 453
14 287
3 406
7 219
2 810
45 295
457
1 118
130

89 371
12 792
14 632
3 484
7 449
2 891
46 369
472
1 148
133

91 513
13 138
14 976
3 560
7 690
2 973
47 374
488
1 178
136

93 750
13 512
15 324
3 632
7 947
3 055
48 430
504
1 207
138

96 187
13 926
15 678
3 702
8 222
3 136
49 626
520
1 235
141

98 860
14 388
16 040
3 767
8 518
3 213
50 989
537
1 263
143

101 730
14 890
16 408
3 829
8 831
3 289
52 491
554
1 291
146

104 748
15 420
16 783
3 890
9 154
3 365
54 098
572
1 317
148

107 835
15 957
17 165
3 952
9 475
3 446
55 755
590
1 344
150

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (3) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

161 395
28 292
62 064
4 775
26 929
30 141
8 936
259

164 343
28 787
63 120
4 863
27 324
30 929
9 053
267

167 275
29 243
64 200
4 951
27 709
31 734
9 163
276

170 207
29 674
65 309
5 041
28 083
32 549
9 265
286

173 164
30 099
66 457
5 134
28 444
33 369
9 362
298

176 166
30 534
67 648
5 231
28 793
34 188
9 456
315

179 216
30 982
68 888
5 331
29 129
35 002
9 546
337

182 317
31 442
70 175
5 434
29 454
35 816
9 634
362

185 478
31 913
71 498
5 541
29 770
36 643
9 722
389

188 710
32 396
72 845
5 653
30 082
37 504
9 814
416

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

47 398
1 586
1 795
1 651
41 402
964

48 314
1 624
1 829
1 701
42 176
985

49 158
1 661
1 865
1 752
42 873
1 007

49 944
1 696
1 901
1 803
43 516
1 029

50 699
1 728
1 934
1 851
44 137
1 048

51 442
1 758
1 964
1 896
44 760
1 064

52 174
1 784
1 989
1 936
45 390
1 075

52 890
1 808
2 010
1 973
46 015
1 083

53 588
1 830
2 029
2 008
46 631
1 089

54 265
1 852
2 047
2 043
47 227
1 095

Western Africa
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................

207 992
5 651
10 692
395

213 326
5 822
10 992
404

218 737
5 988
11 302
413

224 250
6 155
11 621
421

229 903
6 329
11 952
429

235 722
6 518
12 294
437

241 719
6 721
12 648
445

247 893
6 938
13 015
453

254 252
7 165
13 396
460

260 799
7 398
13 790
467

224

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
medium variant, 2010-2030
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015 Major area, region and country

6 506 649 6 583 959 6 661 637 6 739 610 6 817 737 6 895 889 6 974 036 7 052 135 7 130 014 7 207 460 7 284 296 World
1 210 897 1 215 843 1 220 951 1 226 099 1 231 122 1 235 900 1 240 380 1 244 585 1 248 565 1 252 407 1 256 172
5 295 752 5 368 115 5 440 686 5 513 512 5 586 615 5 659 989 5 733 657 5 807 551 5 881 449 5 955 053 6 028 124
745 291 762 246 779 271 796 506 814 146 832 330 851 103 870 416 890 186 910 290 930 629
4 550 461 4 605 869 4 661 415 4 717 006 4 772 469 4 827 660 4 882 553 4 937 135 4 991 262 5 044 763 5 097 495
3 958 139 4 023 351 4 088 855 4 154 722 4 221 036 4 287 841 4 355 151 4 422 895 4 490 921 4 559 024 4 627 034
856 327

877 567

921 544

944 234

967 357

Less dev. regions, excl. China

757 513

776 379

795 661

815 390

835 603

911 120

932 415

954 154

976 356

999 045 1 022 234 1 045 923 1 070 096 1 094 737 1 119 819 1 145 316

285 713
7 251
643
808
4 486
74 264
35 615
17 886
12 823
1 257
175
20 770
795
9 202
84
8 360
28 431
38 831
11 462
12 571

292 951
7 474
661
824
4 646
75 993
36 541
18 427
13 195
1 267
180
21 291
805
9 441
84
8 547
29 370
39 924
11 750
12 530

300 360
7 708
679
839
4 799
77 718
37 485
18 980
13 589
1 276
186
21 811
816
9 711
85
8 733
30 340
41 068
12 055
12 481

307 982
7 943
697
856
4 948
79 446
38 455
19 546
14 005
1 284
192
22 333
826
10 004
86
8 922
31 339
42 268
12 380
12 452

315 865
8 171
716
872
5 098
81 188
39 462
20 124
14 442
1 292
198
22 859
836
10 311
86
9 120
32 368
43 525
12 724
12 474

324 044
8 383
735
889
5 254
82 950
40 513
20 714
14 901
1 299
204
23 391
846
10 624
87
9 331
33 425
44 841
13 089
12 571

332 536
8 575
754
906
5 415
84 734
41 610
21 315
15 381
1 307
211
23 930
856
10 943
87
9 557
34 509
46 218
13 475
12 754

341 328
8 749
773
923
5 581
86 539
42 749
21 929
15 883
1 314
217
24 475
865
11 272
87
9 797
35 621
47 656
13 884
13 014

350 386
8 911
793
940
5 748
88 356
43 924
22 555
16 407
1 321
224
25 028
875
11 608
87
10 053
36 759
49 153
14 315
13 328

359 659
9 069
813
958
5 915
90 179
45 121
23 196
16 954
1 327
231
25 590
884
11 950
88
10 323
37 923
50 705
14 768
13 665

369 106
9 231
832
975
6 077
92 000
46 332
23 853
17 523
1 334
237
26 162
893
12 295
88
10 607
39 113
52 311
15 242
14 001

Eastern Africa
Burundi .....................................
Comoros....................................
Djibouti .....................................
Eritrea........................................
Ethiopia .....................................
Kenya ........................................
Madagascar ...............................
Malawi ......................................
Mauritius (1) .............................
Mayotte .....................................
Mozambique .............................
Runion .....................................
Rwanda .....................................
Seychelles .................................
Somalia .....................................
Uganda ......................................
UR Tanzania (2) .......................
Zambia ......................................
Zimbabwe .................................

110 931
16 489
17 554
4 018
9 786
3 533
57 421
608
1 371
153

114 025
17 010
17 948
4 088
10 084
3 629
59 088
626
1 397
155

117 136
17 525
18 350
4 161
10 372
3 731
60 772
644
1 424
157

120 272
18 038
18 759
4 238
10 654
3 836
62 475
662
1 450
160

123 452
18 555
19 175
4 318
10 937
3 941
64 204
681
1 478
163

126 689
19 082
19 599
4 401
11 227
4 043
65 966
700
1 505
165

129 981
19 618
20 030
4 487
11 525
4 140
67 758
720
1 534
169

133 322
20 163
20 469
4 576
11 831
4 233
69 575
740
1 564
172

136 711
20 714
20 914
4 667
12 142
4 324
71 420
761
1 594
175

140 148
21 275
21 363
4 760
12 458
4 415
73 291
782
1 625
179

143 631
21 842
21 816
4 854
12 778
4 508
75 190
802
1 656
182

Middle Africa
Angola.......................................
Cameroon..................................
Central African Rep. .................
Chad ..........................................
Congo........................................
DR Congo .................................
Equatorial Guinea .....................
Gabon........................................
Sao Tome and Principe .............

192 017
32 888
74 203
5 770
30 392
38 410
9 912
440

195 404
33 392
75 568
5 894
30 702
39 369
10 018
462

198 867
33 907
76 942
6 023
31 011
40 374
10 130
480

202 382
34 428
78 323
6 150
31 321
41 415
10 247
497

205 920
34 950
79 716
6 263
31 635
42 478
10 365
513

209 459
35 468
81 121
6 355
31 951
43 552
10 481
531

212 988
35 980
82 537
6 423
32 273
44 632
10 594
548

216 506
36 486
83 958
6 469
32 599
45 722
10 705
567

220 016
36 984
85 378
6 506
32 926
46 823
10 814
585

223 523
37 474
86 788
6 548
33 250
47 939
10 921
604

227 031
37 954
88 179
6 606
33 570
49 072
11 026
624

Northern Africa
Algeria.......................................
Egypt .........................................
Libya .........................................
Morocco ....................................
Sudan (3) ..................................
Tunisia.......................................
Western Sahara..........................

54 919
1 876
2 066
2 080
47 793
1 105

55 554
1 901
2 086
2 119
48 331
1 118

56 168
1 928
2 106
2 159
48 842
1 133

56 752
1 955
2 127
2 200
49 319
1 150

57 293
1 982
2 149
2 242
49 752
1 168

57 780
2 007
2 171
2 283
50 133
1 186

58 212
2 031
2 194
2 324
50 460
1 203

58 593
2 053
2 217
2 364
50 738
1 220

58 937
2 075
2 240
2 404
50 981
1 237

59 263
2 095
2 263
2 444
51 207
1 254

59 585
2 115
2 286
2 483
51 431
1 269

Southern Africa
Botswana...................................
Lesotho......................................
Namibia.....................................
South Africa ..............................
Swaziland..................................

267 540
7 634
14 198
473

274 480
7 872
14 622
478

281 623
8 113
15 061
483

288 969
8 356
15 515
487

296 515
8 602
15 984
492

304 261
8 850
16 469
496

312 205
9 100
16 968
501

320 347
9 352
17 482
505

328 686
9 607
18 012
510

337 225
9 865
18 557
515

345 963
10 129
19 118
520

Western Africa
Benin .........................................
Burkina Faso .............................
Cape Verde ................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

899 312

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)


Africa

225

Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
medium variant, 2010-2030
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Cte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
St. Helena (4) ......................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia (5)

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

14 677
1 126
16 997
7 565
1 125
2 095
9 825
2 292
9 179
110 015
5
8 369
3 898
4 085

15 090
1 158
17 429
7 806
1 148
2 204
10 093
2 358
9 500
112 618
5
8 592
3 898
4 209

15 492
1 191
17 855
7 982
1 171
2 361
10 371
2 425
9 836
115 269
5
8 813
3 914
4 349

15 879
1 225
18 281
8 113
1 194
2 541
10 663
2 495
10 186
117 983
5
9 035
3 954
4 500

16 243
1 260
18 716
8 226
1 217
2 711
10 970
2 568
10 548
120 784
5
9 265
4 028
4 651

16 582
1 297
19 165
8 344
1 241
2 847
11 295
2 643
10 922
123 689
5
9 506
4 143
4 794

16 893
1 336
19 632
8 472
1 265
2 939
11 640
2 720
11 308
126 705
5
9 759
4 304
4 926

17 181
1 376
20 114
8 605
1 290
2 996
12 002
2 800
11 706
129 832
5
10 023
4 506
5 051

17 456
1 418
20 611
8 744
1 315
3 037
12 380
2 882
12 118
133 067
5
10 298
4 730
5 170

17 732
1 460
21 120
8 889
1 341
3 093
12 772
2 965
12 547
136 399
5
10 581
4 952
5 288

3 470 446 3 522 013 3 572 732 3 622 533 3 671 319 3 719 044 3 765 678 3 811 320 3 856 214 3 900 690

Eastern Asia (5)


China (6) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) ...............
China, Macao SAR (8) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

1 434 912 1 448 256 1 461 094 1 473 312 1 484 741 1 495 281 1 504 894 1 513 677 1 521 838 1 529 658
1 213 987 1 226 134 1 237 850 1 249 020 1 259 477 1 269 117 1 277 904 1 285 934 1 293 397 1 300 552
6 144
6 268
6 414
6 564
6 693
6 783
6 829
6 837
6 822
6 808
398
405
411
417
424
432
440
449
459
470
21 771
22 039
22 279
22 496
22 699
22 894
23 083
23 265
23 437
23 597
124 487
124 815
125 092
125 326
125 532
125 720
125 894
126 048
126 184
126 299
2 306
2 325
2 346
2 367
2 389
2 411
2 435
2 459
2 485
2 514
44 662
44 950
45 228
45 495
45 749
45 988
46 211
46 421
46 625
46 831

South-Central Asia (9)

1 382 859 1 409 820 1 436 604 1 463 177 1 489 504 1 515 563 1 541 348 1 566 871 1 592 147 1 617 201

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

53 401
15 926
4 592
5 775
4 188
22 919

53 847
15 713
4 659
5 860
4 268
23 347

54 257
15 485
4 739
5 945
4 336
23 752

54 639
15 265
4 824
6 028
4 395
24 127

55 004
15 082
4 899
6 104
4 449
24 469

55 361
14 957
4 955
6 173
4 501
24 776

55 712
14 898
4 988
6 233
4 552
25 043

56 065
14 902
5 003
6 286
4 600
25 275

56 442
14 959
5 008
6 337
4 648
25 489

56 868
15 053
5 018
6 391
4 697
25 708

1 329 458 1 355 973 1 382 347 1 408 538 1 434 500 1 460 201 1 485 636 1 510 805 1 535 705 1 560 333
19 790
20 685
21 299
21 752
22 228
22 856
23 677
24 640
25 679
26 693
117 487
119 929
122 370
124 803
127 215
129 592
131 945
134 266
136 515
138 633
519
521
528
541
555
571
588
606
624
642
964 486
982 553 1 000 558 1 018 471 1 036 259 1 053 898 1 071 374 1 088 694 1 105 886 1 122 991
59 757
60 816
61 956
63 133
64 278
65 342
66 314
67 213
68 062
68 893
249
254
259
264
269
273
278
282
287
291
21 595
22 138
22 692
23 255
23 825
24 401
24 980
25 563
26 144
26 718
127 347
130 737
134 256
137 808
141 261
144 522
147 558
150 407
153 140
155 860
18 229
18 341
18 428
18 510
18 610
18 745
18 922
19 134
19 370
19 611

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (10) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

485 756
290
11 169
199 400
4 795
20 721
42 133
69 255
3 482
59 650
853
74 008

493 540
297
11 459
202 257
4 908
21 247
42 736
70 831
3 577
60 258
852
75 117

501 235
305
11 731
205 063
5 017
21 781
43 352
72 427
3 671
60 934
842
76 111

508 846
312
11 986
207 839
5 121
22 322
43 953
74 041
3 761
61 660
830
77 020

516 377
320
12 224
210 611
5 221
22 868
44 497
75 670
3 845
62 409
823
77 891

523 831
327
12 447
213 395
5 317
23 415
44 958
77 310
3 919
63 155
830
78 758

531 215
334
12 654
216 203
5 409
23 965
45 324
78 964
3 981
63 899
853
79 630

538 529
342
12 845
219 026
5 497
24 515
45 609
80 630
4 032
64 643
888
80 501

545 757
349
13 024
221 839
5 582
25 060
45 844
82 294
4 086
65 370
931
81 377

552 878
356
13 194
224 607
5 667
25 590
46 070
83 937
4 160
66 060
974
82 263

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (11) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (12) .........................................

166 919
3 223
7 765
559
855

170 397
3 172
7 845
575
873

173 800
3 135
7 914
593
891

177 199
3 109
7 976
611
908

180 696
3 091
8 039
627
926

184 369
3 076
8 111
638
943

188 221
3 066
8 191
643
961

192 243
3 061
8 280
642
980

196 472
3 061
8 377
647
998

200 953
3 063
8 480
672
1 016

226

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
medium variant, 2010-2030
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

18 021
1 504
21 640
9 041
1 368
3 183
13 177
3 047
12 994
139 823
5
10 872
5 153
5 408

18 326
1 547
22 171
9 202
1 395
3 314
13 593
3 130
13 460
143 339
4
11 170
5 327
5 530

18 647
1 591
22 712
9 374
1 424
3 477
14 021
3 213
13 946
146 951
4
11 475
5 478
5 653

18 987
1 636
23 264
9 559
1 454
3 658
14 460
3 295
14 450
150 666
4
11 787
5 612
5 777

19 350
1 682
23 824
9 761
1 484
3 836
14 910
3 378
14 972
154 488
4
12 107
5 739
5 902

19 738
1 728
24 392
9 982
1 515
3 994
15 370
3 460
15 512
158 423
4
12 434
5 868
6 028

20 153
1 776
24 966
10 222
1 547
4 129
15 840
3 542
16 069
162 471
4
12 768
5 997
6 155

20 595
1 825
25 546
10 481
1 580
4 245
16 319
3 623
16 644
166 629
4
13 108
6 126
6 283

21 057
1 874
26 131
10 754
1 613
4 349
16 808
3 704
17 240
170 901
4
13 454
6 255
6 413

21 533
1 925
26 721
11 034
1 647
4 451
17 308
3 786
17 858
175 288
4
13 805
6 384
6 543

2015 Major area, region and country


22 015
1 976
27 315
11 317
1 681
4 558
17 819
3 869
18 500
179 791
4
14 161
6 514
6 674

3 944 992 3 989 188 4 033 234 4 077 124 4 120 815 4 164 252 4 207 448 4 250 361 4 292 816 4 334 583 4 375 482

Cte d'Ivoire..............................
Gambia......................................
Ghana ........................................
Guinea .......................................
Guinea-Bissau ...........................
Liberia .......................................
Mali ...........................................
Mauritania .................................
Niger .........................................
Nigeria.......................................
St. Helena (4) ............................
Senegal......................................
Sierra Leone ..............................
Togo ..........................................
Asia (5)

1 537 343 1 544 963 1 552 479 1 559 862 1 567 045 1 573 970 1 580 646 1 587 077 1 593 190 1 598 892 1 604 111
1 307 593 1 314 581 1 321 482 1 328 276 1 334 909 1 341 335 1 347 565 1 353 601 1 359 368 1 364 773 1 369 743
6 810
6 833
6 873
6 926
6 988
7 053
7 122
7 196
7 274
7 353
7 431
481
493
506
518
531
544
556
567
579
590
601
23 746
23 882
24 009
24 126
24 238
24 346
24 451
24 554
24 654
24 754
24 854
126 393 126 465 126 515 126 545 126 552 126 536 126 497 126 435 126 345 126 225 126 072
2 547
2 584
2 625
2 667
2 712
2 756
2 800
2 844
2 888
2 932
2 975
47 044
47 268
47 499
47 734
47 964
48 184
48 391
48 588
48 775
48 952
49 120

Eastern Asia (5)


China (6) ...................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (7) .....
China, Macao SAR (8) .............
DPR Korea ................................
Japan .........................................
Mongolia ...................................
Rep. of Korea ............................

1 642 065 1 666 715 1 691 176 1 715 583 1 740 110 1 764 872 1 789 919 1 815 184 1 840 518 1 865 706 1 890 582

South-Central Asia (9)

57 363
15 172
5 042
6 453
4 748
25 947

57 936
15 312
5 084
6 525
4 802
26 214

58 582
15 476
5 139
6 604
4 859
26 504

59 281
15 655
5 204
6 691
4 918
26 812

60 003
15 841
5 271
6 783
4 980
27 128

60 726
16 026
5 334
6 879
5 042
27 445

61 442
16 207
5 393
6 977
5 105
27 760

62 155
16 381
5 448
7 079
5 170
28 077

62 871
16 551
5 503
7 184
5 235
28 398

63 596
16 719
5 562
7 291
5 300
28 725

64 338
16 886
5 627
7 400
5 364
29 060

Central Asia..............................
Kazakhstan................................
Kyrgyzstan ................................
Tajikistan...................................
Turkmenistan ............................
Uzbekistan.................................

1 584 702 1 608 778 1 632 594 1 656 302 1 680 107 1 704 146 1 728 477 1 753 029 1 777 648 1 802 110 1 826 245
27 615
28 421
29 146
29 840
30 578
31 412
32 358
33 397
34 500
35 623
36 735
140 588 142 354 143 957 145 478 147 030 148 692 150 494 152 409 154 394 156 380 158 317
659
675
689
701
714
726
738
750
762
774
784
1 140 043 1 157 039 1 173 972 1 190 864 1 207 740 1 224 614 1 241 492 1 258 351 1 275 138 1 291 780 1 308 221
69 732
70 582
71 435
72 289
73 137
73 974
74 799
75 612
76 407
77 176
77 914
295
299
304
308
312
316
320
324
329
333
337
27 282
27 834
28 374
28 905
29 433
29 959
30 486
31 011
31 536
32 059
32 581
158 645 161 513 164 446 167 442 170 494 173 593 176 745 179 951 183 189 186 429 189 648
19 843
20 062
20 272
20 474
20 669
20 860
21 045
21 224
21 394
21 556
21 709

Southern Asia ...........................


Afghanistan ...............................
Bangladesh................................
Bhutan .......................................
India ..........................................
Iran ............................................
Maldives....................................
Nepal .........................................
Pakistan .....................................
Sri Lanka...................................

559 881
363
13 358
227 303
5 753
26 100
46 321
85 546
4 266
66 698
1 010
83 161

566 755
370
13 516
229 919
5 842
26 586
46 605
87 116
4 410
67 276
1 039
84 076

573 510
378
13 670
232 462
5 931
27 051
46 916
88 653
4 585
67 796
1 061
85 007

580 178
385
13 823
234 951
6 022
27 502
47 250
90 173
4 772
68 268
1 080
85 952

586 803
392
13 978
237 414
6 112
27 949
47 601
91 703
4 946
68 706
1 100
86 901

593 415
399
14 138
239 871
6 201
28 401
47 963
93 261
5 086
69 122
1 124
87 848

600 025
406
14 305
242 326
6 288
28 859
48 337
94 852
5 188
69 519
1 154
88 792

606 618
413
14 478
244 769
6 374
29 322
48 724
96 471
5 256
69 892
1 187
89 730

613 167
420
14 656
247 188
6 459
29 787
49 120
98 113
5 301
70 243
1 224
90 657

619 633
427
14 836
249 563
6 543
30 252
49 514
99 765
5 337
70 571
1 262
91 563

625 987
433
15 015
251 880
6 628
30 714
49 902
101 421
5 375
70 876
1 301
92 443

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam....................
Cambodia ..................................
Indonesia ...................................
Lao PDR....................................
Malaysia (10) ............................
Myanmar ...................................
Philippines.................................
Singapore ..................................
Thailand ....................................
Timor-Leste...............................
Viet Nam ...................................

205 703
3 066
8 588
725
1 033

210 755
3 070
8 702
811
1 048

216 069
3 074
8 821
926
1 063

221 501
3 079
8 944
1 052
1 077

226 856
3 085
9 067
1 170
1 090

231 995
3 092
9 188
1 262
1 104

236 858
3 100
9 306
1 324
1 117

241 482
3 109
9 421
1 359
1 129

245 940
3 118
9 533
1 377
1 141

250 352
3 126
9 643
1 389
1 153

254 802
3 133
9 750
1 404
1 165

Western Asia
Armenia.....................................
Azerbaijan (11) .........................
Bahrain......................................
Cyprus (12) ...............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

227

Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
medium variant, 2010-2030
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

5 069
20 288
5 332
4 382
1 628
3 463
2 596
2 232
501
18 492
14 171
58 865
2 349
15 148

4 992
20 973
5 487
4 510
1 628
3 539
2 720
2 259
512
18 786
14 519
59 822
2 474
15 710

4 925
21 687
5 631
4 607
1 679
3 597
2 848
2 266
529
19 021
14 856
60 783
2 612
16 227

4 864
22 416
5 765
4 682
1 764
3 644
2 976
2 263
549
19 257
15 200
61 743
2 755
16 717

4 805
23 144
5 892
4 752
1 857
3 690
3 095
2 259
570
19 579
15 573
62 693
2 897
17 208

4 746
23 857
6 015
4 827
1 941
3 742
3 199
2 264
591
20 045
15 989
63 628
3 033
17 723

4 685
24 552
6 131
4 910
2 010
3 803
3 285
2 279
608
20 682
16 455
64 545
3 149
18 266

4 626
25 233
6 242
4 998
2 070
3 869
3 356
2 303
624
21 463
16 963
65 446
3 255
18 832

4 570
25 915
6 352
5 097
2 127
3 935
3 419
2 336
654
22 334
17 490
66 339
3 401
19 420

4 520
26 619
6 471
5 210
2 189
3 998
3 483
2 378
715
23 214
18 005
67 236
3 658
20 026

727 422

727 625

727 453

727 096

726 807

726 777

727 064

727 636

728 473

729 522

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

309 882
10 274
8 357
10 319
10 331
38 392
4 339
22 681
148 699
5 369
51 122

309 026
10 244
8 273
10 310
10 314
38 399
4 308
22 567
148 457
5 381
50 773

307 985
10 204
8 198
10 296
10 291
38 389
4 268
22 465
148 139
5 390
50 343

306 798
10 157
8 130
10 279
10 265
38 366
4 221
22 373
147 749
5 397
49 860

305 512
10 108
8 067
10 260
10 237
38 336
4 167
22 283
147 287
5 401
49 366

304 172
10 058
8 006
10 243
10 211
38 302
4 107
22 192
146 758
5 405
48 892

302 792
10 010
7 948
10 226
10 185
38 267
4 040
22 100
146 162
5 407
48 448

301 395
9 963
7 893
10 210
10 159
38 230
3 969
22 011
145 520
5 408
48 032

300 045
9 918
7 840
10 199
10 135
38 198
3 896
21 925
144 880
5 409
47 643

298 815
9 872
7 789
10 202
10 110
38 175
3 828
21 845
144 307
5 411
47 275

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (17) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (18) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

93 222
142
5 233
1 441
43
5 108
267
3 611
72
2 492
3 629
4 359
8 827
57 997

93 424
142
5 255
1 420
43
5 125
270
3 638
73
2 463
3 604
4 385
8 847
58 157

93 624
143
5 278
1 403
44
5 139
273
3 670
74
2 439
3 577
4 412
8 854
58 319

93 836
144
5 300
1 390
44
5 151
276
3 707
75
2 420
3 550
4 439
8 853
58 488

94 073
145
5 320
1 380
45
5 162
278
3 751
76
2 402
3 524
4 466
8 852
58 671

94 347
145
5 340
1 371
46
5 173
281
3 804
77
2 385
3 500
4 491
8 860
58 874

94 659
146
5 356
1 363
46
5 185
284
3 866
78
2 367
3 480
4 514
8 877
59 097

95 009
147
5 371
1 357
47
5 197
287
3 936
78
2 350
3 462
4 536
8 902
59 340

95 401
147
5 384
1 352
47
5 211
290
4 011
79
2 334
3 447
4 559
8 935
59 604

95 837
148
5 400
1 348
48
5 226
293
4 086
79
2 319
3 432
4 587
8 978
59 892

Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (19) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (20) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (21) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ........................

143 616
3 141
65
3 332
4 669
27
10 672
1
56 968
387
643
10 125
26
10 204
1 966
39 427
1 963

143 802
3 113
65
3 306
4 657
27
10 755
1
56 938
389
644
10 169
26
10 248
1 971
39 520
1 973

143 981
3 092
65
3 366
4 625
27
10 825
1
56 888
391
643
10 211
26
10 254
1 976
39 609
1 983

144 215
3 079
64
3 480
4 583
27
10 885
1
56 852
393
639
10 252
26
10 228
1 979
39 734
1 992

144 585
3 073
64
3 601
4 540
27
10 938
1
56 874
395
636
10 294
27
10 184
1 982
39 949
2 001

145 147
3 072
65
3 694
4 506
27
10 987
1
56 986
397
633
10 336
27
10 134
1 985
40 288
2 009

145 919
3 077
66
3 748
4 482
28
11 032
1
57 199
400
630
10 380
28
10 077
1 988
40 767
2 016

146 875
3 090
69
3 776
4 466
28
11 073
1
57 499
402
629
10 423
28
10 013
1 991
41 365
2 022

147 961
3 107
72
3 783
4 457
28
11 111
1
57 864
405
628
10 466
29
9 950
1 994
42 040
2 028

149 100
3 125
75
3 781
4 450
29
11 147
1
58 264
407
627
10 506
30
9 895
1 998
42 732
2 033

Georgia (13) ........................................


Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
Europe

228

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
medium variant, 2010-2030
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

4 477
27 359
6 605
5 342
2 264
4 052
3 556
2 430
821
24 041
18 484
68 143
4 069
20 649

4 443
28 141
6 755
5 495
2 351
4 097
3 638
2 491
978
24 799
18 921
69 064
4 663
21 288

4 416
28 961
6 920
5 667
2 448
4 135
3 728
2 561
1 178
25 504
19 321
69 993
5 406
21 947

4 394
29 821
7 092
5 849
2 548
4 167
3 827
2 637
1 396
26 167
19 694
70 924
6 207
22 627

4 374
30 725
7 261
6 026
2 646
4 197
3 931
2 712
1 598
26 809
20 054
71 846
6 939
23 328

4 352
31 672
7 418
6 187
2 737
4 228
4 039
2 782
1 759
27 448
20 411
72 752
7 512
24 053

4 329
32 665
7 562
6 330
2 818
4 259
4 152
2 846
1 870
28 083
20 766
73 640
7 891
24 800

4 304
33 703
7 695
6 457
2 892
4 292
4 271
2 904
1 939
28 705
21 118
74 509
8 106
25 569

4 278
34 776
7 819
6 573
2 959
4 324
4 394
2 957
1 977
29 319
21 469
75 359
8 208
26 358

4 252
35 871
7 940
6 684
3 023
4 356
4 520
3 008
2 003
29 929
21 823
76 190
8 278
27 163

4 225
36 977
8 061
6 797
3 087
4 385
4 648
3 059
2 033
30 538
22 184
77 003
8 374
27 980

730 736

732 129

733 693

735 317

736 855

738 199

739 299

740 175

740 877

741 488

742 067

297 758
9 825
7 739
10 221
10 087
38 165
3 767
21 772
143 843
5 415
46 924

296 904
9 777
7 690
10 259
10 064
38 170
3 715
21 705
143 510
5 422
46 592

296 238
9 728
7 640
10 314
10 043
38 190
3 672
21 645
143 295
5 431
46 282

295 710
9 681
7 591
10 377
10 022
38 218
3 635
21 590
143 163
5 441
45 992

295 241
9 636
7 543
10 440
10 002
38 249
3 603
21 537
143 064
5 452
45 715

294 771
9 595
7 494
10 493
9 984
38 277
3 573
21 486
142 958
5 462
45 448

294 284
9 559
7 446
10 534
9 966
38 299
3 545
21 436
142 836
5 472
45 190

293 788
9 527
7 398
10 566
9 950
38 317
3 519
21 388
142 703
5 480
44 940

293 281
9 498
7 349
10 590
9 934
38 332
3 496
21 339
142 558
5 489
44 697

292 764
9 470
7 301
10 611
9 918
38 345
3 474
21 290
142 400
5 497
44 458

292 236
9 441
7 252
10 634
9 903
38 357
3 453
21 240
142 229
5 506
44 222

Eastern Europe
Belarus ......................................
Bulgaria.....................................
Czech Rep. ................................
Hungary.....................................
Poland .......................................
Rep. of Moldova (15) ................
Romania ....................................
Russian Federation....................
Slovakia.....................................
Ukraine......................................

96 318
149
5 419
1 346
48
5 244
297
4 158
80
2 306
3 416
4 623
9 029
60 203

96 847
150
5 443
1 344
48
5 266
301
4 226
81
2 293
3 398
4 669
9 091
60 538

97 420
151
5 469
1 343
49
5 290
306
4 291
81
2 282
3 379
4 722
9 161
60 896

98 019
152
5 497
1 342
49
5 316
311
4 353
82
2 271
3 360
4 779
9 237
61 270

98 619
153
5 525
1 342
49
5 342
316
4 412
82
2 261
3 341
4 834
9 311
61 652

99 205
153
5 550
1 341
49
5 365
320
4 470
83
2 252
3 324
4 883
9 380
62 036

99 768
154
5 573
1 341
49
5 385
324
4 526
83
2 243
3 307
4 925
9 441
62 417

100 311
154
5 593
1 340
49
5 403
328
4 579
84
2 235
3 292
4 960
9 495
62 798

100 840
154
5 611
1 339
49
5 419
332
4 631
84
2 226
3 278
4 992
9 546
63 177

101 365
155
5 629
1 338
50
5 434
336
4 682
84
2 218
3 265
5 023
9 596
63 556

101 892
155
5 647
1 337
50
5 450
339
4 732
85
2 210
3 252
5 054
9 647
63 935

Northern Europe
Channel Islands (16) .................
Denmark....................................
Estonia.......................................
Faeroe Islands ...........................
Finland (17) ...............................
Iceland.......................................
Ireland .......................................
Isle of Man ................................
Latvia ........................................
Lithuania ...................................
Norway (18) ..............................
Sweden......................................
United Kingdom........................

150 228
3 142
78
3 781
4 442
29
11 183
0
58 671
409
627
10 544
30
9 856
2 002
43 395
2 038

151 333
3 157
80
3 782
4 434
29
11 219
0
59 082
411
627
10 578
31
9 836
2 007
44 018
2 043

152 414
3 170
81
3 779
4 426
29
11 256
0
59 495
413
628
10 608
31
9 833
2 012
44 604
2 048

153 437
3 181
83
3 774
4 418
29
11 292
0
59 891
414
629
10 635
31
9 841
2 018
45 146
2 053

154 364
3 193
84
3 768
4 411
29
11 327
0
60 249
415
630
10 657
31
9 851
2 024
45 638
2 057

155 171
3 204
85
3 760
4 403
29
11 359
0
60 551
417
631
10 676
32
9 856
2 030
46 077
2 061

155 838
3 216
86
3 752
4 396
29
11 390
0
60 789
418
632
10 690
32
9 854
2 035
46 455
2 064

156 368
3 227
88
3 744
4 387
29
11 419
0
60 964
419
633
10 699
32
9 847
2 040
46 772
2 067

156 787
3 238
89
3 736
4 379
29
11 446
0
61 087
421
633
10 705
32
9 835
2 045
47 043
2 069

157 136
3 249
90
3 727
4 370
29
11 470
0
61 175
422
634
10 705
32
9 821
2 049
47 291
2 071

157 446
3 258
92
3 716
4 361
29
11 492
0
61 241
423
634
10 702
33
9 807
2 053
47 532
2 073

Southern Europe
Albania......................................
Andorra .....................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...........
Croatia.......................................
Gibraltar ....................................
Greece .......................................
Holy See (19) ............................
Italy ...........................................
Malta .........................................
Montenegro ...............................
Portugal .....................................
San Marino................................
Serbia (20) .................................
Slovenia.....................................
Spain (21) ..................................
TFYR Macedonia (22) ..............

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2015 Major area, region and country


Georgia (13) ..............................
Iraq ............................................
Israel..........................................
Jordan........................................
Kuwait.......................................
Lebanon.....................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (14) .
Oman.........................................
Qatar..........................................
Saudi Arabia..............................
Syrian Arab Rep........................
Turkey .......................................
United Arab Emirates ...............
Yemen .......................................
Europe

229

Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
medium variant, 2010-2030
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
Latin America and Caribbean

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

180 702
7 936
10 080
57 845
81 929
31
408
33
15 422
7 019

181 373
7 960
10 098
58 058
82 200
31
413
33
15 517
7 061

181 863
7 972
10 113
58 270
82 326
32
419
34
15 606
7 090

182 247
7 976
10 129
58 496
82 350
32
425
34
15 691
7 113

182 636
7 985
10 148
58 752
82 342
32
431
35
15 776
7 137

183 111
8 005
10 176
59 048
82 349
33
435
35
15 863
7 168

183 694
8 038
10 211
59 391
82 384
33
440
35
15 953
7 208

184 356
8 083
10 254
59 775
82 432
34
443
35
16 046
7 255

185 066
8 134
10 303
60 184
82 484
34
446
35
16 138
7 307

185 770
8 186
10 357
60 597
82 524
34
451
35
16 225
7 361

482 647

490 523

498 382

506 184

513 879

521 429

528 823

536 071

543 179

550 163

Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (23) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ..............................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
US Virgin Islands ................................

36 439
10
69
80
280
263
18
33
10 901
71
7 916
100
405
7 878
2 462
370
10
190
3 702
43
147
108
1 261
15
107

36 861
10
70
83
284
264
19
34
10 949
71
8 055
101
409
8 032
2 485
372
9
188
3 732
44
149
108
1 269
16
108

37 272
10
72
85
287
265
19
35
10 992
71
8 191
101
413
8 187
2 509
376
8
186
3 761
44
151
108
1 275
16
108

37 672
10
74
87
291
266
20
37
11 031
70
8 325
101
418
8 342
2 534
379
7
183
3 785
45
153
108
1 281
17
108

38 062
11
76
88
294
267
20
38
11 068
70
8 458
101
423
8 495
2 558
382
6
181
3 803
45
155
108
1 287
18
108

38 441
11
78
90
298
268
20
40
11 104
70
8 592
102
427
8 645
2 582
385
5
180
3 814
46
157
108
1 292
19
109

38 811
11
79
92
302
268
21
43
11 140
69
8 726
102
431
8 792
2 604
388
5
180
3 817
47
159
108
1 297
21
109

39 170
12
81
95
306
269
21
45
11 175
69
8 861
102
435
8 935
2 626
391
5
180
3 813
47
160
108
1 302
23
109

39 518
13
82
97
310
269
21
48
11 208
69
8 995
102
439
9 075
2 646
393
5
182
3 803
48
162
108
1 306
26
109

39 853
13
83
99
315
270
22
50
11 235
69
9 130
102
442
9 213
2 665
395
5
184
3 792
49
164
109
1 311
28
109

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

124 600
220
3 469
5 733
10 016
5 575
92 273
4 637
2 677

126 851
226
3 557
5 791
10 246
5 707
93 858
4 733
2 732

129 090
232
3 648
5 839
10 482
5 836
95 441
4 825
2 787

131 300
238
3 741
5 878
10 723
5 963
97 002
4 912
2 843

133 460
244
3 832
5 911
10 974
6 090
98 514
4 995
2 900

135 555
251
3 919
5 940
11 237
6 218
99 960
5 074
2 956

137 576
257
4 003
5 966
11 513
6 347
101 330
5 149
3 013

139 535
263
4 083
5 988
11 800
6 478
102 634
5 220
3 069

141 462
269
4 160
6 009
12 099
6 609
103 903
5 288
3 126

143 401
275
4 236
6 029
12 405
6 743
105 176
5 356
3 182

South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................

321 608
34 855
7 471
161 848
14 409
36 453
11 385
2
139
728
4 795
23 827
436

326 811
35 287
7 638
164 343
14 631
37 113
11 584
3
143
729
4 905
24 249
442

332 020
35 715
7 804
166 869
14 840
37 775
11 774
3
148
730
5 015
24 667
448

337 212
36 135
7 971
169 410
15 039
38 439
11 960
3
153
730
5 124
25 079
454

342 358
36 541
8 139
171 936
15 232
39 103
12 148
3
159
731
5 234
25 479
460

347 433
36 931
8 307
174 425
15 420
39 764
12 345
3
165
733
5 344
25 862
467

352 436
37 302
8 477
176 877
15 604
40 423
12 552
3
172
735
5 454
26 228
473

357 366
37 657
8 647
179 289
15 784
41 078
12 767
3
179
738
5 565
26 579
480

362 199
38 001
8 816
181 633
15 960
41 732
12 988
3
187
741
5 676
26 916
487

366 909
38 341
8 983
183 873
16 132
42 386
13 209
3
195
744
5 787
27 242
493

230

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
medium variant, 2010-2030
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

186 431
8 232
10 414
60 997
82 541
35
457
35
16 305
7 415

187 045
8 273
10 475
61 378
82 536
35
466
35
16 378
7 468

187 621
8 310
10 539
61 745
82 516
35
476
35
16 443
7 522

188 152
8 342
10 602
62 098
82 475
36
487
35
16 503
7 573

188 630
8 370
10 661
62 445
82 405
36
498
35
16 559
7 621

189 052
8 394
10 712
62 787
82 302
36
507
35
16 613
7 664

189 410
8 413
10 754
63 126
82 163
36
516
35
16 665
7 702

189 709
8 429
10 788
63 458
81 991
37
523
35
16 714
7 734

189 970
8 441
10 816
63 783
81 804
37
530
35
16 762
7 762

190 224
8 452
10 841
64 101
81 626
37
536
35
16 807
7 788

190 494
8 463
10 867
64 413
81 471
37
543
35
16 850
7 814

557 038

563 796

570 442

577 011

583 547

590 082

596 629

603 174

609 686

616 119

622 437

40 177
14
84
101
319
271
22
52
11 254
69
9 264
103
446
9 347
2 682
397
6
186
3 782
49
165
109
1 315
31
109

40 487
14
85
103
324
271
22
54
11 265
69
9 398
103
449
9 479
2 696
399
6
189
3 773
50
167
109
1 320
33
109

40 786
14
86
104
329
272
23
55
11 269
68
9 532
103
452
9 608
2 709
401
6
192
3 765
50
169
109
1 326
34
109

41 077
15
87
106
334
272
23
55
11 267
68
9 665
104
455
9 736
2 720
403
6
195
3 759
51
171
109
1 331
36
109

41 362
15
88
107
338
273
23
56
11 263
68
9 797
104
458
9 864
2 731
404
6
198
3 754
52
172
109
1 336
37
109

41 646
15
89
107
343
273
23
56
11 258
68
9 927
104
461
9 993
2 741
406
6
201
3 749
52
174
109
1 341
38
109

41 930
16
90
108
347
274
23
57
11 254
68
10 056
105
463
10 124
2 751
407
6
203
3 746
53
176
109
1 346
39
109

42 212
16
91
109
351
275
24
57
11 249
68
10 183
105
465
10 256
2 761
408
6
205
3 743
54
178
109
1 351
40
109

42 493
16
91
109
355
275
24
58
11 244
68
10 309
106
467
10 388
2 771
409
6
206
3 742
54
180
109
1 355
40
108

42 769
16
92
109
359
276
24
58
11 238
68
10 432
106
469
10 521
2 781
410
6
207
3 742
55
181
109
1 359
40
108

43 041
17
93
109
363
276
24
59
11 231
68
10 553
107
471
10 654
2 790
411
6
208
3 742
56
183
109
1 363
41
108

Caribbean
Anguilla.....................................
Antigua and Barbuda ................
Aruba.........................................
Bahamas....................................
Barbados ...................................
British Virgin Islands ................
Cayman Islands.........................
Cuba ..........................................
Dominica...................................
Dominican Rep. ........................
Grenada .....................................
Guadeloupe (23) ........................
Haiti...........................................
Jamaica......................................
Martinique.................................
Montserrat .................................
Netherlands Antilles (24) ..........
Puerto Rico................................
St. Kitts and Nevis ....................
St. Lucia ....................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
Trinidad and Tobago .................
Turks and Caicos Islands ..........
US Virgin Islands ......................

145 384
281
4 309
6 051
12 717
6 879
106 484
5 424
3 238

147 419
287
4 382
6 074
13 035
7 018
107 835
5 494
3 295

149 499
293
4 453
6 101
13 359
7 159
109 221
5 564
3 351

151 614
299
4 522
6 130
13 691
7 303
110 627
5 636
3 406

153 746
305
4 591
6 160
14 034
7 450
112 033
5 710
3 462

155 881
312
4 659
6 193
14 389
7 601
113 423
5 788
3 517

158 018
318
4 727
6 227
14 757
7 755
114 793
5 870
3 571

160 158
324
4 794
6 264
15 138
7 912
116 147
5 955
3 625

162 291
331
4 860
6 303
15 528
8 072
117 478
6 042
3 678

164 403
337
4 925
6 343
15 924
8 232
118 783
6 128
3 731

166 487
344
4 988
6 385
16 325
8 392
120 058
6 213
3 783

Central America
Belize ........................................
Costa Rica .................................
El Salvador................................
Guatemala .................................
Honduras ...................................
Mexico ......................................
Nicaragua ..................................
Panama......................................

371 477
38 681
9 147
185 987
16 302
43 041
13 426
3
202
746
5 898
27 559
499

375 889
39 024
9 307
187 958
16 469
43 697
13 640
3
208
748
6 009
27 866
505

380 157
39 368
9 463
189 798
16 633
44 352
13 850
3
214
750
6 119
28 166
510

384 321
39 714
9 618
191 543
16 796
45 006
14 057
3
220
752
6 230
28 463
515

388 440
40 062
9 773
193 247
16 956
45 654
14 262
3
225
753
6 342
28 765
520

392 555
40 412
9 930
194 946
17 114
46 295
14 465
3
231
754
6 455
29 077
525

396 681
40 765
10 088
196 655
17 270
46 927
14 666
3
237
756
6 568
29 400
529

400 804
41 119
10 248
198 361
17 423
47 551
14 865
3
243
758
6 683
29 734
534

404 903
41 474
10 410
200 050
17 574
48 165
15 061
3
249
759
6 798
30 075
539

408 947
41 827
10 573
201 701
17 723
48 771
15 255
3
256
761
6 914
30 419
543

412 909
42 177
10 738
203 294
17 868
49 367
15 446
3
262
763
7 029
30 760
548

South America
Argentina...................................
Bolivia.......................................
Brazil.........................................
Chile..........................................
Colombia...................................
Ecuador .....................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)......
French Guiana...........................
Guyana ......................................
Paraguay....................................
Peru ...........................................
Suriname ...................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2015 Major area, region and country


Western Europe
Austria.......................................
Belgium.....................................
France........................................
Germany....................................
Liechtenstein .............................
Luxembourg ..............................
Monaco .....................................
Netherlands ...............................
Switzerland ...............................
Latin America and Caribbean

231

Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
medium variant, 2010-2030
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

3 223
22 035

3 246
22 499

3 269
22 962

3 290
23 424

3 307
23 886

3 319
24 348

3 325
24 811

3 325
25 273

3 323
25 736

3 321
26 200

Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ......................
United States of America ....................

295 749
61
29 302
56
6
266 324

299 100
62
29 582
56
6
269 394

302 618
62
29 850
56
6
272 643

306 224
62
30 114
56
6
275 986

309 809
63
30 384
56
6
279 300

313 289
63
30 667
56
6
282 496

316 638
63
30 967
56
6
285 545

319 875
63
31 282
57
6
288 467

323 026
64
31 609
57
6
291 291

326 134
64
31 944
57
6
294 063

29 044

29 454

29 865

30 278

30 698

31 130

31 571

32 023

32 494

32 995

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

21 793
18 118
3 675

22 037
18 320
3 717

22 277
18 525
3 752

22 518
18 735
3 783

22 765
18 948
3 817

23 022
19 164
3 858

23 289
19 382
3 907

23 566
19 604
3 962

23 861
19 840
4 021

24 183
20 104
4 079

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

6 207
776
191
4 716
356
168

6 359
785
195
4 841
366
172

6 515
793
199
4 970
377
175

6 673
801
204
5 104
387
178

6 834
807
208
5 241
398
181

6 996
812
212
5 379
409
185

7 159
815
216
5 519
420
190

7 323
816
220
5 660
432
195

7 488
817
223
5 803
444
200

7 657
819
227
5 948
457
206

Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................

466
146
77
51
107
10
58
17

473
147
78
51
108
10
60
18

480
149
80
52
108
10
63
18

485
151
81
52
108
10
65
19

491
153
83
52
107
10
67
19

496
155
84
52
107
10
68
19

501
158
86
52
107
10
69
19

506
160
87
52
108
10
69
20

511
163
89
52
108
10
69
20

516
166
90
52
109
10
68
20

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................

578
53
18
216
2
168
2
96
9
14

586
54
18
220
2
170
2
96
9
14

593
55
18
225
2
172
2
97
9
14

601
56
18
229
2
174
2
97
9
14

608
57
18
234
2
175
2
97
9
14

615
58
18
238
2
177
2
98
9
14

622
59
18
241
2
178
2
98
9
15

628
60
18
245
2
178
1
99
10
14

634
61
19
248
2
179
1
100
10
14

640
62
19
252
2
180
1
100
10
14

Oceania

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
2 Including Zanzibar.
3 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
4 Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
5 Includes other non-specified areas.
6 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
7 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
8 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
10 Including Sabah and Sarawak.

232

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
medium variant, 2010-2030
Medium variant
Population (thousands)

11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015 Major area, region and country

3 323
26 664

3 327
27 129

3 336
27 593

3 346
28 057

3 357
28 520

3 369
28 980

3 380
29 437

3 391
29 891

3 403
30 341

3 415
30 786

3 428
31 226

Uruguay.....................................
Venezuela ..................................

329 231
64
32 283
57
6
296 820

332 320
64
32 628
57
6
299 564

335 390
65
32 977
57
6
302 285

338 445
65
33 328
57
6
304 989

341 490
65
33 675
57
6
307 687

344 529
65
34 017
57
6
310 384

347 563
65
34 350
57
6
313 085

350 595
65
34 675
57
6
315 791

353 620
65
34 994
57
6
318 498

356 636
65
35 310
57
6
321 197

359 638
66
35 624
57
6
323 885

Northern America
Bermuda....................................
Canada.......................................
Greenland..................................
St. Pierre and Miquelon ............
United States of America ..........

33 532

34 110

34 724

35 356

35 984

36 593

37 175

37 734

38 277

38 815

39 355

24 538
20 404
4 134

24 929
20 744
4 185

25 352
21 120
4 232

25 792
21 514
4 278

26 225
21 902
4 323

26 637
22 268
4 368

27 020
22 606
4 415

27 380
22 919
4 461

27 722
23 214
4 508

28 058
23 503
4 555

28 394
23 793
4 601

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (25) ............................
New Zealand .............................

7 830
823
231
6 095
470
211

8 008
828
235
6 245
483
217

8 189
835
239
6 396
496
222

8 374
844
243
6 549
510
228

8 560
852
247
6 703
524
234

8 748
861
251
6 858
538
240

8 935
868
255
7 014
552
246

9 123
876
259
7 170
566
252

9 311
883
263
7 327
581
258

9 501
890
266
7 486
595
264

9 691
896
270
7 645
610
270

Melanesia
Fiji .............................................
New Caledonia..........................
Papua New Guinea....................
Solomon Islands........................
Vanuatu .....................................

519
169
92
52
109
10
67
20

523
171
94
52
110
10
66
20

526
173
95
52
110
10
64
20

528
176
97
53
110
10
63
20

532
178
98
53
111
10
61
20

536
180
100
54
111
10
61
20

542
182
101
55
112
10
61
21

548
184
103
56
112
10
62
21

555
187
104
57
113
10
64
21

562
189
106
58
113
11
65
21

570
191
107
59
114
11
66
21

Micronesia
Guam.........................................
Kiribati ......................................
Marshall Islands ........................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .......
Nauru.........................................
Northern Mariana Islands .........
Palau..........................................

645
63
19
255
2
180
1
101
10
14

651
64
20
258
2
181
1
102
10
14

656
65
20
261
2
181
1
102
10
14

662
66
20
265
2
182
1
103
10
14

667
67
20
268
2
182
1
104
10
14

673
68
20
271
1
183
1
104
10
14

678
70
20
274
1
184
1
105
10
13

683
71
21
277
1
185
1
105
10
13

689
72
21
280
1
186
1
105
10
13

694
73
21
282
1
187
1
106
10
13

700
74
21
285
1
188
1
106
10
13

Polynesia (26)
American Samoa.......................
Cook Islands..............................
French Polynesia.......................
Niue...........................................
Samoa........................................
Tokelau......................................
Tonga.........................................
Tuvalu .......................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands .........

Oceania

Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

233

Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
36.9

34.6

31.3

27.7

27.0

24.5

22.4

20.8

20.0

19.1

22.4
43.5
48.1
42.9

19.6
40.9
47.5
40.0

16.0
36.8
46.6
35.5

14.5
31.8
45.1
30.0

13.9
30.7
43.5
28.9

12.3
27.7
41.5
25.7

11.2
25.1
39.3
23.0

11.0
23.1
36.9
21.0

11.4
21.9
34.5
19.8

11.4
20.8
32.7
18.7

44.2

42.9

39.3

36.1

33.8

31.2

28.5

26.5

25.0

23.6

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

47.4

47.4

46.9

45.7

44.6

42.9

41.5

40.1

38.3

36.6

Africa

47.7

47.4

46.1

44.3

42.5

40.2

38.4

37.1

35.6

34.0

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (2) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (3) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

49.6
48.4
46.8
50.0
48.4
49.4
51.2
49.0
47.5
42.7
40.7
49.4
49.6
52.9
53.4
51.3
49.0
46.8
48.3

48.9
45.3
48.0
51.2
48.5
48.1
51.0
48.3
49.9
43.7
43.5
48.6
43.1
51.9
51.0
49.3
49.1
48.6
48.2

48.0
44.0
46.8
47.8
46.0
46.8
50.8
48.3
52.3
26.7
47.8
47.2
26.7
51.8
50.4
48.6
48.0
48.5
47.6

46.6
45.3
48.6
44.0
42.4
47.2
48.4
42.2
51.9
20.4
43.8
45.9
23.3
52.2
43.8
49.0
46.0
45.1
44.9

45.8
46.3
39.6
43.1
41.1
48.0
45.1
45.0
49.3
21.8
42.2
43.6
24.1
49.4
45.3
49.4
44.8
44.0
39.5

44.0
44.7
36.6
40.1
40.0
47.5
39.4
44.7
47.0
21.0
33.9
43.4
21.9
40.7
45.6
49.6
43.1
43.5
35.2

42.2
40.0
38.6
34.4
38.1
43.9
38.0
42.8
45.4
18.1
34.2
43.3
20.1
40.7
45.9
48.7
41.7
44.6
31.5

40.4
36.0
40.2
31.2
38.4
38.8
38.7
39.0
43.4
16.3
34.3
43.3
19.6
39.8
45.7
47.9
41.7
44.4
29.7

38.3
34.3
39.0
29.4
37.5
33.3
38.0
36.2
44.0
13.4
34.3
39.4
18.2
40.7
44.2
46.3
41.6
44.5
29.4

36.7
33.3
35.7
28.4
34.4
30.0
36.9
34.6
44.5
12.5
32.6
36.3
16.9
40.6
43.0
43.9
41.0
46.5
28.7

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

46.8
54.0
43.4
41.7
46.4
42.2
47.2
40.9
30.5
47.7

47.1
54.3
44.0
43.8
45.6
42.8
47.4
40.1
31.4
47.0

47.2
51.8
45.2
42.7
47.3
43.1
47.6
36.8
35.4
40.7

48.0
52.8
44.7
42.4
48.1
40.9
49.1
41.7
38.4
40.4

48.2
52.8
42.9
41.9
47.6
38.9
50.1
47.4
38.1
38.8

47.9
52.1
41.0
40.2
47.4
37.8
50.6
45.0
38.0
37.0

46.8
51.0
38.0
39.8
47.6
37.7
49.8
41.3
33.2
35.9

45.6
49.0
38.0
38.3
47.6
37.2
48.2
38.4
29.7
34.8

42.7
43.5
37.2
35.6
45.9
36.0
44.9
37.3
27.4
32.4

40.0
39.9
34.9
34.5
43.4
34.6
42.1
35.9
27.0
29.9

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (4) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

48.7
51.0
48.3
48.0
50.4
46.5
46.4
49.0

47.2
50.4
45.0
49.0
50.1
46.6
46.5
51.5

43.4
48.0
40.2
49.0
45.6
46.2
37.1
44.5

39.4
41.2
38.0
45.6
37.3
43.6
34.0
42.3

35.3
34.8
35.0
29.9
32.0
41.7
30.3
37.4

30.4
28.7
29.1
24.7
27.3
40.1
24.0
32.4

26.9
21.6
26.6
23.0
23.4
38.6
18.4
28.3

25.5
20.7
25.1
24.3
20.9
36.5
16.8
25.1

24.5
20.8
23.9
24.0
20.2
33.8
17.4
23.3

23.0
19.2
22.3
21.7
18.7
31.9
16.5
21.3

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

43.4
47.0
42.1
43.4
43.3
48.1

41.9
46.6
42.3
42.3
41.6
47.9

38.5
45.5
42.8
44.2
37.7
49.3

34.9
42.5
40.4
41.2
33.9
47.7

32.1
37.2
37.6
39.1
31.1
46.1

28.5
32.2
34.7
36.7
27.5
39.9

26.0
28.6
33.7
32.9
25.1
34.1

24.7
25.5
30.7
29.9
24.0
31.8

22.6
24.2
28.5
27.4
21.9
30.1

21.2
22.9
27.1
25.2
20.5
28.7

Western Africa (5)


Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Cte d'Ivoire........................................

46.7
41.0
47.3
49.0
50.8

47.4
46.2
47.9
45.0
52.3

47.8
47.8
48.1
41.1
52.0

46.8
47.7
48.5
41.3
46.9

45.2
47.2
47.7
40.9
42.9

43.5
46.0
46.8
36.5
39.9

42.3
44.0
45.8
31.6
37.6

41.3
42.2
44.9
26.2
36.9

40.1
40.7
43.9
21.9
35.0

38.5
38.3
42.4
19.9
33.0

234

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
18.1

17.1

15.6

14.7

13.8

13.2

12.8

12.5

12.2

12.1 World

11.2
19.5
31.0
17.4

10.9
18.3
29.1
16.2

10.6
16.5
25.6
14.4

11.1
15.3
23.0
13.3

11.1
14.3
20.7
12.4

11.2
13.6
18.8
11.9

11.4
13.1
17.3
11.6

11.5
12.6
16.0
11.4

11.4
12.3
14.9
11.2

11.4
12.2
14.4
11.2

22.1

20.7

18.3

16.7

15.3

14.3

13.6

13.0

12.6

12.4

34.7

32.6

28.9

25.9

23.0

20.6

18.6

16.9

15.6

15.0

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

32.3

30.3

27.0

24.4

21.8

19.7

18.0

16.5

15.2

14.7

Africa

34.8
30.1
32.5
26.9
30.5
27.2
34.5
33.2
44.0
11.8
28.6
34.3
15.5
37.1
42.8
41.3
39.7
46.1
27.2

32.5
26.2
30.6
24.8
27.2
24.8
31.8
31.6
41.4
11.4
26.4
32.8
14.5
32.8
41.5
38.8
37.5
43.7
24.4

29.1
21.1
28.9
20.7
24.1
20.0
28.6
27.9
37.7
10.7
24.6
29.0
13.1
28.9
38.7
34.1
34.5
40.7
19.5

26.3
18.7
25.4
18.6
21.2
16.4
25.8
25.0
35.2
10.1
20.7
25.1
12.2
26.8
35.3
29.5
31.7
38.7
17.3

23.5
15.5
22.6
16.5
17.9
14.0
22.6
22.4
31.1
10.1
17.3
22.3
11.6
22.5
31.9
25.4
28.2
34.8
14.8

21.3
13.6
20.8
14.5
16.0
12.3
20.2
19.9
28.1
10.2
15.2
19.6
11.2
20.0
28.5
22.1
25.2
31.7
13.0

19.5
12.6
18.5
13.4
14.4
11.2
18.0
17.8
25.4
10.4
13.3
17.3
11.1
17.9
25.5
19.2
22.6
28.9
12.2

17.8
11.7
16.7
12.5
13.0
10.7
16.1
16.0
22.6
10.7
11.8
15.5
11.0
15.5
22.8
16.8
20.2
25.9
11.4

16.4
11.2
15.3
11.7
12.2
10.5
14.5
14.5
20.5
11.0
10.9
14.0
11.0
14.0
20.4
15.1
18.2
23.5
11.0

15.8
11.1
14.6
11.5
11.9
10.4
13.8
13.9
19.5
11.1
10.6
13.5
11.1
13.4
19.3
14.3
17.3
22.4
11.0

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (2) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (3) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

37.3
36.8
32.3
32.8
40.7
32.5
39.2
33.6
26.1
27.6

34.6
33.9
29.9
30.6
38.0
30.6
36.3
30.9
24.5
25.4

29.3
28.0
26.3
25.8
32.6
27.7
30.5
26.6
21.5
21.7

24.9
23.2
23.1
22.4
27.6
24.7
25.6
23.3
19.7
18.5

21.2
19.6
20.2
19.3
23.5
21.9
21.7
20.1
17.8
16.1

18.3
16.6
17.9
16.8
20.2
19.6
18.6
17.5
16.2
14.2

16.1
14.6
16.1
15.1
17.6
17.6
16.2
15.6
14.9
12.9

14.4
13.2
14.5
13.8
15.6
15.9
14.5
14.0
13.8
11.9

13.2
12.2
13.4
12.8
14.1
14.5
13.2
12.9
13.0
11.3

12.7
11.8
12.9
12.4
13.5
13.9
12.8
12.4
12.6
11.1

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

21.1
17.0
20.2
18.5
17.2
29.9
15.2
19.2

19.2
14.6
18.3
15.3
15.5
28.0
13.5
16.9

16.6
11.6
15.9
13.0
12.7
24.4
10.8
13.2

15.0
11.2
14.0
12.3
11.5
21.3
10.9
12.3

13.5
10.3
12.3
10.5
10.7
18.7
10.6
11.5

12.4
9.7
11.3
9.7
9.9
16.5
9.7
10.4

11.8
10.0
10.6
10.2
9.8
14.8
10.1
10.3

11.3
10.2
10.1
10.0
10.0
13.5
10.7
10.5

10.9
10.2
10.0
9.8
10.1
12.5
10.5
10.2

10.8
10.4
10.0
10.0
10.2
12.0
10.5
10.2

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (4) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

19.9
21.3
25.6
23.6
19.3
26.8

18.7
19.7
23.8
22.1
18.1
24.6

16.7
17.0
20.5
18.9
16.3
21.0

15.0
15.5
18.6
16.3
14.6
18.6

13.7
13.7
16.5
14.5
13.4
16.0

12.7
12.6
14.9
13.0
12.5
14.1

12.0
12.1
13.9
12.0
11.8
12.9

11.6
11.6
13.1
11.5
11.5
12.1

11.4
11.3
12.5
11.2
11.3
11.6

11.3
11.3
12.3
11.1
11.3
11.5

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

36.8
35.9
40.7
18.2
31.2

34.5
33.6
38.0
16.4
29.2

30.8
29.6
33.6
12.9
25.4

27.5
26.0
30.1
11.0
22.1

24.4
22.9
26.6
9.9
19.5

21.7
20.2
23.6
9.2
17.1

19.5
18.0
21.2
9.1
15.3

17.6
16.1
18.9
9.2
13.8

16.0
14.6
17.1
9.5
12.7

15.3
13.9
16.3
9.7
12.3

Western Africa (5)


Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Cte d'Ivoire......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

235

Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
43.7
44.7
47.2
54.9
46.7
48.4
48.6
52.6
46.1
45.2
48.8
47.2

50.2
47.4
48.5
42.3
48.6
49.1
49.3
55.5
46.0
49.7
48.5
48.0

52.0
46.1
48.5
55.7
48.9
49.3
46.5
55.8
46.7
50.5
45.5
48.6

50.5
42.4
48.0
47.9
48.8
49.4
42.6
55.4
46.4
47.1
42.8
46.2

48.1
40.2
47.2
45.8
47.2
48.9
41.3
55.9
44.8
45.0
43.0
43.8

46.5
37.7
45.5
45.2
45.0
48.7
40.0
55.5
43.0
42.9
44.3
41.1

44.7
35.0
43.4
42.8
44.0
49.1
38.2
53.5
42.2
40.8
44.6
38.5

42.4
33.8
41.5
41.1
42.4
49.0
36.6
51.3
41.5
39.8
42.7
35.9

39.3
32.6
39.9
39.3
40.5
47.6
34.8
49.5
40.4
38.6
40.6
33.2

36.9
30.3
37.6
37.4
37.6
45.0
32.7
47.7
39.3
35.9
36.5
31.0

41.8

38.5

34.6

28.8

28.0

24.8

22.0

19.8

18.6

17.5

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ...............
China, Macao SAR (9) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

39.4
42.1
39.0
34.0
23.8
23.8
40.0
35.8

34.3
36.5
34.6
25.1
32.8
17.2
47.9
39.9

30.0
31.4
20.4
10.0
30.2
19.0
43.0
30.4

20.6
21.5
15.4
19.9
21.6
12.8
38.1
20.4

21.7
23.2
13.1
21.9
20.0
11.2
36.6
15.5

17.9
18.7
12.0
15.7
21.5
9.9
27.6
16.0

15.3
16.0
8.0
11.2
19.8
9.5
22.1
13.6

13.0
13.5
7.0
7.6
16.3
8.9
19.1
10.2

12.2
12.6
8.2
9.0
14.6
8.6
23.4
10.0

11.6
11.9
8.8
10.2
14.2
8.5
22.7
9.9

South-Central Asia (10)

43.7

41.6

38.7

36.3

34.2

31.2

28.0

25.2

23.6

21.8

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

38.4
33.2
35.6
44.7
43.2
42.4

39.7
32.9
37.9
48.5
44.5
44.9

31.7
25.9
31.1
39.7
37.1
35.0

31.9
24.9
32.7
38.6
35.2
35.8

32.3
24.6
33.2
40.2
35.7
36.0

29.0
20.6
28.9
37.2
32.5
32.6

23.5
16.2
24.2
32.7
24.5
25.6

21.2
16.7
21.0
29.4
23.3
21.6

22.6
21.4
24.0
28.1
22.0
21.7

21.9
20.6
24.0
27.7
21.2
20.8

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

43.9
52.9
48.3
47.9
43.3
50.6
43.2
42.9
42.0
37.4

41.7
52.8
47.5
48.5
40.4
46.5
55.0
43.9
43.5
35.5

39.0
52.1
46.5
47.0
37.5
40.8
47.4
43.1
42.8
29.1

36.5
51.8
42.4
42.7
34.5
44.4
47.8
40.7
42.6
25.6

34.3
52.2
38.1
40.4
32.5
38.6
45.4
39.3
42.1
21.6

31.3
52.6
33.3
35.2
30.0
28.5
35.6
37.7
38.2
19.6

28.2
52.4
29.1
29.2
27.2
21.1
25.1
35.0
34.4
17.8

25.3
48.4
25.4
25.2
24.8
18.0
19.7
30.9
28.9
18.7

23.6
45.1
21.5
21.5
23.1
17.7
17.2
25.6
28.1
19.0

21.8
42.3
19.5
19.6
21.3
16.2
16.5
23.2
26.3
17.0

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (11) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

44.3
49.6
45.4
42.7
44.8
42.7
47.5
48.6
46.5
42.5
46.5
44.8

43.5
41.9
44.9
43.7
42.4
40.8
41.9
43.0
33.6
42.3
45.9
46.2

37.7
37.4
39.9
38.4
42.5
31.4
39.2
38.3
22.1
34.6
40.0
39.1

32.0
29.9
56.9
31.8
42.2
29.5
31.5
35.6
16.0
24.1
44.0
34.1

28.8
29.8
46.7
27.5
42.1
28.7
29.2
34.0
17.9
20.4
42.1
31.4

25.8
28.1
40.3
24.5
40.0
27.5
25.0
31.8
18.7
18.0
44.5
27.3

22.4
23.9
30.3
21.9
33.6
25.3
22.3
30.2
14.4
15.6
46.1
19.0

20.9
21.9
25.1
21.0
27.8
23.1
19.3
29.0
10.2
14.1
40.4
17.2

19.2
20.1
23.3
19.1
24.1
20.9
17.9
25.9
8.9
12.9
39.4
17.2

17.8
18.2
21.6
17.4
21.8
19.8
16.7
24.5
9.5
11.5
37.6
15.9

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (12) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (13) .........................................
Georgia (14) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................

45.6
33.7
40.6
45.0
27.8
24.4
53.2

42.5
33.7
40.5
45.7
24.8
23.3
43.3

38.8
22.2
26.1
35.1
18.8
18.5
43.6

36.3
23.6
26.0
32.9
20.6
18.0
39.1

32.8
22.6
26.5
31.3
19.6
17.5
38.8

30.3
19.1
26.1
26.3
18.1
15.5
38.2

27.6
13.5
18.9
23.1
14.6
12.7
37.9

25.2
14.2
17.3
21.1
12.3
11.9
37.5

24.2
15.2
19.5
20.7
11.9
12.2
36.6

22.8
15.0
19.5
17.9
11.5
11.5
34.1

Asia (6)

236

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
34.5
28.1
35.3
35.7
35.0
42.5
30.6
46.4
37.8
33.3
33.5
28.7

32.2
26.2
33.1
33.8
32.9
39.6
28.6
43.9
35.5
31.0
31.1
26.5

27.8
23.3
28.9
30.0
29.5
34.8
25.5
39.2
31.8
27.3
26.6
22.6

23.9
20.7
25.3
26.8
25.9
30.3
22.6
34.9
28.5
23.9
22.3
19.5

20.8
18.3
22.1
24.0
22.9
26.2
20.1
30.8
25.2
20.9
19.1
17.0

18.3
16.3
19.5
21.6
20.5
22.9
18.1
27.1
22.5
18.6
16.7
15.0

16.2
14.7
17.3
19.7
18.3
20.2
16.3
24.0
20.2
16.5
14.8
13.5

14.5
13.4
15.5
18.0
16.4
17.9
14.8
21.4
18.1
14.8
13.6
12.4

13.3
12.4
14.1
16.6
14.9
16.1
13.6
19.1
16.4
13.5
12.7
11.7

12.8
12.0
13.5
15.9
14.3
15.3
13.1
18.1
15.7
13.0
12.4
11.4

16.2

15.0

13.2

12.2

11.3

10.8

10.6

10.5

10.5

10.5

10.6
10.8
9.1
10.5
14.4
8.2
20.9
9.8

9.8
9.9
9.2
9.9
14.3
8.0
18.4
9.6

9.0
9.1
8.2
8.3
12.4
8.2
15.7
8.8

8.8
8.8
8.5
8.6
11.7
8.6
16.3
8.4

8.8
8.7
9.9
9.2
12.0
8.9
14.6
9.0

9.1
9.0
9.9
9.2
11.3
9.3
13.7
9.4

9.5
9.4
9.9
9.6
11.3
9.8
14.1
9.6

10.0
9.9
10.7
10.3
11.6
10.1
13.4
10.1

10.4
10.3
10.8
10.5
11.3
10.3
13.0
10.5

10.5
10.5
10.7
10.5
11.3
10.4
13.1
10.5

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .............
China, Macao SAR (9) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

20.1

18.3

15.6

13.7

12.2

11.2

10.7

10.3

10.2

10.2

South-Central Asia (10)

20.3
19.0
22.4
26.4
19.7
19.3

18.2
16.9
19.9
24.1
17.6
17.1

15.2
15.7
18.0
19.6
14.2
13.4

14.6
16.6
17.2
17.6
13.0
12.3

13.0
14.7
15.5
15.3
11.7
11.1

12.1
14.2
14.9
13.3
10.7
10.0

12.0
14.4
14.3
12.3
10.6
10.0

11.6
13.4
13.8
11.4
10.4
10.0

11.5
13.2
13.5
10.9
10.4
10.0

11.6
13.2
13.3
10.7
10.5
10.2

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

20.0
39.6
17.7
17.6
19.6
13.6
14.8
21.4
24.2
15.1

18.4
36.8
15.9
15.6
18.0
11.0
12.4
19.6
21.9
13.7

15.6
30.6
12.7
12.4
15.5
9.2
9.0
15.9
17.8
12.9

13.7
25.6
10.8
10.8
13.6
9.5
8.8
13.5
15.4
12.0

12.2
21.8
9.8
9.7
12.1
8.4
8.2
11.9
13.2
10.8

11.2
18.5
9.3
9.2
11.1
8.5
7.5
10.8
11.7
10.7

10.6
16.0
9.1
9.2
10.5
9.3
8.1
10.3
10.9
10.5

10.3
14.2
9.2
9.4
10.2
9.5
8.5
10.0
10.5
10.3

10.2
12.9
9.5
9.6
10.0
10.0
8.9
10.0
10.3
10.5

10.2
12.3
9.7
9.8
10.0
10.4
9.2
10.0
10.3
10.6

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

16.4
16.5
19.7
15.7
20.2
18.7
15.4
23.2
9.6
10.4
37.2
14.1

15.2
15.1
17.5
14.4
18.4
17.7
14.1
22.0
9.8
9.8
35.3
12.2

13.3
13.3
13.9
12.6
14.3
15.7
11.9
19.3
9.3
9.4
28.7
10.3

12.2
12.1
12.2
11.3
11.9
13.9
10.9
16.8
8.1
9.0
24.2
10.1

11.3
11.3
10.9
10.6
10.7
12.8
10.6
14.9
9.1
9.0
21.1
9.3

10.8
11.1
10.1
10.2
9.8
12.0
10.2
13.4
9.8
9.4
17.6
9.1

10.6
11.2
10.0
10.2
9.5
11.3
10.3
12.2
9.4
9.8
15.3
9.6

10.5
11.3
10.0
10.2
9.6
10.9
10.6
11.4
10.0
10.1
13.8
9.7

10.5
11.6
10.1
10.4
9.8
10.7
10.7
10.9
10.6
10.5
12.5
10.1

10.6
11.8
10.2
10.5
9.9
10.7
10.8
10.7
10.6
10.7
12.0
10.4

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (11) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

21.3
13.3
17.1
14.6
11.1
10.4
32.1

19.8
11.6
14.0
12.2
10.8
9.3
30.4

17.5
10.8
13.1
10.9
9.8
8.6
27.1

16.1
10.8
13.8
10.9
9.5
9.1
24.0

14.7
10.0
12.1
9.6
9.5
8.8
21.4

13.8
10.0
12.5
9.5
9.3
9.2
19.2

13.1
10.4
12.6
9.9
9.7
9.8
17.2

12.4
10.4
12.1
9.6
10.2
10.0
15.6

11.9
10.7
12.3
9.6
10.4
10.4
14.2

11.7
10.9
12.3
9.7
10.5
10.6
13.5

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (12) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (13) .......................................
Georgia (14) ......................................
Iraq ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (6)

237

Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
33.0
47.4
43.7
39.9
46.0
48.9
47.5
47.9
51.2
48.4
49.4
47.6

25.5
53.6
43.4
37.6
52.1
49.3
41.0
47.6
48.5
44.3
46.3
48.6

27.4
49.0
47.6
31.9
48.8
49.1
34.8
46.4
46.3
38.7
32.6
51.2

23.7
39.7
37.1
29.5
44.9
48.9
33.2
42.7
42.8
33.8
30.5
57.9

22.7
37.5
26.5
26.7
43.1
43.3
25.4
38.3
38.4
27.7
28.4
53.9

21.4
33.9
18.0
24.8
45.9
33.1
22.8
33.5
33.3
25.1
22.9
49.1

21.4
32.0
24.1
22.6
40.9
26.7
19.2
29.7
29.7
22.6
18.1
42.7

21.2
28.1
18.5
17.7
36.2
21.5
18.8
24.7
26.2
19.7
16.2
39.9

21.1
26.4
18.7
15.9
33.8
19.1
14.1
22.1
23.9
18.7
14.0
38.6

20.5
23.7
17.4
14.9
32.4
16.9
11.6
21.4
21.9
16.9
12.3
37.2

21.4

19.1

15.6

14.3

13.7

11.5

10.2

10.2

10.8

10.8

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

25.8
22.9
21.1
19.4
21.4
30.1
29.4
24.9
26.5
27.3
25.4

19.4
21.3
16.6
14.9
13.2
19.4
24.4
16.3
21.0
20.6
18.6

16.2
16.0
16.2
17.1
15.9
17.7
18.5
19.4
15.3
19.3
15.7

16.5
16.7
13.9
14.0
12.7
19.1
21.6
15.8
16.8
18.3
15.2

15.6
15.9
13.0
13.0
12.2
16.0
21.2
16.1
16.1
16.4
14.6

11.5
12.1
10.2
11.6
11.8
13.3
15.5
11.4
10.8
14.0
11.4

9.3
9.4
8.4
8.7
9.8
10.5
12.7
10.5
8.9
10.9
8.6

9.5
9.3
8.7
9.0
9.4
9.4
11.5
10.0
9.9
9.7
8.4

10.8
10.7
9.9
10.7
9.8
10.2
12.3
10.2
11.4
10.1
10.4

11.3
11.2
10.0
10.9
10.1
10.9
12.1
10.3
11.8
10.7
10.9

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (19) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (20) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

16.6
14.6
17.8
17.3
22.8
27.9
22.1
16.4
21.6
18.7
15.5
15.4

17.8
17.1
17.3
15.8
18.1
25.7
22.7
15.6
20.4
17.4
14.7
18.0

14.2
13.5
14.5
15.4
13.1
20.9
22.9
14.4
16.6
15.8
13.6
13.6

13.0
11.5
10.4
15.4
13.4
18.2
19.1
15.1
15.8
12.3
11.3
12.9

13.7
12.0
11.3
15.6
12.6
17.4
15.5
15.5
15.9
13.3
12.9
13.7

13.2
12.1
12.8
11.2
12.9
17.4
13.8
11.3
13.5
14.0
13.6
13.2

12.1
11.1
12.7
9.1
11.5
15.5
14.5
8.0
10.6
13.4
10.3
12.4

11.4
10.2
12.0
9.8
11.0
14.4
15.3
8.7
9.1
12.4
10.8
11.4

12.2
9.3
11.8
11.7
11.2
14.8
16.4
10.2
10.1
12.6
11.9
12.2

12.1
9.3
11.3
12.1
11.4
14.7
15.6
11.0
10.8
12.3
12.0
12.1

Southern Europe (21)


Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (22) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (23) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ........................

21.1
39.3
37.1
22.6
19.4
18.2
28.5
16.1
23.9
27.0
22.0
20.6
37.4

20.3
39.2
31.1
17.6
18.1
18.4
21.7
13.3
23.8
20.3
17.8
20.9
29.1

17.9
31.4
21.3
15.0
15.9
16.3
16.8
9.9
19.8
18.5
16.7
19.3
22.5

13.3
26.8
18.2
14.7
13.7
10.9
18.0
8.8
14.6
17.4
14.6
13.3
20.1

11.6
25.4
17.1
13.1
10.7
9.9
16.8
8.2
12.0
16.0
12.6
10.8
18.1

10.7
23.4
12.9
10.7
10.0
9.7
14.5
13.7
11.3
13.7
10.1
9.8
16.4

10.1
19.2
12.4
10.5
9.7
9.2
12.1
13.7
11.1
12.2
9.2
9.4
13.8

10.0
15.0
9.8
9.2
9.5
9.2
9.4
13.2
10.8
12.3
8.9
10.3
11.9

10.2
12.9
8.9
9.5
10.4
9.4
9.3
12.6
9.8
11.6
9.8
10.9
11.1

9.8
12.8
8.2
9.8
10.1
9.1
9.1
12.0
8.8
11.0
9.9
10.6
10.5

Western Europe (25)


Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................

17.4
14.9
16.6
19.1
15.9
14.7
22.0
17.2

18.2
18.5
16.9
18.3
17.8
16.0
21.1
18.9

13.5
13.6
14.0
16.1
11.3
11.7
15.3
14.3

12.2
12.0
12.1
14.2
10.8
11.6
12.2
11.6

12.1
11.4
11.7
13.7
11.1
12.0
12.6
11.9

11.3
11.5
11.5
12.8
9.9
13.1
12.8
12.0

11.0
10.2
11.0
12.7
9.6
13.1
12.4
11.2

10.7
9.7
11.2
12.9
8.8
11.8
12.4
10.1

10.4
9.1
11.5
12.8
8.4
11.4
11.3
9.9

10.3
8.6
11.4
12.4
8.7
11.8
10.8
10.0

Europe

238

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
19.0
21.6
15.9
13.9
31.1
14.7
8.8
19.9
20.7
15.4
10.3
34.1

17.6
19.8
14.9
12.9
29.2
12.5
6.7
17.6
19.6
14.0
8.7
31.1

16.6
16.6
14.6
10.8
24.8
10.1
6.6
13.8
16.4
12.1
7.5
26.7

15.8
13.7
13.5
9.9
21.8
9.0
6.6
12.2
13.1
10.9
7.6
23.6

14.2
11.8
12.7
9.5
19.3
8.4
6.0
10.7
11.7
10.1
7.4
20.3

13.1
10.7
12.7
9.2
16.8
8.4
6.3
9.7
10.5
9.8
7.7
17.8

12.4
10.0
12.4
9.4
15.1
8.5
6.8
9.5
9.7
9.8
8.3
16.0

11.6
9.7
12.2
9.7
13.6
8.8
6.9
9.4
9.6
9.9
8.7
14.4

10.9
9.7
12.1
10.0
12.4
9.2
7.3
9.4
9.5
10.0
9.0
13.3

10.7
9.7
12.0
10.2
12.0
9.5
7.5
9.5
9.5
10.2
9.2
12.9

10.6

10.1

9.9

10.5

10.5

10.7

11.1

11.2

11.2

11.2

10.9
10.8
9.6
10.6
10.1
10.9
11.1
10.0
11.2
10.8
10.6

10.1
10.0
9.0
10.0
10.0
10.4
9.8
9.4
10.2
10.4
9.9

9.5
9.4
8.9
9.1
9.6
8.8
8.8
9.0
9.9
9.0
9.3

10.6
10.6
9.9
10.3
10.2
9.6
9.5
9.6
11.2
9.5
10.7

10.5
10.4
9.7
10.7
10.7
10.4
8.8
9.6
10.8
10.3
10.5

10.6
10.6
10.1
10.4
10.7
9.9
9.2
9.9
11.0
10.1
10.6

11.4
11.4
11.1
11.0
11.0
10.3
10.1
10.6
11.8
10.4
11.5

11.5
11.5
11.1
11.5
11.4
11.3
10.2
10.8
11.7
11.3
11.5

11.5
11.5
11.3
11.1
11.4
11.1
10.7
11.0
11.7
11.2
11.5

11.6
11.7
11.5
11.0
11.3
10.9
11.0
11.2
11.9
11.1
11.7

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

12.1
9.4
11.5
11.8
11.4
14.4
14.3
11.1
11.2
12.3
12.2
12.2

12.0
9.5
11.8
10.9
11.3
13.8
13.1
10.4
11.0
12.4
12.0
12.1

11.5
9.4
11.8
9.8
10.8
12.6
12.5
8.9
9.3
12.0
11.1
11.6

11.6
9.4
11.3
11.5
11.2
12.6
13.0
10.6
10.3
11.8
11.7
11.6

11.6
10.2
11.5
11.3
11.5
12.3
12.3
10.8
11.1
12.0
11.8
11.6

11.4
10.6
11.7
10.7
11.3
11.8
11.8
10.1
10.4
12.0
11.4
11.4

11.5
10.8
11.4
11.7
11.4
11.8
12.1
11.2
11.0
11.8
11.5
11.4

11.5
11.2
11.5
11.9
11.5
11.8
12.0
11.7
11.8
11.8
11.6
11.4

11.4
11.4
11.6
11.3
11.4
11.5
11.5
11.2
11.4
11.6
11.3
11.4

11.3
11.3
11.5
11.4
11.3
11.4
11.5
11.2
11.3
11.5
11.2
11.3

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Finland (19) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (20) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

9.2
12.1
7.8
9.8
9.6
8.7
8.9
11.2
7.9
10.3
9.6
9.6
9.8

8.8
11.2
7.8
9.6
9.1
8.5
8.8
10.6
7.6
9.8
9.1
8.8
9.4

8.9
9.3
7.4
9.2
9.3
8.7
8.3
10.1
8.0
9.6
8.7
9.0
8.7

9.4
8.5
7.2
9.6
10.0
9.2
8.3
10.0
8.0
9.5
9.6
9.8
8.6

9.3
8.3
7.6
9.9
9.9
9.4
8.8
9.7
7.9
9.3
9.8
9.4
8.7

9.6
8.0
8.1
10.0
10.2
9.8
9.1
9.8
8.6
9.6
9.9
9.5
8.9

10.2
8.2
8.7
10.5
10.8
10.3
9.6
10.1
9.2
9.9
10.6
10.3
9.4

10.4
8.9
9.4
10.8
10.9
10.5
10.2
10.3
9.5
10.1
10.8
10.4
9.9

10.5
9.4
10.0
10.9
10.8
10.6
10.6
10.5
10.0
10.5
10.7
10.3
10.2

10.6
9.7
10.2
11.0
10.9
10.7
10.7
10.6
10.3
10.6
10.7
10.5
10.4

Southern Europe (21)


Albania..............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Greece ...............................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
Serbia (22) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (23) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ......................

10.4
8.6
11.2
12.2
9.0
11.9
10.7
10.1

10.4
8.8
11.1
11.9
9.1
12.0
10.9
10.1

10.3
8.7
11.1
11.8
8.9
11.7
11.1
9.4

10.5
8.7
11.5
11.9
9.3
11.2
10.7
9.3

10.9
9.3
11.6
11.8
10.2
11.1
11.0
9.9

11.1
9.8
11.7
11.8
10.5
11.2
11.4
10.2

11.2
10.0
11.8
11.8
10.8
11.1
11.3
10.2

11.3
10.3
11.8
11.6
11.1
11.1
11.2
10.6

11.3
10.5
11.6
11.4
11.1
11.1
11.4
10.8

11.2
10.5
11.5
11.4
11.0
11.1
11.3
10.7

Western Europe (25)


Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

239

Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Latin America and Caribbean

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
42.7

41.1

35.1

30.7

27.9

25.3

23.2

21.4

19.3

17.8

Caribbean (26)
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
US Virgin Islands ................................

39.4
44.3
33.7
34.4
31.6
54.4
39.8
40.7
45.7
34.7
41.5
42.0
37.3
46.9
49.5
38.9
37.1

39.4
32.9
33.6
29.2
35.5
49.6
41.0
35.6
43.5
41.6
35.3
30.3
32.2
45.9
46.3
36.4
41.5

31.4
22.9
27.2
20.5
26.5
39.1
29.1
28.3
38.2
32.8
26.0
21.2
25.0
37.6
38.2
26.8
41.4

27.2
22.3
27.1
17.6
16.6
33.3
32.5
19.9
42.8
29.1
17.1
21.2
20.5
34.0
29.2
28.4
30.8

26.1
20.8
24.1
16.5
17.7
31.0
31.6
20.5
39.2
26.8
18.0
20.3
18.6
30.5
25.9
24.8
24.5

23.8
18.1
23.5
15.3
15.5
28.6
24.8
17.8
35.6
24.9
16.5
19.4
17.5
26.3
24.0
18.2
23.4

21.6
15.4
20.1
12.9
13.6
25.7
20.7
17.1
32.5
23.0
15.1
16.4
15.4
21.8
21.4
15.1
17.8

20.0
13.3
15.6
11.0
12.5
24.3
18.8
15.6
29.5
21.0
14.5
14.7
13.9
18.1
18.6
14.5
14.3

18.6
12.0
15.7
10.9
10.5
22.7
19.3
14.8
27.6
19.1
12.7
13.8
13.6
18.1
17.7
14.9
13.0

17.5
11.1
15.2
10.9
9.6
20.9
19.3
13.2
25.7
17.9
11.6
13.1
12.9
16.9
16.4
14.3
12.1

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

48.3
51.2
44.6
46.7
50.4
52.2
48.1
55.0
40.0

45.4
43.5
44.3
47.8
46.2
49.8
45.0
48.8
40.5

42.0
42.7
30.4
42.0
44.0
45.9
42.0
46.3
35.5

33.6
40.6
30.0
36.0
42.2
42.2
31.8
42.8
28.6

30.9
38.0
28.9
33.0
39.5
39.5
29.2
38.1
27.3

28.9
35.9
24.7
30.5
38.9
37.2
27.2
35.4
25.1

25.5
31.7
21.4
27.4
37.3
33.4
23.6
30.1
24.1

23.9
27.9
18.8
22.0
35.8
30.0
22.4
26.2
22.7

22.1
25.2
16.3
20.7
33.3
27.7
20.6
24.8
20.8

20.2
24.0
15.3
20.0
31.5
25.8
18.5
22.8
19.1

South America (29)


Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

41.2
25.4
47.0
44.1
36.1
47.2
45.6
36.8
49.4
44.3
47.2
48.0
21.2
46.5

39.8
23.2
46.0
42.2
37.7
43.9
44.2
31.9
41.5
41.3
46.5
44.8
21.9
45.1

33.1
23.4
45.2
33.7
27.3
34.6
40.6
30.4
34.1
35.6
40.5
34.9
21.1
35.1

30.0
23.1
38.3
30.8
23.3
30.3
34.7
29.1
28.7
37.3
33.6
30.0
18.3
32.0

26.9
22.1
36.8
26.3
23.6
28.1
30.9
30.3
26.4
34.9
31.2
25.4
18.2
30.3

24.1
21.2
35.8
22.6
21.9
26.3
27.5
31.7
23.5
32.0
28.4
22.5
18.2
26.9

22.4
19.7
32.6
21.5
18.0
24.0
25.6
29.6
22.0
29.3
25.3
23.6
16.9
24.5

20.6
18.0
30.3
19.8
15.7
22.0
23.6
27.9
20.1
26.9
23.0
21.0
15.9
22.9

18.2
17.5
27.4
16.4
14.7
20.6
21.6
25.0
18.8
24.8
21.3
19.1
15.1
21.4

16.9
16.8
25.8
15.0
14.0
18.9
19.8
24.0
17.4
23.7
19.6
17.8
14.5
19.8

Northern America (30)


Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................

24.6
27.8
24.3

22.0
24.6
21.8

15.7
15.6
15.7

15.4
14.8
15.5

15.5
14.2
15.7

15.1
13.8
15.3

13.9
11.6
14.2

13.7
10.6
14.1

13.7
11.2
14.0

13.5
11.3
13.7

Oceania

27.5

26.5

24.4

20.4

19.8

19.5

18.7

17.8

18.0

17.3

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

23.5
23.0
25.7

22.6
21.9
25.9

19.8
19.6
20.8

15.6
15.5
15.9

15.3
15.0
16.6

15.0
14.7
16.6

13.7
13.4
14.9

13.0
12.7
14.1

13.8
13.6
14.9

13.7
13.5
14.3

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

42.9
46.5
34.9
42.5
39.4
50.4

41.8
42.3
34.2
41.8
41.0
46.9

43.2
33.1
36.9
45.4
47.1
41.3

37.2
33.1
25.7
38.0
42.2
38.2

34.6
29.7
23.7
35.4
41.1
36.5

34.2
28.3
23.6
35.2
38.8
35.4

34.1
25.7
20.7
35.8
36.2
33.8

32.2
24.0
18.3
33.7
34.8
32.1

30.2
22.4
17.2
31.5
33.3
30.4

27.9
20.6
15.9
29.0
30.4
28.7

240

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
16.5

15.3

13.2

11.8

10.9

10.4

10.2

10.1

10.2

10.2

16.4
11.0
14.4
10.7
9.1
19.2
18.0
12.6
23.9
17.1
10.9
11.7
12.1
15.3
15.0
12.9
11.8

15.4
11.0
13.5
10.4
8.8
17.6
15.6
12.4
22.0
16.0
10.6
10.2
11.3
13.6
13.8
11.3
11.6

13.5
10.1
11.6
9.7
8.1
15.1
12.1
11.3
18.5
13.3
9.8
8.5
10.2
11.3
11.9
10.3
10.1

12.1
9.7
10.9
9.6
7.8
13.0
11.3
10.4
15.9
11.7
9.1
9.4
9.6
10.3
11.0
10.4
9.6

11.2
10.3
10.8
9.9
8.1
11.5
9.8
10.1
14.0
10.7
9.0
8.9
9.3
9.5
10.3
9.8
10.1

10.7
10.3
10.5
10.2
8.5
10.7
9.4
10.2
12.6
10.5
9.3
8.9
9.2
9.2
10.0
10.0
9.8

10.4
10.3
10.4
10.5
9.0
10.2
9.8
10.6
11.7
10.3
9.7
10.5
9.3
9.3
10.0
10.4
9.4

10.3
10.7
10.6
10.8
9.5
9.9
9.6
10.6
11.2
10.3
10.0
10.4
9.5
9.5
10.1
10.6
9.8

10.3
10.9
10.7
11.1
9.9
9.9
9.8
10.7
10.9
10.4
10.4
10.7
9.8
9.8
10.4
10.9
9.9

10.4
10.9
10.7
11.1
10.1
9.9
10.0
10.9
10.8
10.5
10.6
11.2
9.9
10.0
10.5
11.1
9.9

Caribbean (26)
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

18.5
22.5
14.0
18.9
29.7
23.7
16.7
20.6
17.7

17.0
20.6
12.7
17.2
27.7
21.6
15.2
18.6
16.6

14.6
16.7
10.7
14.0
24.1
18.0
12.9
15.3
14.5

12.9
14.5
9.8
12.1
21.1
15.3
11.2
12.9
12.8

11.7
12.7
9.2
10.8
18.5
13.2
10.2
11.2
11.8

11.0
11.4
9.0
10.0
16.3
11.7
9.8
10.3
11.0

10.6
10.7
9.0
9.7
14.6
10.8
9.6
9.8
10.6

10.4
10.2
9.2
9.7
13.3
10.2
9.7
9.6
10.3

10.3
10.0
9.5
9.8
12.3
9.9
9.8
9.6
10.2

10.3
10.0
9.7
9.9
11.9
9.8
9.9
9.6
10.2

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

15.7
15.8
24.3
13.8
13.2
17.3
18.2
23.4
17.0
22.2
18.1
16.6
13.9
18.2

14.5
14.8
22.8
12.7
12.4
15.9
16.7
22.6
16.8
20.6
16.7
15.6
13.3
16.8

12.6
13.3
19.9
10.9
10.8
13.7
14.2
20.2
13.8
17.7
14.3
13.6
12.2
14.6

11.3
12.3
17.4
9.9
10.2
12.2
12.3
18.3
11.1
15.6
12.4
11.8
11.3
12.8

10.6
11.4
15.3
9.4
9.8
11.2
11.0
17.0
11.2
13.9
11.1
11.1
10.8
11.6

10.1
10.9
13.7
9.2
9.6
10.6
10.3
15.3
10.8
12.5
10.4
10.7
10.6
10.7

10.0
10.7
12.5
9.3
9.7
10.4
9.9
14.2
10.1
11.6
10.0
10.4
10.4
10.3

10.0
10.5
11.6
9.5
9.9
10.3
9.7
13.3
10.5
11.0
9.9
10.4
10.4
10.0

10.1
10.5
11.0
9.9
10.1
10.3
9.7
12.5
10.6
10.6
10.0
10.5
10.5
10.0

10.2
10.5
10.8
10.1
10.2
10.4
9.8
12.1
10.6
10.5
10.0
10.6
10.5
10.0

South America (29)


Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

13.3
11.3
13.5

13.0
11.1
13.2

12.6
10.4
12.9

12.7
10.7
12.9

12.5
11.1
12.7

12.3
10.9
12.5

12.2
10.9
12.4

12.0
11.1
12.1

11.8
10.9
11.9

11.7
10.8
11.8

Northern America (30)


Canada...............................................
United States of America ..................

16.8

16.2

15.0

14.4

13.8

13.0

12.5

12.1

11.7

11.5

Oceania

13.5
13.3
14.1

13.1
12.9
13.7

12.2
12.1
12.6

12.3
12.2
12.6

12.1
12.1
12.4

11.7
11.6
12.0

11.7
11.6
11.9

11.6
11.6
11.9

11.4
11.3
11.6

11.3
11.2
11.5

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

26.1
18.7
14.9
27.2
28.0
27.1

24.7
17.1
14.0
25.7
26.1
25.5

22.0
15.4
12.5
22.8
23.2
22.7

19.5
14.1
11.5
20.0
20.3
20.3

17.4
12.8
10.8
17.8
17.9
18.2

15.7
11.9
10.5
16.0
15.9
16.4

14.2
11.4
10.3
14.4
14.2
14.8

13.1
11.0
10.3
13.3
12.9
13.5

12.2
10.8
10.3
12.4
11.9
12.6

11.9
10.7
10.4
12.0
11.5
12.1

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Latin America and Caribbean

241

Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Micronesia (32)
Guam...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................

39.7
31.8
47.9

40.7
36.0
42.7

35.9
31.5
39.9

34.3
26.9
39.3

31.8
25.9
35.5

30.2
26.0
32.2

27.8
23.9
31.5

24.1
20.7
28.5

21.3
18.5
25.5

20.0
17.6
24.2

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................

46.6
43.3
50.8
47.2

45.8
44.3
47.1
45.8

35.9
36.2
37.5
33.1

33.3
30.5
35.8
34.9

31.8
29.8
33.3
31.5

29.1
25.4
31.1
30.9

27.1
21.2
33.2
28.4

24.6
19.0
29.9
28.6

22.3
17.5
25.9
28.3

20.6
16.4
23.7
25.7

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Seychelles.
2 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3 Including Zanzibar.
4 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
5 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
6 Includes other non-specified areas.
7 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
8 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
10 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
11 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.

242

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

19.0
17.0
23.4

18.0
16.3
22.3

16.0
14.3
19.2

14.0
13.0
15.9

12.9
12.2
14.5

12.2
11.4
13.6

11.4
10.9
11.9

11.0
10.7
11.1

10.8
10.5
11.0

10.7
10.5
10.8

Micronesia (32)
Guam.................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............

19.5
15.2
22.6
23.3

18.9
13.9
22.9
22.6

17.3
11.6
22.4
22.6

15.4
10.6
19.2
19.8

14.2
9.9
17.5
17.1

13.8
9.5
17.2
17.2

12.9
9.5
15.4
15.5

12.1
9.6
13.7
13.5

11.8
9.7
13.0
13.2

11.6
9.9
12.7
12.9

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia...............................
Samoa................................................
Tonga.................................................

Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

243

Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country:
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
36.9

34.6

31.3

27.7

27.0

24.5

22.4

20.8

20.0

19.1

22.4
43.5
48.1
42.9

19.6
40.9
47.5
40.0

16.0
36.8
46.6
35.5

14.5
31.8
45.1
30.0

13.9
30.7
43.5
28.9

12.3
27.7
41.5
25.7

11.2
25.1
39.3
23.0

11.0
23.1
36.9
21.0

11.4
21.9
34.5
19.8

11.4
20.8
32.7
18.7

44.2

42.9

39.3

36.1

33.8

31.2

28.5

26.5

25.0

23.6

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

47.4

47.4

46.9

45.7

44.6

42.9

41.5

40.1

38.3

36.6

Africa

47.7

47.4

46.1

44.3

42.5

40.2

38.4

37.1

35.6

34.0

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (2) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (3) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

49.6
48.4
46.8
50.0
48.4
49.4
51.2
49.0
47.5
42.7
40.7
49.4
49.6
52.9
53.4
51.3
49.0
46.8
48.3

48.9
45.3
48.0
51.2
48.5
48.1
51.0
48.3
49.9
43.7
43.5
48.6
43.1
51.9
51.0
49.3
49.1
48.6
48.2

48.0
44.0
46.8
47.8
46.0
46.8
50.8
48.3
52.3
26.7
47.8
47.2
26.7
51.8
50.4
48.6
48.0
48.5
47.6

46.6
45.3
48.6
44.0
42.4
47.2
48.4
42.2
51.9
20.4
43.8
45.9
23.3
52.2
43.8
49.0
46.0
45.1
44.9

45.8
46.3
39.6
43.1
41.1
48.0
45.1
45.0
49.3
21.8
42.2
43.6
24.1
49.4
45.3
49.4
44.8
44.0
39.5

44.0
44.7
36.6
40.1
40.0
47.5
39.4
44.7
47.0
21.0
33.9
43.4
21.9
40.7
45.6
49.6
43.1
43.5
35.2

42.2
40.0
38.6
34.4
38.1
43.9
38.0
42.8
45.4
18.1
34.2
43.3
20.1
40.7
45.9
48.7
41.7
44.6
31.5

40.4
36.0
40.2
31.2
38.4
38.8
38.7
39.0
43.4
16.3
34.3
43.3
19.6
39.8
45.7
47.9
41.7
44.4
29.7

38.3
34.3
39.0
29.4
37.5
33.3
38.0
36.2
44.0
13.4
34.3
39.4
18.2
40.7
44.2
46.3
41.6
44.5
29.4

36.7
33.3
35.7
28.4
34.4
30.0
36.9
34.6
44.5
12.5
32.6
36.3
16.9
40.6
43.0
43.9
41.0
46.5
28.7

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

46.8
54.0
43.4
41.7
46.4
42.2
47.2
40.9
30.5
47.7

47.1
54.3
44.0
43.8
45.6
42.8
47.4
40.1
31.4
47.0

47.2
51.8
45.2
42.7
47.3
43.1
47.6
36.8
35.4
40.7

48.0
52.8
44.7
42.4
48.1
40.9
49.1
41.7
38.4
40.4

48.2
52.8
42.9
41.9
47.6
38.9
50.1
47.4
38.1
38.8

47.9
52.1
41.0
40.2
47.4
37.8
50.6
45.0
38.0
37.0

46.8
51.0
38.0
39.8
47.6
37.7
49.8
41.3
33.2
35.9

45.6
49.0
38.0
38.3
47.6
37.2
48.2
38.4
29.7
34.8

42.7
43.5
37.2
35.6
45.9
36.0
44.9
37.3
27.4
32.4

40.0
39.9
34.9
34.5
43.4
34.6
42.1
35.9
27.0
29.9

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (4) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

48.7
51.0
48.3
48.0
50.4
46.5
46.4
49.0

47.2
50.4
45.0
49.0
50.1
46.6
46.5
51.5

43.4
48.0
40.2
49.0
45.6
46.2
37.1
44.5

39.4
41.2
38.0
45.6
37.3
43.6
34.0
42.3

35.3
34.8
35.0
29.9
32.0
41.7
30.3
37.4

30.4
28.7
29.1
24.7
27.3
40.1
24.0
32.4

26.9
21.6
26.6
23.0
23.4
38.6
18.4
28.3

25.5
20.7
25.1
24.3
20.9
36.5
16.8
25.1

24.5
20.8
23.9
24.0
20.2
33.8
17.4
23.3

23.0
19.2
22.3
21.7
18.7
31.9
16.5
21.3

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

43.4
47.0
42.1
43.4
43.3
48.1

41.9
46.6
42.3
42.3
41.6
47.9

38.5
45.5
42.8
44.2
37.7
49.3

34.9
42.5
40.4
41.2
33.9
47.7

32.1
37.2
37.6
39.1
31.1
46.1

28.5
32.2
34.7
36.7
27.5
39.9

26.0
28.6
33.7
32.9
25.1
34.1

24.7
25.5
30.7
29.9
24.0
31.8

22.6
24.2
28.5
27.4
21.9
30.1

21.2
22.9
27.1
25.2
20.5
28.7

Western Africa (5)


Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Cte d'Ivoire........................................

46.7
41.0
47.3
49.0
50.8

47.4
46.2
47.9
45.0
52.3

47.8
47.8
48.1
41.1
52.0

46.8
47.7
48.5
41.3
46.9

45.2
47.2
47.7
40.9
42.9

43.5
46.0
46.8
36.5
39.9

42.3
44.0
45.8
31.6
37.6

41.3
42.2
44.9
26.2
36.9

40.1
40.7
43.9
21.9
35.0

38.5
38.3
42.4
19.9
33.0

244

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
18.1

17.1

15.6

14.7

13.8

13.2

12.8

12.5

12.2

12.1 World

11.2
19.5
31.0
17.4

10.9
18.3
29.1
16.2

10.6
16.5
25.6
14.4

11.1
15.3
23.0
13.3

11.1
14.3
20.7
12.4

11.2
13.6
18.8
11.9

11.4
13.1
17.3
11.6

11.5
12.6
16.0
11.4

11.4
12.3
14.9
11.2

11.4
12.2
14.4
11.2

22.1

20.7

18.3

16.7

15.3

14.3

13.6

13.0

12.6

12.4

34.7

32.6

28.9

25.9

23.0

20.6

18.6

16.9

15.6

15.0

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

32.3

30.3

27.0

24.4

21.8

19.7

18.0

16.5

15.2

14.7

Africa

34.8
30.1
32.5
26.9
30.5
27.2
34.5
33.2
44.0
11.8
28.6
34.3
15.5
37.1
42.8
41.3
39.7
46.1
27.2

32.5
26.2
30.6
24.8
27.2
24.8
31.8
31.6
41.4
11.4
26.4
32.8
14.5
32.8
41.5
38.8
37.5
43.7
24.4

29.1
21.1
28.9
20.7
24.1
20.0
28.6
27.9
37.7
10.7
24.6
29.0
13.1
28.9
38.7
34.1
34.5
40.7
19.5

26.3
18.7
25.4
18.6
21.2
16.4
25.8
25.0
35.2
10.1
20.7
25.1
12.2
26.8
35.3
29.5
31.7
38.7
17.3

23.5
15.5
22.6
16.5
17.9
14.0
22.6
22.4
31.1
10.1
17.3
22.3
11.6
22.5
31.9
25.4
28.2
34.8
14.8

21.3
13.6
20.8
14.5
16.0
12.3
20.2
19.9
28.1
10.2
15.2
19.6
11.2
20.0
28.5
22.1
25.2
31.7
13.0

19.5
12.6
18.5
13.4
14.4
11.2
18.0
17.8
25.4
10.4
13.3
17.3
11.1
17.9
25.5
19.2
22.6
28.9
12.2

17.8
11.7
16.7
12.5
13.0
10.7
16.1
16.0
22.6
10.7
11.8
15.5
11.0
15.5
22.8
16.8
20.2
25.9
11.4

16.4
11.2
15.3
11.7
12.2
10.5
14.5
14.5
20.5
11.0
10.9
14.0
11.0
14.0
20.4
15.1
18.2
23.5
11.0

15.8
11.1
14.6
11.5
11.9
10.4
13.8
13.9
19.5
11.1
10.6
13.5
11.1
13.4
19.3
14.3
17.3
22.4
11.0

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (2) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (3) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

37.3
36.8
32.3
32.8
40.7
32.5
39.2
33.6
26.1
27.6

34.6
33.9
29.9
30.6
38.0
30.6
36.3
30.9
24.5
25.4

29.3
28.0
26.3
25.8
32.6
27.7
30.5
26.6
21.5
21.7

24.9
23.2
23.1
22.4
27.6
24.7
25.6
23.3
19.7
18.5

21.2
19.6
20.2
19.3
23.5
21.9
21.7
20.1
17.8
16.1

18.3
16.6
17.9
16.8
20.2
19.6
18.6
17.5
16.2
14.2

16.1
14.6
16.1
15.1
17.6
17.6
16.2
15.6
14.9
12.9

14.4
13.2
14.5
13.8
15.6
15.9
14.5
14.0
13.8
11.9

13.2
12.2
13.4
12.8
14.1
14.5
13.2
12.9
13.0
11.3

12.7
11.8
12.9
12.4
13.5
13.9
12.8
12.4
12.6
11.1

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

21.1
17.0
20.2
18.5
17.2
29.9
15.2
19.2

19.2
14.6
18.3
15.3
15.5
28.0
13.5
16.9

16.6
11.6
15.9
13.0
12.7
24.4
10.8
13.2

15.0
11.2
14.0
12.3
11.5
21.3
10.9
12.3

13.5
10.3
12.3
10.5
10.7
18.7
10.6
11.5

12.4
9.7
11.3
9.7
9.9
16.5
9.7
10.4

11.8
10.0
10.6
10.2
9.8
14.8
10.1
10.3

11.3
10.2
10.1
10.0
10.0
13.5
10.7
10.5

10.9
10.2
10.0
9.8
10.1
12.5
10.5
10.2

10.8
10.4
10.0
10.0
10.2
12.0
10.5
10.2

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (4) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

19.9
21.3
25.6
23.6
19.3
26.8

18.7
19.7
23.8
22.1
18.1
24.6

16.7
17.0
20.5
18.9
16.3
21.0

15.0
15.5
18.6
16.3
14.6
18.6

13.7
13.7
16.5
14.5
13.4
16.0

12.7
12.6
14.9
13.0
12.5
14.1

12.0
12.1
13.9
12.0
11.8
12.9

11.6
11.6
13.1
11.5
11.5
12.1

11.4
11.3
12.5
11.2
11.3
11.6

11.3
11.3
12.3
11.1
11.3
11.5

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

36.8
35.9
40.7
18.2
31.2

34.5
33.6
38.0
16.4
29.2

30.8
29.6
33.6
12.9
25.4

27.5
26.0
30.1
11.0
22.1

24.4
22.9
26.6
9.9
19.5

21.7
20.2
23.6
9.2
17.1

19.5
18.0
21.2
9.1
15.3

17.6
16.1
18.9
9.2
13.8

16.0
14.6
17.1
9.5
12.7

15.3
13.9
16.3
9.7
12.3

Western Africa (5)


Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Cte d'Ivoire......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

245

Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
43.7
44.7
47.2
54.9
46.7
48.4
48.6
52.6
46.1
45.2
48.8
47.2

50.2
47.4
48.5
42.3
48.6
49.1
49.3
55.5
46.0
49.7
48.5
48.0

52.0
46.1
48.5
55.7
48.9
49.3
46.5
55.8
46.7
50.5
45.5
48.6

50.5
42.4
48.0
47.9
48.8
49.4
42.6
55.4
46.4
47.1
42.8
46.2

48.1
40.2
47.2
45.8
47.2
48.9
41.3
55.9
44.8
45.0
43.0
43.8

46.5
37.7
45.5
45.2
45.0
48.7
40.0
55.5
43.0
42.9
44.3
41.1

44.7
35.0
43.4
42.8
44.0
49.1
38.2
53.5
42.2
40.8
44.6
38.5

42.4
33.8
41.5
41.1
42.4
49.0
36.6
51.3
41.5
39.8
42.7
35.9

39.3
32.6
39.9
39.3
40.5
47.6
34.8
49.5
40.4
38.6
40.6
33.2

36.9
30.3
37.6
37.4
37.6
45.0
32.7
47.7
39.3
35.9
36.5
31.0

41.8

38.5

34.6

28.8

28.0

24.8

22.0

19.8

18.6

17.5

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ...............
China, Macao SAR (9) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

39.4
42.1
39.0
34.0
23.8
23.8
40.0
35.8

34.3
36.5
34.6
25.1
32.8
17.2
47.9
39.9

30.0
31.4
20.4
10.0
30.2
19.0
43.0
30.4

20.6
21.5
15.4
19.9
21.6
12.8
38.1
20.4

21.7
23.2
13.1
21.9
20.0
11.2
36.6
15.5

17.9
18.7
12.0
15.7
21.5
9.9
27.6
16.0

15.3
16.0
8.0
11.2
19.8
9.5
22.1
13.6

13.0
13.5
7.0
7.6
16.3
8.9
19.1
10.2

12.2
12.6
8.2
9.0
14.6
8.6
23.4
10.0

11.6
11.9
8.8
10.2
14.2
8.5
22.7
9.9

South-Central Asia (10)

43.7

41.6

38.7

36.3

34.2

31.2

28.0

25.2

23.6

21.8

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

38.4
33.2
35.6
44.7
43.2
42.4

39.7
32.9
37.9
48.5
44.5
44.9

31.7
25.9
31.1
39.7
37.1
35.0

31.9
24.9
32.7
38.6
35.2
35.8

32.3
24.6
33.2
40.2
35.7
36.0

29.0
20.6
28.9
37.2
32.5
32.6

23.5
16.2
24.2
32.7
24.5
25.6

21.2
16.7
21.0
29.4
23.3
21.6

22.6
21.4
24.0
28.1
22.0
21.7

21.9
20.6
24.0
27.7
21.2
20.8

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

43.9
52.9
48.3
47.9
43.3
50.6
43.2
42.9
42.0
37.4

41.7
52.8
47.5
48.5
40.4
46.5
55.0
43.9
43.5
35.5

39.0
52.1
46.5
47.0
37.5
40.8
47.4
43.1
42.8
29.1

36.5
51.8
42.4
42.7
34.5
44.4
47.8
40.7
42.6
25.6

34.3
52.2
38.1
40.4
32.5
38.6
45.4
39.3
42.1
21.6

31.3
52.6
33.3
35.2
30.0
28.5
35.6
37.7
38.2
19.6

28.2
52.4
29.1
29.2
27.2
21.1
25.1
35.0
34.4
17.8

25.3
48.4
25.4
25.2
24.8
18.0
19.7
30.9
28.9
18.7

23.6
45.1
21.5
21.5
23.1
17.7
17.2
25.6
28.1
19.0

21.8
42.3
19.5
19.6
21.3
16.2
16.5
23.2
26.3
17.0

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (11) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

44.3
49.6
45.4
42.7
44.8
42.7
47.5
48.6
46.5
42.5
46.5
44.8

43.5
41.9
44.9
43.7
42.4
40.8
41.9
43.0
33.6
42.3
45.9
46.2

37.7
37.4
39.9
38.4
42.5
31.4
39.2
38.3
22.1
34.6
40.0
39.1

32.0
29.9
56.9
31.8
42.2
29.5
31.5
35.6
16.0
24.1
44.0
34.1

28.8
29.8
46.7
27.5
42.1
28.7
29.2
34.0
17.9
20.4
42.1
31.4

25.8
28.1
40.3
24.5
40.0
27.5
25.0
31.8
18.7
18.0
44.5
27.3

22.4
23.9
30.3
21.9
33.6
25.3
22.3
30.2
14.4
15.6
46.1
19.0

20.9
21.9
25.1
21.0
27.8
23.1
19.3
29.0
10.2
14.1
40.4
17.2

19.2
20.1
23.3
19.1
24.1
20.9
17.9
25.9
8.9
12.9
39.4
17.2

17.8
18.2
21.6
17.4
21.8
19.8
16.7
24.5
9.5
11.5
37.6
15.9

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (12) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (13) .........................................
Georgia (14) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................

45.6
33.7
40.6
45.0
27.8
24.4
53.2

42.5
33.7
40.5
45.7
24.8
23.3
43.3

38.8
22.2
26.1
35.1
18.8
18.5
43.6

36.3
23.6
26.0
32.9
20.6
18.0
39.1

32.8
22.6
26.5
31.3
19.6
17.5
38.8

30.3
19.1
26.1
26.3
18.1
15.5
38.2

27.6
13.5
18.9
23.1
14.6
12.7
37.9

25.2
14.2
17.3
21.1
12.3
11.9
37.5

24.2
15.2
19.5
20.7
11.9
12.2
36.6

22.8
15.0
19.5
17.9
11.5
11.5
34.1

Asia (6)

246

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
34.5
28.1
35.3
35.7
35.0
42.5
30.6
46.4
37.8
33.3
33.5
28.7

32.2
26.2
33.1
33.8
32.9
39.6
28.6
43.9
35.5
31.0
31.1
26.5

27.8
23.3
28.9
30.0
29.5
34.8
25.5
39.2
31.8
27.3
26.6
22.6

23.9
20.7
25.3
26.8
25.9
30.3
22.6
34.9
28.5
23.9
22.3
19.5

20.8
18.3
22.1
24.0
22.9
26.2
20.1
30.8
25.2
20.9
19.1
17.0

18.3
16.3
19.5
21.6
20.5
22.9
18.1
27.1
22.5
18.6
16.7
15.0

16.2
14.7
17.3
19.7
18.3
20.2
16.3
24.0
20.2
16.5
14.8
13.5

14.5
13.4
15.5
18.0
16.4
17.9
14.8
21.4
18.1
14.8
13.6
12.4

13.3
12.4
14.1
16.6
14.9
16.1
13.6
19.1
16.4
13.5
12.7
11.7

12.8
12.0
13.5
15.9
14.3
15.3
13.1
18.1
15.7
13.0
12.4
11.4

16.2

15.0

13.2

12.2

11.3

10.8

10.6

10.5

10.5

10.5

10.6
10.8
9.1
10.5
14.4
8.2
20.9
9.8

9.8
9.9
9.2
9.9
14.3
8.0
18.4
9.6

9.0
9.1
8.2
8.3
12.4
8.2
15.7
8.8

8.8
8.8
8.5
8.6
11.7
8.6
16.3
8.4

8.8
8.7
9.9
9.2
12.0
8.9
14.6
9.0

9.1
9.0
9.9
9.2
11.3
9.3
13.7
9.4

9.5
9.4
9.9
9.6
11.3
9.8
14.1
9.6

10.0
9.9
10.7
10.3
11.6
10.1
13.4
10.1

10.4
10.3
10.8
10.5
11.3
10.3
13.0
10.5

10.5
10.5
10.7
10.5
11.3
10.4
13.1
10.5

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .............
China, Macao SAR (9) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

20.1

18.3

15.6

13.7

12.2

11.2

10.7

10.3

10.2

10.2

South-Central Asia (10)

20.3
19.0
22.4
26.4
19.7
19.3

18.2
16.9
19.9
24.1
17.6
17.1

15.2
15.7
18.0
19.6
14.2
13.4

14.6
16.6
17.2
17.6
13.0
12.3

13.0
14.7
15.5
15.3
11.7
11.1

12.1
14.2
14.9
13.3
10.7
10.0

12.0
14.4
14.3
12.3
10.6
10.0

11.6
13.4
13.8
11.4
10.4
10.0

11.5
13.2
13.5
10.9
10.4
10.0

11.6
13.2
13.3
10.7
10.5
10.2

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

20.0
39.6
17.7
17.6
19.6
13.6
14.8
21.4
24.2
15.1

18.4
36.8
15.9
15.6
18.0
11.0
12.4
19.6
21.9
13.7

15.6
30.6
12.7
12.4
15.5
9.2
9.0
15.9
17.8
12.9

13.7
25.6
10.8
10.8
13.6
9.5
8.8
13.5
15.4
12.0

12.2
21.8
9.8
9.7
12.1
8.4
8.2
11.9
13.2
10.8

11.2
18.5
9.3
9.2
11.1
8.5
7.5
10.8
11.7
10.7

10.6
16.0
9.1
9.2
10.5
9.3
8.1
10.3
10.9
10.5

10.3
14.2
9.2
9.4
10.2
9.5
8.5
10.0
10.5
10.3

10.2
12.9
9.5
9.6
10.0
10.0
8.9
10.0
10.3
10.5

10.2
12.3
9.7
9.8
10.0
10.4
9.2
10.0
10.3
10.6

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

16.4
16.5
19.7
15.7
20.2
18.7
15.4
23.2
9.6
10.4
37.2
14.1

15.2
15.1
17.5
14.4
18.4
17.7
14.1
22.0
9.8
9.8
35.3
12.2

13.3
13.3
13.9
12.6
14.3
15.7
11.9
19.3
9.3
9.4
28.7
10.3

12.2
12.1
12.2
11.3
11.9
13.9
10.9
16.8
8.1
9.0
24.2
10.1

11.3
11.3
10.9
10.6
10.7
12.8
10.6
14.9
9.1
9.0
21.1
9.3

10.8
11.1
10.1
10.2
9.8
12.0
10.2
13.4
9.8
9.4
17.6
9.1

10.6
11.2
10.0
10.2
9.5
11.3
10.3
12.2
9.4
9.8
15.3
9.6

10.5
11.3
10.0
10.2
9.6
10.9
10.6
11.4
10.0
10.1
13.8
9.7

10.5
11.6
10.1
10.4
9.8
10.7
10.7
10.9
10.6
10.5
12.5
10.1

10.6
11.8
10.2
10.5
9.9
10.7
10.8
10.7
10.6
10.7
12.0
10.4

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (11) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

21.3
13.3
17.1
14.6
11.1
10.4
32.1

19.8
11.6
14.0
12.2
10.8
9.3
30.4

17.5
10.8
13.1
10.9
9.8
8.6
27.1

16.1
10.8
13.8
10.9
9.5
9.1
24.0

14.7
10.0
12.1
9.6
9.5
8.8
21.4

13.8
10.0
12.5
9.5
9.3
9.2
19.2

13.1
10.4
12.6
9.9
9.7
9.8
17.2

12.4
10.4
12.1
9.6
10.2
10.0
15.6

11.9
10.7
12.3
9.6
10.4
10.4
14.2

11.7
10.9
12.3
9.7
10.5
10.6
13.5

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (12) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (13) .......................................
Georgia (14) ......................................
Iraq ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (6)

247

Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
33.0
47.4
43.7
39.9
46.0
48.9
47.5
47.9
51.2
48.4
49.4
47.6

25.5
53.6
43.4
37.6
52.1
49.3
41.0
47.6
48.5
44.3
46.3
48.6

27.4
49.0
47.6
31.9
48.8
49.1
34.8
46.4
46.3
38.7
32.6
51.2

23.7
39.7
37.1
29.5
44.9
48.9
33.2
42.7
42.8
33.8
30.5
57.9

22.7
37.5
26.5
26.7
43.1
43.3
25.4
38.3
38.4
27.7
28.4
53.9

21.4
33.9
18.0
24.8
45.9
33.1
22.8
33.5
33.3
25.1
22.9
49.1

21.4
32.0
24.1
22.6
40.9
26.7
19.2
29.7
29.7
22.6
18.1
42.7

21.2
28.1
18.5
17.7
36.2
21.5
18.8
24.7
26.2
19.7
16.2
39.9

21.1
26.4
18.7
15.9
33.8
19.1
14.1
22.1
23.9
18.7
14.0
38.6

20.5
23.7
17.4
14.9
32.4
16.9
11.6
21.4
21.9
16.9
12.3
37.2

21.4

19.1

15.6

14.3

13.7

11.5

10.2

10.2

10.8

10.8

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

25.8
22.9
21.1
19.4
21.4
30.1
29.4
24.9
26.5
27.3
25.4

19.4
21.3
16.6
14.9
13.2
19.4
24.4
16.3
21.0
20.6
18.6

16.2
16.0
16.2
17.1
15.9
17.7
18.5
19.4
15.3
19.3
15.7

16.5
16.7
13.9
14.0
12.7
19.1
21.6
15.8
16.8
18.3
15.2

15.6
15.9
13.0
13.0
12.2
16.0
21.2
16.1
16.1
16.4
14.6

11.5
12.1
10.2
11.6
11.8
13.3
15.5
11.4
10.8
14.0
11.4

9.3
9.4
8.4
8.7
9.8
10.5
12.7
10.5
8.9
10.9
8.6

9.5
9.3
8.7
9.0
9.4
9.4
11.5
10.0
9.9
9.7
8.4

10.8
10.7
9.9
10.7
9.8
10.2
12.3
10.2
11.4
10.1
10.4

11.3
11.2
10.0
10.9
10.1
10.9
12.1
10.3
11.8
10.7
10.9

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (19) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (20) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

16.6
14.6
17.8
17.3
22.8
27.9
22.1
16.4
21.6
18.7
15.5
15.4

17.8
17.1
17.3
15.8
18.1
25.7
22.7
15.6
20.4
17.4
14.7
18.0

14.2
13.5
14.5
15.4
13.1
20.9
22.9
14.4
16.6
15.8
13.6
13.6

13.0
11.5
10.4
15.4
13.4
18.2
19.1
15.1
15.8
12.3
11.3
12.9

13.7
12.0
11.3
15.6
12.6
17.4
15.5
15.5
15.9
13.3
12.9
13.7

13.2
12.1
12.8
11.2
12.9
17.4
13.8
11.3
13.5
14.0
13.6
13.2

12.1
11.1
12.7
9.1
11.5
15.5
14.5
8.0
10.6
13.4
10.3
12.4

11.4
10.2
12.0
9.8
11.0
14.4
15.3
8.7
9.1
12.4
10.8
11.4

12.2
9.3
11.8
11.7
11.2
14.8
16.4
10.2
10.1
12.6
11.9
12.2

12.1
9.3
11.3
12.1
11.4
14.7
15.6
11.0
10.8
12.3
12.0
12.1

Southern Europe (21)


Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (22) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (23) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ........................

21.1
39.3
37.1
22.6
19.4
18.2
28.5
16.1
23.9
27.0
22.0
20.6
37.4

20.3
39.2
31.1
17.6
18.1
18.4
21.7
13.3
23.8
20.3
17.8
20.9
29.1

17.9
31.4
21.3
15.0
15.9
16.3
16.8
9.9
19.8
18.5
16.7
19.3
22.5

13.3
26.8
18.2
14.7
13.7
10.9
18.0
8.8
14.6
17.4
14.6
13.3
20.1

11.6
25.4
17.1
13.1
10.7
9.9
16.8
8.2
12.0
16.0
12.6
10.8
18.1

10.7
23.4
12.9
10.7
10.0
9.7
14.5
13.7
11.3
13.7
10.1
9.8
16.4

10.1
19.2
12.4
10.5
9.7
9.2
12.1
13.7
11.1
12.2
9.2
9.4
13.8

10.0
15.0
9.8
9.2
9.5
9.2
9.4
13.2
10.8
12.3
8.9
10.3
11.9

10.2
12.9
8.9
9.5
10.4
9.4
9.3
12.6
9.8
11.6
9.8
10.9
11.1

9.8
12.8
8.2
9.8
10.1
9.1
9.1
12.0
8.8
11.0
9.9
10.6
10.5

Western Europe (25)


Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................

17.4
14.9
16.6
19.1
15.9
14.7
22.0
17.2

18.2
18.5
16.9
18.3
17.8
16.0
21.1
18.9

13.5
13.6
14.0
16.1
11.3
11.7
15.3
14.3

12.2
12.0
12.1
14.2
10.8
11.6
12.2
11.6

12.1
11.4
11.7
13.7
11.1
12.0
12.6
11.9

11.3
11.5
11.5
12.8
9.9
13.1
12.8
12.0

11.0
10.2
11.0
12.7
9.6
13.1
12.4
11.2

10.7
9.7
11.2
12.9
8.8
11.8
12.4
10.1

10.4
9.1
11.5
12.8
8.4
11.4
11.3
9.9

10.3
8.6
11.4
12.4
8.7
11.8
10.8
10.0

Europe

248

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
19.0
21.6
15.9
13.9
31.1
14.7
8.8
19.9
20.7
15.4
10.3
34.1

17.6
19.8
14.9
12.9
29.2
12.5
6.7
17.6
19.6
14.0
8.7
31.1

16.6
16.6
14.6
10.8
24.8
10.1
6.6
13.8
16.4
12.1
7.5
26.7

15.8
13.7
13.5
9.9
21.8
9.0
6.6
12.2
13.1
10.9
7.6
23.6

14.2
11.8
12.7
9.5
19.3
8.4
6.0
10.7
11.7
10.1
7.4
20.3

13.1
10.7
12.7
9.2
16.8
8.4
6.3
9.7
10.5
9.8
7.7
17.8

12.4
10.0
12.4
9.4
15.1
8.5
6.8
9.5
9.7
9.8
8.3
16.0

11.6
9.7
12.2
9.7
13.6
8.8
6.9
9.4
9.6
9.9
8.7
14.4

10.9
9.7
12.1
10.0
12.4
9.2
7.3
9.4
9.5
10.0
9.0
13.3

10.7
9.7
12.0
10.2
12.0
9.5
7.5
9.5
9.5
10.2
9.2
12.9

10.6

10.1

9.9

10.5

10.5

10.7

11.1

11.2

11.2

11.2

10.9
10.8
9.6
10.6
10.1
10.9
11.1
10.0
11.2
10.8
10.6

10.1
10.0
9.0
10.0
10.0
10.4
9.8
9.4
10.2
10.4
9.9

9.5
9.4
8.9
9.1
9.6
8.8
8.8
9.0
9.9
9.0
9.3

10.6
10.6
9.9
10.3
10.2
9.6
9.5
9.6
11.2
9.5
10.7

10.5
10.4
9.7
10.7
10.7
10.4
8.8
9.6
10.8
10.3
10.5

10.6
10.6
10.1
10.4
10.7
9.9
9.2
9.9
11.0
10.1
10.6

11.4
11.4
11.1
11.0
11.0
10.3
10.1
10.6
11.8
10.4
11.5

11.5
11.5
11.1
11.5
11.4
11.3
10.2
10.8
11.7
11.3
11.5

11.5
11.5
11.3
11.1
11.4
11.1
10.7
11.0
11.7
11.2
11.5

11.6
11.7
11.5
11.0
11.3
10.9
11.0
11.2
11.9
11.1
11.7

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

12.1
9.4
11.5
11.8
11.4
14.4
14.3
11.1
11.2
12.3
12.2
12.2

12.0
9.5
11.8
10.9
11.3
13.8
13.1
10.4
11.0
12.4
12.0
12.1

11.5
9.4
11.8
9.8
10.8
12.6
12.5
8.9
9.3
12.0
11.1
11.6

11.6
9.4
11.3
11.5
11.2
12.6
13.0
10.6
10.3
11.8
11.7
11.6

11.6
10.2
11.5
11.3
11.5
12.3
12.3
10.8
11.1
12.0
11.8
11.6

11.4
10.6
11.7
10.7
11.3
11.8
11.8
10.1
10.4
12.0
11.4
11.4

11.5
10.8
11.4
11.7
11.4
11.8
12.1
11.2
11.0
11.8
11.5
11.4

11.5
11.2
11.5
11.9
11.5
11.8
12.0
11.7
11.8
11.8
11.6
11.4

11.4
11.4
11.6
11.3
11.4
11.5
11.5
11.2
11.4
11.6
11.3
11.4

11.3
11.3
11.5
11.4
11.3
11.4
11.5
11.2
11.3
11.5
11.2
11.3

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Finland (19) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (20) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

9.2
12.1
7.8
9.8
9.6
8.7
8.9
11.2
7.9
10.3
9.6
9.6
9.8

8.8
11.2
7.8
9.6
9.1
8.5
8.8
10.6
7.6
9.8
9.1
8.8
9.4

8.9
9.3
7.4
9.2
9.3
8.7
8.3
10.1
8.0
9.6
8.7
9.0
8.7

9.4
8.5
7.2
9.6
10.0
9.2
8.3
10.0
8.0
9.5
9.6
9.8
8.6

9.3
8.3
7.6
9.9
9.9
9.4
8.8
9.7
7.9
9.3
9.8
9.4
8.7

9.6
8.0
8.1
10.0
10.2
9.8
9.1
9.8
8.6
9.6
9.9
9.5
8.9

10.2
8.2
8.7
10.5
10.8
10.3
9.6
10.1
9.2
9.9
10.6
10.3
9.4

10.4
8.9
9.4
10.8
10.9
10.5
10.2
10.3
9.5
10.1
10.8
10.4
9.9

10.5
9.4
10.0
10.9
10.8
10.6
10.6
10.5
10.0
10.5
10.7
10.3
10.2

10.6
9.7
10.2
11.0
10.9
10.7
10.7
10.6
10.3
10.6
10.7
10.5
10.4

Southern Europe (21)


Albania..............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Greece ...............................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
Serbia (22) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (23) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ......................

10.4
8.6
11.2
12.2
9.0
11.9
10.7
10.1

10.4
8.8
11.1
11.9
9.1
12.0
10.9
10.1

10.3
8.7
11.1
11.8
8.9
11.7
11.1
9.4

10.5
8.7
11.5
11.9
9.3
11.2
10.7
9.3

10.9
9.3
11.6
11.8
10.2
11.1
11.0
9.9

11.1
9.8
11.7
11.8
10.5
11.2
11.4
10.2

11.2
10.0
11.8
11.8
10.8
11.1
11.3
10.2

11.3
10.3
11.8
11.6
11.1
11.1
11.2
10.6

11.3
10.5
11.6
11.4
11.1
11.1
11.4
10.8

11.2
10.5
11.5
11.4
11.0
11.1
11.3
10.7

Western Europe (25)


Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

249

Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Latin America and Caribbean

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
42.7

41.1

35.1

30.7

27.9

25.3

23.2

21.4

19.3

17.8

Caribbean (26)
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
US Virgin Islands ................................

39.4
44.3
33.7
34.4
31.6
54.4
39.8
40.7
45.7
34.7
41.5
42.0
37.3
46.9
49.5
38.9
37.1

39.4
32.9
33.6
29.2
35.5
49.6
41.0
35.6
43.5
41.6
35.3
30.3
32.2
45.9
46.3
36.4
41.5

31.4
22.9
27.2
20.5
26.5
39.1
29.1
28.3
38.2
32.8
26.0
21.2
25.0
37.6
38.2
26.8
41.4

27.2
22.3
27.1
17.6
16.6
33.3
32.5
19.9
42.8
29.1
17.1
21.2
20.5
34.0
29.2
28.4
30.8

26.1
20.8
24.1
16.5
17.7
31.0
31.6
20.5
39.2
26.8
18.0
20.3
18.6
30.5
25.9
24.8
24.5

23.8
18.1
23.5
15.3
15.5
28.6
24.8
17.8
35.6
24.9
16.5
19.4
17.5
26.3
24.0
18.2
23.4

21.6
15.4
20.1
12.9
13.6
25.7
20.7
17.1
32.5
23.0
15.1
16.4
15.4
21.8
21.4
15.1
17.8

20.0
13.3
15.6
11.0
12.5
24.3
18.8
15.6
29.5
21.0
14.5
14.7
13.9
18.1
18.6
14.5
14.3

18.6
12.0
15.7
10.9
10.5
22.7
19.3
14.8
27.6
19.1
12.7
13.8
13.6
18.1
17.7
14.9
13.0

17.5
11.1
15.2
10.9
9.6
20.9
19.3
13.2
25.7
17.9
11.6
13.1
12.9
16.9
16.4
14.3
12.1

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

48.3
51.2
44.6
46.7
50.4
52.2
48.1
55.0
40.0

45.4
43.5
44.3
47.8
46.2
49.8
45.0
48.8
40.5

42.0
42.7
30.4
42.0
44.0
45.9
42.0
46.3
35.5

33.6
40.6
30.0
36.0
42.2
42.2
31.8
42.8
28.6

30.9
38.0
28.9
33.0
39.5
39.5
29.2
38.1
27.3

28.9
35.9
24.7
30.5
38.9
37.2
27.2
35.4
25.1

25.5
31.7
21.4
27.4
37.3
33.4
23.6
30.1
24.1

23.9
27.9
18.8
22.0
35.8
30.0
22.4
26.2
22.7

22.1
25.2
16.3
20.7
33.3
27.7
20.6
24.8
20.8

20.2
24.0
15.3
20.0
31.5
25.8
18.5
22.8
19.1

South America (29)


Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

41.2
25.4
47.0
44.1
36.1
47.2
45.6
36.8
49.4
44.3
47.2
48.0
21.2
46.5

39.8
23.2
46.0
42.2
37.7
43.9
44.2
31.9
41.5
41.3
46.5
44.8
21.9
45.1

33.1
23.4
45.2
33.7
27.3
34.6
40.6
30.4
34.1
35.6
40.5
34.9
21.1
35.1

30.0
23.1
38.3
30.8
23.3
30.3
34.7
29.1
28.7
37.3
33.6
30.0
18.3
32.0

26.9
22.1
36.8
26.3
23.6
28.1
30.9
30.3
26.4
34.9
31.2
25.4
18.2
30.3

24.1
21.2
35.8
22.6
21.9
26.3
27.5
31.7
23.5
32.0
28.4
22.5
18.2
26.9

22.4
19.7
32.6
21.5
18.0
24.0
25.6
29.6
22.0
29.3
25.3
23.6
16.9
24.5

20.6
18.0
30.3
19.8
15.7
22.0
23.6
27.9
20.1
26.9
23.0
21.0
15.9
22.9

18.2
17.5
27.4
16.4
14.7
20.6
21.6
25.0
18.8
24.8
21.3
19.1
15.1
21.4

16.9
16.8
25.8
15.0
14.0
18.9
19.8
24.0
17.4
23.7
19.6
17.8
14.5
19.8

Northern America (30)


Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................

24.6
27.8
24.3

22.0
24.6
21.8

15.7
15.6
15.7

15.4
14.8
15.5

15.5
14.2
15.7

15.1
13.8
15.3

13.9
11.6
14.2

13.7
10.6
14.1

13.7
11.2
14.0

13.5
11.3
13.7

Oceania

27.5

26.5

24.4

20.4

19.8

19.5

18.7

17.8

18.0

17.3

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

23.5
23.0
25.7

22.6
21.9
25.9

19.8
19.6
20.8

15.6
15.5
15.9

15.3
15.0
16.6

15.0
14.7
16.6

13.7
13.4
14.9

13.0
12.7
14.1

13.8
13.6
14.9

13.7
13.5
14.3

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

42.9
46.5
34.9
42.5
39.4
50.4

41.8
42.3
34.2
41.8
41.0
46.9

43.2
33.1
36.9
45.4
47.1
41.3

37.2
33.1
25.7
38.0
42.2
38.2

34.6
29.7
23.7
35.4
41.1
36.5

34.2
28.3
23.6
35.2
38.8
35.4

34.1
25.7
20.7
35.8
36.2
33.8

32.2
24.0
18.3
33.7
34.8
32.1

30.2
22.4
17.2
31.5
33.3
30.4

27.9
20.6
15.9
29.0
30.4
28.7

250

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
16.5

15.3

13.2

11.8

10.9

10.4

10.2

10.1

10.2

10.2

16.4
11.0
14.4
10.7
9.1
19.2
18.0
12.6
23.9
17.1
10.9
11.7
12.1
15.3
15.0
12.9
11.8

15.4
11.0
13.5
10.4
8.8
17.6
15.6
12.4
22.0
16.0
10.6
10.2
11.3
13.6
13.8
11.3
11.6

13.5
10.1
11.6
9.7
8.1
15.1
12.1
11.3
18.5
13.3
9.8
8.5
10.2
11.3
11.9
10.3
10.1

12.1
9.7
10.9
9.6
7.8
13.0
11.3
10.4
15.9
11.7
9.1
9.4
9.6
10.3
11.0
10.4
9.6

11.2
10.3
10.8
9.9
8.1
11.5
9.8
10.1
14.0
10.7
9.0
8.9
9.3
9.5
10.3
9.8
10.1

10.7
10.3
10.5
10.2
8.5
10.7
9.4
10.2
12.6
10.5
9.3
8.9
9.2
9.2
10.0
10.0
9.8

10.4
10.3
10.4
10.5
9.0
10.2
9.8
10.6
11.7
10.3
9.7
10.5
9.3
9.3
10.0
10.4
9.4

10.3
10.7
10.6
10.8
9.5
9.9
9.6
10.6
11.2
10.3
10.0
10.4
9.5
9.5
10.1
10.6
9.8

10.3
10.9
10.7
11.1
9.9
9.9
9.8
10.7
10.9
10.4
10.4
10.7
9.8
9.8
10.4
10.9
9.9

10.4
10.9
10.7
11.1
10.1
9.9
10.0
10.9
10.8
10.5
10.6
11.2
9.9
10.0
10.5
11.1
9.9

Caribbean (26)
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

18.5
22.5
14.0
18.9
29.7
23.7
16.7
20.6
17.7

17.0
20.6
12.7
17.2
27.7
21.6
15.2
18.6
16.6

14.6
16.7
10.7
14.0
24.1
18.0
12.9
15.3
14.5

12.9
14.5
9.8
12.1
21.1
15.3
11.2
12.9
12.8

11.7
12.7
9.2
10.8
18.5
13.2
10.2
11.2
11.8

11.0
11.4
9.0
10.0
16.3
11.7
9.8
10.3
11.0

10.6
10.7
9.0
9.7
14.6
10.8
9.6
9.8
10.6

10.4
10.2
9.2
9.7
13.3
10.2
9.7
9.6
10.3

10.3
10.0
9.5
9.8
12.3
9.9
9.8
9.6
10.2

10.3
10.0
9.7
9.9
11.9
9.8
9.9
9.6
10.2

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

15.7
15.8
24.3
13.8
13.2
17.3
18.2
23.4
17.0
22.2
18.1
16.6
13.9
18.2

14.5
14.8
22.8
12.7
12.4
15.9
16.7
22.6
16.8
20.6
16.7
15.6
13.3
16.8

12.6
13.3
19.9
10.9
10.8
13.7
14.2
20.2
13.8
17.7
14.3
13.6
12.2
14.6

11.3
12.3
17.4
9.9
10.2
12.2
12.3
18.3
11.1
15.6
12.4
11.8
11.3
12.8

10.6
11.4
15.3
9.4
9.8
11.2
11.0
17.0
11.2
13.9
11.1
11.1
10.8
11.6

10.1
10.9
13.7
9.2
9.6
10.6
10.3
15.3
10.8
12.5
10.4
10.7
10.6
10.7

10.0
10.7
12.5
9.3
9.7
10.4
9.9
14.2
10.1
11.6
10.0
10.4
10.4
10.3

10.0
10.5
11.6
9.5
9.9
10.3
9.7
13.3
10.5
11.0
9.9
10.4
10.4
10.0

10.1
10.5
11.0
9.9
10.1
10.3
9.7
12.5
10.6
10.6
10.0
10.5
10.5
10.0

10.2
10.5
10.8
10.1
10.2
10.4
9.8
12.1
10.6
10.5
10.0
10.6
10.5
10.0

South America (29)


Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

13.3
11.3
13.5

13.0
11.1
13.2

12.6
10.4
12.9

12.7
10.7
12.9

12.5
11.1
12.7

12.3
10.9
12.5

12.2
10.9
12.4

12.0
11.1
12.1

11.8
10.9
11.9

11.7
10.8
11.8

Northern America (30)


Canada...............................................
United States of America ..................

16.8

16.2

15.0

14.4

13.8

13.0

12.5

12.1

11.7

11.5

Oceania

13.5
13.3
14.1

13.1
12.9
13.7

12.2
12.1
12.6

12.3
12.2
12.6

12.1
12.1
12.4

11.7
11.6
12.0

11.7
11.6
11.9

11.6
11.6
11.9

11.4
11.3
11.6

11.3
11.2
11.5

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

26.1
18.7
14.9
27.2
28.0
27.1

24.7
17.1
14.0
25.7
26.1
25.5

22.0
15.4
12.5
22.8
23.2
22.7

19.5
14.1
11.5
20.0
20.3
20.3

17.4
12.8
10.8
17.8
17.9
18.2

15.7
11.9
10.5
16.0
15.9
16.4

14.2
11.4
10.3
14.4
14.2
14.8

13.1
11.0
10.3
13.3
12.9
13.5

12.2
10.8
10.3
12.4
11.9
12.6

11.9
10.7
10.4
12.0
11.5
12.1

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Latin America and Caribbean

251

Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Micronesia (32)
Guam...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................

39.7
31.8
47.9

40.7
36.0
42.7

35.9
31.5
39.9

34.3
26.9
39.3

31.8
25.9
35.5

30.2
26.0
32.2

27.8
23.9
31.5

24.1
20.7
28.5

21.3
18.5
25.5

20.0
17.6
24.2

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................

46.6
43.3
50.8
47.2

45.8
44.3
47.1
45.8

35.9
36.2
37.5
33.1

33.3
30.5
35.8
34.9

31.8
29.8
33.3
31.5

29.1
25.4
31.1
30.9

27.1
21.2
33.2
28.4

24.6
19.0
29.9
28.6

22.3
17.5
25.9
28.3

20.6
16.4
23.7
25.7

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Seychelles.
2 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3 Including Zanzibar.
4 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
5 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
6 Includes other non-specified areas.
7 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
8 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
10 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
11 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.

252

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

19.0
17.0
23.4

18.0
16.3
22.3

16.0
14.3
19.2

14.0
13.0
15.9

12.9
12.2
14.5

12.2
11.4
13.6

11.4
10.9
11.9

11.0
10.7
11.1

10.8
10.5
11.0

10.7
10.5
10.8

Micronesia (32)
Guam.................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............

19.5
15.2
22.6
23.3

18.9
13.9
22.9
22.6

17.3
11.6
22.4
22.6

15.4
10.6
19.2
19.8

14.2
9.9
17.5
17.1

13.8
9.5
17.2
17.2

12.9
9.5
15.4
15.5

12.1
9.6
13.7
13.5

11.8
9.7
13.0
13.2

11.6
9.9
12.7
12.9

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia...............................
Samoa................................................
Tonga.................................................

Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

253

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country:
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
36.9

34.6

31.3

27.7

27.0

24.5

22.4

20.8

20.0

19.1

22.4
43.5
48.1
42.9

19.6
40.9
47.5
40.0

16.0
36.8
46.6
35.5

14.5
31.8
45.1
30.0

13.9
30.7
43.5
28.9

12.3
27.7
41.5
25.7

11.2
25.1
39.3
23.0

11.0
23.1
36.9
21.0

11.4
21.9
34.5
19.8

11.4
20.8
32.7
18.7

44.2

42.9

39.3

36.1

33.8

31.2

28.5

26.5

25.0

23.6

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

47.4

47.4

46.9

45.7

44.6

42.9

41.5

40.1

38.3

36.6

Africa

47.7

47.4

46.1

44.3

42.5

40.2

38.4

37.1

35.6

34.0

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (2) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (3) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

49.6
48.4
46.8
50.0
48.4
49.4
51.2
49.0
47.5
42.7
40.7
49.4
49.6
52.9
53.4
51.3
49.0
46.8
48.3

48.9
45.3
48.0
51.2
48.5
48.1
51.0
48.3
49.9
43.7
43.5
48.6
43.1
51.9
51.0
49.3
49.1
48.6
48.2

48.0
44.0
46.8
47.8
46.0
46.8
50.8
48.3
52.3
26.7
47.8
47.2
26.7
51.8
50.4
48.6
48.0
48.5
47.6

46.6
45.3
48.6
44.0
42.4
47.2
48.4
42.2
51.9
20.4
43.8
45.9
23.3
52.2
43.8
49.0
46.0
45.1
44.9

45.8
46.3
39.6
43.1
41.1
48.0
45.1
45.0
49.3
21.8
42.2
43.6
24.1
49.4
45.3
49.4
44.8
44.0
39.5

44.0
44.7
36.6
40.1
40.0
47.5
39.4
44.7
47.0
21.0
33.9
43.4
21.9
40.7
45.6
49.6
43.1
43.5
35.2

42.2
40.0
38.6
34.4
38.1
43.9
38.0
42.8
45.4
18.1
34.2
43.3
20.1
40.7
45.9
48.7
41.7
44.6
31.5

40.4
36.0
40.2
31.2
38.4
38.8
38.7
39.0
43.4
16.3
34.3
43.3
19.6
39.8
45.7
47.9
41.7
44.4
29.7

38.3
34.3
39.0
29.4
37.5
33.3
38.0
36.2
44.0
13.4
34.3
39.4
18.2
40.7
44.2
46.3
41.6
44.5
29.4

36.7
33.3
35.7
28.4
34.4
30.0
36.9
34.6
44.5
12.5
32.6
36.3
16.9
40.6
43.0
43.9
41.0
46.5
28.7

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

46.8
54.0
43.4
41.7
46.4
42.2
47.2
40.9
30.5
47.7

47.1
54.3
44.0
43.8
45.6
42.8
47.4
40.1
31.4
47.0

47.2
51.8
45.2
42.7
47.3
43.1
47.6
36.8
35.4
40.7

48.0
52.8
44.7
42.4
48.1
40.9
49.1
41.7
38.4
40.4

48.2
52.8
42.9
41.9
47.6
38.9
50.1
47.4
38.1
38.8

47.9
52.1
41.0
40.2
47.4
37.8
50.6
45.0
38.0
37.0

46.8
51.0
38.0
39.8
47.6
37.7
49.8
41.3
33.2
35.9

45.6
49.0
38.0
38.3
47.6
37.2
48.2
38.4
29.7
34.8

42.7
43.5
37.2
35.6
45.9
36.0
44.9
37.3
27.4
32.4

40.0
39.9
34.9
34.5
43.4
34.6
42.1
35.9
27.0
29.9

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (4) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

48.7
51.0
48.3
48.0
50.4
46.5
46.4
49.0

47.2
50.4
45.0
49.0
50.1
46.6
46.5
51.5

43.4
48.0
40.2
49.0
45.6
46.2
37.1
44.5

39.4
41.2
38.0
45.6
37.3
43.6
34.0
42.3

35.3
34.8
35.0
29.9
32.0
41.7
30.3
37.4

30.4
28.7
29.1
24.7
27.3
40.1
24.0
32.4

26.9
21.6
26.6
23.0
23.4
38.6
18.4
28.3

25.5
20.7
25.1
24.3
20.9
36.5
16.8
25.1

24.5
20.8
23.9
24.0
20.2
33.8
17.4
23.3

23.0
19.2
22.3
21.7
18.7
31.9
16.5
21.3

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

43.4
47.0
42.1
43.4
43.3
48.1

41.9
46.6
42.3
42.3
41.6
47.9

38.5
45.5
42.8
44.2
37.7
49.3

34.9
42.5
40.4
41.2
33.9
47.7

32.1
37.2
37.6
39.1
31.1
46.1

28.5
32.2
34.7
36.7
27.5
39.9

26.0
28.6
33.7
32.9
25.1
34.1

24.7
25.5
30.7
29.9
24.0
31.8

22.6
24.2
28.5
27.4
21.9
30.1

21.2
22.9
27.1
25.2
20.5
28.7

Western Africa (5)


Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Cte d'Ivoire........................................

46.7
41.0
47.3
49.0
50.8

47.4
46.2
47.9
45.0
52.3

47.8
47.8
48.1
41.1
52.0

46.8
47.7
48.5
41.3
46.9

45.2
47.2
47.7
40.9
42.9

43.5
46.0
46.8
36.5
39.9

42.3
44.0
45.8
31.6
37.6

41.3
42.2
44.9
26.2
36.9

40.1
40.7
43.9
21.9
35.0

38.5
38.3
42.4
19.9
33.0

254

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
18.1

17.1

15.6

14.7

13.8

13.2

12.8

12.5

12.2

12.1 World

11.2
19.5
31.0
17.4

10.9
18.3
29.1
16.2

10.6
16.5
25.6
14.4

11.1
15.3
23.0
13.3

11.1
14.3
20.7
12.4

11.2
13.6
18.8
11.9

11.4
13.1
17.3
11.6

11.5
12.6
16.0
11.4

11.4
12.3
14.9
11.2

11.4
12.2
14.4
11.2

22.1

20.7

18.3

16.7

15.3

14.3

13.6

13.0

12.6

12.4

34.7

32.6

28.9

25.9

23.0

20.6

18.6

16.9

15.6

15.0

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

32.3

30.3

27.0

24.4

21.8

19.7

18.0

16.5

15.2

14.7

Africa

34.8
30.1
32.5
26.9
30.5
27.2
34.5
33.2
44.0
11.8
28.6
34.3
15.5
37.1
42.8
41.3
39.7
46.1
27.2

32.5
26.2
30.6
24.8
27.2
24.8
31.8
31.6
41.4
11.4
26.4
32.8
14.5
32.8
41.5
38.8
37.5
43.7
24.4

29.1
21.1
28.9
20.7
24.1
20.0
28.6
27.9
37.7
10.7
24.6
29.0
13.1
28.9
38.7
34.1
34.5
40.7
19.5

26.3
18.7
25.4
18.6
21.2
16.4
25.8
25.0
35.2
10.1
20.7
25.1
12.2
26.8
35.3
29.5
31.7
38.7
17.3

23.5
15.5
22.6
16.5
17.9
14.0
22.6
22.4
31.1
10.1
17.3
22.3
11.6
22.5
31.9
25.4
28.2
34.8
14.8

21.3
13.6
20.8
14.5
16.0
12.3
20.2
19.9
28.1
10.2
15.2
19.6
11.2
20.0
28.5
22.1
25.2
31.7
13.0

19.5
12.6
18.5
13.4
14.4
11.2
18.0
17.8
25.4
10.4
13.3
17.3
11.1
17.9
25.5
19.2
22.6
28.9
12.2

17.8
11.7
16.7
12.5
13.0
10.7
16.1
16.0
22.6
10.7
11.8
15.5
11.0
15.5
22.8
16.8
20.2
25.9
11.4

16.4
11.2
15.3
11.7
12.2
10.5
14.5
14.5
20.5
11.0
10.9
14.0
11.0
14.0
20.4
15.1
18.2
23.5
11.0

15.8
11.1
14.6
11.5
11.9
10.4
13.8
13.9
19.5
11.1
10.6
13.5
11.1
13.4
19.3
14.3
17.3
22.4
11.0

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (2) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (3) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

37.3
36.8
32.3
32.8
40.7
32.5
39.2
33.6
26.1
27.6

34.6
33.9
29.9
30.6
38.0
30.6
36.3
30.9
24.5
25.4

29.3
28.0
26.3
25.8
32.6
27.7
30.5
26.6
21.5
21.7

24.9
23.2
23.1
22.4
27.6
24.7
25.6
23.3
19.7
18.5

21.2
19.6
20.2
19.3
23.5
21.9
21.7
20.1
17.8
16.1

18.3
16.6
17.9
16.8
20.2
19.6
18.6
17.5
16.2
14.2

16.1
14.6
16.1
15.1
17.6
17.6
16.2
15.6
14.9
12.9

14.4
13.2
14.5
13.8
15.6
15.9
14.5
14.0
13.8
11.9

13.2
12.2
13.4
12.8
14.1
14.5
13.2
12.9
13.0
11.3

12.7
11.8
12.9
12.4
13.5
13.9
12.8
12.4
12.6
11.1

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

21.1
17.0
20.2
18.5
17.2
29.9
15.2
19.2

19.2
14.6
18.3
15.3
15.5
28.0
13.5
16.9

16.6
11.6
15.9
13.0
12.7
24.4
10.8
13.2

15.0
11.2
14.0
12.3
11.5
21.3
10.9
12.3

13.5
10.3
12.3
10.5
10.7
18.7
10.6
11.5

12.4
9.7
11.3
9.7
9.9
16.5
9.7
10.4

11.8
10.0
10.6
10.2
9.8
14.8
10.1
10.3

11.3
10.2
10.1
10.0
10.0
13.5
10.7
10.5

10.9
10.2
10.0
9.8
10.1
12.5
10.5
10.2

10.8
10.4
10.0
10.0
10.2
12.0
10.5
10.2

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (4) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

19.9
21.3
25.6
23.6
19.3
26.8

18.7
19.7
23.8
22.1
18.1
24.6

16.7
17.0
20.5
18.9
16.3
21.0

15.0
15.5
18.6
16.3
14.6
18.6

13.7
13.7
16.5
14.5
13.4
16.0

12.7
12.6
14.9
13.0
12.5
14.1

12.0
12.1
13.9
12.0
11.8
12.9

11.6
11.6
13.1
11.5
11.5
12.1

11.4
11.3
12.5
11.2
11.3
11.6

11.3
11.3
12.3
11.1
11.3
11.5

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

36.8
35.9
40.7
18.2
31.2

34.5
33.6
38.0
16.4
29.2

30.8
29.6
33.6
12.9
25.4

27.5
26.0
30.1
11.0
22.1

24.4
22.9
26.6
9.9
19.5

21.7
20.2
23.6
9.2
17.1

19.5
18.0
21.2
9.1
15.3

17.6
16.1
18.9
9.2
13.8

16.0
14.6
17.1
9.5
12.7

15.3
13.9
16.3
9.7
12.3

Western Africa (5)


Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Cte d'Ivoire......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

255

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
43.7
44.7
47.2
54.9
46.7
48.4
48.6
52.6
46.1
45.2
48.8
47.2

50.2
47.4
48.5
42.3
48.6
49.1
49.3
55.5
46.0
49.7
48.5
48.0

52.0
46.1
48.5
55.7
48.9
49.3
46.5
55.8
46.7
50.5
45.5
48.6

50.5
42.4
48.0
47.9
48.8
49.4
42.6
55.4
46.4
47.1
42.8
46.2

48.1
40.2
47.2
45.8
47.2
48.9
41.3
55.9
44.8
45.0
43.0
43.8

46.5
37.7
45.5
45.2
45.0
48.7
40.0
55.5
43.0
42.9
44.3
41.1

44.7
35.0
43.4
42.8
44.0
49.1
38.2
53.5
42.2
40.8
44.6
38.5

42.4
33.8
41.5
41.1
42.4
49.0
36.6
51.3
41.5
39.8
42.7
35.9

39.3
32.6
39.9
39.3
40.5
47.6
34.8
49.5
40.4
38.6
40.6
33.2

36.9
30.3
37.6
37.4
37.6
45.0
32.7
47.7
39.3
35.9
36.5
31.0

41.8

38.5

34.6

28.8

28.0

24.8

22.0

19.8

18.6

17.5

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ...............
China, Macao SAR (9) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

39.4
42.1
39.0
34.0
23.8
23.8
40.0
35.8

34.3
36.5
34.6
25.1
32.8
17.2
47.9
39.9

30.0
31.4
20.4
10.0
30.2
19.0
43.0
30.4

20.6
21.5
15.4
19.9
21.6
12.8
38.1
20.4

21.7
23.2
13.1
21.9
20.0
11.2
36.6
15.5

17.9
18.7
12.0
15.7
21.5
9.9
27.6
16.0

15.3
16.0
8.0
11.2
19.8
9.5
22.1
13.6

13.0
13.5
7.0
7.6
16.3
8.9
19.1
10.2

12.2
12.6
8.2
9.0
14.6
8.6
23.4
10.0

11.6
11.9
8.8
10.2
14.2
8.5
22.7
9.9

South-Central Asia (10)

43.7

41.6

38.7

36.3

34.2

31.2

28.0

25.2

23.6

21.8

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

38.4
33.2
35.6
44.7
43.2
42.4

39.7
32.9
37.9
48.5
44.5
44.9

31.7
25.9
31.1
39.7
37.1
35.0

31.9
24.9
32.7
38.6
35.2
35.8

32.3
24.6
33.2
40.2
35.7
36.0

29.0
20.6
28.9
37.2
32.5
32.6

23.5
16.2
24.2
32.7
24.5
25.6

21.2
16.7
21.0
29.4
23.3
21.6

22.6
21.4
24.0
28.1
22.0
21.7

21.9
20.6
24.0
27.7
21.2
20.8

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

43.9
52.9
48.3
47.9
43.3
50.6
43.2
42.9
42.0
37.4

41.7
52.8
47.5
48.5
40.4
46.5
55.0
43.9
43.5
35.5

39.0
52.1
46.5
47.0
37.5
40.8
47.4
43.1
42.8
29.1

36.5
51.8
42.4
42.7
34.5
44.4
47.8
40.7
42.6
25.6

34.3
52.2
38.1
40.4
32.5
38.6
45.4
39.3
42.1
21.6

31.3
52.6
33.3
35.2
30.0
28.5
35.6
37.7
38.2
19.6

28.2
52.4
29.1
29.2
27.2
21.1
25.1
35.0
34.4
17.8

25.3
48.4
25.4
25.2
24.8
18.0
19.7
30.9
28.9
18.7

23.6
45.1
21.5
21.5
23.1
17.7
17.2
25.6
28.1
19.0

21.8
42.3
19.5
19.6
21.3
16.2
16.5
23.2
26.3
17.0

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (11) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

44.3
49.6
45.4
42.7
44.8
42.7
47.5
48.6
46.5
42.5
46.5
44.8

43.5
41.9
44.9
43.7
42.4
40.8
41.9
43.0
33.6
42.3
45.9
46.2

37.7
37.4
39.9
38.4
42.5
31.4
39.2
38.3
22.1
34.6
40.0
39.1

32.0
29.9
56.9
31.8
42.2
29.5
31.5
35.6
16.0
24.1
44.0
34.1

28.8
29.8
46.7
27.5
42.1
28.7
29.2
34.0
17.9
20.4
42.1
31.4

25.8
28.1
40.3
24.5
40.0
27.5
25.0
31.8
18.7
18.0
44.5
27.3

22.4
23.9
30.3
21.9
33.6
25.3
22.3
30.2
14.4
15.6
46.1
19.0

20.9
21.9
25.1
21.0
27.8
23.1
19.3
29.0
10.2
14.1
40.4
17.2

19.2
20.1
23.3
19.1
24.1
20.9
17.9
25.9
8.9
12.9
39.4
17.2

17.8
18.2
21.6
17.4
21.8
19.8
16.7
24.5
9.5
11.5
37.6
15.9

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (12) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (13) .........................................
Georgia (14) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................

45.6
33.7
40.6
45.0
27.8
24.4
53.2

42.5
33.7
40.5
45.7
24.8
23.3
43.3

38.8
22.2
26.1
35.1
18.8
18.5
43.6

36.3
23.6
26.0
32.9
20.6
18.0
39.1

32.8
22.6
26.5
31.3
19.6
17.5
38.8

30.3
19.1
26.1
26.3
18.1
15.5
38.2

27.6
13.5
18.9
23.1
14.6
12.7
37.9

25.2
14.2
17.3
21.1
12.3
11.9
37.5

24.2
15.2
19.5
20.7
11.9
12.2
36.6

22.8
15.0
19.5
17.9
11.5
11.5
34.1

Asia (6)

256

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
34.5
28.1
35.3
35.7
35.0
42.5
30.6
46.4
37.8
33.3
33.5
28.7

32.2
26.2
33.1
33.8
32.9
39.6
28.6
43.9
35.5
31.0
31.1
26.5

27.8
23.3
28.9
30.0
29.5
34.8
25.5
39.2
31.8
27.3
26.6
22.6

23.9
20.7
25.3
26.8
25.9
30.3
22.6
34.9
28.5
23.9
22.3
19.5

20.8
18.3
22.1
24.0
22.9
26.2
20.1
30.8
25.2
20.9
19.1
17.0

18.3
16.3
19.5
21.6
20.5
22.9
18.1
27.1
22.5
18.6
16.7
15.0

16.2
14.7
17.3
19.7
18.3
20.2
16.3
24.0
20.2
16.5
14.8
13.5

14.5
13.4
15.5
18.0
16.4
17.9
14.8
21.4
18.1
14.8
13.6
12.4

13.3
12.4
14.1
16.6
14.9
16.1
13.6
19.1
16.4
13.5
12.7
11.7

12.8
12.0
13.5
15.9
14.3
15.3
13.1
18.1
15.7
13.0
12.4
11.4

16.2

15.0

13.2

12.2

11.3

10.8

10.6

10.5

10.5

10.5

10.6
10.8
9.1
10.5
14.4
8.2
20.9
9.8

9.8
9.9
9.2
9.9
14.3
8.0
18.4
9.6

9.0
9.1
8.2
8.3
12.4
8.2
15.7
8.8

8.8
8.8
8.5
8.6
11.7
8.6
16.3
8.4

8.8
8.7
9.9
9.2
12.0
8.9
14.6
9.0

9.1
9.0
9.9
9.2
11.3
9.3
13.7
9.4

9.5
9.4
9.9
9.6
11.3
9.8
14.1
9.6

10.0
9.9
10.7
10.3
11.6
10.1
13.4
10.1

10.4
10.3
10.8
10.5
11.3
10.3
13.0
10.5

10.5
10.5
10.7
10.5
11.3
10.4
13.1
10.5

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .............
China, Macao SAR (9) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

20.1

18.3

15.6

13.7

12.2

11.2

10.7

10.3

10.2

10.2

South-Central Asia (10)

20.3
19.0
22.4
26.4
19.7
19.3

18.2
16.9
19.9
24.1
17.6
17.1

15.2
15.7
18.0
19.6
14.2
13.4

14.6
16.6
17.2
17.6
13.0
12.3

13.0
14.7
15.5
15.3
11.7
11.1

12.1
14.2
14.9
13.3
10.7
10.0

12.0
14.4
14.3
12.3
10.6
10.0

11.6
13.4
13.8
11.4
10.4
10.0

11.5
13.2
13.5
10.9
10.4
10.0

11.6
13.2
13.3
10.7
10.5
10.2

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

20.0
39.6
17.7
17.6
19.6
13.6
14.8
21.4
24.2
15.1

18.4
36.8
15.9
15.6
18.0
11.0
12.4
19.6
21.9
13.7

15.6
30.6
12.7
12.4
15.5
9.2
9.0
15.9
17.8
12.9

13.7
25.6
10.8
10.8
13.6
9.5
8.8
13.5
15.4
12.0

12.2
21.8
9.8
9.7
12.1
8.4
8.2
11.9
13.2
10.8

11.2
18.5
9.3
9.2
11.1
8.5
7.5
10.8
11.7
10.7

10.6
16.0
9.1
9.2
10.5
9.3
8.1
10.3
10.9
10.5

10.3
14.2
9.2
9.4
10.2
9.5
8.5
10.0
10.5
10.3

10.2
12.9
9.5
9.6
10.0
10.0
8.9
10.0
10.3
10.5

10.2
12.3
9.7
9.8
10.0
10.4
9.2
10.0
10.3
10.6

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

16.4
16.5
19.7
15.7
20.2
18.7
15.4
23.2
9.6
10.4
37.2
14.1

15.2
15.1
17.5
14.4
18.4
17.7
14.1
22.0
9.8
9.8
35.3
12.2

13.3
13.3
13.9
12.6
14.3
15.7
11.9
19.3
9.3
9.4
28.7
10.3

12.2
12.1
12.2
11.3
11.9
13.9
10.9
16.8
8.1
9.0
24.2
10.1

11.3
11.3
10.9
10.6
10.7
12.8
10.6
14.9
9.1
9.0
21.1
9.3

10.8
11.1
10.1
10.2
9.8
12.0
10.2
13.4
9.8
9.4
17.6
9.1

10.6
11.2
10.0
10.2
9.5
11.3
10.3
12.2
9.4
9.8
15.3
9.6

10.5
11.3
10.0
10.2
9.6
10.9
10.6
11.4
10.0
10.1
13.8
9.7

10.5
11.6
10.1
10.4
9.8
10.7
10.7
10.9
10.6
10.5
12.5
10.1

10.6
11.8
10.2
10.5
9.9
10.7
10.8
10.7
10.6
10.7
12.0
10.4

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (11) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

21.3
13.3
17.1
14.6
11.1
10.4
32.1

19.8
11.6
14.0
12.2
10.8
9.3
30.4

17.5
10.8
13.1
10.9
9.8
8.6
27.1

16.1
10.8
13.8
10.9
9.5
9.1
24.0

14.7
10.0
12.1
9.6
9.5
8.8
21.4

13.8
10.0
12.5
9.5
9.3
9.2
19.2

13.1
10.4
12.6
9.9
9.7
9.8
17.2

12.4
10.4
12.1
9.6
10.2
10.0
15.6

11.9
10.7
12.3
9.6
10.4
10.4
14.2

11.7
10.9
12.3
9.7
10.5
10.6
13.5

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (12) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (13) .......................................
Georgia (14) ......................................
Iraq ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (6)

257

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
33.0
47.4
43.7
39.9
46.0
48.9
47.5
47.9
51.2
48.4
49.4
47.6

25.5
53.6
43.4
37.6
52.1
49.3
41.0
47.6
48.5
44.3
46.3
48.6

27.4
49.0
47.6
31.9
48.8
49.1
34.8
46.4
46.3
38.7
32.6
51.2

23.7
39.7
37.1
29.5
44.9
48.9
33.2
42.7
42.8
33.8
30.5
57.9

22.7
37.5
26.5
26.7
43.1
43.3
25.4
38.3
38.4
27.7
28.4
53.9

21.4
33.9
18.0
24.8
45.9
33.1
22.8
33.5
33.3
25.1
22.9
49.1

21.4
32.0
24.1
22.6
40.9
26.7
19.2
29.7
29.7
22.6
18.1
42.7

21.2
28.1
18.5
17.7
36.2
21.5
18.8
24.7
26.2
19.7
16.2
39.9

21.1
26.4
18.7
15.9
33.8
19.1
14.1
22.1
23.9
18.7
14.0
38.6

20.5
23.7
17.4
14.9
32.4
16.9
11.6
21.4
21.9
16.9
12.3
37.2

21.4

19.1

15.6

14.3

13.7

11.5

10.2

10.2

10.8

10.8

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

25.8
22.9
21.1
19.4
21.4
30.1
29.4
24.9
26.5
27.3
25.4

19.4
21.3
16.6
14.9
13.2
19.4
24.4
16.3
21.0
20.6
18.6

16.2
16.0
16.2
17.1
15.9
17.7
18.5
19.4
15.3
19.3
15.7

16.5
16.7
13.9
14.0
12.7
19.1
21.6
15.8
16.8
18.3
15.2

15.6
15.9
13.0
13.0
12.2
16.0
21.2
16.1
16.1
16.4
14.6

11.5
12.1
10.2
11.6
11.8
13.3
15.5
11.4
10.8
14.0
11.4

9.3
9.4
8.4
8.7
9.8
10.5
12.7
10.5
8.9
10.9
8.6

9.5
9.3
8.7
9.0
9.4
9.4
11.5
10.0
9.9
9.7
8.4

10.8
10.7
9.9
10.7
9.8
10.2
12.3
10.2
11.4
10.1
10.4

11.3
11.2
10.0
10.9
10.1
10.9
12.1
10.3
11.8
10.7
10.9

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (19) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (20) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

16.6
14.6
17.8
17.3
22.8
27.9
22.1
16.4
21.6
18.7
15.5
15.4

17.8
17.1
17.3
15.8
18.1
25.7
22.7
15.6
20.4
17.4
14.7
18.0

14.2
13.5
14.5
15.4
13.1
20.9
22.9
14.4
16.6
15.8
13.6
13.6

13.0
11.5
10.4
15.4
13.4
18.2
19.1
15.1
15.8
12.3
11.3
12.9

13.7
12.0
11.3
15.6
12.6
17.4
15.5
15.5
15.9
13.3
12.9
13.7

13.2
12.1
12.8
11.2
12.9
17.4
13.8
11.3
13.5
14.0
13.6
13.2

12.1
11.1
12.7
9.1
11.5
15.5
14.5
8.0
10.6
13.4
10.3
12.4

11.4
10.2
12.0
9.8
11.0
14.4
15.3
8.7
9.1
12.4
10.8
11.4

12.2
9.3
11.8
11.7
11.2
14.8
16.4
10.2
10.1
12.6
11.9
12.2

12.1
9.3
11.3
12.1
11.4
14.7
15.6
11.0
10.8
12.3
12.0
12.1

Southern Europe (21)


Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (22) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (23) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ........................

21.1
39.3
37.1
22.6
19.4
18.2
28.5
16.1
23.9
27.0
22.0
20.6
37.4

20.3
39.2
31.1
17.6
18.1
18.4
21.7
13.3
23.8
20.3
17.8
20.9
29.1

17.9
31.4
21.3
15.0
15.9
16.3
16.8
9.9
19.8
18.5
16.7
19.3
22.5

13.3
26.8
18.2
14.7
13.7
10.9
18.0
8.8
14.6
17.4
14.6
13.3
20.1

11.6
25.4
17.1
13.1
10.7
9.9
16.8
8.2
12.0
16.0
12.6
10.8
18.1

10.7
23.4
12.9
10.7
10.0
9.7
14.5
13.7
11.3
13.7
10.1
9.8
16.4

10.1
19.2
12.4
10.5
9.7
9.2
12.1
13.7
11.1
12.2
9.2
9.4
13.8

10.0
15.0
9.8
9.2
9.5
9.2
9.4
13.2
10.8
12.3
8.9
10.3
11.9

10.2
12.9
8.9
9.5
10.4
9.4
9.3
12.6
9.8
11.6
9.8
10.9
11.1

9.8
12.8
8.2
9.8
10.1
9.1
9.1
12.0
8.8
11.0
9.9
10.6
10.5

Western Europe (25)


Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................

17.4
14.9
16.6
19.1
15.9
14.7
22.0
17.2

18.2
18.5
16.9
18.3
17.8
16.0
21.1
18.9

13.5
13.6
14.0
16.1
11.3
11.7
15.3
14.3

12.2
12.0
12.1
14.2
10.8
11.6
12.2
11.6

12.1
11.4
11.7
13.7
11.1
12.0
12.6
11.9

11.3
11.5
11.5
12.8
9.9
13.1
12.8
12.0

11.0
10.2
11.0
12.7
9.6
13.1
12.4
11.2

10.7
9.7
11.2
12.9
8.8
11.8
12.4
10.1

10.4
9.1
11.5
12.8
8.4
11.4
11.3
9.9

10.3
8.6
11.4
12.4
8.7
11.8
10.8
10.0

Europe

258

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
19.0
21.6
15.9
13.9
31.1
14.7
8.8
19.9
20.7
15.4
10.3
34.1

17.6
19.8
14.9
12.9
29.2
12.5
6.7
17.6
19.6
14.0
8.7
31.1

16.6
16.6
14.6
10.8
24.8
10.1
6.6
13.8
16.4
12.1
7.5
26.7

15.8
13.7
13.5
9.9
21.8
9.0
6.6
12.2
13.1
10.9
7.6
23.6

14.2
11.8
12.7
9.5
19.3
8.4
6.0
10.7
11.7
10.1
7.4
20.3

13.1
10.7
12.7
9.2
16.8
8.4
6.3
9.7
10.5
9.8
7.7
17.8

12.4
10.0
12.4
9.4
15.1
8.5
6.8
9.5
9.7
9.8
8.3
16.0

11.6
9.7
12.2
9.7
13.6
8.8
6.9
9.4
9.6
9.9
8.7
14.4

10.9
9.7
12.1
10.0
12.4
9.2
7.3
9.4
9.5
10.0
9.0
13.3

10.7
9.7
12.0
10.2
12.0
9.5
7.5
9.5
9.5
10.2
9.2
12.9

10.6

10.1

9.9

10.5

10.5

10.7

11.1

11.2

11.2

11.2

10.9
10.8
9.6
10.6
10.1
10.9
11.1
10.0
11.2
10.8
10.6

10.1
10.0
9.0
10.0
10.0
10.4
9.8
9.4
10.2
10.4
9.9

9.5
9.4
8.9
9.1
9.6
8.8
8.8
9.0
9.9
9.0
9.3

10.6
10.6
9.9
10.3
10.2
9.6
9.5
9.6
11.2
9.5
10.7

10.5
10.4
9.7
10.7
10.7
10.4
8.8
9.6
10.8
10.3
10.5

10.6
10.6
10.1
10.4
10.7
9.9
9.2
9.9
11.0
10.1
10.6

11.4
11.4
11.1
11.0
11.0
10.3
10.1
10.6
11.8
10.4
11.5

11.5
11.5
11.1
11.5
11.4
11.3
10.2
10.8
11.7
11.3
11.5

11.5
11.5
11.3
11.1
11.4
11.1
10.7
11.0
11.7
11.2
11.5

11.6
11.7
11.5
11.0
11.3
10.9
11.0
11.2
11.9
11.1
11.7

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

12.1
9.4
11.5
11.8
11.4
14.4
14.3
11.1
11.2
12.3
12.2
12.2

12.0
9.5
11.8
10.9
11.3
13.8
13.1
10.4
11.0
12.4
12.0
12.1

11.5
9.4
11.8
9.8
10.8
12.6
12.5
8.9
9.3
12.0
11.1
11.6

11.6
9.4
11.3
11.5
11.2
12.6
13.0
10.6
10.3
11.8
11.7
11.6

11.6
10.2
11.5
11.3
11.5
12.3
12.3
10.8
11.1
12.0
11.8
11.6

11.4
10.6
11.7
10.7
11.3
11.8
11.8
10.1
10.4
12.0
11.4
11.4

11.5
10.8
11.4
11.7
11.4
11.8
12.1
11.2
11.0
11.8
11.5
11.4

11.5
11.2
11.5
11.9
11.5
11.8
12.0
11.7
11.8
11.8
11.6
11.4

11.4
11.4
11.6
11.3
11.4
11.5
11.5
11.2
11.4
11.6
11.3
11.4

11.3
11.3
11.5
11.4
11.3
11.4
11.5
11.2
11.3
11.5
11.2
11.3

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Finland (19) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (20) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

9.2
12.1
7.8
9.8
9.6
8.7
8.9
11.2
7.9
10.3
9.6
9.6
9.8

8.8
11.2
7.8
9.6
9.1
8.5
8.8
10.6
7.6
9.8
9.1
8.8
9.4

8.9
9.3
7.4
9.2
9.3
8.7
8.3
10.1
8.0
9.6
8.7
9.0
8.7

9.4
8.5
7.2
9.6
10.0
9.2
8.3
10.0
8.0
9.5
9.6
9.8
8.6

9.3
8.3
7.6
9.9
9.9
9.4
8.8
9.7
7.9
9.3
9.8
9.4
8.7

9.6
8.0
8.1
10.0
10.2
9.8
9.1
9.8
8.6
9.6
9.9
9.5
8.9

10.2
8.2
8.7
10.5
10.8
10.3
9.6
10.1
9.2
9.9
10.6
10.3
9.4

10.4
8.9
9.4
10.8
10.9
10.5
10.2
10.3
9.5
10.1
10.8
10.4
9.9

10.5
9.4
10.0
10.9
10.8
10.6
10.6
10.5
10.0
10.5
10.7
10.3
10.2

10.6
9.7
10.2
11.0
10.9
10.7
10.7
10.6
10.3
10.6
10.7
10.5
10.4

Southern Europe (21)


Albania..............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Greece ...............................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
Serbia (22) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (23) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ......................

10.4
8.6
11.2
12.2
9.0
11.9
10.7
10.1

10.4
8.8
11.1
11.9
9.1
12.0
10.9
10.1

10.3
8.7
11.1
11.8
8.9
11.7
11.1
9.4

10.5
8.7
11.5
11.9
9.3
11.2
10.7
9.3

10.9
9.3
11.6
11.8
10.2
11.1
11.0
9.9

11.1
9.8
11.7
11.8
10.5
11.2
11.4
10.2

11.2
10.0
11.8
11.8
10.8
11.1
11.3
10.2

11.3
10.3
11.8
11.6
11.1
11.1
11.2
10.6

11.3
10.5
11.6
11.4
11.1
11.1
11.4
10.8

11.2
10.5
11.5
11.4
11.0
11.1
11.3
10.7

Western Europe (25)


Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

259

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Latin America and Caribbean

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
42.7

41.1

35.1

30.7

27.9

25.3

23.2

21.4

19.3

17.8

Caribbean (26)
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
US Virgin Islands ................................

39.4
44.3
33.7
34.4
31.6
54.4
39.8
40.7
45.7
34.7
41.5
42.0
37.3
46.9
49.5
38.9
37.1

39.4
32.9
33.6
29.2
35.5
49.6
41.0
35.6
43.5
41.6
35.3
30.3
32.2
45.9
46.3
36.4
41.5

31.4
22.9
27.2
20.5
26.5
39.1
29.1
28.3
38.2
32.8
26.0
21.2
25.0
37.6
38.2
26.8
41.4

27.2
22.3
27.1
17.6
16.6
33.3
32.5
19.9
42.8
29.1
17.1
21.2
20.5
34.0
29.2
28.4
30.8

26.1
20.8
24.1
16.5
17.7
31.0
31.6
20.5
39.2
26.8
18.0
20.3
18.6
30.5
25.9
24.8
24.5

23.8
18.1
23.5
15.3
15.5
28.6
24.8
17.8
35.6
24.9
16.5
19.4
17.5
26.3
24.0
18.2
23.4

21.6
15.4
20.1
12.9
13.6
25.7
20.7
17.1
32.5
23.0
15.1
16.4
15.4
21.8
21.4
15.1
17.8

20.0
13.3
15.6
11.0
12.5
24.3
18.8
15.6
29.5
21.0
14.5
14.7
13.9
18.1
18.6
14.5
14.3

18.6
12.0
15.7
10.9
10.5
22.7
19.3
14.8
27.6
19.1
12.7
13.8
13.6
18.1
17.7
14.9
13.0

17.5
11.1
15.2
10.9
9.6
20.9
19.3
13.2
25.7
17.9
11.6
13.1
12.9
16.9
16.4
14.3
12.1

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

48.3
51.2
44.6
46.7
50.4
52.2
48.1
55.0
40.0

45.4
43.5
44.3
47.8
46.2
49.8
45.0
48.8
40.5

42.0
42.7
30.4
42.0
44.0
45.9
42.0
46.3
35.5

33.6
40.6
30.0
36.0
42.2
42.2
31.8
42.8
28.6

30.9
38.0
28.9
33.0
39.5
39.5
29.2
38.1
27.3

28.9
35.9
24.7
30.5
38.9
37.2
27.2
35.4
25.1

25.5
31.7
21.4
27.4
37.3
33.4
23.6
30.1
24.1

23.9
27.9
18.8
22.0
35.8
30.0
22.4
26.2
22.7

22.1
25.2
16.3
20.7
33.3
27.7
20.6
24.8
20.8

20.2
24.0
15.3
20.0
31.5
25.8
18.5
22.8
19.1

South America (29)


Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

41.2
25.4
47.0
44.1
36.1
47.2
45.6
36.8
49.4
44.3
47.2
48.0
21.2
46.5

39.8
23.2
46.0
42.2
37.7
43.9
44.2
31.9
41.5
41.3
46.5
44.8
21.9
45.1

33.1
23.4
45.2
33.7
27.3
34.6
40.6
30.4
34.1
35.6
40.5
34.9
21.1
35.1

30.0
23.1
38.3
30.8
23.3
30.3
34.7
29.1
28.7
37.3
33.6
30.0
18.3
32.0

26.9
22.1
36.8
26.3
23.6
28.1
30.9
30.3
26.4
34.9
31.2
25.4
18.2
30.3

24.1
21.2
35.8
22.6
21.9
26.3
27.5
31.7
23.5
32.0
28.4
22.5
18.2
26.9

22.4
19.7
32.6
21.5
18.0
24.0
25.6
29.6
22.0
29.3
25.3
23.6
16.9
24.5

20.6
18.0
30.3
19.8
15.7
22.0
23.6
27.9
20.1
26.9
23.0
21.0
15.9
22.9

18.2
17.5
27.4
16.4
14.7
20.6
21.6
25.0
18.8
24.8
21.3
19.1
15.1
21.4

16.9
16.8
25.8
15.0
14.0
18.9
19.8
24.0
17.4
23.7
19.6
17.8
14.5
19.8

Northern America (30)


Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................

24.6
27.8
24.3

22.0
24.6
21.8

15.7
15.6
15.7

15.4
14.8
15.5

15.5
14.2
15.7

15.1
13.8
15.3

13.9
11.6
14.2

13.7
10.6
14.1

13.7
11.2
14.0

13.5
11.3
13.7

Oceania

27.5

26.5

24.4

20.4

19.8

19.5

18.7

17.8

18.0

17.3

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

23.5
23.0
25.7

22.6
21.9
25.9

19.8
19.6
20.8

15.6
15.5
15.9

15.3
15.0
16.6

15.0
14.7
16.6

13.7
13.4
14.9

13.0
12.7
14.1

13.8
13.6
14.9

13.7
13.5
14.3

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

42.9
46.5
34.9
42.5
39.4
50.4

41.8
42.3
34.2
41.8
41.0
46.9

43.2
33.1
36.9
45.4
47.1
41.3

37.2
33.1
25.7
38.0
42.2
38.2

34.6
29.7
23.7
35.4
41.1
36.5

34.2
28.3
23.6
35.2
38.8
35.4

34.1
25.7
20.7
35.8
36.2
33.8

32.2
24.0
18.3
33.7
34.8
32.1

30.2
22.4
17.2
31.5
33.3
30.4

27.9
20.6
15.9
29.0
30.4
28.7

260

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
16.5

15.3

13.2

11.8

10.9

10.4

10.2

10.1

10.2

10.2

16.4
11.0
14.4
10.7
9.1
19.2
18.0
12.6
23.9
17.1
10.9
11.7
12.1
15.3
15.0
12.9
11.8

15.4
11.0
13.5
10.4
8.8
17.6
15.6
12.4
22.0
16.0
10.6
10.2
11.3
13.6
13.8
11.3
11.6

13.5
10.1
11.6
9.7
8.1
15.1
12.1
11.3
18.5
13.3
9.8
8.5
10.2
11.3
11.9
10.3
10.1

12.1
9.7
10.9
9.6
7.8
13.0
11.3
10.4
15.9
11.7
9.1
9.4
9.6
10.3
11.0
10.4
9.6

11.2
10.3
10.8
9.9
8.1
11.5
9.8
10.1
14.0
10.7
9.0
8.9
9.3
9.5
10.3
9.8
10.1

10.7
10.3
10.5
10.2
8.5
10.7
9.4
10.2
12.6
10.5
9.3
8.9
9.2
9.2
10.0
10.0
9.8

10.4
10.3
10.4
10.5
9.0
10.2
9.8
10.6
11.7
10.3
9.7
10.5
9.3
9.3
10.0
10.4
9.4

10.3
10.7
10.6
10.8
9.5
9.9
9.6
10.6
11.2
10.3
10.0
10.4
9.5
9.5
10.1
10.6
9.8

10.3
10.9
10.7
11.1
9.9
9.9
9.8
10.7
10.9
10.4
10.4
10.7
9.8
9.8
10.4
10.9
9.9

10.4
10.9
10.7
11.1
10.1
9.9
10.0
10.9
10.8
10.5
10.6
11.2
9.9
10.0
10.5
11.1
9.9

Caribbean (26)
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

18.5
22.5
14.0
18.9
29.7
23.7
16.7
20.6
17.7

17.0
20.6
12.7
17.2
27.7
21.6
15.2
18.6
16.6

14.6
16.7
10.7
14.0
24.1
18.0
12.9
15.3
14.5

12.9
14.5
9.8
12.1
21.1
15.3
11.2
12.9
12.8

11.7
12.7
9.2
10.8
18.5
13.2
10.2
11.2
11.8

11.0
11.4
9.0
10.0
16.3
11.7
9.8
10.3
11.0

10.6
10.7
9.0
9.7
14.6
10.8
9.6
9.8
10.6

10.4
10.2
9.2
9.7
13.3
10.2
9.7
9.6
10.3

10.3
10.0
9.5
9.8
12.3
9.9
9.8
9.6
10.2

10.3
10.0
9.7
9.9
11.9
9.8
9.9
9.6
10.2

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

15.7
15.8
24.3
13.8
13.2
17.3
18.2
23.4
17.0
22.2
18.1
16.6
13.9
18.2

14.5
14.8
22.8
12.7
12.4
15.9
16.7
22.6
16.8
20.6
16.7
15.6
13.3
16.8

12.6
13.3
19.9
10.9
10.8
13.7
14.2
20.2
13.8
17.7
14.3
13.6
12.2
14.6

11.3
12.3
17.4
9.9
10.2
12.2
12.3
18.3
11.1
15.6
12.4
11.8
11.3
12.8

10.6
11.4
15.3
9.4
9.8
11.2
11.0
17.0
11.2
13.9
11.1
11.1
10.8
11.6

10.1
10.9
13.7
9.2
9.6
10.6
10.3
15.3
10.8
12.5
10.4
10.7
10.6
10.7

10.0
10.7
12.5
9.3
9.7
10.4
9.9
14.2
10.1
11.6
10.0
10.4
10.4
10.3

10.0
10.5
11.6
9.5
9.9
10.3
9.7
13.3
10.5
11.0
9.9
10.4
10.4
10.0

10.1
10.5
11.0
9.9
10.1
10.3
9.7
12.5
10.6
10.6
10.0
10.5
10.5
10.0

10.2
10.5
10.8
10.1
10.2
10.4
9.8
12.1
10.6
10.5
10.0
10.6
10.5
10.0

South America (29)


Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

13.3
11.3
13.5

13.0
11.1
13.2

12.6
10.4
12.9

12.7
10.7
12.9

12.5
11.1
12.7

12.3
10.9
12.5

12.2
10.9
12.4

12.0
11.1
12.1

11.8
10.9
11.9

11.7
10.8
11.8

Northern America (30)


Canada...............................................
United States of America ..................

16.8

16.2

15.0

14.4

13.8

13.0

12.5

12.1

11.7

11.5

Oceania

13.5
13.3
14.1

13.1
12.9
13.7

12.2
12.1
12.6

12.3
12.2
12.6

12.1
12.1
12.4

11.7
11.6
12.0

11.7
11.6
11.9

11.6
11.6
11.9

11.4
11.3
11.6

11.3
11.2
11.5

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

26.1
18.7
14.9
27.2
28.0
27.1

24.7
17.1
14.0
25.7
26.1
25.5

22.0
15.4
12.5
22.8
23.2
22.7

19.5
14.1
11.5
20.0
20.3
20.3

17.4
12.8
10.8
17.8
17.9
18.2

15.7
11.9
10.5
16.0
15.9
16.4

14.2
11.4
10.3
14.4
14.2
14.8

13.1
11.0
10.3
13.3
12.9
13.5

12.2
10.8
10.3
12.4
11.9
12.6

11.9
10.7
10.4
12.0
11.5
12.1

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Latin America and Caribbean

261

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Micronesia (32)
Guam...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................

39.7
31.8
47.9

40.7
36.0
42.7

35.9
31.5
39.9

34.3
26.9
39.3

31.8
25.9
35.5

30.2
26.0
32.2

27.8
23.9
31.5

24.1
20.7
28.5

21.3
18.5
25.5

20.0
17.6
24.2

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................

46.6
43.3
50.8
47.2

45.8
44.3
47.1
45.8

35.9
36.2
37.5
33.1

33.3
30.5
35.8
34.9

31.8
29.8
33.3
31.5

29.1
25.4
31.1
30.9

27.1
21.2
33.2
28.4

24.6
19.0
29.9
28.6

22.3
17.5
25.9
28.3

20.6
16.4
23.7
25.7

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Seychelles.
2 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3 Including Zanzibar.
4 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
5 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
6 Includes other non-specified areas.
7 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
8 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
10 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
11 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.

262

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

19.0
17.0
23.4

18.0
16.3
22.3

16.0
14.3
19.2

14.0
13.0
15.9

12.9
12.2
14.5

12.2
11.4
13.6

11.4
10.9
11.9

11.0
10.7
11.1

10.8
10.5
11.0

10.7
10.5
10.8

Micronesia (32)
Guam.................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............

19.5
15.2
22.6
23.3

18.9
13.9
22.9
22.6

17.3
11.6
22.4
22.6

15.4
10.6
19.2
19.8

14.2
9.9
17.5
17.1

13.8
9.5
17.2
17.2

12.9
9.5
15.4
15.5

12.1
9.6
13.7
13.5

11.8
9.7
13.0
13.2

11.6
9.9
12.7
12.9

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia...............................
Samoa................................................
Tonga.................................................

Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

263

Table A.22. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
4.95

4.91

4.45

3.59

3.39

3.04

2.79

2.62

2.52

2.45

2.81
6.07
6.54
6.01

2.66
5.97
6.68
5.87

2.16
5.37
6.71
5.19

1.85
4.16
6.45
3.87

1.81
3.85
6.14
3.56

1.66
3.39
5.74
3.09

1.55
3.06
5.31
2.76

1.57
2.82
4.85
2.53

1.66
2.67
4.41
2.41

1.71
2.57
4.10
2.31

6.06

6.13

5.65

4.85

4.40

3.96

3.55

3.24

3.03

2.86

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

6.53

6.64

6.71

6.58

6.39

6.05

5.73

5.44

5.10

4.78

Africa

6.60

6.71

6.67

6.38

6.07

5.62

5.23

4.94

4.64

4.37

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (2) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (3) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

7.01
6.80
6.00
7.80
6.96
7.17
7.48
7.30
6.78
5.89
7.91
6.60
6.93
8.00
7.25
6.90
6.74
6.75
6.80

7.07
6.80
6.91
7.80
6.82
6.90
8.06
7.30
7.00
6.20
7.91
6.60
6.56
8.15
7.25
7.05
6.80
7.15
7.30

7.04
6.80
7.05
7.20
6.52
6.81
7.99
7.30
7.40
3.47
7.91
6.58
3.88
8.20
7.10
7.10
6.75
7.42
7.40

6.82
6.50
7.05
6.60
6.50
6.93
7.22
6.10
7.30
2.30
7.35
6.44
2.78
8.25
6.70
7.10
6.55
6.95
6.74

6.66
6.50
6.00
6.40
6.31
7.06
6.54
6.30
7.00
2.31
6.73
6.33
2.71
7.80
6.70
7.10
6.36
6.66
5.66

6.29
6.45
5.30
5.85
6.08
7.00
5.57
6.14
6.50
2.25
5.08
6.12
2.40
6.30
6.50
7.06
6.05
6.30
4.77

5.92
6.08
5.30
5.11
5.66
6.48
5.07
5.80
6.20
2.03
4.76
5.85
2.33
6.00
6.50
6.95
5.75
6.20
4.05

5.53
5.41
5.30
4.52
5.19
5.60
5.00
5.28
6.03
1.93
4.45
5.52
2.44
5.60
6.50
6.75
5.66
6.10
3.74

5.11
4.66
5.08
3.95
4.68
4.60
4.80
4.83
6.00
1.66
4.30
5.11
2.40
5.43
6.40
6.38
5.58
6.20
3.47

4.74
4.05
4.74
3.59
4.24
3.85
4.62
4.49
5.97
1.59
4.18
4.71
2.25
5.28
6.28
5.90
5.50
6.30
3.11

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

6.03
7.00
5.68
5.52
6.10
5.68
5.98
5.50
4.00
6.20

6.21
7.40
5.90
5.90
6.30
5.99
6.04
5.53
4.25
6.30

6.41
7.20
6.30
5.95
6.60
6.29
6.29
5.68
4.90
6.52

6.66
7.20
6.40
5.95
6.75
5.99
6.72
5.79
5.20
6.24

6.71
7.20
6.10
5.90
6.70
5.55
6.97
5.89
5.15
5.66

6.68
7.10
5.70
5.65
6.65
5.21
7.14
5.89
5.10
5.16

6.48
6.92
5.10
5.54
6.62
5.01
7.04
5.87
4.37
4.80

6.21
6.63
4.92
5.30
6.54
4.85
6.70
5.64
3.78
4.34

5.67
5.79
4.67
4.85
6.20
4.64
6.07
5.36
3.35
3.85

5.16
5.14
4.29
4.42
5.74
4.44
5.49
4.98
3.20
3.49

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (4) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

6.83
7.28
6.37
6.87
7.18
6.65
6.93
6.60

6.93
7.38
6.55
7.17
7.15
6.60
7.25
6.60

6.55
7.38
5.70
7.59
6.89
6.60
6.21
6.60

5.71
6.49
5.20
7.17
5.40
6.34
4.92
5.60

5.00
5.29
4.80
5.65
4.45
6.08
4.14
4.90

4.16
4.13
3.90
4.10
3.66
5.81
3.13
4.16

3.55
2.88
3.50
3.25
2.97
5.51
2.32
3.53

3.21
2.53
3.15
3.00
2.52
5.13
2.04
3.01

2.97
2.38
2.85
2.72
2.38
4.60
2.04
2.70

2.75
2.14
2.64
2.41
2.18
4.22
1.91
2.45

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

6.22
6.50
5.84
6.00
6.50
6.70

6.20
6.65
5.81
6.20
6.30
6.75

5.57
6.55
5.80
6.60
5.47
6.87

4.71
5.96
5.46
6.20
4.56
6.54

4.16
5.11
5.13
5.55
4.00
6.13

3.51
4.32
4.70
4.91
3.34
5.29

3.10
3.70
4.37
4.29
2.95
4.49

2.90
3.18
3.79
3.81
2.80
4.01

2.64
2.90
3.37
3.40
2.55
3.57

2.46
2.62
3.05
3.06
2.38
3.17

Western Africa (5)


Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Cte d'Ivoire........................................

6.34
5.86
6.10
6.57
6.77

6.52
6.42
6.35
6.97
7.53

6.80
6.83
6.70
6.86
7.93

6.83
7.01
7.06
6.10
7.31

6.60
6.88
6.94
5.63
6.61

6.27
6.56
6.71
4.93
5.92

5.95
6.16
6.40
4.14
5.31

5.71
5.79
6.14
3.28
5.05

5.48
5.48
5.94
2.60
4.65

5.22
5.08
5.75
2.28
4.22

264

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.22. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.39

2.33

2.25

2.19

2.15

2.11

2.08

2.05

2.04

2.03 World

1.75
2.48
3.82
2.22

1.80
2.40
3.56
2.16

1.90
2.30
3.16
2.08

1.95
2.22
2.87
2.02

1.99
2.16
2.65
1.99

2.02
2.12
2.48
1.97

2.04
2.08
2.34
1.96

2.05
2.05
2.24
1.96

2.07
2.03
2.16
1.96

2.07
2.02
2.13
1.97

2.73

2.60

2.41

2.29

2.20

2.14

2.09

2.06

2.03

2.02

4.47

4.13

3.58

3.16

2.85

2.61

2.43

2.29

2.18

2.14

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

4.11

3.84

3.38

3.03

2.77

2.56

2.39

2.27

2.17

2.13

Africa

4.39
3.53
4.43
3.28
3.84
3.24
4.34
4.19
5.87
1.55
3.84
4.33
2.13
4.91
6.23
5.42
5.36
6.30
2.83

4.04
3.10
4.13
3.02
3.49
2.81
4.01
3.90
5.52
1.56
3.47
3.98
2.02
4.44
5.95
4.97
5.02
5.98
2.60

3.53
2.53
3.63
2.62
2.94
2.28
3.46
3.43
4.87
1.64
2.93
3.38
1.89
3.71
5.33
4.13
4.40
5.37
2.25

3.17
2.19
3.23
2.34
2.56
1.97
3.06
3.06
4.29
1.74
2.54
2.92
1.84
3.18
4.69
3.46
3.85
4.79
2.00

2.89
1.97
2.92
2.14
2.29
1.79
2.74
2.77
3.81
1.81
2.25
2.59
1.84
2.79
4.10
2.96
3.40
4.28
1.83

2.67
1.85
2.67
1.99
2.10
1.72
2.49
2.54
3.42
1.88
2.03
2.35
1.87
2.49
3.60
2.60
3.04
3.84
1.76

2.51
1.79
2.46
1.90
1.98
1.71
2.29
2.35
3.10
1.93
1.88
2.17
1.90
2.25
3.20
2.34
2.77
3.47
1.75

2.37
1.79
2.30
1.86
1.90
1.75
2.13
2.20
2.85
1.96
1.80
2.04
1.94
2.06
2.88
2.15
2.55
3.17
1.79

2.26
1.81
2.16
1.84
1.87
1.81
2.01
2.09
2.64
2.00
1.77
1.96
1.97
1.93
2.62
2.03
2.38
2.93
1.84

2.22
1.83
2.11
1.85
1.86
1.84
1.97
2.04
2.55
2.01
1.77
1.94
1.98
1.88
2.52
1.99
2.31
2.82
1.86

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (2) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (3) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

4.66
4.54
3.93
4.02
5.25
4.19
4.93
4.51
3.06
3.18

4.20
4.00
3.62
3.65
4.77
3.89
4.42
4.04
2.93
2.92

3.43
3.17
3.11
3.04
3.91
3.37
3.56
3.28
2.71
2.54

2.89
2.64
2.74
2.62
3.24
2.98
2.95
2.75
2.52
2.28

2.52
2.29
2.46
2.33
2.76
2.68
2.55
2.41
2.36
2.08

2.25
2.06
2.25
2.13
2.43
2.46
2.27
2.18
2.23
1.95

2.08
1.93
2.10
2.00
2.20
2.28
2.08
2.03
2.12
1.88

1.97
1.86
1.99
1.92
2.05
2.15
1.96
1.93
2.04
1.84

1.91
1.83
1.93
1.89
1.96
2.05
1.90
1.88
1.99
1.84

1.89
1.83
1.91
1.88
1.93
2.01
1.88
1.87
1.97
1.85

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

2.58
1.96
2.46
2.17
2.03
3.88
1.80
2.27

2.44
1.82
2.32
1.98
1.90
3.56
1.72
2.12

2.21
1.65
2.10
1.72
1.73
3.05
1.65
1.90

2.07
1.63
1.94
1.60
1.66
2.68
1.69
1.77

2.00
1.70
1.84
1.64
1.66
2.42
1.76
1.71

1.94
1.78
1.79
1.72
1.72
2.21
1.83
1.72

1.91
1.85
1.79
1.80
1.79
2.07
1.89
1.76

1.90
1.91
1.81
1.87
1.85
1.97
1.93
1.82

1.90
1.95
1.85
1.92
1.90
1.92
1.97
1.87

1.90
1.97
1.86
1.94
1.93
1.90
1.99
1.89

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (4) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

2.31
2.40
2.79
2.78
2.24
2.86

2.18
2.23
2.58
2.57
2.13
2.62

1.98
1.98
2.27
2.25
1.95
2.27

1.85
1.82
2.07
2.03
1.83
2.03

1.79
1.74
1.93
1.88
1.77
1.87

1.77
1.72
1.85
1.80
1.77
1.79

1.79
1.76
1.82
1.78
1.79
1.76

1.83
1.81
1.82
1.80
1.83
1.78

1.87
1.86
1.85
1.83
1.87
1.82

1.89
1.88
1.86
1.85
1.89
1.84

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

4.95
4.69
5.53
2.07
3.86

4.60
4.33
5.15
1.92
3.55

3.98
3.70
4.44
1.72
3.07

3.48
3.21
3.84
1.64
2.71

3.08
2.84
3.36
1.64
2.43

2.78
2.56
2.99
1.70
2.21

2.54
2.35
2.71
1.77
2.05

2.36
2.18
2.50
1.84
1.94

2.22
2.06
2.33
1.89
1.88

2.17
2.02
2.26
1.92
1.86

Western Africa (5)


Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Cte d'Ivoire......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

265

Table A.22. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
5.29
6.44
6.00
7.41
6.27
6.48
6.34
6.86
6.35
6.05
6.03
6.33

5.70
6.84
6.51
5.87
6.47
6.75
6.79
7.13
6.35
6.85
6.03
6.65

6.20
6.90
6.85
7.34
6.80
6.93
6.75
7.52
6.61
7.45
5.75
7.20

6.29
6.35
6.95
6.70
6.96
7.07
6.28
7.76
6.76
7.28
5.52
7.06

6.14
5.88
6.86
6.68
6.72
7.09
6.06
7.81
6.56
6.90
5.59
6.58

6.03
5.34
6.58
6.54
6.30
7.01
5.78
7.78
6.23
6.36
5.81
5.99

5.80
4.81
6.19
6.05
6.01
6.88
5.40
7.60
5.99
5.77
5.84
5.38

5.46
4.55
5.80
5.66
5.69
6.71
5.04
7.40
5.79
5.36
5.56
4.83

5.10
4.34
5.45
5.27
5.42
6.46
4.71
7.19
5.61
5.03
5.22
4.30

4.69
3.99
5.03
4.88
5.04
6.12
4.36
6.92
5.43
4.61
4.73
3.86

5.82

5.58

5.00

3.69

3.43

2.97

2.65

2.41

2.28

2.18

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ...............
China, Macao SAR (9) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

5.59
6.11
4.44
4.39
2.70
3.00
5.60
5.05

5.05
5.61
5.31
4.41
3.41
1.99
7.50
5.63

4.36
4.76
3.29
1.79
3.72
2.13
7.50
4.28

2.53
2.61
1.72
1.98
2.93
1.75
5.75
2.23

2.51
2.63
1.36
1.94
2.45
1.66
4.90
1.60

1.97
2.01
1.24
1.41
2.40
1.48
3.30
1.70

1.76
1.80
0.87
1.12
2.20
1.37
2.50
1.51

1.65
1.70
0.81
0.83
2.05
1.30
2.10
1.22

1.61
1.64
0.99
1.01
2.05
1.32
2.50
1.29

1.56
1.56
1.14
1.16
1.99
1.42
2.45
1.39

South-Central Asia (10)

6.00

5.99

5.52

4.83

4.44

3.95

3.46

3.02

2.76

2.56

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

4.64
4.41
4.51
6.00
6.00
5.97

5.33
4.43
5.39
6.30
6.75
6.80

4.63
3.46
4.73
6.83
6.19
6.30

3.84
2.96
4.10
5.54
4.79
4.73

3.86
3.03
4.02
5.41
4.55
4.40

3.55
2.55
3.61
4.88
4.03
3.88

2.87
2.00
2.99
4.29
3.03
3.05

2.55
2.01
2.50
3.81
2.75
2.55

2.61
2.54
2.70
3.45
2.50
2.46

2.46
2.48
2.62
3.16
2.32
2.26

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

6.06
7.70
6.36
6.67
5.90
6.93
6.03
6.10
6.60
5.80

6.03
7.70
6.80
6.67
5.82
6.93
7.12
6.10
6.60
5.20

5.57
7.70
6.91
6.67
5.26
6.24
7.17
6.04
6.60
4.00

4.88
7.80
5.99
6.39
4.47
6.54
7.26
5.72
6.44
3.19

4.46
7.90
5.02
6.11
4.11
5.62
6.81
5.39
6.30
2.64

3.97
8.00
4.10
5.27
3.72
3.95
5.25
4.96
5.67
2.39

3.49
8.00
3.41
4.13
3.31
2.62
3.52
4.41
4.99
2.16

3.04
7.35
2.87
3.29
2.96
1.96
2.49
3.74
4.00
2.27

2.77
6.62
2.38
2.61
2.73
1.77
1.90
2.95
3.65
2.36

2.57
5.97
2.16
2.26
2.54
1.59
1.67
2.59
3.20
2.24

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (11) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

6.05
7.00
6.29
5.49
5.94
6.23
6.00
7.42
6.61
6.14
6.44
6.20

6.24
6.55
6.29
5.62
5.97
6.23
6.10
6.98
5.12
6.13
6.37
7.33

5.62
5.87
5.54
5.30
5.99
4.56
5.90
5.98
2.82
5.05
5.54
7.15

4.22
3.92
7.00
4.11
6.36
3.73
4.30
4.92
1.59
2.94
5.39
4.93

3.59
3.72
6.00
3.40
6.27
3.59
3.80
4.53
1.70
2.30
5.21
3.96

3.10
3.28
5.44
2.90
5.88
3.42
3.10
4.14
1.84
1.99
5.68
3.23

2.65
2.60
4.31
2.55
4.81
3.17
2.65
3.90
1.57
1.77
7.00
2.18

2.45
2.28
3.41
2.38
3.70
2.96
2.25
3.70
1.32
1.68
6.96
1.93

2.26
2.11
2.80
2.19
3.02
2.72
2.08
3.27
1.25
1.63
6.53
1.89

2.13
1.98
2.42
2.06
2.54
2.57
1.94
3.05
1.37
1.53
5.92
1.75

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (12) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (13) .........................................
Georgia (14) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................

6.10
4.49
5.49
6.97
3.71
3.00
7.30

5.98
4.45
5.64
7.17
3.44
2.98
6.60

5.60
3.04
4.29
5.95
2.49
2.60
7.15

5.02
2.38
3.04
4.63
2.45
2.27
6.35

4.45
2.58
2.95
4.08
2.43
2.26
6.15

4.04
2.38
2.90
3.35
2.33
2.05
5.80

3.58
1.75
2.20
2.89
1.89
1.72
5.40

3.18
1.72
2.00
2.62
1.59
1.58
5.12

3.02
1.74
2.16
2.63
1.51
1.58
4.86

2.85
1.74
2.15
2.43
1.46
1.53
4.53

Asia (6)

266

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.22. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
4.30
3.68
4.63
4.59
4.67
5.78
4.04
6.69
5.22
4.22
4.25
3.48

3.93
3.41
4.27
4.30
4.33
5.31
3.74
6.23
4.86
3.88
3.81
3.17

3.31
2.98
3.63
3.78
3.73
4.46
3.25
5.34
4.20
3.32
3.08
2.70

2.85
2.66
3.14
3.35
3.25
3.76
2.88
4.55
3.64
2.91
2.59
2.39

2.52
2.42
2.77
3.02
2.90
3.24
2.60
3.92
3.20
2.60
2.28
2.15

2.28
2.22
2.50
2.76
2.62
2.85
2.38
3.42
2.87
2.37
2.07
1.99

2.11
2.08
2.29
2.56
2.40
2.56
2.21
3.04
2.61
2.18
1.95
1.89

2.00
1.98
2.13
2.40
2.23
2.35
2.09
2.74
2.41
2.04
1.89
1.84

1.93
1.92
2.03
2.27
2.10
2.19
2.00
2.52
2.26
1.96
1.87
1.82

1.91
1.91
1.99
2.22
2.05
2.13
1.97
2.43
2.20
1.93
1.86
1.83

2.09

2.03

1.95

1.90

1.87

1.86

1.87

1.89

1.92

1.93

1.52
1.51
1.27
1.29
1.94
1.50
2.40
1.48

1.53
1.53
1.38
1.40
1.90
1.58
2.36
1.56

1.64
1.63
1.56
1.58
1.87
1.71
2.29
1.69

1.74
1.73
1.70
1.71
1.87
1.80
2.24
1.79

1.82
1.81
1.80
1.81
1.88
1.87
2.21
1.87

1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.91
1.93
2.18
1.92

1.93
1.93
1.93
1.94
1.94
1.97
2.16
1.97

1.97
1.97
1.98
1.98
1.96
2.00
2.14
2.00

2.00
2.00
2.01
2.01
1.98
2.03
2.13
2.02

2.01
2.01
2.02
2.02
1.99
2.04
2.13
2.03

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .............
China, Macao SAR (9) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

2.40

2.27

2.05

1.92

1.85

1.81

1.82

1.84

1.87

1.89

South-Central Asia (10)

2.33
2.43
2.55
2.92
2.17
2.11

2.22
2.38
2.49
2.72
2.05
1.99

2.07
2.31
2.39
2.42
1.87
1.81

1.98
2.26
2.32
2.19
1.76
1.72

1.94
2.22
2.26
2.03
1.73
1.69

1.94
2.19
2.22
1.92
1.74
1.73

1.95
2.17
2.19
1.87
1.78
1.78

1.97
2.15
2.17
1.84
1.83
1.84

1.99
2.14
2.15
1.85
1.88
1.89

2.00
2.13
2.14
1.85
1.90
1.91

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

2.40
5.35
1.98
2.03
2.38
1.45
1.49
2.33
2.86
2.13

2.27
4.77
1.84
1.86
2.26
1.36
1.36
2.14
2.60
2.04

2.06
3.81
1.66
1.64
2.06
1.38
1.27
1.90
2.23
1.91

1.92
3.13
1.58
1.56
1.92
1.54
1.41
1.76
1.99
1.85

1.84
2.68
1.60
1.59
1.84
1.67
1.58
1.71
1.84
1.84

1.81
2.35
1.68
1.68
1.80
1.77
1.71
1.72
1.77
1.85

1.81
2.13
1.76
1.76
1.80
1.85
1.80
1.76
1.75
1.89

1.83
1.98
1.84
1.84
1.83
1.91
1.87
1.81
1.78
1.92

1.86
1.90
1.89
1.90
1.86
1.96
1.93
1.86
1.82
1.95

1.88
1.88
1.92
1.92
1.88
1.98
1.95
1.89
1.85
1.97

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

2.02
1.88
2.17
1.94
2.24
2.45
1.83
2.86
1.47
1.46
5.31
1.65

1.95
1.79
1.99
1.85
2.04
2.34
1.74
2.70
1.55
1.44
4.73
1.58

1.86
1.68
1.75
1.74
1.76
2.15
1.63
2.43
1.69
1.53
3.73
1.58

1.83
1.65
1.64
1.71
1.62
2.02
1.63
2.22
1.80
1.65
3.02
1.66

1.82
1.68
1.62
1.73
1.61
1.93
1.68
2.06
1.87
1.75
2.56
1.76

1.84
1.73
1.68
1.78
1.67
1.88
1.75
1.95
1.93
1.83
2.26
1.83

1.86
1.80
1.76
1.83
1.75
1.86
1.82
1.88
1.97
1.89
2.06
1.89

1.88
1.86
1.83
1.89
1.83
1.87
1.87
1.85
2.01
1.94
1.96
1.94

1.91
1.91
1.89
1.93
1.89
1.89
1.92
1.85
2.03
1.98
1.91
1.97

1.93
1.93
1.91
1.95
1.91
1.90
1.94
1.85
2.04
1.99
1.89
1.99

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (11) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

2.70
1.73
2.14
2.27
1.44
1.51
4.23

2.58
1.74
2.14
2.13
1.48
1.53
3.96

2.40
1.76
2.13
1.92
1.59
1.62
3.48

2.27
1.80
2.12
1.80
1.70
1.71
3.12

2.19
1.85
2.11
1.74
1.78
1.79
2.82

2.13
1.89
2.11
1.75
1.85
1.85
2.59

2.08
1.93
2.11
1.79
1.91
1.91
2.40

2.04
1.96
2.11
1.84
1.95
1.95
2.24

2.00
1.99
2.10
1.89
1.98
1.98
2.12

1.99
2.00
2.10
1.91
2.00
2.00
2.07

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (12) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (13) .......................................
Georgia (14) ......................................
Iraq ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (6)

267

Table A.22. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
4.28
7.38
7.21
5.74
7.38
7.25
6.97
7.17
7.23
6.30
6.97
7.27

3.85
8.00
7.31
5.69
8.00
7.25
6.97
7.26
7.54
6.05
6.87
7.33

3.81
7.79
6.90
4.78
7.69
7.41
6.76
7.30
7.54
5.30
6.36
7.67

3.13
7.05
5.10
3.90
7.05
8.32
5.45
7.01
6.77
4.15
5.23
9.23

3.07
6.44
3.34
3.31
6.43
7.85
4.50
6.22
5.87
3.28
4.83
8.93

2.93
5.14
2.20
3.00
6.59
6.27
4.01
5.45
4.80
2.90
3.88
8.24

2.93
4.34
2.93
2.69
5.77
4.46
3.30
4.51
3.96
2.57
2.97
6.98

2.91
3.60
2.24
2.09
5.05
3.01
3.01
3.54
3.39
2.23
2.38
6.09

2.91
3.27
2.32
1.86
4.65
2.52
2.40
3.03
3.10
2.15
1.86
5.48

2.91
2.89
2.25
1.76
4.27
2.15
2.20
2.64
2.77
2.02
1.71
4.94

2.65

2.56

2.17

1.89

1.82

1.57

1.42

1.43

1.53

1.59

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

2.82
2.61
2.48
2.68
2.73
3.62
3.50
2.87
2.85
3.50
2.81

2.44
2.69
2.18
2.24
1.82
2.65
3.15
2.04
2.55
2.91
2.20

2.14
2.25
2.17
2.19
2.09
2.25
2.56
2.62
2.03
2.51
2.16

2.09
2.09
2.01
2.00
1.81
2.33
2.55
2.25
2.04
2.27
2.02

2.11
2.04
1.92
1.93
1.82
2.15
2.64
2.27
2.12
2.15
2.03

1.62
1.68
1.51
1.66
1.73
1.89
2.11
1.50
1.54
1.87
1.64

1.29
1.31
1.22
1.18
1.38
1.48
1.70
1.35
1.25
1.41
1.23

1.26
1.24
1.25
1.19
1.30
1.27
1.50
1.28
1.30
1.22
1.15

1.40
1.39
1.46
1.41
1.34
1.32
1.50
1.33
1.44
1.27
1.39

1.49
1.48
1.55
1.50
1.43
1.42
1.45
1.43
1.53
1.37
1.48

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (19) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (20) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

2.33
2.06
2.55
2.06
3.00
3.70
3.42
2.00
2.71
2.60
2.21
2.18

2.72
2.56
2.58
1.94
2.66
3.94
4.07
1.85
2.40
2.90
2.32
2.81

2.07
1.86
1.96
2.15
1.62
2.84
3.82
2.00
2.32
2.25
1.89
2.01

1.80
1.44
1.43
2.09
1.69
2.25
2.75
2.00
2.03
1.69
1.65
1.77

1.85
1.45
1.54
2.20
1.66
2.12
2.18
2.09
2.09
1.80
1.91
1.84

1.80
1.46
1.75
1.63
1.82
2.19
1.91
1.63
1.81
1.89
2.01
1.77

1.70
1.40
1.76
1.33
1.74
2.06
1.94
1.17
1.47
1.86
1.55
1.74

1.66
1.41
1.76
1.39
1.75
1.99
1.97
1.25
1.28
1.81
1.67
1.66

1.83
1.42
1.85
1.64
1.84
2.10
2.10
1.41
1.41
1.92
1.90
1.83

1.86
1.51
1.88
1.70
1.87
2.10
2.10
1.51
1.50
1.95
1.93
1.87

Southern Europe (21)


Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (22) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (23) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ........................

2.64
5.60
4.82
2.76
2.29
2.36
4.14
3.22
3.10
3.22
2.80
2.53
5.32

2.67
5.76
3.81
2.27
2.20
2.47
3.15
2.57
3.19
2.57
2.32
2.81
3.79

2.55
4.66
2.63
1.96
2.32
2.35
2.01
2.36
2.83
2.36
2.19
2.85
2.81

1.83
3.90
1.99
1.96
1.96
1.54
2.04
2.17
2.01
2.32
1.88
1.88
2.33

1.55
3.65
1.90
1.84
1.53
1.34
2.07
1.97
1.62
2.23
1.66
1.46
2.18

1.41
2.78
1.53
1.52
1.37
1.28
2.01
1.81
1.50
1.96
1.36
1.28
2.06

1.33
2.48
1.53
1.54
1.30
1.22
1.81
1.84
1.48
1.74
1.25
1.19
1.80

1.35
1.99
1.28
1.36
1.28
1.25
1.41
1.78
1.45
1.72
1.23
1.29
1.56

1.43
1.60
1.18
1.42
1.46
1.38
1.33
1.69
1.36
1.62
1.39
1.41
1.46

1.49
1.52
1.13
1.50
1.54
1.48
1.28
1.63
1.31
1.56
1.48
1.50
1.40

Western Europe (25)


Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................

2.42
2.08
2.34
2.76
2.16
1.98
3.05
2.31

2.67
2.78
2.64
2.85
2.49
2.40
3.17
2.60

1.97
2.04
2.02
2.31
1.64
1.72
2.06
1.87

1.63
1.59
1.60
1.86
1.46
1.47
1.51
1.54

1.58
1.44
1.56
1.80
1.43
1.47
1.55
1.55

1.49
1.47
1.61
1.71
1.30
1.66
1.58
1.54

1.52
1.37
1.60
1.76
1.34
1.72
1.60
1.48

1.58
1.39
1.69
1.88
1.35
1.65
1.73
1.41

1.63
1.38
1.79
1.97
1.36
1.62
1.74
1.46

1.69
1.35
1.83
1.99
1.46
1.68
1.79
1.54

Europe

268

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.22. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.84
2.60
2.20
1.68
3.93
1.89
2.04
2.37
2.52
1.91
1.60
4.39

2.72
2.38
2.16
1.63
3.63
1.71
1.92
2.17
2.31
1.82
1.53
3.97

2.51
2.05
2.11
1.58
3.15
1.47
1.73
1.88
2.01
1.71
1.48
3.35

2.34
1.84
2.10
1.61
2.79
1.44
1.64
1.72
1.81
1.68
1.54
2.92

2.20
1.71
2.09
1.68
2.52
1.56
1.63
1.65
1.70
1.70
1.64
2.60

2.09
1.68
2.08
1.75
2.30
1.68
1.68
1.67
1.68
1.76
1.74
2.36

2.02
1.71
2.08
1.82
2.13
1.78
1.75
1.73
1.72
1.82
1.82
2.19

1.97
1.77
2.09
1.88
2.01
1.86
1.82
1.80
1.79
1.87
1.88
2.08

1.94
1.83
2.09
1.93
1.94
1.91
1.88
1.86
1.85
1.92
1.93
2.02

1.93
1.86
2.09
1.95
1.91
1.94
1.90
1.89
1.87
1.94
1.96
2.01

1.63

1.69

1.82

1.89

1.93

1.99

2.01

2.03

2.05

2.06

1.57
1.56
1.62
1.58
1.51
1.50
1.44
1.51
1.61
1.47
1.57

1.63
1.63
1.69
1.65
1.59
1.58
1.47
1.59
1.67
1.55
1.64

1.76
1.75
1.79
1.77
1.71
1.70
1.58
1.71
1.78
1.68
1.75

1.84
1.83
1.87
1.85
1.81
1.80
1.69
1.81
1.86
1.78
1.84

1.90
1.90
1.93
1.91
1.88
1.87
1.78
1.88
1.92
1.86
1.90

1.96
1.95
1.97
1.96
1.93
1.93
1.85
1.93
1.97
1.92
1.95

1.99
1.98
2.00
2.00
1.97
1.97
1.90
1.97
2.00
1.96
1.99

2.01
2.01
2.03
2.02
2.00
2.00
1.95
2.00
2.03
2.00
2.02

2.04
2.03
2.05
2.04
2.02
2.02
1.98
2.03
2.04
2.02
2.04

2.05
2.04
2.05
2.05
2.03
2.03
2.00
2.04
2.05
2.03
2.05

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

1.90
1.59
1.91
1.76
1.91
2.10
2.10
1.59
1.57
1.97
1.95
1.90

1.92
1.66
1.94
1.80
1.93
2.10
2.10
1.66
1.64
1.99
1.97
1.93

1.97
1.77
1.98
1.88
1.97
2.10
2.10
1.77
1.75
2.01
2.00
1.97

2.01
1.86
2.01
1.93
2.01
2.10
2.10
1.85
1.83
2.04
2.03
2.00

2.03
1.92
2.03
1.98
2.03
2.10
2.10
1.91
1.90
2.05
2.04
2.03

2.05
1.96
2.05
2.01
2.05
2.10
2.10
1.96
1.95
2.07
2.06
2.04

2.06
2.00
2.06
2.03
2.06
2.10
2.10
2.00
1.98
2.07
2.07
2.06

2.07
2.02
2.07
2.05
2.07
2.10
2.10
2.02
2.01
2.08
2.08
2.07

2.08
2.04
2.08
2.06
2.08
2.10
2.10
2.04
2.03
2.09
2.08
2.08

2.08
2.05
2.08
2.07
2.08
2.10
2.10
2.05
2.04
2.09
2.08
2.08

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Finland (19) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (20) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

1.54
1.47
1.14
1.57
1.61
1.56
1.29
1.59
1.30
1.54
1.56
1.59
1.37

1.59
1.45
1.25
1.64
1.67
1.63
1.36
1.60
1.36
1.55
1.63
1.66
1.40

1.71
1.49
1.44
1.75
1.77
1.75
1.52
1.65
1.51
1.63
1.74
1.77
1.53

1.81
1.58
1.60
1.83
1.85
1.84
1.65
1.72
1.64
1.72
1.83
1.85
1.65

1.88
1.69
1.72
1.89
1.91
1.91
1.76
1.79
1.74
1.79
1.89
1.92
1.75

1.93
1.78
1.81
1.94
1.95
1.96
1.84
1.86
1.83
1.86
1.94
1.96
1.83

1.98
1.85
1.88
1.98
1.99
1.99
1.90
1.91
1.89
1.91
1.98
2.00
1.89

2.01
1.90
1.93
2.01
2.02
2.02
1.95
1.95
1.94
1.95
2.01
2.02
1.94

2.03
1.95
1.97
2.03
2.04
2.04
1.98
1.98
1.98
1.98
2.03
2.04
1.98

2.04
1.97
1.99
2.04
2.04
2.05
2.00
1.99
1.99
2.00
2.04
2.05
1.99

Southern Europe (21)


Albania..............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Greece ...............................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
Serbia (22) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (23) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ......................

1.74
1.36
1.87
2.00
1.55
1.74
1.84
1.61

1.79
1.43
1.90
2.02
1.62
1.79
1.87
1.67

1.88
1.58
1.95
2.04
1.74
1.87
1.93
1.77

1.94
1.69
1.99
2.05
1.83
1.93
1.97
1.84

1.98
1.79
2.02
2.06
1.90
1.97
2.01
1.90

2.01
1.86
2.04
2.07
1.95
2.00
2.03
1.95

2.03
1.91
2.05
2.08
1.99
2.03
2.05
1.98

2.05
1.96
2.07
2.09
2.02
2.05
2.06
2.01

2.06
1.99
2.07
2.09
2.04
2.06
2.07
2.03

2.07
2.01
2.08
2.09
2.05
2.07
2.08
2.04

Western Europe (25)


Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

269

Table A.22. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
Latin America and Caribbean

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
5.86

5.96

5.02

3.93

3.42

3.02

2.73

2.53

2.30

2.16

Caribbean (26)
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
US Virgin Islands ................................

5.27
5.65
4.05
4.42
4.15
7.60
5.80
5.61
6.30
4.22
5.71
5.65
4.97
6.00
7.33
5.30
5.57

5.48
4.40
4.50
4.27
4.68
7.35
6.40
5.61
6.30
5.64
5.45
4.40
4.37
6.79
7.02
4.99
5.50

4.37
2.65
3.54
2.72
3.60
5.68
4.60
4.49
5.60
5.00
4.08
2.65
2.99
5.69
5.54
3.45
4.98

3.41
2.36
3.05
1.92
1.85
4.15
4.23
2.55
6.21
3.55
2.14
2.36
2.46
4.20
3.64
3.22
3.70

3.13
2.30
2.65
1.77
1.85
3.65
4.14
2.45
5.70
3.10
2.14
2.30
2.26
3.65
3.10
2.80
3.09

2.84
2.17
2.64
1.73
1.65
3.31
3.46
2.10
5.15
2.84
1.96
2.28
2.18
3.15
2.85
2.10
3.09

2.62
1.95
2.33
1.63
1.61
2.98
2.81
2.10
4.62
2.67
1.90
2.12
1.99
2.60
2.55
1.73
2.50

2.49
1.82
1.87
1.50
1.63
2.83
2.43
2.06
4.00
2.54
1.98
2.09
1.84
2.10
2.24
1.61
2.15

2.36
1.74
1.91
1.53
1.50
2.67
2.30
2.14
3.54
2.40
1.91
1.98
1.83
2.05
2.13
1.64
2.05

2.25
1.67
1.88
1.58
1.45
2.49
2.17
2.06
3.16
2.26
1.82
1.90
1.76
1.91
2.00
1.63
1.94

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

6.73
6.65
6.72
6.30
7.00
7.50
6.70
7.20
5.68

6.76
6.45
7.22
6.76
6.50
7.42
6.75
7.10
5.92

6.38
6.25
4.35
5.95
6.20
7.05
6.50
6.79
4.93

4.50
5.40
3.53
4.80
6.10
6.00
4.25
5.85
3.52

3.90
4.70
3.37
4.20
5.70
5.37
3.63
5.00
3.20

3.47
4.35
2.94
3.73
5.45
4.92
3.19
4.50
2.87

2.96
3.85
2.58
3.30
5.00
4.30
2.67
3.60
2.79

2.77
3.35
2.25
2.60
4.60
3.72
2.55
3.00
2.70

2.60
2.94
1.92
2.35
4.15
3.31
2.41
2.75
2.56

2.41
2.68
1.81
2.17
3.84
3.00
2.23
2.50
2.41

South America (29)


Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

5.67
3.15
6.75
6.15
4.95
6.76
6.70
5.00
6.68
6.50
6.85
6.56
2.73
6.46

5.75
3.09
6.63
6.15
5.44
6.76
6.70
5.02
6.15
6.45
6.85
6.56
2.90
6.66

4.64
3.15
6.50
4.72
3.63
5.00
6.00
4.18
4.90
5.35
6.00
5.29
3.00
4.94

3.79
3.15
5.30
3.80
2.67
3.68
4.70
3.58
3.26
5.20
4.65
3.70
2.57
3.96

3.27
3.05
5.00
3.10
2.65
3.24
4.00
3.73
2.70
4.77
4.10
3.00
2.53
3.65

2.88
2.90
4.80
2.60
2.55
3.00
3.40
4.05
2.55
4.31
3.57
2.60
2.49
3.25

2.65
2.63
4.32
2.45
2.21
2.75
3.10
3.93
2.50
3.88
3.10
2.80
2.30
2.94

2.43
2.35
3.96
2.25
2.00
2.55
2.82
3.68
2.42
3.48
2.80
2.60
2.20
2.72

2.18
2.25
3.50
1.90
1.90
2.45
2.58
3.27
2.33
3.08
2.60
2.42
2.12
2.55

2.06
2.17
3.23
1.80
1.83
2.29
2.39
3.14
2.19
2.86
2.41
2.27
2.04
2.39

Northern America (30)


Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................

3.33
3.65
3.45

3.36
3.67
3.31

2.05
1.98
2.02

1.79
1.63
1.80

1.87
1.62
1.89

1.96
1.69
1.99

1.93
1.56
1.96

1.99
1.52
2.04

2.03
1.65
2.07

2.04
1.69
2.08

Oceania

3.81

4.00

3.30

2.57

2.49

2.49

2.45

2.41

2.49

2.45

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

3.26
3.18
3.69

3.49
3.27
4.02

2.68
2.54
2.84

1.92
1.91
1.97

1.89
1.86
2.03

1.90
1.86
2.07

1.81
1.78
1.95

1.79
1.75
1.95

1.96
1.93
2.14

1.98
1.95
2.14

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

6.31
6.63
5.22
6.24
6.40
7.60

6.24
5.95
5.22
6.28
6.40
7.00

5.80
4.20
5.20
6.09
7.24
6.11

5.17
3.80
3.34
5.47
6.43
5.40

4.73
3.47
3.02
4.97
6.13
5.04

4.49
3.35
2.94
4.70
5.53
4.83

4.39
3.19
2.58
4.64
4.91
4.59

4.13
2.98
2.26
4.35
4.60
4.30

3.91
2.75
2.19
4.10
4.40
4.00

3.64
2.60
2.09
3.80
4.04
3.75

270

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.22. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.05

1.96

1.84

1.79

1.79

1.81

1.85

1.88

1.91

1.93

2.15
1.63
1.84
1.62
1.44
2.33
2.06
1.99
2.85
2.14
1.75
1.84
1.70
1.79
1.88
1.62
1.85

2.07
1.64
1.82
1.66
1.47
2.20
1.96
1.94
2.61
2.05
1.73
1.81
1.66
1.70
1.78
1.62
1.78

1.94
1.70
1.79
1.74
1.58
1.98
1.82
1.88
2.27
1.90
1.75
1.81
1.66
1.59
1.66
1.65
1.70

1.86
1.77
1.80
1.81
1.69
1.84
1.74
1.88
2.04
1.83
1.80
1.84
1.69
1.58
1.64
1.71
1.69

1.81
1.83
1.82
1.87
1.78
1.76
1.73
1.91
1.90
1.81
1.86
1.88
1.75
1.64
1.69
1.78
1.73

1.80
1.89
1.86
1.91
1.85
1.76
1.75
1.94
1.82
1.83
1.91
1.92
1.81
1.73
1.76
1.84
1.78

1.82
1.93
1.89
1.95
1.90
1.78
1.79
1.97
1.79
1.86
1.95
1.95
1.87
1.80
1.82
1.89
1.84

1.85
1.97
1.93
1.98
1.95
1.83
1.84
1.99
1.80
1.90
1.98
1.98
1.92
1.87
1.88
1.94
1.89

1.89
2.00
1.96
2.01
1.98
1.88
1.89
2.01
1.83
1.93
2.01
2.00
1.95
1.92
1.93
1.97
1.94

1.91
2.01
1.97
2.02
2.00
1.90
1.91
2.02
1.85
1.95
2.02
2.02
1.97
1.94
1.95
1.99
1.95

Caribbean (26)
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

2.26
2.48
1.72
2.03
3.56
2.75
2.07
2.30
2.28

2.13
2.31
1.65
1.92
3.31
2.55
1.94
2.15
2.17

1.95
2.07
1.60
1.76
2.90
2.24
1.77
1.92
2.00

1.87
1.90
1.64
1.68
2.60
2.03
1.70
1.78
1.90

1.84
1.80
1.71
1.67
2.38
1.88
1.71
1.72
1.85

1.86
1.76
1.78
1.71
2.20
1.80
1.77
1.71
1.85

1.87
1.76
1.85
1.77
2.07
1.77
1.83
1.75
1.87

1.90
1.80
1.90
1.83
1.98
1.78
1.88
1.80
1.90

1.92
1.84
1.94
1.88
1.93
1.82
1.93
1.86
1.93

1.93
1.86
1.96
1.91
1.92
1.84
1.95
1.88
1.94

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

1.96
2.10
3.00
1.72
1.78
2.16
2.24
3.02
2.07
2.67
2.26
2.14
1.98
2.26

1.88
2.03
2.80
1.66
1.74
2.04
2.11
2.91
1.97
2.51
2.12
2.03
1.93
2.14

1.78
1.93
2.50
1.61
1.71
1.87
1.91
2.71
1.84
2.27
1.92
1.88
1.86
1.96

1.75
1.87
2.27
1.63
1.72
1.79
1.79
2.54
1.79
2.09
1.80
1.81
1.84
1.85

1.76
1.84
2.10
1.70
1.76
1.77
1.74
2.39
1.79
1.96
1.74
1.80
1.85
1.79

1.79
1.85
1.98
1.77
1.81
1.79
1.75
2.26
1.83
1.88
1.74
1.83
1.87
1.78

1.83
1.87
1.90
1.84
1.86
1.83
1.78
2.15
1.87
1.84
1.77
1.87
1.90
1.81

1.88
1.90
1.86
1.89
1.91
1.88
1.83
2.08
1.91
1.84
1.82
1.91
1.93
1.84

1.92
1.93
1.85
1.94
1.94
1.92
1.88
2.03
1.95
1.85
1.87
1.94
1.95
1.88

1.93
1.94
1.86
1.96
1.96
1.94
1.90
2.02
1.96
1.86
1.89
1.96
1.97
1.90

South America (29)


Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

2.05
1.73
2.08

2.05
1.76
2.08

2.06
1.83
2.09

2.07
1.88
2.09

2.08
1.92
2.09

2.08
1.96
2.09

2.09
1.98
2.10

2.09
2.01
2.10

2.09
2.03
2.10

2.09
2.03
2.10

Northern America (30)


Canada...............................................
United States of America ..................

2.43

2.40

2.31

2.24

2.18

2.12

2.08

2.05

2.03

2.02

Oceania

2.00
1.97
2.13

2.01
1.99
2.13

2.03
2.02
2.12

2.05
2.04
2.12

2.06
2.05
2.11

2.07
2.07
2.11

2.08
2.07
2.11

2.08
2.08
2.10

2.09
2.09
2.10

2.09
2.09
2.10

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

3.40
2.47
2.00
3.53
3.73
3.52

3.19
2.35
1.93
3.29
3.45
3.33

2.84
2.16
1.82
2.91
3.02
3.00

2.57
2.01
1.76
2.62
2.69
2.73

2.37
1.92
1.75
2.40
2.44
2.51

2.20
1.87
1.77
2.22
2.24
2.33

2.08
1.86
1.80
2.09
2.09
2.18

1.99
1.87
1.85
2.00
1.98
2.07

1.94
1.90
1.89
1.94
1.92
2.00

1.93
1.91
1.91
1.93
1.90
1.97

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Latin America and Caribbean

271

Table A.22. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Micronesia (32)
Guam...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................

6.19
5.53
7.20

6.29
6.03
6.90

5.26
4.12
6.90

4.36
3.08
6.00

3.93
3.14
5.20

3.73
3.10
4.79

3.35
3.00
4.53

2.93
2.74
4.05

2.74
2.54
3.62

2.64
2.41
3.31

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................

6.66
6.00
7.30
7.30

6.93
6.50
7.30
7.30

5.40
5.15
5.70
5.50

4.51
3.82
4.85
5.50

4.22
3.57
4.82
4.74

3.86
3.05
4.70
4.62

3.57
2.60
4.66
4.29

3.33
2.35
4.42
4.23

3.05
2.16
3.99
4.03

2.84
2.03
3.76
3.78

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Seychelles.
2 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3 Including Zanzibar.
4 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
5 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
6 Includes other non-specified areas.
7 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
8 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
10 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
11 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.

272

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.22. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

2.52
2.30
3.04

2.39
2.21
2.82

2.21
2.06
2.49

2.10
1.96
2.24

1.98
1.90
2.06

1.92
1.88
1.94

1.90
1.89
1.86

1.88
1.91
1.83

1.89
1.93
1.84

1.90
1.95
1.84

Micronesia (32)
Guam.................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............

2.66
1.92
3.56
3.56

2.52
1.83
3.37
3.36

2.38
1.71
3.06
3.03

2.26
1.67
2.81
2.77

2.14
1.69
2.60
2.55

2.10
1.75
2.42
2.37

2.07
1.81
2.27
2.21

2.01
1.86
2.15
2.10

1.98
1.91
2.06
2.02

1.97
1.93
2.03
1.99

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia...............................
Samoa................................................
Tonga.................................................

Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

273

Table A.23. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country:
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
4.95

4.91

4.45

3.59

3.39

3.04

2.79

2.62

2.52

2.45

2.81
6.07
6.54
6.01

2.66
5.97
6.68
5.87

2.16
5.37
6.71
5.19

1.85
4.16
6.45
3.87

1.81
3.85
6.14
3.56

1.66
3.39
5.74
3.09

1.55
3.06
5.31
2.76

1.57
2.82
4.85
2.53

1.66
2.67
4.41
2.41

1.71
2.57
4.10
2.31

6.06

6.13

5.65

4.85

4.40

3.96

3.55

3.24

3.03

2.86

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

6.53

6.64

6.71

6.58

6.39

6.05

5.73

5.44

5.10

4.78

Africa

6.60

6.71

6.67

6.38

6.07

5.62

5.23

4.94

4.64

4.37

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (2) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (3) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

7.01
6.80
6.00
7.80
6.96
7.17
7.48
7.30
6.78
5.89
7.91
6.60
6.93
8.00
7.25
6.90
6.74
6.75
6.80

7.07
6.80
6.91
7.80
6.82
6.90
8.06
7.30
7.00
6.20
7.91
6.60
6.56
8.15
7.25
7.05
6.80
7.15
7.30

7.04
6.80
7.05
7.20
6.52
6.81
7.99
7.30
7.40
3.47
7.91
6.58
3.88
8.20
7.10
7.10
6.75
7.42
7.40

6.82
6.50
7.05
6.60
6.50
6.93
7.22
6.10
7.30
2.30
7.35
6.44
2.78
8.25
6.70
7.10
6.55
6.95
6.74

6.66
6.50
6.00
6.40
6.31
7.06
6.54
6.30
7.00
2.31
6.73
6.33
2.71
7.80
6.70
7.10
6.36
6.66
5.66

6.29
6.45
5.30
5.85
6.08
7.00
5.57
6.14
6.50
2.25
5.08
6.12
2.40
6.30
6.50
7.06
6.05
6.30
4.77

5.92
6.08
5.30
5.11
5.66
6.48
5.07
5.80
6.20
2.03
4.76
5.85
2.33
6.00
6.50
6.95
5.75
6.20
4.05

5.53
5.41
5.30
4.52
5.19
5.60
5.00
5.28
6.03
1.93
4.45
5.52
2.44
5.60
6.50
6.75
5.66
6.10
3.74

5.11
4.66
5.08
3.95
4.68
4.60
4.80
4.83
6.00
1.66
4.30
5.11
2.40
5.43
6.40
6.38
5.58
6.20
3.47

4.74
4.05
4.74
3.59
4.24
3.85
4.62
4.49
5.97
1.59
4.18
4.71
2.25
5.28
6.28
5.90
5.50
6.30
3.11

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

6.03
7.00
5.68
5.52
6.10
5.68
5.98
5.50
4.00
6.20

6.21
7.40
5.90
5.90
6.30
5.99
6.04
5.53
4.25
6.30

6.41
7.20
6.30
5.95
6.60
6.29
6.29
5.68
4.90
6.52

6.66
7.20
6.40
5.95
6.75
5.99
6.72
5.79
5.20
6.24

6.71
7.20
6.10
5.90
6.70
5.55
6.97
5.89
5.15
5.66

6.68
7.10
5.70
5.65
6.65
5.21
7.14
5.89
5.10
5.16

6.48
6.92
5.10
5.54
6.62
5.01
7.04
5.87
4.37
4.80

6.21
6.63
4.92
5.30
6.54
4.85
6.70
5.64
3.78
4.34

5.67
5.79
4.67
4.85
6.20
4.64
6.07
5.36
3.35
3.85

5.16
5.14
4.29
4.42
5.74
4.44
5.49
4.98
3.20
3.49

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (4) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

6.83
7.28
6.37
6.87
7.18
6.65
6.93
6.60

6.93
7.38
6.55
7.17
7.15
6.60
7.25
6.60

6.55
7.38
5.70
7.59
6.89
6.60
6.21
6.60

5.71
6.49
5.20
7.17
5.40
6.34
4.92
5.60

5.00
5.29
4.80
5.65
4.45
6.08
4.14
4.90

4.16
4.13
3.90
4.10
3.66
5.81
3.13
4.16

3.55
2.88
3.50
3.25
2.97
5.51
2.32
3.53

3.21
2.53
3.15
3.00
2.52
5.13
2.04
3.01

2.97
2.38
2.85
2.72
2.38
4.60
2.04
2.70

2.75
2.14
2.64
2.41
2.18
4.22
1.91
2.45

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

6.22
6.50
5.84
6.00
6.50
6.70

6.20
6.65
5.81
6.20
6.30
6.75

5.57
6.55
5.80
6.60
5.47
6.87

4.71
5.96
5.46
6.20
4.56
6.54

4.16
5.11
5.13
5.55
4.00
6.13

3.51
4.32
4.70
4.91
3.34
5.29

3.10
3.70
4.37
4.29
2.95
4.49

2.90
3.18
3.79
3.81
2.80
4.01

2.64
2.90
3.37
3.40
2.55
3.57

2.46
2.62
3.05
3.06
2.38
3.17

Western Africa (5)


Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Cte d'Ivoire........................................

6.34
5.86
6.10
6.57
6.77

6.52
6.42
6.35
6.97
7.53

6.80
6.83
6.70
6.86
7.93

6.83
7.01
7.06
6.10
7.31

6.60
6.88
6.94
5.63
6.61

6.27
6.56
6.71
4.93
5.92

5.95
6.16
6.40
4.14
5.31

5.71
5.79
6.14
3.28
5.05

5.48
5.48
5.94
2.60
4.65

5.22
5.08
5.75
2.28
4.22

274

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.23. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.39

2.33

2.25

2.19

2.15

2.11

2.08

2.05

2.04

2.03 World

1.75
2.48
3.82
2.22

1.80
2.40
3.56
2.16

1.90
2.30
3.16
2.08

1.95
2.22
2.87
2.02

1.99
2.16
2.65
1.99

2.02
2.12
2.48
1.97

2.04
2.08
2.34
1.96

2.05
2.05
2.24
1.96

2.07
2.03
2.16
1.96

2.07
2.02
2.13
1.97

2.73

2.60

2.41

2.29

2.20

2.14

2.09

2.06

2.03

2.02

4.47

4.13

3.58

3.16

2.85

2.61

2.43

2.29

2.18

2.14

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

4.11

3.84

3.38

3.03

2.77

2.56

2.39

2.27

2.17

2.13

Africa

4.39
3.53
4.43
3.28
3.84
3.24
4.34
4.19
5.87
1.55
3.84
4.33
2.13
4.91
6.23
5.42
5.36
6.30
2.83

4.04
3.10
4.13
3.02
3.49
2.81
4.01
3.90
5.52
1.56
3.47
3.98
2.02
4.44
5.95
4.97
5.02
5.98
2.60

3.53
2.53
3.63
2.62
2.94
2.28
3.46
3.43
4.87
1.64
2.93
3.38
1.89
3.71
5.33
4.13
4.40
5.37
2.25

3.17
2.19
3.23
2.34
2.56
1.97
3.06
3.06
4.29
1.74
2.54
2.92
1.84
3.18
4.69
3.46
3.85
4.79
2.00

2.89
1.97
2.92
2.14
2.29
1.79
2.74
2.77
3.81
1.81
2.25
2.59
1.84
2.79
4.10
2.96
3.40
4.28
1.83

2.67
1.85
2.67
1.99
2.10
1.72
2.49
2.54
3.42
1.88
2.03
2.35
1.87
2.49
3.60
2.60
3.04
3.84
1.76

2.51
1.79
2.46
1.90
1.98
1.71
2.29
2.35
3.10
1.93
1.88
2.17
1.90
2.25
3.20
2.34
2.77
3.47
1.75

2.37
1.79
2.30
1.86
1.90
1.75
2.13
2.20
2.85
1.96
1.80
2.04
1.94
2.06
2.88
2.15
2.55
3.17
1.79

2.26
1.81
2.16
1.84
1.87
1.81
2.01
2.09
2.64
2.00
1.77
1.96
1.97
1.93
2.62
2.03
2.38
2.93
1.84

2.22
1.83
2.11
1.85
1.86
1.84
1.97
2.04
2.55
2.01
1.77
1.94
1.98
1.88
2.52
1.99
2.31
2.82
1.86

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (2) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (3) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

4.66
4.54
3.93
4.02
5.25
4.19
4.93
4.51
3.06
3.18

4.20
4.00
3.62
3.65
4.77
3.89
4.42
4.04
2.93
2.92

3.43
3.17
3.11
3.04
3.91
3.37
3.56
3.28
2.71
2.54

2.89
2.64
2.74
2.62
3.24
2.98
2.95
2.75
2.52
2.28

2.52
2.29
2.46
2.33
2.76
2.68
2.55
2.41
2.36
2.08

2.25
2.06
2.25
2.13
2.43
2.46
2.27
2.18
2.23
1.95

2.08
1.93
2.10
2.00
2.20
2.28
2.08
2.03
2.12
1.88

1.97
1.86
1.99
1.92
2.05
2.15
1.96
1.93
2.04
1.84

1.91
1.83
1.93
1.89
1.96
2.05
1.90
1.88
1.99
1.84

1.89
1.83
1.91
1.88
1.93
2.01
1.88
1.87
1.97
1.85

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

2.58
1.96
2.46
2.17
2.03
3.88
1.80
2.27

2.44
1.82
2.32
1.98
1.90
3.56
1.72
2.12

2.21
1.65
2.10
1.72
1.73
3.05
1.65
1.90

2.07
1.63
1.94
1.60
1.66
2.68
1.69
1.77

2.00
1.70
1.84
1.64
1.66
2.42
1.76
1.71

1.94
1.78
1.79
1.72
1.72
2.21
1.83
1.72

1.91
1.85
1.79
1.80
1.79
2.07
1.89
1.76

1.90
1.91
1.81
1.87
1.85
1.97
1.93
1.82

1.90
1.95
1.85
1.92
1.90
1.92
1.97
1.87

1.90
1.97
1.86
1.94
1.93
1.90
1.99
1.89

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (4) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

2.31
2.40
2.79
2.78
2.24
2.86

2.18
2.23
2.58
2.57
2.13
2.62

1.98
1.98
2.27
2.25
1.95
2.27

1.85
1.82
2.07
2.03
1.83
2.03

1.79
1.74
1.93
1.88
1.77
1.87

1.77
1.72
1.85
1.80
1.77
1.79

1.79
1.76
1.82
1.78
1.79
1.76

1.83
1.81
1.82
1.80
1.83
1.78

1.87
1.86
1.85
1.83
1.87
1.82

1.89
1.88
1.86
1.85
1.89
1.84

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

4.95
4.69
5.53
2.07
3.86

4.60
4.33
5.15
1.92
3.55

3.98
3.70
4.44
1.72
3.07

3.48
3.21
3.84
1.64
2.71

3.08
2.84
3.36
1.64
2.43

2.78
2.56
2.99
1.70
2.21

2.54
2.35
2.71
1.77
2.05

2.36
2.18
2.50
1.84
1.94

2.22
2.06
2.33
1.89
1.88

2.17
2.02
2.26
1.92
1.86

Western Africa (5)


Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Cte d'Ivoire......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

275

Table A.23. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
5.29
6.44
6.00
7.41
6.27
6.48
6.34
6.86
6.35
6.05
6.03
6.33

5.70
6.84
6.51
5.87
6.47
6.75
6.79
7.13
6.35
6.85
6.03
6.65

6.20
6.90
6.85
7.34
6.80
6.93
6.75
7.52
6.61
7.45
5.75
7.20

6.29
6.35
6.95
6.70
6.96
7.07
6.28
7.76
6.76
7.28
5.52
7.06

6.14
5.88
6.86
6.68
6.72
7.09
6.06
7.81
6.56
6.90
5.59
6.58

6.03
5.34
6.58
6.54
6.30
7.01
5.78
7.78
6.23
6.36
5.81
5.99

5.80
4.81
6.19
6.05
6.01
6.88
5.40
7.60
5.99
5.77
5.84
5.38

5.46
4.55
5.80
5.66
5.69
6.71
5.04
7.40
5.79
5.36
5.56
4.83

5.10
4.34
5.45
5.27
5.42
6.46
4.71
7.19
5.61
5.03
5.22
4.30

4.69
3.99
5.03
4.88
5.04
6.12
4.36
6.92
5.43
4.61
4.73
3.86

5.82

5.58

5.00

3.69

3.43

2.97

2.65

2.41

2.28

2.18

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ...............
China, Macao SAR (9) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

5.59
6.11
4.44
4.39
2.70
3.00
5.60
5.05

5.05
5.61
5.31
4.41
3.41
1.99
7.50
5.63

4.36
4.76
3.29
1.79
3.72
2.13
7.50
4.28

2.53
2.61
1.72
1.98
2.93
1.75
5.75
2.23

2.51
2.63
1.36
1.94
2.45
1.66
4.90
1.60

1.97
2.01
1.24
1.41
2.40
1.48
3.30
1.70

1.76
1.80
0.87
1.12
2.20
1.37
2.50
1.51

1.65
1.70
0.81
0.83
2.05
1.30
2.10
1.22

1.61
1.64
0.99
1.01
2.05
1.32
2.50
1.29

1.56
1.56
1.14
1.16
1.99
1.42
2.45
1.39

South-Central Asia (10)

6.00

5.99

5.52

4.83

4.44

3.95

3.46

3.02

2.76

2.56

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

4.64
4.41
4.51
6.00
6.00
5.97

5.33
4.43
5.39
6.30
6.75
6.80

4.63
3.46
4.73
6.83
6.19
6.30

3.84
2.96
4.10
5.54
4.79
4.73

3.86
3.03
4.02
5.41
4.55
4.40

3.55
2.55
3.61
4.88
4.03
3.88

2.87
2.00
2.99
4.29
3.03
3.05

2.55
2.01
2.50
3.81
2.75
2.55

2.61
2.54
2.70
3.45
2.50
2.46

2.46
2.48
2.62
3.16
2.32
2.26

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

6.06
7.70
6.36
6.67
5.90
6.93
6.03
6.10
6.60
5.80

6.03
7.70
6.80
6.67
5.82
6.93
7.12
6.10
6.60
5.20

5.57
7.70
6.91
6.67
5.26
6.24
7.17
6.04
6.60
4.00

4.88
7.80
5.99
6.39
4.47
6.54
7.26
5.72
6.44
3.19

4.46
7.90
5.02
6.11
4.11
5.62
6.81
5.39
6.30
2.64

3.97
8.00
4.10
5.27
3.72
3.95
5.25
4.96
5.67
2.39

3.49
8.00
3.41
4.13
3.31
2.62
3.52
4.41
4.99
2.16

3.04
7.35
2.87
3.29
2.96
1.96
2.49
3.74
4.00
2.27

2.77
6.62
2.38
2.61
2.73
1.77
1.90
2.95
3.65
2.36

2.57
5.97
2.16
2.26
2.54
1.59
1.67
2.59
3.20
2.24

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (11) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

6.05
7.00
6.29
5.49
5.94
6.23
6.00
7.42
6.61
6.14
6.44
6.20

6.24
6.55
6.29
5.62
5.97
6.23
6.10
6.98
5.12
6.13
6.37
7.33

5.62
5.87
5.54
5.30
5.99
4.56
5.90
5.98
2.82
5.05
5.54
7.15

4.22
3.92
7.00
4.11
6.36
3.73
4.30
4.92
1.59
2.94
5.39
4.93

3.59
3.72
6.00
3.40
6.27
3.59
3.80
4.53
1.70
2.30
5.21
3.96

3.10
3.28
5.44
2.90
5.88
3.42
3.10
4.14
1.84
1.99
5.68
3.23

2.65
2.60
4.31
2.55
4.81
3.17
2.65
3.90
1.57
1.77
7.00
2.18

2.45
2.28
3.41
2.38
3.70
2.96
2.25
3.70
1.32
1.68
6.96
1.93

2.26
2.11
2.80
2.19
3.02
2.72
2.08
3.27
1.25
1.63
6.53
1.89

2.13
1.98
2.42
2.06
2.54
2.57
1.94
3.05
1.37
1.53
5.92
1.75

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (12) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (13) .........................................
Georgia (14) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................

6.10
4.49
5.49
6.97
3.71
3.00
7.30

5.98
4.45
5.64
7.17
3.44
2.98
6.60

5.60
3.04
4.29
5.95
2.49
2.60
7.15

5.02
2.38
3.04
4.63
2.45
2.27
6.35

4.45
2.58
2.95
4.08
2.43
2.26
6.15

4.04
2.38
2.90
3.35
2.33
2.05
5.80

3.58
1.75
2.20
2.89
1.89
1.72
5.40

3.18
1.72
2.00
2.62
1.59
1.58
5.12

3.02
1.74
2.16
2.63
1.51
1.58
4.86

2.85
1.74
2.15
2.43
1.46
1.53
4.53

Asia (6)

276

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.23. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
4.30
3.68
4.63
4.59
4.67
5.78
4.04
6.69
5.22
4.22
4.25
3.48

3.93
3.41
4.27
4.30
4.33
5.31
3.74
6.23
4.86
3.88
3.81
3.17

3.31
2.98
3.63
3.78
3.73
4.46
3.25
5.34
4.20
3.32
3.08
2.70

2.85
2.66
3.14
3.35
3.25
3.76
2.88
4.55
3.64
2.91
2.59
2.39

2.52
2.42
2.77
3.02
2.90
3.24
2.60
3.92
3.20
2.60
2.28
2.15

2.28
2.22
2.50
2.76
2.62
2.85
2.38
3.42
2.87
2.37
2.07
1.99

2.11
2.08
2.29
2.56
2.40
2.56
2.21
3.04
2.61
2.18
1.95
1.89

2.00
1.98
2.13
2.40
2.23
2.35
2.09
2.74
2.41
2.04
1.89
1.84

1.93
1.92
2.03
2.27
2.10
2.19
2.00
2.52
2.26
1.96
1.87
1.82

1.91
1.91
1.99
2.22
2.05
2.13
1.97
2.43
2.20
1.93
1.86
1.83

2.09

2.03

1.95

1.90

1.87

1.86

1.87

1.89

1.92

1.93

1.52
1.51
1.27
1.29
1.94
1.50
2.40
1.48

1.53
1.53
1.38
1.40
1.90
1.58
2.36
1.56

1.64
1.63
1.56
1.58
1.87
1.71
2.29
1.69

1.74
1.73
1.70
1.71
1.87
1.80
2.24
1.79

1.82
1.81
1.80
1.81
1.88
1.87
2.21
1.87

1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.91
1.93
2.18
1.92

1.93
1.93
1.93
1.94
1.94
1.97
2.16
1.97

1.97
1.97
1.98
1.98
1.96
2.00
2.14
2.00

2.00
2.00
2.01
2.01
1.98
2.03
2.13
2.02

2.01
2.01
2.02
2.02
1.99
2.04
2.13
2.03

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .............
China, Macao SAR (9) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

2.40

2.27

2.05

1.92

1.85

1.81

1.82

1.84

1.87

1.89

South-Central Asia (10)

2.33
2.43
2.55
2.92
2.17
2.11

2.22
2.38
2.49
2.72
2.05
1.99

2.07
2.31
2.39
2.42
1.87
1.81

1.98
2.26
2.32
2.19
1.76
1.72

1.94
2.22
2.26
2.03
1.73
1.69

1.94
2.19
2.22
1.92
1.74
1.73

1.95
2.17
2.19
1.87
1.78
1.78

1.97
2.15
2.17
1.84
1.83
1.84

1.99
2.14
2.15
1.85
1.88
1.89

2.00
2.13
2.14
1.85
1.90
1.91

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

2.40
5.35
1.98
2.03
2.38
1.45
1.49
2.33
2.86
2.13

2.27
4.77
1.84
1.86
2.26
1.36
1.36
2.14
2.60
2.04

2.06
3.81
1.66
1.64
2.06
1.38
1.27
1.90
2.23
1.91

1.92
3.13
1.58
1.56
1.92
1.54
1.41
1.76
1.99
1.85

1.84
2.68
1.60
1.59
1.84
1.67
1.58
1.71
1.84
1.84

1.81
2.35
1.68
1.68
1.80
1.77
1.71
1.72
1.77
1.85

1.81
2.13
1.76
1.76
1.80
1.85
1.80
1.76
1.75
1.89

1.83
1.98
1.84
1.84
1.83
1.91
1.87
1.81
1.78
1.92

1.86
1.90
1.89
1.90
1.86
1.96
1.93
1.86
1.82
1.95

1.88
1.88
1.92
1.92
1.88
1.98
1.95
1.89
1.85
1.97

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

2.02
1.88
2.17
1.94
2.24
2.45
1.83
2.86
1.47
1.46
5.31
1.65

1.95
1.79
1.99
1.85
2.04
2.34
1.74
2.70
1.55
1.44
4.73
1.58

1.86
1.68
1.75
1.74
1.76
2.15
1.63
2.43
1.69
1.53
3.73
1.58

1.83
1.65
1.64
1.71
1.62
2.02
1.63
2.22
1.80
1.65
3.02
1.66

1.82
1.68
1.62
1.73
1.61
1.93
1.68
2.06
1.87
1.75
2.56
1.76

1.84
1.73
1.68
1.78
1.67
1.88
1.75
1.95
1.93
1.83
2.26
1.83

1.86
1.80
1.76
1.83
1.75
1.86
1.82
1.88
1.97
1.89
2.06
1.89

1.88
1.86
1.83
1.89
1.83
1.87
1.87
1.85
2.01
1.94
1.96
1.94

1.91
1.91
1.89
1.93
1.89
1.89
1.92
1.85
2.03
1.98
1.91
1.97

1.93
1.93
1.91
1.95
1.91
1.90
1.94
1.85
2.04
1.99
1.89
1.99

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (11) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

2.70
1.73
2.14
2.27
1.44
1.51
4.23

2.58
1.74
2.14
2.13
1.48
1.53
3.96

2.40
1.76
2.13
1.92
1.59
1.62
3.48

2.27
1.80
2.12
1.80
1.70
1.71
3.12

2.19
1.85
2.11
1.74
1.78
1.79
2.82

2.13
1.89
2.11
1.75
1.85
1.85
2.59

2.08
1.93
2.11
1.79
1.91
1.91
2.40

2.04
1.96
2.11
1.84
1.95
1.95
2.24

2.00
1.99
2.10
1.89
1.98
1.98
2.12

1.99
2.00
2.10
1.91
2.00
2.00
2.07

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (12) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (13) .......................................
Georgia (14) ......................................
Iraq ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (6)

277

Table A.23. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
4.28
7.38
7.21
5.74
7.38
7.25
6.97
7.17
7.23
6.30
6.97
7.27

3.85
8.00
7.31
5.69
8.00
7.25
6.97
7.26
7.54
6.05
6.87
7.33

3.81
7.79
6.90
4.78
7.69
7.41
6.76
7.30
7.54
5.30
6.36
7.67

3.13
7.05
5.10
3.90
7.05
8.32
5.45
7.01
6.77
4.15
5.23
9.23

3.07
6.44
3.34
3.31
6.43
7.85
4.50
6.22
5.87
3.28
4.83
8.93

2.93
5.14
2.20
3.00
6.59
6.27
4.01
5.45
4.80
2.90
3.88
8.24

2.93
4.34
2.93
2.69
5.77
4.46
3.30
4.51
3.96
2.57
2.97
6.98

2.91
3.60
2.24
2.09
5.05
3.01
3.01
3.54
3.39
2.23
2.38
6.09

2.91
3.27
2.32
1.86
4.65
2.52
2.40
3.03
3.10
2.15
1.86
5.48

2.91
2.89
2.25
1.76
4.27
2.15
2.20
2.64
2.77
2.02
1.71
4.94

2.65

2.56

2.17

1.89

1.82

1.57

1.42

1.43

1.53

1.59

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

2.82
2.61
2.48
2.68
2.73
3.62
3.50
2.87
2.85
3.50
2.81

2.44
2.69
2.18
2.24
1.82
2.65
3.15
2.04
2.55
2.91
2.20

2.14
2.25
2.17
2.19
2.09
2.25
2.56
2.62
2.03
2.51
2.16

2.09
2.09
2.01
2.00
1.81
2.33
2.55
2.25
2.04
2.27
2.02

2.11
2.04
1.92
1.93
1.82
2.15
2.64
2.27
2.12
2.15
2.03

1.62
1.68
1.51
1.66
1.73
1.89
2.11
1.50
1.54
1.87
1.64

1.29
1.31
1.22
1.18
1.38
1.48
1.70
1.35
1.25
1.41
1.23

1.26
1.24
1.25
1.19
1.30
1.27
1.50
1.28
1.30
1.22
1.15

1.40
1.39
1.46
1.41
1.34
1.32
1.50
1.33
1.44
1.27
1.39

1.49
1.48
1.55
1.50
1.43
1.42
1.45
1.43
1.53
1.37
1.48

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (19) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (20) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

2.33
2.06
2.55
2.06
3.00
3.70
3.42
2.00
2.71
2.60
2.21
2.18

2.72
2.56
2.58
1.94
2.66
3.94
4.07
1.85
2.40
2.90
2.32
2.81

2.07
1.86
1.96
2.15
1.62
2.84
3.82
2.00
2.32
2.25
1.89
2.01

1.80
1.44
1.43
2.09
1.69
2.25
2.75
2.00
2.03
1.69
1.65
1.77

1.85
1.45
1.54
2.20
1.66
2.12
2.18
2.09
2.09
1.80
1.91
1.84

1.80
1.46
1.75
1.63
1.82
2.19
1.91
1.63
1.81
1.89
2.01
1.77

1.70
1.40
1.76
1.33
1.74
2.06
1.94
1.17
1.47
1.86
1.55
1.74

1.66
1.41
1.76
1.39
1.75
1.99
1.97
1.25
1.28
1.81
1.67
1.66

1.83
1.42
1.85
1.64
1.84
2.10
2.10
1.41
1.41
1.92
1.90
1.83

1.86
1.51
1.88
1.70
1.87
2.10
2.10
1.51
1.50
1.95
1.93
1.87

Southern Europe (21)


Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (22) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (23) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ........................

2.64
5.60
4.82
2.76
2.29
2.36
4.14
3.22
3.10
3.22
2.80
2.53
5.32

2.67
5.76
3.81
2.27
2.20
2.47
3.15
2.57
3.19
2.57
2.32
2.81
3.79

2.55
4.66
2.63
1.96
2.32
2.35
2.01
2.36
2.83
2.36
2.19
2.85
2.81

1.83
3.90
1.99
1.96
1.96
1.54
2.04
2.17
2.01
2.32
1.88
1.88
2.33

1.55
3.65
1.90
1.84
1.53
1.34
2.07
1.97
1.62
2.23
1.66
1.46
2.18

1.41
2.78
1.53
1.52
1.37
1.28
2.01
1.81
1.50
1.96
1.36
1.28
2.06

1.33
2.48
1.53
1.54
1.30
1.22
1.81
1.84
1.48
1.74
1.25
1.19
1.80

1.35
1.99
1.28
1.36
1.28
1.25
1.41
1.78
1.45
1.72
1.23
1.29
1.56

1.43
1.60
1.18
1.42
1.46
1.38
1.33
1.69
1.36
1.62
1.39
1.41
1.46

1.49
1.52
1.13
1.50
1.54
1.48
1.28
1.63
1.31
1.56
1.48
1.50
1.40

Western Europe (25)


Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................

2.42
2.08
2.34
2.76
2.16
1.98
3.05
2.31

2.67
2.78
2.64
2.85
2.49
2.40
3.17
2.60

1.97
2.04
2.02
2.31
1.64
1.72
2.06
1.87

1.63
1.59
1.60
1.86
1.46
1.47
1.51
1.54

1.58
1.44
1.56
1.80
1.43
1.47
1.55
1.55

1.49
1.47
1.61
1.71
1.30
1.66
1.58
1.54

1.52
1.37
1.60
1.76
1.34
1.72
1.60
1.48

1.58
1.39
1.69
1.88
1.35
1.65
1.73
1.41

1.63
1.38
1.79
1.97
1.36
1.62
1.74
1.46

1.69
1.35
1.83
1.99
1.46
1.68
1.79
1.54

Europe

278

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.23. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.84
2.60
2.20
1.68
3.93
1.89
2.04
2.37
2.52
1.91
1.60
4.39

2.72
2.38
2.16
1.63
3.63
1.71
1.92
2.17
2.31
1.82
1.53
3.97

2.51
2.05
2.11
1.58
3.15
1.47
1.73
1.88
2.01
1.71
1.48
3.35

2.34
1.84
2.10
1.61
2.79
1.44
1.64
1.72
1.81
1.68
1.54
2.92

2.20
1.71
2.09
1.68
2.52
1.56
1.63
1.65
1.70
1.70
1.64
2.60

2.09
1.68
2.08
1.75
2.30
1.68
1.68
1.67
1.68
1.76
1.74
2.36

2.02
1.71
2.08
1.82
2.13
1.78
1.75
1.73
1.72
1.82
1.82
2.19

1.97
1.77
2.09
1.88
2.01
1.86
1.82
1.80
1.79
1.87
1.88
2.08

1.94
1.83
2.09
1.93
1.94
1.91
1.88
1.86
1.85
1.92
1.93
2.02

1.93
1.86
2.09
1.95
1.91
1.94
1.90
1.89
1.87
1.94
1.96
2.01

1.63

1.69

1.82

1.89

1.93

1.99

2.01

2.03

2.05

2.06

1.57
1.56
1.62
1.58
1.51
1.50
1.44
1.51
1.61
1.47
1.57

1.63
1.63
1.69
1.65
1.59
1.58
1.47
1.59
1.67
1.55
1.64

1.76
1.75
1.79
1.77
1.71
1.70
1.58
1.71
1.78
1.68
1.75

1.84
1.83
1.87
1.85
1.81
1.80
1.69
1.81
1.86
1.78
1.84

1.90
1.90
1.93
1.91
1.88
1.87
1.78
1.88
1.92
1.86
1.90

1.96
1.95
1.97
1.96
1.93
1.93
1.85
1.93
1.97
1.92
1.95

1.99
1.98
2.00
2.00
1.97
1.97
1.90
1.97
2.00
1.96
1.99

2.01
2.01
2.03
2.02
2.00
2.00
1.95
2.00
2.03
2.00
2.02

2.04
2.03
2.05
2.04
2.02
2.02
1.98
2.03
2.04
2.02
2.04

2.05
2.04
2.05
2.05
2.03
2.03
2.00
2.04
2.05
2.03
2.05

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

1.90
1.59
1.91
1.76
1.91
2.10
2.10
1.59
1.57
1.97
1.95
1.90

1.92
1.66
1.94
1.80
1.93
2.10
2.10
1.66
1.64
1.99
1.97
1.93

1.97
1.77
1.98
1.88
1.97
2.10
2.10
1.77
1.75
2.01
2.00
1.97

2.01
1.86
2.01
1.93
2.01
2.10
2.10
1.85
1.83
2.04
2.03
2.00

2.03
1.92
2.03
1.98
2.03
2.10
2.10
1.91
1.90
2.05
2.04
2.03

2.05
1.96
2.05
2.01
2.05
2.10
2.10
1.96
1.95
2.07
2.06
2.04

2.06
2.00
2.06
2.03
2.06
2.10
2.10
2.00
1.98
2.07
2.07
2.06

2.07
2.02
2.07
2.05
2.07
2.10
2.10
2.02
2.01
2.08
2.08
2.07

2.08
2.04
2.08
2.06
2.08
2.10
2.10
2.04
2.03
2.09
2.08
2.08

2.08
2.05
2.08
2.07
2.08
2.10
2.10
2.05
2.04
2.09
2.08
2.08

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Finland (19) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (20) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

1.54
1.47
1.14
1.57
1.61
1.56
1.29
1.59
1.30
1.54
1.56
1.59
1.37

1.59
1.45
1.25
1.64
1.67
1.63
1.36
1.60
1.36
1.55
1.63
1.66
1.40

1.71
1.49
1.44
1.75
1.77
1.75
1.52
1.65
1.51
1.63
1.74
1.77
1.53

1.81
1.58
1.60
1.83
1.85
1.84
1.65
1.72
1.64
1.72
1.83
1.85
1.65

1.88
1.69
1.72
1.89
1.91
1.91
1.76
1.79
1.74
1.79
1.89
1.92
1.75

1.93
1.78
1.81
1.94
1.95
1.96
1.84
1.86
1.83
1.86
1.94
1.96
1.83

1.98
1.85
1.88
1.98
1.99
1.99
1.90
1.91
1.89
1.91
1.98
2.00
1.89

2.01
1.90
1.93
2.01
2.02
2.02
1.95
1.95
1.94
1.95
2.01
2.02
1.94

2.03
1.95
1.97
2.03
2.04
2.04
1.98
1.98
1.98
1.98
2.03
2.04
1.98

2.04
1.97
1.99
2.04
2.04
2.05
2.00
1.99
1.99
2.00
2.04
2.05
1.99

Southern Europe (21)


Albania..............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Greece ...............................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
Serbia (22) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (23) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ......................

1.74
1.36
1.87
2.00
1.55
1.74
1.84
1.61

1.79
1.43
1.90
2.02
1.62
1.79
1.87
1.67

1.88
1.58
1.95
2.04
1.74
1.87
1.93
1.77

1.94
1.69
1.99
2.05
1.83
1.93
1.97
1.84

1.98
1.79
2.02
2.06
1.90
1.97
2.01
1.90

2.01
1.86
2.04
2.07
1.95
2.00
2.03
1.95

2.03
1.91
2.05
2.08
1.99
2.03
2.05
1.98

2.05
1.96
2.07
2.09
2.02
2.05
2.06
2.01

2.06
1.99
2.07
2.09
2.04
2.06
2.07
2.03

2.07
2.01
2.08
2.09
2.05
2.07
2.08
2.04

Western Europe (25)


Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

279

Table A.23. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
Latin America and Caribbean

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
5.86

5.96

5.02

3.93

3.42

3.02

2.73

2.53

2.30

2.16

Caribbean (26)
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
US Virgin Islands ................................

5.27
5.65
4.05
4.42
4.15
7.60
5.80
5.61
6.30
4.22
5.71
5.65
4.97
6.00
7.33
5.30
5.57

5.48
4.40
4.50
4.27
4.68
7.35
6.40
5.61
6.30
5.64
5.45
4.40
4.37
6.79
7.02
4.99
5.50

4.37
2.65
3.54
2.72
3.60
5.68
4.60
4.49
5.60
5.00
4.08
2.65
2.99
5.69
5.54
3.45
4.98

3.41
2.36
3.05
1.92
1.85
4.15
4.23
2.55
6.21
3.55
2.14
2.36
2.46
4.20
3.64
3.22
3.70

3.13
2.30
2.65
1.77
1.85
3.65
4.14
2.45
5.70
3.10
2.14
2.30
2.26
3.65
3.10
2.80
3.09

2.84
2.17
2.64
1.73
1.65
3.31
3.46
2.10
5.15
2.84
1.96
2.28
2.18
3.15
2.85
2.10
3.09

2.62
1.95
2.33
1.63
1.61
2.98
2.81
2.10
4.62
2.67
1.90
2.12
1.99
2.60
2.55
1.73
2.50

2.49
1.82
1.87
1.50
1.63
2.83
2.43
2.06
4.00
2.54
1.98
2.09
1.84
2.10
2.24
1.61
2.15

2.36
1.74
1.91
1.53
1.50
2.67
2.30
2.14
3.54
2.40
1.91
1.98
1.83
2.05
2.13
1.64
2.05

2.25
1.67
1.88
1.58
1.45
2.49
2.17
2.06
3.16
2.26
1.82
1.90
1.76
1.91
2.00
1.63
1.94

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

6.73
6.65
6.72
6.30
7.00
7.50
6.70
7.20
5.68

6.76
6.45
7.22
6.76
6.50
7.42
6.75
7.10
5.92

6.38
6.25
4.35
5.95
6.20
7.05
6.50
6.79
4.93

4.50
5.40
3.53
4.80
6.10
6.00
4.25
5.85
3.52

3.90
4.70
3.37
4.20
5.70
5.37
3.63
5.00
3.20

3.47
4.35
2.94
3.73
5.45
4.92
3.19
4.50
2.87

2.96
3.85
2.58
3.30
5.00
4.30
2.67
3.60
2.79

2.77
3.35
2.25
2.60
4.60
3.72
2.55
3.00
2.70

2.60
2.94
1.92
2.35
4.15
3.31
2.41
2.75
2.56

2.41
2.68
1.81
2.17
3.84
3.00
2.23
2.50
2.41

South America (29)


Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

5.67
3.15
6.75
6.15
4.95
6.76
6.70
5.00
6.68
6.50
6.85
6.56
2.73
6.46

5.75
3.09
6.63
6.15
5.44
6.76
6.70
5.02
6.15
6.45
6.85
6.56
2.90
6.66

4.64
3.15
6.50
4.72
3.63
5.00
6.00
4.18
4.90
5.35
6.00
5.29
3.00
4.94

3.79
3.15
5.30
3.80
2.67
3.68
4.70
3.58
3.26
5.20
4.65
3.70
2.57
3.96

3.27
3.05
5.00
3.10
2.65
3.24
4.00
3.73
2.70
4.77
4.10
3.00
2.53
3.65

2.88
2.90
4.80
2.60
2.55
3.00
3.40
4.05
2.55
4.31
3.57
2.60
2.49
3.25

2.65
2.63
4.32
2.45
2.21
2.75
3.10
3.93
2.50
3.88
3.10
2.80
2.30
2.94

2.43
2.35
3.96
2.25
2.00
2.55
2.82
3.68
2.42
3.48
2.80
2.60
2.20
2.72

2.18
2.25
3.50
1.90
1.90
2.45
2.58
3.27
2.33
3.08
2.60
2.42
2.12
2.55

2.06
2.17
3.23
1.80
1.83
2.29
2.39
3.14
2.19
2.86
2.41
2.27
2.04
2.39

Northern America (30)


Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................

3.33
3.65
3.45

3.36
3.67
3.31

2.05
1.98
2.02

1.79
1.63
1.80

1.87
1.62
1.89

1.96
1.69
1.99

1.93
1.56
1.96

1.99
1.52
2.04

2.03
1.65
2.07

2.04
1.69
2.08

Oceania

3.81

4.00

3.30

2.57

2.49

2.49

2.45

2.41

2.49

2.45

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

3.26
3.18
3.69

3.49
3.27
4.02

2.68
2.54
2.84

1.92
1.91
1.97

1.89
1.86
2.03

1.90
1.86
2.07

1.81
1.78
1.95

1.79
1.75
1.95

1.96
1.93
2.14

1.98
1.95
2.14

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

6.31
6.63
5.22
6.24
6.40
7.60

6.24
5.95
5.22
6.28
6.40
7.00

5.80
4.20
5.20
6.09
7.24
6.11

5.17
3.80
3.34
5.47
6.43
5.40

4.73
3.47
3.02
4.97
6.13
5.04

4.49
3.35
2.94
4.70
5.53
4.83

4.39
3.19
2.58
4.64
4.91
4.59

4.13
2.98
2.26
4.35
4.60
4.30

3.91
2.75
2.19
4.10
4.40
4.00

3.64
2.60
2.09
3.80
4.04
3.75

280

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.23. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.05

1.96

1.84

1.79

1.79

1.81

1.85

1.88

1.91

1.93

2.15
1.63
1.84
1.62
1.44
2.33
2.06
1.99
2.85
2.14
1.75
1.84
1.70
1.79
1.88
1.62
1.85

2.07
1.64
1.82
1.66
1.47
2.20
1.96
1.94
2.61
2.05
1.73
1.81
1.66
1.70
1.78
1.62
1.78

1.94
1.70
1.79
1.74
1.58
1.98
1.82
1.88
2.27
1.90
1.75
1.81
1.66
1.59
1.66
1.65
1.70

1.86
1.77
1.80
1.81
1.69
1.84
1.74
1.88
2.04
1.83
1.80
1.84
1.69
1.58
1.64
1.71
1.69

1.81
1.83
1.82
1.87
1.78
1.76
1.73
1.91
1.90
1.81
1.86
1.88
1.75
1.64
1.69
1.78
1.73

1.80
1.89
1.86
1.91
1.85
1.76
1.75
1.94
1.82
1.83
1.91
1.92
1.81
1.73
1.76
1.84
1.78

1.82
1.93
1.89
1.95
1.90
1.78
1.79
1.97
1.79
1.86
1.95
1.95
1.87
1.80
1.82
1.89
1.84

1.85
1.97
1.93
1.98
1.95
1.83
1.84
1.99
1.80
1.90
1.98
1.98
1.92
1.87
1.88
1.94
1.89

1.89
2.00
1.96
2.01
1.98
1.88
1.89
2.01
1.83
1.93
2.01
2.00
1.95
1.92
1.93
1.97
1.94

1.91
2.01
1.97
2.02
2.00
1.90
1.91
2.02
1.85
1.95
2.02
2.02
1.97
1.94
1.95
1.99
1.95

Caribbean (26)
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

2.26
2.48
1.72
2.03
3.56
2.75
2.07
2.30
2.28

2.13
2.31
1.65
1.92
3.31
2.55
1.94
2.15
2.17

1.95
2.07
1.60
1.76
2.90
2.24
1.77
1.92
2.00

1.87
1.90
1.64
1.68
2.60
2.03
1.70
1.78
1.90

1.84
1.80
1.71
1.67
2.38
1.88
1.71
1.72
1.85

1.86
1.76
1.78
1.71
2.20
1.80
1.77
1.71
1.85

1.87
1.76
1.85
1.77
2.07
1.77
1.83
1.75
1.87

1.90
1.80
1.90
1.83
1.98
1.78
1.88
1.80
1.90

1.92
1.84
1.94
1.88
1.93
1.82
1.93
1.86
1.93

1.93
1.86
1.96
1.91
1.92
1.84
1.95
1.88
1.94

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

1.96
2.10
3.00
1.72
1.78
2.16
2.24
3.02
2.07
2.67
2.26
2.14
1.98
2.26

1.88
2.03
2.80
1.66
1.74
2.04
2.11
2.91
1.97
2.51
2.12
2.03
1.93
2.14

1.78
1.93
2.50
1.61
1.71
1.87
1.91
2.71
1.84
2.27
1.92
1.88
1.86
1.96

1.75
1.87
2.27
1.63
1.72
1.79
1.79
2.54
1.79
2.09
1.80
1.81
1.84
1.85

1.76
1.84
2.10
1.70
1.76
1.77
1.74
2.39
1.79
1.96
1.74
1.80
1.85
1.79

1.79
1.85
1.98
1.77
1.81
1.79
1.75
2.26
1.83
1.88
1.74
1.83
1.87
1.78

1.83
1.87
1.90
1.84
1.86
1.83
1.78
2.15
1.87
1.84
1.77
1.87
1.90
1.81

1.88
1.90
1.86
1.89
1.91
1.88
1.83
2.08
1.91
1.84
1.82
1.91
1.93
1.84

1.92
1.93
1.85
1.94
1.94
1.92
1.88
2.03
1.95
1.85
1.87
1.94
1.95
1.88

1.93
1.94
1.86
1.96
1.96
1.94
1.90
2.02
1.96
1.86
1.89
1.96
1.97
1.90

South America (29)


Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

2.05
1.73
2.08

2.05
1.76
2.08

2.06
1.83
2.09

2.07
1.88
2.09

2.08
1.92
2.09

2.08
1.96
2.09

2.09
1.98
2.10

2.09
2.01
2.10

2.09
2.03
2.10

2.09
2.03
2.10

Northern America (30)


Canada...............................................
United States of America ..................

2.43

2.40

2.31

2.24

2.18

2.12

2.08

2.05

2.03

2.02

Oceania

2.00
1.97
2.13

2.01
1.99
2.13

2.03
2.02
2.12

2.05
2.04
2.12

2.06
2.05
2.11

2.07
2.07
2.11

2.08
2.07
2.11

2.08
2.08
2.10

2.09
2.09
2.10

2.09
2.09
2.10

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

3.40
2.47
2.00
3.53
3.73
3.52

3.19
2.35
1.93
3.29
3.45
3.33

2.84
2.16
1.82
2.91
3.02
3.00

2.57
2.01
1.76
2.62
2.69
2.73

2.37
1.92
1.75
2.40
2.44
2.51

2.20
1.87
1.77
2.22
2.24
2.33

2.08
1.86
1.80
2.09
2.09
2.18

1.99
1.87
1.85
2.00
1.98
2.07

1.94
1.90
1.89
1.94
1.92
2.00

1.93
1.91
1.91
1.93
1.90
1.97

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Latin America and Caribbean

281

Table A.23. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Micronesia (32)
Guam...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................

6.19
5.53
7.20

6.29
6.03
6.90

5.26
4.12
6.90

4.36
3.08
6.00

3.93
3.14
5.20

3.73
3.10
4.79

3.35
3.00
4.53

2.93
2.74
4.05

2.74
2.54
3.62

2.64
2.41
3.31

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................

6.66
6.00
7.30
7.30

6.93
6.50
7.30
7.30

5.40
5.15
5.70
5.50

4.51
3.82
4.85
5.50

4.22
3.57
4.82
4.74

3.86
3.05
4.70
4.62

3.57
2.60
4.66
4.29

3.33
2.35
4.42
4.23

3.05
2.16
3.99
4.03

2.84
2.03
3.76
3.78

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Seychelles.
2 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3 Including Zanzibar.
4 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
5 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
6 Includes other non-specified areas.
7 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
8 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
10 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
11 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.

282

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.23. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

2.52
2.30
3.04

2.39
2.21
2.82

2.21
2.06
2.49

2.10
1.96
2.24

1.98
1.90
2.06

1.92
1.88
1.94

1.90
1.89
1.86

1.88
1.91
1.83

1.89
1.93
1.84

1.90
1.95
1.84

Micronesia (32)
Guam.................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............

2.66
1.92
3.56
3.56

2.52
1.83
3.37
3.36

2.38
1.71
3.06
3.03

2.26
1.67
2.81
2.77

2.14
1.69
2.60
2.55

2.10
1.75
2.42
2.37

2.07
1.81
2.27
2.21

2.01
1.86
2.15
2.10

1.98
1.91
2.06
2.02

1.97
1.93
2.03
1.99

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia...............................
Samoa................................................
Tonga.................................................

Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

283

Table A.24. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country:
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
4.95

4.91

4.45

3.59

3.39

3.04

2.79

2.62

2.52

2.45

2.81
6.07
6.54
6.01

2.66
5.97
6.68
5.87

2.16
5.37
6.71
5.19

1.85
4.16
6.45
3.87

1.81
3.85
6.14
3.56

1.66
3.39
5.74
3.09

1.55
3.06
5.31
2.76

1.57
2.82
4.85
2.53

1.66
2.67
4.41
2.41

1.71
2.57
4.10
2.31

6.06

6.13

5.65

4.85

4.40

3.96

3.55

3.24

3.03

2.86

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

6.53

6.64

6.71

6.58

6.39

6.05

5.73

5.44

5.10

4.78

Africa

6.60

6.71

6.67

6.38

6.07

5.62

5.23

4.94

4.64

4.37

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (2) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (3) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

7.01
6.80
6.00
7.80
6.96
7.17
7.48
7.30
6.78
5.89
7.91
6.60
6.93
8.00
7.25
6.90
6.74
6.75
6.80

7.07
6.80
6.91
7.80
6.82
6.90
8.06
7.30
7.00
6.20
7.91
6.60
6.56
8.15
7.25
7.05
6.80
7.15
7.30

7.04
6.80
7.05
7.20
6.52
6.81
7.99
7.30
7.40
3.47
7.91
6.58
3.88
8.20
7.10
7.10
6.75
7.42
7.40

6.82
6.50
7.05
6.60
6.50
6.93
7.22
6.10
7.30
2.30
7.35
6.44
2.78
8.25
6.70
7.10
6.55
6.95
6.74

6.66
6.50
6.00
6.40
6.31
7.06
6.54
6.30
7.00
2.31
6.73
6.33
2.71
7.80
6.70
7.10
6.36
6.66
5.66

6.29
6.45
5.30
5.85
6.08
7.00
5.57
6.14
6.50
2.25
5.08
6.12
2.40
6.30
6.50
7.06
6.05
6.30
4.77

5.92
6.08
5.30
5.11
5.66
6.48
5.07
5.80
6.20
2.03
4.76
5.85
2.33
6.00
6.50
6.95
5.75
6.20
4.05

5.53
5.41
5.30
4.52
5.19
5.60
5.00
5.28
6.03
1.93
4.45
5.52
2.44
5.60
6.50
6.75
5.66
6.10
3.74

5.11
4.66
5.08
3.95
4.68
4.60
4.80
4.83
6.00
1.66
4.30
5.11
2.40
5.43
6.40
6.38
5.58
6.20
3.47

4.74
4.05
4.74
3.59
4.24
3.85
4.62
4.49
5.97
1.59
4.18
4.71
2.25
5.28
6.28
5.90
5.50
6.30
3.11

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

6.03
7.00
5.68
5.52
6.10
5.68
5.98
5.50
4.00
6.20

6.21
7.40
5.90
5.90
6.30
5.99
6.04
5.53
4.25
6.30

6.41
7.20
6.30
5.95
6.60
6.29
6.29
5.68
4.90
6.52

6.66
7.20
6.40
5.95
6.75
5.99
6.72
5.79
5.20
6.24

6.71
7.20
6.10
5.90
6.70
5.55
6.97
5.89
5.15
5.66

6.68
7.10
5.70
5.65
6.65
5.21
7.14
5.89
5.10
5.16

6.48
6.92
5.10
5.54
6.62
5.01
7.04
5.87
4.37
4.80

6.21
6.63
4.92
5.30
6.54
4.85
6.70
5.64
3.78
4.34

5.67
5.79
4.67
4.85
6.20
4.64
6.07
5.36
3.35
3.85

5.16
5.14
4.29
4.42
5.74
4.44
5.49
4.98
3.20
3.49

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (4) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

6.83
7.28
6.37
6.87
7.18
6.65
6.93
6.60

6.93
7.38
6.55
7.17
7.15
6.60
7.25
6.60

6.55
7.38
5.70
7.59
6.89
6.60
6.21
6.60

5.71
6.49
5.20
7.17
5.40
6.34
4.92
5.60

5.00
5.29
4.80
5.65
4.45
6.08
4.14
4.90

4.16
4.13
3.90
4.10
3.66
5.81
3.13
4.16

3.55
2.88
3.50
3.25
2.97
5.51
2.32
3.53

3.21
2.53
3.15
3.00
2.52
5.13
2.04
3.01

2.97
2.38
2.85
2.72
2.38
4.60
2.04
2.70

2.75
2.14
2.64
2.41
2.18
4.22
1.91
2.45

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

6.22
6.50
5.84
6.00
6.50
6.70

6.20
6.65
5.81
6.20
6.30
6.75

5.57
6.55
5.80
6.60
5.47
6.87

4.71
5.96
5.46
6.20
4.56
6.54

4.16
5.11
5.13
5.55
4.00
6.13

3.51
4.32
4.70
4.91
3.34
5.29

3.10
3.70
4.37
4.29
2.95
4.49

2.90
3.18
3.79
3.81
2.80
4.01

2.64
2.90
3.37
3.40
2.55
3.57

2.46
2.62
3.05
3.06
2.38
3.17

Western Africa (5)


Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Cte d'Ivoire........................................

6.34
5.86
6.10
6.57
6.77

6.52
6.42
6.35
6.97
7.53

6.80
6.83
6.70
6.86
7.93

6.83
7.01
7.06
6.10
7.31

6.60
6.88
6.94
5.63
6.61

6.27
6.56
6.71
4.93
5.92

5.95
6.16
6.40
4.14
5.31

5.71
5.79
6.14
3.28
5.05

5.48
5.48
5.94
2.60
4.65

5.22
5.08
5.75
2.28
4.22

284

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.24. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.39

2.33

2.25

2.19

2.15

2.11

2.08

2.05

2.04

2.03 World

1.75
2.48
3.82
2.22

1.80
2.40
3.56
2.16

1.90
2.30
3.16
2.08

1.95
2.22
2.87
2.02

1.99
2.16
2.65
1.99

2.02
2.12
2.48
1.97

2.04
2.08
2.34
1.96

2.05
2.05
2.24
1.96

2.07
2.03
2.16
1.96

2.07
2.02
2.13
1.97

2.73

2.60

2.41

2.29

2.20

2.14

2.09

2.06

2.03

2.02

4.47

4.13

3.58

3.16

2.85

2.61

2.43

2.29

2.18

2.14

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

4.11

3.84

3.38

3.03

2.77

2.56

2.39

2.27

2.17

2.13

Africa

4.39
3.53
4.43
3.28
3.84
3.24
4.34
4.19
5.87
1.55
3.84
4.33
2.13
4.91
6.23
5.42
5.36
6.30
2.83

4.04
3.10
4.13
3.02
3.49
2.81
4.01
3.90
5.52
1.56
3.47
3.98
2.02
4.44
5.95
4.97
5.02
5.98
2.60

3.53
2.53
3.63
2.62
2.94
2.28
3.46
3.43
4.87
1.64
2.93
3.38
1.89
3.71
5.33
4.13
4.40
5.37
2.25

3.17
2.19
3.23
2.34
2.56
1.97
3.06
3.06
4.29
1.74
2.54
2.92
1.84
3.18
4.69
3.46
3.85
4.79
2.00

2.89
1.97
2.92
2.14
2.29
1.79
2.74
2.77
3.81
1.81
2.25
2.59
1.84
2.79
4.10
2.96
3.40
4.28
1.83

2.67
1.85
2.67
1.99
2.10
1.72
2.49
2.54
3.42
1.88
2.03
2.35
1.87
2.49
3.60
2.60
3.04
3.84
1.76

2.51
1.79
2.46
1.90
1.98
1.71
2.29
2.35
3.10
1.93
1.88
2.17
1.90
2.25
3.20
2.34
2.77
3.47
1.75

2.37
1.79
2.30
1.86
1.90
1.75
2.13
2.20
2.85
1.96
1.80
2.04
1.94
2.06
2.88
2.15
2.55
3.17
1.79

2.26
1.81
2.16
1.84
1.87
1.81
2.01
2.09
2.64
2.00
1.77
1.96
1.97
1.93
2.62
2.03
2.38
2.93
1.84

2.22
1.83
2.11
1.85
1.86
1.84
1.97
2.04
2.55
2.01
1.77
1.94
1.98
1.88
2.52
1.99
2.31
2.82
1.86

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (2) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (3) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

4.66
4.54
3.93
4.02
5.25
4.19
4.93
4.51
3.06
3.18

4.20
4.00
3.62
3.65
4.77
3.89
4.42
4.04
2.93
2.92

3.43
3.17
3.11
3.04
3.91
3.37
3.56
3.28
2.71
2.54

2.89
2.64
2.74
2.62
3.24
2.98
2.95
2.75
2.52
2.28

2.52
2.29
2.46
2.33
2.76
2.68
2.55
2.41
2.36
2.08

2.25
2.06
2.25
2.13
2.43
2.46
2.27
2.18
2.23
1.95

2.08
1.93
2.10
2.00
2.20
2.28
2.08
2.03
2.12
1.88

1.97
1.86
1.99
1.92
2.05
2.15
1.96
1.93
2.04
1.84

1.91
1.83
1.93
1.89
1.96
2.05
1.90
1.88
1.99
1.84

1.89
1.83
1.91
1.88
1.93
2.01
1.88
1.87
1.97
1.85

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

2.58
1.96
2.46
2.17
2.03
3.88
1.80
2.27

2.44
1.82
2.32
1.98
1.90
3.56
1.72
2.12

2.21
1.65
2.10
1.72
1.73
3.05
1.65
1.90

2.07
1.63
1.94
1.60
1.66
2.68
1.69
1.77

2.00
1.70
1.84
1.64
1.66
2.42
1.76
1.71

1.94
1.78
1.79
1.72
1.72
2.21
1.83
1.72

1.91
1.85
1.79
1.80
1.79
2.07
1.89
1.76

1.90
1.91
1.81
1.87
1.85
1.97
1.93
1.82

1.90
1.95
1.85
1.92
1.90
1.92
1.97
1.87

1.90
1.97
1.86
1.94
1.93
1.90
1.99
1.89

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (4) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

2.31
2.40
2.79
2.78
2.24
2.86

2.18
2.23
2.58
2.57
2.13
2.62

1.98
1.98
2.27
2.25
1.95
2.27

1.85
1.82
2.07
2.03
1.83
2.03

1.79
1.74
1.93
1.88
1.77
1.87

1.77
1.72
1.85
1.80
1.77
1.79

1.79
1.76
1.82
1.78
1.79
1.76

1.83
1.81
1.82
1.80
1.83
1.78

1.87
1.86
1.85
1.83
1.87
1.82

1.89
1.88
1.86
1.85
1.89
1.84

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

4.95
4.69
5.53
2.07
3.86

4.60
4.33
5.15
1.92
3.55

3.98
3.70
4.44
1.72
3.07

3.48
3.21
3.84
1.64
2.71

3.08
2.84
3.36
1.64
2.43

2.78
2.56
2.99
1.70
2.21

2.54
2.35
2.71
1.77
2.05

2.36
2.18
2.50
1.84
1.94

2.22
2.06
2.33
1.89
1.88

2.17
2.02
2.26
1.92
1.86

Western Africa (5)


Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Cte d'Ivoire......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

285

Table A.24. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
5.29
6.44
6.00
7.41
6.27
6.48
6.34
6.86
6.35
6.05
6.03
6.33

5.70
6.84
6.51
5.87
6.47
6.75
6.79
7.13
6.35
6.85
6.03
6.65

6.20
6.90
6.85
7.34
6.80
6.93
6.75
7.52
6.61
7.45
5.75
7.20

6.29
6.35
6.95
6.70
6.96
7.07
6.28
7.76
6.76
7.28
5.52
7.06

6.14
5.88
6.86
6.68
6.72
7.09
6.06
7.81
6.56
6.90
5.59
6.58

6.03
5.34
6.58
6.54
6.30
7.01
5.78
7.78
6.23
6.36
5.81
5.99

5.80
4.81
6.19
6.05
6.01
6.88
5.40
7.60
5.99
5.77
5.84
5.38

5.46
4.55
5.80
5.66
5.69
6.71
5.04
7.40
5.79
5.36
5.56
4.83

5.10
4.34
5.45
5.27
5.42
6.46
4.71
7.19
5.61
5.03
5.22
4.30

4.69
3.99
5.03
4.88
5.04
6.12
4.36
6.92
5.43
4.61
4.73
3.86

5.82

5.58

5.00

3.69

3.43

2.97

2.65

2.41

2.28

2.18

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ...............
China, Macao SAR (9) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

5.59
6.11
4.44
4.39
2.70
3.00
5.60
5.05

5.05
5.61
5.31
4.41
3.41
1.99
7.50
5.63

4.36
4.76
3.29
1.79
3.72
2.13
7.50
4.28

2.53
2.61
1.72
1.98
2.93
1.75
5.75
2.23

2.51
2.63
1.36
1.94
2.45
1.66
4.90
1.60

1.97
2.01
1.24
1.41
2.40
1.48
3.30
1.70

1.76
1.80
0.87
1.12
2.20
1.37
2.50
1.51

1.65
1.70
0.81
0.83
2.05
1.30
2.10
1.22

1.61
1.64
0.99
1.01
2.05
1.32
2.50
1.29

1.56
1.56
1.14
1.16
1.99
1.42
2.45
1.39

South-Central Asia (10)

6.00

5.99

5.52

4.83

4.44

3.95

3.46

3.02

2.76

2.56

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

4.64
4.41
4.51
6.00
6.00
5.97

5.33
4.43
5.39
6.30
6.75
6.80

4.63
3.46
4.73
6.83
6.19
6.30

3.84
2.96
4.10
5.54
4.79
4.73

3.86
3.03
4.02
5.41
4.55
4.40

3.55
2.55
3.61
4.88
4.03
3.88

2.87
2.00
2.99
4.29
3.03
3.05

2.55
2.01
2.50
3.81
2.75
2.55

2.61
2.54
2.70
3.45
2.50
2.46

2.46
2.48
2.62
3.16
2.32
2.26

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

6.06
7.70
6.36
6.67
5.90
6.93
6.03
6.10
6.60
5.80

6.03
7.70
6.80
6.67
5.82
6.93
7.12
6.10
6.60
5.20

5.57
7.70
6.91
6.67
5.26
6.24
7.17
6.04
6.60
4.00

4.88
7.80
5.99
6.39
4.47
6.54
7.26
5.72
6.44
3.19

4.46
7.90
5.02
6.11
4.11
5.62
6.81
5.39
6.30
2.64

3.97
8.00
4.10
5.27
3.72
3.95
5.25
4.96
5.67
2.39

3.49
8.00
3.41
4.13
3.31
2.62
3.52
4.41
4.99
2.16

3.04
7.35
2.87
3.29
2.96
1.96
2.49
3.74
4.00
2.27

2.77
6.62
2.38
2.61
2.73
1.77
1.90
2.95
3.65
2.36

2.57
5.97
2.16
2.26
2.54
1.59
1.67
2.59
3.20
2.24

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (11) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

6.05
7.00
6.29
5.49
5.94
6.23
6.00
7.42
6.61
6.14
6.44
6.20

6.24
6.55
6.29
5.62
5.97
6.23
6.10
6.98
5.12
6.13
6.37
7.33

5.62
5.87
5.54
5.30
5.99
4.56
5.90
5.98
2.82
5.05
5.54
7.15

4.22
3.92
7.00
4.11
6.36
3.73
4.30
4.92
1.59
2.94
5.39
4.93

3.59
3.72
6.00
3.40
6.27
3.59
3.80
4.53
1.70
2.30
5.21
3.96

3.10
3.28
5.44
2.90
5.88
3.42
3.10
4.14
1.84
1.99
5.68
3.23

2.65
2.60
4.31
2.55
4.81
3.17
2.65
3.90
1.57
1.77
7.00
2.18

2.45
2.28
3.41
2.38
3.70
2.96
2.25
3.70
1.32
1.68
6.96
1.93

2.26
2.11
2.80
2.19
3.02
2.72
2.08
3.27
1.25
1.63
6.53
1.89

2.13
1.98
2.42
2.06
2.54
2.57
1.94
3.05
1.37
1.53
5.92
1.75

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (12) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (13) .........................................
Georgia (14) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................

6.10
4.49
5.49
6.97
3.71
3.00
7.30

5.98
4.45
5.64
7.17
3.44
2.98
6.60

5.60
3.04
4.29
5.95
2.49
2.60
7.15

5.02
2.38
3.04
4.63
2.45
2.27
6.35

4.45
2.58
2.95
4.08
2.43
2.26
6.15

4.04
2.38
2.90
3.35
2.33
2.05
5.80

3.58
1.75
2.20
2.89
1.89
1.72
5.40

3.18
1.72
2.00
2.62
1.59
1.58
5.12

3.02
1.74
2.16
2.63
1.51
1.58
4.86

2.85
1.74
2.15
2.43
1.46
1.53
4.53

Asia (6)

286

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.24. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
4.30
3.68
4.63
4.59
4.67
5.78
4.04
6.69
5.22
4.22
4.25
3.48

3.93
3.41
4.27
4.30
4.33
5.31
3.74
6.23
4.86
3.88
3.81
3.17

3.31
2.98
3.63
3.78
3.73
4.46
3.25
5.34
4.20
3.32
3.08
2.70

2.85
2.66
3.14
3.35
3.25
3.76
2.88
4.55
3.64
2.91
2.59
2.39

2.52
2.42
2.77
3.02
2.90
3.24
2.60
3.92
3.20
2.60
2.28
2.15

2.28
2.22
2.50
2.76
2.62
2.85
2.38
3.42
2.87
2.37
2.07
1.99

2.11
2.08
2.29
2.56
2.40
2.56
2.21
3.04
2.61
2.18
1.95
1.89

2.00
1.98
2.13
2.40
2.23
2.35
2.09
2.74
2.41
2.04
1.89
1.84

1.93
1.92
2.03
2.27
2.10
2.19
2.00
2.52
2.26
1.96
1.87
1.82

1.91
1.91
1.99
2.22
2.05
2.13
1.97
2.43
2.20
1.93
1.86
1.83

2.09

2.03

1.95

1.90

1.87

1.86

1.87

1.89

1.92

1.93

1.52
1.51
1.27
1.29
1.94
1.50
2.40
1.48

1.53
1.53
1.38
1.40
1.90
1.58
2.36
1.56

1.64
1.63
1.56
1.58
1.87
1.71
2.29
1.69

1.74
1.73
1.70
1.71
1.87
1.80
2.24
1.79

1.82
1.81
1.80
1.81
1.88
1.87
2.21
1.87

1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.91
1.93
2.18
1.92

1.93
1.93
1.93
1.94
1.94
1.97
2.16
1.97

1.97
1.97
1.98
1.98
1.96
2.00
2.14
2.00

2.00
2.00
2.01
2.01
1.98
2.03
2.13
2.02

2.01
2.01
2.02
2.02
1.99
2.04
2.13
2.03

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .............
China, Macao SAR (9) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

2.40

2.27

2.05

1.92

1.85

1.81

1.82

1.84

1.87

1.89

South-Central Asia (10)

2.33
2.43
2.55
2.92
2.17
2.11

2.22
2.38
2.49
2.72
2.05
1.99

2.07
2.31
2.39
2.42
1.87
1.81

1.98
2.26
2.32
2.19
1.76
1.72

1.94
2.22
2.26
2.03
1.73
1.69

1.94
2.19
2.22
1.92
1.74
1.73

1.95
2.17
2.19
1.87
1.78
1.78

1.97
2.15
2.17
1.84
1.83
1.84

1.99
2.14
2.15
1.85
1.88
1.89

2.00
2.13
2.14
1.85
1.90
1.91

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

2.40
5.35
1.98
2.03
2.38
1.45
1.49
2.33
2.86
2.13

2.27
4.77
1.84
1.86
2.26
1.36
1.36
2.14
2.60
2.04

2.06
3.81
1.66
1.64
2.06
1.38
1.27
1.90
2.23
1.91

1.92
3.13
1.58
1.56
1.92
1.54
1.41
1.76
1.99
1.85

1.84
2.68
1.60
1.59
1.84
1.67
1.58
1.71
1.84
1.84

1.81
2.35
1.68
1.68
1.80
1.77
1.71
1.72
1.77
1.85

1.81
2.13
1.76
1.76
1.80
1.85
1.80
1.76
1.75
1.89

1.83
1.98
1.84
1.84
1.83
1.91
1.87
1.81
1.78
1.92

1.86
1.90
1.89
1.90
1.86
1.96
1.93
1.86
1.82
1.95

1.88
1.88
1.92
1.92
1.88
1.98
1.95
1.89
1.85
1.97

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

2.02
1.88
2.17
1.94
2.24
2.45
1.83
2.86
1.47
1.46
5.31
1.65

1.95
1.79
1.99
1.85
2.04
2.34
1.74
2.70
1.55
1.44
4.73
1.58

1.86
1.68
1.75
1.74
1.76
2.15
1.63
2.43
1.69
1.53
3.73
1.58

1.83
1.65
1.64
1.71
1.62
2.02
1.63
2.22
1.80
1.65
3.02
1.66

1.82
1.68
1.62
1.73
1.61
1.93
1.68
2.06
1.87
1.75
2.56
1.76

1.84
1.73
1.68
1.78
1.67
1.88
1.75
1.95
1.93
1.83
2.26
1.83

1.86
1.80
1.76
1.83
1.75
1.86
1.82
1.88
1.97
1.89
2.06
1.89

1.88
1.86
1.83
1.89
1.83
1.87
1.87
1.85
2.01
1.94
1.96
1.94

1.91
1.91
1.89
1.93
1.89
1.89
1.92
1.85
2.03
1.98
1.91
1.97

1.93
1.93
1.91
1.95
1.91
1.90
1.94
1.85
2.04
1.99
1.89
1.99

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (11) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

2.70
1.73
2.14
2.27
1.44
1.51
4.23

2.58
1.74
2.14
2.13
1.48
1.53
3.96

2.40
1.76
2.13
1.92
1.59
1.62
3.48

2.27
1.80
2.12
1.80
1.70
1.71
3.12

2.19
1.85
2.11
1.74
1.78
1.79
2.82

2.13
1.89
2.11
1.75
1.85
1.85
2.59

2.08
1.93
2.11
1.79
1.91
1.91
2.40

2.04
1.96
2.11
1.84
1.95
1.95
2.24

2.00
1.99
2.10
1.89
1.98
1.98
2.12

1.99
2.00
2.10
1.91
2.00
2.00
2.07

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (12) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (13) .......................................
Georgia (14) ......................................
Iraq ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (6)

287

Table A.24. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
4.28
7.38
7.21
5.74
7.38
7.25
6.97
7.17
7.23
6.30
6.97
7.27

3.85
8.00
7.31
5.69
8.00
7.25
6.97
7.26
7.54
6.05
6.87
7.33

3.81
7.79
6.90
4.78
7.69
7.41
6.76
7.30
7.54
5.30
6.36
7.67

3.13
7.05
5.10
3.90
7.05
8.32
5.45
7.01
6.77
4.15
5.23
9.23

3.07
6.44
3.34
3.31
6.43
7.85
4.50
6.22
5.87
3.28
4.83
8.93

2.93
5.14
2.20
3.00
6.59
6.27
4.01
5.45
4.80
2.90
3.88
8.24

2.93
4.34
2.93
2.69
5.77
4.46
3.30
4.51
3.96
2.57
2.97
6.98

2.91
3.60
2.24
2.09
5.05
3.01
3.01
3.54
3.39
2.23
2.38
6.09

2.91
3.27
2.32
1.86
4.65
2.52
2.40
3.03
3.10
2.15
1.86
5.48

2.91
2.89
2.25
1.76
4.27
2.15
2.20
2.64
2.77
2.02
1.71
4.94

2.65

2.56

2.17

1.89

1.82

1.57

1.42

1.43

1.53

1.59

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

2.82
2.61
2.48
2.68
2.73
3.62
3.50
2.87
2.85
3.50
2.81

2.44
2.69
2.18
2.24
1.82
2.65
3.15
2.04
2.55
2.91
2.20

2.14
2.25
2.17
2.19
2.09
2.25
2.56
2.62
2.03
2.51
2.16

2.09
2.09
2.01
2.00
1.81
2.33
2.55
2.25
2.04
2.27
2.02

2.11
2.04
1.92
1.93
1.82
2.15
2.64
2.27
2.12
2.15
2.03

1.62
1.68
1.51
1.66
1.73
1.89
2.11
1.50
1.54
1.87
1.64

1.29
1.31
1.22
1.18
1.38
1.48
1.70
1.35
1.25
1.41
1.23

1.26
1.24
1.25
1.19
1.30
1.27
1.50
1.28
1.30
1.22
1.15

1.40
1.39
1.46
1.41
1.34
1.32
1.50
1.33
1.44
1.27
1.39

1.49
1.48
1.55
1.50
1.43
1.42
1.45
1.43
1.53
1.37
1.48

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (19) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (20) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

2.33
2.06
2.55
2.06
3.00
3.70
3.42
2.00
2.71
2.60
2.21
2.18

2.72
2.56
2.58
1.94
2.66
3.94
4.07
1.85
2.40
2.90
2.32
2.81

2.07
1.86
1.96
2.15
1.62
2.84
3.82
2.00
2.32
2.25
1.89
2.01

1.80
1.44
1.43
2.09
1.69
2.25
2.75
2.00
2.03
1.69
1.65
1.77

1.85
1.45
1.54
2.20
1.66
2.12
2.18
2.09
2.09
1.80
1.91
1.84

1.80
1.46
1.75
1.63
1.82
2.19
1.91
1.63
1.81
1.89
2.01
1.77

1.70
1.40
1.76
1.33
1.74
2.06
1.94
1.17
1.47
1.86
1.55
1.74

1.66
1.41
1.76
1.39
1.75
1.99
1.97
1.25
1.28
1.81
1.67
1.66

1.83
1.42
1.85
1.64
1.84
2.10
2.10
1.41
1.41
1.92
1.90
1.83

1.86
1.51
1.88
1.70
1.87
2.10
2.10
1.51
1.50
1.95
1.93
1.87

Southern Europe (21)


Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (22) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (23) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ........................

2.64
5.60
4.82
2.76
2.29
2.36
4.14
3.22
3.10
3.22
2.80
2.53
5.32

2.67
5.76
3.81
2.27
2.20
2.47
3.15
2.57
3.19
2.57
2.32
2.81
3.79

2.55
4.66
2.63
1.96
2.32
2.35
2.01
2.36
2.83
2.36
2.19
2.85
2.81

1.83
3.90
1.99
1.96
1.96
1.54
2.04
2.17
2.01
2.32
1.88
1.88
2.33

1.55
3.65
1.90
1.84
1.53
1.34
2.07
1.97
1.62
2.23
1.66
1.46
2.18

1.41
2.78
1.53
1.52
1.37
1.28
2.01
1.81
1.50
1.96
1.36
1.28
2.06

1.33
2.48
1.53
1.54
1.30
1.22
1.81
1.84
1.48
1.74
1.25
1.19
1.80

1.35
1.99
1.28
1.36
1.28
1.25
1.41
1.78
1.45
1.72
1.23
1.29
1.56

1.43
1.60
1.18
1.42
1.46
1.38
1.33
1.69
1.36
1.62
1.39
1.41
1.46

1.49
1.52
1.13
1.50
1.54
1.48
1.28
1.63
1.31
1.56
1.48
1.50
1.40

Western Europe (25)


Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................

2.42
2.08
2.34
2.76
2.16
1.98
3.05
2.31

2.67
2.78
2.64
2.85
2.49
2.40
3.17
2.60

1.97
2.04
2.02
2.31
1.64
1.72
2.06
1.87

1.63
1.59
1.60
1.86
1.46
1.47
1.51
1.54

1.58
1.44
1.56
1.80
1.43
1.47
1.55
1.55

1.49
1.47
1.61
1.71
1.30
1.66
1.58
1.54

1.52
1.37
1.60
1.76
1.34
1.72
1.60
1.48

1.58
1.39
1.69
1.88
1.35
1.65
1.73
1.41

1.63
1.38
1.79
1.97
1.36
1.62
1.74
1.46

1.69
1.35
1.83
1.99
1.46
1.68
1.79
1.54

Europe

288

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.24. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.84
2.60
2.20
1.68
3.93
1.89
2.04
2.37
2.52
1.91
1.60
4.39

2.72
2.38
2.16
1.63
3.63
1.71
1.92
2.17
2.31
1.82
1.53
3.97

2.51
2.05
2.11
1.58
3.15
1.47
1.73
1.88
2.01
1.71
1.48
3.35

2.34
1.84
2.10
1.61
2.79
1.44
1.64
1.72
1.81
1.68
1.54
2.92

2.20
1.71
2.09
1.68
2.52
1.56
1.63
1.65
1.70
1.70
1.64
2.60

2.09
1.68
2.08
1.75
2.30
1.68
1.68
1.67
1.68
1.76
1.74
2.36

2.02
1.71
2.08
1.82
2.13
1.78
1.75
1.73
1.72
1.82
1.82
2.19

1.97
1.77
2.09
1.88
2.01
1.86
1.82
1.80
1.79
1.87
1.88
2.08

1.94
1.83
2.09
1.93
1.94
1.91
1.88
1.86
1.85
1.92
1.93
2.02

1.93
1.86
2.09
1.95
1.91
1.94
1.90
1.89
1.87
1.94
1.96
2.01

1.63

1.69

1.82

1.89

1.93

1.99

2.01

2.03

2.05

2.06

1.57
1.56
1.62
1.58
1.51
1.50
1.44
1.51
1.61
1.47
1.57

1.63
1.63
1.69
1.65
1.59
1.58
1.47
1.59
1.67
1.55
1.64

1.76
1.75
1.79
1.77
1.71
1.70
1.58
1.71
1.78
1.68
1.75

1.84
1.83
1.87
1.85
1.81
1.80
1.69
1.81
1.86
1.78
1.84

1.90
1.90
1.93
1.91
1.88
1.87
1.78
1.88
1.92
1.86
1.90

1.96
1.95
1.97
1.96
1.93
1.93
1.85
1.93
1.97
1.92
1.95

1.99
1.98
2.00
2.00
1.97
1.97
1.90
1.97
2.00
1.96
1.99

2.01
2.01
2.03
2.02
2.00
2.00
1.95
2.00
2.03
2.00
2.02

2.04
2.03
2.05
2.04
2.02
2.02
1.98
2.03
2.04
2.02
2.04

2.05
2.04
2.05
2.05
2.03
2.03
2.00
2.04
2.05
2.03
2.05

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

1.90
1.59
1.91
1.76
1.91
2.10
2.10
1.59
1.57
1.97
1.95
1.90

1.92
1.66
1.94
1.80
1.93
2.10
2.10
1.66
1.64
1.99
1.97
1.93

1.97
1.77
1.98
1.88
1.97
2.10
2.10
1.77
1.75
2.01
2.00
1.97

2.01
1.86
2.01
1.93
2.01
2.10
2.10
1.85
1.83
2.04
2.03
2.00

2.03
1.92
2.03
1.98
2.03
2.10
2.10
1.91
1.90
2.05
2.04
2.03

2.05
1.96
2.05
2.01
2.05
2.10
2.10
1.96
1.95
2.07
2.06
2.04

2.06
2.00
2.06
2.03
2.06
2.10
2.10
2.00
1.98
2.07
2.07
2.06

2.07
2.02
2.07
2.05
2.07
2.10
2.10
2.02
2.01
2.08
2.08
2.07

2.08
2.04
2.08
2.06
2.08
2.10
2.10
2.04
2.03
2.09
2.08
2.08

2.08
2.05
2.08
2.07
2.08
2.10
2.10
2.05
2.04
2.09
2.08
2.08

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Finland (19) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (20) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

1.54
1.47
1.14
1.57
1.61
1.56
1.29
1.59
1.30
1.54
1.56
1.59
1.37

1.59
1.45
1.25
1.64
1.67
1.63
1.36
1.60
1.36
1.55
1.63
1.66
1.40

1.71
1.49
1.44
1.75
1.77
1.75
1.52
1.65
1.51
1.63
1.74
1.77
1.53

1.81
1.58
1.60
1.83
1.85
1.84
1.65
1.72
1.64
1.72
1.83
1.85
1.65

1.88
1.69
1.72
1.89
1.91
1.91
1.76
1.79
1.74
1.79
1.89
1.92
1.75

1.93
1.78
1.81
1.94
1.95
1.96
1.84
1.86
1.83
1.86
1.94
1.96
1.83

1.98
1.85
1.88
1.98
1.99
1.99
1.90
1.91
1.89
1.91
1.98
2.00
1.89

2.01
1.90
1.93
2.01
2.02
2.02
1.95
1.95
1.94
1.95
2.01
2.02
1.94

2.03
1.95
1.97
2.03
2.04
2.04
1.98
1.98
1.98
1.98
2.03
2.04
1.98

2.04
1.97
1.99
2.04
2.04
2.05
2.00
1.99
1.99
2.00
2.04
2.05
1.99

Southern Europe (21)


Albania..............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Greece ...............................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
Serbia (22) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (23) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ......................

1.74
1.36
1.87
2.00
1.55
1.74
1.84
1.61

1.79
1.43
1.90
2.02
1.62
1.79
1.87
1.67

1.88
1.58
1.95
2.04
1.74
1.87
1.93
1.77

1.94
1.69
1.99
2.05
1.83
1.93
1.97
1.84

1.98
1.79
2.02
2.06
1.90
1.97
2.01
1.90

2.01
1.86
2.04
2.07
1.95
2.00
2.03
1.95

2.03
1.91
2.05
2.08
1.99
2.03
2.05
1.98

2.05
1.96
2.07
2.09
2.02
2.05
2.06
2.01

2.06
1.99
2.07
2.09
2.04
2.06
2.07
2.03

2.07
2.01
2.08
2.09
2.05
2.07
2.08
2.04

Western Europe (25)


Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

289

Table A.24. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
Latin America and Caribbean

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
5.86

5.96

5.02

3.93

3.42

3.02

2.73

2.53

2.30

2.16

Caribbean (26)
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
US Virgin Islands ................................

5.27
5.65
4.05
4.42
4.15
7.60
5.80
5.61
6.30
4.22
5.71
5.65
4.97
6.00
7.33
5.30
5.57

5.48
4.40
4.50
4.27
4.68
7.35
6.40
5.61
6.30
5.64
5.45
4.40
4.37
6.79
7.02
4.99
5.50

4.37
2.65
3.54
2.72
3.60
5.68
4.60
4.49
5.60
5.00
4.08
2.65
2.99
5.69
5.54
3.45
4.98

3.41
2.36
3.05
1.92
1.85
4.15
4.23
2.55
6.21
3.55
2.14
2.36
2.46
4.20
3.64
3.22
3.70

3.13
2.30
2.65
1.77
1.85
3.65
4.14
2.45
5.70
3.10
2.14
2.30
2.26
3.65
3.10
2.80
3.09

2.84
2.17
2.64
1.73
1.65
3.31
3.46
2.10
5.15
2.84
1.96
2.28
2.18
3.15
2.85
2.10
3.09

2.62
1.95
2.33
1.63
1.61
2.98
2.81
2.10
4.62
2.67
1.90
2.12
1.99
2.60
2.55
1.73
2.50

2.49
1.82
1.87
1.50
1.63
2.83
2.43
2.06
4.00
2.54
1.98
2.09
1.84
2.10
2.24
1.61
2.15

2.36
1.74
1.91
1.53
1.50
2.67
2.30
2.14
3.54
2.40
1.91
1.98
1.83
2.05
2.13
1.64
2.05

2.25
1.67
1.88
1.58
1.45
2.49
2.17
2.06
3.16
2.26
1.82
1.90
1.76
1.91
2.00
1.63
1.94

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

6.73
6.65
6.72
6.30
7.00
7.50
6.70
7.20
5.68

6.76
6.45
7.22
6.76
6.50
7.42
6.75
7.10
5.92

6.38
6.25
4.35
5.95
6.20
7.05
6.50
6.79
4.93

4.50
5.40
3.53
4.80
6.10
6.00
4.25
5.85
3.52

3.90
4.70
3.37
4.20
5.70
5.37
3.63
5.00
3.20

3.47
4.35
2.94
3.73
5.45
4.92
3.19
4.50
2.87

2.96
3.85
2.58
3.30
5.00
4.30
2.67
3.60
2.79

2.77
3.35
2.25
2.60
4.60
3.72
2.55
3.00
2.70

2.60
2.94
1.92
2.35
4.15
3.31
2.41
2.75
2.56

2.41
2.68
1.81
2.17
3.84
3.00
2.23
2.50
2.41

South America (29)


Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

5.67
3.15
6.75
6.15
4.95
6.76
6.70
5.00
6.68
6.50
6.85
6.56
2.73
6.46

5.75
3.09
6.63
6.15
5.44
6.76
6.70
5.02
6.15
6.45
6.85
6.56
2.90
6.66

4.64
3.15
6.50
4.72
3.63
5.00
6.00
4.18
4.90
5.35
6.00
5.29
3.00
4.94

3.79
3.15
5.30
3.80
2.67
3.68
4.70
3.58
3.26
5.20
4.65
3.70
2.57
3.96

3.27
3.05
5.00
3.10
2.65
3.24
4.00
3.73
2.70
4.77
4.10
3.00
2.53
3.65

2.88
2.90
4.80
2.60
2.55
3.00
3.40
4.05
2.55
4.31
3.57
2.60
2.49
3.25

2.65
2.63
4.32
2.45
2.21
2.75
3.10
3.93
2.50
3.88
3.10
2.80
2.30
2.94

2.43
2.35
3.96
2.25
2.00
2.55
2.82
3.68
2.42
3.48
2.80
2.60
2.20
2.72

2.18
2.25
3.50
1.90
1.90
2.45
2.58
3.27
2.33
3.08
2.60
2.42
2.12
2.55

2.06
2.17
3.23
1.80
1.83
2.29
2.39
3.14
2.19
2.86
2.41
2.27
2.04
2.39

Northern America (30)


Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................

3.33
3.65
3.45

3.36
3.67
3.31

2.05
1.98
2.02

1.79
1.63
1.80

1.87
1.62
1.89

1.96
1.69
1.99

1.93
1.56
1.96

1.99
1.52
2.04

2.03
1.65
2.07

2.04
1.69
2.08

Oceania

3.81

4.00

3.30

2.57

2.49

2.49

2.45

2.41

2.49

2.45

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

3.26
3.18
3.69

3.49
3.27
4.02

2.68
2.54
2.84

1.92
1.91
1.97

1.89
1.86
2.03

1.90
1.86
2.07

1.81
1.78
1.95

1.79
1.75
1.95

1.96
1.93
2.14

1.98
1.95
2.14

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

6.31
6.63
5.22
6.24
6.40
7.60

6.24
5.95
5.22
6.28
6.40
7.00

5.80
4.20
5.20
6.09
7.24
6.11

5.17
3.80
3.34
5.47
6.43
5.40

4.73
3.47
3.02
4.97
6.13
5.04

4.49
3.35
2.94
4.70
5.53
4.83

4.39
3.19
2.58
4.64
4.91
4.59

4.13
2.98
2.26
4.35
4.60
4.30

3.91
2.75
2.19
4.10
4.40
4.00

3.64
2.60
2.09
3.80
4.04
3.75

290

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.24. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.05

1.96

1.84

1.79

1.79

1.81

1.85

1.88

1.91

1.93

2.15
1.63
1.84
1.62
1.44
2.33
2.06
1.99
2.85
2.14
1.75
1.84
1.70
1.79
1.88
1.62
1.85

2.07
1.64
1.82
1.66
1.47
2.20
1.96
1.94
2.61
2.05
1.73
1.81
1.66
1.70
1.78
1.62
1.78

1.94
1.70
1.79
1.74
1.58
1.98
1.82
1.88
2.27
1.90
1.75
1.81
1.66
1.59
1.66
1.65
1.70

1.86
1.77
1.80
1.81
1.69
1.84
1.74
1.88
2.04
1.83
1.80
1.84
1.69
1.58
1.64
1.71
1.69

1.81
1.83
1.82
1.87
1.78
1.76
1.73
1.91
1.90
1.81
1.86
1.88
1.75
1.64
1.69
1.78
1.73

1.80
1.89
1.86
1.91
1.85
1.76
1.75
1.94
1.82
1.83
1.91
1.92
1.81
1.73
1.76
1.84
1.78

1.82
1.93
1.89
1.95
1.90
1.78
1.79
1.97
1.79
1.86
1.95
1.95
1.87
1.80
1.82
1.89
1.84

1.85
1.97
1.93
1.98
1.95
1.83
1.84
1.99
1.80
1.90
1.98
1.98
1.92
1.87
1.88
1.94
1.89

1.89
2.00
1.96
2.01
1.98
1.88
1.89
2.01
1.83
1.93
2.01
2.00
1.95
1.92
1.93
1.97
1.94

1.91
2.01
1.97
2.02
2.00
1.90
1.91
2.02
1.85
1.95
2.02
2.02
1.97
1.94
1.95
1.99
1.95

Caribbean (26)
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

2.26
2.48
1.72
2.03
3.56
2.75
2.07
2.30
2.28

2.13
2.31
1.65
1.92
3.31
2.55
1.94
2.15
2.17

1.95
2.07
1.60
1.76
2.90
2.24
1.77
1.92
2.00

1.87
1.90
1.64
1.68
2.60
2.03
1.70
1.78
1.90

1.84
1.80
1.71
1.67
2.38
1.88
1.71
1.72
1.85

1.86
1.76
1.78
1.71
2.20
1.80
1.77
1.71
1.85

1.87
1.76
1.85
1.77
2.07
1.77
1.83
1.75
1.87

1.90
1.80
1.90
1.83
1.98
1.78
1.88
1.80
1.90

1.92
1.84
1.94
1.88
1.93
1.82
1.93
1.86
1.93

1.93
1.86
1.96
1.91
1.92
1.84
1.95
1.88
1.94

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

1.96
2.10
3.00
1.72
1.78
2.16
2.24
3.02
2.07
2.67
2.26
2.14
1.98
2.26

1.88
2.03
2.80
1.66
1.74
2.04
2.11
2.91
1.97
2.51
2.12
2.03
1.93
2.14

1.78
1.93
2.50
1.61
1.71
1.87
1.91
2.71
1.84
2.27
1.92
1.88
1.86
1.96

1.75
1.87
2.27
1.63
1.72
1.79
1.79
2.54
1.79
2.09
1.80
1.81
1.84
1.85

1.76
1.84
2.10
1.70
1.76
1.77
1.74
2.39
1.79
1.96
1.74
1.80
1.85
1.79

1.79
1.85
1.98
1.77
1.81
1.79
1.75
2.26
1.83
1.88
1.74
1.83
1.87
1.78

1.83
1.87
1.90
1.84
1.86
1.83
1.78
2.15
1.87
1.84
1.77
1.87
1.90
1.81

1.88
1.90
1.86
1.89
1.91
1.88
1.83
2.08
1.91
1.84
1.82
1.91
1.93
1.84

1.92
1.93
1.85
1.94
1.94
1.92
1.88
2.03
1.95
1.85
1.87
1.94
1.95
1.88

1.93
1.94
1.86
1.96
1.96
1.94
1.90
2.02
1.96
1.86
1.89
1.96
1.97
1.90

South America (29)


Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

2.05
1.73
2.08

2.05
1.76
2.08

2.06
1.83
2.09

2.07
1.88
2.09

2.08
1.92
2.09

2.08
1.96
2.09

2.09
1.98
2.10

2.09
2.01
2.10

2.09
2.03
2.10

2.09
2.03
2.10

Northern America (30)


Canada...............................................
United States of America ..................

2.43

2.40

2.31

2.24

2.18

2.12

2.08

2.05

2.03

2.02

Oceania

2.00
1.97
2.13

2.01
1.99
2.13

2.03
2.02
2.12

2.05
2.04
2.12

2.06
2.05
2.11

2.07
2.07
2.11

2.08
2.07
2.11

2.08
2.08
2.10

2.09
2.09
2.10

2.09
2.09
2.10

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

3.40
2.47
2.00
3.53
3.73
3.52

3.19
2.35
1.93
3.29
3.45
3.33

2.84
2.16
1.82
2.91
3.02
3.00

2.57
2.01
1.76
2.62
2.69
2.73

2.37
1.92
1.75
2.40
2.44
2.51

2.20
1.87
1.77
2.22
2.24
2.33

2.08
1.86
1.80
2.09
2.09
2.18

1.99
1.87
1.85
2.00
1.98
2.07

1.94
1.90
1.89
1.94
1.92
2.00

1.93
1.91
1.91
1.93
1.90
1.97

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Latin America and Caribbean

291

Table A.24. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Micronesia (32)
Guam...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................

6.19
5.53
7.20

6.29
6.03
6.90

5.26
4.12
6.90

4.36
3.08
6.00

3.93
3.14
5.20

3.73
3.10
4.79

3.35
3.00
4.53

2.93
2.74
4.05

2.74
2.54
3.62

2.64
2.41
3.31

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................

6.66
6.00
7.30
7.30

6.93
6.50
7.30
7.30

5.40
5.15
5.70
5.50

4.51
3.82
4.85
5.50

4.22
3.57
4.82
4.74

3.86
3.05
4.70
4.62

3.57
2.60
4.66
4.29

3.33
2.35
4.42
4.23

3.05
2.16
3.99
4.03

2.84
2.03
3.76
3.78

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Seychelles.
2 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3 Including Zanzibar.
4 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
5 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
6 Includes other non-specified areas.
7 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
8 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
10 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
11 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.

292

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.24. Total fertility rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

2.52
2.30
3.04

2.39
2.21
2.82

2.21
2.06
2.49

2.10
1.96
2.24

1.98
1.90
2.06

1.92
1.88
1.94

1.90
1.89
1.86

1.88
1.91
1.83

1.89
1.93
1.84

1.90
1.95
1.84

Micronesia (32)
Guam.................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............

2.66
1.92
3.56
3.56

2.52
1.83
3.37
3.36

2.38
1.71
3.06
3.03

2.26
1.67
2.81
2.77

2.14
1.69
2.60
2.55

2.10
1.75
2.42
2.37

2.07
1.81
2.27
2.21

2.01
1.86
2.15
2.10

1.98
1.91
2.06
2.02

1.97
1.93
2.03
1.99

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia...............................
Samoa................................................
Tonga.................................................

Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

293

Table A.25. Crude death rate by major area, region and country:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
18.7

16.1

11.8

10.1

9.6

9.2

9.0

8.7

8.4

8.2

10.3
22.6
26.9
22.0

9.4
18.9
22.9
18.4

9.5
12.6
21.9
11.4

9.7
10.2
17.0
9.3

9.6
9.5
15.8
8.7

10.0
9.0
15.0
8.2

10.2
8.7
13.7
7.9

10.3
8.3
12.3
7.7

10.0
8.0
11.0
7.5

10.2
7.8
10.0
7.4

22.9

18.1

14.7

11.6

10.5

9.9

9.3

8.7

8.3

7.9

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

26.8

23.0

19.6

17.2

16.4

16.3

15.8

14.8

13.3

11.9

Africa

26.2

22.2

18.7

15.9

14.9

14.6

14.1

13.2

11.9

10.8

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (2) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (3) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

26.7
25.1
24.0
28.3
28.0
29.9
23.6
27.5
28.0
15.4
25.9
32.8
19.6
24.7
31.9
24.5
22.4
21.7
17.4

22.0
22.0
20.8
23.8
23.6
23.5
18.8
24.0
25.7
8.5
13.5
27.5
11.2
21.9
27.5
19.5
20.1
18.8
15.0

18.8
20.2
16.9
19.4
19.7
20.6
14.4
20.6
23.4
6.6
8.7
23.5
7.1
20.3
23.6
15.3
17.5
16.0
12.6

16.9
17.6
14.3
15.5
20.5
20.8
10.7
16.5
20.6
5.8
5.3
21.3
6.2
16.3
20.0
16.2
15.1
14.4
9.6

16.2
17.5
12.1
14.5
17.3
19.0
9.9
16.4
18.8
6.2
4.4
21.1
6.0
18.7
18.5
16.6
14.7
15.4
8.6

16.6
19.5
11.0
13.4
14.1
17.3
9.9
14.3
17.9
5.9
3.5
19.9
5.7
41.5
20.6
18.3
15.1
18.0
9.8

15.3
17.9
10.6
12.2
11.1
15.2
11.8
11.3
17.9
6.5
3.2
17.6
5.6
19.9
17.9
18.2
14.8
19.6
14.5

14.0
16.1
10.1
11.3
9.5
13.0
12.8
8.6
16.6
6.4
3.0
16.7
5.6
14.4
16.2
15.8
13.5
19.6
17.5

11.9
14.8
9.4
10.5
8.3
10.5
11.3
6.8
13.7
6.8
2.9
15.4
5.7
12.3
15.5
13.2
11.5
16.7
15.1

10.5
13.6
8.2
9.9
7.2
9.1
9.9
6.4
11.9
7.2
2.4
13.8
6.0
11.5
14.4
11.7
9.6
14.9
11.7

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

27.5
35.9
24.9
31.0
27.5
20.9
25.5
30.4
27.7
21.0

23.8
31.1
21.6
26.9
23.9
16.2
22.4
26.9
24.8
16.8

20.5
26.4
18.3
21.0
21.2
13.7
19.9
23.7
19.1
13.2

18.6
24.2
15.0
16.8
18.1
12.0
19.0
21.4
13.7
11.5

18.1
23.5
14.1
16.8
16.8
11.4
18.7
20.4
11.3
10.7

17.9
23.1
14.0
17.5
16.7
12.1
18.5
18.7
10.5
9.8

18.5
21.1
14.6
19.2
17.3
12.6
19.7
17.2
10.2
9.2

17.3
17.6
15.3
19.5
17.8
12.5
18.2
16.3
10.4
8.8

16.3
15.3
15.0
17.6
17.1
11.7
17.2
15.1
9.4
8.2

14.7
13.6
13.4
15.3
15.5
10.7
15.7
14.1
8.6
7.4

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (4) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

23.5
23.9
22.5
22.5
25.7
24.0
22.6
28.1

19.4
19.4
18.7
18.3
19.6
21.8
17.9
24.6

15.6
15.4
14.7
14.8
15.7
18.7
12.3
20.0

11.5
9.9
11.2
10.9
10.7
15.5
7.9
14.6

9.6
7.2
9.6
5.3
8.7
14.4
6.9
11.2

8.2
6.0
7.8
4.5
7.2
13.2
6.2
9.1

7.2
5.4
6.4
4.0
6.4
12.0
5.8
7.6

6.4
5.0
5.6
4.0
6.0
10.3
5.7
6.5

6.1
4.9
5.2
4.0
5.8
9.4
5.9
5.8

5.9
4.9
5.1
4.1
5.8
8.6
6.0
5.4

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

20.5
18.8
22.7
22.9
20.3
22.6

16.8
15.6
18.3
17.4
16.7
19.6

13.3
12.0
16.9
13.8
13.1
16.4

10.0
8.4
13.0
10.4
9.9
12.0

8.7
7.0
11.6
9.5
8.6
10.3

8.5
7.2
10.0
8.9
8.5
9.4

10.6
11.0
13.5
9.3
10.4
11.9

14.0
14.9
17.9
10.6
13.9
15.7

14.9
12.6
16.7
8.6
15.2
14.9

14.0
13.8
15.0
8.2
14.3
14.1

Western Africa (5)


Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Cte d'Ivoire........................................

28.4
34.8
31.3
22.6
24.6

25.2
29.7
26.4
18.7
23.3

21.7
24.1
22.0
13.4
19.1

18.8
19.8
18.0
10.3
14.0

18.1
18.4
17.1
9.2
13.4

17.5
16.3
16.5
7.9
13.6

17.0
14.6
15.6
6.7
14.3

15.3
13.4
14.2
5.8
14.4

13.7
12.4
12.6
5.2
13.0

12.3
11.1
11.2
5.5
11.2

294

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.25. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
8.2

8.2

8.7

9.5

10.2

10.8

11.3

11.5

11.5

11.5 World

10.4
7.7
9.2
7.4

10.6
7.8
8.6
7.6

11.3
8.3
7.8
8.4

12.1
9.1
7.4
9.5

12.4
9.9
7.4
10.6

12.2
10.6
7.7
11.5

11.8
11.2
8.1
12.2

11.2
11.5
8.5
12.6

10.7
11.6
9.0
12.7

10.6
11.6
9.2
12.7

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)

7.7

7.6

7.7

8.2

8.9

9.7

10.4

10.8

11.2

11.3

10.8

10.0

8.6

7.7

7.3

7.3

7.5

7.8

8.3

8.6

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

10.0

9.3

8.3

7.7

7.5

7.6

7.8

8.2

8.6

8.8

Africa

9.5
12.6
7.3
9.2
6.4
8.4
9.1
5.7
10.8
7.8
2.4
12.4
6.3
10.5
13.3
10.7
8.3
13.7
10.4

8.7
11.7
6.7
8.6
5.9
7.8
8.4
5.2
9.7
8.5
2.5
11.5
6.6
9.4
12.1
9.9
7.4
12.2
10.0

7.6
10.3
6.1
8.0
5.5
7.1
7.4
4.9
8.0
10.0
3.0
10.1
7.7
8.1
10.0
8.4
6.3
9.8
9.8

7.0
9.7
5.8
8.1
5.8
7.1
7.0
4.9
6.9
11.7
3.6
9.1
9.1
7.4
8.2
7.3
5.7
8.1
9.6

6.8
9.7
5.8
8.4
6.5
7.8
6.9
5.1
6.2
13.1
4.5
8.5
10.2
7.1
6.9
6.8
5.4
6.8
9.6

6.9
10.5
6.0
9.1
7.3
9.0
7.2
5.5
5.8
13.9
5.4
8.2
10.7
7.2
6.1
6.6
5.4
6.0
10.5

7.2
11.2
6.3
9.9
8.1
10.6
7.6
6.0
5.6
14.3
6.2
8.3
11.1
7.4
5.7
6.8
5.5
5.4
11.4

7.5
11.7
7.0
10.5
9.1
12.2
7.9
6.8
5.5
14.3
7.1
8.6
11.7
7.8
5.7
7.2
5.7
5.1
11.6

7.9
12.4
7.7
11.2
10.2
13.2
8.6
7.5
5.6
13.8
8.7
9.1
12.1
8.6
6.0
7.9
6.2
5.0
11.7

8.1
12.8
8.0
11.6
10.6
13.6
8.9
7.9
5.8
13.3
9.4
9.3
12.2
9.0
6.2
8.2
6.5
5.0
11.8

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (2) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (3) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

13.5
12.2
12.2
13.7
14.1
9.8
14.4
13.1
8.0
6.9

12.4
11.1
11.5
12.4
12.7
9.2
13.3
12.4
7.7
6.4

10.4
9.3
10.1
10.3
10.3
8.2
11.1
11.2
7.5
6.0

9.0
8.2
9.2
9.1
8.6
7.5
9.4
10.3
7.5
6.2

8.4
7.8
8.8
8.7
7.7
7.3
8.6
9.2
7.7
6.9

8.3
8.0
8.9
9.1
7.5
7.3
8.4
8.7
8.2
8.1

8.7
8.7
9.1
9.6
7.7
7.5
8.8
8.9
8.9
9.3

9.3
9.7
9.5
10.2
8.2
8.0
9.4
9.4
9.4
10.3

10.1
10.7
10.0
10.9
9.0
8.7
10.2
10.0
9.7
11.2

10.5
11.2
10.3
11.3
9.4
9.0
10.6
10.4
10.0
11.6

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

5.9
4.9
5.2
4.3
5.9
7.9
6.1
5.3

5.9
5.1
5.3
4.5
6.1
7.4
6.3
5.5

6.4
6.2
6.0
5.3
7.1
6.7
7.4
6.6

7.2
8.0
6.8
6.6
8.5
6.4
9.2
8.5

8.2
10.0
7.8
8.3
10.0
6.6
11.0
10.3

9.4
12.2
9.2
10.3
11.6
7.1
12.9
11.8

10.5
13.6
10.7
11.8
13.2
7.7
14.1
12.6

11.1
13.8
11.5
12.5
13.9
8.6
13.7
12.6

11.7
13.9
12.2
13.6
14.1
9.4
13.3
12.9

12.0
14.0
12.6
14.0
14.1
9.9
13.4
13.3

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (4) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

13.6
14.1
14.6
8.7
13.7
14.9

13.7
13.9
14.5
8.4
13.9
14.5

13.4
13.5
13.8
8.4
13.7
12.7

13.0
12.8
13.2
8.7
13.4
11.0

12.5
12.1
12.8
9.2
12.8
10.0

12.3
12.2
12.9
10.2
12.5
10.2

12.6
12.5
13.0
11.4
12.7
11.2

13.0
12.4
12.6
12.5
13.1
11.9

13.2
12.5
12.0
13.2
13.3
12.3

13.2
12.6
11.8
13.5
13.4
12.5

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

11.1
10.0
10.1
5.5
10.0

10.1
9.0
9.0
5.5
9.2

8.5
7.6
7.3
5.9
8.0

7.5
6.8
6.4
7.4
7.5

7.0
6.5
5.9
9.1
7.5

6.9
6.6
5.8
11.1
8.0

7.0
7.0
5.9
13.4
8.7

7.3
7.6
6.3
14.9
9.3

7.8
8.3
6.9
15.0
9.9

8.1
8.7
7.2
14.8
10.2

Western Africa (5)


Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Cte d'Ivoire......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Less dev. regions, excl. China

295

Table A.25. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
31.3
21.5
34.3
33.5
28.8
34.7
23.4
24.8
27.7
26.8
35.1
29.7

29.7
18.1
32.4
27.4
25.4
33.7
20.7
25.5
24.3
24.9
32.1
23.6

23.9
15.8
29.1
27.3
22.1
28.3
16.3
25.6
21.1
22.4
26.9
18.9

16.4
13.1
24.2
23.5
20.8
23.7
12.4
24.8
19.2
16.0
20.2
15.7

13.7
12.0
22.0
22.1
21.1
21.5
11.6
24.6
19.0
13.6
22.8
14.3

13.1
10.5
19.8
21.2
21.2
20.1
11.0
22.7
18.8
12.5
25.7
13.1

12.2
10.4
18.1
19.9
19.8
18.6
10.6
19.3
18.7
11.6
24.9
12.3

10.9
9.6
15.7
18.5
15.4
17.2
10.3
16.2
16.7
10.6
20.8
11.7

9.8
8.3
13.9
17.5
12.0
15.5
10.1
13.8
15.1
9.5
16.9
11.3

8.7
7.5
12.4
15.9
10.2
13.6
9.2
12.2
13.7
8.4
14.9
10.3

22.1

18.6

11.6

9.3

8.7

8.2

7.8

7.5

7.4

7.3

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ...............
China, Macao SAR (9) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

20.2
22.2
7.6
10.4
11.8
9.4
21.4
16.4

18.7
21.0
5.4
8.3
9.1
7.4
18.4
13.0

7.7
8.0
4.5
6.3
6.1
6.6
13.9
7.8

6.9
7.0
4.8
6.8
5.1
6.3
12.4
6.4

6.9
7.1
5.3
5.6
5.4
6.4
10.8
5.7

6.9
6.9
5.4
4.8
5.9
7.0
9.6
5.5

7.0
7.0
5.3
4.6
9.8
7.5
8.3
5.5

7.2
7.1
5.9
4.5
9.0
7.9
7.0
5.3

7.3
7.2
6.2
4.5
9.6
8.8
6.5
5.1

7.6
7.5
6.3
4.3
10.1
9.6
6.4
5.9

South-Central Asia (10)

24.9

19.4

15.8

12.1

10.9

10.0

9.1

8.4

8.0

7.6

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

14.6
14.3
16.4
12.2
16.2
14.7

12.1
11.3
13.2
13.1
13.9
12.2

9.4
9.2
10.3
9.4
10.3
9.1

8.1
8.3
8.7
8.0
8.7
7.8

7.5
8.0
7.7
7.0
8.2
7.2

8.4
9.5
7.9
9.4
8.6
7.3

8.4
11.7
7.8
8.2
7.8
6.6

7.9
10.9
7.5
7.1
7.7
6.4

7.8
10.6
7.7
6.4
7.7
6.6

7.4
9.6
7.0
6.1
7.8
6.5

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

25.2
36.9
20.9
27.1
25.5
28.7
27.7
25.3
23.8
19.8

19.7
32.7
18.4
25.7
19.8
20.3
27.2
23.6
18.3
12.1

16.1
27.9
26.9
22.0
15.0
14.4
19.3
20.0
13.9
7.8

12.3
24.1
13.3
17.1
11.8
16.9
12.7
15.8
11.6
6.1

11.1
22.7
11.3
15.0
10.9
10.8
10.5
13.8
10.8
6.5

10.1
21.4
9.5
12.5
10.2
6.3
8.0
12.0
9.7
6.7

9.2
20.1
8.0
9.9
9.4
5.4
5.5
9.7
8.8
7.9

8.4
18.3
6.9
7.9
8.7
5.3
4.1
7.8
8.0
6.3

8.0
16.8
6.3
7.2
8.3
5.4
3.7
6.2
7.7
6.5

7.6
15.1
6.0
6.8
7.9
5.4
3.6
5.8
7.3
6.7

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (11) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

22.1
13.5
23.8
24.7
20.9
14.0
28.6
13.3
9.0
15.6
34.3
24.2

17.0
8.7
20.4
18.6
19.3
9.7
20.5
10.6
5.6
12.0
28.0
21.0

13.1
6.3
22.5
13.4
18.1
7.1
15.0
8.5
5.3
8.9
22.2
18.1

9.5
4.4
17.7
10.0
16.2
5.8
12.2
7.3
5.1
6.0
22.0
11.0

8.3
3.9
13.2
8.8
14.4
5.3
11.8
6.8
4.9
4.9
19.3
9.0

7.5
3.5
11.6
8.1
11.9
5.0
10.3
6.4
4.3
5.4
15.9
6.9

7.0
3.1
10.2
7.6
9.4
4.7
9.3
6.1
4.4
6.1
12.9
5.8

6.8
3.0
9.1
7.4
7.9
4.6
8.9
6.0
4.6
6.6
10.0
5.3

6.7
3.1
8.3
7.2
6.6
4.7
8.9
5.9
4.6
7.2
8.7
5.2

6.5
3.4
7.8
6.8
6.1
4.7
8.3
5.7
5.1
7.6
7.7
5.2

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (12) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (13) .........................................
Georgia (14) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................

19.5
11.1
12.0
21.6
8.3
14.4
25.8

15.6
6.2
7.0
12.6
7.1
6.8
15.4

12.6
5.2
6.5
6.5
8.3
7.5
11.1

9.7
5.6
6.8
4.1
7.4
8.9
12.6

7.8
6.8
6.5
3.6
7.1
8.7
8.0

6.9
8.5
8.3
3.3
6.9
9.7
5.6

6.2
8.6
7.0
3.2
6.9
10.0
5.4

5.6
8.3
7.1
3.0
6.8
10.2
5.6

5.4
8.6
7.2
2.8
6.8
11.0
6.3

5.1
9.1
7.6
2.8
6.8
11.6
5.0

Asia (6)

296

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.25. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
8.0
7.1
11.1
14.6
9.0
12.1
8.6
10.9
12.4
7.7
13.5
9.3

7.4
6.8
10.1
13.5
8.1
10.7
8.1
9.7
11.3
7.1
12.4
8.7

6.5
6.5
8.5
11.3
7.0
8.6
7.4
7.6
9.4
6.2
10.6
7.8

6.1
6.5
7.5
9.7
6.6
7.3
7.1
6.2
8.1
5.9
9.4
7.6

6.2
6.9
7.1
8.8
6.5
6.5
7.2
5.3
7.4
6.1
8.9
7.9

6.7
7.4
7.2
8.4
6.6
6.3
7.5
4.9
7.1
6.5
9.0
8.6

7.4
8.1
7.5
8.2
6.9
6.4
7.9
5.0
7.1
7.2
9.5
9.4

8.2
8.8
8.1
8.3
7.4
6.9
8.5
5.3
7.3
8.0
10.3
10.2

9.1
9.7
8.8
8.5
8.1
7.5
9.3
5.9
7.7
8.9
11.1
11.0

9.6
10.1
9.2
8.7
8.4
7.9
9.6
6.2
8.0
9.3
11.5
11.4

7.4

7.6

8.5

9.8

11.1

12.2

13.0

13.5

13.6

13.5

8.1
7.9
6.9
4.6
10.4
10.6
6.2
6.8

8.8
8.5
7.4
5.0
10.6
11.7
6.3
7.8

10.7
10.5
8.8
6.7
10.9
13.5
6.9
9.9

12.9
12.8
10.8
9.5
11.8
14.3
8.0
12.5

14.8
14.9
12.3
11.9
12.7
14.3
9.1
14.9

15.9
16.1
12.3
13.3
12.7
14.8
9.9
15.6

16.2
16.4
11.9
14.0
13.0
14.5
10.4
15.1

15.9
16.4
11.4
13.5
13.2
12.9
10.2
14.1

14.7
15.1
10.6
11.7
12.8
11.8
10.1
12.9

14.1
14.5
10.1
11.0
12.7
11.5
10.3
12.2

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .............
China, Macao SAR (9) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

7.4

7.4

7.8

8.6

9.7

11.0

12.3

13.2

13.8

14.1

South-Central Asia (10)

7.2
9.2
6.6
5.8
7.5
6.4

7.1
9.1
6.4
5.5
7.4
6.4

7.6
9.4
6.9
5.6
7.9
7.1

8.6
10.0
7.8
6.2
9.1
8.6

9.6
10.2
8.6
7.0
10.4
10.2

10.7
10.4
9.3
8.1
11.8
11.9

11.8
10.6
10.1
9.5
13.2
13.6

12.3
10.4
10.3
10.7
13.9
14.7

12.6
10.7
10.4
11.6
14.3
14.9

12.7
10.9
10.5
12.0
14.4
14.9

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

7.4
13.7
5.8
6.6
7.7
5.4
3.7
5.5
7.0
7.1

7.4
12.3
5.8
6.5
7.7
5.6
3.8
5.4
6.8
7.5

7.8
10.0
6.4
6.9
8.1
6.9
4.6
5.5
6.8
8.8

8.6
8.5
7.8
8.1
8.9
9.0
6.3
6.3
7.5
10.2

9.7
7.8
9.8
9.9
9.9
11.7
8.9
7.5
8.6
11.4

11.0
7.7
11.8
12.2
11.1
15.0
11.8
9.1
10.2
12.3

12.3
8.2
13.7
14.2
12.3
17.4
15.4
10.9
11.9
12.7

13.3
9.0
14.9
15.0
13.3
16.9
17.4
12.5
13.1
12.8

13.9
9.9
15.4
15.2
13.9
15.5
16.3
13.3
14.0
13.2

14.1
10.4
15.3
15.2
14.2
15.3
15.6
13.5
14.4
13.3

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

6.5
3.8
7.5
6.7
5.8
4.9
8.1
5.7
6.0
8.1
6.8
5.4

6.7
4.2
7.3
6.8
5.7
5.3
8.2
5.7
7.0
8.7
5.9
5.7

7.6
5.4
7.5
7.7
6.0
6.3
9.1
6.0
9.4
10.3
4.7
6.9

8.9
6.9
8.3
9.2
7.0
7.4
10.5
6.5
12.2
12.3
4.2
9.0

10.3
8.4
9.4
10.9
8.6
8.3
12.0
7.2
14.1
13.9
4.3
11.2

11.5
9.6
11.2
12.3
10.7
9.1
13.3
8.0
14.5
14.6
4.8
13.2

12.4
10.6
13.2
13.2
13.1
10.0
14.1
9.0
14.0
14.8
5.8
14.9

12.9
11.1
14.1
13.7
14.7
10.8
14.4
10.0
13.6
14.7
6.9
15.3

13.1
11.3
14.4
13.9
15.0
11.4
14.1
10.9
12.8
14.2
8.0
14.6

13.1
11.3
14.5
13.9
14.9
11.5
14.0
11.2
12.2
13.7
8.6
14.3

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (11) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

5.0
9.4
7.5
3.1
7.2
12.1
4.7

5.1
9.7
7.6
3.8
7.6
12.5
4.4

5.5
10.4
8.8
5.9
8.7
13.7
4.0

6.4
11.8
10.4
9.0
10.1
15.5
4.2

7.4
12.7
11.2
12.2
11.4
16.2
4.6

8.4
13.4
11.8
14.4
12.8
16.5
5.1

9.2
14.8
12.3
13.8
14.0
16.7
5.7

9.7
14.7
11.7
11.9
14.0
15.5
6.4

10.1
13.7
11.2
12.3
13.1
14.1
7.1

10.3
13.5
11.5
13.0
12.6
13.9
7.5

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (12) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (13) .......................................
Georgia (14) ......................................
Iraq ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (6)

297

Table A.25. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
6.2
19.3
12.3
15.4
20.0
26.2
13.8
24.3
20.5
18.8
20.8
29.0

6.1
14.5
7.6
10.7
16.8
21.3
8.8
19.6
15.3
17.6
13.2
25.6

6.7
9.4
5.2
8.1
11.2
14.5
5.2
13.4
10.1
15.0
6.4
23.2

6.6
6.5
3.4
7.6
6.8
8.4
3.1
7.5
6.7
10.8
3.7
15.8

6.3
5.7
2.8
7.3
5.5
5.7
2.5
5.8
5.3
8.8
3.1
12.6

6.2
4.9
2.7
7.1
4.8
4.0
2.2
4.9
4.3
7.7
2.5
11.4

5.9
4.5
3.0
7.1
4.1
3.4
2.1
4.5
3.8
6.5
2.1
10.2

5.7
4.2
3.1
6.9
3.8
3.1
1.9
4.1
3.6
5.7
1.7
8.3

5.7
4.1
3.1
6.9
3.6
3.7
1.6
3.8
3.5
5.5
1.4
7.0

5.4
4.0
3.0
7.0
3.5
3.9
1.5
3.7
3.6
5.5
1.4
6.0

10.8

9.8

10.1

10.7

10.6

11.2

11.5

11.6

11.2

11.3

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

10.3
11.4
10.2
10.4
11.3
10.9
14.4
12.0
9.5
10.1
10.5

8.6
6.0
8.2
10.4
10.2
7.6
11.0
8.6
8.8
7.8
8.3

9.3
7.9
9.7
12.3
11.9
8.4
10.2
9.4
9.1
9.4
9.7

11.2
10.0
11.3
12.9
13.8
9.6
11.6
10.3
11.3
10.1
11.7

11.2
10.1
12.0
12.5
13.9
10.1
10.1
10.8
11.1
10.2
11.9

12.7
11.8
12.8
11.7
14.2
10.3
11.1
11.4
13.2
10.0
13.8

13.6
13.7
14.4
10.9
13.7
10.0
11.7
12.2
14.6
9.6
15.3

14.4
14.4
14.4
10.6
13.2
9.6
12.5
12.0
16.0
9.6
15.9

13.6
14.4
15.1
10.1
13.3
9.9
13.5
11.9
14.2
9.8
16.7

13.6
14.2
15.2
10.3
13.2
10.5
13.1
12.1
14.0
9.8
16.2

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (19) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (20) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

11.2
12.5
9.1
13.1
9.7
7.5
12.8
11.6
10.6
8.2
9.8
11.8

11.1
12.4
9.8
10.5
9.3
6.9
11.8
10.2
8.0
9.5
10.0
11.8

11.3
11.9
10.1
11.0
9.5
7.0
10.9
11.5
9.0
10.0
10.4
11.9

11.3
11.4
11.1
12.3
9.3
6.9
9.4
12.8
10.5
10.2
11.0
11.8

11.3
11.2
11.5
12.1
9.8
6.9
9.2
12.4
10.3
10.7
11.1
11.6

11.1
10.6
11.8
13.7
9.8
6.7
8.8
14.3
11.7
10.5
10.9
11.2

10.9
10.2
11.5
13.9
9.7
6.9
8.6
13.5
11.9
10.1
10.7
10.9

10.2
9.6
10.8
13.6
9.5
6.3
7.5
13.8
11.9
9.6
10.5
10.2

9.7
9.1
10.3
12.4
9.4
6.4
6.6
14.0
13.4
8.8
10.1
9.5

9.6
9.3
10.1
12.7
9.8
6.4
6.4
13.8
13.5
8.4
9.6
9.4

Southern Europe (21)


Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (22) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (23) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ........................

10.6
14.3
13.8
14.0
7.2
9.9
9.6
5.0
11.9
14.1
10.6
10.4
17.2

9.5
9.7
8.9
10.3
7.8
9.9
9.2
3.6
11.1
10.1
9.5
8.8
9.6

9.3
8.1
6.9
10.5
8.6
9.9
8.9
3.1
10.6
9.3
10.2
8.6
8.2

9.1
6.1
6.8
11.6
9.0
9.9
8.2
3.2
9.7
10.0
11.0
7.9
7.1

9.1
5.6
7.0
11.4
9.3
9.6
7.9
3.1
9.8
10.3
10.2
8.3
7.8

9.4
6.3
10.4
10.7
9.2
9.8
7.7
6.3
10.3
10.0
9.9
8.7
8.0

9.6
6.3
7.8
10.6
9.4
10.0
7.7
6.9
10.4
10.7
9.7
9.1
8.3

9.5
5.8
8.5
11.5
9.4
9.7
7.8
8.5
10.3
11.1
9.4
8.9
8.6

9.6
6.0
9.5
11.7
10.0
9.8
8.2
10.3
10.1
11.6
9.3
8.9
9.1

9.9
6.4
10.3
12.2
10.5
10.2
8.4
10.4
10.1
12.0
9.8
8.7
9.5

Western Europe (25)


Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................

11.4
12.4
12.1
12.7
11.1
11.7
7.5
10.1

11.3
12.6
12.5
11.2
11.8
12.0
7.8
9.7

11.4
12.8
12.1
10.7
12.3
12.2
8.3
9.1

11.0
12.2
11.6
10.1
12.1
11.2
8.2
9.4

10.5
11.4
10.6
9.6
11.6
10.6
8.5
9.2

10.2
10.7
10.6
9.2
11.1
9.9
8.7
9.2

9.9
10.1
10.3
9.2
10.6
9.3
8.8
8.9

9.6
9.5
10.3
8.9
10.2
8.6
8.7
8.4

9.4
9.1
9.7
8.6
10.3
8.1
8.2
8.2

9.8
9.4
10.3
8.9
10.9
8.0
8.6
8.3

Europe

298

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.25. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
5.4
4.1
3.1
7.1
3.4
4.2
1.6
3.7
3.6
5.8
1.8
5.2

5.5
4.3
3.3
7.3
3.4
4.7
1.8
3.8
3.8
6.1
2.4
4.6

6.0
4.7
4.2
8.2
3.5
6.5
2.9
4.7
4.5
7.3
4.5
4.0

6.6
5.6
5.9
10.0
3.8
9.1
5.0
5.9
5.4
8.9
7.8
4.0

6.8
7.2
8.0
11.9
4.4
11.8
8.0
7.6
6.6
10.5
11.7
4.4

7.2
8.9
9.7
13.7
5.2
13.8
11.1
9.8
8.1
12.1
15.3
5.2

7.6
10.5
10.1
15.0
6.1
14.3
12.9
11.7
9.9
13.2
16.2
6.1

7.8
11.9
9.9
15.5
7.1
14.9
12.7
12.4
11.8
13.6
14.6
7.0

8.3
13.0
10.3
15.0
7.9
16.5
12.5
12.9
12.9
13.9
13.9
7.9

8.7
13.3
10.5
14.6
8.4
16.7
12.8
13.4
13.1
13.9
14.1
8.4

11.4

11.6

12.2

13.1

13.6

13.6

13.1

12.1

11.4

11.3

13.5
14.0
15.2
10.6
13.2
10.9
13.1
12.3
14.0
10.0
15.8

13.5
13.9
15.3
10.9
13.2
11.2
13.2
12.4
13.9
10.4
15.5

14.1
14.3
15.8
12.1
13.6
12.4
14.1
13.1
14.5
11.8
15.5

15.0
15.5
16.4
12.9
13.8
14.0
15.1
14.2
15.3
13.4
16.0

15.2
15.8
16.9
12.9
13.8
14.2
15.7
15.4
15.3
14.2
15.9

15.3
15.7
17.4
13.6
14.2
14.8
16.6
16.5
15.2
15.1
15.9

15.0
15.3
16.4
13.4
13.7
15.4
17.5
16.0
14.8
15.3
15.4

13.5
13.8
14.2
11.9
12.6
14.0
16.4
14.2
13.3
13.7
13.8

12.5
12.7
13.0
10.9
11.8
12.3
14.5
13.0
12.5
12.3
12.7

12.3
12.5
12.8
10.9
11.6
12.1
14.1
12.8
12.4
12.0
12.6

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

9.6
9.8
10.2
12.9
10.1
6.5
6.6
13.9
13.8
8.2
9.4
9.5

9.7
10.4
10.5
12.9
10.5
6.7
6.9
13.9
13.8
8.3
9.5
9.6

10.2
12.0
11.4
13.1
11.7
7.5
7.9
13.9
13.8
9.2
10.3
10.0

10.8
13.5
11.8
13.5
12.5
8.7
8.8
14.5
14.5
10.0
10.7
10.5

11.1
14.2
11.9
13.6
12.0
9.4
9.5
14.8
14.9
10.3
10.6
10.9

11.0
13.5
11.6
13.8
11.3
9.7
10.1
15.0
14.7
10.2
10.6
10.9

10.8
12.3
11.0
13.6
11.1
9.9
10.0
14.9
14.7
9.7
10.4
10.7

10.8
11.6
11.0
12.4
10.8
9.9
9.4
13.3
13.6
9.6
10.3
10.9

10.5
10.8
10.9
11.5
10.4
9.7
9.4
12.0
12.2
9.6
9.9
10.6

10.4
10.4
10.7
11.6
10.3
9.6
9.6
12.0
12.0
9.5
9.8
10.5

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Finland (19) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (20) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

10.3
6.9
11.2
12.6
10.9
10.8
9.1
10.6
10.8
12.1
10.5
9.0
10.0

10.6
7.4
12.0
12.8
11.2
11.2
9.9
10.8
11.4
12.2
11.1
9.2
10.6

11.4
8.9
13.5
13.4
11.6
12.0
11.7
11.6
12.6
12.6
12.2
9.9
11.8

12.5
10.9
15.7
14.3
12.5
12.9
13.0
12.6
14.1
13.5
13.5
11.2
13.4

13.8
12.8
17.4
14.6
13.5
14.1
13.2
13.1
15.9
14.2
14.1
12.9
14.7

14.7
14.8
18.6
14.6
14.0
14.6
13.5
13.9
17.1
15.0
14.1
14.3
16.0

14.0
17.5
19.3
14.4
13.3
13.2
14.3
14.5
16.7
15.4
13.6
13.9
16.7

12.6
18.7
18.3
13.4
12.0
11.8
13.8
14.2
15.4
14.8
12.3
12.2
16.1

11.9
17.2
16.0
12.4
11.4
11.2
12.3
13.7
14.6
14.1
11.4
11.5
14.8

11.7
16.2
15.1
12.1
11.5
11.0
11.5
13.5
14.2
13.8
11.3
11.6
14.2

Southern Europe (21)


Albania..............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Greece ...............................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
Serbia (22) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (23) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ......................

10.2
9.7
10.6
9.2
11.5
7.9
9.1
8.6

10.6
10.0
10.7
9.3
12.0
7.8
9.6
8.9

11.3
11.0
11.1
9.8
12.9
8.1
11.0
10.2

12.3
12.4
11.8
10.7
14.0
9.1
12.3
11.7

12.9
13.6
12.0
10.8
15.0
10.2
12.7
13.1

12.3
13.5
11.5
10.5
14.0
10.7
12.0
13.4

11.4
12.8
10.7
10.1
12.7
10.9
11.0
12.7

10.9
12.4
10.2
9.8
11.9
11.0
10.7
12.1

10.4
11.7
10.0
9.7
11.0
10.9
10.6
11.2

10.3
11.4
10.0
9.7
10.7
10.7
10.4
10.8

Western Europe (25)


Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

299

Table A.25. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Latin America and Caribbean

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
15.6

12.3

9.8

7.8

7.1

6.5

6.2

6.0

5.9

5.9

Caribbean (26)
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
US Virgin Islands ................................

15.2
8.9
10.5
13.4
10.9
20.7
10.5
14.6
26.5
10.8
14.3
12.4
8.7
14.8
16.7
11.4
14.1

11.8
6.1
7.8
9.8
8.6
14.8
9.5
10.6
21.1
8.6
9.8
8.0
6.8
11.8
13.3
8.2
9.5

9.2
5.8
6.4
8.7
6.4
9.8
8.7
7.8
17.1
7.3
7.6
6.3
6.3
8.0
10.0
7.5
6.2

8.5
6.5
6.0
8.7
6.2
7.6
9.4
7.0
15.3
6.8
7.4
5.9
6.4
5.9
7.8
7.5
5.3

8.2
7.0
5.8
8.3
6.7
6.7
8.9
6.7
13.7
7.2
7.2
6.0
6.8
5.9
7.4
7.2
5.1

8.0
7.0
6.1
8.0
7.2
6.1
7.7
6.5
11.9
7.6
7.1
6.5
7.7
6.9
7.4
7.0
5.3

7.7
6.8
5.8
8.4
7.1
6.0
7.1
6.5
10.6
7.6
7.1
7.0
8.0
7.3
7.6
7.2
5.5

7.6
7.0
5.7
8.8
7.2
5.9
6.6
6.6
10.1
7.6
7.2
7.6
7.5
7.2
7.8
7.9
6.1

7.4
7.2
5.4
8.8
7.0
5.9
6.3
6.7
9.2
7.4
7.5
7.3
7.7
6.4
7.5
8.0
6.9

7.4
7.7
5.5
8.7
7.6
5.9
5.9
7.2
8.7
7.2
8.0
7.6
7.8
6.1
7.2
8.2
8.0

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

17.8
12.9
13.4
20.7
22.0
24.9
16.8
23.3
13.2

12.7
9.9
10.3
15.5
18.0
18.6
11.6
17.2
9.8

9.9
7.7
6.8
12.3
13.6
13.8
9.2
12.7
7.5

7.2
5.9
4.8
11.5
11.0
9.2
6.4
10.3
5.7

6.3
5.2
4.4
8.7
9.5
7.3
5.7
8.5
5.4

5.6
4.7
4.1
6.8
8.2
6.4
5.2
6.6
5.2

5.1
4.4
3.9
6.6
7.0
5.5
4.8
5.6
5.1

4.9
4.2
4.0
6.4
6.0
5.2
4.7
5.0
5.0

4.9
3.9
4.1
6.5
5.6
5.0
4.7
4.7
5.0

4.9
3.8
4.3
6.6
5.3
4.7
4.8
4.6
5.0

South America (29)


Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

15.0
9.1
24.3
15.5
13.5
16.6
19.4
15.8
18.1
8.9
21.7
14.9
10.5
12.6

12.3
8.8
21.7
12.6
12.2
11.5
14.7
12.4
13.6
8.0
17.8
10.6
9.5
9.5

9.9
8.9
19.1
9.9
8.8
8.9
11.5
8.2
11.0
7.1
12.9
8.3
10.0
6.7

8.0
8.5
13.4
8.2
6.4
6.6
8.1
6.2
9.6
6.8
9.1
7.3
9.8
5.3

7.3
8.4
11.4
7.4
5.9
6.3
6.7
5.2
9.8
6.6
7.8
7.2
9.8
4.9

6.8
8.1
9.9
6.8
5.5
6.2
5.8
4.5
9.8
6.2
6.9
7.1
9.7
4.8

6.4
7.8
8.9
6.5
5.3
5.8
5.2
4.0
8.9
5.9
6.1
7.4
9.5
4.9

6.2
7.8
8.1
6.4
5.0
5.6
4.9
3.7
7.6
5.6
5.6
7.6
9.5
5.0

6.2
7.7
7.5
6.4
5.3
5.5
5.0
3.6
5.9
5.5
5.4
7.3
9.3
5.1

6.2
7.7
7.1
6.4
5.7
5.5
5.1
3.7
5.8
5.4
5.5
7.2
9.2
5.2

Northern America (30)


Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................

9.4
8.7
9.5

9.3
7.7
9.4

9.0
7.3
9.2

8.5
6.9
8.7

8.7
7.0
8.8

8.5
7.1
8.7

8.5
7.4
8.6

8.4
7.2
8.5

8.2
7.4
8.3

8.3
7.7
8.3

12.5

10.7

9.5

8.1

8.1

7.7

7.5

7.2

6.9

6.8

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

9.4
9.4
9.3

8.7
8.7
8.9

8.5
8.5
8.4

7.6
7.4
8.2

7.7
7.5
8.4

7.3
7.3
7.7

7.3
7.2
7.5

6.9
6.9
7.2

6.7
6.7
7.0

6.8
6.8
7.1

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

26.5
14.9
15.2
29.6
17.7
22.4

19.9
10.5
10.5
22.6
15.1
17.0

14.4
8.0
7.8
16.2
12.8
12.9

10.3
6.9
6.3
11.2
10.4
9.7

10.1
6.5
6.0
10.9
11.7
8.8

9.4
6.2
5.9
10.1
10.0
7.8

8.8
6.0
5.8
9.5
8.5
6.8

8.2
6.2
6.1
8.7
7.0
5.8

7.6
6.5
6.1
7.9
6.2
5.1

7.0
6.9
6.1
7.3
5.4
4.7

Oceania

300

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.25. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
6.1

6.4

7.3

8.5

9.8

11.1

12.1

12.9

13.2

13.3

7.6
8.6
5.7
8.8
8.2
6.1
5.7
7.7
8.3
7.3
8.5
8.1
8.0
6.1
7.2
8.5
9.1

7.8
9.6
6.2
9.2
9.0
6.3
5.7
8.2
8.0
7.6
9.2
8.7
8.3
6.3
7.4
9.0
10.3

8.6
11.8
7.8
11.0
10.9
7.0
6.5
9.5
7.6
8.6
10.8
10.7
9.3
7.3
8.7
10.7
12.5

9.8
14.2
9.5
13.3
13.5
8.1
8.3
11.2
7.8
10.3
12.9
13.4
10.6
8.9
10.4
12.6
13.6

11.1
14.8
10.8
14.5
16.1
9.2
10.4
12.7
8.6
12.0
14.6
15.6
11.7
10.7
11.6
14.0
13.1

12.1
13.7
11.5
14.6
17.1
10.3
12.5
13.0
9.9
12.7
14.7
17.2
12.6
12.4
12.4
15.3
12.1

12.6
13.5
12.2
14.5
16.2
11.2
14.7
12.5
11.2
13.1
14.2
17.4
13.5
13.8
13.5
15.8
12.0

13.1
14.0
12.4
14.0
15.8
12.1
14.5
12.6
12.1
13.6
14.7
16.0
14.0
14.6
14.3
15.0
13.0

13.3
13.4
11.9
12.7
15.0
12.7
13.1
12.6
12.7
13.5
14.1
14.0
14.0
14.5
14.6
14.2
13.3

13.3
12.9
11.7
12.3
14.4
12.9
13.0
12.3
13.0
13.2
13.5
13.5
13.7
14.4
14.7
14.1
13.1

Caribbean (26)
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

5.0
3.6
4.6
6.6
5.1
4.7
5.0
4.7
5.2

5.3
3.8
5.1
6.7
4.9
4.7
5.3
4.9
5.5

6.0
4.4
6.4
7.0
4.8
5.0
6.3
5.5
6.4

7.2
5.6
8.2
7.8
4.8
5.6
7.8
6.6
7.5

8.6
6.9
10.0
8.9
5.2
6.6
9.5
8.0
8.7

9.8
8.2
11.5
10.4
5.9
7.9
11.0
9.6
9.7

10.9
9.7
13.1
12.0
6.8
9.4
12.1
11.3
10.4

11.8
11.3
14.2
13.5
7.7
10.8
12.9
12.6
11.2

12.4
12.1
14.2
14.3
8.6
11.8
13.5
13.3
11.9

12.5
12.4
14.0
14.3
9.0
12.2
13.6
13.4
12.1

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

6.4
7.7
6.7
6.7
6.2
5.7
5.2
3.9
5.9
5.5
5.6
7.3
9.2
5.4

6.7
7.8
6.4
7.1
6.7
6.1
5.5
4.2
6.2
5.6
5.8
7.6
9.1
5.7

7.6
8.1
6.2
8.3
8.0
7.1
6.3
4.9
7.4
6.1
6.5
8.6
9.4
6.6

8.9
8.8
6.5
9.8
9.8
8.4
7.4
5.6
9.1
6.7
7.6
10.0
10.1
7.7

10.3
9.6
7.0
11.6
11.3
9.7
8.7
6.0
10.7
7.5
9.0
11.3
10.9
8.8

11.5
10.6
7.8
13.1
12.4
10.7
10.0
6.4
11.6
8.5
10.4
12.1
11.5
9.9

12.6
11.5
8.8
14.4
13.1
11.7
11.3
7.0
12.5
9.6
11.7
12.8
12.0
11.0

13.3
11.9
9.8
15.0
13.8
12.5
12.2
7.9
13.7
10.6
12.7
13.4
12.4
12.0

13.7
12.2
10.7
15.2
13.7
12.9
12.8
8.5
13.9
11.3
13.3
13.6
12.5
12.6

13.6
12.2
11.0
15.0
13.4
13.0
13.1
8.8
13.4
11.6
13.5
13.6
12.4
12.8

South America (29)


Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

8.4
8.0
8.4

8.5
8.4
8.5

9.3
9.5
9.2

10.1
10.8
10.1

10.3
11.2
10.2

9.8
10.7
9.8

9.7
10.6
9.6

9.8
10.5
9.7

9.7
10.3
9.7

9.8
10.2
9.7

Northern America (30)


Canada...............................................
United States of America ..................

6.8

6.9

7.5

8.2

8.7

9.0

9.3

9.7

9.8

9.9

6.9
6.8
7.2

7.1
7.0
7.5

7.9
7.8
8.5

8.9
8.8
9.5

9.4
9.3
10.1

9.6
9.5
10.0

9.7
9.7
9.9

9.8
9.8
10.0

9.7
9.6
9.8

9.6
9.6
9.7

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

6.7
7.3
6.5
6.8
5.0
4.4

6.5
7.8
6.9
6.5
4.8
4.4

6.4
8.6
7.8
6.3
4.7
4.5

6.6
9.2
8.9
6.5
5.0
4.9

7.1
9.8
9.9
7.0
5.6
5.5

7.7
10.4
10.9
7.6
6.3
6.1

8.4
11.1
11.6
8.3
7.1
6.9

9.3
11.5
12.0
9.2
8.0
7.7

10.1
12.1
12.3
10.1
9.0
8.4

10.5
12.4
12.3
10.5
9.4
8.8

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Latin America and Caribbean

Oceania

301

Table A.25. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Micronesia (32)
Guam...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................

13.9
8.9
14.2

10.9
6.4
10.9

8.3
4.6
8.8

6.9
3.8
7.2

6.3
3.9
6.7

6.1
4.7
6.4

5.6
4.7
6.3

5.4
5.1
6.3

5.4
5.5
6.2

5.5
5.6
5.9

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................

14.8
16.3
17.7
9.3

11.2
11.2
13.1
8.5

8.2
8.4
9.4
6.2

6.7
6.1
7.5
6.0

6.3
5.5
7.2
5.8

5.9
5.0
6.8
6.1

5.6
4.8
6.2
6.2

5.4
4.7
5.7
6.3

5.5
5.1
5.5
6.2

5.6
5.6
5.4
6.1

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Seychelles.
2 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3 Including Zanzibar.
4 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
5 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
6 Includes other non-specified areas.
7 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
8 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
10 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
11 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.

302

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.25. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

5.7
5.9
5.8

6.0
6.3
5.9

7.0
7.4
6.1

8.1
8.6
6.3

9.0
9.3
6.8

9.6
9.5
7.8

10.5
10.2
9.3

11.3
11.2
10.3

11.6
11.7
10.8

11.7
11.8
11.1

Micronesia (32)
Guam.................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............

5.8
5.9
5.4
6.0

6.0
6.3
5.5
5.9

6.7
7.6
5.9
5.9

7.6
9.3
6.3
6.3

8.3
10.8
6.6
6.7

8.7
11.9
6.5
7.0

9.2
13.0
6.6
7.3

9.9
13.7
7.4
8.1

10.3
13.9
8.2
8.8

10.4
13.8
8.4
9.1

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia...............................
Samoa................................................
Tonga.................................................

Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

303

Table A.26. Crude death rate by major area, region and country:
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
18.7

16.1

11.8

10.1

9.6

9.2

9.0

8.7

8.4

8.2

10.3
22.6
26.9
22.0

9.4
18.9
22.9
18.4

9.5
12.6
21.9
11.4

9.7
10.2
17.0
9.3

9.6
9.5
15.8
8.7

10.0
9.0
15.0
8.2

10.2
8.7
13.7
7.9

10.3
8.3
12.3
7.7

10.0
8.0
11.0
7.5

10.2
7.8
10.0
7.4

22.9

18.1

14.7

11.6

10.5

9.9

9.3

8.7

8.3

7.9

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

26.8

23.0

19.6

17.2

16.4

16.3

15.8

14.8

13.3

11.9

Africa

26.2

22.2

18.7

15.9

14.9

14.6

14.1

13.2

11.9

10.8

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (2) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (3) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

26.7
25.1
24.0
28.3
28.0
29.9
23.6
27.5
28.0
15.4
25.9
32.8
19.6
24.7
31.9
24.5
22.4
21.7
17.4

22.0
22.0
20.8
23.8
23.6
23.5
18.8
24.0
25.7
8.5
13.5
27.5
11.2
21.9
27.5
19.5
20.1
18.8
15.0

18.8
20.2
16.9
19.4
19.7
20.6
14.4
20.6
23.4
6.6
8.7
23.5
7.1
20.3
23.6
15.3
17.5
16.0
12.6

16.9
17.6
14.3
15.5
20.5
20.8
10.7
16.5
20.6
5.8
5.3
21.3
6.2
16.3
20.0
16.2
15.1
14.4
9.6

16.2
17.5
12.1
14.5
17.3
19.0
9.9
16.4
18.8
6.2
4.4
21.1
6.0
18.7
18.5
16.6
14.7
15.4
8.6

16.6
19.5
11.0
13.4
14.1
17.3
9.9
14.3
17.9
5.9
3.5
19.9
5.7
41.5
20.6
18.3
15.1
18.0
9.8

15.3
17.9
10.6
12.2
11.1
15.2
11.8
11.3
17.9
6.5
3.2
17.6
5.6
19.9
17.9
18.2
14.8
19.6
14.5

14.0
16.1
10.1
11.3
9.5
13.0
12.8
8.6
16.6
6.4
3.0
16.7
5.6
14.4
16.2
15.8
13.5
19.6
17.5

11.9
14.8
9.4
10.5
8.3
10.5
11.3
6.8
13.7
6.8
2.9
15.4
5.7
12.3
15.5
13.2
11.5
16.7
15.1

10.5
13.6
8.2
9.9
7.2
9.1
9.9
6.4
11.9
7.2
2.4
13.8
6.0
11.5
14.4
11.7
9.6
14.9
11.7

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

27.5
35.9
24.9
31.0
27.5
20.9
25.5
30.4
27.7
21.0

23.8
31.1
21.6
26.9
23.9
16.2
22.4
26.9
24.8
16.8

20.5
26.4
18.3
21.0
21.2
13.7
19.9
23.7
19.1
13.2

18.6
24.2
15.0
16.8
18.1
12.0
19.0
21.4
13.7
11.5

18.1
23.5
14.1
16.8
16.8
11.4
18.7
20.4
11.3
10.7

17.9
23.1
14.0
17.5
16.7
12.1
18.5
18.7
10.5
9.8

18.5
21.1
14.6
19.2
17.3
12.6
19.7
17.2
10.2
9.2

17.3
17.6
15.3
19.5
17.8
12.5
18.2
16.3
10.4
8.8

16.3
15.3
15.0
17.6
17.1
11.7
17.2
15.1
9.4
8.2

14.7
13.6
13.4
15.3
15.5
10.7
15.7
14.1
8.6
7.4

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (4) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

23.5
23.9
22.5
22.5
25.7
24.0
22.6
28.1

19.4
19.4
18.7
18.3
19.6
21.8
17.9
24.6

15.6
15.4
14.7
14.8
15.7
18.7
12.3
20.0

11.5
9.9
11.2
10.9
10.7
15.5
7.9
14.6

9.6
7.2
9.6
5.3
8.7
14.4
6.9
11.2

8.2
6.0
7.8
4.5
7.2
13.2
6.2
9.1

7.2
5.4
6.4
4.0
6.4
12.0
5.8
7.6

6.4
5.0
5.6
4.0
6.0
10.3
5.7
6.5

6.1
4.9
5.2
4.0
5.8
9.4
5.9
5.8

5.9
4.9
5.1
4.1
5.8
8.6
6.0
5.4

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

20.5
18.8
22.7
22.9
20.3
22.6

16.8
15.6
18.3
17.4
16.7
19.6

13.3
12.0
16.9
13.8
13.1
16.4

10.0
8.4
13.0
10.4
9.9
12.0

8.7
7.0
11.6
9.5
8.6
10.3

8.5
7.2
10.0
8.9
8.5
9.4

10.6
11.0
13.5
9.3
10.4
11.9

14.0
14.9
17.9
10.6
13.9
15.7

14.9
12.6
16.7
8.6
15.2
14.9

14.0
13.8
15.0
8.2
14.3
14.1

Western Africa (5)


Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Cte d'Ivoire........................................

28.4
34.8
31.3
22.6
24.6

25.2
29.7
26.4
18.7
23.3

21.7
24.1
22.0
13.4
19.1

18.8
19.8
18.0
10.3
14.0

18.1
18.4
17.1
9.2
13.4

17.5
16.3
16.5
7.9
13.6

17.0
14.6
15.6
6.7
14.3

15.3
13.4
14.2
5.8
14.4

13.7
12.4
12.6
5.2
13.0

12.3
11.1
11.2
5.5
11.2

304

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
8.2

8.2

8.7

9.5

10.2

10.8

11.3

11.5

11.5

11.5 World

10.4
7.7
9.2
7.4

10.6
7.8
8.6
7.6

11.3
8.3
7.8
8.4

12.1
9.1
7.4
9.5

12.4
9.9
7.4
10.6

12.2
10.6
7.7
11.5

11.8
11.2
8.1
12.2

11.2
11.5
8.5
12.6

10.7
11.6
9.0
12.7

10.6
11.6
9.2
12.7

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)

7.7

7.6

7.7

8.2

8.9

9.7

10.4

10.8

11.2

11.3

10.8

10.0

8.6

7.7

7.3

7.3

7.5

7.8

8.3

8.6

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

10.0

9.3

8.3

7.7

7.5

7.6

7.8

8.2

8.6

8.8

Africa

9.5
12.6
7.3
9.2
6.4
8.4
9.1
5.7
10.8
7.8
2.4
12.4
6.3
10.5
13.3
10.7
8.3
13.7
10.4

8.7
11.7
6.7
8.6
5.9
7.8
8.4
5.2
9.7
8.5
2.5
11.5
6.6
9.4
12.1
9.9
7.4
12.2
10.0

7.6
10.3
6.1
8.0
5.5
7.1
7.4
4.9
8.0
10.0
3.0
10.1
7.7
8.1
10.0
8.4
6.3
9.8
9.8

7.0
9.7
5.8
8.1
5.8
7.1
7.0
4.9
6.9
11.7
3.6
9.1
9.1
7.4
8.2
7.3
5.7
8.1
9.6

6.8
9.7
5.8
8.4
6.5
7.8
6.9
5.1
6.2
13.1
4.5
8.5
10.2
7.1
6.9
6.8
5.4
6.8
9.6

6.9
10.5
6.0
9.1
7.3
9.0
7.2
5.5
5.8
13.9
5.4
8.2
10.7
7.2
6.1
6.6
5.4
6.0
10.5

7.2
11.2
6.3
9.9
8.1
10.6
7.6
6.0
5.6
14.3
6.2
8.3
11.1
7.4
5.7
6.8
5.5
5.4
11.4

7.5
11.7
7.0
10.5
9.1
12.2
7.9
6.8
5.5
14.3
7.1
8.6
11.7
7.8
5.7
7.2
5.7
5.1
11.6

7.9
12.4
7.7
11.2
10.2
13.2
8.6
7.5
5.6
13.8
8.7
9.1
12.1
8.6
6.0
7.9
6.2
5.0
11.7

8.1
12.8
8.0
11.6
10.6
13.6
8.9
7.9
5.8
13.3
9.4
9.3
12.2
9.0
6.2
8.2
6.5
5.0
11.8

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (2) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (3) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

13.5
12.2
12.2
13.7
14.1
9.8
14.4
13.1
8.0
6.9

12.4
11.1
11.5
12.4
12.7
9.2
13.3
12.4
7.7
6.4

10.4
9.3
10.1
10.3
10.3
8.2
11.1
11.2
7.5
6.0

9.0
8.2
9.2
9.1
8.6
7.5
9.4
10.3
7.5
6.2

8.4
7.8
8.8
8.7
7.7
7.3
8.6
9.2
7.7
6.9

8.3
8.0
8.9
9.1
7.5
7.3
8.4
8.7
8.2
8.1

8.7
8.7
9.1
9.6
7.7
7.5
8.8
8.9
8.9
9.3

9.3
9.7
9.5
10.2
8.2
8.0
9.4
9.4
9.4
10.3

10.1
10.7
10.0
10.9
9.0
8.7
10.2
10.0
9.7
11.2

10.5
11.2
10.3
11.3
9.4
9.0
10.6
10.4
10.0
11.6

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

5.9
4.9
5.2
4.3
5.9
7.9
6.1
5.3

5.9
5.1
5.3
4.5
6.1
7.4
6.3
5.5

6.4
6.2
6.0
5.3
7.1
6.7
7.4
6.6

7.2
8.0
6.8
6.6
8.5
6.4
9.2
8.5

8.2
10.0
7.8
8.3
10.0
6.6
11.0
10.3

9.4
12.2
9.2
10.3
11.6
7.1
12.9
11.8

10.5
13.6
10.7
11.8
13.2
7.7
14.1
12.6

11.1
13.8
11.5
12.5
13.9
8.6
13.7
12.6

11.7
13.9
12.2
13.6
14.1
9.4
13.3
12.9

12.0
14.0
12.6
14.0
14.1
9.9
13.4
13.3

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (4) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

13.6
14.1
14.6
8.7
13.7
14.9

13.7
13.9
14.5
8.4
13.9
14.5

13.4
13.5
13.8
8.4
13.7
12.7

13.0
12.8
13.2
8.7
13.4
11.0

12.5
12.1
12.8
9.2
12.8
10.0

12.3
12.2
12.9
10.2
12.5
10.2

12.6
12.5
13.0
11.4
12.7
11.2

13.0
12.4
12.6
12.5
13.1
11.9

13.2
12.5
12.0
13.2
13.3
12.3

13.2
12.6
11.8
13.5
13.4
12.5

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

11.1
10.0
10.1
5.5
10.0

10.1
9.0
9.0
5.5
9.2

8.5
7.6
7.3
5.9
8.0

7.5
6.8
6.4
7.4
7.5

7.0
6.5
5.9
9.1
7.5

6.9
6.6
5.8
11.1
8.0

7.0
7.0
5.9
13.4
8.7

7.3
7.6
6.3
14.9
9.3

7.8
8.3
6.9
15.0
9.9

8.1
8.7
7.2
14.8
10.2

Western Africa (5)


Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Cte d'Ivoire......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Less dev. regions, excl. China

305

Table A.26. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
31.3
21.5
34.3
33.5
28.8
34.7
23.4
24.8
27.7
26.8
35.1
29.7

29.7
18.1
32.4
27.4
25.4
33.7
20.7
25.5
24.3
24.9
32.1
23.6

23.9
15.8
29.1
27.3
22.1
28.3
16.3
25.6
21.1
22.4
26.9
18.9

16.4
13.1
24.2
23.5
20.8
23.7
12.4
24.8
19.2
16.0
20.2
15.7

13.7
12.0
22.0
22.1
21.1
21.5
11.6
24.6
19.0
13.6
22.8
14.3

13.1
10.5
19.8
21.2
21.2
20.1
11.0
22.7
18.8
12.5
25.7
13.1

12.2
10.4
18.1
19.9
19.8
18.6
10.6
19.3
18.7
11.6
24.9
12.3

10.9
9.6
15.7
18.5
15.4
17.2
10.3
16.2
16.7
10.6
20.8
11.7

9.8
8.3
13.9
17.5
12.0
15.5
10.1
13.8
15.1
9.5
16.9
11.3

8.7
7.5
12.4
15.9
10.2
13.6
9.2
12.2
13.7
8.4
14.9
10.3

22.1

18.6

11.6

9.3

8.7

8.2

7.8

7.5

7.4

7.3

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ...............
China, Macao SAR (9) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

20.2
22.2
7.6
10.4
11.8
9.4
21.4
16.4

18.7
21.0
5.4
8.3
9.1
7.4
18.4
13.0

7.7
8.0
4.5
6.3
6.1
6.6
13.9
7.8

6.9
7.0
4.8
6.8
5.1
6.3
12.4
6.4

6.9
7.1
5.3
5.6
5.4
6.4
10.8
5.7

6.9
6.9
5.4
4.8
5.9
7.0
9.6
5.5

7.0
7.0
5.3
4.6
9.8
7.5
8.3
5.5

7.2
7.1
5.9
4.5
9.0
7.9
7.0
5.3

7.3
7.2
6.2
4.5
9.6
8.8
6.5
5.1

7.6
7.5
6.3
4.3
10.1
9.6
6.4
5.9

South-Central Asia (10)

24.9

19.4

15.8

12.1

10.9

10.0

9.1

8.4

8.0

7.6

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

14.6
14.3
16.4
12.2
16.2
14.7

12.1
11.3
13.2
13.1
13.9
12.2

9.4
9.2
10.3
9.4
10.3
9.1

8.1
8.3
8.7
8.0
8.7
7.8

7.5
8.0
7.7
7.0
8.2
7.2

8.4
9.5
7.9
9.4
8.6
7.3

8.4
11.7
7.8
8.2
7.8
6.6

7.9
10.9
7.5
7.1
7.7
6.4

7.8
10.6
7.7
6.4
7.7
6.6

7.4
9.6
7.0
6.1
7.8
6.5

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

25.2
36.9
20.9
27.1
25.5
28.7
27.7
25.3
23.8
19.8

19.7
32.7
18.4
25.7
19.8
20.3
27.2
23.6
18.3
12.1

16.1
27.9
26.9
22.0
15.0
14.4
19.3
20.0
13.9
7.8

12.3
24.1
13.3
17.1
11.8
16.9
12.7
15.8
11.6
6.1

11.1
22.7
11.3
15.0
10.9
10.8
10.5
13.8
10.8
6.5

10.1
21.4
9.5
12.5
10.2
6.3
8.0
12.0
9.7
6.7

9.2
20.1
8.0
9.9
9.4
5.4
5.5
9.7
8.8
7.9

8.4
18.3
6.9
7.9
8.7
5.3
4.1
7.8
8.0
6.3

8.0
16.8
6.3
7.2
8.3
5.4
3.7
6.2
7.7
6.5

7.6
15.1
6.0
6.8
7.9
5.4
3.6
5.8
7.3
6.7

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (11) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

22.1
13.5
23.8
24.7
20.9
14.0
28.6
13.3
9.0
15.6
34.3
24.2

17.0
8.7
20.4
18.6
19.3
9.7
20.5
10.6
5.6
12.0
28.0
21.0

13.1
6.3
22.5
13.4
18.1
7.1
15.0
8.5
5.3
8.9
22.2
18.1

9.5
4.4
17.7
10.0
16.2
5.8
12.2
7.3
5.1
6.0
22.0
11.0

8.3
3.9
13.2
8.8
14.4
5.3
11.8
6.8
4.9
4.9
19.3
9.0

7.5
3.5
11.6
8.1
11.9
5.0
10.3
6.4
4.3
5.4
15.9
6.9

7.0
3.1
10.2
7.6
9.4
4.7
9.3
6.1
4.4
6.1
12.9
5.8

6.8
3.0
9.1
7.4
7.9
4.6
8.9
6.0
4.6
6.6
10.0
5.3

6.7
3.1
8.3
7.2
6.6
4.7
8.9
5.9
4.6
7.2
8.7
5.2

6.5
3.4
7.8
6.8
6.1
4.7
8.3
5.7
5.1
7.6
7.7
5.2

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (12) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (13) .........................................
Georgia (14) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................

19.5
11.1
12.0
21.6
8.3
14.4
25.8

15.6
6.2
7.0
12.6
7.1
6.8
15.4

12.6
5.2
6.5
6.5
8.3
7.5
11.1

9.7
5.6
6.8
4.1
7.4
8.9
12.6

7.8
6.8
6.5
3.6
7.1
8.7
8.0

6.9
8.5
8.3
3.3
6.9
9.7
5.6

6.2
8.6
7.0
3.2
6.9
10.0
5.4

5.6
8.3
7.1
3.0
6.8
10.2
5.6

5.4
8.6
7.2
2.8
6.8
11.0
6.3

5.1
9.1
7.6
2.8
6.8
11.6
5.0

Asia (6)

306

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
8.0
7.1
11.1
14.6
9.0
12.1
8.6
10.9
12.4
7.7
13.5
9.3

7.4
6.8
10.1
13.5
8.1
10.7
8.1
9.7
11.3
7.1
12.4
8.7

6.5
6.5
8.5
11.3
7.0
8.6
7.4
7.6
9.4
6.2
10.6
7.8

6.1
6.5
7.5
9.7
6.6
7.3
7.1
6.2
8.1
5.9
9.4
7.6

6.2
6.9
7.1
8.8
6.5
6.5
7.2
5.3
7.4
6.1
8.9
7.9

6.7
7.4
7.2
8.4
6.6
6.3
7.5
4.9
7.1
6.5
9.0
8.6

7.4
8.1
7.5
8.2
6.9
6.4
7.9
5.0
7.1
7.2
9.5
9.4

8.2
8.8
8.1
8.3
7.4
6.9
8.5
5.3
7.3
8.0
10.3
10.2

9.1
9.7
8.8
8.5
8.1
7.5
9.3
5.9
7.7
8.9
11.1
11.0

9.6
10.1
9.2
8.7
8.4
7.9
9.6
6.2
8.0
9.3
11.5
11.4

7.4

7.6

8.5

9.8

11.1

12.2

13.0

13.5

13.6

13.5

8.1
7.9
6.9
4.6
10.4
10.6
6.2
6.8

8.8
8.5
7.4
5.0
10.6
11.7
6.3
7.8

10.7
10.5
8.8
6.7
10.9
13.5
6.9
9.9

12.9
12.8
10.8
9.5
11.8
14.3
8.0
12.5

14.8
14.9
12.3
11.9
12.7
14.3
9.1
14.9

15.9
16.1
12.3
13.3
12.7
14.8
9.9
15.6

16.2
16.4
11.9
14.0
13.0
14.5
10.4
15.1

15.9
16.4
11.4
13.5
13.2
12.9
10.2
14.1

14.7
15.1
10.6
11.7
12.8
11.8
10.1
12.9

14.1
14.5
10.1
11.0
12.7
11.5
10.3
12.2

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .............
China, Macao SAR (9) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

7.4

7.4

7.8

8.6

9.7

11.0

12.3

13.2

13.8

14.1

South-Central Asia (10)

7.2
9.2
6.6
5.8
7.5
6.4

7.1
9.1
6.4
5.5
7.4
6.4

7.6
9.4
6.9
5.6
7.9
7.1

8.6
10.0
7.8
6.2
9.1
8.6

9.6
10.2
8.6
7.0
10.4
10.2

10.7
10.4
9.3
8.1
11.8
11.9

11.8
10.6
10.1
9.5
13.2
13.6

12.3
10.4
10.3
10.7
13.9
14.7

12.6
10.7
10.4
11.6
14.3
14.9

12.7
10.9
10.5
12.0
14.4
14.9

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

7.4
13.7
5.8
6.6
7.7
5.4
3.7
5.5
7.0
7.1

7.4
12.3
5.8
6.5
7.7
5.6
3.8
5.4
6.8
7.5

7.8
10.0
6.4
6.9
8.1
6.9
4.6
5.5
6.8
8.8

8.6
8.5
7.8
8.1
8.9
9.0
6.3
6.3
7.5
10.2

9.7
7.8
9.8
9.9
9.9
11.7
8.9
7.5
8.6
11.4

11.0
7.7
11.8
12.2
11.1
15.0
11.8
9.1
10.2
12.3

12.3
8.2
13.7
14.2
12.3
17.4
15.4
10.9
11.9
12.7

13.3
9.0
14.9
15.0
13.3
16.9
17.4
12.5
13.1
12.8

13.9
9.9
15.4
15.2
13.9
15.5
16.3
13.3
14.0
13.2

14.1
10.4
15.3
15.2
14.2
15.3
15.6
13.5
14.4
13.3

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

6.5
3.8
7.5
6.7
5.8
4.9
8.1
5.7
6.0
8.1
6.8
5.4

6.7
4.2
7.3
6.8
5.7
5.3
8.2
5.7
7.0
8.7
5.9
5.7

7.6
5.4
7.5
7.7
6.0
6.3
9.1
6.0
9.4
10.3
4.7
6.9

8.9
6.9
8.3
9.2
7.0
7.4
10.5
6.5
12.2
12.3
4.2
9.0

10.3
8.4
9.4
10.9
8.6
8.3
12.0
7.2
14.1
13.9
4.3
11.2

11.5
9.6
11.2
12.3
10.7
9.1
13.3
8.0
14.5
14.6
4.8
13.2

12.4
10.6
13.2
13.2
13.1
10.0
14.1
9.0
14.0
14.8
5.8
14.9

12.9
11.1
14.1
13.7
14.7
10.8
14.4
10.0
13.6
14.7
6.9
15.3

13.1
11.3
14.4
13.9
15.0
11.4
14.1
10.9
12.8
14.2
8.0
14.6

13.1
11.3
14.5
13.9
14.9
11.5
14.0
11.2
12.2
13.7
8.6
14.3

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (11) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

5.0
9.4
7.5
3.1
7.2
12.1
4.7

5.1
9.7
7.6
3.8
7.6
12.5
4.4

5.5
10.4
8.8
5.9
8.7
13.7
4.0

6.4
11.8
10.4
9.0
10.1
15.5
4.2

7.4
12.7
11.2
12.2
11.4
16.2
4.6

8.4
13.4
11.8
14.4
12.8
16.5
5.1

9.2
14.8
12.3
13.8
14.0
16.7
5.7

9.7
14.7
11.7
11.9
14.0
15.5
6.4

10.1
13.7
11.2
12.3
13.1
14.1
7.1

10.3
13.5
11.5
13.0
12.6
13.9
7.5

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (12) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (13) .......................................
Georgia (14) ......................................
Iraq ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (6)

307

Table A.26. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
6.2
19.3
12.3
15.4
20.0
26.2
13.8
24.3
20.5
18.8
20.8
29.0

6.1
14.5
7.6
10.7
16.8
21.3
8.8
19.6
15.3
17.6
13.2
25.6

6.7
9.4
5.2
8.1
11.2
14.5
5.2
13.4
10.1
15.0
6.4
23.2

6.6
6.5
3.4
7.6
6.8
8.4
3.1
7.5
6.7
10.8
3.7
15.8

6.3
5.7
2.8
7.3
5.5
5.7
2.5
5.8
5.3
8.8
3.1
12.6

6.2
4.9
2.7
7.1
4.8
4.0
2.2
4.9
4.3
7.7
2.5
11.4

5.9
4.5
3.0
7.1
4.1
3.4
2.1
4.5
3.8
6.5
2.1
10.2

5.7
4.2
3.1
6.9
3.8
3.1
1.9
4.1
3.6
5.7
1.7
8.3

5.7
4.1
3.1
6.9
3.6
3.7
1.6
3.8
3.5
5.5
1.4
7.0

5.4
4.0
3.0
7.0
3.5
3.9
1.5
3.7
3.6
5.5
1.4
6.0

10.8

9.8

10.1

10.7

10.6

11.2

11.5

11.6

11.2

11.3

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

10.3
11.4
10.2
10.4
11.3
10.9
14.4
12.0
9.5
10.1
10.5

8.6
6.0
8.2
10.4
10.2
7.6
11.0
8.6
8.8
7.8
8.3

9.3
7.9
9.7
12.3
11.9
8.4
10.2
9.4
9.1
9.4
9.7

11.2
10.0
11.3
12.9
13.8
9.6
11.6
10.3
11.3
10.1
11.7

11.2
10.1
12.0
12.5
13.9
10.1
10.1
10.8
11.1
10.2
11.9

12.7
11.8
12.8
11.7
14.2
10.3
11.1
11.4
13.2
10.0
13.8

13.6
13.7
14.4
10.9
13.7
10.0
11.7
12.2
14.6
9.6
15.3

14.4
14.4
14.4
10.6
13.2
9.6
12.5
12.0
16.0
9.6
15.9

13.6
14.4
15.1
10.1
13.3
9.9
13.5
11.9
14.2
9.8
16.7

13.6
14.2
15.2
10.3
13.2
10.5
13.1
12.1
14.0
9.8
16.2

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (19) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (20) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

11.2
12.5
9.1
13.1
9.7
7.5
12.8
11.6
10.6
8.2
9.8
11.8

11.1
12.4
9.8
10.5
9.3
6.9
11.8
10.2
8.0
9.5
10.0
11.8

11.3
11.9
10.1
11.0
9.5
7.0
10.9
11.5
9.0
10.0
10.4
11.9

11.3
11.4
11.1
12.3
9.3
6.9
9.4
12.8
10.5
10.2
11.0
11.8

11.3
11.2
11.5
12.1
9.8
6.9
9.2
12.4
10.3
10.7
11.1
11.6

11.1
10.6
11.8
13.7
9.8
6.7
8.8
14.3
11.7
10.5
10.9
11.2

10.9
10.2
11.5
13.9
9.7
6.9
8.6
13.5
11.9
10.1
10.7
10.9

10.2
9.6
10.8
13.6
9.5
6.3
7.5
13.8
11.9
9.6
10.5
10.2

9.7
9.1
10.3
12.4
9.4
6.4
6.6
14.0
13.4
8.8
10.1
9.5

9.6
9.3
10.1
12.7
9.8
6.4
6.4
13.8
13.5
8.4
9.6
9.4

Southern Europe (21)


Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (22) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (23) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ........................

10.6
14.3
13.8
14.0
7.2
9.9
9.6
5.0
11.9
14.1
10.6
10.4
17.2

9.5
9.7
8.9
10.3
7.8
9.9
9.2
3.6
11.1
10.1
9.5
8.8
9.6

9.3
8.1
6.9
10.5
8.6
9.9
8.9
3.1
10.6
9.3
10.2
8.6
8.2

9.1
6.1
6.8
11.6
9.0
9.9
8.2
3.2
9.7
10.0
11.0
7.9
7.1

9.1
5.6
7.0
11.4
9.3
9.6
7.9
3.1
9.8
10.3
10.2
8.3
7.8

9.4
6.3
10.4
10.7
9.2
9.8
7.7
6.3
10.3
10.0
9.9
8.7
8.0

9.6
6.3
7.8
10.6
9.4
10.0
7.7
6.9
10.4
10.7
9.7
9.1
8.3

9.5
5.8
8.5
11.5
9.4
9.7
7.8
8.5
10.3
11.1
9.4
8.9
8.6

9.6
6.0
9.5
11.7
10.0
9.8
8.2
10.3
10.1
11.6
9.3
8.9
9.1

9.9
6.4
10.3
12.2
10.5
10.2
8.4
10.4
10.1
12.0
9.8
8.7
9.5

Western Europe (25)


Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................

11.4
12.4
12.1
12.7
11.1
11.7
7.5
10.1

11.3
12.6
12.5
11.2
11.8
12.0
7.8
9.7

11.4
12.8
12.1
10.7
12.3
12.2
8.3
9.1

11.0
12.2
11.6
10.1
12.1
11.2
8.2
9.4

10.5
11.4
10.6
9.6
11.6
10.6
8.5
9.2

10.2
10.7
10.6
9.2
11.1
9.9
8.7
9.2

9.9
10.1
10.3
9.2
10.6
9.3
8.8
8.9

9.6
9.5
10.3
8.9
10.2
8.6
8.7
8.4

9.4
9.1
9.7
8.6
10.3
8.1
8.2
8.2

9.8
9.4
10.3
8.9
10.9
8.0
8.6
8.3

Europe

308

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
5.4
4.1
3.1
7.1
3.4
4.2
1.6
3.7
3.6
5.8
1.8
5.2

5.5
4.3
3.3
7.3
3.4
4.7
1.8
3.8
3.8
6.1
2.4
4.6

6.0
4.7
4.2
8.2
3.5
6.5
2.9
4.7
4.5
7.3
4.5
4.0

6.6
5.6
5.9
10.0
3.8
9.1
5.0
5.9
5.4
8.9
7.8
4.0

6.8
7.2
8.0
11.9
4.4
11.8
8.0
7.6
6.6
10.5
11.7
4.4

7.2
8.9
9.7
13.7
5.2
13.8
11.1
9.8
8.1
12.1
15.3
5.2

7.6
10.5
10.1
15.0
6.1
14.3
12.9
11.7
9.9
13.2
16.2
6.1

7.8
11.9
9.9
15.5
7.1
14.9
12.7
12.4
11.8
13.6
14.6
7.0

8.3
13.0
10.3
15.0
7.9
16.5
12.5
12.9
12.9
13.9
13.9
7.9

8.7
13.3
10.5
14.6
8.4
16.7
12.8
13.4
13.1
13.9
14.1
8.4

11.4

11.6

12.2

13.1

13.6

13.6

13.1

12.1

11.4

11.3

13.5
14.0
15.2
10.6
13.2
10.9
13.1
12.3
14.0
10.0
15.8

13.5
13.9
15.3
10.9
13.2
11.2
13.2
12.4
13.9
10.4
15.5

14.1
14.3
15.8
12.1
13.6
12.4
14.1
13.1
14.5
11.8
15.5

15.0
15.5
16.4
12.9
13.8
14.0
15.1
14.2
15.3
13.4
16.0

15.2
15.8
16.9
12.9
13.8
14.2
15.7
15.4
15.3
14.2
15.9

15.3
15.7
17.4
13.6
14.2
14.8
16.6
16.5
15.2
15.1
15.9

15.0
15.3
16.4
13.4
13.7
15.4
17.5
16.0
14.8
15.3
15.4

13.5
13.8
14.2
11.9
12.6
14.0
16.4
14.2
13.3
13.7
13.8

12.5
12.7
13.0
10.9
11.8
12.3
14.5
13.0
12.5
12.3
12.7

12.3
12.5
12.8
10.9
11.6
12.1
14.1
12.8
12.4
12.0
12.6

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

9.6
9.8
10.2
12.9
10.1
6.5
6.6
13.9
13.8
8.2
9.4
9.5

9.7
10.4
10.5
12.9
10.5
6.7
6.9
13.9
13.8
8.3
9.5
9.6

10.2
12.0
11.4
13.1
11.7
7.5
7.9
13.9
13.8
9.2
10.3
10.0

10.8
13.5
11.8
13.5
12.5
8.7
8.8
14.5
14.5
10.0
10.7
10.5

11.1
14.2
11.9
13.6
12.0
9.4
9.5
14.8
14.9
10.3
10.6
10.9

11.0
13.5
11.6
13.8
11.3
9.7
10.1
15.0
14.7
10.2
10.6
10.9

10.8
12.3
11.0
13.6
11.1
9.9
10.0
14.9
14.7
9.7
10.4
10.7

10.8
11.6
11.0
12.4
10.8
9.9
9.4
13.3
13.6
9.6
10.3
10.9

10.5
10.8
10.9
11.5
10.4
9.7
9.4
12.0
12.2
9.6
9.9
10.6

10.4
10.4
10.7
11.6
10.3
9.6
9.6
12.0
12.0
9.5
9.8
10.5

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Finland (19) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (20) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

10.3
6.9
11.2
12.6
10.9
10.8
9.1
10.6
10.8
12.1
10.5
9.0
10.0

10.6
7.4
12.0
12.8
11.2
11.2
9.9
10.8
11.4
12.2
11.1
9.2
10.6

11.4
8.9
13.5
13.4
11.6
12.0
11.7
11.6
12.6
12.6
12.2
9.9
11.8

12.5
10.9
15.7
14.3
12.5
12.9
13.0
12.6
14.1
13.5
13.5
11.2
13.4

13.8
12.8
17.4
14.6
13.5
14.1
13.2
13.1
15.9
14.2
14.1
12.9
14.7

14.7
14.8
18.6
14.6
14.0
14.6
13.5
13.9
17.1
15.0
14.1
14.3
16.0

14.0
17.5
19.3
14.4
13.3
13.2
14.3
14.5
16.7
15.4
13.6
13.9
16.7

12.6
18.7
18.3
13.4
12.0
11.8
13.8
14.2
15.4
14.8
12.3
12.2
16.1

11.9
17.2
16.0
12.4
11.4
11.2
12.3
13.7
14.6
14.1
11.4
11.5
14.8

11.7
16.2
15.1
12.1
11.5
11.0
11.5
13.5
14.2
13.8
11.3
11.6
14.2

Southern Europe (21)


Albania..............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Greece ...............................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
Serbia (22) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (23) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ......................

10.2
9.7
10.6
9.2
11.5
7.9
9.1
8.6

10.6
10.0
10.7
9.3
12.0
7.8
9.6
8.9

11.3
11.0
11.1
9.8
12.9
8.1
11.0
10.2

12.3
12.4
11.8
10.7
14.0
9.1
12.3
11.7

12.9
13.6
12.0
10.8
15.0
10.2
12.7
13.1

12.3
13.5
11.5
10.5
14.0
10.7
12.0
13.4

11.4
12.8
10.7
10.1
12.7
10.9
11.0
12.7

10.9
12.4
10.2
9.8
11.9
11.0
10.7
12.1

10.4
11.7
10.0
9.7
11.0
10.9
10.6
11.2

10.3
11.4
10.0
9.7
10.7
10.7
10.4
10.8

Western Europe (25)


Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

309

Table A.26. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Latin America and Caribbean

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
15.6

12.3

9.8

7.8

7.1

6.5

6.2

6.0

5.9

5.9

Caribbean (26)
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
US Virgin Islands ................................

15.2
8.9
10.5
13.4
10.9
20.7
10.5
14.6
26.5
10.8
14.3
12.4
8.7
14.8
16.7
11.4
14.1

11.8
6.1
7.8
9.8
8.6
14.8
9.5
10.6
21.1
8.6
9.8
8.0
6.8
11.8
13.3
8.2
9.5

9.2
5.8
6.4
8.7
6.4
9.8
8.7
7.8
17.1
7.3
7.6
6.3
6.3
8.0
10.0
7.5
6.2

8.5
6.5
6.0
8.7
6.2
7.6
9.4
7.0
15.3
6.8
7.4
5.9
6.4
5.9
7.8
7.5
5.3

8.2
7.0
5.8
8.3
6.7
6.7
8.9
6.7
13.7
7.2
7.2
6.0
6.8
5.9
7.4
7.2
5.1

8.0
7.0
6.1
8.0
7.2
6.1
7.7
6.5
11.9
7.6
7.1
6.5
7.7
6.9
7.4
7.0
5.3

7.7
6.8
5.8
8.4
7.1
6.0
7.1
6.5
10.6
7.6
7.1
7.0
8.0
7.3
7.6
7.2
5.5

7.6
7.0
5.7
8.8
7.2
5.9
6.6
6.6
10.1
7.6
7.2
7.6
7.5
7.2
7.8
7.9
6.1

7.4
7.2
5.4
8.8
7.0
5.9
6.3
6.7
9.2
7.4
7.5
7.3
7.7
6.4
7.5
8.0
6.9

7.4
7.7
5.5
8.7
7.6
5.9
5.9
7.2
8.7
7.2
8.0
7.6
7.8
6.1
7.2
8.2
8.0

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

17.8
12.9
13.4
20.7
22.0
24.9
16.8
23.3
13.2

12.7
9.9
10.3
15.5
18.0
18.6
11.6
17.2
9.8

9.9
7.7
6.8
12.3
13.6
13.8
9.2
12.7
7.5

7.2
5.9
4.8
11.5
11.0
9.2
6.4
10.3
5.7

6.3
5.2
4.4
8.7
9.5
7.3
5.7
8.5
5.4

5.6
4.7
4.1
6.8
8.2
6.4
5.2
6.6
5.2

5.1
4.4
3.9
6.6
7.0
5.5
4.8
5.6
5.1

4.9
4.2
4.0
6.4
6.0
5.2
4.7
5.0
5.0

4.9
3.9
4.1
6.5
5.6
5.0
4.7
4.7
5.0

4.9
3.8
4.3
6.6
5.3
4.7
4.8
4.6
5.0

South America (29)


Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

15.0
9.1
24.3
15.5
13.5
16.6
19.4
15.8
18.1
8.9
21.7
14.9
10.5
12.6

12.3
8.8
21.7
12.6
12.2
11.5
14.7
12.4
13.6
8.0
17.8
10.6
9.5
9.5

9.9
8.9
19.1
9.9
8.8
8.9
11.5
8.2
11.0
7.1
12.9
8.3
10.0
6.7

8.0
8.5
13.4
8.2
6.4
6.6
8.1
6.2
9.6
6.8
9.1
7.3
9.8
5.3

7.3
8.4
11.4
7.4
5.9
6.3
6.7
5.2
9.8
6.6
7.8
7.2
9.8
4.9

6.8
8.1
9.9
6.8
5.5
6.2
5.8
4.5
9.8
6.2
6.9
7.1
9.7
4.8

6.4
7.8
8.9
6.5
5.3
5.8
5.2
4.0
8.9
5.9
6.1
7.4
9.5
4.9

6.2
7.8
8.1
6.4
5.0
5.6
4.9
3.7
7.6
5.6
5.6
7.6
9.5
5.0

6.2
7.7
7.5
6.4
5.3
5.5
5.0
3.6
5.9
5.5
5.4
7.3
9.3
5.1

6.2
7.7
7.1
6.4
5.7
5.5
5.1
3.7
5.8
5.4
5.5
7.2
9.2
5.2

Northern America (30)


Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................

9.4
8.7
9.5

9.3
7.7
9.4

9.0
7.3
9.2

8.5
6.9
8.7

8.7
7.0
8.8

8.5
7.1
8.7

8.5
7.4
8.6

8.4
7.2
8.5

8.2
7.4
8.3

8.3
7.7
8.3

12.5

10.7

9.5

8.1

8.1

7.7

7.5

7.2

6.9

6.8

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

9.4
9.4
9.3

8.7
8.7
8.9

8.5
8.5
8.4

7.6
7.4
8.2

7.7
7.5
8.4

7.3
7.3
7.7

7.3
7.2
7.5

6.9
6.9
7.2

6.7
6.7
7.0

6.8
6.8
7.1

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

26.5
14.9
15.2
29.6
17.7
22.4

19.9
10.5
10.5
22.6
15.1
17.0

14.4
8.0
7.8
16.2
12.8
12.9

10.3
6.9
6.3
11.2
10.4
9.7

10.1
6.5
6.0
10.9
11.7
8.8

9.4
6.2
5.9
10.1
10.0
7.8

8.8
6.0
5.8
9.5
8.5
6.8

8.2
6.2
6.1
8.7
7.0
5.8

7.6
6.5
6.1
7.9
6.2
5.1

7.0
6.9
6.1
7.3
5.4
4.7

Oceania

310

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
6.1

6.4

7.3

8.5

9.8

11.1

12.1

12.9

13.2

13.3

7.6
8.6
5.7
8.8
8.2
6.1
5.7
7.7
8.3
7.3
8.5
8.1
8.0
6.1
7.2
8.5
9.1

7.8
9.6
6.2
9.2
9.0
6.3
5.7
8.2
8.0
7.6
9.2
8.7
8.3
6.3
7.4
9.0
10.3

8.6
11.8
7.8
11.0
10.9
7.0
6.5
9.5
7.6
8.6
10.8
10.7
9.3
7.3
8.7
10.7
12.5

9.8
14.2
9.5
13.3
13.5
8.1
8.3
11.2
7.8
10.3
12.9
13.4
10.6
8.9
10.4
12.6
13.6

11.1
14.8
10.8
14.5
16.1
9.2
10.4
12.7
8.6
12.0
14.6
15.6
11.7
10.7
11.6
14.0
13.1

12.1
13.7
11.5
14.6
17.1
10.3
12.5
13.0
9.9
12.7
14.7
17.2
12.6
12.4
12.4
15.3
12.1

12.6
13.5
12.2
14.5
16.2
11.2
14.7
12.5
11.2
13.1
14.2
17.4
13.5
13.8
13.5
15.8
12.0

13.1
14.0
12.4
14.0
15.8
12.1
14.5
12.6
12.1
13.6
14.7
16.0
14.0
14.6
14.3
15.0
13.0

13.3
13.4
11.9
12.7
15.0
12.7
13.1
12.6
12.7
13.5
14.1
14.0
14.0
14.5
14.6
14.2
13.3

13.3
12.9
11.7
12.3
14.4
12.9
13.0
12.3
13.0
13.2
13.5
13.5
13.7
14.4
14.7
14.1
13.1

Caribbean (26)
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

5.0
3.6
4.6
6.6
5.1
4.7
5.0
4.7
5.2

5.3
3.8
5.1
6.7
4.9
4.7
5.3
4.9
5.5

6.0
4.4
6.4
7.0
4.8
5.0
6.3
5.5
6.4

7.2
5.6
8.2
7.8
4.8
5.6
7.8
6.6
7.5

8.6
6.9
10.0
8.9
5.2
6.6
9.5
8.0
8.7

9.8
8.2
11.5
10.4
5.9
7.9
11.0
9.6
9.7

10.9
9.7
13.1
12.0
6.8
9.4
12.1
11.3
10.4

11.8
11.3
14.2
13.5
7.7
10.8
12.9
12.6
11.2

12.4
12.1
14.2
14.3
8.6
11.8
13.5
13.3
11.9

12.5
12.4
14.0
14.3
9.0
12.2
13.6
13.4
12.1

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

6.4
7.7
6.7
6.7
6.2
5.7
5.2
3.9
5.9
5.5
5.6
7.3
9.2
5.4

6.7
7.8
6.4
7.1
6.7
6.1
5.5
4.2
6.2
5.6
5.8
7.6
9.1
5.7

7.6
8.1
6.2
8.3
8.0
7.1
6.3
4.9
7.4
6.1
6.5
8.6
9.4
6.6

8.9
8.8
6.5
9.8
9.8
8.4
7.4
5.6
9.1
6.7
7.6
10.0
10.1
7.7

10.3
9.6
7.0
11.6
11.3
9.7
8.7
6.0
10.7
7.5
9.0
11.3
10.9
8.8

11.5
10.6
7.8
13.1
12.4
10.7
10.0
6.4
11.6
8.5
10.4
12.1
11.5
9.9

12.6
11.5
8.8
14.4
13.1
11.7
11.3
7.0
12.5
9.6
11.7
12.8
12.0
11.0

13.3
11.9
9.8
15.0
13.8
12.5
12.2
7.9
13.7
10.6
12.7
13.4
12.4
12.0

13.7
12.2
10.7
15.2
13.7
12.9
12.8
8.5
13.9
11.3
13.3
13.6
12.5
12.6

13.6
12.2
11.0
15.0
13.4
13.0
13.1
8.8
13.4
11.6
13.5
13.6
12.4
12.8

South America (29)


Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

8.4
8.0
8.4

8.5
8.4
8.5

9.3
9.5
9.2

10.1
10.8
10.1

10.3
11.2
10.2

9.8
10.7
9.8

9.7
10.6
9.6

9.8
10.5
9.7

9.7
10.3
9.7

9.8
10.2
9.7

Northern America (30)


Canada...............................................
United States of America ..................

6.8

6.9

7.5

8.2

8.7

9.0

9.3

9.7

9.8

9.9

6.9
6.8
7.2

7.1
7.0
7.5

7.9
7.8
8.5

8.9
8.8
9.5

9.4
9.3
10.1

9.6
9.5
10.0

9.7
9.7
9.9

9.8
9.8
10.0

9.7
9.6
9.8

9.6
9.6
9.7

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

6.7
7.3
6.5
6.8
5.0
4.4

6.5
7.8
6.9
6.5
4.8
4.4

6.4
8.6
7.8
6.3
4.7
4.5

6.6
9.2
8.9
6.5
5.0
4.9

7.1
9.8
9.9
7.0
5.6
5.5

7.7
10.4
10.9
7.6
6.3
6.1

8.4
11.1
11.6
8.3
7.1
6.9

9.3
11.5
12.0
9.2
8.0
7.7

10.1
12.1
12.3
10.1
9.0
8.4

10.5
12.4
12.3
10.5
9.4
8.8

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Latin America and Caribbean

Oceania

311

Table A.26. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Micronesia (32)
Guam...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................

13.9
8.9
14.2

10.9
6.4
10.9

8.3
4.6
8.8

6.9
3.8
7.2

6.3
3.9
6.7

6.1
4.7
6.4

5.6
4.7
6.3

5.4
5.1
6.3

5.4
5.5
6.2

5.5
5.6
5.9

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................

14.8
16.3
17.7
9.3

11.2
11.2
13.1
8.5

8.2
8.4
9.4
6.2

6.7
6.1
7.5
6.0

6.3
5.5
7.2
5.8

5.9
5.0
6.8
6.1

5.6
4.8
6.2
6.2

5.4
4.7
5.7
6.3

5.5
5.1
5.5
6.2

5.6
5.6
5.4
6.1

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Seychelles.
2 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3 Including Zanzibar.
4 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
5 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
6 Includes other non-specified areas.
7 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
8 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
10 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
11 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.

312

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.26. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and high variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: high variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

5.7
5.9
5.8

6.0
6.3
5.9

7.0
7.4
6.1

8.1
8.6
6.3

9.0
9.3
6.8

9.6
9.5
7.8

10.5
10.2
9.3

11.3
11.2
10.3

11.6
11.7
10.8

11.7
11.8
11.1

Micronesia (32)
Guam.................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............

5.8
5.9
5.4
6.0

6.0
6.3
5.5
5.9

6.7
7.6
5.9
5.9

7.6
9.3
6.3
6.3

8.3
10.8
6.6
6.7

8.7
11.9
6.5
7.0

9.2
13.0
6.6
7.3

9.9
13.7
7.4
8.1

10.3
13.9
8.2
8.8

10.4
13.8
8.4
9.1

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia...............................
Samoa................................................
Tonga.................................................

Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

313

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country:
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
18.7

16.1

11.8

10.1

9.6

9.2

9.0

8.7

8.4

8.2

10.3
22.6
26.9
22.0

9.4
18.9
22.9
18.4

9.5
12.6
21.9
11.4

9.7
10.2
17.0
9.3

9.6
9.5
15.8
8.7

10.0
9.0
15.0
8.2

10.2
8.7
13.7
7.9

10.3
8.3
12.3
7.7

10.0
8.0
11.0
7.5

10.2
7.8
10.0
7.4

22.9

18.1

14.7

11.6

10.5

9.9

9.3

8.7

8.3

7.9

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

26.8

23.0

19.6

17.2

16.4

16.3

15.8

14.8

13.3

11.9

Africa

26.2

22.2

18.7

15.9

14.9

14.6

14.1

13.2

11.9

10.8

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (2) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (3) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

26.7
25.1
24.0
28.3
28.0
29.9
23.6
27.5
28.0
15.4
25.9
32.8
19.6
24.7
31.9
24.5
22.4
21.7
17.4

22.0
22.0
20.8
23.8
23.6
23.5
18.8
24.0
25.7
8.5
13.5
27.5
11.2
21.9
27.5
19.5
20.1
18.8
15.0

18.8
20.2
16.9
19.4
19.7
20.6
14.4
20.6
23.4
6.6
8.7
23.5
7.1
20.3
23.6
15.3
17.5
16.0
12.6

16.9
17.6
14.3
15.5
20.5
20.8
10.7
16.5
20.6
5.8
5.3
21.3
6.2
16.3
20.0
16.2
15.1
14.4
9.6

16.2
17.5
12.1
14.5
17.3
19.0
9.9
16.4
18.8
6.2
4.4
21.1
6.0
18.7
18.5
16.6
14.7
15.4
8.6

16.6
19.5
11.0
13.4
14.1
17.3
9.9
14.3
17.9
5.9
3.5
19.9
5.7
41.5
20.6
18.3
15.1
18.0
9.8

15.3
17.9
10.6
12.2
11.1
15.2
11.8
11.3
17.9
6.5
3.2
17.6
5.6
19.9
17.9
18.2
14.8
19.6
14.5

14.0
16.1
10.1
11.3
9.5
13.0
12.8
8.6
16.6
6.4
3.0
16.7
5.6
14.4
16.2
15.8
13.5
19.6
17.5

11.9
14.8
9.4
10.5
8.3
10.5
11.3
6.8
13.7
6.8
2.9
15.4
5.7
12.3
15.5
13.2
11.5
16.7
15.1

10.5
13.6
8.2
9.9
7.2
9.1
9.9
6.4
11.9
7.2
2.4
13.8
6.0
11.5
14.4
11.7
9.6
14.9
11.7

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

27.5
35.9
24.9
31.0
27.5
20.9
25.5
30.4
27.7
21.0

23.8
31.1
21.6
26.9
23.9
16.2
22.4
26.9
24.8
16.8

20.5
26.4
18.3
21.0
21.2
13.7
19.9
23.7
19.1
13.2

18.6
24.2
15.0
16.8
18.1
12.0
19.0
21.4
13.7
11.5

18.1
23.5
14.1
16.8
16.8
11.4
18.7
20.4
11.3
10.7

17.9
23.1
14.0
17.5
16.7
12.1
18.5
18.7
10.5
9.8

18.5
21.1
14.6
19.2
17.3
12.6
19.7
17.2
10.2
9.2

17.3
17.6
15.3
19.5
17.8
12.5
18.2
16.3
10.4
8.8

16.3
15.3
15.0
17.6
17.1
11.7
17.2
15.1
9.4
8.2

14.7
13.6
13.4
15.3
15.5
10.7
15.7
14.1
8.6
7.4

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (4) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

23.5
23.9
22.5
22.5
25.7
24.0
22.6
28.1

19.4
19.4
18.7
18.3
19.6
21.8
17.9
24.6

15.6
15.4
14.7
14.8
15.7
18.7
12.3
20.0

11.5
9.9
11.2
10.9
10.7
15.5
7.9
14.6

9.6
7.2
9.6
5.3
8.7
14.4
6.9
11.2

8.2
6.0
7.8
4.5
7.2
13.2
6.2
9.1

7.2
5.4
6.4
4.0
6.4
12.0
5.8
7.6

6.4
5.0
5.6
4.0
6.0
10.3
5.7
6.5

6.1
4.9
5.2
4.0
5.8
9.4
5.9
5.8

5.9
4.9
5.1
4.1
5.8
8.6
6.0
5.4

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

20.5
18.8
22.7
22.9
20.3
22.6

16.8
15.6
18.3
17.4
16.7
19.6

13.3
12.0
16.9
13.8
13.1
16.4

10.0
8.4
13.0
10.4
9.9
12.0

8.7
7.0
11.6
9.5
8.6
10.3

8.5
7.2
10.0
8.9
8.5
9.4

10.6
11.0
13.5
9.3
10.4
11.9

14.0
14.9
17.9
10.6
13.9
15.7

14.9
12.6
16.7
8.6
15.2
14.9

14.0
13.8
15.0
8.2
14.3
14.1

Western Africa (5)


Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Cte d'Ivoire........................................

28.4
34.8
31.3
22.6
24.6

25.2
29.7
26.4
18.7
23.3

21.7
24.1
22.0
13.4
19.1

18.8
19.8
18.0
10.3
14.0

18.1
18.4
17.1
9.2
13.4

17.5
16.3
16.5
7.9
13.6

17.0
14.6
15.6
6.7
14.3

15.3
13.4
14.2
5.8
14.4

13.7
12.4
12.6
5.2
13.0

12.3
11.1
11.2
5.5
11.2

314

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
8.2

8.2

8.7

9.5

10.2

10.8

11.3

11.5

11.5

11.5 World

10.4
7.7
9.2
7.4

10.6
7.8
8.6
7.6

11.3
8.3
7.8
8.4

12.1
9.1
7.4
9.5

12.4
9.9
7.4
10.6

12.2
10.6
7.7
11.5

11.8
11.2
8.1
12.2

11.2
11.5
8.5
12.6

10.7
11.6
9.0
12.7

10.6
11.6
9.2
12.7

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)

7.7

7.6

7.7

8.2

8.9

9.7

10.4

10.8

11.2

11.3

10.8

10.0

8.6

7.7

7.3

7.3

7.5

7.8

8.3

8.6

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

10.0

9.3

8.3

7.7

7.5

7.6

7.8

8.2

8.6

8.8

Africa

9.5
12.6
7.3
9.2
6.4
8.4
9.1
5.7
10.8
7.8
2.4
12.4
6.3
10.5
13.3
10.7
8.3
13.7
10.4

8.7
11.7
6.7
8.6
5.9
7.8
8.4
5.2
9.7
8.5
2.5
11.5
6.6
9.4
12.1
9.9
7.4
12.2
10.0

7.6
10.3
6.1
8.0
5.5
7.1
7.4
4.9
8.0
10.0
3.0
10.1
7.7
8.1
10.0
8.4
6.3
9.8
9.8

7.0
9.7
5.8
8.1
5.8
7.1
7.0
4.9
6.9
11.7
3.6
9.1
9.1
7.4
8.2
7.3
5.7
8.1
9.6

6.8
9.7
5.8
8.4
6.5
7.8
6.9
5.1
6.2
13.1
4.5
8.5
10.2
7.1
6.9
6.8
5.4
6.8
9.6

6.9
10.5
6.0
9.1
7.3
9.0
7.2
5.5
5.8
13.9
5.4
8.2
10.7
7.2
6.1
6.6
5.4
6.0
10.5

7.2
11.2
6.3
9.9
8.1
10.6
7.6
6.0
5.6
14.3
6.2
8.3
11.1
7.4
5.7
6.8
5.5
5.4
11.4

7.5
11.7
7.0
10.5
9.1
12.2
7.9
6.8
5.5
14.3
7.1
8.6
11.7
7.8
5.7
7.2
5.7
5.1
11.6

7.9
12.4
7.7
11.2
10.2
13.2
8.6
7.5
5.6
13.8
8.7
9.1
12.1
8.6
6.0
7.9
6.2
5.0
11.7

8.1
12.8
8.0
11.6
10.6
13.6
8.9
7.9
5.8
13.3
9.4
9.3
12.2
9.0
6.2
8.2
6.5
5.0
11.8

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (2) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (3) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

13.5
12.2
12.2
13.7
14.1
9.8
14.4
13.1
8.0
6.9

12.4
11.1
11.5
12.4
12.7
9.2
13.3
12.4
7.7
6.4

10.4
9.3
10.1
10.3
10.3
8.2
11.1
11.2
7.5
6.0

9.0
8.2
9.2
9.1
8.6
7.5
9.4
10.3
7.5
6.2

8.4
7.8
8.8
8.7
7.7
7.3
8.6
9.2
7.7
6.9

8.3
8.0
8.9
9.1
7.5
7.3
8.4
8.7
8.2
8.1

8.7
8.7
9.1
9.6
7.7
7.5
8.8
8.9
8.9
9.3

9.3
9.7
9.5
10.2
8.2
8.0
9.4
9.4
9.4
10.3

10.1
10.7
10.0
10.9
9.0
8.7
10.2
10.0
9.7
11.2

10.5
11.2
10.3
11.3
9.4
9.0
10.6
10.4
10.0
11.6

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

5.9
4.9
5.2
4.3
5.9
7.9
6.1
5.3

5.9
5.1
5.3
4.5
6.1
7.4
6.3
5.5

6.4
6.2
6.0
5.3
7.1
6.7
7.4
6.6

7.2
8.0
6.8
6.6
8.5
6.4
9.2
8.5

8.2
10.0
7.8
8.3
10.0
6.6
11.0
10.3

9.4
12.2
9.2
10.3
11.6
7.1
12.9
11.8

10.5
13.6
10.7
11.8
13.2
7.7
14.1
12.6

11.1
13.8
11.5
12.5
13.9
8.6
13.7
12.6

11.7
13.9
12.2
13.6
14.1
9.4
13.3
12.9

12.0
14.0
12.6
14.0
14.1
9.9
13.4
13.3

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (4) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

13.6
14.1
14.6
8.7
13.7
14.9

13.7
13.9
14.5
8.4
13.9
14.5

13.4
13.5
13.8
8.4
13.7
12.7

13.0
12.8
13.2
8.7
13.4
11.0

12.5
12.1
12.8
9.2
12.8
10.0

12.3
12.2
12.9
10.2
12.5
10.2

12.6
12.5
13.0
11.4
12.7
11.2

13.0
12.4
12.6
12.5
13.1
11.9

13.2
12.5
12.0
13.2
13.3
12.3

13.2
12.6
11.8
13.5
13.4
12.5

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

11.1
10.0
10.1
5.5
10.0

10.1
9.0
9.0
5.5
9.2

8.5
7.6
7.3
5.9
8.0

7.5
6.8
6.4
7.4
7.5

7.0
6.5
5.9
9.1
7.5

6.9
6.6
5.8
11.1
8.0

7.0
7.0
5.9
13.4
8.7

7.3
7.6
6.3
14.9
9.3

7.8
8.3
6.9
15.0
9.9

8.1
8.7
7.2
14.8
10.2

Western Africa (5)


Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Cte d'Ivoire......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Less dev. regions, excl. China

315

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
31.3
21.5
34.3
33.5
28.8
34.7
23.4
24.8
27.7
26.8
35.1
29.7

29.7
18.1
32.4
27.4
25.4
33.7
20.7
25.5
24.3
24.9
32.1
23.6

23.9
15.8
29.1
27.3
22.1
28.3
16.3
25.6
21.1
22.4
26.9
18.9

16.4
13.1
24.2
23.5
20.8
23.7
12.4
24.8
19.2
16.0
20.2
15.7

13.7
12.0
22.0
22.1
21.1
21.5
11.6
24.6
19.0
13.6
22.8
14.3

13.1
10.5
19.8
21.2
21.2
20.1
11.0
22.7
18.8
12.5
25.7
13.1

12.2
10.4
18.1
19.9
19.8
18.6
10.6
19.3
18.7
11.6
24.9
12.3

10.9
9.6
15.7
18.5
15.4
17.2
10.3
16.2
16.7
10.6
20.8
11.7

9.8
8.3
13.9
17.5
12.0
15.5
10.1
13.8
15.1
9.5
16.9
11.3

8.7
7.5
12.4
15.9
10.2
13.6
9.2
12.2
13.7
8.4
14.9
10.3

22.1

18.6

11.6

9.3

8.7

8.2

7.8

7.5

7.4

7.3

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ...............
China, Macao SAR (9) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

20.2
22.2
7.6
10.4
11.8
9.4
21.4
16.4

18.7
21.0
5.4
8.3
9.1
7.4
18.4
13.0

7.7
8.0
4.5
6.3
6.1
6.6
13.9
7.8

6.9
7.0
4.8
6.8
5.1
6.3
12.4
6.4

6.9
7.1
5.3
5.6
5.4
6.4
10.8
5.7

6.9
6.9
5.4
4.8
5.9
7.0
9.6
5.5

7.0
7.0
5.3
4.6
9.8
7.5
8.3
5.5

7.2
7.1
5.9
4.5
9.0
7.9
7.0
5.3

7.3
7.2
6.2
4.5
9.6
8.8
6.5
5.1

7.6
7.5
6.3
4.3
10.1
9.6
6.4
5.9

South-Central Asia (10)

24.9

19.4

15.8

12.1

10.9

10.0

9.1

8.4

8.0

7.6

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

14.6
14.3
16.4
12.2
16.2
14.7

12.1
11.3
13.2
13.1
13.9
12.2

9.4
9.2
10.3
9.4
10.3
9.1

8.1
8.3
8.7
8.0
8.7
7.8

7.5
8.0
7.7
7.0
8.2
7.2

8.4
9.5
7.9
9.4
8.6
7.3

8.4
11.7
7.8
8.2
7.8
6.6

7.9
10.9
7.5
7.1
7.7
6.4

7.8
10.6
7.7
6.4
7.7
6.6

7.4
9.6
7.0
6.1
7.8
6.5

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

25.2
36.9
20.9
27.1
25.5
28.7
27.7
25.3
23.8
19.8

19.7
32.7
18.4
25.7
19.8
20.3
27.2
23.6
18.3
12.1

16.1
27.9
26.9
22.0
15.0
14.4
19.3
20.0
13.9
7.8

12.3
24.1
13.3
17.1
11.8
16.9
12.7
15.8
11.6
6.1

11.1
22.7
11.3
15.0
10.9
10.8
10.5
13.8
10.8
6.5

10.1
21.4
9.5
12.5
10.2
6.3
8.0
12.0
9.7
6.7

9.2
20.1
8.0
9.9
9.4
5.4
5.5
9.7
8.8
7.9

8.4
18.3
6.9
7.9
8.7
5.3
4.1
7.8
8.0
6.3

8.0
16.8
6.3
7.2
8.3
5.4
3.7
6.2
7.7
6.5

7.6
15.1
6.0
6.8
7.9
5.4
3.6
5.8
7.3
6.7

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (11) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

22.1
13.5
23.8
24.7
20.9
14.0
28.6
13.3
9.0
15.6
34.3
24.2

17.0
8.7
20.4
18.6
19.3
9.7
20.5
10.6
5.6
12.0
28.0
21.0

13.1
6.3
22.5
13.4
18.1
7.1
15.0
8.5
5.3
8.9
22.2
18.1

9.5
4.4
17.7
10.0
16.2
5.8
12.2
7.3
5.1
6.0
22.0
11.0

8.3
3.9
13.2
8.8
14.4
5.3
11.8
6.8
4.9
4.9
19.3
9.0

7.5
3.5
11.6
8.1
11.9
5.0
10.3
6.4
4.3
5.4
15.9
6.9

7.0
3.1
10.2
7.6
9.4
4.7
9.3
6.1
4.4
6.1
12.9
5.8

6.8
3.0
9.1
7.4
7.9
4.6
8.9
6.0
4.6
6.6
10.0
5.3

6.7
3.1
8.3
7.2
6.6
4.7
8.9
5.9
4.6
7.2
8.7
5.2

6.5
3.4
7.8
6.8
6.1
4.7
8.3
5.7
5.1
7.6
7.7
5.2

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (12) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (13) .........................................
Georgia (14) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................

19.5
11.1
12.0
21.6
8.3
14.4
25.8

15.6
6.2
7.0
12.6
7.1
6.8
15.4

12.6
5.2
6.5
6.5
8.3
7.5
11.1

9.7
5.6
6.8
4.1
7.4
8.9
12.6

7.8
6.8
6.5
3.6
7.1
8.7
8.0

6.9
8.5
8.3
3.3
6.9
9.7
5.6

6.2
8.6
7.0
3.2
6.9
10.0
5.4

5.6
8.3
7.1
3.0
6.8
10.2
5.6

5.4
8.6
7.2
2.8
6.8
11.0
6.3

5.1
9.1
7.6
2.8
6.8
11.6
5.0

Asia (6)

316

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
8.0
7.1
11.1
14.6
9.0
12.1
8.6
10.9
12.4
7.7
13.5
9.3

7.4
6.8
10.1
13.5
8.1
10.7
8.1
9.7
11.3
7.1
12.4
8.7

6.5
6.5
8.5
11.3
7.0
8.6
7.4
7.6
9.4
6.2
10.6
7.8

6.1
6.5
7.5
9.7
6.6
7.3
7.1
6.2
8.1
5.9
9.4
7.6

6.2
6.9
7.1
8.8
6.5
6.5
7.2
5.3
7.4
6.1
8.9
7.9

6.7
7.4
7.2
8.4
6.6
6.3
7.5
4.9
7.1
6.5
9.0
8.6

7.4
8.1
7.5
8.2
6.9
6.4
7.9
5.0
7.1
7.2
9.5
9.4

8.2
8.8
8.1
8.3
7.4
6.9
8.5
5.3
7.3
8.0
10.3
10.2

9.1
9.7
8.8
8.5
8.1
7.5
9.3
5.9
7.7
8.9
11.1
11.0

9.6
10.1
9.2
8.7
8.4
7.9
9.6
6.2
8.0
9.3
11.5
11.4

7.4

7.6

8.5

9.8

11.1

12.2

13.0

13.5

13.6

13.5

8.1
7.9
6.9
4.6
10.4
10.6
6.2
6.8

8.8
8.5
7.4
5.0
10.6
11.7
6.3
7.8

10.7
10.5
8.8
6.7
10.9
13.5
6.9
9.9

12.9
12.8
10.8
9.5
11.8
14.3
8.0
12.5

14.8
14.9
12.3
11.9
12.7
14.3
9.1
14.9

15.9
16.1
12.3
13.3
12.7
14.8
9.9
15.6

16.2
16.4
11.9
14.0
13.0
14.5
10.4
15.1

15.9
16.4
11.4
13.5
13.2
12.9
10.2
14.1

14.7
15.1
10.6
11.7
12.8
11.8
10.1
12.9

14.1
14.5
10.1
11.0
12.7
11.5
10.3
12.2

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .............
China, Macao SAR (9) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

7.4

7.4

7.8

8.6

9.7

11.0

12.3

13.2

13.8

14.1

South-Central Asia (10)

7.2
9.2
6.6
5.8
7.5
6.4

7.1
9.1
6.4
5.5
7.4
6.4

7.6
9.4
6.9
5.6
7.9
7.1

8.6
10.0
7.8
6.2
9.1
8.6

9.6
10.2
8.6
7.0
10.4
10.2

10.7
10.4
9.3
8.1
11.8
11.9

11.8
10.6
10.1
9.5
13.2
13.6

12.3
10.4
10.3
10.7
13.9
14.7

12.6
10.7
10.4
11.6
14.3
14.9

12.7
10.9
10.5
12.0
14.4
14.9

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

7.4
13.7
5.8
6.6
7.7
5.4
3.7
5.5
7.0
7.1

7.4
12.3
5.8
6.5
7.7
5.6
3.8
5.4
6.8
7.5

7.8
10.0
6.4
6.9
8.1
6.9
4.6
5.5
6.8
8.8

8.6
8.5
7.8
8.1
8.9
9.0
6.3
6.3
7.5
10.2

9.7
7.8
9.8
9.9
9.9
11.7
8.9
7.5
8.6
11.4

11.0
7.7
11.8
12.2
11.1
15.0
11.8
9.1
10.2
12.3

12.3
8.2
13.7
14.2
12.3
17.4
15.4
10.9
11.9
12.7

13.3
9.0
14.9
15.0
13.3
16.9
17.4
12.5
13.1
12.8

13.9
9.9
15.4
15.2
13.9
15.5
16.3
13.3
14.0
13.2

14.1
10.4
15.3
15.2
14.2
15.3
15.6
13.5
14.4
13.3

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

6.5
3.8
7.5
6.7
5.8
4.9
8.1
5.7
6.0
8.1
6.8
5.4

6.7
4.2
7.3
6.8
5.7
5.3
8.2
5.7
7.0
8.7
5.9
5.7

7.6
5.4
7.5
7.7
6.0
6.3
9.1
6.0
9.4
10.3
4.7
6.9

8.9
6.9
8.3
9.2
7.0
7.4
10.5
6.5
12.2
12.3
4.2
9.0

10.3
8.4
9.4
10.9
8.6
8.3
12.0
7.2
14.1
13.9
4.3
11.2

11.5
9.6
11.2
12.3
10.7
9.1
13.3
8.0
14.5
14.6
4.8
13.2

12.4
10.6
13.2
13.2
13.1
10.0
14.1
9.0
14.0
14.8
5.8
14.9

12.9
11.1
14.1
13.7
14.7
10.8
14.4
10.0
13.6
14.7
6.9
15.3

13.1
11.3
14.4
13.9
15.0
11.4
14.1
10.9
12.8
14.2
8.0
14.6

13.1
11.3
14.5
13.9
14.9
11.5
14.0
11.2
12.2
13.7
8.6
14.3

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (11) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

5.0
9.4
7.5
3.1
7.2
12.1
4.7

5.1
9.7
7.6
3.8
7.6
12.5
4.4

5.5
10.4
8.8
5.9
8.7
13.7
4.0

6.4
11.8
10.4
9.0
10.1
15.5
4.2

7.4
12.7
11.2
12.2
11.4
16.2
4.6

8.4
13.4
11.8
14.4
12.8
16.5
5.1

9.2
14.8
12.3
13.8
14.0
16.7
5.7

9.7
14.7
11.7
11.9
14.0
15.5
6.4

10.1
13.7
11.2
12.3
13.1
14.1
7.1

10.3
13.5
11.5
13.0
12.6
13.9
7.5

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (12) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (13) .......................................
Georgia (14) ......................................
Iraq ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (6)

317

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
6.2
19.3
12.3
15.4
20.0
26.2
13.8
24.3
20.5
18.8
20.8
29.0

6.1
14.5
7.6
10.7
16.8
21.3
8.8
19.6
15.3
17.6
13.2
25.6

6.7
9.4
5.2
8.1
11.2
14.5
5.2
13.4
10.1
15.0
6.4
23.2

6.6
6.5
3.4
7.6
6.8
8.4
3.1
7.5
6.7
10.8
3.7
15.8

6.3
5.7
2.8
7.3
5.5
5.7
2.5
5.8
5.3
8.8
3.1
12.6

6.2
4.9
2.7
7.1
4.8
4.0
2.2
4.9
4.3
7.7
2.5
11.4

5.9
4.5
3.0
7.1
4.1
3.4
2.1
4.5
3.8
6.5
2.1
10.2

5.7
4.2
3.1
6.9
3.8
3.1
1.9
4.1
3.6
5.7
1.7
8.3

5.7
4.1
3.1
6.9
3.6
3.7
1.6
3.8
3.5
5.5
1.4
7.0

5.4
4.0
3.0
7.0
3.5
3.9
1.5
3.7
3.6
5.5
1.4
6.0

10.8

9.8

10.1

10.7

10.6

11.2

11.5

11.6

11.2

11.3

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

10.3
11.4
10.2
10.4
11.3
10.9
14.4
12.0
9.5
10.1
10.5

8.6
6.0
8.2
10.4
10.2
7.6
11.0
8.6
8.8
7.8
8.3

9.3
7.9
9.7
12.3
11.9
8.4
10.2
9.4
9.1
9.4
9.7

11.2
10.0
11.3
12.9
13.8
9.6
11.6
10.3
11.3
10.1
11.7

11.2
10.1
12.0
12.5
13.9
10.1
10.1
10.8
11.1
10.2
11.9

12.7
11.8
12.8
11.7
14.2
10.3
11.1
11.4
13.2
10.0
13.8

13.6
13.7
14.4
10.9
13.7
10.0
11.7
12.2
14.6
9.6
15.3

14.4
14.4
14.4
10.6
13.2
9.6
12.5
12.0
16.0
9.6
15.9

13.6
14.4
15.1
10.1
13.3
9.9
13.5
11.9
14.2
9.8
16.7

13.6
14.2
15.2
10.3
13.2
10.5
13.1
12.1
14.0
9.8
16.2

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (19) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (20) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

11.2
12.5
9.1
13.1
9.7
7.5
12.8
11.6
10.6
8.2
9.8
11.8

11.1
12.4
9.8
10.5
9.3
6.9
11.8
10.2
8.0
9.5
10.0
11.8

11.3
11.9
10.1
11.0
9.5
7.0
10.9
11.5
9.0
10.0
10.4
11.9

11.3
11.4
11.1
12.3
9.3
6.9
9.4
12.8
10.5
10.2
11.0
11.8

11.3
11.2
11.5
12.1
9.8
6.9
9.2
12.4
10.3
10.7
11.1
11.6

11.1
10.6
11.8
13.7
9.8
6.7
8.8
14.3
11.7
10.5
10.9
11.2

10.9
10.2
11.5
13.9
9.7
6.9
8.6
13.5
11.9
10.1
10.7
10.9

10.2
9.6
10.8
13.6
9.5
6.3
7.5
13.8
11.9
9.6
10.5
10.2

9.7
9.1
10.3
12.4
9.4
6.4
6.6
14.0
13.4
8.8
10.1
9.5

9.6
9.3
10.1
12.7
9.8
6.4
6.4
13.8
13.5
8.4
9.6
9.4

Southern Europe (21)


Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (22) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (23) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ........................

10.6
14.3
13.8
14.0
7.2
9.9
9.6
5.0
11.9
14.1
10.6
10.4
17.2

9.5
9.7
8.9
10.3
7.8
9.9
9.2
3.6
11.1
10.1
9.5
8.8
9.6

9.3
8.1
6.9
10.5
8.6
9.9
8.9
3.1
10.6
9.3
10.2
8.6
8.2

9.1
6.1
6.8
11.6
9.0
9.9
8.2
3.2
9.7
10.0
11.0
7.9
7.1

9.1
5.6
7.0
11.4
9.3
9.6
7.9
3.1
9.8
10.3
10.2
8.3
7.8

9.4
6.3
10.4
10.7
9.2
9.8
7.7
6.3
10.3
10.0
9.9
8.7
8.0

9.6
6.3
7.8
10.6
9.4
10.0
7.7
6.9
10.4
10.7
9.7
9.1
8.3

9.5
5.8
8.5
11.5
9.4
9.7
7.8
8.5
10.3
11.1
9.4
8.9
8.6

9.6
6.0
9.5
11.7
10.0
9.8
8.2
10.3
10.1
11.6
9.3
8.9
9.1

9.9
6.4
10.3
12.2
10.5
10.2
8.4
10.4
10.1
12.0
9.8
8.7
9.5

Western Europe (25)


Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................

11.4
12.4
12.1
12.7
11.1
11.7
7.5
10.1

11.3
12.6
12.5
11.2
11.8
12.0
7.8
9.7

11.4
12.8
12.1
10.7
12.3
12.2
8.3
9.1

11.0
12.2
11.6
10.1
12.1
11.2
8.2
9.4

10.5
11.4
10.6
9.6
11.6
10.6
8.5
9.2

10.2
10.7
10.6
9.2
11.1
9.9
8.7
9.2

9.9
10.1
10.3
9.2
10.6
9.3
8.8
8.9

9.6
9.5
10.3
8.9
10.2
8.6
8.7
8.4

9.4
9.1
9.7
8.6
10.3
8.1
8.2
8.2

9.8
9.4
10.3
8.9
10.9
8.0
8.6
8.3

Europe

318

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
5.4
4.1
3.1
7.1
3.4
4.2
1.6
3.7
3.6
5.8
1.8
5.2

5.5
4.3
3.3
7.3
3.4
4.7
1.8
3.8
3.8
6.1
2.4
4.6

6.0
4.7
4.2
8.2
3.5
6.5
2.9
4.7
4.5
7.3
4.5
4.0

6.6
5.6
5.9
10.0
3.8
9.1
5.0
5.9
5.4
8.9
7.8
4.0

6.8
7.2
8.0
11.9
4.4
11.8
8.0
7.6
6.6
10.5
11.7
4.4

7.2
8.9
9.7
13.7
5.2
13.8
11.1
9.8
8.1
12.1
15.3
5.2

7.6
10.5
10.1
15.0
6.1
14.3
12.9
11.7
9.9
13.2
16.2
6.1

7.8
11.9
9.9
15.5
7.1
14.9
12.7
12.4
11.8
13.6
14.6
7.0

8.3
13.0
10.3
15.0
7.9
16.5
12.5
12.9
12.9
13.9
13.9
7.9

8.7
13.3
10.5
14.6
8.4
16.7
12.8
13.4
13.1
13.9
14.1
8.4

11.4

11.6

12.2

13.1

13.6

13.6

13.1

12.1

11.4

11.3

13.5
14.0
15.2
10.6
13.2
10.9
13.1
12.3
14.0
10.0
15.8

13.5
13.9
15.3
10.9
13.2
11.2
13.2
12.4
13.9
10.4
15.5

14.1
14.3
15.8
12.1
13.6
12.4
14.1
13.1
14.5
11.8
15.5

15.0
15.5
16.4
12.9
13.8
14.0
15.1
14.2
15.3
13.4
16.0

15.2
15.8
16.9
12.9
13.8
14.2
15.7
15.4
15.3
14.2
15.9

15.3
15.7
17.4
13.6
14.2
14.8
16.6
16.5
15.2
15.1
15.9

15.0
15.3
16.4
13.4
13.7
15.4
17.5
16.0
14.8
15.3
15.4

13.5
13.8
14.2
11.9
12.6
14.0
16.4
14.2
13.3
13.7
13.8

12.5
12.7
13.0
10.9
11.8
12.3
14.5
13.0
12.5
12.3
12.7

12.3
12.5
12.8
10.9
11.6
12.1
14.1
12.8
12.4
12.0
12.6

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

9.6
9.8
10.2
12.9
10.1
6.5
6.6
13.9
13.8
8.2
9.4
9.5

9.7
10.4
10.5
12.9
10.5
6.7
6.9
13.9
13.8
8.3
9.5
9.6

10.2
12.0
11.4
13.1
11.7
7.5
7.9
13.9
13.8
9.2
10.3
10.0

10.8
13.5
11.8
13.5
12.5
8.7
8.8
14.5
14.5
10.0
10.7
10.5

11.1
14.2
11.9
13.6
12.0
9.4
9.5
14.8
14.9
10.3
10.6
10.9

11.0
13.5
11.6
13.8
11.3
9.7
10.1
15.0
14.7
10.2
10.6
10.9

10.8
12.3
11.0
13.6
11.1
9.9
10.0
14.9
14.7
9.7
10.4
10.7

10.8
11.6
11.0
12.4
10.8
9.9
9.4
13.3
13.6
9.6
10.3
10.9

10.5
10.8
10.9
11.5
10.4
9.7
9.4
12.0
12.2
9.6
9.9
10.6

10.4
10.4
10.7
11.6
10.3
9.6
9.6
12.0
12.0
9.5
9.8
10.5

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Finland (19) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (20) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

10.3
6.9
11.2
12.6
10.9
10.8
9.1
10.6
10.8
12.1
10.5
9.0
10.0

10.6
7.4
12.0
12.8
11.2
11.2
9.9
10.8
11.4
12.2
11.1
9.2
10.6

11.4
8.9
13.5
13.4
11.6
12.0
11.7
11.6
12.6
12.6
12.2
9.9
11.8

12.5
10.9
15.7
14.3
12.5
12.9
13.0
12.6
14.1
13.5
13.5
11.2
13.4

13.8
12.8
17.4
14.6
13.5
14.1
13.2
13.1
15.9
14.2
14.1
12.9
14.7

14.7
14.8
18.6
14.6
14.0
14.6
13.5
13.9
17.1
15.0
14.1
14.3
16.0

14.0
17.5
19.3
14.4
13.3
13.2
14.3
14.5
16.7
15.4
13.6
13.9
16.7

12.6
18.7
18.3
13.4
12.0
11.8
13.8
14.2
15.4
14.8
12.3
12.2
16.1

11.9
17.2
16.0
12.4
11.4
11.2
12.3
13.7
14.6
14.1
11.4
11.5
14.8

11.7
16.2
15.1
12.1
11.5
11.0
11.5
13.5
14.2
13.8
11.3
11.6
14.2

Southern Europe (21)


Albania..............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Greece ...............................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
Serbia (22) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (23) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ......................

10.2
9.7
10.6
9.2
11.5
7.9
9.1
8.6

10.6
10.0
10.7
9.3
12.0
7.8
9.6
8.9

11.3
11.0
11.1
9.8
12.9
8.1
11.0
10.2

12.3
12.4
11.8
10.7
14.0
9.1
12.3
11.7

12.9
13.6
12.0
10.8
15.0
10.2
12.7
13.1

12.3
13.5
11.5
10.5
14.0
10.7
12.0
13.4

11.4
12.8
10.7
10.1
12.7
10.9
11.0
12.7

10.9
12.4
10.2
9.8
11.9
11.0
10.7
12.1

10.4
11.7
10.0
9.7
11.0
10.9
10.6
11.2

10.3
11.4
10.0
9.7
10.7
10.7
10.4
10.8

Western Europe (25)


Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

319

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Latin America and Caribbean

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
15.6

12.3

9.8

7.8

7.1

6.5

6.2

6.0

5.9

5.9

Caribbean (26)
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
US Virgin Islands ................................

15.2
8.9
10.5
13.4
10.9
20.7
10.5
14.6
26.5
10.8
14.3
12.4
8.7
14.8
16.7
11.4
14.1

11.8
6.1
7.8
9.8
8.6
14.8
9.5
10.6
21.1
8.6
9.8
8.0
6.8
11.8
13.3
8.2
9.5

9.2
5.8
6.4
8.7
6.4
9.8
8.7
7.8
17.1
7.3
7.6
6.3
6.3
8.0
10.0
7.5
6.2

8.5
6.5
6.0
8.7
6.2
7.6
9.4
7.0
15.3
6.8
7.4
5.9
6.4
5.9
7.8
7.5
5.3

8.2
7.0
5.8
8.3
6.7
6.7
8.9
6.7
13.7
7.2
7.2
6.0
6.8
5.9
7.4
7.2
5.1

8.0
7.0
6.1
8.0
7.2
6.1
7.7
6.5
11.9
7.6
7.1
6.5
7.7
6.9
7.4
7.0
5.3

7.7
6.8
5.8
8.4
7.1
6.0
7.1
6.5
10.6
7.6
7.1
7.0
8.0
7.3
7.6
7.2
5.5

7.6
7.0
5.7
8.8
7.2
5.9
6.6
6.6
10.1
7.6
7.2
7.6
7.5
7.2
7.8
7.9
6.1

7.4
7.2
5.4
8.8
7.0
5.9
6.3
6.7
9.2
7.4
7.5
7.3
7.7
6.4
7.5
8.0
6.9

7.4
7.7
5.5
8.7
7.6
5.9
5.9
7.2
8.7
7.2
8.0
7.6
7.8
6.1
7.2
8.2
8.0

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

17.8
12.9
13.4
20.7
22.0
24.9
16.8
23.3
13.2

12.7
9.9
10.3
15.5
18.0
18.6
11.6
17.2
9.8

9.9
7.7
6.8
12.3
13.6
13.8
9.2
12.7
7.5

7.2
5.9
4.8
11.5
11.0
9.2
6.4
10.3
5.7

6.3
5.2
4.4
8.7
9.5
7.3
5.7
8.5
5.4

5.6
4.7
4.1
6.8
8.2
6.4
5.2
6.6
5.2

5.1
4.4
3.9
6.6
7.0
5.5
4.8
5.6
5.1

4.9
4.2
4.0
6.4
6.0
5.2
4.7
5.0
5.0

4.9
3.9
4.1
6.5
5.6
5.0
4.7
4.7
5.0

4.9
3.8
4.3
6.6
5.3
4.7
4.8
4.6
5.0

South America (29)


Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

15.0
9.1
24.3
15.5
13.5
16.6
19.4
15.8
18.1
8.9
21.7
14.9
10.5
12.6

12.3
8.8
21.7
12.6
12.2
11.5
14.7
12.4
13.6
8.0
17.8
10.6
9.5
9.5

9.9
8.9
19.1
9.9
8.8
8.9
11.5
8.2
11.0
7.1
12.9
8.3
10.0
6.7

8.0
8.5
13.4
8.2
6.4
6.6
8.1
6.2
9.6
6.8
9.1
7.3
9.8
5.3

7.3
8.4
11.4
7.4
5.9
6.3
6.7
5.2
9.8
6.6
7.8
7.2
9.8
4.9

6.8
8.1
9.9
6.8
5.5
6.2
5.8
4.5
9.8
6.2
6.9
7.1
9.7
4.8

6.4
7.8
8.9
6.5
5.3
5.8
5.2
4.0
8.9
5.9
6.1
7.4
9.5
4.9

6.2
7.8
8.1
6.4
5.0
5.6
4.9
3.7
7.6
5.6
5.6
7.6
9.5
5.0

6.2
7.7
7.5
6.4
5.3
5.5
5.0
3.6
5.9
5.5
5.4
7.3
9.3
5.1

6.2
7.7
7.1
6.4
5.7
5.5
5.1
3.7
5.8
5.4
5.5
7.2
9.2
5.2

Northern America (30)


Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................

9.4
8.7
9.5

9.3
7.7
9.4

9.0
7.3
9.2

8.5
6.9
8.7

8.7
7.0
8.8

8.5
7.1
8.7

8.5
7.4
8.6

8.4
7.2
8.5

8.2
7.4
8.3

8.3
7.7
8.3

12.5

10.7

9.5

8.1

8.1

7.7

7.5

7.2

6.9

6.8

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

9.4
9.4
9.3

8.7
8.7
8.9

8.5
8.5
8.4

7.6
7.4
8.2

7.7
7.5
8.4

7.3
7.3
7.7

7.3
7.2
7.5

6.9
6.9
7.2

6.7
6.7
7.0

6.8
6.8
7.1

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

26.5
14.9
15.2
29.6
17.7
22.4

19.9
10.5
10.5
22.6
15.1
17.0

14.4
8.0
7.8
16.2
12.8
12.9

10.3
6.9
6.3
11.2
10.4
9.7

10.1
6.5
6.0
10.9
11.7
8.8

9.4
6.2
5.9
10.1
10.0
7.8

8.8
6.0
5.8
9.5
8.5
6.8

8.2
6.2
6.1
8.7
7.0
5.8

7.6
6.5
6.1
7.9
6.2
5.1

7.0
6.9
6.1
7.3
5.4
4.7

Oceania

320

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
6.1

6.4

7.3

8.5

9.8

11.1

12.1

12.9

13.2

13.3

7.6
8.6
5.7
8.8
8.2
6.1
5.7
7.7
8.3
7.3
8.5
8.1
8.0
6.1
7.2
8.5
9.1

7.8
9.6
6.2
9.2
9.0
6.3
5.7
8.2
8.0
7.6
9.2
8.7
8.3
6.3
7.4
9.0
10.3

8.6
11.8
7.8
11.0
10.9
7.0
6.5
9.5
7.6
8.6
10.8
10.7
9.3
7.3
8.7
10.7
12.5

9.8
14.2
9.5
13.3
13.5
8.1
8.3
11.2
7.8
10.3
12.9
13.4
10.6
8.9
10.4
12.6
13.6

11.1
14.8
10.8
14.5
16.1
9.2
10.4
12.7
8.6
12.0
14.6
15.6
11.7
10.7
11.6
14.0
13.1

12.1
13.7
11.5
14.6
17.1
10.3
12.5
13.0
9.9
12.7
14.7
17.2
12.6
12.4
12.4
15.3
12.1

12.6
13.5
12.2
14.5
16.2
11.2
14.7
12.5
11.2
13.1
14.2
17.4
13.5
13.8
13.5
15.8
12.0

13.1
14.0
12.4
14.0
15.8
12.1
14.5
12.6
12.1
13.6
14.7
16.0
14.0
14.6
14.3
15.0
13.0

13.3
13.4
11.9
12.7
15.0
12.7
13.1
12.6
12.7
13.5
14.1
14.0
14.0
14.5
14.6
14.2
13.3

13.3
12.9
11.7
12.3
14.4
12.9
13.0
12.3
13.0
13.2
13.5
13.5
13.7
14.4
14.7
14.1
13.1

Caribbean (26)
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

5.0
3.6
4.6
6.6
5.1
4.7
5.0
4.7
5.2

5.3
3.8
5.1
6.7
4.9
4.7
5.3
4.9
5.5

6.0
4.4
6.4
7.0
4.8
5.0
6.3
5.5
6.4

7.2
5.6
8.2
7.8
4.8
5.6
7.8
6.6
7.5

8.6
6.9
10.0
8.9
5.2
6.6
9.5
8.0
8.7

9.8
8.2
11.5
10.4
5.9
7.9
11.0
9.6
9.7

10.9
9.7
13.1
12.0
6.8
9.4
12.1
11.3
10.4

11.8
11.3
14.2
13.5
7.7
10.8
12.9
12.6
11.2

12.4
12.1
14.2
14.3
8.6
11.8
13.5
13.3
11.9

12.5
12.4
14.0
14.3
9.0
12.2
13.6
13.4
12.1

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

6.4
7.7
6.7
6.7
6.2
5.7
5.2
3.9
5.9
5.5
5.6
7.3
9.2
5.4

6.7
7.8
6.4
7.1
6.7
6.1
5.5
4.2
6.2
5.6
5.8
7.6
9.1
5.7

7.6
8.1
6.2
8.3
8.0
7.1
6.3
4.9
7.4
6.1
6.5
8.6
9.4
6.6

8.9
8.8
6.5
9.8
9.8
8.4
7.4
5.6
9.1
6.7
7.6
10.0
10.1
7.7

10.3
9.6
7.0
11.6
11.3
9.7
8.7
6.0
10.7
7.5
9.0
11.3
10.9
8.8

11.5
10.6
7.8
13.1
12.4
10.7
10.0
6.4
11.6
8.5
10.4
12.1
11.5
9.9

12.6
11.5
8.8
14.4
13.1
11.7
11.3
7.0
12.5
9.6
11.7
12.8
12.0
11.0

13.3
11.9
9.8
15.0
13.8
12.5
12.2
7.9
13.7
10.6
12.7
13.4
12.4
12.0

13.7
12.2
10.7
15.2
13.7
12.9
12.8
8.5
13.9
11.3
13.3
13.6
12.5
12.6

13.6
12.2
11.0
15.0
13.4
13.0
13.1
8.8
13.4
11.6
13.5
13.6
12.4
12.8

South America (29)


Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

8.4
8.0
8.4

8.5
8.4
8.5

9.3
9.5
9.2

10.1
10.8
10.1

10.3
11.2
10.2

9.8
10.7
9.8

9.7
10.6
9.6

9.8
10.5
9.7

9.7
10.3
9.7

9.8
10.2
9.7

Northern America (30)


Canada...............................................
United States of America ..................

6.8

6.9

7.5

8.2

8.7

9.0

9.3

9.7

9.8

9.9

6.9
6.8
7.2

7.1
7.0
7.5

7.9
7.8
8.5

8.9
8.8
9.5

9.4
9.3
10.1

9.6
9.5
10.0

9.7
9.7
9.9

9.8
9.8
10.0

9.7
9.6
9.8

9.6
9.6
9.7

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

6.7
7.3
6.5
6.8
5.0
4.4

6.5
7.8
6.9
6.5
4.8
4.4

6.4
8.6
7.8
6.3
4.7
4.5

6.6
9.2
8.9
6.5
5.0
4.9

7.1
9.8
9.9
7.0
5.6
5.5

7.7
10.4
10.9
7.6
6.3
6.1

8.4
11.1
11.6
8.3
7.1
6.9

9.3
11.5
12.0
9.2
8.0
7.7

10.1
12.1
12.3
10.1
9.0
8.4

10.5
12.4
12.3
10.5
9.4
8.8

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Latin America and Caribbean

Oceania

321

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Micronesia (32)
Guam...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................

13.9
8.9
14.2

10.9
6.4
10.9

8.3
4.6
8.8

6.9
3.8
7.2

6.3
3.9
6.7

6.1
4.7
6.4

5.6
4.7
6.3

5.4
5.1
6.3

5.4
5.5
6.2

5.5
5.6
5.9

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................

14.8
16.3
17.7
9.3

11.2
11.2
13.1
8.5

8.2
8.4
9.4
6.2

6.7
6.1
7.5
6.0

6.3
5.5
7.2
5.8

5.9
5.0
6.8
6.1

5.6
4.8
6.2
6.2

5.4
4.7
5.7
6.3

5.5
5.1
5.5
6.2

5.6
5.6
5.4
6.1

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Seychelles.
2 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3 Including Zanzibar.
4 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
5 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
6 Includes other non-specified areas.
7 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
8 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
10 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
11 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.

322

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.27. Crude death rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and low variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: low variant
Crude death rate (deaths per 1,000 population)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

5.7
5.9
5.8

6.0
6.3
5.9

7.0
7.4
6.1

8.1
8.6
6.3

9.0
9.3
6.8

9.6
9.5
7.8

10.5
10.2
9.3

11.3
11.2
10.3

11.6
11.7
10.8

11.7
11.8
11.1

Micronesia (32)
Guam.................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............

5.8
5.9
5.4
6.0

6.0
6.3
5.5
5.9

6.7
7.6
5.9
5.9

7.6
9.3
6.3
6.3

8.3
10.8
6.6
6.7

8.7
11.9
6.5
7.0

9.2
13.0
6.6
7.3

9.9
13.7
7.4
8.1

10.3
13.9
8.2
8.8

10.4
13.8
8.4
9.1

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia...............................
Samoa................................................
Tonga.................................................

Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

323

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country:
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
World
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
More dev. regions (a)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Less dev. regions (b)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Least dev. countries (c)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Other less dev. countries (d)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

46.7
48.7
47.7

49.4
53.1
51.2

56.6
60.4
58.5

59.9
64.3
62.1

61.5
65.8
63.6

62.2
66.6
64.4

63.1
67.5
65.2

64.3
68.7
66.4

65.7
70.1
67.9

67.1
71.6
69.3

63.4
68.4
65.9

66.6
72.7
69.7

67.6
74.6
71.2

69.1
76.6
72.9

70.3
77.5
74.0

70.2
78.0
74.1

71.0
78.5
74.8

71.9
79.3
75.6

73.4
80.4
76.9

74.6
81.3
78.0

41.9
42.7
42.3

44.8
47.4
46.1

54.0
56.5
55.2

58.0
61.1
59.5

59.7
62.8
61.2

60.7
63.9
62.3

61.7
64.9
63.3

62.9
66.2
64.5

64.2
67.8
65.9

65.6
69.4
67.5

36.5
38.0
37.2

40.6
42.2
41.4

40.3
44.0
42.1

47.8
49.7
48.7

49.2
51.2
50.2

49.7
51.9
50.8

51.5
53.5
52.5

53.7
55.5
54.6

55.9
57.9
56.9

57.6
60.1
58.8

42.7
43.4
43.0

45.5
48.2
46.8

56.3
58.6
57.4

59.7
63.2
61.4

61.6
64.9
63.2

62.8
66.2
64.4

63.7
67.2
65.4

64.9
68.5
66.6

66.1
69.9
67.9

67.5
71.4
69.4

Less dev. regions, excl. China


Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

40.8
41.9
41.3

46.5
47.8
47.1

50.6
52.9
51.7

55.3
58.5
56.8

57.1
60.2
58.6

58.3
61.5
59.9

59.4
62.7
61.0

60.9
64.3
62.6

62.4
66.0
64.2

64.0
67.8
65.9

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)


Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

35.8
38.5
37.1

39.8
42.7
41.2

43.7
46.7
45.2

46.7
49.8
48.3

47.5
50.7
49.1

47.1
50.3
48.7

47.6
50.2
48.9

49.1
51.2
50.1

51.4
53.6
52.5

53.8
56.1
55.0

Africa
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

36.9
39.5
38.2

41.0
43.8
42.4

45.1
48.0
46.6

48.6
51.7
50.1

49.7
52.8
51.2

49.6
52.8
51.2

50.2
53.0
51.6

51.8
54.1
52.9

54.0
56.3
55.2

56.1
58.7
57.4

36.1
38.7
37.4

40.9
43.9
42.4

44.8
47.9
46.4

47.0
50.2
48.6

47.8
51.0
49.4

46.3
49.5
47.9

48.0
50.5
49.3

49.9
51.7
50.8

53.4
55.3
54.4

56.2
58.5
57.4

37.5
40.6
39.0

40.4
43.6
42.0

42.4
45.6
44.0

45.9
49.5
47.7

46.2
49.7
48.0

43.2
46.1
44.7

44.1
46.6
45.4

45.7
48.1
47.0

47.5
50.0
48.8

49.6
52.6
51.1

39.5
42.0
40.7

43.0
46.0
44.5

47.0
51.0
49.0

51.0
55.0
53.0

53.0
57.0
55.0

54.3
58.0
56.1

55.7
59.0
57.3

57.0
60.0
58.5

58.3
61.0
59.7

60.3
63.2
61.7

33.3
36.4
34.8

38.2
41.3
39.7

42.9
46.0
44.4

47.8
50.7
49.2

49.2
52.2
50.7

50.5
53.5
52.0

51.8
54.8
53.3

53.2
56.0
54.6

55.2
58.0
56.6

57.0
60.0
58.5

34.4
37.5
35.9

38.4
42.0
40.2

42.3
46.1
44.1

42.0
46.0
43.9

44.4
48.7
46.5

48.1
52.5
50.3

52.2
56.8
54.6

55.2
59.6
57.5

57.6
62.2
60.0

59.7
64.4
62.2

32.8
35.4
34.1

38.6
41.6
40.1

42.1
45.1
43.6

42.1
45.0
43.5

44.5
47.4
46.0

46.8
49.7
48.2

49.1
52.0
50.5

51.8
54.6
53.2

55.7
58.7
57.2

58.3
61.6
60.0

Eastern Africa (1)


Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Burundi ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Comoros..............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Djibouti ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Eritrea..................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

324

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
World
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
More dev. regions (a)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Less dev. regions (b)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Least dev. countries (c)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Other less dev. countries (d)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

68.2
72.8
70.4

69.2
73.8
71.4

71.0
75.7
73.3

72.5
77.3
74.9

73.9
78.7
76.3

75.2
79.9
77.5

76.3
80.9
78.6

77.4
81.9
79.6

78.5
82.9
80.6

79.0
83.3
81.1

75.6
82.0
78.8

76.5
82.7
79.6

78.0
84.0
81.0

79.3
85.1
82.2

80.5
86.2
83.3

81.7
87.2
84.5

82.9
88.3
85.6

84.0
89.4
86.7

85.1
90.4
87.7

85.6
90.9
88.2

66.8
70.7
68.7

67.8
71.9
69.8

69.7
74.0
71.8

71.4
75.9
73.6

72.9
77.4
75.1

74.2
78.7
76.4

75.4
79.8
77.5

76.5
80.8
78.6

77.5
81.8
79.6

78.0
82.3
80.1

59.2
61.9
60.6

60.7
63.6
62.1

63.4
66.9
65.2

65.9
69.9
67.9

68.2
72.3
70.2

70.1
74.4
72.2

71.8
76.1
73.9

73.4
77.6
75.4

74.7
78.9
76.8

75.4
79.6
77.5

68.6
72.6
70.6

69.6
73.7
71.6

71.4
75.7
73.5

72.9
77.4
75.1

74.3
78.7
76.4

75.5
79.9
77.6

76.6
81.0
78.7

77.6
81.9
79.7

78.6
82.9
80.7

79.1
83.3
81.1

65.3
69.2
67.2

66.4
70.5
68.4

68.5
72.9
70.7

70.4
74.9
72.6

72.0
76.6
74.3

73.4
78.0
75.7

74.7
79.2
76.9

75.9
80.2
78.0

77.0
81.3
79.1

77.5
81.8
79.6

55.7
58.2
57.0

57.3
60.0
58.7

60.5
63.9
62.2

63.4
67.3
65.3

66.1
70.1
68.1

68.4
72.5
70.4

70.4
74.6
72.4

72.2
76.3
74.2

73.8
77.9
75.8

74.5
78.6
76.5

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)


Males
Females
Both sexes combined

57.9
60.6
59.3

59.3
62.3
60.8

62.2
65.9
64.0

64.8
69.0
66.9

67.2
71.6
69.4

69.3
73.7
71.5

71.2
75.5
73.3

72.8
77.1
74.9

74.3
78.5
76.4

75.0
79.2
77.1

Africa
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

58.1
60.6
59.3

59.6
62.5
61.1

62.4
66.0
64.2

64.9
68.8
66.8

67.1
71.1
69.1

69.1
73.1
71.1

71.0
75.0
73.0

72.7
76.7
74.7

74.3
78.3
76.3

75.1
79.0
77.1

51.3
54.8
53.1

52.8
56.5
54.7

56.9
60.6
58.7

61.1
64.2
62.7

64.8
67.4
66.1

67.8
70.2
69.0

70.3
72.6
71.5

72.4
74.6
73.5

74.3
76.5
75.4

75.2
77.3
76.3

62.0
65.1
63.5

63.6
66.8
65.2

66.3
70.0
68.1

68.6
72.5
70.5

70.5
74.5
72.4

72.1
76.1
74.1

73.5
77.5
75.5

74.7
78.7
76.7

75.8
79.8
77.8

76.4
80.3
78.3

58.9
62.3
60.6

60.6
64.2
62.4

63.8
67.7
65.7

66.3
70.3
68.3

68.8
73.0
70.9

70.7
75.0
72.8

72.2
76.6
74.4

73.6
77.9
75.8

74.9
79.1
77.0

75.5
79.7
77.6

61.6
66.3
64.1

63.2
68.0
65.8

66.0
71.0
68.6

68.3
73.3
70.9

70.2
75.1
72.7

71.8
76.6
74.3

73.2
77.9
75.6

74.5
79.0
76.8

75.7
80.1
77.9

76.2
80.6
78.4

60.1
63.6
61.8

61.9
65.5
63.7

64.9
69.0
66.9

67.4
71.7
69.5

69.4
73.8
71.5

71.2
75.5
73.3

72.7
76.9
74.8

74.0
78.3
76.1

75.3
79.5
77.4

75.9
80.0
78.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Less dev. regions, excl. China


Males
Females
Both sexes combined

Eastern Africa (1)


Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Burundi .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Comoros............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Djibouti .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Eritrea................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Ethiopia .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

325

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Kenya ..................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Madagascar .........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Malawi ................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Mauritius (2) .......................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Mayotte ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Mozambique .......................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Runion ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Rwanda ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Somalia ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Uganda ................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
UR Tanzania (3) .................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Zambia ................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Middle Africa
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Angola.................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

326

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
40.5
44.2
42.3

46.0
50.2
48.0

51.6
55.8
53.7

57.0
60.8
58.9

57.7
61.5
59.6

56.6
60.2
58.3

52.6
55.2
53.9

51.0
52.7
51.9

54.0
55.9
55.0

56.7
59.2
58.0

36.4
37.0
36.7

40.3
41.5
40.9

44.0
45.9
44.9

48.2
50.3
49.2

48.4
50.6
49.5

51.4
54.0
52.7

55.9
58.8
57.3

60.5
63.5
62.0

64.3
67.3
65.8

65.2
68.6
66.9

35.8
36.7
36.3

37.8
39.0
38.4

41.0
42.5
41.8

44.3
46.3
45.3

45.5
47.8
46.7

46.1
48.3
47.2

45.5
46.8
46.1

46.8
46.9
46.8

51.5
51.5
51.6

54.9
55.2
55.1

49.0
51.5
50.2

59.4
63.0
61.2

60.7
66.3
63.5

64.5
71.8
68.1

64.7
72.5
68.5

66.7
74.1
70.3

66.7
74.1
70.4

68.8
75.4
72.1

69.5
76.2
72.8

70.4
76.9
73.6

44.4
50.3
46.8

54.2
62.2
57.4

60.3
69.6
64.1

64.9
74.3
68.9

66.8
76.1
70.8

68.7
77.6
72.6

70.4
79.0
74.3

72.1
80.1
75.8

73.7
81.1
77.1

74.2
81.5
77.5

30.1
32.5
31.3

34.8
37.6
36.2

38.8
42.0
40.4

41.3
44.3
42.8

41.2
44.3
42.8

42.4
45.7
44.1

45.0
48.6
46.8

46.0
49.1
47.6

47.6
49.9
48.8

50.0
51.8
51.0

44.4
50.3
47.4

54.2
62.2
58.2

60.3
69.6
64.9

64.9
74.3
69.6

66.8
76.1
71.4

68.7
77.6
73.1

70.4
79.0
74.6

72.1
80.1
76.0

73.7
81.1
77.3

74.2
81.5
77.8

38.5
41.6
40.0

41.4
44.6
43.0

43.0
46.2
44.6

48.2
51.3
49.8

43.7
46.8
45.2

22.0
25.6
23.7

40.6
42.6
41.6

48.6
50.6
49.6

52.7
55.1
53.9

54.5
57.1
55.8

31.5
34.5
33.0

35.5
38.6
37.0

39.5
42.6
41.0

42.4
45.6
43.9

44.4
47.6
45.9

41.8
44.9
43.3

45.3
48.5
46.9

47.8
51.0
49.4

48.7
51.8
50.2

50.1
53.4
51.7

38.5
41.6
40.0

43.8
47.0
45.4

49.6
52.6
51.1

48.2
51.5
49.9

47.1
51.1
49.0

43.8
47.7
45.7

43.7
46.3
45.0

47.5
48.5
48.0

51.7
52.7
52.2

53.8
55.4
54.7

39.6
42.9
41.2

42.6
46.0
44.3

46.0
49.4
47.7

49.2
52.5
50.8

49.6
52.9
51.2

48.4
51.4
49.9

48.7
50.8
49.8

50.9
52.3
51.7

54.6
56.2
55.4

58.2
60.3
59.3

40.6
43.6
42.1

44.6
47.6
46.1

48.6
51.8
50.2

50.3
53.6
51.9

48.2
51.4
49.8

44.0
46.3
45.2

42.1
43.1
42.6

42.3
42.5
42.4

46.5
47.3
46.9

49.2
50.0
49.6

47.0
50.1
48.5

50.9
54.1
52.5

54.1
57.5
55.8

58.6
62.3
60.4

59.7
63.5
61.6

56.4
59.5
57.9

47.8
48.5
48.2

43.8
42.4
43.2

47.5
45.4
46.6

54.0
52.7
53.5

35.5
38.4
36.9

38.9
41.9
40.4

42.8
45.9
44.4

45.5
48.5
47.0

46.0
49.2
47.6

46.1
49.2
47.7

45.1
47.8
46.4

46.2
48.7
47.5

47.1
49.9
48.5

48.8
51.9
50.3

28.6
31.5
30.0

32.5
35.5
34.0

36.5
39.6
38.0

39.0
41.9
40.4

39.2
43.1
41.1

39.5
43.4
41.4

41.9
44.8
43.3

45.9
48.6
47.2

48.2
51.0
49.6

50.2
53.2
51.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
58.3
61.0
59.7

59.7
62.9
61.3

62.4
66.4
64.4

64.8
69.2
67.0

67.0
71.3
69.1

68.8
73.1
70.9

70.5
74.7
72.6

72.1
76.2
74.1

73.6
77.6
75.6

74.3
78.3
76.3

66.9
70.6
68.7

68.4
72.3
70.3

70.4
74.5
72.5

72.0
76.2
74.1

73.5
77.6
75.5

74.7
78.8
76.7

75.8
79.8
77.8

76.8
80.8
78.8

77.8
81.7
79.8

78.2
82.2
80.2

56.6
57.0
56.9

58.1
59.0
58.6

60.8
63.0
61.9

63.2
66.2
64.6

65.6
68.9
67.2

67.9
71.3
69.6

70.2
73.6
71.9

72.3
75.8
74.1

74.3
77.8
76.1

75.2
78.8
77.0

71.3
77.6
74.4

72.0
78.2
75.1

73.7
79.6
76.7

75.2
81.0
78.1

76.5
82.1
79.3

77.7
83.2
80.5

78.8
84.3
81.5

79.9
85.2
82.5

80.9
86.1
83.5

81.4
86.5
83.9

74.9
82.1
78.3

75.6
82.7
79.0

76.7
83.5
80.1

77.7
84.3
81.1

78.6
85.0
82.0

79.4
85.7
82.6

80.2
86.4
83.3

81.0
87.1
84.0

81.7
87.8
84.7

82.1
88.1
85.1

52.4
54.1
53.3

54.1
55.9
55.1

57.1
60.0
58.6

60.0
63.4
61.7

62.8
66.4
64.6

65.4
69.1
67.3

68.0
71.6
69.8

70.4
74.1
72.2

72.6
76.4
74.5

73.7
77.5
75.6

74.9
82.1
78.5

75.6
82.7
79.1

76.7
83.5
80.1

77.7
84.3
81.0

78.6
85.0
81.8

79.4
85.7
82.5

80.2
86.4
83.3

81.0
87.1
84.0

81.7
87.8
84.7

82.1
88.1
85.1

55.8
58.7
57.3

57.7
60.7
59.2

61.0
64.6
62.8

63.8
67.8
65.8

66.3
70.5
68.4

68.5
72.7
70.6

70.4
74.6
72.5

72.1
76.3
74.2

73.7
77.8
75.7

74.4
78.5
76.5

51.8
55.2
53.5

53.7
57.2
55.4

57.5
61.3
59.4

61.2
65.2
63.1

64.3
68.5
66.4

66.9
71.3
69.1

69.1
73.6
71.3

70.9
75.4
73.1

72.5
76.9
74.7

73.2
77.5
75.3

55.1
57.0
56.1

56.1
58.5
57.3

58.8
62.1
60.4

61.7
65.5
63.6

64.5
68.4
66.4

66.9
70.9
68.9

69.1
73.1
71.1

71.1
75.1
73.1

73.0
76.9
74.9

73.8
77.8
75.8

60.8
63.3
62.1

62.5
65.3
63.9

64.9
68.5
66.7

66.9
70.8
68.8

68.8
72.8
70.8

70.5
74.5
72.5

72.2
76.1
74.2

73.7
77.6
75.7

75.2
79.0
77.1

75.8
79.7
77.8

50.5
51.3
51.0

52.4
53.6
53.0

55.6
58.2
56.9

58.7
62.2
60.4

61.9
65.8
63.8

65.0
69.0
66.9

67.9
72.0
69.9

70.7
74.7
72.7

73.1
77.2
75.1

74.1
78.2
76.2

57.5
56.9
57.4

59.0
59.0
59.1

60.9
62.5
61.7

62.6
65.1
63.8

65.0
68.0
66.4

67.8
70.9
69.3

70.6
73.9
72.3

73.2
76.8
75.0

75.6
79.5
77.6

77.0
81.0
79.0

50.4
53.7
52.1

51.9
55.4
53.6

55.4
59.4
57.4

59.1
63.3
61.2

62.4
66.9
64.6

65.3
69.9
67.6

67.8
72.4
70.0

69.9
74.4
72.1

71.7
76.2
73.9

72.5
77.0
74.7

52.1
55.2
53.7

54.0
57.2
55.5

57.7
61.2
59.4

61.1
65.0
63.1

64.2
68.3
66.2

66.8
71.0
68.9

69.0
73.3
71.1

70.9
75.2
73.0

72.5
76.8
74.7

73.3
77.6
75.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Kenya ................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Madagascar .......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Malawi ..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Mauritius (2) .....................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Mayotte .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Mozambique .....................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Runion .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Rwanda .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Somalia .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Uganda ..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
UR Tanzania (3) ...............................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Zambia ..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Zimbabwe .........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Middle Africa
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Angola...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

327

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Cameroon............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Chad ....................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Congo..................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
DR Congo ...........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Gabon..................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Northern Africa
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Algeria.................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Egypt ...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Libya ...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Morocco ..............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Sudan (4) ............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Tunisia.................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

328

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
37.2
39.9
38.5

41.4
44.0
42.7

45.9
49.0
47.4

50.6
53.7
52.1

51.8
54.8
53.2

51.4
54.3
52.9

49.8
52.3
51.0

48.5
50.5
49.5

49.0
50.9
50.0

51.4
53.6
52.5

32.0
34.9
33.4

36.0
39.2
37.6

42.0
45.9
43.9

47.2
52.0
49.5

47.1
51.9
49.5

45.6
50.0
47.8

42.9
46.4
44.6

42.2
45.0
43.6

44.5
47.3
45.9

47.7
51.3
49.5

35.7
39.4
37.5

39.4
43.1
41.2

42.9
46.7
44.8

47.2
50.9
49.1

48.8
52.4
50.6

48.8
52.0
50.4

47.7
50.7
49.2

46.7
49.5
48.1

47.1
49.9
48.5

48.6
51.6
50.1

42.3
44.0
43.2

48.8
51.5
50.2

52.8
55.8
54.3

55.2
58.2
56.7

55.6
58.6
57.1

54.0
56.5
55.3

53.3
55.3
54.3

53.5
55.4
54.5

54.9
57.2
56.0

56.6
59.3
58.0

37.6
40.4
39.1

40.2
43.0
41.6

43.3
46.2
44.8

44.8
47.6
46.2

45.1
48.0
46.6

45.5
48.3
46.9

43.8
46.4
45.1

45.3
48.0
46.6

45.9
48.9
47.4

47.3
50.6
48.9

33.0
36.0
34.5

36.0
39.0
37.5

39.0
42.1
40.5

42.1
45.4
43.7

44.2
47.3
45.7

46.1
49.3
47.6

47.1
50.2
48.6

47.5
50.2
48.8

48.9
51.5
50.1

50.3
52.9
51.5

35.5
38.6
37.0

38.9
42.1
40.5

47.1
50.3
48.7

55.3
58.5
56.9

59.0
62.2
60.6

59.9
62.9
61.4

59.2
62.0
60.6

58.2
60.3
59.3

60.2
62.4
61.3

62.3
64.3
63.3

45.1
48.0
46.5

50.5
53.5
51.9

55.0
58.0
56.5

58.9
60.6
59.8

59.7
61.4
60.6

60.4
62.2
61.3

61.0
63.1
62.1

61.6
64.0
62.8

62.5
65.1
63.8

63.5
66.5
65.0

41.6
43.5
42.5

45.7
47.8
46.7

50.5
52.8
51.6

56.2
59.0
57.6

58.8
61.9
60.3

61.2
64.6
62.9

63.5
67.0
65.2

66.0
69.5
67.8

67.5
71.3
69.4

68.7
72.6
70.6

42.1
44.2
43.1

47.3
49.4
48.3

53.5
55.5
54.5

60.2
62.6
61.4

64.7
67.1
65.9

66.5
69.1
67.8

67.9
70.4
69.2

69.7
72.2
71.0

70.9
73.7
72.3

71.9
75.0
73.5

42.1
43.7
42.9

46.1
47.9
47.0

50.8
52.7
51.7

56.3
59.0
57.6

59.0
62.0
60.5

62.0
65.5
63.7

65.7
69.3
67.4

68.6
72.4
70.5

70.5
74.3
72.3

71.6
75.5
73.5

41.9
43.9
42.9

46.7
49.2
48.0

51.4
54.5
53.0

60.6
64.2
62.4

64.5
68.9
66.4

66.9
71.7
69.0

69.3
74.5
71.6

70.5
75.7
72.8

71.7
76.9
74.0

72.7
77.9
75.1

41.9
43.8
42.9

46.6
49.1
48.0

51.3
54.4
53.0

58.0
61.4
59.6

60.9
64.6
62.7

63.5
67.5
65.5

65.6
69.8
67.7

67.5
71.8
69.6

69.0
73.4
71.2

70.3
74.9
72.5

38.6
41.5
40.0

40.9
43.8
42.3

44.8
47.6
46.2

48.8
51.7
50.2

50.2
53.2
51.7

52.0
55.1
53.5

53.7
57.0
55.3

57.2
60.1
58.6

58.6
62.0
60.3

60.2
63.8
62.0

44.1
45.1
44.6

49.1
50.1
49.6

55.1
56.1
55.6

62.7
65.7
64.1

65.3
68.8
67.0

68.3
72.1
70.1

70.1
74.0
72.0

71.1
75.1
73.0

71.9
76.0
73.9

72.6
77.0
74.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
53.2
55.7
54.5

54.4
57.2
55.8

57.6
61.0
59.3

60.8
64.7
62.7

63.7
67.8
65.7

66.3
70.4
68.3

68.5
72.7
70.6

70.5
74.7
72.6

72.4
76.5
74.4

73.2
77.4
75.3

50.2
54.4
52.3

52.0
56.8
54.4

55.9
61.5
58.6

59.6
65.4
62.5

62.9
68.6
65.7

65.6
71.2
68.4

67.9
73.3
70.6

69.7
74.9
72.3

71.3
76.3
73.8

72.0
76.9
74.4

50.2
53.3
51.7

51.8
55.2
53.5

55.7
59.5
57.6

59.4
63.5
61.4

62.7
67.1
64.9

65.6
70.1
67.8

68.0
72.6
70.3

70.1
74.7
72.4

71.9
76.4
74.2

72.8
77.2
75.0

58.2
61.2
59.7

59.3
62.6
60.9

62.1
66.0
64.0

64.8
69.0
66.9

67.2
71.5
69.3

69.3
73.6
71.4

71.1
75.4
73.2

72.6
76.8
74.7

74.0
78.2
76.1

74.6
78.8
76.7

48.7
52.2
50.4

50.1
53.8
51.9

53.6
57.8
55.7

57.5
61.9
59.6

61.1
65.6
63.3

64.2
68.9
66.5

66.8
71.6
69.2

69.1
73.8
71.4

71.0
75.7
73.3

71.8
76.5
74.1

51.9
54.4
53.1

53.4
55.8
54.5

56.9
59.9
58.3

60.1
63.6
61.8

63.3
67.1
65.1

66.2
70.1
68.1

68.7
72.7
70.6

70.8
75.0
72.9

72.8
77.0
74.9

73.6
77.8
75.7

63.9
66.0
64.9

65.1
67.5
66.3

67.2
70.3
68.7

69.1
72.5
70.8

70.9
74.5
72.6

72.5
76.2
74.3

74.0
77.7
75.9

75.5
79.2
77.3

76.8
80.6
78.7

77.4
81.2
79.3

64.5
67.7
66.2

65.5
68.9
67.2

67.7
71.5
69.6

69.7
73.7
71.7

71.5
75.5
73.4

72.9
77.0
74.9

74.2
78.2
76.2

75.4
79.4
77.4

76.5
80.4
78.4

77.0
80.9
78.9

69.7
73.8
71.7

70.7
74.9
72.8

72.4
76.9
74.7

74.0
78.8
76.4

75.3
80.2
77.8

76.5
81.5
79.0

77.6
82.6
80.1

78.6
83.5
81.0

79.5
84.5
82.0

80.0
85.0
82.4

72.8
76.1
74.5

73.7
77.1
75.4

75.2
78.8
77.0

76.5
80.3
78.4

77.7
81.5
79.6

78.8
82.7
80.7

79.9
83.7
81.8

80.9
84.7
82.8

81.8
85.6
83.7

82.3
86.1
84.2

72.5
76.6
74.5

73.4
77.5
75.5

74.9
79.2
77.0

76.3
80.5
78.4

77.5
81.8
79.7

78.7
82.9
80.8

79.7
83.9
81.8

80.7
84.9
82.8

81.7
85.8
83.7

82.1
86.3
84.2

73.6
78.7
76.0

74.4
79.4
76.9

75.8
80.8
78.4

77.1
82.0
79.8

78.2
83.1
80.9

79.3
84.1
81.8

80.3
85.1
82.7

81.3
86.0
83.6

82.2
86.9
84.5

82.7
87.3
85.0

71.4
76.0
73.7

72.3
77.0
74.7

74.0
78.7
76.4

75.5
80.2
78.0

76.8
81.4
79.3

78.0
82.6
80.4

79.1
83.7
81.4

80.1
84.6
82.4

81.1
85.6
83.3

81.6
86.0
83.8

61.9
65.7
63.7

63.5
67.4
65.4

66.3
70.4
68.3

68.5
73.5
70.9

70.4
75.9
73.1

72.0
77.8
74.9

73.5
79.4
76.4

74.7
80.8
77.7

75.8
82.0
78.9

76.3
82.5
79.4

73.4
77.9
75.6

74.2
78.8
76.5

75.6
80.2
77.9

76.9
81.5
79.2

78.1
82.6
80.4

79.2
83.7
81.4

80.2
84.7
82.4

81.2
85.6
83.4

82.1
86.5
84.3

82.6
87.0
84.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Cameroon..........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Central African Rep. .........................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Chad ..................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Congo................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
DR Congo .........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Gabon................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Sao Tome and Principe .....................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Northern Africa
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Algeria...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Egypt .................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Libya .................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Morocco ............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Sudan (4) ..........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Tunisia...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

329

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Western Sahara....................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Southern Africa
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Botswana.............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Lesotho................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Namibia...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
South Africa ........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Swaziland............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Western Africa (5)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Benin ...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Cte d'Ivoire........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Gambia................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Ghana ..................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Guinea .................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

330

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
34.0
37.1
35.5

38.0
41.0
39.3

41.9
45.1
43.2

50.5
53.7
51.8

54.8
58.0
56.1

57.3
60.5
58.7

59.8
63.0
61.3

62.3
65.8
63.9

64.3
68.1
65.9

66.1
70.1
67.8

43.6
45.9
44.7

47.7
51.7
49.7

50.8
56.2
53.5

55.1
61.6
58.3

57.3
64.2
60.7

57.8
64.6
61.1

54.6
60.1
57.3

50.2
53.5
51.8

50.3
52.0
51.3

53.2
53.9
53.8

45.6
49.5
47.7

49.7
53.3
51.6

54.1
57.8
56.1

59.6
63.7
61.7

61.7
65.8
63.8

61.0
64.7
62.9

53.9
55.7
54.9

48.8
48.4
48.7

53.8
52.5
53.3

53.7
51.3
52.7

40.4
43.8
42.2

46.0
49.4
47.8

48.1
51.4
49.8

53.5
56.9
55.3

55.5
59.0
57.4

58.2
61.8
60.1

51.3
53.4
52.5

44.4
44.0
44.3

46.5
45.2
46.0

49.7
48.1
49.1

39.5
44.1
41.7

46.3
50.6
48.4

52.0
55.9
53.9

57.0
61.0
59.0

58.4
62.3
60.3

59.1
62.7
60.9

58.1
60.8
59.5

56.1
57.4
56.8

60.4
61.6
61.1

62.1
63.0
62.7

44.0
46.0
45.0

48.0
52.0
50.0

51.0
56.6
53.7

55.1
62.0
58.4

57.4
64.7
60.9

57.7
64.9
61.2

54.7
60.8
57.7

50.4
54.2
52.3

50.1
52.1
51.2

53.1
54.1
53.8

39.5
43.5
41.4

43.1
47.0
45.0

47.6
51.5
49.6

54.0
57.9
56.0

56.8
60.1
58.5

57.5
60.5
59.0

51.8
53.8
52.8

45.6
45.9
45.8

47.6
47.0
47.4

49.7
48.5
49.2

33.8
36.5
35.1

37.4
40.0
38.7

41.5
44.0
42.7

45.1
47.6
46.3

45.7
48.1
46.9

46.0
48.4
47.2

46.5
48.5
47.5

48.9
50.7
49.8

51.4
53.2
52.3

53.6
55.6
54.6

30.9
34.5
32.7

34.4
38.5
36.4

38.5
44.8
41.6

43.2
49.1
46.2

44.7
50.5
47.6

47.0
52.9
50.0

49.2
54.7
51.9

50.9
55.6
53.3

52.7
56.5
54.6

54.8
58.7
56.8

30.8
32.9
31.8

36.1
38.3
37.1

41.1
43.4
42.3

46.3
48.6
47.5

47.1
49.5
48.3

47.5
49.9
48.7

48.3
50.7
49.6

50.3
52.1
51.2

52.8
54.8
53.9

55.0
57.0
56.0

45.8
48.0
46.9

48.1
50.6
49.4

54.1
55.4
54.8

60.0
62.6
61.4

61.5
66.4
64.1

62.8
69.7
66.4

64.4
72.3
68.5

66.8
74.9
71.0

69.4
77.4
73.5

70.5
77.7
74.2

37.9
39.7
38.8

39.9
42.0
40.9

44.6
47.5
46.0

50.9
54.2
52.5

51.4
54.7
52.9

50.5
53.4
51.8

49.3
51.5
50.3

49.8
51.4
50.5

52.1
54.0
53.0

55.3
57.7
56.4

30.3
33.1
31.7

32.9
35.7
34.2

39.5
42.3
40.8

48.3
50.9
49.5

51.6
54.0
52.7

52.0
54.4
53.1

53.2
55.6
54.4

54.8
57.1
55.9

56.3
58.5
57.3

57.7
60.3
59.0

41.1
42.4
41.7

46.0
47.5
46.8

48.6
51.6
50.0

52.5
55.2
53.8

54.5
56.4
55.4

57.0
59.0
58.0

57.0
58.7
57.8

58.6
60.3
59.4

61.8
63.6
62.7

63.6
65.8
64.7

30.7
32.5
31.6

32.0
33.3
32.6

34.3
35.9
35.1

39.1
41.1
40.1

41.4
43.6
42.5

43.5
46.1
44.8

45.3
48.1
46.6

48.3
51.2
49.7

50.9
54.0
52.4

53.2
56.4
54.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
67.6
71.9
69.5

69.0
73.5
71.0

71.3
75.9
73.4

73.2
77.8
75.3

74.8
79.4
77.0

76.2
80.8
78.4

77.4
82.0
79.6

78.5
83.1
80.8

79.6
84.1
81.8

80.1
84.6
82.3

55.4
55.5
55.7

56.6
56.6
56.9

59.0
60.4
59.8

61.3
64.0
62.6

64.1
67.4
65.7

66.9
70.5
68.6

69.3
73.0
71.1

71.3
75.2
73.3

73.4
77.5
75.4

74.5
78.7
76.6

54.7
52.0
53.6

56.3
53.9
55.3

58.8
57.9
58.5

61.2
61.8
61.5

64.1
65.4
64.6

67.1
68.8
67.9

70.0
72.2
71.0

72.8
75.4
74.1

75.2
78.3
76.7

76.3
79.6
77.9

51.2
49.3
50.5

52.0
50.5
51.4

54.2
54.2
54.3

56.2
57.3
56.7

58.7
60.3
59.4

61.5
63.1
62.3

64.4
66.3
65.4

67.6
69.8
68.7

71.0
73.7
72.4

72.8
75.7
74.2

62.0
62.6
62.5

63.6
64.5
64.2

65.8
67.8
66.8

67.5
70.1
68.8

69.0
71.8
70.3

70.3
73.0
71.6

71.5
74.2
72.9

72.8
75.4
74.1

74.0
76.6
75.3

74.5
77.2
75.9

55.5
55.8
55.9

56.7
56.8
57.0

59.0
60.6
60.0

61.4
64.1
62.7

64.2
67.7
65.8

67.0
70.8
68.9

69.4
73.4
71.4

71.4
75.5
73.5

73.4
77.7
75.6

74.6
79.0
76.8

49.5
47.7
48.7

51.1
49.4
50.4

55.4
55.1
55.4

59.5
60.9
60.2

63.0
65.3
64.1

65.8
68.5
67.1

68.2
71.1
69.7

70.6
73.6
72.1

72.9
76.1
74.5

74.0
77.4
75.7

55.6
57.7
56.6

57.3
59.6
58.4

60.6
63.5
62.0

63.6
66.9
65.2

66.2
69.9
68.0

68.5
72.3
70.4

70.4
74.3
72.4

72.2
76.1
74.1

73.7
77.6
75.6

74.4
78.3
76.3

56.8
60.7
58.8

58.7
62.8
60.7

62.1
66.5
64.3

65.1
69.7
67.3

67.5
72.2
69.8

69.6
74.3
71.9

71.4
76.0
73.6

72.9
77.4
75.1

74.2
78.7
76.5

74.8
79.3
77.1

56.9
59.1
58.0

58.8
61.1
60.0

62.3
65.0
63.6

65.2
68.4
66.8

67.7
71.2
69.4

69.7
73.5
71.6

71.4
75.3
73.3

72.9
76.8
74.8

74.2
78.1
76.2

74.8
78.7
76.7

71.6
78.5
75.2

72.5
79.3
76.0

74.2
80.7
77.5

75.6
81.9
78.7

76.9
83.0
79.9

78.1
84.0
81.0

79.2
85.0
82.0

80.2
85.9
83.0

81.2
86.8
84.0

81.7
87.3
84.4

57.8
60.6
59.1

59.7
62.8
61.2

62.8
66.5
64.6

65.2
69.2
67.1

67.2
71.3
69.2

69.1
73.2
71.1

70.9
75.0
72.9

72.7
76.7
74.7

74.3
78.4
76.3

75.1
79.1
77.1

59.0
61.9
60.5

60.3
63.4
61.9

63.3
66.9
65.1

66.1
70.0
68.1

68.4
72.5
70.5

70.3
74.5
72.4

72.0
76.1
74.1

73.4
77.5
75.5

74.6
78.7
76.7

75.2
79.3
77.3

64.9
67.4
66.1

66.1
68.8
67.4

68.3
71.5
69.8

70.1
73.6
71.8

71.8
75.4
73.5

73.3
76.9
75.0

74.6
78.3
76.4

75.8
79.5
77.6

77.0
80.6
78.8

77.5
81.2
79.3

55.2
58.5
56.8

57.0
60.5
58.7

60.6
64.4
62.5

63.8
67.9
65.8

66.4
70.8
68.5

68.7
73.1
70.8

70.6
75.0
72.7

72.2
76.6
74.3

73.7
78.0
75.8

74.3
78.6
76.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Western Sahara..................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Southern Africa
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Botswana...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Lesotho..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Namibia.............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
South Africa ......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Swaziland..........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Western Africa (5)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Benin .................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Burkina Faso .....................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Cape Verde ........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Cte d'Ivoire......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Gambia..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Ghana ................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Guinea ...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

331

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Liberia .................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Mali .....................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Mauritania ...........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Niger ...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Nigeria.................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Senegal................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Togo ....................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Asia (6)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Eastern Asia (6)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
China (7) .............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ...............
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
China, Macao SAR (9) .......................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

332

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
31.2
33.8
32.5

33.9
36.5
35.2

36.6
39.2
37.9

39.8
42.5
41.1

40.9
43.9
42.4

41.8
44.7
43.2

42.8
45.7
44.2

44.2
47.0
45.6

45.3
48.2
46.8

47.3
50.4
48.8

32.2
37.5
34.6

36.3
41.0
38.4

40.2
44.3
42.1

41.8
45.5
43.6

41.2
44.5
42.8

40.6
43.7
42.1

42.1
44.8
43.4

48.1
50.2
49.2

53.5
55.4
54.4

56.4
58.6
57.5

29.0
30.5
29.8

29.9
31.6
30.7

34.8
37.0
35.8

39.8
41.9
40.9

42.3
44.4
43.3

43.9
46.0
44.9

45.5
47.6
46.6

47.0
49.1
48.1

48.9
51.0
50.0

50.9
53.1
52.1

38.3
40.0
39.1

42.2
44.3
43.2

47.5
50.1
48.8

52.8
55.6
54.2

53.9
56.8
55.4

54.9
57.9
56.5

55.3
58.4
56.9

55.6
58.8
57.2

55.9
59.2
57.5

57.4
61.0
59.2

37.3
37.8
37.6

37.7
38.2
38.0

38.3
38.8
38.5

39.6
40.2
39.9

40.3
40.9
40.6

42.5
43.1
42.8

46.1
46.8
46.4

49.6
50.5
50.0

52.7
53.5
53.1

54.8
55.8
55.3

34.0
37.3
35.6

37.9
41.1
39.4

42.1
44.7
43.4

44.6
47.1
45.8

44.6
47.1
45.8

44.4
46.6
45.5

44.3
46.2
45.2

47.0
48.5
47.8

49.5
51.0
50.3

51.7
53.4
52.5

36.3
38.0
37.1

38.4
40.2
39.3

40.9
42.9
41.9

48.3
50.3
49.3

51.4
53.5
52.4

52.8
54.8
53.8

54.0
56.0
55.0

55.6
57.6
56.6

57.2
59.1
58.2

58.6
60.9
59.8

28.4
31.2
29.7

30.9
33.4
32.2

35.7
37.7
36.7

43.4
45.0
44.2

39.6
41.7
40.6

36.0
39.0
37.5

36.7
39.5
38.1

41.0
43.0
42.0

45.6
46.9
46.3

47.5
48.9
48.2

34.0
36.4
35.2

39.8
42.3
41.0

45.3
48.0
46.7

49.0
52.1
50.6

50.6
53.9
52.3

51.9
55.3
53.6

52.9
56.0
54.4

53.7
56.7
55.2

54.2
57.1
55.7

56.2
59.4
57.8

42.8
43.1
42.9

45.2
47.7
46.4

55.9
58.2
57.0

60.2
63.1
61.6

62.2
65.0
63.5

63.5
66.5
64.9

64.7
67.8
66.2

65.9
69.4
67.6

67.2
70.9
69.0

68.5
72.4
70.4

46.1
46.7
46.4

44.3
49.1
46.5

63.5
67.1
65.3

66.8
70.5
68.6

68.1
71.8
69.9

69.1
73.0
71.0

69.9
73.9
71.9

70.9
75.0
72.9

72.0
76.2
74.0

73.0
77.3
75.1

44.6
44.6
44.6

42.0
46.4
44.0

63.0
66.1
64.6

66.2
69.2
67.7

67.4
70.5
68.9

68.4
71.6
69.9

69.3
72.5
70.8

70.0
73.4
71.6

71.1
74.5
72.7

72.1
75.6
73.8

59.0
66.4
63.2

64.9
72.2
68.8

69.0
75.8
72.8

72.4
78.8
75.7

73.9
80.1
76.9

75.3
81.2
78.2

76.6
82.3
79.4

77.8
83.3
80.5

79.0
84.3
81.6

80.2
86.3
83.2

59.4
62.3
61.0

64.5
68.2
66.6

68.6
72.8
70.8

71.8
76.3
74.1

73.2
77.8
75.6

74.5
79.2
76.9

75.6
80.4
78.0

76.7
81.5
79.1

77.7
82.6
80.0

79.1
83.8
81.3

48.5
51.5
50.0

54.8
58.1
56.5

60.8
66.4
63.6

65.4
71.8
68.6

67.0
73.3
70.2

66.1
73.6
70.2

60.0
67.1
63.7

64.2
71.5
68.0

64.8
71.8
68.4

65.9
72.1
69.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
49.2
52.4
50.8

51.1
54.4
52.7

54.9
58.6
56.8

58.7
62.6
60.6

62.1
66.4
64.2

65.1
69.6
67.3

67.6
72.2
69.9

69.8
74.4
72.1

71.7
76.2
73.9

72.4
76.9
74.7

58.7
61.1
59.9

60.6
63.3
61.9

63.4
66.8
65.0

65.6
69.3
67.4

67.7
71.5
69.6

69.7
73.5
71.6

71.5
75.4
73.4

73.1
77.0
75.0

74.5
78.4
76.4

75.1
79.1
77.1

52.9
55.1
54.0

54.8
57.2
56.0

58.6
61.2
59.9

62.1
65.1
63.6

65.1
68.5
66.8

67.6
71.3
69.4

69.6
73.5
71.6

71.4
75.3
73.3

72.8
76.9
74.8

73.5
77.5
75.5

58.7
62.5
60.6

59.9
64.0
62.0

63.0
67.4
65.2

65.9
70.4
68.1

68.2
72.8
70.5

70.2
74.8
72.4

71.8
76.4
74.1

73.3
77.7
75.5

74.5
78.9
76.7

75.1
79.5
77.3

56.7
57.8
57.2

58.6
59.8
59.2

62.1
63.8
62.9

65.1
67.4
66.2

67.6
70.4
69.0

69.6
72.8
71.2

71.4
74.8
73.0

72.9
76.4
74.6

74.2
77.7
75.9

74.8
78.3
76.5

53.8
55.6
54.7

55.5
57.5
56.5

59.0
61.6
60.2

62.1
65.3
63.6

64.9
68.5
66.6

67.4
71.1
69.2

69.5
73.3
71.4

71.4
75.3
73.3

73.1
77.0
75.0

73.8
77.8
75.8

59.9
62.5
61.2

61.1
64.0
62.6

64.0
67.4
65.7

66.7
70.4
68.5

68.9
72.8
70.9

70.7
74.8
72.8

72.3
76.4
74.3

73.7
77.7
75.7

74.9
78.9
76.9

75.5
79.5
77.5

49.3
50.8
50.0

51.2
52.7
51.9

55.0
56.7
55.9

58.9
60.8
59.8

62.3
64.7
63.5

65.3
68.2
66.7

67.7
71.0
69.4

69.8
73.3
71.5

71.5
75.2
73.3

72.2
76.0
74.1

58.4
61.7
60.0

60.1
63.6
61.8

63.3
67.2
65.2

65.9
70.2
68.0

68.2
72.6
70.4

70.2
74.6
72.4

72.0
76.3
74.1

73.5
77.8
75.7

75.0
79.2
77.1

75.6
79.8
77.7

69.6
73.7
71.6

70.6
74.8
72.7

72.4
76.7
74.5

73.9
78.2
76.0

75.2
79.5
77.3

76.3
80.6
78.4

77.4
81.6
79.4

78.4
82.6
80.4

79.3
83.5
81.3

79.8
83.9
81.8

73.9
78.3
76.0

74.6
79.1
76.8

76.0
80.5
78.2

77.2
81.7
79.4

78.4
82.8
80.5

79.5
83.8
81.5

80.5
84.8
82.5

81.5
85.8
83.5

82.4
86.8
84.5

82.9
87.2
85.0

73.0
76.7
74.7

73.8
77.6
75.6

75.3
79.2
77.2

76.6
80.6
78.5

77.8
81.8
79.7

78.9
82.9
80.8

80.0
84.0
81.8

81.0
85.0
82.8

81.9
85.8
83.8

82.4
86.3
84.2

80.8
86.9
83.8

81.3
87.4
84.4

82.4
88.5
85.5

83.4
89.5
86.7

84.5
90.5
87.7

85.5
91.4
88.6

86.5
92.4
89.5

87.5
93.4
90.4

88.4
94.3
91.3

88.9
94.8
91.8

79.7
84.4
81.9

80.2
85.0
82.5

81.3
86.1
83.7

82.4
87.1
84.8

83.4
88.2
85.9

84.5
89.2
86.8

85.5
90.2
87.8

86.5
91.2
88.8

87.5
92.2
89.8

88.0
92.6
90.2

66.8
73.2
70.0

67.6
74.2
70.9

69.5
76.3
72.9

71.2
78.2
74.7

72.7
79.7
76.2

74.1
81.0
77.5

75.2
82.2
78.7

76.3
83.3
79.8

77.3
84.3
80.8

77.8
84.8
81.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Liberia ...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Mali ...................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Mauritania .........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Niger .................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Nigeria...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Senegal..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Sierra Leone ......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Togo ..................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Asia (6)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Eastern Asia (6)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
China (7) ...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .............
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
China, Macao SAR (9) .....................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
DPR Korea ........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

333

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Japan ...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Mongolia .............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Rep. of Korea ......................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
South-Central Asia (10)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Central Asia
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Tajikistan.............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Uzbekistan...........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Southern Asia
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Afghanistan .........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Bangladesh..........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Bhutan .................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

334

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
60.4
63.9
62.2

66.5
71.5
69.0

70.5
75.8
73.1

74.1
79.6
76.9

75.5
81.3
78.5

76.3
82.4
79.5

77.1
83.7
80.5

78.3
85.2
81.8

79.3
86.1
82.7

80.1
87.1
83.7

41.8
45.2
43.5

49.0
53.2
51.1

54.6
59.1
56.8

55.4
60.1
57.7

57.7
62.4
60.0

58.0
63.9
60.8

59.5
64.4
61.9

60.8
68.6
64.5

63.4
71.5
67.3

65.0
72.8
68.9

46.0
49.9
47.9

52.3
57.6
54.8

59.5
67.1
63.2

63.2
71.8
67.4

66.2
74.6
70.4

68.7
77.0
72.9

71.1
78.7
74.9

73.8
80.8
77.4

76.5
83.3
80.0

77.3
84.0
80.7

39.6
38.3
39.0

45.6
44.5
45.1

49.5
49.9
49.7

55.2
56.8
55.9

57.4
58.6
57.9

58.9
60.3
59.6

60.2
62.1
61.1

61.8
64.2
62.9

63.2
66.1
64.5

64.7
67.8
66.2

50.6
58.9
54.5

54.6
62.9
58.8

58.2
66.4
62.4

60.7
68.9
64.9

62.3
70.0
66.2

61.0
69.0
65.0

60.1
68.6
64.3

61.3
69.6
65.4

62.2
70.5
66.3

63.9
71.7
67.8

50.1
60.6
55.0

54.2
64.7
59.3

57.8
68.2
63.1

60.4
70.9
65.8

62.4
72.1
67.4

60.5
70.3
65.5

57.5
68.9
63.0

59.1
70.4
64.6

60.2
71.5
65.8

62.3
72.8
67.6

48.8
57.3
52.9

53.0
61.5
57.3

56.8
65.3
61.2

59.6
68.1
64.0

62.0
69.8
66.0

62.1
70.1
66.2

62.0
70.0
65.9

62.7
70.6
66.6

62.7
71.0
66.7

64.3
72.4
68.3

50.8
55.6
53.1

54.8
59.6
57.2

58.4
63.1
60.9

60.2
65.3
62.8

61.0
66.2
63.6

58.6
65.9
62.2

59.3
66.9
62.9

60.9
68.6
64.4

63.3
69.9
66.4

64.8
71.2
67.9

47.9
55.0
51.3

52.0
59.1
55.5

55.5
62.7
59.1

58.1
65.3
61.7

59.3
66.3
62.8

58.9
66.6
62.7

59.7
67.5
63.6

60.4
68.2
64.2

60.6
68.9
64.6

61.2
69.4
65.2

52.4
59.5
55.8

56.5
63.5
60.0

60.0
67.1
63.6

62.6
69.6
66.2

64.0
70.5
67.3

63.0
69.4
66.2

63.6
70.0
66.8

64.1
70.4
67.2

64.3
70.7
67.4

65.7
71.9
68.8

39.3
37.8
38.6

45.3
43.9
44.6

49.2
49.3
49.2

55.0
56.3
55.6

57.2
58.1
57.6

58.8
59.9
59.3

60.3
61.9
61.0

61.8
64.0
62.8

63.2
65.9
64.5

64.7
67.7
66.1

29.2
28.5
28.8

32.3
31.7
32.0

36.3
35.9
36.1

40.1
39.8
40.0

41.7
41.4
41.6

43.0
43.1
43.1

44.5
44.6
44.6

45.9
46.1
46.0

47.2
47.5
47.3

49.2
49.5
49.3

46.3
44.2
45.3

49.4
47.5
48.5

32.6
39.9
36.0

56.2
55.0
55.6

58.6
57.8
58.2

61.0
60.5
60.8

63.5
63.5
63.5

65.7
66.1
65.9

67.4
68.3
67.8

68.5
70.2
69.4

35.9
36.3
36.1

37.3
38.2
37.7

41.1
42.7
41.8

46.8
49.2
47.9

49.4
52.3
50.8

53.0
56.2
54.5

57.3
60.7
58.9

61.8
65.2
63.5

64.1
67.8
65.8

65.9
69.8
67.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
80.8
87.9
84.4

81.3
88.4
84.9

82.4
89.4
85.9

83.4
90.4
86.9

84.5
91.4
87.9

85.5
92.4
88.9

86.5
93.3
89.9

87.5
94.3
90.8

88.5
95.2
91.8

89.0
95.7
92.3

66.3
74.2
70.2

67.5
75.5
71.5

70.0
77.5
73.8

72.1
79.1
75.7

73.9
80.5
77.2

75.4
81.7
78.6

76.7
82.8
79.8

77.9
83.9
80.9

79.0
84.9
81.9

79.5
85.4
82.4

77.9
84.5
81.3

78.5
85.1
81.8

79.7
86.2
82.9

80.8
87.3
84.0

81.9
88.3
85.1

83.0
89.3
86.1

84.0
90.3
87.1

85.0
91.3
88.1

86.0
92.3
89.1

86.5
92.8
89.6

65.9
69.3
67.6

67.1
70.6
68.8

69.2
72.9
71.0

71.0
74.9
72.9

72.5
76.5
74.5

73.9
77.8
75.8

75.1
79.0
77.0

76.1
80.1
78.0

77.1
81.1
79.0

77.6
81.5
79.5

65.3
72.9
69.1

66.7
73.9
70.3

69.0
75.6
72.4

70.9
77.2
74.1

72.5
78.5
75.5

73.9
79.6
76.8

75.1
80.7
77.9

76.2
81.6
78.9

77.2
82.5
79.8

77.7
82.9
80.2

63.8
73.9
68.9

65.3
74.8
70.1

67.7
76.4
72.2

69.7
77.7
73.9

71.5
78.9
75.3

72.9
80.0
76.5

74.2
81.0
77.6

75.4
81.9
78.6

76.5
82.7
79.6

77.0
83.1
80.0

65.7
73.4
69.5

66.9
74.4
70.7

69.1
76.0
72.6

70.9
77.5
74.2

72.5
78.7
75.6

73.8
79.8
76.8

75.0
80.8
77.9

76.1
81.7
78.9

77.1
82.5
79.8

77.6
82.9
80.2

66.1
72.4
69.3

67.3
73.5
70.5

69.4
75.3
72.6

71.2
76.8
74.3

72.7
78.1
75.7

74.0
79.3
76.8

75.2
80.3
77.9

76.3
81.3
78.8

77.3
82.1
79.7

77.7
82.5
80.2

62.9
70.8
66.8

64.4
72.0
68.2

67.0
74.1
70.6

69.1
75.8
72.5

70.9
77.3
74.1

72.5
78.5
75.5

73.8
79.6
76.7

75.0
80.6
77.8

76.1
81.5
78.8

76.6
82.0
79.3

67.0
73.0
70.0

68.1
74.0
71.0

70.0
75.8
72.9

71.7
77.2
74.5

73.2
78.5
75.8

74.4
79.6
77.0

75.6
80.6
78.0

76.6
81.5
79.0

77.6
82.4
79.9

78.0
82.8
80.4

66.0
69.2
67.5

67.1
70.5
68.8

69.2
72.8
71.0

71.0
74.8
72.8

72.5
76.4
74.4

73.9
77.8
75.8

75.0
79.0
77.0

76.1
80.0
78.0

77.1
81.0
79.0

77.6
81.5
79.5

51.0
51.4
51.2

52.9
53.4
53.1

56.8
57.4
57.1

60.5
61.5
60.9

63.7
65.3
64.5

66.4
68.7
67.5

68.7
71.4
70.0

70.5
73.6
72.0

72.2
75.4
73.7

72.9
76.2
74.5

69.8
72.0
70.9

70.9
73.5
72.2

72.9
76.0
74.4

74.5
77.9
76.2

75.9
79.5
77.7

77.2
80.8
79.0

78.3
82.0
80.2

79.4
83.1
81.2

80.4
84.1
82.3

80.9
84.6
82.7

67.5
71.7
69.4

68.9
73.2
70.9

71.2
75.8
73.3

73.1
77.7
75.2

74.7
79.3
76.8

76.1
80.7
78.3

77.3
81.9
79.6

78.5
83.0
80.7

79.5
84.0
81.8

80.0
84.5
82.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Japan .................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Mongolia ...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Rep. of Korea ....................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
South-Central Asia (10)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Central Asia
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Kazakhstan........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Tajikistan...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Turkmenistan ....................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Uzbekistan.........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Southern Asia
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Afghanistan .......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Bangladesh........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Bhutan ...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

335

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
India ....................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Iran ......................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Maldives..............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Nepal ...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Pakistan ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Sri Lanka.............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
South-Eastern Asia
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Cambodia ............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Indonesia .............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Lao PDR..............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Malaysia (11) ......................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Myanmar .............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Philippines...........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Singapore ............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

336

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
38.7
37.1
37.9

44.9
43.2
44.1

51.3
50.2
50.8

56.2
56.2
56.2

57.6
57.8
57.7

58.5
59.6
59.0

59.9
61.6
60.7

61.4
63.7
62.5

62.8
65.7
64.2

64.4
67.6
66.0

39.5
36.7
38.1

46.9
46.0
46.4

52.5
52.8
52.6

37.7
60.9
46.8

49.5
64.4
56.3

65.7
67.0
66.3

67.9
69.7
68.8

69.2
71.9
70.5

70.3
73.9
72.1

71.5
75.3
73.3

35.1
32.9
34.1

39.4
38.0
38.8

46.9
45.1
46.0

56.5
54.2
55.4

60.0
58.0
59.1

62.9
63.0
62.9

67.3
68.2
67.7

71.8
73.6
72.6

74.6
76.5
75.5

76.0
78.7
77.3

36.8
35.5
36.2

39.6
39.2
39.4

44.2
43.7
44.0

49.9
49.3
49.6

52.9
52.2
52.6

55.6
55.5
55.6

59.3
59.8
59.6

63.0
64.0
63.5

66.7
68.0
67.4

68.1
70.0
69.1

41.0
41.5
41.2

48.1
48.5
48.3

54.6
54.7
54.6

58.2
59.2
58.6

59.5
60.7
60.0

60.7
62.2
61.4

61.9
63.4
62.6

62.9
64.5
63.6

63.8
65.4
64.6

64.8
66.9
65.8

51.8
55.4
53.2

56.2
61.2
58.3

62.4
66.1
64.1

66.9
71.8
69.1

65.8
72.8
69.0

66.8
73.4
69.9

65.5
72.7
68.9

69.5
77.2
73.2

71.2
77.4
74.2

72.1
78.4
75.2

41.1
43.7
42.4

47.7
50.7
49.2

52.3
56.0
54.1

58.2
62.1
60.1

60.7
64.6
62.6

62.9
66.9
64.9

64.4
68.6
66.5

65.9
70.2
68.0

67.2
71.4
69.3

68.8
73.3
71.1

56.2
59.4
57.7

62.1
65.2
63.6

66.4
69.9
68.0

69.6
73.5
71.3

71.0
75.1
72.8

72.2
76.5
74.2

73.4
77.9
75.5

74.5
79.2
76.7

75.3
80.0
77.5

76.0
80.6
78.2

38.1
40.8
39.4

42.0
44.9
43.4

39.0
41.7
40.3

46.7
50.0
48.4

52.6
56.1
54.5

54.1
57.2
55.8

55.5
57.7
56.8

57.7
59.5
58.8

60.2
62.6
61.5

62.2
65.1
63.7

37.7
40.0
38.8

45.7
48.2
46.9

51.8
55.1
53.4

57.2
60.5
58.8

59.5
62.8
61.1

61.5
64.7
63.1

63.3
66.5
64.9

64.9
68.0
66.4

66.3
69.4
67.9

68.3
71.8
70.0

40.6
44.3
42.4

42.9
46.2
44.5

45.2
48.0
46.6

48.5
51.0
49.8

51.3
53.7
52.5

55.1
57.5
56.3

58.7
61.2
60.0

61.5
64.0
62.8

64.8
67.3
66.1

66.4
69.4
67.9

54.5
56.4
55.4

59.7
61.6
60.6

63.5
66.3
64.9

66.4
70.0
68.1

67.6
71.4
69.5

68.7
72.7
70.6

69.6
73.8
71.6

70.5
74.8
72.5

71.2
75.7
73.4

72.5
76.9
74.6

34.6
37.5
36.0

42.7
45.6
44.1

50.2
53.0
51.6

54.0
56.7
55.3

54.6
57.4
56.0

57.5
60.2
58.8

59.8
62.5
61.2

61.1
63.8
62.4

62.1
65.0
63.5

64.1
67.9
66.0

54.1
56.6
55.4

57.4
59.9
58.6

59.6
63.3
61.4

61.4
66.2
63.7

62.1
67.4
64.7

62.8
68.5
65.6

63.5
69.5
66.4

64.0
70.5
67.1

64.5
71.3
67.8

66.0
72.6
69.2

57.5
63.0
60.2

63.4
70.0
66.4

66.0
72.8
69.1

69.5
75.1
72.2

71.9
76.8
74.3

74.4
79.2
76.8

75.6
80.5
78.0

77.2
81.5
79.4

78.5
82.7
80.6

78.9
83.7
81.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
65.8
69.2
67.4

67.0
70.6
68.7

69.2
73.0
71.0

71.0
74.9
72.9

72.5
76.5
74.4

73.9
77.8
75.8

75.1
79.0
77.0

76.2
80.0
78.0

77.2
81.0
79.0

77.6
81.5
79.5

72.5
76.4
74.3

73.3
77.3
75.3

74.9
79.0
76.9

76.3
80.4
78.3

77.5
81.7
79.6

78.6
82.8
80.7

79.7
83.8
81.8

80.7
84.8
82.8

81.6
85.7
83.7

82.1
86.2
84.2

77.1
80.4
78.6

78.1
82.0
79.9

79.4
83.6
81.5

80.6
84.8
82.7

81.7
85.9
83.8

82.7
87.0
84.9

83.8
88.0
85.9

84.8
89.0
86.9

85.8
90.1
87.9

86.3
90.6
88.5

69.5
71.8
70.7

70.6
73.4
72.1

72.6
75.9
74.4

74.3
77.8
76.2

75.7
79.4
77.6

77.0
80.8
79.0

78.2
82.0
80.1

79.3
83.1
81.2

80.3
84.1
82.2

80.8
84.6
82.7

65.8
68.1
66.9

66.6
69.3
67.9

68.2
71.3
69.7

69.7
73.0
71.3

70.9
74.5
72.7

72.1
75.8
73.9

73.2
77.0
75.0

74.2
78.0
76.1

75.1
79.0
77.0

75.5
79.5
77.4

73.0
79.2
76.1

73.9
79.9
76.9

75.3
81.2
78.3

76.7
82.4
79.5

77.8
83.4
80.7

79.0
84.4
81.7

80.0
85.4
82.7

81.0
86.3
83.7

81.9
87.2
84.6

82.4
87.6
85.0

70.2
74.8
72.5

71.3
76.1
73.7

73.3
78.1
75.7

74.8
79.7
77.3

76.2
81.0
78.6

77.4
82.2
79.8

78.5
83.3
80.9

79.5
84.2
81.9

80.5
85.2
82.8

81.0
85.6
83.3

76.6
81.3
78.8

77.2
81.8
79.4

78.2
82.8
80.3

79.1
83.6
81.2

79.9
84.3
82.1

80.7
85.1
82.9

81.4
85.8
83.6

82.2
86.5
84.3

82.9
87.1
85.0

83.2
87.5
85.3

64.1
67.4
65.8

65.9
69.5
67.8

68.9
73.0
70.9

71.1
75.5
73.3

73.0
77.5
75.3

74.7
79.2
76.9

76.1
80.6
78.3

77.3
81.8
79.6

78.5
83.0
80.8

79.1
83.5
81.3

69.8
73.6
71.7

71.2
75.1
73.2

73.1
77.3
75.2

74.7
79.0
76.8

76.1
80.4
78.2

77.3
81.6
79.5

78.5
82.8
80.6

79.5
83.8
81.7

80.5
84.8
82.6

81.0
85.3
83.1

68.0
71.3
69.6

69.3
72.9
71.1

71.5
75.5
73.5

73.4
77.5
75.5

74.9
79.2
77.1

76.3
80.5
78.4

77.5
81.8
79.6

78.7
82.9
80.8

79.7
83.9
81.8

80.2
84.4
82.3

73.4
77.8
75.5

74.2
78.6
76.3

75.7
80.1
77.8

76.9
81.3
79.1

78.1
82.5
80.3

79.2
83.6
81.3

80.2
84.6
82.3

81.2
85.5
83.3

82.1
86.4
84.2

82.6
86.8
84.7

65.9
69.9
67.9

67.5
71.7
69.6

70.2
74.6
72.4

72.2
76.8
74.6

74.0
78.6
76.3

75.4
80.1
77.8

76.7
81.3
79.1

77.9
82.5
80.2

79.0
83.6
81.3

79.5
84.1
81.8

67.2
73.6
70.4

68.3
74.6
71.4

70.7
76.6
73.6

72.7
78.4
75.5

74.3
79.9
77.1

75.7
81.2
78.4

77.0
82.4
79.6

78.2
83.5
80.8

79.3
84.4
81.8

79.8
84.9
82.3

79.5
84.3
81.9

80.1
84.9
82.5

81.2
86.0
83.6

82.3
87.1
84.6

83.3
88.1
85.7

84.3
89.1
86.7

85.3
90.1
87.7

86.3
91.1
88.7

87.3
92.1
89.7

87.8
92.6
90.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

India ..................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Iran ....................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Maldives............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Nepal .................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Pakistan .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Sri Lanka...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
South-Eastern Asia
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Brunei Darussalam............................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Cambodia ..........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Indonesia ...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Lao PDR............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Malaysia (11) ....................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Myanmar ...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Philippines.........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Singapore ..........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

337

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Thailand ..............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Viet Nam .............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Western Asia
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Armenia...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Azerbaijan (12) ...................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Bahrain................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Cyprus (13) .........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Georgia (14) ........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Iraq ......................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Israel....................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Jordan..................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Kuwait.................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Lebanon...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ...........
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

338

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
48.7
52.9
50.7

54.5
58.9
56.6

58.5
63.6
61.0

64.7
70.7
67.6

69.0
75.2
72.0

68.9
75.9
72.3

68.4
76.3
72.2

69.3
76.7
72.9

70.2
77.1
73.6

71.1
77.8
74.4

29.6
30.4
30.0

34.4
35.6
35.0

39.2
40.7
39.9

39.2
40.7
39.9

42.5
44.0
43.2

47.8
49.4
48.6

53.0
54.6
53.8

57.4
59.0
58.2

59.9
61.7
60.8

62.1
64.2
63.1

39.1
41.8
40.4

43.5
47.4
45.4

45.3
50.5
47.8

56.8
61.2
59.0

61.0
64.9
63.0

66.1
69.6
67.9

69.0
72.4
70.7

71.2
74.9
73.1

72.3
76.2
74.3

73.4
77.4
75.5

45.1
48.8
46.9

49.6
53.0
51.2

53.9
57.6
55.8

57.8
64.1
60.8

62.0
67.1
64.4

64.7
69.1
66.8

66.7
70.9
68.8

68.5
72.7
70.6

69.4
74.1
71.7

71.0
75.3
73.1

59.8
65.9
62.8

63.9
70.0
67.1

67.6
73.6
70.8

67.7
73.8
70.9

65.9
70.7
68.4

64.5
71.5
68.0

66.6
73.1
69.9

68.9
75.6
72.4

70.2
76.7
73.7

71.0
77.3
74.4

54.4
61.5
58.0

58.3
65.5
62.0

61.8
69.0
65.6

61.0
68.6
65.0

62.1
69.8
66.1

59.4
68.5
63.9

62.5
69.6
66.0

65.0
70.4
67.8

67.1
73.1
70.1

68.0
73.7
70.9

38.9
46.6
42.4

52.4
58.5
55.1

63.7
67.9
65.5

69.3
72.3
70.5

70.8
73.3
71.9

71.7
73.9
72.7

72.5
74.5
73.4

73.3
74.9
74.0

74.0
75.4
74.6

74.7
76.1
75.3

64.8
68.7
66.7

68.4
72.5
70.4

71.2
75.2
73.2

73.2
77.3
75.3

74.1
78.2
76.1

74.9
79.0
76.9

75.6
79.7
77.7

76.3
80.4
78.3

76.8
81.1
78.9

77.7
82.1
79.9

56.8
64.4
60.6

60.7
68.3
64.6

64.1
71.8
68.1

65.6
73.2
69.6

66.5
74.0
70.5

66.5
74.3
70.5

67.3
74.7
71.1

68.8
75.9
72.5

69.4
76.5
73.0

70.5
77.3
74.1

38.6
40.9
39.7

51.9
50.9
51.4

59.0
59.0
59.0

44.5
65.2
53.3

56.8
70.7
63.3

67.6
73.2
70.3

68.3
73.7
71.0

67.5
72.6
70.1

63.4
71.7
67.3

67.6
72.6
70.2

67.6
70.4
68.9

69.6
72.5
71.0

71.0
74.3
72.6

72.8
76.4
74.6

74.0
77.7
75.9

75.1
79.1
77.1

76.2
80.5
78.4

77.4
81.7
79.6

78.4
82.9
80.7

79.6
84.2
82.0

48.5
47.6
48.0

55.1
56.1
55.6

61.6
63.8
62.6

66.8
69.4
68.0

68.5
71.0
69.7

69.8
72.2
70.9

70.6
72.9
71.7

71.2
73.6
72.3

71.7
74.3
72.9

72.2
75.2
73.6

54.3
57.3
55.6

61.3
64.7
62.6

66.1
69.6
67.6

69.8
72.6
70.9

71.1
73.5
72.1

72.0
74.1
72.8

72.6
74.5
73.3

73.1
74.9
73.7

73.5
75.2
74.2

74.0
75.9
74.8

54.3
57.7
55.9

60.3
64.1
62.1

63.4
67.6
65.4

64.7
69.5
67.0

65.6
70.5
68.0

67.2
71.6
69.4

68.2
72.4
70.3

68.9
73.2
71.0

69.9
74.2
72.0

70.7
75.1
72.9

44.7
48.8
46.6

48.9
52.8
50.7

55.7
59.3
57.4

62.8
66.0
64.4

65.5
68.7
67.1

67.3
70.4
68.9

68.9
71.9
70.4

69.8
72.9
71.3

70.6
73.8
72.2

71.5
74.8
73.1

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
72.0
78.5
75.2

72.9
79.3
76.1

74.5
80.6
77.6

75.9
81.8
78.9

77.2
83.0
80.1

78.3
84.0
81.1

79.4
85.0
82.1

80.4
85.9
83.1

81.4
86.8
84.0

81.9
87.2
84.5

64.2
66.6
65.4

65.9
68.8
67.3

68.9
72.4
70.6

71.2
75.1
73.1

73.1
77.2
75.1

74.7
78.9
76.7

76.1
80.3
78.2

77.3
81.5
79.4

78.5
82.7
80.6

79.0
83.2
81.1

74.3
78.4
76.5

75.1
79.3
77.3

76.5
80.8
78.7

77.7
82.0
79.9

78.8
83.1
80.9

79.9
84.1
82.0

80.9
85.1
82.9

81.8
86.0
83.9

82.7
86.9
84.8

83.2
87.3
85.2

71.9
76.3
74.0

72.8
77.2
75.0

74.6
78.9
76.7

76.1
80.3
78.1

77.4
81.5
79.4

78.5
82.6
80.5

79.5
83.6
81.5

80.4
84.5
82.4

81.3
85.4
83.3

81.7
85.9
83.8

71.8
78.0
75.2

72.5
78.6
75.9

74.0
79.8
77.2

75.4
81.1
78.6

76.7
82.3
79.8

77.9
83.3
80.8

79.0
84.3
81.8

80.1
85.3
82.7

81.0
86.2
83.6

81.5
86.7
84.1

69.0
74.6
71.9

70.0
75.5
72.8

71.8
77.1
74.5

73.6
78.8
76.3

75.1
80.2
77.7

76.4
81.5
78.9

77.7
82.6
80.1

78.8
83.7
81.1

79.8
84.7
82.1

80.3
85.2
82.6

75.3
76.7
75.8

75.9
77.4
76.5

77.2
79.0
77.8

78.3
80.5
79.1

79.4
81.7
80.2

80.4
82.8
81.4

81.4
83.9
82.4

82.3
84.8
83.5

83.2
85.8
84.4

83.7
86.2
84.8

78.3
82.7
80.5

78.8
83.3
81.0

79.8
84.3
82.0

80.8
85.2
83.0

81.8
86.1
83.9

82.7
87.0
84.8

83.6
87.9
85.7

84.5
88.7
86.5

85.3
89.6
87.4

85.8
90.0
87.8

71.3
78.0
74.8

72.1
78.5
75.5

73.6
79.7
76.9

75.1
81.1
78.3

76.5
82.2
79.5

77.7
83.3
80.5

78.8
84.3
81.5

79.8
85.3
82.5

80.8
86.2
83.4

81.3
86.7
83.9

68.4
73.4
71.0

69.4
74.4
72.0

71.7
76.7
74.3

73.5
78.5
76.0

75.0
79.9
77.5

76.4
81.2
78.8

77.6
82.4
80.0

78.7
83.5
81.1

79.8
84.5
82.1

80.3
85.0
82.6

80.5
85.4
83.0

81.1
86.2
83.7

82.2
87.3
84.8

83.2
88.3
85.8

84.3
89.3
86.8

85.3
90.3
87.8

86.3
91.3
88.8

87.3
92.3
89.7

88.3
93.3
90.7

88.8
93.8
91.2

72.7
75.8
74.2

73.3
76.4
74.8

74.7
78.1
76.3

76.1
79.6
77.8

77.3
80.9
79.1

78.5
82.1
80.2

79.5
83.2
81.3

80.5
84.2
82.4

81.5
85.2
83.3

82.0
85.7
83.8

74.5
76.5
75.3

74.9
77.0
75.8

76.2
78.6
77.1

77.4
80.1
78.4

78.5
81.3
79.6

79.6
82.5
80.8

80.6
83.6
81.9

81.6
84.6
82.9

82.5
85.5
83.9

83.0
86.0
84.3

71.7
76.0
73.9

72.6
77.0
74.9

74.3
78.8
76.6

75.7
80.2
78.1

77.0
81.5
79.3

78.2
82.6
80.4

79.2
83.7
81.5

80.3
84.7
82.4

81.2
85.6
83.4

81.7
86.0
83.9

72.3
75.7
73.9

73.0
76.4
74.7

74.5
78.1
76.3

75.9
79.7
77.8

77.2
81.0
79.1

78.3
82.2
80.2

79.4
83.3
81.3

80.4
84.3
82.3

81.4
85.2
83.3

81.8
85.7
83.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Thailand ............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Timor-Leste.......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Viet Nam ...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Western Asia
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Armenia.............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Azerbaijan (12) .................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Bahrain..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Cyprus (13) .......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Georgia (14) ......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Iraq ....................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Israel..................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Jordan................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Kuwait...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Lebanon.............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .........
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

339

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Oman...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Qatar....................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Turkey .................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Yemen .................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Europe
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Eastern Europe
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Belarus ................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Bulgaria...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Hungary...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Poland .................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ..........................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

340

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
37.3
38.9
38.1

42.9
45.2
44.0

51.8
54.4
53.2

62.1
64.7
63.4

67.2
69.8
68.4

71.1
73.4
72.1

72.4
74.5
73.2

73.6
75.2
74.3

70.9
74.8
72.6

71.4
76.4
73.4

52.2
57.4
54.7

59.5
63.4
61.3

66.4
69.0
67.5

71.3
72.8
71.9

73.0
74.0
73.4

74.5
75.0
74.7

75.8
75.8
75.8

77.0
76.6
76.9

78.1
77.3
77.9

78.7
78.2
78.5

38.9
42.2
40.5

44.9
48.1
46.4

53.4
56.5
54.9

63.3
65.4
64.2

66.3
68.6
67.3

68.6
71.0
69.6

69.6
72.3
70.7

70.7
73.4
71.9

72.2
74.4
73.1

73.2
75.6
74.2

45.4
50.2
47.6

52.4
56.7
54.4

60.0
63.8
61.8

65.9
69.2
67.5

68.5
71.4
70.0

70.8
73.4
72.0

72.2
74.8
73.5

73.1
75.9
74.5

73.9
76.8
75.3

74.5
77.7
76.1

45.9
49.3
47.6

46.8
50.4
48.5

49.4
53.4
51.3

56.4
60.5
58.4

59.6
63.9
61.7

62.3
66.7
64.4

65.6
70.0
67.8

68.7
73.3
70.9

70.7
75.3
73.0

72.0
76.6
74.3

42.5
48.2
45.2

51.6
57.1
54.2

62.5
66.7
64.0

68.1
71.3
69.2

70.0
72.9
71.1

71.5
74.1
72.5

72.9
75.2
73.8

74.2
76.2
74.9

75.3
77.0
75.9

76.0
78.0
76.8

34.9
36.6
35.7

37.5
39.5
38.5

40.2
42.3
41.3

50.3
52.6
51.5

54.0
56.3
55.2

55.5
57.9
56.8

57.0
59.5
58.3

60.0
62.6
61.3

62.5
65.4
63.9

64.5
67.7
66.1

62.9
68.0
65.6

66.5
72.5
69.6

67.1
74.2
70.8

67.7
75.6
71.7

69.0
76.5
72.9

68.3
76.8
72.6

68.9
77.3
73.1

69.6
78.0
73.8

71.4
79.3
75.4

72.8
80.2
76.5

60.6
67.0
64.1

65.3
72.4
69.2

64.9
73.4
69.5

63.7
73.4
68.7

65.2
74.1
69.8

63.1
73.6
68.3

62.5
73.4
67.9

62.4
73.8
67.9

64.3
75.3
69.7

66.0
76.2
71.1

61.1
70.0
65.9

64.6
73.5
69.5

66.6
75.5
71.5

65.6
75.2
70.7

66.5
75.6
71.3

64.5
74.9
69.8

62.5
74.0
68.2

62.7
74.5
68.5

63.6
75.5
69.4

65.2
76.4
70.8

60.3
63.7
62.0

68.3
71.8
70.0

68.8
73.4
71.1

68.5
74.2
71.2

68.3
74.7
71.3

67.7
74.8
71.1

67.4
74.6
70.9

68.7
75.6
72.1

69.2
76.3
72.7

70.3
77.1
73.7

64.5
69.5
67.0

67.3
73.4
70.4

67.0
73.6
70.3

67.2
74.4
70.8

67.8
75.2
71.5

68.8
76.2
72.5

70.8
77.7
74.2

72.2
78.8
75.5

73.8
80.2
77.0

74.7
81.0
77.9

61.9
66.1
64.0

66.5
71.0
68.8

66.4
72.4
69.4

65.3
73.0
69.1

65.4
73.6
69.4

64.9
74.1
69.4

66.5
75.4
70.9

68.4
76.8
72.6

69.5
77.6
73.6

70.8
78.5
74.7

58.6
64.2
61.3

65.1
71.2
68.3

67.0
74.0
70.6

66.9
75.0
71.0

66.8
75.3
71.0

66.8
75.7
71.1

68.5
77.1
72.8

70.3
78.7
74.5

71.2
79.8
75.5

72.2
80.6
76.4

55.0
63.0
58.4

59.0
66.5
62.3

61.6
68.5
64.8

61.7
68.3
64.8

64.1
70.7
67.3

63.6
70.9
67.3

62.6
70.5
66.6

63.7
71.5
67.6

64.4
72.1
68.2

66.2
73.5
69.8

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
72.7
77.4
74.2

73.6
78.3
75.0

75.1
79.8
76.5

76.4
81.1
78.0

77.7
82.3
79.5

78.8
83.3
80.9

79.8
84.4
82.0

80.8
85.3
82.9

81.8
86.2
83.8

82.2
86.7
84.3

79.2
79.0
79.2

79.7
79.8
79.5

80.7
81.1
80.8

81.7
82.3
81.9

82.6
83.3
82.9

83.5
84.3
83.8

84.4
85.3
84.6

85.3
86.2
85.5

86.1
87.1
86.4

86.5
87.5
86.8

74.0
76.6
75.1

74.8
77.6
75.9

76.2
79.2
77.4

77.4
80.6
78.7

78.5
81.8
80.0

79.6
82.9
81.1

80.6
84.0
82.2

81.6
84.9
83.2

82.5
85.9
84.1

82.9
86.3
84.6

75.2
78.5
76.8

75.9
79.3
77.6

77.1
80.7
78.9

78.3
81.9
80.1

79.4
83.0
81.2

80.4
84.0
82.2

81.3
85.0
83.1

82.3
85.9
84.1

83.2
86.8
85.0

83.6
87.3
85.4

72.8
77.4
75.1

73.7
78.3
76.0

75.2
79.8
77.5

76.5
81.1
78.8

77.7
82.3
80.0

78.8
83.4
81.1

79.9
84.4
82.1

80.9
85.3
83.1

81.8
86.2
84.0

82.3
86.7
84.5

76.6
78.8
77.4

77.3
79.6
78.0

78.4
80.9
79.1

79.5
82.1
80.2

80.5
83.2
81.2

81.5
84.2
82.3

82.4
85.2
83.3

83.3
86.1
84.3

84.2
87.0
85.3

84.6
87.4
85.7

66.3
69.7
68.0

67.8
71.6
69.7

70.4
74.5
72.5

72.4
76.8
74.6

74.1
78.5
76.3

75.6
80.0
77.8

76.9
81.3
79.1

78.0
82.4
80.2

79.1
83.5
81.3

79.7
84.0
81.8

73.9
80.9
77.5

75.0
81.6
78.3

76.7
82.9
79.8

78.1
84.1
81.1

79.4
85.3
82.3

80.8
86.4
83.5

82.0
87.5
84.7

83.1
88.6
85.8

84.2
89.6
86.9

84.7
90.1
87.4

67.3
77.0
72.2

68.5
77.8
73.2

70.6
79.1
75.0

72.4
80.3
76.4

74.0
81.5
77.8

75.6
82.7
79.2

76.9
83.8
80.4

78.1
84.8
81.5

79.2
85.8
82.5

79.8
86.3
83.0

66.5
77.1
71.8

67.6
77.7
72.8

69.7
78.9
74.4

71.4
80.0
75.8

73.0
81.1
77.1

74.6
82.3
78.5

76.0
83.3
79.7

77.3
84.3
80.8

78.4
85.3
81.8

79.0
85.8
82.3

71.1
77.8
74.4

71.8
78.4
75.1

73.4
79.8
76.6

74.9
81.1
78.0

76.2
82.3
79.2

77.4
83.3
80.3

78.5
84.4
81.4

79.5
85.3
82.4

80.6
86.2
83.3

81.0
86.7
83.8

75.5
81.7
78.6

76.3
82.4
79.3

77.6
83.6
80.6

78.9
84.8
81.8

80.0
85.9
82.9

81.1
87.0
84.0

82.2
88.0
85.1

83.3
89.1
86.1

84.3
90.1
87.1

84.8
90.6
87.6

71.9
79.2
75.6

72.8
80.0
76.5

74.4
81.4
78.0

75.8
82.7
79.3

77.1
84.0
80.5

78.3
85.1
81.7

79.3
86.2
82.8

80.4
87.3
83.8

81.3
88.3
84.8

81.8
88.8
85.3

73.0
81.2
77.1

73.9
81.8
77.9

75.4
82.9
79.2

76.7
83.9
80.3

77.9
84.9
81.4

79.0
85.8
82.4

80.0
86.7
83.3

81.0
87.6
84.3

82.0
88.5
85.2

82.4
88.9
85.6

67.3
74.4
70.9

68.5
75.3
71.9

70.5
77.0
73.8

72.5
78.7
75.7

74.2
80.1
77.2

75.6
81.4
78.6

76.9
82.6
79.8

78.1
83.6
80.8

79.2
84.6
81.9

79.7
85.1
82.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Oman.................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Qatar..................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Saudi Arabia......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Turkey ...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
United Arab Emirates .......................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Yemen ...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Europe
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Eastern Europe
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Belarus ..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Bulgaria.............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Czech Rep. ........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Hungary.............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Poland ...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Rep. of Moldova (16) ........................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

341

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Romania ..............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Russian Federation..............................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Slovakia...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Ukraine................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Northern Europe (17)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Channel Islands (18) ...........................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Denmark..............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Estonia.................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Finland (19) .........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Iceland.................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Ireland .................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Latvia ..................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Lithuania .............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Norway (20) ........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Sweden................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

342

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
59.4
62.8
61.0

65.2
68.8
66.8

66.6
71.2
69.2

66.9
72.6
69.7

66.5
72.6
69.5

66.1
73.3
69.4

66.1
73.6
69.7

67.9
75.2
71.5

69.6
76.8
73.2

70.6
78.0
74.3

60.5
67.3
64.5

64.1
72.8
69.2

63.1
73.6
69.0

61.5
72.9
67.4

63.9
73.8
69.1

60.6
72.7
66.6

59.6
72.2
65.7

58.6
71.9
64.9

61.6
74.0
67.7

63.3
75.0
69.2

62.5
66.3
64.5

68.3
73.0
70.6

66.8
73.5
70.1

66.8
74.7
70.6

67.0
75.2
71.0

67.4
75.9
71.6

68.7
76.8
72.8

69.8
77.8
73.8

70.7
78.7
74.7

71.9
79.5
75.8

61.3
69.7
65.9

67.4
73.8
71.1

65.3
74.0
70.1

64.4
74.0
69.5

66.0
74.6
70.6

63.6
73.7
68.7

61.9
73.0
67.4

62.0
73.4
67.6

61.8
73.5
67.5

63.5
74.6
69.0

66.5
71.4
69.0

68.2
74.0
71.1

69.0
75.5
72.3

70.7
77.2
74.0

71.7
77.9
74.8

72.5
78.6
75.6

73.7
79.5
76.6

75.2
80.5
77.9

76.5
81.5
79.0

77.5
82.3
79.9

66.6
71.7
69.2

67.9
73.9
70.9

68.9
75.2
72.1

71.0
77.0
74.0

72.1
77.8
74.9

73.3
78.8
76.1

74.5
79.5
77.0

76.0
80.5
78.3

77.3
81.6
79.5

78.0
82.4
80.2

69.6
72.2
70.9

70.4
74.4
72.4

70.9
76.3
73.6

71.4
77.5
74.4

71.8
77.6
74.7

72.5
77.9
75.2

73.5
78.5
76.0

74.9
79.5
77.2

76.0
80.5
78.3

76.7
81.4
79.0

61.7
68.3
65.3

65.0
73.4
69.8

65.7
74.7
70.5

64.1
74.2
69.3

65.6
74.7
70.3

62.9
74.2
68.5

63.5
75.3
69.4

65.6
77.0
71.3

68.3
79.2
73.9

69.8
80.0
75.0

62.7
69.3
66.1

65.5
72.5
69.1

66.5
75.0
70.8

70.0
78.3
74.3

70.6
78.7
74.8

71.8
79.5
75.7

73.3
80.6
77.0

74.8
81.6
78.3

75.9
82.8
79.3

77.2
83.3
80.2

69.9
74.3
72.1

71.1
76.1
73.6

71.2
77.2
74.1

73.8
79.9
76.8

75.1
80.1
77.6

76.2
80.9
78.6

76.8
81.1
78.9

78.6
82.4
80.5

79.5
83.0
81.3

80.3
83.8
82.0

65.4
68.1
66.7

68.2
72.1
70.1

68.8
73.8
71.2

70.4
76.0
73.1

71.3
77.1
74.1

72.6
78.2
75.3

73.2
78.8
75.9

75.1
80.2
77.6

77.3
82.0
79.7

78.4
83.2
80.8

62.5
69.0
66.0

66.4
73.8
70.3

65.4
74.6
70.1

63.9
74.5
69.3

65.8
75.0
70.2

61.9
73.9
67.9

63.6
76.2
69.9

65.7
76.7
71.3

66.9
77.5
72.3

68.8
78.5
73.8

61.5
67.8
64.8

67.0
73.5
70.4

67.0
75.4
71.3

66.1
75.7
70.8

67.2
76.4
71.7

64.3
75.5
69.9

65.1
76.2
70.6

66.3
77.5
71.9

65.5
77.2
71.3

67.2
78.3
72.8

70.8
74.4
72.6

71.1
75.9
73.5

71.3
77.5
74.4

72.6
79.3
75.9

72.7
79.4
76.0

74.0
80.1
77.2

75.3
81.0
78.2

76.6
81.7
79.2

78.1
82.7
80.5

79.1
83.5
81.3

70.3
73.1
71.7

71.5
75.4
73.4

72.1
77.5
74.8

73.3
79.4
76.4

74.2
80.1
77.2

75.3
80.8
78.1

76.7
81.7
79.2

77.8
82.2
80.0

78.8
82.9
80.9

79.7
83.7
81.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
71.7
78.8
75.2

72.6
79.5
76.1

74.3
80.9
77.6

75.7
82.1
78.9

77.0
83.2
80.1

78.2
84.2
81.1

79.2
85.1
82.2

80.3
86.1
83.1

81.2
87.0
84.0

81.7
87.4
84.5

64.8
75.8
70.3

66.1
76.6
71.4

68.4
77.9
73.3

70.3
79.1
74.8

72.1
80.3
76.3

73.8
81.5
77.7

75.3
82.7
79.0

76.7
83.7
80.2

77.8
84.7
81.3

78.4
85.2
81.8

72.9
80.2
76.6

73.9
80.9
77.4

75.4
82.1
78.8

76.7
83.2
79.9

77.9
84.2
81.0

79.0
85.2
82.1

80.0
86.1
83.0

81.0
87.0
84.0

82.0
87.8
84.9

82.4
88.3
85.3

65.0
75.4
70.3

66.3
76.2
71.3

68.5
77.6
73.2

70.6
78.9
74.9

72.6
80.3
76.5

74.2
81.6
78.0

75.7
82.7
79.2

77.0
83.8
80.4

78.1
84.7
81.4

78.7
85.2
81.9

78.3
82.9
80.6

78.9
83.6
81.2

80.2
84.8
82.5

81.3
85.9
83.6

82.4
87.0
84.7

83.5
88.0
85.7

84.6
89.1
86.8

85.6
90.1
87.8

86.6
91.1
88.8

87.1
91.5
89.3

78.7
83.0
80.8

79.3
83.6
81.5

80.4
84.8
82.6

81.5
85.9
83.7

82.7
86.9
84.8

83.8
87.9
85.8

84.8
88.9
86.8

85.9
89.8
87.8

87.0
90.7
88.8

87.6
91.2
89.3

77.4
82.1
79.7

78.0
82.7
80.4

79.3
84.0
81.6

80.4
85.1
82.8

81.5
86.3
83.9

82.6
87.3
84.9

83.6
88.3
86.0

84.6
89.3
87.0

85.6
90.3
87.9

86.1
90.8
88.4

70.9
80.6
76.0

71.9
81.3
76.8

73.7
82.4
78.2

75.2
83.5
79.5

76.5
84.5
80.6

77.7
85.4
81.6

78.8
86.3
82.6

79.9
87.2
83.5

80.9
88.1
84.4

81.4
88.5
84.9

78.2
83.9
81.0

78.9
84.5
81.7

80.1
85.6
82.8

81.2
86.7
83.9

82.3
87.8
85.0

83.4
88.8
86.0

84.4
89.8
87.1

85.4
90.8
88.1

86.4
91.8
89.1

86.9
92.3
89.5

80.8
84.4
82.6

81.4
85.0
83.2

82.5
86.1
84.3

83.5
87.2
85.3

84.5
88.2
86.4

85.6
89.3
87.4

86.6
90.3
88.4

87.6
91.3
89.4

88.5
92.2
90.4

89.0
92.7
90.8

79.1
83.8
81.4

79.7
84.4
82.0

80.8
85.5
83.1

81.8
86.6
84.2

82.9
87.6
85.2

83.9
88.7
86.3

85.0
89.7
87.3

86.0
90.7
88.3

86.9
91.7
89.2

87.4
92.1
89.7

70.0
79.3
74.8

71.2
80.0
75.8

73.0
81.3
77.3

74.6
82.4
78.6

76.0
83.5
79.8

77.3
84.5
80.9

78.4
85.5
81.9

79.5
86.4
82.9

80.5
87.3
83.8

81.0
87.7
84.3

68.3
78.9
73.7

69.3
79.4
74.5

71.5
80.7
76.2

73.3
81.9
77.7

74.9
83.0
79.0

76.2
84.0
80.2

77.5
85.0
81.2

78.6
85.9
82.3

79.7
86.8
83.2

80.2
87.3
83.7

79.8
84.1
82.0

80.4
84.7
82.5

81.5
85.8
83.6

82.6
86.9
84.7

83.7
88.0
85.8

84.7
89.0
86.8

85.7
90.0
87.8

86.7
91.0
88.8

87.6
92.0
89.8

88.1
92.4
90.3

80.5
84.3
82.4

81.2
84.8
83.0

82.2
86.0
84.1

83.3
87.1
85.2

84.3
88.1
86.2

85.3
89.1
87.2

86.3
90.1
88.2

87.3
91.1
89.2

88.3
92.1
90.2

88.8
92.6
90.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Romania ............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Russian Federation............................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Slovakia.............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Ukraine..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Northern Europe (17)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Channel Islands (18) .........................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Denmark............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Estonia...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Finland (19) .......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Iceland...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Ireland ...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Latvia ................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Lithuania ...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Norway (20) ......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Sweden..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

343

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
United Kingdom..................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Southern Europe (21)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Albania................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Croatia.................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Greece .................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Italy .....................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Malta ...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Montenegro .........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Portugal ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Serbia (22) ...........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Slovenia...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Spain (23) ............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ........................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Western Europe (25)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

344

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
66.7
71.8
69.3

68.0
73.9
71.0

69.0
75.2
72.1

71.1
77.0
74.1

72.1
77.8
75.0

73.4
78.8
76.2

74.5
79.5
77.1

76.0
80.6
78.3

77.4
81.7
79.6

78.3
82.4
80.4

61.7
65.4
63.6

65.8
70.6
68.2

68.5
74.1
71.3

70.8
77.2
74.0

72.0
78.5
75.3

72.3
79.5
75.8

74.1
80.5
77.3

75.6
81.7
78.7

76.8
82.6
79.7

77.8
83.4
80.6

54.4
56.1
55.2

63.7
66.0
64.8

66.0
69.5
67.7

68.0
73.0
70.4

69.2
75.0
72.0

68.4
74.3
71.2

70.1
75.9
72.9

72.4
78.7
75.3

73.4
79.7
76.4

74.2
80.4
77.1

52.6
54.8
53.8

60.1
63.6
61.9

65.2
69.5
67.5

68.0
73.4
70.7

69.2
74.5
71.1

55.8
73.2
63.7

70.5
75.9
73.3

71.6
77.2
74.4

72.4
77.7
75.1

73.3
78.4
75.9

59.0
63.2
61.2

64.5
69.6
67.1

66.2
72.9
69.6

66.4
74.6
70.5

67.0
75.5
71.5

68.3
76.5
72.5

70.9
78.1
74.6

71.3
78.4
74.9

72.5
79.5
76.0

73.3
80.4
76.9

64.3
67.5
65.9

67.9
71.2
69.5

70.6
74.2
72.3

72.8
77.5
75.2

74.0
78.8
76.7

74.8
80.0
77.4

75.2
80.7
78.0

76.3
81.8
79.0

77.0
82.0
79.5

77.6
82.6
80.1

64.5
68.1
66.3

66.9
72.3
69.6

69.1
75.2
72.1

71.4
78.1
74.8

73.0
79.5
76.3

74.0
80.7
77.4

75.5
81.8
78.7

77.2
83.0
80.2

78.6
84.0
81.4

79.2
84.6
82.0

64.2
67.5
65.8

66.2
70.7
68.4

68.8
73.5
71.2

71.2
75.9
73.6

72.3
77.1
74.7

73.4
78.2
75.8

74.4
79.2
76.8

75.4
80.2
77.8

76.3
81.2
78.8

77.6
82.3
80.0

58.4
59.9
59.1

62.0
65.4
63.7

68.1
73.0
70.6

71.5
76.6
74.1

72.3
77.4
74.8

72.8
79.1
76.0

72.1
78.9
75.5

71.8
77.0
74.4

71.5
76.5
74.0

72.5
77.4
74.9

57.3
62.6
60.0

61.3
67.1
64.2

64.9
71.3
68.2

68.8
75.8
72.3

70.3
77.3
73.8

71.0
78.3
74.7

72.2
79.5
75.9

73.9
80.7
77.3

75.3
81.8
78.6

76.8
82.8
79.8

57.1
58.8
58.0

63.3
65.7
64.5

66.8
70.6
68.7

67.7
72.7
70.2

68.8
73.7
71.2

69.2
74.5
71.8

69.9
74.6
72.2

70.9
75.6
73.2

71.7
76.3
74.0

72.5
77.0
74.7

63.0
68.1
65.6

66.1
72.0
69.2

66.0
73.5
69.8

67.0
75.1
71.1

68.4
76.4
72.5

69.6
77.6
73.7

71.2
78.9
75.1

72.8
80.4
76.7

75.0
82.0
78.6

76.1
82.8
79.5

61.8
66.3
64.1

67.1
72.2
69.7

69.6
75.3
72.5

72.8
79.0
75.9

73.3
80.0
76.7

73.8
81.1
77.4

74.9
82.1
78.5

76.2
83.0
79.6

77.2
83.8
80.5

78.8
84.8
81.8

55.0
55.0
55.0

61.6
62.8
62.2

66.0
68.9
67.5

67.7
71.5
69.6

68.9
72.8
70.8

69.4
74.0
71.8

70.3
74.8
72.5

71.0
75.8
73.4

72.1
76.3
74.2

73.0
77.1
75.1

65.4
70.1
67.8

67.6
73.5
70.6

68.5
75.0
71.8

70.8
77.7
74.4

72.1
79.0
75.7

73.0
80.0
76.6

74.4
81.0
77.8

75.9
82.0
79.0

77.4
83.0
80.3

78.4
83.6
81.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
United Kingdom................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

78.9
83.0
81.0

79.4
83.7
81.5

80.6
84.8
82.7

81.7
86.0
83.8

82.8
87.0
84.9

83.8
88.1
85.9

84.8
89.1
86.9

85.8
90.1
87.9

86.8
91.1
88.9

87.3
91.5
89.4

78.5
83.9
81.2

79.2
84.5
81.9

80.4
85.7
83.0

81.5
86.8
84.1

82.6
87.8
85.1

83.6
88.7
86.1

84.6
89.7
87.0

85.6
90.7
88.0

86.6
91.7
89.0

87.1
92.1
89.5

75.0
81.0
77.9

75.7
81.7
78.6

77.0
82.8
79.9

78.1
83.8
81.1

79.2
84.8
82.1

80.2
85.8
83.0

81.2
86.7
83.9

82.1
87.5
84.8

83.0
88.4
85.7

83.5
88.8
86.1

74.0
79.0
76.5

74.6
79.5
77.1

75.9
80.8
78.4

77.2
82.0
79.6

78.3
83.1
80.7

79.4
84.1
81.7

80.4
85.1
82.7

81.4
86.0
83.6

82.3
86.9
84.5

82.8
87.3
85.0

74.2
81.1
77.7

75.1
81.8
78.5

76.5
83.0
79.8

77.9
84.0
81.0

79.1
85.0
82.0

80.3
85.9
83.1

81.4
86.8
84.1

82.4
87.7
85.0

83.5
88.5
86.0

84.0
88.9
86.4

78.2
83.1
80.6

78.7
83.7
81.2

79.8
84.6
82.2

80.8
85.6
83.1

81.7
86.5
84.0

82.7
87.4
84.9

83.6
88.2
85.8

84.4
89.0
86.7

85.3
89.8
87.5

85.7
90.3
87.9

79.8
85.2
82.5

80.4
85.7
83.1

81.5
86.8
84.1

82.6
87.9
85.2

83.6
88.9
86.2

84.6
89.9
87.2

85.6
90.9
88.2

86.6
91.9
89.2

87.6
92.8
90.1

88.1
93.3
90.6

78.2
82.9
80.6

78.8
83.5
81.2

80.0
84.7
82.3

81.1
85.9
83.5

82.2
86.9
84.5

83.3
88.0
85.6

84.3
89.0
86.6

85.3
90.0
87.6

86.3
91.0
88.6

86.8
91.5
89.1

73.4
78.2
75.8

74.2
79.0
76.6

75.6
80.4
78.1

76.9
81.7
79.3

78.1
82.8
80.5

79.2
83.9
81.5

80.2
84.8
82.5

81.1
85.8
83.4

82.1
86.7
84.3

82.5
87.2
84.8

77.4
83.3
80.4

78.0
83.8
80.9

79.1
84.8
81.9

80.1
85.7
82.9

81.1
86.6
83.8

82.0
87.5
84.7

83.0
88.3
85.6

83.8
89.2
86.4

84.7
90.0
87.3

85.1
90.4
87.7

73.1
77.7
75.4

73.8
78.3
76.0

75.2
79.7
77.5

76.5
81.0
78.8

77.8
82.2
80.0

78.9
83.3
81.0

79.9
84.3
82.1

80.9
85.3
83.0

81.8
86.2
84.0

82.3
86.6
84.4

76.8
83.5
80.2

77.5
84.1
80.8

78.7
85.2
81.9

79.9
86.3
83.0

81.0
87.4
84.1

82.1
88.4
85.2

83.1
89.4
86.2

84.2
90.4
87.2

85.2
91.4
88.2

85.7
91.9
88.7

79.7
85.3
82.5

80.5
85.9
83.2

81.7
87.0
84.3

82.8
88.0
85.3

83.8
89.0
86.3

84.8
90.0
87.3

85.8
91.0
88.3

86.8
92.0
89.3

87.8
93.0
90.3

88.3
93.4
90.8

73.7
77.8
75.8

74.3
78.4
76.4

75.7
79.8
77.7

77.0
81.1
79.0

78.1
82.3
80.2

79.2
83.4
81.3

80.3
84.4
82.3

81.2
85.3
83.2

82.2
86.2
84.1

82.6
86.7
84.6

Southern Europe (21)


Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Albania..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Croatia...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Greece ...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Italy ...................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Malta .................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Montenegro .......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Portugal .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Serbia (22) .........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Slovenia.............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Spain (23) ..........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
TFYR Macedonia (24) ......................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

79.2
84.2
81.7

80.0
84.8
82.4

81.2
85.9
83.6

82.3
87.0
84.7

83.3
88.1
85.7

84.4
89.1
86.7

85.4
90.2
87.8

86.4
91.2
88.8

87.4
92.2
89.8

87.9
92.7
90.3

Western Europe (25)


Males
Females
Both sexes combined

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

345

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Austria.................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Belgium...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
France..................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Germany..............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Luxembourg ........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Netherlands .........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Switzerland .........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Latin America and Caribbean
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Caribbean (26)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Aruba...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Bahamas..............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Barbados .............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Cuba ....................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Grenada ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

346

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
63.6
68.8
66.3

66.3
72.6
69.5

67.0
74.1
70.7

69.4
76.5
73.1

71.3
78.0
74.8

72.6
79.2
76.0

74.0
80.5
77.4

75.8
81.6
78.8

77.4
82.9
80.2

78.4
83.5
81.0

65.9
70.9
68.4

67.1
73.1
70.1

68.4
74.9
71.6

70.6
77.2
73.9

72.2
78.9
75.6

73.0
79.7
76.4

74.3
80.6
77.5

75.1
81.2
78.2

77.0
82.5
79.8

77.2
82.8
80.0

64.2
70.2
67.3

67.2
74.2
70.7

68.6
76.3
72.4

70.7
78.9
74.8

72.1
80.3
76.1

73.3
81.5
77.4

74.6
82.3
78.5

76.0
83.2
79.6

77.5
84.3
81.0

78.5
84.9
81.7

65.3
69.6
67.5

67.4
72.9
70.3

67.9
73.8
71.0

70.3
76.8
73.8

71.7
78.2
74.8

72.6
79.1
76.0

74.1
80.3
77.4

75.7
81.5
78.7

77.2
82.4
79.8

78.2
83.0
80.6

63.1
68.9
65.9

65.9
72.3
69.0

66.8
73.7
70.1

69.4
76.1
72.8

70.7
77.8
74.4

72.3
78.8
75.6

73.6
79.9
76.8

75.0
81.1
78.1

76.7
82.0
79.4

77.6
82.7
80.2

70.6
73.2
71.9

71.2
75.8
73.5

71.2
77.1
74.1

72.8
79.5
76.1

73.5
79.9
76.7

74.2
80.2
77.3

75.1
80.5
77.9

76.3
81.0
78.7

78.0
82.2
80.2

78.8
82.8
80.9

67.0
71.6
69.3

68.7
74.4
71.6

70.6
76.8
73.7

72.7
79.4
76.1

73.8
80.6
77.2

74.7
81.3
78.0

76.1
82.1
79.2

77.9
83.3
80.7

79.3
84.1
81.8

80.2
84.7
82.5

49.6
53.1
51.3

54.8
58.9
56.8

58.5
63.3
60.9

62.1
68.4
65.2

63.9
70.5
67.1

65.6
72.3
68.9

67.4
74.0
70.6

68.9
75.4
72.1

70.2
76.7
73.4

71.6
77.8
74.7

50.5
53.6
52.0

56.6
60.0
58.3

61.1
64.8
62.9

63.6
67.5
65.5

64.6
69.0
66.7

65.5
70.2
67.8

66.7
71.5
69.1

67.9
72.6
70.2

69.3
74.0
71.6

70.3
75.1
72.7

59.1
61.6
60.4

64.8
68.3
66.6

67.5
72.6
70.0

70.5
75.2
72.9

70.8
75.8
73.3

71.1
76.0
73.6

71.2
76.2
73.7

71.5
76.4
74.0

72.3
77.1
74.8

73.0
77.8
75.4

58.3
61.2
59.8

61.0
67.3
64.2

63.2
69.9
66.5

64.5
72.4
68.3

66.0
73.1
69.4

66.4
72.6
69.4

68.1
73.9
71.0

69.8
75.2
72.6

71.6
77.8
74.8

72.7
78.8
75.9

55.0
59.5
57.5

63.5
68.3
66.1

66.9
72.0
69.6

70.2
75.2
72.8

71.5
76.5
74.2

72.1
77.5
75.0

72.3
78.1
75.3

72.6
78.9
75.7

73.0
79.5
76.2

73.9
80.3
77.1

57.4
61.1
59.1

63.5
66.9
65.1

69.2
72.5
70.8

72.4
75.6
74.0

72.7
76.3
74.4

72.8
76.5
74.6

74.0
77.9
75.9

75.0
78.8
76.9

76.5
80.5
78.5

77.4
81.3
79.3

44.7
47.3
45.9

52.1
55.1
53.5

58.1
61.6
59.8

62.0
66.0
63.9

64.1
68.8
66.3

66.3
71.5
68.8

67.8
72.7
70.1

69.2
74.0
71.5

69.8
75.4
72.5

71.2
76.6
73.8

59.6
65.3
62.6

60.9
66.0
63.6

62.1
66.7
64.6

63.4
67.4
65.5

65.7
68.9
67.4

68.8
72.5
70.7

71.1
73.9
72.6

72.8
75.7
74.3

73.7
76.8
75.3

74.5
77.7
76.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
79.3
84.2
81.8

80.1
84.7
82.5

81.3
85.8
83.6

82.4
86.9
84.7

83.5
88.0
85.7

84.5
89.0
86.7

85.5
90.0
87.7

86.5
91.0
88.7

87.5
92.0
89.7

88.0
92.5
90.2

77.8
83.3
80.6

78.4
83.9
81.2

79.6
85.1
82.3

80.8
86.2
83.5

81.8
87.2
84.5

82.9
88.3
85.6

83.9
89.3
86.6

85.0
90.3
87.6

86.0
91.3
88.6

86.5
91.8
89.1

79.3
85.5
82.4

80.2
86.0
83.1

81.4
87.1
84.3

82.5
88.1
85.3

83.5
89.2
86.3

84.5
90.2
87.3

85.5
91.2
88.3

86.5
92.2
89.3

87.5
93.1
90.3

88.0
93.6
90.8

79.1
83.6
81.4

79.9
84.2
82.1

81.2
85.3
83.3

82.3
86.5
84.3

83.3
87.5
85.4

84.3
88.5
86.5

85.3
89.6
87.5

86.3
90.6
88.5

87.3
91.6
89.5

87.8
92.0
90.0

78.6
83.3
80.9

79.5
83.9
81.7

80.8
85.1
82.9

81.8
86.2
84.0

82.9
87.3
85.1

84.0
88.3
86.1

85.0
89.4
87.1

86.0
90.4
88.1

87.0
91.3
89.1

87.5
91.8
89.6

79.4
83.3
81.4

80.0
83.8
81.9

81.1
85.0
83.0

82.2
86.1
84.1

83.3
87.1
85.2

84.3
88.2
86.2

85.3
89.2
87.2

86.3
90.2
88.2

87.3
91.2
89.2

87.8
91.7
89.7

81.0
85.3
83.2

81.7
85.8
83.8

82.9
86.9
84.9

83.9
88.0
85.9

84.9
89.0
87.0

85.9
90.0
88.0

86.9
91.0
88.9

87.9
92.0
89.9

88.9
93.0
90.9

89.4
93.5
91.4

72.6
78.7
75.6

73.5
79.5
76.5

75.1
80.9
78.0

76.4
82.2
79.3

77.6
83.2
80.4

78.7
84.2
81.4

79.7
85.1
82.4

80.6
86.0
83.3

81.5
86.9
84.1

81.9
87.3
84.6

71.2
76.1
73.6

72.0
77.0
74.5

73.7
78.7
76.1

75.1
80.0
77.5

76.3
81.2
78.7

77.3
82.1
79.7

78.3
83.0
80.6

79.2
83.9
81.5

80.2
84.8
82.4

80.6
85.2
82.9

73.7
78.4
76.1

74.3
78.9
76.7

75.6
80.3
78.1

76.9
81.5
79.4

78.1
82.7
80.5

79.2
83.7
81.5

80.2
84.7
82.5

81.2
85.6
83.4

82.1
86.5
84.3

82.6
87.0
84.8

74.2
80.5
77.5

75.0
81.4
78.3

76.3
82.1
79.3

77.6
83.5
80.6

78.7
84.8
81.8

79.8
86.0
82.9

80.9
87.0
84.0

82.1
88.1
85.0

83.3
89.1
86.2

83.8
89.6
86.7

74.7
80.9
77.8

75.4
81.5
78.5

76.7
82.7
79.7

77.9
83.7
80.8

79.0
84.7
81.8

80.0
85.6
82.8

81.0
86.5
83.7

82.0
87.4
84.7

82.9
88.3
85.6

83.3
88.7
86.0

78.0
82.1
80.0

78.6
82.8
80.7

79.7
84.0
81.8

80.5
85.0
82.7

81.3
86.0
83.6

82.0
86.9
84.4

82.7
87.7
85.2

83.4
88.6
85.9

84.1
89.4
86.7

84.4
89.8
87.0

72.1
77.4
74.7

73.0
78.1
75.5

74.3
79.4
76.8

75.6
80.7
78.1

76.9
81.9
79.3

78.0
83.0
80.5

79.2
84.0
81.6

80.2
85.0
82.5

81.2
85.9
83.5

81.6
86.4
83.9

75.2
78.5
77.0

75.9
79.3
77.7

77.2
80.7
78.9

78.3
81.9
80.1

79.4
83.0
81.2

80.4
84.0
82.2

81.4
85.0
83.1

82.3
85.9
84.1

83.2
86.8
85.0

83.7
87.3
85.4

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Austria...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Belgium.............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
France................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Germany............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Luxembourg ......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Netherlands .......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Switzerland .......................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Latin America and Caribbean
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Caribbean (26)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Aruba.................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Bahamas............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Barbados ...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Cuba ..................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Dominican Rep. ................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Grenada .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

347

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Guadeloupe (27) ..................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Haiti.....................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Jamaica................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Martinique...........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ....................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
St. Lucia ..............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
US Virgin Islands ................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Central America
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Belize ..................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Costa Rica ...........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
El Salvador..........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Guatemala ...........................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

348

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
51.8
55.3
53.6

58.2
63.2
60.7

63.3
69.4
66.3

67.5
74.2
70.8

69.4
76.3
72.8

71.1
78.2
74.6

72.7
79.9
76.3

74.3
81.4
77.9

75.7
82.9
79.4

76.1
83.6
79.9

36.3
38.9
37.5

42.1
44.9
43.5

46.7
49.3
48.0

50.6
53.4
52.0

52.7
55.3
54.0

55.0
57.4
56.2

56.6
59.3
57.9

57.6
60.3
58.9

59.9
62.0
61.0

61.1
63.9
62.5

56.8
60.1
58.5

63.7
67.5
65.6

67.1
70.6
68.9

69.2
72.8
71.0

68.8
73.1
70.9

67.8
73.0
70.4

67.5
73.2
70.3

68.0
73.8
70.9

69.6
75.0
72.2

70.9
76.0
73.4

54.4
57.1
55.8

60.7
63.2
62.0

65.7
69.0
67.4

69.5
74.2
71.9

71.2
76.5
73.9

72.7
78.5
75.7

74.1
80.4
77.4

75.5
82.1
78.9

76.7
83.2
80.1

77.3
83.7
80.6

59.1
61.8
60.4

64.8
68.1
66.5

67.8
72.8
70.3

70.9
76.4
73.7

71.4
77.4
74.5

71.5
77.5
74.5

71.1
77.8
74.5

71.2
78.6
75.0

72.7
79.4
76.1

73.5
79.9
76.8

61.7
66.0
63.7

66.4
72.3
69.3

68.9
75.9
72.4

70.6
77.5
74.0

70.6
78.8
74.6

69.5
79.1
74.2

70.3
79.6
74.9

73.7
82.0
77.8

74.7
82.7
78.7

75.4
83.2
79.3

52.4
56.8
54.7

56.8
61.4
59.2

62.4
67.5
65.0

67.2
73.3
70.2

68.2
72.7
70.5

69.3
73.5
71.3

69.7
73.0
71.3

70.6
73.9
72.2

71.4
76.6
73.9

72.2
77.5
74.9

49.8
52.3
51.1

55.0
57.6
56.5

60.0
63.0
61.6

64.7
68.7
66.8

66.1
71.0
68.6

67.1
72.5
69.8

67.5
73.0
70.2

68.6
72.8
70.6

69.6
73.8
71.6

70.5
74.7
72.5

56.9
59.9
58.3

62.2
67.0
64.5

63.2
68.3
65.6

64.6
71.2
67.7

65.0
72.5
68.6

65.4
72.9
69.1

65.0
72.7
68.8

64.6
72.0
68.3

65.8
72.9
69.4

66.9
73.8
70.4

57.7
60.7
59.2

62.3
67.0
64.6

65.8
71.9
68.7

68.9
75.6
72.2

70.3
77.8
73.9

71.8
79.5
75.5

73.4
80.6
76.9

75.0
81.3
78.1

75.9
82.0
78.9

76.5
82.6
79.6

47.4
50.8
49.1

54.6
58.5
56.5

58.7
63.6
61.1

62.6
69.3
65.9

65.2
71.6
68.3

67.7
73.6
70.6

69.9
75.2
72.6

71.3
76.6
73.9

72.5
77.8
75.2

73.6
78.9
76.2

56.1
58.3
57.2

61.0
63.3
62.1

66.1
68.3
67.2

69.6
72.3
70.9

70.5
73.6
72.0

70.9
74.9
72.8

71.5
75.4
73.4

72.3
75.5
73.8

73.9
76.8
75.3

74.9
77.8
76.3

56.0
58.6
57.3

61.6
64.5
63.0

66.1
70.2
68.0

71.6
76.1
73.7

72.9
77.5
75.1

74.0
78.6
76.2

75.0
79.8
77.3

75.9
80.7
78.2

76.5
81.4
78.9

77.1
82.0
79.5

43.4
46.8
45.0

50.5
55.7
53.0

53.2
61.2
57.0

50.6
64.3
57.0

57.5
69.2
63.1

63.3
73.0
68.1

64.5
74.1
69.3

65.5
75.1
70.4

66.5
76.1
71.4

67.7
77.1
72.5

41.8
43.3
42.5

46.2
48.1
47.1

52.4
55.4
53.9

56.1
60.8
58.3

58.3
63.8
60.9

60.5
66.9
63.5

62.9
70.0
66.3

65.5
72.5
69.0

66.7
73.8
70.3

68.0
75.1
71.5

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
76.8
84.1
80.6

77.4
84.6
81.1

78.7
85.5
82.3

79.9
86.4
83.4

81.0
87.3
84.4

82.2
88.2
85.3

83.3
89.0
86.2

84.4
89.8
87.2

85.4
90.6
88.1

86.0
91.0
88.5

62.3
65.4
63.9

63.6
66.9
65.3

66.4
70.0
68.2

68.8
72.5
70.6

70.7
74.4
72.5

72.3
76.0
74.2

73.8
77.5
75.6

75.0
78.8
76.9

76.2
80.0
78.1

76.8
80.5
78.6

71.6
76.6
74.1

72.3
77.2
74.8

73.8
78.1
76.0

75.3
79.3
77.3

76.6
80.6
78.6

77.9
81.8
79.9

79.1
83.1
81.1

80.2
84.3
82.2

81.4
85.4
83.3

81.9
85.9
83.9

77.9
84.2
81.2

78.4
84.7
81.7

79.5
85.6
82.7

80.5
86.5
83.7

81.5
87.4
84.5

82.4
88.2
85.4

83.3
89.1
86.2

84.2
89.9
87.0

85.0
90.7
87.8

85.5
91.1
88.2

74.3
80.4
77.4

75.0
80.9
78.1

76.4
81.8
79.2

77.6
82.6
80.2

78.6
83.4
81.1

79.5
84.2
81.9

80.3
84.9
82.6

81.0
85.6
83.4

81.8
86.3
84.0

82.1
86.7
84.4

76.1
83.7
80.0

76.7
84.2
80.5

77.9
85.2
81.6

79.0
86.1
82.6

80.0
87.0
83.6

81.0
87.8
84.4

82.0
88.7
85.3

82.9
89.5
86.1

83.8
90.3
87.0

84.2
90.7
87.4

72.9
78.4
75.7

73.6
79.1
76.4

75.0
80.5
77.9

76.4
81.8
79.2

77.6
82.9
80.3

78.7
83.9
81.4

79.8
84.9
82.4

80.8
85.8
83.3

81.7
86.7
84.2

82.2
87.2
84.7

71.3
75.6
73.4

72.1
76.3
74.1

73.5
77.7
75.5

74.7
78.9
76.8

75.8
80.0
77.9

76.9
80.9
78.9

77.8
81.8
79.8

78.7
82.7
80.7

79.5
83.5
81.5

80.0
83.9
81.9

68.1
74.9
71.6

69.2
75.8
72.6

71.0
77.3
74.3

72.5
78.6
75.6

74.0
80.0
77.0

75.2
81.0
78.1

76.2
81.9
79.0

77.2
82.7
80.0

78.2
83.5
80.8

78.6
83.9
81.2

77.1
83.1
80.2

77.7
83.6
80.8

78.8
84.6
82.0

79.9
85.6
83.0

80.9
86.5
83.9

81.8
87.3
84.8

82.8
88.2
85.5

83.7
89.0
86.3

84.5
89.9
87.1

85.0
90.3
87.6

74.4
79.7
77.1

75.2
80.5
77.8

76.5
81.8
79.2

77.7
82.9
80.3

78.7
83.9
81.3

79.7
84.9
82.3

80.7
85.8
83.2

81.6
86.7
84.1

82.5
87.5
85.0

82.9
87.9
85.4

76.2
79.0
77.6

76.4
79.8
78.1

77.2
80.7
78.9

78.0
81.3
79.6

78.9
82.3
80.6

80.0
83.2
81.6

81.1
84.2
82.7

81.8
84.8
83.3

82.5
85.4
84.0

82.9
85.7
84.3

77.7
82.5
80.1

78.3
83.1
80.6

79.4
84.1
81.7

80.4
85.2
82.7

81.3
86.3
83.8

82.3
87.4
84.8

83.2
88.4
85.8

84.2
89.4
86.7

85.0
90.4
87.7

85.5
90.9
88.1

68.7
78.0
73.5

69.7
78.8
74.4

71.5
80.3
76.0

72.9
81.5
77.3

74.2
82.7
78.5

75.4
83.7
79.6

76.4
84.7
80.5

77.4
85.6
81.5

78.3
86.5
82.4

78.8
87.0
82.8

69.0
76.2
72.6

70.0
77.2
73.6

71.7
78.9
75.3

73.4
80.3
76.9

74.9
81.6
78.3

76.3
82.7
79.6

77.6
83.8
80.7

78.7
84.7
81.7

79.8
85.7
82.7

80.3
86.1
83.2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Guadeloupe (27) ................................


Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Haiti...................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Jamaica..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Martinique.........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Puerto Rico........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
St. Lucia ............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
US Virgin Islands ..............................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Central America
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Belize ................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Costa Rica .........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
El Salvador........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Guatemala .........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

349

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Honduras .............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Mexico ................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Nicaragua ............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Panama................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
South America (29)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Argentina.............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Bolivia.................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Brazil...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Chile....................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Colombia.............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Ecuador ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
French Guiana.....................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Guyana ................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Paraguay..............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Peru .....................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

350

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
40.3
43.0
41.6

46.3
49.8
48.0

52.0
56.0
54.0

59.3
63.5
61.3

63.0
67.3
65.1

65.1
69.6
67.3

67.5
72.1
69.7

68.4
73.4
70.8

69.7
74.5
72.1

71.3
75.9
73.6

48.8
52.6
50.7

56.4
60.6
58.4

60.1
65.1
62.6

64.4
71.2
67.7

66.8
73.0
69.8

69.0
74.6
71.8

71.3
76.1
73.7

72.4
77.4
74.9

73.7
78.6
76.2

74.8
79.6
77.2

40.5
43.5
42.0

47.2
50.0
48.6

53.7
56.8
55.2

56.4
62.6
59.4

59.2
65.5
62.2

63.5
68.7
66.0

65.9
71.0
68.4

68.0
73.9
70.9

69.9
76.1
73.0

71.4
77.5
74.4

54.3
56.8
55.5

60.8
63.1
61.9

64.9
68.0
66.4

68.4
73.3
70.7

69.2
74.6
71.8

70.2
75.6
72.8

71.2
76.4
73.7

72.2
77.3
74.7

73.0
78.2
75.5

73.9
79.1
76.4

50.2
53.8
52.0

54.6
58.9
56.7

58.1
63.1
60.5

61.8
68.2
64.9

63.4
70.2
66.7

64.9
72.1
68.4

66.6
73.8
70.1

68.1
75.3
71.7

69.5
76.5
73.0

71.0
77.7
74.3

60.4
65.1
62.5

62.4
68.6
65.2

64.1
70.7
67.2

66.8
73.7
70.1

67.5
74.6
71.0

68.6
75.8
72.1

69.6
76.9
73.2

70.6
78.1
74.3

71.5
79.1
75.3

72.4
79.9
76.1

38.5
42.5
40.4

41.4
45.6
43.4

44.6
49.0
46.7

52.0
55.9
53.9

55.6
59.1
57.3

58.3
61.8
60.1

60.1
64.0
62.1

61.8
66.0
63.9

63.4
67.7
65.6

64.8
69.4
67.1

49.2
52.6
50.9

53.8
57.6
55.7

57.3
61.8
59.5

60.4
66.8
63.4

61.9
69.1
65.3

63.6
71.2
67.3

65.5
73.3
69.3

67.2
74.8
70.9

68.7
75.9
72.2

70.7
77.4
74.0

52.9
56.8
54.8

55.3
61.0
58.1

60.6
67.0
63.7

67.4
74.3
70.9

69.6
76.0
72.8

71.5
77.4
74.5

72.8
78.9
75.9

74.8
80.9
77.9

75.5
81.7
78.6

76.2
82.3
79.3

49.0
52.3
50.6

56.2
59.7
57.9

59.6
63.9
61.7

63.6
70.2
66.8

64.5
71.7
68.0

64.5
73.0
68.7

66.5
74.2
70.3

68.0
75.5
71.7

69.2
76.7
72.9

70.4
77.7
74.0

47.1
49.6
48.4

53.4
56.0
54.7

57.4
60.5
58.9

62.5
66.7
64.5

65.3
69.9
67.5

67.6
72.7
70.1

69.7
75.2
72.3

71.3
77.3
74.2

72.1
78.1
75.0

73.0
78.9
75.9

50.3
56.9
53.3

56.4
63.2
59.5

62.5
69.5
65.7

66.0
73.0
69.2

68.2
74.5
71.1

70.0
76.0
72.8

71.5
77.5
74.2

71.9
79.1
75.1

72.5
79.9
75.9

73.4
80.5
76.7

46.5
52.0
49.2

51.8
55.6
53.7

55.9
58.6
57.2

57.9
62.5
60.0

57.9
63.8
60.6

58.5
64.9
61.4

60.1
66.6
63.1

62.7
69.1
65.7

65.5
71.9
68.7

67.2
73.5
70.3

60.5
64.6
62.6

62.3
66.3
64.3

63.7
68.0
65.9

64.9
69.3
67.0

65.4
69.8
67.6

66.3
70.8
68.5

67.2
71.7
69.4

68.7
72.9
70.7

69.7
73.9
71.7

70.8
74.9
72.8

42.6
45.1
43.8

47.6
50.6
49.1

53.8
57.2
55.5

59.4
63.7
61.5

62.0
66.7
64.3

64.4
69.2
66.7

66.8
71.8
69.2

69.0
74.3
71.6

70.6
75.9
73.2

71.7
76.9
74.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
72.2
77.0
74.5

73.0
77.8
75.4

74.4
79.4
76.9

75.8
80.8
78.3

77.1
82.0
79.5

78.3
83.1
80.6

79.3
84.1
81.7

80.3
85.1
82.7

81.3
86.0
83.6

81.8
86.4
84.0

75.7
80.4
78.1

76.4
81.2
78.8

77.8
82.5
80.2

78.9
83.7
81.3

80.0
84.6
82.3

81.0
85.6
83.3

81.9
86.5
84.2

82.8
87.4
85.1

83.7
88.2
85.9

84.2
88.6
86.4

72.4
78.3
75.4

73.3
79.1
76.2

74.9
80.5
77.7

76.2
81.8
79.0

77.5
82.9
80.2

78.6
83.9
81.3

79.7
84.9
82.3

80.7
85.8
83.2

81.7
86.7
84.2

82.1
87.1
84.6

74.7
79.8
77.2

75.4
80.5
77.9

76.8
81.7
79.2

78.0
83.0
80.4

79.1
84.2
81.6

80.2
85.3
82.7

81.2
86.4
83.7

82.1
87.5
84.7

83.1
88.5
85.7

83.5
89.0
86.2

72.1
78.6
75.3

73.0
79.4
76.2

74.7
80.8
77.7

76.0
82.1
79.0

77.2
83.2
80.2

78.3
84.1
81.2

79.4
85.1
82.2

80.3
85.9
83.1

81.2
86.8
83.9

81.6
87.2
84.3

73.2
80.8
77.0

73.8
81.5
77.7

75.3
82.8
79.1

76.6
84.0
80.3

77.8
84.9
81.4

78.9
85.9
82.4

79.9
86.8
83.3

80.9
87.7
84.3

81.9
88.5
85.2

82.3
88.9
85.6

66.6
71.1
68.8

68.3
72.7
70.5

70.9
75.4
73.1

73.0
77.4
75.2

74.6
79.1
76.9

76.1
80.5
78.2

77.3
81.7
79.5

78.5
82.8
80.6

79.5
83.9
81.7

80.0
84.4
82.2

71.8
78.3
75.1

72.8
79.2
76.0

74.5
80.6
77.5

75.8
81.8
78.8

77.0
82.9
79.9

78.0
83.9
80.9

79.0
84.8
81.9

79.9
85.6
82.7

80.8
86.4
83.6

81.2
86.8
84.0

76.9
83.0
80.0

77.5
83.6
80.6

78.6
84.8
81.7

79.5
85.6
82.5

80.3
86.3
83.3

81.1
87.0
84.0

81.8
87.7
84.7

82.5
88.3
85.4

83.2
89.0
86.1

83.6
89.3
86.4

71.3
78.5
74.9

72.0
79.3
75.6

73.7
80.7
77.2

75.2
81.9
78.5

76.5
83.0
79.7

77.7
84.0
80.8

78.8
85.0
81.9

79.9
85.9
82.9

80.9
86.8
83.8

81.4
87.2
84.3

73.9
79.7
76.7

74.7
80.3
77.5

76.1
81.6
78.8

77.4
82.7
80.0

78.6
83.8
81.1

79.6
84.7
82.2

80.7
85.7
83.1

81.6
86.6
84.1

82.6
87.5
85.0

83.0
87.9
85.4

74.2
81.0
77.4

75.0
81.5
78.0

76.3
82.5
79.4

77.5
83.6
80.6

78.7
84.6
81.7

79.7
85.5
82.7

80.7
86.5
83.6

81.7
87.3
84.5

82.6
88.2
85.4

83.1
88.6
85.8

68.8
74.9
71.8

70.1
76.3
73.2

72.1
78.0
75.0

73.7
79.3
76.5

75.3
80.8
78.0

76.6
82.1
79.3

77.8
83.1
80.4

78.9
84.1
81.5

80.0
85.2
82.5

80.5
85.7
83.0

71.7
75.8
73.6

72.4
76.5
74.4

73.8
77.8
75.8

75.1
79.0
77.0

76.3
80.2
78.2

77.5
81.5
79.5

78.7
82.6
80.6

79.7
83.6
81.7

80.7
84.6
82.6

81.2
85.1
83.1

72.7
77.8
75.2

73.6
78.6
76.1

75.2
80.1
77.6

76.4
81.4
78.8

77.4
82.5
79.9

78.4
83.6
80.9

79.3
84.6
81.8

80.1
85.5
82.7

80.9
86.4
83.6

81.3
86.9
84.0

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Honduras ...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Mexico ..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Nicaragua ..........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Panama..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
South America (29)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Argentina...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Bolivia...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Brazil.................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Chile..................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Colombia...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Ecuador .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
French Guiana...................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Guyana ..............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Paraguay............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Peru ...................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

351

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Suriname .............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Uruguay...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Venezuela ............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Northern America (30)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Canada.................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
United States of America ....................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Oceania
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Australia/New Zealand
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Australia (31) ......................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
New Zealand .......................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Melanesia
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Fiji .......................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
New Caledonia....................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

352

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
54.4
57.7
56.0

58.7
62.5
60.5

61.7
66.5
64.0

63.6
69.8
66.5

64.0
70.7
67.1

64.4
71.1
67.6

64.6
71.4
67.8

64.8
71.7
68.1

66.4
73.1
69.6

67.8
74.2
70.9

63.3
69.3
66.0

65.3
71.5
68.3

65.6
72.0
68.7

67.6
74.5
70.9

68.5
75.7
72.1

69.2
76.8
73.0

70.4
77.9
74.2

71.6
78.9
75.3

72.7
79.8
76.4

73.7
80.7
77.3

52.9
55.8
54.3

58.2
61.7
59.9

62.4
67.7
65.0

66.0
72.0
68.9

67.7
73.5
70.5

68.7
74.5
71.5

69.3
75.1
72.1

69.9
75.8
72.7

70.8
76.8
73.7

71.8
77.7
74.7

65.8
71.7
68.7

67.0
73.7
70.2

67.7
75.3
71.5

70.8
78.1
74.5

71.5
78.5
75.0

72.4
79.2
75.8

73.6
79.5
76.6

74.8
80.0
77.4

75.6
80.7
78.2

76.4
81.5
79.0

66.6
71.5
69.0

68.4
74.5
71.3

69.6
76.6
73.0

72.3
79.3
75.8

73.5
80.0
76.8

74.6
80.8
77.8

75.6
81.3
78.5

77.2
82.1
79.7

78.2
82.8
80.5

78.8
83.5
81.2

65.8
71.7
68.6

66.8
73.6
70.2

67.5
75.2
71.5

70.7
77.9
74.3

71.3
78.3
74.9

72.2
79.0
75.6

73.4
79.3
76.4

74.5
79.8
77.2

75.3
80.5
78.0

76.2
81.3
78.8

58.2
63.1
60.5

61.4
66.9
64.1

63.8
69.6
66.6

66.8
73.7
70.1

67.8
74.1
70.9

69.5
75.6
72.5

70.9
76.5
73.6

72.7
77.7
75.2

74.3
79.0
76.6

75.5
79.9
77.7

66.8
72.1
69.4

68.0
74.2
71.0

68.3
75.1
71.6

71.5
78.3
74.8

72.6
78.9
75.7

74.3
80.3
77.3

75.8
81.3
78.5

77.6
82.5
80.1

78.9
83.5
81.2

79.7
84.0
81.9

66.7
72.2
69.3

67.8
74.2
70.9

68.3
75.1
71.6

71.7
78.6
75.1

72.9
79.3
76.0

74.5
80.5
77.5

76.0
81.6
78.8

77.8
82.8
80.3

79.1
83.8
81.4

79.9
84.3
82.1

67.6
72.0
69.6

68.5
74.1
71.0

68.6
74.9
71.7

70.6
76.8
73.7

71.3
77.4
74.3

73.4
79.1
76.2

74.8
80.0
77.4

76.5
81.2
78.9

78.0
82.2
80.1

78.9
82.8
80.8

36.3
38.5
37.3

41.9
44.2
43.0

49.2
51.4
50.2

53.9
59.2
56.3

54.4
59.3
56.7

55.9
61.1
58.3

57.6
62.1
59.7

59.3
63.6
61.3

61.1
65.4
63.1

62.7
67.1
64.9

50.1
54.7
52.2

55.1
59.0
56.9

59.1
62.5
60.7

62.0
65.5
63.7

63.1
67.0
64.9

64.0
68.3
66.0

64.8
69.5
67.1

65.5
70.7
68.0

66.1
71.9
68.8

66.9
72.3
69.4

49.5
52.0
50.7

57.4
60.5
58.8

62.4
66.6
64.3

66.0
71.0
68.3

67.4
72.8
69.9

68.7
74.3
71.3

69.9
75.7
72.6

70.9
77.0
73.8

72.3
78.7
75.3

73.8
80.5
77.0

33.8
35.7
34.7

39.0
41.0
39.9

46.8
48.7
47.7

51.7
57.5
54.3

52.3
57.6
54.8

53.9
59.5
56.5

55.8
60.4
58.0

57.6
61.8
59.6

59.5
63.7
61.5

61.2
65.5
63.3

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
Suriname ...........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Uruguay.............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Venezuela ..........................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

69.0
75.1
71.9

70.0
75.9
72.9

71.6
77.2
74.3

73.0
78.5
75.7

74.4
79.7
77.0

75.8
80.9
78.3

77.1
82.1
79.6

78.3
83.2
80.7

79.3
84.3
81.7

79.8
84.7
82.2

74.6
81.4
78.1

75.4
82.1
78.8

76.9
83.4
80.2

78.1
84.4
81.3

79.2
85.3
82.3

80.2
86.3
83.2

81.2
87.2
84.1

82.1
88.0
85.0

83.1
88.8
85.9

83.5
89.3
86.3

72.6
78.6
75.5

73.3
79.3
76.3

74.6
80.7
77.6

76.0
81.9
78.9

77.2
83.0
80.1

78.4
84.0
81.2

79.5
85.0
82.2

80.5
85.9
83.2

81.5
86.8
84.1

81.9
87.3
84.6

77.1
82.2
79.7

77.8
82.9
80.3

79.0
84.1
81.5

80.2
85.2
82.7

81.3
86.3
83.8

82.4
87.4
84.8

83.4
88.4
85.8

84.4
89.5
86.9

85.4
90.5
87.9

85.9
91.0
88.4

79.4
84.1
81.8

80.0
84.7
82.3

81.1
85.8
83.4

82.2
86.9
84.5

83.3
87.9
85.6

84.3
89.0
86.6

85.3
90.0
87.6

86.3
91.0
88.6

87.3
92.0
89.6

87.8
92.5
90.1

76.9
82.0
79.4

77.5
82.7
80.1

78.8
83.9
81.3

80.0
85.1
82.5

81.1
86.2
83.6

82.2
87.2
84.6

83.2
88.3
85.7

84.2
89.3
86.7

85.2
90.3
87.7

85.7
90.8
88.2

Northern America (30)


Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Canada...............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
United States of America ..................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

76.5
80.8
78.6

77.4
81.6
79.5

78.7
83.0
80.8

79.8
84.1
82.0

80.8
85.1
82.9

81.7
86.0
83.8

82.5
86.8
84.6

83.4
87.6
85.4

84.2
88.4
86.3

84.6
88.9
86.7

Oceania
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

80.5
84.6
82.6

81.2
85.2
83.2

82.3
86.3
84.3

83.3
87.4
85.3

84.3
88.4
86.4

85.4
89.4
87.4

86.4
90.4
88.4

87.4
91.4
89.3

88.3
92.4
90.3

88.8
92.9
90.8

80.7
84.8
82.7

81.3
85.4
83.4

82.4
86.5
84.4

83.5
87.6
85.5

84.5
88.6
86.5

85.5
89.6
87.5

86.5
90.6
88.5

87.5
91.6
89.5

88.5
92.6
90.5

89.0
93.1
91.0

79.7
83.4
81.6

80.4
84.0
82.2

81.5
85.2
83.3

82.6
86.3
84.4

83.6
87.3
85.5

84.6
88.4
86.5

85.6
89.4
87.5

86.6
90.4
88.5

87.6
91.4
89.5

88.1
91.9
90.0

64.2
68.8
66.4

65.6
70.2
67.9

68.1
72.8
70.4

70.2
74.9
72.5

71.9
76.6
74.2

73.4
77.9
75.6

74.7
79.1
76.9

75.8
80.2
78.0

76.9
81.2
79.0

77.4
81.7
79.5

67.7
73.1
70.3

68.5
73.9
71.1

70.6
76.0
73.2

72.6
77.9
75.2

74.3
79.5
76.8

75.7
80.8
78.2

77.0
82.0
79.4

78.2
83.1
80.6

79.3
84.1
81.6

79.8
84.6
82.1

74.7
81.2
77.8

75.4
81.9
78.6

76.8
83.0
79.9

78.0
84.1
81.0

79.1
85.0
82.1

80.1
86.0
83.0

81.1
86.8
84.0

82.0
87.7
84.9

82.9
88.6
85.8

83.4
89.0
86.2

62.9
67.3
65.0

64.4
68.9
66.6

67.0
71.6
69.3

69.1
73.8
71.4

71.0
75.5
73.2

72.5
77.0
74.7

73.8
78.3
76.0

75.0
79.4
77.2

76.1
80.4
78.2

76.6
80.9
78.7

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Australia/New Zealand
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Australia (31) ....................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
New Zealand .....................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Melanesia
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Fiji .....................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
New Caledonia..................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Papua New Guinea............................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

353

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Major area, region and country
Solomon Islands..................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Vanuatu ...............................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Micronesia (32)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Guam...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Polynesia (33)
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
French Polynesia.................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Samoa..................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................
Tonga...................................................
Males ...............................................
Females ...........................................
Both sexes combined ......................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
44.9
46.4
45.4

49.9
51.4
50.4

54.9
56.4
55.5

58.2
59.5
58.7

55.5
56.3
55.8

57.9
58.8
58.3

60.4
62.0
61.1

62.9
66.0
64.3

65.1
67.8
66.4

67.0
70.0
68.4

40.6
43.4
41.9

46.6
49.5
47.9

52.4
55.6
53.8

58.2
61.8
59.8

60.6
63.6
61.9

62.9
65.8
64.2

64.9
68.2
66.4

66.7
70.3
68.4

68.2
72.1
70.0

69.5
73.6
71.4

51.9
54.7
53.2

56.0
58.9
57.4

60.0
63.1
61.5

63.0
66.4
64.6

64.3
68.0
66.1

65.7
69.7
67.6

67.4
71.4
69.3

68.7
72.8
70.7

69.9
74.1
71.9

70.9
75.2
73.0

55.4
59.7
57.0

60.4
64.7
62.1

64.6
69.2
66.6

67.8
72.5
69.9

69.2
73.8
71.3

70.4
75.0
72.5

71.4
76.0
73.5

72.4
77.0
74.6

73.3
77.9
75.5

74.1
78.8
76.4

54.0
55.1
54.6

58.0
59.1
58.6

62.1
63.3
62.7

64.8
65.9
65.3

65.4
66.5
65.9

65.9
67.0
66.5

66.5
67.6
67.1

66.9
68.2
67.6

67.6
69.1
68.3

68.3
70.2
69.3

48.6
52.5
50.4

54.0
58.4
56.1

58.2
62.8
60.4

62.5
67.7
64.9

64.4
69.9
67.0

66.2
71.7
68.7

67.6
73.1
70.2

69.0
74.6
71.6

70.3
75.8
72.9

71.3
76.8
73.9

48.0
50.0
48.9

55.6
58.8
57.0

59.3
63.0
60.9

64.0
69.0
66.2

65.8
71.1
68.2

67.7
72.8
70.0

69.0
74.2
71.4

70.8
76.0
73.2

72.2
77.1
74.5

73.0
78.1
75.4

43.0
49.6
45.9

48.0
54.6
51.1

53.0
59.6
56.1

58.0
64.6
61.2

60.5
67.1
63.7

63.1
69.7
66.1

65.4
71.9
68.4

67.2
73.5
70.1

68.6
74.9
71.5

69.9
76.0
72.8

58.5
58.7
58.7

61.9
62.7
62.3

64.9
66.5
65.6

66.9
69.5
68.1

67.8
70.8
69.3

68.4
71.3
69.9

68.8
72.1
70.5

68.8
73.5
71.2

69.0
74.7
71.8

69.7
75.4
72.5

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Seychelles.
2 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3 Including Zanzibar.
4 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
5 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
6 Includes other non-specified areas.
7 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
8 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
10 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
11 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.

354

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.28. Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

68.4
71.8
70.1

69.7
73.3
71.5

71.9
75.8
73.8

73.7
77.8
75.7

75.2
79.4
77.2

76.5
80.7
78.6

77.7
82.0
79.8

78.8
83.0
80.9

79.9
84.1
81.9

80.4
84.6
82.4

70.7
74.9
72.7

71.7
76.0
73.8

73.5
77.9
75.7

75.0
79.5
77.3

76.4
80.8
78.6

77.6
82.0
79.8

78.7
83.1
80.9

79.8
84.1
81.9

80.8
85.1
82.9

81.2
85.5
83.3

71.9
76.3
74.0

72.8
77.3
75.0

74.5
79.2
76.8

76.0
80.7
78.4

77.2
81.9
79.6

78.3
83.0
80.6

79.4
83.9
81.6

80.3
84.9
82.6

81.3
85.8
83.5

81.8
86.2
84.0

74.9
79.6
77.2

75.6
80.3
77.9

76.9
81.5
79.1

78.1
82.7
80.3

79.2
83.7
81.4

80.2
84.7
82.4

81.2
85.6
83.4

82.1
86.5
84.3

83.0
87.4
85.2

83.5
87.8
85.6

69.0
71.2
70.1

69.7
72.1
70.9

71.7
74.6
73.1

73.5
76.8
75.1

75.0
78.6
76.8

76.4
80.0
78.1

77.6
81.3
79.4

78.7
82.5
80.5

79.8
83.5
81.6

80.3
84.0
82.1

72.3
77.7
74.9

73.2
78.5
75.8

74.8
79.9
77.3

76.2
81.2
78.6

77.4
82.3
79.8

78.4
83.4
80.8

79.3
84.4
81.8

80.2
85.3
82.7

81.1
86.1
83.5

81.5
86.6
84.0

74.0
78.9
76.3

74.8
79.6
77.1

76.2
81.0
78.5

77.5
82.2
79.7

78.6
83.3
80.9

79.6
84.3
81.9

80.5
85.3
82.9

81.4
86.3
83.8

82.2
87.3
84.7

82.6
87.8
85.2

71.0
77.0
73.9

72.0
77.9
74.9

73.8
79.5
76.6

75.3
80.8
78.0

76.6
82.0
79.2

77.8
83.1
80.3

78.9
84.2
81.4

80.0
85.1
82.4

80.9
86.0
83.4

81.4
86.5
83.8

70.4
76.0
73.2

71.0
76.6
73.8

72.5
77.9
75.2

73.8
79.0
76.5

75.0
80.1
77.6

76.1
81.1
78.6

77.1
82.0
79.5

78.0
82.8
80.3

78.9
83.6
81.2

79.3
84.0
81.6

Solomon Islands................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Vanuatu .............................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Micronesia (32)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Guam.................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Polynesia (33)
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
French Polynesia...............................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Samoa................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined
Tonga.................................................
Males
Females
Both sexes combined

Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

355

Table A.29. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country:
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
133

114

86

71

64

60

56

51

46

42

60
151
192
145

33
130
164
125

22
96
150
86

15
79
125
70

13
71
116
62

11
66
109
56

9
62
100
52

7
56
89
46

6
50
80
41

6
46
73
38

165

135

113

90

81

74

69

61

55

50

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

177

152

131

116

112

109

104

94

85

77

Africa

180

154

131

111

106

102

97

87

79

71

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (2) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Runion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Somalia ...............................................
Uganda ................................................
UR Tanzania (3) .................................
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................

177
167
178
222
176
199
147
181
198
103
143
220
143
160
207
160
153
148
115

147
149
154
185
151
160
117
155
186
61
81
185
81
143
179
130
136
127
97

126
137
127
154
133
140
91
132
168
61
45
158
45
134
155
103
119
107
83

115
118
106
125
116
140
70
111
151
26
25
143
25
124
138
108
104
99
64

110
116
95
117
104
127
67
110
143
23
19
143
19
120
127
108
101
103
56

106
126
89
109
90
115
66
96
133
18
14
134
14
128
141
110
100
107
55

96
117
83
100
73
101
69
76
121
20
11
115
11
118
123
105
90
105
65

86
107
78
91
62
87
70
58
107
13
8
99
8
108
111
91
77
103
68

75
101
72
82
54
72
65
45
95
13
6
88
6
100
107
79
64
95
59

66
94
63
75
48
63
58
41
86
12
6
78
6
93
100
72
54
81
47

Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Rep. ...........................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
DR Congo ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................

182
230
169
204
191
142
167
196
179
124

161
200
145
176
172
107
151
176
158
99

138
173
120
138
154
89
134
157
114
80

124
157
98
110
136
78
125
138
78
66

120
153
93
109
129
73
121
128
63
63

119
150
94
113
129
74
119
118
59
61

123
138
96
116
131
75
128
114
58
58

115
116
97
114
133
75
120
111
58
55

110
104
94
105
131
72
116
102
51
52

103
96
85
96
124
67
109
93
44
47

Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan (4) ............................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................

184
185
201
185
170
160
175
217

159
159
171
150
145
147
155
187

130
131
138
105
123
126
119
160

92
70
101
50
96
106
64
110

78
50
85
38
79
99
49
88

66
42
67
28
63
91
34
76

54
37
47
21
51
81
27
64

43
30
33
18
41
70
23
53

37
25
26
15
34
64
21
44

33
21
22
13
29
57
18
36

Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................

104
135
169
172
96
174

92
113
134
130
87
150

81
90
123
101
77
124

64
63
94
75
61
90

55
54
84
69
53
77

53
51
70
62
51
69

58
61
81
55
56
80

61
59
86
48
59
87

55
41
77
38
55
76

46
35
62
30
46
65

Western Africa (5)


Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Cte d'Ivoire........................................

193
210
308
139
167

166
184
217
125
155

142
152
157
96
127

124
126
121
65
96

121
120
111
54
93

118
108
101
44
95

112
98
93
37
92

99
91
86
28
85

89
85
79
21
77

81
77
71
18
69

356

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.29. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
39

36

30

26

21

18

16

14

12

11 World

6
43
66
35

5
39
60
32

5
33
48
27

4
28
39
23

4
24
32
20

4
20
26
17

3
17
22
15

3
15
19
13

3
13
17
12

3
13
16
11

46

43

36

30

25

21

18

16

14

14

69

63

50

40

32

27

22

19

17

16

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

65

59

48

39

31

26

22

19

16

15

Africa

59
87
55
67
42
56
53
35
78
12
6
68
6
85
92
67
46
72
41

53
81
48
58
37
50
49
30
72
11
6
59
6
77
84
61
39
64
37

43
65
36
44
30
39
39
25
61
10
6
46
6
62
68
49
31
51
31

35
50
27
33
24
32
32
21
52
9
5
37
5
49
54
39
26
41
27

29
38
21
25
20
26
26
18
45
8
5
30
5
39
43
32
22
33
22

25
30
17
20
17
22
22
16
39
8
5
25
5
31
34
26
19
27
19

21
24
14
16
15
19
19
14
34
7
5
21
5
26
28
22
17
22
16

19
20
12
14
13
17
17
13
30
6
5
19
5
22
23
19
15
19
14

17
17
11
12
12
15
15
12
27
6
5
16
5
19
20
17
14
17
12

16
16
10
11
11
14
15
12
25
6
5
15
5
18
18
16
13
16
11

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi .............................................
Comoros............................................
Djibouti .............................................
Eritrea................................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Kenya ................................................
Madagascar .......................................
Malawi ..............................................
Mauritius (2) .....................................
Mayotte .............................................
Mozambique .....................................
Runion .............................................
Rwanda .............................................
Somalia .............................................
Uganda ..............................................
UR Tanzania (3) ...............................
Zambia ..............................................
Zimbabwe .........................................

96
88
77
88
115
61
102
85
39
44

89
79
71
82
105
56
96
76
35
40

73
64
58
67
85
45
80
61
28
33

59
51
46
53
67
36
64
48
24
27

46
40
37
42
52
29
51
38
20
22

37
32
30
34
41
24
40
31
18
19

30
26
25
28
33
21
32
25
16
17

25
22
21
23
27
18
26
21
14
15

21
19
18
20
23
16
22
18
13
14

19
18
17
19
22
15
20
17
12
13

Middle Africa
Angola...............................................
Cameroon..........................................
Central African Rep. .........................
Chad ..................................................
Congo................................................
DR Congo .........................................
Equatorial Guinea .............................
Gabon................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .....................

29
19
19
12
25
51
17
30

27
17
17
11
21
45
15
25

22
13
14
9
17
36
12
19

18
11
11
8
14
28
10
14

15
10
10
7
12
23
9
12

13
9
8
6
10
19
8
10

11
8
7
6
9
16
7
9

10
7
7
5
8
14
6
8

9
6
6
5
7
13
5
7

8
6
6
4
7
12
5
6

Northern Africa
Algeria...............................................
Egypt .................................................
Libya .................................................
Morocco ............................................
Sudan (4) ..........................................
Tunisia...............................................
Western Sahara..................................

40
31
54
26
40
58

36
29
49
23
36
52

29
23
39
19
29
39

24
19
30
16
24
30

20
16
24
14
20
24

17
13
20
13
17
19

15
11
16
12
15
16

13
10
14
11
13
13

11
9
11
10
11
11

10
8
10
9
11
11

Southern Africa
Botswana...........................................
Lesotho..............................................
Namibia.............................................
South Africa ......................................
Swaziland..........................................

73
68
64
16
61

66
61
57
14
54

52
48
45
12
43

42
38
36
10
35

33
31
28
9
28

27
25
23
7
24

22
21
19
7
20

19
19
17
6
18

17
16
15
5
16

16
15
14
5
15

Western Africa (5)


Benin .................................................
Burkina Faso .....................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Cte d'Ivoire......................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

More dev. regions (a)


Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

357

Table A.29. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
221
150
218
211
224
175
151
174
189
131
242
191

199
123
210
191
194
168
147
167
164
123
227
154

164
107
191
174
169
156
133
162
141
108
195
124

117
90
159
153
159
141
93
159
127
89
135
105

101
84
145
145
164
135
81
155
127
80
154
97

93
73
131
141
168
127
77
146
126
72
166
91

86
71
119
134
155
119
76
131
122
66
157
84

80
62
104
126
116
111
77
113
107
60
133
77

74
50
93
119
89
101
77
96
96
55
114
74

66
44
84
110
77
92
70
86
88
50
103
67

145

127

87

72

63

57

52

46

41

37

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ...............
China, Macao SAR (9) .......................
DPR Korea ..........................................
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Rep. of Korea ......................................

116
122
62
66
91
50
183
138

112
121
34
43
67
26
135
90

44
47
18
26
44
12
107
38

35
38
10
16
30
7
102
25

32
34
7
12
26
5
92
15

28
30
5
9
24
4
67
10

26
27
4
7
55
4
55
7

23
25
3
6
28
3
44
5

20
22
2
4
27
3
36
4

18
20
2
4
25
3
31
4

South-Central Asia (10)

171

143

124

98

87

79

72

63

56

51

Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................

127
110
140
160
150
125

108
93
120
142
130
105

90
77
100
125
111
84

75
60
80
107
91
71

68
52
70
98
81
65

63
51
60
88
75
59

56
43
48
80
61
55

47
32
40
63
52
50

43
27
36
56
50
49

39
24
33
51
49
44

Southern Asia .....................................


Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran ......................................................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................

172
275
165
185
165
262
233
211
177
104

145
245
151
174
140
173
205
187
140
77

126
211
176
149
118
116
147
156
115
55

99
183
122
117
95
70
97
123
101
30

88
172
104
104
85
55
77
107
97
24

80
162
91
88
76
47
63
92
90
22

72
152
74
70
69
39
42
72
83
19

64
144
59
53
61
33
27
55
77
16

56
136
49
44
53
27
10
39
71
12

51
125
42
38
48
23
8
32
66
11

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao PDR..............................................
Malaysia (11) ......................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................

165
90
165
192
167
96
213
97
61
130
264
158

123
52
140
139
153
64
156
77
29
90
221
130

94
29
181
99
141
40
113
59
19
63
183
118

66
16
134
70
123
25
93
45
9
39
184
70

55
12
98
59
108
20
90
40
8
29
161
55

45
9
90
49
88
16
76
35
4
23
129
38

38
7
83
41
71
12
65
30
3
19
101
29

32
5
73
34
58
10
60
26
3
15
79
23

27
5
62
29
44
8
55
23
2
12
67
20

24
5
53
25
37
7
45
21
2
11
56
18

Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (12) ...................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (13) .........................................
Georgia (14) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................

167
83
120
183
65
80
198

140
73
110
112
41
66
121

112
63
100
49
25
52
76

74
53
90
22
15
47
49

59
48
85
16
12
44
42

51
44
82
14
10
40
43

41
38
61
11
7
38
38

33
30
52
9
6
32
36

29
26
41
7
5
29
35

26
24
38
7
4
26
33

Asia (6)

358

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.29. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
60
40
76
101
68
84
64
77
79
45
94
59

54
36
68
92
60
76
58
69
71
41
86
53

42
29
54
76
46
61
45
54
57
32
69
42

32
24
43
61
35
48
35
42
45
24
54
33

25
20
34
48
27
37
28
33
36
19
41
27

20
18
28
38
21
29
23
26
29
16
32
23

17
16
23
30
17
24
19
22
24
14
25
20

15
14
20
25
14
20
17
19
20
12
20
17

14
13
17
21
12
17
15
16
18
11
17
15

13
12
16
20
11
16
14
15
17
11
16
14

34

31

26

22

19

17

15

13

12

11

16
18
2
4
22
2
26
4

15
16
2
4
20
2
23
3

12
13
2
4
15
2
17
3

10
11
2
3
12
2
14
3

9
10
2
3
10
2
11
3

8
8
2
3
9
2
10
3

7
7
2
3
8
2
8
3

6
6
2
3
7
2
7
3

5
5
2
2
6
2
7
2

5
5
2
2
6
2
6
2

47

43

37

32

27

24

21

19

17

17

South-Central Asia (10)

36
21
30
46
44
41

33
19
27
43
40
37

28
16
23
36
34
32

24
14
20
31
29
28

21
12
18
27
25
25

18
10
16
24
22
22

16
9
15
22
20
20

15
8
13
20
18
18

13
8
12
18
16
17

13
7
12
17
16
16

Central Asia......................................
Kazakhstan........................................
Kyrgyzstan ........................................
Tajikistan...........................................
Turkmenistan ....................................
Uzbekistan.........................................

47
115
35
33
44
21
7
27
61
10

43
106
30
28
40
18
6
22
57
9

37
89
22
22
34
15
5
17
50
8

32
73
18
18
29
13
5
13
44
7

28
61
15
16
25
11
4
11
39
6

24
51
13
14
22
10
4
9
35
6

22
43
11
12
20
9
3
8
31
5

19
38
10
11
18
8
3
7
28
5

18
35
8
10
16
7
3
7
26
4

17
33
8
9
16
6
2
6
25
4

Southern Asia ...................................


Afghanistan .......................................
Bangladesh........................................
Bhutan ...............................................
India ..................................................
Iran ....................................................
Maldives............................................
Nepal .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Sri Lanka...........................................

21
4
44
22
30
6
37
19
2
10
47
17

19
4
36
20
25
6
30
18
2
10
39
15

15
4
25
17
19
5
22
15
2
8
27
13

13
4
18
15
14
4
16
13
2
7
19
12

11
3
14
13
12
4
13
11
2
6
15
11

10
3
12
12
10
3
11
10
2
6
12
10

9
3
10
11
9
3
9
9
2
5
10
9

8
3
9
10
8
3
8
8
2
5
9
8

7
3
8
9
7
2
7
7
2
4
8
7

7
2
7
9
6
2
7
7
2
4
7
7

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam............................
Cambodia ..........................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Lao PDR............................................
Malaysia (11) ....................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Philippines.........................................
Singapore ..........................................
Thailand ............................................
Timor-Leste.......................................
Viet Nam ...........................................

23
22
33
6
4
23
30

20
21
29
6
4
21
27

16
18
23
5
4
17
20

13
15
18
5
4
14
16

11
13
15
4
4
12
13

9
12
13
4
4
10
11

8
11
11
3
3
9
9

7
9
9
3
3
8
8

6
8
8
3
3
7
7

6
8
8
3
3
7
7

Western Asia
Armenia.............................................
Azerbaijan (12) .................................
Bahrain..............................................
Cyprus (13) .......................................
Georgia (14) ......................................
Iraq ....................................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Gambia..............................................
Ghana ................................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau ...................................
Liberia ...............................................
Mali ...................................................
Mauritania .........................................
Niger .................................................
Nigeria...............................................
Senegal..............................................
Sierra Leone ......................................
Togo ..................................................
Asia (6)
Eastern Asia (6)
China (7) ...........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .............
China, Macao SAR (9) .....................
DPR Korea ........................................
Japan .................................................
Mongolia ...........................................
Rep. of Korea ....................................

359

Table A.29. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ...........
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
Syrian Arab Rep..................................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
39
161
113
90
158
214
126
204
180
167
175
215

28
103
70
61
130
171
90
163
122
161
120
194

21
68
40
47
90
115
53
107
77
141
51
174

14
44
22
41
53
64
28
57
50
97
25
114

11
36
16
37
40
43
23
42
36
78
17
94

8
31
13
31
33
31
18
30
26
63
12
86

6
27
11
28
28
24
14
22
21
46
10
79

5
24
10
26
25
15
11
19
17
31
8
65

4
21
8
23
22
9
9
19
15
24
7
53

3
19
8
20
20
8
8
16
14
20
7
44

73

37

25

18

16

13

10

Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Rep. ..........................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ..........................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................

91
75
92
44
72
95
81
101
97
74
85

40
30
37
21
43
50
59
60
40
27
31

28
21
26
21
35
28
46
40
28
25
22

23
20
18
15
20
20
35
26
26
18
20

21
16
14
11
17
17
31
26
24
14
18

19
15
15
8
13
16
29
23
22
12
17

17
15
15
5
9
10
24
21
21
9
17

14
9
13
4
7
7
19
17
17
7
13

10
7
10
3
6
6
16
14
11
6
13

10
6
9
3
5
6
14
12
11
6
12

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (19) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (20) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................

33
32
28
77
34
21
41
68
93
22
20
29

23
27
20
32
19
17
28
30
42
17
16
22

16
23
12
21
12
12
18
21
22
11
10
17

11
18
8
20
6
6
10
18
18
7
7
11

9
16
8
18
6
6
8
15
15
8
6
9

7
14
6
16
5
5
7
15
14
6
5
7

6
12
5
12
4
4
6
12
10
4
4
6

5
10
5
7
3
3
6
10
8
4
3
5

4
9
4
5
3
2
4
8
6
3
3
5

4
8
4
4
3
2
4
7
6
3
3
5

Southern Europe (21)


Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (22) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (23) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ........................

77
145
137
108
60
60
52
87
93
110
67
64
140

53
99
94
58
50
41
34
59
79
80
30
43
117

32
58
51
27
34
27
23
30
47
47
22
24
74

18
45
27
18
15
13
16
23
20
34
13
11
45

14
38
20
14
11
10
13
19
14
30
11
8
40

11
36
22
11
8
8
10
14
10
16
8
7
27

8
29
15
7
7
6
9
16
6
15
5
5
19

6
21
14
7
5
4
7
12
5
13
4
4
17

5
18
13
6
5
4
6
9
4
12
4
4
15

5
17
13
6
4
3
5
8
4
11
3
4
13

Europe

360

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.29. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
3
18
7
18
17
7
8
14
12
18
6
37

3
17
7
16
16
6
7
13
12
16
6
30

2
14
6
13
13
6
7
11
10
13
5
21

2
12
5
11
11
5
6
9
9
11
5
16

2
10
5
9
9
4
5
8
8
9
4
13

2
9
4
8
8
4
5
7
7
8
4
11

1
8
4
7
7
4
4
7
6
7
4
9

1
7
3
6
7
3
4
6
6
6
3
8

1
6
3
6
6
3
4
5
5
6
3
7

1
6
3
5
6
3
3
5
5
5
3
7

9
6
8
3
5
5
13
11
10
5
11

8
6
8
3
5
5
13
10
9
5
10

7
5
7
3
4
4
11
8
8
4
9

6
5
6
2
4
4
10
7
7
4
8

6
4
5
2
3
4
9
6
7
3
7

5
4
4
2
3
3
8
6
6
3
6

5
4
4
2
3
3
8
5
5
3
5

4
4
4
2
3
3
7
5
5
3
5

4
3
3
2
2
3
7
4
4
3
4

4
3
3
2
2
2
6
4
4
2
4

Eastern Europe
Belarus ..............................................
Bulgaria.............................................
Czech Rep. ........................................
Hungary.............................................
Poland ...............................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ........................
Romania ............................................
Russian Federation............................
Slovakia.............................................
Ukraine..............................................

4
8
4
4
3
2
4
6
6
3
3
5

4
7
4
4
3
2
4
6
5
3
2
4

4
6
4
4
3
2
4
5
5
3
2
4

4
6
3
3
3
2
3
4
4
3
2
4

3
5
3
3
2
2
3
4
4
2
2
4

3
4
3
3
2
2
3
4
3
2
2
3

3
4
3
3
2
2
3
3
3
2
2
3

3
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
2
2
3

3
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
2
2
3

2
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
2
2
3

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) .........................
Denmark............................................
Estonia...............................................
Finland (19) .......................................
Iceland...............................................
Ireland ...............................................
Latvia ................................................
Lithuania ...........................................
Norway (20) ......................................
Sweden..............................................
United Kingdom................................

5
15
12
5
4
3
5
7
4
10
3
3
12

4
14
12
5
4
3
5
7
4
9
3
3
11

4
12
11
4
4
3
5
6
4
8
3
3
9

4
10
10
4
4
3
4
5
3
7
3
3
8

3
9
9
3
3
3
4
5
3
6
2
3
7

3
8
8
3
3
3
4
4
3
5
2
3
6

3
7
7
3
3
3
3
4
3
5
2
3
5

3
6
7
3
3
2
3
3
3
4
2
3
5

3
6
6
2
3
2
3
3
3
4
2
2
4

3
5
6
2
3
2
3
3
3
4
2
2
4

Southern Europe (21)


Albania..............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...................
Croatia...............................................
Greece ...............................................
Italy ...................................................
Malta .................................................
Montenegro .......................................
Portugal .............................................
Serbia (22) .........................................
Slovenia.............................................
Spain (23) ..........................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ......................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Israel..................................................
Jordan................................................
Kuwait...............................................
Lebanon.............................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .........
Oman.................................................
Qatar..................................................
Saudi Arabia......................................
Syrian Arab Rep................................
Turkey ...............................................
United Arab Emirates .......................
Yemen ...............................................
Europe

361

Table A.29. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country
Western Europe (25)
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
45
55
42
44
51
44
23
29

26
33
27
25
29
29
16
21

18
24
17
16
21
18
11
14

10
13
10
9
11
12
8
8

8
9
9
8
8
9
7
7

6
7
8
7
6
7
6
6

5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5

4
5
4
4
4
5
5
4

4
4
4
4
4
2
4
4

4
4
4
3
3
2
4
4

127

101

81

57

47

38

32

26

22

19

Caribbean (26)
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Dominican Rep. ..................................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ....................
Puerto Rico..........................................
St. Lucia ..............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines...........
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
US Virgin Islands ................................

129
69
72
84
81
153
61
81
242
92
81
69
63
115
116
76
57

95
43
53
45
59
124
56
52
178
61
55
42
45
81
88
48
41

73
29
43
31
38
96
52
33
137
45
35
28
25
39
64
41
29

66
21
36
21
17
75
47
21
122
36
22
18
17
23
42
31
21

58
20
31
18
16
63
39
17
108
31
17
17
14
20
35
29
18

49
19
27
16
15
48
27
14
92
29
14
15
12
17
30
28
15

43
19
21
15
10
42
21
11
77
28
11
15
11
17
29
29
13

38
18
18
14
6
35
17
9
69
27
9
15
8
15
27
29
12

35
16
16
14
5
30
15
7
63
24
8
13
8
13
24
27
11

31
15
14
12
5
22
13
7
58
22
7
12
7
12
21
24
10

Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................

129
88
94
151
141
176
122
180
93

96
69
81
123
127
138
88
133
63

75
52
53
105
102
104
69
98
44

53
34
19
77
79
65
47
80
32

44
31
17
54
67
53
40
65
30

36
30
15
40
55
43
33
48
27

30
25
12
32
46
35
28
34
24

24
20
10
26
39
32
21
26
21

19
17
10
22
30
28
17
21
18

17
16
9
19
26
24
14
18
16

South America (29)


Argentina.............................................
Bolivia.................................................
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela ............................................

127
66
176
135
120
123
140
103
118
73
164
89
57
107

104
60
164
109
109
92
119
73
98
62
138
63
48
73

84
48
151
91
69
73
95
46
83
53
111
49
46
49

57
32
109
63
24
43
68
32
73
49
82
42
33
34

47
27
90
52
18
35
56
26
68
47
68
39
23
27

38
24
75
43
14
28
44
21
63
43
48
34
20
23

31
22
67
34
11
24
33
17
56
39
39
29
16
21

25
15
56
27
8
20
25
15
49
36
30
24
14
19

21
13
46
23
7
19
21
14
42
32
21
22
13
17

18
12
41
19
7
17
19
13
37
27
18
20
12
15

Northern America (30)


Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................

31
38
30

26
27
25

18
17
18

11
9
12

10
8
10

9
6
9

7
5
7

7
5
7

7
5
7

6
5
6

Oceania

60

49

41

33

31

28

27

25

22

19

25
24
26

20
20
21

17
17
16

10
10
12

9
9
11

7
7
8

6
5
6

5
5
5

5
5
5

5
4
5

Latin America and Caribbean

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................

362

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.29. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
3
4
4
3
3
2
4
3

3
3
3
3
3
2
4
3

3
3
3
3
3
2
3
3

3
3
3
3
3
2
3
3

2
2
3
2
2
2
3
2

2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1

2
2
2
1
2
2
2
1

17

15

12

10

28
14
12
11
5
20
12
6
52
20
7
11
7
12
19
22
9

25
13
11
10
5
18
11
6
46
19
6
11
7
11
17
20
9

20
11
10
9
4
15
9
6
34
16
6
9
6
10
14
18
8

16
9
8
8
4
12
8
5
26
13
5
8
6
9
12
15
7

13
8
8
7
4
10
7
5
20
11
5
7
5
8
11
13
7

10
7
7
6
4
8
7
4
16
9
4
7
5
7
9
12
6

9
6
6
5
4
7
6
4
13
8
4
6
4
7
8
11
5

7
6
5
5
3
6
5
4
11
7
3
5
4
6
8
10
5

6
5
5
4
3
5
5
3
9
6
3
5
4
5
7
9
4

6
5
4
4
3
5
4
3
8
5
3
5
4
5
7
8
4

Caribbean (26)
Aruba.................................................
Bahamas............................................
Barbados ...........................................
Cuba ..................................................
Dominican Rep. ................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe (27) ................................
Haiti...................................................
Jamaica..............................................
Martinique.........................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..................
Puerto Rico........................................
St. Lucia ............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.........
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
US Virgin Islands ..............................

15
15
9
17
23
21
12
16
15

13
14
8
15
21
18
11
15
13

11
13
7
12
17
15
9
12
11

9
11
6
10
14
12
7
10
9

8
10
5
9
11
10
6
9
7

6
9
4
7
9
8
5
7
6

5
8
4
6
7
7
4
6
5

4
7
3
5
6
6
3
6
4

3
6
3
5
5
5
3
5
3

3
6
2
4
5
4
2
4
3

Central America
Belize ................................................
Costa Rica .........................................
El Salvador........................................
Guatemala .........................................
Honduras ...........................................
Mexico ..............................................
Nicaragua ..........................................
Panama..............................................

16
11
34
17
6
15
17
12
33
24
16
18
10
14

14
10
28
15
6
13
15
11
30
21
15
17
9
13

12
8
19
12
5
11
13
9
25
17
12
14
8
11

9
7
14
10
5
9
10
8
21
14
10
13
6
9

8
6
11
8
5
7
8
7
18
11
8
11
5
8

7
5
8
7
4
6
7
6
16
8
7
9
5
7

6
5
7
6
4
5
6
6
14
6
6
8
4
6

5
4
5
5
4
4
5
5
13
5
5
7
3
5

4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
12
4
4
6
3
4

4
3
4
4
3
3
4
4
11
4
4
6
2
4

South America (29)


Argentina...........................................
Bolivia...............................................
Brazil.................................................
Chile..................................................
Colombia...........................................
Ecuador .............................................
French Guiana...................................
Guyana ..............................................
Paraguay............................................
Peru ...................................................
Suriname ...........................................
Uruguay.............................................
Venezuela ..........................................

6
5
6

6
4
6

5
4
5

5
4
5

4
3
5

4
3
4

4
3
4

3
2
3

3
2
3

3
2
3

Northern America (30)


Canada...............................................
United States of America ..................

17

16

13

11

Oceania

4
4
5

4
4
4

4
4
4

3
3
4

3
3
3

3
3
3

3
3
3

2
2
3

2
2
2

2
2
2

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Western Europe (25)


Austria...............................................
Belgium.............................................
France................................................
Germany............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Netherlands .......................................
Switzerland .......................................
Latin America and Caribbean

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ....................................
New Zealand .....................................

363

Table A.29. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................

143
64
118
158
146
170

117
52
61
133
118
133

90
42
33
99
91
100

68
33
17
74
76
71

67
29
13
73
90
61

61
25
9
67
78
52

57
22
7
62
65
42

51
19
5
56
51
35

46
18
5
50
43
29

41
17
5
44
35
24

Micronesia (32)
Guam...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................

103
83
97

83
60
77

64
41
58

52
29
47

47
24
45

39
13
42

33
11
40

29
10
38

25
9
35

22
8
31

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................

98
132
107
59

74
85
87
47

58
64
69
37

39
30
52
31

30
18
44
28

25
11
36
26

22
10
30
25

20
9
26
23

17
8
22
22

16
7
20
21

a
b

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
1 Including Seychelles.
2 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
3 Including Zanzibar.
4 Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
5 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
6 Includes other non-specified areas.
7 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
8 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
10 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
11 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.

364

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.29. Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
2015-2020 2020-2025 2030-2035 2040-2045 2050-2055 2060-2065 2070-2075 2080-2085 2090-2095 2095-2100 Major area, region and country

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

36
16
5
39
29
21

32
15
5
35
24
18

26
13
5
28
18
14

21
12
4
23
14
12

18
10
4
19
11
10

15
9
4
16
10
9

13
8
4
14
8
8

12
8
4
13
8
7

11
7
4
11
7
6

10
7
4
11
6
6

Melanesia
Fiji .....................................................
New Caledonia..................................
Papua New Guinea............................
Solomon Islands................................
Vanuatu .............................................

20
7
28

18
7
26

14
6
19

11
5
15

9
5
12

8
4
10

7
4
9

6
4
8

5
3
7

5
3
7

Micronesia (32)
Guam.................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ...............

14
7
18
19

13
6
16
18

12
6
14
16

10
5
12
14

9
5
10
12

8
4
9
11

7
4
8
10

7
4
7
9

6
3
7
8

6
3
6
8

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia...............................
Samoa................................................
Tonga.................................................

Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

365

Table A.30. Under -five mortality by major area, region and country:
estimates and projections, 1995-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010 and projections (2010-2100)
Under-five mortality (deaths under age 5 per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country
World
More dev. regions (a)
Less dev. regions (b)
Least dev. countries (c)
Other less dev. countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
203

178

132

105

94

88

82

73

66

60

69
235
306
225

38
206
267
196

26
148
244
132

18
117
201
100

16
104
187
87

13
97
175
79

11
90
160
72

9
81
141
64

8
72
125
57

8
66
112
52

252

206

171

132

119

110

101

90

80

73

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)

294

255

221

193

185

180

172

153

136

121

Africa

286

248

213

181

172

166

158

141

125

112

Eastern Africa (1)


Burundi .....................................
Comoros....................................
Djibouti .....................................
Eritrea........................................
Ethiopia .....................................
Kenya ........................................
Madagascar ...............................
Malawi ......................................
Mauritius (2) .............................
Mayotte .....................................
Mozambique .............................
Runion .....................................
Rwanda .....................................
Somalia .....................................
Uganda ......................................
UR Tanzania (3) .......................
Zambia ......................................
Zimbabwe .................................

294
280
267
331
259
328
245
300
354
168
229
360
229
271
340
267
255
247
189

245
249
230
277
221
266
193
258
331
86
110
306
110
242
297
217
227
211
156

210
228
188
230
194
236
148
221
295
84
55
266
55
227
257
168
198
176
132

189
196
153
184
175
234
109
183
255
31
29
240
29
181
230
177
169
160
98

180
193
136
171
155
214
103
180
238
27
21
240
21
177
212
178
164
167
84

173
210
127
158
130
190
102
154
209
21
15
224
15
220
236
182
162
176
82

156
194
118
142
102
164
109
119
185
22
11
190
11
188
204
172
146
174
102

136
175
109
129
84
139
110
88
159
16
8
161
8
152
181
148
124
169
111

116
164
100
115
72
113
101
64
136
15
6
141
6
128
174
126
101
156
94

100
152
86
104
62
96
89
58
119
15
6
123
6
114
162
114
81
130
71

Middle Africa
Angola.......................................
Cameroon..................................
Central African Rep. .................
Chad ..........................................
Congo........................................
DR Congo .................................
Equatorial Guinea .....................
Gabon........................................
Sao Tome and Principe .............

303
375
281
335
341
237
277
323
297
207

268
329
242
291
302
175
252
292
262
160

232
290
201
232
262
143
225
264
189
125

207
263
159
181
222
123
210
232
122
102

199
257
150
179
207
115
202
214
97
97

196
253
150
185
206
116
198
197
89
92

204
232
155
192
209
119
214
188
88
87

191
193
157
188
213
119
200
182
88
83

181
170
152
173
209
114
192
167
77
76

168
156
136
155
195
104
180
151
64
69

Northern Africa
Algeria.......................................
Egypt .........................................
Libya .........................................
Morocco ....................................
Sudan (4) ..................................
Tunisia.......................................
Western Sahara..........................

258
266
279
201
213
270
213
323

222
229
235
164
181
249
190
280

182
189
187
116
153
213
146
240

130
106
134
56
125
174
80
160

109
71
110
45
99
163
59
125

91
58
83
32
77
149
40
106

75
49
56
23
60
133
34
88

59
39
39
20
47
110
29
70

50
32
30
17
38
98
26
56

44
27
25
15
31
87
23
45

Southern Africa
Botswana...................................
Lesotho......................................
Namibia.....................................
South Africa ..............................
Swaziland..................................

149
201
253
257
136
260

131
165
200
193
122
225

115
129
181
145
109
183

87
86
135
105
82
128

73
71
119
94
69
108

69
67
95
83
66
95

79
86
116
74
75
114

87
89
128
67
84
128

80
58
115
53
79
113

64
46
89
39
64
92

Western Africa (5)


Benin .........................................
Burkina Faso .............................
Cape Verde ................................
Cte d'Ivoire..............................

324
344
386
207
278

287
304
323
184
258

249
255
266
138
213

213
212
214
88
156

207
198
205
71
150

202
178
201
57
152

191
158
192
45
148

167
146
179
34
136

148
136
167
24
122

132
121
147
22
107

366

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Under -five mortality by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1995-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010 and projections (2010-2100)
Under-five mortality (deaths under age 5 per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country
Gambia......................................
Ghana ........................................
Guinea .......................................
Guinea-Bissau ...........................
Liberia .......................................
Mali ...........................................
Mauritania .................................
Niger .........................................
Nigeria.......................................
Senegal......................................
Sierra Leone ..............................
Togo ..........................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
383
250
356
345
332
411
300
308
312
318
428
316

351
205
344
316
290
400
256
309
272
294
400
257

276
177
319
296
252
339
199
310
237
265
340
208

186
145
267
258
238
282
147
311
213
189
219
172

155
133
243
244
244
255
136
310
212
158
258
158

151
114
220
236
250
239
127
284
212
144
283
145

137
110
199
225
232
223
123
241
204
133
265
133

120
95
171
211
169
207
121
199
177
115
215
121

105
74
150
198
126
193
119
164
156
96
174
116

93
63
134
181
107
173
106
144
141
85
157
104

226

201

134

103

88

79

71

62

54

49

Eastern Asia (6)


China (7) ...................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (8) .....
China, Macao SAR (9) .............
DPR Korea ................................
Japan .........................................
Mongolia ...................................
Rep. of Korea ............................

189
200
87
90
136
77
294
194

191
208
43
56
99
33
211
125

77
84
23
34
63
16
162
50

52
57
13
20
42
9
155
32

44
47
9
16
36
7
136
20

37
40
7
12
55
6
91
13

33
34
5
9
83
5
73
9

27
29
4
7
36
4
55
7

24
26
3
6
35
4
44
5

22
24
3
5
32
3
37
5

South-Central Asia (10)

260
155

218
132

186
111

139
92

123
84

112
77

100
70

87
58

76
53

68
49

Southern Asia
Afghanistan ...............................
Bangladesh................................
Bhutan .......................................
India ..........................................
Iran ............................................
Maldives....................................
Nepal .........................................
Pakistan .....................................
Sri Lanka...................................

131
164
215
192
150
263

112
142
190
167
126
222

93
119
166
142
102
188

73
97
142
116
86
141

63
85
129
104
78
125

61
72
114
96
71
113

54
58
104
78
66
101

38
49
82
66
60
88

33
46
73
64
59
76

29
42
65
62
53
69

404
256
306
255
345
395
315
275
165

363
237
289
215
238
341
280
220
124

315
268
249
177
169
244
234
173
81

274
184
194
135
87
148
182
145
40

258
158
169
120
68
114
155
135
30

243
131
139
108
61
89
131
124
27

228
103
108
96
51
55
101
112
23

215
79
78
84
43
34
73
102
19

202
61
63
72
37
15
49
94
14

184
51
52
65
31
12
39
86
13

South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam....................
Cambodia ..................................
Indonesia ...................................
Lao PDR....................................
Malaysia (11) ............................
Myanmar ...................................
Philippines.................................
Singapore ..................................
Thailand ....................................
Timor-Leste...............................
Viet Nam ...................................

256
121
234
303
250
128
317
137
85
200
389
263

186
70
197
209
230
86
233
108
36
132
328
217

141
40
257
147
210
54
164
82
24
86
274
196

95
22
200
99
181
34
133
62
12
49
275
108

77
16
141
81
156
26
128
53
10
35
241
82

61
12
127
66
126
21
106
46
6
27
191
52

50
9
116
54
98
16
90
40
5
22
145
38

42
7
101
44
78
13
81
35
3
18
111
29

35
6
85
36
57
10
73
30
2
14
92
25

30
6
69
31
46
9
57
27
2
13
76
23

Western Asia
Armenia.....................................
Azerbaijan (12) .........................
Bahrain......................................
Cyprus (13) ...............................
Georgia (14) ..............................
Iraq ............................................

235
97
149
282
80
85
295

195
85
136
169
49
70
178

154
73
124
67
30
55
106

98
61
111
27
18
49
60

77
55
104
19
14
46
51

65
53
100
17
11
43
55

52
43
83
14
9
40
47

41
33
61
11
7
33
44

35
29
48
9
5
31
42

31
27
43
9
5
27
41

Asia (6)

Central Asia
Kazakhstan................................
Kyrgyzstan ................................
Tajikistan...................................
Turkmenistan ............................
Uzbekistan.................................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

367

Table A.30. Under -five mortality by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1995-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010 and projections (2010-2100)
Under-five mortality (deaths under age 5 per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country
Israel..........................................
Jordan........................................
Kuwait.......................................
Lebanon.....................................
Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) .
Oman.........................................
Qatar..........................................
Saudi Arabia..............................
Syrian Arab Rep........................
Turkey .......................................
United Arab Emirates ...............
Yemen .......................................

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
49
242
165
128
210
320
168
293
270
229
246
320

34
149
95
83
171
257
122
235
179
219
171
290

24
93
50
61
117
169
69
153
107
191
66
261

16
56
26
51
67
92
36
76
65
127
30
166

13
44
20
46
50
59
28
54
45
100
22
135

10
37
16
38
40
40
21
38
31
78
17
122

8
32
14
34
33
30
17
26
24
54
13
110

6
28
12
31
29
19
14
23
20
36
10
89

5
25
11
27
26
11
11
21
17
28
8
71

4
22
10
24
22
11
10
19
16
23
8
57

82

43

30

22

19

15

13

10

Eastern Europe
Belarus ......................................
Bulgaria.....................................
Czech Rep. ................................
Hungary.....................................
Poland .......................................
Rep. of Moldova (16) ................
Romania ....................................
Russian Federation....................
Slovakia.....................................
Ukraine......................................

100
83
102
51
83
96
91
115
110
86
89

48
37
46
23
49
55
68
69
49
32
36

34
27
33
22
38
32
55
46
36
29
27

28
25
24
16
22
22
43
31
31
20
25

25
21
19
13
19
19
39
31
28
16
22

23
18
21
11
15
18
36
28
26
14
21

21
18
19
7
11
12
30
25
25
11
21

17
12
16
5
9
8
23
21
21
9
17

14
9
12
4
7
7
19
17
17
8
16

14
9
11
4
7
7
19
15
16
7
15

Northern Europe (17)


Channel Islands (18) .................
Denmark....................................
Estonia.......................................
Finland (19) ...............................
Iceland.......................................
Ireland .......................................
Latvia ........................................
Lithuania ...................................
Norway (20) ..............................
Sweden......................................
United Kingdom........................

38
40
33
88
35
25
50
74
101
23
20
34

26
32
24
41
20
19
32
35
49
18
17
26

19
28
15
28
13
14
21
26
28
13
12
20

13
21
10
25
7
8
12
22
24
9
8
13

11
19
10
22
7
7
10
18
19
10
7
11

9
16
8
20
6
6
8
18
17
7
6
8

7
14
6
15
5
5
7
18
13
5
4
7

6
12
6
9
4
3
7
12
10
4
4
6

5
10
5
8
3
3
5
9
10
4
3
6

5
9
5
7
3
3
4
8
9
4
3
6

Southern Europe (21)


Albania......................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ...........
Croatia.......................................
Greece .......................................
Italy ...........................................
Malta .........................................
Montenegro ...............................
Portugal .....................................
Serbia (22) .................................
Slovenia.....................................
Spain (23) ..................................
TFYR Macedonia (24) ..............

93
184
138
109
61
75
58
88
137
114
68
84
146

62
124
98
59
52
48
37
60
105
85
32
50
123

36
71
56
29
36
30
26
31
58
52
24
27
79

21
54
32
20
18
15
18
25
25
38
16
13
49

17
46
24
15
13
11
15
21
18
33
13
10
44

13
44
24
12
9
9
13
16
12
19
9
9
29

10
35
18
8
8
7
11
18
9
17
6
6
21

7
24
17
8
6
5
9
13
6
15
5
5
19

6
21
16
7
5
4
8
10
6
14
4
5
17

6
19
16
7
5
4
7
9
5
13
4
4
15

Western Europe (25)


Austria.......................................
Belgium.....................................
France........................................
Germany....................................
Luxembourg ..............................
Netherlands ...............................
Switzerland ...............................

49
64
47
52
51
44
30
36

29
38
31
29
30
29
20
25

20
28
20
19
23
19
14
17

12
15
13
11
12
13
10
10

10
11
11
10
10
10
9
9

8
8
9
8
7
8
8
7

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
7

5
5
5
5
5
6
6
6

5
5
5
4
5
3
5
5

4
5
5
4
4
3
5
5

Europe

368

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.30. Under -five mortality by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1995-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010 and projections (2010-2100)
Under-five mortality (deaths under age 5 per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country
Latin America and Caribbean

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015
189

148

115

74

61

50

40

32

28

24

Caribbean (26)
Aruba.........................................
Bahamas....................................
Barbados ...................................
Cuba ..........................................
Dominican Rep. ........................
Grenada .....................................
Guadeloupe (27) ........................
Haiti...........................................
Jamaica......................................
Martinique.................................
Netherlands Antilles (28) ..........
Puerto Rico................................
St. Lucia ....................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
Trinidad and Tobago .................
US Virgin Islands ......................

182
95
100
119
110
255
82
134
322
120
114
88
75
159
169
109
77

134
54
70
58
76
191
75
78
255
78
74
52
53
114
125
66
52

102
35
56
38
44
135
68
46
207
56
46
34
29
55
87
55
36

87
24
45
25
22
89
61
27
171
42
27
21
20
30
53
40
26

75
23
38
21
17
73
49
21
151
37
21
20
16
27
43
36
21

64
22
34
19
16
56
32
16
128
35
17
18
14
22
37
34
18

54
22
27
18
11
47
25
13
105
34
13
18
13
22
35
36
15

48
21
23
17
8
40
19
10
93
32
10
17
10
19
32
36
13

44
19
20
16
7
33
17
8
83
29
9
15
9
17
28
34
12

40
17
18
14
6
28
15
8
76
26
8
14
9
16
25
31
12

Central America
Belize ........................................
Costa Rica .................................
El Salvador................................
Guatemala .................................
Honduras ...................................
Mexico ......................................
Nicaragua ..................................
Panama......................................

205
117
144
234
251
275
194
257
136

150
93
112
192
216
214
137
198
97

111
72
64
154
165
163
100
152
68

71
46
24
118
119
102
57
117
43

57
40
20
81
97
75
48
89
38

46
37
17
49
74
60
40
62
34

37
31
14
37
59
49
33
44
30

29
26
12
30
49
44
25
32
27

24
22
11
26
39
39
20
26
24

21
21
11
23
34
33
17
22
21

South America (29)


Argentina...................................
Bolivia.......................................
Brazil.........................................
Chile..........................................
Colombia...................................
Ecuador .....................................
French Guiana...........................
Guyana ......................................
Paraguay....................................
Peru ...........................................
Suriname ...................................
Uruguay.....................................
Venezuela ..................................

184
83
303
190
157
189
208
149
181
103
269
113
65
150

149
74
275
154
136
132
176
101
145
87
221
82
54
105

118
58
245
126
81
101
137
59
120
73
168
66
52
67

74
38
165
79
28
59
95
39
101
65
117
56
37
42

61
32
129
67
21
48
74
31
93
61
93
52
26
34

50
28
100
55
17
37
57
24
85
55
77
46
23
29

40
24
87
43
14
33
41
20
75
49
58
39
19
26

32
17
72
34
10
28
30
18
64
42
40
32
18
24

28
16
61
29
9
26
26
16
53
38
33
30
16
22

23
14
54
24
8
23
23
15
46
33
28
27
15
20

Northern America (30)


Canada.......................................
United States of America ..........

34
39
33

28
27
28

21
18
21

14
10
14

12
8
12

10
7
11

9
6
9

8
6
8

8
6
8

7
6
8

Oceania

88

70

57

44

42

38

36

33

28

24

27
26
30

23
22
24

19
19
20

12
12
14

11
10
13

8
8
9

7
7
8

6
6
7

6
5
6

5
5
6

Australia/New Zealand
Australia (31) ............................
New Zealand .............................

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

369

Table A.30. Under -five mortality by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and projections, 1995-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010 and projections (2010-2100)
Under-five mortality (deaths under age 5 per 1,000 live births)
Major area, region and country

1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

Melanesia
Fiji .............................................
New Caledonia..........................
Papua New Guinea....................
Solomon Islands........................
Vanuatu .....................................

235
151
172
254
219
254

186
105
89
206
172
197

134
74
47
147
131
144

95
51
25
104
106
98

94
42
18
102
128
83

84
35
13
92
109
68

77
29
9
84
89
54

68
24
7
75
67
43

60
22
7
66
54
35

52
22
7
58
43
29

Micronesia (32)
Guam.........................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .......

139
83
139

112
60
108

85
43
79

69
31
61

61
26
57

51
15
54

42
13
51

36
12
48

31
10
43

27
10
38

Polynesia (33)
French Polynesia.......................
Samoa........................................
Tonga.........................................

129
133
160
80

96
89
125
62

74
69
95
47

49
35
68
38

38
22
56
34

31
14
45
32

28
13
37
30

24
11
31
28

21
10
27
26

19
10
24
25

a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

370

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Including Seychelles.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
Includes other non-specified areas.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........
More dev. regions (a)
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........
Less dev. regions (b)
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........
Least dev. countries (c)
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........
Other less dev. countries (d)
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

869 025 1 128 118 1 384 365 1 572 373 1 645 078 1 737 312 1 819 943 1 849 266 1 835 348 1 846 675
1 532 715 1 756 159 2 114 175 2 615 278 2 927 067 3 240 162 3 531 208 3 851 820 4 197 009 4 524 850
130 489
154 136
197 646
265 356
291 145
328 951
375 089
421 684
474 292
524 364
221 713
525 509
63 965

256 705
578 268
78 357

261 713
645 084
99 625

243 029
711 750
126 314

238 873
744 189
129 889

235 320
765 692
143 392

229 291
780 975
159 186

217 154
801 117
170 538

204 893
820 591
185 413

203 946
834 910
197 044

647 313
871 413 1 122 653 1 329 344 1 406 205 1 501 992 1 590 652 1 632 113 1 630 455 1 642 729
1 007 205 1 177 891 1 469 092 1 903 528 2 182 879 2 474 470 2 750 233 3 050 703 3 376 418 3 689 940
66 524
75 779
98 021
139 041
161 256
185 559
215 903
251 145
288 879
327 321
81 132
108 537
6 419

104 731
131 695
7 224

137 763
164 869
9 398

176 159
205 320
12 290

199 696
233 474
13 997

226 655
267 374
16 078

256 579
309 941
18 730

283 556
356 926
21 514

309 893
410 746
24 652

334 007
469 955
28 368

566 180
766 682
984 889 1 153 185 1 206 509 1 275 337 1 334 073 1 348 557 1 320 562 1 308 722
898 668 1 046 196 1 304 223 1 698 208 1 949 405 2 207 096 2 440 291 2 693 777 2 965 672 3 219 984
60 105
68 555
88 623
126 751
147 259
169 481
197 173
229 631
264 227
298 953

Less dev. regions, excl. China


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

455 168
663 923
41 448

604 816
799 181
49 076

792 794
973 146 1 075 583 1 174 290 1 253 033 1 302 753 1 339 299 1 377 231
998 915 1 305 145 1 493 362 1 700 400 1 925 929 2 173 346 2 432 094 2 696 550
64 665
87 342
99 878
115 750
136 140
159 595
186 745
214 060

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

77 950
102 191
5 962

99 128
124 666
7 004

130 856
156 290
8 825

175 979
202 262
11 561

203 651
231 926
13 286

233 196
267 086
15 310

262 586
309 385
17 706

293 407
355 304
20 412

326 992
406 936
23 585

363 063
465 774
27 490

Africa
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

95 710
126 685
7 500

123 786
154 091
8 851

163 717
192 958
11 473

216 204
251 600
15 000

248 869
289 215
17 192

282 352
333 149
19 785

312 943
384 864
23 124

342 541
441 765
26 795

374 966
505 081
31 073

411 729
574 536
35 970

Eastern Africa (1)


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

27 870
34 965
1 922

36 512
43 068
2 308

49 205
55 365
3 058

66 518
72 897
4 160

76 797
84 477
4 740

88 998
98 309
5 494

100 041
112 928
6 349

113 601
130 535
7 448

126 546
150 566
8 601

140 196
173 832
10 017

Burundi ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 004
1 372
80

1 294
1 557
89

1 566
1 832
115

1 848
2 140
142

2 121
2 567
162

2 496
2 928
178

2 800
3 105
182

2 943
3 244
187

3 028
4 015
208

3 175
4 968
240

Comoros.........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

59
91
6

82
105
6

109
122
7

153
166
10

183
191
12

202
222
13

216
263
15

232
314
16

268
357
18

313
402
20

Djibouti ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

29
32
1

39
45
2

74
84
3

154
179
8

180
214
9

248
300
14

272
339
16

303
409
20

311
473
24

318
541
29

Eritrea.............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

517
588
37

637
747
39

836
964
47

1 163
1 213
93

1 342
1 380
85

1 463
1 613
82

1 510
1 622
81

1 646
1 933
89

1 883
2 497
106

2 185
2 938
130

Ethiopia ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

8 135
9 748
551

9 818
12 143
592

12 760
15 422
777

15 779
18 634
1 013

18 302
21 602
1 173

21 785
25 163
1 385

26 179
29 220
1 643

30 125
33 518
1 935

33 034
38 935
2 296

34 401
45 787
2 761

372

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

1 308 550 1 308 146 1 264 513 1 219 497 1 185 298 1 143 249 1 106 405 1 076 945 1 048 352 1 023 470
3 438 078 3 602 192 3 874 013 3 993 116 4 030 848 3 958 448 3 889 923 3 788 127 3 688 337 3 599 722
350 867
437 308
630 002
865 247 1 051 782 1 245 143 1 346 387 1 417 697 1 457 763 1 476 431

World
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over
More dev. regions (a)
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over
Less dev. regions (b)
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over
Least dev. countries (c)
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over
Other less dev. countries (d)
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 419 870 1 456 491 1 488 979 1 500 476 1 511 720 1 505 043 1 492 425 1 478 660 1 457 373 1 434 626
2 957 495 3 202 862 3 662 179 4 052 853 4 324 943 4 509 151 4 645 260 4 716 508 4 750 948 4 763 417
249 668
304 210
448 925
621 328
831 845 1 050 478 1 227 410 1 385 819 1 521 063 1 627 136

Less dev. regions, excl. China


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 877 551 1 906 952 1 907 229 1 899 655 1 907 753 1 893 759 1 875 380 1 861 332 1 838 789 1 814 185
4 804 411 5 031 779 5 438 040 5 707 025 5 887 808 5 960 180 6 038 449 6 056 143 6 056 352 6 050 770
602 333
717 797
976 111 1 267 361 1 510 567 1 761 250 1 913 284 2 051 063 2 166 949 2 259 972
209 779
827 679
218 713

214 211
817 192
242 036

210 890
795 175
290 024

210 330
776 939
319 616

218 179
756 340
337 213

220 230
746 758
343 357

220 834
752 509
335 841

224 617
747 813
341 559

226 068
746 187
351 483

226 011
748 873
359 901

1 667 773 1 692 742 1 696 339 1 689 325 1 689 574 1 673 529 1 654 546 1 636 715 1 612 721 1 588 173
3 976 731 4 214 587 4 642 865 4 930 086 5 131 468 5 213 422 5 285 941 5 308 330 5 310 165 5 301 896
383 620
475 761
686 087
947 744 1 173 355 1 417 894 1 577 443 1 709 505 1 815 466 1 900 071
359 222
538 653
32 753

384 596
612 395
38 453

431 826
768 851
56 085

469 828
504 276
530 280
548 141
559 770
564 370
564 703
936 970 1 100 620 1 254 975 1 396 018 1 520 203 1 621 828 1 702 175
82 497
121 572
172 750
231 056
291 808
357 704
423 640

401 406
533 810
32 140

439 427
611 728
37 657

509 220
572 062
628 958
671 025
701 588
721 363
729 078
729 508
793 287 1 003 830 1 224 683 1 450 595 1 667 308 1 860 198 2 023 025 2 151 869
51 266
71 386
106 461
155 640
217 870
294 939
383 511
476 673

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

451 667
651 258
42 391

490 282
737 583
50 333

556 677
615 979
671 083
710 372
738 443
756 846
763 354
762 715
934 791 1 155 346 1 376 326 1 598 587 1 811 347 1 996 066 2 151 648 2 275 255
70 579
98 236
144 189
203 230
270 215
352 127
443 294
536 171

Africa
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

155 455
201 790
11 862

171 120
233 460
14 057

200 261
307 243
19 193

227 798
393 056
27 117

254 899
483 095
41 619

276 193
576 487
62 710

293 765
669 047
88 373

307 301
755 379
119 470

315 359
833 033
155 639

320 300
899 660
194 324

3 408
5 546
277

3 622
6 086
350

3 563
7 382
496

3 369
8 621
662

3 325
9 297
1 081

3 076
9 698
1 605

2 844
9 955
1 937

2 705
9 778
2 386

2 540
9 444
2 823

2 420
9 118
3 048

Burundi ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

351
460
22

376
530
27

424
693
43

498
864
64

546
1 054
100

588
1 283
131

631
1 488
186

649
1 676
264

655
1 847
336

655
1 969
423

Comoros.......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

335
605
36

355
669
42

385
817
61

391
967
89

402
1 088
130

395
1 163
186

377
1 225
229

365
1 251
274

349
1 244
327

334
1 224
365

Djibouti ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 502
3 418
158

2 702
3 965
181

2 839
5 326
229

3 057
6 552
423

3 191
7 583
793

3 125
8 628
1 105

3 082
9 392
1 460

2 994
9 732
2 013

2 855
9 926
2 463

2 761
9 895
2 840

Eritrea...........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

35 065
53 611
3 323

35 442
61 698
3 906

36 087
76 979
5 449

34 651
91 007
7 808

32 129
101 576
11 482

29 928
105 741
17 752

27 704
104 806
24 936

25 911
101 546
30 035

24 703
96 197
33 736

23 721
90 401
36 018

Ethiopia ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Eastern Africa (1)


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

373

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Kenya .............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 417
3 421
239

3 764
4 043
298

5 520
5 344
388

8 128
7 646
494

9 820
9 278
558

11 489
11 325
634

12 757
13 923
745

13 842
16 536
876

15 220
19 413
981

17 200
22 238
1 074

Madagascar ....................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 561
2 394
129

2 173
2 763
168

2 952
3 361
235

3 955
4 346
308

4 414
5 045
326

5 040
5 881
360

5 842
6 876
410

6 954
7 928
482

7 974
9 349
563

8 927
11 136
651

Malawi ...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 317
1 476
88

1 617
1 818
91

2 098
2 330
103

2 938
3 142
160

3 450
3 635
184

4 306
4 826
249

4 416
5 161
306

5 145
5 741
343

5 908
6 522
392

6 828
7 613
460

Mauritius (2) ..................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

223
256
15

307
336
16

362
444
21

341
588
35

319
654
41

315
697
48

316
764
57

320
808
68

312
869
76

284
925
90

Mayotte ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

5
9
2

10
12
2

17
18
2

27
26
2

34
34
2

43
46
3

56
62
4

67
78
4

73
96
5

94
106
4

Mozambique ..................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 687
3 579
176

3 232
4 203
212

4 108
5 070
276

5 324
6 455
367

5 958
6 963
413

6 313
6 794
441

7 038
8 394
501

7 982
9 641
578

9 213
10 890
668

10 313
12 305
773

Runion ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

98
140
10

150
173
12

210
237
16

191
295
23

186
344
29

188
388
36

200
433
43

210
477
51

212
522
61

217
559
70

Rwanda ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

934
1 084
54

1 332
1 361
77

1 792
1 862
95

2 489
2 576
113

2 975
2 984
122

3 492
3 465
153

2 696
2 745
130

3 677
4 209
212

3 899
5 058
245

4 531
5 811
282

Somalia ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

934
1 272
59

1 245
1 494
80

1 639
1 857
106

2 973
3 275
188

2 869
3 307
187

2 933
3 474
193

2 821
3 520
184

3 266
3 929
204

3 731
4 398
232

4 192
4 885
254

Uganda ...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 221
2 784
153

3 116
3 495
177

4 427
4 774
245

6 032
6 295
335

7 073
7 334
393

8 499
8 726
475

10 103
10 164
563

11 801
11 756
657

13 863
13 847
721

16 189
16 398
838

UR Tanzania (3) ............................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

3 516
3 966
168

4 615
5 220
239

6 287
6 976
341

8 696
9 501
489

10 141
11 124
583

11 736
13 051
693

13 578
15 531
835

15 229
17 820
988

17 286
20 371
1 174

20 051
23 384
1 406

Zambia ...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 051
1 225
64

1 366
1 602
77

1 921
2 108
110

2 734
2 882
159

3 162
3 435
189

3 600
4 039
221

4 038
4 624
257

4 620
5 281
301

5 265
5 850
347

6 070
6 620
399

Zimbabwe ......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 153
1 505
89

1 698
1 928
126

2 505
2 535
167

3 567
3 506
216

4 244
4 346
266

4 829
5 329
312

5 180
6 133
371

5 218
6 862
430

5 045
7 049
477

4 886
7 156
529

374

1950

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

19 561
25 488
1 283

21 655
29 313
1 596

24 856
38 796
2 276

28 202
49 483
3 290

31 268
60 135
5 484

33 032
71 449
8 060

34 136
82 348
10 835

34 364
91 306
14 855

33 747
98 483
19 321

32 764
103 357
23 889

Kenya ...........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

9 862
13 231
760

10 941
15 467
958

13 262
20 564
1 507

15 191
26 630
2 311

16 909
33 333
3 319

18 284
39 994
4 900

19 102
46 294
7 076

19 527
51 965
9 497

19 544
56 441
12 311

19 281
59 682
15 259

Madagascar ..................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

8 066
8 896
561

9 630
10 408
639

12 707
14 666
801

16 028
20 728
1 041

20 001
28 070
1 649

23 469
37 229
2 627

26 941
47 774
3 923

30 118
59 084
5 951

32 575
70 765
8 929

34 670
82 320
12 512

Malawi .........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

263
957
113

244
976
142

232
945
217

221
905
270

209
850
309

203
780
340

200
723
352

196
695
336

194
673
319

193
656
308

Mauritius (2) ................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

107
125
5

115
148
8

115
213
14

131
260
30

135
312
46

132
368
56

129
403
77

123
412
115

116
421
140

111
414
164

Mayotte ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

11 235
14 034
893

11 938
16 198
1 041

13 758
20 760
1 388

15 225
26 016
1 780

16 032
31 777
2 383

16 639
37 192
3 449

16 683
41 880
5 181

16 390
45 799
7 145

15 981
48 570
9 340

15 424
50 132
11 792

Mozambique ................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

222
590
82

217
617
101

207
644
154

200
665
191

194
677
213

188
668
241

184
655
264

182
636
285

181
621
293

180
610
296

Runion ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

5 295
6 651
349

6 009
7 614
419

6 715
10 269
596

7 520
13 237
859

8 521
16 061
1 421

8 788
19 260
2 068

8 998
22 322
2 719

9 071
24 580
3 890

8 708
26 430
5 163

8 368
27 641
6 307

Rwanda ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

4 732
5 584
291

5 413
6 469
356

7 150
8 690
520

9 145
11 759
764

11 291
15 851
1 075

13 491
20 959
1 504

15 503
26 923
2 226

17 253
33 521
3 230

18 651
40 274
4 671

19 620
46 765
6 592

Somalia ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

18 647
19 494
971

21 048
23 245
1 130

25 687
32 694
1 465

30 127
44 130
2 180

33 582
57 209
3 468

35 967
71 202
5 388

37 269
84 722
8 278

37 468
96 507
12 411

36 928
105 827
17 419

36 017
112 065
23 108

Uganda .........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

23 552
27 068
1 691

27 434
31 667
1 980

35 183
44 005
2 664

43 655
60 307
3 775

52 597
79 841
5 874

60 166
103 328
8 738

66 769
129 231
12 563

72 060
155 175
18 545

75 595
180 023
26 601

77 805
202 376
36 157

UR Tanzania (3) ..........................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

7 184
7 600
458

8 595
8 821
502

11 574
12 332
576

15 097
17 482
777

19 689
24 138
1 209

24 211
33 171
1 825

29 075
44 366
2 757

33 991
57 405
4 332

38 302
72 107
6 845

42 376
87 801
10 171

Zambia .........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

5 049
8 370
581

5 367
9 506
671

5 501
11 405
721

5 076
13 381
785

4 865
14 186
1 563

4 499
14 321
2 712

4 125
14 489
3 353

3 923
14 268
3 884

3 723
13 697
4 581

3 589
13 194
5 055

Zimbabwe ....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

375

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Middle Africa
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

10 755
14 367
994

13 540
17 437
1 036

17 797
21 657
1 295

24 043
27 657
1 691

28 179
31 588
1 931

33 182
36 287
2 207

39 541
42 734
2 554

44 573
48 784
2 831

50 875
56 840
3 216

56 765
66 267
3 657

Angola............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 708
2 312
127

2 170
2 662
132

2 725
3 043
158

3 551
3 882
206

4 257
4 568
241

4 912
5 155
268

5 767
6 032
305

6 636
6 946
344

7 853
8 231
405

8 887
9 722
473

Cameroon.......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 771
2 541
155

2 194
3 023
192

2 901
3 692
249

4 060
4 718
331

4 759
5 381
379

5 504
6 243
434

6 193
7 257
491

6 713
8 414
551

7 300
9 638
616

7 954
10 957
688

Central African Rep. ......................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

480
779
68

575
864
65

743
1 011
75

960
1 219
94

1 113
1 408
106

1 267
1 550
118

1 415
1 781
132

1 556
2 000
146

1 670
2 188
159

1 777
2 449
175

Chad ...............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

919
1 405
106

1 189
1 652
113

1 534
1 982
139

2 005
2 382
167

2 327
2 639
185

2 752
3 050
210

3 213
3 552
233

3 772
4 191
259

4 485
5 009
292

5 101
5 803
323

Congo.............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

324
456
28

419
557
37

581
703
51

806
925
67

927
1 076
78

1 045
1 255
89

1 162
1 468
102

1 302
1 717
117

1 461
1 942
131

1 641
2 254
148

DR Congo ......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

5 322
6 400
461

6 732
8 188
447

8 991
10 708
569

12 263
13 992
763

14 320
15 849
875

17 123
18 270
1 014

21 091
21 765
1 211

23 805
24 491
1 330

27 267
28 627
1 526

30 530
33 679
1 757

Equatorial Guinea ..........................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

77
136
13

93
146
13

113
165
13

96
111
13

108
189
15

141
216
17

185
239
18

221
280
19

246
342
20

275
405
20

Gabon.............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

133
302
34

147
304
34

175
317
38

257
382
44

318
428
48

385
492
52

457
574
56

506
670
59

529
781
61

534
906
65

Sao Tome and Principe ..................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

20
38
2

21
41
3

34
36
4

44
46
5

48
51
5

54
57
5

57
65
6

60
75
6

63
82
7

67
92
6

Northern Africa
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

21 785
29 354
1 844

29 727
35 561
2 206

39 372
44 498
3 072

49 194
59 849
4 029

55 708
69 640
4 608

60 794
80 111
5 283

63 358
91 673
6 364

63 590
105 073
7 503

63 870
119 358
8 788

66 125
133 302
10 032

Algeria............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

3 513
4 857
383

4 726
5 658
416

6 648
6 531
568

8 623
9 432
756

9 925
11 351
822

10 909
13 481
909

11 241
16 004
1 046

10 451
18 822
1 261

9 781
21 636
1 472

9 593
24 246
1 629

Egypt ..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

8 464
12 403
647

12 295
14 707
900

15 629
19 103
1 191

19 084
24 318
1 551

21 195
27 661
1 803

23 301
31 416
2 126

24 086
35 442
2 536

24 380
40 288
2 981

24 533
46 167
3 503

25 581
51 460
4 081

Libya ..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

431
549
49

584
711
54

900
1 039
55

1 441
1 554
68

1 819
1 943
88

1 885
2 338
111

1 828
2 808
139

1 693
3 361
178

1 763
3 786
220

1 933
4 148
274

376

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

62 407
77 062
4 162

67 371
89 513
4 805

75 948
117 534
6 539

81 581
148 733
9 247

84 569
179 923
13 858

85 268
207 978
20 907

83 863
230 607
30 287

81 321
246 445
41 173

78 268
255 126
52 834

75 115
257 621
64 134

9 748
11 544
550

10 405
13 707
667

11 605
18 210
986

12 172
23 160
1 421

12 248
27 952
2 134

12 037
31 969
3 236

11 533
34 678
4 923

10 971
36 203
6 713

10 421
36 542
8 512

9 913
36 008
10 132

Angola..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

8 704
12 334
778

9 307
13 919
891

10 090
17 557
1 164

10 787
21 320
1 587

11 246
24 856
2 371

11 375
28 092
3 404

11 315
30 875
4 496

11 061
32 804
5 926

10 689
34 065
7 369

10 305
34 622
8 766

Cameroon.....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 893
2 772
190

2 014
3 120
209

2 220
3 891
254

2 303
4 759
331

2 356
5 515
521

2 344
6 139
780

2 278
6 631
1 046

2 202
6 944
1 318

2 113
7 052
1 630

2 025
7 027
1 902

Central African Rep. ....................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

5 692
6 729
357

6 247
7 804
417

7 386
10 488
564

8 320
13 682
782

8 923
17 143
1 186

9 271
20 549
1 793

9 344
23 595
2 649

9 204
26 038
3 745

8 956
27 720
5 019

8 655
28 610
6 383

Chad .............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 811
2 530
167

1 962
2 852
190

2 231
3 680
258

2 515
4 565
383

2 736
5 510
555

2 880
6 500
745

2 974
7 393
1 022

3 000
8 139
1 388

2 973
8 735
1 773

2 916
9 132
2 176

Congo...........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

33 620
39 553
2 017

36 423
46 329
2 303

41 291
61 554
3 111

44 300
78 670
4 471

45 821
95 971
6 731

46 108
111 437
10 435

45 178
123 873
15 489

43 666
132 560
21 270

41 932
137 154
27 547

40 154
138 321
33 638

DR Congo ....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

309
471
22

344
531
31

389
650
62

417
800
81

438
966
88

439
1 101
124

428
1 212
168

415
1 282
225

398
1 317
290

380
1 328
346

Equatorial Guinea ........................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

559
1 023
74

597
1 130
90

662
1 354
130

693
1 598
177

727
1 809
247

743
1 975
354

744
2 127
445

738
2 247
528

724
2 315
626

708
2 353
715

Gabon...........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

69
107
6

71
121
7

74
150
10

75
180
14

74
199
26

71
216
37

68
225
49

65
228
60

62
226
69

60
220
77

Sao Tome and Principe ................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

69 166
145 741
12 124

71 095
158 315
14 896

70 040
182 628
22 463

68 119
201 754
31 466

67 272
210 678
44 508

64 895
214 908
57 180

62 157
217 105
65 501

60 161
213 236
74 165

58 152
208 233
80 658

56 220
203 476
84 017

9 993
26 065
1 897

10 082
27 684
2 414

8 830
30 724
3 920

7 679
31 740
6 071

7 525
30 132
8 865

7 111
28 072
10 983

6 623
26 944
11 176

6 564
24 767
11 734

6 455
23 172
11 865

6 260
22 519
11 205

Algeria..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

26 670
56 349
5 160

27 207
61 282
6 321

26 404
70 776
9 318

25 457
78 389
12 387

24 357
81 541
17 553

22 598
82 199
22 933

21 329
81 290
26 632

20 282
78 037
30 122

19 316
74 583
32 378

18 712
71 100
33 416

Egypt ............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 063
4 211
332

2 031
4 641
411

1 681
5 486
616

1 538
5 850
972

1 532
5 712
1 530

1 389
5 695
1 809

1 300
5 451
2 053

1 317
4 942
2 384

1 277
4 670
2 448

1 224
4 531
2 318

Libya ............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country


Middle Africa
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

Northern Africa
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

377

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Morocco .........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

3 974
4 722
257

5 211
6 114
301

7 282
7 388
639

8 312
10 440
815

9 265
12 133
893

9 843
13 992
946

10 040
15 715
1 174

9 663
17 778
1 353

9 208
19 585
1 600

8 949
21 247
1 755

Sudan (4) .......................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

4 025
4 859
306

5 068
6 136
358

6 511
7 829
425

8 968
10 512
591

10 490
12 351
702

11 638
14 048
808

13 001
16 194
946

14 456
18 612
1 120

15 896
21 213
1 301

17 459
24 540
1 553

Tunisia............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 372
1 956
202

1 830
2 215
176

2 371
2 563
193

2 711
3 504
242

2 943
4 093
295

3 129
4 709
377

3 061
5 357
517

2 837
6 016
603

2 551
6 680
682

2 459
7 294
729

Western Sahara...............................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

6
8
0

12
20
1

31
44
2

55
90
5

71
107
5

88
127
6

101
152
6

111
196
8

139
292
10

151
367
13

Southern Africa
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

6 052
8 967
568

8 138
10 825
761

10 802
13 773
880

13 891
18 077
1 031

15 445
20 888
1 176

16 701
24 040
1 352

17 500
28 288
1 610

17 790
31 767
1 885

17 898
34 798
2 223

17 858
37 302
2 621

Botswana........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

169
226
18

239
264
21

332
339
22

463
508
25

548
606
29

619
727
36

659
883
43

667
1 037
54

655
1 155
66

653
1 273
80

Lesotho...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

299
403
33

367
449
36

455
535
43

581
676
53

659
768
60

723
847
70

773
942
79

810
1 067
88

818
1 156
92

812
1 266
93

Namibia..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

188
277
20

251
329
22

337
416
28

472
506
35

541
569
40

618
749
48

694
902
56

764
1 068
64

809
1 199
72

832
1 368
84

South Africa ...................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

5 280
7 913
490

7 124
9 601
672

9 467
12 260
775

12 081
16 094
902

13 352
18 604
1 027

14 326
21 293
1 175

14 916
25 083
1 404

15 074
28 037
1 649

15 155
30 679
1 959

15 105
32 704
2 324

Swaziland.......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

117
148
7

158
182
10

210
223
12

294
293
16

345
341
20

415
424
23

459
478
27

475
558
31

462
608
35

456
691
40

Western Africa (5)


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

29 248
39 032
2 171

35 870
47 200
2 541

46 541
57 666
3 167

62 558
73 119
4 089

72 741
82 622
4 738

82 677
94 402
5 450

92 503
109 241
6 248

102 987
125 607
7 128

115 778
143 519
8 244

130 785
163 834
9 643

Benin ..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

793
1 285
177

929
1 358
133

1 215
1 502
132

1 634
1 831
146

1 901
2 085
154

2 206
2 404
163

2 573
2 901
177

2 971
3 351
196

3 404
4 002
227

3 867
4 714
269

Burkina Faso ..................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 745
2 454
86

2 016
2 755
111

2 531
3 132
144

3 349
3 670
193

3 871
4 079
220

4 448
4 632
244

5 046
5 383
263

5 720
6 294
279

6 522
7 369
308

7 466
8 637
365

Cape Verde .....................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

58
106
14

89
112
10

132
131
11

138
146
16

146
166
16

158
173
17

176
199
20

183
231
23

175
271
27

158
309
29

378

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

8 849
22 690
2 031

8 781
23 789
2 508

8 046
25 533
3 922

7 076
26 437
5 292

6 549
25 720
6 930

6 135
24 128
8 487

5 653
22 686
9 177

5 391
20 943
9 614

5 282
19 436
9 719

5 132
18 595
9 341

Morocco .......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

18 905
28 294
1 873

20 240
32 460
2 220

22 583
41 123
3 150

24 202
50 238
4 616

25 147
59 035
6 780

25 548
66 917
9 590

25 302
73 066
13 157

24 679
77 369
16 977

23 876
79 610
20 874

23 013
80 090
24 518

Sudan (4) .....................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 518
7 693
814

2 572
7 950
996

2 315
8 418
1 480

2 005
8 499
2 028

2 003
7 943
2 703

1 960
7 318
3 197

1 806
7 094
3 118

1 789
6 630
3 132

1 809
6 248
3 152

1 747
6 148
2 996

Tunisia..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

168
439
17

183
508
26

181
567
56

162
601
100

159
595
148

154
579
181

143
574
188

139
549
202

138
514
221

132
493
223

Western Sahara.............................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

17 703
38 801
3 080

17 363
40 143
3 681

16 591
42 773
4 762

15 592
45 178
5 325

14 527
46 316
6 484

13 528
46 097
8 406

12 691
45 267
10 187

12 029
43 804
11 782

11 525
41 971
13 109

11 161
40 192
14 016

661
1 359
95

671
1 416
120

639
1 561
145

590
1 699
146

555
1 738
210

509
1 721
306

474
1 700
367

453
1 642
432

434
1 578
493

421
1 525
530

Botswana......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

810
1 378
98

820
1 471
105

808
1 651
107

761
1 829
102

723
1 910
156

671
1 928
243

620
1 931
308

584
1 914
364

552
1 880
431

530
1 854
490

Lesotho.........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

850
1 533
100

867
1 683
122

886
1 979
177

863
2 256
235

820
2 454
325

776
2 528
466

727
2 529
599

685
2 471
704

654
2 371
786

628
2 261
840

Namibia........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

14 920
33 771
2 740

14 532
34 760
3 282

13 789
36 652
4 270

12 932
38 327
4 781

12 003
39 040
5 715

11 176
38 701
7 243

10 503
37 868
8 704

9 961
36 557
10 015

9 558
34 958
11 080

9 268
33 406
11 803

South Africa .................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

463
761
46

474
814
53

469
930
63

446
1 066
60

427
1 174
79

395
1 220
148

367
1 238
209

346
1 221
267

327
1 184
318

314
1 146
352

Swaziland.....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

146 936
187 863
11 163

163 334
216 151
12 894

193 836
284 614
17 622

222 889
366 626
25 080

249 816
456 314
37 720

270 488
553 115
54 026

285 967
649 321
75 867

296 032
737 200
105 538

300 050
813 285
141 055

299 919
874 306
179 681

4 331
5 491
307

4 791
6 371
361

5 616
8 484
529

6 381
10 922
789

6 996
13 575
1 163

7 434
16 272
1 692

7 703
18 789
2 412

7 778
20 921
3 352

7 698
22 596
4 399

7 536
23 719
5 497

Benin ............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

8 566
10 108
443

9 784
11 852
514

12 127
16 203
781

14 426
21 670
1 265

16 756
27 956
2 009

18 692
35 126
2 969

20 272
42 682
4 299

21 488
49 964
6 235

22 196
56 596
8 741

22 515
62 303
11 549

Burkina Faso ................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

146
346
28

139
373
33

128
408
53

111
433
73

100
430
102

92
395
143

85
362
165

81
334
167

78
305
165

76
285
158

Cape Verde ...................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

Southern Africa
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

Western Africa (5)


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

379

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Cte d'Ivoire...................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 133
1 436
61

1 593
1 957
88

2 438
2 846
132

3 900
4 392
209

4 820
5 410
265

5 649
6 538
331

6 343
7 920
414

6 936
9 132
514

7 527
9 871
623

8 080
10 911
747

Gambia...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

111
153
8

146
219
8

185
263
10

284
329
16

359
390
19

451
493
22

527
573
26

592
675
30

677
794
32

760
931
38

Ghana .............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 247
2 611
123

2 973
3 592
177

3 955
4 489
239

4 995
5 613
315

5 790
6 702
380

6 503
7 839
452

7 254
9 200
542

7 870
10 652
643

8 585
12 285
769

9 412
14 050
930

Guinea ............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 148
1 782
164

1 416
1 992
133

1 755
2 266
132

1 907
2 359
141

2 162
2 602
160

2 559
3 011
189

3 372
3 943
250

3 692
4 376
276

3 945
4 796
301

4 282
5 367
332

Guinea-Bissau ................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

201
298
19

245
330
18

223
360
20

351
454
29

419
471
33

445
536
35

496
591
38

535
665
41

579
744
44

626
839
51

Liberia ............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

374
510
28

462
623
30

634
768
37

875
998
50

1 015
1 139
57

970
1 102
56

933
1 107
55

1 241
1 532
74

1 379
1 718
85

1 737
2 145
112

Mali ................................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 804
2 703
131

2 124
3 002
123

2 555
3 333
146

3 232
3 814
199

3 667
4 111
232

4 121
4 294
258

4 653
4 898
274

5 327
5 682
287

6 210
6 668
299

7 248
7 784
338

Mauritania ......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

288
360
9

379
460
16

519
590
24

693
788
37

792
912
44

896
1 048
52

1 008
1 223
61

1 128
1 444
71

1 255
1 711
82

1 380
1 987
93

Niger ..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 218
1 221
23

1 531
1 684
36

2 085
2 223
64

2 816
2 953
102

3 250
3 368
126

3 762
3 869
157

4 434
4 554
191

5 295
5 398
229

6 353
6 366
275

7 596
7 576
340

Nigeria............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

15 798
20 932
1 129

19 150
25 315
1 461

24 516
31 001
1 841

33 285
39 918
2 340

38 612
44 523
2 693

43 717
50 750
3 085

48 341
58 162
3 511

53 351
66 351
3 987

59 879
75 323
4 621

67 828
85 213
5 382

Senegal...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 005
1 328
83

1 278
1 691
78

1 814
2 190
92

2 557
2 736
121

2 972
3 117
144

3 417
3 652
173

3 866
4 296
206

4 316
4 949
241

4 829
5 770
273

5 432
6 703
300

Sierra Leone ...................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

747
1 091
57

866
1 258
63

1 043
1 475
76

1 299
1 771
92

1 486
1 958
97

1 686
2 192
103

1 650
2 157
92

1 757
2 299
87

2 212
2 843
99

2 523
3 234
111

Togo ...............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

576
759
60

672
850
56

939
1 093
66

1 242
1 343
82

1 476
1 588
97

1 688
1 865
112

1 829
2 130
126

2 071
2 571
151

2 246
2 985
176

2 390
3 433
205

Asia (6)
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

512 343
833 926
57 120

380

681 027
860 621
995 559 1 028 315 1 079 241 1 130 390 1 138 850 1 103 204 1 079 755
962 505 1 192 209 1 523 796 1 740 925 1 961 747 2 155 269 2 364 591 2 594 234 2 805 440
64 150
82 162
118 231
137 611
158 492
184 787
215 604
247 554
279 057

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

8 670
12 464
881

9 242
14 226
1 036

10 367
18 131
1 325

11 118
22 461
1 722

11 587
26 459
2 628

11 773
29 881
3 910

11 611
32 649
5 364

11 259
34 668
6 839

10 831
35 759
8 422

10 384
36 061
9 968

Cte d'Ivoire.................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

837
1 097
42

908
1 283
51

1 043
1 696
80

1 145
2 158
125

1 211
2 618
207

1 247
3 052
313

1 252
3 410
461

1 230
3 684
630

1 198
3 855
812

1 161
3 929
994

Gambia.........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

10 268
15 921
1 126

10 962
18 056
1 308

11 915
22 734
1 888

12 805
27 361
2 774

13 371
31 713
4 023

13 473
35 615
5 561

13 361
38 764
7 246

13 032
40 758
9 288

12 557
41 923
11 207

12 090
42 187
12 953

Ghana ...........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

4 749
6 197
371

5 201
7 123
441

6 000
9 336
610

6 685
11 874
855

7 208
14 546
1 253

7 541
17 159
1 833

7 704
19 527
2 583

7 685
21 447
3 531

7 529
22 859
4 575

7 310
23 708
5 645

Guinea ..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

678
946
57

734
1 057
73

842
1 332
88

937
1 649
120

1 027
1 985
172

1 106
2 331
246

1 168
2 678
332

1 216
3 007
438

1 247
3 301
565

1 261
3 554
704

Guinea-Bissau ..............................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 957
2 475
127

2 144
2 872
149

2 490
3 828
215

2 852
4 897
315

3 130
6 043
488

3 335
7 243
693

3 483
8 378
979

3 539
9 368
1 373

3 526
10 198
1 800

3 476
10 786
2 273

Liberia ..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

8 316
9 133
370

9 380
10 732
425

11 388
14 805
591

13 358
19 769
974

15 074
25 473
1 583

16 357
31 842
2 335

17 308
38 169
3 532

17 849
43 943
5 304

17 999
48 898
7 455

17 894
52 728
9 883

Mali ..............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 498
2 263
109

1 601
2 566
130

1 777
3 220
203

1 938
3 891
318

2 057
4 560
469

2 122
5 208
646

2 148
5 769
871

2 134
6 210
1 140

2 089
6 529
1 416

2 031
6 711
1 692

Mauritania ....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

8 998
9 073
430

10 628
10 927
515

14 244
15 777
819

18 142
22 657
1 169

22 229
31 498
1 708

26 092
42 156
2 647

29 471
54 099
4 216

32 246
66 577
6 550

34 249
78 728
9 803

35 504
89 882
13 824

Niger ............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

76 652
96 964
6 175

85 781
111 023
7 065

102 703
145 820
9 293

118 811
188 751
12 779

134 335
236 202
19 078

146 346
288 919
26 838

155 611
342 416
37 471

162 053
392 139
52 673

164 885
435 996
71 641

165 180
472 187
92 518

Nigeria..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

6 029
7 801
331

6 547
9 085
365

7 366
12 058
538

8 165
15 196
908

8 740
18 394
1 473

9 031
21 494
2 236

9 153
24 194
3 211

9 052
26 251
4 465

8 814
27 738
5 724

8 550
28 536
6 988

Senegal.........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 723
3 663
127

2 862
4 167
149

3 036
5 281
214

3 155
6 395
322

3 134
7 452
502

3 055
8 358
731

2 959
8 947
1 090

2 834
9 247
1 523

2 717
9 339
1 922

2 619
9 230
2 305

Sierra Leone .................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 516
3 920
238

2 627
4 436
279

2 795
5 497
392

2 860
6 539
571

2 860
7 409
862

2 793
8 063
1 233

2 677
8 487
1 636

2 554
8 682
2 030

2 436
8 663
2 409

2 330
8 500
2 729

Togo .............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 067 235 1 057 278 1 001 694


945 087
899 090
850 711
809 054
777 054
749 868
728 483
2 982 376 3 106 212 3 299 927 3 342 968 3 320 425 3 191 847 3 070 120 2 926 656 2 791 467 2 675 556
325 871
402 030
566 120
772 909
922 705 1 080 186 1 150 315 1 188 582 1 199 148 1 192 186

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Asia (6)
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

381

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

Eastern Asia (6)


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

234 304
408 140
29 987

309 125
459 171
33 192

374 361
567 762
41 950

402 905
711 543
64 139

375 106
811 458
76 100

367 263
904 294
87 592

374 622
364 262
324 324
296 651
958 628 1 012 852 1 079 359 1 127 555
101 661
118 168
133 660
149 764

China (7) ........................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

188 368
337 552
24 851

260 730
371 203
26 337

322 326
459 509
32 787

349 066
583 427
50 677

323 534
673 037
60 009

320 862
756 284
68 050

331 238
805 172
77 576

323 411
856 794
88 912

285 784
922 723
99 087

260 958
970 532
109 845

China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ..........


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

599
1 326
49

1 257
1 732
87

1 467
2 336
155

1 284
3 473
297

1 257
3 746
412

1 245
4 045
504

1 193
4 359
592

1 167
4 870
747

969
5 010
831

812
5 343
899

China, Macao SAR (9) ..................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

53
138
6

65
95
11

97
138
16

61
164
21

74
200
22

91
244
24

102
267
29

99
301
32

80
368
33

71
434
38

DPR Korea .....................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

4 663
4 812
262

4 034
6 705
207

5 674
8 378
194

5 949
10 862
429

5 551
12 527
643

5 272
13 930
941

5 881
14 638
1 252

6 027
15 317
1 550

5 978
15 799
1 969

5 571
16 461
2 314

Japan ..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

29 080
49 053
4 066

27 890
59 314
5 297

25 017
71 400
7 293

27 312
78 118
10 485

25 944
81 809
12 237

22 387
85 257
14 607

19 970
86 598
17 919

18 386
85 733
21 602

17 457
83 845
25 091

16 903
80 926
28 707

Mongolia ........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

254
496
31

353
556
48

565
652
64

738
875
79

810
1 029
87

888
1 210
94

894
1 323
89

850
1 471
90

746
1 701
100

761
1 883
112

Rep. of Korea .................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

8 163
10 497
551

10 250
13 886
938

13 246
17 155
1 043

12 708
23 305
1 446

12 179
26 576
1 755

11 013
29 827
2 140

10 257
31 766
2 639

9 639
32 974
3 374

8 986
33 690
4 368

7 918
34 896
5 369

South-Central Asia (10)


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

192 170
296 496
18 406

253 250
346 329
20 437

324 666
427 701
26 466

399 033
551 235
35 698

443 541
626 447
40 967

489 482
709 583
47 331

524 312
803 582
54 965

Central Asia
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

5 722
10 708
1 070

9 171
13 845
1 387

13 924
17 405
1 848

15 586
23 494
2 232

17 152
26 399
2 213

19 018
29 040
2 352

19 888
30 750
2 763

19 375
33 218
2 768

17 978
36 204
3 181

17 604
40 157
2 965

Kazakhstan.....................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 303
3 962
438

3 622
5 804
570

4 925
7 479
706

4 833
9 176
910

5 057
9 828
895

5 202
10 361
967

4 737
10 045
1 144

4 135
9 802
1 020

3 685
10 287
1 200

3 925
11 015
1 087

Kyrgyzstan .....................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

503
1 095
142

790
1 229
154

1 235
1 545
185

1 347
2 072
209

1 486
2 319
208

1 651
2 524
220

1 725
2 617
250

1 733
2 951
271

1 577
3 183
283

1 603
3 495
236

Tajikistan........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

518
947
67

825
1 158
100

1 371
1 421
149

1 696
2 077
180

1 942
2 442
183

2 289
2 811
203

2 521
3 032
222

2 615
3 339
219

2 568
3 636
249

2 545
4 095
239

Turkmenistan .................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

397
743
71

629
881
83

985
1 102
102

1 182
1 556
122

1 309
1 795
126

1 484
2 044
139

1 656
2 359
173

1 634
2 674
193

1 552
2 979
217

1 474
3 360
208

382

1995

2000

2005

2010

542 448
545 257
548 024
909 357 1 022 118 1 131 740
63 758
74 689
85 108

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

277 473
265 376
235 576
1 150 485 1 139 997 1 101 205
176 153
217 309
288 682

215 769
986 181
384 505

204 083
907 223
400 657

194 524
799 293
424 287

187 705
732 036
403 016

183 456
680 832
373 022

180 725
646 154
342 098

178 787
624 185
319 923

Eastern Asia (6)


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

243 996
995 819
129 928

232 433
988 938
166 420

203 548
960 082
229 446

185 256
858 557
317 093

174 389
790 010
331 204

164 869
689 578
357 090

158 495
626 923
340 484

154 463
578 389
315 280

151 664
546 168
286 714

149 811
525 654
265 577

China (7) ......................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

801
5 525
1 105

944
5 468
1 391

1 116
5 193
2 174

1 103
5 212
2 632

1 196
5 242
2 866

1 395
5 146
3 026

1 448
5 350
2 940

1 481
5 520
2 891

1 593
5 523
2 990

1 650
5 606
3 099

China, Hong Kong SAR (8) ........


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

77
471
54

90
490
74

103
499
141

99
497
200

106
473
246

115
437
278

116
442
263

120
443
246

125
436
242

128
440
243

China, Macao SAR (9) ................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

5 211
17 144
2 499

5 139
17 859
2 357

5 247
17 838
3 095

4 837
17 204
4 404

4 616
17 226
4 540

4 637
16 485
5 039

4 394
15 891
5 480

4 308
15 550
5 476

4 316
14 952
5 656

4 187
14 599
5 766

DPR Korea ...................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

16 391
76 572
33 109

15 910
73 461
35 432

14 980
68 833
36 404

14 611
61 079
38 651

14 504
55 446
38 599

14 283
52 755
36 203

14 175
50 841
33 110

14 240
49 413
30 712

14 230
48 663
29 452

14 212
48 258
28 860

Japan ............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

830
2 021
124

917
2 118
151

873
2 377
274

844
2 552
422

916
2 601
576

893
2 639
741

882
2 791
745

920
2 793
852

914
2 833
953

917
2 921
993

Mongolia ......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

7 139
35 512
6 469

7 158
34 833
7 818

7 117
31 471
11 747

6 629
28 113
14 611

6 193
25 424
15 433

6 225
23 142
14 887

6 134
21 832
13 647

5 933
21 254
12 296

5 916
20 490
11 634

5 924
19 927
11 370

Rep. of Korea ...............................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

552 005
554 088
534 070
503 343
473 528
440 535
411 150
387 984
368 269
352 857
1 240 257 1 335 188 1 505 466 1 625 909 1 670 138 1 651 617 1 603 159 1 525 329 1 440 056 1 360 571
98 320
120 236
176 361
244 230
332 017
426 042
492 149
540 405
568 366
575 553

South-Central Asia (10)


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

18 222
42 961
3 155

19 090
45 143
3 871

18 071
49 617
6 405

16 706
53 368
8 467

16 580
54 352
10 868

15 615
53 016
14 577

14 796
52 918
15 652

14 604
50 919
17 276

14 149
49 182
18 470

13 850
48 377
18 556

Central Asia
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

4 460
11 257
1 169

4 867
11 410
1 403

4 471
12 361
2 041

4 465
13 156
2 427

4 866
13 455
2 889

4 670
13 873
3 484

4 676
14 752
3 395

4 859
14 693
4 072

4 769
14 987
4 537

4 785
15 392
4 699

Kazakhstan...................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 679
3 710
237

1 824
3 900
289

1 786
4 363
516

1 773
4 789
702

1 826
5 060
882

1 787
5 119
1 244

1 786
5 364
1 324

1 793
5 435
1 512

1 787
5 528
1 681

1 801
5 666
1 790

Kyrgyzstan ...................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 599
4 554
247

2 707
4 956
297

2 759
5 716
540

2 594
6 597
736

2 534
7 239
972

2 395
7 455
1 493

2 209
7 617
1 873

2 098
7 552
2 195

1 981
7 307
2 527

1 882
7 102
2 704

Tajikistan......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 507
3 634
224

1 518
3 877
280

1 433
4 246
487

1 281
4 518
676

1 210
4 526
903

1 120
4 296
1 218

1 031
4 129
1 327

986
3 859
1 411

940
3 577
1 469

898
3 370
1 440

Turkmenistan ...............................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

383

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Uzbekistan......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 000
3 961
352

3 305
4 773
480

5 408
5 859
706

6 528
8 614
810

7 359
10 014
801

8 392
11 300
823

9 249
12 696
974

9 259
14 453
1 064

8 597
16 119
1 231

8 059
18 192
1 194

Southern Asia
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

186 449
285 788
17 336

244 079
332 484
19 050

310 741
410 296
24 618

383 447
527 740
33 466

426 389
600 048
38 754

470 464
680 543
44 979

504 424
772 832
52 202

523 072
876 139
60 990

Afghanistan ....................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

3 476
4 465
210

4 193
5 240
238

5 298
6 386
281

6 455
7 404
327

5 817
6 520
288

6 090
6 648
294

9 400
9 948
441

10 996
11 357
504

13 174
13 831
609

14 590
16 119
703

Bangladesh.....................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

15 630
20 783
1 482

21 835
26 597
1 670

29 910
34 677
2 295

36 274
41 438
2 912

40 512
48 444
3 328

44 766
56 614
3 876

47 293
65 707
4 487

48 334
76 048
5 210

48 186
86 368
6 035

46 544
95 329
6 819

Bhutan ............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

74
90
4

95
125
6

129
166
8

181
237
12

211
265
15

239
302
18

225
274
20

228
319
24

222
408
30

214
478
35

India ...............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

139 387
220 804
11 666

182 197
252 137
13 510

227 497
308 370
18 007

277 114
398 052
24 893

304 503
451 188
28 800

331 659
509 046
33 080

352 627
573 715
38 144

365 785
643 532
44 581

371 404
716 391
52 249

374 587
789 750
60 278

Iran .................................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

6 210
10 301
903

9 129
11 951
919

12 604
15 086
972

16 693
20 724
1 160

21 150
23 969
1 379

25 075
27 917
1 878

25 219
32 186
2 353

22 861
39 563
2 918

18 110
48 033
3 589

16 972
53 132
3 869

Maldives.........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

31
41
2

34
53
2

54
59
3

70
82
4

85
97
5

103
110
7

115
126
8

110
152
10

96
185
14

84
215
17

Nepal ..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

3 353
4 725
153

3 862
5 619
259

4 942
6 623
354

6 360
8 211
475

7 184
9 208
544

8 076
10 376
629

9 065
11 802
727

10 018
13 518
864

10 716
15 529
1 037

10 842
17 868
1 250

Pakistan ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

15 142
20 306
2 094

18 574
25 375
1 971

25 324
31 831
2 228

34 922
42 557
3 013

41 406
50 477
3 587

48 918
58 699
4 227

55 139
67 314
4 894

59 788
79 061
5 674

60 397
91 739
6 509

61 398
104 724
7 470

Sri Lanka........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

3 146
4 273
822

4 158
5 387
475

4 986
7 099
470

5 378
9 035
670

5 522
9 881
807

5 537
10 831
969

5 341
11 761
1 128

4 953
12 588
1 205

4 974
13 432
1 436

5 189
13 968
1 703

South-Eastern Asia
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

66 529
99 817
6 559

91 070
120 467
7 799

124 612
150 450
10 100

146 608
198 874
13 529

156 280
230 148
15 426

163 190
264 346
17 826

168 047
296 658
21 052

166 122
332 642
25 067

164 678
365 930
29 273

161 906
398 286
33 224

Brunei Darussalam.........................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

17
28
2

34
43
3

51
69
5

73
110
6

85
128
7

89
156
7

96
185
9

99
218
10

102
249
12

104
280
14

Cambodia .......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 835
2 394
118

2 309
2 978
147

3 000
3 745
193

2 538
3 780
187

3 335
4 353
232

4 179
5 087
266

5 306
5 546
317

5 176
6 895
377

4 864
8 058
435

4 510
9 090
538

384

527 279
530 420
985 914 1 091 583
71 509
82 144

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

7 977
19 805
1 278

8 174
21 000
1 602

7 621
22 932
2 821

6 594
24 307
3 927

6 144
24 072
5 221

5 643
22 273
7 138

5 094
21 057
7 732

4 867
19 382
8 086

4 672
17 782
8 258

2100 Major area, region and country

4 485
16 847
7 923

533 783
534 999
515 999
486 637
456 949
424 919
396 354
373 380
354 120
339 007
1 197 296 1 290 044 1 455 849 1 572 541 1 615 786 1 598 601 1 550 241 1 474 410 1 390 874 1 312 194
95 166
116 366
169 956
235 763
321 150
411 465
476 497
523 129
549 896
556 996

Uzbekistan....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over
Southern Asia
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

16 348
19 535
851

18 024
23 119
998

20 838
31 027
1 400

22 464
40 261
2 060

23 339
49 780
3 131

23 660
58 384
4 946

23 134
65 342
7 648

22 218
70 249
10 777

21 190
72 574
14 403

20 088
72 850
17 940

Afghanistan ..................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

44 611
106 191
7 515

42 545
116 202
8 509

39 113
129 003
13 747

34 375
135 155
21 404

30 665
132 711
30 977

28 119
124 287
39 978

26 160
113 091
46 684

24 834
103 287
48 491

23 911
94 322
48 216

23 279
87 759
46 096

Bangladesh...................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

212
532
40

208
574
47

190
640
69

166
675
102

150
650
162

138
599
217

129
555
237

123
507
244

119
463
244

116
432
233

Bhutan ..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

343 713
321 278
298 092
277 697
260 443
1 111 744 1 143 065 1 132 432 1 096 696 1 041 722
171 571
227 665
287 445
333 808
368 297

246 494
980 627
387 853

235 466
921 155
394 278

India .............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

376 641
861 118
70 462

376 394
363 151
923 050 1 034 326
87 465
126 006

17 380
56 199
4 335

17 268
58 360
5 417

13 509
62 201
8 730

11 656
61 401
12 836

11 770
53 535
20 039

10 668
45 934
25 082

10 135
42 732
23 149

10 189
37 884
21 929

9 784
35 443
20 126

9 646
34 577
17 836

Iran ...............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

80
240
18

78
258
21

67
280
36

54
288
57

52
265
88

49
223
127

45
199
135

45
178
128

43
160
117

42
154
103

Maldives.......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

10 683
20 465
1 433

10 476
23 011
1 677

10 344
27 165
2 434

9 635
30 476
3 638

8 902
32 216
5 377

8 317
32 112
7 664

7 779
30 699
10 012

7 396
29 240
11 217

7 107
27 503
11 917

6 879
25 971
12 137

Nepal ............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

62 449
118 763
8 436

64 759
130 843
9 762

64 225
156 113
14 094

60 228
177 684
19 866

56 724
189 444
28 707

52 223
190 971
40 766

47 784
187 906
49 501

44 787
179 289
56 338

42 275
168 212
61 335

40 318
158 118
62 834

Pakistan ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

5 378
14 254
2 077

5 246
14 628
2 469

4 562
15 092
3 441

4 347
14 858
4 228

4 069
14 121
5 003

3 653
13 659
5 240

3 492
13 021
5 324

3 345
12 055
5 709

3 196
11 570
5 685

3 173
11 177
5 538

Sri Lanka......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

160 611
426 794
38 582

157 210
450 395
48 334

148 654
481 157
76 176

140 558
492 902
107 438

134 013
488 302
136 892

127 744
472 643
161 920

122 343
455 028
176 558

118 170
435 068
185 011

114 661
417 036
187 925

112 031
401 870
187 421

107
307
19

106
331
28

102
368
52

100
390
79

98
398
105

97
399
129

98
396
145

101
390
158

104
389
164

108
392
167

Brunei Darussalam.......................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

4 394
9 954
667

4 378
10 696
819

4 063
12 067
1 232

3 585
13 079
1 697

3 313
13 220
2 432

3 066
12 577
3 475

2 856
11 929
4 003

2 751
11 060
4 324

2 657
10 221
4 515

2 582
9 640
4 439

Cambodia .....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

South-Eastern Asia
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

385

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Indonesia ........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

29 315
42 559
2 964

36 716
51 945
3 286

51 109
63 348
3 905

61 982
83 460
5 378

65 689
96 362
6 068

67 210
110 204
6 932

67 133
124 029
8 238

65 581
137 966
9 849

65 358
150 283
11 662

64 853
161 699
13 318

Lao PDR.........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

681
966
36

897
1 177
56

1 128
1 480
83

1 421
1 699
114

1 603
1 913
132

1 831
2 210
151

2 090
2 532
173

2 248
2 874
195

2 249
3 287
217

2 140
3 821
240

Malaysia (11) .................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 499
3 302
309

3 712
4 169
279

4 885
5 666
358

5 394
7 944
494

6 043
9 148
572

6 755
10 798
655

7 396
12 557
767

7 803
14 718
894

8 406
16 572
1 122

8 616
18 431
1 355

Myanmar ........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

5 874
10 705
578

8 527
11 713
718

10 941
14 240
983

13 239
18 303
1 323

13 905
20 683
1 539

14 107
23 419
1 743

14 052
26 092
1 989

13 778
28 971
2 209

12 945
31 054
2 322

12 297
33 206
2 459

Philippines......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

8 019
9 717
660

12 219
12 983
809

16 305
18 087
1 059

20 371
25 188
1 505

22 780
29 574
1 699

25 376
34 334
1 919

27 632
39 511
2 113

29 771
45 076
2 462

31 792
50 878
2 877

33 054
56 816
3 390

Singapore .......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

414
584
24

706
894
33

805
1 200
69

653
1 647
114

658
1 908
143

647
2 200
169

775
2 487
220

841
2 790
289

835
3 069
362

885
3 743
458

Thailand .........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

8 683
11 256
669

11 653
14 769
891

16 263
19 392
1 261

18 706
27 044
1 733

18 152
32 097
2 080

17 173
37 259
2 640

16 198
40 024
3 428

15 148
43 654
4 352

14 920
46 417
5 362

14 194
48 785
6 143

Timor-Leste....................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

176
243
14

209
278
13

253
335
16

231
337
13

267
379
13

293
436
14

358
477
18

409
401
19

472
512
27

520
572
33

Viet Nam ........................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

9 017
18 063
1 184

14 089
19 520
1 564

19 871
22 889
2 168

21 999
29 361
2 663

23 762
33 603
2 942

25 529
38 243
3 330

27 009
43 218
3 780

25 268
49 079
4 411

22 735
55 552
4 874

20 732
61 842
5 274

Western Asia
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

19 340
29 472
2 168

27 582
36 538
2 722

36 982
46 296
3 647

47 013
62 144
4 864

53 388
72 872
5 119

59 306
83 524
5 744

63 409
96 401
7 108

66 018
109 740
8 611

68 946
126 826
9 931

73 174
147 860
10 961

Armenia..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

450
790
113

718
1 031
119

987
1 391
140

941
1 970
185

1 007
2 152
180

1 077
2 269
199

950
2 003
270

795
1 973
307

672
2 025
369

624
2 124
344

Azerbaijan (12) ..............................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

937
1 760
199

1 494
2 154
246

2 282
2 606
284

2 128
3 697
335

2 187
4 155
328

2 471
4 435
305

2 640
4 756
369

2 524
5 129
458

2 103
5 904
581

1 919
6 666
602

Bahrain...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

49
63
3

66
91
5

94
112
6

123
227
8

139
266
11

161
321
11

168
377
13

179
443
16

198
508
19

253
983
26

Cyprus (13) ....................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

170
294
30

210
329
34

190
362
62

171
450
64

175
459
69

195
495
76

209
560
87

211
636
96

206
716
111

196
780
128

386

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

64 132
172 595
15 153

61 637
182 609
18 323

56 298
194 004
29 357

52 028
194 876
43 318

48 461
188 512
56 482

45 624
179 697
64 936

43 591
169 099
70 110

42 089
158 215
73 058

40 961
149 606
72 915

40 179
142 984
71 015

Indonesia ......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 041
4 314
273

1 995
4 724
326

1 894
5 370
490

1 643
5 819
725

1 436
5 894
1 054

1 316
5 485
1 572

1 202
5 022
1 917

1 128
4 615
2 009

1 088
4 203
2 035

1 055
3 922
1 979

Lao PDR.......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

8 671
20 278
1 765

8 675
21 969
2 342

8 971
24 457
3 838

8 929
26 701
5 170

8 621
28 302
6 532

8 420
29 031
7 986

8 194
28 933
9 574

7 911
28 736
10 592

7 721
28 107
11 419

7 579
27 280
12 087

Malaysia (11) ...............................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

11 763
35 328
2 810

11 475
36 623
3 589

10 657
38 270
5 404

9 576
38 134
7 700

8 941
36 614
9 741

8 604
34 097
11 522

8 176
31 958
12 268

7 908
30 026
12 416

7 817
28 281
12 405

7 677
27 169
12 094

Myanmar ......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

34 003
63 314
4 104

34 561
69 782
5 399

36 302
81 533
8 486

36 618
92 973
12 084

35 882
102 379
16 678

34 694
108 409
22 404

33 078
110 985
28 830

31 487
111 548
34 047

30 093
109 681
38 711

28 902
106 388
42 513

Philippines....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

785
3 960
631

772
3 967
858

866
3 718
1 394

863
3 489
1 793

794
3 370
1 943

853
3 195
1 958

887
3 039
1 961

849
3 097
1 812

870
3 061
1 750

906
2 994
1 760

Singapore .....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

13 325
50 330
7 221

12 360
50 854
8 876

11 093
49 350
12 879

10 644
46 179
16 171

10 204
43 016
17 816

9 900
39 871
18 491

9 780
36 996
18 564

9 627
35 041
17 879

9 492
33 855
16 746

9 393
32 821
15 951

Thailand .......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

565
695
41

646
814
50

806
1 115
68

879
1 515
93

928
1 945
133

967
2 316
229

944
2 638
365

916
2 875
511

894
2 976
700

856
3 005
881

Timor-Leste..................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

20 824
65 719
5 900

20 605
68 027
7 724

17 602
70 905
12 976

15 693
69 745
18 609

15 334
64 653
23 976

14 202
57 566
29 219

13 538
54 034
28 820

13 404
49 465
28 205

12 966
46 655
26 564

12 794
45 275
24 535

Viet Nam ......................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

77 147
164 840
12 815

80 604
180 632
16 151

83 394
212 099
24 901

85 417
237 976
36 735

87 467
254 762
53 138

87 908
268 294
67 938

87 856
279 898
78 592

87 444
285 428
90 144

86 213
288 221
100 759

84 807
288 929
109 289

655
2 133
345

650
2 100
396

541
2 005
559

487
1 986
562

472
1 821
637

428
1 612
757

408
1 546
705

401
1 417
699

385
1 354
665

380
1 328
627

Armenia........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 232
6 922
596

2 499
6 989
743

2 186
7 230
1 391

2 111
7 472
1 691

2 252
7 342
1 984

2 113
7 024
2 534

2 149
7 312
2 286

2 186
7 086
2 501

2 140
7 054
2 663

2 174
7 134
2 669

Azerbaijan (12) ............................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

292
1 078
34

318
1 134
57

285
1 221
148

272
1 202
283

280
1 064
457

257
1 066
443

248
1 068
387

247
1 001
410

236
945
446

232
898
451

Bahrain.........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

193
823
150

196
847
175

200
871
230

195
872
277

193
813
342

190
749
388

185
713
389

186
685
373

188
665
358

188
659
345

Cyprus (13) ..................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

Western Asia
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

387

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Georgia (14) ...................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

947
2 224
356

1 193
2 589
377

1 443
2 880
385

1 306
3 305
462

1 330
3 493
464

1 343
3 607
509

1 225
3 273
572

1 042
3 112
592

823
3 000
654

721
3 008
624

Iraq .................................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 138
3 420
162

3 110
4 038
232

4 473
5 142
407

6 421
6 772
551

7 205
7 666
606

8 043
8 660
671

9 029
10 476
783

10 369
12 589
899

11 908
14 463
989

13 669
16 967
1 035

Israel...............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

398
810
49

762
1 230
98

935
1 730
185

1 237
2 184
325

1 341
2 390
352

1 407
2 693
400

1 547
3 267
519

1 689
3 722
604

1 839
4 102
663

2 021
4 625
773

Jordan.............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

205
222
22

386
466
43

761
846
60

1 122
1 095
81

1 316
1 378
109

1 593
1 701
121

1 803
2 438
141

1 921
2 746
160

1 970
3 178
195

2 321
3 624
242

Kuwait............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

55
93
4

95
163
5

330
409
14

551
804
22

642
1 076
24

745
1 312
31

465
1 128
35

516
1 364
60

548
1 639
77

731
1 937
69

Lebanon..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

494
844
105

784
1 011
112

1 033
1 312
120

1 098
1 549
148

1 094
1 647
145

1 063
1 731
155

1 114
2 133
216

1 141
2 348
253

1 117
2 649
286

1 048
2 871
309

Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ......


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

424
463
45

494
532
43

555
537
32

753
723
34

860
862
38

1 000
1 037
45

1 249
1 291
56

1 515
1 610
73

1 627
1 839
90

1 716
2 212
111

Oman..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

193
249
14

249
291
18

340
369
23

538
612
31

708
794
37

852
974
42

900
1 283
50

831
1 376
56

779
1 582
69

756
1 956
71

Qatar...............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

11
14
1

19
26
1

39
68
2

74
144
3

106
258
4

134
334
6

135
359
7

154
427
10

176
635
10

237
1 503
18

Saudi Arabia...................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 311
1 706
104

1 768
2 125
149

2 583
2 989
200

4 385
5 131
285

5 682
7 204
334

6 894
8 819
426

7 632
10 382
478

7 746
11 623
676

8 061
15 253
726

8 330
18 306
812

Syrian Arab Rep.............................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 326
1 934
153

2 055
2 290
222

3 036
3 075
257

4 339
4 261
307

5 100
5 125
351

5 753
6 154
417

6 181
7 495
496

6 405
8 997
587

7 230
10 575
680

7 532
12 073
805

Turkey ............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

8 377
12 227
634

11 886
15 424
851

15 005
19 165
1 294

17 613
24 684
1 809

19 040
28 541
1 819

19 679
32 402
2 049

19 821
36 470
2 574

19 556
40 798
3 274

19 335
44 948
3 860

19 181
49 224
4 348

United Arab Emirates ....................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

29
38
2

39
48
3

81
148
3

287
716
13

433
898
18

562
1 226
20

633
1 692
24

777
2 226
31

793
3 242
34

1 279
6 200
32

Yemen ............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 825
2 321
170

2 252
2 700
164

2 817
3 156
172

3 925
3 820
200

5 022
4 508
228

6 335
5 352
261

7 710
7 018
421

8 645
8 621
458

9 560
10 568
520

10 639
12 800
614

388

1950

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

712
2 883
630

686
2 720
674

536
2 395
829

461
2 148
848

445
1 887
854

412
1 644
903

397
1 590
766

394
1 460
723

381
1 387
685

376
1 344
647

Georgia (14) .................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

15 358
20 472
1 147

16 973
24 233
1 479

20 199
32 991
2 068

23 179
42 150
3 621

25 549
52 108
5 701

27 492
62 159
8 244

28 803
71 553
11 584

29 403
79 856
15 595

29 483
86 592
20 022

29 131
91 385
24 760

Iraq ...............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 201
4 924
936

2 328
5 208
1 130

2 393
5 993
1 431

2 515
6 671
1 769

2 640
7 228
2 162

2 617
7 865
2 478

2 599
8 319
2 844

2 593
8 502
3 340

2 527
8 634
3 796

2 468
8 665
4 179

Israel.............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 281
4 235
281

2 273
4 773
320

2 209
5 739
467

2 104
6 373
812

1 916
6 702
1 263

1 748
6 729
1 714

1 625
6 498
2 126

1 521
6 150
2 433

1 451
5 776
2 603

1 406
5 404
2 684

Jordan...........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

791
2 211
85

797
2 500
97

808
2 994
210

908
3 271
454

969
3 364
832

1 011
3 545
1 003

1 067
3 689
1 089

1 098
3 738
1 237

1 115
3 782
1 362

1 131
3 759
1 481

Kuwait..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

967
3 083
335

934
3 186
397

858
3 278
565

758
3 221
771

691
3 003
983

651
2 726
1 132

610
2 472
1 187

586
2 284
1 145

571
2 123
1 094

558
2 020
1 034

Lebanon........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 863
2 644
141

2 055
3 092
170

2 403
4 080
272

2 597
5 187
447

2 766
6 266
695

2 873
7 202
1 077

2 869
8 025
1 518

2 834
8 662
1 972

2 766
9 030
2 489

2 670
9 222
2 976

Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15) ....


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

842
2 108
109

815
2 333
142

634
2 670
299

553
2 646
551

508
2 392
840

468
2 289
853

447
2 105
878

432
1 808
1 009

419
1 645
987

412
1 539
888

Oman............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

298
1 710
26

317
1 851
30

265
2 003
103

265
1 964
295

276
1 782
553

261
1 694
643

262
1 598
647

262
1 488
638

252
1 366
657

247
1 224
691

Qatar.............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

8 850
20 653
1 035

9 213
22 810
1 512

8 914
27 116
2 451

8 084
30 166
3 933

7 676
30 491
6 771

7 184
29 611
9 496

6 711
29 181
10 322

6 509
27 426
11 356

6 308
25 339
12 366

6 122
23 720
12 585

Saudi Arabia.................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

7 342
13 882
960

7 126
15 663
1 290

7 197
18 633
2 029

6 906
20 986
3 029

6 186
22 619
4 246

5 780
22 682
6 003

5 423
21 658
7 936

5 077
20 687
8 937

4 906
19 449
9 430

4 766
18 136
9 722

Syrian Arab Rep...........................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

18 844
52 958
5 200

18 536
55 719
6 498

17 000
59 784
9 881

15 678
60 928
13 695

14 716
58 931
17 969

13 823
56 214
20 764

13 193
53 014
22 270

12 790
49 498
23 138

12 437
46 663
23 127

12 197
44 509
22 494

Turkey ..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 355
6 955
65

1 407
7 608
160

1 314
8 511
664

1 277
8 447
1 793

1 370
7 374
3 408

1 396
7 056
3 721

1 422
6 892
3 424

1 464
6 504
3 273

1 463
6 077
3 291

1 447
5 664
3 246

United Arab Emirates ..................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

12 073
15 165
741

13 481
17 867
884

15 452
24 584
1 306

17 066
32 287
1 904

18 561
39 574
3 441

19 204
46 430
5 785

19 437
52 665
8 231

19 462
57 176
11 364

19 184
60 340
14 719

18 901
62 319
17 812

Yemen ..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

389

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Europe
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

143 205
359 122
44 960

161 440
388 903
53 511

166 179
420 993
68 706

153 616
453 384
85 869

150 334
472 099
84 367

147 628
481 145
91 725

140 267
485 585
101 570

127 660
491 861
107 256

115 911
498 489
116 335

113 993
504 781
119 425

Eastern Europe
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

61 869
143 870
14 383

73 588
161 977
17 222

71 674
181 157
23 396

66 578
196 598
31 753

70 051
202 810
30 816

71 129
205 901
33 513

65 446
206 134
38 302

55 384
209 418
39 370

45 585
209 762
42 411

43 705
210 449
40 616

Belarus ...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 045
5 034
667

2 364
5 142
685

2 623
5 604
812

2 210
6 411
1 038

2 287
6 715
996

2 367
6 800
1 093

2 230
6 761
1 284

1 885
6 820
1 352

1 538
6 870
1 416

1 439
6 854
1 302

Bulgaria..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 942
4 821
488

2 050
5 226
591

1 938
5 738
814

1 962
5 849
1 051

1 906
6 041
1 014

1 792
5 868
1 159

1 495
5 600
1 262

1 257
5 422
1 327

1 063
5 348
1 328

1 028
5 153
1 313

Czech Rep. .....................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 130
6 014
732

2 458
6 185
880

2 099
6 519
1 171

2 404
6 470
1 387

2 416
6 670
1 214

2 238
6 777
1 287

1 952
7 017
1 349

1 707
7 130
1 406

1 527
7 259
1 435

1 471
7 465
1 557

Hungary..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 328
6 281
729

2 528
6 554
901

2 149
6 975
1 191

2 348
6 917
1 434

2 282
6 960
1 300

2 099
6 890
1 388

1 877
6 981
1 473

1 716
6 955
1 539

1 566
6 936
1 584

1 469
6 866
1 649

Poland ............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

7 295
16 231
1 298

9 776
17 588
1 669

8 747
21 102
2 681

8 629
23 346
3 602

9 490
24 202
3 510

9 507
24 709
3 841

8 765
25 351
4 276

7 422
26 181
4 699

6 283
26 835
5 047

5 659
27 406
5 212

Rep. of Moldova (16) .....................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

657
1 503
181

955
1 863
186

1 154
2 213
228

1 072
2 627
311

1 147
2 750
318

1 218
2 784
362

1 154
2 794
391

974
2 723
410

715
2 629
423

596
2 579
398

Romania .........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

4 634
10 808
869

5 188
11 983
1 236

5 252
13 260
1 740

5 922
13 999
2 281

5 603
14 969
2 153

5 469
15 324
2 414

4 644
15 316
2 721

4 086
15 123
2 983

3 400
15 150
3 222

3 264
15 017
3 205

Russian Federation.........................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

29 689
66 660
6 354

35 922
76 429
7 554

34 638
85 728
10 026

30 018
94 483
14 154

32 532
97 076
14 034

34 027
99 094
15 122

31 740
99 030
17 928

26 692
101 857
18 208

21 680
102 376
19 788

21 500
103 161
18 297

Slovakia..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

990
2 219
228

1 285
2 529
280

1 257
2 846
407

1 303
3 141
518

1 366
3 300
476

1 345
3 393
532

1 241
3 558
569

1 088
3 718
599

927
3 867
622

826
3 976
660

Ukraine...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

10 160
24 300
2 838

11 064
28 479
3 240

11 817
31 173
4 326

10 712
33 355
5 976

11 022
34 126
5 801

11 066
34 261
6 318

10 346
33 727
7 049

8 557
33 489
6 846

6 887
32 491
7 546

6 453
31 972
7 024

Northern Europe (17)


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

18 529
51 406
8 100

19 820
52 922
9 189

21 002
55 330
11 019

19 184
57 715
13 001

17 951
59 456
13 317

17 878
60 198
14 037

18 272
60 544
14 406

17 968
61 740
14 639

17 287
63 847
15 184

17 198
65 679
16 327

Channel Islands (18) ......................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

22
68
13

24
71
14

26
78
17

23
85
19

22
92
20

22
97
21

24
97
21

24
100
21

24
102
23

23
106
25

390

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

117 047
496 321
128 699

119 448
484 436
140 292

113 989
461 241
166 003

110 712
438 304
182 810

114 116
411 512
193 630

113 287
395 328
193 732

111 972
393 107
181 666

113 515
384 223
179 962

113 598
379 406
181 653

113 088
379 517
182 191

Europe
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

46 171
203 553
42 512

47 964
193 916
47 284

43 289
181 041
55 214

39 839
171 014
57 135

41 406
152 030
63 509

39 962
140 520
65 084

38 577
139 740
56 675

39 228
133 664
54 761

38 808
130 210
54 873

38 301
130 064
53 601

Eastern Europe
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 493
6 649
1 298

1 541
6 350
1 390

1 376
5 800
1 707

1 249
5 408
1 781

1 288
4 787
1 925

1 231
4 369
1 980

1 187
4 322
1 709

1 209
4 119
1 642

1 186
4 005
1 640

1 170
3 993
1 597

Belarus .........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 061
4 820
1 370

1 064
4 530
1 406

912
4 105
1 438

835
3 609
1 492

835
3 056
1 567

766
2 753
1 468

732
2 658
1 202

735
2 476
1 125

710
2 403
1 085

705
2 396
1 030

Bulgaria........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 588
7 201
1 844

1 705
6 932
2 104

1 632
6 854
2 312

1 528
6 628
2 521

1 651
6 048
2 939

1 713
5 836
3 009

1 660
6 008
2 692

1 704
5 899
2 657

1 758
5 790
2 750

1 720
5 821
2 783

Czech Rep. ...................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 477
6 690
1 737

1 499
6 425
1 902

1 472
6 206
1 966

1 408
5 875
2 132

1 437
5 435
2 371

1 477
5 196
2 401

1 459
5 178
2 231

1 466
5 104
2 165

1 491
5 010
2 195

1 477
4 974
2 221

Hungary........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

5 741
26 783
5 833

6 088
25 361
6 926

5 877
23 739
8 219

5 086
22 863
8 423

5 146
20 125
9 635

5 303
18 204
10 047

4 941
18 106
8 827

4 879
17 501
8 078

5 053
16 705
8 052

4 925
16 645
7 884

Poland ..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

582
2 459
412

587
2 296
474

473
2 091
583

397
1 937
572

380
1 651
630

345
1 386
747

334
1 329
640

336
1 214
592

321
1 157
548

319
1 131
508

Rep. of Moldova (16) ...................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

3 216
14 685
3 339

3 194
14 135
3 641

2 916
13 484
3 891

2 705
12 131
4 623

2 711
10 653
5 171

2 608
9 706
5 116

2 528
9 330
4 488

2 538
8 892
4 138

2 500
8 607
4 004

2 474
8 499
3 867

Romania .......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

23 426
99 731
19 072

24 361
95 210
21 451

21 551
88 770
26 109

20 226
84 644
26 410

21 324
75 705
29 160

20 157
70 671
29 933

19 640
70 570
26 038

20 161
67 296
25 873

19 681
65 998
26 105

19 495
66 105
25 457

Russian Federation.......................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

830
3 936
740

866
3 796
884

852
3 600
1 095

760
3 426
1 220

765
3 050
1 426

794
2 777
1 488

758
2 756
1 313

750
2 688
1 205

774
2 584
1 203

762
2 564
1 190

Slovakia........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

6 756
30 599
6 867

7 059
28 881
7 107

6 230
26 392
7 894

5 646
24 493
7 962

5 869
21 520
8 686

5 568
19 622
8 896

5 338
19 484
7 534

5 451
18 475
7 285

5 333
17 952
7 291

5 254
17 935
7 065

Ukraine.........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

17 743
65 826
18 324

18 562
66 219
19 743

19 167
66 786
23 300

19 208
66 897
26 058

19 663
67 114
27 259

19 923
66 244
29 058

19 831
66 647
29 691

19 989
66 336
30 885

20 206
66 105
31 964

20 193
66 399
32 847

22
104
29

22
102
32

22
94
41

22
87
46

22
85
44

23
83
43

24
83
42

24
84
41

25
86
41

26
87
43

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

Northern Europe (17)


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over
Channel Islands (18) ....................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

391

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Denmark.........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 122
2 761
385

1 154
2 940
485

1 148
3 176
605

1 068
3 317
738

943
3 399
772

877
3 463
801

910
3 526
797

988
3 561
791

1 017
3 585
818

1 000
3 637
913

Estonia............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

281
703
117

276
813
128

301
904
160

320
969
184

337
1 013
176

346
1 038
183

298
947
196

248
915
208

204
917
225

206
905
231

Finland (19) ....................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 202
2 540
267

1 347
2 764
319

1 133
3 051
422

971
3 236
572

952
3 339
612

963
3 356
667

972
3 410
726

940
3 464
770

912
3 496
837

887
3 553
924

Iceland............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

44
88
11

61
101
14

66
120
18

63
143
23

64
153
24

64
164
27

65
172
30

65
183
33

65
196
35

67
215
38

Ireland ............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

834
1 760
320

874
1 637
318

922
1 710
331

1 038
2 010
370

1 033
2 116
385

954
2 176
402

874
2 324
414

828
2 549
427

856
2 842
460

947
3 001
522

Latvia .............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

494
1 238
218

474
1 432
226

511
1 570
284

515
1 672
326

547
1 729
306

571
1 777
316

516
1 637
339

423
1 591
372

332
1 584
389

312
1 539
401

Lithuania ........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

701
1 624
242

752
1 799
220

849
1 970
318

799
2 242
389

810
2 381
371

834
2 460
402

791
2 391
447

699
2 315
486

573
2 323
520

494
2 296
534

Norway (20) ...................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

798
2 151
316

927
2 256
398

949
2 429
500

906
2 577
603

831
2 669
653

803
2 746
692

849
2 815
695

899
2 911
681

908
3 035
680

914
3 252
717

Sweden...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 644
4 651
719

1 646
4 939
895

1 676
5 267
1 099

1 628
5 328
1 354

1 517
5 394
1 439

1 535
5 502
1 522

1 664
5 621
1 542

1 633
5 704
1 524

1 571
5 900
1 558

1 551
6 118
1 710

United Kingdom.............................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

11 366
33 768
5 483

12 265
34 120
6 160

13 397
34 999
7 249

11 829
36 069
8 405

10 873
37 102
8 542

10 885
37 345
8 984

11 287
37 530
9 180

11 197
38 369
9 308

10 800
39 783
9 620

10 773
40 973
10 290

Southern Europe (21)


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

29 980
70 202
8 150

32 016
75 519
9 836

33 571
80 524
12 669

33 237
88 150
16 282

30 802
93 230
16 670

27 521
96 016
18 871

24 611
97 483
21 521

22 889
98 203
24 055

22 694
101 229
26 306

23 215
104 045
27 911

Albania...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

473
657
85

662
864
84

905
1 136
95

958
1 574
139

1 020
1 781
155

1 078
2 036
175

1 020
1 925
196

918
1 925
228

825
2 052
265

727
2 168
310

Bosnia and Herzegovina ................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 006
1 549
106

1 228
1 842
110

1 232
2 164
168

1 067
2 609
238

1 033
2 857
231

1 042
3 003
263

737
2 324
271

729
2 556
408

629
2 646
507

566
2 667
528

Croatia............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 030
2 517
303

1 102
2 643
300

949
2 815
404

923
2 943
511

941
3 063
467

926
3 079
512

872
3 174
624

766
3 037
703

707
2 981
754

660
2 986
758

392

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

978
3 616
1 053

978
3 619
1 139

1 024
3 549
1 312

1 039
3 459
1 440

1 010
3 485
1 425

1 020
3 426
1 464

1 031
3 375
1 520

1 017
3 384
1 553

1 023
3 380
1 584

1 034
3 360
1 638

Denmark.......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

224
874
239

236
842
251

214
809
273

194
780
284

210
718
305

206
681
314

194
695
278

202
669
279

203
655
288

196
666
283

Estonia..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

902
3 441
1 108

928
3 356
1 241

941
3 260
1 418

924
3 265
1 429

946
3 222
1 443

967
3 188
1 481

963
3 224
1 487

974
3 229
1 520

990
3 218
1 574

987
3 234
1 620

Finland (19) ..................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

70
224
45

74
230
53

77
240
73

76
250
87

79
252
100

80
254
110

79
259
115

81
261
121

82
262
128

81
265
133

Iceland..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 027
3 088
616

1 075
3 177
716

1 018
3 402
936

1 040
3 489
1 178

1 132
3 489
1 416

1 141
3 658
1 475

1 138
3 814
1 504

1 184
3 814
1 660

1 205
3 876
1 789

1 202
3 973
1 871

Ireland ..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

336
1 479
394

355
1 409
404

327
1 307
440

282
1 235
459

303
1 110
490

301
1 010
512

278
1 026
436

287
983
415

292
946
425

280
958
412

Latvia ...........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

487
2 230
534

516
2 131
543

504
1 935
628

434
1 831
665

441
1 691
680

455
1 521
729

422
1 523
647

422
1 482
604

435
1 419
616

422
1 421
610

Lithuania ......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

924
3 281
850

956
3 328
946

1 018
3 393
1 164

1 050
3 415
1 376

1 081
3 546
1 436

1 128
3 626
1 515

1 153
3 723
1 586

1 166
3 808
1 678

1 185
3 852
1 786

1 191
3 877
1 896

Norway (20) .................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 664
6 053
1 931

1 764
6 083
2 077

1 827
6 203
2 349

1 802
6 268
2 586

1 888
6 345
2 683

1 940
6 281
2 917

1 925
6 468
2 923

1 963
6 493
3 055

1 998
6 480
3 214

1 983
6 544
3 333

Sweden.........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

11 085
41 350
11 499

11 634
41 855
12 314

12 170
42 510
14 634

12 318
42 735
16 472

12 526
43 090
17 202

12 639
42 438
18 461

12 602
42 379
19 117

12 647
42 051
19 923

12 746
41 855
20 481

12 769
41 937
20 970

United Kingdom...........................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

23 582
103 684
30 180

23 238
102 936
32 303

21 423
98 833
38 291

21 428
90 618
45 509

22 195
83 907
49 126

21 739
81 267
46 809

21 494
79 078
43 290

21 877
76 003
42 055

21 776
74 795
41 303

21 682
74 606
40 567

650
2 266
343

597
2 307
389

532
2 201
556

444
2 083
652

387
1 857
746

354
1 527
881

317
1 289
896

295
1 152
783

285
1 044
678

277
993
594

Albania.........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

497
2 652
568

457
2 547
644

410
2 258
805

373
1 984
881

340
1 684
928

325
1 412
928

311
1 243
836

300
1 148
704

295
1 080
607

290
1 032
555

Bosnia and Herzegovina ..............


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

633
2 925
803

637
2 807
867

613
2 592
980

574
2 430
1 020

571
2 218
1 069

566
2 075
1 057

552
2 008
990

553
1 948
934

552
1 892
917

546
1 867
904

Croatia..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Southern Europe (21)


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

393

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Greece ............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 168
4 884
514

2 208
5 438
688

2 186
5 626
980

2 200
6 176
1 267

2 115
6 498
1 321

1 956
6 814
1 391

1 791
7 250
1 632

1 669
7 467
1 851

1 607
7 526
2 050

1 655
7 597
2 108

Italy ................................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

12 378
30 237
3 752

12 385
32 424
4 711

13 172
34 250
5 903

12 497
36 211
7 513

10 973
38 338
7 461

9 358
38 988
8 487

8 512
38 959
9 497

8 162
38 419
10 406

8 268
38 890
11 514

8 515
39 713
12 322

Malta ..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

109
185
18

123
167
22

86
191
26

76
220
31

85
231
33

89
243
36

88
257
41

81
271
45

71
284
55

62
296
59

Montenegro ....................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

147
222
29

170
264
33

170
310
39

159
370
48

153
378
45

155
403
51

151
435
58

138
430
65

124
423
79

121
431
79

Portugal ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 491
5 337
590

2 599
5 575
709

2 491
5 353
840

2 527
6 137
1 122

2 361
6 394
1 208

2 043
6 532
1 351

1 805
6 808
1 511

1 672
6 992
1 672

1 646
7 097
1 801

1 614
7 147
1 915

Serbia (22) ......................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 890
4 329
513

2 230
4 866
488

2 026
5 460
687

2 134
5 925
887

2 212
6 257
804

2 222
6 426
920

2 226
6 788
1 190

2 018
6 734
1 382

1 819
6 586
1 452

1 735
6 707
1 414

Slovenia..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

405
965
103

432
1 024
123

403
1 102
165

425
1 198
209

424
1 266
194

404
1 310
213

358
1 362
247

316
1 391
278

285
1 407
311

282
1 413
334

Spain (23) .......................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

7 436
18 605
2 028

8 345
19 579
2 489

9 421
21 107
3 263

9 738
23 571
4 186

8 966
24 889
4 621

7 728
25 842
5 318

6 549
26 807
6 070

5 952
27 538
6 798

6 290
29 832
7 274

6 894
31 364
7 820

TFYR Macedonia (24) ...................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

436
689
105

518
800
74

511
966
91

514
1 157
124

499
1 209
120

499
1 268
142

483
1 309
171

448
1 360
202

404
1 408
225

363
1 454
243

Western Europe (25)


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

32 827
93 644
14 327

36 016
98 485
17 265

39 931
103 982
21 623

34 618
110 921
24 833

31 530
116 603
23 563

31 100
119 030
25 303

31 937
121 424
27 341

31 419
122 501
29 192

30 345
123 653
32 434

29 875
124 607
34 570

Austria............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 579
4 635
722

1 551
4 631
860

1 824
4 593
1 049

1 546
4 844
1 159

1 384
5 105
1 072

1 340
5 184
1 146

1 404
5 330
1 202

1 357
5 410
1 237

1 315
5 582
1 334

1 236
5 681
1 477

Belgium..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 805
5 873
950

2 149
5 906
1 098

2 255
6 081
1 289

2 021
6 408
1 418

1 896
6 590
1 354

1 801
6 663
1 485

1 777
6 697
1 606

1 739
6 712
1 724

1 760
6 857
1 798

1 807
7 038
1 867

France.............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

9 497
27 570
4 765

12 047
28 320
5 322

12 605
31 632
6 526

12 056
34 321
7 503

11 739
36 405
7 137

11 393
37 360
7 955

11 288
37 784
8 773

11 121
38 446
9 481

11 235
39 737
10 025

11 531
40 713
10 544

Germany.........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

15 854
45 877
6 645

15 491
48 937
8 386

18 150
49 315
10 704

14 474
51 604
12 211

12 441
53 933
11 311

12 639
54 680
11 780

13 308
55 991
12 630

12 914
56 007
13 428

11 726
55 079
15 736

11 092
54 435
16 775

394

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

1 709
7 543
2 241

1 735
7 467
2 368

1 622
7 291
2 708

1 647
6 830
3 183

1 753
6 398
3 496

1 753
6 392
3 330

1 768
6 415
3 095

1 826
6 277
3 085

1 822
6 228
3 111

1 804
6 186
3 119

Greece ..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

8 645
39 284
13 312

8 525
38 796
13 969

8 067
36 695
16 089

8 170
33 106
18 906

8 461
31 350
19 347

8 471
30 929
17 998

8 510
30 622
16 636

8 709
30 048
16 380

8 795
30 002
16 364

8 883
30 332
16 405

Italy ..............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

58
291
74

58
283
87

57
269
105

54
262
108

54
242
119

55
221
131

56
215
128

58
215
119

60
215
114

63
218
113

Malta ............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

117
431
86

112
426
98

101
413
118

95
399
127

91
371
141

87
344
152

84
322
152

83
304
148

81
291
142

80
283
137

Montenegro ..................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 541
7 089
2 072

1 406
6 985
2 232

1 224
6 483
2 602

1 218
5 726
2 973

1 175
5 017
3 186

1 100
4 617
2 959

1 091
4 205
2 698

1 080
3 898
2 469

1 044
3 769
2 231

1 041
3 647
2 065

Portugal ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 688
6 655
1 463

1 593
6 495
1 629

1 420
6 263
1 797

1 340
5 868
1 969

1 280
5 328
2 188

1 211
4 872
2 285

1 179
4 541
2 204

1 155
4 254
2 107

1 126
4 078
1 991

1 114
3 942
1 900

Serbia (22) ....................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

292
1 389
372

303
1 339
424

285
1 265
509

275
1 195
559

293
1 102
598

295
1 068
583

291
1 073
535

300
1 045
524

303
1 025
528

298
1 022
527

Slovenia........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

7 393
31 584
8 555

7 473
31 925
9 262

6 777
31 613
11 608

6 947
29 340
14 651

7 509
27 084
16 761

7 249
26 686
15 922

7 069
26 104
14 565

7 258
24 733
14 290

7 155
24 236
14 141

7 034
24 185
13 791

Spain (23) .....................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

336
1 469
267

319
1 448
306

289
1 378
376

265
1 280
431

250
1 140
491

241
1 003
526

232
919
499

226
857
454

222
812
416

219
781
391

TFYR Macedonia (24) .................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

29 552
123 259
37 683

29 684
121 365
40 962

30 109
114 581
49 198

30 238
109 776
54 108

30 852
108 461
53 735

31 662
107 297
52 780

32 071
107 642
52 011

32 421
108 219
52 262

32 807
108 296
53 513

32 911
108 449
55 176

1 180
5 688
1 594

1 144
5 659
1 712

1 148
5 282
2 160

1 154
4 922
2 482

1 155
4 745
2 527

1 194
4 525
2 525

1 222
4 421
2 448

1 224
4 378
2 369

1 236
4 316
2 323

1 238
4 234
2 334

Austria..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 850
6 989
2 028

1 875
6 931
2 196

1 883
6 744
2 615

1 926
6 618
2 892

2 007
6 645
2 935

2 053
6 751
2 917

2 086
6 891
2 927

2 132
6 955
3 057

2 157
7 022
3 205

2 159
7 081
3 347

Belgium........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

11 802
40 601
12 010

11 938
40 591
13 345

11 977
40 673
15 818

12 302
40 788
17 590

12 752
41 633
18 057

12 947
42 504
18 501

13 157
43 284
19 113

13 411
43 652
20 224

13 516
44 093
21 277

13 588
44 437
22 263

France...........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

10 608
53 357
17 506

10 690
51 678
18 619

10 974
46 218
22 278

10 700
42 678
23 926

10 867
40 839
23 075

11 344
39 215
21 812

11 402
38 951
20 532

11 477
39 095
19 656

11 710
38 752
19 683

11 691
38 700
20 000

Germany.......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Western Europe (25)


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

395

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Luxembourg ...................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

59
208
29

67
213
34

75
222
43

68
246
50

63
255
49

66
264
51

75
276
56

83
292
61

85
307
65

90
347
71

Netherlands ....................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 928
6 328
771

3 424
6 975
1 020

3 549
8 098
1 312

3 184
9 292
1 613

2 850
9 874
1 729

2 715
10 272
1 905

2 838
10 552
2 032

2 946
10 766
2 151

3 009
11 008
2 289

2 941
11 129
2 543

Switzerland ....................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 098
3 130
440

1 279
3 478
539

1 464
4 012
693

1 261
4 172
871

1 149
4 404
902

1 137
4 565
972

1 237
4 750
1 031

1 249
4 821
1 098

1 205
5 035
1 174

1 168
5 216
1 280

Latin America and Caribbean


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

67 285
94 208
5 875

93 134
118 927
7 998

121 594
153 196
11 587

142 657
203 499
16 171

152 470
231 383
18 540

160 130
261 190
21 712

164 416
292 524
25 707

165 956
325 365
30 109

166 330
355 650
35 057

164 473
384 951
40 658

Caribbean (26)
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

6 743
9 666
675

8 373
11 508
844

10 442
13 664
1 219

10 824
17 118
1 753

10 894
19 021
1 988

11 124
20 851
2 231

11 551
22 404
2 485

11 600
24 046
2 795

11 368
25 663
3 145

11 059
27 071
3 516

Aruba..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

16
21
1

24
29
1

22
35
2

16
40
4

15
43
5

15
42
5

19
56
6

21
63
7

22
71
9

21
77
10

Bahamas.........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

31
45
4

46
59
4

71
92
6

78
124
9

82
143
10

83
162
11

88
179
13

87
195
16

82
218
19

77
242
23

Barbados ........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

70
129
12

88
127
16

88
130
20

73
149
27

68
160
27

62
171
26

60
175
29

59
178
31

53
186
31

48
195
31

Cuba ...............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 152
3 508
260

2 501
4 304
328

3 271
4 925
506

3 111
5 948
753

2 670
6 551
848

2 452
7 196
922

2 467
7 441
992

2 407
7 614
1 084

2 193
7 841
1 221

1 950
7 914
1 395

Dominican Rep. .............................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 084
1 232
65

1 585
1 637
87

2 145
2 243
124

2 453
3 160
181

2 603
3 658
221

2 762
4 149
284

2 918
4 632
367

2 993
5 141
457

3 050
5 667
547

3 080
6 224
623

Grenada ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

37
36
4

44
41
4

47
43
5

36
47
6

38
56
6

37
51
8

38
54
8

36
58
8

31
64
8

29
68
8

Guadeloupe (27) .............................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

83
118
9

119
143
14

137
168
15

109
195
23

106
222
27

103
253
31

104
264
37

106
278
43

107
288
50

104
300
57

Haiti................................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 276
1 826
119

1 559
2 185
123

1 971
2 569
170

2 339
3 124
225

2 700
3 445
250

3 067
3 787
271

3 354
4 227
297

3 482
4 824
339

3 549
5 410
389

3 592
5 962
440

Jamaica...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

506
843
54

679
880
70

878
887
104

858
1 131
143

857
1 281
159

831
1 362
172

835
1 448
178

843
1 546
193

835
1 641
206

796
1 730
215

396

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

93
372
78

98
391
87

111
411
116

117
421
146

117
422
168

120
418
184

121
411
197

122
412
201

122
410
204

123
408
209

Luxembourg .................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 860
10 987
3 003

2 758
10 896
3 386

2 806
10 312
4 193

2 877
9 774
4 694

2 818
9 814
4 519

2 834
9 741
4 409

2 910
9 605
4 486

2 897
9 664
4 551

2 888
9 705
4 636

2 931
9 641
4 810

Netherlands ..................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 148
5 216
1 450

1 169
5 171
1 602

1 201
4 894
1 999

1 151
4 529
2 357

1 123
4 316
2 432

1 157
4 094
2 412

1 159
4 029
2 284

1 146
4 012
2 181

1 163
3 946
2 161

1 168
3 897
2 187

Switzerland ..................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

161 400
412 990
48 047

157 070
436 805
58 307

148 630
467 974
85 002

138 314
482 359
114 075

129 257
478 254
143 445

122 065
462 594
168 577

116 609
441 315
187 262

112 560
420 462
196 091

109 380
400 879
198 464

106 983
384 533
196 002

Latin America and Caribbean


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

10 760
28 331
3 950

10 500
29 230
4 591

9 895
30 105
6 363

9 126
30 098
8 162

8 381
29 739
9 193

7 806
28 702
10 345

7 402
27 642
11 014

7 092
26 555
11 339

6 850
25 429
11 444

6 674
24 351
11 439

Caribbean (26)
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

19
78
12

18
77
15

18
70
24

17
65
27

16
64
25

16
59
25

15
55
26

15
53
25

15
51
24

15
50
24

Aruba............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

75
258
29

78
267
38

78
276
61

73
281
81

71
279
95

71
268
111

70
264
116

70
260
119

71
255
122

71
253
125

Bahamas.......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

44
197
35

44
193
42

43
178
59

41
166
69

39
155
71

39
142
72

38
135
69

37
132
64

37
128
61

37
126
60

Barbados ......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 746
7 916
1 568

1 569
7 787
1 817

1 431
7 031
2 522

1 310
5 974
3 272

1 217
5 528
3 153

1 174
4 868
3 069

1 134
4 394
2 861

1 106
4 135
2 583

1 091
3 932
2 337

1 078
3 782
2 163

Cuba .............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

3 110
6 721
722

3 083
7 167
871

2 919
7 854
1 286

2 696
8 253
1 730

2 435
8 337
2 170

2 225
8 223
2 627

2 089
7 991
2 990

1 982
7 633
3 282

1 902
7 254
3 441

1 844
6 871
3 515

Dominican Rep. ...........................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

28
71
7

28
72
8

24
71
12

19
70
14

16
60
19

13
52
25

12
50
24

12
47
22

12
44
22

11
43
21

Grenada ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

99
307
66

95
307
77

90
295
105

84
277
127

78
273
125

72
258
130

70
246
132

70
237
132

69
234
128

69
233
122

Guadeloupe (27) ...........................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

3 613
6 561
480

3 633
7 122
556

3 557
8 224
746

3 362
9 178
964

3 127
9 603
1 449

2 913
9 782
2 026

2 741
9 780
2 482

2 599
9 598
2 822

2 483
9 280
3 089

2 393
8 894
3 278

Haiti..............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

727
1 836
227

702
1 863
263

635
1 836
372

530
1 732
489

442
1 606
520

393
1 494
567

375
1 386
618

360
1 334
611

350
1 282
598

344
1 232
590

Jamaica.........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

397

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Martinique......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

83
127
12

119
150
13

135
174
17

100
201
26

94
217
30

88
237
35

88
241
40

89
250
47

84
260
54

79
268
59

Netherlands Antilles (28) ...............


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

39
65
7

56
72
7

58
93
8

52
110
11

51
118
13

50
127
14

50
126
14

44
119
17

43
125
18

42
138
21

Puerto Rico.....................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

958
1 174
86

1 007
1 228
123

993
1 547
177

1 009
1 935
252

1 001
2 086
293

960
2 227
342

936
2 379
386

903
2 482
429

845
2 480
456

788
2 480
481

St. Lucia .........................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

32
47
3

41
46
4

53
47
5

52
60
6

52
67
7

51
77
10

52
84
11

51
94
12

47
107
11

45
117
12

St. Vincent and the Grenadines......


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

33
31
3

40
38
3

45
41
4

44
51
6

42
57
6

41
60
7

37
64
7

34
66
7

31
70
8

29
73
7

Trinidad and Tobago ......................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

257
354
25

362
446
33

408
517
43

369
649
60

400
709
64

417
732
67

398
792
72

339
877
76

289
943
83

276
972
93

US Virgin Islands ...........................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

10
14
2

13
18
2

23
39
2

35
59
5

35
64
5

30
67
6

30
70
8

28
71
9

25
73
12

22
71
16

Central America
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

16 102
20 474
1 313

23 553
26 434
1 691

32 350
34 710
2 531

40 751
47 561
3 468

43 272
54 837
3 976

44 821
63 649
4 779

46 456
72 386
5 758

47 364
81 296
6 895

47 933
89 423
8 028

48 035
98 449
9 397

Belize .............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

27
40
3

42
47
4

58
59
5

67
70
6

75
84
7

84
99
7

96
115
9

104
137
10

109
161
11

109
190
12

Costa Rica ......................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

372
548
47

596
675
64

814
920
87

878
1 351
114

963
1 592
137

1 099
1 817
154

1 192
2 095
182

1 232
2 472
215

1 202
2 852
255

1 160
3 195
304

El Salvador.....................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

940
1 173
87

1 250
1 423
100

1 730
1 869
138

2 099
2 373
184

2 196
2 588
212

2 216
2 868
249

2 266
3 179
289

2 272
3 333
335

2 153
3 515
383

1 981
3 780
432

Guatemala ......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 403
1 664
79

1 901
2 149
109

2 429
2 858
160

3 182
3 636
218

3 627
4 072
256

4 040
4 576
308

4 487
5 157
371

4 946
5 841
451

5 483
6 698
536

5 970
7 797
621

Honduras ........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

628
800
60

914
1 023
63

1 279
1 328
82

1 700
1 814
113

1 947
2 148
132

2 217
2 510
162

2 465
2 913
197

2 634
3 343
242

2 737
3 857
285

2 794
4 479
328

Mexico ...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

11 830
15 069
966

17 532
19 629
1 259

24 226
25 709
1 933

30 512
35 614
2 651

31 909
41 245
3 021

32 426
48 234
3 647

33 022
54 837
4 414

33 162
61 505
5 293

33 219
67 123
6 142

33 007
73 215
7 201

398

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

74
269
68

70
267
77

64
246
103

59
226
118

53
217
111

50
195
114

49
180
112

49
170
107

48
166
98

48
163
90

Martinique....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

41
142
25

39
143
30

32
137
43

28
126
54

28
109
61

26
96
62

24
93
53

26
86
47

25
83
44

24
84
39

Netherlands Antilles (28) .............


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

735
2 475
531

703
2 461
583

626
2 423
705

567
2 342
817

531
2 210
917

504
2 057
999

485
1 913
1 036

472
1 787
1 031

462
1 691
994

455
1 623
946

Puerto Rico...................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

44
126
13

44
132
15

39
139
23

34
140
32

31
132
42

29
121
51

28
113
54

27
104
55

26
97
54

25
92
51

St. Lucia .......................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

27
75
8

25
76
9

22
75
14

20
76
17

18
74
20

17
71
23

16
66
25

16
62
27

15
58
27

15
55
25

St. Vincent and the Grenadines....


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

277
975
110

271
969
133

227
924
203

204
879
246

200
785
304

186
719
326

180
691
295

177
644
287

172
613
279

171
595
265

Trinidad and Tobago ....................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

20
68
19

19
65
22

17
58
26

15
56
26

14
57
22

14
53
23

13
50
24

12
48
25

12
45
25

12
43
25

US Virgin Islands .........................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

48 073
107 399
11 015

47 407
115 420
13 563

45 098
128 317
20 332

42 387
135 382
29 268

39 800
138 199
37 570

37 640
136 191
45 773

36 088
132 414
52 396

34 954
127 455
57 189

33 983
122 794
59 415

33 205
118 774
59 715

111
219
14

114
245
18

117
289
32

111
328
50

106
353
70

101
360
97

95
358
119

91
350
134

87
334
145

84
319
151

Belize ...........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 131
3 483
374

1 098
3 691
483

1 021
3 883
789

926
3 945
1 058

868
3 780
1 352

825
3 463
1 645

789
3 187
1 783

767
2 963
1 784

750
2 775
1 722

739
2 652
1 628

Costa Rica ....................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 832
4 079
474

1 802
4 283
526

1 682
4 733
677

1 483
5 064
891

1 332
5 110
1 166

1 222
4 843
1 602

1 145
4 523
1 927

1 093
4 236
2 060

1 054
3 943
2 095

1 027
3 720
2 036

El Salvador...................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

6 482
9 100
743

6 959
10 542
881

7 814
13 714
1 197

8 383
17 096
1 714

8 746
20 247
2 602

8 904
23 032
3 830

8 875
25 235
5 312

8 711
26 833
6 833

8 471
27 739
8 359

8 215
28 063
9 759

Guatemala ....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 868
5 137
386

2 947
5 760
472

2 985
6 964
708

2 884
8 004
1 046

2 729
8 651
1 559

2 559
8 899
2 224

2 398
8 898
2 813

2 263
8 689
3 268

2 154
8 320
3 609

2 068
7 907
3 814

Honduras ......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

32 644
78 969
8 445

31 495
83 970
10 463

28 636
90 935
15 826

25 977
92 611
22 935

23 628
91 600
28 697

21 818
87 286
33 671

20 703
82 180
37 292

20 041
76 726
39 654

19 546
72 409
39 880

19 203
69 197
38 682

Mexico .........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

Central America
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

399

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Nicaragua .......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

557
702
36

836
893
44

1 151
1 186
61

1 522
1 629
91

1 735
1 852
109

1 890
2 099
132

2 036
2 443
159

2 073
2 813
188

2 046
3 153
225

1 995
3 526
267

Panama...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

346
479
35

484
596
49

663
781
66

790
1 074
89

820
1 257
103

850
1 447
120

891
1 646
139

941
1 852
163

983
2 064
191

1 018
2 267
232

South America (29)


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

44 440
64 068
3 887

61 207
80 985
5 463

78 802
104 822
7 837

91 082
138 820
10 950

98 303
157 526
12 576

104 185
176 690
14 702

106 409
197 735
17 464

106 992
220 022
20 419

107 030
240 564
23 884

105 379
259 432
27 744

Argentina........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

5 235
11 194
721

6 339
13 148
1 138

7 032
15 305
1 647

8 571
17 297
2 263

9 392
18 393
2 569

10 012
19 715
2 915

10 146
21 412
3 298

10 308
22 980
3 642

10 178
24 565
3 938

10 050
26 086
4 277

Bolivia............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 123
1 495
95

1 424
1 817
113

1 807
2 262
148

2 269
2 890
194

2 491
3 249
218

2 727
3 683
248

3 035
4 139
296

3 297
4 664
346

3 501
5 242
404

3 582
5 883
465

Brazil..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

22 432
29 937
1 606

31 366
39 101
2 292

40 628
52 046
3 405

46 221
70 594
4 897

50 214
80 400
5 633

52 641
90 342
6 667

52 436
101 294
8 118

51 497
113 246
9 682

51 169
123 163
11 655

49 615
131 679
13 652

Chile...............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 233
3 590
259

3 013
4 268
371

3 793
5 289
495

3 687
6 860
632

3 737
7 658
712

3 945
8 431
812

4 272
9 181
956

4 281
10 015
1 124

4 053
10 928
1 320

3 785
11 745
1 584

Colombia........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

5 119
6 474
407

7 399
8 093
513

9 762
10 821
746

10 957
14 866
1 052

11 424
17 350
1 220

12 131
19 645
1 427

12 689
22 129
1 636

13 050
24 832
1 882

13 238
27 618
2 184

13 305
30 389
2 601

Ecuador ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

1 338
1 869
180

1 921
2 310
207

2 643
3 075
254

3 396
4 237
325

3 730
4 990
371

3 984
5 840
436

4 131
6 731
523

4 238
7 477
630

4 326
8 342
759

4 388
9 174
903

French Guiana................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

8
16
1

12
18
2

19
27
3

23
41
3

29
55
4

41
72
4

49
85
5

59
100
6

72
123
7

77
144
10

Guyana ...........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

162
228
17

259
282
19

351
345
25

330
417
29

290
429
33

250
439
36

252
440
36

260
440
33

275
443
29

253
469
32

Paraguay.........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

693
738
43

911
934
60

1 144
1 252
86

1 357
1 717
121

1 539
2 015
144

1 755
2 318
171

1 934
2 657
204

2 039
3 071
233

2 113
3 508
278

2 165
3 961
329

Peru ................................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

3 172
4 196
264

4 267
5 318
345

5 782
6 940
465

7 223
9 426
638

7 778
10 937
745

8 273
12 531
881

8 587
14 183
1 057

8 795
15 792
1 275

8 817
17 230
1 512

8 713
18 594
1 770

Suriname ........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

86
116
13

138
140
12

180
178
14

146
204
16

134
225
17

135
252
19

141
273
23

143
297
27

149
320
30

150
341
34

400

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

1 977
3 939
297

1 964
4 262
377

1 822
4 832
585

1 633
5 188
840

1 445
5 187
1 213

1 304
5 015
1 635

1 213
4 804
1 921

1 150
4 532
2 101

1 103
4 267
2 167

1 068
4 025
2 168

Nicaragua .....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

1 030
2 473
281

1 027
2 667
344

1 019
2 966
517

990
3 145
734

946
3 271
910

907
3 295
1 069

870
3 228
1 229

840
3 124
1 355

818
3 007
1 436

801
2 892
1 477

Panama.........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

102 567
277 259
33 083

99 163
292 155
40 153

93 637
309 553
58 307

86 801
316 880
76 645

81 076
310 315
96 682

76 620
297 701
112 460

73 119
281 259
123 852

70 513
266 452
127 563

68 547
252 655
127 606

67 104
241 407
124 847

10 042
27 418
4 716

10 100
28 496
5 259

9 778
30 611
6 372

9 339
31 983
7 696

9 015
31 896
9 649

8 668
31 370
11 258

8 363
30 696
12 232

8 141
29 677
12 960

7 962
28 634
13 438

7 820
27 769
13 612

Argentina......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

3 666
6 528
544

3 739
7 209
644

3 925
8 555
910

3 993
9 878
1 295

3 968
11 043
1 759

3 873
11 828
2 404

3 733
12 260
3 106

3 577
12 436
3 707

3 429
12 336
4 237

3 296
12 054
4 670

Bolivia..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

46 819
139 980
16 495

43 567
146 582
20 284

39 805
150 527
30 160

35 742
149 058
39 630

32 822
139 941
50 081

30 840
129 604
56 442

29 383
117 648
60 875

28 378
109 067
59 761

27 664
101 943
57 071

27 173
96 827
53 349

Brazil............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

3 675
12 307
1 886

3 635
12 640
2 265

3 460
12 705
3 371

3 197
12 603
4 223

3 045
12 292
4 722

2 935
11 415
5 363

2 821
10 820
5 510

2 748
10 268
5 459

2 700
9 756
5 318

2 661
9 404
5 120

Chile.............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

13 301
32 799
3 266

13 188
34 811
4 187

12 518
37 801
6 537

11 714
39 444
8 901

10 952
39 697
11 115

10 332
38 857
13 177

9 880
37 455
14 755

9 547
35 685
15 887

9 299
34 015
16 387

9 125
32 583
16 429

Colombia......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

4 374
9 996
1 076

4 317
10 706
1 332

4 107
11 844
1 942

3 809
12 486
2 679

3 488
12 551
3 511

3 223
12 343
4 244

3 042
11 874
4 840

2 904
11 294
5 225

2 801
10 692
5 420

2 727
10 119
5 474

Ecuador ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

83
166
13

89
187
19

105
228
32

116
272
47

125
323
58

132
358
77

133
386
99

133
409
119

133
422
140

131
431
159

French Guiana..............................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

214
511
38

184
541
49

178
536
80

154
521
116

125
506
135

124
493
151

121
440
197

113
436
189

113
417
185

111
393
189

Guyana .........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 229
4 402
399

2 293
4 815
494

2 356
5 606
708

2 311
6 350
925

2 241
6 799
1 283

2 148
7 033
1 724

2 047
7 138
2 100

1 957
7 096
2 404

1 877
6 912
2 679

1 811
6 677
2 876

Paraguay.......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

8 584
20 104
2 072

8 446
21 523
2 466

8 059
23 852
3 581

7 507
25 139
5 022

6 877
25 388
6 567

6 408
24 772
8 113

6 064
23 693
9 319

5 804
22 479
10 013

5 608
21 264
10 290

5 470
20 138
10 302

Peru ..............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

144
366
38

137
388
44

130
404
68

119
406
92

106
400
109

100
387
123

96
364
140

93
348
145

90
332
147

88
317
147

Suriname ......................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

South America (29)


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

401

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Uruguay..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

624
1 430
184

707
1 626
206

783
1 777
248

784
1 826
304

807
1 876
328

808
1 940
361

806
2 018
400

815
2 071
433

790
2 086
447

758
2 147
464

Venezuela .......................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 214
2 783
97

3 449
3 928
185

4 877
5 503
301

6 119
8 443
475

6 737
9 949
584

7 481
11 481
724

7 931
13 193
910

8 208
15 034
1 106

8 347
16 996
1 321

8 536
18 820
1 623

Northern America (30)


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

46 697
110 819
14 100

63 489
122 366
18 463

65 951
143 010
22 324

57 529
168 686
28 239

58 065
177 703
31 311

60 750
185 642
34 770

64 319
194 341
37 089

66 264
208 186
38 839

66 606
221 770
40 855

67 927
231 253
45 349

Canada............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

4 077
8 606
1 054

6 007
10 559
1 343

6 537
13 464
1 716

5 575
16 636
2 306

5 503
17 690
2 650

5 733
18 847
3 121

5 973
19 820
3 509

5 856
20 958
3 854

5 693
22 366
4 224

5 585
23 630
4 801

United States of America ...............


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

42 596
102 175
13 043

57 450
111 760
17 116

59 375
129 486
20 603

51 924
151 974
25 926

52 535
159 931
28 654

54 989
166 710
31 640

58 316
174 438
33 570

60 379
187 143
34 974

60 886
199 316
36 618

62 316
207 534
40 534

Oceania
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

3 785
7 956
934

5 242
9 367
1 163

6 304
11 808
1 394

6 808
14 315
1 847

7 026
15 742
2 123

7 211
17 290
2 466

7 608
18 623
2 813

7 995
20 053
3 082

8 330
21 784
3 418

8 798
23 889
3 906

Australia/New Zealand
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 730
6 516
839

3 886
7 686
1 087

4 566
9 680
1 302

4 572
11 563
1 722

4 530
12 577
1 973

4 556
13 648
2 290

4 735
14 450
2 608

4 844
15 337
2 842

4 919
16 487
3 132

5 123
17 951
3 562

Australia (31) .................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

2 175
5 334
668

3 106
6 299
882

3 671
7 995
1 063

3 717
9 579
1 415

3 725
10 451
1 636

3 766
11 417
1 914

3 889
12 045
2 185

3 967
12 809
2 388

4 028
13 740
2 635

4 228
15 046
2 994

New Zealand ..................................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

555
1 182
171

780
1 387
205

895
1 685
239

856
1 984
307

806
2 126
337

790
2 231
376

846
2 405
423

877
2 527
454

891
2 747
497

895
2 905
568

Melanesia
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

891
1 225
84

1 132
1 425
63

1 438
1 792
76

1 918
2 318
102

2 159
2 663
121

2 295
3 077
141

2 490
3 554
163

2 758
4 046
193

3 026
4 575
230

3 297
5 173
278

Fiji ..................................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

135
146
8

190
195
8

228
281
12

249
370
16

278
414
20

280
427
21

284
469
23

285
499
28

252
537
34

250
569
42

New Caledonia...............................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

24
39
2

30
46
3

41
61
3

53
84
6

55
93
7

55
107
8

58
123
10

61
138
12

62
153
16

63
167
20

Papua New Guinea.........................


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

672
966
71

833
1 087
47

1 060
1 322
52

1 456
1 690
69

1 641
1 954
82

1 756
2 305
97

1 923
2 679
114

2 165
3 080
134

2 436
3 500
159

2 679
3 989
191

Solomon Islands.............................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

38
50
2

51
64
3

70
84
6

108
113
7

127
134
8

140
160
9

154
193
10

171
226
12

191
265
14

214
307
17

402

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

734
2 206
487

719
2 257
518

689
2 301
611

649
2 308
701

613
2 265
785

590
2 183
870

572
2 098
929

557
2 027
952

547
1 959
958

540
1 900
956

Uruguay........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

8 701
20 472
2 053

8 749
21 999
2 591

8 525
24 582
3 933

8 150
26 429
5 317

7 700
27 214
6 907

7 246
27 055
8 513

6 864
26 386
9 749

6 560
25 229
10 740

6 324
23 973
11 335

6 149
22 794
11 564

Venezuela .....................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

70 874
236 099
52 665

72 991
240 003
61 400

75 707
244 778
81 172

78 678
256 310
90 479

82 910
267 501
96 451

85 810
276 500
103 959

87 821
285 791
111 077

89 859
291 185
120 245

91 123
295 033
129 078

91 614
297 793
137 021

5 783
24 141
5 700

6 148
24 288
6 727

6 521
24 181
9 147

6 614
25 005
10 263

7 060
25 701
10 881

7 494
25 959
11 648

7 583
26 686
12 002

7 730
26 924
12 553

7 899
26 757
13 250

7 853
26 638
13 799

Canada..........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

65 067
211 869
46 949

66 819
215 628
54 655

69 164
220 517
72 000

72 043
231 227
80 190

75 831
241 725
85 545

78 296
250 471
92 283

80 218
259 037
99 046

82 109
264 194
107 665

83 204
268 210
115 800

83 742
271 089
123 195

United States of America .............


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

9 328
25 367
4 660

9 883
26 740
5 434

10 532
29 328
7 236

10 885
31 737
8 852

11 296
33 790
10 147

11 514
35 325
11 566

11 481
36 768
12 749

11 498
37 552
14 056

11 466
37 919
15 312

11 302
38 116
16 401

Oceania
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

5 467
18 687
4 241

5 861
19 291
4 912

6 214
20 323
6 445

6 329
21 246
7 677

6 649
21 881
8 533

6 850
22 174
9 462

6 866
22 769
9 988

7 002
22 993
10 639

7 117
23 084
11 301

7 098
23 305
11 829

Australia/New Zealand
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

4 536
15 689
3 568

4 883
16 224
4 133

5 199
17 167
5 405

5 316
17 998
6 454

5 609
18 540
7 237

5 791
18 820
8 049

5 810
19 336
8 516

5 934
19 529
9 077

6 034
19 606
9 649

6 016
19 790
10 102

Australia (31) ...............................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

930
2 999
672

978
3 067
779

1 015
3 155
1 041

1 014
3 247
1 223

1 040
3 342
1 296

1 060
3 355
1 413

1 056
3 433
1 472

1 068
3 464
1 562

1 083
3 478
1 652

1 082
3 515
1 727

New Zealand ................................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

3 494
5 858
340

3 660
6 578
422

3 956
8 074
640

4 202
9 515
973

4 315
10 888
1 383

4 341
12 103
1 827

4 294
12 948
2 429

4 184
13 497
3 054

4 048
13 774
3 622

3 908
13 772
4 152

255
588
53

255
603
65

230
630
99

216
655
122

205
659
154

193
662
178

182
660
195

174
633
225

168
611
243

163
590
252

Fiji ................................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

64
181
25

64
192
30

63
208
43

61
214
57

59
215
69

57
212
79

55
206
87

54
198
92

53
191
95

53
185
95

New Caledonia.............................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

2 841
4 573
232

2 985
5 189
290

3 268
6 477
439

3 496
7 722
701

3 600
8 931
1 019

3 633
10 002
1 372

3 600
10 742
1 883

3 507
11 248
2 395

3 392
11 508
2 870

3 272
11 519
3 321

Papua New Guinea.......................


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

234
355
21

250
409
25

275
528
38

299
643
62

313
754
96

316
855
134

314
932
180

306
982
235

295
1 010
286

283
1 014
333

Solomon Islands...........................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Northern America (30)


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

Melanesia
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

403

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Vanuatu ..........................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

22
24
1

29
33
2

39
44
3

51
61
4

58
68
4

64
77
5

72
90
6

77
102
6

84
120
7

92
140
8

Micronesia (32)
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

52
90
5

79
99
6

106
130
7

124
168
10

138
208
12

154
249
15

169
280
17

168
309
19

167
329
23

164
345
27

Guam..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

16
43
1

27
39
1

34
50
1

37
66
3

39
77
4

40
88
5

45
94
7

47
100
8

50
108
11

49
118
13

Micronesia (Fed. States of) ............


Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

13
18
1

20
23
2

28
31
2

35
36
3

39
44
3

42
50
3

47
57
4

43
60
4

42
63
4

41
66
4

Polynesia (33)
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

112
125
6

145
158
8

194
206
10

195
265
14

198
294
16

207
316
21

214
339
25

226
361
28

218
394
34

214
420
39

French Polynesia............................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

27
32
2

35
42
2

51
57
3

60
86
4

65
103
5

69
120
6

73
135
8

78
150
10

69
173
13

68
185
17

Samoa.............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

38
42
2

54
55
2

68
72
2

65
87
3

63
90
4

66
89
6

66
95
7

72
97
8

72
100
9

69
105
9

Tonga..............................................
Population aged 0-14 .................
Population aged 15-64 ...............
Population aged 65 or over ........

23
23
1

28
32
2

41
41
2

39
51
3

38
52
4

37
53
4

38
53
5

38
55
6

38
56
6

39
59
6

a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18

404

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Including Seychelles.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
Includes other non-specified areas.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.31. Population by broad age group, major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Projections
Population (thousands)

19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

99
161
10

106
184
13

120
231
21

130
282
31

138
330
45

143
372
64

144
408
84

143
436
106

140
455
129

137
464
150

161
374
34

158
399
45

160
430
72

155
453
95

144
470
111

140
477
134

136
471
159

130
468
170

125
458
180

122
442
190

49
127
16

49
133
20

50
142
30

48
150
38

46
158
41

45
159
48

43
156
57

42
154
62

41
149
66

40
144
68

Guam............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

39
70
5

38
74
6

38
82
9

36
91
9

31
94
13

30
99
20

30
101
26

28
103
29

27
102
33

26
97
38

Micronesia (Fed. States of) ..........


Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

207
448
45

203
471
54

202
501
79

199
524
107

188
551
120

183
570
143

185
579
173

181
594
193

176
602
209

174
597
230

66
199
20

66
206
26

62
216
40

56
217
55

52
214
64

49
200
77

46
188
83

44
176
85

43
164
86

42
156
83

French Polynesia..........................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

66
111
10

63
117
12

63
121
17

64
126
22

59
138
22

58
154
24

61
164
35

61
178
43

59
191
50

58
193
61

Samoa...........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

39
61
6

38
66
7

37
75
9

39
80
12

38
87
14

36
98
15

38
105
21

38
112
26

36
120
30

37
121
36

Tonga............................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

Vanuatu ........................................
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over
Micronesia (32)
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

Polynesia (33)
Population aged 0-14
Population aged 15-64
Population aged 65 or over

Including land Islands.


Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

405

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

319 682
155 269
145 643
272 927

433 528
177 569
158 862
301 522

525 854
239 205
229 444
384 305

624 913
294 325
272 923
489 991

632 831
312 796
302 320
546 976

670 730
312 482
313 365
600 814

729 824
336 901
316 630
616 480

740 990
368 006
348 220
634 591

727 901
366 989
370 964
696 822

726 422
361 281
362 632
731 798

82 883
43 709
40 490
83 862

102 337
47 340
40 874
83 659

107 746
53 659
52 319
98 902

98 243
50 794
53 457
108 299

95 468
49 708
50 082
106 053

94 552
47 834
49 732
101 343

95 146
48 295
48 363
99 121

89 400
48 836
49 223
98 057

81 200
44 667
48 217
100 693

79 550
40 350
43 386
97 516

236 798
111 561
105 153
189 065

331 191
130 229
117 989
217 863

418 107
185 546
177 125
285 403

526 670
243 531
219 466
381 692

537 363
263 088
252 238
440 923

576 178
264 648
263 633
499 471

634 678
288 606
268 267
517 359

651 590
319 170
298 996
536 534

646 701
322 322
322 747
596 128

646 872
320 931
319 245
634 282

29 539
13 110
12 227
21 765

38 199
16 230
14 890
26 104

50 442
21 804
19 799
33 363

65 213
28 489
25 832
43 274

73 799
32 112
29 417
50 697

84 990
36 610
33 301
57 844

97 172
42 533
38 403
66 086

108 150
48 359
44 392
76 271

118 953
53 808
50 012
87 927

129 322
59 123
55 256
98 414

207 260
98 451
92 926
167 300

292 991
113 999
103 099
191 760

367 665
163 741
157 326
252 041

461 457
215 041
193 634
338 418

463 563
230 976
222 821
390 226

491 189
228 039
230 332
441 626

537 506
246 073
229 864
451 273

543 440
270 811
254 604
460 262

527 748
268 514
272 735
508 201

517 550
261 809
263 989
535 868

Less dev. regions, excl. China


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

168 243
78 138
72 590
130 417

223 909
90 975
83 632
153 812

300 005
131 388
119 434
193 909

370 097
166 990
155 046
271 704

410 330
184 523
172 273
307 919

455 441
205 071
190 673
341 887

491 714
227 940
212 076
377 973

514 424
245 028
233 760
421 533

526 572
255 906
248 363
462 990

540 444
261 149
256 756
490 692

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

28 354
12 471
11 561
20 449

35 969
15 575
14 302
24 991

47 798
20 469
18 491
31 756

64 489
27 335
24 698
42 229

75 420
32 024
28 713
48 964

86 990
37 537
33 690
56 887

98 723
42 991
39 221
66 916

110 572
49 099
44 835
77 693

123 188
54 772
50 878
89 003

138 340
61 147
56 606
100 805

Africa
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

34 589
15 344
14 245
25 303

45 075
19 424
17 507
30 611

60 271
25 825
23 189
39 374

79 731
34 168
30 943
52 962

92 656
39 661
35 782
61 224

106 507
46 170
41 570
70 507

119 343
52 827
48 205
82 191

130 507
59 420
54 945
95 331

142 028
64 639
61 057
108 830

157 302
70 446
66 178
120 713

Eastern Africa (1)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

9 969
4 376
4 090
7 202

13 266
5 636
5 037
8 697

17 966
7 598
6 845
11 611

24 358
10 340
9 293
15 684

28 466
12 051
10 838
18 410

32 996
14 250
12 746
21 520

37 565
16 034
14 677
24 966

42 943
18 881
16 953
29 238

47 928
21 266
19 697
33 814

53 574
23 773
21 977
38 969

Burundi
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

369
164
153
273

483
193
180
313

583
263
249
391

681
310
288
504

767
335
319
583

907
379
344
626

1 064
446
391
644

1 163
523
462
720

1 182
577
550
953

1 196
582
586
1 139

Comoros
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

22
10
10
18

29
11
11
20

41
18
16
23

56
24
22
37

67
28
25
42

82
33
29
49

84
42
36
58

85
41
43
72

98
41
39
81

119
49
43
77

Djibouti
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............

10
4

14
7

27
11

58
25

67
30

93
40

105
45

121
55

122
61

123
60

World
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............
More dev. regions (a)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............
Less dev. regions (b)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............
Least dev. countries (c)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............
Other less dev. countries (d)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

406

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

743 197
361 244
359 492
720 545

760 373
371 643
363 239
715 512

761 767
381 655
380 359
747 080

756 232
377 094
377 639
756 948

762 605
379 257
377 304
749 956

757 813
380 222
380 297
756 771

749 677
375 706
376 620
755 428

745 175
373 224
373 371
747 083

736 459
370 113
371 023
742 970

726 343
364 956
366 193
735 616

83 918
40 300
40 330
88 237

86 217
42 825
41 687
83 204

84 886
43 461
44 018
89 720

83 371
41 991
42 891
88 971

87 275
43 081
42 806
86 372

88 268
44 449
44 610
89 006

88 003
44 109
44 455
90 106

89 736
44 542
44 410
89 045

90 497
45 280
45 219
90 015

90 263
45 148
45 226
90 677

659 279
320 943
319 162
632 308

674 156
328 819
321 552
632 308

676 881
338 193
336 342
657 360

672 862
335 103
334 749
667 977

675 331
336 176
334 497
663 585

669 545
335 773
335 687
667 765

661 674
331 596
332 165
665 322

655 440
328 682
328 960
658 038

645 962
324 833
325 805
652 955

636 080
319 808
320 967
644 939

138 542
64 526
60 826
109 800

148 983
68 874
65 909
120 885

169 310
79 932
76 211
140 267

184 750
88 463
85 681
162 000

199 323
96 001
93 345
178 349

210 556
102 769
100 632
193 674

218 072
107 174
105 746
206 355

223 328
110 436
109 364
214 711

225 433
112 228
111 702
220 847

225 801
112 731
112 497
223 833

520 737
256 417
258 336
522 509

525 173
259 945
255 643
511 423

507 571
258 261
260 131
517 093

488 112
246 641
249 068
505 977

476 007
240 175
241 152
485 235

458 990
233 004
235 054
474 091

443 602
224 422
226 419
458 967

432 111
218 246
219 597
443 326

420 529
212 605
214 103
432 108

410 278
207 078
208 470
421 106

560 016
269 064
262 320
508 123

577 199
279 344
271 624
521 041

593 016
293 314
289 090
559 968

596 873
295 897
294 399
582 254

603 642
299 463
297 233
587 111

601 827
301 181
300 520
595 719

596 640
298 594
298 792
597 327

592 094
296 706
296 770
592 869

583 738
293 523
294 354
589 567

574 614
288 943
290 005
582 707

153 482
69 031
63 520
112 592

169 027
76 420
71 519
126 734

198 282
92 348
87 063
157 457

223 807
105 348
100 935
188 400

248 012
118 235
113 977
214 328

265 864
128 961
125 713
239 848

278 747
136 239
133 893
259 724

287 678
141 857
140 104
273 648

291 197
144 805
143 978
283 972

291 769
145 644
145 294
288 770

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

173 570
78 510
72 751
131 390

189 640
86 535
81 194
145 093

217 542
102 405
97 279
177 736

241 391
114 399
110 258
207 822

265 026
126 845
122 633
231 881

281 760
137 193
134 097
256 795

293 539
143 830
141 649
275 739

301 929
149 072
147 390
288 503

304 979
151 806
151 040
298 243

305 081
152 391
152 115
302 630

Africa
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

59 406
26 745
24 698
43 857

65 900
29 614
27 723
49 396

78 029
36 312
34 180
61 453

88 942
41 676
39 860
74 379

100 343
47 485
45 542
85 217

109 176
52 689
51 141
96 945

116 398
56 440
55 203
106 587

122 297
59 859
58 806
113 982

125 659
62 084
61 467
120 415

127 853
63 392
62 942
124 299

Eastern Africa (1)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 288
585
573
1 141

1 432
638
594
1 125

1 433
732
726
1 318

1 328
670
686
1 411

1 342
665
655
1 300

1 244
649
661
1 317

1 140
585
600
1 252

1 092
555
560
1 140

1 023
527
536
1 091

970
493
501
1 029

Burundi
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

137
60
53
86

148
68
63
105

163
76
74
139

195
89
83
154

216
104
100
184

232
112
110
212

251
121
118
227

259
129
127
247

261
130
130
258

263
131
131
260

Comoros
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

129
61

139
64

154
75

155
78

161
79

159
81

151
77

147
74

141
72

134
68

Djibouti
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country


World
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23
More dev. regions (a)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23
Less dev. regions (b)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23
Least dev. countries (c)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23
Other less dev. countries (d)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

407

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

408

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Population aged 15-17 ...............


Population aged 18-23 ...............

4
7

6
10

10
19

23
38

27
47

37
65

41
72

50
86

57
100

61
114

Eritrea
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

187
81
74
126

229
103
92
160

312
127
112
202

426
151
125
220

543
218
174
259

554
276
241
353

579
263
268
427

639
292
266
519

696
324
311
572

820
346
333
628

Ethiopia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2 920
1 265
1 155
2 016

3 580
1 616
1 463
2 527

4 637
1 952
1 781
3 209

5 804
2 517
2 271
3 812

6 644
2 905
2 653
4 556

7 840
3 318
3 056
5 338

9 576
3 937
3 520
6 133

11 439
4 752
4 180
7 002

12 918
5 704
5 066
8 361

13 697
6 419
5 979
10 151

Kenya
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

813
392
382
670

1 362
515
414
746

2 011
836
742
1 156

2 982
1 217
1 078
1 789

3 637
1 503
1 312
2 171

4 369
1 827
1 619
2 652

5 034
2 204
1 968
3 286

5 289
2 539
2 330
3 951

5 655
2 598
2 581
4 664

6 511
2 803
2 617
5 041

Madagascar
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

562
264
253
452

784
298
275
507

1 077
464
423
651

1 460
614
555
951

1 702
727
647
1 101

1 812
856
767
1 290

2 138
880
871
1 532

2 613
1 086
923
1 704

3 076
1 315
1 176
1 890

3 449
1 557
1 404
2 369

Malawi
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

469
200
181
312

599
278
232
386

764
320
281
526

1 045
444
399
666

1 276
517
466
790

1 600
707
600
1 006

1 599
684
675
1 141

1 941
805
709
1 312

2 238
981
868
1 437

2 523
1 120
1 035
1 751

Mauritius (2)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

83
35
32
55

116
50
43
71

153
63
57
97

133
76
78
120

132
62
72
150

122
68
61
136

122
57
67
124

133
62
56
132

126
67
65
116

119
62
66
130

Mayotte
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2
1
1
1

4
1
1
2

6
3
2
4

10
4
4
6

13
6
5
8

16
7
7
11

21
9
8
15

26
11
10
17

30
13
12
21

32
13
11
18

Mozambique
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

971
431
400
712

1 159
511
475
840

1 495
645
582
1 011

1 936
839
766
1 333

2 212
942
857
1 453

2 434
1 069
942
1 489

2 612
1 145
1 059
1 838

2 959
1 293
1 188
2 100

3 395
1 468
1 345
2 352

4 008
1 683
1 536
2 674

Runion
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

35
15
15
27

57
23
19
31

84
36
33
46

79
43
41
66

73
39
41
74

72
37
38
80

79
37
37
73

85
42
39
72

82
42
44
82

87
40
41
87

Rwanda
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

311
142
140
263

483
207
162
274

656
280
244
429

891
373
337
580

1 069
435
386
658

1 304
523
457
756

1 117
446
382
602

1 373
712
618
982

1 445
645
707
1 244

1 662
725
640
1 352

Somalia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

331
152
135
241

450
179
161
294

590
256
235
379

1 078
460
412
708

1 115
465
421
716

1 056
514
446
755

1 033
436
453
779

1 186
514
438
856

1 364
570
529
866

1 568
660
579
1 007

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

60
120

62
119

72
134

78
153

78
156

80
159

78
159

75
152

73
147

69
142

Population aged 15-17


Population aged 18-23

980
418
368
672

1 080
498
449
750

1 120
556
549
1 039

1 206
574
561
1 107

1 285
634
617
1 172

1 250
635
640
1 275

1 236
618
619
1 254

1 208
614
616
1 232

1 146
586
596
1 215

1 109
561
566
1 155

Eritrea
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

13 814
6 813
6 569
11 907

13 977
6 813
6 815
13 030

14 433
7 094
6 986
13 519

14 007
7 149
7 161
14 116

12 936
6 674
6 824
13 982

12 088
6 216
6 320
12 985

11 182
5 786
5 909
12 143

10 416
5 346
5 458
11 274

9 929
5 054
5 119
10 464

9 525
4 843
4 897
9 949

Ethiopia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

7 462
3 274
2 935
5 224

8 418
3 730
3 445
5 907

9 688
4 590
4 378
7 825

11 018
5 142
4 922
9 309

12 376
5 902
5 661
10 543

13 110
6 408
6 272
12 007

13 608
6 683
6 584
12 868

13 770
6 867
6 820
13 399

13 537
6 822
6 843
13 667

13 166
6 662
6 703
13 501

Kenya
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 783
1 730
1 630
2 833

4 202
1 899
1 788
3 259

5 179
2 366
2 207
3 970

5 963
2 815
2 689
4 940

6 658
3 165
3 055
5 773

7 259
3 508
3 403
6 469

7 604
3 730
3 671
7 115

7 801
3 860
3 823
7 502

7 826
3 916
3 904
7 730

7 730
3 888
3 895
7 795

Madagascar
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 980
1 260
1 165
2 070

3 601
1 505
1 335
2 335

4 887
2 184
1 954
3 280

6 110
2 736
2 556
4 621

7 777
3 503
3 233
5 766

9 160
4 283
4 068
7 392

10 546
4 933
4 723
8 849

11 892
5 661
5 443
10 194

12 880
6 223
6 071
11 604

13 760
6 683
6 541
12 649

Malawi
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

106
60
60
130

97
52
58
120

93
47
48
99

89
46
46
94

84
43
44
90

81
41
41
85

80
40
40
81

79
40
40
80

78
39
39
79

77
39
39
78

Mauritius (2)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

47
16
14
23

46
26
19
28

45
21
21
50

52
24
23
44

54
27
27
51

53
27
27
54

52
26
26
53

50
25
26
52

47
24
24
50

44
23
23
47

Mayotte
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

4 376
2 024
1 788
3 062

4 603
2 163
2 097
3 602

5 355
2 465
2 336
4 352

6 030
2 876
2 748
5 056

6 340
3 091
3 034
5 818

6 634
3 246
3 182
6 183

6 685
3 342
3 318
6 503

6 565
3 299
3 310
6 627

6 421
3 242
3 253
6 525

6 195
3 144
3 172
6 406

Mozambique
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

90
44
41
82

88
45
45
84

83
43
43
88

80
41
41
84

78
39
40
81

75
38
39
78

74
37
37
76

73
37
37
74

72
36
36
73

72
36
36
73

Runion
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 968
819
760
1 299

2 340
986
867
1 510

2 630
1 277
1 223
2 123

2 900
1 348
1 307
2 546

3 390
1 588
1 497
2 755

3 497
1 744
1 720
3 262

3 573
1 749
1 734
3 459

3 654
1 820
1 797
3 506

3 499
1 789
1 810
3 627

3 360
1 701
1 720
3 510

Rwanda
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 768
773
692
1 146

2 002
877
806
1 376

2 694
1 170
1 049
1 819

3 493
1 545
1 413
2 465

4 345
1 962
1 826
3 241

5 251
2 412
2 262
4 085

6 076
2 848
2 714
4 997

6 800
3 235
3 117
5 848

7 390
3 565
3 466
6 598

7 801
3 813
3 742
7 225

Somalia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

409

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Uganda
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

791
322
340
610

1 135
465
424
669

1 607
679
614
1 010

2 210
923
819
1 374

2 582
1 090
971
1 622

3 104
1 300
1 169
1 961

3 706
1 555
1 384
2 336

4 361
1 838
1 644
2 760

5 112
2 171
1 944
3 285

6 037
2 535
2 282
3 873

UR Tanzania (3)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 266
545
494
852

1 666
733
652
1 113

2 293
970
857
1 501

3 183
1 345
1 208
2 049

3 769
1 583
1 421
2 412

4 380
1 886
1 681
2 841

5 117
2 222
2 028
3 429

5 728
2 536
2 313
4 011

6 408
2 822
2 618
4 579

7 452
3 169
2 913
5 182

Zambia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

380
164
149
258

493
220
195
336

694
286
252
445

1 007
421
371
613

1 190
502
450
751

1 349
596
533
899

1 511
667
621
1 058

1 695
751
693
1 240

1 966
832
771
1 360

2 256
980
868
1 514

Zimbabwe
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

442
186
171
306

617
225
228
393

925
386
350
508

1 311
548
492
810

1 598
660
589
1 009

1 891
810
715
1 204

2 059
955
862
1 409

2 101
1 025
986
1 691

2 007
1 030
1 009
1 842

1 908
964
980
1 853

Middle Africa
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

3 927
1 732
1 598
2 838

4 908
2 116
1 964
3 467

6 466
2 772
2 521
4 320

8 736
3 699
3 343
5 711

10 236
4 305
3 866
6 621

12 120
5 071
4 533
7 685

14 549
6 123
5 460
9 199

16 557
7 091
6 356
10 698

18 891
8 214
7 457
12 671

21 550
9 332
8 564
14 826

Angola
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

615
274
255
457

765
313
294
525

982
415
374
604

1 267
545
496
842

1 528
636
579
1 003

1 773
740
654
1 122

2 098
882
788
1 314

2 413
1 024
917
1 545

2 882
1 205
1 088
1 845

3 433
1 436
1 280
2 175

Cameroon
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

650
291
272
488

805
348
324
579

1 054
448
414
713

1 490
624
559
942

1 756
739
658
1 110

2 075
877
785
1 320

2 355
1 037
929
1 568

2 597
1 167
1 085
1 854

2 740
1 292
1 204
2 147

3 003
1 338
1 307
2 386

Central African Rep.


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

177
81
77
141

206
90
86
157

272
117
106
183

354
153
140
240

409
176
161
283

474
202
183
313

539
236
214
368

584
268
246
425

637
285
272
481

689
315
292
536

Chad
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

339
152
142
257

434
180
171
306

560
248
229
374

726
303
275
482

853
354
313
534

1 016
429
380
629

1 188
509
456
761

1 391
600
543
921

1 656
712
647
1 111

1 914
821
745
1 283

Congo
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

119
53
49
88

153
66
60
107

214
90
81
137

300
127
113
190

352
150
135
228

400
177
160
271

442
200
185
322

489
220
208
375

553
243
226
410

626
277
254
458

DR Congo
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 942
840
765
1 330

2 448
1 080
989
1 714

3 266
1 401
1 268
2 223

4 450
1 880
1 698
2 908

5 168
2 173
1 948
3 326

6 170
2 561
2 291
3 880

7 664
3 151
2 793
4 698

8 773
3 679
3 238
5 378

10 094
4 320
3 878
6 434

11 547
4 983
4 527
7 701

Equatorial Guinea
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............

29
13

34
14

41
19

40
21

35
20

45
16

69
23

85
36

93
42

102
46

410

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

7 070
3 014
2 681
4 548

8 038
3 532
3 189
5 374

9 894
4 473
4 161
7 376

11 762
5 422
5 101
9 242

13 232
6 283
6 022
11 143

14 259
6 901
6 710
12 768

14 869
7 307
7 182
13 913

15 001
7 476
7 435
14 636

14 803
7 444
7 459
14 870

14 458
7 301
7 336
14 744

Uganda
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

8 840
3 735
3 337
5 815

10 395
4 445
3 977
6 719

13 526
6 076
5 537
9 519

16 821
7 568
7 054
12 730

20 532
9 415
8 814
15 858

23 623
11 149
10 642
19 604

26 329
12 534
12 097
22 870

28 579
13 811
13 436
25 601

30 061
14 715
14 464
28 000

31 031
15 307
15 129
29 628

UR Tanzania (3)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 600
1 118
1 025
1 728

3 189
1 290
1 169
2 037

4 401
1 941
1 737
2 814

5 698
2 497
2 300
4 083

7 571
3 325
3 026
5 277

9 371
4 286
3 996
7 065

11 282
5 164
4 868
8 917

13 327
6 206
5 875
10 751

15 044
7 131
6 864
12 830

16 717
7 970
7 703
14 599

Zambia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 958
939
945
1 962

2 098
979
943
1 908

2 245
1 123
1 073
1 984

2 027
1 053
1 087
2 218

1 961
984
987
2 023

1 826
953
967
1 941

1 654
855
880
1 846

1 581
803
811
1 663

1 497
767
778
1 582

1 437
727
736
1 505

Zimbabwe
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

23 801
10 719
9 741
16 991

25 842
11 754
11 082
19 413

29 584
13 813
13 118
23 931

32 129
15 399
14 889
27 931

33 538
16 370
16 058
30 860

34 052
16 876
16 703
32 620

33 604
16 876
16 877
33 474

32 643
16 502
16 597
33 309

31 452
15 961
16 102
32 510

30 178
15 338
15 504
31 421

Middle Africa
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 751
1 729
1 535
2 569

4 000
1 850
1 791
3 089

4 549
2 131
2 030
3 736

4 830
2 353
2 290
4 316

4 881
2 417
2 397
4 687

4 833
2 426
2 420
4 788

4 637
2 360
2 382
4 787

4 414
2 248
2 277
4 629

4 194
2 141
2 171
4 413

3 985
2 033
2 062
4 202

Angola
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 363
1 495
1 368
2 567

3 633
1 675
1 556
2 738

3 951
1 892
1 829
3 412

4 251
2 036
1 978
3 786

4 475
2 185
2 138
4 094

4 537
2 250
2 232
4 368

4 530
2 264
2 256
4 468

4 439
2 240
2 246
4 487

4 293
2 176
2 192
4 422

4 139
2 098
2 118
4 289

Cameroon
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

721
340
322
580

774
354
343
637

874
415
395
718

910
444
436
834

937
459
452
882

939
470
467
914

913
461
463
929

884
447
450
908

849
432
436
882

813
413
418
849

Central African Rep.


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 156
950
859
1 475

2 380
1 067
987
1 706

2 850
1 305
1 226
2 204

3 260
1 534
1 459
2 679

3 523
1 699
1 650
3 117

3 687
1 805
1 770
3 417

3 737
1 860
1 843
3 611

3 690
1 854
1 856
3 696

3 595
1 817
1 828
3 670

3 477
1 763
1 778
3 589

Chad
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

695
312
288
502

764
346
323
569

867
408
392
717

987
463
442
829

1 083
521
504
947

1 143
558
547
1 053

1 186
583
574
1 120

1 200
598
594
1 168

1 191
597
597
1 190

1 170
589
591
1 185

Congo
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

12 756
5 724
5 205
8 979

13 897
6 284
5 911
10 348

16 047
7 449
7 042
12 773

17 423
8 342
8 059
15 053

18 147
8 848
8 680
16 672

18 412
9 119
9 020
17 594

18 104
9 099
9 109
18 061

17 526
8 869
8 927
17 927

16 855
8 558
8 636
17 446

16 133
8 206
8 301
16 831

DR Congo
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

117
51

132
58

153
72

164
79

174
85

176
88

172
86

167
84

160
81

153
78

Equatorial Guinea
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

411

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Population aged 15-17 ...............


Population aged 18-23 ...............

13
24

14
25

18
29

19
29

23
47

18
45

18
37

28
40

39
61

44
80

Gabon
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

51
24
24
46

56
24
24
46

64
29
28
49

93
39
37
69

117
49
43
79

144
61
54
93

172
74
67
116

202
87
80
139

211
103
92
161

209
104
105
186

Sao Tome and Principe


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

6
2
2
8

7
2
2
8

12
5
5
8

15
7
6
10

18
8
7
11

22
9
7
12

22
11
10
15

23
11
11
19

25
11
10
21

26
12
12
20

Northern Africa
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

7 693
3 505
3 260
5 855

10 959
4 677
3 943
6 896

14 854
6 379
5 617
9 263

18 566
8 244
7 513
12 909

21 148
9 327
8 584
14 834

23 907
10 544
9 621
16 588

25 527
12 017
10 971
18 720

25 409
12 749
12 363
21 578

24 929
12 560
12 666
24 253

25 756
12 358
12 394
24 898

Algeria
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 296
588
541
949

1 708
729
658
1 147

2 479
1 020
884
1 351

3 244
1 418
1 285
2 058

3 756
1 628
1 499
2 600

4 377
1 888
1 713
2 997

4 607
2 228
2 008
3 451

4 442
2 287
2 282
4 037

3 815
2 226
2 254
4 490

3 667
1 822
2 096
4 449

Egypt
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2 827
1 363
1 298
2 422

4 586
1 938
1 487
2 626

5 940
2 663
2 387
4 134

7 199
3 291
3 025
5 136

8 098
3 571
3 336
5 746

9 107
4 064
3 641
6 197

9 867
4 555
4 190
6 886

9 658
4 992
4 741
8 110

9 581
4 746
4 974
9 429

10 033
4 801
4 683
9 728

Libya
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

159
69
64
111

214
91
83
146

320
136
124
217

543
222
186
322

691
298
255
419

811
345
320
522

753
422
371
644

659
361
418
760

661
328
337
804

750
329
324
674

Morocco
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 464
635
576
993

1 921
831
754
1 295

2 791
1 139
952
1 411

3 198
1 405
1 286
2 402

3 529
1 616
1 476
2 580

3 948
1 754
1 666
2 911

4 081
2 004
1 817
3 236

3 935
2 019
2 025
3 540

3 710
1 949
1 960
3 817

3 518
1 826
1 887
3 767

Sudan (4)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 459
632
575
1 001

1 854
829
739
1 276

2 382
1 022
919
1 646

3 324
1 412
1 267
2 176

3 911
1 691
1 515
2 573

4 391
1 911
1 741
2 968

4 906
2 182
1 987
3 445

5 474
2 427
2 254
3 939

6 089
2 694
2 487
4 426

6 794
3 059
2 822
4 990

Tunisia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

485
217
205
378

673
258
221
401

932
395
347
496

1 039
486
454
794

1 138
513
494
896

1 239
569
527
969

1 273
610
581
1 031

1 198
640
622
1 155

1 018
591
628
1 234

936
494
554
1 232

Western Sahara
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2
1
1
2

4
2
2
5

11
5
4
9

19
10
9
20

25
10
10
20

34
13
12
24

40
18
16
28

44
21
21
37

54
27
26
53

58
28
28
60

Southern Africa
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2 241
999
940
1 685

3 035
1 276
1 177
2 055

4 064
1 815
1 654
2 744

5 349
2 342
2 128
3 774

5 959
2 699
2 472
4 290

6 556
2 981
2 809
4 951

7 007
3 304
3 105
5 697

7 092
3 519
3 401
6 227

7 067
3 531
3 550
6 836

7 156
3 509
3 520
7 114

412

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

48
90

53
98

69
124

77
148

83
160

87
171

87
174

85
171

82
166

79
160

Population aged 15-17


Population aged 18-23

215
104
103
206

233
107
105
205

263
127
121
221

274
134
133
258

289
141
138
270

297
147
146
285

298
148
148
295

296
148
148
296

290
146
147
295

284
143
144
290

Gabon
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

27
13
13
23

28
13
13
25

29
14
14
27

30
15
15
28

30
15
15
29

29
14
15
29

28
14
14
29

26
13
14
28

25
13
13
26

24
12
12
25

Sao Tome and Principe


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

27 420
12 894
12 423
24 465

28 498
13 777
13 192
24 757

28 152
14 266
14 254
27 762

27 183
13 693
13 835
27 979

27 023
13 520
13 488
26 908

26 117
13 300
13 405
26 794

24 937
12 691
12 853
26 134

24 161
12 223
12 316
24 965

23 375
11 866
11 966
24 175

22 562
11 444
11 562
23 468

Northern Africa
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

4 024
1 844
1 743
4 024

4 125
2 035
1 908
3 510

3 639
1 970
2 019
4 082

3 050
1 613
1 714
3 739

3 032
1 500
1 492
3 072

2 889
1 497
1 511
2 988

2 643
1 363
1 402
2 914

2 627
1 304
1 303
2 656

2 602
1 316
1 315
2 607

2 501
1 269
1 287
2 613

Algeria
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

10 602
5 028
4 878
9 336

10 974
5 329
5 138
9 700

10 619
5 442
5 498
10 746

10 215
5 156
5 219
10 622

9 860
5 036
5 073
10 140

9 096
4 719
4 838
9 893

8 577
4 378
4 452
9 187

8 174
4 180
4 235
8 613

7 756
3 962
4 027
8 234

7 508
3 798
3 835
7 816

Egypt
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

843
382
342
633

846
426
404
698

684
383
409
854

607
306
321
718

625
312
306
605

564
300
309
625

515
263
272
579

529
260
257
517

516
264
266
525

488
248
254
522

Libya
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 547
1 733
1 770
3 662

3 550
1 778
1 720
3 449

3 289
1 715
1 736
3 489

2 851
1 515
1 577
3 288

2 634
1 343
1 368
2 858

2 486
1 277
1 290
2 593

2 276
1 180
1 207
2 468

2 156
1 092
1 108
2 276

2 123
1 067
1 068
2 146

2 060
1 046
1 055
2 125

Morocco
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

7 332
3 415
3 192
5 667

7 885
3 662
3 517
6 399

8 891
4 209
4 038
7 482

9 599
4 641
4 512
8 557

10 010
4 910
4 832
9 354

10 221
5 069
5 021
9 847

10 145
5 100
5 098
10 119

9 910
5 007
5 030
10 110

9 593
4 865
4 904
9 904

9 251
4 697
4 741
9 607

Sudan (4)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 006
463
469
1 080

1 047
512
473
935

955
508
516
1 038

795
427
455
978

799
389
387
811

798
407
404
784

723
378
390
803

710
351
354
734

730
363
358
703

701
359
363
728

Tunisia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

66
30
29
63

73
34
32
66

75
38
38
72

65
34
36
76

63
31
32
67

63
32
32
64

57
30
31
64

55
28
28
59

56
28
28
56

53
27
28
56

Western Sahara
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

7 082
3 556
3 482
6 922

6 977
3 494
3 517
6 876

6 683
3 406
3 448
6 893

6 291
3 230
3 282
6 691

5 864
3 025
3 084
6 335

5 456
2 814
2 872
5 925

5 112
2 626
2 676
5 517

4 838
2 474
2 514
5 160

4 629
2 355
2 386
4 874

4 477
2 267
2 289
4 652

Southern Africa
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

413

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Botswana
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

65
31
28
46

88
32
31
57

124
55
50
72

171
73
66
117

207
86
77
133

245
105
93
157

265
124
113
191

267
133
130
231

263
133
134
260

255
130
132
268

Lesotho
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

110
49
44
77

138
63
55
91

171
76
69
117

219
96
89
151

251
111
101
167

282
125
114
186

304
141
130
213

317
152
146
255

327
158
154
286

322
162
158
302

Namibia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

69
30
28
54

93
40
36
61

125
54
49
84

177
73
65
107

209
90
77
126

235
107
98
169

265
118
112
201

302
134
124
228

321
153
141
248

329
160
157
284

South Africa
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 955
871
822
1 477

2 657
1 116
1 032
1 809

3 567
1 597
1 455
2 422

4 673
2 055
1 869
3 334

5 163
2 358
2 169
3 788

5 640
2 579
2 446
4 342

5 990
2 843
2 683
4 986

6 012
3 006
2 919
5 384

5 972
2 994
3 031
5 893

6 070
2 967
2 981
6 084

Swaziland
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

42
19
17
30

59
25
22
37

77
33
30
49

109
46
40
66

127
54
48
76

155
64
58
97

184
77
67
106

194
93
83
130

184
93
90
150

179
90
92
177

Western Africa (5)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

10 758
4 732
4 358
7 723

12 906
5 719
5 385
9 495

16 920
7 262
6 552
11 434

22 722
9 543
8 666
14 884

26 848
11 279
10 021
17 069

30 927
13 323
11 861
19 763

34 695
15 349
13 993
23 610

38 505
17 181
15 872
27 591

43 213
19 067
17 688
31 255

49 266
21 473
19 723
34 905

Benin
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

300
128
119
211

331
146
146
254

439
186
168
283

594
251
226
380

697
293
263
447

811
345
309
521

948
403
366
631

1 111
471
423
725

1 281
556
501
862

1 452
639
586
1 011

Burkina Faso
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

644
290
270
488

735
355
321
553

923
402
357
658

1 219
531
474
791

1 432
606
551
913

1 657
720
635
1 067

1 874
829
755
1 251

2 123
937
860
1 482

2 420
1 064
973
1 694

2 776
1 215
1 110
1 927

Cape Verde
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

22
13
13
22

33
8
8
20

52
24
21
22

51
26
26
38

54
24
23
47

60
25
23
39

70
30
26
43

73
36
32
51

71
36
36
63

63
34
36
68

Cte d'Ivoire
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

416
186
171
300

558
222
213
398

857
349
315
542

1 385
543
485
866

1 781
701
611
1 063

2 146
902
782
1 300

2 413
1 079
985
1 654

2 650
1 199
1 124
1 978

2 870
1 308
1 206
2 123

3 135
1 412
1 327
2 330

Gambia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

40
18
17
30

49
22
21
45

62
24
23
57

100
41
33
74

130
51
49
80

166
68
58
115

195
85
77
123

218
96
91
161

255
109
101
184

292
128
117
206

414

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

263
126
128
263

271
133
126
253

259
134
135
269

237
123
126
262

225
115
116
240

206
108
110
226

190
98
100
209

182
93
94
192

174
89
90
183

169
85
86
176

Botswana
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

318
158
159
310

326
157
155
310

326
165
163
309

305
156
159
320

291
148
149
301

271
140
142
287

250
129
131
271

235
120
122
249

222
114
116
236

213
108
109
224

Lesotho
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

337
164
161
312

344
169
165
320

355
175
173
338

347
177
177
351

330
169
171
349

313
160
163
332

293
151
154
315

276
141
144
296

263
134
136
277

252
128
130
264

Namibia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

5 983
3 021
2 947
5 857

5 847
2 947
2 984
5 821

5 553
2 837
2 883
5 798

5 223
2 683
2 728
5 571

4 845
2 506
2 560
5 269

4 505
2 323
2 372
4 909

4 231
2 173
2 213
4 560

4 005
2 048
2 082
4 275

3 838
1 951
1 976
4 037

3 717
1 881
1 899
3 856

South Africa
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

181
88
88
180

188
90
87
172

189
96
95
179

178
91
92
187

172
87
88
177

160
83
85
171

148
76
78
161

140
72
73
148

131
67
69
140

126
64
65
132

Swaziland
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

55 861
24 596
22 408
39 155

62 422
27 895
25 680
44 651

75 095
34 608
32 279
57 697

86 847
40 402
38 391
70 842

98 258
46 446
44 461
82 562

106 958
51 512
49 976
94 511

113 487
55 198
54 039
104 028

117 989
58 014
57 156
111 086

119 865
59 539
59 119
116 268

120 010
59 951
59 819
118 791

Western Africa (5)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 656
723
667
1 168

1 846
830
757
1 330

2 181
1 007
950
1 724

2 499
1 172
1 118
2 066

2 762
1 322
1 276
2 395

2 949
1 432
1 398
2 680

3 070
1 508
1 485
2 884

3 112
1 549
1 538
3 023

3 085
1 549
1 549
3 085

3 023
1 524
1 531
3 072

Benin
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 204
1 395
1 272
2 204

3 692
1 613
1 466
2 533

4 669
2 125
1 951
3 391

5 580
2 564
2 415
4 396

6 557
3 053
2 892
5 288

7 363
3 506
3 373
6 279

8 013
3 858
3 751
7 140

8 539
4 156
4 067
7 820

8 847
4 363
4 307
8 388

8 994
4 466
4 437
8 750

Burkina Faso
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

58
31
32
68

55
28
29
62

52
27
27
54

45
24
25
51

40
21
22
46

37
19
20
40

34
18
18
37

32
17
17
34

31
16
16
33

31
15
16
32

Cape Verde
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 360
1 565
1 457
2 637

3 580
1 668
1 604
2 915

4 076
1 920
1 830
3 400

4 401
2 128
2 070
3 919

4 606
2 253
2 215
4 292

4 710
2 335
2 310
4 521

4 659
2 343
2 345
4 658

4 523
2 289
2 306
4 640

4 354
2 213
2 234
4 518

4 174
2 123
2 147
4 360

Cte d'Ivoire
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

320
146
136
238

350
160
152
276

406
190
181
335

451
215
208
394

479
233
229
442

496
244
242
474

500
249
248
492

493
248
249
499

481
243
244
493

467
236
238
481

Gambia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

415

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Ghana
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

814
351
320
553

1 066
496
441
756

1 447
595
512
941

1 869
802
716
1 188

2 176
947
860
1 457

2 471
1 085
990
1 713

2 777
1 237
1 139
1 986

3 055
1 382
1 284
2 267

3 278
1 530
1 433
2 566

3 598
1 625
1 565
2 860

Guinea
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

426
194
182
335

507
205
203
374

632
280
260
417

689
296
268
477

784
333
304
525

936
397
358
617

1 250
532
480
819

1 384
601
542
926

1 482
653
598
1 029

1 614
712
658
1 154

Guinea-Bissau
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

74
31
30
56

99
35
35
61

87
40
47
71

137
40
46
84

152
72
45
84

164
69
76
97

183
81
68
139

201
88
83
136

218
98
89
160

236
106
100
175

Liberia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

144
63
58
104

166
72
72
129

233
100
89
147

320
136
123
210

376
160
143
243

365
157
142
238

354
158
144
245

461
211
196
341

510
223
211
380

655
278
252
456

Mali
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

662
285
271
505

754
335
333
564

913
410
383
643

1 172
512
462
789

1 340
582
526
880

1 529
663
593
967

1 721
764
691
1 152

1 942
858
790
1 351

2 269
970
888
1 554

2 685
1 141
1 018
1 753

Mauritania
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

105
47
43
76

135
58
54
95

193
82
72
120

260
112
101
173

299
130
118
200

338
150
137
232

382
169
157
271

431
192
177
315

479
217
202
360

531
240
225
405

Niger
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

450
186
165
275

547
253
235
386

746
314
277
494

1 024
437
361
536

1 167
510
459
697

1 354
579
484
767

1 588
676
604
932

1 924
792
673
1 081

2 331
966
829
1 275

2 803
1 173
1 015
1 589

Nigeria
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

5 815
2 562
2 349
4 145

6 921
3 060
2 881
5 110

8 975
3 878
3 507
6 115

12 035
5 027
4 639
8 105

14 250
5 930
5 231
9 036

16 376
7 049
6 279
10 417

18 172
8 072
7 376
12 453

19 850
8 942
8 320
14 566

22 228
9 762
9 162
16 428

25 476
11 009
10 079
18 077

Senegal
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

365
163
150
267

449
203
188
337

643
268
236
421

936
389
341
551

1 110
471
415
671

1 280
559
500
826

1 460
642
587
995

1 641
732
668
1 148

1 824
823
761
1 320

2 059
911
850
1 503

Sierra Leone
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

270
122
115
208

312
144
136
241

379
169
157
282

476
212
194
341

550
236
219
384

636
280
250
437

610
283
259
439

646
288
276
488

829
358
328
598

958
419
379
657

Togo
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

209
92
84
149

242
105
97
171

339
142
128
219

455
188
168
280

550
230
204
340

637
274
245
408

696
307
280
475

794
357
330
575

867
395
369
657

932
431
406
734

Asia (6)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............

188 042
90 102

262 742
102 822

319 634
143 855

402 539
188 488

395 061
201 562

414 285
193 523

456 802
208 117

460 996
230 660

443 994
227 892

428 348
220 377

416

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

4 028
1 804
1 674
3 110

4 319
2 028
1 883
3 363

4 696
2 256
2 188
4 154

5 067
2 438
2 376
4 560

5 337
2 618
2 564
4 933

5 386
2 685
2 671
5 253

5 356
2 682
2 680
5 341

5 238
2 648
2 660
5 327

5 045
2 563
2 589
5 236

4 859
2 466
2 491
5 055

Ghana
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 817
802
739
1 308

2 004
906
835
1 474

2 335
1 083
1 025
1 868

2 623
1 240
1 189
2 212

2 851
1 372
1 330
2 517

2 998
1 464
1 437
2 768

3 076
1 519
1 503
2 936

3 080
1 540
1 535
3 033

3 020
1 522
1 529
3 059

2 936
1 486
1 495
3 011

Guinea
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

258
116
108
197

280
127
119
214

326
150
141
257

365
171
164
304

403
191
184
346

436
210
203
386

463
225
220
422

483
236
233
451

497
245
242
474

504
250
249
490

Guinea-Bissau
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

758
328
294
505

832
380
347
590

966
447
424
783

1 119
522
496
916

1 237
593
572
1 070

1 322
640
625
1 201

1 388
679
667
1 293

1 416
703
697
1 367

1 412
707
707
1 405

1 395
702
703
1 408

Liberia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 133
1 350
1 207
2 020

3 554
1 576
1 424
2 393

4 375
1 997
1 848
3 257

5 185
2 391
2 252
4 088

5 920
2 794
2 665
4 890

6 460
3 108
3 013
5 674

6 872
3 342
3 268
6 269

7 119
3 510
3 462
6 722

7 195
3 584
3 563
7 023

7 168
3 591
3 588
7 142

Mali
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

581
266
248
447

625
291
275
494

696
331
319
593

764
365
354
669

817
397
387
738

845
417
411
798

859
427
423
832

856
429
428
850

838
423
425
852

815
413
415
838

Mauritania
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 351
1 410
1 234
1 965

3 953
1 689
1 485
2 405

5 418
2 365
2 094
3 491

6 966
3 104
2 840
4 909

8 624
3 920
3 639
6 417

10 209
4 745
4 477
8 092

11 598
5 488
5 253
9 737

12 757
6 124
5 928
11 197

13 609
6 626
6 479
12 435

14 148
6 961
6 869
13 384

Niger
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

28 947
12 686
11 513
20 044

32 628
14 397
13 256
22 969

39 721
18 244
16 926
29 930

46 172
21 371
20 269
37 393

52 754
24 797
23 661
43 767

57 805
27 755
26 866
50 595

61 670
29 893
29 217
56 121

64 542
31 633
31 094
60 239

65 842
32 642
32 365
63 476

66 074
32 967
32 866
65 153

Nigeria
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 341
1 034
949
1 686

2 556
1 181
1 084
1 893

2 881
1 362
1 305
2 421

3 216
1 526
1 469
2 759

3 475
1 686
1 638
3 096

3 598
1 772
1 749
3 392

3 662
1 817
1 803
3 541

3 633
1 828
1 828
3 624

3 538
1 790
1 801
3 623

3 434
1 739
1 752
3 540

Senegal
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 070
476
437
751

1 119
535
494
866

1 190
570
551
1 061

1 254
610
594
1 132

1 252
626
621
1 209

1 223
615
616
1 229

1 189
601
603
1 208

1 140
580
586
1 182

1 091
554
561
1 139

1 052
534
539
1 091

Sierra Leone
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

980
463
440
807

1 029
485
470
875

1 108
535
520
979

1 139
561
554
1 073

1 145
570
566
1 116

1 122
566
568
1 130

1 076
548
553
1 117

1 027
523
529
1 076

980
500
506
1 029

936
477
483
983

Togo
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

425 913
211 908

426 233
212 781

403 566
207 393

379 677
194 010

362 167
184 626

342 506
175 404

325 080
165 808

312 193
158 608

301 045
152 794

292 100
147 767

Asia (6)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

417

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Population aged 15-17 ...............


Population aged 18-23 ...............

85 710
154 420

93 116
174 297

140 408
227 535

168 632
294 826

195 527
341 033

199 537
387 923

194 224
390 499

215 968
390 271

232 690
432 729

223 363
456 816

Eastern Asia (6)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

84 680
40 909
39 645
71 363

124 784
48 340
42 458
78 748

135 491
62 533
65 603
108 658

176 635
85 802
73 161
126 538

145 232
88 875
89 572
150 567

137 029
68 328
83 022
176 906

157 701
68 829
64 438
158 662

151 255
81 284
73 101
131 428

133 962
73 504
81 358
148 534

118 929
66 701
69 570
157 669

China (7)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

67 152
32 853
31 947
57 456

105 109
38 390
33 549
62 771

114 952
52 673
56 291
89 447

153 822
75 058
62 821
106 788

124 173
77 210
78 539
129 901

117 817
58 113
71 591
154 709

140 429
59 210
54 714
136 614

134 719
72 886
63 832
112 057

117 787
65 168
73 169
130 377

104 607
58 568
61 205
141 074

China, Hong Kong SAR (8)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

149
104
123
279

486
192
105
207

637
297
267
456

507
283
352
769

495
257
261
656

522
256
259
557

480
261
252
524

507
267
277
534

435
255
257
553

310
236
276
543

China, Macao SAR (9)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

17
9
11
24

25
14
8
11

42
24
22
32

23
14
15
38

23
14
15
37

33
14
14
36

44
17
15
32

44
24
21
36

34
22
25
48

26
17
22
55

DPR Korea
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 916
893
758
1 219

1 273
870
871
1 699

2 072
947
582
1 428

2 701
1 326
1 060
2 017

2 031
1 364
1 398
2 235

2 063
914
1 235
2 751

2 261
1 097
874
2 324

2 428
1 098
1 151
1 867

2 505
1 240
1 120
2 236

2 272
1 247
1 268
2 283

Japan
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

10 962
5 132
5 142
9 568

11 889
6 583
5 731
10 127

9 617
4 798
5 288
12 456

11 713
5 162
5 003
9 356

10 909
6 075
5 469
9 982

9 273
5 268
6 019
11 019

8 149
4 605
4 932
11 555

7 340
4 012
4 381
9 682

7 058
3 626
3 824
8 630

6 830
3 538
3 568
7 639

Mongolia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

96
46
43
80

126
48
48
92

214
79
72
109

285
127
120
186

309
145
132
239

337
154
149
267

381
162
152
285

359
195
167
294

302
174
196
342

268
149
160
375

Rep. of Korea
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

3 151
1 416
1 139
1 848

4 215
1 586
1 451
2 779

5 486
2 551
1 970
3 170

5 362
2 647
2 557
4 992

4 950
2 726
2 608
5 107

4 618
2 414
2 659
5 286

3 946
2 298
2 289
5 113

3 961
1 837
2 166
4 584

3 969
2 048
1 834
4 188

3 130
1 984
2 085
3 782

South-Central Asia (10)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

71 486
33 976
31 632
57 463

94 393
37 434
34 846
65 687

122 482
54 727
50 780
81 318

150 555
68 275
63 345
112 334

168 902
74 881
70 463
126 471

189 209
84 929
77 922
140 179

206 891
94 898
88 439
155 737

216 098
103 608
97 971
176 550

217 314
107 504
105 327
195 370

216 150
107 868
107 093
207 439

Central Asia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2 159
1 418
1 024
2 174

3 219
1 130
963
2 760

5 736
2 435
2 030
2 885

6 019
2 807
2 856
5 171

6 476
3 011
2 747
5 527

7 214
3 182
3 009
5 345

8 082
3 490
3 193
5 794

8 171
4 015
3 605
6 203

7 216
4 038
4 065
7 083

6 612
3 507
3 869
7 982

Kazakhstan
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

867
606
351
835

1 332
501
400
1 258

2 082
935
817
1 259

1 888
903
951
1 832

1 964
935
853
1 810

2 028
941
886
1 607

2 022
910
870
1 619

1 793
966
874
1 569

1 408
871
952
1 746

1 347
675
800
1 885

418

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

216 342
442 554

210 210
427 967

210 449
422 482

197 315
405 087

186 722
380 273

178 068
362 970

168 265
344 190

160 332
326 336

154 336
313 283

149 060
302 306

Population aged 15-17


Population aged 18-23

111 017
57 988
63 519
138 284

108 658
55 354
55 836
124 404

95 232
50 653
53 089
109 155

86 816
44 757
45 983
97 212

82 161
41 987
42 612
87 468

78 173
39 834
40 405
82 575

75 279
38 177
38 586
78 497

73 495
37 057
37 292
75 478

72 387
36 394
36 530
73 553

71 559
35 929
36 039
72 412

Eastern Asia (6)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

97 714
51 023
55 729
121 615

95 412
48 681
49 145
109 112

82 315
44 114
46 472
95 763

74 520
38 426
39 549
84 125

70 311
36 013
36 535
74 904

66 264
33 875
34 458
70 614

63 569
32 258
32 627
66 510

61 912
31 251
31 455
63 660

60 750
30 582
30 726
61 924

59 965
30 114
30 213
60 746

China (7)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

292
149
212
568

383
159
144
434

459
227
228
413

454
245
250
515

470
229
238
528

565
271
261
510

588
300
300
595

589
296
302
625

637
310
305
614

665
333
331
651

28
13
16
46

35
15
14
35

42
21
20
38

39
21
22
46

42
20
20
43

46
23
22
43

47
24
24
48

47
23
24
48

50
25
24
48

51
25
25
51

China, Macao SAR (9)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 063
1 112
1 203
2 501

2 019
1 019
1 061
2 357

2 132
1 041
1 015
2 002

1 957
1 039
1 063
2 105

1 827
918
942
2 003

1 877
932
918
1 818

1 765
915
933
1 870

1 713
854
865
1 789

1 739
868
861
1 704

1 676
855
865
1 738

DPR Korea
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

6 576
3 398
3 509
7 187

6 445
3 277
3 352
7 018

6 007
3 108
3 203
6 560

5 846
2 940
2 974
6 162

5 814
2 919
2 933
5 928

5 726
2 894
2 912
5 884

5 660
2 836
2 855
5 801

5 695
2 841
2 840
5 700

5 697
2 855
2 856
5 721

5 676
2 841
2 849
5 728

Japan
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

325
128
140
314

373
171
135
271

357
187
186
359

327
164
171
360

369
175
166
319

360
186
186
357

348
173
176
362

369
180
175
343

366
186
186
364

364
181
182
368

Mongolia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 791
1 471
1 825
4 096

2 864
1 413
1 361
3 491

2 871
1 438
1 433
2 843

2 697
1 409
1 426
2 862

2 461
1 262
1 306
2 743

2 492
1 231
1 223
2 469

2 473
1 251
1 250
2 468

2 372
1 206
1 222
2 477

2 361
1 176
1 176
2 376

2 377
1 188
1 182
2 345

Rep. of Korea
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

219 642
107 206
107 247
212 221

222 123
109 821
107 310
212 424

215 137
109 547
110 001
218 714

202 347
103 569
105 301
214 796

191 085
97 861
99 202
202 496

177 752
91 728
93 545
191 640

165 518
85 073
86 818
179 016

156 181
79 928
81 209
166 558

148 093
75 708
76 849
157 157

141 652
72 075
73 026
149 183

South-Central Asia (10)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

7 184
3 225
3 301
7 436

7 692
3 659
3 296
6 493

7 371
3 834
3 824
7 441

6 607
3 395
3 531
7 392

6 690
3 307
3 259
6 539

6 308
3 268
3 312
6 561

5 896
2 996
3 060
6 328

5 868
2 929
2 919
5 864

5 683
2 893
2 916
5 830

5 527
2 779
2 806
5 715

Central Asia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 794
661
634
1 541

1 998
947
739
1 277

1 816
962
970
1 973

1 721
836
867
1 848

1 974
942
887
1 667

1 874
973
988
1 929

1 843
905
914
1 894

1 956
958
934
1 814

1 909
972
979
1 937

1 900
942
945
1 921

Kazakhstan
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

China, Hong Kong SAR (8)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

419

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Kyrgyzstan
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

186
127
105
222

277
91
75
223

510
219
182
248

522
243
249
449

559
262
235
475

629
276
265
458

699
306
277
507

717
355
324
561

639
351
360
630

586
322
351
747

Tajikistan
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

197
121
105
201

276
91
85
223

552
216
175
230

651
294
289
479

714
328
297
566

838
353
334
588

1 008
409
359
634

1 055
503
431
692

1 028
516
512
822

1 000
507
505
969

Turkmenistan
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

146
90
74
148

219
77
65
165

397
161
134
191

455
209
203
366

495
227
208
405

556
247
230
417

660
282
262
469

699
333
298
521

607
348
339
588

579
287
331
668

Uzbekistan
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

763
474
388
768

1 115
370
337
892

2 195
904
722
958

2 503
1 157
1 164
2 044

2 744
1 259
1 154
2 271

3 163
1 364
1 294
2 275

3 693
1 584
1 425
2 564

3 906
1 858
1 679
2 861

3 534
1 951
1 901
3 297

3 100
1 716
1 881
3 714

Southern Asia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

69 327
32 559
30 609
55 289

91 174
36 304
33 884
62 927

116 745
52 292
48 749
78 433

144 536
65 469
60 489
107 163

162 426
71 870
67 716
120 944

181 995
81 747
74 912
134 834

198 808
91 408
85 245
149 944

207 927
99 593
94 366
170 347

210 098
103 467
101 262
188 287

209 538
104 361
103 224
199 457

Afghanistan
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 248
558
514
903

1 523
696
624
1 085

1 922
836
756
1 356

2 356
1 014
912
1 559

2 112
909
818
1 390

2 209
936
844
1 437

3 413
1 437
1 277
2 165

4 009
1 679
1 490
2 491

4 994
2 084
1 849
3 079

5 554
2 489
2 191
3 634

Bangladesh
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

5 754
2 562
2 363
4 144

7 974
3 185
2 950
5 258

10 979
4 762
4 305
6 866

13 465
6 262
5 748
8 953

15 278
6 649
6 434
11 455

17 430
7 720
6 922
12 772

18 769
8 702
8 014
13 730

19 281
9 342
8 932
15 941

19 385
9 557
9 341
17 579

19 145
9 582
9 394
17 894

Bhutan
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

27
12
11
19

34
15
14
25

46
20
17
32

66
27
25
44

79
33
29
49

90
40
35
58

89
38
34
54

95
45
41
69

88
47
46
90

85
43
46
94

India
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

51 890
24 716
23 273
42 259

68 593
26 850
25 083
47 189

85 838
38 914
36 752
58 615

105 165
47 789
44 296
80 005

117 009
52 380
49 435
88 734

128 633
58 722
54 325
98 551

138 492
64 275
60 823
108 971

145 352
69 294
66 001
121 321

147 793
72 503
70 451
131 499

148 192
73 434
72 722
139 744

Iran
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2 178
1 102
1 116
2 075

3 328
1 235
1 066
2 066

4 771
2 062
1 848
2 829

6 075
2 737
2 538
4 451

7 647
3 149
2 934
5 072

9 969
4 074
3 555
5 847

10 816
5 080
4 326
6 802

9 679
5 457
5 349
8 959

7 087
4 575
5 406
11 143

6 326
3 381
4 022
10 355

Maldives
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

13
6
5
9

11
5
6
12

20
8
6
9

26
12
11
18

30
13
12
22

39
15
14
24

48
20
16
26

48
24
22
32

40
24
24
43

34
19
22
48

Nepal
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............

1 299
586

1 414
635

1 830
800

2 385
1 043

2 709
1 193

3 065
1 355

3 462
1 538

3 888
1 737

4 272
1 957

4 450
2 150

420

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

651
277
295
665

736
335
285
571

719
374
371
697

698
342
346
716

735
362
352
672

713
362
364
716

712
353
352
705

718
359
356
700

713
357
357
713

719
358
357
712

Kyrgyzstan
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 006
492
496
969

1 065
499
486
950

1 119
558
541
986

1 033
532
544
1 083

1 017
506
504
1 014

971
501
503
989

886
459
471
967

845
429
433
885

799
411
417
843

755
385
392
807

Tajikistan
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

596
292
275
634

607
294
296
556

586
304
304
589

513
269
281
590

488
247
249
516

454
236
240
485

413
213
220
457

396
200
202
414

379
193
195
394

359
183
185
378

Turkmenistan
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 137
1 502
1 601
3 627

3 287
1 584
1 489
3 138

3 132
1 636
1 638
3 196

2 642
1 417
1 494
3 155

2 477
1 251
1 267
2 671

2 296
1 197
1 217
2 441

2 042
1 066
1 104
2 305

1 953
984
994
2 050

1 883
961
968
1 943

1 794
913
927
1 897

Uzbekistan
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

212 458
103 982
103 946
204 785

214 431
106 163
104 014
205 931

207 766
105 713
106 177
211 274

195 740
100 174
101 770
207 404

184 395
94 554
95 943
195 956

171 444
88 460
90 234
185 079

159 622
82 078
83 759
172 688

150 312
76 998
78 289
160 694

142 410
72 815
73 933
151 327

136 125
69 296
70 220
143 468

Southern Asia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

6 206
2 819
2 647
4 474

6 887
3 120
2 915
5 265

8 126
3 771
3 548
6 401

8 853
4 278
4 137
7 706

9 239
4 518
4 441
8 595

9 451
4 684
4 632
9 053

9 278
4 694
4 706
9 355

8 920
4 534
4 582
9 285

8 521
4 348
4 404
8 953

8 079
4 136
4 200
8 576

Afghanistan
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

17 921
9 534
9 540
18 618

17 106
8 769
9 262
18 855

15 969
8 272
8 395
16 906

13 973
7 422
7 693
16 003

12 403
6 474
6 684
14 158

11 373
5 877
6 005
12 469

10 543
5 419
5 531
11 403

9 985
5 085
5 159
10 568

9 600
4 875
4 923
10 004

9 329
4 716
4 753
9 643

Bangladesh
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

85
43
42
92

84
42
43
84

78
41
42
83

67
36
37
79

61
32
32
69

56
29
30
61

52
27
27
56

50
25
26
52

48
24
25
50

47
24
24
48

Bhutan
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

150 258
73 631
73 277
144 363

150 943
75 061
73 763
145 581

146 052
74 236
74 659
149 327

138 485
70 748
71 720
146 015

129 730
66 775
67 943
138 886

120 254
62 070
63 425
130 687

111 961
57 631
58 808
121 329

104 877
53 863
54 882
112 920

99 151
50 716
51 539
105 764

94 612
48 222
48 885
99 907

India
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

7 036
3 127
3 137
7 779

7 256
3 606
3 251
6 281

5 569
3 239
3 486
7 282

4 550
2 346
2 538
5 924

4 808
2 366
2 290
4 532

4 314
2 306
2 381
4 765

4 014
2 018
2 074
4 422

4 114
2 045
2 016
3 992

3 925
2 016
2 047
4 099

3 842
1 918
1 934
3 964

Iran
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

31
16
18
42

32
15
16
34

28
15
16
30

21
12
13
29

21
10
10
21

20
10
10
20

18
9
10
20

18
9
9
18

18
9
9
18

17
8
9
18

Maldives
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

4 267
2 236

4 161
2 099

4 190
2 098

3 902
2 031

3 591
1 854

3 364
1 732

3 134
1 614

2 975
1 517

2 857
1 453

2 760
1 399

Nepal
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

421

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Population aged 15-17 ...............


Population aged 18-23 ...............

545
951

638
1 151

729
1 247

949
1 637

1 086
1 869

1 241
2 139

1 406
2 433

1 605
2 797

1 813
3 199

2 033
3 629

Pakistan
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

5 779
2 518
2 321
4 076

6 747
2 985
2 899
5 106

9 388
3 980
3 534
6 027

12 910
5 560
5 040
8 660

15 373
6 527
5 949
10 453

18 266
7 783
6 945
12 009

21 564
9 171
8 227
13 715

23 579
10 969
9 812
16 589

24 543
11 722
11 322
19 490

23 745
12 341
11 828
22 088

Sri Lanka
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 140
499
462
853

1 549
700
605
1 036

1 950
911
802
1 452

2 089
1 023
970
1 837

2 190
1 017
1 019
1 902

2 295
1 102
1 032
1 997

2 156
1 147
1 121
2 047

1 998
1 047
1 115
2 147

1 897
996
1 010
2 165

2 008
922
965
1 970

South-Eastern Asia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

24 810
11 771
11 143
19 683

33 126
13 050
12 316
23 082

47 482
20 494
18 277
28 542

57 591
26 474
24 626
43 020

60 577
28 859
27 287
49 009

64 736
30 099
29 336
54 195

67 208
32 600
30 677
57 666

67 556
33 452
33 079
60 798

65 371
33 835
33 391
64 834

64 933
32 224
33 303
65 700

Brunei Darussalam
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

7
3
3
5

13
4
4
7

20
8
8
11

28
11
11
22

34
14
12
23

34
16
14
25

37
16
16
32

40
18
16
36

39
19
19
36

41
19
19
40

Cambodia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

680
303
279
491

852
377
346
608

1 114
483
437
762

1 111
521
487
830

846
577
534
961

1 630
335
522
1 087

2 141
946
449
955

2 158
1 036
1 095
1 136

1 992
1 091
1 004
1 986

1 770
960
1 050
1 809

Indonesia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

11 261
5 378
4 978
8 747

13 027
5 475
5 451
10 481

19 368
8 307
7 139
11 424

24 170
11 052
10 169
17 686

25 823
12 105
11 449
20 347

27 086
12 899
12 382
22 780

26 955
13 586
13 089
24 491

26 361
13 336
13 560
25 982

25 684
13 138
13 132
26 555

26 156
12 660
12 934
25 889

Lao PDR
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

248
111
103
190

338
143
128
224

420
188
176
300

536
232
210
353

603
269
242
413

681
302
280
483

794
340
313
553

912
398
357
613

924
460
420
704

863
456
466
835

Malaysia (11)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

890
430
360
639

1 410
547
443
843

1 985
824
748
1 215

2 133
1 027
1 021
1 750

2 304
1 049
1 025
2 005

2 649
1 186
1 120
2 048

2 893
1 346
1 249
2 288

3 085
1 464
1 414
2 589

3 326
1 544
1 504
2 869

3 518
1 681
1 590
3 025

Myanmar
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2 075
1 009
1 037
2 042

3 204
1 176
1 046
1 904

4 123
1 877
1 770
2 687

5 264
2 295
2 127
3 823

5 481
2 671
2 408
4 229

5 532
2 698
2 714
4 815

5 707
2 750
2 682
5 301

5 541
2 864
2 778
5 332

5 290
2 711
2 805
5 375

4 927
2 634
2 640
5 425

Philippines
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2 967
1 268
1 165
1 859

4 631
1 729
1 585
2 693

6 245
2 779
2 597
3 950

7 743
3 506
3 267
5 764

8 765
3 880
3 635
6 525

9 803
4 428
4 053
7 244

10 808
4 915
4 609
8 075

11 624
5 441
5 086
9 129

12 393
5 808
5 573
10 060

13 312
6 192
5 916
10 959

Singapore
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

152
69
61
105

255
96
88
169

345
171
153
263

271
145
168
359

257
145
145
344

249
126
145
352

288
136
131
306

360
165
154
299

368
203
175
318

374
231
226
394

422

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

2 191
4 059

2 201
4 350

2 085
4 103

2 070
4 155

1 898
3 933

1 760
3 607

1 648
3 384

1 540
3 155

1 470
2 988

1 414
2 874

Population aged 15-17


Population aged 18-23

24 445
11 563
12 167
23 499

25 801
12 338
11 511
23 636

25 930
13 067
12 928
24 998

24 148
12 441
12 692
25 687

22 884
11 668
11 787
24 097

21 149
10 988
11 198
22 784

19 223
9 964
10 247
21 275

18 025
9 232
9 386
19 332

17 013
8 723
8 856
18 104

16 170
8 240
8 369
17 157

Pakistan
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 210
1 011
927
1 859

2 162
1 113
1 052
1 844

1 823
973
1 019
2 142

1 738
861
870
1 807

1 658
857
858
1 665

1 461
763
793
1 634

1 399
701
707
1 446

1 349
688
691
1 372

1 277
649
661
1 347

1 270
633
633
1 281

Sri Lanka
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

64 606
32 569
31 888
65 268

63 371
32 098
32 496
63 501

59 925
30 760
31 229
62 955

56 550
28 917
29 371
60 006

53 956
27 499
27 827
56 584

51 417
26 266
26 591
53 979

49 148
25 006
25 315
51 544

47 462
24 062
24 280
49 220

45 998
23 290
23 487
47 523

44 895
22 649
22 799
46 092

South-Eastern Asia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

43
20
19
41

42
21
20
41

40
20
20
44

39
19
19
42

39
19
19
41

38
18
18
40

39
18
18
39

40
19
19
40

41
19
19
41

42
20
20
42

Brunei Darussalam
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 746
868
899
1 915

1 761
873
852
1 720

1 664
867
873
1 736

1 445
765
801
1 687

1 337
686
701
1 471

1 241
645
658
1 346

1 146
590
605
1 258

1 105
559
565
1 156

1 068
543
548
1 108

1 034
523
528
1 074

Cambodia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

26 011
13 173
12 668
25 458

24 983
12 886
13 178
25 327

22 722
11 820
12 156
25 004

20 993
10 825
11 053
22 853

19 535
10 064
10 257
21 070

18 347
9 395
9 556
19 615

17 508
8 904
9 013
18 382

16 888
8 555
8 636
17 507

16 417
8 294
8 353
16 878

16 093
8 102
8 141
16 412

Indonesia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

815
424
442
906

794
403
411
861

775
393
390
777

670
360
375
763

578
303
316
674

533
274
279
574

485
252
259
529

452
231
235
485

438
221
223
451

423
214
217
439

Lao PDR
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 439
1 776
1 729
3 221

3 435
1 698
1 768
3 476

3 583
1 765
1 750
3 408

3 600
1 813
1 806
3 572

3 457
1 762
1 788
3 629

3 378
1 702
1 716
3 496

3 297
1 672
1 684
3 398

3 176
1 615
1 635
3 326

3 094
1 561
1 575
3 204

3 041
1 534
1 541
3 109

Malaysia (11)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

4 698
2 414
2 562
5 231

4 628
2 342
2 349
5 019

4 334
2 241
2 279
4 612

3 867
2 041
2 109
4 371

3 584
1 830
1 872
3 934

3 470
1 760
1 772
3 592

3 288
1 687
1 713
3 479

3 161
1 598
1 619
3 313

3 135
1 571
1 572
3 165

3 079
1 554
1 562
3 134

Myanmar
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

13 442
6 719
6 358
11 753

13 625
6 637
6 750
12 680

14 462
7 040
6 897
13 190

14 684
7 327
7 259
14 114

14 391
7 249
7 279
14 528

13 962
7 084
7 122
14 301

13 312
6 797
6 877
13 941

12 667
6 462
6 545
13 338

12 099
6 161
6 238
12 701

11 610
5 905
5 971
12 139

Philippines
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

298
185
226
467

303
147
167
443

343
165
165
307

359
186
182
349

312
166
178
381

338
162
160
330

361
180
177
341

339
177
182
370

344
169
169
351

365
180
177
346

Singapore
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

423

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Thailand
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

3 196
1 531
1 384
2 414

4 268
1 811
1 607
3 049

6 178
2 608
2 293
3 869

7 636
3 670
3 319
5 781

7 411
3 802
3 753
6 600

6 995
3 672
3 720
7 233

6 563
3 460
3 560
7 046

6 233
3 239
3 307
6 434

6 065
3 176
3 203
6 405

5 854
3 046
3 131
6 283

Timor-Leste
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

64
29
27
50

78
36
32
56

95
42
38
70

96
43
43
79

90
49
44
83

108
43
53
97

129
57
43
97

151
60
58
74

189
78
65
117

197
97
84
127

Viet Nam
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

3 269
1 639
1 746
3 142

5 050
1 656
1 586
3 049

7 590
3 207
2 919
3 990

8 604
3 973
3 803
6 573

8 962
4 298
4 041
7 479

9 969
4 395
4 334
8 031

10 892
5 047
4 534
8 522

11 091
5 431
5 254
9 174

9 101
5 607
5 490
10 409

7 921
4 247
5 248
10 914

Western Asia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

7 067
3 445
3 289
5 910

10 439
3 998
3 496
6 780

14 178
6 101
5 748
9 017

17 758
7 937
7 500
12 934

20 350
8 948
8 204
14 985

23 312
10 168
9 257
16 643

25 003
11 790
10 671
18 433

26 087
12 317
11 817
21 495

27 347
13 048
12 614
23 990

28 336
13 584
13 397
26 008

Armenia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

162
120
91
191

259
87
65
214

430
196
166
235

361
188
213
438

380
181
177
400

426
185
169
331

409
185
164
272

352
198
185
309

256
172
192
358

236
118
150
361

Azerbaijan (12)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

345
255
211
380

495
163
129
439

962
402
309
408

831
457
486
878

824
410
427
904

937
418
423
823

1 083
470
421
808

1 102
557
503
832

805
540
602
1 073

637
364
513
1 222

Bahrain
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

18
7
7
13

24
11
10
16

36
17
14
20

45
21
20
49

50
21
18
40

59
25
22
49

67
30
25
56

73
34
29
66

84
39
33
76

96
48
38
119

Cyprus (13)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

62
30
28
52

82
39
30
56

79
40
36
64

66
35
35
82

66
33
34
79

77
35
33
79

83
40
38
84

86
42
45
99

86
45
45
111

77
43
49
109

Georgia (14)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

371
244
204
441

442
170
157
454

620
286
255
392

519
266
288
545

522
261
249
541

538
256
250
482

510
240
232
443

454
246
229
425

326
221
237
440

268
149
194
442

Iraq
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

815
355
329
577

1 236
399
415
731

1 572
671
715
994

2 460
1 065
882
1 393

2 779
1 225
1 125
1 693

3 074
1 394
1 264
2 108

3 442
1 539
1 452
2 529

3 905
1 738
1 603
2 906

4 517
1 954
1 804
3 145

5 237
2 282
2 063
3 604

Israel
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

132
66
65
131

315
128
101
181

359
178
188
335

484
204
198
375

542
249
217
396

555
276
266
452

611
304
301
561

646
316
317
625

718
326
322
645

783
366
342
667

Jordan
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............

75
32

134
65

270
111

437
179

506
230

615
267

708
329

738
361

784
364

914
433

424

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

5 498
2 946
2 995
6 140

5 078
2 746
2 879
5 897

4 483
2 361
2 465
5 207

4 325
2 210
2 230
4 535

4 142
2 142
2 170
4 332

3 991
2 040
2 068
4 177

3 942
1 995
2 002
4 007

3 872
1 965
1 976
3 948

3 804
1 919
1 930
3 888

3 761
1 889
1 895
3 814

Thailand
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

216
96
99
170

244
110
98
193

318
143
128
231

349
171
165
302

366
178
175
344

389
191
186
359

380
193
194
384

366
185
187
381

360
182
182
366

344
176
178
360

Timor-Leste
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

8 400
3 947
3 892
9 967

8 477
4 236
4 023
7 843

7 200
3 945
4 106
8 439

6 218
3 199
3 371
7 419

6 214
3 101
3 071
6 180

5 730
2 993
3 056
6 150

5 391
2 717
2 772
5 787

5 396
2 696
2 681
5 356

5 198
2 648
2 677
5 371

5 103
2 552
2 569
5 224

Viet Nam
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

30 648
14 145
13 688
26 780

32 081
15 507
14 567
27 638

33 273
16 432
16 131
31 659

33 964
16 767
16 660
33 074

34 966
17 279
17 081
33 726

35 164
17 576
17 526
34 776

35 135
17 552
17 546
35 132

35 056
17 561
17 552
35 081

34 566
17 401
17 470
35 051

33 993
17 113
17 196
34 620

Western Asia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

263
120
109
280

271
132
125
217

219
123
131
261

193
98
102
223

192
97
96
187

172
91
94
188

162
82
83
173

162
81
81
160

154
79
80
161

151
76
76
155

Armenia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

858
312
311
963

1 043
452
349
634

889
507
530
999

816
392
410
943

922
449
426
792

841
442
457
916

852
413
412
857

883
441
434
838

851
431
438
884

869
428
425
854

Azerbaijan (12)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

108
47
49
89

134
55
49
100

115
64
71
127

106
53
54
122

114
56
54
108

103
55
57
116

98
49
50
107

100
50
49
99

95
49
49
100

93
46
47
96

Bahrain
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

76
38
43
111

78
39
39
98

80
40
41
92

78
40
41
89

77
38
39
82

77
39
39
80

74
38
38
80

74
37
37
77

75
38
38
77

75
38
38
78

Cyprus (13)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

292
132
129
349

287
148
134
246

219
124
132
278

183
95
100
220

181
91
90
180

166
87
89
181

158
80
81
169

159
80
79
158

153
78
79
159

150
75
76
154

Georgia (14)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

5 980
2 649
2 431
4 225

6 586
3 029
2 798
4 944

7 878
3 623
3 417
6 321

9 125
4 295
4 095
7 548

10 093
4 836
4 683
8 848

10 908
5 272
5 143
9 867

11 481
5 627
5 534
10 713

11 755
5 828
5 781
11 355

11 811
5 897
5 887
11 687

11 690
5 881
5 896
11 782

Iraq
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

861
395
380
698

937
437
410
766

950
480
482
916

994
482
477
957

1 061
521
510
984

1 050
532
534
1 057

1 038
519
522
1 059

1 043
522
521
1 039

1 015
516
520
1 045

988
499
503
1 022

Israel
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

934
445

905
472

888
446

854
435

777
407

705
365

656
338

612
315

582
296

565
286

Jordan
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

425

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Population aged 15-17 ...............


Population aged 18-23 ...............

28
44

60
104

96
176

161
254

200
325

256
425

303
573

344
609

366
692

409
797

Kuwait
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

19
9
9
21

35
12
8
28

121
44
33
87

210
88
71
147

244
107
89
181

306
132
132
225

185
79
75
146

206
91
73
186

218
99
92
215

281
114
107
260

Lebanon
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

178
88
87
165

296
106
93
176

404
181
167
251

431
202
191
329

429
202
193
350

428
201
192
354

436
219
211
401

452
216
218
412

474
231
226
454

424
240
234
450

Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

156
67
58
93

181
82
71
121

204
76
68
123

280
120
106
161

324
136
123
207

377
161
143
244

448
194
175
295

590
229
211
364

646
291
239
402

664
317
305
485

Oman
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

71
31
29
50

91
40
36
62

124
53
48
83

186
76
68
120

254
94
84
145

326
128
99
172

363
161
137
195

340
169
154
298

318
168
173
318

285
137
152
383

Qatar
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

4
2
2
3

7
3
3
6

14
6
6
14

25
10
11
28

36
13
12
36

53
19
17
40

53
21
15
41

62
29
28
48

69
33
23
68

91
39
33
175

Saudi Arabia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

475
208
191
334

649
276
244
425

949
395
354
618

1 610
631
567
1 014

2 094
870
744
1 393

2 675
977
807
1 758

3 065
1 438
1 117
1 588

3 043
1 364
1 212
2 172

3 301
1 528
1 441
2 531

3 158
1 444
1 495
2 968

Syrian Arab Rep.


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

473
217
220
403

752
279
250
430

1 130
475
426
641

1 624
677
607
999

1 946
824
726
1 213

2 253
984
883
1 454

2 472
1 140
1 046
1 779

2 548
1 245
1 185
2 093

2 898
1 277
1 319
2 450

3 068
1 453
1 386
2 419

Turkey
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

3 045
1 419
1 461
2 542

4 593
1 749
1 487
2 762

5 848
2 515
2 456
3 832

6 722
3 092
3 041
5 121

7 433
3 363
3 127
5 914

8 036
3 731
3 485
6 247

7 886
4 058
3 843
6 939

7 797
3 872
4 037
7 674

7 870
3 910
3 821
7 920

7 589
3 943
3 929
7 661

United Arab Emirates


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

11
5
4
8

14
6
5
10

27
12
11
29

100
32
29
124

160
51
38
122

211
83
80
174

255
115
92
226

319
141
115
301

312
142
130
441

511
268
235
778

Yemen
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

656
290
266
465

834
383
334
564

1 029
444
400
715

1 366
595
527
873

1 761
676
622
1 047

2 367
895
736
1 229

2 925
1 230
1 025
1 496

3 373
1 469
1 330
2 075

3 668
1 708
1 551
2 652

4 019
1 827
1 763
3 107

Europe
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

53 847
30 709
27 639
57 786

64 016
28 982
25 021
56 573

68 334
33 983
32 952
61 100

61 837
32 033
33 479
67 968

60 091
30 933
31 414
66 373

59 549
30 052
30 903
63 187

59 408
30 065
30 134
61 516

52 879
30 261
30 353
60 661

45 807
26 019
29 441
62 014

44 092
22 686
24 516
58 708

426

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

435
800

453
864

437
915

438
881

417
852

376
784

344
709

321
661

301
617

288
586

Population aged 15-17


Population aged 18-23

335
146
125
242

319
173
160
273

316
156
152
351

360
169
163
331

387
191
188
368

400
197
196
399

425
208
204
407

439
218
216
428

445
221
220
441

452
225
223
443

Kuwait
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

385
204
231
467

377
192
193
446

350
181
185
375

307
163
170
351

278
143
147
310

263
135
136
277

245
126
129
263

235
119
120
246

229
116
116
235

224
113
114
230

Lebanon
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

716
330
321
605

794
359
338
641

951
443
416
751

1 027
498
486
915

1 096
529
518
1 005

1 150
566
555
1 072

1 149
576
576
1 138

1 137
570
571
1 147

1 113
563
566
1 136

1 073
545
551
1 118

366
147
122
211

343
192
166
263

259
143
153
376

223
117
124
274

206
107
110
229

189
98
101
211

179
91
93
193

174
88
89
181

168
85
86
175

165
83
83
169

Oman
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

111
54
60
134

135
64
74
210

107
65
78
184

105
52
57
169

114
59
63
157

105
56
63
160

105
53
56
141

106
54
56
127

101
52
54
119

99
50
50
104

Qatar
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 611
1 566
1 407
2 940

3 658
1 829
1 634
2 872

3 654
1 852
1 766
3 623

3 240
1 694
1 752
3 658

3 095
1 560
1 561
3 257

2 910
1 501
1 513
3 072

2 690
1 379
1 407
2 927

2 614
1 314
1 319
2 696

2 538
1 288
1 295
2 607

2 452
1 241
1 255
2 549

Saudi Arabia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 026
1 540
1 489
2 771

2 805
1 507
1 539
2 985

2 887
1 401
1 357
2 873

2 825
1 454
1 453
2 837

2 492
1 317
1 372
2 853

2 328
1 187
1 210
2 536

2 195
1 133
1 150
2 337

2 038
1 048
1 074
2 220

1 969
995
1 004
2 056

1 915
971
979
1 975

Syrian Arab Rep.


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

7 606
3 740
3 888
7 830

7 538
3 836
3 722
7 687

6 884
3 591
3 681
7 613

6 318
3 269
3 356
6 999

5 944
3 050
3 102
6 397

5 567
2 867
2 924
6 004

5 296
2 697
2 738
5 630

5 138
2 601
2 623
5 330

4 990
2 527
2 549
5 160

4 884
2 460
2 477
5 012

Turkey
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

518
259
278
577

588
267
262
622

535
299
325
654

506
264
275
649

552
277
273
601

561
291
294
626

567
287
290
625

588
294
293
606

587
297
299
607

579
290
292
591

United Arab Emirates


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

4 602
2 019
1 878
3 489

5 280
2 323
2 122
3 771

6 091
2 893
2 777
4 950

6 705
3 197
3 108
5 907

7 386
3 550
3 432
6 514

7 669
3 794
3 745
7 228

7 762
3 857
3 839
7 604

7 804
3 900
3 886
7 713

7 690
3 875
3 890
7 785

7 569
3 806
3 823
7 703

Yemen
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

46 705
22 066
22 294
49 657

48 367
23 750
22 704
45 690

46 076
23 913
24 362
49 560

43 794
22 150
22 762
47 929

45 745
22 454
22 172
44 749

45 528
23 071
23 159
46 003

44 594
22 408
22 656
46 224

45 387
22 495
22 385
44 895

45 525
22 840
22 816
45 361

45 150
22 623
22 711
45 689

Europe
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

427

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Eastern Europe
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

22 863
14 682
12 177
27 021

29 314
11 875
9 595
25 743

30 048
16 181
15 729
26 836

25 931
12 445
13 540
30 453

27 884
13 154
12 349
26 751

28 883
14 023
13 658
25 090

28 890
14 556
14 297
27 227

23 539
14 783
14 771
28 566

17 661
11 210
13 925
29 686

16 354
8 529
9 817
26 806

Belarus
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

774
509
472
956

876
344
296
825

1 136
567
491
776

870
447
503
1 045

885
437
430
958

953
440
443
827

983
482
451
877

810
498
494
911

605
388
470
986

540
291
340
893

Bulgaria
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

716
365
403
828

841
416
363
686

767
399
405
834

778
372
373
753

799
389
368
723

728
395
390
723

639
338
366
727

532
317
320
696

412
255
300
639

388
198
227
572

Czech Rep.
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

773
324
370
823

1 043
514
449
708

825
449
496
1 041

935
400
401
845

1 062
477
420
799

917
545
509
861

787
436
526
1 027

746
394
403
1 008

599
380
391
818

534
293
372
823

Hungary
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

906
439
452
930

1 073
467
458
839

815
500
559
1 005

924
415
380
880

1 003
464
433
763

852
514
485
865

751
411
493
968

725
381
390
949

630
364
375
789

575
306
351
761

Poland
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2 488
1 438
1 444
2 873

3 968
1 558
1 173
2 330

3 590
2 117
2 114
3 694

3 277
1 500
1 599
3 825

3 747
1 661
1 510
3 154

4 040
1 886
1 762
3 064

3 701
2 038
1 939
3 494

3 138
1 813
1 994
3 856

2 574
1 548
1 697
3 880

2 137
1 242
1 436
3 413

Rep. of Moldova (16)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

265
152
135
269

356
125
130
313

492
247
223
316

418
201
225
449

441
208
202
414

485
221
211
361

505
240
225
400

418
244
226
397

290
199
229
417

215
130
164
411

Romania
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 735
1 004
986
1 933

2 100
901
799
1 813

1 810
1 120
1 109
1 926

2 367
1 178
864
1 957

2 349
1 137
1 244
1 871

2 140
1 198
1 118
2 384

2 068
1 005
1 173
2 242

1 662
1 076
971
2 205

1 348
758
1 013
1 970

1 295
680
669
1 882

Russian Federation
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

10 761
7 646
5 904
13 633

14 235
5 569
4 092
12 992

15 062
7 987
7 648
12 790

11 609
5 615
6 630
15 299

12 669
5 969
5 471
13 119

13 740
6 368
6 276
11 420

14 429
7 047
6 634
12 632

11 334
7 550
7 407
13 611

8 088
5 304
7 093
15 103

7 996
3 900
4 476
13 496

Slovakia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

372
178
184
361

520
214
197
358

513
272
277
468

500
230
244
521

562
252
230
476

554
285
265
467

517
274
287
534

468
259
268
567

380
232
250
533

318
180
214
498

Ukraine
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

4 073
2 626
1 827
4 415

4 301
1 765
1 639
4 880

5 037
2 524
2 406
3 986

4 254
2 088
2 322
4 878

4 367
2 160
2 041
4 473

4 473
2 170
2 199
4 119

4 510
2 284
2 203
4 327

3 706
2 251
2 298
4 366

2 734
1 782
2 107
4 550

2 356
1 308
1 570
4 057

428

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

18 312
8 140
8 144
19 513

19 636
9 367
8 522
16 540

17 730
9 549
9 825
19 575

15 600
8 017
8 464
18 469

16 684
8 071
7 841
15 734

16 151
8 346
8 422
16 521

15 305
7 734
7 906
16 435

15 718
7 750
7 667
15 350

15 586
7 883
7 894
15 632

15 273
7 666
7 726
15 660

Eastern Europe
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

593
267
272
662

632
303
275
542

565
305
314
622

489
253
268
583

520
252
245
490

498
259
262
514

470
237
243
506

485
239
236
470

477
242
244
482

466
233
236
480

Belarus
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

430
193
188
436

439
219
200
372

372
203
211
432

328
166
175
376

340
168
163
317

309
163
167
330

290
146
148
309

296
147
145
285

285
146
147
293

280
140
141
287

Bulgaria
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

623
267
271
731

695
323
286
569

665
347
357
712

600
315
329
709

653
307
303
641

693
347
343
661

661
339
347
715

675
330
331
681

708
350
344
674

690
351
354
706

Czech Rep.
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

585
288
294
697

602
295
292
604

595
303
308
619

561
290
298
622

571
280
282
591

593
295
293
583

584
296
299
606

583
290
292
596

597
296
294
586

593
299
299
596

Hungary
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 225
1 038
1 139
2 802

2 447
1 134
1 038
2 249

2 425
1 257
1 252
2 380

2 025
1 108
1 171
2 473

2 027
971
974
2 103

2 158
1 072
1 044
1 983

1 987
1 041
1 069
2 159

1 926
955
969
2 027

2 033
996
975
1 911

1 983
1 014
1 020
2 017

Poland
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

234
99
108
296

246
120
99
203

195
109
114
235

156
81
87
193

156
77
74
145

139
74
77
156

132
66
67
143

136
68
67
132

129
66
67
136

127
63
63
130

Rep. of Moldova (16)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 279
637
669
1 358

1 297
641
630
1 315

1 188
631
646
1 291

1 072
549
571
1 221

1 091
540
535
1 078

1 051
540
545
1 086

1 007
508
516
1 063

1 018
506
503
1 008

1 003
507
509
1 014

987
495
498
1 007

Romania
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

9 329
4 042
3 839
9 072

10 025
4 779
4 341
7 967

8 814
4 825
5 016
10 068

7 863
3 952
4 184
9 287

8 650
4 185
4 015
7 847

8 134
4 259
4 343
8 576

7 758
3 877
3 961
8 316

8 113
3 991
3 916
7 733

7 900
4 033
4 065
8 068

7 752
3 869
3 901
7 967

Russian Federation
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

324
157
166
418

346
164
157
334

349
179
178
342

304
164
171
358

302
146
147
318

322
159
155
300

305
158
161
323

297
148
150
311

311
152
150
296

307
156
156
308

Slovakia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 690
1 153
1 198
3 041

2 907
1 390
1 204
2 385

2 562
1 390
1 431
2 873

2 202
1 139
1 210
2 647

2 374
1 145
1 103
2 205

2 254
1 177
1 194
2 333

2 111
1 067
1 095
2 293

2 190
1 076
1 059
2 107

2 144
1 093
1 099
2 172

2 090
1 047
1 058
2 162

Ukraine
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

429

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Northern Europe (17)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

7 003
3 227
3 098
6 409

7 822
4 144
3 685
6 540

8 477
3 898
3 744
8 082

7 926
4 336
4 409
8 277

7 040
3 911
4 205
8 785

6 992
3 477
3 735
8 287

7 379
3 523
3 415
7 363

7 450
3 731
3 596
6 947

6 954
3 760
3 823
7 570

6 611
3 458
3 731
7 990

Channel Islands (18)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

8
4
4
8

9
5
4
8

11
5
4
11

9
5
6
12

9
5
5
13

9
4
5
12

9
4
4
10

10
5
5
10

10
5
5
10

9
5
5
11

Denmark
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

436
181
176
351

464
252
237
390

462
219
219
487

448
236
239
454

396
224
233
479

336
197
216
467

343
165
186
433

401
177
165
377

416
207
190
350

400
209
215
408

Estonia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

110
62
58
117

110
49
51
116

123
61
61
122

128
59
61
136

134
66
62
126

137
67
67
128

134
62
61
119

105
67
62
117

77
49
63
126

76
38
42
120

Finland (19)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

427
193
185
386

560
292
225
389

467
244
251
542

376
217
228
460

377
182
205
448

395
193
179
399

384
200
199
369

390
190
198
399

370
200
191
395

347
183
200
394

Iceland
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

16
7
7
14

23
10
9
15

27
13
12
22

25
13
13
26

25
13
13
27

25
13
13
25

26
13
13
25

27
13
13
26

26
14
13
26

26
13
14
28

Ireland
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

318
150
141
245

351
170
142
212

372
173
164
277

417
202
199
345

421
210
201
359

403
208
206
344

362
204
205
368

327
181
196
384

335
166
171
392

356
170
166
350

Latvia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

203
109
101
204

185
91
93
209

209
104
100
200

207
99
108
237

211
107
101
224

219
104
110
221

234
104
99
204

186
118
108
196

126
87
111
217

116
59
73
210

Lithuania
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

285
149
147
288

287
137
140
279

354
169
148
265

324
165
174
350

317
165
163
351

329
157
164
332

336
159
152
315

302
167
160
291

238
148
163
316

186
113
134
318

Norway (20)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

297
124
121
264

371
189
165
266

372
184
179
377

386
200
190
372

334
194
201
387

308
163
184
402

332
155
157
365

365
170
160
323

372
187
180
334

361
192
200
374

Sweden
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

656
256
247
527

670
372
368
603

663
317
320
761

683
351
344
669

610
341
351
699

579
303
331
718

656
295
299
671

722
337
308
609

618
374
361
649

588
299
373
766

430

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

7 042
3 304
3 417
7 787

7 395
3 610
3 419
7 211

7 690
3 815
3 794
7 841

7 644
3 862
3 899
7 951

7 845
3 862
3 843
7 823

7 987
3 989
3 973
7 869

7 925
3 985
4 000
8 031

7 972
3 963
3 961
7 967

8 089
4 027
4 006
7 959

8 075
4 045
4 048
8 083

Northern Europe (17)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

9
5
5
10

9
4
5
10

9
4
4
9

9
5
5
9

9
4
4
9

9
5
4
9

10
5
5
9

10
5
5
10

10
5
5
10

10
5
5
10

Channel Islands (18)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

394
200
208
438

388
200
201
424

407
197
195
404

419
211
209
407

403
205
208
422

406
201
200
405

414
206
205
403

406
205
206
414

408
202
202
408

414
206
205
406

Denmark
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

89
38
36
84

96
46
40
74

89
47
48
95

75
39
42
92

84
40
38
76

84
43
43
82

76
39
41
85

80
39
38
77

82
41
41
79

78
40
41
82

Estonia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

358
175
178
396

371
182
177
360

380
191
190
376

369
188
191
388

377
186
185
378

388
194
192
379

385
194
195
392

388
193
193
388

396
197
196
388

395
198
198
395

Finland (19)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

28
13
13
29

29
14
13
27

31
15
15
30

30
15
16
31

31
15
15
31

32
16
16
31

32
16
16
32

32
16
16
32

33
16
16
32

33
16
16
33

Iceland
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

414
177
173
339

441
214
188
352

409
214
218
446

408
199
202
423

454
218
210
408

459
233
232
451

451
226
228
467

472
231
228
454

484
241
239
470

479
241
242
486

Ireland
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

133
58
55
141

144
67
61
111

137
72
72
139

110
59
65
141

121
56
54
112

123
63
62
117

110
58
60
125

114
55
54
112

118
59
58
111

112
57
59
118

Latvia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

188
88
100
256

206
95
86
193

209
107
104
198

172
95
101
211

174
83
82
179

186
92
90
169

169
89
92
185

166
82
83
173

176
87
85
164

169
87
88
175

Lithuania
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

366
181
190
404

382
188
183
386

407
199
198
395

421
212
211
417

430
214
215
436

451
223
221
439

462
231
230
456

465
232
233
467

474
235
234
468

477
238
238
472

Norway (20)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

667
307
289
735

702
346
328
616

742
370
364
735

713
368
379
769

752
366
362
739

780
390
387
757

768
389
393
792

781
386
385
779

802
399
395
780

793
399
401
801

Sweden
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

431

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

United Kingdom
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

4 239
1 988
1 907
3 997

4 784
2 573
2 246
4 048

5 407
2 405
2 281
5 010

4 913
2 784
2 842
5 205

4 198
2 399
2 664
5 663

4 244
2 062
2 254
5 228

4 554
2 157
2 035
4 475

4 605
2 302
2 216
4 208

4 355
2 317
2 368
4 745

4 138
2 172
2 303
5 001

Southern Europe (21)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

11 286
6 016
6 117
11 999

12 674
6 228
5 468
10 928

13 484
6 323
6 044
11 801

13 673
6 972
6 960
12 952

12 867
6 865
6 922
13 742

11 328
6 449
6 805
13 790

9 935
5 575
6 125
13 353

9 236
4 976
5 351
12 125

8 987
4 737
4 907
11 007

9 158
4 540
4 740
10 257

Albania
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

182
86
75
134

237
97
93
178

362
157
134
212

370
178
185
339

401
188
185
365

416
201
197
382

414
184
175
320

378
195
188
288

356
187
190
358

306
168
168
371

Bosnia and Herzegovina


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

354
213
198
353

485
200
153
359

510
252
244
402

431
234
247
494

400
212
223
484

420
211
218
453

321
160
159
319

292
180
176
333

264
140
173
356

233
135
130
328

Croatia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

368
213
219
432

460
217
173
372

385
207
222
435

363
183
189
407

375
182
182
377

384
189
184
363

358
195
196
377

313
170
183
376

296
156
162
359

261
148
153
324

Greece
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

820
480
475
895

877
433
372
842

846
429
400
779

875
471
440
847

852
434
465
894

827
455
452
938

726
435
477
981

666
373
426
986

640
332
353
861

638
322
328
725

Italy
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

4 715
2 530
2 430
4 774

4 916
2 531
2 221
4 523

5 308
2 389
2 264
4 725

5 327
2 776
2 777
5 001

4 622
2 698
2 761
5 538

3 768
2 260
2 589
5 501

3 380
1 855
2 077
5 036

3 298
1 692
1 778
4 118

3 276
1 718
1 710
3 660

3 363
1 678
1 760
3 646

Malta
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

36
19
17
32

52
22
13
29

38
20
20
42

28
14
17
38

34
15
14
34

36
18
16
29

36
18
18
33

34
18
18
37

30
17
18
37

25
15
16
37

Montenegro
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

56
29
27
46

68
29
23
51

69
35
35
57

62
32
34
67

62
30
30
61

63
31
31
59

64
32
32
61

55
32
31
60

50
26
30
60

49
25
24
57

Portugal
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

947
485
488
934

1 022
497
451
857

1 016
476
451
793

1 028
512
518
946

992
510
492
965

858
495
507
945

717
427
474
991

661
361
408
936

650
335
345
811

662
324
332
700

Serbia (22)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

649
387
410
840

941
419
324
697

792
417
464
895

839
403
399
816

879
421
409
800

907
442
430
825

923
475
468
903

832
452
464
920

715
398
423
887

702
349
378
835

Slovenia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............

152
79

180
84

161
80

168
82

176
85

169
90

152
85

129
77

114
64

108
57

432

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

4 386
2 057
2 164
4 944

4 619
2 248
2 130
4 648

4 861
2 393
2 379
5 004

4 908
2 464
2 473
5 053

5 001
2 471
2 464
5 023

5 059
2 526
2 521
5 019

5 039
2 527
2 530
5 075

5 047
2 516
2 516
5 052

5 098
2 540
2 530
5 040

5 106
2 553
2 552
5 096

United Kingdom
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

9 554
4 643
4 584
9 674

9 522
4 845
4 765
9 421

8 584
4 524
4 727
9 911

8 482
4 211
4 274
9 029

8 932
4 418
4 362
8 698

8 738
4 466
4 512
9 043

8 548
4 288
4 341
8 909

8 758
4 337
4 305
8 604

8 735
4 404
4 409
8 769

8 633
4 330
4 365
8 852

Southern Europe (21)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

258
150
162
330

239
124
139
310

218
115
117
230

181
98
103
213

155
81
84
177

144
74
75
149

128
67
69
139

118
60
61
126

115
58
58
116

111
56
57
115

Albania
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

201
112
130
264

186
100
104
250

166
85
89
191

151
80
82
166

136
71
73
154

131
66
67
137

125
64
65
130

120
61
62
126

118
59
59
120

116
59
59
118

Bosnia and Herzegovina


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

249
127
142
306

257
125
123
278

249
128
129
256

229
119
122
254

228
113
113
234

228
115
115
229

221
112
113
231

221
110
110
222

221
111
111
221

218
110
110
222

Croatia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

690
318
324
678

712
354
330
668

651
342
354
747

649
320
325
694

705
343
336
673

703
357
360
723

702
349
352
727

731
360
356
712

732
369
369
733

720
361
364
734

Greece
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 498
1 719
1 696
3 584

3 475
1 778
1 757
3 471

3 220
1 671
1 736
3 623

3 241
1 615
1 628
3 365

3 390
1 683
1 669
3 333

3 394
1 718
1 727
3 462

3 387
1 696
1 709
3 473

3 478
1 725
1 716
3 434

3 519
1 763
1 761
3 508

3 531
1 768
1 780
3 607

Italy
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

23
12
14
33

23
12
12
28

23
12
12
24

22
11
12
24

21
11
11
23

22
11
11
22

23
11
11
23

23
11
11
24

24
12
12
24

25
12
12
25

Malta
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

47
24
25
49

46
24
24
49

41
21
22
46

38
19
20
42

37
19
19
38

35
18
18
37

34
17
17
35

33
17
17
34

33
16
17
33

32
16
16
33

Montenegro
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

639
336
327
667

579
317
335
663

486
257
275
608

488
241
241
500

478
246
247
490

439
227
234
486

436
216
217
445

435
220
219
433

418
213
216
437

415
207
207
420

Portugal
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

690
355
343
745

651
342
355
693

572
301
315
664

538
273
279
583

518
265
267
540

486
249
255
522

472
238
240
490

464
234
235
473

451
228
230
466

446
223
224
453

Serbia (22)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

116
53

123
60

116
61

108
55

117
56

119
60

116
58

120
59

122
61

119
60

Slovenia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

433

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Population aged 15-17 ...............


Population aged 18-23 ...............

81
163

74
147

88
176

84
173

83
170

87
169

90
177

82
179

73
164

60
146

Spain (23)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2 848
1 417
1 617
3 253

3 227
1 604
1 493
2 727

3 786
1 755
1 618
3 094

3 972
1 980
1 964
3 613

3 866
1 992
1 977
3 854

3 270
1 954
1 995
3 927

2 639
1 604
1 853
3 957

2 382
1 326
1 492
3 684

2 420
1 268
1 330
3 246

2 657
1 232
1 295
2 890

TFYR Macedonia (24)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

155
78
78
140

206
91
75
142

203
101
100
183

202
103
101
202

200
96
97
191

203
100
95
189

196
101
100
189

187
97
100
198

168
94
95
198

146
82
90
190

Western Europe (25)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

12 694
6 784
6 247
12 357

14 205
6 735
6 273
13 362

16 325
7 581
7 435
14 380

14 306
8 280
8 569
16 287

12 300
7 003
7 938
17 095

12 346
6 104
6 704
16 020

13 203
6 411
6 297
13 573

12 654
6 770
6 635
13 022

12 205
6 311
6 786
13 751

11 969
6 159
6 229
13 656

Austria
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

657
293
273
573

578
309
332
608

751
333
301
597

642
381
396
737

535
314
363
791

543
265
294
726

565
289
273
614

569
283
294
565

538
298
294
619

500
268
298
621

Belgium
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

650
350
369
771

856
410
334
664

925
451
436
873

832
448
469
943

763
416
436
934

726
376
400
865

714
367
370
799

708
359
367
749

699
366
367
759

714
354
369
760

France
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

3 216
1 737
1 858
3 831

4 911
2 348
1 737
3 326

5 087
2 493
2 473
5 124

5 057
2 552
2 612
5 103

4 635
2 581
2 581
5 177

4 559
2 271
2 531
5 147

4 622
2 323
2 243
4 873

4 429
2 336
2 375
4 528

4 418
2 233
2 341
4 757

4 558
2 217
2 224
4 731

Germany
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

6 676
3 726
3 045
5 776

5 966
2 706
3 047
7 290

7 510
3 335
3 283
5 759

5 859
3 835
4 019
7 445

4 757
2 740
3 518
8 017

4 985
2 399
2 574
7 183

5 662
2 638
2 626
5 447

5 209
2 953
2 773
5 537

4 818
2 523
2 915
5 890

4 483
2 449
2 430
5 755

Luxembourg
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

24
12
14
29

26
12
12
25

31
15
15
28

28
16
17
34

25
13
15
35

26
13
13
32

29
13
13
29

33
15
15
30

35
17
16
31

36
19
18
36

Netherlands
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 053
484
490
960

1 366
692
569
982

1 433
681
658
1 399

1 356
745
752
1 453

1 132
677
730
1 522

1 054
553
640
1 472

1 117
539
535
1 287

1 190
570
559
1 119

1 195
607
591
1 165

1 210
594
613
1 202

Switzerland
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

415
181
197
414

500
256
240
465

585
270
268
596

528
300
303
566

450
260
292
614

449
226
250
590

490
240
234
519

512
251
251
490

498
265
260
525

463
255
276
547

Latin America and Caribbean


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

24 737
11 072
10 177
18 616

34 755
14 352
12 902
22 739

47 163
20 370
18 549
30 506

55 248
25 672
24 555
42 672

59 589
27 499
26 014
47 979

63 627
29 747
28 087
51 291

65 582
31 750
30 287
55 334

66 229
32 558
31 940
59 659

66 405
32 826
32 276
62 182

66 609
32 974
32 653
63 298

434

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

56
123

55
114

62
127

57
123

55
113

60
119

59
123

58
118

61
120

61
122

Population aged 15-17


Population aged 18-23

2 998
1 361
1 283
2 709

3 092
1 537
1 457
2 734

2 716
1 464
1 546
3 253

2 719
1 317
1 344
2 933

3 034
1 473
1 430
2 802

2 926
1 515
1 534
3 042

2 799
1 405
1 434
2 981

2 910
1 428
1 407
2 795

2 879
1 461
1 463
2 887

2 798
1 407
1 423
2 899

Spain (23)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

136
72
78
177

130
68
69
153

117
61
63
133

107
56
57
119

101
51
52
109

97
49
50
101

93
47
48
98

91
46
46
94

89
45
45
91

88
44
44
89

TFYR Macedonia (24)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

11 797
5 979
6 148
12 683

11 814
5 928
5 999
12 519

12 072
6 025
6 016
12 232

12 068
6 060
6 124
12 480

12 284
6 102
6 127
12 494

12 652
6 270
6 252
12 570

12 816
6 401
6 409
12 849

12 938
6 445
6 451
12 975

13 115
6 526
6 507
13 000

13 169
6 582
6 572
13 094

Western Europe (25)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

482
253
261
601

459
244
253
540

461
229
232
499

466
238
240
487

462
234
238
499

477
237
237
488

491
246
245
493

490
247
248
504

494
246
246
497

496
248
248
494

Austria
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

746
363
356
744

755
380
372
728

756
381
383
780

767
383
385
779

804
397
394
788

822
412
411
818

833
416
416
837

852
423
421
841

864
431
430
854

863
432
432
863

Belgium
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

4 737
2 296
2 268
4 587

4 779
2 391
2 358
4 669

4 779
2 397
2 411
4 952

4 880
2 406
2 420
4 949

5 095
2 514
2 498
5 010

5 169
2 578
2 584
5 194

5 241
2 603
2 606
5 253

5 358
2 657
2 645
5 284

5 404
2 698
2 695
5 373

5 426
2 705
2 703
5 403

France
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

4 179
2 198
2 392
4 923

4 218
2 088
2 148
4 807

4 430
2 207
2 177
4 344

4 281
2 189
2 237
4 596

4 298
2 128
2 155
4 483

4 543
2 229
2 202
4 405

4 565
2 298
2 307
4 611

4 566
2 275
2 288
4 648

4 685
2 318
2 301
4 590

4 688
2 354
2 352
4 667

Germany
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

37
19
20
41

39
19
20
44

44
22
22
43

47
23
23
47

47
24
24
48

48
24
24
48

49
24
24
48

49
24
24
49

49
24
24
49

49
25
24
49

Luxembourg
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 159
616
600
1 229

1 095
573
614
1 224

1 114
548
551
1 136

1 158
576
572
1 130

1 129
578
587
1 182

1 126
560
565
1 161

1 166
577
572
1 137

1 162
586
588
1 172

1 151
576
579
1 172

1 172
580
577
1 150

Netherlands
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

453
232
249
554

465
230
231
502

483
240
239
475

465
241
244
488

445
224
229
479

463
228
226
451

466
235
235
465

457
230
233
472

464
230
229
460

469
234
233
462

Switzerland
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

64 846
33 202
32 884
64 314

63 141
32 014
32 765
64 887

60 073
30 682
31 016
62 158

55 824
28 748
29 284
59 569

52 096
26 703
27 162
55 575

49 138
25 139
25 506
52 042

46 862
23 862
24 174
49 336

45 206
22 928
23 157
47 046

43 887
22 202
22 390
45 336

42 886
21 634
21 775
43 976

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

Latin America and Caribbean


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

435

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Caribbean (26)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

2 559
1 157
1 049
1 837

3 187
1 350
1 240
2 181

4 148
1 718
1 591
2 590

4 384
2 167
2 125
3 450

4 179
2 175
2 133
4 009

4 332
2 013
2 091
4 045

4 634
2 164
1 998
3 952

4 683
2 306
2 198
3 859

4 579
2 300
2 288
4 230

4 436
2 253
2 241
4 378

Aruba
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

6
3
2
4

9
4
3
5

9
4
4
7

6
4
4
8

5
3
3
8

6
3
3
5

7
3
3
6

9
4
4
6

9
5
4
8

8
5
5
9

Bahamas
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

12
5
5
8

18
7
6
11

31
12
10
17

32
15
16
28

31
16
15
32

34
15
16
31

34
17
15
32

36
17
17
29

35
18
18
35

30
17
19
36

Barbados
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

26
13
12
21

34
15
13
20

38
18
16
26

31
16
17
32

27
16
15
32

25
13
15
30

24
12
14
27

24
12
12
23

23
12
12
24

19
11
12
24

Cuba
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

841
388
351
629

997
433
423
790

1 310
477
503
873

1 384
717
734
1 083

1 056
692
693
1 401

906
486
632
1 374

1 027
448
433
1 178

1 001
525
465
859

888
486
525
930

820
432
453
993

Dominican Rep.
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

388
180
164
275

574
219
188
338

831
355
306
460

963
448
419
718

1 009
473
449
809

1 084
495
472
868

1 154
538
499
912

1 205
569
543
972

1 208
598
569
1 051

1 225
591
590
1 108

Grenada
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

13
5
4
7

16
6
5
8

21
9
7
9

14
7
7
11

14
7
7
14

14
6
6
10

16
7
6
11

15
8
7
12

13
7
8
14

11
6
6
15

Guadeloupe (27)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

29
13
12
21

46
19
15
24

54
25
23
36

47
26
25
40

44
23
25
42

41
21
25
44

42
21
22
38

43
21
21
34

44
23
21
32

41
22
22
37

Haiti
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

489
222
201
346

577
241
237
432

755
329
302
486

863
405
379
648

974
420
402
726

1 197
479
427
770

1 323
607
515
836

1 368
651
631
1 025

1 412
674
649
1 216

1 420
695
668
1 248

Jamaica
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

193
89
88
152

247
100
90
157

352
140
106
162

348
169
154
255

330
173
170
299

330
153
156
294

332
160
148
286

341
161
154
272

357
163
153
271

321
182
165
287

Martinique
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

29
14
13
23

47
18
16
29

53
24
22
34

42
25
26
42

38
21
23
42

34
18
22
41

36
18
19
33

37
19
18
28

34
19
19
31

32
17
17
35

436

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

4 317
2 177
2 190
4 312

4 223
2 127
2 119
4 214

4 001
2 031
2 034
4 025

3 691
1 898
1 919
3 839

3 389
1 740
1 760
3 558

3 143
1 617
1 646
3 359

2 977
1 519
1 541
3 156

2 850
1 451
1 468
2 990

2 749
1 394
1 408
2 862

2 676
1 352
1 362
2 757

Caribbean (26)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

7
4
5
10

7
4
4
9

7
4
4
7

7
4
4
7

6
3
3
7

6
3
3
6

6
3
3
6

6
3
3
6

6
3
3
6

6
3
3
6

Aruba
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

29
14
16
37

31
15
14
32

31
16
16
32

29
15
16
32

28
14
15
30

29
14
14
29

28
14
14
29

28
14
14
29

28
14
14
28

28
14
14
29

Bahamas
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

17
9
11
24

18
9
8
21

17
9
9
17

16
8
9
17

16
8
8
17

15
8
8
16

15
8
8
15

15
8
8
15

15
7
7
15

15
7
7
15

Barbados
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

711
407
413
876

630
342
384
807

579
295
303
633

530
278
284
576

488
251
257
539

472
239
241
492

455
231
234
474

443
223
225
458

437
220
220
444

431
217
218
438

Cuba
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 251
607
582
1 137

1 245
617
603
1 136

1 180
598
598
1 178

1 095
559
562
1 123

990
511
517
1 043

897
465
476
979

842
431
438
904

798
408
414
847

764
388
393
802

740
375
378
766

Dominican Rep.
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

11
5
6
12

12
6
5
11

10
6
6
10

7
4
4
9

6
3
3
7

5
3
3
6

5
2
3
6

5
2
2
5

5
2
2
5

5
2
2
5

Grenada
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

41
20
21
37

39
21
19
35

37
18
18
32

34
18
17
29

32
16
16
27

29
15
15
30

28
14
14
29

28
14
14
28

28
14
14
28

27
14
14
28

Guadeloupe (27)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 434
695
686
1 292

1 449
708
686
1 323

1 431
714
705
1 363

1 355
687
689
1 361

1 262
644
649
1 297

1 174
603
613
1 245

1 104
565
573
1 175

1 046
534
542
1 107

998
508
514
1 049

961
487
492
1 000

Haiti
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

291
152
173
314

282
144
139
312

261
134
132
254

217
117
120
234

181
95
97
193

158
82
85
175

151
76
77
157

145
74
75
151

140
71
71
146

138
69
70
140

Jamaica
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

31
16
16
32

29
15
15
29

26
13
13
26

24
13
12
23

22
11
11
21

20
10
10
21

20
10
10
20

20
10
10
20

19
10
10
19

19
10
10
19

Martinique
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

437

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Netherlands Antilles (28)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

14
6
6
12

21
9
7
12

24
13
11
19

22
11
12
22

21
10
11
19

20
9
10
18

19
9
9
16

19
9
8
12

17
9
9
13

17
8
7
14

Puerto Rico
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

366
158
137
241

395
189
161
231

409
198
182
302

398
204
207
352

401
207
208
361

390
205
200
359

366
195
204
376

367
184
189
369

349
180
183
358

314
173
179
346

St. Lucia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

13
6
5
10

15
7
6
9

21
8
7
9

21
10
9
14

22
10
9
15

20
10
9
16

21
10
9
16

21
11
10
18

19
11
11
20

18
10
10
21

St. Vincent and the Grenadines


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

12
5
4
6

15
6
5
8

18
8
6
10

18
8
8
13

17
8
8
14

17
8
7
13

15
8
7
13

14
7
7
13

13
7
6
13

12
6
6
12

Trinidad and Tobago


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

95
37
33
61

137
60
51
84

176
76
68
110

143
74
81
144

148
71
70
153

172
72
70
131

175
89
76
136

140
87
91
154

113
67
80
175

107
55
60
151

US Virgin Islands
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

4
2
1
2

5
2
2
3

9
4
3
7

14
8
7
9

12
7
7
11

12
6
6
10

11
6
5
9

12
6
6
8

10
6
5
9

9
5
5
10

Central America
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

5 906
2 514
2 385
4 249

8 638
3 400
3 137
5 271

12 197
5 245
4 652
7 153

16 038
6 934
6 297
10 681

17 144
7 973
7 103
11 996

17 609
8 413
8 087
13 850

18 229
8 621
8 281
15 413

19 129
8 964
8 570
15 971

19 008
9 503
8 885
16 235

19 167
9 334
9 444
17 343

Belize
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

9
4
4
8

15
6
5
9

22
10
8
13

26
12
11
17

28
13
12
21

32
13
13
23

37
16
14
25

41
18
17
28

44
21
19
35

43
22
22
39

Costa Rica
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

133
58
53
98

220
83
72
123

331
138
125
192

331
174
178
312

363
165
172
357

426
186
170
345

488
220
203
358

502
258
242
435

485
254
266
505

474
247
254
539

El Salvador
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

352
158
143
238

455
185
170
292

655
277
247
395

813
356
316
509

869
388
346
560

872
402
369
625

896
406
378
660

922
420
383
670

919
450
418
706

794
452
443
782

Guatemala
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

488
218
208
368

711
299
254
438

900
389
364
623

1 186
505
458
756

1 370
584
522
863

1 558
675
606
986

1 703
768
695
1 138

1 902
830
780
1 311

2 118
947
854
1 488

2 333
1 054
984
1 681

Honduras
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............

222
100

331
132

470
197

634
279

734
314

851
367

951
422

1 043
466

1 092
517

1 102
539

438

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

17
8
6
10

16
8
6
8

14
7
7
11

11
6
6
12

11
5
5
9

11
6
6
11

9
5
5
11

10
5
5
9

10
5
5
10

10
5
5
10

Netherlands Antilles (28)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

296
152
167
342

285
148
148
318

254
133
138
286

228
119
123
257

214
110
112
231

203
104
106
216

195
99
100
205

189
96
97
196

185
93
94
190

182
92
92
186

Puerto Rico
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

18
9
9
20

18
9
8
18

16
8
9
18

14
7
8
16

13
6
7
14

12
6
6
13

11
6
6
12

11
5
5
11

10
5
5
11

10
5
5
10

St. Lucia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

11
6
6
12

10
5
5
11

9
5
5
10

8
4
4
9

7
4
4
8

7
4
4
7

7
3
3
7

6
3
3
7

6
3
3
6

6
3
3
6

111
53
53
115

112
56
53
103

92
51
54
108

81
41
43
95

81
41
40
80

74
39
40
81

72
36
36
76

71
36
36
72

69
35
35
72

68
34
34
69

Trinidad and Tobago


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

8
4
4
10

8
4
4
8

7
4
4
7

6
3
3
7

5
3
3
6

5
3
3
5

5
3
3
5

5
3
3
5

5
2
2
5

5
2
2
5

US Virgin Islands
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

19 350
9 531
9 257
18 280

19 082
9 576
9 519
18 177

18 185
9 231
9 290
18 522

17 098
8 726
8 832
17 793

16 034
8 184
8 299
16 804

15 149
7 725
7 812
15 836

14 494
7 362
7 448
15 153

14 038
7 110
7 171
14 536

13 639
6 901
6 958
14 077

13 313
6 719
6 767
13 674

Central America
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

43
21
22
43

45
22
21
43

48
24
23
44

45
23
23
47

43
22
22
45

41
21
21
43

38
20
20
41

37
19
19
39

35
18
18
37

34
17
17
35

Belize
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

451
242
247
518

443
225
239
501

416
219
225
452

373
196
203
429

350
179
183
382

332
170
173
354

317
161
164
335

308
156
157
319

301
152
153
309

296
149
150
302

Costa Rica
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

722
374
422
836

724
356
348
782

688
355
355
687

601
315
326
672

539
279
285
587

493
255
261
535

461
236
241
495

439
224
227
462

423
215
217
440

412
208
210
423

El Salvador
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 522
1 174
1 094
1 955

2 718
1 259
1 208
2 182

3 087
1 463
1 400
2 573

3 324
1 608
1 566
2 966

3 485
1 704
1 673
3 226

3 561
1 766
1 750
3 421

3 559
1 781
1 778
3 527

3 498
1 763
1 771
3 543

3 403
1 723
1 735
3 494

3 300
1 671
1 686
3 407

Guatemala
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 129
546

1 171
561

1 198
595

1 160
586

1 101
561

1 033
530

967
497

911
467

866
442

831
422

Honduras
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

St. Vincent and the Grenadines


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

439

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Population aged 15-17 ...............


Population aged 18-23 ...............

93
160

117
207

176
280

248
413

291
493

327
571

382
642

431
740

477
841

526
949

Mexico
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

4 360
1 829
1 749
3 135

6 428
2 515
2 344
3 897

9 135
3 930
3 464
5 251

12 162
5 223
4 737
8 058

12 797
6 071
5 363
9 019

12 793
6 289
6 158
10 535

13 004
6 251
6 118
11 722

13 510
6 407
6 175
11 831

13 130
6 716
6 289
11 622

13 227
6 423
6 626
12 264

Nicaragua
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

213
93
86
152

300
105
107
189

432
196
173
239

569
239
216
387

661
280
246
415

746
321
285
464

796
371
331
549

841
386
371
633

832
414
380
694

786
401
403
725

Panama
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

129
54
50
89

179
76
69
116

252
107
95
161

317
146
134
229

322
159
152
268

330
159
160
301

354
166
160
318

368
179
170
323

388
183
182
343

408
196
187
364

South America (29)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

16 272
7 401
6 744
12 531

22 929
9 601
8 525
15 288

30 819
13 407
12 306
20 762

34 826
16 571
16 133
28 541

38 266
17 351
16 778
31 975

41 685
19 321
17 910
33 396

42 720
20 965
20 008
35 969

42 416
21 288
21 173
39 829

42 818
21 023
21 104
41 718

43 005
21 387
20 968
41 577

Argentina
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 992
939
938
1 899

2 498
1 138
1 061
1 987

2 758
1 337
1 309
2 432

3 201
1 445
1 401
2 687

3 814
1 613
1 503
2 829

3 987
1 980
1 739
3 051

4 006
1 964
2 034
3 562

4 147
2 011
1 949
3 986

4 114
2 065
2 029
3 897

3 969
2 040
2 056
4 028

Bolivia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

404
185
170
309

519
225
203
362

665
294
267
459

869
373
342
600

949
432
386
665

1 036
465
442
760

1 156
512
473
859

1 301
571
527
930

1 376
648
591
1 035

1 428
673
657
1 163

Brazil
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

8 175
3 785
3 318
6 162

11 699
4 844
4 245
7 788

16 039
6 912
6 324
10 600

17 628
8 455
8 407
14 882

19 417
8 800
8 512
16 626

21 472
9 787
9 090
16 991

21 391
10 888
10 216
18 294

20 155
10 601
10 942
20 497

20 456
9 917
10 275
21 403

20 817
10 291
9 875
20 173

Chile
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

846
360
350
655

1 102
480
452
760

1 552
680
594
1 007

1 502
760
790
1 446

1 424
754
745
1 545

1 512
693
737
1 487

1 712
772
704
1 457

1 793
867
816
1 443

1 659
905
891
1 646

1 508
814
884
1 783

Colombia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 822
792
731
1 292

2 784
1 130
964
1 600

3 765
1 624
1 488
2 428

4 229
2 119
1 978
3 400

4 463
2 067
2 123
3 920

4 791
2 254
2 082
4 119

5 000
2 389
2 312
4 145

5 225
2 497
2 422
4 562

5 296
2 622
2 534
4 799

5 286
2 635
2 634
5 034

Ecuador
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

493
218
200
350

714
277
255
452

988
428
396
626

1 300
578
527
911

1 453
653
607
1 064

1 578
732
683
1 222

1 646
792
756
1 365

1 670
820
798
1 469

1 724
830
822
1 571

1 760
864
835
1 614

French Guiana
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

3
1
1
3

5
2
1
2

7
3
3
5

10
4
4
8

12
6
5
10

15
7
6
11

18
8
8
13

23
10
8
15

28
13
11
19

31
14
14
24

440

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

540
1 041

547
1 068

587
1 127

588
1 174

566
1 144

539
1 100

506
1 039

475
974

449
917

427
871

Population aged 15-17


Population aged 18-23

13 279
6 588
6 347
12 738

12 776
6 555
6 578
12 459

11 600
5 993
6 120
12 484

10 534
5 453
5 575
11 398

9 549
4 941
5 065
10 395

8 798
4 522
4 599
9 423

8 314
4 237
4 303
8 820

8 046
4 075
4 110
8 356

7 839
3 960
3 991
8 077

7 691
3 872
3 895
7 862

Mexico
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

791
381
385
771

794
391
373
739

739
378
377
741

663
342
345
697

587
303
307
623

527
274
281
577

489
251
256
529

463
237
240
492

443
225
228
465

429
217
219
445

Nicaragua
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

414
205
201
377

411
207
207
402

409
205
205
413

399
203
204
409

380
195
198
403

365
186
188
384

350
178
180
367

337
171
173
352

328
166
167
338

321
162
163
329

Panama
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

41 178
21 493
21 437
41 721

39 836
20 311
21 127
42 496

37 887
19 419
19 692
39 611

35 035
18 125
18 534
37 938

32 673
16 780
17 103
35 213

30 846
15 797
16 048
32 847

29 390
14 981
15 185
31 027

28 318
14 367
14 517
29 521

27 499
13 907
14 024
28 397

26 897
13 563
13 646
27 545

South America (29)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 996
1 960
2 007
4 074

4 068
2 004
1 954
3 974

3 943
2 013
2 030
4 032

3 751
1 911
1 941
3 970

3 626
1 839
1 856
3 770

3 486
1 776
1 796
3 640

3 358
1 704
1 722
3 508

3 266
1 651
1 664
3 372

3 193
1 612
1 622
3 276

3 133
1 578
1 587
3 202

Argentina
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 446
709
676
1 278

1 473
711
709
1 333

1 563
760
742
1 413

1 596
790
782
1 521

1 591
796
794
1 572

1 557
786
789
1 578

1 502
762
769
1 553

1 439
732
741
1 503

1 379
701
710
1 443

1 325
673
681
1 383

Bolivia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

18 900
10 466
10 416
19 811

17 511
9 194
10 124
20 672

16 199
8 414
8 627
17 568

14 460
7 605
7 871
16 327

13 232
6 839
7 012
14 639

12 420
6 377
6 487
13 337

11 808
6 022
6 108
12 506

11 393
5 775
5 833
11 860

11 094
5 602
5 646
11 418

10 887
5 481
5 511
11 102

Brazil
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 465
748
778
1 737

1 463
732
737
1 551

1 405
723
731
1 465

1 288
670
690
1 427

1 223
622
633
1 312

1 182
601
606
1 231

1 132
577
584
1 189

1 102
556
560
1 139

1 082
545
548
1 104

1 066
536
538
1 084

Chile
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

5 346
2 631
2 622
5 197

5 319
2 675
2 633
5 186

5 054
2 586
2 614
5 264

4 730
2 431
2 472
5 034

4 418
2 270
2 311
4 721

4 157
2 130
2 167
4 433

3 971
2 021
2 047
4 176

3 833
1 942
1 963
3 981

3 728
1 885
1 899
3 837

3 656
1 842
1 851
3 730

Colombia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 757
877
869
1 650

1 737
875
872
1 708

1 660
847
854
1 703

1 542
797
810
1 637

1 411
733
748
1 529

1 299
672
687
1 419

1 225
626
636
1 309

1 168
595
603
1 231

1 125
570
577
1 173

1 094
553
557
1 127

Ecuador
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

32
16
15
28

34
16
16
31

41
19
18
34

46
22
22
41

49
24
24
47

53
26
25
49

53
27
27
52

53
26
26
53

53
27
27
53

52
26
27
53

French Guiana
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

441

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Guyana
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

57
26
24
43

102
39
33
53

136
58
50
76

127
63
60
100

112
58
55
98

97
53
51
95

99
52
49
92

109
46
41
78

115
48
42
78

114
58
50
77

Paraguay
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

263
112
93
165

352
142
121
196

442
193
175
273

513
243
219
373

573
251
245
433

684
287
259
479

765
348
307
518

807
383
366
619

838
404
391
724

860
418
408
776

Peru
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 153
521
482
830

1 549
649
594
1 063

2 178
925
835
1 391

2 763
1 247
1 161
1 988

3 057
1 384
1 295
2 317

3 224
1 538
1 434
2 577

3 379
1 595
1 563
2 846

3 522
1 687
1 610
3 064

3 533
1 750
1 698
3 149

3 482
1 743
1 734
3 296

Suriname
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

30
14
13
23

50
19
15
26

73
31
26
37

60
30
30
48

50
27
26
51

55
23
26
51

57
28
24
49

55
28
29
49

59
27
28
56

62
30
27
54

Uruguay
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

243
120
120
237

273
130
124
241

316
148
138
259

309
143
149
277

333
155
142
278

319
167
160
284

315
155
165
318

330
157
152
320

321
162
157
292

305
157
160
307

Venezuela
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

793
328
305
565

1 282
525
455
758

1 900
775
702
1 169

2 314
1 111
1 065
1 822

2 608
1 151
1 132
2 140

2 916
1 333
1 202
2 269

3 176
1 462
1 397
2 452

3 278
1 609
1 514
2 796

3 300
1 634
1 635
3 050

3 384
1 649
1 633
3 248

Northern America (30)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

17 083
7 442
7 304
15 610

24 903
11 064
9 525
15 941

27 936
13 988
13 238
23 720

22 775
12 651
14 000
29 094

22 662
11 701
12 227
27 737

23 930
11 601
11 803
25 144

25 699
12 694
12 382
24 054

27 199
13 591
13 519
25 849

26 342
13 988
13 930
27 988

26 640
13 093
14 225
28 853

Canada
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 496
660
645
1 319

2 341
1 006
862
1 504

2 852
1 383
1 297
2 393

2 203
1 221
1 422
2 949

2 178
1 113
1 159
2 849

2 288
1 125
1 150
2 450

2 394
1 197
1 189
2 391

2 469
1 229
1 240
2 475

2 332
1 304
1 293
2 616

2 158
1 188
1 335
2 786

United States of America


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

15 579
6 778
6 654
14 284

22 550
10 053
8 659
14 428

25 068
12 599
11 936
21 316

20 560
11 423
12 570
26 130

20 474
10 582
11 061
24 873

21 632
10 471
10 648
22 681

23 294
11 491
11 188
21 654

24 718
12 356
12 273
23 365

23 999
12 678
12 631
25 362

24 472
11 899
12 885
26 057

Oceania
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

1 384
600
568
1 192

2 038
926
791
1 361

2 516
1 183
1 108
2 072

2 783
1 314
1 313
2 470

2 771
1 440
1 357
2 630

2 832
1 389
1 465
2 762

2 989
1 449
1 398
2 886

3 181
1 516
1 495
2 819

3 324
1 625
1 571
3 078

3 430
1 706
1 695
3 409

Australia/New Zealand
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

992
425
405
897

1 530
712
596
1 018

1 859
890
841
1 626

1 917
948
975
1 882

1 806
1 000
972
1 961

1 799
912
1 007
1 994

1 889
932
915
1 996

1 983
972
971
1 865

1 993
1 034
1 022
2 061

1 987
1 033
1 077
2 315

442

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

85
56
58
95

71
39
49
107

72
35
34
64

64
35
35
65

50
27
29
61

50
24
24
51

49
25
25
49

45
23
24
50

45
22
22
46

45
23
23
45

Guyana
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

876
430
421
811

910
436
431
836

946
469
461
878

927
467
469
930

901
455
457
918

865
441
445
898

824
421
426
868

787
401
406
828

755
384
389
791

728
369
373
758

Paraguay
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 443
1 723
1 727
3 411

3 389
1 710
1 709
3 408

3 244
1 643
1 658
3 354

3 034
1 559
1 584
3 214

2 773
1 432
1 468
3 026

2 580
1 325
1 352
2 788

2 438
1 247
1 266
2 597

2 332
1 188
1 202
2 453

2 249
1 140
1 152
2 344

2 194
1 107
1 115
2 256

Peru
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

58
31
31
53

55
28
29
59

52
26
26
52

48
25
25
50

43
22
23
46

40
21
21
43

39
20
20
40

37
19
19
39

36
18
18
37

35
18
18
36

Suriname
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

294
151
154
314

289
146
148
304

278
141
142
286

262
134
136
276

246
126
128
261

237
120
121
247

229
116
117
238

224
113
114
230

219
110
111
224

216
109
109
220

Uruguay
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 480
1 696
1 662
3 262

3 518
1 745
1 715
3 326

3 431
1 742
1 754
3 497

3 287
1 677
1 697
3 444

3 108
1 596
1 622
3 310

2 920
1 499
1 527
3 134

2 762
1 414
1 437
2 941

2 638
1 344
1 361
2 780

2 539
1 289
1 303
2 649

2 467
1 247
1 258
2 548

Venezuela
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

28 484
13 811
13 464
29 104

29 060
14 671
14 552
28 257

30 298
15 184
15 199
31 119

31 215
15 627
15 860
32 241

33 066
16 410
16 411
33 079

34 263
17 111
17 175
34 430

35 009
17 486
17 555
35 283

35 863
17 825
17 807
35 674

36 424
18 166
18 136
36 141

36 599
18 260
18 240
36 412

Northern America (30)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 288
1 109
1 182
2 781

2 452
1 204
1 163
2 507

2 636
1 326
1 328
2 699

2 635
1 362
1 401
2 905

2 804
1 382
1 394
2 927

3 011
1 498
1 492
2 984

3 035
1 538
1 556
3 151

3 078
1 533
1 543
3 149

3 166
1 574
1 565
3 124

3 147
1 584
1 587
3 167

Canada
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

26 186
12 697
12 277
26 312

26 598
13 463
13 384
25 741

27 653
13 853
13 867
28 412

28 572
14 262
14 455
29 327

30 254
15 023
15 013
30 144

31 244
15 609
15 680
31 439

31 966
15 944
15 995
32 123

32 776
16 287
16 260
32 517

33 251
16 588
16 566
33 008

33 444
16 673
16 649
33 237

United States of America


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

3 680
1 746
1 758
3 528

3 931
1 892
1 815
3 617

4 211
2 077
2 055
4 024

4 331
2 159
2 161
4 301

4 505
2 219
2 203
4 398

4 618
2 305
2 292
4 530

4 593
2 310
2 321
4 656

4 598
2 297
2 300
4 629

4 599
2 306
2 306
4 606

4 527
2 281
2 292
4 603

Oceania
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

2 153
1 025
1 064
2 290

2 344
1 126
1 079
2 239

2 505
1 256
1 254
2 481

2 516
1 274
1 295
2 640

2 649
1 298
1 290
2 616

2 752
1 373
1 364
2 688

2 740
1 380
1 389
2 797

2 791
1 382
1 379
2 776

2 852
1 419
1 410
2 793

2 837
1 424
1 427
2 848

Australia/New Zealand
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

443

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Australia (31)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

793
340
325
732

1 230
573
481
828

1 496
716
680
1 337

1 559
765
784
1 543

1 483
818
790
1 605

1 496
754
831
1 656

1 555
775
754
1 657

1 622
799
802
1 555

1 633
844
837
1 707

1 643
853
886
1 930

New Zealand
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

199
85
80
165

300
138
115
190

364
175
161
289

359
183
191
339

323
182
182
356

303
158
176
337

334
157
161
339

360
173
169
310

360
190
185
354

345
181
191
385

Melanesia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

332
149
139
247

424
181
166
290

540
243
223
375

742
306
282
492

839
380
324
558

894
413
396
652

948
449
422
778

1 044
470
456
838

1 177
517
477
893

1 290
596
546
963

Fiji
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

50
21
19
32

70
30
26
43

91
43
37
62

94
47
46
83

107
47
44
89

111
49
45
81

111
55
51
87

113
53
54
98

98
48
46
94

96
47
49
94

New Caledonia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

9
4
4
7

11
5
5
8

15
7
6
11

21
9
9
16

22
11
10
17

22
11
12
19

22
11
11
22

24
11
12
22

26
13
12
23

25
13
13
24

Papua New Guinea


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

250
115
107
193

314
134
124
220

393
175
163
275

567
225
205
356

639
292
245
409

683
317
308
501

728
343
323
606

812
362
350
646

948
408
375
696

1 051
482
433
755

Solomon Islands
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

15
6
6
10

19
8
8
13

26
12
11
17

40
16
15
24

49
21
17
29

54
25
22
35

58
27
26
45

66
29
27
51

73
33
31
55

82
37
34
62

Vanuatu
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

8
3
3
5

11
5
4
7

15
6
6
9

20
9
8
13

22
10
8
14

25
11
9
15

28
13
11
18

30
13
13
21

33
15
14
25

36
17
16
28

Micronesia (32)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

18
8
9
22

30
12
10
19

41
18
16
29

48
22
20
36

52
24
23
44

59
26
24
49

65
30
26
47

65
31
30
51

67
32
30
55

67
33
31
57

Guam
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

5
3
4
13

10
4
3
8

14
6
5
12

15
7
7
13

15
7
7
15

15
7
7
17

17
7
7
14

19
8
8
14

20
10
9
16

20
10
10
18

Micronesia (Fed. States of)


Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

5
2
2
3

8
3
3
5

11
5
4
6

14
6
5
8

15
7
6
10

17
7
7
11

19
9
8
12

17
9
8
13

17
8
8
15

16
8
8
15

444

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

1 783
852
885
1 905

1 953
935
900
1 878

2 096
1 053
1 054
2 083

2 112
1 069
1 088
2 227

2 235
1 095
1 088
2 207

2 327
1 162
1 154
2 276

2 319
1 167
1 177
2 372

2 365
1 171
1 168
2 353

2 418
1 204
1 196
2 369

2 405
1 207
1 210
2 416

Australia (31)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

370
174
178
384

391
191
179
361

408
202
200
398

403
205
207
413

414
204
202
408

425
212
210
412

422
212
213
425

426
211
211
423

434
216
214
424

433
217
217
432

New Zealand
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 380
646
618
1 098

1 444
694
662
1 232

1 562
750
730
1 407

1 673
814
794
1 524

1 722
853
844
1 645

1 738
866
863
1 708

1 724
867
867
1 731

1 681
851
857
1 724

1 627
825
833
1 687

1 571
798
806
1 634

Melanesia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

102
47
46
93

104
51
48
89

92
48
50
99

86
44
44
90

83
42
42
84

78
40
40
82

73
37
38
77

70
35
36
73

68
34
35
70

65
33
33
68

Fiji
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

26
13
13
27

26
13
13
26

26
13
13
27

25
13
13
26

24
12
12
25

23
12
12
24

22
11
11
23

22
11
11
22

21
11
11
22

21
11
11
22

New Caledonia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

1 121
526
504
877

1 174
563
539
1 006

1 289
615
596
1 145

1 391
676
658
1 255

1 436
710
703
1 369

1 454
724
720
1 425

1 445
726
726
1 448

1 409
714
718
1 445

1 363
691
698
1 415

1 316
669
675
1 369

Papua New Guinea


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

92
42
38
69

99
47
44
77

108
52
50
96

119
57
55
106

125
61
60
116

127
63
63
124

126
63
63
126

123
62
63
126

118
60
61
123

114
58
59
119

Solomon Islands
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

39
18
17
31

42
19
18
34

47
22
22
40

52
25
24
46

55
27
26
51

57
28
28
54

58
29
29
56

57
29
29
57

56
28
29
57

55
28
28
56

Vanuatu
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

64
33
33
61

62
31
32
64

64
31
31
60

62
31
31
61

58
30
30
60

56
28
29
58

55
28
28
56

53
27
27
55

50
26
26
53

49
25
25
50

Micronesia (32)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

19
10
10
20

19
10
10
20

20
10
10
19

19
10
10
20

19
9
10
20

18
9
9
19

17
9
9
18

17
9
9
17

16
8
8
17

16
8
8
16

Guam
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

16
8
8
15

15
8
8
15

15
8
7
14

14
7
7
14

13
7
7
14

12
6
6
13

12
6
6
12

11
6
6
12

11
5
6
12

11
5
5
11

Micronesia (Fed. States of)


Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

445

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Polynesia (33)
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

42
18
15
26

54
21
19
34

76
32
28
43

76
38
36
60

74
37
37
67

80
38
37
68

87
38
35
65

89
42
38
65

88
42
41
69

86
44
41
74

French Polynesia
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

10
4
4
6

14
5
5
8

19
9
7
10

24
12
11
18

25
12
12
21

27
13
12
24

32
14
12
23

31
16
14
24

28
15
17
28

27
15
14
31

Samoa
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

15
6
5
9

20
8
7
13

27
11
11
16

25
12
12
22

23
11
11
22

25
13
13
21

26
11
11
21

28
12
11
19

28
13
11
18

29
14
12
19

Tonga
Population aged 6-11 .................
Population aged 12-14 ...............
Population aged 15-17 ...............
Population aged 18-23 ...............

8
4
3
5

10
4
4
7

16
6
5
9

15
8
7
11

14
7
8
13

15
6
6
14

15
7
6
11

15
7
7
12

15
7
6
12

15
7
7
11

a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

446

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Including Seychelles.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
Includes other non-specified areas.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.32. Population in school ages by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)

16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

82
42
43
79

81
41
41
82

81
40
40
76

80
40
40
76

76
39
39
77

73
37
37
75

74
37
36
72

73
37
37
74

70
36
36
73

70
35
35
71

Polynesia (33)
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

26
13
15
29

27
13
13
29

25
13
14
26

22
12
12
26

21
11
11
23

20
10
10
21

18
9
10
20

18
9
9
19

17
9
9
18

17
9
9
17

French Polynesia
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

27
14
14
23

25
13
14
26

25
12
12
23

26
13
12
22

24
12
13
24

23
11
11
24

24
12
11
22

24
12
12
24

23
12
12
25

23
12
12
23

Samoa
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

16
8
7
12

15
8
8
14

14
7
7
15

16
7
7
13

15
8
8
14

14
7
7
15

15
7
7
14

16
8
8
15

14
7
8
16

15
7
7
15

Tonga
Population aged 6-11
Population aged 12-14
Population aged 15-17
Population aged 18-23

Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

447

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country:


estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

65
57
9

73
64
9

75
65
9

70
60
10

66
56
10

64
54
10

62
52
11

59
48
11

55
44
11

52
41
12

54
42
12

58
44
14

56
41
15

52
34
18

50
32
17

49
31
19

50
29
20

48
27
21

48
25
23

48
24
24

71
64
7

80
74
6

83
76
7

77
70
7

72
64
7

68
61
7

66
58
8

62
53
8

57
48
9

53
45
9

81
75
6

85
80
5

89
84
6

92
86
6

92
86
6

91
85
6

89
83
6

85
79
6

81
75
6

77
71
6

70
63
7

80
73
7

82
76
7

75
68
7

69
62
8

65
58
8

63
55
8

59
50
9

53
45
9

50
41
9

Less dev. regions, excl. China


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

75
69
6

82
76
6

86
79
6

81
75
7

79
72
7

76
69
7

72
65
7

67
60
7

63
55
8

59
51
8

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

82
76
6

85
80
6

89
84
6

93
87
6

94
88
6

93
87
6

91
85
6

88
83
6

86
80
6

84
78
6

Africa
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

81
76
6

86
80
6

91
85
6

92
86
6

92
86
6

91
85
6

87
81
6

84
78
6

80
74
6

78
72
6

Eastern Africa (1)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

85
80
5

90
85
5

94
89
6

97
91
6

97
91
6

96
91
6

94
89
6

93
87
6

90
84
6

86
81
6

Burundi
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

79
73
6

89
83
6

92
85
6

93
86
7

89
83
6

91
85
6

96
90
6

96
91
6

81
75
5

69
64
5

Comoros
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

71
65
7

84
78
6

95
90
6

98
92
6

102
96
6

97
91
6

88
82
6

79
74
5

80
75
5

83
78
5

Djibouti
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

95
91
4

90
86
4

92
88
4

90
86
4

88
84
4

87
83
5

85
80
5

79
74
5

71
66
5

64
59
5

Eritrea
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

94
88
6

91
85
5

92
87
5

104
96
8

103
97
6

96
91
5

98
93
5

90
85
5

80
75
4

79
74
4

Ethiopia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

89
83
6

86
81
5

88
83
5

90
85
5

90
85
5

92
87
6

95
90
6

96
90
6

91
85
6

81
75
6

World
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........
More dev. regions (a)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........
Less dev. regions (b)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........
Least dev. countries (c)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........
Other less dev. countries (d)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

448

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

52
39
13

52
38
14

53
35
18

55
33
22

58
32
26

61
32
30

63
31
32

65
31
34

66
30
36

67
30
37

52
25
26

56
26
30

63
27
36

68
27
41

73
29
45

75
29
46

74
29
45

76
30
46

77
30
47

78
30
48

52
42
10

51
40
11

51
37
15

53
34
19

56
33
23

59
32
27

61
31
30

63
31
32

65
30
34

66
30
36

73
67
6

69
63
6

63
56
7

59
50
9

57
46
11

56
42
14

56
39
17

56
37
19

57
35
22

58
33
25

48
38
10

48
36
12

49
33
16

52
31
22

55
29
26

60
29
31

63
28
35

66
28
37

68
28
40

69
28
41

World
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio
More dev. regions (a)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio
Less dev. regions (b)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio
Least dev. countries (c)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio
Other less dev. countries (d)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

56
48
8

55
45
9

53
41
12

52
37
15

54
35
19

57
33
23

59
32
26

61
31
29

63
31
32

64
30
34

Less dev. regions, excl. China


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

81
75
6

78
72
6

71
64
6

64
57
7

60
51
9

57
46
11

55
42
13

55
39
16

55
36
19

56
34
22

Sub-Saharan Africa (e)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

76
69
7

73
66
7

67
60
8

62
53
9

59
49
10

57
44
13

56
41
15

56
38
18

56
35
21

57
34
24

Africa
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

83
77
6

79
73
6

71
65
6

65
58
7

61
53
9

59
48
11

57
44
13

56
41
16

57
38
19

57
36
22

Eastern Africa (1)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

66
61
5

65
60
6

55
48
7

47
39
8

47
36
12

48
32
17

48
29
19

52
28
24

57
27
30

60
27
33

Burundi
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

81
76
5

76
71
5

67
61
6

65
58
7

61
52
10

56
46
10

55
42
13

54
39
16

54
35
18

55
33
22

Comoros
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

61
55
6

59
53
6

55
47
7

50
40
9

49
37
12

50
34
16

50
31
19

51
29
22

54
28
26

57
27
30

Djibouti
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

78
73
5

73
68
5

58
53
4

53
47
6

53
42
10

49
36
13

48
33
16

51
31
21

54
29
25

57
28
29

Eritrea
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

72
65
6

64
57
6

54
47
7

47
38
9

43
32
11

45
28
17

50
26
24

55
26
30

61
26
35

66
26
40

Ethiopia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

449

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Kenya
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

78
71
7

100
93
7

111
103
7

113
106
6

112
106
6

107
101
6

97
92
5

89
84
5

83
78
5

82
77
5

Madagascar
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

71
65
5

85
79
6

95
88
7

98
91
7

94
87
6

92
86
6

91
85
6

94
88
6

91
85
6

86
80
6

Malawi
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

95
89
6

94
89
5

94
90
4

99
94
5

100
95
5

94
89
5

92
86
6

96
90
6

97
91
6

96
90
6

Mauritius (2)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

93
87
6

96
92
5

86
82
5

64
58
6

55
49
6

52
45
7

49
41
7

48
40
8

45
36
9

40
31
10

Mayotte
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

73
55
18

96
84
12

108
98
11

115
106
9

108
101
7

100
94
6

96
90
6

91
86
6

82
77
6

92
89
4

Mozambique
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

80
75
5

82
77
5

86
81
5

88
82
6

92
86
6

99
93
6

90
84
6

89
83
6

91
85
6

90
84
6

Runion
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

77
70
7

94
87
7

95
88
7

73
65
8

63
54
9

58
49
9

56
46
10

55
44
11

52
41
12

51
39
13

Rwanda
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

91
86
5

104
98
6

101
96
5

101
97
4

104
100
4

105
101
4

103
98
5

92
87
5

82
77
5

83
78
5

Somalia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

78
73
5

89
83
5

94
88
6

97
91
6

92
87
6

90
84
6

85
80
5

88
83
5

90
85
5

91
86
5

Uganda
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

85
80
5

94
89
5

98
93
5

101
96
5

102
96
5

103
97
5

105
99
6

106
100
6

105
100
5

104
99
5

UR Tanzania (3)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

93
89
4

93
88
5

95
90
5

97
92
5

96
91
5

95
90
5

93
87
5

91
85
6

91
85
6

92
86
6

Zambia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

91
86
5

90
85
5

96
91
5

100
95
6

98
92
5

95
89
5

93
87
6

93
87
6

96
90
6

98
92
6

Zimbabwe
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

83
77
6

95
88
7

105
99
7

108
102
6

104
98
6

96
91
6

91
84
6

82
76
6

78
72
7

76
68
7

Middle Africa
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

82
75
7

84
78
6

88
82
6

93
87
6

95
89
6

98
91
6

99
93
6

97
91
6

95
90
6

91
86
6

450

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

82
77
5

79
74
5

70
64
6

64
57
7

61
52
9

58
46
11

55
41
13

54
38
16

54
34
20

55
32
23

Kenya
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

80
75
6

77
71
6

72
64
7

66
57
9

61
51
10

58
46
12

57
41
15

56
38
18

56
35
22

58
32
26

Madagascar
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

97
91
6

99
93
6

92
87
5

82
77
5

77
71
6

70
63
7

65
56
8

61
51
10

59
46
13

57
42
15

Malawi
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

39
28
12

40
25
15

48
25
23

54
24
30

61
25
36

70
26
44

76
28
49

77
28
48

76
29
47

76
29
47

Mauritius (2)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

90
86
4

82
77
5

61
54
7

62
50
11

58
43
15

51
36
15

51
32
19

58
30
28

61
28
33

66
27
40

Mayotte
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

86
80
6

80
74
6

73
66
7

65
59
7

58
50
7

54
45
9

52
40
12

51
36
16

52
33
19

54
31
24

Mozambique
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

51
38
14

52
35
16

56
32
24

59
30
29

60
29
31

64
28
36

68
28
40

74
29
45

76
29
47

78
30
49

Runion
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

85
80
5

84
79
6

71
65
6

63
57
6

62
53
9

56
46
11

52
40
12

53
37
16

52
33
20

53
30
23

Rwanda
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

90
85
5

89
84
5

88
82
6

84
78
6

78
71
7

72
64
7

66
58
8

61
51
10

58
46
12

56
42
14

Somalia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

101
96
5

95
91
5

83
79
4

73
68
5

65
59
6

58
51
8

54
44
10

52
39
13

51
35
16

53
32
21

Uganda
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

93
87
6

93
87
6

86
80
6

79
72
6

73
66
7

67
58
8

61
52
10

58
46
12

57
42
15

56
38
18

UR Tanzania (3)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

101
95
6

103
97
6

99
94
5

91
86
4

87
82
5

78
73
6

72
66
6

67
59
8

63
53
9

60
48
12

Zambia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

67
60
7

64
56
7

55
48
6

44
38
6

45
34
11

50
31
19

52
28
23

55
27
27

61
27
33

66
27
38

Zimbabwe
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

86
81
5

81
75
5

70
65
6

61
55
6

55
47
8

51
41
10

49
36
13

50
33
17

51
31
21

54
29
25

Middle Africa
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

451

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Angola
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

79
74
6

86
82
5

95
90
5

97
91
5

98
93
5

100
95
5

101
96
5

100
96
5

100
95
5

96
91
5

Cameroon
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

76
70
6

79
73
6

85
79
7

93
86
7

95
88
7

95
88
7

92
85
7

86
80
7

82
76
6

79
73
6

Central African Rep.


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

70
62
9

74
67
7

81
73
7

86
79
8

87
79
8

89
82
8

87
79
7

85
78
7

84
76
7

80
73
7

Chad
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

73
65
8

79
72
7

84
77
7

91
84
7

95
88
7

97
90
7

97
90
7

96
90
6

95
90
6

93
88
6

Congo
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

77
71
6

82
75
7

90
83
7

95
87
7

93
86
7

90
83
7

86
79
7

83
76
7

82
75
7

79
73
7

DR Congo
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

90
83
7

88
82
5

89
84
5

93
88
5

96
90
6

99
94
6

102
97
6

103
97
5

101
95
5

96
91
5

Equatorial Guinea
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

66
57
9

73
64
9

76
68
8

99
87
12

66
57
8

73
65
8

85
77
7

86
79
7

78
72
6

73
68
5

Gabon
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

55
44
11

60
48
11

67
55
12

79
67
11

85
74
11

89
78
11

89
80
10

84
75
9

75
68
8

66
59
7

Sao Tome and Principe


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

58
52
6

58
52
6

106
96
10

106
96
10

105
96
10

104
95
9

97
88
9

88
80
8

85
77
8

79
72
7

Northern Africa
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

80
74
6

90
84
6

95
88
7

89
82
7

87
80
7

82
76
7

76
69
7

68
61
7

61
54
7

57
50
8

Algeria
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

80
72
8

91
84
7

110
102
9

99
91
8

95
87
7

88
81
7

77
70
7

62
56
7

52
45
7

46
40
7

Egypt
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

73
68
5

90
84
6

88
82
6

85
78
6

83
77
7

81
74
7

75
68
7

68
61
7

61
53
8

58
50
8

Libya
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

87
79
9

90
82
8

92
87
5

97
93
4

98
94
5

85
81
5

70
65
5

56
50
5

52
47
6

53
47
7

Morocco
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

90
84
5

90
85
5

107
99
9

87
80
8

84
76
7

77
70
7

71
64
7

62
54
8

55
47
8

50
42
8

452

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

89
84
5

81
76
5

69
64
5

59
53
6

51
44
8

48
38
10

47
33
14

49
30
19

52
29
23

56
28
28

Angola
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

77
71
6

73
67
6

64
57
7

58
51
7

55
45
10

53
40
12

51
37
15

52
34
18

53
31
22

55
30
25

Cameroon
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

75
68
7

71
65
7

64
57
7

55
48
7

52
43
9

51
38
13

50
34
16

51
32
19

53
30
23

56
29
27

Central African Rep.


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

90
85
5

85
80
5

76
70
5

67
61
6

59
52
7

54
45
9

51
40
11

50
35
14

50
32
18

53
30
22

Chad
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

78
72
7

75
69
7

68
61
7

63
55
8

60
50
10

56
44
11

54
40
14

54
37
17

54
34
20

56
32
24

Congo
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

90
85
5

84
79
5

72
67
5

62
56
6

55
48
7

51
41
9

49
36
13

49
33
16

51
31
20

53
29
24

DR Congo
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

70
66
5

71
65
6

69
60
10

62
52
10

54
45
9

51
40
11

49
35
14

50
32
18

52
30
22

55
29
26

Equatorial Guinea
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

62
55
7

61
53
8

58
49
10

54
43
11

54
40
14

56
38
18

56
35
21

56
33
23

58
31
27

60
30
30

Gabon
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

71
65
6

65
59
6

56
49
7

50
42
8

50
37
13

50
33
17

52
30
22

55
29
26

58
28
31

62
27
35

Sao Tome and Principe


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

56
47
8

54
45
9

51
38
12

49
34
16

53
32
21

57
30
27

59
29
30

63
28
35

67
28
39

69
28
41

Northern Africa
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

46
38
7

45
36
9

42
29
13

43
24
19

54
25
29

64
25
39

66
25
41

74
27
47

79
28
51

78
28
50

Algeria
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

56
47
9

55
44
10

50
37
13

48
32
16

51
30
22

55
27
28

59
26
33

65
26
39

69
26
43

73
26
47

Egypt
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

57
49
8

53
44
9

42
31
11

43
26
17

54
27
27

56
24
32

62
24
38

75
27
48

80
27
52

78
27
51

Libya
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

48
39
9

47
37
11

47
32
15

47
27
20

52
25
27

61
25
35

65
25
40

72
26
46

77
27
50

78
28
50

Morocco
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

453

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Sudan (4)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

89
83
6

88
83
6

89
83
5

91
85
6

91
85
6

89
83
6

86
80
6

84
78
6

81
75
6

77
71
6

Tunisia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

80
70
10

91
83
8

100
92
8

84
77
7

79
72
7

74
66
8

67
57
10

57
47
10

48
38
10

44
34
10

Western Sahara
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

83
78
5

66
62
4

74
70
4

66
61
5

71
66
5

74
69
5

70
66
4

61
56
4

51
47
3

45
41
3

Southern Africa
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

74
67
6

82
75
7

85
78
6

83
77
6

80
74
6

75
69
6

68
62
6

62
56
6

58
51
6

55
48
7

Botswana
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

83
75
8

98
90
8

105
98
7

96
91
5

95
90
5

90
85
5

80
75
5

69
64
5

62
57
6

58
51
6

Lesotho
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

82
74
8

90
82
8

93
85
8

94
86
8

94
86
8

94
85
8

90
82
8

84
76
8

79
71
8

71
64
7

Namibia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

75
68
7

83
76
7

88
81
7

100
93
7

102
95
7

89
82
6

83
77
6

78
72
6

73
67
6

67
61
6

South Africa
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

73
67
6

81
74
7

84
77
6

81
75
6

77
72
6

73
67
6

65
59
6

60
54
6

56
49
6

53
46
7

Swaziland
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

84
79
5

92
87
5

100
94
5

106
101
6

107
101
6

103
98
5

102
96
6

91
85
6

82
76
6

72
66
6

Western Africa (5)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

80
75
6

81
76
5

86
81
5

91
86
6

94
88
6

93
88
6

90
85
6

88
82
6

86
81
6

86
80
6

Benin
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

75
62
14

78
68
10

90
81
9

97
89
8

99
91
7

99
92
7

95
89
6

95
89
6

91
85
6

88
82
6

Burkina Faso
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

75
71
3

77
73
4

85
81
5

97
91
5

100
95
5

101
96
5

99
94
5

95
91
4

93
89
4

91
86
4

Cape Verde
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

67
55
13

88
79
9

109
101
8

105
95
11

98
88
10

101
91
10

98
88
10

89
79
10

75
65
10

61
51
9

Cte d'Ivoire
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

83
79
4

86
81
5

90
86
5

94
89
5

94
89
5

91
86
5

85
80
5

82
76
6

83
76
6

81
74
7

454

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

73
67
7

69
62
7

63
55
8

57
48
9

54
43
11

53
38
14

53
35
18

54
32
22

56
30
26

59
29
31

Sudan (4)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

43
33
11

45
32
13

45
28
18

47
24
24

59
25
34

70
27
44

69
25
44

74
27
47

79
29
50

77
28
49

Tunisia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

42
38
4

41
36
5

42
32
10

44
27
17

52
27
25

58
27
31

58
25
33

62
25
37

70
27
43

72
27
45

Western Sahara
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

54
46
8

52
43
9

50
39
11

46
35
12

45
31
14

48
29
18

51
28
23

54
27
27

59
27
31

63
28
35

Southern Africa
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

56
49
7

56
47
8

50
41
9

43
35
9

44
32
12

47
30
18

49
28
22

54
28
26

59
27
31

62
28
35

Botswana
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

66
59
7

63
56
7

55
49
6

47
42
6

46
38
8

47
35
13

48
32
16

50
31
19

52
29
23

55
29
26

Lesotho
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

62
55
7

59
51
7

54
45
9

49
38
10

47
33
13

49
31
18

52
29
24

56
28
28

61
28
33

65
28
37

Namibia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
44
8

51
42
9

49
38
12

46
34
12

45
31
15

48
29
19

51
28
23

55
27
27

59
27
32

63
28
35

South Africa
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

67
61
6

65
58
7

57
50
7

47
42
6

43
36
7

45
32
12

47
30
17

50
28
22

55
28
27

58
27
31

Swaziland
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

84
78
6

82
76
6

74
68
6

68
61
7

63
55
8

59
49
10

56
44
12

54
40
14

54
37
17

55
34
21

Western Africa (5)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

84
79
6

81
75
6

72
66
6

66
58
7

60
52
9

56
46
10

54
41
13

53
37
16

54
34
19

55
32
23

Benin
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

89
85
4

87
83
4

80
75
5

72
67
6

67
60
7

62
53
8

58
47
10

55
43
12

55
39
15

55
36
19

Burkina Faso
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

50
42
8

46
37
9

44
31
13

43
26
17

47
23
24

59
23
36

69
24
46

74
24
50

80
26
54

82
27
55

Cape Verde
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

77
70
7

72
65
7

64
57
7

57
50
8

54
44
10

52
39
13

52
36
16

52
32
20

54
30
24

56
29
28

Cte d'Ivoire
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

455

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Gambia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

78
73
5

70
66
4

74
70
4

91
86
5

97
92
5

96
91
4

97
92
5

92
88
4

89
85
4

86
82
4

Ghana
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

91
86
5

88
83
5

93
88
5

95
89
6

92
86
6

89
83
6

85
79
6

80
74
6

76
70
6

74
67
7

Guinea
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

74
64
9

78
71
7

83
77
6

87
81
6

89
83
6

91
85
6

92
86
6

91
84
6

89
82
6

86
80
6

Guinea-Bissau
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

74
67
6

80
74
5

67
62
5

84
77
6

96
89
7

90
83
7

90
84
6

87
80
6

84
78
6

81
75
6

Liberia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

79
73
5

79
74
5

87
83
5

93
88
5

94
89
5

93
88
5

89
84
5

86
81
5

85
80
5

86
81
5

Mali
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

72
67
5

75
71
4

81
77
4

90
85
5

95
89
6

102
96
6

101
95
6

99
94
5

98
93
4

97
93
4

Mauritania
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

83
80
3

86
82
3

92
88
4

93
88
5

92
87
5

90
85
5

87
82
5

83
78
5

78
73
5

74
69
5

Niger
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

102
100
2

93
91
2

97
94
3

99
95
3

100
96
4

101
97
4

102
97
4

102
98
4

104
100
4

105
100
4

Nigeria
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

81
75
5

81
76
6

85
79
6

89
83
6

93
87
6

92
86
6

89
83
6

86
80
6

86
79
6

86
80
6

Senegal
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

82
76
6

80
76
5

87
83
4

98
93
4

100
95
5

98
94
5

95
90
5

92
87
5

88
84
5

86
81
4

Sierra Leone
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

74
68
5

74
69
5

76
71
5

79
73
5

81
76
5

82
77
5

81
77
4

80
76
4

81
78
3

81
78
3

Togo
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

84
76
8

86
79
7

92
86
6

99
92
6

99
93
6

96
90
6

92
86
6

86
81
6

81
75
6

76
70
6

Asia (6)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

68
61
7

77
71
7

79
72
7

73
65
8

67
59
8

63
55
8

61
52
9

57
48
9

52
43
10

48
38
10

Eastern Asia (6)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

65
57
7

75
67
7

73
66
7

66
57
9

56
46
9

50
41
10

50
39
11

48
36
12

42
30
12

40
26
13

456

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

80
76
4

75
71
4

66
61
5

59
53
6

54
46
8

51
41
10

50
37
14

50
33
17

52
31
21

55
30
25

Gambia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

72
64
7

68
61
7

61
52
8

57
47
10

55
42
13

53
38
16

53
34
19

55
32
23

57
30
27

59
29
31

Ghana
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

83
77
6

79
73
6

71
64
7

63
56
7

58
50
9

55
44
11

53
39
13

52
36
16

53
33
20

55
31
24

Guinea
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

78
72
6

76
69
7

70
63
7

64
57
7

60
52
9

58
47
11

56
44
12

55
40
15

55
38
17

55
35
20

Guinea-Bissau
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

84
79
5

80
75
5

71
65
6

65
58
6

60
52
8

56
46
10

53
42
12

52
38
15

52
35
18

53
32
21

Liberia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

95
91
4

91
87
4

81
77
4

72
68
5

65
59
6

59
51
7

55
45
9

53
41
12

52
37
15

53
34
19

Mali
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

71
66
5

67
62
5

61
55
6

58
50
8

55
45
10

53
41
12

52
37
15

53
34
18

54
32
22

55
30
25

Mauritania
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

104
99
5

102
97
5

95
90
5

85
80
5

76
71
5

68
62
6

62
54
8

58
48
10

56
44
12

55
40
15

Niger
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

85
79
6

84
77
6

77
70
6

70
63
7

65
57
8

60
51
9

56
45
11

55
41
13

54
38
16

55
35
20

Nigeria
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

82
77
4

76
72
4

66
61
4

60
54
6

56
48
8

52
42
10

51
38
13

51
34
17

52
32
21

54
30
24

Senegal
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

78
74
3

72
69
4

62
57
4

54
49
5

49
42
7

45
37
9

45
33
12

47
31
16

50
29
21

53
28
25

Sierra Leone
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

70
64
6

66
59
6

58
51
7

52
44
9

50
39
12

50
35
15

51
32
19

53
29
23

56
28
28

60
27
32

Togo
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

47
36
11

47
34
13

48
30
17

51
28
23

55
27
28

60
27
34

64
26
37

67
27
41

70
27
43

72
27
45

Asia (6)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

39
24
15

42
23
19

48
21
26

61
22
39

67
22
44

77
24
53

81
26
55

82
27
55

81
28
53

80
29
51

Eastern Asia (6)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

457

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

China (7)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

63
56
7

77
70
7

77
70
7

69
60
9

57
48
9

51
42
9

51
41
10

48
38
10

42
31
11

38
27
11

China, Hong Kong SAR (8)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

49
45
4

78
73
5

69
63
7

46
37
9

45
34
11

43
31
12

41
27
14

39
24
15

36
19
17

32
15
17

China, Macao SAR (9)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

43
38
4

80
68
12

82
70
12

50
37
13

48
37
11

47
37
10

49
38
11

43
33
11

31
22
9

25
16
9

DPR Korea
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

102
97
5

63
60
3

70
68
2

59
55
4

49
44
5

45
38
7

49
40
9

49
39
10

50
38
12

48
34
14

Japan
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

68
59
8

56
47
9

45
35
10

48
35
13

47
32
15

43
26
17

44
23
21

47
21
25

51
21
30

56
21
35

Mongolia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

57
51
6

72
64
9

96
87
10

93
84
9

87
79
8

81
73
8

74
68
7

64
58
6

50
44
6

46
40
6

Rep. of Korea
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

83
78
5

81
74
7

83
77
6

61
55
6

52
46
7

44
37
7

41
32
8

39
29
10

40
27
13

38
23
15

South-Central Asia (10)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

71
65
6

79
73
6

82
76
6

79
72
6

77
71
7

76
69
7

72
65
7

67
60
7

61
53
7

56
48
8

Central Asia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

63
53
10

76
66
10

91
80
11

76
66
9

73
65
8

74
65
8

74
65
9

67
58
8

58
50
9

51
44
7

Kazakhstan
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

69
58
11

72
62
10

75
66
9

63
53
10

61
51
9

60
50
9

59
47
11

53
42
10

47
36
12

45
36
10

Kyrgyzstan
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

59
46
13

77
64
13

92
80
12

75
65
10

73
64
9

74
65
9

75
66
10

68
59
9

58
50
9

53
46
7

Tajikistan
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

62
55
7

80
71
9

107
97
10

90
82
9

87
80
7

89
81
7

90
83
7

85
78
7

77
71
7

68
62
6

Turkmenistan
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

63
54
10

81
71
9

99
89
9

84
76
8

80
73
7

79
73
7

78
70
7

68
61
7

59
52
7

50
44
6

Uzbekistan
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

59
51
9

79
69
10

104
92
12

85
76
9

81
73
8

82
74
7

81
73
8

71
64
7

61
53
8

51
44
7

458

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

38
25
13

40
24
17

45
21
24

59
22
37

64
22
42

76
24
52

80
25
54

81
27
55

80
28
52

79
29
51

China (7)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

34
15
20

43
17
25

63
21
42

72
21
51

78
23
55

86
27
59

82
27
55

79
27
52

83
29
54

85
29
55

China, Hong Kong SAR (8)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

28
16
11

34
18
15

49
21
28

60
20
40

74
22
52

90
26
64

86
26
60

83
27
56

84
29
56

84
29
55

China, Macao SAR (9)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

45
30
15

42
29
13

47
29
17

54
28
26

53
27
26

59
28
31

62
28
34

63
28
35

67
29
38

68
29
39

DPR Korea
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

65
21
43

70
22
48

75
22
53

87
24
63

96
26
70

96
27
69

93
28
65

91
29
62

90
29
61

89
29
60

Japan
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

47
41
6

50
43
7

48
37
12

50
33
17

57
35
22

62
34
28

58
32
27

63
33
31

66
32
34

65
31
34

Mongolia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

38
20
18

43
21
22

60
23
37

76
24
52

85
24
61

91
27
64

91
28
63

86
28
58

86
29
57

87
30
57

Rep. of Korea
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
45
8

51
41
9

47
35
12

46
31
15

48
28
20

52
27
26

56
26
31

61
25
35

65
26
39

68
26
42

South-Central Asia (10)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

50
42
7

51
42
9

49
36
13

47
31
16

50
31
20

57
29
27

58
28
30

63
29
34

66
29
38

67
29
38

Central Asia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

50
40
10

55
43
12

53
36
17

52
34
18

58
36
21

59
34
25

55
32
23

61
33
28

62
32
30

62
31
31

Kazakhstan
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
45
6

54
47
7

53
41
12

52
37
15

54
36
17

59
35
24

58
33
25

61
33
28

63
32
30

63
32
32

Kyrgyzstan
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

62
57
5

61
55
6

58
48
9

50
39
11

48
35
13

52
32
20

54
29
25

57
28
29

62
27
35

65
26
38

Tajikistan
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

48
41
6

46
39
7

45
34
11

43
28
15

47
27
20

54
26
28

57
25
32

62
26
37

67
26
41

69
27
43

Turkmenistan
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

47
40
6

47
39
8

46
33
12

43
27
16

47
26
22

57
25
32

61
24
37

67
25
42

73
26
46

74
27
47

Uzbekistan
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

459

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Southern Asia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

71
65
6

79
73
6

82
76
6

79
73
6

78
71
6

76
69
7

72
65
7

67
60
7

61
53
7

56
49
8

Afghanistan
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

83
78
5

85
80
5

87
83
4

92
87
4

94
89
4

96
92
4

99
94
4

101
97
4

100
95
4

95
91
4

Bangladesh
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

82
75
7

88
82
6

93
86
7

95
88
7

90
84
7

86
79
7

79
72
7

70
64
7

63
56
7

56
49
7

Bhutan
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

86
82
5

81
76
5

82
78
5

81
76
5

85
79
5

85
79
6

89
82
7

79
72
8

62
54
7

52
45
7

India
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

68
63
5

78
72
5

80
74
6

76
70
6

74
67
6

72
65
6

68
61
7

64
57
7

59
52
7

55
47
8

Iran
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

69
60
9

84
76
8

90
84
6

86
81
6

94
88
6

97
90
7

86
78
7

65
58
7

45
38
7

39
32
7

Maldives
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

81
75
6

70
65
5

95
90
5

90
85
5

93
88
6

100
94
6

97
91
6

79
72
7

60
52
8

47
39
8

Nepal
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

74
71
3

73
69
5

80
75
5

83
77
6

84
78
6

84
78
6

83
77
6

81
74
6

76
69
7

68
61
7

Pakistan
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

85
75
10

81
73
8

87
80
7

89
82
7

89
82
7

91
83
7

89
82
7

83
76
7

73
66
7

66
59
7

Sri Lanka
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

93
74
19

86
77
9

77
70
7

67
60
7

64
56
8

60
51
9

55
45
10

49
39
10

48
37
11

49
37
12

South-Eastern Asia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

73
67
7

82
76
6

90
83
7

81
74
7

75
68
7

68
62
7

64
57
7

57
50
8

53
45
8

49
41
8

Brunei Darussalam
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

70
62
8

86
78
8

82
75
7

71
66
5

72
66
5

62
57
5

57
52
5

50
45
4

46
41
5

42
37
5

Cambodia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

82
77
5

82
78
5

85
80
5

72
67
5

82
77
5

87
82
5

101
96
6

81
75
5

66
60
5

56
50
6

Indonesia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

76
69
7

77
71
6

87
81
6

81
74
6

74
68
6

67
61
6

61
54
7

55
48
7

51
43
8

48
40
8

460

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

53
45
8

50
41
9

47
35
12

46
31
15

48
28
20

52
27
26

56
26
31

61
25
35

65
25
40

68
26
42

Southern Asia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

88
84
4

82
78
4

72
67
5

61
56
5

53
47
6

49
41
8

47
35
12

47
32
15

49
29
20

52
28
25

Afghanistan
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

49
42
7

44
37
7

41
30
11

41
25
16

46
23
23

55
23
32

64
23
41

71
24
47

76
25
51

79
27
53

Bangladesh
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

47
40
7

45
36
8

40
30
11

40
25
15

48
23
25

59
23
36

66
23
43

72
24
48

78
26
53

81
27
54

Bhutan
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
44
8

50
41
9

47
35
12

46
31
15

48
28
20

52
26
25

56
25
30

60
25
35

65
25
40

68
26
43

India
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

39
31
8

39
30
9

36
22
14

40
19
21

59
22
37

78
23
55

78
24
54

85
27
58

84
28
57

79
28
52

Iran
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

41
33
7

38
30
8

37
24
13

39
19
20

53
20
33

79
22
57

90
23
68

97
25
72

100
27
73

94
27
67

Maldives
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

59
52
7

53
46
7

47
38
9

44
32
12

44
28
17

50
26
24

58
25
33

64
25
38

69
26
43

73
26
47

Nepal
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

60
53
7

57
49
7

50
41
9

45
34
11

45
30
15

49
27
21

52
25
26

56
25
31

62
25
36

65
25
40

Pakistan
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
38
15

53
36
17

53
30
23

58
29
28

64
29
35

65
27
38

68
27
41

75
28
47

77
28
49

78
28
50

Sri Lanka
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

47
38
9

46
35
11

47
31
16

50
29
22

55
27
28

61
27
34

66
27
39

70
27
43

73
27
45

75
28
47

South-Eastern Asia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

41
35
6

41
32
9

42
28
14

46
26
20

51
25
26

57
24
32

62
25
37

66
26
40

69
27
42

70
28
43

Brunei Darussalam
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

51
44
7

49
41
8

44
34
10

40
27
13

43
25
18

52
24
28

57
24
34

64
25
39

70
26
44

73
27
46

Cambodia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

46
37
9

44
34
10

44
29
15

49
27
22

56
26
30

62
25
36

67
26
41

73
27
46

76
27
49

78
28
50

Indonesia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

461

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Lao PDR
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

74
70
4

81
76
5

82
76
6

90
84
7

91
84
7

90
83
7

89
83
7

85
78
7

75
68
7

62
56
6

Malaysia (11)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

85
76
9

96
89
7

93
86
6

74
68
6

72
66
6

69
63
6

65
59
6

59
53
6

58
51
7

54
47
7

Myanmar
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

60
55
5

79
73
6

84
77
7

80
72
7

75
67
7

68
60
7

61
54
8

55
48
8

49
42
7

44
37
7

Philippines
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

89
83
7

100
94
6

96
90
6

87
81
6

83
77
6

79
74
6

75
70
5

72
66
5

68
62
6

64
58
6

Singapore
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

75
71
4

83
79
4

73
67
6

47
40
7

42
34
7

37
29
8

40
31
9

40
30
10

39
27
12

36
24
12

Thailand
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

83
77
6

85
79
6

90
84
7

76
69
6

63
57
6

53
46
7

49
40
9

45
35
10

44
32
12

42
29
13

Timor-Leste
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

78
72
6

80
75
5

80
76
5

72
69
4

74
70
3

70
67
3

79
75
4

107
102
5

97
92
5

97
91
6

Viet Nam
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

56
50
7

80
72
8

96
87
9

84
75
9

79
71
9

75
67
9

71
62
9

60
51
9

50
41
9

42
34
9

Western Asia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

73
66
7

83
75
7

88
80
8

83
76
8

80
73
7

78
71
7

73
66
7

68
60
8

62
54
8

57
49
7

Armenia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

71
57
14

81
70
12

81
71
10

57
48
9

55
47
8

56
47
9

61
47
13

56
40
16

51
33
18

46
29
16

Azerbaijan (12)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

65
53
11

81
69
11

98
88
11

67
58
9

61
53
8

63
56
7

63
56
8

58
49
9

45
36
10

38
29
9

Bahrain
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

82
77
5

79
73
6

90
84
5

58
54
3

57
52
4

53
50
3

48
45
4

44
40
4

43
39
4

28
26
3

Cyprus (13)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

68
58
10

74
64
10

70
52
17

52
38
14

53
38
15

55
39
15

53
37
15

48
33
15

44
29
15

42
25
16

Georgia (14)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

59
43
16

61
46
15

63
50
13

54
40
14

51
38
13

51
37
14

55
37
17

52
33
19

49
27
22

45
24
21

462

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

54
47
6

49
42
7

44
35
9

41
28
12

42
24
18

53
24
29

62
24
38

68
24
44

74
26
48

77
27
50

Lao PDR
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

51
43
9

50
39
11

52
37
16

53
33
19

54
30
23

57
29
28

61
28
33

64
28
37

68
27
41

72
28
44

Malaysia (11)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

41
33
8

41
31
10

42
28
14

45
25
20

51
24
27

59
25
34

64
26
38

68
26
41

72
28
44

73
28
45

Myanmar
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

60
54
6

57
50
8

55
45
10

52
39
13

51
35
16

53
32
21

56
30
26

59
28
31

63
27
35

67
27
40

Philippines
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

36
20
16

41
19
22

61
23
37

76
25
51

81
24
58

88
27
61

94
29
65

86
27
59

86
28
57

89
30
59

Singapore
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

41
26
14

42
24
17

49
22
26

58
23
35

65
24
41

71
25
46

77
26
50

78
27
51

77
28
49

77
29
49

Thailand
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

87
81
6

86
79
6

78
72
6

64
58
6

55
48
7

52
42
10

50
36
14

50
32
18

54
30
24

58
28
29

Timor-Leste
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

41
32
9

42
30
11

43
25
18

49
23
27

61
24
37

75
25
51

78
25
53

84
27
57

85
28
57

82
28
54

Viet Nam
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

55
47
8

54
45
9

51
39
12

51
36
15

55
34
21

58
33
25

59
31
28

62
31
32

65
30
35

67
29
38

Western Asia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

47
31
16

50
31
19

55
27
28

53
25
28

61
26
35

74
27
47

72
26
46

78
28
49

78
28
49

76
29
47

Armenia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

41
32
9

46
36
11

49
30
19

51
28
23

58
31
27

66
30
36

61
29
31

66
31
35

68
30
38

68
30
37

Azerbaijan (12)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

30
27
3

33
28
5

35
23
12

46
23
24

69
26
43

66
24
42

59
23
36

66
25
41

72
25
47

76
26
50

Bahrain
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

42
23
18

44
23
21

49
23
26

54
22
32

66
24
42

77
25
52

81
26
55

82
27
54

82
28
54

81
29
52

Cyprus (13)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

47
25
22

50
25
25

57
22
35

61
21
39

69
24
45

80
25
55

73
25
48

77
27
50

77
27
49

76
28
48

Georgia (14)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

463

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Iraq
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

67
63
5

83
77
6

95
87
8

103
95
8

102
94
8

101
93
8

94
86
7

90
82
7

89
82
7

87
81
6

Israel
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

55
49
6

70
62
8

65
54
11

72
57
15

71
56
15

67
52
15

63
47
16

62
45
16

61
45
16

60
44
17

Jordan
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

102
92
10

92
83
9

97
90
7

110
102
7

103
96
8

101
94
7

80
74
6

76
70
6

68
62
6

71
64
7

Kuwait
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

64
59
5

62
58
3

84
81
3

71
68
3

62
60
2

59
57
2

44
41
3

42
38
4

38
33
5

41
38
4

Lebanon
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

71
58
12

89
78
11

88
79
9

80
71
10

75
66
9

70
61
9

62
52
10

59
49
11

53
42
11

47
36
11

Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

101
91
10

101
93
8

109
103
6

109
104
5

104
100
4

101
96
4

101
97
4

99
94
5

93
88
5

83
78
5

Oman
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

83
77
6

92
86
6

99
92
6

93
88
5

94
89
5

92
87
4

74
70
4

64
60
4

54
49
4

42
39
4

Qatar
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

84
78
6

78
74
5

60
57
3

54
51
2

43
41
2

42
40
2

40
38
2

38
36
2

29
28
2

17
16
1

Saudi Arabia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

83
77
6

90
83
7

93
86
7

91
85
6

84
79
5

83
78
5

78
74
5

72
67
6

58
53
5

50
46
4

Syrian Arab Rep.


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

76
69
8

99
90
10

107
99
8

109
102
7

106
100
7

100
93
7

89
82
7

78
71
7

75
68
6

69
62
7

Turkey
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

74
69
5

83
77
6

85
78
7

79
71
7

73
67
6

67
61
6

61
54
7

56
48
8

52
43
9

48
39
9

United Arab Emirates


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

84
78
6

88
81
7

57
55
2

42
40
2

50
48
2

47
46
2

39
37
1

36
35
1

26
24
1

21
21
1

Yemen
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

86
79
7

89
83
6

95
89
5

108
103
5

116
111
5

123
118
5

116
110
6

106
100
5

95
90
5

88
83
5

Europe
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

52
40
13

55
42
14

56
39
16

53
34
19

50
32
18

50
31
19

50
29
21

48
26
22

47
23
23

46
23
24

464

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

81
75
6

76
70
6

67
61
6

64
55
9

60
49
11

57
44
13

56
40
16

56
37
20

57
34
23

59
32
27

Iraq
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

64
45
19

66
45
22

64
40
24

64
38
27

66
37
30

65
33
32

65
31
34

70
30
39

73
29
44

77
28
48

Israel
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

60
54
7

54
48
7

47
38
8

46
33
13

47
29
19

51
26
25

58
25
33

64
25
40

70
25
45

76
26
50

Jordan
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

40
36
4

36
32
4

34
27
7

42
28
14

54
29
25

57
29
28

58
29
30

62
29
33

66
29
36

69
30
39

Kuwait
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

42
31
11

42
29
12

43
26
17

47
24
24

56
23
33

65
24
42

73
25
48

76
26
50

78
27
52

79
28
51

Lebanon
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

76
70
5

72
66
5

66
59
7

59
50
9

55
44
11

55
40
15

55
36
19

55
33
23

58
31
28

61
29
32

Occupied Palestinian Terr. (15)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

45
40
5

41
35
6

35
24
11

42
21
21

56
21
35

58
20
37

63
21
42

80
24
56

85
25
60

84
27
58

Oman
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

19
17
1

19
17
2

18
13
5

29
13
15

47
16
31

53
15
38

57
16
41

60
18
43

67
18
48

77
20
56

Qatar
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

48
43
5

47
40
7

42
33
9

40
27
13

47
25
22

56
24
32

58
23
35

65
24
41

74
25
49

79
26
53

Saudi Arabia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

60
53
7

54
45
8

50
39
11

47
33
14

46
27
19

52
25
26

62
25
37

68
25
43

74
25
48

80
26
54

Syrian Arab Rep.


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

45
36
10

45
33
12

45
28
17

48
26
22

55
25
30

62
25
37

67
25
42

73
26
47

76
27
50

78
27
51

Turkey
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

20
19
1

21
18
2

23
15
8

36
15
21

65
19
46

73
20
53

70
21
50

73
23
50

78
24
54

83
26
57

United Arab Emirates


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

85
80
5

80
75
5

68
63
5

59
53
6

56
47
9

54
41
12

53
37
16

54
34
20

56
32
24

59
30
29

Yemen
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

50
24
26

54
25
29

61
25
36

67
25
42

75
28
47

78
29
49

75
28
46

76
30
47

78
30
48

78
30
48

Europe
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

465

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Eastern Europe
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

53
43
10

56
45
11

52
40
13

50
34
16

50
35
15

51
35
16

50
32
19

45
26
19

42
22
20

40
21
19

Belarus
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

54
41
13

59
46
13

61
47
14

51
34
16

49
34
15

51
35
16

52
33
19

47
28
20

43
22
21

40
21
19

Bulgaria
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

50
40
10

51
39
11

48
34
14

52
34
18

48
32
17

50
31
20

49
27
23

48
23
24

45
20
25

45
20
25

Czech Rep.
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

48
35
12

54
40
14

50
32
18

59
37
21

54
36
18

52
33
19

47
28
19

44
24
20

41
21
20

41
20
21

Hungary
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

49
37
12

52
39
14

48
31
17

55
34
21

51
33
19

51
30
20

48
27
21

47
25
22

45
23
23

45
21
24

Poland
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

53
45
8

65
56
9

54
41
13

52
37
15

54
39
15

54
38
16

51
35
17

46
28
18

42
23
19

40
21
19

Rep. of Moldova (16)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

56
44
12

61
51
10

62
52
10

53
41
12

53
42
12

57
44
13

55
41
14

51
36
15

43
27
16

39
23
15

Romania
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

51
43
8

54
43
10

53
40
13

59
42
16

52
37
14

51
36
16

48
30
18

47
27
20

44
22
21

43
22
21

Russian Federation
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

54
45
10

57
47
10

52
40
12

47
32
15

48
34
14

50
34
15

50
32
18

44
26
18

41
21
19

39
21
18

Slovakia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

55
45
10

62
51
11

58
44
14

58
41
16

56
41
14

55
40
16

51
35
16

45
29
16

40
24
16

37
21
17

Ukraine
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

53
42
12

50
39
11

52
38
14

50
32
18

49
32
17

51
32
18

52
31
21

46
26
20

44
21
23

42
20
22

Northern Europe (17)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

52
36
16

55
37
17

58
38
20

56
33
23

53
30
22

53
30
23

54
30
24

53
29
24

51
27
24

51
26
25

Channel Islands (18)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

51
32
18

54
33
20

55
33
22

50
27
23

46
24
21

44
23
21

46
24
21

46
24
21

46
23
22

45
22
24

Denmark
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

55
41
14

56
39
17

55
36
19

54
32
22

50
28
23

48
25
23

48
26
23

50
28
22

51
28
23

53
27
25

466

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

44
23
21

49
25
24

54
24
30

57
23
33

69
27
42

75
28
46

68
28
41

70
29
41

72
30
42

71
29
41

Eastern Europe
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

42
22
20

46
24
22

53
24
29

56
23
33

67
27
40

73
28
45

67
27
40

69
29
40

71
30
41

69
29
40

Belarus
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

50
22
28

55
23
31

57
22
35

64
23
41

79
27
51

81
28
53

73
28
45

75
30
45

75
30
45

72
29
43

Bulgaria
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

48
22
26

55
25
30

58
24
34

61
23
38

76
27
49

81
29
52

72
28
45

74
29
45

78
30
47

77
30
48

Czech Rep.
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

48
22
26

53
23
30

55
24
32

60
24
36

70
26
44

75
28
46

71
28
43

71
29
42

74
30
44

74
30
45

Hungary
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

43
21
22

51
24
27

59
25
35

59
22
37

73
26
48

84
29
55

76
27
49

74
28
46

78
30
48

77
30
47

Poland
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

40
24
17

46
26
21

51
23
28

50
20
30

61
23
38

79
25
54

73
25
48

76
28
49

75
28
47

73
28
45

Rep. of Moldova (16)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

45
22
23

48
23
26

50
22
29

60
22
38

74
25
49

80
27
53

75
27
48

75
29
47

76
29
47

75
29
45

Romania
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

43
23
19

48
26
23

54
24
29

55
24
31

67
28
39

71
29
42

65
28
37

68
30
38

69
30
40

68
29
39

Russian Federation
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

40
21
19

46
23
23

54
24
30

58
22
36

72
25
47

82
29
54

75
28
48

73
28
45

77
30
47

76
30
46

Slovakia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

45
22
22

49
24
25

54
24
30

56
23
33

68
27
40

74
28
45

66
27
39

69
30
39

70
30
41

69
29
39

Ukraine
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

55
27
28

58
28
30

64
29
35

68
29
39

70
29
41

74
30
44

74
30
45

77
30
47

79
31
48

80
30
49

Northern Europe (17)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

49
21
28

53
21
32

67
24
44

78
25
52

78
26
52

80
28
52

79
29
51

77
29
48

78
30
48

79
30
49

Channel Islands (18)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

56
27
29

58
27
31

66
29
37

72
30
42

70
29
41

72
30
43

76
31
45

76
30
46

77
30
47

80
31
49

Denmark
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

467

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Estonia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

57
40
17

50
34
16

51
33
18

52
33
19

51
33
17

51
33
18

52
31
21

50
27
23

47
22
25

48
23
25

Finland (19)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

58
47
11

60
49
12

51
37
14

48
30
18

47
28
18

49
29
20

50
29
21

49
27
22

50
26
24

51
25
26

Iceland
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

62
50
12

74
60
14

70
55
15

60
44
16

58
42
16

55
39
17

55
38
17

54
36
18

51
33
18

49
31
18

Ireland
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

66
47
18

73
53
19

73
54
19

70
52
18

67
49
18

62
44
18

55
38
18

49
32
17

46
30
16

49
32
17

Latvia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

57
40
18

49
33
16

51
33
18

50
31
19

49
32
18

50
32
18

52
32
21

50
27
23

46
21
25

46
20
26

Lithuania
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

58
43
15

54
42
12

59
43
16

53
36
17

50
34
16

50
34
16

52
33
19

51
30
21

47
25
22

45
22
23

Norway (20)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

52
37
15

59
41
18

60
39
21

59
35
23

56
31
24

54
29
25

55
30
25

54
31
23

52
30
22

50
28
22

Sweden
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

51
35
15

51
33
18

53
32
21

56
31
25

55
28
27

56
28
28

57
30
27

55
29
27

53
27
26

53
25
28

United Kingdom
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

50
34
16

54
36
18

59
38
21

56
33
23

52
29
23

53
29
24

55
30
24

53
29
24

51
27
24

51
26
25

Southern Europe (21)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

54
43
12

55
42
13

57
42
16

56
38
18

51
33
18

48
29
20

47
25
22

48
23
24

48
22
26

49
22
27

Albania
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

85
72
13

86
77
10

88
80
8

70
61
9

66
57
9

62
53
9

63
53
10

60
48
12

53
40
13

48
34
14

Bosnia and Herzegovina


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

72
65
7

73
67
6

65
57
8

50
41
9

44
36
8

43
35
9

43
32
12

45
29
16

43
24
19

41
21
20

Croatia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

53
41
12

53
42
11

48
34
14

49
31
17

46
31
15

47
30
17

47
27
20

48
25
23

49
24
25

47
22
25

Greece
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

55
44
11

53
41
13

56
39
17

56
36
21

53
33
20

49
29
20

47
25
23

47
22
25

49
21
27

50
22
28

468

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

53
26
27

58
28
30

60
26
34

61
25
36

72
29
42

76
30
46

68
28
40

72
30
42

75
31
44

72
29
42

Estonia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

58
26
32

65
28
37

72
29
44

72
28
44

74
29
45

77
30
46

76
30
46

77
30
47

80
31
49

81
31
50

Finland (19)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

51
31
20

55
32
23

62
32
30

65
31
35

71
31
39

75
32
43

75
31
44

77
31
46

80
31
49

81
31
50

Iceland
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

53
33
20

56
34
23

57
30
28

64
30
34

73
32
41

72
31
40

69
30
39

75
31
44

77
31
46

77
30
47

Ireland
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

49
23
27

54
25
29

59
25
34

60
23
37

71
27
44

81
30
51

70
27
42

71
29
42

76
31
45

72
29
43

Latvia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

46
22
24

50
24
25

59
26
32

60
24
36

66
26
40

78
30
48

70
28
43

69
28
41

74
31
43

73
30
43

Lithuania
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

54
28
26

57
29
28

64
30
34

71
31
40

71
30
41

73
31
42

74
31
43

75
31
44

77
31
46

80
31
49

Norway (20)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

59
27
32

63
29
34

67
29
38

70
29
41

72
30
42

77
31
46

75
30
45

77
30
47

80
31
50

81
30
51

Sweden
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

55
27
28

57
28
29

63
29
34

67
29
39

69
29
40

73
30
44

75
30
45

77
30
47

79
30
49

80
30
50

United Kingdom
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
23
29

54
23
31

60
22
39

74
24
50

85
26
59

84
27
58

82
27
55

84
29
55

84
29
55

83
29
54

Southern Europe (21)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

44
29
15

43
26
17

49
24
25

53
21
31

61
21
40

81
23
58

94
25
69

94
26
68

92
27
65

88
28
60

Albania
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

40
19
21

43
18
25

54
18
36

63
19
44

75
20
55

89
23
66

92
25
67

87
26
61

83
27
56

82
28
54

Bosnia and Herzegovina


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

49
22
27

54
23
31

61
24
38

66
24
42

74
26
48

78
27
51

77
28
49

76
28
48

78
29
48

78
29
48

Croatia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
23
30

55
23
32

59
22
37

71
24
47

82
27
55

80
27
52

76
28
48

78
29
49

79
29
50

80
29
50

Greece
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

469

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Italy
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

53
41
12

53
38
15

56
38
17

55
35
21

48
29
19

46
24
22

46
22
24

48
21
27

51
21
30

52
21
31

Malta
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

69
59
10

87
74
13

59
45
14

49
34
14

51
37
14

51
37
15

50
34
16

47
30
17

44
25
19

41
21
20

Montenegro
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

79
66
13

77
64
13

68
55
13

56
43
13

52
40
12

51
39
13

48
35
13

47
32
15

48
29
19

46
28
18

Portugal
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

58
47
11

59
47
13

62
47
16

59
41
18

56
37
19

52
31
21

49
27
22

48
24
24

49
23
25

49
23
27

Serbia (22)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

56
44
12

56
46
10

50
37
13

51
36
15

48
35
13

49
35
14

50
33
18

50
30
21

50
28
22

47
26
21

Slovenia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

53
42
11

54
42
12

51
37
15

53
36
17

49
33
15

47
31
16

44
26
18

43
23
20

42
20
22

44
20
24

Spain (23)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

51
40
11

55
43
13

60
45
15

59
41
18

55
36
19

50
30
21

47
24
23

46
22
25

45
21
24

47
22
25

TFYR Macedonia (24)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

79
63
15

74
65
9

62
53
9

55
44
11

51
41
10

51
39
11

50
37
13

48
33
15

45
29
16

42
25
17

Western Europe (25)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

50
35
15

54
37
18

59
38
21

54
31
22

47
27
20

47
26
21

49
26
23

49
26
24

51
25
26

52
24
28

Austria
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

50
34
16

52
34
19

63
40
23

56
32
24

48
27
21

48
26
22

49
26
23

48
25
23

47
24
24

48
22
26

Belgium
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

47
31
16

55
36
19

58
37
21

54
32
22

49
29
21

49
27
22

51
27
24

52
26
26

52
26
26

52
26
27

France
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

52
34
17

61
43
19

60
40
21

57
35
22

52
32
20

52
30
21

53
30
23

54
29
25

54
28
25

54
28
26

Germany
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

49
35
14

49
32
17

59
37
22

52
28
24

44
23
21

45
23
22

46
24
23

47
23
24

50
21
29

51
20
31

Luxembourg
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

42
28
14

47
31
16

53
34
19

48
28
20

44
25
19

44
25
19

48
27
20

49
28
21

49
28
21

46
26
20

470

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

56
22
34

58
22
36

66
22
44

82
25
57

89
27
62

86
27
58

82
28
54

83
29
55

84
29
55

83
29
54

Italy
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

45
20
25

51
20
31

60
21
39

62
21
41

72
22
49

84
25
59

85
26
59

82
27
55

81
28
53

81
29
52

Malta
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

47
27
20

49
26
23

53
24
29

56
24
32

63
25
38

69
25
44

73
26
47

76
27
49

77
28
49

77
28
48

Montenegro
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

51
22
29

52
20
32

59
19
40

73
21
52

87
23
64

88
24
64

90
26
64

91
28
63

87
28
59

85
29
57

Portugal
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

47
25
22

50
25
25

51
23
29

56
23
34

65
24
41

72
25
47

75
26
49

77
27
50

76
28
49

76
28
48

Serbia (22)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

48
21
27

54
23
32

63
23
40

70
23
47

81
27
54

82
28
55

77
27
50

79
29
50

81
30
52

81
29
52

Slovenia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

50
23
27

52
23
29

58
21
37

74
24
50

90
28
62

87
27
60

83
27
56

87
29
58

88
30
58

86
29
57

Spain (23)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

41
23
18

43
22
21

48
21
27

54
21
34

65
22
43

76
24
52

80
25
54

79
26
53

79
27
51

78
28
50

TFYR Macedonia (24)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

55
24
31

58
24
34

69
26
43

77
28
49

78
28
50

79
30
49

78
30
48

78
30
48

80
30
49

81
30
51

Western Europe (25)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

49
21
28

50
20
30

63
22
41

74
23
50

78
24
53

82
26
56

83
28
55

82
28
54

82
29
54

84
29
55

Austria
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

55
26
29

59
27
32

67
28
39

73
29
44

74
30
44

74
30
43

73
30
42

75
31
44

76
31
46

78
30
47

Belgium
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

59
29
30

62
29
33

68
29
39

73
30
43

74
31
43

74
30
44

75
30
44

77
31
46

79
31
48

81
31
50

France
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

53
20
33

57
21
36

72
24
48

81
25
56

83
27
57

85
29
56

82
29
53

80
29
50

81
30
51

82
30
52

Germany
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

46
25
21

47
25
22

55
27
28

62
28
35

68
28
40

73
29
44

77
29
48

78
30
49

80
30
50

81
30
51

Luxembourg
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

471

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Netherlands
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

58
46
12

64
49
15

60
44
16

52
34
17

46
29
18

45
26
19

46
27
19

47
27
20

48
27
21

49
26
23

Switzerland
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

49
35
14

52
37
16

54
36
17

51
30
21

47
26
20

46
25
21

48
26
22

49
26
23

47
24
23

47
22
25

Latin America and Caribbean


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

78
71
6

85
78
7

87
79
8

78
70
8

74
66
8

70
61
8

65
56
9

60
51
9

57
47
10

53
43
11

Caribbean (26)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

77
70
7

80
73
7

85
76
9

73
63
10

68
57
10

64
53
11

63
52
11

60
48
12

57
44
12

54
41
13

Aruba
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

81
78
3

86
82
5

70
64
7

50
40
10

47
36
11

48
36
11

44
34
10

44
34
11

43
31
12

40
27
13

Bahamas
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

78
70
8

86
79
7

84
77
6

70
63
7

64
58
7

58
51
7

56
49
7

53
45
8

47
38
9

42
32
10

Barbados
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

64
54
9

81
69
12

83
68
15

67
49
18

59
42
17

52
36
15

51
35
16

50
33
17

45
28
17

40
24
16

Cuba
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

69
61
7

66
58
8

77
66
10

65
52
13

54
41
13

47
34
13

46
33
13

46
32
14

44
28
16

42
25
18

Dominican Rep.
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

93
88
5

102
97
5

101
96
6

83
78
6

77
71
6

73
67
7

71
63
8

67
58
9

63
54
10

60
49
10

Grenada
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

112
101
11

117
107
11

120
109
12

89
76
13

80
68
11

88
73
15

85
71
15

75
61
14

60
48
12

53
42
11

Guadeloupe (27)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

78
70
8

93
83
10

91
82
9

67
56
12

60
48
12

53
41
12

53
39
14

54
38
16

55
37
17

54
35
19

Haiti
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

76
70
6

77
71
6

83
77
7

82
75
7

86
78
7

88
81
7

86
79
7

79
72
7

73
66
7

68
60
7

Jamaica
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

66
60
6

85
77
8

111
99
12

89
76
13

79
67
12

74
61
13

70
58
12

67
55
12

63
51
13

58
46
12

Martinique
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

74
65
9

88
80
8

87
78
10

63
50
13

57
43
14

52
37
15

53
37
17

54
35
19

53
32
21

52
29
22

472

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

53
26
27

56
25
31

68
27
41

77
29
48

75
29
46

74
29
45

77
30
47

77
30
47

78
30
48

80
30
50

Netherlands
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

50
22
28

54
23
31

65
25
41

77
25
52

82
26
56

87
28
59

85
29
57

83
29
54

84
29
55

86
30
56

Switzerland
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

51
39
12

49
36
13

50
32
18

52
29
24

57
27
30

63
26
36

69
26
42

73
27
47

77
27
50

79
28
51

Latin America and Caribbean


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
38
14

52
36
16

54
33
21

57
30
27

59
28
31

63
27
36

67
27
40

69
27
43

72
27
45

74
27
47

Caribbean (26)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

40
24
16

43
23
20

60
26
35

68
26
42

63
25
39

69
26
42

74
27
47

74
27
47

76
29
47

77
29
48

Aruba
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

41
29
11

44
29
14

50
28
22

55
26
29

60
25
34

68
27
42

71
27
44

72
27
46

76
28
48

78
28
49

Bahamas
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

40
22
18

44
23
22

57
24
33

66
24
42

71
25
46

78
27
51

79
28
51

77
28
48

77
29
48

78
30
48

Barbados
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

42
22
20

43
20
23

56
20
36

77
22
55

79
22
57

87
24
63

91
26
65

89
27
62

87
28
59

86
29
57

Cuba
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

57
46
11

55
43
12

54
37
16

54
33
21

55
29
26

59
27
32

64
26
37

69
26
43

74
26
47

78
27
51

Dominican Rep.
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

50
40
11

51
40
12

51
34
17

47
27
21

58
26
32

74
26
48

72
25
47

74
26
48

76
26
49

77
27
50

Grenada
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

54
32
22

56
31
25

66
30
36

76
30
46

74
28
46

78
28
50

82
28
54

86
30
56

84
30
55

82
29
52

Guadeloupe (27)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

62
55
7

59
51
8

52
43
9

47
37
11

48
33
15

50
30
21

53
28
25

56
27
29

60
27
33

64
27
37

Haiti
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
40
12

52
38
14

55
35
20

59
31
28

60
28
32

64
26
38

72
27
45

73
27
46

74
27
47

76
28
48

Jamaica
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

53
28
25

55
26
29

68
26
42

78
26
52

76
25
51

84
26
59

89
27
62

91
29
63

88
29
59

85
29
55

Martinique
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

473

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Netherlands Antilles (28)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

71
60
11

86
77
9

72
63
9

57
47
10

54
43
11

50
39
11

51
40
11

51
37
14

49
34
15

45
30
15

Puerto Rico
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

89
82
7

92
82
10

76
64
11

65
52
13

62
48
14

58
43
15

56
39
16

54
36
17

52
34
18

51
32
19

St. Lucia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

75
69
7

97
89
8

123
113
10

97
87
10

87
77
10

80
67
13

75
62
13

66
54
13

55
44
11

48
38
10

St. Vincent and the Grenadines


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

114
105
8

116
107
9

120
110
11

98
86
11

84
73
10

79
68
11

70
58
11

62
51
11

56
44
11

50
40
10

Trinidad and Tobago


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

80
73
7

88
81
7

87
79
8

66
57
9

65
56
9

66
57
9

59
50
9

47
39
9

39
31
9

38
28
10

US Virgin Islands
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

87
73
14

86
74
12

66
60
6

68
60
8

63
55
8

54
44
9

54
42
11

53
40
13

51
34
17

53
31
22

Central America
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

85
79
6

96
89
6

100
93
7

93
86
7

86
79
7

78
70
8

72
64
8

67
58
8

63
54
9

58
49
10

Belize
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

73
67
6

99
91
8

106
97
9

105
96
9

98
90
8

92
85
7

91
84
7

83
76
7

74
67
7

64
57
6

Costa Rica
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

76
68
9

98
88
9

98
88
9

73
65
8

69
61
9

69
60
8

66
57
9

59
50
9

51
42
9

46
36
10

El Salvador
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

88
80
7

95
88
7

100
93
7

96
88
8

93
85
8

86
77
9

80
71
9

78
68
10

72
61
11

64
52
11

Guatemala
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

89
84
5

94
88
5

91
85
6

94
88
6

95
89
6

95
88
7

94
87
7

92
85
8

90
82
8

85
77
8

Honduras
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

86
79
7

96
89
6

102
96
6

100
94
6

97
91
6

95
88
6

91
85
7

86
79
7

78
71
7

70
62
7

Mexico
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

85
79
6

96
89
6

102
94
8

93
86
7

85
77
7

75
67
8

68
60
8

63
54
9

59
49
9

55
45
10

Nicaragua
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

85
79
5

98
94
5

102
97
5

99
93
6

100
94
6

96
90
6

90
83
6

80
74
7

72
65
7

64
57
8

474

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

46
29
18

48
27
21

55
24
31

65
22
43

82
26
56

92
27
65

82
26
56

84
30
54

82
30
53

75
29
46

Netherlands Antilles (28)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

51
30
21

52
29
24

55
26
29

59
24
35

66
24
41

73
25
49

79
25
54

84
26
58

86
27
59

86
28
58

Puerto Rico
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

45
35
10

45
33
11

45
28
17

47
24
23

55
24
32

66
24
42

72
24
48

78
26
52

82
27
55

83
28
55

St. Lucia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

46
36
10

45
33
12

48
29
19

49
26
23

52
25
27

57
24
32

62
25
38

69
26
43

73
27
46

74
28
46

St. Vincent and the Grenadines


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

40
28
11

42
28
14

47
25
22

51
23
28

64
25
39

71
26
45

69
26
43

72
28
45

74
28
46

73
29
45

Trinidad and Tobago


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

59
30
29

63
29
34

75
30
45

73
27
46

63
24
39

70
26
44

74
26
49

78
26
52

83
27
56

86
28
58

US Virgin Islands
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

55
45
10

53
41
12

51
35
16

53
31
22

56
29
27

61
28
34

67
27
40

72
27
45

76
28
48

78
28
50

Central America
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

57
51
7

54
47
7

52
41
11

49
34
15

50
30
20

55
28
27

60
27
33

64
26
38

70
26
44

74
26
47

Belize
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

43
32
11

43
30
13

47
26
20

50
23
27

59
23
36

71
24
48

81
25
56

86
26
60

89
27
62

89
28
61

Costa Rica
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

57
45
12

54
42
12

50
36
14

47
29
18

49
26
23

58
25
33

68
25
43

74
26
49

80
27
53

82
28
55

El Salvador
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

79
71
8

74
66
8

66
57
9

59
49
10

56
43
13

55
39
17

56
35
21

58
32
25

61
31
30

64
29
35

Guatemala
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

63
56
8

59
51
8

53
43
10

49
36
13

50
32
18

54
29
25

59
27
32

64
26
38

69
26
43

74
26
48

Honduras
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
41
11

50
38
12

49
31
17

53
28
25

57
26
31

64
25
39

71
25
45

78
26
52

82
27
55

84
28
56

Mexico
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

58
50
8

55
46
9

50
38
12

48
31
16

51
28
23

59
26
33

65
25
40

72
25
46

77
26
51

80
27
54

Nicaragua
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

475

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Panama
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

80
72
7

89
81
8

93
85
8

82
74
8

73
65
8

67
59
8

63
54
8

60
51
9

57
48
9

55
45
10

South America (29)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

75
69
6

82
76
7

83
75
7

73
66
8

70
62
8

67
59
8

63
54
9

58
49
9

54
44
10

51
41
11

Argentina
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

53
47
6

57
48
9

57
46
11

63
50
13

65
51
14

66
51
15

63
47
15

61
45
16

57
41
16

55
39
16

Bolivia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

81
75
6

85
78
6

86
80
7

85
79
7

83
77
7

81
74
7

80
73
7

78
71
7

74
67
8

69
61
8

Brazil
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

80
75
5

86
80
6

85
78
7

72
65
7

69
62
7

66
58
7

60
52
8

54
45
9

51
42
9

48
38
10

Chile
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

69
62
7

79
71
9

81
72
9

63
54
9

58
49
9

56
47
10

57
47
10

54
43
11

49
37
12

46
32
13

Colombia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

85
79
6

98
91
6

97
90
7

81
74
7

73
66
7

69
62
7

65
57
7

60
53
8

56
48
8

52
44
9

Ecuador
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

81
72
10

92
83
9

94
86
8

88
80
8

82
75
7

76
68
7

69
61
8

65
57
8

61
52
9

58
48
10

French Guiana
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

57
48
9

81
69
12

78
69
9

64
57
8

60
53
7

63
57
6

64
58
6

66
60
6

64
58
6

61
54
7

Guyana
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

78
71
7

98
92
7

109
102
7

86
79
7

75
68
8

65
57
8

66
57
8

67
59
8

69
62
6

61
54
7

Paraguay
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

100
94
6

104
98
6

98
91
7

86
79
7

84
76
7

83
76
7

81
73
8

74
66
8

68
60
8

63
55
8

Peru
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

82
76
6

87
80
6

90
83
7

83
77
7

78
71
7

73
66
7

68
61
7

64
56
8

60
51
9

56
47
10

Suriname
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

85
74
11

107
99
9

109
101
8

79
72
8

67
60
7

61
54
8

60
52
8

57
48
9

56
47
9

54
44
10

Uruguay
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

57
44
13

56
43
13

58
44
14

60
43
17

60
43
17

60
42
19

60
40
20

60
39
21

59
38
21

57
35
22

476

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

53
42
11

51
39
13

52
34
17

55
31
23

57
29
28

60
28
32

65
27
38

70
27
43

75
27
48

79
28
51

Panama
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

49
37
12

48
34
14

49
30
19

52
27
24

57
26
31

64
26
38

70
26
44

74
26
48

78
27
51

80
28
52

South America (29)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

54
37
17

54
35
18

53
32
21

53
29
24

59
28
30

64
28
36

67
27
40

71
27
44

75
28
47

77
28
49

Argentina
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

64
56
8

61
52
9

57
46
11

54
40
13

52
36
16

53
33
20

56
30
25

59
29
30

62
28
34

66
27
39

Bolivia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

45
33
12

44
30
14

46
26
20

51
24
27

59
23
36

67
24
44

77
25
52

81
26
55

83
27
56

83
28
55

Brazil
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

45
30
15

47
29
18

54
27
27

59
25
34

63
25
38

73
26
47

77
26
51

80
27
53

82
28
55

83
28
54

Chile
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

51
41
10

50
38
12

50
33
17

52
30
23

56
28
28

61
27
34

66
26
39

71
27
45

76
27
48

78
28
50

Colombia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

55
44
11

53
40
12

51
35
16

52
31
21

56
28
28

60
26
34

66
26
41

72
26
46

77
26
51

81
27
54

Ecuador
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

58
50
8

58
48
10

60
46
14

60
43
17

57
39
18

58
37
21

60
34
26

62
32
29

65
31
33

67
30
37

French Guiana
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

49
42
7

43
34
9

48
33
15

52
29
22

51
25
27

56
25
31

72
28
45

69
26
43

72
27
44

76
28
48

Guyana
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

60
51
9

58
48
10

55
42
13

51
36
15

52
33
19

55
31
25

58
29
29

61
28
34

66
27
39

70
27
43

Paraguay
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

53
43
10

51
39
11

49
34
15

50
30
20

53
27
26

59
26
33

65
26
39

70
26
45

75
26
48

78
27
51

Peru
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

50
39
10

47
35
11

49
32
17

52
29
23

54
26
27

58
26
32

65
26
38

68
27
42

71
27
44

74
28
46

Suriname
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

55
33
22

55
32
23

57
30
27

59
28
30

62
27
35

67
27
40

71
27
44

74
28
47

77
28
49

79
28
50

Uruguay
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

477

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Venezuela
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

83
80
3

93
88
5

94
89
5

78
72
6

74
68
6

71
65
6

67
60
7

62
55
7

57
49
8

54
45
9

Northern America (30)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

55
42
13

67
52
15

62
46
16

51
34
17

50
33
18

51
33
19

52
33
19

50
32
19

48
30
18

49
29
20

Canada
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

60
47
12

70
57
13

61
49
13

47
34
14

46
31
15

47
30
17

48
30
18

46
28
18

44
25
19

44
24
20

United States of America


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

54
42
13

67
51
15

62
46
16

51
34
17

51
33
18

52
33
19

53
33
19

51
32
19

49
31
18

50
30
20

Oceania
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

59
48
12

68
56
12

65
53
12

60
48
13

58
45
13

56
42
14

56
41
15

55
40
15

54
38
16

53
37
16

Australia/New Zealand
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

55
42
13

65
51
14

61
47
13

54
40
15

52
36
16

50
33
17

51
33
18

50
32
19

49
30
19

48
29
20

Australia (31)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

53
41
13

63
49
14

59
46
13

54
39
15

51
36
16

50
33
17

50
32
18

50
31
19

48
29
19

48
28
20

New Zealand
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

61
47
14

71
56
15

67
53
14

59
43
15

54
38
16

52
35
17

53
35
18

53
35
18

51
32
18

50
31
20

Melanesia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

80
73
7

84
79
4

84
80
4

87
83
4

86
81
5

79
75
5

75
70
5

73
68
5

71
66
5

69
64
5

Fiji
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

98
92
5

102
97
4

85
81
4

72
68
4

72
67
5

70
65
5

66
61
5

63
57
6

53
47
6

51
44
7

New Caledonia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

67
61
6

71
65
6

72
67
6

69
62
7

67
59
7

59
51
8

55
47
8

53
44
9

51
41
10

50
38
12

Papua New Guinea


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

77
70
7

81
77
4

84
80
4

90
86
4

88
84
4

80
76
4

76
72
4

75
70
4

74
70
5

72
67
5

Solomon Islands
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

80
77
4

84
79
5

90
84
7

102
95
7

101
95
6

93
88
6

85
80
5

81
75
5

77
72
5

75
70
6

Vanuatu
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

96
91
5

95
90
5

93
87
6

91
85
6

91
85
6

90
83
7

86
79
7

81
75
6

76
70
6

72
66
6

478

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)
2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

53
43
10

52
40
12

51
35
16

51
31
20

54
28
25

58
27
31

63
26
37

69
26
43

74
26
47

78
27
51

Venezuela
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
30
22

56
30
26

64
31
33

66
31
35

67
31
36

69
31
38

70
31
39

72
31
41

75
31
44

77
31
46

Northern America (30)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

48
24
24

53
25
28

65
27
38

67
26
41

70
27
42

74
29
45

73
28
45

75
29
47

79
30
50

81
29
52

Canada
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

53
31
22

56
31
25

64
31
33

66
31
35

67
31
35

68
31
37

69
31
38

72
31
41

74
31
43

76
31
45

United States of America


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

55
37
18

57
37
20

61
36
25

62
34
28

63
33
30

65
33
33

66
31
35

68
31
37

71
30
40

73
30
43

Oceania
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
29
23

56
30
25

62
31
32

66
30
36

69
30
39

74
31
43

74
30
44

77
30
46

80
31
49

81
30
51

Australia/New Zealand
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
29
23

56
30
25

62
30
31

65
30
36

69
30
39

74
31
43

74
30
44

77
30
46

80
31
49

81
30
51

Australia (31)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

53
31
22

57
32
25

65
32
33

69
31
38

70
31
39

74
32
42

74
31
43

76
31
45

79
31
47

80
31
49

New Zealand
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

65
60
6

62
56
6

57
49
8

54
44
10

52
40
13

51
36
15

52
33
19

54
31
23

56
29
26

59
28
30

Melanesia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

52
43
9

53
42
11

52
36
16

52
33
19

54
31
23

56
29
27

57
28
30

63
28
36

67
28
40

70
28
43

Fiji
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

49
35
14

49
33
16

51
30
21

55
28
27

59
27
32

64
27
37

69
27
42

74
27
46

77
28
50

80
29
51

New Caledonia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

67
62
5

63
58
6

57
50
7

54
45
9

52
40
11

50
36
14

51
34
18

52
31
21

54
29
25

57
28
29

Papua New Guinea


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

72
66
6

67
61
6

59
52
7

56
47
10

54
42
13

53
37
16

53
34
19

55
31
24

57
29
28

61
28
33

Solomon Islands
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

68
61
6

65
58
7

61
52
9

57
46
11

56
42
14

55
38
17

56
35
21

57
33
24

59
31
28

62
29
32

Vanuatu
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

2100 Major area, region and country

479

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Dependency ratio (per 100)
Major area, region and country

1950

1960

1970

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

Micronesia (32)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

64
58
6

86
80
6

87
81
5

80
74
6

72
67
6

68
62
6

67
60
6

60
54
6

58
51
7

55
48
8

Guam
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

40
38
2

73
70
3

71
68
3

61
56
5

56
51
5

52
46
6

55
48
7

56
48
8

56
46
10

53
42
11

Micronesia (Fed. States of)


Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

80
73
7

96
89
7

97
91
7

104
96
7

97
90
7

91
84
7

88
82
7

78
72
7

73
66
7

67
61
6

Polynesia (33)
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

94
90
5

97
92
5

99
94
5

79
73
5

73
67
5

72
66
7

70
63
7

70
62
8

64
55
9

60
51
9

French Polynesia
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

89
84
5

89
84
5

94
89
5

75
70
5

68
63
5

63
57
5

60
54
6

59
52
6

48
40
8

46
37
9

Samoa
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

97
92
5

102
98
3

98
95
3

78
74
4

74
70
4

81
74
7

77
70
8

82
74
8

80
71
9

75
66
9

Tonga
Total dependency ratio ................
Child dependency ratio ...............
Old-age dependency ratio ...........

103
99
4

95
89
7

104
98
6

82
76
6

81
74
7

78
70
8

81
72
10

79
69
10

79
68
11

76
66
10

a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

480

More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries are 48 countries, 33 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania plus one in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa, with the Sudan included in sub-Saharan Africa.
Including Seychelles.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Southern Sudan which voted in favor of independence, but was not an official UN Member State as of May 2011.
Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
Includes other non-specified areas.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

Table A.33. Dependency ratios by major area, region and country (continued)
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
2010-2100: Medium variant
Dependency ratio (per 100)

16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

2015

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100 Major area, region and country

52
43
9

51
40
11

54
37
17

55
34
21

54
31
24

57
29
28

63
29
34

64
28
36

67
27
39

71
28
43

Micronesia (32)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

51
38
13

51
36
15

56
35
21

57
32
25

56
29
26

59
28
30

64
28
36

68
27
40

72
27
44

75
28
47

Guam
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

62
56
7

60
52
9

57
47
11

50
39
10

47
33
14

51
31
20

56
30
26

56
27
28

59
26
33

66
27
39

Micronesia (Fed. States of)


Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

56
46
10

54
43
11

56
40
16

58
38
20

56
34
22

57
32
25

62
32
30

63
31
32

64
29
35

68
29
38

Polynesia (33)
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

43
33
10

45
32
13

47
29
19

51
26
25

54
24
30

63
24
38

69
24
44

74
25
48

79
26
52

81
27
54

French Polynesia
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

69
60
9

63
53
10

65
52
14

68
51
17

59
43
16

53
37
16

59
37
22

58
34
24

57
31
26

62
30
32

Samoa
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

74
64
10

67
58
10

61
50
12

64
49
15

59
43
16

52
37
16

57
37
20

58
34
24

55
30
25

60
30
29

Tonga
Total dependency ratio
Child dependency ratio
Old-age dependency ratio

Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including land Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
Including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, and Turks and Caicos
Islands.
Including Saint-Barthlemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Refers to Curaao, Sint Maarten (Dutch part), Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
Including Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division


World Population Prospects: The 2010, Volume 1:Comprehensive Tables

481

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