Sustainability Pressures July 2009 2 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Scope Report Highlights Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Product Applications Where Next? 3 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Agar Alginates Beta-glucan Celluloses Cellulose ethers Carboxymethyl cellulose Quaternised hydroxyethyl cellulose Microcrystalline cellulose Carrageenans (including semi-refined) Gellan gum Galactomannans Locust Bean Gum Guar gum Guar hydroxpropyltrimonium chloride Gelatin Gum arabic Konjac Pectin Xanthan gum Scope Scope of This Report This report discusses the global market for hydrocolloids, as detailed below: This report does not include starches and dietary fibre, which will be covered in forthcoming reports. However, as dietary fibre ingredients are also used to thicken food and drink products, there is some crossover between these two sets of ingredients. Many of the hydrocolloids discussed in this report are important sources of dietary fibre, and reference is made to this in the report. Inulin and oligofructose, which are used primarily as dietary fibre ingredients, will be covered in a forthcoming report on dietary fibre ingredients. 4 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Scope Report Highlights Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Product Applications Where Next? 5 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Diversity drives the market: Volume sales of hydrocolloids, as defined in this report, were over 564,000 tonnes in 2008. The market saw a CAGR of 4.0% by volume between 2003 and 2008, but this is forecast to slow to 2.9% to 2013. Hydrocolloids are used in a wide variety of products and this has, and will continue, to keep the market in growth. Current and future growth is forecast to continue in the key regions of Asia Pacific, Western Europe and North America. This is being driven by continued demand for products such as yoghurt, ice cream and pet foods, in which hydrocolloids play an important role. As companies continue to do more research into hydrocolloids and their potential uses, the forecast continues to be positive for these ingredients. Growth in natural ingredients: Todays consumer is looking to reduce intake of synthetic ingredients. As hydrocolloids are made from natural sources, their use, particularly in food and drink, is important for end-use manufacturers who want to use only natural ingredients. This puts hydrocolloid suppliers in a strong position with end-use manufacturers. Helping to fight global obesity: As hydrocolloids make effective fat-replacers, they have been at the forefront of the development of low-fat foods. With the increase in obesity rates in many countries, the development of good tasting low-fat foods is key to helping fight this global health issue. Some hydrocolloids have also been seen to have other health benefits, such as being used as prebiotic ingredients, giving them good potential for future new applications. The rise of convenience foods: The demand for convenience foods continues to increase, in particular in the developing regions where consumers are adopting western lifestyles. Hydrocolloids have played a crucial role in the development of these products, and while demand for convenience foods continues to rise, demand for hydrocolloids will also keep increasing. Supply and cost pressures: Due to hydrocolloids being derived from natural sources this has resulted in supply issues. In particular, the supply of seaweed-derived hydrocolloids has been badly affected by poor harvests, while at the same time they have seen demand increase, resulting in issues with supply. These issues, along with the increase in the cost of energy, have resulted in many ingredient manufacturers being faced with having to increase their prices to their customers. Report Highlights Key Findings 6 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Opportunities Weaknesses Strengths Threats Diversity Natural ingredients Health foods Developing regions Supply issues Substitutes Price Increases Competition Hydrocolloids are used in a diverse range of products ,including food and drink, pet foods, cosmetics and toiletries and household care. This means that they are not reliant on one particular application, and therefore any negative changes to these categories will not have an adverse affect on the overall hydrocolloids market. Hydrocolloids are derived from natural sources, putting them in a good position with end-use manufacturers who want to use natural ingredients. Many consumers are looking to buy products that dont contain synthetic ingredients, and manufacturers are meeting this demand by launching natural products. Price increases are leading end-use manufacturers to look for alternatives. In particular, those ingredients produced from seaweed are at most threat of being substituted. Starch suppliers are starting to compete directly with hydrocolloid suppliers, offering products with similar functions but at a lower cost. Competition from Asia is increasing, as the raw materials are produced locally, and the cost of fuel and labour is lower than in other regions. With price increases hitting most ingredient suppliers, end- use manufacturers will be looking for cheaper sources. However, Sub. The increase in demand for health foods, including low-fat, low-sugar, gluten-free and functional foods, has opened up new avenues for hydrocolloid manufacturers. They are well placed to offer ingredients and formulations to meet food and drink manufacturers requirements if development and research continues in this area. The developing regions are key to long-term growth. Demand for prepared foods is driving the market in these regions. Suppliers have a great opportunity to tap into this demand. This can be achieved by expanding production or opening sales offices in these regions to meet the specific requirements of the market. Over-demand and decreasing production levels are causing issues with supply of raw materials. This has led to unreliable supply both in terms of quantity and quality, which is having a knock-on effect in the industries that they sell to. Working with the producers of raw materials or having a dedicated supplier is key. Hydrocolloids have been hit by price increases, particularly due to higher energy costs. Those derived from seaweed have been particularly hard hit because of poor harvests and soaring demand. It is likely in the long term that prices will continue to rise as energy supplies drop. Report Highlights SWOT 7 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector This growth in demand for convenience foods in these countries and regions is resulting in huge opportunities for ingredient suppliers. Report Highlights Convenience - Global Demand for Prepared Foods Hydrocolloids have played an important role in the food and drink industry, particularly in the rise in prepared foods. Demand for these types of products is at an all-time high, not only in Western regions but also in Asia Pacific, Latin America and Africa. Countries such as China have seen their incomes rise over the last decade, and younger, more affluent consumers are changing their habits. Single-person households and couples without children are often more lazy in their attitudes to cooking at home, as they need not consider others, such as children or parents. They seek convenient and fast lifestyle solutions. As a result, packaged foods are taking the place of cooked dinners. Sales of products such as bakery products, frozen processed food, chilled processed food and ready meals, have been boosted by the increasing numbers of small households and young consumers living alone. Other emerging markets, including Brazil, India and Russia, are seeing similar changes to their markets, and demand for convenience foods is not abating. Volume, 2003-08 CAGR % of Prepared Foods by Type and by Country Ready Meals Canned food Frozen processed food Chilled processed food Snack foods Bakery products Brazil 12.0 2.6 5.1 6.3 4.5 1.6 Russia 8.9 5.2 9.6 4.1 15.2 -0.2 India 24.2 8.5 9.4 - 11.8 5.4 China 10.0 3.5 8.0 7.6 6.8 9.7 8 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The majority of hydrocolloids are used in prepared foods to some extent, but some are more important than others in this sector of the food industry. Suppliers of these particular hydrocolloids are therefore well placed to be part of this growing sector of the food industry. Report Highlights Convenience - Key Hydrocolloids Used in Prepared Foods Ready meals Canned food Frozen processed food Chilled processed food Snack foods Bakery products Beta-glucan
Carrageenan
Guar gum
Konjac
Locust bean gum
Xanthan gum
9 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector One of the key applications for hydrocolloids in recent years has been as a fat replacer. The demand for fat replacers has been driven by the demand for reduced- and low-fat products, as consumers try to lead a healthier lifestyle. There are more than one billion overweight adults worldwide, at least 300 million of them obese. This has been caused by consumers eating more (including more high-fat and high-sugar foods) and exercising less. The associated health consequences include heart disease, type-2 diabetes, stroke and some cancers. The problem is not just confined to the Western world, although the largest proportion of obese people can be found in these countries. Many Asian countries are seeing a rise in obesity rates, as people become more affluent and in turn eat a more Westernised diet, high in fat and sugar. Closely related to the obesity epidemic is the rise and prevalence of diabetes, in particular type-2 diabetes. Report Highlights Health and Wellbeing Obesity Epidemic Opportunity 0 10 20 30 40 Poland Israel Hungary South Africa Turkey Canada United New Zealand Australia Greece Mexico Venezuela Saudi Arabia Chile Argentina Egypt USA % of population Obesity Rates by Country, 2008 10 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The better-for-you (BFY) reduced-fat market was estimated to be worth over US$112 bn in 2008. The market is forecast to see growth to a value of around US$128 bn in 2012. The reduced-fat dairy products sector is the largest sector by value, accounting for over half of the market. It has also continued to be one of the strongest performing sectors, and is forecast to see continued growth ahead of the overall market. Reduced-fat dairy products are key applications for hydrocolloids. They are used to stabilise the product and provide the texture and mouthfeel lost by the reduction in fat. Other key applications include ice cream and sauces, dressings and condiments, all of which currently use hydrocolloids to improve the texture or stabilise the product. Suppliers which market their hydrocolloids as fat replacers will be able to tap into these sectors, as well as other potential growth sectors, such as soups, snacks and bakery products. Hydrocolloid suppliers are beginning to meet the demand of food manufacturers to lower the fat content in their products by launching hydrocolloid formulations that will meet these needs. US company Gum Technology supplies Coyote Brand CKX-Fat Replacer, which combines microcrystalline cellulose, konjac and xanthan gum, and which is said to mimic fat and give a creamy mouthfeel to products. CP Kelcos Simplesse Microcapsulated Whey Protein Concentrate contains uniform protein particles, which, due to their size and consistency, give the same mouthfeel of oil droplets when used in low-fat and low-sugar products. Some hydrocolloids are also used in low-sugar products, such as low-sugar beverages. When used in these products, the hydrocolloid can maintain the mouthfeel of the product, even with reduced sugar content. Report Highlights Health and Wellbeing Hydrocolloids as a Fat Replacer World Market for Better-For-You Reduced Fat Products by Value, 2008 Value (US$ mn) 2007-12 CAGR % BFY reduced fat packaged food 112,265 4.0 BFY reduced fat chocolate confectionery 86 -0.2 BFY reduced fat bakery products 2,696 3.3 BFY reduced fat ice cream 3,745 3.5 BFY reduced fat dairy products 58,953 4.6 BFY reduced fat sweet and savoury snacks 2,774 5.8 BFY reduced fat ready meals 5,488 2.0 BFY reduced fat soup 241 3.6 BFY reduced fat oils and fats 2,691 1.9 BFY reduced fat sauces, dressings and condiments 2,604 3.0 BFY reduced fat spreads 120 1.8 Other BFY reduced fat food 6,973 2.7 Note: 2008 data estimates. Value based on current exchange rate in 2007 11 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Potential health ingredients: Hydrocolloids are added to food and drinks to act as a texturiser, stabiliser, thickener, emulsifier and to form gels, among other purposes. However, many hydrocolloids have the advantage of adding potential health benefits to products, in particular as a source of soluble dietary fibre. Hydrocolloids high in dietary fibre include agar and beta-glucan. Pectin is also being examined as a new health ingredient. Claims have been made that it has a potential prebiotic effect, high fibre content and the potential to lower cholesterol. Consuming soluble dietary fibre is said to stimulate the growth of beneficial bacteria in the gut and improve digestive health. In Western diets, the amount of soluble dietary fibre may be insufficient, so consumers are seeking products that can give them the additional dietary fibre they need. Hydrocolloids are some of the highest sources of fibre, and are well placed to offer these health benefits on top of their traditional functions. Opportunities for suppliers: Generally, hydrocolloids are added to products in such low concentrations that manufacturers would not be able to make any health claims when they are used as an additive. Some hydrocolloid suppliers are, however, creating formulations that will help food manufacturers to increase the dietary fibre content of their products. TIC Gums launched a range of high-fibre yoghurt stabilisers, including TIC Pretested Dairyblend YG FB 3, which is a blend of hydrocolloids and starch providing 4g of fibre per serving. Dow Wolff Cellulosics launched Fortefiber, which is a cellulose-based formulation for a wide range of products that require additional soluble fibre. Fibregum, from Colloides Naturels International, is a range of high-fibre ingredients made from acacia gum. It is not easy for ingredient suppliers to start promoting their products as having particular health benefits. Not only are they normally used in small concentrations, but significant research is required to make a health claim. However, it may be beneficial for the industry as a whole to fund such research and realise potential growth in new untapped areas. Report Highlights Health and Wellbeing Possible Functional Benefits 12 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Natural ingredients: Hydrocolloids fit in with consumer demand for natural ingredients, as they tend to be derived from plant or animal sources. Consumers are increasingly aware of what they are consuming and are beginning to understand more about the ingredients that are found in everyday food and drink products. This puts hydrocolloid suppliers in a strong position to be able to market their products to end-use manufacturers which are looking to use all-natural ingredients. Natural ingredients: Hydrocolloids fit in with consumer demand for natural ingredients, as they tend to be derived from plant or animal sources. Consumers are increasingly aware of what they are consuming and are beginning to understand more about the ingredients that are found in everyday food and drink products. This puts hydrocolloid suppliers in a strong position to be able to market their products to end-use manufacturers which are looking to use all-natural ingredients. Organic ingredients: Many end-use manufacturers are looking to expand their ranges into the organic sector, although there is some debate as to whether this sector will continue to be as successful in the economic downturn. Generally, ingredient suppliers have been slow to respond to the organic trend, and while the demand organic products is still present, it would be a key market for ingredient suppliers to target. One such company that is meeting this trend is TIC Gums. It supplies a range of organic hydrocolloids, including gum arabic, locust bean gum and guar gum, under its TICorganic brand. In the US, a number of hydrocolloids can be used in products labelled as organic without having to be from an organic source. These include agar, carrageenan, alginates, xanthan gum and pectin. This means that suppliers of these ingredients are able to target the organic market with their ingredients, without those ingredients having to come from an organic source. Report Highlights Health and Wellbeing All-natural Products The use of natural ingredients is very important to manufacturers who are making claims about their products being all natural leading ingredient supplier 13 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The majority of hydrocolloids are plant-based; however, gelatin is produced from animal sources, including cattle, pigs and fish. For the majority of consumers this is of little concern, but there is a significant sector of the population who will not consume products that contain gelatin. This may be for religious or ethical reasons. The number of people who will not consume products containing gelatin is difficult to measure, but it includes an estimated: 1.5 billion Muslims 900 million Hindus 14 million Jews 12 million vegetarians in the US and 3.5 million in the UK This issue became a concern for a wider section of the population during the BSE crisis in the 1980s and 1990s. This caused many people to stop consuming bovine products, including gelatin, and food manufacturers began to look for alternative hydrocolloids. Although gelatin is perfectly safe, and comes under the same strict guidelines as all bovine products, the negative attitudes to it have not disappeared. Indeed, the BSE scare highlighted to many people that what they were consuming contained animal products, which they may have been previously unaware of. Some manufacturers are addressing this, and the use of gelatin made from fish skins is increasing. Rousselot was the first company to produce such a product, under the Rousselot FG brand. While this may not satisfy the vegetarian population, it opens up the market to products supplied to parts of Asia and Africa, where the Muslim and Hindu populations are greatest. For manufacturers who wish to have a vegetarian product, other hydrocolloids can meet that need. Report Highlights Health and Wellbeing Gelatin a Cause for Concern? 14 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector As hydrocolloids tend to be derived from natural sources, hydrocolloid manufacturers are at the forefront of the environmental debate. Sustainability of supply: Sustainability of raw materials is important for both the producers of the raw materials and the ingredient manufacturers, because a shortage of supply leads to price increases. The sustainability of the supply of seaweed for production of hydrocolloids has come into focus in recent years. Production of seaweed is declining in many regions, due to a number of factors. Climate change is having an effect on the temperature of sea water, and farmers are producing less seaweed each year. Wild sources are shrinking or moving to cooler waters. There is also evidence of some diseases becoming more prevalent, exacerbated by farming the same species for many years, which also affects the yield. Sustainable supply of gum arabic derived from the acacia tree has also been an issue. There have been a number of factors contributing to a falling supply, including changes to the climate, conflicts in countries such as Sudan, and over farming. Hydrocolloid suppliers, like all ingredient suppliers, need to be able to maintain the supply and quality of their products. Some have been looking at new strains of seaweed that may be better placed to meet the changing climate and give a good yield. To maintain the supply of gum arabic, countries such as Sudan, Chad and Nigeria are building up reserves and stockpiling for times of shortage. This will help to guarantee the supply to ingredient manufacturers and keep prices stable. Fair trade: Ingredient suppliers which use products like seaweed or plants like the acacia tree, guar gum bush or the carob tree, are often sourcing these from undeveloped regions of the world. Farmers of these raw materials are often exploited by the buying power of the large multinational companies, looking to source their raw materials at the lowest cost. However, if the price goes too low, it becomes unsustainable for farmers to continue, leading to fewer farmers producing these crops, a reduction in supply, and an increase in prices. A fair price will therefore benefit both the farmers and the ingredient suppliers. It is, therefore, important that ingredient suppliers work with the farmers and the countries to maintain production and trade in a sustainable way, benefiting all. Report Highlights Health and Wellbeing Ethical Considerations 15 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Scope Report Highlights Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Product Applications Where Next? 16 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Hydrocolloids have been used for hundreds of years as a way of forming gels, particularly in food products, where they are part of many traditional dishes, notably in Asia. Hydrocolloids have a wide range of applications, including many industrial applications, and are used in pharmaceuticals, household products, cosmetics and toiletries and food and drinks. However, it is the growth in packaged foods that has really seen the use of hydrocolloids boom. Found in products ranging from sugar confectionery and dairy desserts to meat products and soft drinks, there are very few areas of the food industry where they are not used. The popularity of hydrocolloids with food manufacturers is also increasing due to the rise in demand for healthier foods. They are being used in low-fat foods as fat replacers and in prebiotic functional foods, as some hydrocolloids have a high soluble fibre content. Volume sales of hydrocolloids, as defined in this report, were over 564,000 tonnes in 2008. The market saw a CAGR of 4.0% by volume between 2003 and 2008, with a peak in growth in 2004/05 due to strong demand for agar used in prebiotic products. Growth has since levelled off, and the CAGR is forecast to be 2.9% between 2008 and 2013. No hydrocolloid dominates this market, as they all offer different functions for use across a wide range of products. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Hydrocolloids Diversity Drives Market 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Hydrocolloids, 2003-13 Gum arabic 23.6% Gelatin 19.6% Xanthan gum 12.1% Galacto- mannans 11.7% Celluloses 12.0% Pectins 9.3% Seaweed derivatives 8.5% Beta- glucan 3.1% Others 0.1% Hydrocolloid Market by Volume, 2008 17 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Asia Pacific, Western Europe and North America together account for three quarters of the hydrocolloids market by volume. The market in Western Europe and North America has saw limited growth between 2003 and 2008, with CAGRs of 2.5% and 1.0%, respectively. Many of the key applications for hydrocolloids, such as sugar confectionery, dairy products and soft drinks, are mature markets in these regions. Asia Pacific is the main driver of the world hydrocolloids market. An increase in demand for prepared foods, as consumer habits change and populations increase, is driving the market. The other developing regions of Eastern Europe and the Middle East and Africa (MEA) have also seen strong growth rates 8.4% and 8.8%, respectively. However, these growth rates are not forecast to be sustained, due to a downturn in market growth for the key applications in these regions. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Hydrocolloids Asia Pacific Key Growth Region -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% C A G R
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2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR % 2003-08 Hydrocolloids Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 Asia Pacific Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Western Europe Australasia Latin America North America Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 18 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Due to high demand and issues around the supply of gum arabic (regional conflicts, climate and over-farming) a sustainable source of gum arabic can be an issue for food manufacturers. Xanthan gum was developed in the US as an alternative to gum arabic and other gums where supply was an issue. Ingredient suppliers are also continuing to develop products as alternative sources to gum arabic, as supply issues continue. For example, US company TIC Gums has developed a product for confectionery coatings. The TicaPan coating system is said to work in much the same way as gum arabic but is more cost-effective. Product developments like this will be a concern for companies such as Colloides Naturels International, whose main interests are in gum arabic. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Gum Arabic Supply Issues Could be a Cause for Concern Gum arabic, also referred to as acacia gum, is obtained from the acacia tree, which is found in the sub- Saharan zone of Africa. Historically, it was used for non-food applications, such as printing, paint and glue, but it is now widely used in food products as a stabiliser, emulsifier, binder and texturiser. Its main use is in gum-based sugar confectionery, such as pastilles and fruit gums. This accounts for the majority of its market and will remain so while these types of confectionery are popular throughout the world. It is also used in soft drinks, namely carbonates, concentrates and functional drinks. It is used to keep the sugar distributed in the liquid rather than sinking to the bottom. Leading Categories of Gum Arabic Usage, 2008 Categories % Share Vol (tonnes) Pastilles, gums, jellies and chews 96.1 128,106 Soft drinks 1.7 2,266 Mints 1.1 1,466 Meal replacement slimming products 0.7 933 19 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Gum arabic has the largest market of all the hydrocolloids covered in this report, with sales reaching 133,305 tonnes in 2008. Volume sales are forecast to increase to over 153,000 tonnes in 2013, with an annual increase of 2.8%. The market has seen steady growth over the review period; however, a slowdown in the two largest markets, Western Europe and North America, saw the growth rate drop in 2007/08. The declines in these markets are being offset by increases in the developing regions of Asia Pacific, Eastern Europe and MEA. As in many ingredients markets, growth in China is driving this market. The Chinese market for gum arabic saw an annual growth rate of 10.5% between 2003 and 2008, and a rate of 14.1% is forecast to 2013. Volumes are forecast to reach over 25,000 tonnes by 2013, although this is still some way behind the US, which alone accounts for 25% of the market. As the main application of gum arabic, the market for pastilles, gums, jellies and chews is determining the growth of this ingredient. Asia Pacific has seen good growth in this category and is forecast to see even stronger growth to 2013. Eastern Europe and MEA also saw strong review period growth, but the sugar confectionery market is slowing in these regions as people switch to chocolate confectionery and chewing gum. This is due to consumers becoming increasingly concerned about diets that are high in sugar. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Gum Arabic Moderate Growth for Key Hydrocolloid 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Gum Arabic, 2003-13 -3% -1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 0% 5% 10% C A G R
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2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR % 2003-08 Gum Arabic Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 Asia Pacific Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Western Europe Latin America North America Australasia Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 20 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Although gelatin is a natural product, it is derived from animal sources. For many consumers, particularly vegetarians, this is a reason to avoid products containing gelatin. It is also leading some manufacturers to look for plant-based alternatives to gelatin for their products, opening up a wider market for them. Many Hindus are vegetarians and therefore the market for gelatin is limited in regions such as South Asia. There is also an issue for other religious communities, in particular Muslims and Jews, who do not consume pig products, and who also require animals to have been slaughtered in a particular way (halal and kosher). This has led to companies developing fish-based gelatin. Global gelatin manufacturer Rousselot was one of the first companies to produce fish-based gelatin, opening up the market to these groups of consumers. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Gelatin Sugar Confectionery Key to its Success Gelatin(e) is a natural protein that is used in many products to offer gelling and stabilising properties to water- based products. It is derived from a number of sources including bovine hides and bones, pig skin and bones, and fish skins. As a by-product of the meat industry, it is dependent on this market for its raw materials. Other than food products, it is also used in photographic equipment, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics and a variety of other products. Within food, it is mainly used in confectionery as a gelling agent, in particular pastilles, gums, jellies, marshmallows and chocolate bagged selflines. It can also be found in some yoghurts, ice cream, cream cheeses and processed meat products. Due to its smooth texture ,it has been used to replace fat in low-fat products, such as yoghurts and other dairy products. Leading Categories for Gelatin Usage, 2008 % Share Vol (tonnes) Pastilles, gums, jellies and chews 26.5 29,348 Chocolate bagged selflines/softlines 52.6 58,254 Other sugar confectionery 10.8 11,961 Spoonable Yoghurt 3.7 4,098 Canned/preserved meat and meat products 0.5 554 21 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The market for gelatin rose steadily over the review period, and an annual growth rate of 3.1%, with volume sales estimated at 110,748 tonnes in 2008. Growth in the sector is forecast to slow, with an annual growth rate of 2.5% to 2013. The slowdown in growth is due to the two largest markets, North America and Western Europe, seeing a downturn in confectionery - gelatins main application. The slowdown in growth is also likely to be made worse by recession, as many consumers cut back on impulse purchases during such times, and impulse sales are important to the health of the confectionery market. The gelatin market is also being affected by a slowdown in growth of the yoghurt market in Western Europe, where the market is now mature. The spoonable yoghurt market is forecast to have a CAGR of just 0.5% to 2013 within this region. Despite the issues in North America and Western Europe, the global gelatin market is still increasing, due to continued growth in the core end-use markets in Asia Pacific and Eastern Europe. Here, the gelatin market saw CAGRs of 5.6% and 5.7% between 2003 and 2008, respectively. Within these regions, sales of pastilles, gums, jellies and chews have seen healthy annual growth rates of 6.5% and 4.5% by volume, respectively. Eastern Europe is also becoming a big market for chocolate selflines, with volumes comparable to North America by 2013. Growth rates are forecast to be in the region of 5.6% to 2013, with volume sales reaching around 502,000 tonnes. Outside of its core market of Western Europe, yoghurt is becoming more widely consumed, with both Eastern Europe and Asia Pacific seeing consumption increase, as products become more widely available and consumers look for healthy and convenient products. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Gelatin Slowdown as Key Markets Mature 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Gelatin, 2003-13 -3% -1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 0% 5% 10% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Gelatin Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 Asia Pacific Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Western Europe Australasia Latin America North America Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 22 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Xanthan gum is one of the most widely used hydrocolloids within consumer products. It is mainly used in the food and drinks industry, but also has applications in cosmetics, toiletries and household products. It is produced through the fermentation of glucose or sucrose with the bacterium Xanthomonas campestris, which is found on cabbage-like plants. It is also relatively cheap to produce so it remains a relatively cost effective ingredient. Sales of xanthan gum reached just over 68,000 tonnes in 2008, and are forecast to reach around 77,000 tonnes by 2013. Growth was steady in the review period, with a CAGR of 2.7%, and is forecast to remain at much the same rate to 2013. Its steady growth is thanks in part to its diverse uses. Processed meat products, both chilled and frozen, account for 47% of its market. Within these products, it binds water and prevents syneresis. It is also widely used in salad dressings and table sauces, making the products easy to pour and cling to the food. Outside of food products, it is also used in toothpaste to give stand when applied to the toothbrush. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Xanthan Gum Diversity Keeps Market in Growth 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Xanthan Gum, 2003-13 Leading Categories for Xanthan Gum Usage, 2008 % Share Vol (tonnes) Chilled processed meats 43.2 29,513 Toothpaste 20.9 14,278 Sauces, dressings and condiments 14 9,564 Soft drink concentrates 5.3 3,621 Frozen processed food (meat) 3.9 2,664 Dried ready meals 3.1 2,118 Dairy products 1.7 1,161 Dog and cat food 1.4 956 Meal replacement products 1.1 751 Ice cream 0.7 478 23 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The core regions for growth have been Eastern Europe, Latin America and Asia Pacific. The latter is forecast to become the largest market by 2013, due to growth in processed meats. Chilled processed meats are forecast to see a CAGR of 6.2% by volume between 2008 and 2013, and frozen processed poultry of 6.4%. The market has been very strong in Eastern Europe, which is also due to the increase in consumption of processed meat products. This has been caused by the increasingly Westernised diets of Eastern Europeans, particularly convenience foods. Eastern Europeans are also purchasing more luxury products, such as salad dressings, prompting strong growth in the xanthan gum market in the region. Latin America has also started consuming more processed meat products, rather than fresh meat (a staple of the South American diet). Again, cultural changes are prompting consumers to want more convenience foods, such as chilled meat products, which is driving the xanthan gum market in this region. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Xanthan Gum Processed Meat and Developing Regions North America is currently the largest market for xanthan gum, with sales of 19,189 tonnes in 2008. The market declined between 2002 and 2006, but has since started to increase again, and is forecast to see a CAGR of 0.4% to 2013. This decline was due to a fall in consumption of many of the key end-use markets, including chilled processed meats, table sauces and salad dressings in North America. These markets are not forecast to see growth in the forecast period, with chilled processed meats at best flat. Toothpaste is contributing to some of the minor growth, having seen a CAGR of 0.5% between 2003 and 2008. -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% -5% 0% 5% 10% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Xanthan Gum Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 Asia Pacific Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Western Europe Australasia Latin America North America Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 24 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Guar gum and locust bean gum are both galactomannans. Also falling within this group are fenugreek gum and tara gum, with the latter starting to be used more widely. Guar gum is obtained from the seeds of the guar gum bush, grown in India and Pakistan and parts of southern US. It is used to modify the texture of food products, control syneresis and increase viscosity. It is used in a wide range of products, often with xanthan gum, due to its synergy with this hydrocolloid. As guar hydroxypropyltrimonium chloride (a chemically modified version of guar gum) it is used in toiletries such as shampoo and conditioners. Guar gums main use has been in the cereal/pulse-based drinks sector of the Asian speciality drinks market. This has kept the market for guar gum buoyant in this region, with sales of these types of drinks having grown by 27% between 2003 and 2008. Globally, however, it is used in a wide range of products, including pet food, meat products, ice cream, carbonates, yoghurts, sauces and dressings and powder products, such as dehydrated soup. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Galactomannans Guar Gum and Locust Bean Gum Leading categories for guar gum usage, 2008 % Share Vol (tonnes) Cereal/pulse-based drinks (Asian speciality drinks) 33.1 15,570 Dog and cat food 18.2 8,561 Ice cream 16.8 7,903 Dehydrated soup 13.0 6,115 Tobacco 5.5 2,587 Canned/preserved meat and meat products 4.0 1,882 691 877 1,058 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2003 2008 2013 V o l u m e
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l i t r e s ) Volume of Cereal/Pulse Based Drinks in Asia, 2003-13 25 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Growth in the guar gum market was fairly steady over the review period, with a CAGR of 2.6% between 2003 and 2008 and volumes reaching 47,039 tonnes. It is forecast to grow at much the same rate, averaging 2.8% per annum to 2013. The market for Guar hydroxypropyltrimonium chloride is small, since it is only used in toiletries. Volumes were 2,944 tonnes in 2008, with a CAGR forecast at 2.2% to 2013. This is in line with the growth in hair care products, which is its main application. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Galactomannans Guar Gum Market Steady 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Guar Gum and Derivatives, 2003-13 Guar gum Guar hydroxypropyltrimonium chloride % change y-o-y 26 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Asia Pacific dominates this market by far, accounting for over 52% of volume. This is primarily due to the use of guar gum in the cereal/pulse-based drinks consumed in Asia Pacific, which alone account for some 50% of the market for guar gum in that region. These drinks are still growing, despite the rising popularity of other soft drinks in Asia Pacific, such as ready- to-drink tea. Ice cream is also helping to drive the guar gum market in Asia Pacific, which saw a CAGR of 7.3% between 2003 and 2008, and is forecast to continue good growth, with a CAGR of 6.2% to 2013. Canned meat products are also growing in popularity in Asia Pacific, as a convenient way to consume meat. This market saw a growth rate of 4.8% between 2003 and 2008, and is forecast to continue at around this rate to 2013. Similar trends in Latin America and Eastern Europe are driving the market for guar gum in these regions. Eastern Europe is also seeing strong growth in wet pet foods, where sales saw a CAGR of 11.8% between 2003 and 2008. Unlike other hydrocolloids, the market for guar gum is relatively small in Western Europe and North America. This is due to other hydrocolloids, such as xanthan gum, being used as a replacement for guar gum, where supply issues could be a concern. Another factor in the relatively small market in these regions is that the sectors that it is used in are not as popular as they once were, such as wet pet food, powder products and canned meat products. The small amount of growth that guar gum is achieving is due to growth in the ice cream sector, and also in carbonates and yoghurts. However, even in these sectors, growth has slowed, and in the US the carbonates sector is in decline, giving an unfavourable outlook for guar gum in these regions. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Galactomannans Asia Big and Positive -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Guar Gum Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 Asia Pacific Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Western Europe Australasia Latin America North America Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 27 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Its main market is ice cream, which continues to be in growth in all regions. The traditionally large markets of North America and Western Europe have seen consumption slow as this market becomes saturated. However, Asia Pacific is now the biggest market by volume for ice cream, having seen a CAGR of 7.3% between 2003 and 2008. Growth is forecast to continue at 6.2% to 2013 and, combined with the growth in the developing regions of Latin America and MEA, the locust bean gum market will remain in growth for the foreseeable future. The slowdown in growth over the next 5 years is due to a downturn in demand for wet pet foods, as consumers turn to dry pet foods for convenience. Locust bean gum is sourced from the seeds of the carob tree, found mainly in Mediterranean countries. It is sometimes referred to as carob gum or carobin, and is an off-white powder formed from the endosperm of the seeds. Like Guar gum, it is often used with xanthan gum or carrageenan. On its own it is a thickener, but when combined with these other hydrocolloids it forms a strong gel. Locust bean gum is said to be high in soluble dietary fibre and it is therefore being more widely used as a functional ingredient in prebiotic products. Locust bean gum has continued to see growth over the review period. Volumes reached 16,061 tonnes in 2008 and are forecast to reach 18,560 tonnes by 2013. The rate of growth picked up between 2005-06 as the consumption of pre/probiotic yoghurts increased in many regions. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Galactomannans - Locust Bean Gum 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 20032004200520062007200820092010201120122013 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Locust Bean Gum, 2003-13 Leading Categories for Locust Bean Gum Usage, 2008 % Share Vol (tonnes) Ice cream 55.6 8,930 Pet food and pet care products 23.4 3,758 Pro/Pre Biotic spoonable yoghurt 13.6 2,184 Sauces, dressings and condiments 2.7 434 28 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Western Europe and Asia Pacific are the two largest markets for locust bean gum, reaching 4,717 tonnes and 4,888 tonnes, respectively. These two markets are undergoing different trends though, as many of the end- use markets for locust bean gum are slowing in Western Europe and growing in Asia Pacific. Ice cream, in particular, is shaping this market, having seen a CAGR between 2003 and 2008 of only 0.7% in Western Europe and 7.2% in Asia. Although only a relatively small market, Latin America has seen the strongest growth in consumption of locust bean gum. The annual growth rate was 15.6% between 2003 and 2008. This was driven not only by growth in ice cream consumption, but also an increase in demand for functional yoghurts, which took off in this region in the latter half of the review period. However, for there to be larger volume sales in this region, demand for ice cream will need to increase further. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Galactomannans Ice Cream Holds Sway -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Locust Bean Gum Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 Asia Pacific Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Western Europe Latin America North America Australasia Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 29 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector There are a number of different cellulose derivates used as hydrocolloids. The main one is carboxymethyl cellulose (CMC), or cellulose gum, which is used in a wide range of food products and household products. Another important cellulose derivative is microcrystalline cellulose (MCC) or cellulose gel. Other cellulose ingredients include quaternised hydroxyethyl cellulose (HEC) and other cellulose ethers, which are used in non- food products. Food and drink products account for only 28% of the celluloses uses, but they can be used in a wide range of products, from fruit drinks to ice cream. CMC is added to food products for texture, as a protein stabiliser, to retain moisture and to form oil-resistant films. MCC is used to give freeze/thaw stability in frozen desserts, as a fat replacement and to add texture. For this reason, one of its primary end uses is in ice cream. Cosmetics and toiletries and household care each account for over one third of the celluloses use, in particular they are used in hair care, toothpaste, laundry detergents and fabric softeners. The total market for celluloses as defined in this report was 67,598 tonnes in 2008, and the market saw a CAGR of 4.1% between 2003 and 2008. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Celluloses Widely Used Hydrocolloids Cellulose has a variety of functions, making it a widely used hydrocolloid. It can thicken, stabilise, bind water, emulsify, and form films, giving it the ability to be used in both food and non-food products. Cellulose is derived from the cell wall of plants. On an industrial scale it is primarily derived from wood pulp and cotton for use in a wide variety of products. Packaged Food & Beverages 27.6% Household care 35.1% Toiletries & Cosmetics 37.1% Other 0.2% % Volume Share of Cellulose Derivatives by End Use, 2008 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Cellulose Derivatives, 2003-13 30 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector CMC accounts for around three quarters of the volume of celluloses used as hydrocolloids. Volumes reached just under 50,000 tonnes in 2008, having seen a CAGR of 4.1% between 2003 and 2008. The market is forecast to increase at much the same rate to 2013. The CMC market continues to grow due to its diversity as a hydrocolloid. It is used in food and drinks, household products and toiletries. One of its main uses is in fruit-based soft drinks, such as juice drinks (those that contain up to 24% fruit juice), where it helps to keep the particles suspended in the liquid. Fruit-based soft drinks are growing as healthier alternatives to other soft drinks, such as carbonates. Juice drinks (excluding Asian juice drinks) saw a CAGR of 7.6% between 2003 and 2008, and are forecast to see strong growth to 2013. Within toiletries, CMC is used in toothpaste as a thickener and to suspend the abrasives in the product. Toothpaste consumption has continued to grow, driven by increased demand due to rising incomes in the developing regions of Asia Pacific, Latin America and MEA. Similarly, growth in demand for laundry detergents in developing regions is helping to keep the CMC market in growth. In regions such as China, where incomes have been increasing, the use of washing machines (and, in turn, laundry powder), there has been an increase in laundry detergent sales. CMC is used in laundry products as an anti-redeposition agent, attracting any dirt particles being redeposited back on the cloth. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Celluloses CMC Dominates the Market CMC 73% Cellulose ethers 17% MCC 6% % Volume Share of Cellulose Derivatives, 2008 Quarternised HEC 4% Leading Categories for CMC, 2008 % Share Vol (tonnes) Soft drinks 28.5 14,155 Toothpaste 24.2 12,019 Powder detergents 20.3 10,082 Hand wash detergents 18.5 9,188 Meal replacement slimming products 0.7 348 31 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Asia Pacific accounts for over half of the CMC market, reaching a volume of 27,596 tonnes in 2008. Along with the other developing regions of Eastern Europe, Latin America and MEA, Asia Pacific has been driving the growth of this market. Asia Pacific is also forecast to see continued growth to 2013, with a CAGR of 5.3%. Eastern Europe and Latin America are forecast to see growth rates fall from the rates they saw in the first half of the review period, as demand for some of the key end-use products slows. In Asia Pacific, however, demand for juice drinks and toothpaste do not appear to be abating, with juice drinks forecast to see a CAGR of 12.0% by volume to 2013, and toothpaste 3.0% in the region. The market for CMC remains relatively small in the Western regions, with Western Europe and North America together accounting for only one fifth of this market. Within these regions, the markets for the key applications are now saturated, and any growth is coming in value rather than volume. Products like juice drinks have seen a decline in North America in recent years, as consumers switch to other soft drinks, such as bottled water and functional drinks, concerned about the potential high sugar content in some of these fruit-based drinks. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Celluloses Developing Regions Driving Growth of CMC -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 CMC Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 Asia Pacific Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Western Europe Australasia Latin America North America Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 32 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Pectin has been used for many years for jam and jelly making, making it one of the more well-known hydrocolloids used in food products. It has only been commercially produced since the early 20th century. Although found in all plants as protopectin, it is primarily sourced from citrus peel and apple pomace, both of which offer high-quality pectin in relatively large quantities. There are two forms of pectin produced on a commercial scale, depending on the degree of esterification (DE) of the pectin molecules. Those with a high DE, of above 50, are known as high ester (HE) pectins, and those below 50 are known as low ester (LE) pectins. HE pectins will form gels in aqueous products with a high solid content and low pH, such as traditional jams. LE pectins are able to form gels in products with a low solid content, a range of pHs, and in the presence of calcium. The market for pectins increased over the review period, but growth reached a peak in 2004/05, at 9.1%. Since then, although the market has grown, the rate has slowed. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Pectin A Success Story 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Pectins, 2003-13 Volume (tonnes) % change y-o-y 33 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Pectin New Applications Boost Market Strong demand between 2002 and 2005 was driven by drinking yoghurt (regular and pre/probiotic), which rose in popularity as a healthier alternative to other soft drinks, such as carbonates. Drinking yoghurts are particularly popular in Asia Pacific but also in Latin America and MEA. There was also strong growth in drinking yoghurts in North America in the first half of the review period. Growth for drinking yoghurts in all regions has since slowed, hence the slowdown in growth of pectins. The drinking yoghurt market is forecast to see a CAGR of 5.4% to 2013, with pectin forecast to see a CAGR of 4.8% in the same period. The traditional application for pectins, jams and preserves, now accounts for only 15% of total use, down from 22% in 2002. The market for jams and preserves is still in growth, but at a slow rate of only 1.5% per annum. The traditional stronghold of Western Europe, in particular, has seen limited growth. This market is also forecast to see only limited growth of 1.8% to 2013, as consumers shun these high-sugar products for more healthy alternatives, and as breakfast consumption habits change to more convenient products. Leading Categories for Pectin Usage, 2008 % Share Vol (tonnes) Drinking yoghurt 51.1 26,872 Spoonable Yoghurt 16.4 8,624 Jams and preserves 15.3 8,046 Flavoured milk drinks with fruit juice 4.8 2,524 Chilled and shelf stable desserts 3.8 1,998 Ice cream 2.7 1,420 Fromage frais and quark 2.7 1,420 Pastilles, gums, jellies and chews 2.4 1,262 34 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The developing regions of Asia Pacific, Eastern Europe and Latin America continue to drive the pectin market, although all regions are seeing good growth to 2008 and beyond. The market for pectin is being fuelled in the developing regions by dairy products, such as drinking yoghurts, spoonable yoghurts and flavoured milk drinks, and ice cream. Asia Pacific accounts for just under a third of the pectin market, and this share is set to increase as the pectin market increases in this region. During the review period, the pectin market in this region saw a CAGR of 10.3% by volume and is forecast to continue to drive the market with a CAGR of 6.1% to 2013. Western Europe, the second largest market after Asia Pacific, saw strong growth in pectins between 2003 and 2008, with a CAGR of 5.0%. This growth rate is not forecast to be sustained, dropping to 2.4% between 2008 and 2013, as the end-use markets mature in this region, in particular jams and preserves. Latin America and Eastern Europe both saw strong growth rates between 2003 and 2008 10.5% and 8.1%, respectively but, similarly to Asia Pacific, this growth rate is not expected to be sustained in the near future, with consumption of drinking yoghurts slowing. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Pectin Developing Regions Sustain Growth 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Pectin Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 Asia Pacific Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Western Europe Australasia Latin America North America Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 35 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Carrageenan is produced from red seaweed and was first used in the Irish town of Carragheen to make a gelatinous dessert from boiling milk with the seaweed. Although still harvested in Ireland, carrageenan seaweed is now farmed around the world on a commercial basis, in countries such as the Philippines and Indonesia. There are three types of carrageenan produced, depending on the variety of red seaweed used: Kappa forms strong rigid gels on cooling in the presence of potassium or protein ions Iota forms an elastic gel with the addition of calcium ions Lambda does not form a gel but can be used to control viscosity On a commercial basis these three carrageenans are often blended together. Carrageenan is manufactured into refined and semi-refined (seaweed flour) carrageenan, depending on the production methods used. The method used to produce semi-refined carrageenan is a simpler and therefore cheaper way of producing carrageenan. However, because it is less refined it is not suitable for human consumption, and so it tends to be used in the pet food industry. In the Philippines, the production method of semi-refined carrageenan was modified to make the product suitable for human consumption. This product is referred to as Philippine Natural Grade (PNG) carrageenan. It does not form a clear solution like refined carrageenan, so it can only be used in products where clarity is not an issue. The cost to end-use manufacturers is lower than standard carrageenan, so its supply has met strong opposition from producers of refined carrageenan. However, it is now approved for use in food and drink products in both the US and Europe. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Carrageenans Production Methods for Different Demands 36 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The market for carrageenans was estimated at 39,320 tonnes in 2008, of which refined carrageenan accounted for 56%. The market for semi-refined carrageenan has been slowly declining as the market for wet pet foods has decreased. In particular, the market for wet pet foods is declining in Western Europe and North America, as consumers switch to more convenient dry pet foods. However, growth is coming from regions such as Eastern Europe, although the pet food market is still very small here. Refined carrageenan is used in a variety of products. It is used in a wide range of milk-based products, including ice cream, drinking milk and dairy desserts, but only small amounts are required for it to be functional. In ice cream it prevents whey separation, in chocolate drinking milk it keeps the cocoa in suspension, and in dairy desserts it provides thickness. Other than dairy products, one of its main uses is in toothpaste, where, like other hydrocolloids, it acts as a thickener and suspends the abrasive particles in the product. Due to its diversity, the market for refined carrageenan has continued to increase, with a CAGR of 3.9% between 2003 and 2008. This growth is forecast to slow a little to 2.9% to 2013, driven by growth in most of its main markets. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Carrageenans Refined Tips Balance -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Carrageenan, 2003-13 Semi-refined Refined Semi-refined Refined Leading Categories for Refined Carrageenans Usage, 2008 % Share Vol (tonnes) Toothpaste 37.3 8,192 Other sweet and savoury snacks (cup jelly products) 21.8 4,788 Ice cream 13.7 3,009 Drinking milk products 11.2 2,460 Dips 4.9 1,076 Dairy-based desserts 2.5 549 Soy Beverages 2.3 505 Air care 2.2 483 Canned/preserved meat and meat products 1.6 351 37 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Outside Asia Pacific, the markets for toothpaste, ice cream and drinking milk products are shaping the carrageenan market. Within North America, all these markets saw very little growth through the review period, and forecasts suggest these markets will be flat to 2013. The other developing regions have seen growth in these markets, but not to the same extent as Asia Pacific. Forecasts indicate that these markets are not going to fare as well to 2013, with limited growth outside of Asia Pacific. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Carrageenans Asia Pacific is Key Asia Pacific is by far the largest market, with over half of the market for refined carrageenan, and is forecast to continue growing. Volume reached over 11,000 tonnes in 2008, and with a CAGR of 4.1% to 2013, the Asia Pacific market is forecast to see volume sales of around 14,600 tonnes. Within Asia Pacific, much of the consumption of carrageenan comes from its use in jelly cup snack products, which are popular in Asian countries. The market for these is growing at an annual rate of 5.7% by volume, contributing to the size and growth of the carrageenan market in this region. Its use in ice cream and flavoured milk drinks is also driving this market in Asia Pacific, with CAGRs of 7.3% and 15.2% between 2003 and 2008, respectively. -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Refined Carrageenan Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 Asia Pacific Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Western Europe Australasia Latin America North America Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 38 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Similarly to carrageenan, agar is a gelatinous substance produced from seaweed. It is produced from the red seaweed Gelidium and Gracilaria found around the coasts of many countries, including Spain, Portugal, Chile, Argentina, Indonesia and Japan. It has been used for hundreds of years in desserts in Japan, but is now used around the world as a thickener, stabiliser and gelling agent in many food products. It is also used in microbiological work as a substrate for culture development. Although the market is still small, at 4,434 tonnes, it has been one of the strongest performing hydrocolloids, with a CAGR of 12.0% between 2003 and 2008. It is used in a number of different products, including confectionery, yoghurts and soy-based desserts. It is often used as a vegetarian substitute to gelatin and is used in hot countries, as it withstands higher temperatures than other hydrocolloids. It has seen particular growth in its use as a prebiotic ingredient in yoghurts, because agar is a good source of dietary fibre. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Agar Traditional Product Finding New Applications 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Agar, 2003-13 Volume (tonnes) % change y-o-y 39 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Functional yoghurts are seeing strong growth in Western regions, where consumers want products that are both beneficial to them and taste good. The use of agar in functional low-fat yoghurts helps to give the product the mouthfeel of a full-fat yoghurt and adds dietary fibre. This has been a particular driver of the agar market in Latin America, which has seen strong growth in the consumption of agar, at a CAGR of 48.2% between 2003 and 2008. The growth in this market is not going to be sustained at this same rate, but nonetheless the market is forecast to grow by an annual average of 10.1% to 2013 in Latin America. The two main markets for agar are Western Europe and North America, which each have around one-third of the market. This is due to the large market for yoghurts, in particular fruit yoghurts and the smaller, but growing, market of prebiotic yoghurts. The strong growth in agar in North America is being driven by an increase in demand for functional yoghurts, which saw a CAGR of 40.1% between 2003 and 2008. This market is more mature in Western Europe, but nonetheless it enjoyed a CAGR of 12.9% between 2003 and 2008. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Agar Prebiotic Yoghurts Drive Market 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Agar Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 Western Europe Australasia Latin America North America Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 40 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Other applications include sauces and syrups, where it acts as a thickener; yoghurts, where it improves the texture; fruit preparations, such as those used in the centre of breakfast bars; and restructured meat and fish products, where it forms a gel and acts as a binder. The market for alginates was estimated at just over 3,100 tonnes in 2008, having seen a growth rate of 6.1%. The market is forecast to continue to grow at much the same rate over the forecast period, with volume sales reaching just over 4,100 tonnes in 2013. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Alginates Enjoying Steady Growth Alginates, like carrageenan and agar, are also derived from seaweed in the form of calcium, magnesium and sodium salts of alginic acid. They can be produced from a number of brown seaweed types, including kelp and the Laminaria species of seaweed found along cold water coastal areas. As with many hydrocolloids, they have the ability to thicken, stabilise and form gels in a variety of products. One of alginates main uses is in ice cream products, particularly impulse ice creams, where they act as a stabiliser. Alginates reduce the formation of ice crystals during freezing, giving a smooth product, and help to reduce the rate at which the ice cream melts, making it useful for ice creams eaten on the move. 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Alginates, 2003-13 Volume (tonnes) % change y-o-y 41 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The main market for alginates is Asia Pacific, which accounted for over 60% of the market in 2008. Growth has been strong in this region, with a CAGR of 8.1% between 2003 and 2008, and similar rates are forecast to 2013. The market for impulse ice creams is particularly strong in this region, having seen an annual growth rate of 7.2% to reach volumes of 4 bn litres in 2008. This has driven the alginates market in this region. Latin America has seen the strongest growth in the market, with a CAGR of 9.3% between 2003 and 2008. This has been driven to some extent by an increase in the consumption of impulse ice cream products, but the main driver of growth has been the rise in consumption of breakfast bars. The annual growth rate for breakfast bars in this region was 27.5%, due to key product launches during the first half of the review period. The once rapid growth in sales of breakfast bars appears to be abating. Although this market is still in growth, it is now starting to mature, particularly in the key region of North America. During the review period it enjoyed a CAGR of 7.6%, but this is forecast to drop to 1.7% between 2008 and 2013. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Alginates Impulse Ice Creams Key to Success 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Alginates Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 Asia Pacific Western Europe Australasia Latin America North America Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume of Breakfast Bars by Region, 2003-13 Volume (tonnes) % CAGR 2032-08 Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 42 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Research is being undertaken into using beta- glucan as a fat-replacer, as the trend for fat reduction in products continues. Recent research has seen it being used in high-fat products, including cookies and peanut butter. Most recently, research has been undertaken to look at using beta-glucan in chocolate. Beta-glucan has the potential to replace some of the cocoa butter, but still provide the same smoothness and texture. The reduced-fat chocolate market is forecast to remain flat to 2013 with estimated sales of only 6,200 tonnes in 2008. These products have not been very popular as a reduction in fat often results in an inferior-tasting product. If beta-glucan replaced 10% of the cocoa-butter content in 10% of the chocolate tablets sold globally, then by 2013 this would equate to an extra 4,300 tonnes of beta-glucan. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Beta-glucans Health Benefits Could Drive Market Beta-glucans are found in the bran of cereal grains, predominantly barley and oats, but also rye and wheat, making them a good source of fibre. They are used in food products as a texturiser, most often as a fat replacer. It is thought that beta- glucans may offer some health benefits, including boosting the immune system, preventing coronary heart disease, lowering cholesterol and reducing glycemic response, which is thought to be linked to its high viscosity. It could be argued that these health benefits are due to the consumer feeling satiated and therefore eating less when consuming these products, rather than being directly due to the beta-glucans. They are widely available as a health supplements, which usually carry the claim of being beneficial to the immune system. Volumes of beta-glucan reached 17,342 tonnes in 2008, and are forecast to see a CAGR of 2.7% to 2013, taking the market to just under 20,000 tonnes. As a hydrocolloid, they are predominantly used in bakery products, particularly those products that offer health claims and have high amounts of soluble fibre. In the US, the Food and Drug Administration has allowed a heart health claim to be made on products that contain a minimum of 0.75 g of beta-glucan soluble fibre per serving. 3,864 4,150 4,354 3,600 3,700 3,800 3,900 4,000 4,100 4,200 4,300 4,400 2008 2011 2013 V o l u m e
( t o n n e s ) Potential Increase in Beta-glucan Volumes 43 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector There are a number of other hydrocolloids that are used to a lesser extent. Gellan gum This is a relatively new hydrocolloid compared to others on the market, but is being used in a wide range of products. It is manufactured through the fermentation of the Pseudomonas elodea microorganism and will form a gel at very low concentrations (0.1%). Some of its main uses are in air freshener gels, soy drinks (to suspend particles) and snack foods (as an adhesive for seasonings). Due to it being a relatively new hydrocolloid and the fact that it can be used in low concentrations, the market is fairly small. It is estimated that volumes were around 404 tonnes in 2008, but the market is forecast to grow to over 830 tonnes by 2013, making it one of the fastest growing hydrocolloids within this report. Konjac This hydrocolloid has been used in Asia for many years and forms part of some traditional dishes. However, its main use today is in the konjac jelly cup snack popular in Asia. Konjac has had some bad press over recent years as konjac jelly cup products have caused a number of deaths from choking, and consequently these products have now been banned in the EU. The snack needs to be chewed as the product does not melt in the mouth like other gel-based foods and so can get lodged in the throat. Konjac can be used, as other hydrocolloids are, in a variety of food products and like some hydrocolloids also has potential health benefits from its high fibre content, making it a potentially important ingredient for new health products. The market for konjac is also fairly small, due to its current limited applications. Volumes were estimated to be 1,196 tonnes in 2008 and are forecast to see a CAGR of 3.6% between 2008 and 2013. Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Other Hydrocolloids 44 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Scope Report Highlights Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Product Applications Where Next? 45 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Both of these hydrocolloids have issues surrounding them. Gelatin, which is derived from animal sources (principally bovine and pig), can not be consumed by a proportion of the worlds population, due to either religious or ethical concerns. This is limiting the use of gelatin, particularly in the growth markets of Asia and Africa. Gum arabic, which is sourced from a number of African countries, is seeing its supply continually under threat. Conflicts in regions like Sudan make it hard to guarantee supply, while changes in the climate are also affecting production of the gum. In the past, devastation of the crop by locusts saw shortages in supply. These issues are all exacerbated by an increase in demand, as global consumption of products like confectionery and soft drinks increases. Confectionery accounts for around 40% of the use of hydrocolloids in the categories covered in this report. Gelatin and gum arabic are the two principal hydrocolloids used, but many other hydrocolloids are used in both chocolate and sugar confectionery. Gum arabic tends to be used only in sugar confectionery, mainly in pastilles, gums, jellies and chews, while gelatin is used in both chocolate bagged selflines and sugar confectionery. Product Applications Confectionery Leading Category for Hydrocolloids % Share of Ingredients in Pastilles, Gums, Jellies & Chews, 2008 Ingredient % share Acidulants 0.9 Colours 0.0 Flavours 0.2 Gum arabic 7.6 Modified starch 3.2 Pectins 0.1 Gelatin 3.5 Sugars and bulk sweeteners 71.0 Aqua/Water 10.3 46 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The main market for hydrocolloids in confectionery is pastilles, gums, jellies and chews. This market is continuing to grow, with a CAGR of 2.9% between 2003 and 2008, driven by increased demand in Asia Pacific. The largest markets of Western Europe and North America had been in growth up to 2007. Products in this sector are primarily targeted at children, and concerns over childhood obesity through consumption of high sugar and high fat products is starting to have an effect on this market in these regions. Indeed, the market in North America is forecast to stagnate to 2013. Key countries for future growth are in the developing regions. China is set to continue to be a strong market for this sector of sugar confectionery, with a growth rate of 14.2% forecast to 2013. This is being fuelled by a growing population and increases in disposable incomes. However, as the economic situation worsens in some of these countries, impulse products, such as confectionery, will be among the first to be affected. However, population growth will help to stem any slowdown in growth as a result of the economic downturn. Product Applications Confectionery Concerns Over Obesity Affect Demand 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 %
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t o n n e s ) Volume Consumption of Pastilles, Gums, Jellies and Chews by Region, 2008 Volume ('000 tonnes) % CAGR 2003-08 % CAGR 2008-13 Top 10 Countries for Absolute Volume Growth of Pastilles Sector, 2008-13 2008 Vol ('000 tonnes) % CAGR 2008-132 Absolute growth ('000 tonnes) China 166.4 14.2 156.1 Vietnam 19.1 12.5 15.3 Mexico 49.9 3.8 10.2 Japan 55.6 3.1 9.1 Indonesia 21.2 4.5 5.2 Austria 15.1 4.4 3.7 Spain 34.9 2 3.7 Poland 9.4 5.9 3.1 USA 414.2 0.1 2.9 Ireland 6.2 7.3 2.6 47 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Although there is less use of hydrocolloids in the chocolate confectionery market, it is still an important one for ingredient suppliers. In particular, gelatin is used in the chocolate selflines/softlines sector. This sector of the confectionery market is also in growth and is forecast to continue growing for the foreseeable future. The sector saw a CAGR of 3.6% between 2003 and 2008, but is set to see the rate fall to 2.4% to 2013. These products are very popular in Eastern Europe, which is the second largest market behind North America. The market in Eastern Europe is also seeing some of the highest growth in this sector. In particular, Russia and the Ukraine are forecast to see some of the largest increases in consumption. Chocolate confectionery is not as popular as sugar confectionery products in Asia Pacific, as with many hot climates. However, India is forecast to see good growth, along with China, where increases in disposable incomes are allowing consumers to purchase more indulgent impulse products. The MEA region is a very small market but is forecast to see some of the strongest growth in this sector of confectionery. Saudi Arabia, Morocco and Egypt have all seen consumption increase faster than the global average, but together they had sales of only 4,100 tonnes in 2008. Growth is being driven by consumers who see chocolate as an everyday snack item, and by the launch of more multinational brands that offer a better quality of product than had previously been available. Product Applications Confectionery Growth in Developing Regions -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 %
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t o n n e s ) Volume Consumption of Chocolate Selflines/softlines by Region, 2008 Volume ('000 tonnes) % CAGR 2003-08 % CAGR 2008-13 Top 10 Countries for Absolute Volume Growth of Chocolate Selflines Sector, 2008-13 2008 Vol ('000 tonnes) % CAGR 2008-13 Absolute growth ('000 tonnes) Russia 302.7 6 101.8 Ukraine 59.4 4.7 15.3 China 19.3 6.1 6.7 UK 56.7 1.7 4.9 Argentina 3.9 15.9 4.3 France 21.8 3.1 3.6 India 3.2 15.4 3.4 Italy 7.7 5.7 2.5 Indonesia 5.5 7.2 2.3 South Korea 11.8 3 1.9 48 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector In North America and Western Europe, drinking milk in the form of milkshakes are popular alternatives to other soft drinks, such as carbonates. Smoothies have also driven much of the growth in this sector, but this trend looks to be abating. In the UK, the largest market for smoothies, the sector is in decline. These products are also likely to be affected by the financial crisis, as they tend to be higher priced than other soft drinks, such as fruit juices. This means that sales are unlikely to continue at the current level. Product Applications Dairy Products Growth in Drinking Milks and Yoghurts The dairy product category is one of the most important food sectors for hydrocolloids. They are used in a wide range of dairy products, including yoghurts, dairy desserts, drinking milk and yoghurts, processed cheese and ice cream. Hydrocolloids are becoming increasingly important in this sector, as they are being used as a fat replacer in reduced-fat products. These products are particularly prevalent in the dairy sector, as dairy products tend to be a high source of saturated fats. Hydrocolloids can give a similar mouthfeel and texture that would have otherwise been obtained by fats. Some hydrocolloids are also said to have other health benefits, particularly those that are a source of dietary fibre, such as beta-glucan and agar. These hydrocolloids are increasingly being used in prebiotic yoghurts and other functional foods to promote digestive health. Within dairy products, drinking milks and yoghurts are a key application for many hydrocolloids. One of the main applications for pectin is in drinking yoghurts, where pectin makes the products smooth and provides thickness by acting as a protein stabiliser. Carrageenan is used in chocolate milks to keep the cocoa particles dispersed in the drink. These sectors of the dairy products category are both seeing strong growth. Drinking yoghurts saw a CAGR of 9.2% between 2003 and 2008 and flavoured milk drinks 8.9%. The main market is in the Asia Pacific region, where both yoghurts and milks are popular. These sectors are forecast to see a CAGR of 5.9% and 7.6% to 2013 within this region. The drinking yoghurt product lassi is a popular and traditional drink in India and Pakistan, while functional yoghurt drinks such as Yakult are also popular across Asia. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 %
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l i t r e s ) Volume of Drinking Yoghurts and Milks by Region, 2008 Drinking yoghurt Flavoured drinking milk % CAGR 2008-13 % CAGR 2008-13 49 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector China is forecast to see the largest growth in both drinking milks and yoghurts. Increased demand for drinking milks is coming predominantly from the developing regions of Asia Pacific and Latin America, which are forecast to see annual growth rates of 7.6% and 4.9%, respectively. The growth in drinking yoghurts is slightly more diverse, with growth coming from all regions. In Western Europe, much of this growth is coming from functional drinking yoghurts, which are being consumed as part of a healthy lifestyle. These tend to be probiotic products containing bacteria that are claimed to be beneficial to the gut, such as Lactobacillus casei Shirota. Product Applications Dairy Products China Drives Demand Top 10 Countries for Absolute Volume Growth of Flavoured Drinking Milk Sector, 2008-13 2008 Vol (mn litres) 2008-13 CAGR % 2008-13 Absolute (mn litres) China 3,528.50 9.8 2,104.3 India 76.5 14.5 73.9 Japan 994.6 1.4 73.5 Indonesia 112.2 10.5 72.7 Brazil 288.5 4.3 67.7 Mexico 172 5 47.8 USA 1,144.2 0.8 46.9 Argentina 77.5 8.9 41.1 Thailand 125.8 5 34.7 Saudi Arabia 93.5 6 31.4 Top 10 Countries for Absolute Volume Growth of Drinking Yoghurt Sector, 2008-13 2008 Vol (mn litres) 2008-13 CAGR % 2008-13 Absolute (mn litres) China 1,816.7 8.1 866.4 Brazil 340.7 8.1 163.2 Saudi Arabia 381.3 5.4 114.7 Germany 186.6 5.2 54.3 Thailand 273.3 3.1 44.6 Russia 42.7 14.1 39.9 Mexico 290.4 2.4 36.9 Netherlands 143.9 4.5 35.2 Italy 79.5 7.4 34.2 Spain 195.2 3.1 32 50 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Hydrocolloids are used in yoghurts to give a creamy texture, and are also used in the fruit preparations of fruit-based yoghurts. They are being increasingly used in yoghurts, both as a fat replacer in low-fat yoghurts and as a functional ingredient. The main hydrocolloids used are agar, gelatin, locust bean gum and pectin. Fruited spoonable yoghurts are the largest sector of the yoghurt market by volume, and despite the maturity of this sector, it still remains in growth in many regions. Volumes increased by an annual growth rate of 2.0% between 2003 and 2008. The market is forecast to see the growth rate slow slightly to 1.9% to 2013, due to a decline in the largest market, Western Europe. Functional yoghurts are, however, booming, with consumers looking for additional health benefits from yoghurts. These products have been available for some time in Western Europe, but the North American market is still developing. Despite accounting for only 15% of the yoghurt market in North America at present, the growth of the pre/probiotic yoghurt sector is set to see it account for 21% of the market by 2013. Product Applications Dairy Products Functional Yoghurts Take US by Storm -10% 0% 10% 20% 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 %
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t o n n e s ) Volume of Yoghurt by Type and by Region 2008-13 Fruited spoonable yoghurt Pro/Pre Biotic spoonable yoghurt % CAGR 2007-12 % CAGR 2007-12 Top 10 Countries for Absolute Volume Growth of Functional Yoghurt Sector, 2008-13 2008 Vol ('000 tonnes) 2008-13 CAGR % 2008-13 Absolute ('000 tonnes) USA 250.1 13.8 228.0 Brazil 127.5 12.5 102.1 Germany 121.3 8.3 59.4 France 169.8 3.9 35.7 Mexico 31.0 15.5 32.8 Spain 163.3 3.2 27.5 United Kingdom 120.7 3.9 25.5 Hungary 11.4 21.7 19.0 Italy 54.7 5.7 17.5 Russia 36.1 8.1 17.2 51 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The ice cream market continues to be in growth, with a CAGR of 3.3% between 2003 and 2008, and is forecast to remain in growth at a similar rate to 2013. North America had been the largest market for ice cream, until Asia Pacific overtook it in 2005. Volume sales in Asia Pacific are currently at 5,485 mn litres. The North American market is very much a mature market ,with stagnant growth and dominated by the take-home sector. Asia Pacific is, however, seeing strong growth through the impulse sector, with a CAGR of 7.2% between 2003 and 2008 and a 6.1% growth rate forecast to 2013. Product Applications Ice Cream Asia Pacific Leads the Market A number of hydrocolloids are used in ice cream to act as stabiliser and texturisers, including alginates, carrageenan, guar gum, locust bean gum and cellulose. Pectin is used in conjunction with other hydrocolloids as a stabiliser in water ices. Hydrocolloids have been used in ice creams for many years, in particular economy ice creams. These products tend to use cheaper dairy ingredients with lower fat content, meaning that hydrocolloids are required to give texture and a creamy mouthfeel. Indulgent ice creams have become popular in many regions as a treat. These products tend to have a higher dairy fat content, requiring less additional ingredients, such as hydrocolloids. It is likely that the market for these products will become smaller, due to consumers switching back to economy brands as their incomes fall in the economic downturn. 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Ice Cream Market by Region and by Volume, 2008 North America Latin America Eastern Europe Western Europe Middle East and Africa Australasia Asia Pacific Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 52 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The ice cream market is divided into the impulse and take-home sectors. Different regions are distinguished by their different levels of consumption in each sector. In the mature market of North America, take-home ice creams are the norm, while in Asia Pacific the market is dominated by impulse ice creams. In most regions, it is impulse ice cream that is driving the overall ice cream market, particularly in MEA and Australasia. The market for impulse ice creams can fluctuate from year to year, depending on the weather. Hot summers mean consumers will buy ice creams rather than confectionery, while cool summers tend to see the reverse. As with confectionery, ice creams bought on impulse could be affected by the current economic climate, with consumers looking to rein in such purchases. Product Applications Ice Cream Impulse Ice Cream Drives Sales -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Asia Pacific Western Europe North America Eastern Europe Latin America Middle East and Africa Australasia %
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l i t r e s ) Volume of Ice Cream by Sector and by Region, 2008 Impulse ice cream Take-home ice cream % CAGR 2007-12 % CAGR 2007-12 53 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Although accounting for only a small proportion of hydrocolloids applications, soft drinks are nonetheless an important market for hydrocolloid suppliers. The main hydrocolloids used in this market are xanthan gum, guar gum, locust bean gum, gum arabic, celluloses and pectin. They are used to help suspend insoluble particles in the liquid and also to create texture in some fruit-based drinks. Hydrocolloids are used to some degree in all soft drink sectors other than bottled water, and with global volumes of over 262 bn litres (excluding bottled water) it is a lucrative market for hydrocolloid suppliers. Carbonates account for the largest share of the category, and hydrocolloids such as carboxymethyl cellulose, gum arabic and guar gum are used in these products, albeit at very small concentrations. Other key sectors are concentrates, and fruit and vegetable juice drinks. Product Applications Soft Drinks Small But Important Market for Hydrocolloids Bottled water 40% Carbonates 35% Fruit/vegetable juice 12% Concentrates 1% RTD tea/coffee 6% Asian speciality drinks 3% Functional drinks 3% % Volume Share of Soft Drinks, 2008 54 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Carbonates account for 36% of the soft drinks market, with volume sales of some 154 billion litres worldwide. The market is now saturated and growth has been very slow compared to previous years. The market is forecast to see an annual growth rate of only 1.3% to 2013, as the largest market of North America continues to see a decline. The main drivers of growth are the developing regions, with Asia Pacific and MEA seeing the best performances. However, even in these regions, growth in the market is slowing. Asia Pacific is forecast to see an annual growth rate of 3.0% to 2013, and MEA 3.4%. Within these regions some of the best performing countries will be Egypt (12.1% CAGR to 2013), Saudi Arabia (5.8%) and China (4.4%). Thanks to hot climates, growing populations, increased incomes among younger consumers and increasing consumption of Western products, this sector is being kept in growth in these regions. Concentrates are, unsurprisingly, the smallest sector of the soft drink sector by volume, with sales of 2.8 billion litres in 2008. As with carbonates, the market is now mature and there has been little growth over the last few years. The market is forecast to grow on average by 1.8% per annum to 2013, due to flat sales in the key market of Western Europe. However, Latin America (the largest market) and MEA (the third largest market) are both expected to see growth in the sector, albeit at a slow rate. Latin America has seen the CAGR drop from 4.6% between 2003 and 2008, to 3.3% to 2013. In this region, concentrates are very popular as a cheap way of flavouring water. In particular, powdered concentrates are popular with parents as they are often fortified with vitamins and minerals and so are seen as a healthy drink to give to children. Argentina and Mexico are forecast to see some of the strongest growth in this sector, with CAGRs of 4.5% and 3.0% respectively. Product Applications Soft Drinks Carbonates Decline in North America 55 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector The fruit/vegetable juice sector is forecast to see a CAGR of 5.2% to 2013, driven by the nectars (25-99% juice) sector. Despite fruit juice drinks being a healthier alternative to other soft drinks, such as carbonates, there is growing concern over the amount of natural sugars that fruit juices contain, and this is limiting the market for high juice content products in some regions. However, manufacturers are increasingly fortifying their products with other vitamins and minerals, positioning them as healthy drinks. Juice drinks (containing up to 24% juice) are a key sector for hydrocolloid suppliers, and are seeing some of the strongest growth. Worldwide volumes are forecast to see a CAGR of 7.7% to 2013, with Asia Pacific, the largest market for these products, seeing strong growth of 12.0%. China, India and the Philippines, in particular, are driving the global market. Here, juice drinks are cheaper alternatives to fruit juices and the perception of their being relatively healthy keeps this market growing in this region. Product Applications Soft Drinks Developing Regions Buoy Demand 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Soft Drinks Market by Sector and by Volume, 2008 Functional drinks Carbonates Concentrates Asian speciality drinks Fruit/vegetable juice Bottled water RTD tea/coffee Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 56 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Processed meat products are a small but important market for hydrocolloids. Hydrocolloids act as a texturiser in meat products, particularly to mimic fat and give the same mouthfeel as unprocessed meats. They can also act as stabilisers and emulsifiers. The main hydrocolloids used are carrageenans, gelatin, guar gum and xanthan gum. The overall processed meat category, which includes chilled, frozen and canned/preserved meat products, is forecast to see a CAGR of 3.0% to 2013. The category is dominated by chilled processed meats, with their share of the category forecast to increase to 71.2%, as the sector enjoys an annual growth rate of 3.0% to 2013. This sector is growing, due to the increasing use of refrigerators and freezers as incomes rise, and the changing perception among consumers that chilled products are better quality than frozen or canned products. The biggest market for processed meat products is Asia Pacific, which is also forecast to see the strongest growth rates to 2013. The other emerging markets of Latin America and Eastern Europe are also forecast to see good growth. In Eastern Europe, consumers are turning their backs on canned meat products, sales of which fell by a total of 7% between 2003 and 2008. These consumers are switching to chilled and frozen meat products instead. Product Applications Processed Meats Chilled Processed Meats Take Lions Share 70.1% 71.2% 71.2% 16.0% 15.9% 16.1% 13.9% 12.9% 12.7% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2003 2008 2013 V o l u m e
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t o n n e s ) Volume of Processed Meat by Type, 2003-13 Chilled Frozen Canned -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% -5% 0% 5% 10% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Processed Meats Market by Sector and by Volume, 2008 Western Europe Australasia North America Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific Latin America Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 57 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Hydrocolloids are used in wet pet foods. This is one of the main applications for semi-refined carrageenan as well as guar gum, locust bean gum and xanthan gum. The use of hydrocolloids helps to combine the meat chunks together either in a flavoured jelly or by thickening a gravy. Semi-refined carrageenan is primarily used, because it is a cheap ingredient compared to other hydrocolloids, helping to keep down the costs of the final product. The market for wet pet foods has been in decline in the two key regions of Western Europe and North America for some time. Consumers are switching to the more convenient and premium sector of dry pet foods. The dry pet foods market is particularly strong in the US, where dry dog foods account for some 84% of the dog food market. There is still some growth forecast for wet pet foods in Asia Pacific, Latin America, MEA and, in particular, Eastern Europe. Within these regions, population and income growth are leading to a rise in pet ownership, and consumers are increasingly buying prepared pet food. Consumers are also trading up from economy brands to medium and premium price ranges, as they are able to afford to give their pets higher quality products. The economic downturn is likely to benefit this market, as consumers who had traded up to dry pet foods may look to cut expenditure by trading back down to wet pet foods and economy brands. Product Applications Pet Foods Wet Pet Foods See Growth in Developing Regions -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 W. Europe North America E. Europe Australasia Asia Pacific Latin America MEA %
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( t o n n e s ) Volume Sales of Wet Pet Food by Region, 2008 Volume (tonnes) CAGR % 2003-08 CAGR % 2008-13 58 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Although much of the focus of hydrocolloids is on their use in food products, there are important uses in some personal care products, including toothpaste and hair care. Within these products, they act to keep the particles suspended, whilst adding thickness to the product, including enabling toothpaste to be placed on the toothbrush. The main hydrocolloids found in toothpaste are carrageenan, celluloses and xanthan gum. In hair care products, celluloses are mainly used. The toothpaste market is mature in most regions, particularly the Western regions, where increases in population are the main growth driver. However, in regions such as Asia Pacific and Latin America, increases in income, health awareness and population are all helping to grow the market, albeit at a slow rate. Asia Pacific saw the strongest growth during the review period, with a CAGR of 4.5%, and will continue to be the main driver within the toothpaste market. In many countries, growth may be curtailed by the downturn in the economy, as consumers have to cut back on products such as toothpaste, which for many of the worlds population is still a luxury. Product Applications Cosmetics and Toiletries Population Boosts Toothpaste -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Toothpaste Market by Sector and by Volume, 2008 Western Europe Australasia Latin America North America Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 59 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Hydrocolloids are predominantly used in conditioners in the hair care sector. These products tend to have moisturising benefits, so consumers perceive that these products should be thicker and creamier than shampoo. Outside of North America and Western Europe, conditioners are seen as luxury items, but with rising incomes in developing regions this sector of the hair care market has seen good growth. The increase in younger, more affluent consumers in Asia Pacific and Latin America has kept this market strong. Whether this market will be able to continue to sustain the growth forecast as incomes decrease in the economic downturn is yet to be seen. The market in these regions is not forecast to see volume growth at anything like the levels seen in the past. For example, Latin America is forecast to see a drop to a 2.4% CAGR between 2008 and 2013 from 12.5% between 2003 and 2008. Much of the growth in this market will come from value growth rather than volume, with consumers trading up to more premium lines and manufacturers adding value to their products. Product Applications Cosmetics and Toiletries Affluent Drive Conditioners -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% C A G R %
2 0 0 8 - 1 3 CAGR% 2003-08 Hair Conditioner Market by Sector and by Volume, 2008 Western Europe Australasia Latin America North America Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific Note: Dashed line indicates CAGR % for world market Size of bubble represents market size by volume 60 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Scope Report Highlights Hydrocolloids Category Analysis Product Applications Where Next? 61 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Where Next? Competitive Landscape - Secure Supply and Meet Demand To stay competitive, ingredient manufacturers have traditionally looked at expansion, innovation and price. Remaining price competitive in the global marketplace and in the current economic environment is becoming harder for companies to achieve, so staying competitive through innovation and expansion is key. Expansion can come from entering new markets, either by acquiring existing companies or by setting up new facilities. Over the last year or so, hydrocolloid manufacturers have sought to expand in order to secure their supply of ingredients. Expansion has also put them in a better position to compete in markets such as Asia Pacific and Africa. However, in the current economic climate, expansion is not always possible, and in some cases it is better to consolidate current facilities to keep costs down. A number of hydrocolloid manufacturers have looked to consolidate. FMC Biopolymer recently announced that it was seeking to consolidate its alginate production plants in Norway after its acquisition of ISPs alginates business. Meanwhile, other companies have looked to close production plants. CP Kelco has closed its xanthan gum production plant in the UK, while Danisco has shut its Chinese xanthan gum plant. Recent Key Mergers, Acquisitions and Expansions within the Hydrocolloids Industry Acquisition/Joint venture Facility expansion Country Products Notes Rousselot/Rebire Brazil Gelatin Acquired 2 gelatin production plants PB Gelatin/Zhejiang Feipeng Gelatin Industry China Gelatin Joint venture in growth market FMC Biopolymers/ISP alginates China Alginates Securing production of alginates FMC Biopolymers/CoLiving Ingredients China Speciality ingredients Securing position in hydrocolloids for dairy products market Danisco/Mingtai Taiwan MCC Adding MCC to range and securing supply Cargill Texturizing Solutions Algeria; Dubai; Australia All Sales offices opened to serve new markets Danisco India Functional ingredients Opened new production plants with focus on dairy industry 62 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector All industries have seen price rises over the last few years, primarily due to rising energy costs. Although in some cases, prices have started to fall, it is likely that prices will begin to rise again in the near future. Hydrocolloid manufacturers have been affected by this in the same way as all ingredient suppliers, but this is also providing opportunities for some hydrocolloid suppliers. Threats The rising cost of energy, growing demand in developing regions, and falling supplies have led to some hydrocolloid suppliers having to increase their prices. This has particularly affected companies that use seaweed. In 2008, FMC Biopolymer announced a number of price increases on its products, including carrageenan and alginates. In the same year, CP Kelco also implemented double-digit price increases across a range of ingredients, including those from seaweed. There have also been price increases for pectin, as global demand for fresh fruit has pushed up the price of citrus fruit. This is now leading pectin suppliers to look at other potential sources for this ingredient. These include mango, banana and pumpkin. More recently, sugar beet has also been seen as a potentially cheaper alternative. Suppliers of gum arabic have seen price rises due to rising demand and lower production, coupled with rising energy costs. Animal-based products have also been affected. Both Rousselot and Gelita increased prices in 2008 for their gelatin products, as the cost of producing animals has increased. Rising costs of animal feeds, due to poor grain harvests and more land being used for bio-fuels, coupled with rising energy costs, have led to the increases. In some cases, this has led some end-use manufacturers to seek cheaper supplies, particularly from China. The quality of the ingredients is, however, not up to the standard required, and many manufacturers have now gone back to sourcing ingredients from the well-established suppliers, and paying for quality. Where Next? Competitive Landscape Price as Threat 2008 was very hard in terms of pricing leading ingredient supplier 63 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Opportunities Price rises in ingredients, particularly dairy ingredients, have resulted in food manufacturers looking at ways to lower the cost of producing their products. Some hydrocolloids can replace certain ingredients used in dairy products, particularly as a fat replacer (such as gelatin), while pectin has the potential to replace milk proteins. With the increasing cost of seaweed-based hydrocolloids, ingredient suppliers are launching products that can replace the likes of carrageenan and alginates. TIC Gums has launched a product called Saladizer Max, which is claimed to be a direct substitute for propylene glycol alginate, used to stabilise sauces and dressings. Ingredient suppliers are also looking to find alternatives to gum arabic, as the cost of this ingredient continues to increase. TIC Gums has developed a coating system for confectionery products called TicaPan, which acts in the same way as gum arabic, while National Starch launched Q-Naturale emulsifier, a replacement for gum arabic in drinks. It will be key for hydrocolloid suppliers to continue researching new formulations and sources, as prices of current sources are likely to continue rising. It will also be important for established suppliers to compete on quality rather than just price, as, although manufacturers will not want to pay high prices for ingredients, they will not want to compromise on the quality of their end products Where Next? Competitive Landscape Price as Opportunity 64 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Innovation for hydrocolloid manufacturers comes through R&D of new ingredients, new formulations and new applications. New ingredients The number of new hydrocolloids being discovered is limited. The key areas of innovation for ingredient manufacturers is coming from developing new formulations either to meet current applications or looking for new opportunities. However, with the cost of many hydrocolloids increasing, it may be cost effective for companies to look into new sources. Research into new ingredients has seen some potential new sources of hydrocolloids. Recent research has discovered that an extract of the mulberry leaf may be a new source. Galactoglucomannan from spruce trees found in the waste water of timber mills has been found to be a better stabiliser for beverage emulsions than other hydrocolloids, such as guar gum. New formulations The leading hydrocolloid manufacturers have added value to their businesses and secured demand by supplying end-use manufacturers with ready-made formulations specific for particular applications, rather than offering just the raw ingredients. Rousselot has developed a product called Rousselot ACPE, which is a combination of gelatin and pectin. It allows confectionery manufacturers to develop citrus-flavoured marshmallows, which would otherwise have collapsed due to the low pH. Cargill Texturizing Solutions has developed two ingredients as alternatives to gelatin. C*ClearSet75505 is a cost-effective alternative that provides a strong chewy texture, while SatiagelPG450 carrageenan offers enhanced elasticity. Used together, these ingredients closely match the texture of gelatin, but with a lower cost. New applications Health foods have been some of the newest applications for hydrocolloids in recent years, and are set to continue to offer good opportunities for suppliers. Hydrocolloid use in low-fat foods has seen the most activity, but hydrocolloids are also key in many gluten-free products. Within these products, hydrocolloids help to combine the ingredients and provide texture lost through the lack of gluten. Gluten-free products have tended to suffer from poor appearance and texture, but with volume sales of gluten-free bakery products at 174,000 tonnes (US$941 mn) in 2007, up by 74% since 2002, this is a potentially lucrative market for hydrocolloid manufacturers. Some of the most recent research has seen guar gum used with buckwheat flour to produce gluten-free French baguettes. New applications will also come to light, as the health benefits of certain hydrocolloids are researched further. Already, their use as a prebiotic ingredient is increasing the market for some ingredients, and other functional benefits will undoubtedly follow. Where Next? Competitive Landscape Innovation Innovation is key, through new technologies leading ingredient supplier 65 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Where Next? Future Remains Strong for Hydrocolloids Continued demand Hydrocolloids are key to the success of many food and drink products. Brand manufacturers will always require a ready supply. Increased competition Asian companies are likely to look to market their products on a global scale. Many companies from outside Asia can remain competitive by trading on quality rather than quantity and price. R&D To maintain their positions in the marketplace, suppliers need to work closely with end-use manufacturers. They must understand what the consumer wants and develop products that meet these desires. Natural opportunities The demand for natural ingredients looks like it is here to stay, securing future demand for hydrocolloids. Obtaining quality raw materials will be important to remain competitive. 66 Euromonitor International > Industry - Sector Global Briefings Global Company Profiles Country Market Insight Reports Interactive Statistical Database Strategy Briefings Learn More The state of the market globally and regionally, emerging trends and pressing industry issues: timely, relevant insight published every month. 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