950/2 STPM

Upper Six
April 2013



MATHEMATICS (M)

PAPER 2

One and a half hours


KOTA KINABALU HIGH SCHOOL


STPM SECOND TERM TRIAL EXAMINATION






Instructions to candidates:

DO NOT OPEN THIS QUESTION PAPER UNTUIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO

Answer all questions in Section A and any one question in Section B. Answers must
written in English.

All necessary working should be shown clearly.

Scientific calculators may be used. Programmable and graphic display calculators are
prohibited.

A list of mathematical formulae, statistical tables and graph papers are provided on
pages 5 and 6 of this question paper.










This question paper consists of 6 printed pages
2
Section A [45 marks]

Answer all questions in this section.

1 The nurse of a company performs a routine health check of 100 workers of the
company. The report on the heart rates of the workers is tabulated as below.

Heart rate (per minute) Number of workers

3

15

28

24

20

7

2

1

(i) Calculate
an estimate of the mean. [2 marks]
(ii) Calculate
the standard deviation of the heart rate of the workers. [3 marks]
(iii) Plot a relative cumulative frequency curve for the above data. Hence, determine
the median and the percentage of workers who heart rates is more than 87 per
minute. [5 marks]

2
If A and B are incidents where .
Calculate
[3 marks]
[2 marks]
Determine if A and B are independent or mutually exclusive. [4 marks]

3 The discrete random variable X represents the number of air-conditioners sold by a
company in a week. X has a Poisson distribution with mean and
Determine the value of [3 marks]
Calculate the probability that five air-conditioners are sold in four weeks.
[2 marks]

4 The data below show the average closing share prices (RM) for the LTR Company for
the first 12 weeks of 2013:

Month Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4
January
February
March
39.25
38.25
37.00
38.75
38.00
38.25
38.75
37.55
38.50
39.00
37.50
39.74

Find the trend values using the moving average method. [3 marks]
Using additive model, calculate the adjusted seasonal variation for each week. [5
marks]
3
Forecast the average closing for this companys shares for the fourth week of April
2013. [3 marks]

5 For 10 married couples, the height of the husband (x cm) and the height of the wife
(y cm) are summarized by
and Calculate the coefficient of the correlation, and comment on the
result. [4 marks]

6 The manager of sport shoes company wants to determine the level of its market share
in the shoe market. He collects data on the average prices and the number of pairs of
sports shoes sold (in thousands of pair) in year 2011 and 2012.







(i) Calculate
a weighted prices index of the shoes in year 2012 using 2011 as the base year and
the quantities in 2011 as the weights. [3 marks]
(ii) Calculate
a weighted quantities index of the shoes in year 2012 using 2011 as the base year
and the prices in 2012 as the weights. [3 marks]

2011 2012
Type of shoes
Price Quantity (000) Price Quantity (000)
Jogging shoes
Badminton shoes
Tennis shoes
28.00
32.00
35.00
320
1500
1000
35.00
43.00
46.00
400
1900
1300





















4






5

Section B [15 marks]

Answer any one question in this section.

1 The discrete random variable X takes the value k with the probability
, where c is a constant.
(i) Determine the value of c, [3 marks]
(ii) Construct a probability distribution table of . [2 marks]
(iii) Calculate the mean and variance of X, [4 marks]
(iv) Find the cumulative distribution function, F(x). [3 marks]
(v) Hence, sketch the graph of this function. [3 marks]

2 The following table shows the marks obtained by 10 form six students for the
Mathematics and Economics papers in a test.

Students A B C D E F G H I J
Mathematics (x) 45 23 33 8 43 15 28 39 45 1
Economics (y) 44 19 36 14 34 8 17 26 29 3

(i) Plot the
data in a scatter diagram. [2 marks]
(ii) The
equation of the regression line of y on x is y = a + bx and the regression line of x
on y is x = c +dy, determine the values of a, b, c, d and the equation of both
regression line. [8 marks]
(iii) Estimate the marks for Mathematics paper obtained by a student who score 40
marks for Economics paper, give your answers correct to the nearest 1 mark.
[2 marks]
(iv) Calculate
the coefficient of determination and interpret your answer. [3 marks]

END OF QUESTION PAPER



6

MARKING SCHEME SMK TINGGI KOTA KINABALU, SABAH
Section A:
1










(i) Mean =
= [1 mark]
= 76.35 [1 mark]

(ii) Standard deviation =

= [2 marks]
= 6.92 [1 mark]

(iii) Graph correctly plotted. [3 marks]
Median = 76 minutes [1 mark]
The percentage of workers who heart rates is more than 87 per minute = 93%
[1 mark]

Heart rate (per minute) Number of
workers(f)
Mid point (t)

3 62.5

15 67.5

28 72.5

24 77.5

20 82.5

7 87.5

2 92.5

1 97.5
2
Given .


[1 mark]


=


[1 mark]
7





[1 mark]
[1 mark]

(i) , so event A and B are not mutually exclusive. [2 marks]

Since OR so
event A and B are not are independent. [2 marks]

3

For Poisson distribution,

(i) Var(X) =
[1 mark]


[1 mark]

cannot be negative, so . [1 mark]

(ii) Y : the number of air conditioners sold in 4 weeks


P(X = 5) = [1 mark]
= 0.000983 [1 mark]












8
4 (i)
Month Week
Prices
(RM)
4 point MA Trend
1
39.25

2 38.75


3 38.75 38.81
January



4 39.00 38.59
1 38.25 38.35
2 38.00 38.01
3 37.55 37.67
February


4 37.50 37.54
1 37.00 37.69
2 38.25 38.09
3 38.50
March


4 39.74
[3 marks]
(ii)
Month Week
Prices
(RM) (Y)
Trend
(T)
SV
1
39.25

2 38.75
3 38.75 38.81 -0.06
January



4 39.00 38.59 0.41
1 38.25 38.35 -0.10
2 38.00 38.01 -0.01
3 37.55 37.67 -0.12
February


4 37.50 37.54
-0.04
1 37.00 37.69
-0.69
2 38.25 38.09
0.16
3 38.50
March


4 39.74
[2 marks]

Month Week
1
Week
2
Week
3
Week
4
January
February
March
-
-0.10
-0.69
-
-0.01
0.16
-0.06
-0.12
-
0.41
-0.04
-
Average
SV
-0.395 0.075 -0.090 0.370
Adjusted
Factor
-0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01
Adjusted SV -0.385 0.085 -0.080 0.380
[3 marks]

38.9375
38.6875
38.5000
38.2000
37.8250
37.5125
37.5750
37.8125
38.3725
9
(iii) The average closing for this companys shares for the fourth week of April 2013
= 38.81+ 13 ( ) + 0.380 [2 marks]
= RM 37.85 [1 mark]

5


[2 marks]
r = 0.846 [1 mark]
Strong positive correlation. [1mark]

6
Prices index of the shoes in year 2012 =
[2 marks]
= 132.34 [1 mark]

(i) Quantities index of the shoes in year 2012 =

[2 marks]
= 127.77 [1 mark]


Section B:
7 (i)
[1 mark]

[1 mark]

[1 mark]


(ii)
X = k 0 1 2

P(X = k)








[2 marks]

10
(iii)

=
= [1 mark]


=
= 1 [1 mark]



= [1 mark]

= [1 mark]




(iv) F(x) = P(X x)
F(x) = 0, x < 0


= 1, [3 marks]



(v)











[3 marks]



0

1

P(X=k)
X
11
8 (i) Scatter diagram correctly plotted. [2 marks]

(ii) 6824 , 10112 , 8097 , 230 , 280
2 2
= = = = =

y x xy y x

The equation of the regression line of y on x is y = a + bx;


[1 mark]
= 0.72931 [1 mark]


a =

[1 mark]


The equation of the regression line of y on x is y = 2.58 + 0.729x [1 mark]


The equation of the regression line of y on x is x = c + dy;


[1 mark]
= 1.08018 [1 mark]


c =

[1 mark]


The equation of the regression line of x on y is x = 3.16 + 1.08y [1 mark]

(iii) x = 3.16 + 1.08y
= 3.16 + 1.08 (40) [1 mark]
= 46.36
12
= 47 marks [1 mark]

(iv)




[1 mark]

[1 mark]

78.8% of the variation in y can be explained by x. [1 mark]