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PJC2011

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PJC 2011 JC2 H2 Mathematics End of Year Paper 2 Solution

1
3 2
Let sequence,
then 1
8 4 2 2
27 9 3 4
64 16 4 8
1 1 4
Using GC: , , , 0
6 2 3
r
T ar br cr d
a b c d
a b c d
a b c d
a b c d
a b c d
= + + +
+ + + =
+ + + =
+ + + =
+ + + =
= = = =

3 2
1 1 4
6 2 3
r
T r r r = +

2(i)










3

2 1
1
4
x
x

s
+

2 1
1 0
4
5
0
4
4 5 ---------------(1)
x
x
x
x
x

s
+

s
+
< s

(2 e ) e
1
(1 4e ) e
2e 1
1
e 4
x x
x x
x
x


s
+

s
+

1
2
Let lim i.e as , and
then 3
3 0
1 1 12
2
1 13 1 13
or (NA since >0)
2 2
n n n
n
n
X n X X
x
o o o
o o
o o
o
+

=
= +
=
+
=
+
=

Note: Graph is
not a straight
line
3 y x x = +
1
1
from graph of 3
for 0 , 0
3 0
0
n n
n n
n n
y x x
x y
x x
x x
x x
o
+
+
= +
< < <
+ <
<
>
4 5
+ +

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2
Replace in (1) with e
then 4 e 5
since e 0 for all
0 e 5
ln5 ln5
x
x
x
x
x
x
x x

< s
>
< s
s >


4(i)
( )
0 4 2
1 1
OL 4 2 3
2 2
0 6 3
OC OD
( | | | | | |
( | | |
= + = + =
( | | |
| | |
(
\ . \ . \ .


4(ii)
( )( )
1 1
area sin
2 2
2 4
1
3 0
2
3 0
0
1
12
2
12
1
288 6 2
2
OAL OL OA AOL OL OA A = =
| | | |
| |
=
| |
| |
\ . \ .
| |
|
=
|
|

\ .
= =


4(iii)
0
using dot
2 2
1 1 14 14 cos
3 3
6
cos
14
64.6
ML OD
u
u
u
| | | |
| |
- =
| |
| |
\ . \ .
=
=



5(i)

2
2 2
2 2
2 2
2
1 2 1 1
4 4
2 2
4
1
2
4 4
4 4
2 4
x
x x
x
x
x x
x x
x
(
| |
+ +
( |
\ .


| |

|
\ .
+
= +

=


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3
5(ii)
2 2 1
0
0
2 1
1 1 1
4 d 4 4sin
2 2 2 2
1
4 4sin
4 2 4
k
k
x
x x x x
k k
k k a

( | | | |
= +
( | |
\ . \ .
( | |
= + =
| (
\ .
}

5(iii)
2 2
4 4 y x + =
2
2
2
1
2
x
y + =
2
0
1
4 d
2
k
R x x =
}

5(iv)
1
Required area 4 with 1
1
3 4sin
2
3 4
6
2
3
3
R k
t
t

= =
| |
= +
|
\ .
| |
= +
|
\ .
= +


6(i) 3 1 z z > +

6(ii)
( )
arg 3 i arg
6 6
arg
6 6 6
arg 0
3
0 arg
3
3 1
lies on excluding point ' '
z
z
z
z
z z
z OAC O
t t
t t t
t
t
s + s
s s
s s
s s
> +

6(iv)
( )
2 3 3 3
tan 3
1
3
Hence arg 2 3i
2 3
AB
AB
z
u
t
u
t t
= =
= =
=
< s

2
1
k
R
3
t

1
A
B
u
2 3
O
C
Locus of Q
Locus of P
Locus of z
Im(z)
Re(z)
3 1

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4
7(i) N = 90, n = 10, so k = 9. List all the faculty staff by their names in
alphabetical order and choose a random number from 1 to 9. Say we
have chosen the number 4, then we select the 4
th
, 13
th
, 22
nd
, 31
st
, 40
th
,49
th
, 58
th
,
67
th
,76
th
, 85
th
names from the list to form the sample of 10.

7(ii) Choose the number of Professor, Senior Lecturers and Lecturers in the
following:

Professor Senior Lecturer Lecturer Total
Population 9 18 63 90
Sample 1 2 7 10

Compile 3 lists of names Professor, Senior Lecturers and Lecturers.
Perform simple random sampling from the separate lists of Professor,
Senior Lecturers and Lecturers to select 1 Professor, 2 Senior
Lecturers and 7 lecturers to form a sample of 10.

Stratified sampling is preferred as the sample selected is more
representative of the faculty.

8(i) r = 0.9785








8(ii) r = 0.9785 indicates that there is a strong positive linear correlation but from
the scatter diagram, there is non-linear relation between x and y. So a linear
model may not be appropriate.

8(iii) From GC, ln y = 1.35553 + 0.132498 x

8(iv) From the description, x is the controlled variable while y is the response. So
we will use ln y on x to estimate the amount: ln15 = 1.35553 + 0.132498x, so
x = 10.2 mg

9(i)

Let A ~ students own IPod B~ students own IPhone
Given n(A ) = 25, n(B) = 40 and n(A B) n(A B) = 35

n(A B) = n(A) + n(B) n(A B)
35 + n(A B) = 25 + 40 n(A B), so n(A B) = 15
P(A B) =
20
3
100
15
=

x
y

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5
OR

P(A B) = P(A) + P(B) P(A B)
100
35
+ P(A B) =
100
40
100
25
+ P(A B)
P(A B) =
20
3
100
15
=

9(ii) From (i) n(A B) = 50
So the prob required =
2
1
100
50
1 =

9(iii) P(A | B) =
8
3
40
15
) (
) (
= =

B P
B A P


Alternative: Use venn diagram to consider the numbers:


10(i) Number of way required = 10
4
= 100 00

10(ii) Number of ways for last digit = 5
Number of ways required = 9 8 7 6 5 5 = 75600

10(iii) Number of ways for 3 odd digits =
3
5
C = 10
Number of ways for 3 even digits =
3
5
C = 10
Number of ways required = 10 10 6! = 72000

11(i) X ~ number of defective pen, out of 10
X ~ B(10, 0.01)
P(X > 1) = 1 P(X s 1) = 0.0042662 0.00427 ~

11(ii) Y~ number of boxes being rejected, out of 1000
Y~ B(1000, 0.0042662)
Since n is large, np = 4.2662 < 5, Y~Po(4.2662)
At least 990 boxes being accepted is the same as at most 10 boxes being
rejected
P(Y s 10) = 0.995
IPod
IPhone
x
y
z
Given x + y = 25 ----- (1)
y + z = 40 ----- (2)
x + z = 35 ----- (3)
(1)+(2): x + 2y + z = 65, so y = 15
(1) + (2) + (3): 2x+2y+2z = 100
So x + y + z = 50
(i) Prob req =
20
3
100
15
=
(ii) Prob req =
2
1
100
50
=

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11(iii) W~ number of boxes being rejected out of 2000
W~B(2000, 0.0042662)
Since n is large, np = 8.5324 > 5 and n(1 p) = 1991.4676>5
W~N(8.5324, 8.495999) approx
P(W s 12) = P( W < 12.5) = 0.913

12(i)
Unbiased estimate for mean
( 30)
1266
30 30 82.75
24 24
x
x

= = + = + =


Unbiased estimate for variance = s
2
=
( )
391 . 490
24
1266
5 . 78060
23
1
24
) 30 (
) 30 (
23
1
2
2
2
=
|
|
.
|

\
|
=
|
|
.
|

\
|


x
x

12(ii)

H
0
: = 80 vs H
1
: > 80
Level of Sig = 3%
Test statistics t =
82.75 80
490.391/ 24

=0.60837

p-value = 0.27445 > 0.03

Since p-value is more than level of significance, do not reject H
0
and conclude that
there is insufficient evidence to suggest that the mean speed is greater than 80 km/h at
3% level of significance.


The unbiased estimate of mean remains unchanged as 82.75

The unbiased estimate of pop variance
( )
2
2
2
( 30)
1 1 12660
( 30) 780605 471.925
239 240 239 240
x
x
| |

| |
|
= = =
|
|
\ .
\ .


but the distribution
471.925
~ (80, )
240
X N approximately under CLT
test statistics
82.75 80
1.9611
471.925/ 240
z

= =
p-value is 0.02493 < 0.03

Since p-value is less than the level of significance, we reject H
0
and conclude that
there is sufficient evidence that the mean speed is greater than 80 km/h, so there is a
change in conclusion.






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7
13(i) X~ time taken by route A
X~ N(14, 2.5
2
)
P(X > 12) = 0.788

13(ii) Y ~ time taken by route B
Y~ N(12, 7.3)

X Y ~N(2, 2.5
2
+ 7.3)
X Y ~N(2, 13.55)
P(|X Y| > 3) = 1 P(3s X Y s 3) = 0.480

Let T = X
1
+ X
2
+ X
3
+ Y
1
+ Y
2
~ N(42 + 24, 3(2.5
2
)+2(7.3))=N(66,33.35)
T ~ N(66,33.35)
P( T < 70) = 0.756

14 X~no of fish caught by angler in 1 hour
X~Po(1.5)
P(X = 3) = 0.126

14(i) Y~no of fish caught by anglers son in 1 hour
Y~Po(1)
X + Y ~Po(2.5)
P(X + Y > 2) = 1 P(X + Y s 1) = 0.713

14(ii) U~no of fish caught by angler in 2 hours
V~ no of fish caught by his son in 2 hours
U~Po(3) V~Po(2)
U + V~Po(5)
Prob required
=
( 4) ( 0) ( 3) ( 1)
( | 4)
( 4)
P U P V P U P V
P U V U V
P U V
= = + = =
> + = =
+ =

= 0.475

Let F and S be the number of fish caught by angler and his son in n minutes
respectively.
F + S~Po(
60
5 . 2 n
)
P(F + S > 1) > 0.9
P(F + S = 0) < 0.1
From the GC,
n = 55: P(F + S = 0) = 0.1011 >0.01
n = 56: P(F + S = 0) = 0.09697 <0.01
so least n = 56

Since 50 n = is large, By Central Limit Theorem
1.5
~ (1.5, )
50
X N approx
P( X > 2) = 0.00195

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