Jon Reiersen * Vestfol !ni"ersit# College $%&% 'o( ))*+, +1-+ ./nsberg Norwa#
Abstract: .he signing of the so0calle 1'asic 2greement3 between the Norwegian 4mplo#ers Confeeration 5N2F6 an the Norwegian Confeeration of .rae !nions 5L&6 in 17+8 marks a turning point in the histor# of labor relations in Norwa#% .he 1'asic 2greement3 prouce a lasting rop in the le"el of strikes an lockouts, an it was an important earl# step towars centrali9e wage bargaining% :hat mae the 1'asic 2greement3 possible; From the earl# 17)-s to the mi 17+-s Norwa# ha one of the highest le"els of inustrial conflicts in 4urope% Class conflicts were intense an the relationship between emplo#ers an unions was marke b# wiesprea mistrust% :hat e(plains the transition from conflicts an mistrust to the kin of uni<ue cooperating relationship that characteri9es the Norwegian moel of labor relations e"en toa#; .he article asserts that the situation the parties in the labor market face can be "iewe as a coorination game, where the ecision to cooperate or not is etermine b# the parties beliefs about each other% .he article ientifies critical e"ents that transforme the parties= beliefs in the #ears before 17+8 > beliefs that earlier mae it ifficult to o"ercome the situation of mistrust%
* $aper prepare for the conference 12 Noric Moel;3, !ni"ersit# of Flensburg, June ? > 7, )-1+% I thank @alle Moene an .heo Achewe for helpful comments% )
1 Introduction .he economic moel that characteri9es the Noric countries has recei"e a great eal of positi"e attention in recent #ears% :hat has been of particular interest is the abilit# of the Noric countries to secure high economic growth an a health# econom# o"er long perios of time combine with an e(tensi"e e<uali9ation of income an li"ing conitions% :hat has mae this rather unusual combination of efficienc# an e<ualit# possible; Moene an :allerstein 51778a,bB )--C6 argue that coorinate or centrali9e wage bargaining has been essential in orer to secure both e<ualit# an efficienc# in the Noric countries% .he# show that man# of the central features often associate with the Noric moel are a irect result of how wages traitionall# ha"e been etermine in the Noric countries% .he# share with man# others the "iew that that centrali9e wage bargaining has been essential for the e"elopment of the Noric moel% 1 Moene an :allerstein pro"ie se"eral arguments to Dustif# their claim% For instance, centrali9e wage bargaining prouces a higher willingness among the unions to moerate their wage emans, e"en when unemplo#ment is low% .his has mae it easier for the go"ernments in the Noric countries to maintain full emplo#ment through their stanar polic# instruments% 2nother important conse<uence of centrali9e wage bargaining is wage e<uali9ation% Centrali9e wage bargaining has mae it possible implement so0calle soliaristic wage polic#% Aoliaristic wage polic# is base on the iea that that the wages of
1 Aee also Cameron 517E*6, Calmfors an Friffil 517EE6, Moene an :allerstein 5177+6, I"ersen 517776, La#ar, Nickell an Jackman 5)--86, $ontusson 5)--86 an Mares 5)--C6 among man# others% +
the lowest pai shoul be lifte while the wages of the highest pai shoul be hel own > an this t#pe of wage polic# has o"er time prouce a compression of wages an a highl# egalitarian istribution of income in the Noric countries% Centrali9e wage bargaining has also mae it possible to put the e(port inustries 1in front3, meaning that the wage growth in the econom# as a whole is fi(e to the growth of wages in the e(port sector% .his has prouce a situation where wages throughout the econom# has been tie to the conitions in the e(port sector an the competition the# face on the international market% .his arrangement has been essential for the Noric countries since the# are small open economies, hea"il# epenent on securing their competiti"eness% In aition centrali9e wage bargaining an soliaristic wage polic# has contribute to high proucti"it# an competiti"eness b# stimulating the growth of efficient an inno"ati"e enterprises% :hen wages are set on a centrali9e le"el, firms with high proucti"it# are able to get awa# with moerate wage premiums, pushing up profits an in"estments in high0 proucti"it# firms% 2t the same time, firms with low le"els of proucti"it# are pre"ente from sta#ing in business b# pa#ing low wages% 2ltogether this contributes to a "irtuous circle of structural change in the econom#% 'ase on these arguments it is fairl# safe to sa# that centrali9e wage bargaining has helpe the Noric countries in achie"ing a fairl# efficient allocation of resources an a relati"el# egalitarian istribution of income% 2n issue that has been far less stuie, howe"er, is the forces that initiall# contribute to the formation of centrali9e wage bargaining% :hat mae the Noric labor market moel possible; !ner what conitions were the first steps towar centrali9e wage bargaining taken; In Norwa#, an important step was taken with the signing in 17+8 of the *
1'asic 2greement3 between the Norwegian Confeeration of .rae !nions 5L&6 an .he Norwegian 4mplo#ers= Confeeration 5N2F6% .he 'asic 2greement establishe the labor markets peak organi9ations right an obligations, an it sat own rules for collecti"e bargaining at the inustr# le"el% .he establishment of the 'asic 2greement represente an important contribution towars an e(tensi"e collaboration between two of the main actors in the Norwegian labor market > a collaboration that has been essential for the e"elopment of centrali9e wage bargaining in Norwa#, an for the Norwegian labor market moel in general% 2lthough the 'asic 2greement has been altere throughout the #ears in orer to respon to new circumstances, the agreement still pla#s a ke# role in the regulation of the relationship between the parties of the Norwegian labor market% It was not, howe"er, gi"en that the parties of the labor market in Norwa# woul e"elop a collaboration between labor an capital that was as e(tensi"e as the one outline b# the 'asic 2greement of 17+8% It is a general "iew among Norwegian historians that the signing of the 'asic 2greement marks a turning point in the histor# of labor relations in Norwa#% It prouce a lasting rop in the le"el of inustrial conflicts% .he #ears prior to 17+8 are often referre to as the 1perio of crisis an struggle3 in Norwa#% !nemplo#ment was at a recor high, as was the le"el of labor conflicts% Furing the perio from 17)1 to 17+8, 1,1-- labor conflicts took place > almost the same amount of conflicts that ha"e taken place in Norwa# in the entire postwar perio 5see Figures 1 an ) below6% Furing the same perio, )+ million work a#s were lost in strikes an lockouts > an e(tremel# high number for a small countr# with Dust uner three million inhabitants 5at that time6% 2long with Aween, Norwa# ha 8
one of the highest le"els of labor conflicts in 4urope uring the interwar perio% .he relationship between the parties of the labor market was in no wa# characteri9e b# trust, cooperation an compromises > concepts that are emphasi9e toa# when the Noric moel is escribe% :iesprea conflicts an lack of trust are of course not a goo starting point for establishing cooperation% .he high le"el of conflicts between the unions an the emplo#ers contribute in shaping the parties= beliefs about each other > beliefs that inicate that the opposite part# was not prepare to cooperate% It was not, howe"er, onl# the numerous an e(tensi"e conflicts that shape the parties= beliefs about each other% 2 significant prouction of ieas took place that further eepene the mutual mistrust% .he emplo#ers an the labor process were interprete b# the labor mo"ement using Mar(ist0inspire concepts like 1conflict3 an 1struggle3% From the beginning, the labor mo"ement built upon a worl"iew in which the struggle between the working class an the capitalists ser"e as its basis% .his was "iewe as being a struggle that woul not en before the unDust class societ# was abolishe, an a new social orer base on socialist organi9ations of prouction was establishe% :ithin this interpreti"e framework, cooperation with the emplo#ers implie a legitimi9ation of an opposing part# whose remo"al was actuall# esire% .his ob"iousl# mae the strateg# Gcooperation= ifficult to think of for the unions% 2t the same time, it was ifficult for the emplo#ers to accept an opposite part# that belie"e their e(istence was unesirable, an in aition create inDustice% .he relationship between the parties of the labor market uring the interwar perio was inee problematic, an these problems was relate C
both to the struggle of how "alues shoul be istribute an to how the# percei"e the other part#=s long0term goals% 2s pointe out b# Moene an :allerstein 5)--C6 trust, cooperation an mutual respect were in no wa# a prere<uisite for the Noric moel, as man# international obser"ers seem to belie"e% .rust, cooperation an mutual respect shoul instea be regare as being a result of the Noric moel% ) 'ut this begs the <uestion of how it was possible to make the transition from eep ieological conflicts an open class struggle to the trusting cooperati"e relationship that emerge in the Norwegian labor market uring the interwar #ears; :hat le the parties, both of which carrie a historical e(perience of 1the other3 as the enem#, to begin to seek out cooperation; How i L& an N2F manage to unite behin a broa cooperati"e agreement in 17+8 > an agreement that lai out the founation for an e"en more e(tensi"e cooperation in the perio that followe; +
.he central argument of this paper is that cooperation is ifficult to achie"e if the parties in"ol"e ha"e a belief that opponent is not willing to cooperate > an this was the situation in the Norwegian labor market in the interwar perio% 2fter se"eral #ears with intensi"e conflicts the parties in the labor market carrie with them the beliefs that the other part# was not intereste in cooperation% .his le both to choose 1conflict3 as their main strateg#% .he outcome was conflict, which in turn confirme the parties= beliefs that the opposite part was not intereste in cooperation% .he parties were caught in a situation where istrust an
) .he relationship between the unions an the emplo#ers in the interwar perio in Aween share man# of the same features as in Norwa#% Aween got their 'asic 2greement in 17+E% + Rothstein 5)--86 asks the same <uestion with reference to Aween% M# anal#sis is hea"il# influence b# the wa# Rothstein frame the <uestion, e(cept that m# empirical case is Norwa# an not Aween% ?
lack of cooperation le to reinforce istrust an lack of cooperation% 'ut if #ou ha"e ene up in a situation like this, how o #ou get out of it; I argue that uring the interwar perio se"eral e"ents took place which contribute to a graual change in the parties= beliefs about each other% .hese e"ents where relate to changes in both internal an e(ternal factors, changes that that transforme the parties= 1mental maps3 an le them to change their main strateg#% .he rest of the paper is organi9e as follows% In the ne(t section, I gi"e a short escription of the Norwegian labor market uring the interwar perio% .he obDecti"e is to emonstrate that this perio was marke b# problematic inustrial relations an e(tensi"e conflicts% .hese conflicts shape the beliefs of the emplo#ers an the members of the trae union mo"ement > beliefs that mae it ifficult for the parties to reuce the le"el of conflict an to seek out compromises% In section +, this iea is formali9e within a simple game theoretical framework% I argue that the situation the parties face has the character of a coorination game > an that the beliefs the parties carr# with them are critical for the outcome of this game% In section *, I ientif# se"eral e"ents that were important for the graual change in beliefs both among the emplo#ers an in the trae union mo"ement% .hese changes in beliefs were necessar# in orer for the parties to mo"e awa# from conflict as their main strateg# an to seek cooperation% .hese cooperating efforts calumniate with the signing in 17+8 of the famous 'asic 2greement%
E
2. Struggle, conflict and mistrust .he Norwegian labor market ha been through e(ceptionall# conflict0 fille #ears before an important change took place with the signing in 17+8 of the 'asic 2greement between L& an N2F% .his is illustrate in Figures 1 an )% Furing the ten0#ear perio between 17)8 an 17+8, there were, for e(ample, Dust as man# work conflicts in Norwa# as in the fift#0#ear perio from 17*8 to 177C% .he conflicts in the interwar #ears often laste long an in"ol"e man# people% .his is reflecte in the loss of worka#s in this perio 5see figure 16% In the ten0#ear perio from 17)1 to 17+1, an entire )) million worka#s were lost ue to strikes an lockouts% .he corresponing number for the ten0#ear perio between 1781 an 17C1 was Dust uner two million, while uring the perio from 17C) to 17?), onl# *--,--- worka#s were lost% *
Howe"er, it was not Dust the relationship between the parties in the labor market that was turbulent uring the interwar #ears% .he entire Norwegian econom# was affecte b# powerful up0an0own swings% In 17)-, an international recession struck the Norwegian econom#, with falling prices an loss of Dobs as an immeiate effect% !nemplo#ment among union members increase from )%+I to 1?%CI from 17)- until 17)1% In subse<uent #ears, there was "irtuall# no growth in the Norwegian econom#% In 17)?, unemplo#ment among unioni9e workers was )8%*I 5AA', 17C76%
* .he 'asic 2greement inclue a so0calle peace obligation that prohibite strike an lockouts after a central agreement was signe% .his peace obligation helpe in proucing a lasting rop in the le"el of inustrial conflicts in Norwa# > as illustrate in figure 1 an )% 7
Figure1 Millions of workdays lost due to labor conflicts
In 17+-, Norwa# was hit har b# the international recession following the :all Atreet crash of 17)7% $rouction stagnate again an uring the perio from 17+1 to 17+8, unemplo#ment in Norwa# was on a"erage at )7I among union members 5AA', 17C76% Atagnating prouction, high unemplo#ment an falling prices were the main sources behin man# of the labor conflicts in Norwa# uring the interwar perio% In particular, falling prices an emans b# emplo#ers to make cuts in nominal pa# represente an essential source of conflict% :ith the e(ception of the #ears from 17)+ to 17)8, the prices in Norwa# fell continuousl# from 17)- until 17+* > the #ear before the 'asic 2greement was reache% .he #ear 17+1 was particularl# fille with conflict > create precisel# b# the emplo#ers= eman for eep cuts in wages% :hen L& i not compl# with this, the emplo#ers announce a big lockout% .he lockout laste for fi"e months, an le to the loss of ?%C million worka#s% .he actual intention of the lockout has been much ebate, but L& interprete it at that time as being to 1() force the entire union movement to its knees.3 5'D/rgum, 17E86% .he economic ownturn with recor high unemplo#ment ha weakene L&% .he strike funs were almost empt#, something that the emplo#ers were full# aware of% In aition, the emplo#ers were in a politicall# strong position% .he political right ha secure a maDorit# at the election in 17+-, an in the ominant conser"ati"e press there was a massi"e agitation against 1the union monopol#3 an 1union t#rann#3% .hus, the great lockout of 17+1 was at that time interprete as if the emplo#ers were looking for a final confrontation with the unions 5'D/rgum, 17E86% 11
.he #ear 17+1 was also characteri9e b# one of the most ramatic e"ents in moern Norwegian labor histor#, the so0calle 'attle of Mensta% .he incient starte with se"eral thousan union members emonstrating with emans to stop what the# consiere to be strike0breaking at the warehouse an offloaing place, Mensta% .he police were calle to stop the emonstration, but were chase awa#% .he go"ernment therefore ecie to sen in arme militar# forces against the workers% .his ecision was mae e"en though the go"ernment knew that fi"e workers ha been kille b# militar# troops calle in as backups for the police in a similar incient in Jalen in Aween, Dust four weeks prior to the Mensta conflict% .he 'attle of Mensta garnere huge s#mbolic importance 5as i the Jalen shootings in Aween6% For man# within the trae union mo"ement the e"ent ser"e as a confirmation that the workers= interests coul not be secure through cooperation with the emplo#ers% Funamental changes in societ# were neee% .his stanpoint was also publicl# e(presse b# the Labor $art#, who were 5an still are6 L&=s closest all#% .he Labor $art# aopte the following statement at its part# conference in 17+-K 1The labor movement must have complete freedom to act toward the capitalist class and the capitalist state. The party is therefore an opponent of every form of cooperation between classes ()3% It is worth noting that this statement was written an appro"e onl# a few #ears before the 'asic 2greement was negotiate between L& an N2F% .here were also se"eral large conflicts in the #ears prior to 17+1, conflicts that make it ifficult to e(plain how the parties in the labor market coul unite behin a comprehensi"e cooperation agreement in 17+8% .he #ears from 17)1 until 17)E were particularl# turbulent% Large segments of the 1)
Norwegian working class ha been highl# raicali9e after the Ao"iet re"olution in 171?% In this political setting, the emplo#ers= main goal was to fight own the raical opposition within L&% N2F strongl# feare the conse<uences of an increasingl# politici9e labor mo"ement, an the# were therefore in close contact with the go"ernment to gain assurances that the militar# woul inter"ene in an# illegal actions taken b# unions% .he go"ernment ga"e this assurance% .he# publicl# state that the# woul inter"ene with force an that the# were well prepare for a full confrontation with the labor mo"ement if necessar# 5@nutsen, 17E86% Feeling that the# ha the go"ernment on their sie, an with steail# growing unemplo#ment, the emplo#ers got on the offensi"e% .he# emane huge cuts in wages > cuts that were impossible for the unions to accept% In 17)1, for e(ample, seamen were face with a eman for a ++I nominal wage cut, which espite falling prices, meant a substantial reuction in real wages% L& was con"ince that other groups of workers woul face similar emans if the seaman ha to gi"e in% .hus, the# took 1)- --- workers out on strike, a number that was nearl# the e<ui"alent of L&=s entire membership% Howe"er, the emplo#ers ha no problems with recruiting strikebreakers, an "iolent confrontations arose between the strikers an strikebreakers in se"eral places in Norwa#% .he police an soliers were calle in to protect the strikebreakers, an later the go"ernment also passe new laws that were intene to protect the strikebreakers% .he general strike ha to be broken off after se"eral weeks an ene with an absolute efeat for L&% Man# i not get their Dobs back after the strike, an L& lost +CI of its members% .he conflict le to intensifie bitterness, not Dust between L& an N2F, but also between L& an the go"ernment% 1+
.he tension between L& an N2F was maintaine with more strikes an lockouts throughout the 17)-s% .he source for these conflicts was in most cases N2F=s eman for substantial reuctions in wages% Amall local conflicts were often e(pane to wie0ranging lockouts, which se"erel# raine L&=s strike funs% N2F hope that the pressure woul be so great that L& woul e"entuall# capitulate an accept the cuts in wages% Howe"er, L& emonstrate a greater abilit# to refuse the cuts than the emplo#ers ha initiall# counte on 5Fahl, 17E16% In 17)?, a new imension was introuce into the relationship between L& an N2F, an between L& an the go"ernment% N2F=s lockout that #ear was interrupte b# a state0impose resolution% .he resolution was clearl# in the emplo#ers= fa"or% For the first time in Norwa#, force arbitration was use to ri"e own the worker=s real wages 5Fahl, 17E16% L& felt too weak to fight 5that is, engage in an illegal strike6 against the resolution, which thereb# etermine the wages that #ear% .he wage settlements in 17)E were also etermine b# force arbitration% 2gain the emplo#ers ha e"er# reason to be satisfie% .he ruling in"ol"e a wage cut b# 1)I, which meant a reuction in real wages b# *I 5Fahl, 17E16% Howe"er, this time the workers i not accept the ruling% 2 number of illegal strikes broke out > an these were Dust as much irecte towars the go"ernment=s ruling on wage etermination as the# were against the cuts in real wages% .he emplo#ers e(pecte that the authorities woul inter"ene in orer to put a stop to the illegal strikes% Howe"er, the antagonism, bitterness, an mistrust between the parties ha intensifie to a point where the go"ernment wante to withraw entirel# from the wage bargaining process% .he# seeme to ha"e reali9e that the# were practicall# powerless in pre"enting conflicts to e"elop% 4ntering the 1*
17+-s the parties in the labor market were left more or less alone to ecie future agreements%
3. The problem with cooperation How i the parties within the Norwegian labor market manage to mo"e out of a state characteri9e b# open conflicts an istrust to a situation in which labor peace an cooperation emerge is the ominant picture; Aome concepts from game theor# will help to illustrate that stepping out of conflict is not an eas# task, e"en when the parties is well aware that the# ha"e much to gain b# establishing an agreement without going to conflict% 2ssume for simplicit# that L& an N2F ha"e two strategies a"ailableB Gconflict= 56 an Gcooperation= 5!6% .he matri( in Figure + specifies the pa#off for the two parties for the ifferent strateg# combinations, where o > b > c > J 5an the pa#off for L& on the left in each s<uare6% .he game illustrate in Figure + is an 2ssurance game, or a Coorination game as it is also sometimes labele% .his game has two Nash e<uilibria in pure strategiesK !"! an ". If L& chooses !# it is best for N2F to choose !% If N2F chooses # it is best for L& to choose . .he same is true if we consier the situation from N2F=s perspecti"e% .he game oes not sa# an#thing about which e<uilibrium the parties actuall# en up in, an this is true e"en though both parties prefer !"! to "% If both parties initiall# belie"e that the other pla#er will choose , both will chose , an the e<uilibrium !"! will be out of reach%
18
Figure + The $ssurance %ame
.he 2ssurance game formali9es a t#pical situation where the rational thing to o is conte(t epenent% .hat is, it can be rational to cooperate but it can also be rational not to cooperate% .he choice of strateg# epens on how the pla#ers percei"e the probabilit# that the other5s6 will cooperate or not% .he 2ssurance game also illustrates that it can be "er# ifficult for the parties to mo"e out of the e<uilibrium " when the parties fin themsel"es in that situation% 2s Figure + shows, there is a clear risk associate with choosing !. In choosing !# when the other pla#er chooses # the first pla#er will recei"e the lowest pa#off J. .he ilemma for both pla#ers is thus that ! gi"es the opportunit# of recei"ing the highest pa#off o, but also a possibilit# of recei"ing the lowest pa#off J% In other wors, in choosing # a pla#er safeguars itself against the worst outcome% In orer for the parties to be willing to choose !# the# must ha"e a clear unerstaning 5an assurance6 that the opposite part# will also choose !. Viewe in the light of the 2ssurance game it is therefore not ifficult to e(plain wh# L& an N2F, as soon as the# foun themsel"es in a situation characteri9e b# constantl# open conflicts, acte NA !" Cooperation Conflict o , o Cooperation Conflict J , b b , J c , c 1C
in a wa# that reprouce that same situation% .he parties= belief of realit# was that the opposite part# ha no intention of cooperating, beliefs that were forme b# se"eral #ears of conflict% Holing this belief it mae no sense for them to choose the strateg# Gcooperation=% .his reasoning can be mae more e(plicit b# efining p as pla#er $&s belief about the probabilit# that ' will cooperate% Cooperation gi"es an e(pecte pa#off of po + (1 p)J# while conflict gi"es an e(pecte pa#off of pb + (1 p)c% $la#er $ chooses cooperation if po + (1 p) J > pb + (1 p)c, which gi"es (1) p > c J o b + c J p
516 sa#s that if $ percei"es the probabilit# that ' will cooperate as less than p
, $ will choose conflict% 2lternati"el# put, $ will onl# cooperate if $
trust that ' will reciprocate cooperation, where the parties= trust is reflecte in the belief the# ha"e about the probabilit# that the other sie will cooperate% .he situation is also illustrate in Figure *% .he e(tensi"e labor conflicts in the 17)-s an +-s were costl# for both the emplo#ers an the emplo#ees% Atill, none of the parties ha an# incenti"e to refrain from threatening with continue conflict in orer to get their emans met as long as the opposite part# use the same strateg#% 2s note, refraining from conflict woul easil# impl# getting a worse outcome than the# coul ha"e otherwise manage to push through 5J instea of c6% Howe"er, when both parties threaten with conflict, such conflicts are also constantl# going to arise, since the threat of conflict is onl# creible o"er time if a part# actuall# chooses to carr# out what it has threatene% 1?
Figure * The willin(ness to cooperate depends on the level of trust
.he e(tensi"e labor conflicts in the 17)-s an +-s were costl# for both the emplo#ers an the emplo#ees% Atill, none of the parties ha an# incenti"e to refrain from threatening with continue conflict in orer to get their emans met as long as the opposite part# use the same strateg#% 2s note, refraining from conflict woul easil# impl# getting a worse outcome than the# coul ha"e otherwise manage to push through 5J instea of c6% Howe"er, when both parties threaten with conflict, such conflicts are also constantl# going to arise, since the threat of conflict is onl# creible o"er time if a part# actuall# chooses to carr# out what it has threatene% If we relate this reasoning to Figure *, we can sa# that in the interwar perio in Norwa# the parties in the labor market carrie with them beliefs about the probabilit# of the opposite part# to cooperate that lie to the left of the critical point p
. Conflict thereb# became a self0reinforcing process,
where the pla#ers= beliefs shape the pla#ers= actions, which in turn affecte the pla#ers= beliefs, etc% .he parties ha beliefs telling them that the other part# was not prepare for cooperation% .his le both to choose conflict% .he outcome was conflict, which in turn confirme the parties= beliefs% L& an N2F were trappe in a situation where istrust an a lack p 0 1 p )
Conflict Cooperation Mistrust brees mistrust ? .rust brees trust 1E
of cooperation le to reinforce istrust an lack of cooperation% .his leas us to the <uestion of how the parties manage to mo"e out of this state% :hat irecte the parties, both of which carrie with them a belief about 1the other3 as enem#, to seek out cooperation;
#. $hanges in beliefs It is possible to pin own a number of e"ents that le the parties of the labor market to grauall# change their beliefs about each other, changes that finall# le them to agree on the famous 1'asic 2greement3 in 17+8% .he fight against unemplo#ment an the <uestion about how the economic crisis that characteri9e Norwa# shoul be met, was particularl# important% 'ut, as illustrate in Figure 8, there were also other e"ents that contribute to a change in the relationship between L& an N2F, an the beliefs the# ha of each other% .hese e"ents will be further iscusse below%
17
Figure 8 *evelopment of trust
#.1 The partnership of the top leaders Fespite all the conflicts uring the interwar perio, there was clearl# a willingness among L& an N2F to cooperate an compromise% Let this willingness was primaril# e(presse though informal contacts an meetings between the top leaership of the two organi9ations 5'ull, 17E*B @nutsen, 17E86% It has been ocumente that these informal meetings affecte the outcome of se"eral of the conflicts in the 17)-s 5@nutsen, 17E86% Atill, the inirect effects of these meetings were probabl# more important% .he# contribute to the graual establishment of trust between the top leaership of the two organi9ations% $artnership of the leaers :ithrawal of the go"ernment Rationali9ation $ower balance Mrowth of fascism Fights against unemplo#ment Crisis plans New alliances .R!A. )-
2n earl# e(ample of contact between the leaership of L& an N2F is relate to the struggle against the s#nicalist an communist opposition groups within the union mo"ement% :ith an increasingl# raicali9e labor mo"ement, the leaership of N2F took the initiati"e to cooperate with the leaership of L& in the earl# 17)-s% .he# wante to support an strengthen the position of the more moerate leaers within L&% Howe"er, the leaership of N2F i not get support for such a collaborati"e strateg# within its own organi9ation% .he emplo#ers in general thought there was no reason to show eference to L&% .he# were con"ince that the go"ernment woul inter"ene resolutel# on an# illegal actions on the part of unions% 4"en so, the e"ent illustrates a certain change in attitue, particularl# among the leaers of the two organi9ations% 2 new form of trust was establishe% 2 somewhat later e(ample of the fact that there was a willingness to compromise throughout the conflicts is the contact that L& an N2F ha prior to the wage settlement in 17)8% .his was negotiations at the highest le"els between the two organi9ations, negotiations that took place in the utmost secret 5@nutsen, 17E86% Aimilar negotiations also contribute to ening the e(tensi"e an illegal construction workers= strike of 17)E 5'D/rgum, 17E86% Let this time, it was not a goal to keep secret the fact that the leaership of the two organi9ations ha reache a compromise% For the first time, the parties publicl# e(presse a esire to cooperate, an that this coul be of benefit to both parties% .he L& chairman officiall# referre to the occasion as 1() a victory for both or(ani+ations.3 5@nutsen, 17E8K *-?6% 2 clear unerstaning of the benefits of ialogue, negotiations an compromises seeme to ha"e been e"elope%
)1
#.2 The withdrawal of the go%ernment 2s note, se"eral arbitration rulings throughout the 17)-s were clearl# in the emplo#ers= fa"or, an these ser"e as confirmation that the emplo#ers ha the go"ernment on their sie% Howe"er, this situation change towar the en of the 17)-s% .he go"ernment seeme to be increasingl# powerless with regar to the man# of the labor conflicts that were t#pical uring this perio% In 17)?0)E, the conser"ati"e go"ernment ga"e increasingl# clear signals that the# wishe to withraw from the wage bargaining process an lea"e the wage settlement to the parties of the labor market% .his position was affirme b# subse<uent go"ernments% :ithout guarantees from a powerful thir part# who coul enforce a particular resolution 5often in the emplo#ers= fa"or6, it became increasingl# clear that the emplo#ers ha to make a ecision between continue confrontation, an greater efforts towar cooperation% .he last strateg# seeme to grauall# gain internal groun among the emplo#ers%
#.3 &ationali'ation .he 17)-s were also a time uring which the <uestion of moerni9ation an rationali9ation of the prouction process became increasingl# more rele"ant% .echnological changes an the impro"e efficienc# of the work process force the labor mo"ement to take a stan to the <uestion of whether rationali9ation was a goo or an e"il% :oul rationali9ation lea to increase prouction with fewer Dobs > or is rationali9ation necessar# in orer to make space for increase wages an the creation of Dobs; Leaing actors within L& e"entuall# got behin the last "iewpoint% 2 belief sprea throughout the union mo"ement that increase proucti"it# an higher earnings for the companies coul be more effecti"e in achie"ing the goals ))
of work for e"er#one, increase wages an better work conitions, than strikes an class0struggle% Impro"e proucti"it# an increase prouction also implie that the cost of prouction stops grew% Lockouts therefore seeme less an less attracti"e for the emplo#ers% Cooperation with the unions looke more appealing in orer to hiner prouction stanstills%
#.# (ower balance In 17+1, the most wie0ranging labor conflict in Norwa# to that ate took place% .here is a wiesprea "iew among Norwegian historians that this conflict ene 1in a raw3 > but with great financial losses on both sies% N2F ha built up significant ebt an L&=s strike funs were nearl# empt#% 2 power balance appeare to ha"e been establishe% It ha been seriousl# emonstrate to N2F that the organi9e labor mo"ement ha come to sta#, an L& unerstoo from its perspecti"e that if it was going to safeguar the members= income an Dobs, the# ha to seek out solutions that i not threaten the companies= e(istences% 'oth parties seeme to reali9e that labor an capital were tie to one another whether the# like it or not% Hence, the massi"e conflict of 17+1 was an important contribution in promoting an unerstaning among both parties that conflict an struggle were neither in the workers= nor the emplo#ers= interest% Cooperation o"er moerni9ation an a reasonable istribution of the profits was necessar#%
#.) Shift to the right .hroughout the 17+-s, the international political climate was increasingl# characteri9e b# a rightwar shift in state an societ#% Fascism=s growth )+
in particular represente a serious threat to the organi9e labor mo"ement% In countries like Ital#, Apain, Merman# an 2ustria, a eliberate polic# was carrie out in orer to estro# an split up the union mo"ement% Incients throughout 4urope in which union leaers ha been imprisone, abuse an kille were continuall# reporte in the press% In Norwa#, the Farmers $art# took o"er the go"ernment in 17+1% .his marke a transition to a polic# that was more hostile towars unions, an a clearer right0wing acti"ism in the rest of the societ#% .his shift in politics le to it being increasingl# more important for the leaership in L& to a"oi big conflicts with the emplo#ers an the go"ernment > which coul then lea to the labor mo"ement being grauall# left essentiall# on its own% 2n escalation of the conflicts coul threaten the labor mo"ement e"en in Norwa#% It became more an more apparent to the leaership of L& that cooperation o"er pragmatic solutions was necessar# > precisel# to a"oi ening up in the same esperate situation that the labor mo"ements in man# other countries foun themsel"es in%
#.* ighting unemplo+ment .he fight against the recor high unemplo#ment also pla#e an important role for bringing L& an N2F closer together% .he official an most utili9e unemplo#ment statistic shows an unemplo#ment rate at ++I in Norwa# in 17++% :ith unemplo#ment at this le"el there is reason to belie"e that L& unerstoo that it ha a responsibilit# in the efforts to get unemplo#ment own, an that the constant labor conflicts represente an obstacle to this% .he statement mae b# the L& chairman at the L& congress in 17+) can be interprete as being an e(pression for such an unerstaningK 1The Norwe(ian ,ederation of Trade -nions must now )*
take political and social factors into consideration based on the collective workin( class& interest%3
#., $risis plans In an attempt to aress the high unemplo#ment an economic recession, the Labor $art# launche their so0calle 1Crisis plan3 in 17+*% .his plan marke an initial cautious alternati"e to the ominant economic thinking at the time% In orer to increase prouction an emplo#ment, the state was ascribe a more acti"e role in the effort to stimulate eman% .he 1Crisis plan3 was inspire b# moern economic theor#, which was also introuce aroun this time% Let it was ifficult to formulate an effecti"e reco"er# polic# as long as the parties of the labor market were unwilling to cooperate% In particular, the challenge was that increase go"ernment spening woul increase the bargaining power of those who were alrea# emplo#e, especiall# those emplo#e in firms sheltere from international competition% If increase eman shoul result in rising wages of insiers in the labor market, this woul not onl# limit growth in emplo#ment, but also affect firms that compete on the international market% In orer for the @e#nesian policies to work as intene, local militant unions ha to be brought uner control 5Moene an :allerstein, )--C6% .he emplo#ers were the first to seek out a solution to this problem 5'D/rgum, 17E8B 'owman, )--)6% In orer to take the wages out of the hans of local unions, N2F worke har for a centrali9ation of the wage bargaining process% .heir approach was not, howe"er, to ban unions in orer to hol wages own% .heir strateg# was to gi"e more power to the leaers of the labor mo"ement as a whole, an thus strengthen unions as institutions% .his was an iea that the leaership of L& coul easil# )8
support% .hus, both N2F an L& seeme to grauall# reali9e that without inustrial peace the reco"er# polic# woul not work% 'ut e"en more important, the# seeme both to unerstan that increase go"ernment spening woul work best if wage bargaining were structure in a centrali9e manner% Let, such an arrangement re<uire e(tensi"e cooperation between the parties of the labor market%
#.- New alliances :ithin the labor mo"ement, it was especiall# labor unions who represente workers in the e(port sectors that supporte the iea of a more centrali9e s#stem of wage setting% .hese unions feare that militant unions within the sheltere sectors of the econom# 5e%g% unions organi9ing construction workers6 woul ri"e up wages if aggregate eman shoul go up as a result of increase go"ernment spening% High home0market wages woul make it "er# ifficult for union leaers in the e(port sectors to maintain the wage moeration re<uire for international competiti"eness% 2s a result, an implicit coalition consisting of unions in the e(port sectors, in particular the union representing metal workers, an the emplo#ers arose 5Awenson, )--)6% 'oth parties consiere centrali9e wage coorination as essential for controlling wage growth in firms sheltere from international competition% In practice, the e(tent an effect of the crisis polic# that was put into effect in Norwa# the 17+-s was moest 5Hone an Mr#tten, )--)6% Howe"er, the implicit coalition between the emplo#ers an the unions organi9ing workers in e(port oriente firms represente an important institutional response to problems that coul threaten the effects of a more acti"e stimulation of eman > an economic polic# that became more )C
rele"ant after the Aecon :orl :ar 5Moene an :allerstein, )--C6% 2gain, it seeme increasingl# apparent that L& an N2F ha share interests%
). .eliefs, trust and cooperation Furing the 17)-s an +-s a series of e"ents took place which le to a mental reorientation among the parties of the labor market in Norwa#% .his mental reorientation was necessar# in orer to mo"e the parties out of the ifficult situation the# foun themsel"es in% .here are reasons to belie"e that the parties of the labor market were well aware of the high costs relate to the man# strikes an lockouts that were initiate% Atill, this fact is not enough in itself to e(plain wh# the parties manage to mo"e on from conflict to cooperation% .he basic problem was that the parties i not ha"e trust in each other in the first place% .he# were in conflict, the# ha been in conflict o"er a long perio of time an the# therefore hel the belief that the opposite part# i not ha"e the intention to cooperate% 2s long as these beliefs remaine, the parties ha no reason to change their strateg#% Rather, the contrar# was true, since the# riske getting the short en of the stick if the# 1backe off3 when the opposite part# continue to 1stan firm3% 2 change in beliefs was neee% 'oth sies neee to be assure that the opposite part# woul choose cooperation in orer for the# themsel"es to o the same% If we again relate the iscussion to Figure *, we can interpret the e"ents iscusse in section * as essential for bringing the parties= beliefs abo"e the critical "alue p
, making Gcooperation= the rational strateg# to
)?
implement% 'oth e.ternal an internal e"ents were important for the graual change in beliefs% 2mong important e(ternal e"ents were the go"ernments= withrawal from the wage negotiations, the growth of fascism an economic crisis, while important internal e"ents were a trust between the top leaership, balance of power between L& an N2F an new alliances across the two organi9ations% :ith the start of the 17+-s, a situation emerge where all these e"ents Doin together with rationali9ation an impro"e proucti"it# which make the rewars of cooperation increasingl# greater% .ogether, this creates a state in which the parties step awa# from conflict as their main strateg# an start working for more peaceful inustrial relations% Viewe in this wa#, the signing in 17+8 of the 'asic 2greement in Norwa# was not a result a spontaneous eclaration of trust among the two main parties of the labor market% 2 graual change in beliefs ser"e as the ecisi"e factor% Let when the 'asic 2greement was in place, it le to the further e"elopment of mutual trust between the parties% :ithout this trust, the 'asic 2greement woul not ha"e achie"e the significance it ene up ha"ing for the s#stem of centrali9e wage bargaining, an for the Norwegian moel of labor relations in general%
)E
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