Farmasi UMS Semester Genap 2013/2014 Tutorial: Statistical intervals for Single Sample 1.

The life in hours of a 75-Watt light bulb is known to be normally distributed with = ! 25 hours. A random sample of 2 bulbs has a mean life of x = " "# hours. a$ %onstru&t a '5( two-sided %) on the mean life. b$ %onstru&t a '5( lower-&onfiden&e bound on the mean life. 2. *ollowing are two &onfiden&e inter+al estimates of the mean u of the &y&les to failure of an automoti+e door lat&h me&hanism ,the test was &ondu&ted at an ele+ated stress le+el to a&&elerate the failure$. ,a$ What is the +alue of the sample mean &y&les to failure,b$ The &onfiden&e le+el for one of these %)s is '5( and the &onfiden&e le+el for the other is ''(. .oth %)s are &al&ulated from the same sample data. Whi&h is the '5( %)/0plain why.
1"2#.' u 12"5.7 1"" .5 u 121 ."

3. The &ompressi+e strength of &on&rete is being tested by a &i+il engineer. 2e tests "2 spe&imens and obtains the following data. 22"3 2225 21"4 2217 21 " 2255 22#' 224" 2275 22 # 2231 22'5

,a$ )s there e+iden&e to support the assumption that &ompressi+e strength is normally distributed. 5oes this data set support your point of +iew- )n&lude a graphi&al display in your answer. ,b$ %onstru&t a '5( two-sided &onfiden&e inter+al on the mean strength. ,&$ %onstru&t a '5( lower-&onfiden&e bound on the mean strength. 4. A random sample of 5 suspension helmets used by motor&y&le riders and automobile ra&e-&ar dri+ers was sub6e&ted to an impa&t test7 and on "4 of these helmets some damage was obser+ed. ,a$ *ind a '5( two-sided &onfiden&e inter+al on the true proportion of helmets of this type that would show damage from this test. ,b$ 8sing the point estimate of p obtained from the preliminary sample of 5 helmets7 how many helmets must be tested to be '5( &onfident that the error in estimating the true +alue of p is less than . 2. ,&$ 2ow large must the sample be if we wish to be at least '5( &onfident that the error in estimating p is less than . 27 regardless of the true +alue of p-

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9olutions
1. a.$ '5( Two-sided %) on the true mean life of a 75-watt light bulb *or = . 57 :;2 = : . 25 = ".'3 7 and 0 = " "#7 =25 7 n=2

x + z . 25 n n 25 25 " "# ".'3 " "# +".'3 2 2 " 1 " 25 xz

. 25

b.$ '5( <ne-sided %) on the true mean piston ring diameter *or = . 57 : = : . 5 =".35 and 0 = " "#7 =25 7 n=2

x z

. 5

25 " "# ".35 2 " 5

2. )nter+al ,"$= 1"2#.' 12"5.7 and )nter+al ,2$== 1"" .5 121 ." )nter+al ,"$= half-length =' .4;2=#5.# )nter+al ,2$= half-length =""'.3;2=5'.4 a.$

x" = 1"2#.' + #5.# = 1"7 .1 x 2 = 1"" .5 + 5'.4 = 1"7 .1 The sample means are the same.

b.$ )nter+al ,"$= 1"2#.' 12"5.7 was &al&ulated with '5( %onfiden&e be&ause it has a smaller half-length7 and therefore a smaller &onfiden&e inter+al. The ''( &onfiden&e le+el will make the inter+al larger.

3. a.$ The data appear to be normally distributed based on e0amination of the normal probability plot below. Therefore7 there is e+iden&e to support that the
Normal Probability Plot for Strength
M !"timate" # 95$ %&

99 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 1 2150 2250 2350

M !"timate"
Mean StDe' 2259(92 34(0550

Percent

Data

&ompressi+e strength is normally distributed. b.$ '5( two-sided &onfiden&e inter+al on mean &omprehensi+e strength 2

n = "2

x = 225'.'

s = 15.3 t
. 25 7""

. 257""

= 2.2 "

s s x + t . 25 7"" n n 15.3 15.3 225'.' 2.2 " 225'.' + 2.2 " "2 "2 2217.1 2242.5 x t

&.$ '5( lower-&onfiden&e bound on mean strength

s n 15.3 225'.' ".7'3 "2 22#".# x t
. 5 7""

4.

a.$ '5( %onfiden&e )nter+al on the true proportion of helmets showing damage.
> = p "4 = .13 5
> z ; 2 p .13 ".'3
2

n =5

z ; 2 = ".'3 > ," p >$ p n .13, .3#$ 5

> ," p >$ p > + z ; 2 pp n

.13, .3#$ p .13 +".'3 5 .227 p .#'1

2

z ".'3 b.$ n = ; 2 p ," p$ = . 2 E

.13," .13$ = 22"2.73

n 22"1

&.$ n =

z ; 2 ".'3 p ," p $ = . 2 E

.5," .5$ = 2# "