Los datos de la produccin de trigo en toneladas y el precio del kilo de harina en pesetas

en la dcada de los 80 en Espaa fueron:

Produccin de trigo
30
28
32
25
25
25
22
24
35
40
28.6
286

Precio de la harina
25
30
27 Beta 1
40 Beta 0
42
40
50
45
30
25
35.4
354

-39.04
28.84
-1.35367545
74.1151179

Precio de la harina = 74.116 - 1.3536 (produccin de trigo)

En la tabla siguiente se presentan las puntuaciones obtenidas en el examen de ingreso a la Universidad en Estados U
(promedio escolar) por ocho estudiantes universitarios.
Estime la relacin entre GPA y ACT empleando MCO; es decir, obtenga las estimaciones para la pendiente y para el in
este caso, el intercepto una interpretacin til? Explique, que tanto mas alto ser el GPA predicho si
Cul es el valor que se predice para el GPA si ACT = 20?
Qu tanto de la variacin en el GPA de estos ocho estudiantes es explicada por el ACT? .Explique.

Estudiante

GPA

ACT

2.8

21

3.4

24

26

3.5

27

3.6

29

25

2.7

25

3.7

30

25.7
3.2125

Beta 1
Beta 0

0.7265625
7.109375
0.1021978
0.56813187

207
25.875
20

Estime la relacin entre GPA y ACT empleando MCO; es decir, obtenga las estimaciones para la pendiente y pa
este caso, el intercepto una interpretacin til? Explique, que tanto mas alto ser el GPA

este caso, el intercepto una interpretacin til? Explique, que tanto mas alto ser el GPA

GPA = .5681 + .1022 ACT ; GPA = 0.5681, si x => La interseccin no tiene una interpretacin til porque ACT
GPA = .5681 + .1022 (35) = 4.14505
Cul es el valor que se predice para el GPA si ACT = 20?
GPA = .5681 + .1022 (20) = 2.61
Qu tanto de la variacin en el GPA de estos ocho estudiantes es explicada por el ACT? .Explique.
Alrededor de 57,7% de la variacin en el GPA se explica por ACT en esta pequea muestra de estudiantes.

Utilice los datos de EJ2 para analizar si existe una relacin inversa entre las horas de sueo por semana y las hor
variables puede usarse como la variable dependiente (sleep corresponde a minutos de sueno por semana duran
minutos de trabajo por semana).
Formule el modelo
Sleep = 3,586.4 .151 totwrk

Obtenga el 0 y 1 ; la R2.Que significa el intercepto de la ecuacin?

La interseccin implica que el importe estimado de sueo por semana para alguien que no trabaja es 3,586.4 m
ser alrededor de 8,5 horas por noche.

Si totwrk aumenta 2 horas, .cuanto se estima que disminuir sleep?. Le parece que este efecto sea grande?
Si alguien trabaja dos ms horas por semana a continuacin, totwrk = 120 (porque totwrk se mide en minuto
slo unos pocos minutos cada noche. Si alguien fuera a trabajar una hora mas en cada uno de los cinco das h
Como R2 es el 10%, el modelo no se puede considerar.

sleep

totwrk
3113
2920
2670
3083
3448
4063
3180
2928
3368
3018
1575
3295
3798

3438
5020
2815 Beta 1
3786 Beta 0
2580
1205
2113
3608
2353
2851
6415
370
2438

-135132.793
896428.104
-0.15074582
3586.37695

3008
3248
3683
3201
2580
3420
3090
2760
2880
3470
2673
2820
2873
1905
2926
2603
3238
3888
2716
3245
3158
3105
3515
3330
4153
2955
2200
2885
3345
2765
3928
2833
3750
3328
3795
3363
2280
4151
3266
3570
2885
2879
2790
2799
3173
3308
3305

2693
2526
2950
3003
4011
2300
1543
3473
3276
2506
2651
4580
3588
3418
2250
2638
3173
3446
3588
2961
2778
3080
3556
2788
1100
3116
2506
2763
3048
2511
3268
3242
2550
3188
1555
2743
5043
3570
2883
2398
2663
2363
1800
2700
3031
2438
2620

2975
3316
3226
3635
3233
3348
2630
2858
3203
3451
3008
2821
3525
3150
3113
2816
3105
3605
3611
3128
3213
3860
4275
3076
4313
2885
3165
3105
3063
3368
3415
3508
2788
3180
3123
3388
3610
3351
2653
3413
3218
3045
3433
3730
2970
3475
3430

2698
2970
2430
2250
2888
1345
2925
3976
2205
1208
2905
3825
2348
1825
2563
2576
2275
3595
2575
2843
2188
0
2248
2876
2758
2578
2163
4075
2388
2048
2935
2400
2325
2108
2483
1913
1738
3671
3225
4058
2713
2982
3025
2213
2125
2313
3140

2910
3570
3060
3495
2970
3008
3428
3288
2400
3070
2250
3323
3023
3505
3503
3370
3120
3308
3398
3333
2728
3256
3250
2915
4170
3030
3668
2303
3618
3316
3601
2413
2771
3383
3808
3363
3675
3120
3536
3253
2885
2560
2985
3095
2985
2243
2838

625
2350
2745
2038
2880
3331
1175
1605
3146
3135
4065
2968
2791
2398
1588
2611
2948
3038
1655
2560
1175
1350
3598
2638
3230
3311
2218
3699
3569
1775
283
400
3533
2638
1175
2426
2113
2477
2375
2813
2625
3018
4335
3105
3194
2713
2338

3375
3355
3743
2701
2943
3463
2723
3875
3115
2756
3398
3098
2991
3215
3611
3305
3367
2618
3475
3618
3460
3250
2648
3045
3065
2875
3090
2798
3610
3403
3656
3348
3130
3213
3855
3138
3203
2930
2448
3556
3660
2536
2828
3103
3730
2840
3210

938
3151
0
3695
2575
2380
2781
2088
2892
1188
2088
3480
2588
2688
1445
3050
2250
2763
3008
2941
650
2700
2775
2313
3003
2301
1806
2366
2466
2648
2010
1760
3135
1485
2463
2351
2975
1283
2488
826
2575
2326
2700
1350
1175
2353
1563

3650
2708
3530
4695
3639
2335
2813
3088
3710
3293
3261
3540
3176
3060
3590
2923
3020
3110
3898
2841
3278
3151
3165
3720
3675
3300
2250
3298
3245
2770
3383
3338
3330
3098
3158
3404
3038
3115
2623
3013
2895
1485
2770
3308
3210
3116
3183

600
2501
2250
1533
2513
2896
2550
2747
2127
1125
1125
3692
2225
2375
2100
2243
2275
2393
2408
2413
2420
1263
2765
2100
2425
3213
1200
2276
2475
2300
2188
2313
2300
2828
2200
3748
2681
1860
4325
2313
3411
2075
2587
2975
2125
2628
2388

3330
3113
2880
3308
3428
3998
3965
3515
3345
3638
2655
2618
3450
3188
3390
3108
3825
3778
3046
3333
4575
3263
3113
4545
3880
3303
3388
3278
3376
2895
3216
2930
3150
3248
3983
3218
2803
3038
3150
3405
3548
3670
2961
3530
2668
3233
3750

2866
2173
2450
1613
3150
1350
700
2250
1955
2125
938
3869
2450
2353
2563
1863
2143
1571
2571
1818
0
2250
2313
835
2830
2226
2325
2140
2592
2313
2263
2100
1075
2238
1168
1900
2376
1800
2965
3466
1538
2600
1675
1113
2400
2288
2226

3203
2948
3621
3630
3631
2836
2940
3943
3378
4140
2888
3030
3705
3795
3160
3075
2678
4113
3293
2760
3720
3840
3338
4373
2928
3090
2740
2496
3098
2933
3195
3213
3015
3698
3488
3335
2965
3823
3443
3560
3461
3178
3435
3211
3635
3378
3780

2001
2480
2588
1213
1650
2263
2163
958
3185
0
2931
1138
2363
1298
3103
3261
2755
2488
2058
2695
2113
1538
1323
0
2735
3225
2375
1762
2601
2513
1755
2288
2640
2518
1880
2438
2551
2300
2996
2513
2300
2656
1920
1275
465
1125
1050

2715
3436
3285
3203
3683
3135
3213
3365
3278
3150
3750
3418
2910
3683
2311
3368
3453
3870
2921
3438
3775
2945
3270
3405
3533
3320
3030
3563
3470
3130
3660
4113
2661
2115
3240
3480
4048
2956
2985
2745
3405
3158
3138
3143
2865
3853
3435

2850
2250
2451
2463
2150
2325
3273
2203
1853
3616
1963
1126
2450
1125
3996
3071
2325
2253
2263
2206
2711
1263
1960
1470
2980
2085
2270
3391
1660
2450
1163
1288
2485
2050
1038
1213
1558
1175
0
0
2460
2325
2488
2288
2251
1173
2946

3221
3320
2633
3158
3353
3350
2580
3633
3955
4215
2733
3270
3128
3515
4068
3885
3410
3641
4091
2708
2640
2918
2983
3420
3322
3553
3945
3018
2870
2891
3323
3155
4110
3328
3015
3195
2710
2890
3578
2708
4100
3818
3060
3765
2710
3753
3943

1150
2193
2663
2413
2475
2050
2575
2170
1763
2525
3226
0
2173
2843
2568
913
1497
2686
75
2325
2538
2038
2025
2205
1838
1570
1125
2388
1830
2163
1370
3075
2505
2146
1975
1650
2775
2380
1321
2458
3170
360
750
2100
2368
1325
2451

3505
3693
3150
2780
2955
2948
3045
3595
2985
3346
3195
3073
3608
2928
3525
3953
3218
3848
3740
3570
3218
3255
3363
3286
3255
3548
3181
3188
3318
4030
2746
3410
3943
2423
3388
3280
3376
3458
3710
3196
3206
2881
3113
3128
3203
3330
4180

1993
2533
1671
1950
1313
1813
2049
1963
0
2288
2195
2088
2100
2606
1875
2351
2300
2126
515
2560
2026
2100
1673
2275
2750
2178
1208
1175
0
2193
2288
0
2013
2138
2233
1905
375
1538
788
2293
838
2866
2031
1738
1525
330
2570

3368
3295
3103
3373
3210
2698
3633
2413
3818
3420
3215
2623
2643
3353
3558
2828
3148
3773
3405
3278
2868
3900
2508
3555
3630
3215
3180
3938
3466
2678
3223
3428
3967
3525
3143
3700
3245
2010
3055
3458
4235
3890
4005
3773
3465
3460
3360

1093
2805
825
68
3203
1553
1025
2701
125
0
375
1920
1408
1995
1600
1243
1988
0
375
1051
1733
363
1230
1816
625
0
0
588
1050
800
900
638
1751
900
900
388
305
808
875
613
1183
1050
520
353
2700
0
0

3863
3105
3715
3450
3735
4095
2770
2760
4100
2800
2865
3430
4266
2911
2746
2663
2940
2640
2930
2955
3595
2905
2533
2820
2755
2806
4200
2448
4095
2355
4050
3990
3975
2738
2848
2818
2470
3855
3803
2940
3791
3785
3755
3745
3743
2113
4350

0
0
2443
995
1975
1313
4000
3518
188
0
3438
1150
2880
2100
2740
0
2475
3180
1950
2225
2478
3648
1565
3615
2705
2476
0
3325
1413
2726
0
1725
0
2475
638
2505
2026
360
2446
1725
2808
800
1138
900
3118
2488
480

3860
2053
3705
3703
2381
3670
3655
3650
3643
3638
3733
3725
3630
3628
3628
3800
3615
3600
3598
1740
3583
3580
2700
3565
3550
3548
3543
3538
3530
3525
3525
3523
3950
4420
3871
3503
3498
3488
3480
3478
3468
3460
3455
1546
3435
3433
755

1334
2276
940
2948
2760
2175
460
1773
3085
1375
2288
2616
875
0
1013
1925
2443
2163
2376
2909
2508
3166
2206
2150
2455
113
1088
2388
4805
1933
1950
1971
500
2450
2050
950
1015
1715
1113
1200
2871
2250
2828
3316
0
745
2663

3423
3423
3420
2793
3405
3405
3395
3391
3390
3935
3375
3360
3360
3355
2655
3338
3338
3330
3326
3315
3315
3310
3310
3308
3308
3295
3295
3285
3285
3271
3268
3261
3260
3255
3248
3236
3235
3230
3225
3225
3225
3218
3218
3210
3203
3201
3200

3338
1588
830
1273
2145
1875
1988
2895
583
163
2905
3135
3075
0
2688
2263
2588
3148
2468
1525
2948
0
2826
2326
2820
2513
3171
1325
2493
3441
1238
2588
3590
1548
3190
2350
0
2150
2535
638
2260
3275
1013
2433
2450
2298
2363

3195
3190
3188
3188
3181
3176
3175
3165
3390
3630
3150
3140
3135
3615
3110
3095
3090
3073
3068
3065
3573
3060
3040
3028
3023
3023
3015
3008
2993
2985
2985
3520
3510
2970
2970
3266.35552

1578
2500
2526
2538
2393
2163
3481
2163
3421
2300
1188
2666
1538
1888
0
2293
538
2351
2373
2148
2013
2603
1510
2513
2418
2281
1183
2275
2725
2388
2026
675
1851
1961
2363
2122.92068

na en pesetas

greso a la Universidad en Estados Unidos, ACT (American College Test), y en el GPA

ciones para la pendiente y para el intercepto. Comente la direccin de la relacin tiene, en

predicho si ACT aumenta cinco puntos?
? .Explique.

GPA gorro
2.71428571
3.02087912
3.22527473
3.32747253
3.53186813
3.12307692
3.12307692
3.63406593

u
0.08571429
0.37912088
-0.22527473
0.17252747
0.06813187
-0.12307692
-0.42307692
0.06593407

2.61208791 -2.61208791

u^2
0.00734694
0.14373264
0.0507487
0.02976573
0.00464195
0.01514793
0.17899408
0.0043473
0.43472527

y gorro ^2
0.17015625
0.03515625
0.04515625
0.08265625
0.15015625
0.04515625
0.26265625
0.23765625
1.02875

0.57742379

estimaciones para la pendiente y para el intercepto. Comente la direccin de la relacin tiene, en

lto ser el GPA predicho si ACT aumenta cinco puntos?

lto ser el GPA predicho si ACT aumenta cinco puntos?

una interpretacin til porque ACT no est cerca de cero para la poblacin de inters.

ACT? .Explique.

equea muestra de estudiantes.

oras de sueo por semana y las horas de trabajo pagado por semana. Cualquiera de las
inutos de sueno por semana durante la noche y totwrk corresponde al total de

alguien que no trabaja es 3,586.4 minutos, o alrededor de 59,77 horas. Esto viene a

ce que este efecto sea grande?

(porque totwrk se mide en minutos), y as = - 0.151 (120) = -18,12 minutos. Esto es
as en cada uno de los cinco das hbiles.

sleep gorro
3068.11281
2829.63291
3162.02746
3015.65326
3197.45273
3404.72823
3267.85103
3042.48602
3231.67203
3156.60061
2619.34249
3530.601
3218.85863

u
44.8871918
90.3670856
-492.027457
67.3467386
250.547275
658.271767
-87.8510251
-114.486018
136.327973
-138.600607
-1044.34249
-235.600997
579.141368

u^2
2014.85999
8166.21015
242091.018
4535.5832
62773.9369
433321.719
7717.80262
13107.0483
18585.3161
19210.1282
1090651.24
55507.8296
335404.724

y gorro ^2
23517.9168
119962.149
355639.911
33619.2482
32994.7156
634642.421
7457.27654
114484.461
10331.5995
61680.4663
2860683.51
820.506001
282645.849

3180.41845
3205.593
3141.67677
3133.68724
2981.73545
3239.66156
3353.77614
3062.8367
3092.53363
3208.60792
3186.74977
2895.96108
3045.50093
3071.12772
3247.19885
3188.70947
3108.06045
3066.90684
3045.50093
3140.01857
3167.60505
3122.07981
3050.3248
3166.09759
3420.55654
3116.65296
3208.60792
3169.86624
3126.90368
3207.85419
3093.7396
3097.65899
3201.9751
3105.79926
3351.9672
3172.88116
2826.16576
3048.21436
3151.77674
3224.88847
3184.94082
3230.16457
3315.03447
3179.36323
3129.46636
3218.85863
3191.42289

-172.418447
42.4070002
541.32323
67.3127583
-401.735451
180.338444
-263.776145
-302.836704
-212.533632
261.392084
-513.749772
-75.961077
-172.500935
-1166.12772
-321.198847
-585.709467
129.939548
821.093158
-329.500935
104.981434
-9.60505211
-17.0798132
464.675199
163.902406
732.443455
-161.652964
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