Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
NEW FRONT-
BENCHERS
Relocations help to hold rents
Major economic policy reform
Beyond oil market downturn For a ‘Dunia’
of difference
Rajeev Kakar, CEO, Dunia Finance
Vol. VI. No. 44 October 2009
Editor
Editor’s note
K Raveendran ravi@sterlingp.ae
Rediscovering
consulting Editor
Matein Khalid matein@sterlingp.ae
Distribution
UAE: Tawseel PB No 500666 Dubai, UAE. Tel: (+971 4) 342 1512
Sultanate of Oman: Al-Atta’a Distribution Est., Kuwait: The Kuwaiti Group for
Publishing & Distribution Co.Bahrain: Al Hilal Corporation, Qatar: K Raveendran
Dar Al-Thaqafah, Saudi Arabia: Saudi Distribution Company
12 COVER STORY
New bank front-benchers
Increase in number of skips worries banking sector
8 INTERNATIONAL
Crisis: one year on
Companies are settling down for a less comfortable
‘new normal’
11 FUNDS
Investment communities
skeptical
Two-thirds of fund managers believe crisis will continue
24 SNAPSHOT
26 REAL ESTATE
Relocations help in
rents holding 38 FINANCE
Movements to Dubai from Abu Dhabi and Sharjah offset
population decline Remittance industry hit by recession
Saudi Arabia remains home to region’s biggest remittance business
Developers have ‘learnt their lessons’
40 OPINION
36 FOREX
A major economic policy reform
Too early to rejoice UAE Company Law changes to lower cost of doing business
Proper risk management of utmost importance
46 ENERGY
Beyond oil market downturn
S
ingapore has consolidated its rep- pore’s reputation as an exchange capi- it rose to first place, with almost 30
utation as the world’s preferred tal of the world where people, ideas per cent more meetings than the city
business events destination by and technology converge to gener- in second place. In 2008 it not only
clinching the top spot in the ‘Top Inter- ate business success. These accolades maintained its position in first place, it
national Meeting City’ category in the come at an opportune time as they has increased its margin to 50 per cent
Union of International Associations put Singapore in a strong position to more meetings than the second-ranked
(UIA) 2008 Global Rankings for the further expand its share of the global city, according to Jcques de Mevius,
second consecutive year. business events market by partnering Secretary-General, UIA.
In the UIA’s International Meet- with MICE industry partners to at- Singapore is looking forward to host
ing Statistics 2008 report, Singapore tract and develop successful business a number of high profile events this year
also moved one notch up from 2007 to events centered around major growth including the FDI World Dental Con-
third position in the ‘Top International industries in Singapore and the re- gress, the second edition of ITB Asia
Meeting Countries’ category behind gion,” said Jason Ong, Area Director and the Asia Pacific Economic Coop-
USA (1st) and France (2nd). for Middle East and Africa, Singapore eration (APEC) 2009 meetings. In addi-
The city-state also overcame stiff Tourism Board. tion, top tier international events such
competition for the Asia rankings, se- Singapore hosted 637 meetings in as the FORMULA 1 SingTel Singapore
curing the title as Asia’s top country 2008 that met UIA’s qualifying crite- Grand Prix and the inaugral F1 Rocks
and city for meetings for the 25th con- ria – a 36 per cent increase over 2007. Singapore concerts are adding more
secutive year. Notable meetings include the Interna- buzz and dynamism to the destination.
The Union of International Asso- tional Thalassaemia Conference 2008, Next year business events organisers
ciations (UIA) – founded in 1907 – is ISNCC 15th International Conference will have even more options with new
an independent, non-governmental on Cancer Nursing 2008 and the Asia developments, such as the two new Inte-
research institute and documentation Petrochemical Industry Conference. grated Resorts, Marina Bay SandsTand
centre whose key activities include con- In 2004, Singapore stood at a re- Resorts World at Sentosa, and Gardens
solidating statistics on international spectable 10th place in the ‘Top In- by the Bay – Singapore’s second Botani-
organisations and their international ternational Meeting City’ category. cal Gardens – , which will collectively
meetings. In 2005 it climbed to 8th place, and entrench Singapore as a compelling and
“This ranking underscores Singa- jumped to 4th place in 2006. In 2007 must-visit destination.
E
mployees that are hard-working Furthermore, 4 per cent of employers Furthermore, 15 per cent of employ-
and have a strong work ethic are conduct a rigorous 360-degree per- ers stated that inability to work as part
likely to be promoted the fast- formance appraisal with their staff; of a team or being too independent at
est within an organization, according another 4 per cent invite employees to work, and weak interpersonal skills,
to the new employer online poll series formally apply for the higher position, were also major hindrances to chances
conducted by Bayt.com, with 30 per while a further 4 per cent of employ- of promotion.
cent of employers agreeing that those ers conduct random interviews with Interestingly, lack of creativity or
committed to their work are likely to employees to see who fits in best with problem solving skills, and weak tech-
be most eligible for promotion. Leader- the higher position. However, another nical skills were less of a hindrance to
ship ability was also found to be a very third of employers combines a mix of an employee’s chance of promotion,
desirable trait in an employee when it each of these factors as their strategy according to 12 per cent and 9 per cent
came to deciding which staff members for promoting employees. of employers respectively. The data sug-
to be promoted, with 19 per cent of em- The surveyed employers also ac- gests that employers might be willing to
ployers agreeing natural leaders are the knowledged the problems inherent in work on nurturing technical skills and
fastest to move up the organisation’s the promotion process: 44 per cent of creativity traits via training and devel-
career ladder. employers said that the biggest mis- opment of their employees - especially
Surprisingly, possessing a high IQ take made by employers when deciding if they have other strong qualities, pos-
was considered less important among upon a promotion is not considering sibly because in practice, troublesome
the employers surveyed, with just 6 leadership skills sufficiently. Another attitudes are more difficult to change
per cent agreeing that the most intel- 13 per cent said that allowing just one and improve than actual key skills.
ligent employees are promoted fastest, manager to make the promotion deci- Potential promotability is also con-
and contrary to popular belief, visibly sion is the biggest mistake in the proc- sidered by employers from as early on as
putting in long hours does not guaran- ess, while another 13 per cent agreed when they make their hiring decisions.
tee a promotion; just 8 per cent of em- that not discussing the matter of pro- The results showed that 28 per cent of
ployers agreed that those who stay af- motion sufficiently with the concerned employers look for strong people skills
ter hours will be promoted faster than employee is an issue. Just 6 per cent of in their potential recruits, while 20
those who don’t. employers agreed that relying solely on per cent look for signs of good techni-
The ‘Job seeker promotability’ July the observations of the employee’s di- cal skills and ability. Another desirable
online poll series sought to understand rect manager for a promotion decision quality that 16 per cent of employers
from employers how they undertake was problematic, and another 6 per look for is commitment and loyalty -
the process of promoting employees, cent said making a promotion decision perhaps from work experience in previ-
and what qualities they look for when based on an employee’s performance ous organisations or hobbies/ activities
assessing an employee’s ‘promotabil- on a specific project was an issue. undertaken in a job seeker’s spare time.
ity’. There are, naturally, a number of Desirable - but not wholly necessary
When asked about the strategy they factors which serve to hinder an em- - traits that employers look for in po-
normally follow when conducting the ployee’s chances of gaining a promo- tential new staff, at 8 per cent ach, are
promotion process, almost a third of tion. The biggest source of chagrin a strong work ethic, a good character
all employers-- 32 per cent-- stated among the surveyed employers was and integrity, as well as a track record
they look at an employee’s proven de- weak leadership skills in their employ- of success.
liverables and make their decision ees, which caused a grievance to over a Data for the ‘Job seeker promotabil-
based on these indicators. Eleven per fifth of employers. Bad work ethics and ity’ poll series was collected online be-
cent opt for a slightly unorthodox tac- laziness, unsurprisingly, also feature as tween the period of 13th July and 17th
tic and stretch their employees to see a significant barrier to an employee’s August 2009, with respondents repre-
who performs best under pressure - chances of promotion – as agreed with sented by employers across the Middle
choosing the ‘winner’ for promotion. by 18 per cent of employers. East.
B
arclays Wealth announced the appointment of Sahba ment the full array of the Barclays Wealth value proposition to
Hadipour as Director to its International Private Bank- the UAE market, it said.
ing team in the Middle East. He will report into Fawaz Prior to joining Barclays Wealth, Hadipour was a Direc-
Baba, General Manager of the Dubai International Private tor, Private Equity and Wealth Management for CIC Holding
Banking Office. (Invesco Holding) where he developed strategic relationships
Based in the Dubai International Financial Centre, Sahba with UHNWI, SWF and institutional investors. In his posi-
Hadipour will be a private banker focusing on the High Net tion, Hadipour created and developed the architecture and
Worth and Ultra High Net Worth markets in the UAE, the formation of several private equity funds in the real estate,
bank said in a statement. Within his new position, Hadipour’s technology and oil & gas sectors. Prior to that, Sahba was with
experience with private equity along with his knowledge of Vertical International and Coutts de Lisle Investments where
the wealth management industry in the region will compli- he held a variety of roles.
N
ew issuance of sukuk topped strong pipeline--with sukuk announced market with useful information on
$9.3 billion in the first seven or being talked about in the market es- how sukuk will behave following de-
months of 2009 compared timated at about $50 billion--and efforts fault.
with $11.1 billion during the same pe- to resolve the major difficulties imped- The report noted that major hurdles
riod in 2008, Standard & Poor’s Rat- ing sukuk market development.” remain on the path to sukuk market
ings Services said in a report. Malaysia has taken the lead as the development, however, including:
“The smaller amount of issuance major country of issuance for sukuk, • Difficult market conditions, which
was due not only to the still-challeng- accounting for about 45 per cent of su- are slowing the planned issuance of
ing market conditions and drying up of kuk issuances in the first seven months numerous sukuk
liquidity, but also to the less-support- of 2009. Issuers in the Kingdom of Saudi • Lack of standardization, notably
ive economic environment in the Gulf Arabia have contributed another 22 per when it comes to Shariah interpre-
Cooperation Council countries, par- cent of sukuk issued during the same tation; and
ticularly in the United Arab Emirates,” period. • The low liquidity of the sukuk mar-
said Standard & Poor’s credit analyst The default of a couple of sukuk was ket, which constrains investors
Mohamed Damak. “The medium-term possibly partly responsible for the slow- trying to exit the market in times
outlook for the sukuk market remains down in issuance. The silver lining was of turbulence or access the market
positive, though, in our view, given the that these defaults should provide the looking for distressed sellers.
G
lobal financial crisis has failed ed balance sheet of GCC banks would the world should exchange information
to have any impact on Islamic prove beyond any shadow of doubt about corporate debts to avoid future
banking because the princi- that the impact of the crisis on banks credit crises. “It is important that the
ples of Islamic banking did not permit in the region had been minimal. “But debts of corporate entities be made glo-
speculative economic activity such as that does not mean we remain isolated bally public in order for banks to avoid
dealing in derivatives, according to from the rest of the world. It is indeed giving risky loans. This is something
Adnan Ahmed Yousef, the President possible for the GCC countries to be- very easy to implement as all central
and CEO of Albaraka Banking Group come more influential internationally. banks have the information at their dis-
and the head of the Union of Arab GCC will actually be the fifth major posal,” he pointed out.
Banks. economic block in a few years provided
Terming Islamic banking as a re- they implement a common currency
markable success story in the backdrop system and consolidated economic Correction
of the general gloom in the financial activity across the region further,” he The previous issue of the magazine
sector, Yousef said Albaraka Group not explained. had wrongly stated that Al Fut-
only remained unaffected by the finan- Appreciating the development strat- taim motors represents Toyota,
cial crisis, but also managed to increase egy followed by Dubai, Yousef said the Honda, Volvo, Chrysler, Jeep and
profits this year. emirate has achieved in 10 years what Dodge under its umbrella along
Though the end of financial crisis most Arab countries failed to achieve with Automall. The company
had already begun, it will take a long in 50 years. “One major factor that sets clarifies that Al Futtaim Motors
time to get out of the economic crisis. the UAE apart from most other coun- represents Toyota, Lexus, Hino
“Proactive government initiatives are tries in the region is that it has allowed and BT in the UAE while Trading
a precondition to get over the financial unfettered access for foreign capital. Enterprises, which is a completely
crisis. The developed countries must The way the Central Bank proactively different company, represents the
listen to Asian countries to avert this intervened in the UAE to fight the im- other brands. Both Trading Enter-
kind of situations in future,” he said. pact of the financial crisis was also a prises and Al-Futtaim Motors are
Speaking of the performance of remarkable example of the UAE’s far- under the Al-Futtaim Automotive
banks in the Gulf against the backdrop sightedness,” he explained. umbrella.
of the crisis, Yousef said the consolidat- Yousef said the central banks across
Companies settling
down for a less
comfortable ‘new
normal’, reveals
McKinsey global
survey
rate profits and their national econo- Anxious hope ity of the executives don’t expect GDP
mies turned sharply higher in June. Nineteen per cent of respondents to rise soon, and the responses also
Since then, the expectations have risen around the world—and 28 per cent of suggest other indicators of economic
strongly and consistently, in tandem those in Asia’s developed economies— anxiety: 54 per cent, for example, say
with stock markets. said that an economic upturn has al- that governments should scale back—
Differences in the hopefulness of ready begun. McKinsey says each eco- but not stop—their support for econo-
executives are striking on the regional nomic conditions survey since March mies. The report notes that this support
level, however. The crisis started in the has shown an increase in the hopes of for government action doesn’t vary by
United States, and executives in North executives for their national econo- industry or by whether a respondent’s
America have consistently indicated mies. As stock markets continued to company is currently in crisis, indicat-
that it will end sooner than executives climb over the summer, expectations ing that the economic anxiety of execu-
elsewhere expect. Those in the Euro- for these economies rose quickly, too, tives goes beyond any immediate need
D
espite improving economic has not been reduced. The prevailing
indicators, senior fund man- view was that there has been so much
agers at a wide range of lead- economic stimulus that markets can Investors across
ing institutional investors from more not help but go up. The concern was
than 15 countries, with over $2.8 tril- what would happen when government
the globe are still
lion of equity funds under manage- money runs out,” he said. concerned that the
ment, overwhelmingly say that the “These findings suggest a paradox,
financial crisis is still not over. This is in that despite the negative outlook, amount of leverage in
according to a new global survey re- global equity markets have rallied the system that caused
cently conducted by business advisory significantly in recent months. This
firm FTI Consulting. indicates a willingness of investors, the original problem
The survey of more than 153 lead- for now at least, to focus on factors
ing institutional investors revealed beyond the fundamental issues that
has not been reduced
that: 64 per cent of respondents glo- caused our current economic crisis.”
bally said that they did not believe Dunn said the findings reflected
that the financial crisis was over, with on-going uncertainty in world mar-
31 per cent saying the crisis was over, kets and highlighted challenges that
and 5 per cent undecided. would be faced by world economic markets, and weak demand apart from
UK, US and Australian investors leaders at the upcoming G-20 summit government stimulus, put a premium
were the most pessimistic with 73 per in Pittsburgh. on a company’s ability to effectively
cent, 76 per cent and 80 per cent, re- “There is no doubt that the on- manage both public perceptions and
spectively of investors believing the going uncertainty is having follow-on the underlying business.“
crisis had not ended. effects throughout the global econ- “For many companies, this uncer-
Continental European and Asian omy. Among US companies alone, tainty has meant looking at alternative
(including the Middle East), investors approximately $163 billion of corpo- funding avenues, such as sovereign
were slightly more optimistic with 59 rate speculative grade debt is due to wealth funds, the equity markets, or
per cent and 62 per cent; respectively mature in 2010, with approximately more exotic capital raisings. For policy
saying the crisis was not over. $266 billion set to mature in 2011, makers, it has meant reassessing the
According to Jack Dunn, FTI’s according to Standard & Poor’s re- regulatory environment and executive
President & CEO, the majority of search. These enormous financing re- incentives that have driven the market
funds surveyed did not believe the quirements amidst still-fragile credit for many years.”
financial sector has recovered since The survey was carried out by the
the pinnacle of collapse in September Do you believe that the investor relations practice of Financial
2008. This sentiment is reflected across Dynamics (FD), FTI’s strategic com-
all regions, with US, UK and Austral- financial crisis is now over ? munications division. The survey was
ian investors the most pessimistic. In based on interviews with 153 of the
Continental Europe and Asia (includ- largest institutional investors across
ing the Middle East) there is more op- the world’s principal financial markets
timism, but a significant majority still that between them have over $2.8 tril-
does not believe the sector is back on lion of equity funds under manage-
track. ment. 21 per cent of investors surveyed
“Anecdotal evidence gathered dur- were based in the UK, 20 per cent were
ing the survey suggests that across the based in the US, 21 per cent were based
globe investors were still concerned in Asia (including the Middle East), 34
that the amount of leverage in the sys- per cent were based in Europe, and 4
tem that caused the original problem per cent based in Australia.
New bank
front-benchers
Increase in number of skips worries banking sector
By Ambily Vijaykumar
H
alf a million cheques is- offence is also on the rise, as issuing sudden spurt in the number of skips.
sued in the first four a cheque that bounces is criminal in Not a pretty picture for the sector,
months of this year in the UAE and invites prison terms. where the lenders are tightening and
the UAE have report- The situation, much like the financial even freezing the lending process.
edly bounced. That number has gone crisis, is unprecedented and has been HSBC Bank Middle East has re-
up considerably since then. Invari- the result of redundancies in the af- ported a surge in its number of skips
ably, the reason that banks cite for the termath of companies continuing to or absconding customers since the end
bounced cheques is insufficient funds downsize. of 2008. The bank says that the skips
in customers’ accounts. The number Defaults have gone up, but what is account for half of its bad debt and it
of court cases in connection with the worrying the banking industry is the doesn’t see the numbers reducing in
D
elinquency rates at Bar- Despite the climbing numbers, Bar- minds are working on it,” says Salman.
clays Bank UAE have in- clays says that its approach to retriev- “It is a customer-centric collections
creased over the past nine ing money from defaulting customers approach,” he elaborates. Entailing a
months and the bank is is very measured. “The objective is to focus on early collections activity, the
expecting it to “increase slightly” in understand the inherent issue behind bank lays emphasis on reviewing a
the near future. In conjunction, the the customers’ inability to meet their customer’s specific situation, based on
number of skips that have also con- commitments and try to get them fi- his ability and willingness to pay. It is
tributed to these rising rates has also nancially stable again as quickly as
shown an incremental trend, with the possible,” says Salman Irshad, Head of
second quarter being higher than the Retail Credit at Barclays Bank UAE.
first. Collections and recovery have been
Barclays says that banks in the UAE one of the bank’s key focus areas this
have to be prepared to deal with the is- year and the lender does not see that
sue of skips since it has always been a focus shifting any soon in the near
risk factor in the country where a large term; a clear indication of what the
portion of the population consists of banking sector is bracing for. Stepping
expatriate workers. Economic uncer- up the concerted efforts to contain
tainty, coupled with redundancies, the piling bad loans is also increased
has contributed vastly to the skips this bench strength in the debt collection
time, since those who have lost jobs department. “People have been moved
are finding it challenging to find a new internally and also specialists from
one. And with work visas needed to other areas of the bank have been re-
stay in the country, those who do not assigned to the collections job to en-
find new jobs are forced to leave. sure that the best people and the best
T
he rate of skips is a ‘cause From our perspective, a customer is ers goes a long way in determining
of concern’ but not enough one. He has only one income so we whether a successful retrieval is pos-
to set off alarm bells, says underwrite a customer and based on sible. This goes on alongside invest-
Citibank in the UAE. The his repayment capability offer differ- ment in technology like auto dialers
international bank says that with ent products,” explains Sanjoy Sen, that aids the process. Scientific tools
its cautious lending strategy, it has Citibank’s Consumer Banking Head like the skip score card helps in under-
been able to keep its losses and skips Middle East Region. standing the propensity of those cus-
within predictable limits; this despite The present scenario has to a large tomers who are prone to default and
the delinquency rates being higher extent blunted the effectiveness of
than last year. The bank says it has these measures since bad debts have
succeeded to contain the default rate been accentuated by the rapid increase “For us collection is
within single digits. in job losses. There are also reports
With expertise in consumer bank- of banks keeping aside large sums in
a frontline strategy
ing in over 75 markets across the provision as a buffer against future not an afterthought;
globe, the recession is, according to bad loans. Collections have hence as-
Citibank, “not something new to us.” sumed far greater prominence than so we don’t first sell
The expertise gained from previous they did before. “For us collection is a a product, give out
experiences has apparently come to frontline strategy not an afterthought.
the bank’s aid. Good underwriting So we don’t first sell a product, give loans and then think
becomes indispensable in a non-cred- out loans and then think about col-
it bureau environment like the UAE. lecting it,” elaborates Sanjoy.
about collecting it”
With a philosophy to underwrite the With debt collection being a multi-
customer and not the product, the pronged process, collections capacity
bank says it has been able to ascertain planning forms the initial phase of skips. The tools enable the bank in tak-
that the person who gets the loan has the process. Earmarking a set number ing proactive steps on these custom-
the means to repay it. of people with a specific quality and ers. For instance, a customer who has
“Many institutions would offer imparting training to them in service never bought jewellery suddenly goes
credit cards, home loans, car loans skills is central to assessing the bank’s on a jewellery buying binge, which is
etc without doing due diligence of the capacity to carry out the process. a warning to the bank that something
customer’s ability to handle the loan. Ability to negotiate with custom- is amiss.
Tight credit
hampering recovery
StanChart economists see banks competing
for deposits to bridge funding gap
D
espite the rise in oil prices, bal economic outlook is improving and
credit conditions continue markets are now beginning to focus on
to be tight in the UAE and the nature of the recovery. UAE and
this is standing in the way Saudi Arabia benefit significantly from
of economic recovery. higher prices, both countries having credit growth remains flat, although
Outstanding loans are still higher enjoyed estimated budget surpluses of the reasons behind the two countries’
than deposits by Dh37 billion as of July 22 per cent and 33 pre cent of GDP re- credit crunches are quite different, the
and this shows banks are faced with spectively in 2008. economists point out.
a funding gap, according to Standard Higher revenues in 2009 as oil pric- They feel that the growing oil rev-
Chartered economists. The latest fig- es continue to recover will help both enue should help to replenish deposits
ures from the UAE central bank show governments continue comfortably and gradually improve credit condi-
that total loans, advances, and over-
drafts contracted by 0.2 per cent month
on month in July, with outstanding Despite the benefits of higher oil prices
loans remaining higher than deposits
by Dh37 billion as of July 2009.
and their positive impact on government
The funding gap is also leading to spending and revenues, liquidity in the UAE is
higher deposit rates as banks compete
for deposits to bridge the gap, bank’s tight, and credit growth remains flat
Dubai-based economists Marios Mar-
atheftis and Mary Nicola say in a re- with their expansionary budgets – es- tions.
port. Marios is Regional Head of Re- pecially considering that the hydrocar- Credit growth in Saudi Arabia in July
search, MEPNA, and Mary Nicola, the bon sector contributes 81 per cent and was only 0.1 per cent month on month
bank’s MENA Economist. 90 per cent, respectively, to govern- and they feel that the credit crunch in
Saudi Arabia is also placed in a ment revenues in the UAE and Saudi Saudi Arabia is primarily a confidence
similar situation, with the prevailing Arabia. Despite the benefits of higher problem.
credit conditions hampering economic oil prices and their positive impact on “Deposits are higher than loans.
recovery, they said. government spending and revenues, li- Yet while Saudi banks have the liquid-
With oil prices rebounding, the glo- quidity in both countries is tight, and ity and the ability to resume lending,
Asian recovery
The Standard Chartered report notes
that most Asian economies saw accel-
eration in growth or a narrowing eco-
nomic contraction during the second
quarter of this year. The report asserts
that the numbers confirm the bank’s
long-held view that large, domestically
driven economies are set to outperform
small, export-oriented economies. Chi-
na and Indonesia, where output never
contracted in year or year terms, have
clearly maintained stronger growth
momentum than Singapore, Hong sees a sustained recovery. To support “Of course, many have argued that
Kong, and Taiwan. Vietnam, despite its the still-nascent recovery, govern- Asian central banks should look to lim-
relatively high exports-to-GDP ratio, ments need to reinforce public invest- it the risk of asset bubbles via monetary
also sustained positive GDP growth due ment and boost business confidence, tightening, but this runs the risk of
to relatively stable domestic demand. the bank cautions. choking the recovery in its infancy, in
Taiwan and Thailand, where export Central banks in the region have al- our view. Hence, alternative measures
exposure is high and domestic demand
is weak, underperformed in both year
or year and quarter to quarter growth The report asserts that the numbers confirm the
terms.
Among the key GDP contributors in
bank’s long-held view that large, domestically
the second quarter, gross fixed capital driven economies are set to outperform small,
formation, or fixed asset investment,
was a drag on growth across Asian export-oriented economies
economies. Excluding public invest-
ment, the negative contribution from
investment would have been more se- ready cut policy rates aggressively and to ring-fence the impact of financial
vere. This implies that a rebound in supplied ample liquidity to the busi- market volatility on the real economy
business confidence is critical in or- ness sector. These loose monetary con- should be considered. In our view, hik-
der for the recovery to be sustainable. ditions are likely to persist until there ing policy rates too soon would have
While the global economic environ- is a sustained turnaround in business a negative impact on both the general
ment seems to be on the mend, the cor- confidence and investment. China, In- economy and the financial markets,”
porate sector is still very cautious about donesia, India, and South Korea may the report said.
For a ‘Dunia’ of
difference
UAE’s newest financial services company promises differentiated offerings
financial services sector. As the execu-
tive director and founder CEO of Dun- Dunia is the offshoot
ia, Rajeev is required to leverage all his
experience, skills and ideas to create a
of a strategic
brand out of the fledgling local player partnership between
that would conform to the concepts
that he is used to working with. Results Mubadala and
so far indicate good progress. Temasek Holdings
Dunia is the offshoot of a strate-
gic partnership between Abu Dhabi’s of Singapore, two
of world’s largest
international
government-
owned investment
companies, along
Relocations help in
rents holding
Movements to Dubai from Abu Dhabi and Sharjah offset
effect of population decline
Generally, this floor price is (expected delivery: Q2/Q310), still Q408 and Q109, the few transactions
a function of payment plans and maintain secondary market premiums actually taking place are now very close
will vary between and within over primary market prices, but to distress price levels. Price spreads
developments, depending on the register only minimal transactions. between the lowest listing prices and
pricing and collection strategies set by Average prices for Sun, Sky, and Tala transactions are now only 5-10 per
each developer. Even after such large Towers now have a 20-40per cent cent. According to Landmark, In Abu
discounts, Hydra Village is still failing premium over primary market prices; Dhabi, there appears to be an average
to attract secondary market buyers, even the low end of listings keep price ceiling of Dh1,300 per square
mainly due to construction delays and premiums between 15 per cent and 30 foot for off-plan properties. Only a few
consequent failure to meet delivery per cent. In the case of Al Reem Island, transactions on select projects, like Sun
dates. buyers prefer Marina Square for its and Sky Towers or Al Bandar, have sold
According to the analysts, end- lower prices. above that ceiling. As first observed in
users remain the predominant buyers Developments on Al Raha Beach Q109, many active sellers continue to
of freehold property in Abu Dhabi, have generally received less attention resist additional discounts after recent
focused almost exclusively on nearly from serious buyers, mainly due corrections brought many properties
completed properties. Investors, to higher prices. One exception is close to their primary market prices.
however, continue to wait for signs the Al Bandar district, whose close Although prices may still decrease
that the market has bottomed-out. In completion date (Q1/Q2 2010) has made marginally, there are clear signs that
so doing, investors are avoiding the it the focal point of buyer interest on a price floor is emerging and that
risk associated with uncertainty over Al Raha beach. However, Al Bandar’s transaction volumes now depend on
future rental yields and sale prices of high prices relative to other options the ability to acquire financing. General
units in upcoming developments. in Abu Dhabi’s leasehold market have market confidence is also a key factor.
G
lobal strategic consulting hit strongly by real estate cycle bursts pool resources to enable firms survive
firm AT Kearney believes that in past decades, only two to three major the downturn”, says Dirk Buchta,
the awaited consolidation developers survived and reinforced Partner and Managing Director, AT
wave in the real estate industry in the themselves. Kearney Middle East.
UAE and GCC has started and that Most regional markets have been Announced merger plans for Emaar
the developers demonstrate they are confronted with strong oversupply and Dubai Holding; within Dubai
mindful of lessons learnt from past real – which peaked last year at over 100 Holding for Dubai Properties, Sama
estate cycles in other markets. per cent in the high-end residential Dubai, Bawadi, Remraam and the
Companies that survived in these and commercial segments in some Tiger Woods golf course; Barwa and
markets have built strong differentiated GCC countries. “With most property Qatar Real Estate Investment Co; and
capabilities and diversified across developers being cash-strapped, consolidation of land from distressed
the value chain to stabilize sources of with banks restricting lending and developers into companies like Dubai
revenues. In similar markets such as homebuyers defaulting on payments, Real Estate Corporation come as no
Singapore and Hong-Kong, which were the primary aim of consolidation is to surprise to Dirk Buchta.
T
he equities markets have way. When you have a position, you
seen a rally lately, but it has would have a stop or two to decide that
largely been because of the if the level is breached, then you would
markets putting ‘higher get out or else your losses will cumulate
expectations’, says Yaser Rawashdeh, and you would be forced to close at a
senior sales trader at Saxo Bank, UAE. level where you bear a lot of losses. By
GDP figures contributing to the rally having risk management in place, you
have been achieved mostly due to gov- have the opportunity to try something
ernment spending and ‘it is too early to new should something go wrong. The
rejoice’ he says. need also arises out of the fact that the
Saxo Bank, the online broker, which market’s faith in big institutions has
set up office in Dubai a few months taken a beating.
back, says that the need of the hour is
proper risk management for traders to Tell us about the impact it has had on
ward off monetary shocks in view of the the US dollar to which the dirham is
unpredictability in the markets. In an pegged?
interview with Banking and Business Yaser Rawashdeh, When the crisis struck last year, the US
senior sales trader at Saxo Bank, UAE
Review, Yaser Rawashdeh shares the dollar strengthened on the basis that
changing rules of trading in the mar- game? it was a safe haven. Other currencies
kets and the future of the US dollar. They have changed the rules in the that were dependent on exports like the
sense that in the past, the ranges were Aussie dollar or the Canadian took a
What has been the impact of the eco- clearer with a respect for technical beating; even gold profited to a certain
nomic crisis on Forex trading? analysis. Now there are more unpre- extent. But now the markets are turn-
Back in September-October last year dictable moves. Since the collapse of ing around and we are going back to the
prices were moving in big ranges and Lehman Brothers, levels that were old ways. Interest rates on the dollar as
people were moving away from risk considered usually strong were easily well as treasuries are low and traders
currencies like the Aussie dollar, the broken and unchartered territory was are looking for more returns on their
Kiwi, the Sterling and also the Euro. easily entered. The crisis has shown FX investments. So they are now looking
That strengthened the Yen and the traders how bad things can get. It has again at currencies like the Aussie dollar
Dollar. Now volatilities are falling had a good impact in terms of educat- that have had a nice bounce in the last
down and with some good months in ing traders for the need of risk manage- three or four months. But now and then
the equity market, it has had a good ef- ment. when the indices are going down, we
fect on the currency markets. This has are seeing some positive effects on the
meant that risk currencies that were hit But won’t risk management take away dollar and the yen and negative effects
are picking up again. a trader’s ability to make more prof- on risk currencies and emerging market
its? currencies. It is difficult to tell how long
Would it be appropriate to say that No. You would then have a clear strat- this will last since it is dependent on
the crisis has changed the rules of the egy to exit should things go the wrong how long investors have faith in the US
Remittance industry
hit by recession
Saudi Arabia remains home to region’s biggest remittance business
S
audi Arabia leads the region’s (and first in GCC) in terms of remit- In most countries, migrants do not
remittance industry, with the tance outflows. The US, which has constitute the majority of the total pop-
GCC remaining one of the top been the top immigration country, is ulation. However, high dependence on
five players in the global remit- also by far the largest source of out- oil resources and relatively small popu-
tance industry, according to Money flows, with more than $47 billion in lation size have led the GCC countries
Transfer International. The global re- recorded remittance transfers in 2008 to rely massively on foreign workers and
mittance industry was worth $550 bil- while Switzerland came third at $19 as a result expatriates population con-
lion in 2008. billion. While no data is available from stitute on average more than 50 per cent
According to a World Bank report, World Bank, industry experts estimate of the total population with the highest
the total remittances sent from Saudi the UAE remittance market at around being UAE and Qatar (around 80 per
Arabia is estimated to have exceeded $10 billion in 2008 while Kuwait and cent) and the lowest is Saudi Arabia (26
$20 billion in 2008, ranking it as the Qatar markets are estimated at $5 bil- per cent). The strong presence of large
second largest country in the world lion each. migrant population makes the GCC
A major economic
policy reform
By Nasser Saidi
T
he amendment and reform investment. However, in a more open overall costs of doing business as rep-
of the UAE Company law is and competitive global environment, resented by the costs of Starting a Busi-
a major economic policy re- where capital and entrepreneurs are ness. In the past 5 years, 115 econo-
form measure that will lower mobile, we also need to measure how mies around the world have simplified
the cost of doing business, provide in- we stack up vis-à-vis other countries in business startup through 193 reforms.
centives for new company formation terms of the incentives and costs of do- Many opted for low-cost administrative
and registration –particularly for the ing business. reforms requiring little or no change in
SME sector- and improve the overall The World Bank (WB) publishes regulation. Others went further, intro-
investment climate. an annual report comparing business ducing or amending legislation. Abol-
H.H. Shaikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al regulations in 181 countries the latest ishing minimum capital requirement,
Nahyan, President of the UAE, issued was released on 08.09.09 (Doing Busi- as the UAE has done, is considered
a decree on 10 August 2009 amending ness 2010). The report ranks countries by the WB as one of the top 5 reform
Federal Law No 8 of 1984, the com- according to a number of criteria and features in the costs of starting a busi-
pany law. The amendment removes indicators associated with the cost of ness. This is reflected in the new report
the minimum capital requirement of doing business, including fees, charg- which ranks the UAE among the top 10
Dh150, 000 for the establishment of a es, time, number of procedures and reformers in 2008-09. Some sixty-nine
limited liability company (LLC) in the related: economies allow entrepreneurs to start
UAE and is retroactive to companies a company without putting up a fixed
established on or after June 1, 2009 and Starting a Business amount of capital before registration.
allows new businesses to determine the • Dealing with Construction Permits They allow entrepreneurs to determine
capital required for the establishment • Employing Workers-Registering what is appropriate for the business
and sustainability of their companies. Property based on its type, the nature and risk of
This is an important piece of leg- • Getting Credit the activity and capital structure.
islation which provides incentives for • Protecting Investors The countries implementing such
SMEs and company formation and ef- • Paying Taxes reforms have seen some of the biggest
fectively lowers the cost of doing busi- • Trading Across Borders spikes in new company registrations.
ness. The result, over time, should be • Enforcing Contracts For example after Madagascar reduced
to encourage new business formation, • Closing a Business its minimum capital requirement by
spur entrepreneurship, increase do- The amendment to the UAE com- more than 80% in 2006, the rate of new
mestic investment and promote foreign pany law addresses one aspect of the registrations jumped from 13% to 26%.
Policy
Reform
Simulation
2:
Dealing
with
Construction
Permits
Policy ReformEase
Simulation
of Doing 2: Dealing withConstruction
Dealing with Construction Permits
Permits
Business
Economy RANK Percentile Procedures Time Cost (% of income Ease of dealing with Ease of licenses
Ease of Doing Dealing with Construction Permits
(number) (days) per capita) licenses (percentile) RANK
Business
Economy RANK Percentile Procedures Time Cost (% of income Ease of dealing with Ease of licenses
(number) (days) per capita) licenses (percentile) RANK
Singapore 1 0.07 11 38 21.22 0.07 3
New Zealand 2 0.08 7 65 25.81 0.07 3
Singapore
United States 31 0.07
0.12 1911 4038 21.22
13.11 0.07
0.23 273
New Zealand 2 0.08 7 65 25.81 0.07 3
Hong Kong, China 4 0.13 15 119 18.71 0.21 21
United
Denmark States 53 0.12
0.16 6 19 6940 13.11
60.94 0.23
0.11 8 27
Hong Kong, China 4 0.13 15 119 18.71 0.21 21
UAE (2009) 47 0.41 21 97 63.90 0.31 54
Denmark 5 0.16 6 69 60.94 0.11 8
UAE (2010) 33 17 64 30.70 27
UAE (2009) 47 0.41 21 97 63.90 0.31 54
UAE (Additional 30 10 55 15.17 1
UAE (2010)
reforms) 33 17 64 30.70 27
Policy Reform Simulation 3: Starting a Business & Dealing with Construction Permits
Policy
Reform
Simulation
3:
Starting
a
Business
&
Dealing
with
Construction
Permits
The amendment and reform of the UAE Company law is a major economic policy reform
The amendment and reform of the
measure that will lower the cost of doing business, provide incentives for new company
UAE Company law is a major economic
formation and registration –particularly for the SME sector- and improve the overall
policy reform measure that will lower
investment climate. The timing of the reform is also propitious as it provides
the costa needed
of doing business, provide in-
stimulus to business activity helping the country recover from the effectscentives
of the for
global
new company formation
‘Great Recession’. However, this is also the time to take additional reform
and registrationto–particularly for the
measures
stimulate new business formation, including a one stop shop and online SME sector- and improve the overall
registration
investment climate. The timing of the
procedures, dealing with construction permits, and other simplified registration
formalities. More important would be the deeper structural reforms aimingreform is also propitious as it provides
at better
a neededat
enforcement of contracts and reforming insolvency law and procedures aiming stimulus
easingto business activity
the costs of Closing a Business. We should aim at easing both entry andhelping
exit ofthe country recover from the
businesses reducing cost and minimising uncertainty. effects of the global ‘Great Recession’.
However, this is also the time to take
additional reform measures to stimu-
The writer is Chief Economist with Dubai International Financial Centre
late new business formation, including
a one stop shop and online registration
procedures, dealing with construction
permits, and other simplified registra-
tion formalities. More important would
be the deeper structural reforms aim-
ing at better enforcement of contracts
and reforming insolvency law and pro-
cedures aiming at easing the costs of
Closing a Business. We should aim at
easing both entry and exit of businesses
reducing cost and minimising uncer-
tainty.
G
lobal Fortune 500-listed related activity. the Gulf consists of many companies
State Bank of India (SBI) The branch can arrange and ad- with an Indian connection, which is a
has started providing vise on the investment products of base for the bank to further build its
the full range of banking the State Bank Group and other fund business across the wider region,” Vi-
services from its base in the Dubai In- houses. It can also accept deposits dyasagar said.
ternational Financial Centre (DIFC). from non-UAE-based professional Supported by its group headquar-
SBI, which is India’s top bank, has re- clients and corporates in US dollars, ters based in India, SBI provides cor-
ceived a full banking licence from the Euros and GBP. porate banking services in the region.
regulator, the Dubai Financial Serv- According to Dr Omar Bin Su- The bank’s Corporate Banking Group
ices Authority (DFSA), which enables laiman, Governor of the DIFC and in India has extensive experience in
the DIFC branch to accept deposits Vice-Chairman of the UAE Central handling credit requirements of large
and provide credit, subject to the reg- Bank, the expansion of the SBI’s serv- corporates as well as infrastructure fi-
ulations of the DFSA. ices out of DIFC is a clear testimony nancing. The bank is the leading lender
Over the past year, an increasing to the vast opportunities that the re- in India for project finance, with more
number of banking and financial in- gion’s financial services industry of- than 490 of India’s top corporates
stitutions from major Asian emerging fers banking firms. banking with SBI.
markets like India have been estab- The team at SBI - DIFC branch is SBI is a 200-year old financial in-
lishing a presence in DIFC. headed by Chief Executive Officer AJ stitution, which has earned high levels
India’s number-one bank has also Vidyasagar, who says the bank would of customer trust and the respect of
obtained a retail endorsement to its provide top-class corporate banking its competitors by following prudent
licence, which enables it to arrange services to clients in keeping with banking practices. The bank has an
investments for retail customers and State Bank of India’s tradition of de- international presence in 92 locations
offer credit to small and medium en- livering safe, and transparent and spread over 32 countries and contin-
terprises (SME). regulatory-compliant products. ues to grow at an aggressive pace. It has
SBI‘s DIFC branch will provide “SBI has upgraded its operations around 12,100 offices all over the world
trade finance and short-term work- in the region despite the present eco- and more than 150 million customers.
ing capital loans including Letters nomic downturn, which reflects our Along with its Associate Banks, SBI has
of Credit (LC) and bank guarantees, immense faith in the potential of the 16,900 offices and 15,000 ATMs; all of
term loans, project finance and as UAE and the wider market and also in them networked. In July this year, the
well as syndication of credit require- our own ability to do profitable busi- bank opened 154 branches and 2151
ments at highly competitive rates. The ness under any circumstances. The ATMs simultaneously across the coun-
branch has a special desk to handle LC trading and industrial community in try though online activation.
Beyond
oil market
downturn
Report says oil companies can gain competitive advantage by
thinking long term
R
ecessions don’t last long er acquiring independents and weak- make investment decisions. In the long
when compared with the ened oil service providers. “Mean- term, the average price of oil is a lot
average length of energy while, independents in weak financial more stable and more predictable than
investments; therefore any positions might decide to partner with its daily spot price - this long-term av-
forecast of the profitability of capital cash-rich IOCs or NOCs,” comments erage is what determines the profitabil-
investment whose output will go on Georges Chehade, a partner at Booz & ity of energy investments,” explained
stream perhaps seven to nine years Company. Chehade. The global liquidity shortage
from now must look beyond the short- In July 2008, oil prices per barrel is leading financial markets to under-
term, a new report by Booz & Company reached an all-time high of more than price long-term value, presenting an
concludes. $147 and analysts forecasted prices of opportunity for companies with cash to
Following years of high oil prices, over $200 by December 2008. But by make these investments now.
many international oil companies December, the price of oil had dropped The report points out that oil prices
(IOCs) and national oil companies almost 80 per cent, to less than $34. are now seriously depressed. The effects
(NOCs) have amassed piles of cash, Always difficult to forecast, energy the downturn is causing will last longer
and are in an excellent position to take prices have reached a completely new than the recession itself and the dura-
the long-term view. NOCs controlling level of unpredictability in the last few tion of typical economic recessions are
reserves of cheap oil but lacking the months. short when compared with upstream
technology and capabilities to further “Energy companies whose econom- oil investment standards: The mean du-
their investment efforts should consid- ics depend on future oil prices must ration of all US. recessions since 1854 is
Dubai Representative Office Tel 04 3313196 Mohammed Abdalla Chief Executive Officer 06-5115116
API World Tower, Suite 1002, Shk. Zayed Road, P.O. Box: 3614. Telefax 04 3313960 Ahmed Saad ibrahim Chief Operating Officer 06-5115118
Umaima Zaman senior manager Mohammed Rizwan Chief Risk Officer 06-5115172
Ashwani.k.Dewitt senior manager Saeed M Ahmed Al Amiri Head, Investment Group 06-5115000
Global Private Banking Ossama Salah El Din Head, Retail Banking 06-5115339
Ashish Anand Chief Representative G . Ramkirshinan Head of Coroprate Banking Group 06-5115111
Hussam A. Abu Aisheh SVP-Chief Internal Audit 06-5115153
Mohammed Ishaq Chief Dealer 06-5115151
Mohamed Azmeer Head of Credit Division 06-5115319
RAK Bank
Eman Jasim Sajwani Head of Human Resources Group 06-5115170
Myron Britto Head, nformation Technology Div.-CIO 06-5115444
Ras Al Khaimah
Sufyan Maysara Head of Shariaa Supervision Divison 06-5115213
Head Office, Oman Street, Al Nakheel Tel 07 2281127
Branches
P.O. Box 5300 Fax 07 2283238
Main Branch - Al Brooj Avenue Mohammed Yousif 06-5115121
E-mail: nbrakho@emirates.net.ae; www.rakbank.ae
King Faisal Street Branch Abdul Salam Al Ali 06-5746805
History: Established in 1976 as The National Bank of Ras Al Khaimah. In 2003,
Ladies Branch Laila Ali Salem 06-5746807
name was changed to RAKBANK
American Unversity Branch Mohd Mousa Ali 06-5585789
Al Dhaid Branch Khalid M. Ajmani 06-8829414
H.E. Sheikh Omar Bin Saqr Al Qasimi Chairman
Industrial Area Branch Waleed Abdul Qadir 06-5397623
H.E. Sheikh Salim Bin Sultan-Al-Qasimi Director
Sharjah Expo Branch Jassim Al Awadi 06-5992502
Mr. Hamad Abdulaziz Al Sagar Director
Sharjah Buhaira Branch Osama Ahmed AlSalman N/A
Mr. Essa Ahmed Abu Shuraija Al Neaimi Director
Khorfakhan Branch Yousif M. Abdullah 09-2387490
Mr. Majid Saif Al Ghurair Director
Dibba Branch Ali Al-Abdouli 09-2442601
Mr. Ali Samir Al Shihabi Director
Kalba Branch Abdullah Bin Hikal 09-2774204
Mr. Yousuf Obaid Essa Director
Fujairah Branch Nawal Mohamed AlMaghribi 09-2244339
Mr. Graham Honeybill General Manager
Dubai Branch Mohamed Ibrahim Alghufili 04-2698322
Mr. Ian Hodges Head of Personal Banking
Sheikh Zayed Branch Maisoon Zainudin 04-3217543
Mr. Anil Sukhia Head of Corporate Banking
Al Twar Branch Maha AlBanna 04-2638335
Mr. Steve O Hanlon Chief Operating Officer
Abu Dhabi Branch Thomas P.Y. 02-6224166
Mr. Geoff Harman Head of Internal Controls
Al Ain Branch Majid Sha’abaan 03-7513200
Mr. Jose Braganza Head of Credit
Mr. Malcolm D’Souza Head of Treasury
Mr. Nigel Summersall Chief Internal Auditor Shuaa Capital PSC
Mrs. Susan Gardner Head of Human Resources
Mr. Venkat Raghavan Head of Finance Head Office Tel: 04 3303600/ 04 3199778
Dubai Emirates Towers Hotel, Level 7 Fax: 04 3303550
Deira Maktoum Branch Tel : 04-2248000 P.O. Box: 31045, Dubai, UAE.
Deira Souk Branch Tel : 04-2248000 Website: www.shuaacapital.com
Umm Hurair Branch (Bur Dubai) Tel : 04-2248000 Iyad Duwaji CEO
Sultan Business Center ( Dubai Main Branch) Tel : 04-2248000 Abeer Ayash Marketing and PR coordinator
Sheikh Zayed Road Branch Tel : 04-2248000
Emaar Business Park Branch Tel : 04-2248000 Societe Generale
Marina Diamond Branch Tel : 04-2248000
Al Quoz Branch Tel : 04-2248000 Dubai
Al Qusais Branch Tel : 04-7058444 DIFC Gate Village, Bldg. 6, 4th Floor Tel.: 04 4257500
Union de Banques Arabes et Francaises UBAF General Management & H.O. Tel 06 5733900
Sh. Abdulla Bin Salim Al Qassimi Building, Al Qasimia St., Sharjah Fax 06 5733906
Dubai E-Mail Address uarbae@emirates.net.ae
Creek Tower, Baniyas Road, Deira Website www.uab.ae
Tel 04 2284080 History: Established 1975
P.O. Box 29885 Fax 04 2284070
Hamed Hassouna Chief Representative GCC & Yemen Bertrand Giraud General Manager 06 5733900
Awni Alami Dy. General Manager 06 5733900
Gibert Hie Asst. GM-Corporate & Retail 06 5733900
UBS AG Arif Premdjee Asst. GM-Admin. & Finance 06 5733900
Abu Dhabi
ADNIC Bldg., 5th Floor, Sh. Khalifa Street Tel 02 6275024
P.O.Box 3744 Fax 02 6272752
Website: www.ubs.com
BANKING AND BUSINESS REVIEW October 2009 63
United Bank Limited J.Kennedy Thompson Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Michael P. Heavener International Division
Dubai Dubai Branch:
Gargosh Bldg, Khalid Bin Waleed Street Tel 04 3552020 Chafic Haddad Vice President & Regional Manager
P.O. Box 1367, Dubai Fax 04 3514525 Carol Hampson Customer Services Representative
Email: ublgmuae@emirates.net.ae
Website: www.ubl.com.pk
Wajahat Husain Head of Middle East
Maruf Ahmed General Manager UAE