Sei sulla pagina 1di 70

y

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
((Y)^2)/n

x
70
65
90
95
110
115
120
140
155
150
123210

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

xtrans
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260

1
80

1
100

xtrans*x
10
1700

1700
322000

B1
B2

1
120

24.45455
0.509091

Btrans
24.45455 0.509091

ytrans
70
ytrans*y
132100

65

90
num
den

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente 0.980847
de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente 0.962062
de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.957319
Error tpico 6.493003
Observaciones
10
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 8552.727 8552.727 202.8679 5.75E-07
Residuos
8 337.2727 42.15909
Total
9
8890
CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%

Intercepcin24.45455 6.413817 3.812791 0.005142 9.664256 39.24483 9.664256


Variable X 10.509091 0.035743 14.24317 5.75E-07 0.426668 0.591514 0.426668

1
140

1
160

1
180

(xtrans*x)-1
0.975758 -0.0051515
-0.00515 3.0303E-05

x*B
65.18182
75.36364
85.54545
95.72727
105.9091
116.0909
126.2727
136.4545
146.6364
156.8182

95
8552.727
8890

Superior 95,0%

1
200

1
220

1
240

1
260

xtrans*y
1110
205500

u=(y-x*B)
4.818182
-10.3636
4.454545
-0.72727
4.090909
-1.09091
-6.27273
3.545455
8.363636
-6.81818

110

115
r^2
r

Btrans*xtrans*y
131762.7
utrans
4.818182 -10.3636 4.454545 -0.72727 4.090909
utrans*u
337.2727

120
0.962062
0.980847

140

^2
42.15909

155

150

-1.09091

Identidad
42.15909
0
0 42.15909

39.24483
0.591514

-6.27273 3.545455 8.363636 -6.81818


var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
41.13705 -0.21718
-0.217183 0.00128
varB1
varB2

41.13705
0.00128

eeB1
eeB2

6.413817
0.03574

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
((Y)^2)/n

y
2447.1
2476.9
2503.7
2619.4
2746.1
2865.8
2969.1
3052.2
3162.4
3223.3
3260.4
3240.8
99574276

x
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

xtrans
3776.3
3843.1
3760.3
3906.6
4148.5
4279.8
4404.5
4539.9
4718.6
4838
4877.5
4821

1
3776.3

1
3843.1

1
3760.3

xtrans*x
12
51914.1
51914.1 226671769

B1
B2

-231.7951
0.7194335

Btrans
-231.7951 0.7194335

ytrans
2447.1
ytrans*y
100661886

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de
0.995461
correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de
0.990943
determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.990038
Error tpico 31.38488
Observaciones
12
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 1077760 1077760 1094.16 1.505E-11
Residuos
10 9850.106 985.0106
Total
11 1087610

2476.9

2503.7
num
den

CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Intercepcin-231.795 94.52751 -2.45214 0.034132 -442.4155 -21.17468 -442.416
Variable X 10.719433 0.02175 33.0781 1.51E-11 0.6709725 0.7678945 0.670972

1
3906.6

1
4148.5

1
4279.8

(xtrans*x)-1
9.07143 -0.0021
-0.00208 4.8E-07
x*B

1077760
1087610

2746.1

1
4539.9

1
4718.6

1
4838

1
4877.5

1
4821

xtrans*y
34567.2
151041824
u=(y-x*B)
-37.9015
-56.1597
30.20942
40.6563
-6.67466
18.56373
32.15037
17.83908
-0.52368
-25.524
-16.8417
4.206332

2485
2533.06
2473.49
2578.74
2752.77
2847.24
2936.95
3034.36
3162.92
3248.82
3277.24
3236.59

2619.4

1
4404.5

2865.8
r^2
r

Btrans*xtrans*y
100652036
utrans
-37.90152 -56.1597 30.20942
utrans*u
9850.1056

2969.1
0.9909433
0.9954614

3052.2

40.6563 -6.67466 18.56373

^2
985.0106

3162.4

3223.3

Identidad
985.0106
0
0 985.0106

3260.4

3240.8

Superior 95,0%
-21.1747
0.76789

32.15037 17.83908 -0.52368

-25.524 -16.8417 4.206332

var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
8935.451 -2.04647
-2.04647 0.000473
varB1
varB2

8935.451
0.000473

eeB1
eeB2

94.52751
0.02175

aos
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

TASA DE RETIRO (C /100


TASAEMP)
DE DESEMPLEO
"y"
(X)
1960
1.3
1
6.2
1961
1.3
1
7.8
1962
1.4
1
5.8
1963
1.4
1
5.7
1964
1.5
1
5.6
1965
1.9
1
4
1966
2.6
1
3.2
1967
2.3
1
3.6
1968
2.5
1
3.3
1969
2.7
1
3.3
1970
2.1
1
5.6
1971
1.8
1
6.8
1972
2.2
1
5.6
((Y)^2)/n 48.07692

xtrans
1
6.2

1
7.8

xtrans*x
13
66.5

66.5
366.71

B1
B2

3.369703
-0.2828

Btrans
3.369703

-0.2828

ytrans
1.3

1.3

ytrans*y
51.24

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de0.819121
correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de 0.67096
determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado0.641047
Error tpico 0.307598
Observaciones
13
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
dePromedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 2.122298 2.122298 22.43057 0.000613
Residuos
11 1.040779 0.094616
Total
12 3.163077
CoeficientesError tpicoEstadstico Probabilidad
t
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Intercepcin 3.369703 0.317137 10.62537 4.02E-07 2.671688 4.067717 2.671688
Variable X 1 -0.2828 0.059711 -4.73609 0.000613 -0.41422 -0.15137 -0.41422

1
5.8

1
5.7

1
5.6

1
4

(xtrans*x)-1
1.062989 -0.19276
-0.19276 0.037683
x*B
1.616349
1.16387
1.729468
1.757748
1.786028
2.238507
2.464746
2.351626
2.436466
2.436466
1.786028
1.446669
1.786028

1.4
num
den

1.4
2.122298
3.163077

Superior 95,0%
4.067717
-0.15137

1
3.2

1
3.6

1
3.3

1
3.3

1
5.6

1
6.8

xtrans*y
25
120.38
u=(y-x*B)
-0.31635
0.13613
-0.32947
-0.35775
-0.28603
-0.33851
0.135254
-0.05163
0.063534
0.263534
0.313972
0.353331
0.413972

1.5

1.9
r^2
r

Btrans*xtrans*y
50.19922

utrans
-0.31635

0.13613 -0.32947 -0.35775 -0.28603

utrans*u
1.040779

2.6
0.67096
0.819121

2.3

^2
0.094616

2.5

2.7

Identidad
0.094616
0

2.1

1.8

1
5.6

-0.33851 0.135254 -0.05163 0.063534 0.263534 0.313972 0.353331 0.413972

0
0.094616

2.2

var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
0.100576 -0.01824
-0.01824 0.003565
varB1
varB2

0.100576
0.003565

eeB1
eeB2

0.317137
0.059711

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
((Y)^2)/n

y
1000
1023
1040
1087
1146
1285
1485
1521
1543
1567
1592
1714
1841
1959
2033
31787393

x
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

xtrans
1000
1042
1092
1105
1110
1257
1749
1770
1889
1974
2015
2260
2621
2777
2735

1
1000

15
26396
26396 52197720

B1
B2

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA

516.0898
0.533969

Btrans
516.0898 0.533969

ytrans*y
33461554

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de0.989392
correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de0.978897
determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado0.977273
Error tpico 52.1317
Observaciones
15

1
1092

xtrans*x

ytrans
1000

Resumen

1
1042

1023

1040

num
den

Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 1638831 1638831 603.018 2.81E-12
Residuos
13 35330.29 2717.714
Total
14 1674161
CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
Intercepcin 516.0898 40.56311 12.72313 1.03E-08 428.4586 603.7211 428.4586 603.7211
Variable X 1 0.533969 0.021745 24.55642 2.81E-12 0.486993 0.580946 0.486993 0.580946

1
1105

1
1110

1
1257

(xtrans*x)-1
0.605423 -0.0003062
-0.00031 1.7398E-07
x*B1
1050.059
1072.486
1099.184
1106.126
1108.796
1187.289
1450.002
1461.215
1524.758
1570.145
1592.038
1722.86
1915.623
1998.922
1976.496

1087

1638831
1674161

1
1749

1
1770

1
1889

1
1974

1
2015

1
2260

1
2621

xtrans*y
21836
41494685
u=(y-x*B1)
-50.0591
-49.4858
-59.1843
-19.1259
37.20429
97.71081
34.99794
59.78458
18.24224
-3.14515
-0.03789
-8.86035
-74.6233
-39.9225
56.50425

1146

1285

r^2
r

Btrans*xtrans*y
33426224
utrans
-50.0591 -49.4858 -59.1843 -19.1259 37.20429 97.71081
utrans*u
35330.29

1485

0.978897
0.989392

1521

^2
2717.714

1543

1567

Identidad
2717.714
0
0 2717.714

1592

1714

1841

uperior 95,0%

1
2777

1
2735

34.99794 59.78458 18.24224 -3.14515 -0.03789 -8.86035 -74.6233 -39.9225 56.50425


var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
1645.366 -0.83205
-0.83205 0.000473

1959

varB1
varB2

1645.366
0.000473

eeB1
eeB2

40.56311
0.021745

2033

Y
1
193
2
226
3
240
4
244
5
257
6
260
7
274
8
297
9
350
10
420
((Y)^2)/n
762312.1

X
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

xtrans
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

1
1
xtrans*x
10
55

B1
B2

1
2

1
3

1
4
(xtrans*x)-1
0.466667
-0.06667

55
385

x*B
186.40
206.33
226.27
246.20
266.13
286.07
306.00
325.93
345.87
365.80

166.4667
19.93333

Btrans
166.4667 19.93333

ytrans
193
ytrans*y
801295

226

240
num
den

244
32780.37
38982.9

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente
0.917001
de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente
0.840891
de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.821002
Error tpico
27.84451
Observaciones 10
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 32780.37 32780.37 42.27997 0.000188
Residuos
8 6202.533 775.3167
Total
9 38982.9
CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
Intercepcin
166.4667 19.02142 8.751537 2.28E-05 122.6032 210.3301 122.6032 210.3301
Variable 19.93333
X1
3.06558 6.502305 0.000188 12.86409 27.00257 12.86409 27.00257

1
5

1
6

(xtrans*x)-1

1
7

1
8

1
9

1
10

19.67

13.73

xtrans*y
2761
16830

-0.06667
0.012121
u=(y-x*B)
6.60
19.67
13.73
-2.20
-9.13
-26.07
-32.00
-28.93
4.13
54.20

257

260
r^2
r

Btrans*xtrans*y
795092.5
utrans
6.60
utrans*u
6202.533

274
0.840891
0.917001

297

^2
775.3167

350

420

-2.20

-9.13

-26.07

Identidad
775.3167
0
0 775.3167

-32.00

-28.93

4.13

54.20

var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
361.8144 -51.6878
-51.6878 9.397778
varB1
varB2

361.8144
9.397778

eeB1
eeB2

19.02142
3.06558

y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

x
70
65
90
95
110
115
120
140
155
150

80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260

lny
4.248495
4.174387
4.49981
4.553877
4.70048
4.744932
4.787492
4.941642
5.043425
5.010635
((Y)^2)/n 218.1373

lnx
1 4.382027
1 4.60517
1 4.787492
1 4.941642
1 5.075174
1 5.192957
1 5.298317
1 5.393628
1 5.480639
1 5.560682

ytrans
4.248495
ytrans*y
218.9527

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente 0.973642
de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente 0.947978
de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.941476
Error tpico 0.072815
Observaciones
10
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F
Regresin
1 0.772945 0.772945 145.7822
Residuos
8 0.042416 0.005302
Total
9 0.815361
CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Intercepcin0.856832 0.316697 2.705527 0.026843
Variable X 10.751943 0.062278 12.07403 2.05E-06

xtrans
1
4.382027

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4.60517 4.787492 4.941642 5.075174 5.192957 5.298317 5.393628 5.480639 5.560682

xtrans*x
10 50.71773
50.71773 258.5958

B1
B2

(xtrans*x)-1
18.9166 -3.71006
-3.71006 0.731512
x*B
4.151868
4.319659
4.456754
4.572667
4.673075
4.761641
4.840866
4.912534
4.977962
5.038149

0.856832
0.751943

Btrans
0.856832 0.751943

4.174387

4.49981 4.553877
num
den

0.772945
0.815361

xtrans*y
46.70518
237.906
u=(y-x*B)
0.096628
-0.14527
0.043055
-0.01879
0.027405
-0.01671
-0.05337
0.029108
0.065463
-0.02751

Btrans*xtrans*y
218.9103
utrans
0.096628 -0.14527 0.043055
utrans*u
0.042416

4.70048 4.744932 4.787492 4.941642 5.043425 5.010635


r^2
r

Valor crtico de F
2.05E-06

Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
0.126528 1.587136 0.126528 1.587136
0.608331 0.895556 0.608331 0.895556

0.947978
0.973642

^2
0.005302

-0.01879 0.027405 -0.01671 -0.05337 0.029108 0.065463 -0.02751


Identidad
0.005302
0
0 0.005302

var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
0.100297 -0.01967
-0.01967 0.003879
varB1
varB2

0.100297
0.003879

eeB1
eeB2

0.316697
0.062278

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

y
2447.1
2476.9
2503.7
2619.4
2746.1
2865.8
2969.1
3052.2
3162.4
3223.3
3260.4
3240.8

x
3776.3
3843.1
3760.3
3906.6
4148.5
4279.8
4404.5
4539.9
4718.6
4838
4877.5
4821

lny
7.802659
7.814763
7.825525
7.870701
7.917937
7.960603
7.996014
8.023618
8.059087
8.078161
8.089605
8.083575
((Y)^2)/n 760.375

lnx
1
8.2365
1 8.254035
1 8.232254
1 8.270423
1 8.330502
1 8.361662
1 8.390382
1 8.42066
1 8.459267
1 8.484257
1 8.492388
1 8.480737

ytrans
7.802659
ytrans*y
760.5099

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente 0.994617
de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente 0.989262
de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.988189
Error tpico 0.012034
Observaciones
12
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 0.133422 0.133422 921.3101 3.53E-11
Residuos
10 0.001448 0.000145

Total

11

0.13487

CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%
Intercepcin-1.13329 0.29961 -3.78256 0.003587 -1.80086
Variable X 11.086729 0.035803 30.35309 3.53E-11 1.006955

xtrans
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
8.2365 8.254035 8.232254 8.270423 8.330502 8.361662 8.390382
xtrans*x
12 100.4131
100.4131 840.345

(xtrans*x)-1
619.8574 -74.0669
-74.0669 8.85147

B1
B2

x*B
7.817548
7.836604
7.812934
7.854413
7.919703
7.953565
7.984776
8.01768
8.059636
8.086792
8.095629
8.082967

-1.13329
1.086729

Btrans
-1.13329 1.086729

1
1
1
8.42066 8.459267 8.484257

xtrans*y
95.52225
799.4296
u=(y-x*B)
-0.01489
-0.02184
0.012591
0.016288
-0.00177
0.007038
0.011238
0.005938
-0.00055
-0.00863
-0.00602
0.000608

Btrans*xtrans*y
760.5084
utrans
-0.01489 -0.02184 0.012591
utrans*u
0.001448

^2
0.000145

ytrans
7.802659 7.814763 7.825525 7.870701 7.917937 7.960603 7.996014 8.023618 8.059087 8.078161
ytrans*y
760.5099

alor crtico de F

num
den

0.133422
0.13487

r^2
r

0.989262
0.994617

Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
-0.46572 -1.80086 -0.46572
1.166502 1.006955 1.166502

1
1
8.492388 8.480737

0.016288 -0.00177 0.007038 0.011238 0.005938 -0.00055 -0.00863 -0.00602 0.000608


Identidad
0.000145
0
0 0.000145

8.089605 8.083575

var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
0.089766 -0.01073
-0.01073 0.001282
varB1
varB2

0.089766
0.001282

eeB1
eeB2

0.29961
0.035803

aos DE RETIROTASA
TASA
(C /100
DE DESEMPLEO
EMP) "y" (X)
1
1960
1.3
6.2
2
1961
1.3
7.8
3
1962
1.4
5.8
4
1963
1.4
5.7
5
1964
1.5
5.6
6
1965
1.9
4
7
1966
2.6
3.2
8
1967
2.3
3.6
9
1968
2.5
3.3
10
1969
2.7
3.3
11
1970
2.1
5.6
12
1971
1.8
6.8
13
1972
2.2
5.6

lny
0.262364
0.262364
0.336472
0.336472
0.405465
0.641854
0.955511
0.832909
0.916291
0.993252
0.741937
0.587787
0.788457
((Y)^2)/n 4.998609

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente 0.821682
de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente 0.675162
de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.645631
Error tpico 0.162334
Observaciones
13
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 0.602496 0.602496
22.863 0.00057
Residuos
11 0.289877 0.026352

lnx
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

Total

12 0.892373

CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
Intercepcin1.790012 0.248784 7.195047 1.76E-05 1.242442 2.337582 1.242442 2.337582
Variable X 1 -0.73543 0.153807 -4.78153 0.00057 -1.07396 -0.3969 -1.07396 -0.3969

lnx
1.824549
2.054124
1.757858
1.740466
1.722767
1.386294
1.163151
1.280934
1.193922
1.193922
1.722767
1.916923
1.722767

xtrans
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1.824549 2.054124 1.757858 1.740466 1.722767 1.386294 1.163151 1.280934
xtrans*x
13 20.68044
20.68044 34.01248

B1
B2

(xtrans*x)-1
2.348679 -1.42806
-1.42806 0.897695
x*B
0.448184
0.279348
0.49723
0.510021
0.523038
0.770489
0.934596
0.847975
0.911966
0.911966
0.523038
0.380249
0.523038

1.790012
-0.73543

Btrans
1.790012 -0.73543

xtrans*y
8.061136
12.00444
u=(y-x*B)
-0.18582
-0.01698
-0.16076
-0.17355
-0.11757
-0.12864
0.020915
-0.01507
0.004325
0.081286
0.2189
0.207537
0.26542

Btrans*xtrans*y
5.601105
utrans
-0.18582
utrans*u
0.289877

ytrans
0.262364 0.262364 0.336472 0.336472 0.405465 0.641854 0.955511 0.832909
ytrans*y
5.890982

num
den

0.602496
0.892373

r^2
r

0.675162
0.821682

uperior 95,0%

1
1
1
1
1
1.193922 1.193922 1.722767 1.916923 1.722767

Btrans*xtrans*y

-0.01698 -0.16076 -0.17355 -0.11757 -0.12864 0.020915 -0.01507 0.004325 0.081286


^2
0.026352

Identidad
0.026352
0
0 0.026352

0.916291 0.993252 0.741937 0.587787 0.788457

var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
0.061893 -0.03763
-0.03763 0.023656
varB1
varB2

0.061893
0.023656

eeB1
eeB2

0.248784
0.153807

0.2189

0.207537

0.26542

aos DE RETIROTASA
TASA
(C /100
DE DESEMPLEO
EMP) "y" (X)
1
1960
1.3
6.2
2
1961
1.3
7.8
3
1962
1.4
5.8
4
1963
1.4
5.7
5
1964
1.5
5.6
6
1965
1.9
4
7
1966
2.6
3.2
8
1967
2.3
3.6
9
1968
2.5
3.3
10
1969
2.7
3.3
11
1970
2.1
5.6
12
1971
1.8
6.8
13
1972
2.2
5.6
((Y)^2)/n 48.07692

1/x
1 0.16129
1 0.128205
1 0.172414
1 0.175439
1 0.178571
0.25
1
0.3125
1
1 0.277778
1 0.30303
1 0.30303
1 0.178571
1 0.147059
1 0.178571

xtrans
1
1
0.16129 0.128205
xtrans*x
13 2.766459
2.766459 0.641217

B1
B2

0.521504
6.586199

Btrans
0.521504 6.586199

ytrans
1.3
ytrans*y
51.24

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente 0.848533
de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente 0.720008
de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.694554
Error tpico 0.283747
Observaciones
13
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 2.277442 2.277442 28.28687 0.000245
Residuos
11 0.885635 0.080512
Total
12 3.163077

1.3

CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
Intercepcin0.521504 0.275026
1.8962 0.084492 -0.08382 1.126831 -0.08382 1.126831
Variable X 16.586199 1.238347 5.31854 0.000245 3.860616 9.311783 3.860616 9.311783

1
1
1
0.172414 0.175439 0.178571

1
0.25

(xtrans*x)-1
0.939473 -4.05325
-4.05325 19.04682
x*B
1.583794
1.365888
1.657055
1.676977
1.697611
2.168053
2.579691
2.351003
2.517322
2.517322
1.697611
1.490062
1.697611

1.4
num
den

1.4
2.277442
3.163077

1
1
0.3125 0.277778

1
0.30303

1
1
1
0.30303 0.178571 0.147059

xtrans*y
25
5.665904
u=(y-x*B)
-0.28379
-0.06589
-0.25706
-0.27698
-0.19761
-0.26805
0.020309
-0.051
-0.01732
0.182678
0.402389
0.309938
0.502389

1.5

1.9
r^2
r

Btrans*xtrans*y
50.35436
utrans
-0.28379 -0.06589 -0.25706 -0.27698 -0.19761
utrans*u
0.885635

2.6
0.720008
0.848533

2.3

^2
0.080512

2.5

2.7

Identidad
0.080512
0

2.1

1.8

uperior 95,0%

1
0.178571

-0.26805 0.020309

0
0.080512

2.2

-0.051 -0.01732 0.182678 0.402389 0.309938 0.502389


var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
0.075639 -0.32634
-0.32634 1.533503
varB1
varB2

0.075639
1.533503

eeB1
eeB2

0.275026
1.238347

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
((Y)^2)/n

y
1000
1023
1040
1087
1146
1285
1485
1521
1543
1567
1592
1714
1841
1959
2033
31787393

x
1000
1042
1092
1105
1110
1257
1749
1770
1889
1974
2015
2260
2621
2777
2735

1/x
1
0.001
1 0.00096
1 0.000916
1 0.000905
1 0.000901
1 0.000796
1 0.000572
1 0.000565
1 0.000529
1 0.000507
1 0.000496
1 0.000442
1 0.000382
1 0.00036
1 0.000366

xtrans
1
1
0.001 0.000959693
xtrans*x
15 0.009695581
0.009696 7.05708E-06
B1
B2

Btrans
2374.358 -1421200.95

ytrans
1000
ytrans*y
33461554
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de
0.976351
correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de
0.953262
determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.949667
Error tpico 77.58201
Observaciones
15
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 1595914 1595914 265.1475 4.99E-10
Residuos
13 78246.6 6018.969
Total
14 1674161

2374.35797
-1421200.95

1023

CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
Intercepcin2374.358 59.86579 39.66135 5.98E-15 2245.026 2503.69 2245.026 2503.690156
Variable X 1-1421201 87279.4 -16.2833 4.99E-10 -1609757 -1232645 -1609757 -1232645.27

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0.000916 0.000905 0.000901 0.000796 0.000572 0.000565 0.000529 0.000507 0.000496 0.000442
(xtrans*x)-1
0.595436 -818.058
-818.058 1265614
x*B
953.157
1010.442
1072.892
1088.203
1093.997
1243.729
1561.779
1571.42
1622.002
1654.398
1669.047
1745.508
1832.122
1862.582
1854.723

1040
num
den

1087
1595914
1674161

xtrans*y
21836
12.99125
u=(y-x*B)
46.84298
12.55849
-32.8919
-1.20326
52.00325
41.27127
-76.7788
-50.4196
-79.0017
-87.398
-77.0473
-31.508
8.878182
96.41767
178.2767

1146

1285
r^2
r

Btrans*xtrans*y
33383307
utrans
46.84298 12.55849 -32.8919 -1.20326 52.00325
utrans*u
78246.6

1485
0.953262
0.976351

1521

^2
6018.969

1543

1567

Identidad
6018.969
0

1592

1714

erior 95,0%

1
0.000382

1
1
0.00036 0.000366

41.27127 -76.7788 -50.4196 -79.001722

var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
3583.913 -4923864.7
-4923865 7617693757

0
6018.969

1841

-87.398 -77.0473

1959

varB1
varB2

3583.91332
7617693757

eeB1
eeB2

59.8657942
87279.4005

2033

-31.508 8.878182 96.41767 178.2767

Y
1
193
2
226
3
240
4
244
5
257
6
260
7
274
8
297
9
350
10
420
((Y)^2)/n 762312.1

X
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

1/x
1
1
1
0.5
1 0.333333
1
0.25
1
0.2
1 0.166667
1 0.142857
1
0.125
1 0.111111
1
0.1

xtrans
1
1

1
0.5

xtrans*x
10 2.928968
2.928968 1.549768
B1
B2

322.5812
-158.695

Btrans
322.5812 -158.695

ytrans
193

226

ytrans*y
801295

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente 0.668562
de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente 0.446975
de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.377847
Error tpico 51.91162
Observaciones
10
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 17424.37 17424.37 6.465885 0.034559
Residuos
8 21558.53 2694.816
Total
9 38982.9
CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
Intercepcin322.5812 24.56868 13.12977 1.08E-06 265.9257 379.2367 265.9257 379.2367
Variable X 1 -158.695 62.40918 -2.54281 0.034559 -302.611 -14.7789 -302.611 -14.7789

1
0.333333

1
0.25

1
1
1
0.2 0.166667 0.142857

(xtrans*x)-1
0.223993 -0.42333
-0.42333 1.445333
x*B
163.8865
243.2338
269.6829
282.9075
290.8422
296.1321
299.9105
302.7443
304.9484
306.7117

240
num
den

uperior 95,0%

244
17424.37
38982.9

1
1
0.125 0.111111

1
0.1

xtrans*y
2761
698.8901
u=(y-x*B)
29.11354
-17.2338
-29.6829
-38.9075
-33.8422
-36.1321
-25.9105
-5.74434
45.05157
113.2883

257

260
r^2
r

Btrans*xtrans*y
779736.5
utrans
29.11354 -17.2338 -29.6829 -38.9075 -33.8422
utrans*u
21558.53

274
0.446975
0.668562

297

^2
2694.816

350

420

Identidad
2694.816
0

-36.1321 -25.9105 -5.74434 45.05157 113.2883

0
2694.816

var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
603.6199 -1140.81
-1140.81 3894.906
varB1
varB2

603.6199
3894.906

eeB1
eeB2

24.56868
62.40918

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

aos
y
1958
16607.7
1959
17511.3
1960
20171.2
1961
20932.9
1962
20406
1963
20831.6
1964
24831.6
1965
26465.8
1966
27403
1967
28628.7
1968
29904.5
1969
27508.2
1970
29035.5
1971
29281.5
1972
31535.8
((Y)^2)/n 9178802377

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

x2
275.5
274.4
269.7
267
267.8
275
283
300.7
307.5
303.7
304.7
298.6
295.5
299
288.1

x3
17803.7
18096.8
18271.8
19167.3
19647.6
20803.5
22076.6
23445.2
24939
26713.7
29957.8
31585.9
33474.5
34821.8
41794.3

xtrans
1
275.5
17803.7
xtrans*x
15
4310.2
4310.2 1241590.9
382599.5 110882249

B1
B2
B3

ytrans*y
9511412506

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de
0.95354022
correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de
0.90923895
determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.89411211
Error tpico 1586.08651
Observaciones
15

-28062.37
147.93554
0.4034482

Btrans
-28062.369 147.93554

ytrans
16607.7

Resumen

1
274.4
18096.8

17511.3

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
2 3.02E+08 1.51E+08 60.10765 5.59E-07
Residuos
12 30188045 2515670
Total
14 3.33E+08
Coeficientes Error tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
Intercepcin-28062.369 9448.788 -2.96994 0.011702 -48649.5 -7475.23 -48649.51 -7475.228
Variable X 1147.935535 36.50805 4.052135 0.001604 68.39133 227.4797 68.3913339 227.47974
Variable X 20.40344822 0.073691 5.47487 0.000142 0.242889 0.564007 0.24288948 0.564007

1
269.7
18271.8

1
267
19167.3

382599.5
110882249.4
10512155203

num
den

1
275
20803.5

1
283
22076.6

(xtrans*x)-1
35.48939 -0.13531
-0.13531 0.00053
0.000136 -6.6E-07

0.000135625
-6.63601E-07
2.15861E-09

x*B
19876.74
19832.26
19207.57
19169.43
19481.56
21013.04
22710.15
25880.77
27489.4
27643.25
29100.01
28854.46
29157.81
30219.15
31419.69

0.403448223

20171.2

1
267.8
19647.6

20932.9
3.02E+08
3.33E+08

20406

1
300.7
23445.2

r^2
r

24831.6
0.909238949
0.953540219

1
303.7
26713.7

1
304.7
29957.8

xtrans*y
371055.3
107456236
9907886972

u=(y-x*B)
-3269.042261
-2320.963846
963.629732
1763.467794
924.4431847
-181.4384713
2121.447313
585.0290974
-86.40349873
985.4519754
804.4900608
-1346.257224
-122.3093774
-937.6495419
116.1050625

20831.6

1
307.5
24939

Btrans*xtrans*y
9481224461
utrans
-3269.0423 -2320.96 963.6297
utrans*u
30188044.8

26465.8

27403

^2
2515670

28628.7

29904.5

perior 95,0%

1
298.6
31585.9

1
295.5
33474.5

1
299
34821.8

1
288.1
41794.3

1763.468 924.4432 -181.438 2121.447 585.0291 -86.4035


Identidad
2515670
0
0
0 2515670
0
0
0 2515670

27508.2

29035.5

29281.5

31535.8

985.452 804.4901 -1346.26 -122.309

var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
89279601 -340406 341.1868
-340406 1332.838 -1.6694
341.1868 -1.6694 0.00543
varB1
varB2
varB3

89279601
1332.838
0.00543

eeB1
eeB2
eeB3

9448.788
36.50805
0.073691

-937.65 116.1051

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

aos
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
((Y)^2)/n

y
9.717622
9.770602
9.912011
9.949077
9.923584
9.944226
10.11987
10.18361
10.21841
10.26216
10.30576
10.22224
10.27627
10.28471
10.35888
1529.121

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

x2
5.618588
5.614587
5.59731
5.587249
5.59024
5.616771
5.645447
5.706113
5.728475
5.71604
5.719328
5.699105
5.688669
5.700444
5.663308

x3
9.787162
9.80349
9.813114
9.860961
9.88571
9.942877
10.00227
10.06242
10.12419
10.19293
10.30755
10.36047
10.41854
10.458
10.64052

xtrans
1
1
5.618588 5.614587
9.787162 9.80349
xtran*x
15 84.89167
84.89167 480.4772
151.6602 858.4506

B1
B2
B3

-3.33739
1.498783
0.489751

Btrans
-3.33739 1.498783

ytrans
9.717622 9.770602
ytrans*y
1529.726

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente 0.942716
de correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente 0.888713
de determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado
0.870165
Error tpico 0.07492
Observaciones
15

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
2 0.537887 0.268943 47.91445 1.9E-06
Residuos
12 0.067356 0.005613
Total
14 0.605242
CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%
Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
Intercepcin-3.33739 2.453107 -1.36047 0.198687 -8.68225 2.007473 -8.68225 2.007473
Variable X 11.498783 0.540596 2.772465 0.016885 0.320926 2.67664 0.320926 2.67664
Variable X 20.489751 0.102193 4.792391 0.000439 0.26709 0.712411 0.26709 0.712411

1
1
5.59731 5.587249
9.813114 9.860961

151.6602
858.4506
1534.435

0.489751

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5.59024 5.616771 5.645447 5.706113 5.728475 5.71604 5.719328 5.699105
9.88571 9.942877 10.00227 10.06242 10.12419 10.19293 10.30755 10.36047
(xtran*x)-1
1072.109 -225.24 20.04726
-225.24 52.06561 -6.86625
20.04726 -6.86625 1.860595

xtrans*y
151.449
857.2412
1531.972

x*B
9.876924
9.878924
9.857744
9.866097
9.882702
9.950463
10.02253
10.14291
10.20668
10.22171
10.28277
10.27838
10.29118
10.32815
10.36188

Btrans*xtrans*y
1529.659

u=(y-x*B)
-0.1593
-0.10832
0.054267
0.082981
0.040883
-0.00624
0.097341
0.040695
0.011728
0.040455
0.022995
-0.05614
-0.0149
-0.04344
-0.003

utrans
-0.1593 -0.10832 0.054267 0.082981
utrans*u
0.067356

^2
0.005613

9.912011 9.949077 9.923584 9.944226 10.11987 10.18361 10.21841 10.26216 10.30576 10.22224
num
den

0.537887
0.605242

r^2
r

0.888713
0.942716

uperior 95,0%

1
1
1
5.688669 5.700444 5.663308
10.41854
10.458 10.64052

0.040883 -0.00624 0.097341 0.040695 0.011728 0.040455 0.022995 -0.05614


Identidad
0.005613
0
0
0 0.005613
0
0
0 0.005613

10.27627 10.28471 10.35888

var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
6.017736 -1.26427 0.112525
-1.26427 0.292244 -0.03854
0.112525 -0.03854 0.010443
varB1
varB2
varB3

6.017736
0.292244
0.010443

eeB1
eeB2
eeB3

2.453107
0.540596
0.102193

-0.0149 -0.04344

-0.003

y
1
11484
2
9348
3
8429
4
10079
5
9240
6
8862
7
6216
8
8253
9
8038
10
7476
11
5911
12
7950
13
6134
14
5868
15
3160
16
5872
((Y)^2)/n
935136400

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

x2
2.26
2.54
3.07
2.91
2.73
2.77
3.59
3.23
2.6
2.89
3.77
3.64
2.82
2.96
4.24
3.69

x3
3.49
2.85
4.06
3.64
3.21
3.66
3.76
3.49
3.13
3.2
3.65
3.6
2.94
3.12
3.58
3.53

xtrans
1
2.26
3.49

16
49.71
54.91
49.71 158.7813 171.837
54.91 171.837 190.0279

B1
B2
B3
Btrans
9734.2174

ytrans*y
997732756

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de0.877865
correlacin mltiple
Coeficiente de0.770648
determinacin R^2
R^2 ajustado0.735363
Error tpico 1050.883
Observaciones
16

1
3.07
4.06

xtrans*x

ytrans
11484

Resumen

1
2.54
2.85

9734.217
-3782.2
2815.252

-3782.2 2815.252

9348

8429
num
den

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma
libertad
de
Promedio
cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F Valor crtico de F
Regresin
2 48239733 24119866 21.84067 6.97E-05
Residuos
13 14356623 1104356
Total
15 62596356
CoeficientesError tpicoEstadsticoProbabilidad
t
Inferior 95%Superior 95%
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
Intercepcin 9734.217 2888.059 3.370505 0.005019 3494.945 15973.49 3494.945 15973.49
Variable X 1 -3782.2 572.4547 -6.60698 1.7E-05 -5018.91 -2545.483 -5018.91 -2545.48
Variable X 2 2815.252 947.5112 2.971207 0.010822 768.2783 4862.2252 768.2783 4862.225

1
2.91
3.64

10079
48239733
62596356

1
2.73
3.21

1
2.77
3.66

1
3.59
3.76

1
3.23
3.49

1
2.6
3.13

(xtrans*x)-1
7.552717 -0.12551 -2.06892
-0.12551 0.296738 -0.23206
-2.06892 -0.23206 0.812942

xtrans*y
122320
367110.4
419561.08

x*B
11011.68
8150.908
9552.798
8975.544
8445.781
9561.356
6741.481
7342.954
8712.246
7812.477
5751.008
6101.931
7345.265
7322.503
3776.309
5715.754

Btrans*xtrans*y
983376133

u=(y-x*B)
472.3165
1197.092
-1123.8
1103.456
794.219
-699.356
-525.481
910.0463
-674.246
-336.477
159.9918
1848.069
-1211.27
-1454.5
-616.309
156.2463

9240

8862
r^2
r

6216
0.770648
0.877865

1
2.89
3.2

utrans
472.31649 1197.092
utrans*u
14356623

8253

8038

1
3.77
3.65

1
3.64
3.6

1
2.82
2.94

-1123.8 1103.456

794.219

^2
1104356

7476

5911

Identtidad
1104356
0
0

7950

6134

uperior 95,0%

1
2.96
3.12

1
4.24
3.58

1
3.69
3.53

-699.356 -525.481 910.0463 -674.246 -336.477 159.9918 1848.069 -1211.27


var=(Identidad)*((xtrans*x)-1)
8340886 -138608 -2284823
-138608 327704.3 -256282
-2284823 -256282 897777.4

0
0
1104356
0
0 1104356

5868

3160

5872

varB1
varB2
varB3

8340886
327704.3
897777.4

eeB1
eeB2
eeB3

2888.059
572.4547
947.5112

-1454.5 -616.309

156.2463

Potrebbero piacerti anche