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Comments Agha.H.Amin--What if Punjab is too large? -Dr.

Manzur Ejaz RE
Agha H Amin-01 December 2010 Assessment
http://low-intensity-conflict-review.blogspot.com/2010/12/us-strategy-us-strategic-futureoptions.html?zx=60a5415301e90af4

http://www.amazon.com/Intelligence-Review-Agha-Humayun-Amin/dp/1493645668/ref=sr_1_1/176-06973222275903?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1385286950&sr=1-1

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Comments Agha.H.Amin--What if Punjab is too large? -Dr. Manzur Ejaz RE

My Dear Irfani Sahib The salient facts are as following :-1-In the Sikh period till 1849 South Punjab south of line Sahiwal was Multan Province .In Mughal Times also south punjab was multan and it included bahawalpur sukkur and as far as sibi 2-Punjab was purely a British creation.Created by East India Company in 1849. 3-Bahawalpur was never part of Punjab and even when it was amalgamated in Pakistan it remained a separate province till one units creation in 1955.Once One Unit was abolished in 1969 Bahawalpur should have reverted back. 4-If you study the figures some 70 % of Punjabs money is spent on the triangle Lahore-Pindi-Faisalabad while DG Khan , Multan ,Bahawalpur Divisions which are non Punjabi majority are regarded as third rate Dravidians . 5-Land in Bahawalpur Divsion by design is being allotted to Punjabis from the same triangle Lahore Faisalabad Pindi.

6-The vast recruitment in police and all punjab civilian departments is again from the triangle Lahore Faisalabad Pindi. 7-Most of the international aid received in Afghan war like World Bank loans was spent on projects in Punjab in the semi Square Lahore Pindi Sahiwal Faisalabad. 8-The Lahore Islambad Motorway was designed to benefit the purely Punjabi Triangle Lahore Pindi Faisalabad. 9-All major settlement schemes starting from TDA in 1950s ,Cholistan Development Authority etc were designed to settle Punjabi settlers in Thal and Bahawalpur Divisions. All this is by design and unless Punjab is divided in Punjab , Multan and Bahawalpur Provinces the unjust use of funds would carry on and the Seraikis and Baloch in South Punjab would remain third rate citizens which they are since 1849. If Multan and Bahawalpur are created as provinces they would be only about 60 % Seraiki as both have huge numbers of Punjabi and Ranghar settlers.Multan city is actually 55 to 60 % Urdu speaking with Rohtakis and Ranghars.Khanewal ,Vihari ,Lodhran,Muzaffargarh,Leiah,Bhakkar also ahve large number of Punjabi and Ranghar settlers. All would benefit.This is not just a Seraiki issue but an issue of gross administrative justice. The name Seraiki would be poisonous and politically inexpedient. Instead the two new provinces should simply be called Bahawalpur and Multan. best regards Agha The list is endless . Agha.H.Amin
---------- Forwarded message ---------On Wed, Apr 20, 2011 at 4:06 PM, Kalim Irfani <kirfani@gmail.com> wrote: <<...Big size is also blamed for Punjabi influence in Pakistan through the political setup and domination of military. Presently PPP is ruling the federation having won seats in smaller, as well as in the largest province. At the moment, the highest political posts in the center are held by politicians from Sindh and would-be Saraiki area. Even the governor of Punjab belongs to Saraiki area. Furthermore, Punjabi politicians are very diverse and have never been in one party to influence the center in one direction. Therefore, the notion of size being the basis of Punjabi influence is false. However, if the central Punjab has largest chunks of population then that cannot

be changed even after creating the Saraiki province, Punjab will still have more national assembly seats than other provinces if it is to be based on a democratic process of one-person-one-vote...>> ---------- Forwarded message ---------From: Shahid Husain <Husainfive@yahoo.com> Date: 2011/4/19 Subject: Washington Diary: What if Punjab is too large? To: Shahid Husain Husainfive@yahoo.com

Washington Diary: What if Punjab is too large?


Dr. Manzur Ejaz
The pretext given for the creation of a separate Saraiki province has no validity if we examine the past experience within Indo-Pak or in the rest of the world. However, if the Saraiki province is being created on the basis of linguistic differentiation and presumed cultural differences, then it should be recognized as a principle and implemented in the rest of the country as well. As a matter of fact, it would be followed by creation of other provinces on the linguistic basis even some political parties like MQM are hiding their ultimate agenda to set a precedent and then follow up. The major argument in favor of breaking up Punjab into smaller provinces is that the province too large as it currently exists. California, Texas, Florida and New York states have 37, 25, 19, 18 million people respectively, while there are 8 US states that have less than one million, and North Dakota and Vermont have populations of around half a million. The bulk of the US states has a population around five million. But does it mean that South Dakota is being run more efficiently then even New York City, a part of New York State. Most of the smaller southern states are poor, badly managed, and serve as the hub of extreme conservatism because a tiny elite have unlimited influence over smaller populations. However, when it comes to highly populated large states like Texas or California, the rich individual's influence is diluted, and they cannot create small fiefdoms out of large diverse states. This is also true within Pakistan. Whatever is being heard from the professionals working in the international agencies is that Punjab, since Nawaz Sharif's days, is a better managed province. Along with the Sharif brothers, people give a lot of credit to Ch.

Pervaiz Elahi for running an efficient administration in Punjab. On the contrary, smaller provinces, without naming the names, are extreme examples of poor governance. Therefore, the rationale that a bigger province should be broken into smaller ones based on efficiency is utterly false and baseless. In the last couple of decades many tehsils were upgraded to break the large districts. For example, Sahiwal was divided adding two new districts, Okara and Pakpattan. The question is: Has the management improved or just resulted in additional administrative layers and tripling administrative costs? Other than local landed aristocracy and bureaucracy who has benefitted by such moves? Has any cost-benefit study been conducted on this change? I do not think so. To support the case for creating a new province, Afghanistan's example is often quoted. Have Afghan provinces ever governedeven before 70sbetter than Pakistani Punjab or even other Pak provinces which are much larger than their counterparts in the northern neighbor? Malaysia is another country quoted more often. Again were these provinces being run better and, furthermore, what is the concept of 'province' in Afghanistan or Malaysia? I think we are comparing oranges and apples because Afghan provinces are like our districts with a different set up. In India and Pakistan, provinces have legislative assemblies, chief ministers (ever heard of chief minister of an Afghan province?), governors and an army of provincial cabinet ministers. Therefore, creating new provinces multiplies the quantity of bureaucrats, administrative staffs and hence the recurrent costs. Big size is also blamed for Punjabi influence in Pakistan through the political setup and domination of military. Presently PPP is ruling the federation having won seats in smaller, as well as in the largest province. At the moment, the highest political posts in the center are held by politicians from Sindh and would-be Saraiki area. Even the governor of Punjab belongs to Saraiki area. Furthermore, Punjabi politicians are very diverse and have never been in one party to influence the center in one direction. Therefore, the notion of size being the basis of Punjabi influence is false. However, if the central Punjab has largest chunks of population then that cannot be changed even after creating the Saraiki province, Punjab will still have more national assembly seats than other provinces if it is to be based on a democratic process of one-person-one-vote. As for as the Punjabi influence through military is concerned, that should have been thought out by wizards who created Pakistan, because most of the Muslim Punjabi military was comprised of Punjabis before 1947. As a matter of fact the bulk of the military comes from five or six districts of northern Punjab and that is not going to

change even after Saraiki Province is created. If these districts are put into another province, namely Pothohar, then it will be renamed as Pothoharri army. Furthermore, the ratio of army men from KP is massively understated. While the arguments of size and efficiency hold no grounds the linguistic and cultural differentiation is the only remaining valid reason for creating Saraiki province. As a principle, every enlightened person supports the nationality rights without any if's and butts. However, it is almost certain that instead of Saraiki, Urdu will be the official language of the new province: Sajjada Nashins of Multan are not known to be fond of people's language in the last ten centuries. If that is going to be the case then linguistic pretext is irrelevant as well. The ethnic differentiation is also a doubtful denominator because people of ex-Bahawalpur state, even Saraiki speaking, want their state to be recognized as a separate province. Nawab Salahud Din, heir to the state has negated the ethnic basis by declaring that migrants, settlers and indigenous people are equal and united. If Pakistan People's Party (PPP) is trying to contain Nawaz Sharif's influence then it is extremely unwise step. Such decisions having very long-term effects and should be taken to get rid of temporary difficulties. However, if the feudals of Sindh are hoping to care out a fiefdom in Punjab to get rid of forward-looking central Punjabi population, then it is another matter. If central Punjab had not overwhelmingly supported Zulifqar Ali Bhutto in 1970 election, he could not have been able to rehabilitate Sindhi language to its long deserved status. If the precedent of Saraiki province is established no one can stop creation of Karachi-Hyderabad province. That will decimate Sindhi aspirations. The role of middle classes of Punjab has been crucial in present Pakistan's democratic movements. It is this area where persons from Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chauhdry to Mukhtaran Mai find supporters. The fear is that oppressed people of the feudal belt of Punjab will lose their supporters like Pakistan did when East Pakistan broke away: Pakistanis lost the best vanguards of democratic rights. Nevertheless, we wish good luck to Saraiki people if they think Saraiki province will fulfill their desire of nationality rights even if it is transformed into feudal fiefdoms!

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Agha H Amin-01 December 2010 Assessment


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http://www.amazon.com/Intelligence-Review-Agha-Humayun-Amin/dp/1493645668/ref=sr_1_1/176-06973222275903?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1385286950&sr=1-1

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