Data

West Polling
Data West Polling conducted a poll of likely voters in New Mexico for six days from January 12th, 2014, to January 18, 2014. With a total number of completed calls at 442, the poll has an error margin of + / - 4.7%. Within Congressional Districts (CDs) 1, 2 and 3, the numbers remained similar. When asked if the Legislature should allow a constitutional amendment to legalize marijuana to be put to a vote state-wide in the November 2014 election, 83% responded that they want the issue of marijuana legalization on the ballot. When asked if they would be more or less likely to support a legislator who voted in favor of taking the amendment to the voters, 58% said they would, while 19% said they would not. 17% of the respondents said it would make no difference. When voters were asked initially if they would vote yes or no on the constitutional amendment to legalize marijuana in New Mexico, 46% said they would vote yes, and 45%, stated that they would vote no. When the voters were then told that the State of New Mexico could raise tax revenue from legalization of marijuana and that the agricultural benefits could be substantial for the cultivation and production of hemp, the number changed to 70% in favor of the amendment, and 23% against it. 7% remained undecided. There were open-ended questions for the 129 voters who opposed the amendment about why they opposed it and what it would take to change their minds. The answers were then categorized according to the frequency of responses: Gateway drug and need more research / information were the top two responses by 49%. Close behind at 34% were those who believed any drug use was wrong. When asked what it would take for the respondents to change their minds on the issue, 61% stated that nothing would, while 22% stated that they needed more information. 17% stated that it was wrong to do drugs. Voters were asked to state whether they would vote for a generic Republican or a generic Democrat. Of 440 responses, 41% said they would vote for a Democrat and 32% said they would vote for a Republican. 27% were undecided. A follow-up question was put to the voters on whether they would be more or less likely to vote in the 2014 election if the marijuana amendment were on the ballot. 57% said more likely, 11% said less likely. It is notable that among the 18 29 age group, the youngest group surveyed and the group that is least likely to vote in an off year election, 77% said they would vote if the amendment were on the ballot. The highest of any age group saying having the amendment of the ballot

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would make them more likely to vote was in north central New Mexico, which was the highest of the State quadrants; 74% of these voters said they would be more likely to vote if it is on the ballot. Of the 431 likely voters who gave their heritage in the poll, the number of Anglos who would be more likely to vote because of the amendment is 59%. The number of Hispanics who would be more likely to vote because of the amendment is 56%. It is notable that of the respondents who classified themselves as Native American, 69% were more likely to vote with the amendment on the ballot. When asked if they would be more or less likely to support a candidate who voted in the legislature to allow the voters to decide if the amendment should be on the ballot, 58% said more likely, and 19% said less likely. It is notable that 70% in the north central quadrant, which is comprised of the Hispanic counties in northern New Mexico, said they would be more likely to support a legislator who voted in favor of allowing the voters to decide the amendment. A question regarding the legal age of marijuana use was put to the voters and a vast majority, 70%, said they favored 21 years of age. 19% chose 18 years old. When asked if the voters approved or disapproved of the job Susana Martinez is doing as Governor, 49.5% said they approved, while 34.1% said they disapproved, and 16.4% are undecided. This is consistent with a recent Common Cause poll conducted by Research and Polling that showed that Governors Martinezs numbers have begun to drop. That poll was conducted from December 21 through December 29th before the child died because of the lack of protection of CYFD, and before the National Review and Albuquerque Journal Articles blasting her consultant, Jay McCleskey. This poll was conducted after the worst ten days ever for the Martinez administration. Throughout the entire State people we surveyed consistently said they really liked her but had mixed feelings about her administration. This was true in all areas except in the 3rd CD where only 45% approve of her record and 45% disapprove. Demographics of the poll are based on a slightly higher turn-out model that assumed the amendment would be placed on the November 2014 ballot. Overall, there were thousands of pieces of data obtained from demographic crosstabulations. The bottom line is that the majority of likely voters want this amendment on the ballot.

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Notable Cross-tabulation Results: 80% of seniors want this amendment on the ballot 70% of conservatives want it on the ballot 80% of Democrats, 79% of Republicans, and 84% of Independents agree that this amendment should be on the ballot 67% of Democrats, 70% of Independents, and 49% of Republicans would vote Yes on the amendment if the tax revenue collected from marijuana sales would help fund education by lowering tuition costs for New Mexico college students and helping fund Medicaid in the State of New Mexico 83% of men would like the amendment to be placed on ballot and 64% of them would vote in favor of it 77% of women would like the amendment to be placed on the ballot, while 67% would vote in favor of it 70% of those who would like the amendment placed on the ballot would vote to pass the amendment, while only 25% would vote against it. 62% of the those who want it placed on the ballot said they would be more likely to vote if the amendment were on the ballot 67% of those who want it on the ballot would be more likely to vote for a legislator who put it on the ballot 48% of those who want the amendment on the ballot will vote for a candidate who supports it while only 31% would be less likely to vote for a candidate who supports the amendment

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Regarding Southern New Mexico and specifically State Senator John Arthur Smiths district: o 88% of the likely voters in Dona Ana County believe that the voters should decide this issue and 63% would vote yes once they knew how the tax revenue might be spent (as detailed above) o 85% of the voters in State Senator Smiths district believe that the voters should decide this issue and 64% would vote in favor of passage of the amendment o 67% of the voters in Dona Ana County and 59% in Senator Smiths district would be more likely to vote if the amendment were on the November 2014 ballot o 67% of the voters in Dona Ana County, and 54% in Senator Smiths district would be more likely to vote for a candidate who placed the amendment on the ballot

Regarding State House District 15 held by Representative Kane and State House District 24 held by Representative Thomson, the two state house districts currently held by Democrats and which likely will be targeted by Republicans: o 83% of the voters in Representative Kane and Thompsons house districts want it placed on the ballot as a constitutional amendment o 62% of voters in both house districts will vote in favor of the amendment o 69% in both House districts said they would be more likely to come out to vote if the amendment was placed on the ballot o 72% would be more likely to vote for a candidate who voted to place the amendment on the ballot in both House districts

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o 52% would be more likely, and 28% less likely to vote for a candidate who supported the marijuana amendment Conclusion: This poll reflects the findings for each of the congressional districts and each quadrant of the state. Statewide, 83% of the respondents want to see the legalization of marijuana on the ballot and 70% would vote for it if the tax revenue helped to fund education, decrease the cost of tuition for New Mexico college students and help fund Medicaid.