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PMP Exam Preparation

B. M. Shahrier Majumder, PMP

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Project Risk Management

Learning Objectives
Upon completion of this topic you will learn about
The processes, activities and documentation items for Project Communication Management Elements (and deliverables) for Project Risk Management Tools and techniques of the key activities of the Project Risk Management

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Risk Management

Includes the processes of conducting risk management planning, identification, analysis, response planning, and monitoring and control of a project.

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Key Activities of Risk Management


Plan Risk Management: The process of defining how to conduct risk management activities for a project. Identify Risks: The process of determining which risk may affect the project and documenting their characteristics.

Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis: The process of prioritizing risks for further analysis or action by assessing and combining their probability of occurrence and impact.
Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis: The process of numerically analyzing the effect of identified risks on overall project objectives.

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Key Activities of Risk Management


Plan Risk Responses: The process of developing options and actions to enhance opportunities and to reduce threats to project objectives. Monitor and Control Risk: The process of implementing risk response plans, tracking identified risks, monitoring residual risks, identified new risks, and evaluating risk process effectiveness throughout the project.

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Planning Risk Management | Data Flow Diagram


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Planning Risk Management


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Inputs
Project scope statement Cost management plan Schedule management plan Communication management plan Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets

Tools & Techniques


Project meetings and analysis

Outputs
Risk management plan

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Plan Risk Management > Outputs


Risk Management Plan Methodology Roles and responsibilities Budgeting Timing Risk Categories Definition of Risk Probability and Impact Probability and Impact Matrix Reporting Formats Tracking

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Identify Risks | Data Flow Diagram

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Identify Risks

Inputs
Risk management plan Activity cost estimates Activity duration estimate Scope baseline Stakeholder register Cost management plan Schedule management plan Quality management plan Enterprise environmental factors Organizational process assets

Tools & Techniques


Documentation reviews Information gathering techniques Checklist analysis Assumption analysis Diagramming techniques SWOT Analysis Expert judgment

Outputs
Risk register

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Identify Risks > Tools and Techniques


Information gathering techniques Brainstorming Delphi technique Interviewing Root cause analysis Diagramming techniques Cause-effect diagrams System or process flow charts Influence diagrams

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Identify Risks > Outputs


Risk register
S/ N Risk Description Category Probability P = 1 to 10 Impact I = 1 to 10 Exposure E=PXI Mitigation Contingency Plan Plan

1 2

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Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis | DFD

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Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis

Inputs
Risk management plan Risk register Project scope statement Organizational process assets

Tools & Techniques


Risk probability and impact assessment Probability and impact matrix Risk data quality assessment Risk categorization Risk urgency assessment Expert judgment

Outputs
Risk register updates

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Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis > Tools and Techniques


Probability and Impact Matrix

Risk Categorization
Source of risk Project effected Project phase

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Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis | DFD

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Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis

Inputs
Risk management plan Risk register Cost management plan Schedule management plan Organizational process assets

Tools & Techniques


Data gathering and representation techniques Quantitative risk analysis and modeling techniques Expert judgment

Outputs
Risk register updates

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Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis > Tools and Techniques


Data gathering and representation technique
Interviewing Probability distribution

Quantitative risk analysis and modeling techniques


Sensitivity analysis Expected monetary value analysis Modeling and simulation

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Plan Risk Response | Data Flow Diagram

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Plan Risk Response

Inputs
Risk management plan Risk register

Tools & Techniques


Strategies for negative risks or threats Strategies for positive risk or opportunities Contingent response strategies Expert judgment

Outputs
Risk register updates Risk related contract decision Project management plan updates Project document updates

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Plan Risk Response > Tools and Techniques


Strategies for Negative risk or threats Avoid (e.g. extending schedule, reduce scope) Transfer (e.g. fixed price contract) Mitigate (e.g. more testing, choose more stable supplier) Accept Strategies for Positive risk or opportunities Exploit (e.g. assign most talented resources in a project/task) Share (e.g. joint venture) Enhance (e.g. adding more resources) Accept

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Monitoring & Control Risks | Data Flow Diagram

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Monitoring & Control Risks

Inputs
Risk register Project management plan Work performance information Performance reports

Tools & Techniques


Risk reassessment Risk audit Variance and trend analysis Technical performance measurement Reserve analysis Status meetings

Outputs
Risk register updates Organization process assets updates Change requests Project management plan updates Project document updates

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Questions

[mail.shahrier@gmail.com] http://bd.linkedin.com/in/shahrier

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