Sei sulla pagina 1di 9

LM8A8CCLu: 1.00am, 1uesday 7 !

anuary 2014
MEDIA RELEASE
LM8A8CCLu- 1:00am, 1uesday 7 !anuary 2014

!"#$%&## ()*$+$*, &-.&)*&/ *0 1$2* $% 3456
!"##"$%&' )&* %&+,-./,&. 01)&- -.#,&'.2,&

1wo ouL of Lhree AusLrallan buslnesses (68 per cenL) are more opLlmlsLlc abouL growLh Lhls year
compared Lo 2013, wlLh Lhe poslLlve mood llfLlng flrsL quarLer expecLaLlons for sales, proflLs, selllng
prlces, lnvesLmenL and employmenL Lo Lhelr hlghesL levels ln 12 monLhs.

WlLh greaLer acLlvlLy expecLed, uun & 8radsLreeL's !3-%&,-- 450,6.).%"&- 73#+,8 reveals LhaL 18 per
cenL of buslnesses are plannlng Lo access new flnance durlng C1 Lo grow Lhelr operaLlons, Lhe
survey's hlghesL response slnce C4 2011.

1he plck-up ln borrowlng plans ls reflecLed ln sLronger caplLal lnvesLmenL and employmenL
lnLenLlons, whlch have recovered from negaLlve LerrlLory durlng Lhe prevlous quarLer and moved
above Lhelr respecLlve 10-year averages.

1hlrLeen per cenL of buslnesses plan Lo lncrease caplLal spendlng ln C1 2014, compared Lo Lhe flve
per cenL whlch wlll decrease, llfLlng Lhe lnvesLmenL lndex from -0.4 polnLs lasL quarLerLo 7.2 polnLs.

Meanwhlle, hlrlng plans have also sLrengLhened, wlLh 13 per cenL of buslnesses lnLendlng Lo Lake on
more sLaff whlle seven per cenL plan Lo reduce Lhelr employmenL levels. 1he response has Laken
u&8's employmenL lndex Lo a Lhree-year hlgh of 8.8 polnLs.


ln addlLlon Lo a Lurnaround ln buslness spendlng lnLenLlons, u&8's sales lndex has [umped Lo 27.3
polnLs, lLs hlghesL polnL ln 12 monLhs, whlle Lhe proflLs lndex has reached 23 polnLs, lLs hlghesL level
slnce Lhe flrsL quarLer of 2011.


-10
-3
0
3
10
13
20
23
30
33
40
!789:;88 ;<=;>?@?9A:8B C5 3456
Sales LmploymenL Selllng prlces roflLs CaplLal lnvesLmenL
LM8A8CCLu: 1.00am, 1uesday 7 !anuary 2014
MEDIA RELEASE
WlLh sLrengLhenlng buslness condlLlons, 24 per cenL of buslnesses are plannlng Lo ralse Lhe prlces of
Lhelr producLs and servlces durlng Lhe flrsL quarLer of Lhe year. Whlle supporLlng healLhler proflL
marglns, Lhe lncrease presenLs a poLenLlal lnflaLlon concern Lo economy.

1hese laLesL flndlngs furLher supporL Lhe plcLure of an economy LhaL has found lLs feeL followlng a
2013 of weak and lrregular buslness condlLlons," sald uanlelle Woods, ulrecLor of CorporaLe Affalrs
aL uun & 8radsLreeL.

"WlLh companles looklng ahead wlLh opLlmlsm, forecasLlng sLrong sales and proflLs, and mosL
recenLly showlng a wllllngness and capaclLy Lo borrow money Lo grow Lhelr operaLlons, Lhe slgns are
poslLlve for Lhe new ?ear," she sald.

ln parLlcular, Lhe lncreases ln hlrlng and caplLal lnvesLmenL lnLenLlons lndlcaLe LhaL buslnesses are
preparlng for a year of sLronger growLh and buslness acLlvlLy," Ms Woods added.

Correspondlng Lo Lhe more poslLlve ouLlook, u&8's !3-%&,-- 450,6.).%"&- 73#+,8 has found LhaL
fewer companles see obsLacles Lo growLh ln 2014. When asked Lo ldenLlfy Lhe blggesL barrler Lo
growLh ln Lhe year ahead, Lhe mosL common response (33 per cenL) was 'no ma[or barrler'.


1he new year ls sLarLlng wlLh buslness expecLaLlons aL very opLlmlsLlc levels," sald SLephen
koukoulas, Lconomlc Advlser Lo uun & 8radsLreeL.
8oLh sales and proflL expecLaLlons conLlnue Lo llfL, slgnalllng sLronger economlc growLh ln Lhe early
monLhs of 2014.
1he employmenL ouLlook has also lmproved markedly, suggesLlng LhaL Lhe unemploymenL raLe may
soon sLarL Lo fall as [ob creaLlon plcks up.
lf Lhere ls one cloud on Lhe horlzon, lL ls Lhe expecLed llfL ln selllng prlces. A sLronger economy ls no
doubL allowlng flrms Lo move Lhelr prlces hlgher, buL we are also seelng Lhe lmpacL on lnflaLlon from
Lhe recenL weakness of Lhe AusLrallan dollar.
1hls ls llkely Lo cause Lhe 8eserve 8ank some concern, and ls a fundamenLal facLor why we are llkely
Lo see a serles of lnLeresL raLe rlses durlng 2014," he added.
0 3 10 13 20 23 30 33 40
unpald lnvolces
undeclded
Access Lo fundlng
CperaLlonal cosLs
Cnllne compeLlLors
Access Lo skllled labour
Low demand for producLs
no barrler
!@DD9;D8 ?A EDAF?G 9: 3456
LM8A8CCLu: 1.00am, 1uesday 7 !anuary 2014
MEDIA RELEASE

*G; H@?;8? /I! !"#$%&"' )*+$&,++ -./,0#"#$%&+ 1*23,4 8GAF8B
93.1"": ;"# .2, <)#62=3)#.,# >?@A

1he employmenL expecLaLlons lndex has lncreased Lo above zero for Lhe flrsL Llme slnce C2 2013,
reachlng 8.8 polnLs.
1he sales lndex has rlsen sLrongly Lo 27.3polnLs, up from 7.9 polnLs ln Lhe prevlous quarLer.
roflL expecLaLlons for Lhe quarLer ahead have llfLed, wlLh Lhe lndex lncreaslng from 21.1polnLs ln
Lhe prevlous quarLer Lo 23.0 polnLs.
lans for caplLal lnvesLmenL have lncreased lnLo poslLlve LerrlLory, llfLlng Lo 7.2 polnLs from -0.4
polnLs ln Lhe prevlous quarLer.
1he selllng prlces lndex hasrlsen for aLhlrd consecuLlve quarLer, up Lo 19.3 polnLs from 10.2
polnLsln Lhe quarLer prevlous.

B--3,- ,50,6.,* ." %&;13,&6, "0,#).%"&- %& .2, <)#62=3)#.,# >?@A

68 per cenL of buslnesses are more opLlmlsLlc abouL growLh ln 2014 compared Lo 2013,
whlle26per cenL are less opLlmlsLlc.Slx per cenL are undeclded.
Cash flow ls ldenLlfled as Lhe lssue mosL llkely Lo lmpacL buslness operaLlons ln Lhe nexL quarLer
(32 per cenL), followed by Lhe level of Lhe dollar (17 per cenL) and lnLeresL raLes (12 per cenL).
38 per cenL of buslnesses have had cusLomers or suppllers LhaL became lnsolvenL, or were
oLherwlse unable Lo pay Lhem, durlng 2013.
37 per cenL of companles vlew Lhe ChrlsLmas Lradlng perlod as slgnlflcanL for Lhelr buslness,
compared Lo 62 per cenL whlch do noL. Cne per cenL ls undeclded.
39 per cenL of buslnesses expecL no lmpacL from Lhe level of Lhe AusLrallan dollar, whlle 21 per
cenL expecL a poslLlve lmpacL and 32 per cenL a negaLlve lmpacL. LlghL per cenL are undeclded.
18per cenL of buslnesses lnLend Lo seek flnance or new credlL ln Lhe quarLer ahead Lo help Lhelr
buslness grow, whlle 81per cenL wlll noL. Cne per cenL ls undeclded.

C6.3)1 #,-31.- ;"# .2, 7,0.,/D,# =3)#.,# >?@E

AcLual employmenL levels lncreased from -8.3polnLs ln Lhe prevlous quarLer Lo 1.8 polnLs, Lhe
flrsL Llme Lhe lndex has moved ouL of negaLlve LerrlLory for flve consecuLlve quarLers.
Sales acLlvlLy lmproved, wlLh Lhe lndex rlslng Lo 7.3 polnLs from -8.3 polnLs ln Lhe prevlous
quarLer.
roflLs easedlnC3Lo 9.9 polnLs, down from 11.6 polnLs ln Lhe prevlous quarLer.
CaplLal lnvesLmenL acLlvlLy sLablllsed, llfLlng from -4.2 polnLs Lo 3.3 polnLs quarLer-on-quarLer.
Selllng prlces lncreased sLronglyln Lhe !une quarLer, rlslng from 6.1 polnLs Lo 13.3 polnLs.


(JA7? /7: I !D@K8?D;;?
LsLabllshed ln 1887, uun & 8radsLreeL ls AusLralla and new Zealand's oldesL credlL lnformaLlon bureau. 8acked
by lLs exLenslve flnanclal daLabase, u&8 helps buslnesses Lo make lnformed credlL declslons, and consumers Lo
access personal credlL lnformaLlon.
u&8 works across Lhe enLlre credlL llfecycle Lo dellver daLa-drlven soluLlons ln sales and markeLlng, credlL
reporLlng and debL managemenL.
1hrough analysls of flnanclal and behavloural lnformaLlon, u&8 also provldes currenL and predlcLlve
assessmenLs of Lhe economy, buslness condlLlons and credlL acLlvlLy.


MEDIA RELEASE

4

(JA7? ?G; #7DL;M

Lach monLh buslness owners and senlor execuLlves
represenLlng Lhe manufacLurlng, wholesale, reLall,
consLrucLlon, LransporL, communlcaLlons and uLlllLles,
flnance, lnsurance and real esLaLe, and servlces secLors
across AusLralla are asked lf Lhey expecL lncreases,
decreases or no changes ln Lhelr upcomlng quarLerly sales,
proflLs, employmenL, caplLal lnvesLmenL and selllng prlces.
Slnce lLs lnLroducLlon ln AusLralla ln 1988, Lhe survey has
proven Lo be a hlghly rellable measure of economlc
performance.

1he lndex flgures used ln Lhe survey represenL Lhe neL
percenLage of survey respondenLs expecLlng hlgher sales,
proflLs, eLc., compared wlLh Lhe same quarLer of Lhe
prevlous year. 1he lndlces are calculaLed by subLracLlng
Lhe percenLage of respondenLs expecLlng decreases from
Lhe percenLage expecLlng lncreases.

N;?GAKAHAEM

Lach monLh u&8 asks a sample of execuLlves lf Lhey
expecL an lncrease, decrease or no change ln Lhelr quarLer-
ahead sales, proflLs, employees, caplLal lnvesLmenL and
selllng prlces compared wlLh Lhe same quarLer a year ago.

1he execuLlves are also asked for acLual changes over Lhe
Lwelve monLhs Lo Lhe laLesL compleLed quarLer.

1he AusLrallan survey began ln March 1988 obLalnlng
some 900 responses ln Lhe Lhlrd monLh of each quarLer.
Slnce Lhe mlddle of 1999, Lhe survey has been conducLed
monLhly, lnlLlally wlLh abouL 300 responses each monLh.
lrom SepLember 2000, responses have been obLalned
from 400 execuLlves each monLh.

lrom !uly 2003, Lo slmpllfy Lhe lnLerpreLaLlon of Lhe survey
daLa, Lhe resulLs have been presenLed as a sequence of
prellmlnary, lnLerlm and flnal lndexes. 1he 400 responses
from Lhe flrsL monLh of each quarLer glve prellmlnary
esLlmaLes of Lhe quarLer-ahead expecLaLlons and Lhe
quarLer behlnd acLual lndexes. 1he 400 responses from Lhe
second monLh of Lhe quarLer are comblned wlLh Lhose
from Lhe flrsL monLh as lnLerlm esLlmaLes of Lhe lndexes
based on 800 responses. 1he 400 responses from Lhe Lhlrd
monLh are comblned wlLh Lhose from Lhe flrsL Lwo monLhs
Lo glve Lhe flnal expecLaLlons and acLual lndexes based on
all 1,200 responses obLalned durlng each quarLer.

ln Lhls lssue, Lhe lnlLlallndexes for Lhe laLesL quarLers are
based on Lhe 1,200 responses obLalned durlng CcLober,
november and uecember2013.






)G@D?8 @:K?@JH;8

lL ls common pracLlce Lo presenL Lhe resulLs of buslness
expecLaLlons surveys as lndexes showlng Lhe neL balance
of Lhe poslLlve and negaLlve responses. Powever, Lhls
meLhod of aggregaLlng responses loses relevanL
lnformaLlon abouL Lhe relaLlve proporLlons and raLes of
change of Lhe Lwo (poslLlve and negaLlve) groups.

Accordlngly, Lhe deLalled charLs aL Lhe Lop of pages flve Lo
nlne ln Lhe u&8F).%"&)1 !3-%&,-- 450,6.).%"&- 73#+,8
show separaLely Lhe poslLlve and negaLlve componenLs of
each of Lhe varlous lndexes. 1hese charLs help provlde a
beLLer lnslghL lnLo Lhe expecLaLlons and performance of
AusLrallan buslness Lhan LhaL shown by movemenLs ln Lhe
slmple aggregaLlon of Lhe poslLlve and negaLlve responses.

1he aggregaLe neL balance lndexes are shown ln Lhe charLs
aL Lhe boLLom of pages 6 Lo 10.

(JA7? /7: I!D@K8?D;;?

LsLabllshed ln 1887, uun & 8radsLreeL ls AusLralla and new
Zealand's oldesL credlL lnformaLlon bureau. 8acked by lLs
exLenslve flnanclal daLabase, u&8 helps buslnesses Lo
make lnformed credlL declslons, and consumers Lo access
personal credlL lnformaLlon.

u&8 works across Lhe enLlre credlL llfecycle Lo dellver
daLa-drlven soluLlons ln sales and markeLlng, credlL
reporLlng and debL managemenL.

1hrough analysls of flnanclal and behavloural lnformaLlon,
u&8 also provldes currenL and predlcLlve assessmenLs of
Lhe economy, buslness condlLlons and credlL acLlvlLy.





u&8 naLlonal 8uslness LxpecLaLlons Survey - conducted December 2013 3

#@H;8 A7?HAAO
GH3)#.,#18 F,. B&*,5I GJ0;#"/ KLM 0"%&.- .">KLNI
1he poslLlve and negaLlve componenLs of Lhe u&8 neL
lndexes are shown ln Lhe ad[acenL charL.

&<=;>?@?9A:8
1he March quarLer 2014 sales expecLaLlons lndex ls
27.3 polnLs,upfrom 7.9for Lhe uecember quarLer 2013.

1he lndex ls now above lLs10-year average of 11
polnLs.

33.9per cenL of buslnesses expecL an lncrease ln Lhelr
sales, whlle 6.4 per cenL forecasL a decrease,
compared Lo Lhe prevlous Llme lasL year.

(>?7@H =;DPADQ@:>;
1he acLual sales lndex for Lhe SepLember quarLer
ls7.3polnLs,an lncrease from -8.3 polnLs ln Lhe prevlous
quarLer.

30.4 per cenL of flrms lncreased Lhelr salesln
LheSepLember quarLer and 22.8 per cenL had
decreased sales compared Lo Lhe prevlous year.















u&8 naLlonal 8uslness LxpecLaLlons Survey - conducted December 2013 6

.DAP9?8 A7?HAAO
GH3)#.,#18 F,. B&*,5I GJ0;#"/ >@L@ 0"%&.- ." >NL?I
1he poslLlve and negaLlve componenLs of Lhe u&8 neL
lndexes are shown ln Lhe ad[acenL charL.

&<=;>?@?9A:8
1he ouLlook for proflLs ln Lhe March 2014 quarLer ls an
lndex of 23 polnLs, an lncrease from21.1 polnLs ln Lhe
prevlous quarLer.1he ouLlook for proflLs ls 20
polnLsabove Lhe 10-year average lndex of 3.

37.2per cenL of buslnesses expecL an lncrease ln Lhelr
proflLs durlng Lhe March quarLer, whlle 12.2per cenL
forecasL a decrease, compared Lo lasL year.

(>?7@H =;DPADQ@:>;
1he acLual neL proflLs lndex for LheSepLember
2013quarLer ls 9.9 polnLs,downfrom 11.6 ln Lhe
prevlous quarLer.

34.1per cenL of buslnesses lncreased Lhelr proflLs, whlle
24.3 per cenL experlenced a decrease.









u&8 naLlonal 8uslness LxpecLaLlons Survey - conducted December 2013 7

&Q=HAMQ;:? A7?HAAO
GH3)#.,#18 F,. B&*,5I GJ0 ;#"/ O@L@ 0"%&.- ." PLPI
1he poslLlve and negaLlve componenLs of Lhe u&8
neL lndexes are shown ln Lhe ad[acenL charL.

&<=;>?@?9A:8
1he employmenL ouLlook for Lhe March quarLer
2014has rlsen Lo 8.8 polnLs up from -1.1 polnLsln Lhe
prevlous quarLer.

13.4 per cenL of execuLlves expecL Lo employ more
sLaff Lhan compared Lo year ago, whlle6.7 per cenL
expecL Lo decrease Lhelr sLaff numbers.

(>?7@H =;DPADQ@:>;
ln Lhe SepLember quarLer, 13.3 per cenL of
buslnesses hlred new sLaff, compared Lo Lhe 13.3per
cenL LhaL reduced Lhelr employmenL levels.

AL 1.8 polnLs, Lhe acLual lndex lncreased
9.8polnLsfrom Lhe prevlous quarLer.









u&8 naLlonal 8uslness LxpecLaLlons Survey - conducted December 2013 8

)@=9?@H $:L;8?Q;:? A7?HAAO
GH3)#.,#18 F,. B&*,5IGJ0;#"/ O?LA 0"%&.- ."
KL>I
1he poslLlve and negaLlve componenLs of Lhe
u&8 lndexes are shown ln Lhe ad[acenL charL.

&<=;>?@?9A:8
1he caplLal lnvesLmenL ouLlook for Lhe March
quarLer 2014 ls upfrom -0.4 polnLs Lo 7.2 polnLs.

12.3. per cenL of buslnesses expecL an lncrease ln
Lhelr lnvesLmenL level, whlle 3.2 per cenL
forecasL a decrease compared wlLh a year
earller.

(>?7@H =;DPADQ@:>;
lor Lhe SepLember quarLer 2013, Lhe acLual
lndex for lnvesLmenL ls 3.3 polnLs.

12.3 per cenL of flrms lncreased Lhelr caplLal
lnvesLmenL ln Lhe SepLember quarLer whlle 7.0
per cenL decreased caplLal spendlng.








u&8 naLlonal 8uslness LxpecLaLlons Survey - conducted December 2013 9

#;HH9:E .D9>;8 A7?HAAO
GH3)#.,#18 F,. B&*,5I GJ0 ;#"/@?L> 0"%&. ." @MLNI
1he poslLlve and negaLlve componenLs of Lhe u&8
neL lndexes are shown ln Lhe ad[acenL charL.

&<=;>?@?9A:8
1he selllng prlces expecLaLlons lndex for Lhe March
quarLer 2014 ls19.3 polnLs, up from a level of
10.2ln Lhe prevlous quarLer.

1he proporLlon of flrms expecLlng Lo have hlgher
selllng prlces ln Lhe March quarLer 2014ls 24.4 per
cenL, wlLh 4.4 per cenL expecLlng Lo have lower
prlces.

(>?7@H =;DPADQ@:>;
AL 14.9 polnLs, Lhe acLual prlces lndex for Lhe !une
2013quarLer haslncreasedby 8.8 polnLs on Lhe
prevlous quarLer.

24.7 per cenL of buslnesses lncreased Lhe level of
Lhelr selllng prlces, whlle 9.7 per cenL had
decreased, compared Lo Lhe same Llme Lhe
prevlous year.

Potrebbero piacerti anche