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OSCAR C. TABADA
Information Education Campaign on Disaster Awareness and Preparedness for the Employees of Sun Star Cebu
P. Del Rosario, Cebu City
Welcome to
Climate Information Monitoring and Prediction Center (CLIMPC) Climatology & Agrometeorology Branch (CAB) PAGASA-DOST
LPA
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CLIMATE OUTLOOK
January April 2014 Widescreen Presentation
Tips and tools for creating and presenting wide format slides
RAINFALL CONDITION
way below normal below normal near normal above normal
Actual Rainfall Normal Rainfall
x 100%
Forecast (mm)
FORECAST
TEMPERATURE
14-25 C
LOWLANDS AREAS OF LUZON
VISAYAS
19-33 C
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF MINDANAO
23- 32 C
17-28 C
19-33 C
March October
NE to Southwest (SW) monsoon ITCZ * Easterly wave Low Pressure Area Ridge of High Pressure Area Tropical cyclone
TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORECAST
MONTH
December January February March April
FORECAST
1 or 2 1 or 2 Slim Chance 0 or 1 0 or 1
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
AURING BISING CRISING DANTE EMONG FABIAN GORIO HUANING ISANG JOLINA KIKO LABUYO MARING NANDO ODETTE PAOLO QUEDAN RAMIL SANTI TINO URDUJA VINTA WILMA YOLANDA ZORAIDA
AMANG BETTY CHEDENG DODONG EGAY FALCON GORING HANNA INENG JENNY KABAYAN LANDO MARILYN NONOY ONYOK PERLA QUIEL RAMON SARAH TISOY URSULA VIRING WENG YOYOY ZIGZAG
II 2012 2016 2020 2024 AMBO BUTCHOY CARINA DINDO ENTENG FERDIE GENER HELEN IGME JULIAN KAREN LAWIN MARCE NINA OFEL PEPITO QUINTA ROLLY SIONY TONYO ULYSSES VICKY WARREN YOYONG ZOSIMO
* REVISED LIST OF NAMES FOR TC WITHIN THE PAR (Effective June 2012)
AUXILIARY LIST
2013 ALAMID BRUNO CONCHING DOLOR ERNIE FLORANTE GERARDO HERNAN ISKO JEROME 2014 AGILA BAGWIS CHITO DIEGO ELENA FELINO GUNDING HARRIET INDANG JESSA 2015 ABE BERTO CHARO DADO ESTOY FELION GENING HERMAN IRMA JAIME 2016 ALAKDAN BALDO CLARA DENCIO ESTONG FELIPE GARDO HELING ISMAEL JULIO
REVISED LIST OF NAMES FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES WITHIN THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY
(Effective January 2013)
1 2 3 4
2010 / 2014 2011 / 2015 2012 / 2016 2009/2013 2018 / 2022 2019 / 2023 2020 / 2024 2017 /2021
AGATON BASYANG CALOY DOMENG ESTER FLORITA GLENDA HENRY INDAY JOSE KATRING LUIS MARIO NENENG OMPONG PAENG QUEENIE RUBY SENIANG TOMAS USMAN VENUS WALDO YAYANG ZENY AMANG BETTY CHEDENG DODONG EGAY FALCON GORING HANNA INENG JENNY KABAYAN LANDO MARILYN NONOY ONYOK PERLA QUIEL RAMON SARAH TISOY URSULA VIRING WENG YOYOY ZIGZAG AMBO BUTCHOY CARINA DINDO ENTENG FERDIE GENER HELEN IGME JULIAN KAREN LAWIN MARCE NINA OFEL PEPITO QUINTA ROLLY SIONY TONYO ULYSSES VICKY WARREN YOYONG ZOSIMO AURING BISING CRISING DANTE (TS) EMONG (TS) FABIAN (TD) GORIO (TS) HUANING (TY) ISANG JOLINA KIKO LABUYO MARING NANDO ODETTE PAOLO QUEDAN RAMIL SANTI TINO URDUJA VINTA WILMA YOLANDA
1971-00
1951-80
1961-90
200
Number
150 100 50 0
LUZON Luzon
Visayas VISAYAS
Mindanao MINDANAO
MONTHLY AVERAGE FREQUENCY OF OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY
5 4 3 2 1 0
0.5 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.4 FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 1.5
JAN
)
250
Number of TropicalCyclones
200
150
77 88 87
100 46 50 10 17 Jan 6 13 Feb 9 9 Mar 18 11 Apr 30 34 May 48 Jun Jul Aug Sep 126 130 111
47 71 44 Nov 36 Dec
0 Monthly
Oct
Mean
0.5
0.3
0.3
0.5
1.1
1.6
3.4
3.3
3.1
2.7
2.2
1.4
Tracks of tropical cyclones that formed in the Western North Pacific (WNP) during the period 1948-2010 (1641 TC and 1154 or 70% entered or formed in the Philippine Area of Responsibly (PAR) (Data used: JMA Data set) )
Track of RUPING
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Department of Science and Technology (DOST)
Area of Jurisdiction
NL-PRSD
Tuguegarao
NCR-PRSD
Quezon City
SL-PRSD
Legazpi
Vis-PRSD
Mactan
El Salvador
M-PRSD
Davao City
LEGEND: PRSD Office Synoptic Station Upper Air Radar FFC Agromet Agromet
RADAR 1.Mactan 2.Guiuan AGROMET 1. Mambusao 2. La Granja 3. Dumangas 4. VSU-Baybay 5. SPCP-Aborlan UPPER-AIR 1. Mactan 2. Pto Princesa
Monitoring Capabilities
PAGASA SURFACE SYNOPTIC STATIONS
ITBAYAT BASCO CALAYAN LAOAG VIGAN BAGUIO DAGUPAN IBA SUBIC APARRI TUGUEGARAO PALANAN CASIGURAN
DA-BASCO
DMMMSU-LA UNION
HA. LUISITATARLAC TAGAYTAY
BALER CLSU-MUNOZ CABANATUAN CLARK JOMALIG INFANTA CAVITE ALABAT DAET TAGAYTAY VIRAC AMBULONG CSSAC-PILI CALAPAN SN. LEGASPI EXISTING SURFACE FRANCISCO CATARMAN ROMBLON SYNOPTIC STATION MASBATE SAN JOSE CATBALOGAN BORONGAN AUTOMATIC WEATHER CORON STATION ROXAS TACLOBAN GUIUAN ILOILO MACTAN MAASI SIARGAO N TAGBILARAN PTO. SURIGAO PRINCESA BUTUAN CAG. DE HINATUA DIPOLOG ORO N MALAYBALAY BALABAC ZAMBOANGA COTABATO DAVAO
GEN. SANTOS
Visibility Clouds Temperature Relative Humidity Rainfall Wind Speed and Wind Direction Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Phenomena
Monitoring Capabilities
PAGASA WEATHER RADAR STATIONS
BAGUIO BALER SBMA TAGAYTAY VIRAC LEGASPI BUSUANGA CEBU GUIUAN ILOILO QUEZON PALAWAN MACTAN TANAY BASCO
APARRI
LAOAG
HINATUAN
ZAMBOANGA
TAMPAKAN
DAVAO
Basco
Aparri
15 in 2015
Baler Virac
LEGEND:
OP/CALAMITY FUND PAGASA 2007 GAA JICA-PROPOSED
Tagaytay
Guiuan
BUSUANGA
ILOILO CEBU
QUEZON
Hinatuan
ZAMBOANGA
South Cotabato
TS SENDONG
FLOODINGS IN CAGAYAN DE ORO AND MINDANAO DURING TS SENDONG OF DEC. 17, 2011
At 1:45 PM, Dec. 4, 2012 the center of the typhoon PABLO was located, based on the Mactan Doppler Radar, at 70 KMS East of Siquijor Island. Typhoon PABLO Radar Image
EYE
TY Bopha was the lowest latitude typhoon since Typhoon Vamei in 2001 (1.4 above eq.). TY Bopha became a typhoon at just 3.8 from the equator.
Affected Population
Families Person Baranggays
Impacts of TY PABLO
Municipalities Provinces
711,682
6,243,998
3,064
318
Casualties
Dead 1067 725 identified 342 unidentified Injured 2,666 Missing 834
Damage (PhP)
Infrastructure
7,565,044,810.00
Agriculture
26,526,663,474.07
Private
2,857,522,703.00
TOTAL
36,949,230,987.07
Dec. 4, 2012 YES, WE HAVE NO BANANAS TODAY A mother and her daughter wash their clothes next to flattened banana trees at a plantation in Monte Vista town, Compostela Valley province, on Wednesday after Typhoon Pablo ravaged the province. Pablo destroyed 70 to 80 percent of plantations mostly bananas for export, said Gov. Arthur Uy. AFP
SOURCE: http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/319131/waters-rose-so-suddenly
A man looks at his damaged house destroyed by strong winds brought about by Typhoon Bopha in Butuan City, Agusan del Norte, in the southern Philippine island of Mindanao. The death toll from a typhoon that ravaged the Philippines has jumped to 274 with hundreds more missing, as rescuers battled to reach areas cut off by floods and mudslides
SOURCE: http://ph.news.yahoo.com/photos/pablo-s-wrath-lives-taken-destruction-widespread-slideshow/officials-described-scenestotal-devastation-caused-philippines-worst-photo-183230520.html
Dec. 4, 2012 Bodies of flash flood victims lie on the ground as villagers look for their missing relatives on Wednesday after Typhoon Pablo hit New Bataan in Compostela province. Pablo ravaged parts of Mindanao killing over 200 people, but many more are reported missing. Photo: Reuters
SOURCE: http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/regions/12/05/12/238-dead-hundreds-missing-due-pablo
Cebu
Cebu
Maximum sustained wind/Gustiness: 225/260 kph Movement & speed: WNW at 39 kph
Maximum sustained wind/Gustiness: 225/260 kph Movement & speed: WNW at 39 kph
Maximum sustained wind/Gustiness: 225/260 kph Movement & speed: WNW at 39 kph
Maximum sustained wind/Gustiness: 235/275 kph Movement & speed: WNW at 39 kph
Maximum sustained wind/Gustiness: 235/275 kph Movement & speed: WNW at 39 kph
Maximum sustained wind/Gustiness: 235/275 kph Movement & speed: WNW at 39 kph
Maximum sustained wind/Gustiness: 235/275 kph Movement & speed: WNW at 39 kph
Maximum sustained wind/Gustiness: 215/250 kph Movement & speed: WNW at 40 kph
HOUR-BY-HOUR TRACK
Impacts of TY YOLANDA
Affected Population
Families 3,424,593 Person 16,078,181 Barangays 12,139 Municipalities 574 Provinces 44 provinces of Regions IV-A, IV-B, V, VI, VII,
VIII, X, XI, CARAGA
Casualties
Dead 6,092 Injured 27,665 Missing 1,779
Damage (PhP)
Infrastructure 18,226,835,334.29 Agriculture 18,354,150,996.38 TOTAL 36,662,086,330.67
Source: NDRRMC, as of 20 December 2013 SitRep #69
photo - credit: AFP Central Command from their Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.35670128446730 6.1073741835.323973651073403&type=1
Source: rappler.com
Vehicles float in floodwaters Sunday, Nov. 10, 2013, following the devastation left by Typhoon Haiyan that hit Tacloban city in Leyte province in central Philippines.
A survivor walks beside a ship that was washed ashore hitting makeshift houses near an oil depot in Tacloban city, Leyte province central Philippines, Nov. 11, 2013. (AP Photo/Aaron Favila)
Bantayan Island
Source: http://www.rappler.com/nation/43319-cebu-municipalities-isolated
Bantayan Island
Source: http://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news
A resident runs past an uprooted tree amidst strong winds as Typhoon Haiyan pounded Cebu City, in central Philippines on Nov. 8, 2013. (Jay Directo/AFP/Getty Images)
THUNDERSTORM MONSOON COLD FRONT INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE (ITCZ) TROPICAL CYCLONE
9,000 m
6,000 m
3,000 m
Forked Lightning
Sheet Lightning
Clouds, rain blocks forked lightning bolt, but flash illuminates clouds.
Ball Lightning
On rare occasions, small glowing balls loops from the cloud, but quickly vanish.
STAY AWAY FROM ELECTRICAL SOCKETS, APPLIANCES, TELEVISION AND TELEPHONES; SHUT-OFF THE MAIN POWER SWITCH. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS, WATER FAUCETS, PIPES AND ELECTRICAL OUTLETS.
WHAT TO DO IF THERE IS NO Lightning safety experts have invented SHELTER AND YOU ARE CAUGHT IN A a "lightning safety position" that is very THUNDERSTORM?
important to know if you are caught in a thunder storm and you can't find a shelter. This position looks hard, but it could save your life. There are several reasons for doing it.
It makes you a smaller target. With your heels together, if lightning hits
the ground, it goes through the closest foot, up to your heel and then transfers to the other foot and goes back to the ground again. If you don't put your feet together, lightning could go through your heart and kill you. You put your hands over your ears to protect them from thunder.
Impacts of flooding
TORNADO(Ipo-ipo)
TORNADO
SAMPLE PICTURES OF DAMAGES DUE TO TORNADOES
(BUHAWI)
TORNADO
500 kph
TYPHOON
300 kph
1,000 km
5 7 days
Aug 6, 2012: Torrential rains due to the SW Monsoon (Habagat ) induced by by T GENER have flooded Manila and neighboring Provinces, displacing Tens of thousands of residents with a death toll of 57 persons.
TYPHOON PASSING NORTH OF THE PLACE (CLOSELY WATCH FOR THE WIND DIRECTIONS AS THE TYPHOON APROACHES);
MANILA
TYPHOON PASSING NORTH OF THE PLACE (CLOSELY WATCH FOR THE WIND DIRECTIONS AS THE TYPHOON APROACHES); BACKING WINDS DUE WEST
MANILA
Storm Surge
5 METER (16 FT) OF STORM SURGE STRIKES THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE DURING HURRICANE ELOISE, 1975
Residents of coastal communities in Leyte were warned as early as two years ago of severe flooding from storm surges reaching as high as 12 meters (39.37 feet).
Survivors pass by two large boats after they were washed ashore by strong waves caused by Typhoon Haiyan in Tacloban city, Leyte province central Philippines on Sunday, Nov. 10, 2013. (AP Photo/Aaron Favila)
Forecast Storm Surge, Initial run time: 8:00AM, 07 Nov 2013 (JMA model)
TY
TY
Dec. 13, 2013: SNOW In Egypt for the First Time In 112 Years
Climate change. The earths temperature is rising because the heat emitted by the
sun is trapped by greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide and other gases) in the atmosphere. The higher temperature is melting the polar ice caps, causing more water to evaporate. The atmosphere becomes soaked with moisture. More moisture in the clouds equals heavier rains.
Greenhouse gases (GHGs) trap heat from the sun to keep the Earth warm.
Nitrous Oxide
CO2
CH4
NO2 SF6
H2O
Water vapor
HFCs PFCs
CO2 N2O CO2N O CO2 HFCs 2 CO2 CH4 CH4 HFCs PFCs N O SF6 CH4 CO2 CH4 2 CO 2 CO CO2 CO 2 2 SF6 COC SF6 2 O2
Hot days, hot nights, & heat waves have become more frequent.
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report:
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With the ice caps melting, more water is poured into the oceans, thus raising their levels. The seas invade low-lying areas. If the melting of the ice does not stop, low-lying islands will disappear; the bigger ones will have their areas reduced as the seas invade their shores.
Now.
2005
AUGUST 2012
Taken on July 25, 2013. A North Pole Environmental Observatory Webcam Captures a melt pond at the North Pole, Sea Ice in Arctic.
Warming of oceans
18 cm 59 cm
Simulations
+ 4 Meters + 8 Meters + 12 Meters
CEBU CITY
CEBU CITY
CEBU CITY
CEBU CITY
TACLOBAN CITY
TACLOBAN CITY
TACLOBAN CITY
TACLOBAN CITY
Greedy loggers have ravaged our forests and most of our mountains are now bald. Without trees, there are no roots to hold the soil together. Thus, rainwater easily erodes the mountainsides, carrying the topsoil down to the streams and rivers below.
As the water flows down the waterways, it drops the silt it is carrying. Over the years, this silt has made the waterways shallower so that they can hold less and less water. They therefore easily overflow their banks.
Floodwaters are now brown, unlike before when they were clearer and cleaner. That is because of the silt they are carrying. When the floods recede, they leave a thick layer of mud. That is also the mud that they deposit at the bottom of the waterways.
With the development of more housing subdivisions on what were once rice fields, the construction of more office buildings, shopping malls and residential condominiums in the cities, and the paving of more streets and parking lots, a layer of nonporous concrete covers bigger and bigger parts of the land. Thus, rain and floodwaters cannot pierce this layer to seep through the ground and into the underground aquifers as they used to do. They have to stay atop all that concrete. The result: floods.
The fifth factor is GARBAGE specifically the bad habit of many Filipinos to throw their trash anywhere, and especially into waterways.
4. Stop all logging, legal and illegal, as well as charcoalmaking. Charcoal makers cut even small trees. Dredge waterways and lakes. 5. Unclog drainage pipes and keep them clear of garbage. Improve the drainage system. 6. Be good citizens and always follow laws.
THE ECOTOWN
Enhancement Water Security of Carbon Stocks Food Security Renewable Energy from: Enhancement of Genetic Resources Hydro-meteorological hazard mitigation Hydro Green Industries and Eco-tourism Solar & Wind
P. S.
things to remember
"In the end, we will conserve only what we love, we will love only what we understand, and we will understand only what we are taught."
Baba Dioum, Senegalese conservationist
prsd.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/mactan
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