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Emeritus Professor Carlyle A. Thayer CPG Asia Pacific Security Conference Sukosol Hotel, Bangkok December 3-4, 2013
ASEAN Summit
Consultative Council
Economic Council
Socio-Cultural Council
PoliticalSecurity
Economic
SocioCultural
ADMM
ADSOM
Army
Navy
ASEAN Chiefs of Navy
Air
Intelligence
Conflict Prevention
Confidence Building Measures (CBMs) Preventive Measures (PD) ARF process Cooperation on non-traditional security Respect for territorial integrity, sovereignty and unity of members countries Cooperation on separatist threats
Conflict Resolution
Strengthening Dispute Settlement Mechanism Developing regional cooperation for maintenance of peace and security Developing supporting initiatives Thai-Cambodia Border Conflict 2010?
Post-Conflict Peace-Building
Strengthening ASEAN humanitarian assistance Developing cooperation in post-conflict reconstruction and rehabilitation in affected areas Establishing a mechanism to mobilise necessary resources for post-conflict peace building
ARF Membership N = 27
Brunei Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam Australia Canada China European Union Japan South Korea New Zealand PNG Russia United States Laos Myanmar Cambodia Mongolia North Korea India Pakistan East Timor Bangladesh Sri Lanka
st 1
to foster constructive dialogue and consultation on political and security issues of common interest and concern; and to make significant contributions to efforts towards confidence-building and preventive diplomacy in the AsiaPacific region.
Decision-Making
Decisions of the ARF shall be made through consensus after careful and extensive consultations among all participants.
no voting
Move at a pace comfortable to all ARF members Chairman of ARF is Chairman of the ASEAN Standing Committee Chairmans Statement after annual meeting
Non-binding
The ARF process is now at Stage I, and shall continue to discuss means of implementing confidence building. Stage II, particularly where the subject matter overlap, can proceed in tandem with Stage I.
1995-97 ISM on Search and Rescue 1995-97 ISM on Peacekeeping 1995-99 ISM on Disaster Relief
resumed 2004 continuing
ARF Achievements
Venue for multilateral dialogue and consultations Habits of dialogue and consultations on political and security issues Willingness of ARF participants to discuss a wide range of security issues multilaterally
ARF Achievements
Agreed principles for dialogue and cooperation
consensus, non-interference, pace comfortable to all peaceful settlement of differences
Continuing CBMs as foundation Enhancing linkages between Track 1 and Track 2 in the ARF processes
ARF Achievements
Greater participation by defense and military officials
ARF ISMs and ISGs
Networking developed among nationalsecurity, defense and military officials Transparency through exchange of information on defense policy and publication of white papers
ARF Achievements
Priority cooperation in fight against international terrorism and transnational crime Support for non-proliferation, arms control, disarmament efforts tentative steps preventive diplomacy But role in conflict resolution undeveloped
North Korea nuclear issues
Australia
New Zealand
Japan
ARF
Inter-Sessional Meetings (ISM)
ASEAN +
ADMM Plus
Enlarged AMF
Hierarchical
ASEANcentric multilateralism
Conclusion
No single regional security institution effectively covers the Asia-Pacific Region Multiple overlapping architectures deal with hard and soft security challenges The ASEAN Way embedded in ARF, ADMM+, Enlarged AMF, and EAS Preventive diplomacy at nascent stage No enforcement structures
The ASEAN Regional Forum and Other ASEAN-Centric Regional Institutions and the Asia-Pacific
Emeritus Professor Carlyle A. Thayer CPG Asia Pacific Security Conference Sukosol Hotel, Bangkok December 3-4, 2013