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Rick A
A. Morris
Morris, PMP
PMP, ITIL
ITIL, MCTS
Agenda
Create
WBS
Current Process
Create Identify
WBS Risks
Current Process
Pick
Strategy
Current Process
Residual Pick
Risks Strategy
What Really Happens
PM
Creates
Plan
Residual Pick
Risks Strategy
What Really Happens
PM PM
Creates Identifies
Plan Risks
Residual Pick
Risks Strategy
What Really Happens
PM PM
Creates Identifies PM Fills Out Spreadsheet
p
Plan Risks
Residual Pick
Risks Strategy
What Really Happens
PM PM
Start
Creates Identifies PM Fills Out Spreadsheet
p
P j t
Project
Plan Risks
Residual Pick
Risks Strategy
Why Risk Assessments Fail
¾Parkinson’s Law
} Work will naturally fill the timeframe allotted.
¾Murphy’s Law
} Anything that can go wrong will.
Our Dilemmas
¾Track variances
Third Step
I
Impacts
t off risks
i k At the completion Tool establishes
compared against of the project, the amount of risk by
baseline and PM fills out Risk utilizing formula
adjusted if Identification Form listed below
necessary
PMO Receives
Risk Identification Form
Formula: ((Best Case Actual Risk) + (4 * Most Likely Actual Risk) + (Worse Case Actual Risk)/6) * Probability * Impact * Question Weight Percentage * Category Weight Percentage
Remember the 2 Laws?