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Explanation of the UFO through ball lightning does not possess a high degree of
credibility, because we do not know what is ball lightning, and it in turn can be
called a small UFO. One unknown is explained through another unknown. There are
about 200 hypotheses about the nature of ball lightning, and many of them look
convincing. But about ball lightning is well known that some of them occur in the
storm, with electrical discharges. I myself saw the emergence of ball lightning in
the linear lightning channel in Moscow during the summer storm near 1997-99 years,
in the direction of the Ostankino from district Airport.
The most instructive in the hypotheses of fireball is that choosing the most
salient features of observations, with a few theoretical assumptions and the
structure is rather complicated theory, you can create some equally compelling
(but not falsifiable) hypotheses. The same can be found in hypotheses about the
nature of Tunguska meteorite (up to hypotheses that it was detonation of 5
kilometer volume of clouds of gnats). Let us remember the words of Chekhov: «If
you are offered a lot of mean to cure a sickness, then it is incurable». Each of
these hypotheses is quite convincing, as we do not see another, equally compelling
hypothesis. It is told that there are between 100 and 400 hypotheses about the
nature of ball lightnings. So it will be not a great mistake to attribute to each
a priori probability of the truth about 1 percent.
Even if some of the proposed mechanisms are not the causes of ball lightning, they
may still appear as the mechanisms behind the UFOs.
There are several hypotheses to explain ball lightning, which could explain some
UFOs. My ball lightning was like: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=13bDzNs7JQ0&
10) The optical traces in the eyes of the observer from the observation of linear
lightning, phosphenes of different types.
11) Seizures in the temporal lobe caused by a magnetic field of normal lightning.
«Could Some Ball Lightning Observations be Optical Hallucinations Caused by
Epileptic Seizures?» Gerald Cooray and Vernon Cooray
http://www.el.angstrom.uu.se/meny/artiklar/ball lightning.pdf
12) Line lightning caused luminiscense of something, which existed before there
was lightning, but which was not visible and do not interact with matter. Maybe
they were even living creatures, which feed electrical discharges of conventional
lightning, and thanks to the accumulated energy becomes visible - and die,
exploding?