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BUAD-302: Syllabus
Page 1
SYLLABUS
BUAD 302: Communication Strategy in Business
Fall 2006
Section 14652 M/W 8:00-9:40
HOH 306
The class is structured to emphasize experiential learning so that our study of managerial
communication theory can be applied to exercises and activities mirroring real-world
challenges you will face in your professional lives.
RESOURCES
Required reading includes the text cited below as well as articles and cases distributed in
class or otherwise assigned for out-of-class work.
At the end of this course, you will be a more articulate and influential business
communicator. You will understand the rhetorical reasoning that supports the strategies
you learn such that you can successfully meet all types of new communication
challenges.
By the end of your BUAD 302 experience, you should have acquired knowledge and
skills in the following areas:
Business Presentations
• Analyze a communicative situation and develop a strategy to create effective
persuasive business presentations.
• Demonstrate understanding of and apply the principles of effective business
presentations, including managing question-and-answer sessions and
employing visuals.
Interpersonal Communication
• Demonstrate understanding of the elements of nonverbal communication and
apply them in interpersonal communication situations.
• Demonstrate understanding of the principles and processes of effective
listening and apply them in interpersonal communication situations.
• Demonstrate understanding of the principles of effective feedback and apply
them to provide effective and appropriate feedback.
Organizational Communication
• Demonstrate understanding of organizational communication practices—
external and internal—and apply this knowledge in various communication
contexts.
• Demonstrate awareness of intercultural factors that affect communication and
apply this knowledge in intercultural communication situations.
• Demonstrate understanding of the principles of small group communication,
including problem solving and decision making, and apply them to create
effective teams.
After only fifteen weeks, you probably will not reach a level of professional excellence in
all business communication areas; mastery sometimes takes years and always takes
dedication. You will, however, clearly understand the strategic objectives toward which
you are working, understand the necessary processes involved in meeting those
objectives (and helping others meet them), appreciate your strengths and challenges, and
feel increased confidence in your communication decisions and in the execution of those
decisions.
Attendance
I anticipate that you will be present in every class, and ready to begin work at the time
class is scheduled to start. Should you need to be absent, either because of an illness or
because you believe that there is something you must do that is more important than
attending class, I will expect to receive an email message from you prior to the start
of that class. Keep in mind that an email in advance of class does not excuse your
absence, it simply shows me that you are taking responsibility for choosing to do
something else during class time. Multiple absences, even when accompanied by
conscientious notification, may be viewed as unprofessional behavior.
If you miss a class session, you still need to come to the next class fully prepared.
Please contact a classmate before the next class meeting. Ask them for
announcements, lecture notes, readings, assignments, etc. Please feel free to contact me if
you still need further clarification or interpretation as to what you missed. (What I cannot
do is recreate lectures/discussions for individual absences—telling you everything we did
in class would take an hour and fifty minutes!). Of course, if a major illness or emergency
arises, I will work with you to accommodate the situation.
Again, remember that absence from class, a pattern of lateness, or lack of participation
will adversely affect your grade (in the same way that such behavior would adversely
affect your performance evaluations in a professional setting.
You learn as much from observing and critiquing presentations as you do from making
presentations. Be an attentive, active listener when others are making presentations. You
will be asked to critically evaluate the performance of your classmates. My assessment of
your level of overall professionalism in class will be influenced by the thoughtfulness
with which you listen to and evaluate the work of others.
Assignments
In this class, as in business, you’re expected to compete your projects on time.
Assignments are due at the beginning of the class period on the date assigned. Any
assignment turned in late may receive half-credit as a starting point.
All written assignments and graded presentations must be completed; failing to complete
even a single assignment may result in an “F” in the course.
Please check your USC email account regularly in case I send any assignment
clarifications. You should know how to send and receive attachments.
PLEASE indicate your full name and class meeting time on all submitted documents
(and emails).
It is permissible to use notes (when indicated by assignment), of course, but our task is to
wean you from the temptation to write out your presentation in complete sentences and
memorize it. Doing this is virtually guaranteed to deal a death blow to your effectiveness
as a presenter.
Your written assignments should be free of spelling, punctuation, or grammar errors. Any
errors in mechanics reduces the effectiveness of written communication and will
dramatically lower your grade.
If you are unable to attend class on the day a written assignment is due, make
arrangements for it to be delivered to the classroom or to my mailbox in OHE 106 by the
start of class. Please ask my permission before submitting a written assignment via email
if you miss class on the day work is due.
All assignments should be prepared on an 8 ½” X 11” paper. I expect all your written
work to be formatted with 1” margins, and using 12-point Times New Roman font. All
parts of a multi-page assignment must be stapled together in the upper left corner. Please
do not enclose any of your work in binders or folders. Again, please indicate your full
name and the time your class meets on all documents (adding your class time to email
correspondence helps as well).
Additional Activities
Meetings in the ELC
Many oral presentations, both graded and not, will be videotaped in the Experiential
Learning Centers (ELC) in the basement of Bridge Hall. Please note that we will meet in
the ELC on the dates listed on the class calendar page.
You will also be videotaped while participating in exercises and simulations in the
Center. Because our time in the ELC is precious, punctual ELC attendance is crucial.
Professional dress is required whenever our class meets in the ELC—unless I change the
code for the occasion. What an audience sees when you speak influences what it hears
and thinks.
Mock Interviews
Mock interviews will be scheduled for the ELC in Popovich Hall on a Saturday and
Sunday, early in the semester—we’ll know the dates by the end of the first week of the
semester. You must complete this exercise to receive credit for the class. Sign-ups for the
half-hour time slots and further details of this assignment will be discussed in class.
PowerPoint Workshop
A class session will be devoted to a PowerPoint workshop in one of Marshall’s computer
labs. Using visuals effectively in your presentations is an important part of your grade.
This session will help beginners learn PowerPoint basics, but will also present new
techniques to more advanced users.
GRADING
Because of the Marshall School’s targeted mean, your ultimate grade in the course is
determined by both the absolute quality of your performance and your standing in the
overall class (i.e., your ranking) at the end of the course. Striving for excellence will
yield maximum learning and an enhanced opportunity to achieve the final grade you
desire. But the influence of the Marshall grading averages is ineluctable. Most
students who work hard will achieve a final grade of either a “B-” or a “B” in the
course.
“A” work reflects mastery of course concepts, tools, and techniques, plus a solid
understanding of implications, applications, or interrelationships, as may be appropriate.
“A” work also reflects your ability to apply and express that understanding with
meaningful language. In business, this would mean your manager would accept the work
with no revision, be willing to put his/her name on it, and send it forward.
To put it another way, an “A” on a written or oral communication signifies that the
communication:
• Contains a clear, early statement of purpose, main idea, and the key
supporting arguments
• Demonstrates strategic development and organization based on careful
audience and situational analysis
• Recognizes and addresses complexities through thoughtful analysis;
incorporates and discusses necessary counter arguments
• Includes influential supportive details; makes evidence “speak” for the
audience
• Employs a style and tone appropriate to the audience and context
• Utilizes articulate language and memorability devices
• Maximizes symbiosis between content and expression of content
• Achieves the desired impact on the audience while maintaining a positive
relationship with them (i.e., employs the dialogic model of communication
Review of Grades
If an assignment is returned to you and you believe that some error has occurred in the
grading, you can, within one week of the date the assignment is returned, request—using
a memo—that I re-evaluate the assignment. If necessary, I am glad to clarify my
commentary on returned assignments, but if you wish to discuss your grade, you must
initiate the discussion with a memo. Any reference and discussion of grades (written or
otherwise) must be initiated and conducted with diplomacy and thoughtfulness.
If you are requesting a grade review, the original assignment or presentation evaluation
form should be attached to your memo. The memo should fully and carefully explain
why you think the assignment should be re-evaluated. Arguing that “I worked hard and
put in a lot of time” or simply saying “I don’t understand why I received this grade” are
neither full nor careful explanations. Remember that the re-evaluation process can result
in three types of grade adjustments: positive, none, and negative.
Reporting of Grades
I will not post final grades, and they will not be given out by the department or by me. I
cannot provide your final grades before they are available by Touchtone (213-740-9088).
Administrative Matters
Academic Integrity:
Services: Other facilities within the Marshall School of Business offer a broad range of
informational, software, and hardware support and services. Schedules for and additional
information about these facilities can be found on the Marshall School homepage:
www.marshall.usc.edu .
IMPORTANT NOTE: Please silence all electronic devices before class. Unless you
have an emergency situation, please do not check your electronic messages (etc.) in
class.
And lastly…WELCOME!
Class Schedule
Subject to Change at Any Time to Fit Needs of the Class
Written Communications
Complementary writing assignments based on presentations and other in-class activities.
* Professionalism and participation is required throughout the semester. They can only
negatively affect your final grade if you do not attend class on a regular basis, come to
class unprepared, or fail to participate and finish on-time all in-class and scheduled
assignments and activities.
Guidelines for Planning an Effective Presentation (notes for Chapter 12 section 1-2
reading)
Structure of a Presentation
• Introduction “Tell them what you are going to tell them…”
• Body “…then tell them…”
• Conclusion “…and then tell them what you have told them.”
In addition to your presentation responsibilities for this assignment, you are given the
opportunity to evaluate your presentation. Additionally, you have the added opportunity
to evaluate the presentation of one of your peers.
Evaluating yourself and your peers will greatly benefit you in your quest for becoming a
strong speaker. Seeing what someone had done well and emulating it, and in contrast,
seeing what someone had done poorly and avoiding it, will give you the needed context
to improve your own understanding of good oral presentation work.
Consider the following: All speakers use stance, body movement, gestures, facial
expressions and eye contact to illustrate and enhance every message. Each should be
smooth and natural. Your body language enhances and clarifies your words and helps the
audience “visualize” your point and overall message. In other words, the message your
audience sees should be the same one they hear. Additionally, your speech must have a
clear purpose and appropriate organization.
Then: Write a reaction to your interview. Include a paragraph that discusses your
weaknesses, one that discusses your strengths, and perhaps a few thoughts as to what you
gained from the experience.
Finally: Watch and write a short evaluation of the person interviewed before or after you
(found on the same tape as your interview). In this peer evaluation, discuss strengths and
areas in which you think your colleague could improve and how.
Be specific in these evaluations. Use memo format. Address the memos to me; no one
else will read them. This is an opportunity to objectively view yourself and a peer in one
of the most challenging interpersonal communication situations. The memos are due
Monday, September 18.
Preliminary work
You’ll need an outline to begin organizing your speech. Write a business letter first to
focus your recommendation and then get your presentation in order.
Situation
This is a three-part assignment that includes an outline, a written letter, and an oral
presentation. All materials are due on the day of your presentation and will be collected
before you begin.
Assume that you are an active member of a campus student organization or professional
campus society. Each student organization or professional society has been asked to write
a letter to the student government to describe what your organization considers the
biggest problem students face on campus. It seems that the university’s board of regents
is interested in hearing the perspective of several student groups. Provide me with a one
page letter that describes the situation to student government and discusses the impact
that students would derive as a result of this change. Be sure to adhere to the principles of
letter writing.
Congratulation on your letter! It seems that after the student government committee read
your letter, they passed it on to the university’s board of regents, and now they want to
hear you present your case. The board may take action to correct the problem that your
organization had identified, but first you must persuade them.
Instructions
Aim for a 5-7 minute persuasive presentation. Six minutes is perfect but coming in at
seven minutes is fine, too. Provide a good introduction that serves to give your audience
some background information; elaborate on it; conclude with some recommendations. Be
sure that your audience knows who you are and that you ask for questions at the end.
You’ll want an appropriate attention getter at the introduction and a take-away statement
at the conclusion.
In my fourth and final year at the University of Southern California, I have found the transportation
opportunities for students to be more than helpful. Providing convenient transportation services,
such as the university trams and campus cruiser, we at the USC Student Transportation Group
realize that the university has clearly shown an interest in transporting the student body safely and
effectively.
As a student living on 28th St for over two years, every day I’ve seen the heavy student traffic
moving from the area Northeast of the university to the university campus. This area to the
Northeast consists largely of student housing and apartments, whose occupants’ main course of
transport to the university campus includes the crosswalk from the University Walkway. This
crosswalk runs from 28th St. to Jefferson Blvd., crossing Jefferson Blvd. to Gavin Herbert Plaza.
These students often walk, skateboard or ride bicycles as their means of transportation along this
corridor.
The aforementioned crosswalk over Jefferson Blvd. onto campus is routinely overcrowded during
the day. The hundreds of students crossing Jefferson daily come across many problems with the
current crosswalk, among them the congestion of motor traffic, motorists hitting students at the fault
of oblivious students and drivers, and long wait times on both sides of the street before the walk
signal lights up. A buildup of pedestrians on either side of the crosswalk vis-à-vis long wait times
causes pedestrian congestion when both of these masses meet in the middle of the street while
crossing the crosswalk. As a group advocating student satisfaction, we would like to request the
construction of a pedestrian underpass that allows for the continuous flow of pedestrians under both
Jefferson and Hoover.
Naturally, the high cost of such structures will cause resistance to such a proposal. Nonetheless, for
the large number of students living in this area, the benefits of such a structure would result in a
much safer and more pleasurable means of getting to and from campus. Further, the extension of the
underpass to include the crossing of Hoover would bring direct benefit to the interests of the
University. USC owns the University Village complex (the UV), the collection of retail, dining, and
service businesses to the north of campus and across Hoover from the University Walkway. A more
convenient crossing under Jefferson and Hoover would eliminate the road barrier from campus to the
UV, which would further naturally integrate the UV with campus and bring more customers to the
complex.
After you have reviewed this proposal, please call us at 213.281.2242 to discuss this option of
increasing overall student satisfaction and easing pedestrian access to the University Village.
Sincerely,
Introduction
• Hi, my name is… I represent USC Student Transportation Group…
• Attention-getter – Does anybody here live to the northeast of campus (that is,
around the row or in that area)?
• The pedestrian crosswalk from University Walkway to Campus is overcrowded,
puts students in unneeded danger, is inefficient, and is a barrier to increased
business to the UV
• Main Points
o This crosswalk is used by a large number of students
o There are few alternative route for students to go to and from campus
o The crosswalk in place is inadequate
o Location requires few modifications for underpass
o Benefits students would gain from an underpass
o Benefits university would gain from an underpass
Body
• As a student living on 28th St I use crosswalk daily
o Crosswalk is used my most people living to the northeast of campus
o This area is largely student housing, apartments, fraternities and sororities
o University Walkway, which connects this crosswalk to the area northeast
of campus, runs all of the way from Jefferson to University
• Lack of alternatives
o Students must cross this street to get from that area to campus
o Other intersections are far away – Figueroa or McClintock
o Jefferson is too busy of a street for a standard crosswalk
• Intersection is too crowded
o Wait time causes student buildup on both sides of intersection
o When light turns green, these two crowds congest in the middle of the
intersection
o People run into each other, end up getting stuck in intersection after light
turns red
• Moving from current problems with the crosswalk, I’ll be moving on to the
solution that the USC Student Transportation group has found to be most
adequate
• An underpass would require few modifications to the area on both sides of
crosswalk
o There is already a large area on both sides of current crosswalk in which to
build ramp leading down to underpass
o Underpass, as opposed to overpass, would allow for the easy use of bikes,
skateboards and other methods students use to get to campus
o Underpass could be made wide enough in this area to appear inviting and
open, along with allowing for the heavy traffic of pedestrians
• With a solution to the problem, let’s look at the benefits that it would provide in
exchange for the costs of the structure
Conclusion
• In covering these points, we at the USC Student Transportation Group strongly
advise the university to consider building an underpass connecting the campus
with the University walkway as an alternative to the current crosswalk on
Jefferson
• This is needed because there’re are a high number of students living in the area to
the northeast of campus, and this is they have few alternatives in getting to
campus other than this crosswalk
• The crosswalk becomes too crowded during the day, and creates a dangerous
situation for both pedestrians and drivers
• The location allows for few modifications to the surrounding area in order for an
underpass to be built
• Student Satisfaction would increase as a result of this expansion
• The universities’ UV shopping complex could gain financially if the underpass
were extended to include a crossing under Hoover
• Although the costs of building an underpass under the Jefferson-Hoover
intersection would be costly, the members of the USC Student
Transportation Group have found that the university would be more than
compensated in increased student safety and satisfaction, as well as a
bolstering of profits at the University-owned UV shopping Complex
Page 15
Good Example of a Persuasive Request
Down-Home
Restaurants
89 S o u t h P a ss R o a d • C h a tt a n oog a , T N 37416 - 2729 • ( 423 ) 555 - 5110
Offsets reluctance to sell Naturally, no amount of money can compensate you for a building that holds
by acknowledging the so many memories for you. However, we would be happy to purchase the
sentimental value and entire contents of the building, excluding any special items of sentimental
suggesting options. value that you may want to keep.
Format Pointers
• Illustrates modified block format—the date and closing lines (complimentary close and
signature block) begin at the horizontal center.
• Uses mixed punctuation—a colon follows the salutation, and a comma follows the
complimentary close.
• Uses an enclosure notation to alert the reader that something is included.
Business Communication, 14th Edition by Lehman and DuFrene Copyright 2005 South-Western
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
Enclosure
Business Communication, 14th Edition by Lehman and DuFrene Copyright 2005 South-Western
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
Learning Objectives:
Analyze and develop effective persuasive messages for business audiences.
Improve and apply persuasive techniques in a written sales proposal and oral team
presentation.
Practice and improve researching skills.
Improve oral presentation skills.
Develop visual aids aimed at meeting the expectations of business audiences.
Learn and practice effective group communication techniques.
A Request for Proposal (RFP) is a business document sent out by organizations that are
seeking proposals for the completion of a variety of jobs or needed services. In other words,
an RFP requests bids from other organizations that can potentially provide these sought-for
services. In this particular instance, your team will generate a proposal in response to a RFP
issued by Global Entertainment Ventures, Inc. (GEV), a company that provides venture
capital to start-up businesses in the entertainment industry.
GEV is interested in providing capital to any start-up in the business of entertainment. This
includes companies in the video game, television, film, sports, radio, publishing, and travel
industries. Furthermore, these companies can specialize in a variety of aspects of each of
these industries. For example, companies that propose financial support from GEV can
further specialize in
Marketing programs for sports or other types of entertainment products or services
Advertising for companies involved in the entertainment industry
Accounting and auditing services for companies involved in the entertainment
industry
Legal or other representation for companies involved in the entertainment industry
The CEO and president of GEV is Ken Robidoux. Mr. Robidoux is the person to whom your
proposal will be presented and who will select the company that will receive funding based
upon the quality of its proposal.
Each step of this project will require specific information from your team. First, your team
will need to select the type of entertainment service or product that your company will
provide and for which you are seeking venture capital. You will then need to research that
industry, primarily using the internet as your source of information, and create a strategy to
sell your company, its products and/or services to GEV.
Remember that a proposal is a competitive document; that is, you will be competing with
other entertainment companies to demonstrate that your organization is the best choice for
GEV’s investment. In order to demonstrate that your organization is the best choice, you will
need to convince GEV’s CEO that your company provides the best product or service in its
industry. Factors to consider when making this argument are price, features or services,
support (if appropriate), quality, financial potential, company or product longevity, and your
competition. Analysis of this information should result in your proposal strategy. After this
information is generated and analyzed, your team will use it to complete the proposal and
prepare a presentation to sell your company as a potential investment to GEV.
Assignments
Two major assignments are associated with the RFP: a team sales presentation and a
written sales proposal.
Your presentation will be graded for task fulfillment, audience focus, content, organization,
persuasiveness, delivery, and visual aids (PowerPoint slides). Your teams will have 20
minutes to present with an additional 5 minutes for questions and answers.
Topic Coverage
To prepare for this assignment, you will need to identify an entertainment product or service
that you believe would be an excellent focus for your team project. You will then simulate
the creation of a company that is preparing to ask for funding from a venture capital firm
(GEV) in order for you to start up your business.
• Description of the company and its product or service. You should briefly describe
your company—its location and number of employees—as well as your product or s
service and how it will be produced, delivered, and priced.
• Market for the product or service. This section of your presentation should discuss
the market for your product or service, demonstrating that there is sales potential.
This information should be based upon research about similar products and/or
services and/or at least clearly stated assumptions.
• Market plan for the product or service. This section should provide a marketing plan
for your product or service. This information should be based upon research about
similar products and/or services and should be realistic in terms of the amount of
money that will be available for this purpose. Essentially, this section will describe
how you plan to market your product or service and why this plan will be successful.
• Your competition. This section should provide a thorough analysis of your
competition for your identified market and explain the measures you will take to
gain an advantage over that competition.
• Your funding request. This section should detail the amount of funds you are asking
for and how it will be spent. You should also show the kind of return on investment
you plan to provide GEV. This information should be based on research about
similar products or companies or at least clearly stated, realistic assumptions about
financial issues. Since this is not a finance or accounting course, you will just be
expected to estimate the large capital costs, such as equipment and land purchases,
and rent, labor, marketing, and distribution costs. You don’t need to worry about
insurance, supplies, utilities, etc.
One of the assumptions of persuasive speaking is that you pay considerable attention to
building credibility through establishment of your expertise and knowledge about your topic,
demonstration of the quality of your thought (logic and organization), and focus on your
audience’s interests and concerns. You will be expected to demonstrate all of these aspects of
credibility in order to be judged adequately persuasive in your presentation. An additional
aspect of credibility that you will be expected to achieve is your ability to convey a
professional image through your dress, confidence, and the correctness of your language
usage. You will also need to provide relevant, high quality evidence to ensure that your
presentation is the most persuasive.
NOTE: Each team member should be assigned an equitable share of the performance.
In addition to your presentation, you should turn in a paper version of your PowerPoint
slides. Your PowerPoint slides will be graded for the following:
NOTE: The PowerPoint slides should not be used to deliver the text of your presentation. It is
important that you remember the difference between information that is best presented in
written form versus oral form. Generally, speaking detailed information should be presented
in written form while “the big picture” is presented in a presentation situation.
• Description of the company and its product or service. You should briefly discuss
your organization—its location and the number of employees—as well as your
product or service and how it will be produced, delivered, and priced.
• Market for the product or service. This section should discuss the market for your
product or service, demonstrating its sales potential. This information should be
based upon research about similar products and/or services and/or at least clearly
stated assumptions.
• Market plan for the product or service. This section should provide a marketing plan
for your product or service. This information should be based upon research about
similar products and/or services and should be realistic in terms of the amount of
money that will be available for this purpose.
• Your competition. This section should provide a thorough analysis of your
competition for your identified market and explain the measures you will take to
gain an advantage over that competition.
• Your funding request. This section should detail the amount of funds you are asking
for and how it will be spent. You should also address the return on investment that
GEV might expect. This information should be based on research about similar
products or companies or at least clearly stated, realistic assumptions about financial
data. Since this is not a finance or accounting course, you will just be expected to
estimate the large capital costs, such as equipment and land purchases, and rent,
labor, marketing, and distribution costs. You don’t need to worry about insurance,
supplies, utilities, etc.
Just like your oral presentation, you should ensure that your written proposal is well
organized, which means that you should include
• An introduction that sets the tone for your proposal, states the purpose of the
proposal, and provides a brief yet informative overview of the topics your
proposal will cover.
• Paragraphs that are focused on a single topic and begin with an accurate topic
sentence.
• Headings, if deemed appropriate.
• A strong and effective sales conclusion.
You should also pay attention to providing the evidence necessary to persuade your
audience that your proposed service or product is the best choice for GEV’s investment.
1
Powerpoint
2
Rockonomics
3
Rockonomics
4
Rockonomics
5
PC Pitstop
6
PC Pitstop
7
Powerpoint
8
Value to
9
Value to
10
Value to
11
PC Pitstop
12
Powerpoint
As the ConcertTV channel will originally only be released in the greater Los
Angeles area, our strategy for marketing this channel will be very specific to the Los
Angeles environment. The marketing segment of this paper will be split into two
components, the first examining the way in which we will be marketing the ConcertTV
channel to our potential viewers and the second taking a look at how we will be
positioning the product as a desirable advertising venue for advertisers and venues alike.
With the advertising plan set forth in the following paragraphs, we are sure that
advertisers.
The audience we will be reaching towards for viewers will be slightly different
from what other channels of similar genre have targeted. For example, while MTV, the
famous Music Television network, targets a trendy audience between the ages of 14-34
(although most of their viewers are under 22), we will be targeting a slightly older, less
trendy market. ConcertTV will position itself as a channel unlike any of the others, with
music outside of the mainstream for viewers who don’t want to be seen as trendy. Our
marketing team will begin its campaign with advertisements at concert venues around the
greater Los Angeles area. In doing this we will be reaching our target audience, i.e. those
who enjoy watching concerts. More importantly, our adverts at will be placed in venues
at which we are recording or where viewer-submitted videos were taped. With this
strategy, we will reach devoted music listeners who are interested in the material we will
be airing. For those who don’t attend concerts regularly, and are less devoted to music,
we will be using endorsements by recording artists, most of whom will be known in the
concert venues, our team will make it clear that this advertising strategy works in favor of
both parties. Just like radio spurred more interest in the music industry, and later music
trading online spurred an increase in committed music fans with more knowledge of less-
known artists, a television channel featuring concerts will increase awareness of the Los
Angeles area concert scene and increase ticket sales of lesser-known concerts. Research
has shown that in recent years there has been a significant increase in the number of
music enthusiasts and casual listeners, and an overall decrease in the number of people
indifferent to the music world (see Figure 1).1 This increase comes at a time when the
US has seen a significant increase in the amount of music downloaded online. This
concept alone will convince concert venue operators, who receive a cut of ticket sales, to
sponsor ConcertTV with venue advertisements in order to increase the presence of our
channel and increase ticket sales for their venue in return. Furthermore, recording artists
should be more than happy to develop the presence of ConcertTV. Increased concert
sales will boost the income of recording artists outside of the top five percent of artists in
the industry. Concert sales are very important to recording artists. In fact, only four of
the top 35 earning recording artists make more from recording than from live shows.
Among these top 35, the ratio of live earnings to earnings from recordings is 7.5 to 1.
Nonetheless, while live shows are essential to recording artists, the top five percent of
artists earn 84% of the total ticket sales for concerts (see Figure 2).2 Stratification in this
industry being so strong, lesser-known recording artists would more than welcome the
1
Fero, Richard, comp. Project Phoenix. 2006. Emap Advertising. 22 Nov. 2006
<http://www.emapadvertising.com/>.
2
Connolly, Marie, and Alan B. Krueger. Rockonomics: the Economics of Popular Music.
Pinceton University. Princeton UP.
With this advertising strategy in mind, the venue through which artists-promoted
advertising will be pushed through will be discussed. The media giant Clear Channel
proposing advertising for ConcertTV to Clear Channel, our team will make clear that, as
mentioned earlier, our channel will increase general interest in music. For Clear Channel,
who owns thousands of radio stations coast-to-coast, increase in music interest holds
clear value. Further, studies have recently shown that most people in our target age
group go to the Internet or their friends for information about the music world (see Figure
our target audience. Direct advertisement to our audience will likely be done on college
campuses, where much of our target audience resides. With a small group of
representatives on college campuses all over the greater Los Angeles area, we will be
able to spread the word about the offerings of ConcertTV and increase credibility be
creating a ‘buzz’ on college campuses about the listings on our channel. In addition,
similar studies have shown that those who regularly attend concerts are considerably
more likely to download music online (see Figure 4).5 As our audience seems to be more
tech-savvy than others, we will be catering to their online abilities by offering concerts
3
Connolly, Marie, and Alan B. Krueger. Rockonomics: the Economics of Popular Music.
Pinceton University. Princeton UP.
4
Digital Music Survey. PC Pitstop. PC Pitstop, 2006.
5
Digital Music Survey. PC Pitstop. PC Pitstop, 2006.
such as iTunes. Using a service such as iTunes would also further increase awareness of
from the 20 to 40 age group. Even so, our team will be marketing this channel as a state-
considered by many to be the new wave of Cable television. Our offerings, unlike
traditional music channels such as MTV, will highlight lesser-known artists in order to
increase awareness of these smaller artists and appeal to our viewers. After all, music
listeners are becoming more involved in music6 and would like to be more involved in
the music world; In order to become more involved in music, these listeners must
discover new artists, which is exactly what ConcertTV is giving them the ability to do.
In the next segment of the marketing portion of this paper, our appeal to
advertisers themselves must be analyzed. While there are few exact substitutes for our
regards to our appeal to advertisers that are likely to reflect our own appeal. One of the
more striking statistics is that viewers of MTV are 3 times more likely than the general
population to have household incomes over $75,000. For advertisers, this means that
advertising on MTV, or ConcertTV for that matter, will result in knowledge of your
product or service among those more likely to have the funds for purchasing the
advertiser’s product or service. Furthermore, those who are the median age of MTV
viewers, 20 years of age, are at the age most likely to form brand loyalties. This is very
6
Fero, Richard, comp. Project Phoenix. 2006. Emap Advertising. 22 Nov. 2006
<http://www.emapadvertising.com/>.
decisions based on brand names. Even more, the 12 to 43 age group, which is slightly
broader than ConcertTV’s target audience, represents 41% of all retail shopping dollars.7
While appealing to a slightly narrower age group may seem to be a disadvantage to our
appeal to advertisers, the older ages of our target age group is actually an advantage for
some advertisers. MTV has tried in the past to advertise alcohol products to its audience,
but has run into many problems as a result of the under-21 age group most likely to watch
MTV. ConcertTV eliminates this problem by appealing to an older, above-21 age group
that is more likely to attend concerts of the genre promoted by our channel. Without the
venue through which they can reach this audience without dealing with the issues that
MTV has had. On the other end of the age spectrum, we have topped off our target
audience at age 40 because, although those over 35 are less likely to attend concerts, they
7
"MTV Music Television Profile." Cable TV Ad Buraeu. Cable Network Information. 22
Nov. 2006 <http://www.cabletvadburaeu.com>.
8
Fero, Richard, comp. Project Phoenix. 2006. Emap Advertising. 22 Nov. 2006
<http://www.emapadvertising.com/>.
Figure 1:
Figure 2:
Figure 3:
Figure 4:
Figure 5:
Prepared By:
Jaspaul Kapoor
Keith Parker
Jeffrey Urlich
Overview
TV Channel
We are planning to finance and establish a TV Channel, ConcertTV, which will
exclusively feature live music footage. Concert TV (or The Channel) will air a range of
video, ranging from amateur to high quality productions, covering a wide spectrum of
artists. The Channel will target a young, media savvy audience and focus heavily on this
key demographic. The Channel will rotate playtime between youth-oriented music
including:
• Hip-hop
• Rap
• Alternative rock
• Classic rock
• Jazz
• Reggae
It will be available only in high definition through HDNet and will be distributed by
Time Warner in the Greater Los Angeles Area.
Website
The Channel will be implemented with an ancillary website, ConcertTV.com, which will
supplement the programming while also providing an outlet to watch and download
concert footage on a 24 hour, on-demand basis. Selected programming on The Channel
will available to consumers through the website and can be downloaded onto an iPOD or
other media device. The website and television channel will actively promote each other
using a virtuous cycle of cross promotion to maximize total viewer ship.
Location
Los Angeles
Initially, The Channel will only be available in the Los Angeles area but will eventually
expand nationally. We are focusing on the Los Angeles market due to the relatively lower
start-up costs compared to a national approach. By focusing on a strong market such as
Los Angeles, we feel that we can solidify a business model that will allow for expansion
at an optimal and efficient level. Los Angeles is an ideal market for The Channel for two
primary reasons:
• The city has a large, young population
• It is a major center for recording labels, artists, etc.
Demographics
The city’s demographics fit into our business model well as a result of its large, young
population. It is the second most populous city in the United States with over 13 million
people living in the Greater Los Angeles Area. Furthermore, we believe that it is
paramount to focus on a location with a relatively young population. Statistics prove that
Los Angeles has a young population compared with other major US cities. According to
Census 2000, 37.7% of the population is under 24 years of age. For comparison, New
York City’s percentage of people under 24 is 34.2%. While the median age in New York
is 34, it is 32 in Los Angeles. The youth driven culture of Los Angeles is essential to the
success of our product, as we are targeting an age demographic of 14-24 years old.
Industry Exposure
The second driver affecting our decision to focus on Los Angeles is the city’s status as
the entertainment capital of the United States. Symbolically, the city is renowned for
iconic entertainment symbols including Universal Studios, Sunset Boulevard, and
Hollywood.
In practice, the city is a melting pot of aspiring artists and record labels. Thousands of
young musicians flock to LA from around the country creating a rich culture of new
musical styles and millions of eager fans. Furthermore, the majority of major record
labels have either headquarters or major offices in Los Angeles. It is essential for The
Channel to surround itself with key players in the music industry in order to form
beneficial relationships and establish proximity to decision makers. We believe that Los
Angeles is an ideal location because we strongly value the city’s rich musical landscape
and the presence of the recording industry in general.
Employees
Initially, the Channel will operate with a very limited staff to reduce start-up costs. The
Channel will serve to obtain, edit, and broadcast live musical performances but will not
be directly involved with production. In this respect, The Channel will follow the
successful business model of MTV. The Channel will contact record labels, artists, and
promoters to obtain video footage free of charge. In exchange for receiving the rights to
broadcast footage, artists will benefit from additional exposure and promotion. This
mutually beneficial relationship allows The Channel to avoid programming and
production costs that other networks experience. The Channel will maintain the right to
edit video footage so will require a broadcasting/editing staff of approximately five
people.
Following the initial launch of The Channel, we will use retained earnings to expand our
production capabilities. The Channel will eventually sponsor and film its own concerts;
however, this will occur later in the business plan and will not be financed by venture
capital.
In addition to our small broadcasting team, we will require fully staffed marketing,
accounting, and managerial teams. The Channel’s overall staff will not be more than 20
people although this will increase rapidly during the latter stages of expansion. This
number does not include expenses related to our “grass roots” marketing campaigns
because these are part-time/volunteer employees (see section: Marketing Plan).
Product
Overview
The Channel’s live feed will be controlled directly by our team of broadcasting
specialists. It will be available in 1080i HD, the best quality of high definition. We will
broadcast using the platform of Time Warner Cable in Los Angeles. Although not
everyone has access to HD technology, we firmly believe that our network’s success is
tied to the utilization of the newest technologies available. Young consumers are hungry
for the latest technological innovations, especially concerning media and entertainment.
Due to the fact that our target audience is heavily engaged in music and emerging
technologies, we believe it is essential to offer the highest quality, most innovative
product.
Distribution
We will use HDNet technology and Time Warner Distribution to broadcast The Channel.
HDNet is the first national network to broadcast exclusively in high definition. It
produces more hours of HD sports, news and entertainment programming than any other
network. In line with estimates at Standard & Poor’s, we believe that high definition is a
quickly growing market that will soon become the standard for all cable broadcasts. S&P
estimates that within 5 years, the majority of broadcasting will be done exclusively in
high definition. In fact, DirecTV plans to make high definition available to 76% of its
customer base by the end of
2006!1
Broadcast
The Channel will broadcast with
a 24-hour live feed from our
studio. The programming will be
controlled by our
broadcasting/editing team. It will
be scheduled with a framework
of consistency but can be altered
at our discretion. For example,
we will broadcast an hour of
classic rock concerts everyday at
4:00 PM but maintain the
1
Anobi, Tuna. Industry Surveys: Broadcasting, Cable, & Satellite. Standard & Poors.
June 15, 2006.
Production
Initially, we will not produce any of The Channel’s programming. We will obtain footage
from artists and record labels to assemble daily play lists. The relationship between The
Channel and record labels will be mutually beneficial like the MTV business model.
Record labels will provide us with concert footage and will receive exposure and
publicity through our broadcasts.
Price
The price of our product to consumers is free. We will generate revenue through
advertisements and sponsors just like all cable television channels. Time Warner
customers will receive The Channel through their regular cable subscription at no extra
cost to the consumer. The Channel’s most significant cost will be to access the Time
Warner/HDNet platform which we have estimated to cost around $5 million (see section:
Funding Request).
The Market
Young Target Market
The Channel will be available to every cable subscriber in the Greater Los Angeles Area;
however, we are specifically marketing to teenagers and young adults between the ages
of 12 and 24, although younger adults between 24 and 40 will be targeted as well.
There are 13 million people living in the Los Angeles Area. According to Census 2000,
37.7% of this population is 24 or under. We can accurately assume that approximately
half of this falls into our target demographic of ages 12-24. Therefore, we can estimate
our target market to be about 1.82 million people. It should be noted that while be are
targeting this market, The Channel will also be available to millions of other consumers.
Our customer base is very large and attractive to sponsors due to the high potential for
advertising.
We must be realistic and understand that not all young people in Los Angeles will watch
The Channel or even care about music. However, we can maintain a steady audience of
almost 200,000 viewers assuming that we appeal to 10% of our target demographic. This
is still a huge pool of viewers presenting enormous value to advertisers and sponsors.
MTV Comparison
MTV Networks, a subsidiary of Viacom, initially targeted a similar demographic;
however, much has changed over its 25 year history. The network now primarily airs
self-produced shows with a goal to retain mature audiences through content that lessens
the importance of music and emphasizes drama. The channel will seek to attract
audiences that have grown weary of the overly produced and corporate stigma of MTV.
We will accomplish this goal by emphasizing the importance of the actual music and by
providing exposure to genres not heard on MTV. We are seeking to attract a young, anti-
MTV audience that places value on original music instead of contrived entertainment.
Marketing Plan
Overview
As The Channel will originally be released in Los Angeles, our strategy for marketing
this channel will be very specific to the Los Angeles environment. The marketing
segment of this paper will be split into two components:
• Examining how we will market The Channel to viewers
• Positioning of The Channel as a desirable advertising venue for advertisers and
venues alike.
With the advertising plan set forth in the following paragraphs, we are sure that The
Channel will be successful in promoting its image to viewers and appealing to
advertisers.
For those who don’t attend concerts regularly, we will be using endorsements by
recording artists, most of who will be known in the music scene but probably not in the
widespread media. In order to gain these celebrity endorsements and advertising
possibilities at concert venues, our team will make it clear that this advertising strategy
favors both parties. The Channel will increase awareness of the Los Angeles area concert
scene and increase ticket sales, just like how online music has spurred an increase in
available music, especially for lesser known bands.
Research shows that there has been a significant increase in the number of music
enthusiasts and casual listeners in recent years, and decrease in the number of people
indifferent to the music world.2 This increase comes at a time when the US has seen a
significant increase in
music downloaded online.
This concept will convince
venue operators, who
receive a cut of ticket sales,
to sponsor The Channel
with advertisements in
order to increase ticket
sales. Furthermore, artists
will want to develop the
2
Fero, Richard, comp. Project Phoenix. 2006. Emap Advertising. 22 Nov. 2006
<http://www.emapadvertising.com/>.
3
Connolly, Marie, and Alan B. Krueger. Rockonomics: the Economics of Popular Music.
Pinceton University. Princeton UP.
The media giant Clear Channel controls 41% of concert promotion, so it will be essential
to work deals through them to gain exposure.4
In proposing advertisements to Clear Channel,
we will make clear that our channel will
increase general interest in music. Clear
Channel, which who owns thousands of radio
stations coast-to-coast, benefits
from increased interest in
music.
4
Connolly, Marie, and Alan B. Krueger. Rockonomics: the Economics of Popular Music.
Pinceton University. Princeton UP.
5
Digital Music Survey. PC Pitstop. PC Pitstop, 2006.
6
Digital Music Survey. PC Pitstop. PC Pitstop, 2006.
Marketing to Advertisers
While we have few direct competitors, analysis of MTV will provide statistical
information in regards to our appeal to advertisers. One of the more striking statistics is
that viewers of MTV are 3 times more likely than the general population to have
household incomes over $75,000. This means that advertising on MTV, or The Channel,
will result in knowledge of a product or service among wealthy consumers. Furthermore,
those who are the median age of MTV viewers, 20, are at the age most likely to form
brand loyalties. This is very important to advertisers wishing to establish brand loyalty,
as 69% of consumers make decisions based on brand names. Even more, the 12 to 43
age group, which is slightly broader than The Channel’s target audience, represents 41%
of all retail shopping dollars.7
7
"MTV Music Television Profile." Cable TV Ad Buraeu. Cable Network Information. 22
Nov. 2006 <http://www.cabletvadburaeu.com>.
8
Fero, Richard, comp. Project Phoenix. 2006. Emap Advertising. 22 Nov. 2006
<http://www.emapadvertising.com/>.
Competition
A business plan like Concert TV is not entirely unprecedented, other television stations,
like MTV and VH1 (both now owned by Viacom), tried similar ideas in earlier stages to
successfully supplement their viewing audiences. What offers us a competitive edge is
that no one is offering this sort of service or product because the nature of our business is
so unique. We will attract a myriad of performers from a variety of different genres at
their respective venues, as well as places like schools where a high number of young
people will learn about Concert TV.
Not only will we allow up and coming artists and bands to send in footage of their
performances to potentially be played during a designated time slot, we will send camera
crews to record footage of already established artists to air at a later time. Our closest
form of competition would fit loosely under the umbrella of various video music outlets
like MTV, VH1, YouTube and MySpace.
Funding Request
Overview
In our society, businesses have the ability to produce sizeable cash flows if they can do
one of two things: offering a useful product or service or improving upon someone else’s
idea. The Channel is an innovative idea that will appeal to the massive demographic of
teenaged to middle aged Americans. Starting with the greater Los Angeles area, we will
cater to a market that is disproportionately saturated with younger people, who also tend
to spend the most money, especially for entertainment related purchases.
We have developed an idea that will produce sizeable and steadily increasing cash flows,
while requiring only minimal levels of capital investment and overhead costs. Most of
our costs in the preliminary stages will involve producing a high definition channel and
purchasing the rights to air certain videos and other costs involved with avoiding
copyright infringement. We will only require funding to maintain liquidity for a few
months after which we will be able to successfully capture our targeted demographic in
Los Angeles and will use that momentum to help us grow in other areas. Eventually this
plan will become lucrative enough to be attractive to other telecom and media giants like
Viacom.
Comparable Transactions
Though information about acquisition costs for mature television businesses is rather
limited, recent television channel sales have ranged from $160 MM to $600 MM;
however, these were from a variety of different countries where the viewing audience
was probably much smaller. Thus, one must conservatively analyze these figures because
they might have similar margins and returns but the rates of growth will ultimately be
lower. The Channel has much greater potential for growth than many of these other
channels, so we would gauge our value significantly higher.
In the end, one must also bring into account that no other television company is really
offering a product/service like ConcertTV’s. Whether we try to grow independently and
capture a piece of the television and media market share or seek to be acquired by a
larger company, we are confident that we will be able to produce value with this
company in the next few years.
Funding Required
The costs associated with production of an HD channel, purchase of rights, and coverage
of any extraneous legal fees is a very dynamic set of variables, and it is difficult to arrive
at a safe estimate. We spoke with Collette Carey, Director of Media and PR at HDNet,
and she said that given our circumstances and strategy, the launch of an HD channel of
this sort in the greater Los Angeles area could cost up to or around $5 million. Although
we have low levels of overhead, we will also need some additional cash for initial capital
investments and some liquidity to help fuel our growth more rapidly. An additional $5
million would easily cover our overhead, capital expenditures, and employee salaries for
a couple years until we have more momentum. We are requesting a net investment of $10
million, and after a time horizon between 5 and 10 years we believe we will become
viable acquisition candidates in this industry. Regardless, The Channel will provide
lucrative cash flow generation for the company and increase shareholder value
significantly.
Jeffrey Urlich
Keith Parker
Jaspaul Kapoor
Employees Product
No Production Staff = Low Start-up Costs Broadcast in 1080i High Definition
Staff of 20 (broadcasting, marketing, Use HDNet Technology & Time Warner
accounting, management) Distribution
Highest Quality, Most Used Hi-Def Platform
1
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
BUAD-302: Final Project
Page 47
Product Price
24-hour Live Feed Free to Consumers!
Part of Basic Cable Plan
The Market
Young Audience
1.82 Million in Los Angeles Area
Anti-MTV
Marketing
2
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
BUAD-302: Final Project
Page 48
Advertising
Clear Channel
Controls 41% of Concert Promotion
Internet and Word-of-Mouth
Stress Online Advertisements
College Campuses
3
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
BUAD-302: Final Project
Page 49
Appeal To Advertisers
MTV For Statistical Information
High Income Of Viewers
Age For Developing Brand Loyalty
Competition and
12-43 Age Group Represents 41% Of
Retail Dollars
Funding Request
4
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
BUAD-302: Final Project
Page 50
Funding Request
Steady Cash Flow Growth
Viable Acquisition Candidate and
Potential to Go Public within a five to
ten year Horizon
Appeal to a Large and Quickly Growing
Thank You
Demographic
5
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
GSBA 511 http://www-rcf.usc.edu/~amarino/buad351.htm
BUAD-351: Syllabus
Page 51
Course Information
The lecture notes for the course will be available as a course reader and on my web page in
pdf form.
Grading Scheme:
1. Introduction.
c. Mathematics Review - LN 2.
a. The Consumer's Choice Problem and the Derivation of an Individual's Demand - Ch 3 and LN 3.
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Keith Parker, University of Southern California
GSBA 511 http://www-rcf.usc.edu/~amarino/buad351.htm
BUAD-351: Syllabus
Page 52
a. Production Theory- Ch 6 and LN 6.
4. Perfect Competition
5. Imperfect Competition
Tentative Schedule
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Keith Parker, University of Southern California
GSBA 511 http://www-rcf.usc.edu/~amarino/buad351.htm
BUAD-351: Syllabus
Page 53
17 T 10/17 Monopoly, 5.a Ch10 LN9
18 Th 10/19 Monopoly, 5.a Ch10 LN9
19 T 10/24 Review and DQ 2 Due ****** ****** ******
20 Th 10/26 Midterm 2****** ****** ******
21 T 10/31 Monopsony, 5.a and Pricing, 5.b Ch10,Ch11,Ch14 LN9, LN10
1. The goal of this course is to provide the student with an understanding of the operation of a system of
prices and markets in determining an allocation of resources in a market economy. We will discuss the
properties of such an allocation and the circumstances under which a market system can not provide an
efficient allocation.
2. In our description of the market economy, various sectors or decision making units will be modeled.
For example, we will describe the derivation of market demand through a theory of consumer behavior
and choice. We will describe the production technology and cost structure of the firm in an effort to
characterize the market supply schedule. We will discuss market supply under different market
organizations, pricing strategy and the economics of competitive strategy. Finally, we will provide a
complete discussion of decision making, demand and supply in input or resource markets. We will also
discuss asymmetric information and public goods.
3. The above decision making problems will provide the student with a foundation for the study of
choice in many areas of business. For example, the economics of consumer choice underlies much of
modern marketing strategy, including pricing, segmentation and advertising. The theory of the firm
contributes to a sound understanding of cost accounting as well as production and location decisions.
Economic analysis of intertemporal decisions and behavior in a risky environment form the foundation
of finance. Finally, the study of market failure and industrial structure is necessary for an understanding
of government's role in a market economy and the political environment for business..
4. This course is designed to examine all of the areas in which microeconomic reasoning is a necessary
basis for making informed business decisions. With this course you should be able to apply
microeconomic analysis to issues of real world interest both within and beyond the area of business.
3 of 4 10/21/06 5:38 PM
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
GSBA 511 http://www-rcf.usc.edu/~amarino/buad351.htm
BUAD-351: Syllabus
Page 54
Discussion Questions
1. Discussion Questions 1 for 10 AM Section. Answers DQ1 10 AM. Discussion Questions 1 for 2
PM Section. Answers DQ1 2 PM. Due on or before Tuesday, 9/19 at the beginning of class.
2. Discussion Questions 2 for 10 AM Section. Discussion Questions 2 for 2PM Section. Due on or
before Thursday, 10/24 at the beginning of class.
1. 2 PM Section
2. 10 AM Section
Formulas
4 of 4 10/21/06 5:38 PM
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
BUAD-351: Notes
Page 55
BUAD-351 8/24/06 2:06 PM
End of Chapter 1
On to Math review Chapter 2
• Marginal functions
• Marginal principle
• Average functions
• ...
Introduction
• Strategy variables
Elasticity
• The most important measure in empirical work
• The elasticity is the ratio of the % change in the dependent variable
to the % change in the independent variable
• Elasticity has no units, it's a ratio of percentages
•
Arc elasticity:
Delta-Q: Change in Quantity; Delta-P: Change in Price
On the bottom: Average Price and Average Quantity
The MRS represents the absolute value of the slope of the iso-quant at a
point
Marginal benefit of the good on the horizontal axis (divided by) marginal
benefit of the good on the vertical axis (equals) MRS
C=P1X1 + P2X2
• C=Cost; P=Price; X=Good used (i.e. Capital or Labor)
Representation of R
• Definition: A utility function represents a consumer’s preferences if
for any commodity bundles x and y, xPy implies u(x) > u(y) and
x|y implies u(x) = u(y)
• Representation Theorem: If the preference relation R satisfies A.1
and A.2, then there exists a utility function representing
preferences
The MRS
• Definition: The MRS between good one and two is defined as the
amount of good two the consumer is willing to give up for one more
unit of good one along an indifference curve. It is given by a
formula that should be in the notes
Demands
• Solve (1) and (2) for x1 and we have Marshallian demands
• For either I, fix all other prices and income and vary own price.
This gives us simple demand.
Price subsidy
• New budget: I=(p-s)H+M
• New equilibrium: (Hs, Ms)
• Cost to the firm: Ms-A=(I-A)-(I-Ms) = [pHs-(p-s)Hs]=sHs
In-kind subsidy
Course Objectives: Since the end of the Cold War, and the collapse of state socialism, a dramatic
international experiment has been underway: the attempted transition of some two dozen countries from
centrally planned, one-party systems to free-market democracy. The West’s stake in their success is
great—whether they will become stable, prosperous neighbors and trade partners, or languish in poverty
and corruption while exporting only refugees, criminals, drugs, and perhaps chemical or nuclear weapons.
The questions we will be addressing include: Have the prescriptions of the IMF and other international
lending agencies helped or hurt? Has Russia finally found the path to steady growth? Why have some
Central European and Baltic countries done so much better? Can regional integration, or new oil wealth,
save the failing states of Central Asia and the Caucasus? And in what political, cultural, and historical
circumstances is democratization a help—or a hindrance—to building a market economy?
Course Format: This is primarily a lecture course, though there will also be a significant discussion
component. In addition, these will be punctuated by occasional guest speakers or video presentations.
The general pattern will be lecture for the first 45-50 minutes of each meeting, followed by a discussion
and Q & A period. There will also be two exams and a research paper (see below for details).
Course Requirements: One is to be an active participant, not only in discussions and assigned
presentations but first and foremost by timely completion of the reading assignments; without this,
successful engagement with the ideas and information vital to understanding post-communist political
economy is impossible. The assignments are from several books (available at the University bookstore),
an instructor-compiled reader (available for sale) and electronically (on Blackboard or by e-mail, as noted).
Daniel Gros and Alfred Steinherr, Economic Transition in Central and Eastern Europe:
Planting the Seeds (Cambridge University Press, 2004)
Dale Herspring, ed., Putin’s Russia: Past Imperfect, Future Uncertain (Rowman &
Littlefield, 2005)
Juliet Johnson, A Fistful of Rubles: The Rise and Fall of the Russian Banking System
(Cornell University Press, 2000)
In addition to the assigned readings, there will be occasional instructor-supplied handouts (available only
in class on one day—if you miss class, it is your responsibility to copy or borrow these articles from
colleagues) as the fast-changing nature of post-Soviet and East European political economy dictates.
Finally, your attention will occasionally be directed to various websites and on-line sources of news and
information. These will be particularly helpful in preparing your research papers, and a number of the most
respected websites on post-Soviet and East European affairs are listed on the next page.
There will also be two exams—one in-class, one final—that together will make up a large portion of your
final grade. Finally, the single most important assignment is a 15-20 page research paper. This presents an
opportunity to explore in detail one or another issue of interest (see below) as well as giving you a product
that can be helpful in future internship, job, or graduate school applications. Needless to say, in all these
assignments strict adherence to the honor code is expected and violations will be dealt with harshly.
Class Participation: Ideally, our discussion periods will be spontaneous and free-flowing, an opportunity to
raise questions and debate interpretations of issues that come up in readings and lectures. But owing to a
common tendency toward procrastination in reading, as well as to variations in students’ volubility and prior
experience, such discussions are often dominated by a small number of voices. To counter this tendency,
each student will be required no later than 10:00 am each Tuesday to e-mail the instructor a paragraph that
critiques one or more of the readings, or raises a question relating the readings to some issue mentioned in
lecture. This practice is meant both to encourage timely reading and to serve as a basis for our discussions
(meaning that I may call on students to elaborate on their written critiques in order to stimulate a larger
conversation). Together these two elements—weekly e-mail critiques, and contributions to class
discussions—will comprise the “participation” portion of your grade.
Research Papers: Here you are expected to produce a serious work of political-economic analysis, based on
research that includes at least 15 sources—books, journal and other periodical articles, reputable websites,
etc. Many will choose to do a “country study,” analyzing the political-economic performance of any one
post-communist country. Others may decide to compare two states, or focus on a regional issue such as
Caspian Sea oil or Baltic economic integration. Topics will be chosen in consultation with the instructor, and
deadlines for proposals, outlines, etc. are noted in the course schedule. Extensions will be granted only in
cases of genuine emergency; coincidence with other academic deadlines or extracurricular events does not
constitute such an emergency.
first exam: 20 %
class participation, discussion: 15 %
research paper: 35 %
final exam: 30 %
Finally, on keeping up with changes in Russia, the former USSR, and Eastern Europe. As noted, I will
assign additional readings as events dictate. But you are also expected to stay abreast of major
developments, ideally by perusing such periodicals as Foreign Affairs and The Economist. For the more
ambitious, those with a special interest or simply seeking to get a jump on their research projects, I suggest
looking over such specialized journals as Post-Soviet Affairs, Europe-Asia Studies, Problems of Post-
Communism, World Politics and Journal of Comparative Economics.
I also recommend the websites of: Radio Free Europe-Radio Liberty (www.rferl.org); Transitions On-Line
(www.tol.cz); Eurasia Foundation (www.eurasia.org); Central European Review (www.ce-review.org); and
Johnson’s Russia List (www.cdi.org/russia/johnson). Most of these contain links to additional sources, and
some also include subscription instructions that enable you to receive daily or weekly bulletins of useful
material. For the latest studies and statistics, especially as you begin work on your research papers, the
websites of the World Bank (www.worldbank.org) and the International Monetary Fund (www.imf.org) are
also valuable.
Course Schedule
Aug 22, 24 Russia and Eastern Europe Westwood, “On the Eve,” from Endurance
Before Communism and Endeavor (Oxford, 1987)
Rothschild, “The Interwar Background,” from
Return to Diversity (Oxford, 1993)
Excerpts from Ransel, Mothers of Misery
and Troyant, Daily Life in Russia
Gros & Steinherr, Planting the Seeds, chap. 1
Aug 29, 31 The Origins and Evolution of the Aslund, Building Capitalism, chap. 1
“Command-Administrative System Tucker, “The Five-Year Plan in Four!” and “The
Making of a Rural Upheaval” from Stalin in
Power (Norton, 1990)
Gros & Steinherr, Planting the Seeds, chap. 2
Rothschild, “A Precarious Stalemate”
Sept 5, 7 Crisis, Reform, and the Collapse Aslund, Building Capitalism, chap. 2
of Soviet-style Economies Remnick, “Party Men” and “Poor Folk,” from
Lenin’s Tomb (Vintage, 1994)
Rothschild, “The Various Endgames”
Sept 12, 14 “Shock Therapy” and Efforts Toward Aslund, Building Capitalism, chaps. 3, 5, 6
Macroeconomic Stabilization; Theory Gros & Steinherr, Planting the Seeds, chap. 3
of Market-Democratic Transition Haggard and Kaufman, “Comparing Democratic
Transitions,” in The Political Economy of
Democratic Transitions (Princeton, 1995)
Stephen Cohen, “Russia-Watching Without
Russia,” in Failed Crusade (Norton, 2001)
Sept 19, 21 Privatization, Property, and the Rise Aslund, Building Capitalism, chap. 7
of the Russian “Oligarchs” Hoffmann, “Unlocking the Treasure,” from The
Oligarchs (Public Affairs, 2002)
Freeland, “Who Gets the Loot?”, “The Oligarchs:
Outsider, Apparatchik, Blueblood.” and “The
Nomad and the Impresario,” from Sale of the
Century (Crown, 2000)
Wedel, “Tainted Transactions,” Ermarth, “Seeing
Russia Plain,” The National Interest, 1999-2000
Sept 26, 28 The Yugoslav and Czecho-Slovak Doder, “Searching for Identity,” The Yugoslavs
Break-ups; German Reunification (Vintage, 1980)
Brown, “The First Yugoslav War,” The Grooves
of Change (Duke University Press, 2001)
Kraus and Stanger, eds., “Inevitability, Problems,
Possibilities” and “Assessing Economic
Performance,” chapters in Irreconcilable
Differences? Explaining Czechoslovakia’s
Dissolution (Rowman and Littlefield, 2000)
Gros & Steinherr, Planting the Seeds, chap. 6
Oct 10, 12 Ukraine, Central Asia, the Caucasus; Selections from Transition on Ukraine, Moldova,
Crime, Corruption, Capital Flight Central Asia and the Caucasus
Gros & Steinherr, Planting the Seeds, chap. 7
Handelman, “The Russian Mafiya,” Foreign
Affairs, March-April 1994
Glinkina, Rutland and Kogan, et al., “The Ominous
Landscape of Russian Corruption” and other
selections from Transitions, March 1998
http://www.transparency.com (corruption reports)
Oct. 17 Factory and Farm; Labor and Welfare Aslund, Building Capitalism, chap. 8
Selections on agriculture from Transitions
Kubicek, “Organized Labor in Postcommunist
* NB: Midterm October 19 * States,” Comparative Politics, 1999
Herspring, ed., Putin’s Russia: Past Imperfect,
Future Uncertain, chaps. 6, 8
Oct 24, 26 Banking and Payments, Financial and Johnson, A Fistful of Rubles, chaps. 1-4, 6
Legal Structures; Democracy and the Gustafson, “Toward the Rule of Law,” from
Rule of Law Capitalism, Russian-Style (Cambridge, 1999)
Hellman, “Winners Take All,” World Politics,1998
Guriev, “The Role of Oligarchs,” Journal of
Economic Perspectives, Winter 2005
Oct 31, Nov 2 Center-Regional Ties and the Erosion Aslund, Building Capitalism, chap. 9
of State Authority; Drug Barons and Kirkow, “Regional Warlordism in Russia,”
Warlords Europe-Asia Studies, 1995
Johnson, A Fistful of Rubles, chap. 5
Selections from Transitions on regional barons
Herspring, ed., Putin’s Russia, chap. 12
Nov 7, 9 The August 1998 Ruble Collapse and Johnson, A Fistful of Rubles, chaps. 7, 8
Aftermath; Putin’s Political-Economic “Surviving the Apocalypse,” from Transitions
Reforms “What Went Wrong in Russia?”, symposium in
Journal of Democracy, 1999
Herspring, ed., Putin’s Russia , chaps 2-4, 7, 9
Gros & Steinherr, Planting the Seeds, chap. 8
Nov 14, 16 Central Europe and the European Garnett, “Europe’s Crossroads,” in Mandelbaum,
Union; Postwar Reconstruction in ed., The New Russian Foreign Policy
The Balkans Selections on EU enlargement from Transitions,
Central European Review, et al.
Gross & Steinher, Planting the Seeds, chaps 5, 9-10
Smolansky, “Fuel, Credit, and Trade: Ukraine’s
Economic Dependence on Russia,” Problems
of Post-Communism, 1999
http://www.europa.eu.int/comm/enlargement/report2005
“Transnational Crime and Conflict in the Balkans,”
* NB: Nov 17—prelim. bibliography due* excerpts from special issue of Problems of Post-
Communism (June 2005)
On postwar issues and the Balkan Stability Pact see
www.crisisweb.org and www.stabilitypact.org
Nov 21 The New Geopolitics of Caspian Oil; Collection on Oil, Central Asia and the Caucasus
from Transitions
Rutland, “Paradigms for Russian Policy” in Ebel &
Menon, eds., Energy and Conflict in Central Asia
* Nov 23 – Thanksgiving Holiday * and the Caucasus (Lanham, 2000)
Cummings, ed., Oil, Transition and Security in
Central Asia (Routledge, 2003), parts 1, 3-4
Excerpts from Transition on-Line, re Uzbekistan,
Kyrgyzstan, pipelines and military bases
Nov 28, 30 Transition States in the Global Aslund, Building Capitalism, chaps. 10, 11
Political Economy Brown, “Looking Outward and Inward,” in The
Grooves of Change
Amsden et al., “Pseudo-Privatization and the World
Bank,” in The Market Meets its Match
Gros & Steinherr, Planting the Seeds, chap. 11
Herspring, ed., Putin’s Russia, chaps 13, 14
Desai, “Russian Retrospectives on Reform” and
Schleifer & Triesman, “A Normal Country,” in
Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2005
Stiglitz, “Who Lost Russia?” in Globalization and
its Discontents (Norton, 2003)
Serfdom
• One bad harvest could mean starvation
• Vast area very susceptible to invasions and raids
• Nonetheless, in order to pay for the new wars and all of the
ambitions of the government, the money would come from the
peasants in serfdom. Any time more money was needed, they
squeezed more out of the peasant
o More land is given to the nobles, tax burden increases
o For the lower classes, over 80% or Russians, this is a step
backwards, even less freedom than they had before
Overview
• Russia & East-Central Europe on the Eve
• World War I
• The Bolshevik Revolution
• Civil War: Reds & Whites
• N.E.P.: Progress & Problems
• Stalin’s Triumph
Bolshevik Revolution
• Led by Lenin, very small political party, not much power and almost
no respect by other parties
• Lenin was a political genius
• Lenin stood out against the war in the beginning, which was very
dangerous politically because everybody in Russia was rallying
around the flag to kill Germans
• When the line kept being pushed back into Russia by Germany, and
millions were dying, people were staving at home as conditions got
worse and workers were working non-stop; people began seeing
things Lenin’s way
• Lenin recruited Trotsky, who had been a socialist but hadn’t joined
Lenin’s party until the war was happening
• People (workers in the cities, who made up a very small percentage
of Russia’s total population) began forming 'Soviet' parties, or
‘unions’
• Trotsky wins many of these groups over
• The Czar loses support of all of the elite groups in Russia
• Czar agrees to abdicate; leaders of the Duma form a committee
that will rule Russia temporarily until things can get organized and
somebody can be elected
• This committee splits its power between these elite groups and the
Unions (Soviets)
• Anything the Soviets don’t like, they block, they had more power
than the elite groups
• The provisional government didn't stop the war or make any land
reforms
• Lenin took over fairly easily with his followers, it was easy with
everybody still so angry
• Lenin: "Peace, Land, Bread"
• The Bolshevik revolution in October 25th
• The country dissolves into civil war
o Reds and Whites, “Whites” didn’t want the Bolsheviks, they
were a mixed group of people, including anarchists and
everybody else, clashes within this group, its hard to get all of
these kinds of people to work together
o The Whites undercut each other
Bolshevik wanted to change things to socialism, but they were still taking all
of the surpluses and much more from the peasant
• They had won the war, but were losing peace at home
Crisis of N.E.P.
• Developmental lag
• Ideological and social distaste
N.E.P. allowed for (basically) free trade, while peasants paid a simple tax
and could do whatever they wanted with any surplus
• Industrial growth got up to 500% annually
N.E.P.
• Developmental lag
o Those growth rates were made possible by taking factories
out of production, spicing them up, and re-opening them
o After a couple of years of re-opening these factories, growth
stopped
• Ideological and social distaste
o In the foreseeable future, it would still be a backwards
peasant country
o If the Bolsheviks raised taxes, total receipts went down –
hated the idea that they were at the mercy of the peasants
when it comes to tax receipt income
• Numbers showed industrial growth, but wealth was being
concentrated in the hands of a few
o The N.E.P. man – small business owners were importing cars
from abroad, eating caviar, et cetera; while other peasants
were struggling to get by
“Heroic-revolutionary” generation
• Many protested the whole N.E.P. thing, detested these new artists,
the wealth of many of these people
• By 1925, Bolsheviks numbered 7 or 8 million
Russia
Brezhnev
• “Stagnation Era” – No more turnover in politics; politics became
very stagnant
• “Gerontocracy” – The aristocracy becomes very old
• Country becomes richer due to the oil boom
• In exchange for arms control, Russia gets things from the west
such as grain and technology
• 1979 Soviets invade unstable Afghanistan
• This ends all links, west puts grain embargo on Soviets
• The military expanded rapidly under Brezhnev, a lot of money going
into nuclear technology
• More and more interest in Russia in becoming a major power in the
world
• “The land of diminishing general secretaries”
• Brezhnev doesn’t lead, he simply moderates. The military pushed
him into policy shifts
• “Nomenklatura” “Officialdom” increase their power under Brezhnev
• Corruption increased, people abused their positions because they
knew they wouldn’t lose their position
• They had many privileges
• MGU (Moscow State University) was the best school in Russia.
Corruption allowed bribes to get kids into this school
Stalin’s legacies
• People don’t work hard or innovate, because there is no incentive or
punishment for work
• The single-state-ownership idea doesn’t work
Transition overview
• 1) The painful path to a market economy (“Shock Therapy”)
• 2) Winners and losers: policies, leadership, geography, culture;
inheritance = “path dependency”
Most incentives were for raising quality, this usually decreased quality
• There weren’t more supplies for enterprises to allow them to work
extra hours, the weekends, et cetera
• Enterprise directors had to make the workers be more productive
• Factories didn’t close down if they were inefficient, there was no
where else for workers to go (no private sector)
• “Soft Budget Constraints”
• In towns, everything was part of the industrial enterprise in town
(including schools, hospitals, et cetera)
o If the factory was closed, it would also be closing all of these
schools, hospitals, fire stations, and everything else
o Had very little regard for the Chinese – also some racism and
long-standing dispute
Inflation
• “Monetary overhang:” people had a lot of money, people were
holding on to it under the communist regime; when prices were
freed, all of this money came out
• Printing of money: state printed more money than it should have
(printing money to cover its own bills)
Privatization plans
• 1990-91: Early ‘Spontaneous’ privatization
o Cooperatives set up under a Gorbachev half-measure
o These companies simply stole from state enterprises, and all
these things became private property
o “Red Directors”
• 1992-93: Voucher Privatization
o Chubais: head of state privatization committee
o Privatization through vouchers, so that everybody within
country individually had opportunity (not just those with
money)
o Investment funds opening up, so people invest their vouchers
and investment companies can invest their money in
enterprises intelligently
o Most of these vouchers were traded for things like vodka or
food
• One of these investments funds, called M.M.M., founded by
Mavrodi, was very corrupt and took everybody’s money
• People’s vouchers ended up going towards these fake investment
funds, consumer goods, or the “Red Directors” who wanted to buy
their entire factory
• “Asset Stripping” – Once these Red Directors had ownership of their
factories, they would sell off the factory in pieces (The piping, the
buildings, et cetera)
Those countries with the best structural reform indexes ended up having the
highest average annual change in GDP
Privatization: Russia’s voucher program Czech Republic did this too, but a
little bit differently: state helped set up the investment funds and regulate
them
Eastern Europe wanted to rejoin the west, rejoin Europe: Russia didn’t have
a deep heritage of ‘belonging to Europe’
• People stuck it out in Eastern Europe for the end goal
• Russia didn’t trust that any of the reforms they were going through
were going to work
• Elections, Yeltsin doesn’t have much support, needs money for his
campaign and to pay salaries in arrears
• Oligarchs were very wealthy, billionaires from the years of
confusion in Russia, they came out on top
• Oligarchs: You give us controlling shares in these large SOEs, we’ll
give you money (this plan was rejected at first)
• Yeltsin: We’ll give you these shares temporarily, while you loan us
money
• Auctioned off shares, state never paid anything back, Oligarchs
have never returned the shares of these companies
• Potanin: owns a bank called ‘Oneximbank’; wins ‘Norilsk Nikel’
company at the auction (mining and smelting operations)(owns
1/4th of the world’s nickel and 1/3rd of the Cobalt) for $170 million;
this company in state hands brings in $3 billion a year in profits
• State didn’t get as much money as it should have for these things:
about $2 billion total
• This was enough for Yeltsin: his campaign was enormous, and he
did get re-elected. The loans became permanent purchases in
these industries
“Y. Experiment”
• Yugoslavia
The Yugoslav Saga
• Balkan
Tito – “self-management”
Slavic history
• Migration of the Slavs came in the 6th or 7th century AD, not as
warriors, but as a group of people who just migrated to the region
• Rise of the ‘South Slavs’
• The name Yugoslavia means ‘land of the south Slavs’
• The region is very mountainous, thus leading to the separation of
cultures, and the development of separate identities
• Religious differences
o In choosing Christianity, the Slovenians, Croats, become
identified with the Roman Catholic church
o Those to the East, Serbs, Bulgarians, became part of the
Eastern Orthodox church
• With the Ottoman empire, these two groups (the east and west)
were living under one radical government
o With this came new educational systems, roads, et cetera
• 1389 – battle of Kosovo, Serbian defeat; Croatia is just a province
at this point, while the Serbs had a genuine state
o The Serbian kingdom falls around this date at the hands of
the advancing Turkish army
• Croatians became satisfied with the Austrian-Hungarian empire,
while the Serbs suffered this occupation and often rebelled
Georgia shares a large border with Russia, also the same Orthodox Christian
religion, but language very different, as well as culture and history
When Russia loosens the reigns, Georgia (they are very nationalist) formed
their own political parties
• Almost every Georgian jumped on the bandwagon for independence
• This was troublesome for Moscow
• Georgia assumed that once they left Russia, they would get a lot of
aid from the west, but it didn’t turn out that way
• Shevardnadze returns to Georgia in 1992, elections had just
finished
• Georgia realized that they had it good under Russia, Georgia
doesn’t get cheap energy anymore, they found out that their
products aren’t very competitive on the market, and the tourist
industry disappeared
• All of the warring parties agree that Shevardnadze would make a
good president, he rules as president from 1992 until 2004
o Each time he runs, he becomes more corrupt in getting office,
stuffing ballot boxes, et cetera
• He proves incapable of settling the economy and organizing things
• Enormous amount of corruption, it was easy for him to work with
the many mafias everywhere
• Osetians and Georgians don’t get along well, or other groups in the
area, Abkhaz
• Gamsakhurdia (second president of Georgia), extreme nationalist,
made Georgians full citizens and other groups minority citizens
• Those two areas turn into no-go zones for Georgia, and even
though they are part of Georgia, they are basically different
countries
• Georgian policies are very pro-western, inviting NATO to have a
base there, et cetera
• Joined every anti Russian western group out there
• Russia supports the two areas, with economic funding and military
to fend off Georgia
Germany
• In the west, in the mid 90s, 45% of people said that Germany was
a united nation; in the east, only 15% said yes
• Older workers in the east will probably never hold a decent job
again, they don’t have any skills relevant to the high-tech west
Kaliningrad
• This was once German territory
• Became a strategic military point
• Russia maintains its hold here
• There used to be a German minority in the Baltic’s, they are gone
now
• Anybody who came to Estonia under Russia didn’t get passports,
they were second class citizens
• Russians had to pass a very hard language exam to gain full
citizenship, most of them didn’t know the Estonian language
o Also had to pass a background check
o Also had to pass a test in culture, et cetera
Checks didn’t have to worry about the Slovaks idea of slow movement from
Russian plans
• Maciar pushed for Slovak independence, after he lost presidency,
his successor led a faster move to independence
Hungary
• Hungary was once a much larger kingdom, was on the losing side of
two World Wars
Currencies, Inflation
Sources
• Poverty, difficulty of transition
• Low paid officials looking for a way to supplement their salaries
• Culture: Living under a one-party system that lied, made false
promises, et cetera, bred disrespect for the government system
Types
• Asset stripping
• Pyramid schemes going unregulated
International Dimensions
• Activities of Russian Mafia are completely international, problem has
spilled abroad
• This kind of criminal activity leaves Russia in a worse state than it
should be
• Dissatisfaction among politics is high
• Structural problems still need to be fixed to correct this corruption
and organized crime
• Russian mafia operates extensively abroad
• Director of FBI before 9/11 said Russia organized crime was
becoming the greatest threat to US security
• Russian mafia abroad exploits Russians living abroad, they are easy
to exploit – usually poor and have family back home in Russia
• There are major Russian organizing centers in 14 states, with
headquarters in major cities
Midterm
• 7 or so short answer, a few sentence questions, from a list of terms
• Will be scheduling a review to go over the material
• Review 4:30 to 5:30 on Wednesday, Monday 3 to 4:30
Ukraine
• From Black sea to central Europe, trade routes go through Ukraine
• Largest state in Eastern Europe, huge population
• 250,000 square miles
• Resources
• The weakest state, ethnically fragmented
• Politically passive rural population
• Krimean peninsula
• Stalin killed and deported many Ukrainians, ethnic Germans,
Koreans
• Lack of a consistent strategy left Ukraine weak, has been weak for
a long time
• Ukrainians vote for independence at the end of 91, after the fall of
communism
• People recognized the importance of Ukraine’s position
• Ukraine just talked about reform for three years, causing it to lag
• In ’95, only 40% of everything was in population’s hand
• In addition to political and ethnic disputes (Western Ukraine was
orientaed towards Europe and wanted to make a fast transition,
Eastern Ukraine wanted to move slower and had more ties to
Russia)
• Ukraine had a huge coal industry that was unprofitable
o It used to be subsidized by Russia, state could continue
subsidies or cause huge unemployment by letting it shut
down
• Armor production in Ukraine collapsed because there was no longer
much of a demand
• Ongoing legacy of Chernobyl, the nuclear meltdown in Ukraine
• Reforms starting after three years are even more poorly done than
in Russia
• Mafia and organized crime is even more powerful than Russia’s
• Government was even more riddled with corruption and organized
crime
• Dual exchange rates, central bank of Ukraine set an exchange rate
that was much higher than the market worth
• “Rentier-Patriarch” took advantage of this dual exchange rate to
make a profit
• Results in a period of hyperinflation and stagnation, more prolonged
than Russia, plunges people into huge misery
• About 30% of Ukrainians still live at or below the official exchange
rate
• Kravchuk begins to try and move everything to Ukrainian language
and symbols, et cetera, without Russian ties, a very decisive ethnic
decision
o This backfires in the East, turning the tables towards
conservatism
• Kuchma replaces Kravchuk, modifies this western course of action,
but still doesn’t take effective economic measures
• A half-way reform in Ukraine, half-measures, only means corruption
and organized crime becomes stronger
• Kuchma decides to tilt strongly to the west
• Ukraine is one of the first countries to join the ‘Partnership for
Peace’ and also joins ‘GUUAM’
o GUUAM: a regional organization for cooperation, under the
tutelage of the US, a pro-western Organization
• Ukraine takes part in a PFP exercise in ’98, this infuriated Russia
because it involved NATO landing on some peninsula and taking it
back from the coup
o This of course was aimed towards Russia
• At this time, 97-98, Ukraine’s policies move far to the West
• Economically, Russia is winning the battle for Ukraine’s future
direction
Yeltsin
Chechnya I: 1994-96
Major oil pipelines ran from the Caspian Sea through Chechnya
Soviet authorities of the 50s and 60s explored under the Caspian for more
oil
During Perestroika, spent most of their time on Central Europe, not too
much of a focus on the Caspian region
By the mid 90s, enormous interest in the region, with partnering countries,
discovering how much oil there might be there, and a similar political shift
At the time of the Soviet collapse, the whole Caspian region might have 7-10
billion barrels of oil, within 5 years it looked like 40 and 50 billion barrels,
today the estimate is around 250 billion barrels or more
• Proven reserves of maybe 12 billion liters of natural gas in the
region
Soviet and other oil production had historically been on shore, Chevron had
more experience in drilling under water
Politics reigned over economics in this region during the time of interest in
the mid-90s, with wars the number one issue for many of these countries
US didn’t support oil pipeline through Iran, although this was the simplest
route for getting the oil out, didn’t want to go through Russia, reduce
Russia’s near monopoly on transport routes
The first big completed post-Russia pipeline was the CPC, runs from
northeast Caspian region, through Kazakhstan and Russia, and into
Novorossiyak on the Black Sea
• Traffic in the Turkish straights, where oil has to be shipped through
to get to western Europe and other places, has more than doubled
in the last five or so years
• With new exploration, this traffic will increase even further
• Increasingly increasing spills and collisions, and even when things
are going good these huge ships clog traffic for hours
• Turkey is making a huge amount of money off of this
For two decades, only two countries bordered the Caspian, Russia and Iran,
they decided everything in bi-lateral negotiation, drew a line across the
Caspian to divide it
• Now there are three new bordering countries on the Caspian
• Could try to split it up, or adopt the international ‘Law of the Sea’
o Everybody gets a zone outside of their border
IR 439
Political Economy of Eurasia
13 October 2006
The midterm will be divided into two sections, equally weighted in grading. The
second is an essay, where you will choose one of two questions to answer. Preparation for
this requires familiarity with the main points of the lectures and readings.
IR 439
Political Economy of Eurasia
4 December 2006
The final exam will be divided into two sections, equally weighted in grading.
The second is the essay portion, where you will be given two questions to answer.
Preparation for this requires familiarity with the main points of course lectures and
readings.
The first section of the final exam consists of a number of terms or names, the
so-called “short answer” questions. You will be asked to pick a certain number and, for
each, to both identify the term and explain its significance in one substantial paragraph.
Sample terms to aid in studying are offered below.
“Arc of Instability”
- region to the south of Russia (central asia and the Caucasus)
- explosive ethnic deivisions (ex: Armenia vs. Azjebaijain; within Georgia, etc)
- region where Russia treats like its backyard, overwhelming economic
control…piece by piece taking over…much worse than the Ukraine
- Russia says its not to be imperialistic but rather as a security issue b/c so close to
Russia (ex: Chechnya)
o Fear of small Islamic revivals and mobilizations (Afghanistan is right
below)
- Many migrant workers from these countries work in Russia
- TONS OF DRUGS come through central Asia
Tsarist Legacies
- weak national identities, weak political development, scattered, nomadic people
- historically had tribal links…didn’t identify as Kazakhs or Uzbeks, etc
- nomadic…didn’t recognize borders
- IMPORTANCE: identity is important in the transition period and it didn’t exist in
central Asia
- Lenin/Stalin see chronic instability (Ottoman Empire was nearby) and didn’t want
these countries to attempt to ally with the Turkish Ottoman Empire…Islamic
o So the borders became IRON
o Stalin imposed the Cyrillic alphabet instead of the Latin or Arabic even
though it didn’t fit with most of their languages…so that they could not
read Turkish or Arabic and could not ally
- Divide and conquer…drew the borders according to loyalty to the
Bolsheviks…bad, uneven borders…angry people
Kazakhstan
- the one exception …1986…Gorbechev wanted to clean up Kazakhstan and fired
the communist boss and replaced him with one of his own reformer guys
- backfires
o Gorbechev didn’t understand ethnicity at all
o Kazakhs were angry that a Russian was taking the place of a Kazakh to
rule the country (even though the previously leader was corrupt)
o Riots ensue
- Nazarbayev took power and is still in power today
o Highly authoritarian
o But keeps getting reelected
o Kazakhstan is the wealthiest country in central Asia (b/c mostly oil)
o Doing one of the least bad…but still definitely not living up to its
potential…with its high levels of resources
o Moderate policy of dual citizenship
Uzbekistan
- ruled by Karimov…was the former Soviet Union Communist party boss
o despotic
- the poor border drawings left Uzbekistan with large minorities of Tajiks,
Kazakhs, Meskheton Turks, etc
o the most ethnically diverse and fragile
- Karimov is so autocratic…cracked down on Islamic revival
o Islamic fundamentalism is under threat
o IMU (Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan) built a small army, terrorist
attacks, etc
Side note: most central asian Muslims are Sunnis…traditionally less militant than the rest
of the Islamic world…because of their Turkish decent, rather than Persian, etc…not
much sentiment for the middle east
Tajikistan
- civil war when the Soviet Union fell
- clean groups rip the country apart
o Russia comes in to set the war down and puts their guy in power
o Russian troops are still there
- Income: $1100/year
- The worst in all of the post Soviet Union
- The greatest national income is in drugs
Kyrgistan
- lacks any resources besides the source of the rivers
- so poor…has nothing to do with them
Turkmenistan
- Turkmenbashi
o Been the leader since he was the communist party boss there
o ABSOLUTELY autocratic rule
o Real Stalinist…his cult of personality is worse than Stalin’s
o Pursued “neutrality”…kept Turkmenistan out of any of the other
countries’ affairs
- Major petroleum resources but he rules with such a soviet style that he hasn’t
allowed the country to grow to even a bit of its potential (regarding all of its
resources)
Post Mid-Term
“Banking and Payments, Financial and Legal Structures; Democracy and the Rule of
Law”
“Agricultural Reform”
Soviet Legacies- Vast systems of kolkhozy or collective farms from Stalin- large factory
style farms- supposed to be efficient but are remarkably inefficient- unproductive, no
incentive for farmers. High investments in agriculture with little returns. State spent lots
of money providing best equipment and supplies- never provided success because there
was an underlying structural problem linked to Gosplan (central planning agency).
Ruined flexibility. Had to import a lot because so many crops were lost and the farms just
didn’t produce enough to sustain the population. 200 metric tons produced but ¼ lost to
planning problems. Gorbachev’s Half Measures- offered leases but people still didn’t
trust it, agricultural reform failed, bureaucrats resisted change b/c private farming would
disrupt their jobs, blocked/strangled reforms w/ red tape.
Shock Therapy and Agriculture- see above, Soviet legacies continue- method they
decide on to privatize and move to market economy. Do it all quickly, hurry up and
privatize under Chubais. Backlash against Yeltsin from “loans for shares”, land reforms
continually blocked, new land code allowing private farming blocked
Pseudo-privatization of land, collective farmers could attempt to exercise their right to
take pieces of land and farm their private plots, lots of bribery, collective farm bureaucrat
could block privatization, collective farms = joint stock farms. Asset stripping of farms,
collective farm chairmans steal and sell materials.
low seasons. Land reform never really took place- even under Gorbachev and other more
liberal leaders- because there were these underlying infrastructure problems. Plus the
beurocracy- all the agencies in charge of farming were against reform- blocked them and
opposed them avidly- never let reforms get implemented because they knew that with
private farming they would lose their jobs. There was a law that permitted private
farming but that was blocked for about 10 years. Laws at end of 90s allowed some
reforms got through and private farming was permitted and many of the blocks were
broken down. However, there was no decent system of credit and farmers more than
anyone else needed credit. No loans- it was very hard for them to get equipment and
supplies to get started. Private farming today like in years under USSR is so much more
productive small private plots still sustain most of the population on its products.
Although today still your land has restrictions on it, or it’s not fully yours, or the title still
as state on it somehow. Foreigners can’t own land and you are not permitted to sell you
land either unless its to another farmer- not to a businessman or factory owner. ¾
completed reforms- still not fully privatized.
Soviet-Era Legacies- no need for this type of credit or borrowing because state took care
of everything and no one owned anything or could start anything buy themselves- state
owned and ran everything- resulted in no infrastructure for market economy Plus people
didn’t put money in banks- because they were distrustful of these institutions- had never
done it before- didn’t allow for there to be money in circulation for loans or credit- didn’t
allow economy to grow because people couldn’t get the money to start their businesses or
farms. Also banks in Soviet era didn’t offer any interest and if they did it was not
incentive enough- there was really no reason for people to put their money there. Hardly
anyone did. Not real banks anyways- Gosplan decided all this too- where loans, went
how much etc…state tells where money goes- not bankers and people schooled in
economics and investments in charge- state beurocrats under Gosplan deciding. State
stole from people- froze money in accounts, change exchange rates whenever they
wanted etc..deep seated mistrust- people didn’t trust banks. New private banks also were
fraudulent.
1. Banking monopolized completely by the state- not
competitive banking
2. Didn’t conform to market supply and demand forces- just
disbursing credits- no real banking activities
3. No accountability- soft budget constraints
4. Distrust of baks because of the deceit and incompetence on
the part of the state
Hyperinflation- “Not a lender but a Borrower Be”- 1000% inflation in 1993- the 2nd
year of shock therapy- high inflation is very destructive for normal economy activity-
need to get inflation down as a 1st step to reforming the economy. State printed more
money, gave soft credits, more subsidies- further fueling inflation because they doubled
and tripled the money supply by doing this. Printing too much money causes inflation
and because of unknown rubles that flooded the economy- people had all this money
under mattresses etc..becuase they had nothing to spend it on before. People lost so much
so because of this inflation had to spend every last ruble to stay alive. General economic
collapse, privatization fueling corruption, unemployment, etc…Only sector that was
booming was banking- they took advantage of high inflation- money is losing value day
by day so there are enormous profits to be made if you are a borrower. Good to borrow
for as long as you can. Prices are going up so if you can by something and then wait a
little bit then resell it you will make a profit because prices keep going up – called taking
advantage of inflation. Your money will grow quickly in this environment if you have
money initially to buy some stuff that you can hold on to and then sell when prices have
gone up even more (i.e. raw materials etc…that won’t lose value). Banks who did well in
this illegal business became financial industrial groups (FIGs) they became huge because
there was big money to be made and they were making it. Very complex financial needs-
corrupt people in there were making tons of money- i.e. delaying payment just a little
allowed you to make so much money off this money. Mafia- very involved with banks-
they had lots of money and it was a huge network- banks helping criminals and run by
criminals, paying and receiving bribes etc..had lots of mafia money, sometimes owned by
mafia, and participated in mafia activities (investments, funding, credits, etc). When you
delay what you owe- that way what you eventually have to pay goes down- because
inflation has made your money worth more.
FIGs financing the rich people’s activities- import, export- investments, etc…
By 1993 most enterprises had no access to credit at all- had to scrounge loans from their
friends or skim off their profits in order to put money back into their company or starting
anything new- no banks for commercial loans- little guy suffers the most- too hard to
start a private business- you couldn’t get the money.
Regulatory Vacuum- lack of reserve requirement or any backing for your money in the
bank, no state backing to protect consumers and bank customers. Came up with a
minimal insurance policy finally but millions had already lost everything because of bank
failures. Lack of legal infrastructure behind Russian banking- there was no auditing or
background check system before giving out loans- even banks because of this did not get
repaid on their loans. No credit checks. Lacked database and know how. Banks, because
of this didn’t want to do things for normal people- only wanted to do things for the well
known elite because banks knew they were cash rich and that they would get their money
back.
R. Banks under Pressure- 1994- inflation is plummeting now, rubel loses value-
however- this gives them some currency stability- now they can acknowledge the ruble is
weak and keep it more or less at 25:1 1 dollar for 25 rubels. Exchange rate is steady=
Reforms- no money to be made on currency speculation- good for improving banking
operations. Reserve requirements are raised- accounting practices are regulated and
standardized and made more transparent and open, central bank moves to tighten up
procedures for getting a license to even open up a bank. Many banks close= want fewer
banks but stronger ones. Got rid of intermediaries- because they had abused their power.
Central bank is phasing out directed credits- which are forms of subsidies- IMF is telling
them to do so- because it is helping keep decrepit businesses afloat- better form them to
close. Stop printing money over what you have in reserves. Increase your money by
increasing your revenues- taxes.
GKO Pyramid- State credit obligation (equivalent to bonds here). IMF says they need
this- Russian consumers would buy these by auction through banks- investment for
consumers and will be lending state money in the mean time- profit made for banks on
interest. All backed up by government. Makes more money available for loans. Better
than issuing subsidies printing money, and sharing out credits. However has to be done
properly and responsibility. Government can not issue these without knowing for sure it
can pay them back- if they do they default- it’s a government pyramid scheme- because
promising higher rewards and then not being able to pay out. This happened in Russia
causing default of central bank and all others- ordinary depositors lost everything in this
financial crises and collapse in 1998- everyone defaulted- could not pay everything back.
“Veksels” and the “Virtual” Economy- IOUs issued by enterprises- this market
emerges- the buying and selling of these IOUs. Emerging of the “virtual” economy-
enterprises are struggling to survive everything is out of control- everyone is poor, flood
of imports that they can’t compete with, lack of FDI, and healthy banks focused on
wealthy clients. No money for medium and small business- struggling to stay open. What
they do to avoid bankruptcy is reduce salary for employees or delay paying them, dodge
taxes, and pay with goods what they owe instead of with money- workers paid in goods
instead of money- pay bills by bartering- energy bill, tax bill, bank bill- companies offer
goods instead. Called arrears crisis- everything is being bartered. Very inefficient-
impossible to actually take delivery of all these goods- they were coming in truck loads
and warehouses full- (i.e. thousands of mirrors in turn for energy bill or whatever)- these
people who were getting these products didn’t have marketing system or transportation
system- what could they do with all this it was a big pain- So these IOUs sprung up- they
have an IOU for 1,000s of mirrors- don’t move goods around now just these pieces of
paper. Venture capitalists see this virtual market emerging now- and start buying these
IOUs and selling them or the products they are worth.
House of Cards- looking at all this- every thing going on= a house of cards. This needs
to be solved- fragile economy. Easily all come crushing down- huge pile up of debt- all
covering up this looming financial crisis- just delaying the eventual collapse- looks like
its okay but its not- all papered over by these schemes. August 1998- all came crushing
down- state ultimately defaults- banking system and enterprises engaging in these
schemes all collapse- not only middle class and poor people hurt but everyone- even the
elite and wealthy foreigners. People lose everything.
Because of this collapse: they got a new fresh start
Banking system suffers a tremendous blow but it clears out the shakiest and most corrupt
banks- allows establishment of healthy banks
Regulation springs up to curb all these illegal practices
Transparency is key- accounting practices become more transparent and standardized.
Rules come into place- introduce western world wide accepted accounting standards.
Banking sector has been made more open to foreign banks and other competition
Consumer bank has made some progress- but very slow and not that great- it is backed by
the state but other services and higher interest is not offered.
Credit and loans being made are still weak still less than 20% of GDP. Total worth of all
Russian banks, the whole sector, is only half of what Citi Bank is worth!!!! One
American bank is worth more than whole Russian banking sector!
Federalism, Soviet, and Russia- Russia is large, complicated, and diverse. Everyone
thought it would collapse like the rest of these multi ethnic countries (i.e. Yugoslovia,
Czechoslovkia) But it has stayed together...but at what cost? Has it hindered its
democracy and road to capitalism. Federation is something in between- a unitary state
and ???
Soviet federalism- each state under USSR had their own communist party- but they were
all subordinate to Moscow- Russian communist party. Encouraged a separate national
identity amongst people- each ethnicity was allowed their own culture, language, etc…
By the end of the USSR local and regional officials had the power to resist central
directives. So there was a sense of soviet federalism but it wasn’t legal or recognized.
Reforms and new laws were always stopped from the center by regional and local
leaders- tainted it as Russia trying to force them to do something when really by the end
they were reforms- these soviet leaders did not want to lose their power so they blocked
central directives that were reformist. Nationalist and separatist movements sprung up.
Many times these soviet regional leaders backed these movements and helped create
them in order to halt these soviet directives from Russia- they just wanted to stay in
power. Russia was the only one who didn’t have their own communist party- theirs was
the main one for the USSR- even Moscow many said wasn’t a Russian capital it was the
capital for the USSR.
Federalism or Feudalism
Nazdrateuko, Ilyumzhinov, Rakhimov
Yeltsin Tries to Reign in the Regions: took a harder stance on taxes and issues. Weren’t
clear federal laws on issues with foreigners, raw materials, natural resources,
etc…weren’t federal laws on all these things. The local elites were in deals with big wigs
and there were many corrupt dealings under way to take over big businesses and other
natural resources- very corrupt. All the good stuff gets put in hands of officials friends for
bribes and other illegal ways. Court cases coming out dealing with discrepancies between
federal and local laws. Many laws were conflicting- legal locally but maybe illegal
federally and vice versa. Yeltsin trying to assert federal power- federal laws trumpted
local laws- however, he didn’t have the power to make sure this happened. Local
governments dug in their heels and resisted.
1998: low point of federal Russian government authority. Default of central bank of
Russia. Banks collapse everywhere- everyone impoverished. Fall out of the ruble. This
economic crisis only worsened the authority of the federal government. Gap between the
rich and poor was huge! Economic and political fragmentation. Local governments seized
power and suspended democratic government- declared a state of emergency and leaders
took on a dictator role. Some of this is justified- people were so poor- leaders trying to
help their people- but most just used this as an excuse to get more power. These dictators
continued to rule and did not re-setup city councils-they continued to rule in
autocratically.
Putin’s Rise- came from soviet family and worked for the KGB for 15 years.
Disillusioned by the fall of the USSR. Then worked for his former law professor a very
liberal pro reformist mayor. Became deputy mayor trying to attract foreign investment
and working to make laws more business friendly. 1996- Putin goes to work on Yeltsin’s
reelection campaign. Eventually became head of the monitoring office- trying to
encourage the various regions of Russia to comply with federal laws and directives. This
was the turning point- he was gathering tons of experience and knowledge about this
critical problem- this problem was critical to the success of Russia and would be the
downfall if not solved- he learned the ins and outs of this situation got to know the
leaders, etc. He was trying to keep these local abuses from happening and trying to assert
federal authority. 1999- becomes unexpectedly the prime minister of Russia. At end of
the year Yeltsin decides he is resigning early. Under constitution power goes to prime
minister- so Putin becomes President and then gets officially elected 4 months later.
Putin Takes on the Power Barons- makes this is first priority. Puts a team together-
officials who would work closely every day to Putin- they are representatives from 7
districts- Putin divides country into the following: Moscow and Central Russia, St.
Petersburg and North West Russia, Caucuses and Southern Russia, Volga and Central
Russia, Eural mountain regions, Siberia, and the far east. These guys were to make sure
that all laws were in compliance with federal laws, local abuses were stopped, they were
to monitor closely all the goings on of local rulers and report daily to Putin, recommend
what local laws should be thrown out because they violated the constitution, etc. All these
viceroys or federal representatives were former military or KGB officials. Yeltsin had
tried to do this but it backfired because these viceroys were bribed by locals- this way
making 7 district big districts broke the corruption- these men couldn’t get persuaded by
any one because the district were made up of many regions. Plus these were Putin’s
trusted men- very harsh, un-corruptable, no negotiations, no compromise, no bribery.
Putin had unilateral power of the president to implement these changes. Kompromat-
compromising material- making incremenating evidence, to embarrass, imprison, and
oust officials. Legal investigations and economic crack downs. Federation council (like
senate) reformed under Putin- these officials are now full time officials screened by Putin
himself (before had been governors in local regions and automatically on these councils
part time). Federation council- is hand picked and screened by Putin- undemocratic- he
radically transformed how the parliament worked. He did this to stop the corruption and
special privilages these governors were getting- they were abusing their power. Also their
legal immunity while in office was restricted they no longer had this legal protection to
do whatever they wanted- governors and officials had been getting away with everything-
tax evasion, bribery, special privilages, etc… not any more. Police and local officials now
more under federal control. Taxes are more regular and balance has been restored- tax
collecting has improved tremendously. However, Putin had been implementing many of
these reforms illegally, undemocratically, and acting like an autocrat- even though these
reforms were for the better people were still concerned that this was going to hinder
democracy in the long run because he had taken so much presidential power.
Chechnya: ethnically and linguistically diverse region in the world- 19 ethnic groups.
Mountainous region has preserved their cultures- they are isolated from the world and
from each other- very rural and not modern. Live in local clans. Only time this region
united- a temp. unity in 19th century to stop Russian expansion. Divisions and hatred
among all groups here is very strong- not unified. Predominately Muslim- not pro
anything political really- not pro soviet or anything else. All the division among them
makes them easy to divide and conquer- try to pacify them but really all the differences
never went away. Fierce warrior culture- had faced intense suffering under the Russians.
Entire Chechnyan population had bee deported and shipped to war camps under Stalin-
he suspected they were being disloyal. This unites them in an anti-Russian sentiment.
Nationalism takes off everywhere and even in Chechnya they start a Chechnyan
nationalist movement. Appeal to Moscow to be in charge of more local things- more in
charge of their money, laws, etc..under Yeltsin the policy of lots of sovereignty for these
regions fueled all this- regions took whatever they could in the way of power. Chechnyan
leadership is now elected and they begin to move for independence. Dudayev- leader of
Chechnyan national movement- had grown up outside Chechnya because his family had
been exported at end of WW2. He was also a military officer- he was a good compromise
candidate because he didn’t have clan ties and he was well respected in this warrior
culture. Russian attempts to support a candidate and economic sanctions backfired- tons
of corruption insued under all these attempts- worst of shock therapy ended in 1994 and
finally Russia wondered what to do about Chechnya….
1994- war of independence- Yeltsin has popularity and Chechnya problem- they are
trying to succeed. Military and political advisors planned a little war to seize all the
leaders easily. Chechnyans united and Russians fumbled- dirty guerrilla war. Ended after
2 years but not really
1999- (2nd war with Russia)- this same war is almost under way again
First Chechny war: 1994-1996. Origins: deep historical grievances- they had not been
treated well before or during the USSR. Felt they had a separate national and ethnic
identity. Leaders of anti-Russian federation, warrior culture. Strong desire to not be a part
of Russia. Fragmentation of control in Moscow- coup in Moscow during Yeltsin’s years-
Chechnya felt this was there chance to declare independence- saw this moment of
weakness. Major oil pipelines ran from the Caspian Sea through Chechnya. Allowing
Chechnya to succeed would result in a loss of this strategic pipeline and key refineries In
Russia there was lots of political and economic unrest- Yeltsin needed a victorious war to
help his politics at home- so he thought go in and easily stop this Chechen rebellion.
Ended up being a disaster- 60-80 thousands Chechnyans are killed, the far majority of
them civilians- estimated 3,000 in one day died- over 400,000 are displaced- refugees.
Capital of republic is leveled- bombed completely by air strikes. Dudayev- Chechen
president. Russians took control of many northern parts of Chechnya, while the higher
mountainous parts were controlled by rebels. War drags on to a stalemate. A series of
other events bring it to a conclusion. 1995 raid on Budyounnsk, took a half dozen civilian
looking trucks, dressed in civilian clothes heavily armed, set up north into the north, with
$25,000 in their pocket for bribes at checkpoints. Ceased a hospital, took people hostage.
Yeltsin gives permission to raid the hospital, more patients are killed than Chechnyans,
end up letting the Chechnyans go and giving in. Russians are preoccupied with domestic
troubles. Russia, not only abroad, but from domestic critics is faulted for brutalities
committed during this war. Human rights commissioner Kovalev speaks out against the
war methods. As the years go towards 96, the possibility of a quick little war is gone.
Yeltsin is running again, this war is a drag on his popularity. They enter into negotiations.
They agree to ceasefire, then a more formal peace, and the war is eventually over in
1996. War ends- Yeltsin defuses it as an election issue for political reasons- cease fire
papers over the differences. Agreement to halt the war but no final resolution- Russia
does not agree that the Chechnyans will be independent, while they don’t agree to remain
a part of Russia- Chechnya has a default independence therefore for the next couple of
years because Russian troops exit the region altogether under cease fire. Semi-
independence from 1996-97-99. Radicalism- and leaders fighting amongst themselves,
rivals for control politically and economically - no one could rule effectively with all this
internal fighting. Islam becomes a major factor. Chaos- Islamic fundamentalist invade
towns. Dusayev’s group was in contact with much more radical Islamism groups, took a
more radical turn. Russia anxious to go back in and fix their first mistakes. Maskhadov
was moderately radical; general radical transition. They continue to argue, elections are
held for control of Chechnya. Area is carved up into different groups, organized crime
skyrockets, the region becomes a stronghold for dirty business, hostage-taking, et cetera
This radicalizes Moscow; Russia was doing a lot of this too. Russians turn against
Chechnyans, do we really need them? Economy starts to settle in Russia, people start to
demonize Chechnya. People from all darker people, including Georgians and the such,
are criticized by Russians
1999- 2nd war- Russia vows to restore order and fix this situation using force. Putin vows
it will be quick and decisive. However, war went on for years- many have been killed.
Post 9/11 Russia has said this war in Chechnya is a war on terror. Extremist groups and
rebels have been fighting the Russians- the Chechen’s say they are just finishing their war
for independence. Under Russian control now- Russians say the war is over and it is
stable now under them- but reality is that no one I safe here- check points- bombardments
every night by Russian soldiers. In 1998-99 a series of events, kidnappings and terrorist
bombings (In the space of a month over 100 Russians are killed in these apartment
bombings) that lead Russia to launch the second Chechnyan war. It isn’t clear that
Chechnyans are responsible for all of these bombings. Some of these bombings may have
been provocations by Russia to lead to the war. With the recent war, Putin in Russia has
made no public concessions to terrorist acts in Russia by Chechnyans. Many have been
displaced and live in refugee camps. Russians caused a lot of damage but they didn’t kill
the Chechen leader.
East-Central Europe and the European Union- took in Poland, Hungary, Czech
Republic, Yugoslovia, and four more. Hoping joining would solidify their place in
Europe in military, security, economic, social, and cultural terms. Exclusive member of a
free trade area, no more tariff barriers for imports and exports. Goods and people can
now move freely.
What is the EU? Started in early 50s- to remove barriers in certain industrial sectors
(coal and steel) and to reconcile France and Germany after WW2- so economic and
political reasons- one single open market in Europe. Italy, Belgum, Netherlands,
Luxemburg, France, and Germany- all original members- create a single market for them.
UK, Ireland and Denmark were admitted in 70’s. Then Greece, Spain and Portugal. 1995-
Austria, Sweden, and Finland. This is where it was at until new members from former
USSR were admitted.
Maastricht and Beyond- goal of Maastricht treaty- a single currency for Europe- the
Euro. Coordination of defense and foreign policy as well. Many rules and regulations for
all of Europe (social, labor, environmental protection, banking, communication, etc..)
many social services. Benefits- for member states no barriers, free trade.
Deepening and Broadening- Reason they brought in these former USSR countries- they
were causing lots of violence, refugees, and spill overs- were breeding conflict and
violence.
What’s in it for us? So EU felt if they brought them in it would help their problems and
stabilize whole region- east/central Europeans could work abroad and help their
economy- make these countries more safe and secure- help FDI and in turn help all the
economy. Common agricultural plan- subsidies. Huge budget for this sector- east-central
Europe wanted this for their farmers. The EU redistributed funds to help infrastructure.
East-central Europe really needed this help.
The Accession Process- states joining the EU need to be ready to merge their social,
political, and economic sectors with the rest of region. Need to have functioning
democracy and free market. Must conform to Acquis Communitaire- legislative body that
governs EU. Not simple- even for a well established democratic country- because there is
a lot of preparation in order to be ready to be accepted. These are regulations that govern
everything. 1st formal application, then wait for acceptance, then stability and accession
agreement, team is set up for the country- 100s of people broken into different teams- i.e.
environment team- to get country in line with environment code of EU- there are 31 of
these chapters (legal system, infrastructure, labor movement, health, worker security,
pension issue, border controls, agriculture, human health and security, human rights, etc)
P.H.A.R.E- Poland and hungry aid to reconstruct the economy- not just to them but other
former soviet countries to help them build in order to be admitted to EU. Special
programs for agricultural and rural development- candidate countries got tons of aid to
help them with everything you could think of- programs for every sector- airports,
bridges, environment, etc….
Problems and Prospects- these east/central Europeans states were populous, poor, and
perverted. They had been under communism for 40 plus years- corruption, weak
judiciaries, poor, organized crime, ethnic problems inside and between states,
discriminations, etc…how could all this be fixed in time? Infrastructure was easy- put
money and build- these other cultural, political and legal aspects were very difficult.
Must show that theses candidate countries have stable institutions for democracy, respect
for human rights and minorities, abide by rule of law. Economic- need capacity to keep
up with market pressures, free market economy, be able to compete, non market
mechanisms all need to go- away with subsidies and other help for businesses, work
towards a single currency. Former soviet countries in EU still are not on Euro. Problem
of agriculture and subsidies.
Immigration- underlying fear of western Europeans- one these east Europeans were
admitted a flood of them would be coming west for jobs. Schengen Accord- move freely
around Europe to all member states. Because the economic situation in the east was so
unstable- they were worried about how many people would move to west. So thought this
immigration would be good for western Europe- they need people to work and their birth
rates were going down so they need more people.
Agriculture- EU problem even before the former soviet states- too many subsidies in
western Europe. Told eastern European countries they needed to reform their agriculture-
no self-sufficient farmers- they will be crushed by competition and can’t afford to
subsidize all off them. These governments were told by EU to cut all subsidies and help-
it will be a hard transition but the agricultural profile needs to be changed. Their
remaining farmers after these cutbacks will be allowed subsidies from the EU.
Contributed to disillusion that these eastern Europeans feel today- they had originally
supported EU now people are not so for it. Was very painful and long and hasn’t been the
big boom that everyone thought- for many it has worked (those who have restructured
successfully). However for those left out- it has caused dissatisfaction. There has been
more losers than winners- not so enthusiastic about EU anymore. _
Azerbaijan in Baku was one of the original oil cities on the edge of the Caspian Sea.
Along Caspian Sea are many oil deposits. Huge oil found throughout Russia and around
Caspian- Soviet authorities of the 50s and 60s explored under the Caspian for more oil to
develop throughout Russia and kind of ignored Caspian finds. Authorities continued to
develop resources within the country of Russia after the 60’s.For security reasons they
wanted their oil in the center of Russia- concerned with stability and control in the
Caspian region. Focus was on these resources, didn’t want to develop oil in the unstable
Caspian region Also it’s harder to drill offshore than on land so they decided to focus all
energy on drilling in central Russia. During Perestroika, spent most of their time on
Central Europe, not too much of a focus on the Caspian region. Also years followed
(before collapse of USSR) of no money to even think about investing in the Caspian oil.
By the mid 90s, enormous interest in the region, with partnering countries, discovering
how much oil there might be there, and a similar political shift. At the time of the Soviet
collapse, the whole Caspian region might have 7-10 billion barrels, within 5 years it
looked like 40 and 50 billion barrels, today the estimate is around 250 billion barrels or
more. Proven reserves of maybe 12 billion liters of natural gas in the region. Deposits in
other parts of the world aren’t found yet. This region is second to the Persian Gulf.
Natural gas 3 trillion cubic meters at least but most likely way more. Azerbaijan interest
is the newest find of tons of oil in the early mid 90s- British Petroleum and some
American Companies. Was quickly followed by interest in Kazakhstan- in the Caspian,
BP leading the way in Azerbaijan and Chevron/Texaco in Kazakhstan. Offshore drilling
necessary because much of the reserves where under water. Soviet and other oil
production had historically been on shore, Chevron had more experience in drilling under
water. Western firms trying to operate in this new environment couldn’t do so on the
purely business criteria that they may have hoped for, as one can image because of the
Russian autocracy legacy in the region. Exxon mobile, royal dutch shell- all major
companies were investing here. Immediate post collapse period of USSR- Azerbaijan and
Armenia were still fighting and even though countries riches are growing. Dynamic for
foreign investment changed- US congress supported Armenia- because of Armenian
nationals etc….this meant American FDI was done, no official aid, etc. But then as oil
interests increase dramatically this pro Armenian position loosens and Azerbaijan is back
in favor because so much business was to be done here. Politics reigned over economics
in this region during the time of interest in the mid-90s, with wars the number one issue
for many of these countries. Especially post 9/11 war on terror- these blocks in this
region where over. Best place to transport oil is through Iran- better than through central
Europe because of civil wars and unrest. However Iran’s not very US friendly so this is a
problem as well. US didn’t support oil pipeline through Iran, although this was the
simplest route for getting the oil out, didn’t want to go through Russia, reduce Russia’s
near monopoly on transport routes. Russia then by default has all the exit routes and gives
them a monopoly.
leverage), also there is a lot of unrest in this region (political instability). Chechen factor,
instability in the region to the west of the Caspian. Didn’t want to give more power to
Russia by giving them the transport routes. Didn’t want to go through Iran because of
conflict. Instability in the Russian Caucus region, could be explosions in this largely
Muslim region. Lastly, these routes can not handle how much oil now as been found in
this region, so there still needs to be other pipelines (can not export the oil fast enough).
New big pipeline in 1999- still transits Russia but does avoid Caspian problem region.
The first big completed post-Russia pipeline was the CPC, runs from northeast Caspian
region, through Kazakhstan and Russia, and into Novorossiyak on the Black Sea
Traffic in the Turkish straights, where oil has to be shipped through to get to western
Europe and other places, Amount of oil shipped through Turkish straits has more than
doubled in the last five or so years - should reach 80 million tons in next 10 years. With
new exploration, this traffic will increase even further. Increasingly increasing spills and
collisions, and even when things are going good these huge ships clog traffic for hours.
Turkey is making a huge amount of money off of this. Supertankers and other oil tankers
can clog up canals for at least 2 hours but sometimes up to 4- sometimes only 1 direction
but often the bigger boats clog in both directions. Very overloaded in black sea- causing
tons of environmental pollution.
Another option- through China, Iran, or Afghanistan- too many political problems and
instability, however.
Another option- Runs from Baku, through Georgia, exits from the port of Ceyhan in
Turkey into the Mediterranean Sea- Second major pipeline, the BTC- This had been a
decade project, cost of $6 billion to complete, and has had geopolitical problems all
along. In Georgia, this goes through delicate environmental regions. Many of these
concerns were solved with British Petroleum . When oil prices were low, companies
didn’t want to invest in this, only when prices began to rise the companies jumped on
board, began construction in 2000/2001, was built very quickly. Regional problems-
turkey borders Iraq- possible problems in future.
Central Asia pipelines- there is no easy way out- is there enough oil and profits to make
this all worth while?
US Gov: not go through Russia, help economies of newly independent states, Armenia,
Azerbaijan, etc…so new central Asian pipelines are better for US. Western European oil
mainly still comes from Russia.
Russian companies were then investing in these Caspian reserves and pipelines through
central asia- Russia was angered at this- this is weakening Russia and in short term
making money but in long term weakening their influence in this region.
Caspian Sea- who’s oil is whose? Another problem along with environmental and
political- for two decades, only two countries bordered the Caspian, Russia and Iran, they
decided everything in bi-lateral negotiation, drew a line across the Caspian to divide it
Now there are three new bordering countries on the Caspian. Could try to split it up, or
adopt the international ‘Law of the Sea’. Everybody gets a zone outside of their border.
But today there is Kazakstan, Azerbaijan, and Turkmenistan- now how do you break it
up? 5 countries now- how do you divide among 5? Idea- first measure coastline and put
in a coastal zone rule- from border out 25-50 km- then what about remainder- take deep
waters and divide them up by drawing a line. Or do you take the percentage of shoreline
and match their percentage with deep waters- Iran for example has 12.5% coast line so
they get 12.5% of deep water. Iran didn’t like that so they suggested they get 20%
because they are 1 of 5. This issue has not been comprehensively settled- some have
settled it bilaterally. No final resolution- but one doesn’t seem necessary at this point
because of these bilateral settlements.
Up through the middle of Yeltsin’s presidency, Russian companies just wanted these
projects to go through so they could make profit, even projects whose main point was to
go around Russia. Gung-ho development. Geo-political standpoint was to slow down and
strategically keep influence in this region, i.e. vie for the pipelines to go through Russia.
After this, the tendency swung towards the geo-political, with Russia twisting arms, et
cetera, in order to gain influence. The Yukos company Gazprom, Russia’s oil monopoly.
This company turned into a state-run company (still a public company, but biggest
shareholder is the Russian government). In summary- Politics has gained the upper hand
over economics
How has Russia done this- Latvian port- (Ventspills) and Lithuania- both privatizing
industries- oil being sold to private investors- As these things were sold off, the Russians
stopped concluding new delivery contracts, this didn’t help Ventspill (Latvia oil
company) much in terms of attracting western investors, Russia bought up most of it then
continued the contracts- they used other exports- this took FDI so down because now
they weren’t being used a lot. So Russia controlled this whole operation even to them
getting FDI and privatizing- no one wanted to buy if oil wasn’t flowing. So Russian
companies bought this for cheap and oil is now flowing making them money.
Natural gas- main soviet built exit routes of natural gas into Eastern Europe go through
Belarus and Ukraine- over time because Ukraine was in such debt to Russia, Russia got
the majority of the energy infrastructure in Ukraine in exchange for forgiveness of some
debt- Belarus has essentially the same story. Gas is sold to Western Europe for a much
higher price than to Eastern Europe transition countries, until very recently (this was to
hold influence- they could raise the artificially low price of oil to Eastern Europe if they
wanted to)
GAZPROM- biggest oil company-oil industry in general- soviet term carried over- its an
arm of the state, owns 60% of Russia’s natural gas reserves
Russia as largest reserves of natural gas- use of natural gas will increase world wide
soon- more environmentally sound and oil is running out- natural reserves are just
beginning to be tapped. Before we get to these natural resources however, we have a long
way to go…many problems
Gas is very extensive and difficult to extract, process, and transfer to market. Natural gas
is highly volatile- it can explode and it’s a sensitive substance-why its much harder to
deal with. Needs to be cooled- needs sophisticated equipment, safety checks, better
pipelines, all around more expensive to move than oil
Russia not taking very many steps to privatize their oil and gas companies because of
political reasons.
Energy Environment:
Russia is a very polluted country- highest percentage per capita and per economic size
has the most dangerous and maybe the worst environmental problems.
This is because of decades of bad economic development, Gosplan management, putting
out as much as possible with no concern for safety and long term environmental
protection. Had no environmental protection agencies until recently- Chernobyl-
example. Cut corners, not done right, no checks to make sure its safe, recklessly built and
not maintained properly.
Every 3rd child in Russia has an illness related to environmental pollution/problems
½ of Russia’s people drink water that doesn’t meet the countries own standards.
Russia’s rivers are open sewage channels many of its lakes are dead
Outbreaks of 3rd world diseases- cholera, deptheria, etc…
Russia has thousands of nuclear weapons, fissile material and nuclear waste unguarded
and unprotected- don’t meet any ones standards. Future nuclear disasters.
Security issue because of the unstable political situation in the region
Russia signed the Kyoto protocol but waited it out for best terms etc…but then turned
around and sold their terms to struggling countries so they were able to continue doing
what they were doing before.
Video:
Nuclear weapons, know how, etc…are everywhere in Russia- had been under Soviet
control but after the fall- big security issue because they had lost control and weapons
were spread over a vast region- US offered to help destroy some of Russia nuclear
arsenal because it was a national security issue- threat reduction to keep nuclear materials
out of the wrong hands.
Russia is the largest source of fissile material for any terrorist group- hard to monitor and
secure. Russian facilities don’t even know stuff is missing- don’t have a good
infrastructure to monitor their supplies.
Russia- under Putin: tax reform, tax collection, banking reform, administration reform-
reestablish the rule of law- correction of worst abuses (regional bosses etc..)= result
improvement in manufacturing sector and agriculture, improvement in worst abuses-
west has applauded these reforms. Biggest sector- energy has back tracked- gov. has
taken back control- renationalized once private companies (this has hindered growth and
efficiency, Private companies would be doing much better)- Gazprom and others- so
Russian state has directly and indirectly taken back control of this sector- even with some
private countries Russian state has a monopoly over pipelines, etc..also they use political
pressure to intimidate and coerce. Putin has done all this with a tighter grip on politics-
clamped down on NGOs and political dissent, have been many assassinations of
dissidents, opponents are silenced, very authoritarian right now. Very assertive foreign
policy right now, Russia wants to distance itself from the west and carve out its influence
in their region, reestablish Russia as a big world power independent from Europe and the
US- use oil as their main lever to get this influence.
Emergence of highly authoritarian domestic political systems in most of central
Asia (Uzbekistan, Kazakistan, etc) façade of democracy (there is voting but not
democratic) but very dictatorial regimes- threat of fundamental Islam (dictators use this
threat esp after 9/11 to justify their crack down in the government- there wasn’t/isn’t a
threat of Islamic take over) the real opposition was western democratic opposition. These
countries are the poorest of the poor, the most polarized (these countries have lots of oil
wealth but has all gone to elite) no improvement, overwhelmingly rural- no benefit for
these people, most don’t live in big cities, and we see complete subordination to Russia
(not just oil and gas, every other sector as well) Russia has successfully through
institutions in central asia set up their monopoly and coordinated the foreign policies of
these states under Russian domination.
Western former USSR- done much better in transition to democracy and market
economy- border western Europe so had more help, cultural influence, closer to markets,
more FDI, joined NATO and EU.
Belarus- last dictatorship in Europe
Ukraine- mixed- western half is democratic and pro west, want to join Europe-
eastern part is pro Russia- Russia has a big monopoly over Ukraine. All leaders end up
constrained by this big domestic divide.
Banking in Russia
I. Soviet Legacies
tightness of loans
weakness of banking sector
Soviet-Era
no private businesses (including banks)
only option was “Sberbank” which offered <1% interest
Inflation
overhang: 50 million rubles came out of the mattresses
with inflation, no one wants to put $$ in a bank
Gosbank
no means of recourse to people who defaulted
no accountability
no conformity
no faith
II. Hyperinflation
when prices were liberalized they skyrocketed over 200x
high inflation kills economic growth
in response to increased prices the gov’t printed more $$
monetary overhang increased
economy contracted roughly 20%
plunged the people into poverty
the ONLY sector doing well was banking
How is this possible?
inflationary environment makes it good for borrowers
buy w/ borrowed $ something that will not devalue (gold) and sell at a profit
repay loans w/ devalued $ = profit
no oversight
1992: credit system is saved by paying interest to borrow money
Banking
Legacies of the Soviet-Era
Banking was monopolized by the state
Didn’t respond to typical supply and demand
No accountability – soft budget constraints
Legacy of distrust
1990s: banking boom, but poor conditions for banking and consumer faith
FIGs serve the rich
Retail banking for ordinary consumers is grossly underdeveloped
II. Regulatory Vacuum
No system of recourse (Gustafson’s banking article)
MMM or other pyramid schemes
No federal deposit reserve
no insurance against a run on the bank
Failure to establish reliable credit ratings
banks would often not get paid for loans
did not build up required infrastructure
24 trillion rubles in unpaid loans by
III. Banking Elite
Vladimir Potanin – owner of Oneksimbank
owns Norelisk Nickel through “loans for share” scam
Vladimir Gusinksy - owner of MOST
Khodorkovsky - owner of Menatep
Bankers are the perpetrators of and victims of the banking system
criminals could take advantage of the loopholes in the system and rip off banks
crooks could take loans and never pay
bankers were also crooks too (hid profits)
Association of Russian Bankers
could buy politics
corrupted the Duma
created their own weak Politburo and could write their own laws
ex: Paramonova
she pushed to bring in foreign bankers to “teach us how to bank”
the ARB lobbied hard to delay her appointment
Federalism in Russia
How has Russia held together?
Soviet Federation
Supposedly a federation with 15 republics
Granted rights by the Constitution, but not in practice
Creeping regionalism (de facto)
Devolution of power to the regional officials
Much more power in the regions to take advantage of opportunities for corruption
Enormous regional and bureaucratic resistance to Gorbachev’s movements in the distant regions
Gorbachev ultimately did not tackle the problem of Moscow vs. all others
local communist party officials embraced nationalism/separatism to secure their interests
Nationalism rises within Russia
Gorbachev wakes up
Allows the republics more autonomy and creates a new union treaty
pushes for a new treaty but the regions hold out
1991: the union collapses
Yeltsin faces the problem of halting the economic collapse and territorial disintegration
1992: Yeltsin signed a voluntary Federation Treaty
with the exception of Tartarstan and Checnya, all the republics signed
The paper version and the real version diverged quite a bit
Federalism or Feudalism
Mazdrateuko
leader of Eastern maritime region
economic policies are marked by defiance
1994: used his own riot police to force out of office the elected mayor of Vladivostok
center of naval forces and imports/exports
muzzled the local independent media
had to be bought off by Yeltsin – given a job overseeing the fishing industry
Ilyumzhinov
governor of a region bordering the Caspian sea
ruled like a tyrant
directed the elimination of the regional parliament
declared himself the only authority in the province
some of the more egregious acts were reversed by Yeltsin
Rakhimov
removed all of his opponents from the ballot except for one token member of his party
used the police to suppress the local media and demonstrations
Structural funds: monies that the wealthier countries distribute to the poor countries (generally a
N to S pattern) totaling $30 billion per year
Meant to help fund infrastructure problems
The Process
Begins with a formal application
Administration sets up a team to evaluate the applicant country
Contains 31 separate subdivisions or chapters to access policy (environment, human rights,
technological infrastructure, labor movement issues, border control, and agriculture)
Human rights: Baltic states had problems dealing with this chapter b/c of their discriminatory
policies
Democratization: no secretary of defense can be a serving member of the armed forces – Poland
had a long tradition of a general being the head of the defense ministry
Democratization: countries must be able to solve their problems peacefully – Romania and
Hungary had a long-standing conflict over Transylvania and the large Hungarian minority there
The process is eased b/c the EU is giving these countries funds and aid to help these countries
build the necessary infrastructure to match the requirements
PHARE: Poland and Hungary Aid to Reconstruct the Economy
SAPARD: the Special Accession Program for Agricultural and Rural Development
Over $50 billion was given to candidate countries before they joined to aid in every sector
Then is followed by the signing of a stability and accession agreement
Economic criteria: existence of a functioning market economy, capacity to cope with market and
competitive forces once joining the EU
Ability to take on the obligations of membership, including social, political and economic, and
take on the identity of the EU and adopt the Euro
Immigration
Underlying fear: once these countries were permitted to join the EU and once the Schengen
Accord came into effect, hundreds of refugees from the East would flood the West
Optimists: the restructuring and reformation of these countries will reduce the incentives to move
In truth, there has been a combination of both
Bigger issue: What did it mean for the countries joining?
Moving of the border of the EU requires a strengthening of borders between new states and non-
member states (Poland needs to fix the illegal Russian immigrant problem)
Aging Europe could use the influx of Eastern European people to fill unwanted jobs
Agriculture
Tax on all working citizens in the EU to fund these subsidies
Decision in the Berlin compromise to cut by half the subsidies
Poland: had to restructure agriculture to reduce the number of subsistence farmers and increase
the efficiency of farms by cutting off subsidies to force the remaining farmers to be more
efficient and be able to compete with the EU market
All of these reforms have left a lot of Europeans disillusioned, especially in Poland, about the
EU. It was more painful than expected and hasn’t had quite the level of benefits they were
expecting. A lot of newer, technology driven industries have seen a lot of progress, but for those
left out, and who had to restructure, it was a big loss.
Movie:
1989: Milosevic comes into power
1991: Croatian War
1992: Bosnian War
1995: Dayton Accords
1999: bombing of Chinese ministry
V. ICTY
History
oil city: Baku in Azerbaijan on the Caspian Sea
neighboring regions of Chechnya and Georgia (tapped out former oil centers)
Yeltsin Period
Competing economic and political imperatives pulled in different directions
Economics: it would be to everyone’s benefit to cooperate and have as many projects move
forward as possible and have Russia cooperate with US and Kazak governments
This strategy dominated through most of the first half of Yeltsin’s term
Kremlin: security halks grumble that oil companies shouldn’t enter into projects that are going to
threaten Russian dominance
Slow or even halt growth so that Russia can retain geo-political influence over the region
Yeltsin’s foreign policy swung during the second half of his term to more state-driven
Whose Oil?
New states, (Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan) increase the complexity of breaking up
the Caspian
Break it up according to national boundaries or follow the rule of the sea
New states, (Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan) increase the complexity of breaking up
the Caspian
OCTOBER 17
-Russia has treated like its backyard, overwhelming economic advantage over these states
-controls energy, transportation even when they have resources
-Russia’s POV: Not imperialism, or undermining independence but DEFENSIVE action
-instability are a major threat for Russia
-militant thread in countries, afraid of onslaught of mobilization
-refugees
-Tsarists Legacies
-even before Katharine the Great … except Armenians and Georgians, REGION
was weak, nomadic, sparsly populated
-claim was Silk Road – which disappeared
-when Russia pushes south to Black Sea…
-simple matter to conquer them
-w/ the exception of the Armenians and Georgians… who have separate identities
and glorious histories
-everyone else had TRIBAL identities… didn’t see as “Uzbeks”
-even into Soviet area… Kyrgies and Uzbeks the same language, no borders
-THEY didn’t recognize the borders!
-early soviet times… original map of USSR was “Turkistan”
-WHY IMPORTANT?
-strong sense of national self-identity is important in this time
-Russia is modal case in the middle … unsure of what to do
-OTHER extreme = Central Asia … at least Russians understood
Russianness
-Bolshevik-Soviet period
-when Tsarist empire ended, former provinces were brought back into Soviet
empire
-Language
-Bols thought to pick Latin alphabet to educate vast central people
-alphabet TURKEY used
-toyed with the idea of switching into Arabic
-largely Islamic people
-THEN chose to impose Cyrillic (Russian) alphabet
-had to invent some for them
-after a brief period, literate Kazaks/Kyrgyz couldn’t read any
seditious material from Turkey, Islam…
-BORDERS drawn
-didn’t conform to national lines
-made them chronically weak, squabbling w/ each other
-unfair advantages given to certain favored groups
-people pitted against each other
-MOST destructive treatment
KYRGISTAN
ooops fell asleep
TURKMENESAN
-build cult of personality to cover up authoritarianism
-name is for the people
-Like Stalin
-on flag, much happening
-policy of neutrality – kept out of squabbling
-Truk has very large oil, gas reserves—still relies on Russia
-SOVIET LEGACIES
-kolkhoz
-less productive … very little incentive
-no stake in having big harvest
-people like factory workers, salary not tied to production
-drunk people down the chain ruin chance of bonus
-TOO big
-GOSPLAN
-also fouled up
-economy too large for centralized economy
-couldn’t account for local variations (weather, etc.)
-grew 200 million metric tons of grain, lost 50 – make up for it w/ imports
-subsidized with more profitable industry
-Gorbechev
-tried to tackle it with half-measures
-attached to the idea of state-owned farms
-privatization had negative image
-instead of privatization, offered leases
-25 years … why would you work the land for 25 years only to
lose it?
-extended to 50 years … helped, but not enough
-issues: transferable? Sellable? Inheritable?
-beuaracry resiststed (9 million of 18 mil. bureaucrats in agri)
-obstacles meant land reform never took place
-red tape, intimidation, violence
-Yeltsin
-doesn’t change much at all for 5-6 years
-land cannot be bought or sold
-can’t get through political infighting
-backlash against loans for shares and hyperinflation
-conservative parliament
-big problem was Land Code – law that prohibited private farming
-“pseudo” privatization of the land
-more obstacles:
-Could asset strip a farm!
-many sharemen, though riding high, saw decline and cashed in
-left worse off than it had been before
-intense foreign competition
-processed food cheaper than what Russian farms were producing
-CREDIT
-piece-by-piece, a new land code is put into place
-w/ decent land what is farmer going to do?
-kolkhozy relied on HUGE machines … no domestic production of
smaller stuff
-… and NO credit
-Credit is the life-blood of any modern economy
-you borrow money to get better tech, up production, make profit
and pay back loan
-larger pictures
-Russia originally at 120 mil. metric tons of grain, down to 70 now 90
-late in Yeltsin and beg. Putin
-FINALLY introducing rational land code
-slow expansion of private farming
-private farms occupy 6% of land
-on paper there are many more … fiction
-kolkhoz become incorporated…
-average size is 30-50 hectares (U.S. average is 500 hectares)
-Docha weekend farming – 6%
-furiously work small plot for sustenance
-doctors, lawyers, all professions
-have to grow their own food
-total 12%
-still produce 40-60% of total output!
-credit problems continue
-small-sized machinery created, imported expensive
-the LAW
-not quite finished … sub-optimal for encouraging successful priv farms
-Land Code still has various restrictions attached to it
-not QUITE full title
-ex: foreigners still cannot buy Russian farmland
-against deeply held beliefs of foreigners owning Russia
BANKING
Bank basics
-borrow your money to make loans
-pay some interest to entice you to invest savings
-CHARGE interest for a loan – profit
-lifeblood of an economy
-agriculture, manufacturing
-all innovation is paid for on credit
-in West: loans to private sector = 80%-90% share of GDP
-ENORMOUS amount of borrowing
-close to 100% is, in essence, banking system doubles amt. of money
-In East – 25%
-In Russia – 12-14% … went below 10% during the worse
-means less economic activity
-Weakness of banking sector is symptom or cause of recovery?
-Soviet-era legacies
-what was on paper bore little resemblance to Western practices
-Home, consumer banking banking
-NO private firms – banking was state operated individual, household
banks … just one: Sberbank
-only place you could go
-why would you? No interest, but NO inflation
-but forced, unofficial inflation
-looooong joke that goes on and on
-interest rate so puny, and hidden inflation – actually LOSING money
-so most people didn’t … some for safety
-monetary overhang
-all the money that came out of the mattresses when it changed
-50 billion rubles
-Commercial Sector…
-Promstroibank, Vneshtorgbank, Agrobank (agriculture)
-monopolies, not there to make money; carry out state orders
-not really banks, STATE credit agencies
-all loaning predetermined by Gosplan, NOT responding to local
needs
-state financing state economic activity from above
-Post-collapse
-Banking HUGELY profitable in beginning of the ‘90s
-2,500 private commercial banks spring up
-only growth sector of the economy – HOW?
-inflationary environment
-took advantage of hyperinflation
-in time of high infl., when $$ losing value: enormous profits to be
made if you’re a borrower
-instead of loaning money out to consumers, desperate people
-bank became borrowers and played on interest rate differentials
-mostly from the state!
-FIGs – financial industrial groups
-found lucrative business handling payment accounts of big clients
-city of Moscow, custom service, gas service
-had extensive financial needs
-had employees to pay, funds to invest
-big money to be made handling their money, investments
-even if it was legal … and it wasn’t
-delayed pay checks a few days – made $$$$$
-mafia needs bankers, too…
-violated Central Bank of Russia (CBR) guidelines
-Banking would have collapsed if CBR started charging negative interest
-PAYING enterprises to borrow money
Oct. 26:
-how did banks benefit?
-delayed payment … for payroll, credit, etc.
-value of money goes down
-bank gets profit
OCTOBER 26
INTRO
REGULATORY VACUUM
-Emergence of investment houses/brokerages (MMM)
-promise big returns, turn out to be pyramid schemes
-Not adequate reserve requirements
-supposed to protect when everyone takes money out of bank
-normal reserve: 20% (he thinks…)
-finally has one now – what delayed it?
-CBR and bankers fought in congress over who should pay for it
-broke government?
-bankers themselves?
-no credible auditing procedures
-banks might not be repaid if they DID give credit
-need for internal revenue agency
-no credit checks
-over $X trillion debt owed to banks (awww poor bankers)
-why they went to well-financed entities (FIGs)
BANKING ELITE
Patanin oligarch who gets Norilsk Nickel
Oneksinbank, his bank (FIG)
Services for wealthy clients
finagled loan for share because one of this own accounting firms was
overseeing the bids for Norilsk
GKO PYRAMID
-backin’ up:
-banks being phased out partly because of IMF pressure
IMF encourages CBR to run business better
-collect taxes, stop printing more money
-introdcue T-bill (treasury bill)
-short-term bond where gov promises rate of interest for loan
-like savings bond, but shorter term
-GKOs were bought by banks as investments from the governments
-offered to consumers in smaller chunks
-Central Bank should NOT sell beyond ability to pay!
-buyers promised rate of return … has to meet it
-if not, bank in default (don’t want central bank in default)
-in order not to default, over-promised and make MORE
-delays default, day of reckoning will be bigger
-government engages in its own pyramid scheme COLLAPSE OF 1998
-Russian commercial banks had engaged in buying the GKOs (95-98)
-many Russian banks defaulted, too
-Gorbechev struggled with this creeping fed. when he tried to make big changes
-almost no change in the fringes during Perestroika, elites mobilized against him,
stymied change
-rallied anti-reform sentiments cloaked in the flag of national/ethnic rights
-Gorb too idealistic … downplayed and ignored separatist movements
-belatedly realized this was tied to other elements
-Estonia/Georgia e.g. began embracing nationalism just to stay in power
-by 1991, nationalist movement arises in Russia itself
-Russia had its own problems with USSR
-particular grievance – we keep poor republic’s living standards up with our oil
and gas subsidies and they don’t appreciate it!
-“What about suffering Russia?”
-plus, all other republics had own com party … Russia only had USSR
-Moscow, even, was USSR capital NOT Russian capital
-Yeltsin rides to power against Gorb/USSR/com
-becomes first elected pres of Russia
-“we will not run a unitary state”
-begins new TREATY OF THE UNION
TREATY, spring/summer of ‘91
-New responsibilities and rights that would free up unitary state
-voluntary
-coup interrupts it … treaty collapses
-republics hold referendums -- “Parade of Sovereignty’
-New Year’s 1992, all broken up
-Yeltsin faces the problem of ruling Russia for real, and halting the economic problems
he helped build … had to face Russia’s territorial disintegration
-6 krais (districts)
-2 federal cities, Moscow and St. Petersburg
-1 autonomous oblast (Stalin-created home for Russian jews in far east)
FEDERALISM or FEUDALISM?
Nazdratenko
-poster child for corrupt local governor (Primorsky … region near Sea of Japan)
-created own economic free zone (negative sense)
-used own riot police to force out elected mayor in Vladislavok- main Pacific port
-eventually reversed when Yeltsin intervened from Moscow
-but such interventions the exception, not the rule
Ilyumzhinov
-banned regions Parliament, revived when it was under control
-didn’t ACT like a despot … DECLARED himself one
-sometimes Moscow intervened … still remain in office/powerful
-engaged in political killings
-chess fanatic
Rakhimov
-President of Bashkoktostan (or something … near Tartarstan)
-took EVERYONE else of the ballot except token party member
-closed down opposition radio station
-something about poaching and trees
Blah blah blah – has monitoring job, struggles with disintegration of region
-goes to work for Russian FBI – then vaulted to Prime Minister position
-5th of 1999
-Dec. 31, after only ½-year in office, Yeltsin announces early resignation
-Presidency went to current PM, elections set for March
-elected
-Putin pardons Yeltsin (just like Ford did for Nixon)
1. Yeltsin still haven’t re=integrated regions, corruption still rampant, but HALTED it
2. methods? Some legal, some extralegal, EVEN if in the interest of the people
CHECHNEA
-Background
-1994-1996, first war
-1990-now, second war
-most ethnically diverse region in the world – 19 diferent coups
-mountainous region has preserved diversity
-Chechens deported … over 250,000 die during Stalin (Holocaust … unites them in
hatred of Russia, even though Stalin a Georgian and done by Coms, not Russians)
-during USSR, try to Russia-fy it, hundreds of thousands didn’t speak it
-under Gorb
-Glasnost … nationalism takes off, freedom of the press
-Yeltsin fuels this with “take all the sovereignty you can handle” message
Dudayev
NOVEMBER 14 – the EU
-problem … barrier that kept Poles out of Western Europe, for example, would
have to be moved to keep USSR people out of Poland
-could/would it do it?
But… Aging Europe NEEDS workers…
-so not all bad
-Italy only creating 1.2 kids!
-So many benefits ... so it’s easier to be unemployed for longer
-immigrants from Poland, Hungary, etc. fill the void
Agricultural stuff…
-E. Europe had too many self-sustenance farmers …
NOVEMBER 21
ENERGY DAY
HISTORY
-Before Bolsheviks, Baku (now in Azerbaijan) was “Oil City” – Caspian Sea
-Persian oil reserves hadn’t been found
-People used kerosene to light houses, etc.
-relied on foreign capital
-Russia preferred to keep critical industry in mainland, not Muslim extremities
-vast Persion/Caspian resources go unfound for awhile…
-plus, they’re under water – lot harder to get to
SHITLOAD OF OIL
-flash-forward to mid-‘90s, Russia and foreign co. start re-looking in Caspian Basin
-thought 7-10 billion barrels of oil
-then pre-lim said it was more like 40-50 billion
-no somewhere between 250 to 400 billion barrels
-second only to the Persian Gulf
(www.eia.doe.gov)
KAZAKHSTAN
-Attention ships from Azerbaijan
-“Tengez” fields, swampy land on NE side of C. Sea in Kazakh
-Chevron leads the way
-helps get oil 30 miles+ beneath the ground
-Brits, US, French get in on boom
-some is off-shore, need for Western investment
-all Russian history is on-shore – lack in technical abilities
WESTERN FIRMS
-Couldn’t go in on purely official, business-like basis
-Intervening politics
-North Korean style of autocracy
-PLUS dispute between Azerbaijan and Armenia
**THEME: Politics trump economics**
-Legislation: “Freedom support act”
-restricted FDI and US Aid into Azerbaijan … shifts when oil interests lobby
-now Armenia-Az dispute gone down a bit
WASN’T ENOUGH INESTMENT – prices too cheap … didn’t think the foreign reporter
couldn’t sell it.
-2001, first spade on new something something
Evolution:
YELTSIN PERIOD:
-Competing economic/political groups divided – “zig zag”
-Everyone’s best interests at heart
-Dominated
-Oligarchs had a lot of autonomy in business
-Russian companies did what they wanted after privatizing.
PUTIN:
-We need to bring these companies under our control!
-Serve Russia’s best interests
-Slow down … craft policy to retain a dominance in the region, geopolitically
-Hadar xxxx Gazprom
-state now owns more than 50% … state-run company again
-people didn’t trust government … stocks went down
VENTSPIL … something in the Baltic Sea where Russia cut of a Baltic (Latvian?) oil co.
right when it was working with Western $$
-Russia squeezed it dry, crippled the privatization – then Russia bought it!!
UKRAINE …
-Natural gas lines run through Ukraine and Belarus …
-Russia agreed to wipe out certain Ukrainian and Belarusian debts to get pipeline control
Natural gas uses expected to increase … will give Russia more leverage/earnings
-makes up only 20% now …
1 = oil, 2 = coal
-w/in a generation nat. gas will skyrocket to 50%+
-why?
-much cleaner, produces less carbon, oil expected to run down
-gas is just beginning to be tapped
GAS: Problems
TECH:
-much more difficult and expensive to extract/process/transport than others
-natural gas “a waste” – found WITH oil and only complicates oil extraction
-burnt off to get to oil
-volatile …
-crude oil is fairly inert substance
-attacking gas creates catastrophe
-oil is just pumped where gas is cooled and pressurized
-most gas consumed w/in 1,000 k of production site
-story about huge explosion when gas pooled in land depression near Siberia
-can turn to liquid and ship easier, but need reconstituting plant on the other side
(building one in long beach?)
ECON/POL:
-Russia only exports 6-7 trillion c.f. a year, but has 1,700 trillion!
-Needs major investment in infrastructure
-state monopoly … deters foreign investment
-EU is constantly monitoring Russia, presenting HR concerns
-stifled press/jailed oligarchs, etc
-want to liberalize Russian gas market
-Does Russia have “Dutch Disease” or “Resource Curse”?
-Resource Curse = wealth out of the ground at little effort makes it easy for
political officials not to build up other things like education, makes everyone more
corrupt, banks everything on energy supply
-Dutch Disease = oil crippled Dutch industry … other sectors grew weak because
Dutch currency went up, exports got too expensive, oil ran out …
RUSSIA’S ENVIRONMENT:
-Russia is very polluted … one of the most in the world
-Population is 140 million in urban concentrations, getting smaller
-Highest percentage of environmental problems in the world
-Product of decades of reckless economic development, Gosplan management that tried
to make as MUCH as possible as FAST as possible w/o long-term concerns
-Russia didn’t even have EPA equivalent until Gorb’s Perestroika
Specific examples:
-110 million bring air that is polluted beyond Russia’s own limits
-every third child in Russia falls ill, temp or permanent, from pollution-related cause
-1/2 of Russian soldier applicants are rejected because of poor health
-1/2 of Russia’s people drink water that doesn’t meet standards
-St. Petersburg… 2x the microclorins than in EU areas … in Ural Mountains is 350x EU
limit
-Rivers can be open sewage channels… lakes are dead
-Outbreaks of third world diseases still hit Russia (cholera, typhus, diphtheria)
-Not ONLY the environment, but mostly from drinking public water
-W/ Kyoto Protocol … it held out for largest quotas for various pollutants – traded credits
to countries having trouble meeting caps …
This project, making up 35 percent of your grade in this class, is essentially to do a typically
sized and executed modest research paper. That means a final length of 15-20 double-spaced pages,
including appropriate references (approx. 15 sources) and proper citations (any common academic
style is acceptable, so long as consistently employed).
As for topics, the range of acceptable ones is broad. They can be very contemporary or very
historical, policy oriented or culturally centered, etc. They need only have some link to post-
Soviet/post-communist political economy, however distant! Student unsure of what to tackle often
choose a country study—“Economic Transition in Post-Communist Armenia,” for example. Or they
can choose a two-country or regional issue—“Russian-Ukrainian Political and Economic Relations
since the Cold War’s End,” “Environmental Issues in the Baltic area,” “Sex Trafficking From the
Former USSR and Eastern Europe.”
Below are some further, more “specialized” topic suggestions. Whatever you choose—or are
simply thinking about—I need to see a proposal by Friday (Nov 3). This can be as simple as a one-
sentence declaration that you’re interested in a particular country or political-economic problem.
Those of you who haven’t done so yet, please give this some thought and make some choices. Once
that is done, I can help you further refine a topic and find the necessary sources.
The Nuclear Power Industry in Eastern Europe and the Former USSR
China’s Political and Economic Relations with Russia and Central Asia
Keith Parker
ID#6390.4899.77
IR-439 Final Paper
Professor Robert English
When the Soviet Union collapsed, much of the focus in the region of Central-
Eastern Europe was on the impact that the coming structural transitions would have on
the populations of these countries. A discussion of these types of effects will be included
in this text, but the focus of this essay will rest more on the interaction between the
people of these states and the institutional changes occurring at this time. That is to stay
that there will also be a focus on the way in which cultural and social structures in place
before the collapse affected transition and general progress in these states. It is precisely
this interaction that is important in developing strategies for successful transition, not
To begin, a discussion of some of the general theories for the absence of clearly
successful transition in the first few years after the Soviet collapse is necessary. While
some of the countries being observed here have seen economic and social success since
the communist collapse, this essay will focus on the time period directly after the collapse
People living under the communist regimes in Eastern Europe found themselves
with a complete lack of faith in the Leninist communist ideals that were looked so highly
upon during the early years of their implementation. The social problems due to
communism that affected the far majority of citizens in these countries, vast in number
and the basis for many scholarly works, had left entire generations of families with no
trust or pride in their political institutions. This absence of faith in political and economic
structures had enormous impacts on the social structures of these countries and the
personalities of their people. The values created by this lack of faith are very unique to
these countries, and wouldn’t just be replaced with democratic and consumerist values.
This is mostly because these western values are built upon years of history and
submersion in these values, as well as a general history with the protestant ethic. As one
historian put it, “The problem is not that the Soviet values have been jettisoned but that
In order to fill this void, much work has been done by Western powers to immerse
these cultures in Western norms and work ethics after the Soviet collapse. Going back a
few pages in history, though, reveals that attempts at this Western immersion have been
made numerous times even before the collapse, but were actually initiated from within
the Union. Glasnost allowed for the liberalization of media and free speech, paving the
way for some social opening to the western world even prior to the Soviet break-up.
Glasnost was originated by Gorbachev in order to increase debate and social awareness
of current issues and, as Gorbachev was hopeful of, support the economic changes he had
set forth with his Perestroika agenda. While the original idea behind Glasnost was the
seen by the west as a step forward in free media and speech. This relaxation of
censorship pushed the communist party to lose its grip over the media. This, in turn,
allowed for more liberal news sources to highlight and publish to the masses many of the
social and economics ills throughout the Russian empire that previously had been
covered up by the state media; these issues included poor housing, food shortages,
alcoholism, widespread pollution, creeping mortality rates and the second-rate position of
women. Following this, and for years to come, Western cultural materials, including
books, TV programs, music, and magazines, increasingly were translated into the
languages of areas under control of the Soviet Union. While this liberalization helped to
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open people’s eyes to many of the issues previously suppressed by Russian authorities, it
did not significantly alter the worldviews help by people of these societies, their social
Aside from small cultural openings, the majority of people in East-Central Europe
didn’t have very much of a western culture base during their years under communism.
Following the communist collapse, people from across the entire Soviet empire didn’t
have a reference point to begin the transition to consumerism and capitalism. In other
words, they were starting a cultural transformation relatively from scratch, in terms of
past experience (Their structural starting point will be discussed in more detail later).
Central-Eastern Europe had an advantage over the rest of the Soviet Union in this
transformation process, though. Unlike other Soviet territories, this region began with
historical links to Western Europe. Prior to World War II, many of the countries of
Europe. While providing a reference point for reconstructions and cultural transition, this
historical link helped in other ways as well. Bordering Central European countries have
pushed large amounts of resources and other help into the economies of these countries.
Germany is the most notorious of these investors. German trade with The Czech
with the total trade that the rest of Europe and the United States do with these same
countries. German investment in the region has been so strong, in fact, that Britain and
The United States have made determined efforts to increase their investment in the region
in order to counter German dominance, particularly in Poland. This economic input has
led to increased contact with Western cultural practices and the consumerist notions the
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West has tried so hard to spread. As a result of their proximity and historical relations
with Western Europe, East-Central Europe was had more of an advantage in transforming
According to an analysis of the region, “The relations between and interactions among
patters.” (Stark and Nee, 1989) Market transactions were widespread in these countries
in both the socialist sector as well as in the ‘second economy’ of these states. These
transactions were largely the result of the contradictions that result from a state
attempting to scientifically manage an entire economy. At the lower level, shortages and
bottlenecks in supply chains led to bargaining and exchanges between supervisors and
informal groups. Moving up to the managerial level, attempting to meet plan targets
required a thick network of informal ties that spread across enterprises and local
consumerism and market economy activity occurring within these countries, even under a
in order to reach one’s own goals is deeply engrained in the mindsets of people living in
these societies where, even today, large amounts of market activity still take place outside
influence, this was not to say that societies were strong while the government was weak.
Conversely, during the transition years both societies and the Government were weak.
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These transition years saw inefficient bureaucracies confronted with weak societies while
there was no history of political organizations rooted deep within society to provide a
channel for collusion. Even so, the existence of parallel structures among society,
mentioned earlier in speaking about the ‘second economy,’ allow for a building point
towards a structured society. Instead of the empty vacuum that many outsiders saw in
these societies, there were structures already in place that could be built upon in order to
see more efficient, smooth, and successful transition. These routines, practices,
organizational forms, and social ties become assets, resources, and the basis for credible
commitments and coordinated activities. The main idea behind all of this is that instead
of economic and social influences from outside countries aiding in a social transition
methods of market interaction, we see something else. From a more enlightened vantage
point, it is clear that a ‘transformation’ has taken place, during which new ideas have
Up to this point, countries in East-Central Europe have been grouped into one
entity for the purpose of overall analysis of the topic at hand. The fact that most of these
countries began transition around the same time, after the Soviet collapse, contributes to
the mistaken belief that there is one united Eastern European transition in which
transitions among states vary only in degree and speed. However, these countries were
not all witnessing the same transition at different speeds, each country was actually
seeing a different transition. These transitions varied in kind and the paths taken to
achieve them. Further, these variances occurred differently among countries and within
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each state at the political, economic, and social levels. With this in mind, it is important
to take note that social change often takes place much more slowly than political or even
economic transition. Nonetheless, social changes may start taking place well before any
political or economic transition even begins. This is decidedly true in the case of Central-
Eastern Europe. As faith in the communist system, already low towards the end of Soviet
reign, plummeted as the Union began to collapse, the social transformation began to take
place well before political and economic structures began their steep descent. While the
social and cultural change in East Europe began early, the transformation still continues
today. On another note, as these countries were under the communist stronghold for such
a long period of time that the generation that lived without communism had all but
passed. The deep roots that communism planted among these citizenry are not easily
transformed, though significant progress towards consumerism had been made. Even
with this progress, though, there have been considerable backlashes against all things
Poland has seen large increases in foreign interest, many people within the country have
been angered with a sense that they are being force-fed Western ideas without regard for
their traditional values and needs. This has been seen many times and in many forms,
commonly in large-scale protests, among these states since the transformation from
Europe are easily found, with the two largest most recent movements in Prague, Czech
Republic on September 26, 2000 and in Warsaw, Poland on April 29, 2004.
sentiments arise. One of the factors that led to this phenomenon following the
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communist collapse was the proliferation of ‘grand design’ theories meant to replace
entire systems of political and economic structures within societies. As a result of the
unique situations, politically, socially, and economically, that were in place in each of the
countries of Central-Eastern Europe, these prescriptions often did not work. These plans
were implemented at often very large cost, but for most post-Soviet countries they didn’t
work for a variety of reasons. The Washington Consensus was the most prominent of
these plans. The Washington Consensus was a fairly specific set of ten macroeconomic
"standard" reform package promoted for countries in need of reform or in economic and
World Bank and U.S. Treasury Department created it for this purpose in 1990. While
some countries in other parts of the world have been successful in implementing reform
using these standards, the policies didn’t work for countries in Central-Eastern Europe.
Much of the reason for the Washington Consensus’ failure was due to its inadequate
implementation in some countries, and the complete inability of others to implement its
theories, many theorists have since recommended that smaller ‘designs’ be implemented
in these countries, but in larger quantities. In other words, instead of one grand
problems. Using this strategy, societies find that design implementation and
organizations, and people on many different levels, leading to a more cooperative system
of structure building.
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As we move toward the more micro level of changes, we will take a look at the
way in which change took place in these countries’ societies. The changes that occurred
after the Soviet collapse were largely dependent on the system of trade and social
structures that were in each particular country before the transformation. As discussed
earlier, each of these countries being discussed went about change in much different
ways, and not only to differing degrees and speeds. Largely, this is due to the different
structures present in these states beforehand. In Poland, for example, the legacy and
importance of workers’ organizations in Polish society before the collapse had led to
trade unions and workers’ councils often being disproportionately highly influential in
changes taking place after the collapse. Another example was found in Hungary, where
the legacy of semi-autonomous contracting units within firms led to the presence of
larger variants of these units operating independently outside of these firms as limited-
liability corporations. While Russia isn’t among those states being discussed, a similar
phenomenon found in Russia’s transition helps strengthen this point. Russia’s end to
central planning didn’t leave a complete structural void in society, as old state-owned
company directors began to engage in barter trade through their old network connections.
These examples provide evidence that organizational forms in place before the collapse,
such as Polish workers’ organizations, shaped society to the extent that these societies
still interact in similar ways even after the collapse, such as using a trade union in Poland
as a channel through which to develop economic activity. Further, it is clear that the
structures in place before the collapse didn’t disappear with the end of the Union, but
instead will persist in these societies and must be considered when further transforming
the regions’ structural forms. Even more, while transformation has come a long way in
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societies and transformations, this essay will be moving towards a more direct description
of the consequences and costs of transition using statistics form the period. To begin, the
its fundamental requirements, unemployment inevitably rose after the collapse. Further,
job losses were not necessarily always matched with increased opportunities for
employment in other sectors of the economy, as many transition optimists had hoped. A
few of the more extreme examples follow. In Hungary between the years of 1991 and
1996, the level of full-time employment fell from 49 percent to 37.8 percent. During the
same period, levels fell from 55.4 percent to 36.6 percent in Bulgaria, from 60 percent to
48.8 percent in Estonia and from 63.3 percent to 44.2 percent in Romania. Furthermore,
the drop in employment levels has been more sever in some regions within countries than
in others, creating areas where pockets of extreme poverty are found amid relative
Second, transition resulted in drops of real income in these countries. The income
of the wage-earning sector of the population, that is real income, fell even faster and
further than GDP during the period of transition. This effect owes to the differential
impact that higher than expected rates of inflation have on wage earners. In
Czechoslovakia and Poland, falls in wages represented the majority of the fall in incomes
between 1989 and 1991, which in turn contributed to an increase in poverty. Third, food
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shortages resulted from large declines in agricultural production during the period of
Fourth, rises in mortality and declines in birth rates during transition led to
decreases in the rate of growth of the population in every country in the region. Where
populations had been declining prior to 1989, such as in Hungary, rates of population
decline increased. Where populations were increasing, the rate of increase dropped in the
countries of Poland and Slovakia, and turned into a decline in Bulgaria, Romania, and all
three Baltic states. These tendencies became a cause of concern for leaders of these
countries, where these newly independent states saw increases in population as essential
to national survival. In Latvia, which holds the record for falling birth rates, the
children. In 1997, the incentive level was at 196 lats per child. In 1999, spending on this
program accounted for 10 percent of the national budget. Population decreases in the
region had been attributed to a variety of factors including economic instability, social
population health and welfare. Further, using a poverty line of $120 a month at 1990
price levels, research has shown that in 1994 the number of people living in poverty in
Eastern Europe had grown from 3.6 million to 18.7 million, a move from 4 percent of the
Moving to an even more personal level, the changes in these societies after the
Soviet collapse had direct implications on the average worker himself. In studying the
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type of worker created by socialist countries, sociologist Victor Zaslavsky describes the
average ‘state-dependent worker’ as one who more closely resembled his predecessors at
the time of the Tsar than his counterpart in Western cultures. Policies of forced
peasants of their status as free producers and transformed them into an enormous mass of
unattached and uprooted migrant workers. The urbanization of these masses was not
as the state was focusing on investing in more efficient production methods and high
civilizing effect of the urban lifestyle, seen elsewhere in moves towards urbanization,
failed to become a reality for people of these states. What came about in these urban
centers instead was more of a mix of these migrants’ previous community values and the
emerging values of urban civilization. This new urban population wasn’t able to
experience urban market relations either, as both city-dwellers and new urbanized
peasants were subject to the same system or bureaucratic controls, propaganda, and
indoctrination. Furthermore, the state continued to reduce peasants’ freedom with the
like social passivity and obedience to authority. With the collapse of the Soviet Union
came also the inability of the state to support these systems that had previously supported
the ‘state-dependent worker.’ Zaslavsky has singled out three basic reactions that this
group of people experienced with the transition away from communism. First, some
adapted by more or less participating in illegal market activity. These activities were
seen more in the form of market scamming than entrepreneurial innovativeness. The
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consisting of trades and barters among groups of kinship or friends. This process created
these changing conditions was one more typical of state-dependent workers. This group
of people clang to the gigantic and obsolete factories that continued to provide wages,
social benefits, and some income for the state, although at the price of squandering
human and material resources. Furthermore, one of the many unforeseen consequences
of the state-controlled administrative economy was that it not only destroyed peoples’
will to work productively, but also fostered an alliance between the unskilled workers of
that have come from the transition period in these states have alleviated the proliferation
This analysis continues with a look at some of the innovate entrepreneurs in some
of these states. Sociologist Andrzej Kozminski found that, as a result of the changing
environment around them, these entrepreneurs have become much more ‘alert’ than those
found elsewhere. It seems that the best thing that new entrepreneurs can do in a ‘limbo
separated into two distinct periods, according to a paper by Cristiano Codagnone. The
first stage, from about 1986 to 1991, is that of Soviet perestroika, when the majority of
grey area between legality and illegality. Many of these agents’ activities were similar to
the speculative activities that were characteristic of the arbitrageurs of the pre-industrial
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era. The second stage begins with the end of the Soviet Union and the beginning of
privatization programs. From 1992 and on, those from the nomenklatura era no longer
dominated the economic scene of these states insofar as many of the members of the
findings by stating that the contribution of this second group of entrepreneurs to society
has been limited, but significant: they have commodified the economy and contributed to
the Soviet collapse. Kozminski stresses the fact that western perception of positive
change is usually based on macro-economic progress, but rather should be focused on the
can a state develop and integrate with the market system of economics. He further states
that privatization and business schools may help with this process, but are not sufficient
in developing this necessary condition for positive economic and social change in the
countries. It is necessary instead to draw up a list of the problems faced by the new post-
socialist enterprise and develop responses to these items. Kozminski concentrates his
study on managerial strategies in three types of enterprise: the ‘dinosaurs’ of the military-
industrial complex, the ‘pretenders’ whose enterprises manage to export and whose
technological level of expertise allows them to compete in the international market, and
‘mixed’ enterprises. Three types of managers emerge from the transformation process of
post-Soviet restructuring. The first are the ‘populist politicians,’ who are more numerous
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activism and the various institutions of populist industrial democracy. As their factories
employed many workers, they pressured their employees to put pressure on the
government to speed up the privatization process in order to get their factory sold to the
highest bidder in order to liquidize their debt and restart production in a restructured and
downsized enterprise. The second type of manager described in this study was the ‘new
technocrat’ who based his restructuring strategies on international consulting firms and
Nonetheless, this case also involved the division and downsizing of enterprises. In this
case, though, this activity was accompanied by financial and productive integration with
this region, according to the study. The first was the ‘foreign mercenary’ who was
management techniques. The second type was unlike the ‘mercenary’ in that he took into
account the local context and cultural differences of running a business in these countries.
He was the ‘foreign crusader,’ with different motivations and sensitivities than the
mercenary. Most of these types were first and second generation emigrants who
produced organizational and cultural change because, apart from making a profit, they
A widely acknowledged fact seen in the aforementioned study and others similar
to it is that privatization is absolutely necessary to advance the transition process, but not
Another study by Bruno Grancelli proposes further that despite the institutional and
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organizational changes that had taken place in these states, there was still a significant
principles. Clearly structures of management and types of managers that have emerged
from the post-Soviet enterprising field play an important role in restructuring these
societies, but it is also important to note that the methods implemented by states in the
restructuring process also shape the future managers of that state’s economy and society.
was responsible for a significant portion of negative effects on the populations of these
countries, we also have seen that the structures embedded into these societies have
was often the failure of these strategies, or of their implementations, that led to the social
ills mentioned in this text. This Catch-22 effect, where societal structures lead to the
failure of some transition strategies, and the failure of these strategies leads to social ills,
is precisely the interaction that must closely be studied when today’s political forces are
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Paper Topic “Western cultural influences in Eastern Europe's transition after the
Soviet collapse”
Bakacsi, Gyula, Takacs Sandor, Karasconyi Andras, and Imrek Viktor. “Eastern
European Cluster: Tradition and Transition.” Journal of World Business 37 (2002): 69-
80.
Bernhard, Michael. “Civil Society and Democratic Transition in East Central Europe.”
Political Science Quarterly 108 (1993): 307-326.
Fowkes, Ben. The Post-Communist Era : Change and Continuity in Eastern Europe. New
York: St. Martin's P, 1999.
Goldnman, Minton F. Revolution and Change in Central and Eastern Europe: Political,
Economic, and Social Changes. New York: Armonk, 1997.
Grancelli, Bruno. Social Change and Modernization: Lessons From Eastern Europe.
Berlin: Walter De Gruyter, 1995.
Ramet, Sabrina P. Social Currents in Eastern Europe : the Sources and Consequences of
the Great Transformation. 2nd ed. Durham: Duke UP, 1995.
MARKETING 465
GLOBAL MARKETING MANAGEMENT
Fall, 2006
Course Objectives:
In support of these goals, the course is divided into five major topic areas. The first topic
area focuses on the opportunities and challenges of international marketing and how to assess
country environmental factors that are most relevant to the management of international
marketing. The second topic area concentrates on how to select markets to enter and how to
develop international and global marketing strategies. The third topic area examines the
similarities and differences in product markets across countries and how to develop marketing
strategies for various types of products and services. The fourth topic area deals with how to
develop product policy in the international context including the management of branding,
positioning, product attributes, and packaging. The fifth topic area is concerned with how to
develop distribution/retailing, advertising/promotional, and pricing policies in the international
context including how to manage the tradeoffs of standardization vs. adaptation associated with
each element of the marketing mix. Throughout the course, a variety of country markets in
various regions of the world will be discussed and a variety of different types of products and
services will be addressed.
Class Sessions:
The class sessions will focus on the understanding of major concepts, frameworks, and
analytical tools used in global marketing and the application of these concepts, frameworks, and
tools to the understanding of real-world situations. The textbook chapters are designed to
introduce the major concepts in the field. Readings are chosen to expose you to recent trends in
global marketing. Case discussions will develop your skills in applying the concepts to actual
managerial situations. Assignments and exercises will also assist in developing your knowledge
and competencies in the area. Class sessions will consist of lectures in which conceptual material
will be clarified and of discussions of cases, readings, exercises, and concepts to allow you to
practice applying the material. Before each class session, you should read the assigned textbook
chapters, readings, and cases and be prepared to discuss them in class.
Course Evaluation:
As an important part of the learning in this course comes from class, you are expected to
participate actively in class sessions. The level of class discussions and how much you gain from
them depend in large part on how well prepared you are for each class and how actively you take
part in the discussions. Thus, your level of preparation for class sessions and participation in
discussions will be factored into the final evaluation. I realize that occasionally it is not possible
to attend class. You can miss up to three class sessions without it affecting your grade; however,
if you miss more than three sessions, it could have an impact on your participation grade.
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Occasionally, I will ask groups to make informal presentations in class; these informal
presentations will be factored into the participation grade.
Your individual mastery of the course material will be tested in a midterm and a final
examination. The exams are designed to assess your knowledge of the material covered up to that
point in the course.
The four group assignments should be completed in groups of 4-5 people. They are
designed to give you hands-on experience developing skills relevant to global marketing. Learning
in these assignments should be enhanced by interacting and discussing the material with other
members of your group. Peer evaluations of each member of your group will be conducted to
ensure that all members contribute equitably to the assignments. All assignments are due at the
beginning of class on the due date. Assignments that are handed in late will have their grades
marked down.
Texts:
KG: Keegan, Warren J., & Green, Mark C. 2005. Global Marketing (4th Ed.). Upper
Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall.
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Course Outline:
8/30 Case: Barbie: The American Girl Goes Global (Case 4-2 KG)
Marketing an Industrial Product in Latin America (Case 14-1 KG)
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9/20 Case: Citibank: Launching the Credit Card in Asia Pacific (PCR)
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11/29 Case: LVMH and Luxury Goods Marketing (Case 11-2 KG)
12:00-1:50PM Section
4:00-5:50PM Section
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xxxxxxx
Prof. Schorr 1
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Age at Marriage % of Kids Who Say They Talk with Their Dads
Every Day
Work Hours
– U.S. 87%
Educational Levels – Germany 63%
– Japan 54%
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A CULTURAL PROFILE
Observable Manifestations of Culture
Social Organization
2004
Countries with Largest Population Countries with Largest
Sorted by Level of Economic Development Land Areas (sq. miles)
(World Bank Publications) Russia 6,592,800
GNI/cap GNI/cap at PPP Canada 3,851,809
LOW INCOME ($825 or less) China 3,691,521
India 620 3,100 U.S. 3,536,341
Pakistan 600 2,160 Brazil 3,286,470
Vietnam 550 2,700 Australia 2,966,150
Sudan 530 1,870 India 1,229,737
Kenya 460 1,050 Argentina 1,072,067
Bangladesh 440 1,980 Kazakstan 1,049,000
Nigeria 390 930 Sudan 967,491
Tanzania 330 660
Congo, Dem Rep 120 680
Ethiopia 110 810 Countries with Highest Average Annual
Myanmar GDP Growth Rates 1990-2003
LOWER MIDDLE INCOME ($826-$3,255) (greater than 5.5%)
Brazil 3,090 8,020 China 9.6%
Thailand 2,540 8,020 Ireland 7.7%
Iran 2,300 7,550 Vietnam 7.5%
Algeria 2,280 6,260 Myanmar 7.4%
Colombia 2,000 6,820 Mozambique 7.0%
Morocco 1,520 4,100 Liberia 7.0%
Egypt 1,310 4,120 Uganda 6.8%
China 1,290 5,530 Cambodia 6.5%
Ukraine 1,260 6,250 Singapore 6.3%
Phillipines 1,170 4,890 Lao PDR 6.3%
Indonesia 1,140 3,460 Malaysia 5.9%
UPPER MIDDLE INCOME ($3,256-$10,065) India 5.9%
Mexico 6,770 9,590 Dominican Rep. 5.8%
Poland 6,090 12,640 Yemen 5.8%
Turkey 3,750 7,680 Sudan 5.7%
Argentina 3,720 12,460 Chile 5.6%
South Africa 3,630 10,960 South Korea 5.5%
Russia 3,410 9,620
HIGH INCOME ($10,066 or more)
US 41,400 39,710
Japan 37,180 30,040
UK 33,940 31,460
Germany 30,120 27,950
France 30,090 29,320
Canada 28,390 30,660
Italy 26,120 27,860
Spain 21,210 25,070
South Korea 13,980 20,400
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Inflation Trade
– Size of Imports and Exports
Exchange Rates
– Imports and Exports by Product Category
Interest Rates – Major Trading Partners
Foreign Investment
– amount
– by sector
– by country
Economic Statistics by Sector
– production, services, agriculture
Structure of Consumption
Private Consumption By Category
– Food Expenditures
– Clothing Expenditures
– Transportation Expenditures
– Housing Expenditures
– Health Care Expenditures
– Education Expenditures
– Leisure Expenditures
– Etc.
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AN ECONOMIC/FINANCIAL PROFILE
Wealth
Size of Economy
• Population
• GDP or GNI
o At exchange rates
o At PPP
• Growth Rates
Economic Distribution
• By Income Level
• By Region
• Urban vs. Rural
Financial Situation
• Inflation
• Exchange Rates
• Interest Rates
• Trade
• Foreign Investment
• Economic Statistics by Sector
Structure of Consumption
Prof. Schorr
Geography and Climate
Size of Country
Population Density
Major Geographical Features
Climate
Global Marketing
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A TECHNOLOGICAL PROFILE
Geography and Climate
• Size of Country
• Population Density
• Major Geographical Features
• Climate
Basic Infrastructure
• Water
• Sanitation
• Electricity
Transportation Infrastructure
• Transportation Networks
• Vehicles
Household Technology
• Kitchen Technology
• Cleaning Technology
• Entertainment Technology
• Climate Control
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EC 92 Market Integration
Issues Facing EU
Program
Eliminating Border Control Maastricht Treaty and European Monetary
Regulations and Principle of Mutual Union
Recognition Expansion into Eastern Europe
– minimum standards set, e.g. food and toy safety Decision and Budget Problems
Opening Up of National Procurement Concerns About Sovereignty
VAT Harmonization A Two Track Europe
Liberalization of Services -- e.g., Financial
Services
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A POLITICAL/REGULATORY PROFILE
Type of Government
• Political System
• Political Parties
• Government Centralization vs. Decentralization
Investment Policies
• Ownership Limitations
• Financial Controls
Risk
• Political, Financial, Economic, and Composite Risk
Global Marketing
Prof. Dennis Schorr
International Presence of Your
Company
Countries Where You Make Sales
– for target product
– for other products
Breakdown of Sales by
Evaluating Country Markets – region of world
– country
Selecting Countries to Enter and Market Share
Allocating Resources Across – global
Countries – in major markets
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Country
Selection
Indicators of Relative
Relative Competitive Strength
Competitive Strength
Ability to enter and establish competitive Potential competitive strengths in market
advantage – product fit
– resources, capabilities, and core competencies fit
Fit with current resources and strengths in
– strengths relative to competition
country – similarity to existing markets
– in target business – etc.
– in other businesses Current competitive strengths in market
Fit with current resources and strengths in – market share
neighboring countries – access to distribution channels
– brand reputation
– etc.
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Market Participation
Choice of country-markets in which to conduct
business, and the level of activity, particularly in
terms of market share.
FULLY FULLY
MULTILOCAL GLOBAL
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Perspectives on Global
Marketing Strategy Levitt’s Perspective on Global
Levitt’s Perspecitve on Global Marketing Marketing
Ohmae’s Perspective on Global Marketing
Quelch and Hoff’s Perspective on Global Theodore Levitt
Marketing
The Globalization of Markets
1983 Harvard Business Review
Consumer Tastes Around World High Quality and Low Cost Global
are Converging Products will Beat out Adapted Products
• Communication and transportation technologies • Global scale permits
expose people around world to similar information – Low cost and low price
– High quality
– television and radio
• Consumers will choose lower priced, high quality products
– movies
even if they are not exactly tailored to part habits and local
– telecommunications market needs
• phone – consumers around world desire same things
• fax • value -- stretching their income as far as possible
• internet • alleviation of life’s burdens and expansion of discretionary time
– satellites – so lower priced goods of high quality will beat out locally tailored
products that are higher priced
– jet travel
• Strategy can expand markets with aggressive low pricing
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Quality Language
Size
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• One set of policies for all – Local partners often don’t have local consumer and
market knowledge
business units in negotiating • Predate emergence of real consumer markets
• Increasing numbers of companies entering
with government developing countries with wholly-owned
subsidiaries
– 18% in China in 1992
– 37% in china in 1996
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Conclusion
• All Companies Should Engage in Global
Brand Leadership Holt, Quelch, and Taylor on
– But Not Necessarily Global Brand Global Branding
Standardization
“How Global Brands Compete”
• Companies That Use Unconnected and
Douglas Holt, John Quelch, and Earl
Directionless Local Brand Strategies Will Taylor
Find Mediocrity as Its Reward Harvard Business Review, 2004
• Glocalization in Managing Global Brands • Quality Signal (44% of variance in preference for
global brands)
• Lightening Rods for Antiglobalization – Global products seen as high quality
• Very Salient in Minds of Consumers • Global Myth (12% of variance)
– Global products tie people to a shared, perhaps
imagined, global identity
• Social Responsibility (8% of variance)
– Expect global brands to behave responsibly and hold
these brands to a high standard of social responsibility
• U.S. Brands were not perceived more negatively
or positively
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Execution Budget
Source Objective and task - 64%
– Actors
Percentage of sales - 48%
– Celebrities
Content Executive judgment - 33%
– Words All you can afford - 12%
– Images/Visuals
Matched competitors - 12%
– Music
Settings Same as last year plus a little more - 9%
Same as last year - 3%
– Infomercials, Catalogs, Direct Mail, E-mail, Telemarketing, Internet Marketing
Sales Promotions
for which messages
Percent of budget allocated to each media
– Samples, Coupons, Rebates, Price and Bonus Packs, Premiums, Tie-ins, Continuity programs,
Contests
Trade Promotions
– Slotting allowances, Coop advertising, Floor planning, Temporary price cuts, Volume
discounts, Contests
or communications vehicle
Public Relations
Sponsorships
Product Placements
– Products in movies and television shows
Personal Selling
Sales Force Promotion Tools
– Trade shows and conventions, Sales contests, Promotional gifts
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Local Brands
Highest level of local autonomy
Development of marketing strategy and
execution left at local level
– little need for coordination
– little need for guidelines and approval
procedures
Information may be transferred across
countries but with no attempt to influence
local managers to adopt new ideas
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Expert Recommendations
• A team of managers from the different regions/countries should
develop and shape global marketing ideas
• Identify areas of marketing that must be globally consistent and leave
other areas of marketing to the decisions of local managers
– Marketing strategy may be more globalized while execution can be left to
local control
• Identify global products that must be more standardized across
countries and then allow other products that are country specific
• Create a global communications platform and menu of options, but
local managers can choose from the menu and add local elements to
the global platform
• Quantify both the benefits and costs of global consistency and develop
a measurement system for tracking in future
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Cost and Profit Factors External Export Related Costs and Price
to the Company Escalation
Costs Related Either to Domestic, Overseas Production, or Export Costs of shipping, insurance, tariffs, taxes,
Sales
– Taxes importer margins, and distribution margins can
– Distributor Margins make retail prices in export markets much higher
wholesalers
than domestic retail prices
retailer
Costs Related to Exporting How to lower price escalation
– Transportation and Insurance Costs – price based on marginal costs
– Tariffs
– eliminate layers of middlemen in importing and
Manufacturer’s Selling Price Plus Above Costs Determine Final Price
to Customer distributing the product
– redesign product to lower costs
– set up production in overseas markets
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Managerial Issues
Relative vs. Absolute Pricing
Multidomestic vs. Global Strategic Orientations
Coordination and Pricing Policies
– global customers and potential need for coordination
Gray Market Problems
Product Characteristics, Package Sizes, and Prices
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Prof. Schorr
Segmentation Strategies
National Market Segment Strategy
– Primary Segmentation Variable: Within Each
Country
Country Clusters Market Segment Strategy
Global Marketing – Primary Segmentation Variable: Groups of
Similar Countries
Global Market Segment Strategy
Segmentation – Primary Segmentation Variable: Factors that
Cut Across Countries or Regions
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Professor Schorr
Fall, 2006
1.) Develop a cultural and social profile of the country. Consider the implications of the cultural
and social environment for marketing in that country.
2.) Develop an economic, financial, and technological profile of the country. Consider the
implications of the economic, financial, and technological environment for marketing in that
country.
3.) Develop a political and regulatory profile of the country. Consider the implications of the
political and regulatory environment for marketing in that country.
4.) Summarize the highlights of the environmental analyses, and summarize the implications of
the environmental factors for marketing.
Be sure to reference sources of information. Feel free to use exhibits to help present your
profiles, if appropriate This assignment is due at the beginning of class on September 13.
Population: The population indicates the total population of the given countries. Ranks
were assigned to the countries based on the total population, higher populations being
assigned higher ranks. Although much of populations may not be able to afford the
product in question, this is adjusted for with the disposable income and GNI per capita
indexes. Population was given a 12% weight because it is important in determining the
market size which directly correlates with the potential profit to be made in each country;
the population is not as important of an indicator as other factors which more accurately
display the amount of the population may be captured with this product.
GNI per Capita: The GNI per capita indicates the Gross National Income per citizen of
the given country. Ranks were assigned to the countries based on a higher GNI per
capita indicating a more attractive market. Countries with the highest GNI per capita are
likely to be best able to purchase the product. GNI per capita was given a 10% weight
because it’s not as strong of a determinant in ability of consumers to purchase the
product, with more weight given to the related criteria of disposable income.
Disposable Income: Disposable income is the amount of income that consumers are
able to keep for the purchase of luxury items, such as mp3 players. As mp3 players are
largely seen as a luxury item, high disposable incomes are necessary in order for
consumers to consider purchasing mp3 players. Ratings were assigned to countries based
on highest disposable income levels, adjusted to a common currency. Disposable income
was given the high weight of 20% because it is seen as one of the most important factors
leading to the adoption of mp3 players into the population. Only if consumers have high
disposable incomes will they be able to purchase mp3 players.
purchase the product (these two highest weighted indicators are signs of purchasing
power in relation to mp3 players)
Consumer Electronics Growth Rate: The consumer electronics growth rate indicates
the growth in the given countries of the consumer electronics industry over the last two
years, representing signs for future growth of the mp3 market important in determining
long-term company goals. Countries were rated based on GMID data on the growth rates
in the luxury consumer goods sector, with higher growth rates given a higher overall
rating. An 18% weight was given to this category because of its importance in
determining where the market is heading over the coming years, and thus a strong
indicator of potential growth in company products after entering the market.
Age distribution: Age distribution indicated the percentage of country residents within
the
MP3 players
1. Product description
2. Product use
o Users often connect players to car and home stereos
o The growing cell phone market is adopting MP3 capabilities
3. Market overview
o MP3 are currently enjoying the most dynamic growth in
personal/portable audio products growing market for MP3, not
saturated!!! No need to look for high income levels in emerging countries;
better to directly focus on high income countries
o Most of the growth results from the success of Apple's iPod
o Mp3 demand remains in its infancy in several major markets, notably the
UK: consumer reluctance to change from mini-disc to MP3 there is a
large room in developed rich countries
o Research firm IDC predicts that the MP3 player market will experience 20
% growth each year for the next few years and hit $58 billion in
revenues in 2008
o Spain: growth of 562% from February to September 2004.
o China's market for MP3 players:
i. growing with a 250-per-cent increase year-on-year in demand for
MP3 chips predicted (nov 2004)
The goal of this assignment is to give you experience in analyzing country markets
to prioritize countries in terms of attractiveness for marketing a specific product or
service.
1.) Use a filtering model for selecting a short list of eight to ten countries from all
countries around the world to analyze in more detail. Describe and justify the criteria
that you used in this initial filtering process. Obtain data for your filtering criteria.
Describe how you came up with this short list using your filtering model. Attach
copies of the data that you used for you filtering model and annotate the data to show
how you filtered out the most attractive countries for your short list.
The following criteria have been used to set up the final list of 8 countries by using the
filtering system.
1. High-income countries
We will focus on those countries with high income levels and large numbers of
wealthier people. There are 54 high-income countries.
2. GNI per capita: > 25 000
3. This indicator shows the size of the economy. We have selected the biggest
economies.
4. GDP growth: > 2,5% growing eco
5. GDP ppp: > 1.000.000 mn$ in 2006
6. Population
7. We are seeking countries with around 50 millions people. The biggest the
population in high-income countries, the biggest should be the potential market
for MP3.
8. Age distribution
MP3 customers are aged between 15-64 years. We will select those countries with
a % of 65 or more of this population.
9. Annual Disposable income
10. Households (% of total) with an annual disposable income over US$25,000
We have selected an income of $25000 as an indicator of attractiveness. People have to
afford without too much effort the purchase of MP3.
PC's in Use: # per capita > 0,4
11. Internet users
We look for those countries with a % of internet users above 40%. As we said
earlier MP3 involve the use of the internet to download music.
12. Total Consumer Electronics: Global Volume Sales % Growth
We are interested in those regions in which the % of growth in global volume
sales of consumer electronics is higher. That is why we will pay attention to Asia-
pacific, Western Europe and North America.
Other criteria
1. Inflation
The countries selected should have inflations rates around 3% or less.
2. MP3 market growth
o “China's market for MP3 players is growing with a 250-per-cent increase
year-on-year in demand for MP3 chips predicted.”(Nov 2004)
o “The percentage of U.S. households with MP3 players will jump from
about 6 percent in 2004 to as much as 25 percent by the end of 2006”
(January 2006)
Filtering system
Having ranked all the countries we have selected those which fulfilled all the requirements or
criteria above mentioned. In such a way we have been able to list 8 attractive countries for the
MP3 market.
List
1. USA
2. UK
3. JAPAN
4. Hong Kong, China
5. Germany
6. South Korea
7. France
8. Italy
Source: https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/fields/2092.html
http://devdata.worldbank.org/data-query/
Use a quantitative multi-factorial model for evaluating your short list of countries and
prioritizing the short list in terms of attractiveness for your product or service. Describe
and justify the criteria you used for evaluating your short list of countries. Justify the
weights you assigned to each criterion. Obtain data related to your criteria for your short
list of countries. Describe the system you used for assigning ratings to the criteria. Attach
a copy of your table or spreadsheet containing the weights, data, ratings, and overall index
for each country. Which countries are most attractive based on the quantitative analysis?
Rank the attractiveness of the countries based on this analysis. Discuss why the top
countries come out as most attractive based on the quantitative model. Explanations of
criteria used for analysis (discuss in this paragraph).
Population: The population indicates the total population of the given countries. Ranks
were assigned to the countries based on the total population, higher populations being
assigned higher ranks. Although much of populations may not be able to afford the
product in question, this is adjusted for with the disposable income and GNI per capita
indexes. Population was given a 12% weight because it is important in determining the
market size which directly correlates with the potential profit to be made in each country;
the population is not as important of an indicator as other factors which more accurately
display the amount of the population may be captured with this product.
GNI per Capita: The GNI per capita indicates the Gross National Income per citizen of
the given country. Ranks were assigned to the countries based on a higher GNI per
capita indicating a more attractive market. Countries with the highest GNI per capita are
likely to be best able to purchase the product. GNI per capita was given a 10% weight
because it’s not as strong of a determinant in ability of consumers to purchase the
product, with more weight given to the related criteria of disposable income.
Disposable Income: Disposable income is the amount of income that consumers are
able to keep for the purchase of luxury items, such as mp3 players. As mp3 players are
largely seen as a luxury item, high disposable incomes are necessary in order for
consumers to consider purchasing mp3 players. Ratings were assigned to countries based
on highest disposable income levels, adjusted to a common currency. Disposable income
was given the high weight of 20% because it is seen as one of the most important factors
leading to the adoption of mp3 players into the population. Only if consumers have high
disposable incomes will they be able to purchase mp3 players.
players, where the first into the market tends to become the market leader (i.e. iPod in the
United States). Nonetheless, it is not as determinant of a factor as disposable income or
tech infrastructure because it is most important for consumers to have the ability to
purchase the product (these two highest weighted indicators are signs of purchasing
power in relation to mp3 players)
Consumer Electronics Growth Rate: The consumer electronics growth rate indicates
the growth in the given countries of the consumer electronics industry over the last two
years, representing signs for future growth of the mp3 market important in determining
long-term company goals. Countries were rated based on GMID data on the growth rates
in the luxury consumer goods sector, with higher growth rates given a higher overall
rating. An 18% weight was given to this category because of its importance in
determining where the market is heading over the coming years, and thus a strong
indicator of potential growth in company products after entering the market.
Age distribution: Age distribution indicated the percentage of country residents within
the age group most likely to purchase mp3 players, those aged 15 to 64. The age
distribution of the market is important in determining its attractiveness in that markets
with a high percentage of the population in this age group are more likely to catch on to
new technologies, such as the mp3 player, and are more prone to purchase trendier
consumer electronics. Countries with the highest percentages of population in the age
group 15 to 64 were given the highest rankings in this category, and vice versa. A 5%
weight was placed on this category because, although it is important for the market to be
comprised of this target age group, this factor was not considered to be as important as
any of the other factors for the aforementioned reasons in the preceding paragraphs.
Short Criteria Summary: Based on the quantitative model, Japan is ranked as one of
the most attractive markets to enter due to its relatively low points ranking. Although the
market is very saturated already, the Japanese economy has one of the highest consumer
electronic growth rates. The high technological infrastructure suggests that the Japanese
often invest in faster, stronger, and state-of-the-art technologies whenever available as to
keep up with the economic world leaders. The United States has a very large population,
high GNI per capita, high technological infrastructure, relatively considerate disposable
income levels, and is one of the largest consumer electronic growth markets. It is a prime
market to enter due to the fact that although the market is somewhat saturated, the high
disposable income leads to people spending more on new products even if they have a
similar substitutes. South Korea is a relatively unattractive market because it has a
relatively small population, relatively low average disposable income levels, and low
GNI per capita. Although the country passed through the filters, the market economy is
just relatively too poor for us to enter.
(MEGAN’S PART)
V. SUMMARY
3.) How consistent are the quantitative and qualitative conclusions? If they are
consistent, explain why you think they are consistent. If they are not consistent,
explain why you think they are not consistent. If they are not consistent, how would
you rank the attractiveness of the countries?
Elizabeth Doherty
Michael Marzouk
Keith Parker
Megan Ramer
Gisela Vendrell
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This analysis will conclude in the development of a list with eight countries that are most
attractive to the MP3 player market. To begin, a brief overview of the product itself is
necessary. The term MP3 player is a generic term used to refer to portable digital audio
players. Namely, these are devices that store, organize, and play digital music files. The
user of an MP3 player would load their MP3 player with songs downloaded from the
Internet or with music “ripped” (the process of copying music from your CDs to your
hard-drive) from traditional CDs using a computer. It is important to note that ownership
or access to a computer is a definite prerequisite to the purchase of an MP3 player, as
computers are necessary to load the MP3 player with music and/or other data types.
There are a wide range of types and models of MP3 players available to current markets
today. Range in price is from US$60 to US$400; thus this analysis will emphasize an
interest in high-income countries, especially as computer access is necessary for a market
to be desirable. The main benefit MP3 players provide over traditional methods of
playing music is its ability to store thousands of songs with easy access in a small
package.
MP3 players are often connected to home stereos or in cars to play music through these
systems. Concurrently, there is a growing market for pseudo-MP3 players with cell
phone capabilities, video capabilities, and other varieties of uses.
An overview of the current MP3 player market shows that MP3 players are currently
enjoying the most dynamic growth of any product in the ‘personal or portable audio
product’ market; vis-à-vis the attractiveness of high income markets, our interest in these
markets is validated by the lack of market saturation and continued growth in the MP3
player market in high income countries. Most of the growth in the MP3 player market
has been the result of the wildly successful Apple iPod®. MP3 demand remains in its
product cycle infancy in several major markets, notably the United Kingdom; consumers
in the UK have shown a reluctance to change from mini-disc players to MP3 players,
therefore there is still much room for growth. The research firm IDC predicts that the
MP3 player market will experience 20% growth each year for the next few years and hit
US$58 billion in revenues towards 2008. In Spain there was a growth of 562% from
February to September 2004 alone. China’s market for MP players has also shown
attractive, with a 250% increase year-on-year in demand in MP3 players predicted. In
2004, China’s market for MP3 players maintained strong momentum in its growth, seeing
a steady rise in both sales volume and sales revenue. Falling chip prices and intensified
market competition resulted in continuous price drops in the MP3 player market,
combined with a growing recognition and acceptance among users, have resulted in large
growth in the Chinese market. The US market has proven its worth in this market as
well, with an estimated US$5.7 billion in manufacturer sales in 2006 (almost three times
its worth of just over US$1.9 billion in 2001. Furthermore, the percent of US households
with MP3 players is expected to jump from six percent in 2004 to as much as 25% by the
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end of 2006. Nonetheless, the top brands and manufacturers of MP3 players are not well
known, with the exception of the iPod®.
NOTE: Initially we decided to aim our marketing effects toward upper- and
lower-middle income countries. This notion was based on the principle
foundation that high-income countries will likely already possess a saturated MP3
market, as disposable incomes are high and MP3 players have recently become
increasingly popular. We wanted to focus on finding a less saturated market
where our MP3 could quickly gain market share upon introduction. However,
after applying a complete filtering model to these upper- and lower-middle income
countries, we realized that the data associated with upper- and lower-middle
income countries (i.e. GDP, growth rate, population density, number of PC’s in
use, etc.) was not in concordance with what we felt to be the necessary
characteristics for an ideal country for MP3 players. Ultimately our filtering
model concluded with the following countries: Argentina, Chile, Czech Republic,
Hungary, Malaysia, Russian Federation, Slovak Republic, Thailand, Turkey
(please refer to the Appendix for data and the criteria used with this version of the
filtering model). Although this list seemed reasonable, we did not believe that
these ten countries were the absolute best for our product. We therefore generated
a wholly new filtering model, starting with high-income countries, and
implemented this model to see which countries to analyze in more detail.
Population: Population indicates the total population within a specified country. We are
seeking countries with large populations because, even though a large portion might be
unable to afford MP3 players, a high population typically implies a larger market size,
higher growth potential, the possibility for a larger quantity of consumers, and so on.
Because of these favorable attributes, we are seeking to find countries with large
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populations, thereby eliminating any countries with populations less than fifty million
people.
GNI per Capita: The GNI per capita indicates the Gross National Income per person in
the specified country. Because countries with the highest GNI per capita are likely to be
best able to purchase this relatively expensive product (most retail for anywhere from $70
to $500 US), we eliminated any countries where the GNI per capita was less than
$25,000.
Disposable Income: Disposable income is the amount of income that consumers are
able to keep for the purchase of luxury or unnecessary items, such as MP3 players.
Because MP3 players clearly aren’t necessary for survival, they are considered a luxury
product. High annual disposable incomes are necessary to enable the purchase of such an
expensive item. Consumers will only be able to consider buying this product if they have
the financial purchasing power to do so. Therefore, in order for a country to be attractive
for the MP3 player, a significant proportion of its residents must have an ample amount
of purchasing freedom, as indicated by high annual disposable income. We have selected
an annual disposable income of $25,000 as an indicator of attractiveness.
PC’s in Use: The number of PC’s per capita is an important indicator for a country’s
overall attractiveness because this can be used as a general indicator for the technological
capabilities of a country. In order for MP3 players to thrive within a market, it is
imperative for the market to have fundamental technological knowledge and a desire to
keep up with the latest consumer electrics or basic technological products.
Personal computers are often seen as a somewhat generic form of technology. A country
with a large population of PC users implies that inhabitants are adverse in the world of
technology and are also able to afford luxury technological items. This is an extremely
important indicator for MP3 players because the majority of MP3 players require PC’s to
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setup the product and download music onto it. Therefore, we are targeting countries with
the number of PC’s in use per capita greater than 0.4.
After narrowing all of the countries in the world down to a list of eight countries, we
utilized a quantitative multi-factorial model for evaluating this short list of countries and
prioritized the short list in terms of attractiveness for your product or service. The
following describes and justifies the criteria used for evaluating these eight countries.
Population: The population indicates the total population of the given countries. Ranks
were assigned to the countries based on the total population, higher populations being
assigned higher ranks. Although much of populations may not be able to afford the
product in question, this is adjusted for with the disposable income and GNI per capita
indexes. Population was given a 12% weight because it is important in determining the
market size which directly correlates with the potential profit to be made in each country;
the population is not as important of an indicator as other factors which more accurately
display the amount of the population may be captured with this product.
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GNI per Capita: The GNI per capita indicates the Gross National Income per citizen of
the given country. Ranks were assigned to the countries based on a higher GNI per
capita indicating a more attractive market. Countries with the highest GNI per capita are
likely to be best able to purchase the product. GNI per capita was given a 10% weight
because it’s not as strong of a determinant in ability of consumers to purchase the
product, with more weight given to the related criteria of disposable income.
Disposable Income: Disposable income is the amount of income that consumers are
able to keep for the purchase of luxury items, such as mp3 players. As mp3 players are
largely seen as a luxury item, high disposable incomes are necessary in order for
consumers to consider purchasing mp3 players. Ratings were assigned to countries based
on highest disposable income levels, adjusted to a common currency. Disposable income
was given the high weight of 20% because it is seen as one of the most important factors
leading to the adoption of mp3 players into the population. Only if consumers have high
disposable incomes will they be able to purchase mp3 players.
Consumer Electronics Growth Rate: The consumer electronics growth rate indicates
the growth in the given countries of the consumer electronics industry over the last two
years, representing signs for future growth of the mp3 market important in determining
long-term company goals. Countries were rated based on GMID data on the growth rates
in the luxury consumer goods sector, with higher growth rates given a higher overall
rating. An 18% weight was given to this category because of its importance in
determining where the market is heading over the coming years, and thus a strong
indicator of potential growth in company products after entering the market.
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Age Distribution: Age distribution indicated the percentage of country residents within
the age group most likely to purchase mp3 players, those aged 15 to 64. The age
distribution of the market is important in determining its attractiveness in that markets
with a high percentage of the population in this age group are more likely to catch on to
new technologies, such as the mp3 player, and are more prone to purchase trendier
consumer electronics. Countries with the highest percentages of population in the age
group 15 to 64 were given the highest rankings in this category, and vice versa. A 5%
weight was placed on this category because, although it is important for the market to be
comprised of this target age group, this factor was not considered to be as important as
any of the other factors for the aforementioned reasons in the preceding paragraphs.
USA: The United States presents the most attractive market because of local familiarity
with the product, and historical receptiveness to MP3 marketing campaigns. A strong
marketing infrastructure is already in place and there are only a few key players in the
market so far. There is a large population in our targeted income segment and excellent
potential for this market. Consumer attitudes towards MP3 players are very receptive.
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Cons: Barriers to entry. Apple’s iPod currently has a huge proportion of market share,
making it difficult to envision a successful new player in the market.
China and Hong Kong: This is also a very attractive market. An interesting advantage
for entering China is that, since it still has a culture that values communist ideals, the
Chinese culture encourages copying and borrowing of ideas. The modern day
implications of this include the fact that file sharing on the internet is not seen as
unethical. This makes MP3 technology very popular and will increase the demand for
MP3 players. Furthermore, another interesting pro for the Chinese market is presented in
the following graph:
According to the study on people who intend to buy an MP3 player in the next 12
months, 80% of the respondents from China already own one and are looking to replace
it. Because people are already knowledgeable about the technology and are familiar with
product features, downloading music, and listening to online radio broadcasts, MP3
manufacturers can take their marketing strategy to the next level in China and South
Korea; that is, increasing brand loyalty and customizing features to these markets. One
reason that China is not ranked as “most attractive” in our study is the issue of pirated
technology. Western firms must keep in mind that Asian companies are quick to copy
technology and drive prices down. For example, when Creative Technologies of
Singapore introduced a small, patented MP3 player called the MuVo, knockoffs were
soon found in the streets of Shanghai made by 40 different companies. In the end, the
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company had to use Chinese manufacturers to make bargain versions of its products for
the Chinese market and sell them at lower prices. (Fishman 233)
Japan: Japan is an attractive market but not as much so as the previous two. Pros: Japan
and several other countries in the Asia-Pacific region lead the world in terms of technical
innovation as well as receptiveness to new technologies. Also, Japan is more
industrialized than several of the other Asian markets. Thirdly, Japan is considered a
‘lead’ market in many categories and knowledge gained there can be applied around the
globe. Cons: Unfamiliarity with distribution channels and customer profiles. Although
Japan is an attractive market, much more information needs to be collected before a
marketing plan can be formulated.
The United Kingdom: Pro: This market is similar in a lot of ways to the US market, so
tailoring a marketing plan to the UK customer won’t be too difficult. Apple’s iPod
already has market dominance in the country, but there is plenty of opportunity for
growth. The consumer is still in the ‘curious’ stages with MP3 technology, as evidenced
by the preceding graph. Of the British respondents who intend to buy an MP3 player in
the next year, only 30% have owned one before. Cons: the UK is not as digitally savvy
as the “Asian Tigers” listed above, and is not nearly as aggressive in terms of adopting
new technology.
South Korea: South Korea presents itself as an exciting opportunity, but presents more
challenges in terms of unfamiliarity with marketing infrastructure there. Parks
Associates, an independent research firm, recently ranked nations according to their
‘digital living index’, a statistic that examines the availability, adoption rate, and use of
technology-driven products and services in a given country. Korea was ranked second on
this list behind Taiwan (BBCnews.com). It is obvious that the South Korean population
would be receptive to MP3 players despite the marketing challenges.
Germany, Italy, and France: These three countries came out with relatively similar
results in the qualitative analysis. They are not as attractive because they are not “lead
markets” since Europeans give preference to low-priced solutions in the MP3 industry. A
poor design and mediocre performance will not prevent them from use. In these
countries, the most popular MP3 players are currently also the least sophisticated.
(mobile-review.com)
V. CONSISTENCY ANALYSIS
In order to reconcile our two rankings, one must thoroughly consider all aspects of
attractiveness in a market. The first most obvious discrepancy on our two lists is the
placement of Hong Kong/China. Quantitatively, the country ranked #7 out of 8. This is
due to the use of GNI per capita as a filter variable, since it does not take into
consideration the vast income disparities. Because of the huge population, there is still a
viable market of 30+ million upper income consumers. This was taken into consideration
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along with the receptiveness to new technology and the aggressive rate of innovation, and
leads China to be ranked #2 in our qualitative study.
Next, note the difference in the ranking of South Korea. Upon considering the variables
of population size, average disposable income, and GNI per capita, South Korea seems
like a market of little use to the MP3 industry. But consider also that Korea is one of the
“Asian Tigers;” that is, nations with a passion for technology and innovation who are
experiencing rapid growth in the technology sector right now. Samsung, the number two
maker of MP3 players in the entire world behind Apple, is located in Korea. The nation
has tremendous pride in their production of new technological products and the market is
incredibly receptive and quick to adopt new technology. This is why South Korea was
last in terms of quantitative analysis but came in 5th in our qualitative discussion.
VI. CONCLUSION
After extensive marketing, statistical, and informational research, we have found the top
countries’ markets into which we feel it would be most advantageous to enter. There are
a wide range of types and models for MP3 devices varying at different price levels and
there are countries whose economy cannot support up-to-date technologies and can,
therefore, not afford to purchase these products. The quantitative and qualitative reports
above prove that after a very thorough filtering process, quantitative analysis, and
qualitative analysis, only the optimum markets that will generate the greatest revenue and
return on investments are left in the pool.
An overview of the current MP3 player market shows that MP3 players are currently
enjoying the most dynamic growth of any product in the ‘personal or portable audio
product’ market. The attractiveness of high income markets with low saturation levels
and continued growth patterns lead us to believe that these countries will be great to enter
with the product. Most of the growth in the MP3 player market has been the result of the
successful iPod. MP3 demand still remains in its product-cycle infancy in several major
markets such as the United Kingdom. The research firm IDC predicts that the MP3
player market will experience 20% growth each year for the next few years and hit
US$58 billion in revenues towards 2008. In Spain there was a growth of 562% from
February to September 2004 alone. Although the iPod is the most recognizable MP3
player in the United States, it is not that well known in markets with low saturation. If
MP3 product imaging can be reinforced in the UK, it will make for a very valuable
market economy to enter as shown by the quantitative and more so the qualitative
analysis.
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Quantitative Analysis
Population: GNI per Tech Disposable Lack of Consumer Age Totals
12% Capita: Infrastructure/ Income: Saturation: Electronic Distribution:
10% Internet 20% 15% Growth 5%
Users: 20% rate: 18%
USA 1 .12 1 .1 1 .2 6 1.2 5 .75 7 1.26 2 .1 3.63
UK 5 .6 3 .3 6 1.2 4 .8 4 .6 1 .18 5 .25 3.88
Japan 2 .24 2 .2 3 .6 1 .2 7 1.05 6 1.08 3 .15 3.37
Italy 6 .72 6 .6 8 1.6 3 .6 2 .3 3 .54 7 .35 4.36
Hong 8 .96 7 .7 2 .4 7 1.4 6 .9 2 .36 1 .05 4.72
Kong
Germany 3 .36 5 .5 4 .8 5 1 3 .45 8 1.44 4 .2 4.55
South 7 .84 8 .8 5 1 8 1.6 8 1.2 4 .72 8 .4 6.16
Korea
France 4 .48 4 .4 7 1.4 2 .4 1 .15 5 .9 6 .3 4.03
The following is the criteria that we used for our first filtering model. However, as
discussed earlier, Argentina, Chile, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Malaysia, Russian
Federation, Slovak Republic, Thailand, and Turkey, are ultimately not the best and more
viable markets for MP3 players. We therefore structured a new filtering model with
revised criteria and concluded with a new set of countries, which we felt were better
matches for our product.
Botswana
Brazil Brazil Brazil Brazil Brazil
Bulgaria Bulgaria Bulgaria Bulgaria Bulgaria Bulgaria Bulgaria
Cameroon
Cameroon Cameroon Cameroon
Cape Verde
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Equatorial
Guinea
Estonia
Fiji
Gabon
Georgia Georgia Georgia
Grenada
Guatemala Guatemala
Guyana
Honduras Honduras
Hungary Hungary Hungary Hungary Hungary Hungary Hungary Hungary
Indonesia Indonesia
Iran, Islamic Iran, Islamic Iran, Iran,
Rep. Rep. Islamic Islamic
Rep. Rep.
Iraq Iraq Iraq Iraq
Jamaica
Jordan Jordan Jordan
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
Kiribati
Latvia
Lebanon Lebanon Lebanon Lebanon
Lesotho
Libya Libya
Lithuania
Macedonia,
FYR
Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia
Maldives
Marshall
Islands
Mauritius
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Mayotte
Mexico Mexico Mexico Mexico Mexico
Micronesia,
Fed. Sts.
Moldova Moldova
Morocco Morocco Morocco Morocco Morocco
Namibia
Nicaragua Nicaragua Nicaragua
Northern
Mariana
Islands
Oman
Palau
Panama
Paraguay Paraguay Paraguay Paraguay
Peru Peru Peru Peru Peru Peru Peru
Philippines Philippines
Philippines Philippines Philippines Philippines
Poland Poland Poland Poland Poland
Romania Romania
Russian Russian
Federation Federation
Russian Russian Russian Russian Russian Russian
Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation
Samoa
Serbia and Serbia and Serbia and Serbia and
Montenegro Montenegro Montenegro Montenegro
Seychelles
Suriname
Swaziland
Syrian Arab Syrian Arab
Republic Republic
Syrian Arab Syrian Arab
Republic Republic
Thailand Thailand Thailand Thailand Thailand Thailand Thailand Thailand
Tonga
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Trinidad and
Tobago
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'000
24 MYANMAR 50,429
25 KOREA, REP. 48,364
98 HONG KONG, CHINA 6,873
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TMM mn
10 Netherlands 77.56 9 Belarus - BRb mn 24,155,757.04
11 Denmark 75.14 10 India - Rs mn 21,293,107.32
12 Italy 74.66 11 Hungary - HuF mn 10,837,275.43
United 12
13 Kingdom 73.91 Russia - Rb mn 9,101,532.41
14 Germany 73.56 13 USA - US$ mn 7,477,666.48
15 USA 73.37 14 China - RMB mn 7,389,459.38
16 Belgium 72.92 15 Taiwan - NT$ mn 7,171,265.90
17 Singapore 72.78 16 Nigeria - NGN mn 5,552,590.30
18 Canada 72.02 17 Mexico - MX$ mn 4,889,658.68
Hong Kong, 18
19 China 69.41 Thailand - Bt mn 3,825,975.15
19 Slovenia - Tolars
20 Sweden 67.85 mn 3,599,808.69
29 South Korea 33.41 20 Pakistan - PKR mn 3,344,239.82
21 Algeria - DZD mn 3,144,991.98
22 Kazakhstan - KZT
mn 2,797,351.15
23 Philippines - Ps mn 2,690,530.79
24 Germany - € mn 1,442,282.84
25 Czech Republic -
CK mn 1,347,267.47
26 Sweden - SEK mn 1,160,816.52
27 Hong Kong, China
- HK$ mn 1,052,179.26
28 France - € mn 1,010,459.86
29 Brazil - R$ mn 982,255.29
30 Italy - € mn 906,395.22
32 Slovakia - SKK mn 763,409.51
33 United Kingdom -
£ mn 761,609.43
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14 Australia
14 Spain 17,142,198 - '000 12,539.05
15 Taiwan -
28 Sweden 6,800,000 '000 10,582.54
Hong 16 Spain -
37 Kong 71% 4,878,713 '000 10,330.10
High-income economies (56) # COUNTRY 2,005
Andorra Germany Netherlands
Antilles 1 Luxembourg 65,630
Antigua and Barbuda Greece New
Caledonia 2 Norway 59,590
Aruba Greenland New
Zealand 3 Switzerland 54,930
Australia Guam Norway 4 Denmark 47,390
Austria Hong Kong, Portugal
China 5 Iceland 46,320
Bahamas, The Iceland Puerto Rico 6 United States 43,740
Bahrain Ireland Qatar 7 Sweden 41,060
Belgium Isle of Man San Marino 8 Ireland 40,150
Bermuda Israel Saudi
Arabia 9 Japan 38,980
Brunei Darussalam Italy Singapore 10 United Kingdom 37,600
Canada Japan Slovenia 11 Finland 37,460
Cayman Islands Korea, Rep. Spain 12 Austria 36,980
Channel Islands Kuwait Sweden 13 Netherlands 36,620
Cyprus Liechtenstein Switzerland 14 Belgium 35,700
Denmark Luxembourg United Arab
Emirates 15 France 34,810
Faeroe Islands Macao, China United
Kingdom 16 Germany 34,580
Finland Malta United
States 17 Canada 32,600
France Monaco Virgin
Islands
(U.S.) 18 Australia 32,220
French Polynesia Netherlands 19 Italy 30,010
Hong Kong,
20 China 27,670
21 Singapore 27,490
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10
India - Rs mn 21,293,107.32 23,062,632.54 25,338,228.29
11 Hungary - HuF mn 10,837,275.43 11,574,707.33 12,642,643.96
12 Russia - Rb mn 9,101,532.41 10,302,955.08 11,532,467.15
13
USA - US$ mn 7,477,666.48 8,043,168.44 8,457,068.63
14 China - RMB mn 7,389,459.38 8,040,952.37 8,597,607.49
15 Taiwan - NT$ mn 7,171,265.90 7,506,190.89 7,828,024.53
16 Nigeria - NGN mn 5,552,590.30 6,211,961.40 6,832,932.52
17
Mexico - MX$ mn 4,889,658.68 5,168,746.27 5,477,916.26
18 Thailand - Bt mn 3,825,975.15 4,203,965.36 4,449,513.25
19
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
Fishman, Ted. “China Inc: How the Rise of the Next Superpower Challenges America
and the World.” New York: Scribner Press, 2006
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Assignment #3
Marketing 465
Global Marketing Management
The objective of this assignment is to research and understand the differences in products and how they are
marketed between an overseas country and the U.S. The Los Angeles area is a particularly rich area in which to obtain some
in-depth information about aspects of the marketing environment in other countries because it is such a cosmopolitan city
with markets carrying imported goods from all over the world. You should choose a market that specializes in importing
foreign foods and make a field visit to the market.
The product category you should focus on for this assignment is room temperature pre-prepared packaged sweet
snacks. Therefore, the product category includes items like cookies and candy. The room temperature specification excludes
sweet snacks that are refrigerated or frozen such as ice cream. The pre-prepared specification excludes items like cake mixes
and gelatin mixes that must be cooked or baked before they can be eaten. The packaged specification excludes fresh baked
items, like fresh baked muffins and fresh baked cakes that can be bought in certain sections of U.S. supermarkets.
In choosing a market that specializes in imported foods, you can choose one from any part of the world. However,
make sure that the market you visit has a sizeable section of pre-prepared packaged sweet snacks. For example, Mitsuwa , a
Japanese supermarket with locations in Little Tokyo, Mar Vista (West L.A.), Torrance, and a couple other locations, has a
sizeable section of imported goods in this category from Japan. There are import stores from many other parts of the world
too that have nice sized sections of imported sweet snacks. If you are unsure where to find these other markets, then focus on
Japan and Mitsuwa. However, if you can find a store from another part of the world that has an ample section of sweet
snacks, then feel free to select that store instead of Mitsuwa. As an example, there are nice sized markets in Los Angeles that
import many food items from Korea, Taiwan, Mexico, and other countries. If the import store you visit does not have a large
or representative sample of sweet snacks from that country, you may need to go to a second import store from your country
to get a fuller picture of the category in your target country (and put the results together from the observations at both stores).
Everyone should also visit an American supermarket (like Ralph’s, Vons, Albertsons, etc.) to compare U.S. sweet snack
products with their overseas counterparts.
In visiting the stores, you should think about the full set of characteristics related to one of the four P’s, the product.
Therefore, you should consider the a) types of products that are sold in the category, b) the characteristics of the products
such as their ingredients, look, and taste, c) the positioning of the products, d) the packaging, e) the branding, f) the product
line and variations associated with a brand, g) the type of customer support offered, if any, and h) any other aspects of the
product that are relevant.
When you visit the import market, you should spend some time examining the range of products available in the
sweet snack category -- in other words, you should think about the kinds of products available in this category in the other
country. When you visit a U.S. supermarket, you should think about the same question, namely the range of products
available in this category in the U.S. Based on these visits, you should be able to develop some insights into the similarities
and differences in the kinds of products in this category in both countries.
You should purchase five import products that you will analyze in more detail. You can then take the products
home, examine them closely, open them up, examine the appearance and texture of the products, and taste the products if
you’d like. Your five products should be different products as opposed to different flavors of the same product (e.g. Pocky
from Japan comes in many different flavors but these different flavors of Pocky would not be considered different products).
Make sure the products you select are produced in the foreign country and sold in the same packaging that is used in that
country. For example, the Japanese packages at Mitsuwa usually, but not always, have an obvious label slapped onto the
product with an English translation of the product and its ingredients. Also, the products in packages that are sold in Japan
will typically have bar codes that begin with a “4;” one exception to this is when the barcode in on the slap-on label with
English translation in which case it will not begin with a “4.” In addition to examining the slap-on translation labels (when
they are available), you might want to ask some foreign friends or other students at USC to help you translate some of the
additional items on the packaging to further understand what is written on them (this is optional since typically the
translations you need will be on the slap-on translation labels).
You should then purchase five products from the U.S. supermarket to compare to your foreign products. You should
choose five U.S. products that you believe are most similar to your foreign products. In some cases, you will not be able to
find a similar U.S. product; that is fine as a product highly specific to another culture may not have a U.S. equivalent. In this
case, you should choose a U.S. product that you think is the closest to your foreign product (even though it may not be that
close) of the available U.S. choices.
In thinking about the kinds of products available in both countries, please note that some types of products are not
imported into the U.S. In particular, international brands available in both the U.S. and foreign countries are typically not
imported into the U.S. from other countries. For example, the following products are available in stores in Japan but are not
imported from Japan: Mars products such as M&M’s and Snickers, Nestle products such as Kit Kat, Hershey products such
as Kisses, and Nabisco products such as Oreo cookies.
Please note that this assignment focuses on the full set of characteristics related to one of the four P’s, the product
policy; you do not need to analyze pricing, distribution, or advertising for this assignment.
1.) What are the similarities and differences in this product category between your chosen country and the U.S.,
2.) What are your hypotheses about what accounts for the similarities and differences between the product category in the
two countries, and
3.) If you were a consultant to an American sweet snack food company about to enter your chosen country market, what
recommendations would you make to them about what elements of the product policy could be standardized across the
two countries, what elements would need to be adapted, and how they would need to adapt the product policy.
Be sure to tell me the name and location of the import store you visited and what country they specialize in. The
bulk of the paper should focus on the first of these three issues. This part of the paper should include your analyses of the
range of types of sweet snack products available in the foreign and American stores you visited and the specific analyses of
each of your five pairs of foreign and U.S. products. If appropriate, feel free to use exhibits or tables to assist in presenting
these analyses.
Along with your paper, you should include the packages of your five foreign and U.S. products in a bag labeled with
the names of the members of your group; you do not need to include the contents of the packages. Every member of your
group should visit the import market that you select for this project (all of you do not need to visit at the same time, but
everyone should visit at some time to learn first hand about the market and its products). Please do not choose a country to
analyze where any member of your group has lived before for more than a year. Also, do not choose the country that you
already analyzed for the first assignment (the environmental profile).
The Thai and Americans alike are very fond of candy, as are most cultures.
While these two countries, The United States and Thailand, both have a bit of a sweet
tooth, there are clearly differences in the types of sweets consumed by these markets. At
first appearance, many of these candies look extraordinarily foreign. To some it may
appear that size is the only similarity in these products (While this is not the only
similarity, it is true that both markets prefer their snacks in single-serve sizes).
Nonetheless, it’s important to take a second glance at the common types of candies in
these two markets and uncover the similarities between the two. In identifying product
similarities, a US company can discover whether their product strengths are attractive in
Thailand, as well as understand the extent to which the potential export must be adapted
To begin, there are a few key similarities in the types of candies sold that must be
observed. Five candy products were chosen from the Thai market, three of which had
very similar types of candy available in the US. The differences in these products will be
discussed later. Most similar of these were the Gummy Bears. The Gummy Bears from
Thailand were in a shiny plastic package, of similar shape and size to that of its US
counterpart. Even further, both packages prominently display a drawing of a bear sitting
down next to the Gummies. The English translation of the name is even “Jolli Bears,”
which is much too similar to the western name “Gummy Bears” to be coincidence (Or
even to the name “Rubber Bears” under which the product was first created by the
German company Haribo in 1922). Clearly, this product has been adopted from western
markets into the Thai market and has kept many of its distinctive features both as a
product and in its packaging. However, The product has been adapted to the local market
in a few ways that will be discussed in the next section. Vis-à-vis these similarities, a
parallel may be made between these Gummy products and the next product we have
selected for comparison: A chocolate bar that bears a strikingly similar taste and texture
to the Crunch bar that is well known in the United States. Again, looking past product
adaptations to the Thai market, these two products are similar in size, basic shape, taste,
and texture (though slight differences in taste and texture are recognized later). This
parallel doesn’t hold true for product packaging, as we will see in the next section.
Both the Thai and the US market seem to enjoy dried fruit as well. Both markets
have wide variety of dried fruits, including the dried mango analyzed from the US
purchases in our sample and the dried apricot purchased from the Thai market. Both
products feature similar packaging, in both size and shape. Further, both packages
incorporate a small clear window so that the purchaser can view the product itself.
Clearly, this detail displays the emphasis that both Americans and Thai put on the
appearance of their foods; this point will be expanded upon in the analysis of these
similarities. Further exhibiting this preference are the other eight products sampled from
the US market and the Thai market (with the exception of the Crunch Bar) which all
prominently feature a drawing or photograph of the product being sold or a clear window
Identifying the similarities in candy products found in these two very different
appearance (i.e. clear ‘windows’ in product packaging), and even product mascots (the
Gummy ‘Bear’) are all important similarities in these markets that can be used by
marketing teams in adapting a new product meant for Thai candy stores.
Highlights
• World is becoming more globalized
• Large number of customers have significant international sales
• Competitors are increasingly likely to be international customers
Language
• In Japanese language
o Three writing systems: Kanji, Hiragana, Katakana, Romanji
o The different writing styles have different connotations –
Romanji is used to make something seem more western and
modern
o The language is more indirect in its style
o One talks differently to different classes and ages of people
Holidays
• In Japan
o Emperor’s Day
o Respect for the aged day
o December 28th – January 3rd: Western New Year
o Valentine’s Day (adopted from the US)
Women give presents to the guys
One month later, guys give more expensive presents
back to those chicks who gave them shit earlier
Tastes
• Many tastes are very culturally specific
• Some food products just wouldn’t sell at all in some markets
Demands
• Solve (1) and (2) for x1 and we have Marshallian demands
• For either I, fix all other prices and income and vary own price.
This gives us simple demand.
Price subsidy
• New budget: I=(p-s)H+M
• New equilibrium: (Hs, Ms)
• Cost to the firm: Ms-A=(I-A)-(I-Ms) = [pHs-(p-s)Hs]=sHs
In-kind subsidy
After looking at the wealth of a country, the next thing to look at is the:
• Size of the economy
o Population
o Adjusting for PPP
Economic distribution
• By region
o Most of Mexico’s wealth is in Mexico city, Monterey,
Guadalajara
o Important to know for many reasons
• Urban vs. rural
o Mexico is 75% urban; China is about 35% but is urbanizing
rapidly
• By income level
A technological profile
• Geography and Climate
o Size of country
o Major geographical features
o Population density
o Climate
• Basic infrastructure
o Water
o Electricity
o Sanitation
• Transportation infrastructure
o Transportation networks
o Vehicles
• Communication and Information technology
o Media
Newspapers and magazines
Televisions
Radios
Cable and satellite TV connections
o Communications
o Information technology
• Household technology
o Kitchen technology
o Cleaning technology
o Entertainment technology
o Climate control
Product opportunities
Promotion/ Communication
• Advertising
• Personal selling
Place distribution
Pricing
Type of government
• Political system
o Democratic vs. Authoritarian
o Structure of government
• Political parties
o Single-party dominant
o Dual party
o Multiple party
• Government centralization vs. decentralization
www.heritage.org
• Numbers on the types of governments in countries
• A republican thinktank
www.prsgroup.com
• Risk guide
o Provides rating for how risky it is to enter a specific country’s
market
www.wto.org
• Trade statistics for countries
Brand protection
• How do you protect your brand?
o Legal means
Register your brand in every country
Lobby government for better protection
Take violators to court
• How do you use non-legal means/ marketing strategies to protect
your brand against imitators and violators?
o Use distribution channel ties to keep out all imitators
o Advertise/ communicate that the real product is better than
the copy product
o Make registering product mandatory
European Union
• Started in order to unite European countries so as to prevent wars
between countries
• 1960s, original 6 members in a full customs union
• Currently 25 members of the European Union
• 1992, Europe became a common market
• 1999, added common currency, became an economic union
• After 1992, people and goods could move across borders freely
without lines or paperwork or passports
o This makes things much easier for businesses in Europe
One currency
• Elimination of exchange rate risks
• Elimination of exchange rate conversion costs
• Consumers can compare costs/ prices easily across borders (price
transparency)
More on EU
• Companies can easily expand throughout Europe
• Consumers can easily shop or make price comparisons across
borders
• Raises competition and increases consumer choice
o Lower prices
o Restructuring companies for greater efficiency
o Consolidation of operation
o Consolidation of supplies
• Effects on marketing
o Easier distribution
o Standardization of products across Europe
o More standardization of marketing approaches through
Europe
o Barriers to make this happen: cultural and language barriers
o Pan-European products: products that are standardized and
sold across borders, with different languages on the
packaging
Challenges
• Political/ regulatory
o Lack of adequate legal structure to collect bad debts
o Regional restrictions on banking
• Technology
o Lack of infrastructure
o Some markets saturated
o Credit checking infrastructure limited
o Telecomm
o Postal Service
• Economy
o Low per-capita income
• Competitors
Benefits
• Growing economies
• Big populations
• Large number of wealthier people (even though they are a small
percentage of the population)
• Don’t need branches – cross sell products
• Wealthy people are concentrated in big cities, so it is easy to reach
them
PESTanalysis summaries
• Germany, Morocco
Standard vs. adaptation of marketing strategy for Credit Card in Asia Pacific
at Citibank
Selecting and prioritizing markets
• Customer attitudes
• Give different categories different weights (20%, 12%, et cetera)
Making a spreadsheet
• List categories, with subcategories
• To the left of this, the weights (.11, .11, .2, et cetera)
• To the left of this, countries, divided into two columns
o The number (24 Million for market size, for example)
o The rating (# 9 among countries analyzed, for example)
• A weighted average (.11 * 24 million, for example)
P & G case
• European versus US clothes washing
• More loads versus fewer loads
• Lower temperatures vs. boil wash
• Some liquids vs. no liquids
• Larger vs. smaller loads
• Top loading vs. front loading
• More synthetic vs. more natural clothing
Europe
• Lead market for laundry detergent
• More sophisticated, more demanding, and more discriminating
about laundry and what a ‘good clean job’ is
P&G case
• What was the main difference between the US and European
markets?
o European market is more demanding, sophisticated market
o What do we call a market like this?
A ‘Lead’ market
• More adapted vs. more standard approach
o They were using a more adapted approach
o Mini P&G in each country
Marketing
Manufacturing
Research and Development
o How was Ariel positioned differently in different countries?
Low suds vs. high suds
High temperature vs. Low temperature
Nine different formulas
o As country’s differences begin to subside, the adapted model
begins to become less effective
• Advantages of adaptive model
o Tailor products to different customer markets and customer
characteristics
o Respond more rapidly to developments in the markets or
competitive conditions
• Disadvantages
o Higher costs, duplication of efforts across countries
o Inefficiencies
Going over what we learned about the P&G laundry detergent case study
--On a graph--
Pressures for Globalization, standard and integrated
• Simple, Global
When pressure for both the above and below are high, Transnational
Strategy (or Complex Global) approach, this is the middle point
• Not much shelve space, only a few packages on the shelves, P&G
couldn’t restock quickly
• Competitor could restock quickly with computer based system,
restocked within 24 hours
• P&G didn’t have this, often there were no Pampers on the shelves
• Don’t have automates inventory system like their competitors
• Retailers received less profit from Pampers’ product, so product
wasn’t emphasized and not much shelve space was given
• P&G didn’t have a 24 hour hotline
• P&G diapers too thick, packages were too big; competitor used
thinner diapers and smaller plastic packages
• Absorbance was much lower than the competitors ,leading to more
leaking
P&G was using an ethnocentric marketing strategy for Japan, didn’t work so
well
• How successful do you think they are going to be with the new
Pampers? (after they changes their strategy)
• They start to give retailers higher margins, and slowly begin
correcting distribution problems
• New Pampers are thinner, smaller, absorbency of new product
much higher than the Japanese competitors, didn’t leak
• Changed to smaller plastic packaging
They hold onto a 25% market share now, similar to their leading competitor
What can Kao do when it finds out that P&G will be releasing new product
that is better than theirs?
• Strengthen ties with distribution to effectively block P&G from
stores
• Begin to improve own product quality
• Leverage strong brand equity
• Come out with high quality product as soon as possible (case says it
will be one to two years)
Why was dishwashing soap category declining in market value year by year
in Japan? More people eating out
• Kao and Lion have 40% each of the market in this category
• What to do?
o More concentrated, grease cutting formula
o High quality packaging
o Offer distributors and retailers high margins
o Combine global innovation with local Japanese innovation,
come up with high quality grease cutting formula
o Small packaging, efficiently uses distribution space
Competitive factors
• Competitors and competitive positions
• Competitive environment
Turned in assignment #2
Customers
• Restrictions on photo taking, et cetera
• When looking closely, it is clear that there is an untapped potential
here
o Fairly wealthy people
o Large group of young people
o Large expatriate population
o Satellite- large exposure to outside influences
• What must be done to tap into this potential?
o Marketing that reassures people that photos are good
What kind of marketing approach would fit more with the cultural constraints
of this country?
• Mini-labs – less than 1 hour developing: can watch what is being
done and make sure no Islamic code is being broken
o 216 mini-labs at the time
o Saudi Arabia: 78,000 people per mini-lab
o U.S.: 12,000 people per mini-lab
o Neighboring countries: 10,000 – 20,000 per mini-lab
o Would expect Saudi Arabia to be (17,000,000 people divided
by 12,000) 1,416 mini-labs
o 80% of mini-labs are in two cities
• Digital photo would be good for this market, but wasn’t around so
much in 1990 when this case was presented
• Instant cameras (Polaroid style)
Competitive Analysis
• Kodak (43%), Konica (44%), Fuji (8%)
• Not much fierce competition
o Few mini-labs
o Higher prices
o Little advancement
o Not broad scale
Company (Fuji)
• Weakness
o Latecomer
o Negative perception
o Negative perception because they sell in Israel
o Distributor is good with cameras, but not so good with film
distribution
o Only 16 of 216 mini-labs
o 100 Retailers dropped Fuji in the last year
Why? Late deliveries, stock-outs, not good
relationships with distributors
o Lower penetration
• Strengths
o Medical x-ray
• Where do they have strengths in other markets that they could
bring into this market?
o Developed more compact, durable mini-lab
o Fuji mini-lab machines have a lower break-even point
• Market share in surrounding countries – Over 30% market share in
mini-labs in surrounding countries
Marketing
• Emphasize mini-labs, in the two main cities but especially in those
outside of these two cities where Fuji will have a greater market
share in entering the market
• Where else to distribute product?
o Supermarkets and drugstores, more retail channels
o Hotels, et cetera
• Lots of advertising
o TV ads, sampling promotions
o Reassure of no people seeing the photos as they are produced
o Educate them about photography
o Build Fuji brand awareness in the market
•
• GE-McKinsey Matrix
Exam on Monday
• Mostly Short Answer question, 70-75%
• Multiple Choice, 23-30%
• Won’t ask about anything that wasn’t covered in class
• Concepts, cases, aspects, lessons of cases
High quality and low cost global products will beat out adapted products
• Global scale permits low cost and low price, and high quality
• Customers will choose lower priced, higher quality products even if
they are not exactly tailored to part habits and local market needs
• The Japanese approach – uses this idea
o Consumer electronics, automobiles
• The global corporation
o Accepts and adjusts to differences reluctantly
• This is basically the simple global approach to things
• Global Strategy and an equidistant mindset
o Focus internationally, not domestically
o Global strategy requires global perspective
o Don’t use ethnocentric approach
• The new borderless world
o Free flow of info around the world
Categorizing
• Categories along the top
o Very Adapted
o More adapted
o In between
o More standardized
o Very standard
• Categories along the left-hand side
o Low price, predictable, American style fast food: Very
Standard
Babysan diapers market share in Chile was 90%, then it was bought by
Pampers
• Over years, P&G phased out Babysan name and made Pampers
name more prominent
• Over the years, market share went to 30-40%
• Babysan used to be in red packaging, changed packaging when
bought by Pampers
• Other company used name Babysec, took market share
• In 2003, P&G changed name from Pampers back to Babysan
o Packaging
o Product manufacturing and supply
o Product positioning
• MDO – doing more direct customer marketing
o Responsible for executing the marketing in each region or
country
o Market development
o Distribution and Retailing
o Evaluated on the basis of sales revenue
o Promotions
• Communication and coordination between these two groups
o Global Brand teams
o Weekly teleconferencing
o 4 times per year face-to-face meetings
o E-mails and phone calls
o Become friends with each other
o Rotate managers
FemCare case
• Focusing on Mexico and China
• Mexico
o Customers
Rush down Femcare aisle
Know what they want, very demanding
Good quality at affordable/ low price
20-25% Premium market
55% Mid-tier market
25% Lower market
o Competition
Very competitive market
Saba – 26% - Mid-tier
P&G – 21% - Premium
K-C Kotex - Mid-tier
• China
o Customers
Study products carefully before buying
Glocalization (Clever) – get the right blend of global and local emphasis
US
• Coke – 41% Market Share
o % of Sales – 24%
o % of Profit – 20%
o Profit Margin – 21.7%
• Pepsi – 31%
o % of Sales – 68%
o % of Profit – 80%
o Profit Margin – 15.6%
Internationally
• Coke – 45%
o % of Sales – 76%
o % of Profit – 80%
o Profit Margin – 29.9 %
• Pepsi – 14%
o % of Sales – 32%
o % of Profit – 20%
o Profit Margin – 6.2%
Chinese companies are typically known for their operations, not marketing
knowledge
• Recently some Chinese have started to master western marketing
techniques
• Wahaha Marketing skills are like western skills
o What are they doing in China?
o Engaged in brand-building efforts, developed a strong brand
o “Good for children”
o Many sponsorships
o Sophisticated advertising, lots of advertising, mostly on
national TV network
o Celebrity endorsements
o Know Chinese customs very well
• Where does Wahaha have a clear advantage over Coke & Pepsi?
o Very strong in the rural markets
o Great relationships with distributors in the rural markets
o Lower price
o Position as a Chinese brand
o More product variety
o Taste of Cola is tailored to Chinese preferences
• How worried is Pepsi about all of this?
o Should be worried, but Pepsi and Coke both have very large
budgets and many more years of experience
o Distribution is a problem
• Market shares in China
o Coca-Cola – 42%
o Pepsi-Cola – 23%
o FutureCola – 18%
• Coke left India in 1977 because they didn’t want to give away their
secret formula
o 1989, Parle Group (Thumbs Up Cola and Limca Cola) 90% of
market share, Pepsi entered market
o 1993, Pepsi had 33%, Parle group had 60%
o 1993, Coke bought Parle, suddenly had 60% of market share
o Coke put all of their marketing budget behind Coca-Cola,
didn’t advertise Parle products
o This didn’t turn out too well, looked like Coke was ruining this
local brand that people were proud of
o Coke went down to 53% in late 90s while Pepsi went up to
40%
• What can Coke do in this situation?
o Adapt much more to the local market
o Sponsor local events
o Get Indian celebrities on ads
o Show local Indian settings
o Sell Both Global brand and local Brand, emphasize Thumbs
Up so they have a better image
Coke ads: sports in ads (whichever sport is most popular in each country)
• Target Audience
o Highly Standardized or Mass Market
• Objectives
o Highly Standardized
o Push vs. Pull
o Image
o Positioning
• Theme and promotional message
o Highly standardized, Refreshing, Relaxing, Hero’s Elixir
• Platform
o Highly standardized, same structure, storyline
Espoir in India, shrunk package size, decreased price, and other things to
customize products for India
• Indian reaction
Managers in Espoir
• Like the global idea, but want it mixed with localization
• Quantify benefits and costs of global versus local campaign
• Implementation is lacking in generating good buy-in for managers
across the country
• What was the problem with the way she introduced this global-plan
campaign?
o Said that marketing (including advertising and product line)
parts should be globalized, parts should be localized
o Could have said that local managers could localize around the
suggested platform
Eastern European manager could use eastern European
beauty queens in advertising, while still using the
marketing plans from headquarters
o Shouldn’t have used simple global, should have used complex
global
o Common platform, localize around the platform
o Should have gone with a bottom-up approach and team to
develop the campaign
Unilever in India
• Shakti Entrepenuers
o Distribution to the inaccessible small, poor villages in India
(who account for 50% of India’s population)
o Train women to distribute goods, increase their household
income by 50%
o Working with SHG’s to obtain microfin for entrepreneurs
• ShaktiVani
o Organize groups in local villages to educate about personal
hygiene and health
o Communication vehicle for Unilever products
• Shakti
o Access to internet in Shakti home store
o Draws people to the Unilever distribution point
o Communication about Unilever products through online
advertising on these computer terminals
Kelve
• 80 Km outside of Mumbai (Previously Bombay)
• 2.5 hours by train, 3.5 hours by car
• 3,000 people in the village, on the Indian Ocean
• Extended families living under the same roof
• 50% own their own banana groves and vegetable groves, make
small incomes from their small plot enough to get by
• A few people own a lot of land and are relatively wealthy
Spent 20 minutes on slideshow- found out that Kelve is, in fact, a village.
Price escalation
• For exports
• Shipping
• Insurance
• Taxes/ Tariffs
• Importer and distributor margins
KFC in Japan
• Customizing stores to fit to the Japanese environment
• Adapted some of the side dishes and menu, but left core menu the
same
• Branding left consistent
• Employees are like 5 year old children
Office hours:
• Thurs: 4:30-6:30
• Tues: 4:30-6:30
Product branding
• Elements
o Positioning
o Branding
o Product features
o Packaging
o Product line
o Customer service and support
• Global Branding
o Portfolios of global, regional, and local brands
o Brand names across borders
o Brands and COO Positioning and how to overcome negative
COO fxsoc
o Protecting brands from piracy and imitation
o Transitioning local brand to a global brand
Readings
• Haker and Joachinstaler – The lure of global branding
• Holt, Quelch, and Taylor: How global brands compete
• End of corporate imperialism
Cases
• ELC – International and global greeting cards
• Bud versus Bud
• P&G Femcare Case
• Cola wars in China and WW
• Coke and Thumbs up in India
• Lay’s chips around the world
• Super 8 in Chile
• Babysan/ Pampers in Chile
Segmentation
• Country Cluster segmentation
• Global international market segments
• Teenagers, Business managers
• 4 P’s potential for globalization
• Example of KFC in Japan
Final Review
Office Hours:
Thursday 11/30 4:30-6 pm
Tuesday 12/05 4:30-6pm
Thursday 12/7 4:30-6 pm
Readings
Anker and Joachimstaler – Lure of global branding
Hold, Quelch, and Taylor – how global brands compete
What makes global brand strong
End of corporate imperialism
Cases
ELC – Int’l and global greeting cards
Bud vs. bud
P&G Fem Care
Cola wars in china and WW
Thumbs up 4 coke in India
Lay’s Chips around world
Super 8 in Chile
Babysan and pampers in Chile
Advertising/Promotion/Comm.
Elements
Target Audience
Objectives
Message - tone
Platform - form
Execution
Budget
Media
Diffs in Advertising/media Envir across countries
Constraints in Int’l Advertising
Trends in Int’l Advertising
Cases
Deremate.com
Global Brand Face Off
IBM Global Ads
Coke Ads – worldwide, India, Japan
Kellogg’s Around the World
Global Marketing
Pricing
Elements
Co. Internal factors
Costs
Mkt. factors
Envir factors
Managerial Issues
Relative vs. Absolute
Case
KFC in Japan
Segmentation
Country Cluster Segmentation
Global Intermarket Segments
Teenagers, Business Managers
of private label goods, retailers are making their names into strong
brands manufacturers should respond with strong pull
marketing, adequate push marketing, lower costs through
efficiencies, negotiate with retailers on a global basis, establish
strategic partnerships with retailers, innovation), increasing
sophistication of information systems (increase efficiency and
lower costs), greater ability to shop anytime/anywhere,
opportunities for internet retailing
1. Global retail trends and implications for manufacturers
a. Simplifies the task of international distribution
(entry with less investment, greater standardization
of distribution), but it comes at a price (lose power
to global retailers, dependent on a small number of
powerful retailers, risk of losing retailer to another
manufacturer)
iii. Major Global Retailers
1. Wal-Mart, Makro (Dutch wholesale club), Carrefour
(French hypermarket), Japanese department stores, Costco,
Toys R Us, Ikea
d. Need for localization
e. Cases
i. Unilever in India
ii. Kelve – Indian village
1. 80 km outside of Mumbai
2. 3000 people in the village, extended families under 1 roof
3. 50% own their own banana groves and vegetables groves,
make small incomes from their small plot enough to get by
4. 10% fisherman, 15% farmhands, 3% commute to Mumbai
V. Pricing (factors to consider in setting prices in international markets)
a. Company internal factors
i. Consistent with marketing strategy and other elements of the
marketing mix
ii. Consistent with company strategy and goals
b. Cost and profit factors
i. Internal: manufacturing costs, selling / marketing / general admin
costs, profit margin, manufacturer’s selling price
ii. External: costs related to domestic / overseas production / export
sales, costs related to exporting, manufacturer’s selling price plus
above costs determine final price to customer
iii. Price escalation: for exports, shipping, insurance, taxes/tariffs,
importer and distributor margins
c. Market factors
i. Demand, income level of country, competition, product life cycle
stage
d. Environmental factors
i. Governmental regulations, inflation rates, foreign exchange rates
e. Managerial issues
i. Relative vs. absolute pricing
1. Absolute: pricing something equally around the world
2. Relative: pricing relative to the average price level for that
type of product in that country
ii. Multidomestic vs. global strategic orientations, coordination and
pricing policies, gray market problems, product charactertistics /
package sizes / prices
VI. Segmentation
a. Country cluster
b. Global inter-market segments
VII. Four P’s
a. Their potential for globalization
i. More potential for standardization in product and communication
ii. Less for pricing and distribution
b. Ex: KFC in Japan
i. Customizing stores to fit to the Japanese environment
ii. Adapted some of the side dishes and menu, but left core menu the
same
iii. Branding left consistent
iv. Employees are like 5 year old children
China
Whisper brand extension for both top and mid-tier markets
Brazil
Brand extension, like China
Due to: competitive structure and market conditions are similar to Chinas
Also, Naturalmond already existed, it was similar to Naturella
Mexico
2 different brands
Always- top tier
Naturella- mid tier
Chile
Used strategy like Mexico
What did they learn? There are many considerations to global branding. Companies need
to consider mass markets in developing countries and use a strategy of a whole new
product, rethought from scratch to get value at low prices
Branding Discussion
Consistency
11/6/06
Lay’s Around the World
Chinese companies are known for low cost, good quality, NOT known for good
marketing. This makes it easy for foreign players to come in and take market share
Over the last four years, Chinese marketing has improved a lot
One example: Wahaha Beverages
COLA WARS
U. S. INTERNATIONAL
Coke Pepsi Coke Pepsi
Market Share 41% 31% 45% 14%
Summary: Pepsi should be worried about their position in the global market
• In China, the market is much more close
• Already a huge market
• Huge growth potential
• Not yet saturated
• The competitors are on a much more level playing field
• Pepsi can make its move to upset Coke if they dominate China
Conclusion: China and India need to be top priorities for both Coke and Pepsi
Both need to focus on their distribution, lowering prices, and adapting specifically for
China
Situation in India:
1977- Coke pulled out of India
Why? The government wanted them to share their secret formula
1989- Pepsi enters India
1993- Coke buys Thumbs Up and Limca
market: pepsi- 30%
Parle group (coke) 60%
Recommendations for Coke in India:
1. Adapt to the local market
2. offer both Coke and traditional Thumbs Up
3. Keep pepsis market share low
(their strategic priority in India. In other parts of the world, #1 strategy is brand
consistency)
Coke’s advertising in India is becoming much more localized, using the 15 small
languages and local music
Bottom line: in Markets like China and India, you have to figure out how to get into mass
markets and localize
11/13 Deremate.com
Challenges and differences in Latin America vs the United States
In 2000, market:
Deremate.com
Mercadolibre.com
E Bay was not yet in Latin America
Recommendations
Hire local managers
Build more “Sold it on E Bay” stores
Partner with E Bay
See who can hook up first
*Mercado libre did it first, in the last 6 months they have bought deremate
using fade-in fade-out or transparent forwarding strategy
Marketing (including the advertising and product line) should be partly global, partly
localized. Global ideas mixed with localization
They should have gone with a bottom-up approach and a global team
Shouldn’t be ‘dictating’, orchestrating instead
Headquarters could pay for the global campaign, but leave global managers with as much
for local advertising as before.
Example: price penetration is priced much lower but it builds market share
quickly
Next consider Cost Factors
Price escalations for exports: shipping, insurance, taxes/tariffs, importer markups
Value-added tax
Market factors
Customer demand
Income levels
Competition?
What stage in the PLC
Environment factors
Government price controls
Inflation rates
Exchange rates
Managerial issues
Absolute price vs relative price
Absolute is standardized, relative is relative to the average price for a competitive product
in a country. Hardly any companies use absolute
KFC IN JAPAN
The chicken and the branding stay the same everywhere
The side items change
October 23rd
Perspectives on Global Marketing Strategies
Levitt’s Perspective on Global Marketing: “The Globalization of Markets”
Consumer Tastes Around the World are Converging
- Communication and transportation technologies expose people around the world
to similar information
o Television and radio, movies, telecommunications (phone, fax, internet),
satellites, jet travel
High Quality and Low Cost Global Products will Beat Out Adapted Products
- Global scale permits
o Low cost and low price, high quality economies of scale!
- Consumer will choose lower priced, high quality products even if they are not
exactly tailored to part habits and local market needs.
o Consumers around the world desire the same things
Value – stretching their income as far as possible
Alleviation of life’s burdens and expansion of discretionary time
o Lecture Notes:
Lessons from lead markets, then expand worldwide
Consortium: can buy globally (resource)
Reputation
Can put more money into R&D
- Strategy can expand markets with aggressive low pricing
Example: The Japanese Approach
- Japanese companies have become powerful players in certain industries.
o Consumer electronics
o Automobiles didn’t fit American needs (too small, etc…)
- Used this strategy of low cost and high quality global products.
Multinational or Multi-domestic Corporation
- Tailors products to each country.
- Slavishly responds to what it perceives as different product needs in different
countries…is this necessary?
- Many are thoughtlessly accommodating.
o Believe preferences are fixed not because they are of rigid habits of
thinking.
o Respond to way things been done in past, habit, without questioning
whether it is necessary.
- Costs and prices are higher because of lower economies of scale and development
economies.
The Global Corporation
- Offers standardized global products around the world.
o Offers combination of low price and high quality
- Does not refrain from customization when required.
- Lecture Notes:
o Only adjusts products as a LAST RESORT if need to.
i.e. Adapt power supplies, but only absolute essential things.
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Disadvantages
- Seems simplistic, sweeping and extreme
- What about luxury items: people will still pay premium
o Theory only relevant to certain products.
- SIMPLE GLOBAL APPROACH
Ohmae’s Prespective on Global Marketing: “Managing in a Borderless World”
Global Strategy and an Equidistant Mindset
- Companies tend to focus primarily on the domestic market.
o Know domestic market really well and everything else is the “rest of the
world” ETHNOCENTRIC
Need to change this!
- Global strategy requires a global perspective.
o Take on equidistant perspective on markets around world
All valued the same and get rid of ethnocentric market.
o “Overseas” should not be part of corporate vocabulary
The New Borderless World
- Free flow of information around the world
o Communication technology has advanced tremendously
o Foreign travel is becoming common in many countries
o Ability of government to restrict information is limited
- Therefore, people look for best, least expensive products from around the world.
- Operating procedures in many industries have worldwide standards
o Needs for industrial equipment are becoming standardized in the
industries.
How to Develop a Global Product
- Designing by averages can leas to lackluster appeal – BAD
o i.e. average size of Japanese and American cars
- So design products for lead markets
o Design different cars for different lead markets
o Then sell to worldwide segments that desire each car
- Nissan example:
o Sporty Z model and four-wheel drive family vehicle for U.S.
o Car suitable for fleet sales in the U.K.
o Small, high quality economy car for Japan.
Different Types of Global Products
- Ted Levitt’s Globalization
o Products lend themselves to aggressive cost reductions through economies
of scale – Agrees for certain products
- Premium-priced fashion-oriented items (products derived differently)
o Gucci bags, Mercedes-Benz, Rolex watches…
o Wealthy consumers will search for these goods
o Operate through a pull strategy
- Products requiring insiderization like Coca-Cola
o Need to replicate complete business system in each country
o Need to establish infrastructure in each country to push product and
establish local demand
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- Industrial products
o Largely chosen on performance characteristics
o Still need to have insider functions (engineering, sales, installation,
finance, service)
Headquarters Mentality Can get in Way of Globalization
- If foreign operation becomes successful
o Headquarters might get more involved in decision
- If problems develop overseas
o Headquarters wants to get more involved
- Local autonomy is restricted and decision made with headquarter/home country
perspective
o Can’t respond adeptly to needs of local markets
- Corporate systems and structures can restrict globalization
o Financial statements don’t accurately reflect foreign operations
o Reward systems may interfere with globalization
Customers are Becoming More Alike
- Customers coming more alike, but they are still different need to maintain an
equidistant mindset!
Disadvantages
- Doesn’t take into account different sizes of countries
- Too much emphasis on customer convergence
- If loose domestic market focus can be risky
- Takes more flexible view to globalization but can be difficult to obtain
- Transnational, more complex global market
Quelch and Hoff’s Perspective on Global Marketing: “Customizing Global Marketing”
Globalization is Not an Either-Or Proposition
- Standardization vs. adaptation along a continuum
o A lot of grey area – on a sliding scale
- Different elements of the marketing mix and different levels of standardization
o Packaging, etc…
o NOTE: handed out chart – Global marketing Planning Matrix
o Taking more of a complex view
- Potential for standardization depends on the situation
o Type of product and country
Problems Created by Lack of Globalization
- Inconsistent brand identities
- Limited product focus and expertise among managers
- Slow new product launches
Standardization and Product Type – Economies and Efficiencies
- Standardized products can lead to economies of scale in manufacturing and R&D
- Marketing can potentially contribute to scale economies
o By offering standardized products and advertising
- Standardized products and marketing programs conserve managerial and other
resources
- Standardized products and marketing programs can leverage scarce innovative
marketing ideas leverage ideas from lead markets
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Product Policy
Elements
- Product positioning
- Branding
- Product features
- Packaging
- Product line
- Customer support
Product Positioning
- Benefits: needs satisfied
o Examples: ipod, over-counter medications, service companies
- Usage situations
o Yogurt: snack, dessert, lunch, etc… (How do you use the product?)
o Examples: cell phones (songs, text messages, email), clothing (formal,
casual sports, wedding)
- Position vis-à-vis other brands
o Example: “7up the un-cola”
- Value = quality/price
o Examples: Cars – Honda & Toyota, Walmart, Target, Arco Gas
- Target segments (best for kids, parents, sports…?)
o Examples: deodorant, cars, ESPN phones, Nike – running, climbing,
biking
Branding
- Image
- Name
- Typeface
- Logo
- Super and subbranding
o Kit-Kat: Nestle versus Kit-Kat name (China: both names prominent,
generally Kit-Kat>Nestle)
Product Features
- Attributes
- Specifications
- Ingredients
- Taste
- Texture
- Appearance
- Performance Levels
- Quality
Packaging
- Layout
- Pictures
- Instructions
- Labeling
- Promotions
- Cross-promotions
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- Language
- Size
Product Line
- Which products offered
- Number of variations
- Types of variations
- Which products emphasized
o Example: M&Ms
How big is the product line in each country What countries are
offered what?
Customer Support
- Service
- Technical support
- Maintenance
- Warranties
- Customer information and contact
General Questions Related to Product Policy Standardization vs. Adaptation
- What attributes are most important to the customer in each market?
- Where are the commonalities in customer preferences?
- Which preferences are unique and strong?
- Are customers willing to pay more adaptations?
- What is the cost of adaptations?
- Are the resources available for adaptation?
- What is the incremental volume that can be expected from adaptation?
- What is overall profitability of adaptation?
McDonalds Around the World
Differences and Similarities
DIFFERENCES SIMILARITIES
- Meals: hamburgers, - Language: English always
vegetarian, apple pie… and local language
- World: more upscale than in - Image oriented toward
the U.S. children
- Different sauces - Mc in the name
- Make small local changes - Menus all look the same
globally
Very 2 In 4 Very
Adapted Between Standardized
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Positioning
- American √
style food
- Usage for √
socializing
or on the go
- Kids and √ √
families
Branding
- Logo √
- Brand √
name √
- Colors √
- Typeface √
- Image
Features
- Core menu √
- Sides √
- Counter √
area √
- Signage √
- Sitting area
Customer
Service or
Support
- Self Serve √
- Service √
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October 25th
Marketing in Developing Countries
- Marketing and products are successful with upper end customers.
o PROBLEM: not reaching the masses, thus restricting.
o Bigger growth rate in the middle of the pyramid.
Diapers in Chile
- CMPC: “Babysan”.
o Came in a red package, had 90% market share.
o SUCCESS: created for mass market at a low price.
- 1995: P&G buys Babysan
o Turn it into Pampers by
Change package to pampers’ green color
Raised quality and price
Faded out Babysan name to Pampers
o RESULT: share went down to 30 – 40%
- CMPC: non-competition agreement until 2000
o 2000: created Babysec in the red package
- Pampers: lesson learned
o Can’t apply same policy to developing nations
o Should have kept Babysan as is
o Then could have introduced Pampers as a premium product
- 2003: Pampers brought back Babysan but too late!
POWERPOINT
Market Segments and Economic Status
- Tier 1: greater than $20,000
o Wealthy – High Income
o Very small percentage of population
- Tier 2: $10,000 - $20,000
o Upper Middle Income
o Small percentage, less than 10%
- Tier 3: $5,000 - $10,000
o Middle Income
o Lower or lower middle income compared to wealthy countries
o Significant percent of population, about 30%
o Standards of living rapidly rising
- Tier 4: less than $5,000
o Low income
Consumer Behavior and Economic Status
- Tier 1: responsive to international brands
- Tier 2: less attracted to international brands
- Tier 3: loyal to local customs, habits, and local brands
Corporate Imperialism
- Big Emerging Markets
o Great deal of potential for international companies
- Typical Entry Approach
o Use same mindset and marketing strategies as in established markets
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- Rotate managers
- Intranets and emails
STEP 2: ANALYZE COUNTRIES AND CUSTOMERS
China Mexican
- Knowledgeable, study product
before buying - Fairly knowledgeable, but don’t
- Want good value study products as much
- Use 2-3 brands at the same
Customers time
- Not embarrassed when - Want good value
shopping - 20-25% premium, 55% mid-tier,
- 10% premium, 40% mid-tier, 25%low-tier
50% low-tier
- Lots of local competition, over
1000 - Very price competitive
- All 5 global competitors - Saba: 26% non-woven
Competition - P&G Whisper = 11-12% - P&G: 21% premium
market share - Kotex: non-woven
- Fragmented - Growth Stage: low to medium
- Growth Stage: very low
To Do – China: To Do – Mexico:
- Need good value products - Need good value products
- More product variety
- Creating brand awareness
- Information on packages
What the Did – China: What They Did – Mexico:
- Same brand name - New Brand
- “Whisper” - “Naturella”
- Brand extension - Adapted to customer
- Contract marketing - Added chamomile
- Unique resolution - More applicable
Overall: Good value product for
mid-tier consumers
(good quality at a low price)
LESSON: P&G learned how to be adaptive for developing countries, created models to
role out globally.
Note: Always – most of world
Whisper – Asia only
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October 30th
Managing Brands Globally
Most Valuable Brands:
1. Coca-Cola
2. Microsoft
3. IBM
4. GE
5. Intel
6. Disney
7. McDonalds
8. Nokia
9. Toyota
10. Marlboro
- Brands need to be managed consistently across borders.
Why Consistency in Branding is Important Across Borders?
- Saves cost in advertising and marketing → higher efficiencies
- Not consistent: confuses customer and hurts brand equity
- Consistent: reinforces brand images as travel
- As customers shop globally it reduces search costs
- Customer loyalty
- Facilitates transfer of learning
- No competitive pre-emption
- Prestige factor
POWERPOINT
A Portfolio of Global, Regional, and Local Brands
- Global companies can have different global, regional and local brands…
- Global Brands
o Worldwide consistency
- Regional Brands
o Consistency within a region
- Local Brands
o Offered in individual countries
- Define the international scope of your brands
o Marketing strategy impacted by international scope
- Example:
o Global = Coca-Cola & Sprite
o Regional = Fanta, Powerade, Qoo(Asia),& Diet Coke (can be Coca-Cole
Lite)
o Local = canned teas and Georgia Coffee in Japan
Brand Names Across Borders
- Meaning of the brand name in the local languages
o Could have negative connotations
o Examples:
NOVA cars – “no go” in Mexico
Bimbo Dolls – popular in Europe
Asia: will use characters that will sound like the name
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November 1st
Aaker & Joachimsthaler’s: Perspective on Global Branding
Global Brand Leadership
- Global brand leadership, not global brand standardization should be the goal
- Global brand strategy should coordinate and leverage country brand strategies
o Coordinate but not overly standardized
Difficulties of Globalizing Brands
- Economies of scale often elusive
- Influence of cross-border media often overstated
- Successful global brand teams difficult to form
- Company resources, customer characteristics, and competitive conditions differ
across countries.
A Nuanced Approach to Global Brand Management is Needed
- 4 Steps:
1. Sharing insights and best practices worldwide
2. Using a consistent global brand planning process worldwide – uniform framework
to analyze country
3. Assigning global coordination responsibility for brands
a. Global teams, senior brand executive
4. Delivering brilliance
a. Look for best ideas globally to role out…causes global competitive
advantage.
Sharing Insights and Best Practices Worldwide
- Formal meetings
- Informal meetings
- Communication technology
- Internal intranet and databases
Using a Consistent Global Brand Planning Process Worldwide
- Analysis frameworks/templates
- Monitor brand associations
- Monitor brand equity
- Communicate brand identity internally
- Link country brand strategy to global brand strategy
Assigning Global Coordination Responsibility for Brands
- Senior executive group or individual responsible for global brand
- Middle management group or individual responsible for global brand
- Some aspects of brand management influenced heavily by the global teams or
managers
- Some aspects of brand management left mostly at the local level.
Delivering Brilliance
- Look for most brilliant ideas across the globe
- Transfer good ideas across borders
- Roll-out brilliant innovations across borders
Conclusion
- All companies should engage in global brand leadership
o But not necessarily global brand standardization
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- Companies that sue unconnected and directionless local brand strategies will find
mediocrity as its reward
- GLOCALIZATION!! Balance with standardization and adaptation.
COMPLEX GLOBAL
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DISTRIBUTION
PHILOSOPHY
“Put Coke within an arm’s
reach of desire”.
- They keep these attributes consistent & similar
o Specifics may vary/be localized but generally stays the same
- Myth: concentrate same around the world & recipe locked up in a vault in
Atlanta
o Feeds into branding, image, mythology of the product
Advertising Strategy
- Language
- Actors
- Sponsor sporting events & festivals
Diet Cokes vs. Coca-Cola Lite
- Negative attitudes toward “diet”
Future Cola in China
- Lower price range
- Targeting rural areas/customers (lower incomes but big population)
- A lot of other drinks beside cola
- Very localized distribution system with close relationships
- Position: “A Chinese Product” (homegrown)
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November 6th
Product Line Variation Across Countries
Examples: Chips (especially in China)
Coca-Cola (Koo, Diet Coke, Coca-Cola Lite…)
Pizza Around the World
- Japan: Pizza L.A.
o BLT
o Bacon, eggs, curry…
- Shakey’s Pizza Japan
o Corn, curry…
- Domino’s Japan
o Seafood pizza, spicy, Mexican, Tuna…
- Pizza Hut in Hong Kong
o Corn popular, Hot & Spicy, seafood
o BIG THING: thousand island sauce
CVS Pharmacy: Savon to CVS → SUMMARY AXING
- Totally dropped Savon logo, name and image
WA-ha-ha - China
What Characterizes Chinese Companies?
- Imitation
- Lower production price
- Weak marketing
Wa-ha-ha
- Absorbed lessons from global players
- Advertisements placed on National TV Channel
- Sponsor
- Use of local celebrities
- Knew customers very well
- Developed a strong brand image
Wa-ha-ha Over Coke and Pepsi
1. Strong relationships with distributors (esp. in rural areas)
2. Lower price
3. Position themselves as Chinese brand
4. Dominate in rural areas
5. Strong brand with awareness & reputation (means child and happiness)
6. Broad product line: shelf space and segmentation
o Milk (2nd biggest)
o Tea (2nd biggest)
o Mixed Kongi drinks (sweet & local) (2nd biggest)
o Bottled Water (biggest segment)
o Carbonated drinks (smallest section in market)
o These other products growing rapidly worldwide
7. Cola taste adapted to Chinese tastes
Pepsi/Coke Over Wa-ha-ha
- Strong in urban areas
- Coke went to mid-sized cities, Pepsi only in biggest cities
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- Brand consistenvy
- MAIN: keep Pepsi market share low.
o Thumbs Up does this better → Coke changes to emphasize Thumbs Up →
Pepsi shares down
Advertising in India
- STANDARD
o Tagline
o Jungle
o Logo
o Glass bottle
o Red Color
- LOCALIZED
o “Baliwood” stars
o Language
o Sports (Cricket)
- NOTE: ads more localized now, segmented to local differences
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November 8th
Advertising and Promotion
Aspects of International and Global Communications
- Target Audience
- Objectives
- Theme and Message
- Platform
- Execution
- Budget
- Media and the Communications Mix
Target Audience
- Who is the target audience in each country?
- How broad is the audience?
o Mass vs. Targeted
- How similar are the target audiences across countries?
o Standardization possible?
- Is it possible to target an inter-market segment?
Objectives
- Consistency with other marketing mix elements
- Positioning Objectives
o How do you want to be positioned?
o Companies normally reluctant to have adapted positioning
o EXCEPTION: Japan → adapted KFC to premium position
- Image vs. Product Benefits
- One-way vs. Two-way communications
- Pull vs. Pull Marketing
o Pull: communicate to end consumer to pull the product through channels
o Push: communicate with retailers/distributors to push product to
consumer
- Objectives and the Product Life Cycle
1st o Cognitive: awareness and knowledge
o Affective: liking, preference, conviction
o Behavioral: trial, repeat purchase
o Switch Users from competitors vs. develop new users
Last o Reinforcing existing users vs. generating new users for product.
Theme and Promotional Message
- What is the theme and general message you want to convey?
- What are the benefits or attributes emphasized?
- What is the message regarding the positioning of the product?
- What is the type of image presented?
- Coca-Cola
o Soothing, relaxing drink that fits with contemporary lifestyles
o “Can’t beat the feeling”, “I feel Coke”
Platform
- Structure
o Order
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o Placement of Items
- Color Scheme
- Melody
- Tone
- Form
o Blocking: structure/order of scenes
Platform and Tone
- Emotional vs. Informational
- Humorous vs. Serious
- Argumentative vs. Narrative
o Argumentative: talks directly to you…”Go Buy Coke”
o Narrative: tells a story
- Competitive vs. Non-competitive
- Hard Sell vs. Soft Sell
o Hard Sell: Aggressively pushes the product
- Direct vs. Indirect
o Mostly in words or pictures
Platform and Form
- Announcement
o Gives info…released on this date, sale this weekend
o Example: Macy’s
- Display
o Show product with out words
o Example: cars
- Association Transfer
o Lifestyle, Celebrity
o Example: Nike, proactive
- Lessons
o How might benefit, how to use
o Example: infomercials, Insurance
- Drama
o Slice of life
o Example: Credit Cards, Pharmaceuticals
- Entertainment
o Humorous
o Example: Aflak, Beer
- Imagination
o Cartoons
o Example: cereal, Red Bull
- Special Effects
o Example: Scion cars
Execution
- Source
o Actors & Celebrities
- Content
o Words, Images/visuals, Music
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- Settings
Media and the Communication Mix
- Advertising
o Television, radio, newspapers, magazines
- Direct Marketing
o Infomercials, catalogs, direct mail, e-mail, telemarketing, internet
marketing
- Sales Promotions
o Samples, coupons, rebates, price & bonus packs, premiums, tie-ins,
continuity programs, contests
- Trade Promotions
o Slotting allowances, coop advertising, floor planning, temporary price
cuts, volume discounts, contests
- Public Relations
- Sponsorships
- Product Placement
o Products in movies & television shows
- Personal Selling
- Sales Force Promotion Tools
o Trade shows & conventions, sales contests, promotional gifts
Media Strategy
- Which media or communications vehicle for which messages
- Percent of budget allocated to each media or communications vehicle.
Coke Advertisements – Sport Star & Kid Ad
Target Audience
- Coke Ads: highly standardized
o Sports enthusiasts (different sport stars across nations)
- Are they geared to everybody?
o U.S. football, Brazil soccer → national pastime, mass market
Objectives
- Pull marketing
- Image building
- Positioning: something you could use broadly
- Very standardized
Theme & Promotional Message
- Refreshing
- Relaxing
- Hero’s elixir
- Very standardized
Platform
- Basically the same throughout the ads
- Very Standardized
o Structure, order, storyline, blocking…
Tone
- Emotional not information – standardized
- More serious than humorous
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- Narrative
- Non-competitive
- Soft sell
- Indirect (more pictures, scenes than words)
- Everything standardized
Platform & Form
- Drama
- Association transfer
- Standardized
Execution
- Different celebrities
o Used sports (football, soccer…)
- Platform the same, but local visuals
o According to each countries’ stadium
- Different languages
- Different specific setting
- HIGHLY ADAPTED
OVERALL
- Typically easier to standardize 1st three elements, more difficult to do the last two
o Coke standardized first 4, adapted the last (execution)
Deremate.com Case
Overview
- EBay type website
- American web companies concentrated in the U.S., so…
- Local European, Latin American, & Asian companies looked at American web
market, took idea, then made local adaptations
- When American companies wanted to expand, there were already strong,
localized web companies
Differences From U.S. to Latin America
- Reasons for using auction site
o Limited cash, want to monetize assets
- People don’t use credit cards
o Need to have cash on delivery
o Need to exchange in person
- Internet not widely used
o Target more medium-premium market
- Not used to yard sales, classified ads, etc.
o Need to educate the customer A LOT
- Very different products being sold and bought
o Lower end products
o Used VCRs
o Electronics & cars
- Underdeveloped delivery infrastructure
o Need to set up strong relationships with services they can trust
- Can marketing be the same? NO!
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November 13th
Deremate.com Case Continued
Similarities (Within Latin America)
- Language (except Brazil)
- Why customers use auction sites
- Cultural similarities
Differences (Within Latin America)
- Use of Spanish is different
- Levels of internet development
- Delivery methods
- Payment methods
- Types of goods sold
DEREMATE.COM
STANDARDIZED ADAPTED
- Transaction completion method:
payment, taxes, & delivery
- Product categories
featured/emphasized
- Fees for using the service
- Content of ads: localize with
- Orange, logo, branding
newspapers/radio/etc.
- Look & feel of the website
- Media used to advertise depending
- The software platform
on infrastructure (billboards,
- Positioning
radio…)
- Ads on cable TV channels
- Publicity, PR
- Product/website development (new
- Direct sales (especially with college
features)
campuses
- Customer Service
- Execution of specifics on the
website
- OVERALL: similar to other cases where key aspects are standardized but
specifics are localized
Competitors
- Deremate.com
- Meradolibre.com
- EBay: What should they do to enter?
o Could partner with one of the 2 local companies
Would combine global knowledge of EBay with local
responsiveness
Small companies should court EBay
What Ended up Happening?
- Mercadolibre.com ended up with EBay & became the dominant player across
Latin America
- Branding is the same → PLATFORM
- Specifics are very different from market to market
- Marcadolibre.com eventually recently out deremate.com
o Chile & Argentina too strong & deremate.com did not sell out
28
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 387
Advertisement Layout
1. Target Audience
o Highly standardized: business people Same Strategy
2. Objectives
o Highly standardized: e-commerce
3. Theme and Message
o Highly standardized: use IGM for e-commerce Same Creative
4. Platform Idea
o Fairly Standardized
5. Execution Expression is
o Highly adapted Localized
- At IBM: type of ad called intelligent adaptation
- Why is execution localized?
o Objective to connect with customer deeply & psychological
o Want resonation with customer
COMPLEX GLOBAL - GLOCALIZATION
2nd Advertisement (Japan vs. U.s.)
- Rhyming: there isn’t this sense of humor in Japan
- Blaming
- Adapted for Japan:
o Still humorous and concept the same
o More questioning than blaming – more polite
o More collaborative: people worry together to solve problem
o Circular
- First 4 concepts standardized, execution localized
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Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
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Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 389
- Contests where write in with suggestions for new colors each beauty queen will
pick her favorite, and there will be lots and lots of prizes
- Brand not well known, so major goal is to develop brand as quick as possible
- Manager Threatens to leave if force the global campaign on him
Indian Reaction
- Many new department stores opening in cities, easting retailing bottlenecks
- Many international brands now competing in maker
- Farmers adopting cell phones
- Internet cafes every two miles in countryside
- Rooftops crowded with satellite TV dishes
o Customers asking for latest global colors advertised on satellite TV from
other countries
- Billboards in countryside from Cosmo, Elle, Friends
- Point of reference for rural areas used to be closest large city, not it is becoming
the world
- Hollywood films doing will in India recently, in addition to Bollywood films –
better dubbing, quick global releases, less important regulations
- But still need local responsiveness because of large income differences and
cultural differences
Argument for Global Campaign
- Trend toward global convergence in customer tastes
- Global movies a good way for reaching targeted segments around the world
- Cost savings
- Quality of global campaign is typically better than what can be done locally
- Leveraging good knowledge and ideas worldwide
Arguments Against Global Campaign
- Many companies that have tried globalizing marketing have failed at it
- Global approaches tend to either over-standardize or oversimplify
- Global approaches ten to discourage local innovations
- Espoir bran may have different images in different parts of world
Expert Reactions to the Case
- Singh is on right track to want to globalize marketing much more, but needs to
find the right balance between globalization and localization
- She needs to keep Espoir’s marketing programs relevant to local markets as
global scale and best practices are leveraged
- She has to get buy in of frontline executives who will be implementing the
programs
- She has to become less of a developer of marketing programs and more an
orchestrator
- Achieving both global scale and local relevance requires time and flexible
approach
- The organization and implementation of the global marketing approach is key
Expert Recommendations
- A team of managers from different regions/countries should develop and shape
global marketing ideas
31
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 390
- Identify areas of marketing that must be globally consistent and leave other areas
of marketing to the decisions of local managers
o Marketing strategy make be more globalized while execution ca be left to
local control
- Identify global products that must be more standardized across countries and then
allow other products that are country specific
- Create a global communication platform and menu of options, but local managers
can choose from the menu and add local elements to the global platform
- Quantify both the benefits and costs of global consistency and develop a
measurement system for tracking in future
32
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 391
November 20th
Advertisement & Promotion Cont - Localized
ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES
- More costly
- Resonate/connect with customer on
- More resources: management
deep level
resources
- Customer Behavior can vary
- Confuse customers
- Regulatory environment vary
- Doesn’t reinforce the brand as
- Competitive situations vary
people hear messages from
- Avoid misunderstanding & insults
different countries
More Cross Border Media Spillover
1. Internet
2. More International Travel
3. Cable & Satellite TV
Advertisement Statistics
- Should look at a country’s stats in order to determine the best mode of
advertisement
- Regulations on advertisement
o Europe especially
o Not the same with new cable stations
o Example: Can’t interrupt shows, have to do in between shows
o Before: state owned channels, NO ADVERTISING
- Last 30 Years:
o Britain – first to introduce advertisement
o Last 10 years in some European countries with cable & satellite
o IN GENERAL: advertising restrictions have decreased with time
- Cinema
o France: 30 minutes of ads before movie…but assigned seating
POWERPOINT
Selecting Media and the Communications Tool
- Availability
- Regulations
- Habits and Intended Audience
o Which media or communications vehicle is our target audience most
receptive to?
- Fit of the objectives/message to the media or communications vehicle
- Cost
Determining the Schedule
- When is our target audience most likely to be exposed to the communications?
- Seasonality of product usage and exposure
- Introduction of a new product
o Pre-launch, launch, post-launch
- Communicating new information about a product
- Response to Competition
Consumer and Trade Promotions
- Mostly a local activity
33
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 392
o Economic development
o Culture and perceptions
o Regulations
o Retail structures
o Infrastructure for Promotions
Consumer and Trade Promotions
- Increasing Headquarters Involvement
o Cost
o Complexity
o Global branding
o Transitional retailing
Agency Selection
- Different agencies different countries
- Same agency across countries – little coordination
- Same agency across countries – much coordination
Constraints in International Advertising
- Cultural and language differences
- Different regulations
- Different infrastructures
o Media availability, agency availability, research data availability
- Different consumer characteristics and attitudes
o Economic status, literacy, role of advertising in society
- Different market characteristics
o Stage of product life cycle, competitive environment
- Different product strategies
o Differences in positioning, packaging across countries
Trends in International Advertising
- Deregulation of media
- Growth of commercial television and radio
- Growth in cross-border cable and satellite TV
- Increased Availability of Global Media
- Growth of global advertising agency networks
- Growth in worldwide sports and events sponsorships
- Growth of product placements in TV and Film reaching global audiences
- Growth of advertising in emerging countries
- Potential of the Internet
Growth in Global Advertising
- Trend toward harmonization of strategic elements of advertising
- While maintaining flexibility at local level for execution
- Think globally, act locally
The Product Portfolio and Global Marketing
- Distinguish among global, regional and local brands
Global Brands
- Highest level of headquarters influence
- Headquarters promotes coordination of marketing strategy
o Certain marketing elements may be standardized
34
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 393
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Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 394
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Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 395
November 27th
Segmentation
Segmentation Strategies
- National market segment strategy
o Primary segmentation variable: within each country
o Multi-domestic → No coordination
- Country cluster market segment strategy
o Primary segmentation variable: groups of similar countries
o Segment within this block in a similar way
- Global market segment strategy
o Primary segmentation variable: factors that cut across countries or regions
Criteria for Grouping Countries – General Characteristics
- Economic grouping
o World Bank Clustering
- Geographic grouping
o Most simple (i.e. North America, Europe, etc)
o PROBLEM: U.K. with Europe for geographic grouping but with North
America for cultural grouping
- Political grouping
o Index of economic freedom OR political trade group
- Religious grouping
- Cultural grouping
- Quality of Life grouping
- Product Usage
Criteria for Grouping Countries – Product Market Specific Variables
- Size of market
- Growth of market
- Competitive intensity
- Product Life cycle stage
o Mature: brand loyalty, differentiation & innovation, & efficiency &
reasonable pricing
o Growing
o Initial: awareness, education, generating primary demand
- Customer acceptance of product
- Customer knowledge of product
- Other criteria relevant to your product market
Formal Technique for Grouping Countries
- When using multiple variables
- Cluster Analysis
o A statistical technique
o Group countries into clusters
o Countries within a cluster are relatively similar to each other on the
variables used for the clustering
o Multiple variables can be used to cluster countries
- Associated with a regional approach
Customer Trends Across Countries
37
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 396
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Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 397
November 28th
International Distribution and Retailing
Modes of Entry into International Markets
- Increasing commitment, risk, expertise, and control
As You Go Down o Indirect Exporting: cheap and low risk
The List
o Direct Exporting: export yourself
o Licensing: local company, they manufacture & sell with guidelines
o Joint Venture
o Direct Investment
More Commitment, Risk Marketing and sales subsidiaries
… Over Operations Manufacturing subsidiaries
Distribution and Retailing Environment Across Countries
- Distribution and retailing environments are HIGHLY LOCALIZED
o Different retail and distribution structure in different countries
o Retailers and distribution tend to be local players
o Relationship with retailers and distributors need to be localized
- RECENT TRENDS are making distribution and retailing environments more
similar across countries
Traditional Retailing Environments
- Traditional = Localized
- Traditional Retail Formats
o Outdoor Stalls – Street Markets
o Small “Mom & Pop” retailers – The Corner Market
o Example: Kelve, India
- Early Modern Form of Retailing
o Department stores
- In the U.S.: traditional faded away after WWII
o Traditional still strong in many countries
o Others “modernized” in different time periods, other changing now
International Trends in Retailing
- Growth of large scale retailing
- Rise of Discount stores
- Internationalization of retailing
- Retailers are taking power from branded manufactures
- Increasing sophistication of information systems
- Greater ability to shop anytime, anywhere
- Opportunities for internet retailing
- Example: Shanghai → had mega stores but many bicycles outside.
→ Mom and Pop stores still exist next to mega stores
Growth of Large Scale Retailing
- Increase in number of large stores
- Growth of chain stores
- Movement to city outskirts
- Rise of shopping malls
- Example: Carrefour is the lead market globally
Rise of Discount Stores
39
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 398
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Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 399
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Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 400
Time
o Profitability (higher prices) vs. market share goals (lower prices)
Internal Cost and Profit Factors
- Manufacturing Costs
o Direct manufacturing costs Add These 3 To
o Indirect manufacturing costs Get Selling
- Selling, Marketing, and general administrative costs Price
- Profit margin
- Manufacturer’s Selling price
Cost and Profit Factors External to the Company
- Cost related either to Domestic, overseas production, or export sales
o Taxes
o Distribution margins
Wholesalers
Retailer
- Cost related to exporting
o Transportation and Insurance Costs
o Tariffs
- Manufacturer’s selling price plus above costs determine final price to consumer
42
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 401
43
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
MRKT-465: Study Notes for Final
Page 402
Summary of the 4 Ps
MORE POTENTIAL LESS POTENTIAL
TO GLOBALIZE TO GLOBALIZE
PRODUCT
ADVERTISING/COMMUNICATION/PROMOTION
PRICING
44
Keith Parker, University of Southern California
OWEO: Mission Statement
Page 403
This is the Facebook group for the USC chapter of the Overseas
Work Experience Organization, which is an officially recognized USC
group. USC OWEO was founded in September 2006 by Keith Parker
as a means of spreading knowledge to the USC undergraduate
student body about the benefits of traveling abroad for work during
summer breaks, as well as information about how one would go
about doing this. Meetings are held in the Philosophy building (or
in the courtyard). Membership is open to all, and free. Just request
to join this group and you'll be on the OWEO membership list and
get news about meetings.
Everything else you need to know about the group is on the group
website, which also has some helpful travel info.
Cheers,
Keith Parker
President and Founder
Cheers,
Keith
Section A: NAME
Part 1.The official name for this organization is the Overseas Work Experience Organization.
Part 2.This organization will use the name or its acronym, OWEO, in all publicity materials and
correspondence.
Section B: PURPOSE
Part 1.The purpose of this organization is to explore and promote academic and career issues
related to the field of psychology, and to help those interested in the field to get to know one
another better outside the classroom and laboratory.
Part 2.All activities of this organization must be directed toward this purpose.
ARTICLE II.MEMBERSHIP
Section A: REQUIREMENTS
Part 1. All currently enrolled undergraduate USC students are eligible to be voting members.
Part 2. All other USC students and USC staff, faculty, alumni, and alumnae are eligible to be
non-voting members.
Part 3. Members must pay no fee to be a part of this organization, though fees may apply for
participation in events sponsored by the organization.
Part 4. All members are required to demonstrate support for the purpose of this organization.
Part 5. Membership decisions will not discriminate on the basis of age, race, religion or creed,
national origin, ethnicity, gender, disability, or sexual orientation.
Section B. RIGHTS
Part 1. All members are eligible to attend all meetings and events of this organization.
Part 2. If a fee is charged to attend a particular event, the membership will establish a fee scale
for voting members, non-voting members, and others as appropriate.
Part 2. A simple majority vote of the quorum of membership at a regular or special meeting shall
be sufficient to withdraw membership.
Part 3. Members to be voted upon in this regard will be notified of the intention to do so in
writing at least one week prior to the meeting at which the vote will be taken.
Vice President
Secretary/Treasurer
Section B. DUTIES
Part 1. The President will chair all meetings of OWEO and will call special meetings as needed.
The President will vote on OWEO matters only in case of a tie.
Part 2. The Vice President shall chair any ad hoc committees or task forces of the organization.
Part 3. The Secretary/Treasure will take, record, and file meetings minutes; produce all official
correspondence for the organization, and maintain records and report on the financial
transactions of OWEO.
Part 4. The Program Committee Chair will direct the planning of the organizations education and
social programs.
Part 2. Any members may nominate any other member, including himself or herself.
Part 3.Elections will be held at the second -to-last meeting of the spring semester.
Part 4.Nominations may also be made during the election meeting itself, prior to closing of
nominations and taking the vote.
Part 5.A simple majority vote of the quorum present at that meeting will be sufficient to elect an
officer. If there are more than two candidates and no candidate receives a majority, there will be
a run-off vote between the top two vote recipients in the general meeting.
Part 2. Officers to be voted upon in this regard will be notified of the intention to do so in writing
at least one week prior to the meeting at which the vote will be taken.
Part 2. Should a vacancy in office occur, there will be another nomination procedure and election
for the vacant office.
Part 3. In the meantime, the Vice President will assume the duties of the President, the
Secretary/Treasurer will assume the duties of the Vice President, and the Program Chair will
assume the duties o the Secretary/Treasurer should those offices be vacant.
Section B: Special meetings may be called by any combination of two of the officers. Notice of
special meetings must be communicated to all members at least 48 hours in advance of the
meeting.
Section C. To conduct business at any meeting, one half of the entire voting membership must be
present to form quorum.
ARTICLE V. COMMITTEES
Section A. PROGRAM COMMITTEE
Part 1. The only standing committee of OWEO is the Program Committee, whose purpose is to
pan events and programs for the organization.
Part 2. All decisions of the Program Committee involving committing organization funds in
amounts greater than $25.00 will require the approval of the majority of those members present
at the regular or special meeting of OWEO. Similar decisions, but for $25.00 or less may be
approved by the Program Chair with consent from all other officers.
Part 2. In appointing such committees, OWEO members, or the President if the committee was
appointed by the president, must specify the purpose and chair or co-char of that committee, and
establish its duration.
Part 2. In all correspondence and business transactions, it may refer to itself as an organization at
USC, but not as part of USC itself.
Part 3. OWEO accepts full financial and production responsibility for all activities it sponsors.
Part 4. OWEO agrees to abide by all pertinent USC policies and regulations. Where USC
policies and regulations and those of OWEO differ, the policies and regulations of USC will take
precedence.
Part 5. This organization recognizes and understands that the University assumes no legal
liability for the actions of the organization, and that the University is not providing blanket
indemnification insurance coverage for any activities of the organization, unless those activities
expressly benefit and further the goals of the University, and have received prior review,
approval, and consent of Campus Activities, Risk Management, and/or General Counsel.
Section B. OWEO
Part 1. OWEO is an independent group started at USC in 2006, and may branch out to other
Universities.
Section B. DUTIES
Part 1. The advisor must sign the recognition application each year, or whenever officer
information changes or amendments are made to the constitution.
Part 2. Officers should meet with the advisor five times per semester.
Part 3. An advisor may not vote in OWEO matters, hold office or unduly influence decisions of
the student organization.
Part 2. This constitution takes precedence over any and all by-laws.
Section B. AMENDMENTS
Part 1. This constitution can be amended by a two-thirds vote of the entire membership at a
regular meeting of OWEO.
Part 2. Notification of such a motion must be made to members at least one meeting in advance
of the one in which the actual vote is taken.
Organization Name:
Affiliated Department/School:
Account Type:
❏ Academic ❏ Social ❏ Fraternal ❏ Other (please specify):
Requested Account Name (No more than 8 characters):
University Park Campus Applicants: Take this form to the ISD Customer Support Center (JEF 150) or send it
via campus mail.
Health Sciences Campus Applicants: Take this form to the Norris Medical Library Learning Resources Center
(NML LRC).
Each individual must sign to indicate that they agree to read and abide by university computing policies. Policies can be
Cheers,
Keith Parker
President and Founder
Contact Info
Email: overseasexperience@gmail.com
Website: http://www-scf.usc.edu/~kaparker/Welcome.html
Office: Philosophy Building (For meetings)
City: Los Angeles, CA
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Work in China
1 post by 1 person. Updated 4 hours ago.
Thanks!
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ha i love it
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-Keith Parker
Many People Are Worried...
USC OWEO Officers ...that they need to first make all of their plans for
Keith Parker overseas work beforehand, without considering the
President and possibility of just flying out to a new country and
Founder finding work on arrival. First of all, if you are
looking for an office job or internship overseas, this
Travis Bell isn’t the group or the site for you. This group
Vice President advocates a work experience that is, in my opinion,
more culturally enlightening than that of most
Ben Teresi internships or office jobs overseas. This is not to say
Secretary
that these jobs are not beneficial, as professional-
If you have any questions oriented jobs do provide people with valuable work
about anything, feel free to experience. It just isn’t what this group is about. The
contact Keith by email by work that people in this group have found has been
clicking here focused mostly in the service industry, with low pay
Common Jobs: but much more contact with the local environment.
• Bartender For example, Travis, Ben and I all worked at a youth
• Waiter/ hostel called The Pink Palace in Greece during the
Waitress summer of 2006. Our daily jobs were focused on
• Hostel Work serving guests in a variety of ways during their stay
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Cheers,
Keith Parker
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Photos: Left: The beach on Koh Phi Phi in Thailand by Keith Parker; RIght: Dr. George’s
‘Fire Dance’ at The Pink Palace in Κέρκυρα, Greece by David ‘Swede’ Zak
To Begin...
...It is important to know about the country you wish to visit. It wouldn’t be good
to arrive somewhere and find out that there was a recent extreme anti-American
outbreak. Looking for work in a place where the average wage rate in the service
industry is low enough that locals are hired for pennies an hour wouldn’t help either.
Furthermore, although English has become very widespread, it is important to make
sure that the place you are traveling to has a fair amount of English speakers if you
don’t speak the language. Overall, you want to make sure that the location you had in
mind is actually as appealing as you image it to be.
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Securing Work...
...For those looking to securing a job before heading out to your destination, there
are many resources available to you, most of which provide a means for finding work
in a specific region. Here are a few to get you started.
Student Traveler
This site offers some good places to start when looking for places to
teach, work, or study abroad. Lists aren’t very extensive, but the
businesses on the list offer many jobs and are very informative and reliable.
Transitions Abroad
Offers a wide variety of resources including job offerings and the best
places to look for work. Information on this site might be a little
overwhelming, but hidden in all of it are many valuable resources.
Bug Europe
Includes information about working in different European Countries, as well
as links to job listings for many of these countries.
On Your Own...
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The Backpacker
Backpacking and travel stories from around the world. Also on the site
are reviews for travel services, hostels, and ratings for bars and different
beers submitted by travelers. Great travel guides and backpacking articles.
Wise Nomad
Backpacking stories and general discussions about traveling and the
backpacking culture. Blogs, area-specific travel stories and advice
written by travelers.
Books...
...Here are a few books about traveling I would recommend. Some of these books
are more informative, while others are entertaining and inspiring. I hope these
recommendations help you in your overseas work experience.
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World Map
Use this map however you want. The Pink Palace’s Location is marked in Greece.
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Photo Gallery
On this page are just a few of the photos taken by OWEO officers working
overseas at The Pink Palace in Κέρκυρα, Greece. Enjoy.
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As mentioned numerous times throughout this site, The Pink Palace is a hostel/resort in
Corfu Greece that serves the more adventurous European Backpackers. All three
officers in this group, Keith, Travis, and Ben, worked there. It was only after we spent a
summer there (Keith’s second summer there) that we decided to put this group
together. This is promotional clip for The Pink Palace made by the Europe’s Famous
Hostel’s website, just to give you an idea of the place that inspired this group.
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