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Simplified Valuation Analysis for Airbus A3XX

$ millions
2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Research and Dev


Capital Exp.
Net Working Capital
Required Investment
From Ex 10

1100
0
0
1100

2200
250
150
2600

2200
350
300
2850

2200
350
300
2850

1320
50
200
1570

880
0
50
930

Find C. I for R&D


Find C. I for Cap Exp
Find C. I for NWC
Cumulative investment
From Ex 10

1100
0
0

3300
250
150

5500
600
450

7700
950
750

9020
1000
950

9900
1000
1000

Cash Flows (A)


R & D Expense
Depreciation (B)

-1100
0

-2200
-25

-2200
-60

-2200
-95

-1320
-100

-880
-100

EBT

-1100

-2225

-2260

-2295

-1420

-980

-418

-845.5

-858.8

-872.1

-539.6

-372.4

-682

-1379.5

-1401.2

-1422.9

-880.4

-607.6

0
0
0

25
250
150

60
350
300

95
350
300

100
50
200

100
100
50

-682

-1754.5

-1991.2

-1977.9

-1030.4

-657.6

Year

2000

Taxes (C)

38%

EBAT
Depreciation
add
Capital Expenditure (D) subtract
increase in NWC
subtract
Free Cash Flow
Discount Rate (E)
0.11
PV of Investment
A3XX sales
Revenues
Price per plane
No. of planes
Operating margin
Operating Profit
Dep. Adjustment (F)
Adj Op. Profit
Tax rate
Cash flows
Growing Perpetuity
value in 2007
growth rate (pg 8)

Rf (pg 8)
beta (pg 8) risk Prem
0.06
0.84
0.06
($6,132.57)

0.18

0.38

0.02

present value
NPV

$6,244.65
$112.08

A) The cashflows ignore the tax impact of launch aid, which is taxable when received. It also ignoress cashflow associated with

B) Assumes straight line depreciation over 10 yrs (pg 8). After 2005 Depriciation equals net working capital. The co. is in full ca
C) Assume Airbus can use tax loss. The tax rate is 38%
D) After 2005 Depriciation equals net working capital.
E) Cost of capital assumption are in page 8 and computed above.
F) Add back depriciation to avoid double counting.

2007

2008 Total

660
0
0
660

440
0
0
440

10560
1000
1000

11000
1000
1000

-660
-100

-440
-100

-760

-540

-288.8

-205.2

-471.2

-334.8

100
100
0

100
100
0

-471.2

-334.8

9900
225
44
1782
100
1882
715.16
1166.84

12964.89

11000
1000
1000
13000

noress cashflow associated with pre-payments and progress payments of for planes.

king capital. The co. is in full capacity in 2008 and hrowth comes from inflation 2%.

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