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Erlang-B Formula
Erlang-B Formula
Assumptions:
Pure loss system
Infinite number of traffic sources
Finite number of devices (trunks) n
Full availability of all trunks
Exponentially distributed holding times
Constant call intensity, independent of the number of occupations
Time and call congestion are equal:
This formula is called Erlang`s formula of the first kind (or also Erlang loss formula or Erlang
B formula).
=
= = =
n
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A
A E B E
0
, 1
!
!
) (
MN 1790 3 - 9
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Erlang-C Formula
Erlang-C Formula
Assumptions:
Pure delay system
Infinite number of traffic sources N
Finite number of devices (trunks) n
Full availability of all trunks
Exponentially distributed inter-arrival times between calls which corresponds to a
constant call intensity y, i.e. the probability of a new offered call is the same at all time
points, independent of the number of occupations
Exponentially distributed holding times (s)
Time congestion is defined as the probability that all devices are used:
This formula is called Erlang`s formula of the second kind (or Erlang delay formula or Erlang
C formula).
=
+
= =
1
0
, 2
! !
!
) (
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A E E
MN 1790 3 - 13
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Erlang-C Formula
Erlang-C Formula
Call congestion is defined as the probability that a call has to wait:
The traffic carried and traffic offered are:
The mean number of waiting calls is:
The mean waiting time for calls, which have to wait is:
The mean waiting time for all the calls is:
The waiting time distribution depends on the queue discipline, whereas the mean waiting time is in
general independent of the queue discipline.
E B =
A n
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! !
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s y A A A
offered carried
= = =
MN 1790 3 - 14
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Trunking Gain
Trunking Gain
Exercise: Use the Erlang B look-up table to find out the meaning of trunking gain:
Which traffic offered can be handled by an Erlang B system assuming 32 trunks
and 1 % blocking?
Which traffic offered can be handled by 2 Erlang B systems for each assuming
16 trunks and 1 % blocking?
Which traffic offered can be handled by 4 Erlang B systems for each of them
assuming 8 trunks and 1 % blocking?
MN 1790 3 - 15
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Traffic Distribution
Traffic Distribution
Time Dependency:
The traffic in a telecommunication network as a function of time will not be constant but will show
significant fluctuations. Variations of the traffic during a single day, from day to day, for different
weekdays, or even for different seasons can be observed. Also on a long time scale the averaged
traffic will not remain constant but will increase in most telecommunication networks.
0 12 24 hours
0 %
100 %
50 %
MN 1790 3 - 16
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Traffic Distribution
Traffic Distribution
Location Dependency:
The traffic in a telecommunication network will not be location independent but will show
significant location dependencies. For example, in rural areas there will be less traffic compared to
city areas.
MN 1790 3 - 17
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Traffic Forecasting
Traffic Forecasting
An important aspect in dimensioning a telecommunication network is the expected traffic in the
future. Therefore, an analysis of the expected traffic is of great interest. Even in case that the
penetration (number of traffic sources) saturates, the amount of traffic does not necessarily
saturates too. Traffic forecasts are not easy and may be influenced by many aspects: e.g. price
politics, offered services,
The more the important dependencies are realised and taken into account, the more precise the
forecasts will be.
For a detailed analysis it is useful to:
Split the total PLMN into subareas
Categorise the subscribers: e.g. into business, residential,
Analyse: e.g. the number of subscribers per area, the development of the penetration
depth, the expected penetration depth
Analyse also economic dependencies like e.g. any correlation between the demand of
telephone service and e.g. the economic activities in a special region, the economic
situation in general (measured e.g. by the economic growth), the income of the people,
MN 1790 3 - 18
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Traffic Measurements
Traffic Measurements
It is of great interest for the network operator to measure the real traffic situation in his network.
To perform such measurements, in former telecommunication systems special traffic
measurement equipment (e.g. the so called electromechanical meter) was needed. Since in the
meantime most telecommunication systems are digital, this kind of equipment is not needed any
more: The call and device concerning data are stored in the memory of the system processor. It is
only a question of software to read them out.
The traffic measurements are usually part of the so called Performance Data Measurements.
Performance Data Measurements can be run continuously, periodically or sporadically, for a long
time or a short time, observing smaller or greater parts of the network.
Concerning the traffic measurements, either special events are counted (e.g. the number of
successful calls, the number of lost calls, ...) or special time intervals are recorded (e.g. holding
times, waiting times,...).
The corresponding counters could in principle be actualised continuously during the observation
period, but mostly a scanning method is used. Scanning method means that the system counts
the number of events not continuously but only at particular times. This leads to some uncertainty
for the measurement results. Nevertheless, the error performed can be estimated using statistical
methods. In general, the smaller the scanning interval the higher the precision of the
measurement. Typical scanning intervals are 100 ms or 500 ms.
MN 1790 3 - 19
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Dimensioning TRXs
Dimensioning TRXs
The dimensioning of the number of TRXs per cell should be based on traffic estimations for this
area and should be performed for the busy hour.
Using:
the number of subscribers in the corresponding area (for the busy hour)
the expected averaged traffic per subscriber (for the busy hour)
the offered traffic A results from:
A = No of subscribers x traffic load per subscriber
Using the Erlang B look up table the number of TRXs can be derived.
Hint:
This number also depends on the amount of half rate being used in the cell
MN 1790 3 - 20
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LAPD signalling on Abis
MN 1790 3 - 29
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LAPD signalling on Asub
MN 1790 3 - 30
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CCSS7 signalling on A
MN 1790 3 - 36
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Exercises
Exercises
1) Consider a call rate of 1000 calls per hour. The mean holding time is 90 sec. What is the
Traffic Offered in Erlang?
2) Consider a Traffic Offered of 30 Erlang and a mean holding time of 120 sec. How many calls
per hour do you expect?
3) Consider a telephone system with N=6 trunks and a time period of 10 time units (0,1,...,10).
Subscriber 1 makes a call from t1 to t3. Subscriber 2 makes a call from t2 to t4.
Subscriber 3 makes a call from t3 to t7. Subscriber 4 makes a call from t4 to t8.
Subscriber 5 makes a call from t4 to t9. Subscriber 6 makes a call from t5 to t9.
Subscriber 7 makes a call from t6 to t8. Subscriber 8 makes a call from t7 to t10.
a) Draw the number of used trunks as function of time.
b) Draw the number p of simultaneous occupations in the trunk group as function of
the total time with exactly p occupations.
c) What is the traffic offered in Erlang?
d) What is the traffic carried in Erlang?
e) What is the lost traffic in Erlang?
MN 1790 3 - 38
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Exercises
Exercises
4) Consider a pure delay system and a group of 10 trunks belonging to a trunk group. Assume
that all these trunks are available (full availability). Assume a traffic offered of 4 Erlangs and
a mean holding time of 100 seconds. The queue discipline shall be first come, first served
(ordered queue).
a) What is the probability to be queued?
b) What is the mean waiting time of queued calls?
c) What is the mean waiting time of offered calls?
d) What is the probability that call are queued for longer than 1 minute?
5) Consider a pure loss system and a group of 10 trunks belonging to a trunk group. Assume
full availability. What is the traffic in Erlangs which can be offered to this system if the
probability to be blocked should be maximum 1%, 3%, 5% and 7% ?
MN 1790 3 - 39
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Exercise
Exercise
Nominal Cell Plan
Consider a suburban area (clutter correction term = 5 dB) of 1000 km
2
with an expected traffic of
20 Erlang/km
2
. The standard deviation 1 sigma in building was measured as 9 dB. The planning
target was decided as 99% cell area probability.
Consider also an adjacent rural area (dense forest, clutter correction term = 9 dB) of 5000 km
2
with an expected traffic of 1 Erlang/km
2
. The standard deviation 1 sigma for outdoor coverage was
measured as 6 dB. The planning target was decided as 95% cell edge probability.
The blocking rate for both areas was defined as maximum 1%.
Assume that in total 60 RF channels are available. Assume also a typical antenna height of 30 m,
a C/I>21dB being required for the BCCH and a C/I>15 dB being required for the TCH. No tower
mounted amplifier is used. The antenna gain is 15 dBi / 17 dBi for 900 / 1800 MHz.
Assume 1 SDCCH is required for up to 2 TRX per cell, 2 SDCCH are required for up to 4 TRX per
cell, 3 SDCCH are required for up to 6 TRX per cell and 4 SDCCH in further cases.
How many sites are needed for a 900 / 1800 MHz system in case frequency hopping is used / not
used?