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October 2, 2008
Largest investment opportunity in core business line and geographic footprint Utilize spare capacity on existing North American pipelines LNG market as alternative investment opportunity Serve In-State and other markets Increase market and supply diversity Growth investment opportunities
Pipeline expansions promote more exploration and drilling which, if successful, leads to more pipeline expansions
TransCanada
October 2, 2008
TransCanadas Credentials
Prudhoe Bay
Miles of Pipe in U.S. Compression Horsepower
Throughput Volumes
15 bcf/d
4.5 bcf/d
TransCanada Pipeline Proposed Alaska pipeline TransCanada Alberta System TransCanada-owned pipelines Other Gaspipelines Pipeline Other Natural natural gas Keystone pipeline
October 2, 2008
TransCanada
TransCanada
October 2, 2008
Project Economics
Levelized negotiated toll for 4.5 Bcf/d in nominal dollars, including fuel
TransCanada will offer equity opportunity to Shippers in the initial Open Season that subscribe for a threshold volume.
Regulatory Structure
Alaska TransCanada Alaska Company, LLC will proceed under Alaska Natural Gas Pipeline Act of 2004 Canada Foothills Pipe Lines Ltd. will proceed under the Northern Pipeline Act (NPA) Canada/U.S. Treaty The pipeline will follow the route set out in the Treaty and the NPA
TransCanada
October 2, 2008
During Construction
Before Construction
TransCanada
October 2, 2008
After Construction
TransCanada
October 2, 2008
Project Schedule
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
* AGIA license assumed to be issued in August 2008 now late November 2008
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TransCanada
October 2, 2008
Current Status
Alaska legislative phase now completed AGIA August 1 Legislative final approval August 27 Governor Palin signed Bill Late November Effective date Project Kick-Off August 15 Time sensitive contracts let
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TransCanada
October 2, 2008
GTP pre-FEED Class 4 cost estimate and risk analysis Pipeline and facilities pre-FEED, Class 4 cost estimate and risk analysis FERC approval of Open Season Plan
Regulatory
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TransCanada
October 2, 2008
In-State needs study Prepare Open Season plan Finalize tolls and commercial terms of service Conduct Open Season Alaska Canada D.C.
Stakeholder Engagement
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TransCanada
October 2, 2008
Natural gas prices are volatile and difficult to forecast Conventional Lower 48 and WCSB, LNG, shale and coalbed all competing for market share
Project supporters must focus on cost control and schedule Government and community support U.S. / Canada
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TransCanada
October 2, 2008
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TransCanada
October 2, 2008
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TransCanada
October 2, 2008
ELBA ISLAND (0.44 Bcf/d Cap.) LAKE CHARLES (1.0 Bcf/d Cap.)
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TransCanada
October 2, 2008
Costa Azul 1.0 Bcf/d Manzanillo 0.5 Bcf/d Altamira 0.7 Bcf/d
Elba Island 1.7 Bcf/d U.S. Gulf Coast Lake Charles 1.8 Gulf Gateway 0.4 Freeport 1.5 Sabine` 4.0 U.S. Gulf Coast Cameron 1.5 Golden Pass 2.0 Clean Energy 1.3
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TransCanada
October 2, 2008
Value to Yukon
Direct benefits
Average of $3,300/person each year New fuel source for Yukon industry, electric power generation, residential and commercial Competitive transportation to market for Yukon natural gas supply Thousands of job opportunities Entrepreneurial business development
Construction benefits
Key assumptions
Alaska Pipeline Project in-service by 2018 Project economics as per TransCanadas AGIA Application 4.5 Bcf/d delivered to Alberta Hub for 25 years
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TransCanada
October 2, 2008
Summary
AGIA Bill approved Field work and project planning underway Majority of field work in the summer of 2009 Commercial, regulatory and stakeholder engagement commencing Target to conclude Open Season by summer 2010 Government and community support required for successful project Average $3,300/person each year in direct tax revenues to Yukon
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TransCanada
October 2, 2008
Thank You